Latest / The Mwango Capital Podcast / The Dangote Refinery IPO—How Can E. Africans Invest
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_02: Welcome to the space and thank you for making time to join us.
- 0:03SPEAKER_02: We're having an exciting conversation that has sparked quite a bit of conversation
- 0:08SPEAKER_02: in Kenya's investment circle.
- 0:11SPEAKER_02: We are talking about the Dangote Refinery IPO and more specifically,
- 0:16SPEAKER_02: how can East Africans invest in this?
- 0:19SPEAKER_02: So if you've been following the conversation,
- 0:21SPEAKER_02: I'm sure you've probably come across terms like global depository receipts,
- 0:26SPEAKER_02: cross-border investing, underlying shares, currency exposure.
- 0:31SPEAKER_02: And I'm sure you've seen a number of jokes in me.
- 0:34SPEAKER_02: Flying around with everybody saying that they're looking to be shareholders
- 0:38SPEAKER_02: and invest in Dagoche's company.
- 0:40SPEAKER_02: So today we're looking to unpack all of this,
- 0:43SPEAKER_02: especially if you're wondering what does this mean for me as an investor.
- 0:48SPEAKER_02: So we're going beyond the headlines and we're looking at what it means
- 0:52SPEAKER_02: to have access to a major Nigerian industrial company
- 0:56SPEAKER_02: through Kenya's capital market.
- 0:58SPEAKER_02: And some of the important questions we will be asking today is what exactly is a GDR?
- 1:03SPEAKER_02: What are you buying?
- 1:04SPEAKER_02: How does this offer work?
- 1:06SPEAKER_02: What is the cost of participation?
- 1:08SPEAKER_02: And for you as an investor, what rights and protections do you have?
- 1:13SPEAKER_02: And also,
- 1:14SPEAKER_02: just zooming out a little bit,
- 1:16SPEAKER_02: we are looking at,
- 1:17SPEAKER_02: could this be a step toward making it easier for Africans to invest
- 1:22SPEAKER_02: across African markets?
- 1:24SPEAKER_02: And more specifically, or even more locally, what does this mean strategically?
- 1:28SPEAKER_02: And to help us unpack and make sense of all of this, we are joined by two lovely natives.
- 1:46SPEAKER_02: Kazemiwarui,
- 1:46SPEAKER_02: who is the head of investment banking,
- 1:49SPEAKER_02: as well as Divine Onumese, who is a research analyst at Renaissance Capital Africa.
- 1:56SPEAKER_02: What you can expect us to talk about is...
- 1:59SPEAKER_02: A deep dive into the Dangote Refinery IPO.
- 2:02SPEAKER_02: And we're focusing on how East African investors can participate
- 2:06SPEAKER_02: through global depository receipts, which you'll hear us commonly refer to as GDRs.
- 2:13SPEAKER_02: So when looking at how do these GDRs work, what is the investment process?
- 2:18SPEAKER_02: What is the offer structure?
- 2:20SPEAKER_02: What does the pricing look like both here in Kenya and Nigeria?
- 2:24SPEAKER_02: And what are investor rights?
- 2:26SPEAKER_02: Associated costs and risks,
- 2:28SPEAKER_02: and also largely the opportunities for cross-border investment in African capital.
- 2:34SPEAKER_02: Thank you very much for joining us.
- 2:35SPEAKER_02: At this juncture,
- 2:36SPEAKER_02: I will let our speakers of the day introduce themselves, starting with you, Karimi.
- 2:41SPEAKER_02: We're delighted to have you here.
- 2:43SPEAKER_02: Please tell us about yourself and let's get the conversation started.
- 2:48SPEAKER_00: Thank you, Nicole.
- 2:49SPEAKER_00: My name is Karimi Warui.
- 2:51SPEAKER_00: I head investment banking at Renethan's Capital.
- 2:54SPEAKER_00: Mainly in the East African and Central African region.
- 2:57SPEAKER_00: Uranus Capital has been around in the Kenyan markets since 2007.
- 3:01SPEAKER_00: So we've been around for a while.
- 3:03SPEAKER_00: I've been involved in most of the regional capital markets transaction.
- 3:07SPEAKER_00: And therefore we've been able to really participate.
- 3:10SPEAKER_00: Personally, I've been in the investment banking space for about 17 years now.
- 3:15SPEAKER_00: Been part of some very exciting transactions in my career.
- 3:19SPEAKER_00: I led the Safaricom IPO.
- 3:21SPEAKER_00: I led the first reverse takeover in Eastern Central Africa,
- 3:24SPEAKER_00: which was the I&M,
- 3:25SPEAKER_00: which led to the I&M holdings listing and a couple of others,
- 3:29SPEAKER_00: bonds across the region, the first WHO certified IPO in Uganda.
- 3:35SPEAKER_00: So it's an exciting time to always see new instruments and new transactions coming
- 3:39SPEAKER_00: to the market.
- 3:40SPEAKER_00: So thank you for taking your time to join us as we look to unpack IPO and the GGR specifically.
- 3:46SPEAKER_00: Thank you, Nicole.
- 3:47SPEAKER_02: Divine, over to you.
- 3:49SPEAKER_02: Please tell us about yourself and what you do at Renaissance Capital.
- 3:54SPEAKER_01: Thank you, Nicole.
- 3:55SPEAKER_01: My name is Divine Ulumesi.
- 3:58SPEAKER_01: I am from Renaissance Capital, Africa, Lagos, Nigeria.
- 4:04SPEAKER_01: And I currently cover the oil and gas sector.
- 4:08SPEAKER_01: And within my coverage companies, Settlard, Aradel, Uwando, and now Dangote Refinery.
- 4:15SPEAKER_01: I've been doing this for about three years.
- 4:18SPEAKER_01: Thank you.
- 4:19SPEAKER_02: Thank you, Divine.
- 4:20SPEAKER_02: Now, Karimi,
- 4:22SPEAKER_02: kindly tell us about the firm's involvement in bringing
- 4:26SPEAKER_02: the Dangote Refinery GDR offer to the Kenyan markets.
- 4:30SPEAKER_00: If we remember when Dangote started speaking about doing the African IPO,
- 4:35SPEAKER_00: I think first off to begin that this whole discussion and the offer is specifically
- 4:39SPEAKER_00: on the Nigerian refinery.
- 4:41SPEAKER_00: So this does not touch on the Lamu refinery that is set
- 4:45SPEAKER_00: for discussion later once it's up and running an operation.
- 4:49SPEAKER_00: So if we take a step back,
- 4:51SPEAKER_00: I think he had been discussing about this for about a year and he had really wanted
- 4:55SPEAKER_00: to see the IPU happening in at least 10 African countries.
- 4:59SPEAKER_00: We had hosted him at the NSC and one of the things that he said was the reason
- 5:05SPEAKER_00: or why he really wanted to do this is because almost all his companies that are
- 5:09SPEAKER_00: under the group are listed somewhere or other.
- 5:12SPEAKER_00: And he has seen how much it has helped people grow.
- 5:16SPEAKER_00: More importantly, it's to be able to bring solutions to Africa for Africa itself.
- 5:21SPEAKER_00: When you think about us having to export our crude oil and then only for us to have
- 5:26SPEAKER_00: to import at much higher prices,
- 5:28SPEAKER_00: it's only fair that if we are able to mine some of it,
- 5:31SPEAKER_00: that we're able to refine it here and get it at much friendlier prices.
- 5:36SPEAKER_00: So that is the motivation behind this.
- 5:38SPEAKER_00: And at that time, the company was then considering being at least 10 African countries.
- 5:45SPEAKER_00: Obviously, until the rubber meets the road, some of these things are never tested.
- 5:50SPEAKER_00: And when you hit the road,
- 5:51SPEAKER_00: if you pick the top 10 countries in Africa,
- 5:55SPEAKER_00: we are talking about 10 different jurisdictions.
- 5:58SPEAKER_00: We're talking about at least 20 minimum regulators.
- 6:01SPEAKER_00: So one being like the equivalent of the CMA and then one being the exchange.
- 6:06SPEAKER_00: In some cases, it may involve a central bank.
- 6:09SPEAKER_00: So it just became really onerous for the company as itself to do one IPO and
- 6:14SPEAKER_00: then cross-listing all the countries it was intending.
- 6:17SPEAKER_00: And Dangote requested that if any of the countries or regions can find A way
- 6:22SPEAKER_00: to make this IPO available to the people or investors within that region,
- 6:26SPEAKER_00: they'll be more than happy to support it.
- 6:29SPEAKER_00: And so that's where the discussion we started.
- 6:32SPEAKER_00: And we had very close discussions through Renaissance Capital Africa in Lagoon.
- 6:39SPEAKER_00: Very good relations with Dangote themselves as a company,
- 6:43SPEAKER_00: as well as we had been speaking to the NAC here to see how we can bring this
- 6:48SPEAKER_00: into being.
- 6:49SPEAKER_00: And we've had the GDR,
- 6:51SPEAKER_00: the Global Depository Receipts Policy Guidance Notes that have been issued by
- 6:56SPEAKER_00: the CMA since 2017, but we have never had a GDR.
- 7:01SPEAKER_00: And so it was, I believe, something that was not automatic or many people did not think of it.
- 7:07SPEAKER_00: But we talked to the company and to the NFE and to CMA and the SEC about this.
- 7:13SPEAKER_00: And we had first the company buy-in.
- 7:15SPEAKER_00: Once we had the company buy-in,
- 7:16SPEAKER_00: we got the Nigerian regulatory buy-in and then got the Kenyan regulatory buy-in.
- 7:22SPEAKER_00: So that's partly the reason why also by the time this went to market,
- 7:27SPEAKER_00: it had eaten up about one and a half, almost two weeks of the IPO off a period.
- 7:32SPEAKER_00: But it's been quite intense.
- 7:34SPEAKER_00: We've had to learn everything from the ground up,
- 7:37SPEAKER_00: including the regulators,
- 7:38SPEAKER_00: because remember,
- 7:39SPEAKER_00: The issue of policy guidance goes,
- 7:41SPEAKER_00: it can only be tested when you have an actual transaction.
- 7:44SPEAKER_00: And so with the success of these GDRs,
- 7:46SPEAKER_00: which we believe we'll have, this becomes the first inward GDR in Africa.
- 7:53SPEAKER_00: We have other GDRs out of Ghana,
- 7:55SPEAKER_00: Nigeria, Egypt, Jobag,
- 7:58SPEAKER_00: but most of these are outer GDRs that go out to other markets and most
- 8:02SPEAKER_00: of those GDRs are listed in Europe.
- 8:05SPEAKER_00: But this is the first inward GDRs.
- 8:08SPEAKER_00: And within the African continent,
- 8:10SPEAKER_00: no, that could be wrong because I believe there is from Nigeria to Joe Bag as well.
- 8:15SPEAKER_00: So it's been quite a learning experience for all of us.
- 8:19SPEAKER_00: It's been quite exciting.
- 8:20SPEAKER_00: I really have to commend our CMA and NFE for getting us through to this point.
- 8:25SPEAKER_00: We believe is the best solutions for investors who are interested.
- 8:30SPEAKER_00: And therefore we strongly stand behind this program.
- 8:33SPEAKER_02: There's a word that you've mentioned there and I really want us to define what exactly it is.
- 8:38SPEAKER_02: You've been saying GDR, a global depository receipt.
- 8:43SPEAKER_02: So please kindly explain to us what a GDR is and how it works.
- 8:48SPEAKER_00: A GDR is a listed security that represents underlying share of a foreign company.
- 8:55SPEAKER_00: So for example, in this case, the GDRs in Kenya are going to represent the underlying shares.
- 9:02SPEAKER_00: It's almost like a I'm speaking to an investment forum,
- 9:05SPEAKER_00: so most of us understand when I say it is a derivative, so an equity, a share.
- 9:11SPEAKER_00: So because the IPO in its form as an IPO is not approved or even applied for
- 9:17SPEAKER_00: in Kenya, the GDR is what represents those shares.
- 9:21SPEAKER_00: So in this particular case, we have one global depository receipt.
- 9:25SPEAKER_00: In the case of equity, if it's against a bond, it's called a global depository note.
- 9:31SPEAKER_00: So this receipt is issued, one receipt will be issued against one underlying share.
- 9:36SPEAKER_00: So the shares will be allotted and held in a custodial account in Nigeria.
- 9:42SPEAKER_00: And then against those shares, we will issue one GDR for every one share held.
- 9:48SPEAKER_00: So for example,
- 9:49SPEAKER_00: you apply and let's say you get allotment for 1,000 shares,
- 9:53SPEAKER_00: in which case it means you will then have 1,000 GDRs in Kenya.
- 9:58SPEAKER_00: And those GDRs will then be Held in your CDS account and you'll be able to trade
- 10:03SPEAKER_00: on them as you would in any other normal security.
- 10:07SPEAKER_02: The GDR program targets 39 billion ten years shilling with each GDR price that is
- 10:14SPEAKER_02: to three shillings at 50 cents and representing one underlying share.
- 10:19SPEAKER_02: So as you've mentioned, one for one.
- 10:22SPEAKER_02: What can you walk us through?
- 10:23SPEAKER_02: How was this price determined?
- 10:26SPEAKER_00: Thank you, Nicole,
- 10:26SPEAKER_00: for that question,
- 10:27SPEAKER_00: because I have seen a lot of information that has gone through the media.
- 10:32SPEAKER_00: And sometimes,
- 10:33SPEAKER_00: especially when it goes into people,
- 10:36SPEAKER_00: blogs and vlogs in ETC, you can't catch everyone.
- 10:40SPEAKER_00: So one share in Nigeria is going for 525 naira.
- 10:44SPEAKER_00: When you convert one for one for that naira for 525,
- 10:47SPEAKER_00: that comes to around 51 shillings and 60 cents.
- 10:56SPEAKER_00: So the difference between buying the share directly in Nigeria and
- 11:01SPEAKER_00: the share here is roughly about two shillings.
- 11:04SPEAKER_00: Now, how does these two shillings arrived at?
- 11:07SPEAKER_00: These two shillings was arrived at to make sure that the platform can pay
- 11:12SPEAKER_00: and be supported by the required party as per regulation.
- 11:17SPEAKER_00: So these two shillings per share is ensuring that we have a custodian in Nigeria, we have a
- 11:26SPEAKER_00: Brokerage account in Nigeria.
- 11:28SPEAKER_00: In Kenya, everyone can use their normal brokers.
- 11:31SPEAKER_00: That we have a registrar who's able to hold a register of the GDRs.
- 11:35SPEAKER_00: That we also have a legal firm that can confirm
- 11:40SPEAKER_00: that everything that's being done is legal and correct.
- 11:44SPEAKER_00: Then in addition to all those costs, we have PR, marketing.
- 11:48SPEAKER_00: Part of that cost is also to ensure that we're able to inform people Investors
- 11:54SPEAKER_00: of any changes that happen,
- 11:55SPEAKER_00: whenever you lease a share, there's always regulatory costs.
- 11:59SPEAKER_00: So those costs to the CMA, to the NSE, to the CDSE are all included in that two shilling.
- 12:06SPEAKER_00: Now, beyond that,
- 12:08SPEAKER_00: what Rencap did is I had a lot of discussions with banks and we were able to
- 12:13SPEAKER_00: then take a call on where we see the Fx difference coming in December,
- 12:19SPEAKER_00: at which time we expect to be listing the GDRs.
- 12:23SPEAKER_00: And so then Rencap has taken a risk on that to hedge part of that risk,
- 12:28SPEAKER_00: Fx risk,
- 12:29SPEAKER_00: so that the price that the investor sees today is the price that the investor has.
- 12:34SPEAKER_00: It's a final price.
- 12:36SPEAKER_00: And that is the price that will be on the NSE, on the date of listing.
- 12:41SPEAKER_00: Now, obviously, once we list, that takes a life of its own.
- 12:44SPEAKER_00: But this was to ensure that there is no additional cost to investors.
- 12:48SPEAKER_00: Oh, and this also, that same cost also then gets to pay all the placement agents too.
- 12:54SPEAKER_00: All the brokers and all the investment banks that participate
- 12:57SPEAKER_00: in placing this will be paid out of this.
- 13:00SPEAKER_00: So I think two shillings for what an investor is getting,
- 13:04SPEAKER_00: I think that's a fair premium,
- 13:06SPEAKER_00: especially because if you had to do this on your own,
- 13:10SPEAKER_00: I think it would cost you a lot more than two shillings more per share.
- 13:13SPEAKER_02: Now let's get practical.
- 13:15SPEAKER_02: I know a lot of our listeners are wondering, how do I invest?
- 13:19SPEAKER_02: So suppose I'm a Kenyan investor with a thousand bob and I want to participate in the offer.
- 13:24SPEAKER_02: What exactly do I need to do?
- 13:26SPEAKER_02: Walk us through the process from opening a CDSP account to applying,
- 13:32SPEAKER_02: making payment, receiving the GDRs.
- 13:35SPEAKER_02: And also in this, please tell us what are the minimum investment requirements.
- 13:40SPEAKER_00: Thank you, Nicole.
- 13:41SPEAKER_00: So the minimum investment requirements as of now is 535 shillings.
- 13:46SPEAKER_00: That's for a minimum of 10 GDRs.
- 13:49SPEAKER_00: And with that, there are two avenues to invest.
- 13:52SPEAKER_00: So you can choose to invest through your regular broker
- 13:56SPEAKER_00: or your regular investment bank,
- 13:59SPEAKER_00: or you can choose to invest through the ZD platform, the ZD Trader platform.
- 14:03SPEAKER_00: So the GGRs are available on the ZD Trader platform.
- 14:06SPEAKER_00: If you do invest on the ZD Trader platform, you do not need to open a CDF account.
- 14:11SPEAKER_00: And that will,
- 14:12SPEAKER_00: the back end of it,
- 14:13SPEAKER_00: we will ensure that at the end of the day,
- 14:15SPEAKER_00: together with the ZD team,
- 14:17SPEAKER_00: that every investor who's applied through that platform gets what they got allotted
- 14:21SPEAKER_00: for.
- 14:22SPEAKER_00: If you invest in the regular way,
- 14:24SPEAKER_00: so we have a portal, which we can share the link at the end of this conversation.
- 14:29SPEAKER_00: We have a portal and once you log on,
- 14:31SPEAKER_00: that portal will give you everything and any information you require.
- 14:35SPEAKER_00: You'll find the GDR IMs plus the two supplemental IMs,
- 14:40SPEAKER_00: which were issued to show the decrease in the minimum and also to show
- 14:44SPEAKER_00: the offer extension.
- 14:46SPEAKER_00: It then also links to the underlying IPO IM.
- 14:50SPEAKER_00: It links into the Dangote IPO site,
- 14:53SPEAKER_00: which then also allows you just to see what's happening in that market.
- 14:57SPEAKER_00: It also has a set of FAQs.
- 14:59SPEAKER_00: From what we got in feedback from market, we keep updating that on the portal.
- 15:04SPEAKER_00: Now, the beauty with the portal is once you choose to invest,
- 15:08SPEAKER_00: if you don't have a CDS account, you can apply for it online.
- 15:11SPEAKER_00: You just need to provide the details,
- 15:13SPEAKER_00: upload your ID KYC requirements and choose who you'd like to be your broker.
- 15:19SPEAKER_00: And that will be linked in the backend.
- 15:21SPEAKER_00: And then after,
- 15:22SPEAKER_00: I believe within a day,
- 15:23SPEAKER_00: you should be able to complete the application once the account is open.
- 15:28SPEAKER_00: If you already have an existing CDS account,
- 15:30SPEAKER_00: you just need to log on the same portal, put in your CDS account.
- 15:33SPEAKER_00: It will populate your information,
- 15:35SPEAKER_00: put in how much you want and click to show that you're making payment.
- 15:39SPEAKER_00: Choose your mode of payment.
- 15:40SPEAKER_00: If you're making M-Pesa, it'll give you the details of how to make that.
- 15:44SPEAKER_00: If you choose to do a bank transfer, it'll give you the details of how to do that as well.
- 15:49SPEAKER_00: And so once you click that you have submitted,
- 15:53SPEAKER_00: then all your information is submitted to the registrar directly with a copy
- 15:57SPEAKER_00: to your broker so that your broker is aware of who has paid under their name.
- 16:03SPEAKER_00: And the beauty is it's an e-offer.
- 16:06SPEAKER_00: And so the portal is open 24-7.
- 16:08SPEAKER_00: It's not like days of Safari come when you know it's only working hours.
- 16:12SPEAKER_00: So anytime you have some extra time, you're able to log on to the portal.
- 16:17SPEAKER_00: We have also set up a call center,
- 16:20SPEAKER_00: but I believe this call center runs until about 8 p.m.
- 16:23SPEAKER_00: that you can call if you need assistance and or you can send an email to
- 16:28SPEAKER_00: the call center that they're able to respond to you if you have any queries.
- 16:32SPEAKER_00: So I think we're trying to be quite agile.
- 16:36SPEAKER_00: Today's the one edge.
- 16:37SPEAKER_00: We need to support the tech that's there.
- 16:41SPEAKER_02: Divine, this is for you.
- 16:43SPEAKER_02: So beyond the GDR structure, let's talk about the underlying business.
- 16:48SPEAKER_02: What did prospective investors understand about Dangote's refineries operation and
- 16:55SPEAKER_02: the position within Nigeria's downstream industry and
- 16:59SPEAKER_02: the wider African energy market?
- 17:02SPEAKER_01: The simplest way to understand Tanguti Refinery is it's a very large
- 17:08SPEAKER_01: and modern plant that is sitting in the right place to process Nigeria's crude into
- 17:15SPEAKER_01: the folds that the market actually buys.
- 17:18SPEAKER_01: And it's designed to run at about 700,000 barrels per day.
- 17:23SPEAKER_01: And with an announcing complexity index of 11.5,
- 17:28SPEAKER_01: which means that it's able to turn every barrel of crude into high value products.
- 17:35SPEAKER_01: In terms of position in Nigeria, Nigeria is one of Africa's largest oil producer.
- 17:41SPEAKER_01: And what we've seen is that for decades,
- 17:44SPEAKER_01: we've been exporting crude and also importing most
- 17:48SPEAKER_01: of those unrefined products like diesel.
- 17:51SPEAKER_01: Petrol and jet fuel.
- 17:53SPEAKER_01: So what the refinery does is that it changes that dynamic.
- 17:58SPEAKER_01: Now, so what we've seen at least from 2025 to date is that the refinery has helped
- 18:04SPEAKER_01: to reduce Nigeria's reliance on imported products.
- 18:08SPEAKER_01: And due to the refinery, it's able to meet the needs of Nigeria, domestic needs.
- 18:14SPEAKER_01: And then in terms of pricing,
- 18:16SPEAKER_01: it's actually priced at the import parity,
- 18:18SPEAKER_01: meaning that it's priced at the international benchmark plus a freight and
- 18:22SPEAKER_01: a premium.
- 18:23SPEAKER_01: So what it ends at home is tied to the global prices instead of being priced locally.
- 18:28SPEAKER_01: And then also to mention that according to the company Redo Refinery,
- 18:33SPEAKER_01: In June or July, it was one of the largest suppliers of jet fuel.
- 18:37SPEAKER_01: Basically,
- 18:38SPEAKER_01: the refinery has been positioned to meet the demands of Nigeria and also
- 18:44SPEAKER_01: the excesses are being exported to other African countries.
- 18:48SPEAKER_02: What do the company's recently published operational financial performance
- 18:53SPEAKER_02: and profitability results through?
- 18:55SPEAKER_02: And what indicators should investors examine when they are assessing the performance
- 19:01SPEAKER_02: of Dangote Refinery?
- 19:03SPEAKER_01: From what we've seen, from the numbers that we saw, it's just the financials.
- 19:08SPEAKER_01: In terms of operational numbers,
- 19:11SPEAKER_01: like the utilization rates and the volumes that were produced,
- 19:15SPEAKER_01: we don't have that information yet.
- 19:17SPEAKER_01: So we're waiting for nine months or unaudited numbers to come.
- 19:21SPEAKER_01: But beyond that,
- 19:22SPEAKER_01: like looking at what The numbers that we saw, revenues increased significantly.
- 19:27SPEAKER_01: When you compare it year-on-year from 9 months, 2025 to 2026, there's a huge jump.
- 19:33SPEAKER_01: And then we've also seen EBITDA of around 5.5 billion and also a net income at 4.7 billion.
- 19:40SPEAKER_01: Which, like I said, when you compare it to the previous period, the jump is significant.
- 19:46SPEAKER_01: And just to highlight that 2025 was like a ramp up period, right?
- 19:51SPEAKER_01: The volumes were lower, utilization rates were lower.
- 19:54SPEAKER_01: The jump that we've seen now from the nine months results is as a result of
- 19:59SPEAKER_01: the refinery is now in a steady state.
- 20:01SPEAKER_01: Utilization rates are up.
- 20:03SPEAKER_01: The refinery reported utilization rates as high as 101% during the year.
- 20:08SPEAKER_01: Volumes are improving.
- 20:09SPEAKER_01: And then in terms of what indicators investors should look at is you're looking
- 20:15SPEAKER_01: at margins, right?
- 20:16SPEAKER_01: We also understand that 2021.
- 20:18SPEAKER_01: Beyond the IPO subscription price,
- 20:45SPEAKER_02: What business fundamentals and valuation considerations should investors assess?
- 20:51SPEAKER_01: The offer price tells you what you pay.
- 20:54SPEAKER_01: It doesn't tell you where you're buying.
- 20:56SPEAKER_01: They're just like other things, right?
- 20:58SPEAKER_01: And so the first thing is, what does the business earn to a full cycle?
- 21:02SPEAKER_01: You're not just looking at this year.
- 21:04SPEAKER_01: Like I mentioned, this year has been a non-normal year, right?
- 21:08SPEAKER_01: And so we're looking at 2027, 2028.
- 21:13SPEAKER_01: We expect like some moderation, given that 2026 was very exceptional.
- 21:19SPEAKER_01: And the management already has given guidance for those refining margins
- 21:23SPEAKER_01: that we should expect to see.
- 21:26SPEAKER_01: According to management,
- 21:27SPEAKER_01: in bare case, we should expect margins to be around $22 to $23 per barrel.
- 21:33SPEAKER_01: And then also a thing to look out for also is the expansion part.
- 21:39SPEAKER_01: A lot of cash is going to go into that expansion and the cost is actually around 14 billion.
- 21:45SPEAKER_01: There's going to be a lot of capital expenditures from now to the commissioning of
- 21:51SPEAKER_01: the second phase of the refinery, right?
- 21:54SPEAKER_01: And then also looking at how does the valuation compare?
- 21:58SPEAKER_01: We've tried to compare the refinery to compared and then we've seen that it trades
- 22:04SPEAKER_01: at a premium.
- 22:04SPEAKER_01: It's at a premium to other refineries because it's in lower costs and refinery
- 22:10SPEAKER_01: and also it's newer.
- 22:11SPEAKER_01: All these things are fundamentals that investors should access basically.
- 22:16SPEAKER_02: So what are the key opportunities and business specific risks that are associated
- 22:22SPEAKER_02: with investing in the company?
- 22:24SPEAKER_01: I think the first to be positioning the refinery is at a location where it's at
- 22:31SPEAKER_01: the Atlantic basin, right?
- 22:32SPEAKER_01: So in terms of it able to get crude easily into the refinery and also cost
- 22:38SPEAKER_01: and scale, operating costs are low.
- 22:40SPEAKER_01: Utilization has been high.
- 22:42SPEAKER_01: And then also something to look at the balance sheet,
- 22:46SPEAKER_01: which like we've seen has gone from a net debt to a net cash position
- 22:51SPEAKER_01: in just nine months.
- 22:53SPEAKER_01: And then also the growth part,
- 22:55SPEAKER_01: like I mentioned on phase two,
- 22:57SPEAKER_01: phase two, which we expect to be commissioned by 2030 should double capacity.
- 23:04SPEAKER_01: That doubling, those are the opportunities that are there for investors now.
- 23:08SPEAKER_01: And then in terms of risk,
- 23:10SPEAKER_01: The first thing is margin and the high crux environment that we are in now.
- 23:15SPEAKER_01: It's not exactly easy to predict.
- 23:18SPEAKER_01: We can see that from 2027, we're expecting some more dreads.
- 23:22SPEAKER_01: But what if it happens faster?
- 23:24SPEAKER_01: So those are the risks that are peculiar in the refinery.
- 23:27SPEAKER_01: Basically, in terms of the cracks, the non-normal cracks that we've seen now.
- 23:31SPEAKER_01: So if we see faster than normal,
- 23:34SPEAKER_01: if the cracks normalize faster than we've expected, that poses a risk.
- 23:39SPEAKER_01: And then also there's the execution risk.
- 23:41SPEAKER_01: The plan is to commission the refinery in 2029.
- 23:45SPEAKER_01: And then in our evaluation by BitConservative,
- 23:48SPEAKER_01: we're saying that By 2030,
- 23:50SPEAKER_01: that's when the second phase of the refinery is going to come.
- 23:53SPEAKER_01: But what if that doesn't happen?
- 23:55SPEAKER_01: What if there are delays and then some other things that can push the commissioning
- 24:00SPEAKER_01: of the second phase further?
- 24:02SPEAKER_01: So those are the risks that are peculiar to the refinery.
- 24:06SPEAKER_02: Thank you, Devine.
- 24:07SPEAKER_02: We definitely look forward to the project proceeding as per the agreed timelines.
- 24:12SPEAKER_02: Thank you for shedding light on the risks and opportunities.
- 24:17SPEAKER_02: Now I want to transition back to Karimi.
- 24:19SPEAKER_02: And now Karimi, we are looking at participation by East African investors.
- 24:24SPEAKER_02: So somebody who's in Uganda,
- 24:26SPEAKER_02: Tanzania, Rwanda,
- 24:28SPEAKER_02: or just basically anywhere else in East Africa,
- 24:32SPEAKER_02: how can they participate in this offer?
- 24:34SPEAKER_02: What eligibility requirements apply?
- 24:37SPEAKER_02: And...
- 24:38SPEAKER_02: How can investors who are outside Kenya open accounts,
- 24:42SPEAKER_02: make payments, and eventually trade their GDRs?
- 24:47SPEAKER_00: The GDR is open to any investor who has access to the NSC.
- 24:53SPEAKER_00: So even if you're South African,
- 24:56SPEAKER_00: for example,
- 24:57SPEAKER_00: or even you're a foreigner,
- 24:59SPEAKER_00: as long as you trade on the NSC,
- 25:02SPEAKER_00: this is open,
- 25:03SPEAKER_00: but it's largely targeted and Is being marketed to
- 25:06SPEAKER_00: the East African investor directly.
- 25:10SPEAKER_00: So it would be the same process that we indicated that you would get onto
- 25:15SPEAKER_00: the portal, open a CDS account.
- 25:18SPEAKER_00: In order to open a CDS account, there's 13 KYC documents that will be requested of you.
- 25:23SPEAKER_00: And then once you've done those and we do the background on each,
- 25:27SPEAKER_00: depending on the broker you choose,
- 25:28SPEAKER_00: because your broker or your investment bank is who is charged
- 25:32SPEAKER_00: with confirming your KYC documentation.
- 25:35SPEAKER_00: And then that can be open and you're able
- 25:37SPEAKER_00: to buy like any other investor who's trading on the NSE.
- 25:42SPEAKER_02: Thank you for shedding light on that.
- 25:44SPEAKER_02: Now on ownership rights and investor protection.
- 25:48SPEAKER_02: So say I purchase Adangote GDR through the NSE.
- 25:52SPEAKER_02: Who actually owns and holds the underlying shares in Nigeria?
- 25:56SPEAKER_02: And what legal protections exist for GDR holders,
- 26:01SPEAKER_02: especially if Say,
- 26:03SPEAKER_02: Renaissance capital or the custodian encounters financial difficulties.
- 26:09SPEAKER_02: Walk us through the ownership rights and how you're going about investor protection.
- 26:15SPEAKER_00: So the ownership rights for the GDR holders are exactly as they would be for
- 26:21SPEAKER_00: the ordinary shareholder.
- 26:24SPEAKER_00: The GDR is a pass-through vehicle, so it's not a company, it's not a fund, it's a platform.
- 26:30SPEAKER_00: So it's a pass-through platform that passes through all the rights attributed to
- 26:35SPEAKER_00: the GDR to the underlying shareholder, same rights attributed to the GDR.
- 26:41SPEAKER_00: For example,
- 26:42SPEAKER_00: if Dangote has called for an AGM,
- 26:44SPEAKER_00: we would be aware,
- 26:45SPEAKER_00: and so we would call for a GDR holder's AGM prior to the Dangote AGM.
- 26:54SPEAKER_00: Do all that.
- 26:55SPEAKER_00: And then the custodian would be then voted as the proxy.
- 26:58SPEAKER_00: To represent the GDR holders at the actual AGM.
- 27:01SPEAKER_00: In cases where you have rights issue,
- 27:04SPEAKER_00: bonus issues,
- 27:05SPEAKER_00: they would be passed through to each of the GDR holders as though they were holding
- 27:10SPEAKER_00: the actual underlying shares.
- 27:11SPEAKER_00: A dividend,
- 27:12SPEAKER_00: the same thing with a small caveat that which shall be approved year and year
- 27:18SPEAKER_00: from shareholders in terms of what's required to keep holding a custodial account,
- 27:24SPEAKER_00: the regulatory costs.
- 27:26SPEAKER_00: Those will be passed through to the holder.
- 27:28SPEAKER_00: And the holders as part of the AGM would approve them.
- 27:31SPEAKER_00: So when dividends are paid, that would be withheld and then dividends are paid directly.
- 27:36SPEAKER_00: Now in Nigeria,
- 27:38SPEAKER_00: Adangote has indicated that they pay dividends in dollars or in IRA because
- 27:46SPEAKER_00: the GDI would be considered an institutional investor
- 27:49SPEAKER_00: because those shares are being held in a custodial account in Nigeria.
- 27:53SPEAKER_00: The UDR would receive dividends in dollars.
- 27:56SPEAKER_00: This will be passed through to the holder.
- 27:59SPEAKER_00: Retail investors will receive dividends in Kez.
- 28:03SPEAKER_00: Institutional investors have the choice whether to receive dividends in Kez or in USD.
- 28:09SPEAKER_00: So again, remember this is a pass-through vehicle.
- 28:13SPEAKER_00: Anything that Rencap has signed as an issuer has signed and actually done
- 28:18SPEAKER_00: a declaration of trust that all this is being done on behalf of the of
- 28:23SPEAKER_00: the GDR holders.
- 28:24SPEAKER_00: And that's why the shares will be held by custodians, not Rencap.
- 28:29SPEAKER_00: I think we've taken careful choice to make sure that the custodian is a strong,
- 28:34SPEAKER_00: good balance sheet.
- 28:35SPEAKER_00: So we do not expect them to get into financial crisis.
- 28:40SPEAKER_00: But we never know if anything were to happen, we would handle that.
- 28:44SPEAKER_00: But we really do not foresee that at
- 28:47SPEAKER_02: Please walk us through withholding taxes,
- 28:50SPEAKER_02: especially in Nigeria and Kenya.
- 28:53SPEAKER_02: I know this is a question that people are quite interested about.
- 28:56SPEAKER_02: So paint a picture on how we'd handle the taxation.
- 29:00SPEAKER_00: So remember withholding tax is a final tax and it's usually taxed at source.
- 29:06SPEAKER_00: So in this case,
- 29:07SPEAKER_00: the withholding tax would be charged in Nigeria,
- 29:11SPEAKER_00: in which case I believe it's 10% withholding tax.
- 29:15SPEAKER_00: And that is the final withholding tax that's charged to that.
- 29:20SPEAKER_00: The reason that is a final tax is because,
- 29:22SPEAKER_00: again, the GDR is not a company, so it's not receiving the dividends as income.
- 29:28SPEAKER_00: The GDR is not a fund,
- 29:30SPEAKER_00: it's a pass-through platform and all the funds that come save for what
- 29:34SPEAKER_00: the holder approves for the continual operations of the GDR platform will be passed
- 29:40SPEAKER_00: on directly to investors.
- 29:41SPEAKER_00: Now, once the funds hit investors,
- 29:44SPEAKER_00: I believe that's where personal responsibility comes in because it's
- 29:48SPEAKER_00: as you would handle your normal dividend income.
- 29:52SPEAKER_00: So if you're a company, you'd need to seek your own professional advice.
- 29:56SPEAKER_00: But there is no extra withholding tax as a result of this structure.
- 30:01SPEAKER_00: One of the key differences, again,
- 30:03SPEAKER_00: why the GDR is preferably allowing me to say this,
- 30:07SPEAKER_00: a better option than buying the shares directly,
- 30:10SPEAKER_00: is that in Nigeria, there is a capital gains tax, CGT, of 30%.
- 30:17SPEAKER_00: So if you've bought the shares directly,
- 30:19SPEAKER_00: when you sell them,
- 30:20SPEAKER_00: any yield you make, We'll be charged at 30% CGT, capital gains tax.
- 30:26SPEAKER_00: If you buy this through the GDR,
- 30:29SPEAKER_00: there is no capital gains tax because you will be trading on the NSC.
- 30:34SPEAKER_00: One of the benefits of listing on the NSC is that we do not have CGT or the NSC.
- 30:39SPEAKER_00: So if you're trading on the NSC, there is no CGT tax.
- 30:43SPEAKER_02: Thank you for that.
- 30:43SPEAKER_02: So earlier you had said that the two shillings between the conversion in Kez
- 30:49SPEAKER_02: and Naira Caters for some of the agency fees,
- 30:53SPEAKER_02: brokerage commissions, and other charges, as well as FX.
- 30:57SPEAKER_02: Can you walk us through that?
- 30:59SPEAKER_02: Expound a bit more on that.
- 31:01SPEAKER_02: What about brokerage commissions, custody charges, and FX conversion?
- 31:06SPEAKER_00: For the offer price, all that is taken into consideration for the two shillings per share.
- 31:12SPEAKER_00: And that's for the offer price.
- 31:14SPEAKER_00: Once the GDRs are listed on the NSC,
- 31:17SPEAKER_00: then they'll be subject like any other share on the NSC with
- 31:20SPEAKER_00: the regular commissions.
- 31:22SPEAKER_00: So when you sell and buy, there's a broker commission fee.
- 31:25SPEAKER_00: Seller Commission, part of it that goes to regulatory.
- 31:29SPEAKER_00: So it will be as you would with any other share on the NSE.
- 31:33SPEAKER_00: But as of now,
- 31:35SPEAKER_00: anything and all costs up until the listing have been catered for within the price
- 31:40SPEAKER_00: that has been set.
- 31:42SPEAKER_02: Now, let's go to secondary market trading and liquidity.
- 31:46SPEAKER_02: GDR is expected to begin trading on the NSE in December.
- 31:51SPEAKER_02: How will buying and selling work after listing and what arrangements are in place
- 31:57SPEAKER_02: to support liquidity?
- 32:00SPEAKER_00: Thank you.
- 32:00SPEAKER_00: That's a good question.
- 32:01SPEAKER_00: Sorry to sound like a broken record, but the GGRs will trade like any other share.
- 32:05SPEAKER_00: If you have Sepharicom shares,
- 32:07SPEAKER_00: the way you normally trade them is exactly how the GGRs will trade.
- 32:11SPEAKER_00: I know what the question that is at the back of everyone's mind is,
- 32:15SPEAKER_00: but then how does this tie in?
- 32:17SPEAKER_00: So remember, because you have the underlying share that's in the Nigerian market.
- 32:22SPEAKER_00: So we have started with the NSE and come up with a pricing mechanism.
- 32:25SPEAKER_00: And that every morning when the market's open,
- 32:30SPEAKER_00: we'll recalculate to reflect the underlying shares in Nigeria.
- 32:34SPEAKER_00: And then it'll continue.
- 32:36SPEAKER_00: The beauty with having the two different tradings is that an investor
- 32:41SPEAKER_00: in Kenya may have very different sentiments.
- 32:44SPEAKER_00: To an investor in Nigeria.
- 32:46SPEAKER_00: So you're able to trade on your GDRs in Kenya based on your sentiments.
- 32:52SPEAKER_00: The Nigerian investor is able to trade on their shares based on their sentiments.
- 32:57SPEAKER_00: Now, for sure,
- 32:58SPEAKER_00: whatever happens to the Nigerian shares will always have an effect on the price here
- 33:03SPEAKER_00: because it's the underlying price.
- 33:05SPEAKER_00: But it still allows the investor here to react as you do with any other shares based
- 33:12SPEAKER_00: on news, based on economic outlook, as you would with any other share.
- 33:17SPEAKER_02: So you've mentioned something that is quite fascinating.
- 33:19SPEAKER_02: Of course, any movements in the Nigerian Naira will affect the Kenyan shilling for the trade.
- 33:25SPEAKER_02: So maybe just paint a picture.
- 33:27SPEAKER_02: How would movements in the Naira against the Kenyan shilling affect investors' returns?
- 33:33SPEAKER_00: In terms of how will changes in the Naira affect the price here?
- 33:38SPEAKER_00: The thing is, we do not see generally a lot of shift between the Naira and the shilling.
- 33:45SPEAKER_00: Because remember, this conversion is not EUSD-Kenya.
- 33:48SPEAKER_00: It's direct and that's why it's going through banks that are direct.
- 33:52SPEAKER_00: So it's Naira to Kenya shilling.
- 33:55SPEAKER_00: That doesn't have as wide movement as say Naira-USD.
- 33:59SPEAKER_00: But that is also contemplated on in the pricing mechanism that have been worked out
- 34:04SPEAKER_00: with the NSE.
- 34:05SPEAKER_00: So how to readjust the price every morning, taking those into considerations.
- 34:11SPEAKER_02: So could the GDRs trade at a premium or a discount to the underlying shares in Nigeria?
- 34:17SPEAKER_02: And are investors able to convert their GDRs into ordinary Dangote shares?
- 34:24SPEAKER_00: So yes, there is a possibility that the GDRs could trade at a premium.
- 34:29SPEAKER_00: The rent cap is acting as market maker between the two markets.
- 34:33SPEAKER_00: And that's part of our fiduciary duty and what's required of us by the CME to try
- 34:37SPEAKER_00: and keep that to as low and as market specific as possible.
- 34:42SPEAKER_00: At this point in time, no, you cannot convert your GGRs into shares.
- 34:47SPEAKER_00: However,
- 34:48SPEAKER_00: should Dangote,
- 34:49SPEAKER_00: the company choose to cross list,
- 34:52SPEAKER_00: Or to list eventually the LAMU,
- 34:54SPEAKER_00: because he said that at the launch we had,
- 34:56SPEAKER_00: that once it's operational and stable, hopefully they can list it on the NSC.
- 35:00SPEAKER_00: Should either of those events happen,
- 35:03SPEAKER_00: then yes,
- 35:03SPEAKER_00: the GGRs will then definitely at that point be converted into direct shares.
- 35:08SPEAKER_00: But in purposes of the functioning of the GGRs, no, investors cannot directly convert.
- 35:14SPEAKER_00: And for Rencap acting as the market maker between the two markets,
- 35:18SPEAKER_00: our role is also to ensure,
- 35:20SPEAKER_00: for example,
- 35:21SPEAKER_00: We are holding all the 57 million shares and suddenly there's more demand.
- 35:28SPEAKER_00: And now the GDR is asking for more GDR.
- 35:31SPEAKER_00: Then Rencap is able to go into the market in Nigeria and buy them from
- 35:35SPEAKER_00: the secondary market to increase the GDR size and buy more.
- 35:39SPEAKER_00: And that will always depend on supply and demand, which shall be passed on to the investors.
- 35:45SPEAKER_02: So beyond currency risk.
- 35:48SPEAKER_02: What other structural,
- 35:50SPEAKER_02: regulatory and market risks could investors consider before participating?
- 35:56SPEAKER_00: Remember the portal we said we've put in quite a bit of information.
- 35:59SPEAKER_00: We've also put in there specifically a risk advisory note.
- 36:04SPEAKER_00: Just because this is a GDR,
- 36:06SPEAKER_00: even though investors are investing in the underlying shares,
- 36:10SPEAKER_00: there is an added risk, which is a risk of an offshore.
- 36:13SPEAKER_00: Because at the end of the day, The underlying share is an offshore security.
- 36:18SPEAKER_00: What that means is,
- 36:19SPEAKER_00: should there be a dispute where investors want to take action,
- 36:25SPEAKER_00: there's an added risk because now you're operating in a different jurisdiction.
- 36:29SPEAKER_00: But the good thing is because you've gone through the regulators in each market,
- 36:33SPEAKER_00: it's a big clear issue.
- 36:35SPEAKER_00: So there's the added risk of offshore investing.
- 36:39SPEAKER_00: There's the added risk effects, which I think is a bit clearer now.
- 36:43SPEAKER_00: And then there's the added risk of the fact that the two markets,
- 36:48SPEAKER_00: while Nigeria is the underlying market,
- 36:50SPEAKER_00: we have no control per se in terms of what happens in that market.
- 36:54SPEAKER_00: But that's why investing is a risk, yeah?
- 36:56SPEAKER_00: We hope for the best and invest and try and make money while at it.
- 37:02SPEAKER_02: And now we're looking at the future of cross-border investing in Africa.
- 37:07SPEAKER_02: So looking beyond the Dangote refinery, GDR.
- 37:11SPEAKER_02: So could GDRs become a practical way for East Africans to invest
- 37:16SPEAKER_02: in companies listed elsewhere on the continent?
- 37:20SPEAKER_02: And what does the future of this
- 37:21SPEAKER_00: look like?
- 37:23SPEAKER_00: Just a quick point from your earlier question.
- 37:25SPEAKER_00: In terms of affecting investor returns,
- 37:28SPEAKER_00: I just wanted to mention that While the share is trading in Naira,
- 37:32SPEAKER_00: in Nigeria, and in cash, the company itself sells and operates in US dollars.
- 37:38SPEAKER_00: So that kind of mitigates a bit of the risk to investor returns,
- 37:43SPEAKER_00: because remember, then the company is paying dividends directly.
- 37:47SPEAKER_00: So in terms of those returns,
- 37:49SPEAKER_00: the fact that the company operates And does everything for its revenues,
- 37:53SPEAKER_00: its costs, its expenses are largely in USD.
- 37:57SPEAKER_00: That sort of mitigates a bit of that,
- 38:00SPEAKER_00: of the risk to investor returns as a result of the company performance itself.
- 38:05SPEAKER_00: But back to your question in terms of whether GDRs could become a practical way,
- 38:11SPEAKER_00: I strongly believe they will.
- 38:13SPEAKER_00: We have tried doing cross-listings.
- 38:15SPEAKER_00: We are yet to achieve a true and proper cross-listing between markets.
- 38:20SPEAKER_00: I know we've been trying also to set up the African exchange system,
- 38:25SPEAKER_00: forget the protocol name for it.
- 38:28SPEAKER_00: And that hasn't really worked out, again, because of the same issue of the plumbing.
- 38:34SPEAKER_00: The NSC is operating on a different platform from, for example, let's say Morocco, from the JSC.
- 38:40SPEAKER_00: Again, you're operating with different regulations.
- 38:43SPEAKER_00: There are different depths of capital and inflow of investors.
- 38:47SPEAKER_00: So I honestly think GDR could be A big win with we could regularize raising capital
- 38:54SPEAKER_00: from Africa to support Africa.
- 38:58SPEAKER_00: Interestingly,
- 38:59SPEAKER_00: all regional capital markets transactions that Renaissance has been involved in,
- 39:05SPEAKER_00: we have found that it's usually African capital that supports these issues.
- 39:10SPEAKER_00: So while we do see a lot of foreign investment coming in and out,
- 39:14SPEAKER_00: at the end of the day,
- 39:14SPEAKER_00: during the IPOs,
- 39:16SPEAKER_00: during the actual capital raising, African capital really just does support.
- 39:22SPEAKER_00: So I think this could be a very practical way To look
- 39:25SPEAKER_00: at capital raising going forward and which allows investors within Africa to tap
- 39:31SPEAKER_00: into each other's markets.
- 39:33SPEAKER_02: So what would it take to bring more Nigerian,
- 39:36SPEAKER_02: South African or even other African companies to the NSC through similar structures?
- 39:41SPEAKER_02: And what could this mean for the development of Kenya's capital markets?
- 39:46SPEAKER_00: The real big question is to follow what investors are interested in.
- 39:50SPEAKER_00: And I think as long as it's very clear that Investors within a certain region or
- 39:55SPEAKER_00: a certain place are interested in a particular stock.
- 39:59SPEAKER_00: It makes it easier to use the GDR route.
- 40:02SPEAKER_00: For example, in this case, at the end of the day, Renaissance capital removed the GDR issuer.
- 40:07SPEAKER_00: By being the GDR issuer, we're taking quite a bit of risk on our balance sheet.
- 40:13SPEAKER_00: In order to see more investment banks doing this across the continent,
- 40:18SPEAKER_00: It will have to be a reading of what investors are looking for
- 40:21SPEAKER_00: and what investors are willing to buy.
- 40:23SPEAKER_00: So I think this is going to follow a lot more conversations
- 40:26SPEAKER_00: that we're seeing coming,
- 40:28SPEAKER_00: especially when we talk of infrastructure and how to support regional and especially
- 40:34SPEAKER_00: within the private markets infrastructure.
- 40:37SPEAKER_00: I'm sure we'll see quite a bit more of this
- 40:40SPEAKER_00: because limiting some infrastructure projects to just one pool
- 40:43SPEAKER_00: of capital does limit growth.
- 40:46SPEAKER_00: It's also for issues to be able to learn and to see how to sell their story.
- 40:52SPEAKER_00: The one reason that we are all excited about Angot is because we all know who he is.
- 40:55SPEAKER_00: We believe in his vision.
- 40:57SPEAKER_00: We've seen him doing business.
- 40:58SPEAKER_00: We've seen him grow.
- 41:00SPEAKER_00: So he does leave the story that he actually tells.
- 41:03SPEAKER_00: And so we have confidence.
- 41:05SPEAKER_00: I believe if today Elon Musk did the same,
- 41:07SPEAKER_00: we would have quite a few investors who would be takers of doing a thing in a GDR,
- 41:12SPEAKER_00: for example.
- 41:13SPEAKER_00: So I think it's also just being able to,
- 41:16SPEAKER_00: and maybe this is a lesson for myself and for the other intermediaries
- 41:20SPEAKER_00: who may be represented.
- 41:22SPEAKER_00: Just learning how to bridge the gap between investors and issuers.
- 41:26SPEAKER_00: I think this is definitely a way forward,
- 41:29SPEAKER_00: both for inward and for outward GDRs,
- 41:32SPEAKER_00: so that tomorrow if there's an opportunity to set up a GDR for EABL in Nigeria,
- 41:38SPEAKER_00: why not?
- 41:39SPEAKER_00: I'm sure we'll see more of this happen.
- 41:42SPEAKER_02: Thank you so much, Karimi.
- 41:44SPEAKER_02: Now that we have come to the end of our conversation, a parting shot to our listeners.
- 41:48SPEAKER_00: Thank you.
- 41:49SPEAKER_00: Thank you so much, all of you, for your time.
- 41:52SPEAKER_00: It's really an honor and a pleasure to be able to speak to people
- 41:56SPEAKER_00: who are actually interested in what that means and what this could mean
- 42:00SPEAKER_00: for capital markets.
- 42:02SPEAKER_00: We are very open to hearing more from investors and curious
- 42:06SPEAKER_00: about how we can find better ways to help businesses capitalize within Kenya and
- 42:12SPEAKER_00: within the region and in Africa.
- 42:14SPEAKER_00: So we look forward to being more engaged.
- 42:16SPEAKER_00: Thank you, Mwango,
- 42:18SPEAKER_00: for this opportunity to interact with Your followers and Niko for being such
- 42:23SPEAKER_00: a gracious moderator.
- 42:25SPEAKER_00: Thank you very much.
- 42:26SPEAKER_00: And if anyone is interested in reaching out to us,
- 42:29SPEAKER_00: our contact information is also on the portal.
- 42:32SPEAKER_00: So we will share through Mwango our contact information.
- 42:37SPEAKER_00: And just to remind you all that the offer closes on October 27th at 1.00 AM.
- 42:43SPEAKER_00: So that's next week on Tuesday.
- 42:45SPEAKER_00: So we're looking forward to all of you.
- 42:48SPEAKER_00: And just to also give you the confirmation.
- 42:50SPEAKER_00: The company, the issuer has again reaffirmed them supporting the GDRs.
- 42:55SPEAKER_00: They are giving a specific allocation to the GDRs.
- 42:58SPEAKER_00: So as long as we're within that allocation, we expect everyone will get full allocation.
- 43:04SPEAKER_00: It's already oversubscribed in Nigeria.
- 43:07SPEAKER_00: So we think the better way to go is through the GDRs.
- 43:10SPEAKER_00: But remember, please do apply before the 27th at 1 p.m.
- 43:15SPEAKER_00: Thank you.
- 43:16SPEAKER_02: Thank you, Karimi.
- 43:17SPEAKER_02: Thank you very much for taking time to unpack this conversation for us.
- 43:23SPEAKER_02: That has been Karimi Warui, who is the Head of Investment Banking at Renaissance Capital.
- 43:29SPEAKER_02: And we also had Divine.
- 43:30SPEAKER_02: Divine, just a parting shot to our listeners as we conclude this conversation.
- 43:35SPEAKER_02: If we just slide part in the headline, Sean, our podcast.
- 43:39SPEAKER_02: We will be happy to answer any questions,
- 43:42SPEAKER_02: if anybody has any further questions, or if there is any information.
- 43:46SPEAKER_02: Thank you very much.
- 43:48SPEAKER_02: You have been talking about the Dangote Refinery IPO,
- 43:51SPEAKER_02: focusing on how East African and global depository receipts, how the GDLs work.
- 43:58SPEAKER_02: The investment process,
- 43:59SPEAKER_02: the offer structure,
- 44:00SPEAKER_02: the pricing,
- 44:01SPEAKER_02: investor risk,
- 44:02SPEAKER_02: costs and protection,
- 44:04SPEAKER_02: as well as what this means for us as a country and as a continent
- 44:09SPEAKER_02: in capital markets.
- 44:10SPEAKER_02: Thank you very much for joining this conversation.
- 44:13SPEAKER_02: Thank you very much to our host and facilitator, Mwango Capitals.
- 44:16SPEAKER_02: Kindly do follow Mwango for expert reports and analysis across
- 44:21SPEAKER_02: the East African business and economic space.
- 44:24SPEAKER_02: My name is Nicole Njuguna.
- 44:26SPEAKER_02: I have been your moderator for this conversation.
- 44:29SPEAKER_02: Even beyond this space, let us keep the conversation flowing.
- 44:32SPEAKER_02: And remember that the deadline for this is 27th of October at 1 p.m.
- 44:39SPEAKER_02: Thank you very much.
- 44:40SPEAKER_02: Have a good night.
- 44:42SPEAKER_02: God bless.