Latest / Murder Files Unsealed / Michigan Police Suggest Possible Serial Killer Responsible In Lansing Michigan
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Imagine trying to sleep, knowing that the very act of
- 0:03Speaker 1: closing your eyes makes you a target.
- 0:06Speaker 2: It's a terrifying thought.
- 0:07Speaker 1: It really is. Over the last eight weeks, the shadows
- 0:10Speaker 1: of the Lansing River Trail have basically become a hunting ground.
- 0:13Speaker 2: Yeah, and we are looking at a highly fluid, really
- 0:16Speaker 2: volatile investigation right now.
- 0:18Speaker 1: Because the most vulnerable people in a community are being
- 0:21Speaker 1: attacked in the dark, in the exact moments when they
- 0:23Speaker 1: are completely defenseless.
- 0:25Speaker 2: You are looking at a scenario that just terrifies law enforcement.
- 0:28Speaker 2: I mean, the data points they are working with are
- 0:30Speaker 2: scattered across months. And they involve victims who live almost
- 0:34Speaker 2: entirely off the grid. Plus, the level of violence is
- 0:37Speaker 2: escalating in a densely packed geographic area.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Welcome to this deep dive. I'm so glad you could
- 0:43Speaker 1: join us. Our mission today is to map out this
- 0:46Speaker 1: emerging threat unfolding right now in Michigan's capital city.
- 0:49Speaker 2: And we have some very recent data to go through.
- 0:52Speaker 1: We do. We are pulling directly from a breaking ABC
- 0:54Speaker 1: News report that was published just yesterday, October 7th, 2026.
- 0:59Speaker 2: Which is crazy to think about just how fresh this is.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Yeah, it's happening right now. This report covers a highly unusual,
- 1:07Speaker 1: incredibly tense press conference held on October 2nd by Lansing
- 1:10Speaker 1: Police Chief Robert Backus. Right.
- 1:12Speaker 2: And we are going to decode the unsettling temporal and
- 1:15Speaker 2: geographic patterns the police have identified along that trail.
- 1:19Speaker 1: We're also going to examine the incredibly complex line that
- 1:23Speaker 1: law enforcement has to walk when a city is on
- 1:25Speaker 1: edge about a potential serial killer.
- 1:28Speaker 2: Not to mention the forensic bottlenecks that keep investigators basically
- 1:31Speaker 2: just waiting for answers.
- 1:33Speaker 1: Exactly. The immediacy of this cannot be overstated. Today is
- 1:37Speaker 1: October 8th, 2026. So for you listening, you are getting
- 1:41Speaker 1: a real-time analysis of an active investigation involving five distinct deaths.
- 1:46Speaker 2: And in cases of potential serial crimes... I mean, the
- 1:49Speaker 2: initial facts are rarely a cohesive picture. It's usually a mess. Right.
- 1:53Speaker 1: It's like a chaotic jigsaw puzzle.
- 1:55Speaker 2: Yeah. Our goal today is not to sensationalize the tragedy,
- 1:58Speaker 2: but to logically analyze the data the police are interrogating.
- 2:02Speaker 1: To look at the forensic reality of blunt force trauma.
- 2:06Speaker 2: Exactly. And the strategic restraint Tief Backus is employing when,
- 2:10Speaker 2: you know, the public is essentially demanding an immediate arrest.
- 2:13Speaker 1: OK, let's unpack this.
- 2:14Speaker 2: OK.
- 2:15Speaker 1: Because to understand the pattern, we first have to understand
- 2:17Speaker 1: the timeline.
- 2:18Speaker 2: The sequence of events is everything here.
- 2:20Speaker 1: Yeah, and the timeline of these five incidents reads kind
- 2:22Speaker 1: of like an epidemiological cluster.
- 2:25Speaker 2: Well, that's a good way to put it.
- 2:26Speaker 1: Like you have an index case, a long incubation period,
- 2:30Speaker 1: and then this sudden localized outbreak of extreme violence.
- 2:33Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:34Speaker 1: It starts back in the fall of 2025, October 14th
- 2:37Speaker 1: to be exact. Police receive a call about an injured
- 2:40Speaker 1: person on the trail.
- 2:41Speaker 2: And they find Gino Chouinard.
- 2:42Speaker 1: Right, a 54-year-old man. And he has severe injuries to
- 2:46Speaker 1: his face.
- 2:46Speaker 2: Yeah. He's transported for medical care, but he actually succumbs
- 2:49Speaker 2: to those injuries weeks later on October 27th.
- 2:52Speaker 1: And here's where it gets frustrating. The medical examiner evaluates
- 2:55Speaker 1: the case and issues a finding of an undetermined cause
- 2:58Speaker 1: of death.
- 2:58Speaker 2: Which means legally it's in limbo.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Right. So for months, this just sits as a tragic,
- 3:03Speaker 1: isolated incident on the books.
- 3:04Speaker 2: It remains this total anomaly in the data for nearly
- 3:07Speaker 2: three quarters of a year.
- 3:09Speaker 1: Nine whole months.
- 3:11Speaker 2: Yeah. That nine-month gap between October 2025 and the summer
- 3:14Speaker 2: of 2026 is critical. I mean, a nine-month cessation in
- 3:19Speaker 2: extreme violence is a massive variable for behavioral analysts.
- 3:23Speaker 1: Because it's so long.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Exactly. In criminology, when you observe a sudden stop followed
- 3:29Speaker 2: by a really dense escalation, investigators immediately start looking at
- 3:33Speaker 2: geographic and systemic factors.
- 3:35Speaker 1: Like maybe they left town. Right.
- 3:37Speaker 2: Did the perpetrators secure or transient work out of state?
- 3:40Speaker 2: Where they incarcerated for an entirely unrelated, maybe lesser offense.
- 3:44Speaker 1: Like a property crime or an assault.
- 3:46Speaker 2: Yeah, during that winter and spring, only to be released
- 3:49Speaker 2: back into the Lansing area in the summer.
- 3:51Speaker 1: Or, I mean, factoring in the harsh reality of a
- 3:54Speaker 1: Michigan winter.
- 3:55Speaker 2: Oh, absolutely.
- 3:56Speaker 1: The extreme weather alone changes the entire landscape of the
- 3:59Speaker 1: river trail.
- 4:00Speaker 2: It does.
- 4:01Speaker 1: The transient population shifts, the foot traffic changes, and, well,
- 4:04Speaker 1: the opportunities for a predator just kind of vanish under
- 4:08Speaker 1: the snow.
- 4:09Speaker 2: That environmental factor is huge. Yeah. It completely alters the
- 4:12Speaker 2: victim pool.
- 4:13Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 4:13Speaker 2: But police also have to consider the very real possibility
- 4:16Speaker 2: that the death of Gina Schooley in October 2025 is
- 4:20Speaker 2: a false positive for the larger pattern.
- 4:22Speaker 1: Wait, you mean it might not be connected at all?
- 4:24Speaker 2: Exactly. It might be genuinely unrelated to the summer 2026 cluster. However,
- 4:30Speaker 2: if it is the same perpetrator, that first attack often
- 4:32Speaker 2: serves as the initial psychological crossing of the line.
- 4:36Speaker 1: Right.
- 4:37Speaker 2: The offender commits that first act of extreme violence, and
- 4:40Speaker 2: the psychological weight or simply the immediate fear of apprehension
- 4:44Speaker 2: forces them into a dormant state.
- 4:47Speaker 1: They lay low.
- 4:48Speaker 2: Yeah. The compulsion retreats, but it doesn't dissipate. It builds.
- 4:53Speaker 1: And when it erupts, it erupts with terrifying density.
- 4:57Speaker 2: It really does.
- 4:58Speaker 1: We move into the summer of 2026, July 9th. Police
- 5:02Speaker 1: find 70-year-old Dennis Dunback unresponsive on the trail.
- 5:06Speaker 2: He's older, 70 years old.
- 5:07Speaker 1: Right. He is critical, taken to the hospital, and he
- 5:11Speaker 1: dies a week later on July 16th.
- 5:13Speaker 2: And this is important. As of the October press conference,
- 5:16Speaker 2: his medical examiner finding is still pending.
- 5:19Speaker 1: Still pending. But the police don't even have time to
- 5:23Speaker 1: process Dunback's death before the next attack happens.
- 5:27Speaker 2: It's just days later.
- 5:28Speaker 1: Four days later, July 13th, 2026. 57-year-old Robert Smith is
- 5:33Speaker 1: found unresponsive, bleeding heavily from the head.
- 5:36Speaker 2: And he dies on July 17th.
- 5:39Speaker 1: What's fascinating here is how law enforcement utilizes these temporal
- 5:42Speaker 1: clusters to establish the framework of a serial pattern.
- 5:45Speaker 2: Because it's not just one or two isolated things anymore.
- 5:49Speaker 1: Right. That sheer density of the July timeline, two fatal
- 5:53Speaker 1: attacks within four days, That is the trigger mechanism for
- 5:57Speaker 1: the serial killer alarm within any investigative unit.
- 6:00Speaker 2: It shifts the statistical probability away from random, isolated altercations
- 6:05Speaker 2: and straight toward a systematic hunt.
- 6:07Speaker 1: And the cluster doesn't stop in July. We hit August
- 6:10Speaker 1: and the violence actually accelerates.
- 6:11Speaker 2: It speeds up.
- 6:12Speaker 1: Yeah. August 20th, a 22-year-old named Daniel Lusk is found
- 6:16Speaker 1: stabbed to death.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Now, for this specific case, police do make an arrest, right?
- 6:21Speaker 1: They do. Edward Joseph Smith.
- 6:23Speaker 2: Okay.
- 6:23Speaker 1: But just 10 days after Lusk is found, on August 30th,
- 6:28Speaker 1: a 57-year-old man named Louis Woodruff is found under a
- 6:31Speaker 1: bridge with apparent facial injuries.
- 6:33Speaker 2: 10 days later.
- 6:33Speaker 1: 10 days. He dies on September 1st. And this, like
- 6:38Speaker 1: Robert Smith's death, is classified as a homicide. Wow. So
- 6:41Speaker 1: you have four fatal incidents compressed into just eight weeks.
- 6:44Speaker 2: The sheer velocity of that summer timeline is staggering. I mean,
- 6:48Speaker 2: when investigators map that kind of temporal acceleration... They are
- 6:52Speaker 2: looking at an offender who is rapidly losing impulse control.
- 6:55Speaker 1: The cooling off period has totally vanished.
- 6:57Speaker 2: Exactly. The attacks are becoming a routine.
- 7:01Speaker 1: And the sheer density of that summer timeline just panicked
- 7:03Speaker 1: the city. But the timeline alone doesn't prove.
- 7:06Speaker 2: A serial killer. No, you need more than just dates.
- 7:09Speaker 1: Right. For Chief Backus to connect these dots, he had
- 7:12Speaker 1: to look at the terrifying similarities in who was dying
- 7:15Speaker 1: in the dark.
- 7:17Speaker 2: We have to look at the intersection of the MO
- 7:19Speaker 2: and the victimology.
- 7:20Speaker 1: Yes. Chief Backus laid out very specific demographic markers. All
- 7:25Speaker 1: five victims are white males ranging in age from 22
- 7:29Speaker 1: to 70 years old.
- 7:31Speaker 2: The age range is broad, which tells us that youth
- 7:34Speaker 2: or advanced age isn't the primary selection criteria for the offender.
- 7:38Speaker 1: Right. They aren't just targeting the elderly or just the youth. No.
- 7:42Speaker 2: The true connecting thread is their housing status. Yeah. All
- 7:46Speaker 2: of the victims are believed to be unhoused. And the
- 7:49Speaker 2: temporal element of the attacks... overnight or in the very
- 7:52Speaker 2: early morning hours, paints a really grim picture of the environment.
- 7:56Speaker 1: Backus stated they believe the victims were attacked while lying down,
- 8:00Speaker 1: potentially even while they were sleeping.
- 8:02Speaker 2: You are looking at a population that is forced to
- 8:04Speaker 2: live their most private, vulnerable moments in public spaces.
- 8:08Speaker 1: It's heartbreaking.
- 8:09Speaker 2: It is. The source material references a related narrative about
- 8:13Speaker 2: how unhoused people are often unfairly assumed to be dangerous
- 8:17Speaker 2: by the general public.
- 8:18Speaker 1: Right. There's that stigma.
- 8:19Speaker 2: But we have to completely invert that assumption here. The
- 8:22Speaker 2: unhoused are the uniquely vulnerable prey in this scenario. Yeah.
- 8:27Speaker 2: When you are sleeping under a bridge, like Louis Woodruff,
- 8:31Speaker 2: you don't have a locked door. You don't have a
- 8:33Speaker 2: security system.
- 8:34Speaker 1: You're just out there.
- 8:36Speaker 2: You are a static target.
- 8:38Speaker 1: And the method of the attack really highlights that vulnerability.
- 8:42Speaker 1: In four of these cases... The MO involves severe blunt
- 8:46Speaker 1: force trauma, specifically targeting the facial area.
- 8:50Speaker 2: And with no known weapon left at the scene. Right.
- 8:52Speaker 1: No weapon.
- 8:54Speaker 2: Targeting the face with blunt force isn't just about inflicting
- 8:57Speaker 2: fatal damage. It feels highly depersonalizing.
- 9:01Speaker 1: It does.
- 9:03Speaker 2: It's very intimate in a horrible way.
- 9:04Speaker 1: It's like an attempt to obliterate identity, to take individuals
- 9:08Speaker 1: whom society often already renders invisible and literally erase their faces.
- 9:14Speaker 2: The psychology of facial blunt force trauma is intensely brutal.
- 9:18Speaker 2: I mean, it requires close physical proximity.
- 9:21Speaker 1: You have to be right there.
- 9:22Speaker 2: Yeah. And it requires significant kinetic energy. Doing it to
- 9:27Speaker 2: a sleeping victim requires a level of predatory calculation that
- 9:31Speaker 2: is just deeply disturbing.
- 9:32Speaker 1: Absolutely.
- 9:34Speaker 2: But you mentioned four out of the five cases involved
- 9:36Speaker 2: blunt force trauma.
- 9:38Speaker 1: Right. Which brings me to Daniel Lusk, the 22-year-old found
- 9:41Speaker 1: on August 20th. He was stabbed to death.
- 9:44Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the outlier.
- 9:45Speaker 1: Exactly. The others suffered blunt force trauma. If four out
- 9:50Speaker 1: of five cases involve blunt force and no weapon left behind,
- 9:53Speaker 1: a stabbing seems to completely disrupt the established MO.
- 9:57Speaker 2: It does seem that way.
- 9:59Speaker 1: It really begs the question, do serial offenders suddenly adapt
- 10:02Speaker 1: their methods in the middle of a high-velocity spree?
- 10:05Speaker 2: It is a really common misconception that offenders have rigid,
- 10:08Speaker 2: unchanging methods.
- 10:10Speaker 1: Like you see on TV. Right.
- 10:11Speaker 2: Exactly like TV. Real-world criminal investigations often reveal adaptation. Really? Yeah.
- 10:18Speaker 2: An offender might adapt based on Pure opportunity or just
- 10:21Speaker 2: a shift in the environment.
- 10:23Speaker 1: Like if they stumble across a different weapon.
- 10:25Speaker 2: Exactly. Or sometimes it's based on panic. Think about it.
- 10:28Speaker 2: If a victim wakes up before the blunt force strike
- 10:31Speaker 2: can be delivered and they fight back. Oh, wow. It
- 10:34Speaker 2: might necessitate a totally different lethal approach in the heat
- 10:37Speaker 2: of the moment.
- 10:38Speaker 1: So the weapon might just be whatever is available or
- 10:41Speaker 1: whatever is required to maintain control of a really chaotic situation.
- 10:44Speaker 2: Yes. Or it could simply be a matter of acquiring
- 10:47Speaker 2: a new weapon. Perhaps the offender didn't possess a bladed
- 10:50Speaker 2: weapon for the July attacks, but they acquired one by
- 10:53Speaker 2: late August and deployed it.
- 10:55Speaker 1: That makes sense.
- 10:57Speaker 2: However, we have to weigh that against another crucial possibility.
- 11:01Speaker 1: Which is?
- 11:02Speaker 2: The stabbing of Daniel Lusk might be an entirely separate
- 11:04Speaker 2: crime committed by a totally different person.
- 11:07Speaker 1: Oh, right. Because they do have a suspect. Yes.
- 11:11Speaker 2: They have a distinct suspect, Edward Joseph Smith, in custody
- 11:14Speaker 2: for that specific murder.
- 11:16Speaker 1: Which implies an even darker reality for Lansing.
- 11:19Speaker 2: Yeah, it does.
- 11:20Speaker 1: It means you have a baseline of lethal violence against
- 11:22Speaker 1: the unhoused population occurring simultaneously with a serial blunt force
- 11:26Speaker 1: offender operating in the exact same geographic footprint.
- 11:29Speaker 2: It highlights the extreme danger of that specific environment right now.
- 11:34Speaker 2: It means the River Trail was experiencing a convergence of violence.
- 11:38Speaker 1: A convergence.
- 11:39Speaker 2: Yeah. But this brings us to a procedural reality that
- 11:42Speaker 2: often totally baffles the public.
- 11:45Speaker 1: The delay.
- 11:46Speaker 2: Exactly. The police are seeing this convergence of violence in
- 11:49Speaker 2: July and August. They are looking at the bodies. They
- 11:52Speaker 2: are seeing the blunt force trauma.
- 11:54Speaker 1: And yet it takes until October for a police chief
- 11:56Speaker 1: to stand at a podium and talk about a potential
- 11:58Speaker 1: serial killer. The delay feels almost incomprehensible to someone living
- 12:02Speaker 1: in that city. I mean, why wait? But that delay
- 12:05Speaker 1: leads us directly into the massive bureaucratic and scientific bottleneck
- 12:09Speaker 1: of the medical examiner's office.
- 12:12Speaker 2: The timeline of forensic pathology dictates the timeline of the
- 12:14Speaker 2: entire criminal investigation.
- 12:16Speaker 1: They just can't move faster than the science.
- 12:19Speaker 2: Detectives cannot outpace the science.
- 12:21Speaker 1: Let's look at the actual dates of that science because
- 12:23Speaker 1: the lag is staggering.
- 12:24Speaker 2: Okay.
- 12:25Speaker 1: Gino Shandy's death from October 2025 is still classified as undetermined.
- 12:30Speaker 2: Still?
- 12:30Speaker 1: Still. Dennis Dunback, found on July 9th, 2026. As of
- 12:35Speaker 1: this October press conference, his death still has absolutely no
- 12:39Speaker 1: medical examiner finding.
- 12:40Speaker 2: Wow.
- 12:41Speaker 1: And then you have Robert Smith. He's found on July 13th,
- 12:45Speaker 1: bleeding heavily from his head. He dies on July 17th.
- 12:49Speaker 1: But his death wasn't officially ruled a homicide until September 17th.
- 12:53Speaker 2: Two months later.
- 12:54Speaker 1: That is a two-month gap. Why does it take two
- 12:58Speaker 1: months for a medical professional to determine that a man
- 13:01Speaker 1: found bleeding from his head on a trail was murdered?
- 13:04Speaker 2: Well, we have to dive into the biomechanics of head
- 13:06Speaker 2: trauma and the immense legal threshold a medical examiner must meet. Okay.
- 13:11Speaker 2: Think about it. When a victim is shot, the projectile
- 13:14Speaker 2: path and the gunshot wound make the cause of death
- 13:17Speaker 2: both medically and legally apparent within hours.
- 13:19Speaker 1: It's obvious. Right.
- 13:21Speaker 2: Blunt force trauma, especially when there is no weapon left
- 13:24Speaker 2: at the scene, is a forensic labyrinth.
- 13:27Speaker 1: Because without a bloody pipe or a hammer sitting next
- 13:29Speaker 1: to the body, you have to prove that the trauma
- 13:31Speaker 1: didn't come from the environment itself.
- 13:34Speaker 2: Exactly. You are trying to definitively distinguish between gravity and malice. Wow.
- 13:40Speaker 1: Gravity and malice.
- 13:43Speaker 2: Imagine the scene. An unhoused individual is found deceased on
- 13:46Speaker 2: a concrete trail or under a concrete bridge with massive
- 13:49Speaker 2: head trauma.
- 13:50Speaker 1: There's concrete everywhere.
- 13:51Speaker 2: Right. The medical examiner must scientifically rule out every other
- 13:55Speaker 2: conceivable possibility before declaring it a homicide.
- 13:59Speaker 1: Like what?
- 14:00Speaker 2: Did this person trip in the dark and strike their
- 14:02Speaker 2: head on a concrete piling? Did they suffer a massive
- 14:05Speaker 2: medical episode, like a severe seizure, a sudden cardiac event,
- 14:10Speaker 2: or a stroke that caused them to fall violently.
- 14:12Speaker 1: Oh, I see. And compounding that, you're dealing with a
- 14:15Speaker 1: population that often has a myriad of untreated underlying health conditions.
- 14:19Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 14:20Speaker 1: The lack of access to consistent medical care means comorbidities
- 14:23Speaker 1: are incredibly common.
- 14:25Speaker 2: And the forensic pathologist has to account for all of
- 14:27Speaker 2: those comorbidities during the autopsy.
- 14:30Speaker 1: That sounds exhausting.
- 14:31Speaker 2: It is. They are examining the brain for hemorrhage patterns
- 14:35Speaker 2: to determine the sequence of events.
- 14:38Speaker 1: What are they looking for?
- 14:39Speaker 2: For instance, they have to distinguish a coup-contra-coup injury.
- 14:43Speaker 1: A what?
- 14:44Speaker 2: A coup-contra-coup injury, which typically occurs when a moving head
- 14:48Speaker 2: strikes a stationary object.
- 14:50Speaker 1: Like falling and hitting the pavement. Right.
- 14:52Speaker 2: They have to distinguish that from a localized depressed skull fracture.
- 14:55Speaker 1: Okay, and what does that mean?
- 14:57Speaker 2: That is indicative of the kinetic energy from a moving weapon,
- 15:01Speaker 2: like a bat or a pipe striking a stationary head.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Oh, so they have to literally map the fracture patterns
- 15:08Speaker 1: on the skull to prove a weapon was used.
- 15:10Speaker 2: Yes.
- 15:10Speaker 1: Even if the weapon is gone.
- 15:12Speaker 2: And that biomechanical analysis takes significant time. Furthermore, the medical
- 15:17Speaker 2: examiner is mandated to run exhaustive toxicology screens.
- 15:22Speaker 1: To see if they were under the influence.
- 15:24Speaker 2: Yes. They have to determine if alcohol, narcotics, or synthetic
- 15:28Speaker 2: substances played a role in a potential accidental fall or
- 15:32Speaker 2: a medical event.
- 15:33Speaker 1: And those tests aren't?
- 15:35Speaker 2: Instant. Not at all. Depending on the backlog at the
- 15:38Speaker 2: state or county crime lab, those specific panel results can
- 15:41Speaker 2: take six to eight weeks to process.
- 15:44Speaker 1: So that forensic bottleneck completely shackles the police department.
- 15:47Speaker 2: Completely.
- 15:48Speaker 1: Because detectives are bound by the law, you cannot legally
- 15:51Speaker 1: assign massive department resources or secure wiretaps or pull vast
- 15:55Speaker 1: amounts of digital surveillance data for a homicide investigation if
- 15:59Speaker 1: you don't legally have a murder on the books.
- 16:01Speaker 2: No, you can't. Until the medical examiner officially signs that
- 16:05Speaker 2: paperwork and rules it a homicide, it is technically just
- 16:08Speaker 2: a suspicious death investigation.
- 16:10Speaker 1: Which means during those two months of waiting for the
- 16:13Speaker 1: toxicology and the fracture analysis on Robert Smith, the killer
- 16:17Speaker 1: was potentially still operating. And the police hands were procedurally
- 16:21Speaker 1: tied by the speed of the science.
- 16:23Speaker 2: It's tragic, but the speed of the laboratory rarely matches
- 16:26Speaker 2: the speed of the street.
- 16:28Speaker 1: But eventually the science catches up. The homicides are confirmed.
- 16:32Speaker 1: And the police do make a major move.
- 16:34Speaker 2: They do.
- 16:35Speaker 1: They arrest Edward Joseph Smith in connection with the stabbing
- 16:38Speaker 1: of the 22-year-old Daniel Lusk. He is arraigned on September
- 16:42Speaker 1: 3rd and charged with open murder.
- 16:45Speaker 2: Okay.
- 16:46Speaker 1: Now, historically, when a city is terrified of a predator
- 16:49Speaker 1: in the parks and the police finally parade a suspect
- 16:52Speaker 1: in front of the cameras, it's designed to be this
- 16:54Speaker 1: moment of massive public relief.
- 16:56Speaker 2: Like a huge sigh of relief for the whole town. Exactly.
- 17:00Speaker 1: The inherent narrative is, we got him. The parks are safe.
- 17:03Speaker 1: But Chief Backus doesn't do that.
- 17:05Speaker 2: No, he doesn't.
- 17:06Speaker 1: He actually issues a stark warning.
- 17:08Speaker 2: He fundamentally disrupts the expectation of a neatly closed case.
- 17:12Speaker 1: Here's where it gets really interesting. The press obviously zeroes
- 17:16Speaker 1: in on the single suspect.
- 17:18Speaker 2: Because that's what they do.
- 17:19Speaker 1: Yeah. They ask Chief Backus if Edward Joseph Smith is
- 17:22Speaker 1: the suspect for all five of these incidents. And Backus
- 17:25Speaker 1: urges extreme caution.
- 17:27Speaker 2: He was very deliberate about that.
- 17:28Speaker 1: He explicitly warns against using a suspect's name to retrofit
- 17:32Speaker 1: evidence just to make it fit a convenient theory.
- 17:34Speaker 2: Which is so important.
- 17:35Speaker 1: He states that doing so leads to inappropriate charges, misidentification,
- 17:39Speaker 1: and what he calls very big problems. Yeah.
- 17:42Speaker 2: If we connect this to the bigger picture, what Chief
- 17:45Speaker 2: Backus is publicly guarding against is a systemic cognitive trap
- 17:50Speaker 2: known as confirmation bias.
- 17:52Speaker 1: Confirmation bias. Yes.
- 17:54Speaker 2: And in high-stakes law enforcement, confirmation bias is incredibly destructive.
- 17:59Speaker 1: I mean, the pressure on these detectives must be unimaginable.
- 18:02Speaker 1: You have a terrified public, a ravenous local media, and
- 18:06Speaker 1: city officials demanding that the river trail be declared safe
- 18:09Speaker 1: for commerce and recreation.
- 18:11Speaker 2: The pressure is crushing. And under that immense crushing pressure,
- 18:15Speaker 2: the psychological temptation to look at the one man you
- 18:18Speaker 2: already have sitting in a county jail cell.
- 18:20Speaker 1: Edward Joseph Smith. Right.
- 18:22Speaker 2: To look at him and pin every unresolved, geographically similar
- 18:26Speaker 2: crime on him is profound.
- 18:27Speaker 1: Because it would just solve everything so neatly.
- 18:30Speaker 2: Exactly. If investigators succumb to that bias, they start looking
- 18:34Speaker 2: at the blunt force trauma cases exclusively through the lens
- 18:37Speaker 2: of Smith's guilt.
- 18:38Speaker 1: They start forcing the pieces to fit.
- 18:40Speaker 2: Yes. It's like finding one puzzle piece that fits the
- 18:43Speaker 2: edge of the board and then using a hammer to
- 18:46Speaker 2: smash that same piece into the center of the board
- 18:48Speaker 2: just because it has the same colors.
- 18:50Speaker 1: Oh, that's a perfect analogy.
- 18:51Speaker 2: They will unconsciously discard or minimize forensic evidence that points
- 18:55Speaker 2: away from him.
- 18:55Speaker 1: Right.
- 18:56Speaker 2: And they will artificially magnify any circumstantial detail that might
- 19:00Speaker 2: possibly link him to the other scenes.
- 19:02Speaker 1: But Backus is drawing a hard line in the sand.
- 19:04Speaker 2: He really is. By publicly stating that they cannot assume
- 19:07Speaker 2: Smith is the perpetrator for the blunt force attacks, he
- 19:10Speaker 2: is actively preserving the integrity of the broader investigation.
- 19:13Speaker 1: Because the cost of getting it wrong here isn't just
- 19:15Speaker 1: a lost court case.
- 19:16Speaker 2: Not at all.
- 19:17Speaker 1: The collateral damage is unthinkable. If Edward Joseph Smith is
- 19:21Speaker 1: only responsible for the stabbing of Daniel Lusk, and he
- 19:23Speaker 1: has absolutely nothing to do with the blunt force traumas
- 19:26Speaker 1: inflicted on the other men.
- 19:27Speaker 2: Then you have a huge problem.
- 19:28Speaker 1: Prematurely pinning those crimes on him does two catastrophic things. First,
- 19:32Speaker 1: it ruins the prosecution's credibility.
- 19:34Speaker 2: Right.
- 19:34Speaker 1: But more importantly, it means the real serial tiller, the
- 19:38Speaker 1: individual actively targeting sleeping men with blunt force, remains completely free, unmonitored,
- 19:44Speaker 1: and confident on the river trail.
- 19:46Speaker 2: Law enforcement would essentially be granting the real killer functional
- 19:50Speaker 2: immunity by locking up the wrong man for those specific crimes.
- 19:54Speaker 1: That's terrifying.
- 19:55Speaker 2: It is. The source material briefly notes a headline regarding
- 19:59Speaker 2: the Gilgo Beach murders and the suspect, Rex Heuermann.
- 20:02Speaker 1: Right, in New York. Yeah.
- 20:04Speaker 2: Now, we aren't analyzing the specifics of that case today,
- 20:07Speaker 2: But it serves as a macro-level example of this exact
- 20:11Speaker 2: investigative philosophy.
- 20:13Speaker 1: How so?
- 20:14Speaker 2: Well, unraveling true serial patterns, untangling overlapping M.O.s, and ensuring
- 20:19Speaker 2: you have the correct forensic link for every specific victim.
- 20:23Speaker 1: It takes time.
- 20:24Speaker 2: It often requires years of agonizingly slow, unrushed evidence gathering.
- 20:30Speaker 1: Just to make sure it's undeniably the right person.
- 20:32Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 20:34Speaker 1: So Chief Backus is basically telling the city of Lansing...
- 20:37Speaker 1: Justice requires patience, and we will not sacrifice accuracy for
- 20:41Speaker 1: the sake of speed.
- 20:42Speaker 2: Which is brave, honestly.
- 20:44Speaker 1: It is, but that creates an incredibly difficult reality for
- 20:47Speaker 1: the community right now.
- 20:48Speaker 2: It means the threat vector is officially still active.
- 20:51Speaker 1: So what does this all mean for the people utilizing
- 20:54Speaker 1: the public spaces in Lansing today?
- 20:56Speaker 2: That's the big question.
- 20:57Speaker 1: How does a city respond to an ongoing shadow on
- 21:00Speaker 1: its trail system while the police are methodically building their case?
- 21:04Speaker 2: It requires an immediate pivot toward public safety infrastructure.
- 21:07Speaker 1: Okay.
- 21:08Speaker 2: Which leads us directly into the incredibly complex debate over
- 21:11Speaker 2: urban surveillance.
- 21:12Speaker 1: Chief Backus mentioned that they have established a specific tip
- 21:15Speaker 1: line dedicated entirely to river trail assaults. Right. But he
- 21:19Speaker 1: also waded into the infrastructure debate. He stated that surveillance
- 21:22Speaker 1: is a hot topic in the city right now, and
- 21:24Speaker 1: he explicitly called for more cameras.
- 21:27Speaker 2: He did.
- 21:27Speaker 1: He firmly believes that an increased surveillance network would help
- 21:30Speaker 1: law enforcement in this specific scenario.
- 21:32Speaker 2: Well, this raises an important question, and it forces us
- 21:36Speaker 2: to navigate the deep tension between privacy, security, and the
- 21:39Speaker 2: harsh realities of urban geography.
- 21:42Speaker 1: It's a tough balance. If you live in a city
- 21:44Speaker 1: with river trails and parks, how do you balance the
- 21:46Speaker 1: desire for natural, unmonitored spaces with the need for safety?
- 21:51Speaker 2: Exactly. We have to analyze why the unhoused population is
- 21:55Speaker 2: utilizing the Lansing River Trail as a sleeping ground in
- 21:57Speaker 2: the first place.
- 21:58Speaker 1: Well, they aren't there for the scenic views.
- 22:00Speaker 2: No.
- 22:00Speaker 1: They are there for the seclusion. It's away from the
- 22:03Speaker 1: storefront cameras, the traffic lights, the constant monitoring of downtown
- 22:06Speaker 1: business districts. Right. It offers a fragile layer of privacy
- 22:10Speaker 1: for individuals who have nowhere else to exist.
- 22:13Speaker 2: It is a geographic paradox known in urban planning as displacement.
- 22:17Speaker 1: Displacement. Yeah.
- 22:19Speaker 2: If the city's reaction to these tragic murders is to
- 22:22Speaker 2: blanket the river trail with high-definition cameras, floodlights, and increased patrols,
- 22:27Speaker 2: they aren't necessarily solving the underlying vulnerability of the unhoused population.
- 22:31Speaker 1: What are they doing then?
- 22:33Speaker 2: They are simply stripping away the last remaining shred of
- 22:35Speaker 2: seclusion these individuals have.
- 22:37Speaker 1: Oh. And when you increase surveillance in one marginalized area,
- 22:41Speaker 1: you don't magically house the population. You just push them
- 22:44Speaker 1: out of the frame.
- 22:45Speaker 2: You displace them. You push the unhoused population deeper into
- 22:48Speaker 2: the woods, into abandoned industrial sectors, or into even darker,
- 22:53Speaker 2: more isolated areas where the cameras cannot reach.
- 22:55Speaker 1: And if they are pushed into those extreme margins... They
- 22:58Speaker 1: become even harder for emergency medical services to locate if
- 23:01Speaker 1: they are attacked.
- 23:02Speaker 2: Exactly. It is a logistical and moral catch-22 for city
- 23:06Speaker 2: planners and the police department.
- 23:08Speaker 1: Because they need the cameras to catch the guy.
- 23:11Speaker 2: They desperately need the camera footage to catch a killer.
- 23:13Speaker 2: But installing that infrastructure might inadvertently make the most vulnerable
- 23:16Speaker 2: people even less safe by forcing them further off the grid.
- 23:21Speaker 1: It is a staggering reality to process.
- 23:23Speaker 2: It really is.
- 23:24Speaker 1: For you listening, we've covered immense ground today. We've mapped
- 23:27Speaker 1: out a timeline that evolved from a single, isolated tragedy
- 23:31Speaker 1: into a dense, high-velocity cluster of violence.
- 23:35Speaker 2: The whole summer of 2026.
- 23:36Speaker 1: Right. We've explored the agonizingly slow, complex biomechanics of forensic
- 23:42Speaker 1: science that dictate the pace of justice.
- 23:44Speaker 2: Those two-month delays.
- 23:45Speaker 1: Yeah. We've examined the profound ethical restraint of Chief Backus
- 23:49Speaker 1: refusing to bow to confirmation bias.
- 23:51Speaker 2: Which could save the whole case.
- 23:53Speaker 1: And we've looked at the heartbreaking geographic paradox of trying
- 23:56Speaker 1: to protect a population that relies on the shadows just
- 24:00Speaker 1: to survive.
- 24:01Speaker 2: This case forces us to dismantle our preconceived notions about crime, safety,
- 24:06Speaker 2: and who is truly at risk in the urban ecosystem.
- 24:08Speaker 1: It really flips the script.
- 24:10Speaker 2: It does. We so often view the unhoused as individuals
- 24:13Speaker 2: who have simply slipped through the cracks of our civic infrastructure.
- 24:16Speaker 1: Yeah, as a systemic failure.
- 24:18Speaker 2: Right. We view them as passive victims of economic or
- 24:21Speaker 2: systemic failure. But the chilling reality of the Lansing River
- 24:24Speaker 2: Trail investigation reveals a much darker dynamic.
- 24:27Speaker 1: What do you mean?
- 24:29Speaker 2: What if someone isn't just casually watching them slip through
- 24:31Speaker 2: those cracks? What if a predator is actively, intentionally waiting
- 24:35Speaker 2: for them at the bottom? Oh, wow.
- 24:38Speaker 1: It fundamentally changes how you view those shadows.
- 24:41Speaker 2: It does. The most marginalized among us are being methodically
- 24:44Speaker 2: targeted in the dark. It forces us to ask a
- 24:47Speaker 2: deeply uncomfortable question about our own civic awareness.
- 24:51Speaker 1: Does our societal lack of attention to these spaces make
- 24:55Speaker 1: us implicitly complicit?
- 24:57Speaker 2: Exactly. Or conversely, does our knee-jerk reaction to simply increased
- 25:02Speaker 2: surveillance force them even further into the dangerous margins where
- 25:06Speaker 2: predators thrive unchecked?
- 25:08Speaker 1: It's an investigative landscape where every potential solution seems to
- 25:11Speaker 1: create a new vulnerability.
- 25:13Speaker 2: It really is.
- 25:14Speaker 1: Thank you for joining us on this deep dive into
- 25:16Speaker 1: the source material. We strongly encourage you to keep a
- 25:19Speaker 1: close eye on the news out of Michigan. as this
- 25:22Speaker 1: highly active, incredibly complex investigation continues to unfold.
- 25:26Speaker 2: Yeah, stay tuned to the updates.
- 25:28Speaker 1: Stay curious, stay informed, and we'll catch you on the
- 25:31Speaker 1: next one.