Latest / The President's Daily Brief / September 28th, 2026: Trump Rejects Iran’s Deal & Explosives Arrests Near U.S. Air Base
Transcript
- 0:12It's Monday,
- 0:13the twenty-eighth of September.
- 0:15Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
- 0:17I'm Mike Baker,
- 0:18your eyes and ears on the world stage,
- 0:20and yes,
- 0:21still on the road,
- 0:22and well,
- 0:23yes,
- 0:23I'm still recovering from the weekend's painful
- 0:26Ole Miss loss to Florida.
- 0:29But to be fair,
- 0:30to give them credit,
- 0:30Florida played
- 0:31a very fine game,
- 0:33and as they say,
- 0:35hotty toddy.
- 0:36All right,
- 0:36let's get briefed.
- 0:37First up,
- 0:38President Trump shuts down Iran's latest peace proposal.
- 0:42Rejecting a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as US officials say that
- 0:46renewed American strikes could follow the midterm elections.
- 0:50Later in the show,
- 0:50British police arrest several men on
- 0:53suspected terrorism charges near RAF Fairford.
- 0:56That's the air base used by the US
- 0:59to strike targets in Iran.
- 1:01Plus,
- 1:02President Trump presses Zelensky and Putin
- 1:04to make a deal as Russia and Ukraine intensify their long-range strikes.
- 1:09Hitting cities and infrastructure and oil facilities far from the front.
- 1:13And in today's back in the brief
- 1:15we revisit a tragic event
- 1:17that has mostly disappeared from the headlines,
- 1:20an update on the deadly floods in Nepal,
- 1:23where thousands remain missing
- 1:25a month after the disaster.
- 1:27But first,
- 1:28today's PDB spotlight.
- 1:30President Trump has reportedly rejected Iran's latest proposal
- 1:34to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and begin winding down the war,
- 1:38apparently betting
- 1:39that Washington has more leverage right now and that there's little reason
- 1:43to give that leverage away.
- 1:45The proposal was fairly straightforward.
- 1:46Iran offered a 7 day pause in the fighting,
- 1:497 days,
- 1:51along with reopening the Strait of Hormuz
- 1:53and beginning broader negotiations that could possibly
- 1:57sometime
- 1:58include its nuclear program.
- 1:59In return,
- 2:00the regime wanted the US to lift its naval blockade,
- 2:03ease sanctions on Iranian oil,
- 2:05and unfreeze some Iranian assets.
- 2:08Trump's answer.
- 2:09It was no.
- 2:10Speaking to reporters Saturday,
- 2:12the president said he had rejected the deal
- 2:14and argued that Iran was coming forward because its economy was being squeezed.
- 2:18His position,
- 2:19at least publicly,
- 2:20is that Tehran needs an agreement more urgently than Washington does.
- 2:25As we've been reporting here on the PDB,
- 2:27the US blockade has sharply restricted Iran's
- 2:29ability to move oil and generate revenue.
- 2:32Sanctions are adding to the pressure.
- 2:34Inflation is running at extraordinary levels.
- 2:37The Iranian currency has fallen sharply.
- 2:39Fuel prices have climbed,
- 2:41and the country's broader economy has been deteriorating.
- 2:44So from the administration's perspective,
- 2:47the pressure campaign appears to be doing exactly what it was designed to do.
- 2:51Make the cost of continuing this war
- 2:53increasingly difficult for Tehran to absorb.
- 2:56That helps explain why Trump may see no reason to lift the blockade
- 3:00simply because Iran has offered to reopen the strait.
- 3:04And there's another factor here.
- 3:06Washington has spent months trying to reduce the leverage that Iran gained
- 3:10by choking traffic through the strait.
- 3:12The US and its partners have managed to keep
- 3:14some shipping moving
- 3:16despite Iranian threats,
- 3:17which means the pressure for Washington to strike a deal
- 3:21may not be what it was earlier in the conflict.
- 3:24The Wall Street Journal reports that
- 3:26President Trump has privately told aides he
- 3:29believes that renewed US bombing of Iran
- 3:32is likely after the November midterm elections.
- 3:35Now that doesn't mean that a decision has been made.
- 3:38The same reporting says that Trump remains reluctant
- 3:41to launch another major combat operation
- 3:43in part because Washington wants to conserve munitions
- 3:47for other possible contingencies.
- 3:49And at the same time talks are reportedly still continuing through mediators,
- 3:55so what we're saying is not necessarily Trump abandoning diplomacy.
- 3:58It looks more like an effort to keep all three options open at once
- 4:02keep negotiating in some fashion,
- 4:04maintain the economic squeeze,
- 4:06and preserve the threat of another military campaign
- 4:09if Iran refuses Washington's terms.
- 4:12The other question,
- 4:13and one we've raised here before on the PDB,
- 4:16is who exactly has the authority in Tehran
- 4:19to make those terms for a deal.
- 4:21Iranian President Massoud Pazashkian
- 4:24says his government is ready to negotiate,
- 4:26but is he in charge?
- 4:28Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi has been carrying proposals to mediators
- 4:31and arguing publicly that diplomacy is the way out.
- 4:35But
- 4:36does Aragchi have any juice in that new regime?
- 4:39But Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps,
- 4:41the IRGC,
- 4:42has taken on an increasingly powerful role since this war began,
- 4:46and the IRGC
- 4:47is sending a very different message.
- 4:49According to the journal,
- 4:51Iranian diplomats have acknowledged the
- 4:53country's deepening economic problems and
- 4:55presented several proposals for ending the war,
- 4:58but the IRGC has said it's prepared for a long conflict
- 5:02and is resisting new formulas for an agreement.
- 5:05Not to mention,
- 5:06of course,
- 5:06the issue of Mushtab ur Khamenei,
- 5:09the clawed reins of ayatollahs,
- 5:11neither seen nor heard from
- 5:13since being named the new Supreme Leader.
- 5:16That leaves a basic question unanswered,
- 5:18of course.
- 5:19When Iran's diplomats put an offer on the table,
- 5:21does it mean anything
- 5:23if those diplomats aren't actually in charge?
- 5:25And that uncertainty complicates Washington's calculation.
- 5:29The administration may believe that enough economic pressure will
- 5:33eventually force the regime to accept more favorable terms.
- 5:36But if different factions inside the Iranian leadership have different
- 5:40ideas about how much pain the country should absorb or
- 5:43What concessions Iran can make,
- 5:45then squeezing harder
- 5:47does not automatically produce an agreement.
- 5:50But
- 5:50for now,
- 5:51Trump seems willing to maintain the pressure.
- 5:55All right.
- 5:56Coming up next,
- 5:57arrests near the British air base used by the US for strikes on Iran,
- 6:02and President Trump pushes Presidents Putin and Zelensky to sit down and make a deal
- 6:06while Russia and Ukraine
- 6:08continue their long-range bombing campaigns.
- 6:11I'll be right back.
- 6:14Hey Mike Baker here.
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- 7:19Welcome back to the BDB.
- 7:21British counterterrorism police are investigating a
- 7:23major security incident outside RAF Fairford.
- 7:27That's a key air base
- 7:29American bombers have been using in the war against Iran.
- 7:32Now 5 men were reportedly arrested early
- 7:34Sunday on suspicion of explosives offenses.
- 7:38After police received reports of 3 suspicious vehicles near the base,
- 7:43authorities evacuated dozens of nearby homes,
- 7:45established a security cordon,
- 7:47and brought in an Army explosive ordinance team
- 7:50to examine the vehicles.
- 7:52Footage from the scene.
- 7:53Showed 3 white vans near the base with a bomb disposal robot moving around them.
- 7:58Armed police blocked roads into the area.
- 8:01Helicopters were overhead and roughly
- 8:0330 emergency vehicles reportedly responded.
- 8:06Police say the immediate situation appears to be contained,
- 8:09but counterterrorism investigators are now trying to determine
- 8:12exactly what the men were doing there,
- 8:14what was inside those vans,
- 8:15and
- 8:15whether
- 8:16the air base was actually their intended target.
- 8:20RAF Fairfoot is one of the most important American bomber facilities in Europe.
- 8:24It serves as a forward operating base for US Air Force Global Strike Command,
- 8:29allowing American long-range bombers
- 8:31to deploy much closer to potential targets and particularly in the Middle East.
- 8:37During the war with Iran,
- 8:38Britain authorized the US
- 8:40to use Fairford for strikes against Iranian missile sites,
- 8:43including
- 8:44targets connected to attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
- 8:48American B-1 bombers have operated from the base,
- 8:50and
- 8:51a B-1 was sitting on the flight line there Sunday
- 8:54as police worked outside the perimeter.
- 8:57Iran has also specifically threatened bases like RAF Fairford.
- 9:01Back in July,
- 9:02Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps,
- 9:04the IRGC,
- 9:05warned that
- 9:05any foreign base used to launch attacks against Iranian territory
- 9:09could be considered a legitimate target.
- 9:12Britain responded at the time by saying its armed forces
- 9:15were prepared to defend the country against threats at home or abroad.
- 9:19So investigators are going to be
- 9:21looking very closely,
- 9:22of course,
- 9:22at whether there is any connection between Sunday's arrest
- 9:25and the broader threat environment.
- 9:28But at this point,
- 9:29well,
- 9:29there's no public evidence tying these men to Iran.
- 9:32Their identities and nationalities have not been released yet.
- 9:35Police have not said whether they've
- 9:37found a functioning explosive device or devices,
- 9:40and they've not confirmed that
- 9:41RAF Fairford itself was the intended target.
- 9:44And they have not publicly identified a motive.
- 9:48So as you can see,
- 9:49it's early days in the investigation.
- 9:51British reporting says investigators are
- 9:53examining materials seized after the arrests
- 9:56to determine whether they were dangerous and capable of being used in an attack.
- 10:00Security sources also say
- 10:02authorities are considering the possibility of foreign state involvement,
- 10:05including Iran,
- 10:06while keeping other possibilities on the table.
- 10:09Security around Fairfoot had apparently already
- 10:12been tightened before Sunday's incident.
- 10:14Residents told reporters that
- 10:16heavy vehicles had been placed across access points in recent weeks,
- 10:20and security has reportedly also been increased at other
- 10:23bases used by the US in the UK,
- 10:26including Laken Heath and Mildenhall.
- 10:28Officials haven't said those measures were connected
- 10:30to any specific intelligence about Sunday's suspects.
- 10:33They may just
- 10:34simply reflect the broader security environment.
- 10:37Surrounding American military facilities
- 10:40since the Iran War began.
- 10:42Now I want to switch the focus to the Ukraine conflict.
- 10:46President Trump said Saturday that he wants Presidents
- 10:48Zelensky and Putin to make a deal,
- 10:50telling reporters
- 10:51he hopes the two leaders can reach some kind of settlement
- 10:55before the winter sets in.
- 10:57But there is very little sign of de-escalation right now.
- 11:00Russian attacks killed 4 people across Ukraine on Saturday.
- 11:03That's according to Ukrainian officials,
- 11:05as Moscow continued its campaign of drone and
- 11:08missile strikes well beyond the front lines.
- 11:11Strikes also hit Kiev and the surrounding region,
- 11:13injuring civilians and damaging homes,
- 11:16offices,
- 11:16and other buildings.
- 11:18Russia's Defense Ministry claims one of its strikes in Kiev
- 11:21damaged a data center supporting mobile
- 11:23internet services and Starlink communications.
- 11:26Now we've not seen the depending confirmation of that claim,
- 11:29but if accurate,
- 11:30It would fit Moscow's broader effort
- 11:33to disrupt the communications and infrastructure
- 11:36that Ukraine relies on militarily and economically.
- 11:40Ukraine meanwhile continues taking the fight deep into Russia.
- 11:44Kiev says its long range drones struck a
- 11:46significant refinery in the southern Krasnodar region.
- 11:49Russian officials acknowledged drone attacks there,
- 11:52saying 3 people were killed and fires broke out at 2 industrial sites,
- 11:57although they did not provide details on exactly what was hit.
- 12:01Ukraine has spent months systematically targeting Russian refineries,
- 12:04oil depots,
- 12:05and other energy infrastructure.
- 12:07Just last weekend,
- 12:08a Ukrainian drone attack forced Moscow's major oil refinery
- 12:12to halt crude processing.
- 12:14That's according to industry sources cited by Reuters.
- 12:17With repairs expected to take several weeks
- 12:20for Kiev,
- 12:21these attacks provide one of the few ways to impose significant costs on Russia
- 12:25far beyond the front.
- 12:26They force Moscow to defend facilities hundreds of miles from Ukraine,
- 12:30disrupt fuel production,
- 12:32and
- 12:32put additional pressure on an economy
- 12:34already carrying the enormous cost
- 12:37of more than 4 years of Putin's war.
- 12:40But there is a complication here for Zelensky.
- 12:43Trump has been pressing Ukraine to scale
- 12:45back its attacks on Russian energy infrastructure
- 12:48as disruptions to Russian fuel production add more
- 12:50pressure to already tight global energy markets.
- 12:54Zelensky has indicated Ukraine could consider stopping those attacks,
- 12:58but only as part of a reciprocal arrangement in
- 13:01which Russia stops hitting Ukrainian energy infrastructure as well.
- 13:04And so far Moscow,
- 13:06no surprise,
- 13:06has shown little interest in that kind of pause.
- 13:09That becomes more important as winter approaches.
- 13:12Ukraine is already preparing
- 13:13for another Russian campaign against its power grid and heating systems
- 13:17and has been asking Washington for additional Patriot air defense systems
- 13:21to help protect critical infrastructure.
- 13:24So when Trump says he wants Zelensky and Putin to settle,
- 13:27the question is what does each side believe that
- 13:29it still has to gain before sitting down.
- 13:32Ukraine views its refinery campaign as leverage.
- 13:35Russia believes that
- 13:37continued drone and missile attacks can increase pressure
- 13:39on Kiev and further strain Ukraine's infrastructure,
- 13:42setting up the population,
- 13:43of course,
- 13:44for another difficult winter.
- 13:46And
- 13:46Putin has yet to show any inclination to back off from his long-held
- 13:51maximalist demands.
- 13:53And that leaves Washington trying to move both governments toward negotiations
- 13:57at the same time that both governments
- 13:59appear convinced they can still improve their position
- 14:02through force.
- 14:04All
- 14:04right.
- 14:05And in today's back of the brief,
- 14:07thousands remain missing in Nepal one month after that catastrophic flooding.
- 14:12More on that when we come back.
- 14:16Hey,
- 14:16Mike Baker here.
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- 16:37In today's back of the brief,
- 16:38I wanted to give an update on the situation in Nepal,
- 16:41where it's been just over 1 month
- 16:43since catastrophic floods tore through the Himalayas.
- 16:46And while the water has receded,
- 16:47the fallout from the disaster
- 16:49continues to unfold.
- 16:51Thousands remain missing.
- 16:52Families are still trying to identify the dead,
- 16:54and
- 16:55the country remains caught between rescue and recovery.
- 16:58That includes more than 5600 people still unaccounted for,
- 17:03with some believed to be trapped inside tunnels at
- 17:05six hydropower projects that were in the flood zone.
- 17:09Thousands of families have lost homes,
- 17:10relatives,
- 17:11and livelihoods,
- 17:12and
- 17:12Nepal's government says recovery and reconstruction
- 17:15could cost more than $4.7 billion.
- 17:19Now because this happened more than a month ago,
- 17:21it's worth taking a moment just to remember
- 17:23how the disaster unfolded
- 17:25on the morning of August 26th.
- 17:27An enormous section of bedrock and glacial ice broke away high in the Himalayas,
- 17:33sending a massive wall of rock and ice plunging roughly 4000 ft
- 17:37into the valley below.
- 17:39The impact was so powerful it generated seismic
- 17:42energy equal to a magnitude 5.2 earthquake,
- 17:45initially confusing regional sensors.
- 17:47The deadly debris first dammed a river and created a barrier lake.
- 17:52When that barrier gave way,
- 17:54another surge of deadly water,
- 17:56rock,
- 17:56and debris rushed down stream.
- 17:59Now one month later,
- 18:00Nepal is still very much in the middle of this disaster.
- 18:03The country is still trying to determine how many people it actually lost.
- 18:07The country's disaster management agency says only
- 18:09some 1450 bodies have been recovered.
- 18:12Only 112
- 18:14have been returned to relatives.
- 18:16More than 1300 others have been temporarily
- 18:18buried while authorities try to identify them,
- 18:21and that identification process has now become an international effort.
- 18:26At a police hospital
- 18:27near the affected area,
- 18:29relatives are providing DNA samples in tents set up outside the facility.
- 18:33Those samples are being compared with DNA
- 18:35collected from recovered remains,
- 18:37with experts from India,
- 18:38China,
- 18:39the US,
- 18:39Singapore,
- 18:40and South Korea
- 18:41helping with the work.
- 18:43A Nepalese roads engineer told the Associated Press that crews have been
- 18:47working with the country's army since the 2nd day after the floods
- 18:51to reopen access to affected areas.
- 18:53She says bridges are being built to
- 18:55help move relief supplies into the hardest hit communities.
- 18:59But even that work is difficult
- 19:01because of the ongoing monsoon season.
- 19:04And this is the disaster that Nepal's Prime Minister brought to the
- 19:07United Nations just last week using his first address to the General Assembly
- 19:11to call for greater international assistance and stronger regional cooperation,
- 19:16particularly amid the growing risk of glacial disasters and extreme weather.
- 19:21And then my friends,
- 19:22this is the President's Daily Brief for Monday,
- 19:24the 28th of September.
- 19:26If you have any questions or comments,
- 19:27please just reach out to me at PDB@thefirstv.com.
- 19:31And I hope you had a chance to catch this past weekend's PDB Situation Report.
- 19:35That of course is our
- 19:36much loved extended weekend show.
- 19:38If not,
- 19:39you can always
- 19:40catch it.
- 19:41Past episodes on our YouTube channel,
- 19:43just wander on over to YouTube.
- 19:44It's that easy and search up at President's Daily Brief
- 19:47or you can also catch it
- 19:49wherever you get your podcast stuff.
- 19:51I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back later today with the PDB
- 19:54afternoon bulletin.
- 19:55Until then,
- 19:56stay informed,
- 19:57stay safe,
- 19:58stay cool.