Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 374 - 10/15/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:01Hello, and welcome to episode 374 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 0:07Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:10I am your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:17Happy Wednesday. It's officially hump day.
- 0:20That means we're halfway through our work week.
- 0:22One day closer to the NFL Thursday Night Football
- 0:25showdown. I'm keeping my eyes on that big
- 0:27AFC North matchup, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals.
- 0:31I tell you what, guys starting to see a little bit of buy back
- 0:33on Cincinnati. They open as low as getting like
- 0:364/4 and 1/2 go all the way up to I think about 6.
- 0:39You're down to 5 1/2, make it down to five.
- 0:41So I'm thinking maybe the dog there with the Cincinnati
- 0:44Bengals, but no official play for me yet.
- 0:47We'll see how that develops over the next day or so.
- 0:49But it is a Wednesday. So that means we're going to
- 0:52really focus on trying to pick off good numbers, hooks, key
- 0:55numbers early in the week in the NFL.
- 0:57Yesterday, which was a Tuesday, we talked about some early
- 1:00college football bets, the Vandy money line that was kind of a
- 1:03fade, the trendy dog play, as well as Washington getting 6
- 1:061/2. You can get that still at ESPN
- 1:08bet -120. And then Penn State, the
- 1:11ultimate gross play there, where I was waiting to see if I can
- 1:14get a 3 1/2. I don't know if we're going to
- 1:15get it. If anything, it might get down
- 1:17to 2 1/2. So there's still threes out
- 1:18there. I'll give it a little bit more
- 1:20time, but I'm thinking maybe fire on Penn State sooner rather
- 1:23than later. And remember, that was a rhythm
- 1:25edge where rhythm had about 1/2 point Penn State plus 0.40.7.
- 1:30So those are some plays we talked about yesterday, but
- 1:32today I got 4 bets for you, including a game over in London.
- 1:37Some fading of trendy dogs and of course, money lining short
- 1:40favorites. So we'll have a full NFL Week 7
- 1:44early sharp report here. 4 plays in pocket for me and one more
- 1:48that I'm monitoring. So we'll talk about all of that
- 1:50on today's pod. Also, we do have a bet for you.
- 1:53There's another big college football night.
- 1:55Two games overall, and I found one with a very, very sharp line
- 1:58move, a big rest advantage, and then hopefully a good bet split
- 2:02with a Robo Jackson and sharp mush edge here, as well as an
- 2:06advantage at quarterback. So stay tuned for one official
- 2:09best bet and college football for tonight.
- 2:12Now looking back to our last night, guys, we stayed hot baby
- 2:15one and O + 0.87 units. We had the FIU Western Kentucky
- 2:20under and that was kind of a perfect example of the market as
- 2:23well as other supplementary factors pretty much rhythm and
- 2:26juice real lining up perfectly toward that under because if you
- 2:29remember that total was 57 1/2, opener got down to 56 and a half
- 2:3355 1/2. It was pretty clear the total
- 2:36was dropping even though the public was playing the over.
- 2:38So that was the market indicator that smart reverse line movement
- 2:41was going under. And then we had rhythm
- 2:43predicting about a 50 point game, which was an edge on the
- 2:45under 55 1/2 and we had a 28% sharp mush edge in favor of the
- 2:50under as well. So that's about as good as it
- 2:52gets in terms of the market, the splits as well as rhythm and
- 2:55juice real all lining up in the same direction.
- 2:58So it's nice to get a winner there.
- 2:59Only 31 points were scored, so we're able to sail under with
- 3:02that one, which kept us hot. And I tell you what, guys, don't
- 3:06let the boys get hot. And I think this is the fun part
- 3:08of betting when you're hot and you're trying to stay hot.
- 3:10I think the tough part of sports betting is when things aren't
- 3:13going your way, you're struggling, you're losing and
- 3:15you're trying to just, you know, just keep your head, you know,
- 3:18above, above water and bounce back with a winning day.
- 3:20When you're hot and you're trying to keep a win streak
- 3:22going, these are the good times. So let's see if we can, you
- 3:25know, rise to that challenge and hopefully post another winning
- 3:27date for today. So that being said, before we
- 3:31talk some NFL plays for this upcoming weekend, I'll give you
- 3:33my one play in college football tonight.
- 3:35I'm going to focus on the Delaware Jacksonville State
- 3:39game. That's a 7:00 game tonight on
- 3:41ESPN. We have Delaware coming in three
- 3:43and two. Don't remind me.
- 3:45I had Delaware on the money line against Western Kentucky and
- 3:48they blew it at the very end, lost 2724.
- 3:50So I think they owe US1 here tonight.
- 3:53And then you have Jacksonville State, three and three on the
- 3:55year. They've rotated wins and losses.
- 3:57They just beat Sam Houston State 29 to 27 their last time out.
- 4:01Poor Sam Houston. They're O and six on the year.
- 4:04So again, two teams in the Conference USA looking to do
- 4:09battle here for tonight. But my breakdown for this one is
- 4:11pretty simple. If you've noticed the line
- 4:13movement, if you've been using your odds logic live odds page
- 4:16comparing the open column to the current column, it's pretty
- 4:19obvious here guys that all sharp steam is going toward Delaware
- 4:23because Delaware open this game as low as a 1 1/2 point Rd.
- 4:27favorite. I mean some shops are even
- 4:29closer to a pick em type opener and we've now seen Delaware
- 4:32steam all the way up to -3 so basically -1 1/2 up to -3 for
- 4:37the road favorite. Tells me a lot of money has
- 4:39poured in here on Delaware. You also look at the splits
- 4:43looking pretty good for Delaware right now.
- 4:45The Blue Hens at DraftKings are only getting 53% of spread bets,
- 4:50but 68% of spread dollars. So basically it's a 5050 line
- 4:54with 53%. Line shouldn't move -1 1/2 up to
- 4:58-3 If anything, line really shouldn't move at all because
- 5:0153% is not lopsided enough to push a number, you know, 1 1/2
- 5:04points. But really to me, it's that
- 5:07almost 70% of money going with Delaware 'cause that line move
- 5:10in their favor. Then you look over at Circa,
- 5:13only 43% of spread bets on Delaware, but 56% of spread
- 5:17dollars on Delaware. So again, looking at at, you
- 5:21know, taking advantage of the market and trying to check off
- 5:23boxes. First box for me, line movement
- 5:25Delaware -1 1/2 up to -3 second box the splits, low bets, higher
- 5:30dollars at both DraftKings and Circa on Delaware.
- 5:33Then another angle here for me is a rest verse tired advantage
- 5:36because again, Delaware let us down.
- 5:39That was actually a while ago is Friday October 3rd is the last
- 5:43time they played. So they're coming off a bye
- 5:45week, whereas Jacksonville State just played last Thursday and
- 5:49today's Wednesday. So that's less than a full week.
- 5:52That is a six day turn around for Jacksonville State tired and
- 5:56again, their last two games are on the road.
- 5:58So you come home, maybe you rest on your laurels, but also it's a
- 6:01short week, whereas Delaware played at home in their last
- 6:05game and then they had a bye week.
- 6:06So rest first, tired, definitely an advantage here in favor of
- 6:09Delaware. The other angle for me is the
- 6:11starting quarterbacks. This kid was pretty good.
- 6:13I remember it was the first game I saw him even though they lost
- 6:16the game. But Nick Minicucci, he's pretty
- 6:19good. He's a junior, 6, two, £250, but
- 6:23he's thrown for nearly 1400 yards this year, 8 touchdowns,
- 6:26only three picks and he's a junior.
- 6:29And then listen to the other quarterback here for
- 6:31Jacksonville State, his name is Kaden Creole.
- 6:35He is a true freshman and he's only making his second start
- 6:39overall. So in the last start, yes, it
- 6:41was a win. He led him to a victory.
- 6:43But Kaden Creole was 13 of 17129 yards, no touchdowns, no picks.
- 6:48He ran the ball a lot, 24 carries for 132 yards.
- 6:52But again, this is an unproven true freshman only making a
- 6:55second start against Minicuchi, who's a junior.
- 6:59So the experience factor to me as well as the passing game
- 7:02really benefiting the quarterback here.
- 7:04Also, there is an injury at play.
- 7:06I never heard of this guy until today, but Jacksonville State,
- 7:09apparently he's their number one offensive lineman.
- 7:11Lance Johnson, he's questionable, but it looks like
- 7:14he may be doubtful for this game.
- 7:16So obviously we're hoping that he doesn't play cuz I'm going to
- 7:19go Delaware here. But the next angle for me, money
- 7:22lining short favorites. Again, Delaware open this game
- 7:25only -1 1/2. So neutral site, give a few
- 7:28points for home field probably means Delaware should be around
- 7:31a four and a half favorite. Now they're up to three, so they
- 7:34should probably be, you know, run a 7 point favorite.
- 7:38But again, I would hate to see Delaware win by 1-2 or three and
- 7:41you lose or push your bet if you're laying at 2 1/2 or three.
- 7:44At this point, it's pretty much all -3 Delaware.
- 7:47There are a couple -2 and a halfs -115 -, 120 with Delaware.
- 7:51But I was able to found a pretty good money line.
- 7:53And this is another example of shopping around and trying to
- 7:55get the best price because I was able to find on the money line
- 8:00here -145 -145 is still available at Bet MGM right now,
- 8:07but a lot of other books are -150 -, 155 S again, trying to
- 8:11get that best price when you're betting to risk first betting to
- 8:14win. If we're both risking a unit,
- 8:16but I'm laying -145 you're laying -155 we're both going to
- 8:20win our bet. Hopefully if Delaware, you know,
- 8:22wins the game. But I'm going to get more on the
- 8:24back end because I, I had to risk less than you did.
- 8:27So again, having multiple outs, shopping for the best price -145
- 8:31at Bet MGM right now is your best number.
- 8:33And then a little cherry on top. Again, we got the line move.
- 8:36We got the splits. Rest first tired, hopefully
- 8:39quarterback advantage, injury to Jacksonville State.
- 8:42But here's the last angle. This is a big juice real play.
- 8:45On the one hand, we have a official Robo Jackson best bet
- 8:48pick on Delaware. Robo sent out -2 1/2 on Delaware
- 8:53and if again you have the Juice Reel app or maybe you follow the
- 8:55all systems go official best bet picks, you can always just go to
- 8:58the Robo Jackson best, excuse me, best bets.
- 9:01There are two of them that come out every day at noon.
- 9:04So one is -2 1/2 with Delaware tells me the AI model at Juice
- 9:08Reel likes Delaware as well. But then also you go to the
- 9:11sharp mush indicator comparing the percentage of, you know,
- 9:15good winning betters who are on a certain, you know, position
- 9:17versus the more losing betters. And there is a 21% sharp mush
- 9:22edge on the Delaware money line. So Robo Jackson likes laying the
- 9:26points sharp mush indicator from all the wise guys who have
- 9:29downloaded Juice Reel. Really big edge here toward the
- 9:32money line. And remember last night was a
- 9:3428% sharp mush edge toward the under.
- 9:36This is a 21% sharp mush edge on the Delaware money line.
- 9:40So you add it all up here, guys, line move, steam splits rest
- 9:44first tired better QB Robo Jackson and Juice reels behind
- 9:48us My one plate tonight. Let's see if we can keep the win
- 9:50streak going. I am on Delaware Blue Hens on
- 9:54the money line. Win the damn game.
- 9:56I got a -145 at Bet MGM. Now looking toward the weekend
- 10:01here. Trying to pick off some good
- 10:03numbers that will make us happy by the time the games roll
- 10:05around on Sunday. First one for me, Let's look at
- 10:08a England game across the pond. We have the Los Angeles Rams and
- 10:12the Jacksonville Jaguars now setting the stage this game of
- 10:16Wembley State Stadium 9:30 AM Eastern Time kick off on on
- 10:20Sunday. We have the Rams coming in four
- 10:22and two. Just beat the Ravens 17 to 3
- 10:24easily covered as a 6 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 10:27You know all the Jags four and two on the year just lost to the
- 10:30Seahawks. However, 20 to 12 did not cover
- 10:33as a 1 1/2 point home dog. So what have you seen across the
- 10:36market for this one? Well, this game open with LA
- 10:39listed as a 3 1/2 point neutral site favorite.
- 10:41Again, remember it's over across the pond in England, and it's
- 10:45pretty clear here the line has moved only in One Direction down
- 10:48toward Jacksonville. Jacksonville has gone from plus
- 10:513 1/2 down to +3. And if you pay attention to the
- 10:54juice, it's all juicing up the Jag side.
- 10:56Plus 3 -, 115 -, 120. Some shops even down to 2 1/2.
- 11:01So I was really hoping to get the hook the 3 1/2, but it
- 11:04wasn't available anywhere. So I did jump on the Jags at +3.
- 11:09Again, they lose by three. At least we push.
- 11:11I would have liked to have, you know, had the opportunity to
- 11:13lose by three and cover with the hook, but who knows, maybe you
- 11:15lose by two or less, Maybe you win the game out right.
- 11:18But I did take the three with the Jags.
- 11:20I like the splits at DraftKings. The Jags are getting 62% of
- 11:24spread bets, but 87% of spread dollars.
- 11:27So a pretty good low bets, higher dollar split.
- 11:29Basically slight public support, but also heavy smart money in
- 11:33favor of the Jags in the points. And I also like the Jags in
- 11:36terms of a buy low, sell high because you have the Jags as a
- 11:40dog off a loss who did not cover the previous week against a sell
- 11:44high favorite who won and did cover the previous week.
- 11:47And if you pretty much dissect this system, match dogs off a
- 11:51loss, playing an opponent off a win.
- 11:53Again, buying low on the dog off a loss, selling high on the
- 11:56opponent off a win. Those teams are 15 and 11
- 11:58against the spread this year, 58 percent, 10% ROI.
- 12:03If that dog off a loss playing, pulling off a win is getting
- 12:05three points or more. They improved to 13 and seven
- 12:08against the spread, 65% with a 23% ROI.
- 12:12I'm hoping that Puka Nakua will not play.
- 12:14He was banged up and left the last game.
- 12:16He's technically questionable right now.
- 12:18Again, lines moving toward Jacksonville.
- 12:20Maybe that means he's more more doubtful than questionable.
- 12:24And as a result, we have seen a lot of under money show up.
- 12:27Total was as high as 46 and half.
- 12:28Now it's 44 1/2. You have pretty good splits in
- 12:31favor of the under there, but you add it all up for me, guys,
- 12:34this is a play on the Jags over in London with that line move in
- 12:36their favor. And to add a little cherry on
- 12:39top here, I popped open the Rhythm app and listen to this.
- 12:43Rhythm has two models lit up on the Jags, Jags plus 1.2 and Jags
- 12:49plus 1.7. So 2 really good sharp mush
- 12:52edges there or sorry, Juice Reel.
- 12:55I did it again. Rhythm.
- 12:56I should say Green Star recommended plays on
- 12:59Jacksonville again Rhythm saying it should be about a one or two
- 13:01point game. We can't get the 3 1/2 anymore,
- 13:04but we can get a three. So I pounced on the three and oh
- 13:07by the way, Juice Reel has a let me dial this up 14% sharp mush
- 13:12edge on the Jags. So I played first bet of the
- 13:15week. Jags +3.
- 13:18Next one for you. You might puke in your mouth
- 13:20here, but man, this one is sharp.
- 13:22Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns.
- 13:25This is a one O clock game on Sunday.
- 13:27The Dolphins come in one and five.
- 13:29We lost to the chargers 2927 last week, but made us happy
- 13:32because they covered the plus 3 1/2 at home Browns meanwhile,
- 13:35one in five as well just lost to the Steelers 23 to 9 did not
- 13:39cover as a 6 1/2 point Rd. dog. So what have you seen across the
- 13:42market here? Well, this game opened Cleveland
- 13:44around A2 point home favorite and the public says, man, both
- 13:47these teams are terrible. I know Cleveland's at home.
- 13:50You know, Miami's got a good offense, pretty, pretty terrible
- 13:53defense, but public doesn't know what to do.
- 13:55It's basically 5050 down the middle.
- 13:57Don't know whether to take the two, lay the two.
- 13:59However, even though it's a 5050 ticket split, you would imagine
- 14:03the line shouldn't move at all because the odds makers
- 14:05theoretically in a vacuum, have balanced action.
- 14:07No need to go up or down. But they did go up and move the
- 14:10sign further toward Cleveland -2 up to -2 1/2 and the -2 1/2.
- 14:15Sir, a lot of them are juiced -115 like it may even go to 3.
- 14:20So 5050 line should move it all. Yet the line move toward
- 14:23Cleveland at DraftKings Browns only 50% of spread bets, but 83%
- 14:29of spread dollars. Circa Cleveland's getting 75% of
- 14:33spread bets over 90% of spread dollars.
- 14:36So both DraftKings and Circa showing a really good low bets
- 14:40higher dollar split in favor of the Cleveland Browns.
- 14:43You also look at a money line opportunity here.
- 14:46So I'm going to Cleveland. I know it's I know it's really
- 14:48gross here, but I don't want to lay a 2 1/2 and again win by one
- 14:53or two and lose my bet. So I was able to get Cleveland.
- 14:56I think this is the game where we had pretty big discrepancies
- 14:58here. So I got Cleveland at -142 that
- 15:03was available at where was it? I think it was ESPN bet.
- 15:10Some shops are as high as -150 So again, shopping around,
- 15:13getting the best numbers, always important.
- 15:15If you look at the splits on the money line, only 42% bets 74%
- 15:19dollars on the Browns. Tua is only one in seven
- 15:23straight up in his last eight Rd. games.
- 15:25And maybe you see a really low scoring game.
- 15:27This total has fallen 41 1/2 down to 40, some shops down to
- 15:3139 1/2. And this is a really big windy
- 15:34underplay. The forecast right now in
- 15:36Cleveland, you're looking at about 20 mile per hour winds
- 15:38with possibly some rain. So again, 5050, but big money's
- 15:42on Cleveland lines moving to Cleveland.
- 15:44And oh, by the way, pop open Juice reel, 17% sharp mush edge
- 15:49on the Cleveland money line. 24% sharp mush edge on the Cleveland
- 15:54spread. So again, what if you want to
- 15:56save some juice and go spread? All the power to you.
- 15:58But I got -142 with Cleveland. So I'm going with a Cleveland
- 16:02money line play here. And oh, by the way, Rhythm has
- 16:05Browns -2.4. So not a huge edge on the 2.5,
- 16:09but hopefully a good edge on a money line win.
- 16:12Next one for you. The ultimate fade, the trendy
- 16:14dog play. This reminds me a little bit of
- 16:16that Lions in Kansas City game. It's the Indianapolis Colts in
- 16:20the LA Chargers A4 O 5:00 PM kick off on Sunday.
- 16:24Colts come in five and one just took down the Cardinals. 3127
- 16:28did not cover though as an 8 1/2 point home favorite.
- 16:31Similarly, we've seen the Chargers four and two just fend
- 16:34off the Dolphins. As we mentioned a second ago,
- 16:362927 last week, but didn't cover as a 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 16:41Now, what do we see across the market here?
- 16:42Well, this game open at most shops.
- 16:44LA chargers -1 and the public says the wrong team is favored.
- 16:49Yeah. Daniel Jones, Indiana Jones,
- 16:515:00 and 1:00. Again, Chargers with injuries.
- 16:54You got to go Indiana, right? Indianapolis, I should say
- 16:57that's what the public's saying right now because you are seeing
- 17:00across the board nearly 75% of spread bets.
- 17:03Take the points with the Colts. However, lines not down to pick
- 17:07them and hasn't hopped the fence and gone to Indy -1 -, 2.
- 17:11It's actually gone further toward the Chargers.
- 17:13So the Chargers have gone from -1 up to -1 1/2.
- 17:17So take a step back. If public's on the Colts, why is
- 17:20the why are the odds makers moving the line further toward
- 17:22the Chargers to give the public an even better number on the
- 17:25Colts? Again, do you like the Colts
- 17:27plus one here? I'll give you a + 1 1/2.
- 17:28I'll even give you a + 1 1/2 at, you know, minus one O 5 juice.
- 17:32Again, I smell a rat here tells me you have a fade.
- 17:34The trendy dog play trendy dog Colts line moving toward the
- 17:38Chargers. Chargers are when your top bet
- 17:41against the public plays again, getting, you know, only around
- 17:4425% of tickets. But on the money line.
- 17:47I'm going money line here, guys. I got the chargers on the money
- 17:50line I believe was at fanatics earlier today -125 but they're
- 17:55only getting 38% of spread bets at circa, but 91% of spread
- 18:01dollars. But I'm going money line here
- 18:03just to mitigate some risk and on the off chance of, hey, odds
- 18:06makers are saying it could be a a very close game based on the
- 18:08short number. So I want to make sure if the
- 18:10Chargers win by one that we win our bet instead of lose a -, 1
- 18:131/2. But another angle here from you
- 18:15with the Chargers is a correlative betting favorite,
- 18:18high total, high total in this one of 48 1/2, a nearly 50 total
- 18:23with a favorite of just -1 1/2. So that's usually a good sign.
- 18:26More points scored makes it theoretically easier for the
- 18:29favorite to cover that number. And also another angle here is
- 18:34when both teams are coming off a win, all you got to do is just
- 18:38take the favorite. It's a very simple system, but
- 18:40both off a win, take the favorite.
- 18:42That's 98 and 3872% straight up with an 8% ROI since 2022.
- 18:48And oh, by the way, this is going to get you excited.
- 18:50Chargers are -1 1/2 in the market.
- 18:53But but we have our friends at Rhythm saying they should be
- 18:55-2.1 or -2.4. And also one of the system
- 19:00matches on the Chargers is a smart signal.
- 19:03So if you don't know about smart signals, they're basically the
- 19:05best of the best. There's only a few of them.
- 19:07Best of the best, the Rhythm hands out here.
- 19:09So public Oliver Colts lines inching up toward the Chargers.
- 19:13I'm going Chargers money line around -125 -, 130.
- 19:18And then last bet here, I'm going to go with the Carolina
- 19:22Panthers. Carolina Panthers are on the
- 19:25road at the New York Jets. And this is a classic dog to
- 19:28fave line move in favor of the Carolina Panthers because the
- 19:31Panthers, the Panthers in the spot.
- 19:35Let me just pull it up here, give you some background.
- 19:38This is the one game I didn't write about for the sharp
- 19:40report, but for visen.com. But I I did put in because I'm
- 19:44going to tell you a big reason why I like it.
- 19:46But the Panthers are coming in three and three and they just
- 19:49had a big win out right for US against Dallas 30 to 27 getting
- 19:53the 3 1/2. You know, all jets just lost the
- 19:56Denver 1311. They did cover.
- 19:57I think they were +7 in that game, but they're O and six on
- 20:00the year and they just came back from.
- 20:03Where was that game? Was it London or was it was it
- 20:07Ireland? I was England, Tottenham Hotspur
- 20:10stadium. But anyway, there's a classic
- 20:12dog to fave line move. We open this game Jets.
- 20:15Only 2 1/2 point favorite at home.
- 20:17We've now flipped to Carolina around -1 1/2 on the road.
- 20:21So anytime you go dog to fave, you get me excited because it
- 20:23takes a lot of respected money to flip A-Team that's designated
- 20:27as a dog to then be a favorite. I look at the splits here with
- 20:31the Panthers. Don't love this 70% of spread
- 20:34bets, but 84% of spread dollars at DraftKings on the Panthers.
- 20:38And then you look at circa 90% of bets, 99% of dollars on the
- 20:43Panthers. So I don't love that little bit
- 20:46public there. It gives me a bit of heartburn.
- 20:48But you do look at Carolina as a non conference favorite.
- 20:51So non conference favorite straight up are 69% since 2020.
- 20:55But here's the big kicker for me, this is a Green Star
- 20:59recommended play from Juice from Rhythm.
- 21:01And it is also a smart signal. So we had a really good smart
- 21:04signal on the Chargers, smart signal on the Panthers.
- 21:08And Rhythm has Panthers -1.8 or -1.9.
- 21:12So again, if Justin Fields and The Jets beat me, I'll have to
- 21:15tip my cap. But Carolina's been kind of
- 21:18coming on strong here recently. I think they've won like 3 of
- 21:20their last four. Yeah, beat Atlanta, beat Miami,
- 21:24beat Dallas. So let's see if hopefully Bryce
- 21:27Young and Carolina can take down The Jets this weekend.
- 21:30So I did put in Panthers again, money line.
- 21:33I'm not laying the 1 1/2 and then seeing them maybe win by 1
- 21:37and lose our ticket here. Again, crazy things happen with
- 21:39Carolina here on the money line. I think you can get them around
- 21:44-120 looks to be your best number here.
- 21:48And I just wanted to double check.
- 21:50Yeah -120 -, 125. So let's go Panthers.
- 21:55So Delaware money line tonight, guys keeping an eye on maybe a
- 21:59gross Bengals play tomorrow. Let's see where the next line
- 22:02move goes cuz I'll be a division dog as well as I think Rhythm
- 22:06has around a 4 1/2 point game. But Delaware tonight, Jags plus
- 22:103 Browns money line, Chargers money line, Panthers money line.
- 22:16Those are some early plays that you are welcome to sweat with me
- 22:19or fade. Do whatever you like, but that's
- 22:20what I'm looking at for this weekend.
- 22:23So that about does it for episode 374 of the All Systems
- 22:27Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 22:29This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
- 22:32always start first by saying thank you.
- 22:34Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
- 22:36busy lives. Now you got a lot going on, but
- 22:38you devote about 20 to 30 minutes each day to pull up a
- 22:42chair to the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven
- 22:44breakdowns with me. And that means a lot to me.
- 22:46So thank you if you do want to help me grow this pod, If you've
- 22:50been having some good success recently on our hot streak, you
- 22:53know what you should do? You should give this podcast a
- 22:55five star review and you guys must be listening because I
- 22:57picked up another couple five star reviews overnight.
- 23:00So thank you. Think we're up to 331 five star
- 23:03reviews on Spotify. We can also give a five star
- 23:06review on iTunes. You can click the follow button.
- 23:09Recommend the pod to a friend. Word of mouth is always great,
- 23:13but I do appreciate you guys so much tuning in and and winning
- 23:16together. That's the most appealing thing
- 23:18to me. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 23:21betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting,
- 23:24focusing on line movement, bet split system matches, rhythm,
- 23:27juice reel betting games with our head and not our heart.
- 23:30Focusing on what the market is telling us, not what our biases
- 23:33are telling us. This style of betting has
- 23:35appealed to you. You've seen the fruits of the
- 23:37labor. You've started to cash more
- 23:39tickets, beat, meet more closing lines.
- 23:41It's provided you a blueprint to attack the market.
- 23:43If that's the case and you want to let me know you appreciate
- 23:46the pod, please go to Amazon.com and type in the NFL Sharp
- 23:50Betting Playbook. It's my new book.
- 23:52It's about two months old at this point, but it's got
- 23:54everything. I've learned how to bet the NFL
- 23:56from a data-driven perspective. So pick a copy up for you or a
- 24:00buddy. If you also want to pick up my
- 24:02first book on Amazon, it's called the Everything Guide to
- 24:05Sports Betting. That would also be pretty
- 24:08awesome of you to do. So grab one or both of my books,
- 24:11give them a five star review on Amazon and then bring them the
- 24:14sports book. I'll sign them for you.
- 24:15I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
- 24:18together. We'll sweat the Blue Hens
- 24:19together tonight. Next, do you have Juice Reel and
- 24:23Rhythm, my two favorite sports betting apps.
- 24:25Have you downloaded them yet? Reminder, we have our 6:00 PM
- 24:27live stream tomorrow night. Myself and my buddy Kate Harper
- 24:31for the Rhythm rundown. So looking forward to that.
- 24:33All you got to do is just log into Twitter. 6:00 PM.
- 24:36We'll go live. Come on, jump in.
- 24:38You can ask a question. You'll hear the breakdowns.
- 24:40If you haven't done it yet, download Rhythm.
- 24:42Rhythm does a great job of powering this pod.
- 24:43Again, Rhythm had around a 50.8 total in the FIU game.
- 24:49We had under 56 1/2. That provided an edge.
- 24:51So right there, that's how you can use Rhythm to your
- 24:53advantage. Part of your handicapping to
- 24:56help you cash a ticket. But then also Juice Reel.
- 24:59Juice Reel has so many different great features.
- 25:01But if if you've been running hot like we have on the pod and
- 25:03you've been get making some extra scratch please I would
- 25:06love for you to sign up to get the official all systems go best
- 25:10bet picks from the juice rail page.
- 25:12It costs $4.99 a week so basically 5 bucks cup of coffee.
- 25:17You will get all of the best bets.
- 25:19As soon as I make them. My sports books are synced up.
- 25:22You should do that as well. It goes from my betting account
- 25:25right to the juice rail page and again, you'll get those plays
- 25:28and hopefully beat closing lines and you can sport the pod as
- 25:32well. But you're also going to get the
- 25:33robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the
- 25:35arbitrage plays, the shop for the best line features, all
- 25:38available when you download Juice reel.
- 25:40So download rhythm, download Juice reel, give them a five
- 25:43star review in the App Store. Next you have a live odds page.
- 25:47If you don't have one, you need one.
- 25:48If you want to track the market and make data-driven plays, you
- 25:52need access to track the market and you can do that with a live
- 25:55odds page. So there's a lot of them out
- 25:56there, but the best one is odds logic.
- 26:00You can easily quickly see which direction the line is moved.
- 26:02You can see big money coming in when odds get lit up in red.
- 26:06You can identify steam, you can get live scoring, live in game
- 26:09wagering odds. You can shop for the best price,
- 26:11find that best number. Super, super important.
- 26:14But it is really one of my favorite tools to to track the
- 26:18market and you got to have it and it's going to help you,
- 26:20trust me. So if you want to give it a
- 26:22shot, there's a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month of
- 26:25service if you just go to oddslogic.com slash Josh 123 and
- 26:32again, that's a 70 free trial, 50% off your first month of
- 26:36service. Lastly, do you know what a
- 26:39betting exchange is a little bit different from a sports book,
- 26:42but it kind of is the same thing.
- 26:43It operates in the same way, but in, you know, again, you
- 26:46download it, you fund your account like you would an online
- 26:48book, but you're not betting against the house, you're
- 26:51betting against fellow betters. So you're getting better prices
- 26:54and better numbers because you don't have to pay the -110 -,
- 26:57115 -, 120 juice. So for example, Delaware on the
- 27:03on the spread is -2 1/2 -, 111. If you look across the market,
- 27:07that's at Novig, pretty much everywhere across the market is
- 27:11-3 or it's -2 1/2 at you know -120 or if you look at the money
- 27:17line -136 you look at the market everywhere else, it's like -140
- 27:22-, 150. So you can get better numbers,
- 27:25which increases your chances of winning in your payouts by
- 27:29signing up to to get a Novig account.
- 27:32So download Novig NOVIG and fund your account.
- 27:36When you put in the promo code, make sure you use Josh 123 to
- 27:40give you 100% deposit match up to 25 bucks.
- 27:44So that about does it for today's pod, episode 374 of the
- 27:47ASG Pod on a big Wednesday. As always, guys, two final
- 27:51thoughts. Whether I see you at the Borgata
- 27:53in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New
- 27:56Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the
- 27:59Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield or
- 28:03the Nash and my neck of the woods in Nash in the border of
- 28:07Massachusetts in New Hampshire. We're out in the desert where
- 28:09the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends his
- 28:11number runners, where the lowest use possible is found at the
- 28:14South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
- 28:18stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 28:19Circa, you're going to walk up to me and you're going to show
- 28:22me a beautiful, beautiful under 56 1/2 under 55 1/2 FIU Western
- 28:28Kentucky ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
- 28:31you. And now we'll we'll sweat the
- 28:32Blue Hens hopefully to get a winner here for tonight.
- 28:36So as always, guys coming off A1 and O or an O and one, a great
- 28:40night, a terrible night, a great winning streak, a terrible
- 28:42losing streak. Whether you're hot, cold,
- 28:44somewhere in the middle, never get too high, never get too low,
- 28:47always stay even keeled, stay modest and humble.
- 28:52Don't get arrogant. When things are going well, I'll
- 28:54be honest, it's feeling great right now.
- 28:56Feel like we're picking our spots very, very well.
- 28:58But anytime you get arrogant, you think it's easy, that's when
- 29:01a losing streak will come and grab you.
- 29:02So stick to the model, stick to the blueprint, flat betting,
- 29:05playing the system matches, laying off the games that have
- 29:08red flags and you guys might know what that sounds like by
- 29:11now. Games that fit our model, which
- 29:12are against the public with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
- 29:16avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 29:19to be successful sports betters. So have a fantastic Wednesday
- 29:22night, everybody go Blue Hens and we right back at it tomorrow
- 29:26for episode 375 on a big Thursday of the all systems go
- 29:30sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
- 29:32Good luck everybody and have a great Wednesday night.