Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 483 - 4/2/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 483 of the all systems go sports betting
- 0:20podcast powered by rhythm. I am your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:30What's going on, everyone? Happy Thirsty Thursday.
- 0:33Another day here in the arena, guys.
- 0:35And because it is a Thursday, you know what that means?
- 0:37We have our regularly scheduled rhythm rundown tonight.
- 0:42That's right. Myself and my buddy Kate Harper
- 0:44getting right back to it. If you are not aware, that's OK.
- 0:48We've been doing it for quite a while, so you probably heard me
- 0:50talk about it, but every Thursday night we get together,
- 0:53we do a live stream on Twitter. You can follow me at Josh under
- 0:56score Insights and basically you log right in, you click the the
- 1:00profile icon, or you can just log into Twitter on the right
- 1:03side and it'll show like people who are streaming or people who
- 1:05are live, boom, you click it, get right in there and then Kate
- 1:09and I will be breaking down. In particular, the two March
- 1:12Madness games remaining. I guess there's one more
- 1:14championship game, but we got Final Four coming up on Saturday
- 1:18and we're still sitting, you know, Illinois short favorite,
- 1:20Michigan a short favorite. We're going to be talking about
- 1:23both games, side and total, and Arcade's got a couple plays
- 1:26here. I'm excited to pick his brain.
- 1:28But of course, the goal with the rhythm rundown is always to look
- 1:32through sports betting through the lens of rhythm and look
- 1:35toward some sharp angles and how we can use rhythm to our
- 1:38advantage. Help us cash some tickets.
- 1:40So we'll be talking Final Four. We're also going to be talking
- 1:42some Major League Baseball. I know it's a very, very small
- 1:45slate today. There's only three games.
- 1:47I blame once again, Major League Baseball.
- 1:49Why do you have three games today and 15 tomorrow?
- 1:52I feel like there should be a way you could give me like 7 or
- 1:558 games today. But hey, it is what it is.
- 1:58We'll be talking about a couple late games tonight on the rhythm
- 2:01rundown as well. So I always want to invite you
- 2:03guys, thank those of you who do TuneIn every Thursday night,
- 2:076:00 PM Eastern Time to seven. Last couple weeks it's been on
- 2:09Wednesdays because tournaments been going on on Thursdays.
- 2:12But six PM tonight, come on down and we'll be talking about Final
- 2:17Four and MLB through a rhythm betting perspective.
- 2:20And reminder, you can always download the rhythm app.
- 2:22It's RITHMM. You can use the promo code start
- 2:2525 to get 25% off. So hope to see you guys tonight
- 2:29at 6:00 PM. Now that being said, you might
- 2:31be like, Oh no, it's a sleepy day.
- 2:33It's not much going on on Thursday.
- 2:35There's only three games. Well, guess what?
- 2:37It ain't a sleepy day because I got plays on all three of these
- 2:39games. And again, if you only have a
- 2:41three-game slate, it's like, you know, you might have plays on
- 2:44every game. You might have no plays at all
- 2:45if there's nothing jumping out to us.
- 2:47But all three of these games I found an angle.
- 2:50So we're going to see as always, if we can go 2 and 1 eek out a
- 2:53winning day. So we'll start here pretty quick
- 2:56because there's a day game and then a couple night games I want
- 2:58to hit on. Now that being said, last couple
- 3:01nights guys, Monday night, Tuesday night, what were we
- 3:03saying? We're saying hey, one and two
- 3:04night, one and two night. You know, we just got to stick
- 3:07with it and we'll breakthrough. Well, that's exactly what we did
- 3:09last night. We got rewarded for sticking
- 3:11with it and breaking through. I would have taken a 2IN1
- 3:14winning night, but it's always nice when you can bust out the
- 3:17brooms. 3 and O + 2.76 units. You love to see it.
- 3:22Had a nice hit to start the day with Milwaukee -135 eight to
- 3:26two. It feels like they just
- 3:27dominated and blew him out right.
- 3:29Well, if you watch that game, they're down to nothing.
- 3:31They tied it 2:00 to 2:00 and then I think it was the 7th or
- 3:338th inning late in the game two to two game, they busted it
- 3:36open. Scored a bunch of runs the off
- 3:38of Griffin Jacks. So great hit there with
- 3:40Milwaukee 8 to 2 winner over Tampa.
- 3:42And then we had a couple dogs and both started barking for us.
- 3:45We had the new the Yankees plus one O 2 or plus 100, whatever
- 3:50number you might have gotten. But that was a play where we saw
- 3:53that line dip toward New York. They're matching a bunch of
- 3:56systems. We had a rhythm system play and
- 3:58the Yankees held on and won five to three.
- 4:00And then late night, man, great hit there with Kansas City.
- 4:03They made us sweat a little bit. They ended up winning 13 to 9.
- 4:07But at one point they're up 13 to 5.
- 4:09And it's like total snoozer actually, actually took my my
- 4:13baby girl. We went in our backroom and we
- 4:14were in the rocking chair and I'm like, OK, I can put this one
- 4:17away. Right?
- 4:1813 to 5. Nope.
- 4:19They scored a bunch of runs late.
- 4:21Made it interesting. Actually, I think they got the
- 4:23tying run on on base at one point, but Kansas City held on
- 4:27as a + 100 home dog. So nice little 3 and O sweep 3
- 4:30and O + 2.76 unit night. So after we bust out the brooms,
- 4:35hey, another sweep would be great, but we can't expect that.
- 4:37That's the thing with sports betting, you got to just have
- 4:40realistic expectations. The goal tonight, 2 and one, get
- 4:43this little hot streak going here.
- 4:45So that being said, let's waste no more time because there is a
- 4:48day game that I want to hit on and hopefully we can sweat it
- 4:50and hopefully cash. Fingers crossed when it's all
- 4:53said and done. So just mention the Twins in
- 4:56Kansas City. Well, that's your day game
- 4:57today. Let's talk Minnesota and the
- 4:59Royals 2:10 PM Eastern Time. First pitch, let's set the
- 5:02stage. Talk splits line movement system
- 5:05matches rhythm as well as juice rail and I'll give you my play
- 5:08here. So Royals come in three and two.
- 5:11They've taken the first two games of this three-game set.
- 5:13They won the opener 3 to 1 as a -165 home favorite.
- 5:17They won again for us yesterday, 13 and 9, actually closing
- 5:20around a -, 105. Home dog probably got plus 100
- 5:24there though. Now for tonight's series finale,
- 5:27we got the Twins, who are one and four go with the righty Taj
- 5:30Bradley. He's O&O with a 2 point O 8 ERA
- 5:33to start the year. He'll be opposed by the Royals
- 5:36lefty Cole Reagan's, who's O and one with an ERA of nine now.
- 5:40What do we see across the market here?
- 5:42Will this game open with the Kansas City Royals listed as low
- 5:45as a -, 145 home favorite Minnesota around a + 130 road
- 5:49dog. And again, you you've won the
- 5:52first two games, you're going for a sweep.
- 5:53It is a divisional matchup. You know which direction do the
- 5:56the sharps move this number? Well, the sharps are sticking
- 6:00with Kansas City and that's what I'm doing.
- 6:01Guys. Let's lay it with Kansas City
- 6:03because we've seen the Royals tick up -145 up to -155 S seen a
- 6:09little bit of line movement in their direction.
- 6:11What I really like about this line move toward KC is that you
- 6:14can combine it with a really sharp split at Circa.
- 6:17You go out in Vegas to Circa. Right now, 36% of money line
- 6:21bets, but 64% of money line dollars are laying it with
- 6:25Kansas City. So out in Vegas that tells me
- 6:27Circa big sharp book caters to wise guys, doesn't limit your
- 6:31action. Doing it the right way.
- 6:33I would I would argue only 1/3 of tickets but nearly 2/3 of
- 6:36money. So it tells me big money in the
- 6:39desert. Going with Kansas City now.
- 6:41I'm going to mention this because I want to do a better
- 6:42job of mentioning run lines. I didn't play the run line, I
- 6:45just went Kansas City -155 I did notice Royals -1 1/2 at plus
- 6:50one, 2577% bets, 87% dollars at DK.
- 6:56Lastly, good system match here. It's a pretty simple one, but
- 6:59home favorites. Again, home favorites.
- 7:01It feels really chalky. And in football, you know, you
- 7:04lay, you lay the points of the home favorite.
- 7:06Usually that's a big, big no no. Typically the road dogs do well.
- 7:09Again, that's a spread sport. But baseball, it's a little
- 7:12chalkier. You get the last at bat and
- 7:14you're expected to win. Those teams are 43 and 24 this
- 7:18year. Straight up 64% with a 3% ROI.
- 7:22Couple other advantages for Kansas City, better team batting
- 7:25average. They're hitting 244 as a club
- 7:28versus only 210 for Minnesota. Also better pitching staff, not
- 7:32by a ton, but 4.36 team ERA, 5 point O 5 for Minnesota.
- 7:38Also, we mentioned this yesterday, but if you remember,
- 7:41one of the reasons why we like that, you know, divisional dog
- 7:45sharp line move toward KC was that they had a lefty on the
- 7:48bump who's Noah Cameron. And we mentioned how the Royals
- 7:52or sorry, the Twins have not hit, hit lefties very well this
- 7:55year. Well, another lefty on the bump
- 7:58here, Cole Reagan's Minnesota is only hitting $1.83 against
- 8:02lefties this year. That ranks 25th in baseball.
- 8:05There's only 30 teams. So they're, you know, at the
- 8:07very, very bottom here facing another lefty.
- 8:10Lastly, again, might might mean nothing or I'll take it because
- 8:14again, it aligns with kind of the splits and system matches,
- 8:18But day games, Kansas City is 2 and O in day games, Minnesota is
- 8:221 and 3. So it's the final game of the
- 8:24series. Casey's going for a sweep.
- 8:27The line has moved in their direction.
- 8:28They got a really good bet split at Circa.
- 8:30You got a home favorite system match, better batting average,
- 8:33better ERA. Twins have struggled against
- 8:35lefties. And then, oh, by the way, I
- 8:37popped open Juice Reel and noticed a 23% sharp mush edge in
- 8:42favor of Kansas City. So 23% more of the sharper
- 8:45winning betters. Like you out there listening who
- 8:48I know have downloaded Juice Reel, synced up your books, also
- 8:50going with Kansas City. So we played them last night.
- 8:54Take us home another time here today.
- 8:56Fingers crossed. But I am on the Royals -155 in
- 8:59the early to 10:00 PM Eastern Time day game.
- 9:03Now we got to wait a while, but we got 2 late games here and I
- 9:06got plays on both of them. So let's talk 9:40 PM Eastern
- 9:09Time, the Atlanta Braves visiting the Arizona
- 9:12Diamondbacks. Now Braves come in four and two
- 9:15on the year. Just took two or three against
- 9:17the A's. They won the series finale 5 to
- 9:201 yesterday as a big -235 home favorite.
- 9:23You know all the snakes, three and three, but kind of crazy
- 9:26they started Owen 3 and then they swept the Tigers.
- 9:29So I am actually holding a Tigers over 85 1/2 wind total.
- 9:32So I didn't love seeing that. But they did sweep the Tigers 11
- 9:36nothing yesterday as a + 130 home dog.
- 9:39So pitching match up here for tonight.
- 9:41We have the Braves going with the righty Reynaldo Lopez.
- 9:45He's O&O with a 1.5 O ERA. He'll be opposed by the Snakes
- 9:49fellow righty Ryan Nelson, who's O&O with a 7.71 ERA now.
- 9:54What do we see across the market here?
- 9:56Well, this game opened with Atlanta elicited around a -, 125
- 10:00road favorite, the snakes around a plus one O 5 home dog and the
- 10:04public is saying, yeah, nice little sweep you had against
- 10:07Detroit, Arizona, but Atlanta is the better team.
- 10:09Lopez has a great ERA. Ryan Nelson as ER, as in the
- 10:13sevens. One thing I would caution you
- 10:14though, you know, if you've only made a start or two, you're
- 10:17going to see some eras like close to 0 and some eras like
- 10:20Paul Skeens after he had his bad opening start as ERA, I don't
- 10:23know, it was like 67 or something.
- 10:25So don't overreact too much to early eras.
- 10:28It's going to even out over the course of the year.
- 10:30But anyway, public is saying give me Atlanta.
- 10:33Atlanta right now at DraftKings is getting 55% of money line
- 10:37bets. Now it's not overwhelmingly
- 10:38public, but it's clearly public going Atlanta.
- 10:41So we would expect, you know, Atlanta opens -125 maybe they're
- 10:45up to -130 -, 135. Nope.
- 10:48The lines go on the other way. This line is dropping toward the
- 10:52snakes. We've seen Atlanta fall from
- 10:55-125 to -120 I'm seeing some shops even get down closer to
- 10:59like -115 So the lines going, dropping away from Atlanta and
- 11:04the payout on Arizona is getting, you know, less
- 11:08appetizing, but actually in a good way because Arizona at one
- 11:11point was like, you know, plus one O 5.
- 11:14Now I'm seeing Arizona plus 100. I'm even seeing some shops go to
- 11:18Arizona, you know, minus one O 2.
- 11:20So they're kind of hopping the fence.
- 11:21They're not dog to fave. They're still a dog.
- 11:23But the payouts getting smaller, that tells me we have a classic
- 11:27RLM play reverse line move when you have the betting line go
- 11:30away from the popular side, Atlanta toward the unpopular
- 11:33side Arizona. So it tells me we got smart
- 11:36money going with the snakes tonight.
- 11:38Now let's go to Circa. Really good split at Circa on
- 11:41the Arizona Diamondbacks. They're only getting 55% of
- 11:44money line bets, but 78% of money line dollars.
- 11:48So really good low bets, higher dollar split telling us those
- 11:51big money wagers in the desert. Also going with Arizona.
- 11:55You also look at some system matches here to that really
- 11:58jumped out to me. First one, when you have both
- 12:02teams coming off a win, take the home team.
- 12:04It's very simple. But that system is 117 and 7561%
- 12:09win rate, 11% ROI since 2025. And then another system which
- 12:14cashed with who was it with the Royals last night, short home
- 12:18dogs plus 120 or less, they are 291 and two, 5853%.
- 12:25And you know if you're, if you're above 50% on a dog
- 12:28system, you're really good because you're getting plus
- 12:30money. So that system, there's only 53%
- 12:33win rate, but because they're dogs, it's an 8% ROI.
- 12:37Arizona also has some correlative betting value.
- 12:39This is a kind of a high total of nine.
- 12:42Maybe some over money came in cuz I believe some books open 8
- 12:441/2, but more expected run scored.
- 12:47Again, more upset opportunities, more variants.
- 12:49So that would be a box checked off in favor of the snakes.
- 12:53Lastly, D backs 3 and O at home this year.
- 12:56Braves, meanwhile, they're playing their first Rd. game to
- 13:00add a little more fuel to the fire.
- 13:01Aside from the public Atlanta line going to Arizona, that's
- 13:04pretty much the biggest indicator to me.
- 13:06But also we have not nothing crazy, but a 3% sharp mush edge
- 13:12on Arizona at Juice rail. But this is what I really like.
- 13:15If you pop open rhythm Rhythm has three recommended systems
- 13:19all on Arizona and one of which is a really sharp Green Star
- 13:23recommended play with a predicted final of Arizona 4.6
- 13:28to Atlanta 3.7. So I'm going to take the plus
- 13:31money here. I got Arizona even plus 100.
- 13:34Definitely shop around because some books, you know, are kind
- 13:37of moving a bit here. But I took the plus money here
- 13:40again, reminds me of the the Royals from last night.
- 13:43So let's go snakes around plus 100.
- 13:47Last bet of the night, another late night game, 9:45 PM Eastern
- 13:50Time, first pitch. Let's talk about the Mets going
- 13:54to Frisco to play the Giants now.
- 13:57The Mets come in three and three on the year.
- 14:00Did drop two or three, however, against the Cardinals.
- 14:02They lost yesterday's series finale 2 to one and extra
- 14:05innings. They were a big -165 road
- 14:07favorite. Meanwhile, the G men two and
- 14:10four on the year, but they started pretty bad, got swept by
- 14:12the Yankees. They are kind of turning it
- 14:14around. They won two or three against
- 14:16the Padres. Didn't get the sweep though.
- 14:18They lost 7 to 1 yesterday as a + 125 road dog.
- 14:23So for the series opener here tonight, the Mets are going with
- 14:26the lefty David Peterson. O&O ERA of 0.00 had a good
- 14:31opening start. Meanwhile the G Men are going
- 14:34with the fellow southpaw Robbie Ray.
- 14:36Robbie Ray went is Owen one so far to start the year but 3.38
- 14:40ERA Respectable ERA what? Are we seeing across the market
- 14:43here? Well, this game opened with the
- 14:45New York Mets listed around a -, 130 road favorite, the G men
- 14:49around a + 110 home dog. And once again, you know, short
- 14:53Rd. favorite. Do you see the line go further
- 14:56up to the favorite because, hey, maybe wise guys have Mets -140
- 15:00-, 150 therefore pounce on them at -130 or do you kind of see it
- 15:04go the other way where wise guys are saying, hey, value here on
- 15:07the short dog? Well, looks like the ladder
- 15:09because this line is falling away from the Mets and going
- 15:12toward the San Francisco Giants. Again, make it easy on you.
- 15:16If you like Arizona, I think you like San Fran tonight.
- 15:18They're very similar because the public once again is going with
- 15:22the favorite right now. We got 60% of money line bets at
- 15:25DraftKings laying it with the Mets.
- 15:27However, Mets have fallen -130 down to -125 I'm even seeing
- 15:32some shops fall a little bit further.
- 15:35It's like -120 so the line is going away from the Mets even
- 15:39though they're getting majority of tickets and going toward San
- 15:42Fran. Tells me we got a sharp reverse
- 15:44line move on the G men here. Now go to Circa 55% money line
- 15:50bets on the Giants. So slightly, you know, slight
- 15:52majority, but it accounts for 84% of money line dollars.
- 15:57So a good low bets, high dollar split on the G men over at
- 16:01Circa. Then we got a bunch of good
- 16:03system matches here. Short Rd. dogs are sorry, short
- 16:06home dogs plus 1 + 120 or less. The same system that was with
- 16:11the Royals last night and the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- 16:14We just talked about them, that system again, 53%, 8% ROI since
- 16:192025, both teams coming off a loss.
- 16:23So I just told you a second ago, who was it?
- 16:26Let's see, let's see both off a win.
- 16:30Take the home team that was with Arizona.
- 16:32This system is when both teams are coming off a loss.
- 16:35Take the home dog. It's basically, hey, both are
- 16:38off a loss. You might as well take the the
- 16:40home team with some plus money. That system is 38 and 40.
- 16:43It's only a 49% win rate, but again, you're getting plus
- 16:47money, so it's actually an 8% generated ROI since the start of
- 16:512025. Lastly, anytime there's two
- 16:54lefties going at it, Peterson and Ray, I automatically just
- 16:57look at how these teams have hit against lefties.
- 17:00Neither of them are very good, but San Fran's a little bit
- 17:03better. They're hitting 200 against
- 17:04lefties. Again, sounds terrible, ranks
- 17:0623rd in baseball. But the Mets are hitting $1.67
- 17:10below the Mendoza Line. That's 26th in baseball.
- 17:15So Publix on the Mets, but line is dropping towards San Fran.
- 17:19I have three recommended all lining up perfectly rhythm
- 17:24system matches on San Fran, one of which is a Green Star
- 17:27recommended play. And that Green Star recommended
- 17:30play has a predicted final of Giants 4.2 to the Mets 3.8.
- 17:38So I know it sounds weird when you get the .8, obviously you
- 17:40can only score, you know, full integer runs there, but just
- 17:43goes to show you the model is showing value here on San Fran.
- 17:47So again, we had a couple dogs yesterday with the with the
- 17:50Yankees and the Royals got the Royals again here -155 today.
- 17:55But a couple dogs around even money, Arizona and San Fran.
- 17:59I got San Fran at plus one O 6. So again, just try to get as
- 18:02much plus money as you can. It might not seem like a big
- 18:05deal plus one O 6 versus plus one O 2.
- 18:08But again, just get always get in the habit of shopping around,
- 18:10having multiple outs, always betting the game at the best
- 18:13price. So Royals, Diamondbacks, giants
- 18:17see if we can get 2 out of 3 eke out a winning day on a big
- 18:21Thursday. So that about does it for
- 18:24episode 483 of the all systems go sports betting podcast
- 18:28powered by rhythm. As always, this the part of the
- 18:30pod where we wrap things up and I start first by saying thank
- 18:34you. Thank you for listening, thank
- 18:36you for tuning in, thank you for grinding in the arena with me
- 18:39every single day through the UPS and the downs, the days we grind
- 18:421 and twos and then the days where we're rewarded with A3, no
- 18:45sweep. Just got to stick with it and
- 18:47stick to the data, the blueprint, the model, the
- 18:50numbers, not our gut instinct and bias.
- 18:52But if you'd like to help me grow this podcast, you enjoy the
- 18:55insights, hopefully, please could you do me a favor, just go
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- 19:29Next, if you enjoy this style of sports betting, breakdown,
- 19:32data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting, you notice we don't
- 19:35talk parlays and leans and all this team is due.
- 19:38No, we're talking data because you're going to realize soon
- 19:41enough if you bet on sports enough that going with your gut
- 19:44and what you think will happen is, is usually a very bad idea.
- 19:48So we stick to the model, stick to the blueprint, stick to the
- 19:50numbers. I would have the style.
- 19:52Betting has appealed to you. It's provided you a blueprint.
- 19:55You want to let me know you appreciate the pod or you have
- 19:57someone in your life who could use some data-driven tips.
- 19:59Maybe you got an uncle or a cousin or you know someone you
- 20:02work with who likes to bet on sports, doesn't win a lot, wants
- 20:05to get better. Hey, get them one of my books.
- 20:08Go to Amazon.com, type in the everything guide to sports
- 20:12betting or the NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 20:14Grab one or both of my books. You'll make me happy and you'll
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- 20:21them to the sports book. Meet me at the Nash.
- 20:24Which isn't too far from my house on the border of
- 20:26Massachusetts and Nashville, New Hampshire.
- 20:28And we'll sweat some games together.
- 20:29We'll get a hot dog. We'll get a we'll get a beer or
- 20:32ginger ale and we'll sweat some baseball together next.
- 20:36Have you downloaded rhythm and juice real yet?
- 20:38Well, they're my two favorite sports betting apps.
- 20:40They help me win. They're going to help you win
- 20:42again. You look at yesterday we had a
- 20:44bunch of Green star recommended plays on KC, the Yankees,
- 20:47Milwaukee helped us cash those tickets.
- 20:49So if you haven't done it yet, go download rhythm RITHMM and
- 20:54you'll get those AI backed models and predictions for game
- 20:57bets and player props. And then also go download Juice
- 21:01Reel. Juice Reel is another great
- 21:02sports betting app that I rely on every day.
- 21:05First off, it's just great for singing up your sports books.
- 21:08So you sync up your books. You know, I have accounts at a
- 21:11bunch of different books and you know, FanDuel, DraftKings,
- 21:14Caesar's bet, MGM Fanatics, Bally bet.
- 21:17When I make a bet at any of those books, it goes
- 21:19automatically to the Juice Reel app.
- 21:22Then that app keeps me honest. It gives you my record.
- 21:25It gives you CLV, which is really cool.
- 21:29But that's a great feature that bet sync and report card daily
- 21:34action report. And then also you're going to
- 21:35get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
- 21:38indicators, the arbitrage plays the shop for the best line
- 21:41futures. And then, hey, if you had a
- 21:43sweep last night, you had a couple couple units in your
- 21:46pocket. If you would like to support
- 21:48this podcast, it's free. It cost you nothing.
- 21:51Hey, I love the five star reviews.
- 21:53I love the retweets, don't get me wrong.
- 21:55But if you really want to make my day, go purchase the ASG best
- 21:59bet picks from the Juicer Lab. It cost you 499 a week?
- 22:03No, not Vegas, Dave, $499 a week.
- 22:07Yeah, my whale package. Nope, $4.99 a week, 5 bucks a
- 22:12week. You'll get every play that I
- 22:14make, which are all the podcast plays, and you're going to get
- 22:16them a little bit earlier in the day.
- 22:18So hopefully we'll get some better numbers here, but that is
- 22:21again, 5 bucks a week for a full week of plays.
- 22:25So I would love for you guys to take advantage of that.
- 22:28So download rhythm, download Juice Shield, give them both a
- 22:31five star review in the App Store.
- 22:33Next, do you have a live odds page?
- 22:35If you don't have one, you need one.
- 22:37It's such a critical tool, super important.
- 22:39If you're going to bet on sports, you got to know the
- 22:41data, you got to know the market, you got to be able to
- 22:43track the market. You got to know when lines are
- 22:45moving. Once big steams coming in when
- 22:48juice prices are changing, you got to pull up the line history.
- 22:51OK, this team is -120 on the money line.
- 22:53Well, did they start -130 and fall to -120?
- 22:56Do they open at -115 and get up to -120?
- 23:00These are the questions you got to know the answers to before
- 23:03you get down on a game. So the best live odds page
- 23:05around, it's odds logic. I'd love for you guys to test it
- 23:09out. You'll be able to shop for the
- 23:10best line. You get all the major books and
- 23:12you'll be able to get that live in game wagering odds as well
- 23:15for every game. So if you want to give it a
- 23:17shot, I got a special link for you.
- 23:19Go to oddslogic.com/josh 123. That'll give you a 7 day free
- 23:25trial and 50% off your first month of service.
- 23:28Lastly, have you heard about Profit X?
- 23:31Profit X, which is not PROFIT profit but profit like like I
- 23:36don't know, like a biblical profit PROPHETX.
- 23:41Profit X is a betting exchange. So the big advantage with Profit
- 23:44X, I'm a proud affiliate of Profit X.
- 23:46Now you're going to get better money line prices, you're going
- 23:49to get better juice prices because you're not going up
- 23:51against the sports books who are going to force you to pay these,
- 23:54you know, big exorbitant amounts.
- 23:56But because you're in an exchange going up against other
- 23:58betters, you can be able to get better money line prices, better
- 24:02juice prices. So basically you can win at the
- 24:05same exact rate that you would at DraftKings or FanDuel, but
- 24:09you're going to make more money because you're you're laying
- 24:11less juice and you're getting more plus money.
- 24:13So I'm looking at it right now. Royals are -146 you know, every
- 24:18other book is -155 Diamondbacks, I got them plus 100.
- 24:22Profit X has them plus one O 9. Giants I got them plus one O 6.
- 24:27Profit X has them plus 1/12. So by getting away from the book
- 24:31and in the betting exchange, you won't get limited.
- 24:34If you win, you get better prices.
- 24:35Go download profit XPROPHETX and use the promo code Josh.
- 24:41When you fund your account, you know, get an extra 20% deposit
- 24:44match. So that about does it for
- 24:46episode 483 of the ASG pod. As always, guys, two final
- 24:50thoughts. One, whether I see you at the
- 24:52Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
- 24:55Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in
- 24:58Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park,
- 25:01Casino, MGM Springfield, or the Nash and my neck of the woods on
- 25:04the border of Massachusetts in New Hampshire.
- 25:07We're out in the desert where the true grinders get down,
- 25:09where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where the lowest
- 25:12juice possible is found at the South Point or Sweat and sharp
- 25:15contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when he
- 25:18cashed a big ticket at Circa. We're going to meet at the book.
- 25:21I'm going to see you across the way at the book.
- 25:24We're going to knock on the door at the janitor's closet.
- 25:26Knock, knock. We're going to say, hey, can I
- 25:28borrow your, can I borrow your broom for a second?
- 25:30I'm going to do a little Fred Astaire dance on the floor
- 25:32because we had a great sweep last night. 3 and O + 2.76
- 25:36units. Show me a Royals ticket, a
- 25:39Yankees ticket, a Brew Crew ticket.
- 25:41First one's on me, next one's on you.
- 25:43We'll post about the book so that Sharp can train plays all
- 25:46night long. So as always, guys coming off a
- 25:49three and O or an O and 3A2 and one or a one in one and two.
- 25:52A winning night, a losing night, a great night, a terrible night.
- 25:56Whether we're grinding those one in two days looking a
- 25:58breakthrough or whether we're, you know, hot as you know what
- 26:01and just can't miss, we just got to stick with it.
- 26:03We can't get too high when things are going well, can't get
- 26:05too low when things aren't going well.
- 26:07We just got to stick with it, stay disciplined with our
- 26:09bankroll management and keep playing the system matches.
- 26:12So you might know by now, but the games you're looking for are
- 26:15games that are against the public with the house, with the
- 26:18pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV.
- 26:21If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
- 26:25So hope everyone has a great Thursday night reminder. 6:00 PM
- 26:27Eastern Time live on Twitter. You can follow me at Josh under
- 26:30score insights. We will go live with the rhythm
- 26:33rundown. I hope to see you guys there and
- 26:35of course we'll be right back at it tomorrow.
- 26:37I'm already looking at the the baseball slate for tomorrow, 15
- 26:40games overall. So very much looking forward to
- 26:42that. And then we got final four on
- 26:43Saturday. So good stretch of betting here.
- 26:47And also I'll tell you this as we depart, I got my on the NFL
- 26:50draft. It will have some plays from the
- 26:52NFL draft. I'm monitoring everything.
- 26:54I hope everyone has a great Thursday night.
- 26:57I'll see you tomorrow for episode 484 of the All Systems
- 27:01Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 27:04Good luck everybody, and have a great Thirsty Thursday.