Latest / Elon Musk Podcast / Musk Ordered Starlink Blackout During Key Ukraine Offensive Ask ChatGPT
Transcript
- 0:01Hey everybody, welcome back to the Elon Musk Podcast.
- 0:05This is a show where we discuss the critical crossroads that
- 0:08shape SpaceX, Tesla X, The Boring Company, and Neurolink.
- 0:13I'm your host, Will Walden. Elon Musk has ordered Starlink
- 0:22coverage cut over parts of Ukraine and this is back in late
- 0:27September of 2022. And the order disrupted
- 0:30Ukrainian counter offensive and damaged Kiev's trust in a
- 0:34service that had supported their military since the start of this
- 0:37invasion. The instruction targeted areas
- 0:40and included kerosene, which sits north of the Black Sea and
- 0:44served as a strategic focus for Ukrainian forces.
- 0:47The action marked the first known shutdown of Starlink over
- 0:50an active battlefield in the war.
- 0:53Now, Reuters documented the order and its impact through
- 0:56interviews with people who carried it out and with
- 0:58Ukrainian personnel who experienced the outage.
- 1:01Now, who gets to decide whether a private network that carries
- 1:04battlefield communications stays on during a war with an Elon
- 1:08Musk? Now, one directive inside a
- 1:12company changed the course of a specific operation and exposed
- 1:16how much military communications depend on Elon Musk, the private
- 1:21owner of SpaceX. Now we're going to set off a
- 1:26chain of responses inside Ukraine, Washington and SpaceX
- 1:28that reveal A fragile arrangement around access to
- 1:33Starlink in conflict zones. In this episode, must deliver
- 1:36the order through a senior engineer at SpaceX who ran
- 1:39Starlink operations in California.
- 1:41He told the engineer to cut coverage in set areas that
- 1:45included kerosene and parts of Donetsk, and this is where
- 1:49Ukraine sought to advance to. Staff turned off at least 100
- 1:53terminals and an internal coverage map showed hexagon
- 1:57shaped cells going dark. Team members described an abrupt
- 2:00switch off that followed a simple instruction.
- 2:03We have to do this now, Michael Nichols, the star LINK engineer,
- 2:08told colleagues upon receiving the order.
- 2:11Multiple people with direct knowledge confirmed that the
- 2:14team complied with this order. Frontline units saw
- 2:18communications blackout as the cut took hold.
- 2:21Soldiers lost connections, aerial drones that surveilled
- 2:24Russian forces went dark, and long range artillery units lost
- 2:28the data they used to aim. Ukrainian officers who pushed to
- 2:33encircle a Russian position could not complete this
- 2:36maneuver. The encirclement stalled
- 2:39entirely. It failed.
- 2:42Ukrainian forces later reclaimed the city of Karason, along with
- 2:46nearby territories without the help of Starlink.
- 2:50People inside SpaceX who watched the cut said the decision
- 2:53shocked some of their employees. They also said the outage helped
- 2:57shape where the front lines settled.
- 2:59During the phase of fighting. They saw a private order create
- 3:03operational effects that matched military decisions.
- 3:06Public statements from Musk did not match the account, though he
- 3:09wrote on X in March. We would never do such a thing.
- 3:14Who do you believe? Let me know in the comments.
- 3:17Musk and Nichols did not respond to requests from us or from
- 3:20Reuters or from any other news outlet.
- 3:23A SpaceX spokesperson called the reporting inaccurate in an
- 3:27e-mail and pointed to a private statement on X.
- 3:30They said Sterling is fully committed to providing service
- 3:33to Ukraine is a blanket statement.
- 3:36The company did not identify specific errors and did not
- 3:40answer answer detailed questions about the outage or about
- 3:43Starlink's wartime use. The office President Vladimir
- 3:49Zelinsky and the minister of defense did not respond to
- 3:53questions about this either. Starlink continues to provide
- 3:56service in Ukraine and the military keeps using it for some
- 3:59communications. But Zelensky expressed gratitude
- 4:02to Musk for Starlink earlier this year in public remarks.
- 4:06Now, three people that were familiar with Musk's decision
- 4:09said he acted out of concern that the Ukrainian advance could
- 4:13trigger nuclear retaliation from Moscow.
- 4:18The outage began around September 30th, 2022, a few days
- 4:22after after Putin warned that Russia could use nuclear weapons
- 4:26if its territorial integrity were threatened.
- 4:30Officials in Kiev in Washington, who helped secure Starlink
- 4:33access for Ukraine after the February 22 invasion, reacted
- 4:38with alarm when they learned of the blackout.
- 4:41The exact timing of the order remains unclear in the
- 4:44reporting, though Starlink has become central to Ukraine's
- 4:47battlefield communications. Troops pilot drones over the
- 4:51network, units move targeted data access with it, and
- 4:55commanders coordinate frontline operations through its
- 4:58terminals. Ukraine has more than 50,000
- 5:01Starling terminals in use, and Poland supplied about half of
- 5:04them. Now this is alarming, but SpaceX
- 5:07can turn on and off service through geofencing that maps
- 5:11coverage into cells that appear as hexagons and an internal
- 5:16display. Think of like Civilization if
- 5:21you've ever played that game. Very similar to that, and
- 5:25engineers can deactivate groups of terminals in those cells with
- 5:28centralized commands. They can just turn anything off
- 5:31they want to. No international process
- 5:34currently sets rules for how a private satellite Internet
- 5:36provider manages access during a conflict.
- 5:40They don't have to go through the military, they don't have to
- 5:42go through Zelensky, they don't have to go through any
- 5:45governments. They can just shut it off.
- 5:48Starlink now operates the world's world's largest
- 5:51satellite network, with more than 7900 spacecraft in orbit.
- 5:54The service is on track to generate nearly $10 billion in
- 5:58revenue this year, which would make up about 60% of Spacex's
- 6:02income. Musk retains private control
- 6:06over the system, too. He can do whatever he wants.
- 6:08Musk has described Starlink as essential to Ukraine's defense.
- 6:12He said. My Starlink system is the
- 6:14backbone of the Ukrainian army. Their entire frontline would
- 6:18collapse if it turned it off. The remark captures the leverage
- 6:21that comes with control over the service.
- 6:24With great power comes great responsibility for Elon.
- 6:28Governments that rely on commercial networks in war will
- 6:31face recurring questions about authority, contracts and
- 6:35continuity. Military planners can define
- 6:38service boundaries and escalation triggers and written
- 6:41agreements, but private owners still execute the switches that
- 6:44route data during combat. The 2022 blackout showed how one
- 6:49internal instruction can ripple through a battle plan and also
- 6:54change the world's fate. Possibly butterfly effect.
- 6:59Think about that. When a single network carries
- 7:01command control and targeting links, it's dangerous.
- 7:06And Musk ordered that shutdown over parts of Ukraine during a
- 7:09key push in September of 2022. Ukraine lost units and
- 7:14communications, and they also lost the planned encirclement
- 7:19and it failed because of this. Let me know in the comments
- 7:23which think, do you think Eli did the right thing or do you
- 7:26think he was doing it because he was scared?
- 7:30Do you think he was a reactionary or do you think he
- 7:32had this all planned out and he thinks that, you know, Putin
- 7:37would have caused a nuclear war if Ukraine moved forward?
- 7:43Let me know. Hey, thank you so much for
- 7:45listening today. I really do appreciate your
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