Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 11 Lines with Scooch and Chad

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NFL Week 11 Lines with Scooch and Chad · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite Podcast. I am Shad Milman of
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: the Action Network. It's Wednesday, which means it is Scooch
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Day joining me from the Orleans and all the boyd
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: gaming books around the country. Bookmaker to the World, as
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: anointed by me. Mr Bob Scoochy gets better every time
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: it does. How are you doing? Every time? I hear
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: it like, it's like epiphanies and horns and inspiration and
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: I I only want you to have something bigger than
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: this podcast. Honestly, that's pretty hard to do. That's about
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: as big as it gets. Well, it certainly made you
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: more famous than meet that. Come on, come on, come on.
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: Did you hear the review that we read on the
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: Friday edition of The Favorites last week? I'm sure you
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: didn't because you're not aware that these podcasts exists outside
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: of you're in particular time frame. But on Friday, Uh,
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: we read a review that somebody sent in that basically said,
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: I can't wait to come have uh scooches book the Odds,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: which I've already had scooch sign signed by everybody else
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: in the podcast, and then this person went on to
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: name everybody who does the podcast with us on Mondays
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: and everybody who does the podcast with us on Fridays.
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: The only person not named was me. Here, I'll read
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: it to you. I love the Friday podcast. If there
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: was a meet up so I could get my book
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: The Odds, which is already signed by Bob Scucci, signed
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: by black Jack Fletcher, also Paula Duca and Jeff Schwartz,
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: and most importantly Georgina. That would be great. Georgina is
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: like the voice of the voiceover of the podcast on Friday.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: I can't believe I have to explain the concept of
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: what happened on our Friday podcast to you on your
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: own podcast. You think that's great, it's great. Well, he
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: forgot you, apparently forgot you. I don't think it was forgetful.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: I think it was entire it's great. So I thought
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: last weekend Scooch was really interesting because there were a
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: lot of games where as you had said you would,
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: lines were inflated, um because the public was cash rich.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: The public was overconfident after a weekend in which like
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: eleven games in which the majority of tickets uh those
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: games covered. Um, so you know you had some huge
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: numbers you had. I think the Chargers were a betting tickets.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: I think the Falcons were over seventy. I think the
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: Chiefs were over seventy. The Patriots were over seventy. UM.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: Big weekend, a lot of big, big, big home dogs,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: a lot of big dogs. Generally, I didn't experiment where
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: I basically betted every scenario UH plus a couple other
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: bad ones, and then I ignored to others. Um, I
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: ignored the Chargers and I ignored the Seahawks. I would
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: have bet the Chargers. I would have bet the Seahawks.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: That was stupid of me. UM. I bet the Cardinals,
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: I wont. I bet the Browns I won. I bet
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: um the Bengals, I lost. Titans. I bet the Titans,
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: I won, and then I lost the Bengals, I lost
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: the Jets NUS seven, I lost the Bucks Redskins over,
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: and I lost the Dolphins plus nine and a half.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: So my point is that talk to me here because
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: the big numbers, like if I had only played what
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: against the public or the home dogs, I would have
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: done pretty well. Yeah, it was a big week for
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: us UH with a couple of the dogs winning the
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: game straight up. That always helps. So the Titans winning
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: straight up, the Browns winning straight up completely made the
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: day kind of similar to the week before in reverse,
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: where we were cooked by three of the games early
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: and then it didn't really matter what happened the rest
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: of the day. It was kind of the opposite here.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Once we had those two games that that one really
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: didn't matter too much the rest of the day. We
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: gave a bunch back. We lost all of the three
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: late games. The public was all over Seattle plus the
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: nine and a half plus nine against against the Rams.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: They were all over the Chargers, and they were all
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: over the Packers against the Dolphins. So we went oh
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: and three in the in the late games and still
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: managed to have what I consider the best UH Sunday
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: of the year, at least for us so far. And
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: UH partly was the Cowboys also winning straight up against
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. But but but yeah, it was a lot
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: of inflated lines. It wasn't our best bookmaking job. And
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: you know, I know it sounds it sounds funny. Sometimes
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: when you lose money, and I've said this before, sometimes
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: you're you're proud of the way you booked even when
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: you lose. But when you win money, I think we
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: gave too much back because of a lot of those
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: inflated lines. Uh, you know, probably a little gun shy
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: from the week before. Public lay in some of these
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: favorites at a seventy clip, and you tend to tend
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: to drift up on that line a little bit, especially
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: when you're not getting too much take back. And then
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: on the day of the game, we did get a
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: lot of take back, So I think I think we
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: probably gave a little bit too much away. But overall,
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: like I said, probably the best Sunday of the year,
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: best Sunday of the year. That is saying something going
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: into week ten, going into week eleven, coming out of
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: week ten, having your best Sunday of the year. You
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: mentioned it wasn't your best book making day. You talk
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: about the late games. Explain what went wrong from a
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: bookmaking perspective in those late games. So the bookmaking actually
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: wasn't bad in the in the in the three late games,
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: we just lost the three late games. The bookmaking was
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: bad on the games we won where we we didn't
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: sit tight on some of those numbers and and just
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: let people lay lay the favorites. Um. So you know,
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: we went to seven on the Patriots and probably took
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: too much back on the Titans. Uh, we we went
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: to six and a half on the Falcons. We opened
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: four and a half on on the Falcons, we went
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: to six and a half. I think we took too
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: much back at plus six and a half on the Browns.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: So that so the games we didn't do our best bookmaking.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: We're on games way actually won money on That's interesting.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: So like you got a little like you said, you
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: got gunshy, and like the money started coming in in
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: the favorites, and you move the number maybe a little
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: too quickly or too high, and then some money started
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: coming in and the dogs and a couple of those dogs,
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: like the Titans, for sure, that number moved a lot.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: The Browns, for sure, that number moved quite a bit. Uh.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: You ended up losing because you you left the door
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: open for people to take the dogs. Yeah. And it's
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: it's basically a lot of the professional betters that are
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: that are you know, picking these these numbers at their
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: very highest in which we've always talked about if you're
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: gonna bet a lot of these dogs, you've bet them
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: late right before game time, and you're probably going to
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: get the best number, um even early on the Thursday
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: night game. We opened the Pittsburgh Steelers up at five
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: and a half and uh, the sharp guys were all
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: over the Panthers and drove that number down the three
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: and a half and we we started taking way too
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: much money on the Steelers at minus three and a half.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: There's just you know, we're giving we're getting off the decision.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: You know, we had a decision early on in the week,
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: and that's what made us make the Steelers such a
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: high favorite at five and a half. And then to
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: give it all back right before game time at minus
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: three and a half didn't didn't make sense. So we
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: had to just you know, jack it up an hour
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: or two before kickoff and uh, and then ended up
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: having a pretty good game with with the Steelers too.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: All right, here's a great story, germane to this conversation
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: that we have on the Action Network right now, the
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: Los Angeles Rams, and it pertains to the biggest game
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: of the year. The Los Angeles Rams are historically the
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: worst team against the spread for any team that has
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: started as fast as they have once the last time
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: they covered the spread. They didn't do it last week,
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: they didn't do it there before they didn't do it
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: the week before that. I don't think they did it
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: the week before that. It's been like at least a month, Yeah,
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: it has. I mean going back to uh, before the
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: Saints game before the Broncos. The Broncos covered, right, So
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: uh yeah, it's been a while. So that brings me
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: to it. There's two things that are in the news
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: that we're gonna talk about in these games. Um. Number one,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: let's get started, because uh, We're gonna start with the
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: Thursday night game. Huge game. I love this game. Seattle
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: is two and a half point favorite over Green Bay
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: in Seattle Thursday night. I love the Seahawks in this game. Yeah, yeah,
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: you have to. Uh, but the uh and and the
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: public actually has been on the Seahawks even in some
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: of the games that they lose, kind of opposite to
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: what you just said. With the Rams, They're they're not
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: winning these games, but they're they're they're covering. So uh,
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: last week they found a lot of value with the
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: Seahawks getting so many points against the Rams, and then
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: they were also all over the Packers against the Dolphins.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: But in this one, it's a very just evenly matched game.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: Basically a pick them game. So, uh the ticket counts
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: pretty even slightly heavier on the Seahawks, but only because
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: they're at home, I think. But I think you have
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: to like the Seahawks at home. Here, Um, packers are
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: kind of banged up, their secondaries banged up, got a
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: lot of guys each game, they're losing another couple of
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: guys here and there, so, um, none of the key players,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: but just you know, a lot of a lot of secondaries, linemen,
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: and uh so we we tried to be a little
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: higher on the Seahawks because it's basically a pick them game.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: So laying two and a half, I think it's a
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: good number. I think that's a really good number. As
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: we talk about it, I kind of want to allegedly
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: bet it allegedly your attention, please, Dad is making a bet.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: Allegedly Allegedly I'm going to make a bet, do you
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: know what I mean? Alleged? Who was that that? Yeah
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: that's Georgina. Uh oh, Georgie and I'm sorry Georgina. Yeah, Scooch,
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: that's who. It was nice to get to another podcast.
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: There you go. Yes, it is m all right, all right,
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: So if I'm allegedly betting on Seattle, let's get to know.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: Let's move on to the Sunday games. Minnesota is a
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: three point dog at the Chicago Bears. The Battle for
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: the NF scene or Rumbling, bumbling, stumbling, black and Blue.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: This game really does look like a brute because the
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: Bears are like dark Navy and the Vikings are purple,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: and so it could be the bruise game. So I
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: really wanted to hang this game a little higher because
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: I thought the public would just be all over the
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Bears the way the Bears have been playing. And uh,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: but I hung. I hung three, and right out of
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: the gate we got a lot of sharp money on
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: the Vikings at plus three. So yeah, the I don't
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: want to get off the number three here. I'll just
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: move money. As they're they're betting that the Vikings plus
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the three, I'll just move it to minus twenty. And
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: I don't want to get in a situation where I'm
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: bouncing back and forth between two and a half and three,
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: because the public is going to be on the Bears
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: here probably at a at a two to one clip,
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: and uh, I just don't want to get caught in
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: a situation where false three and this is this game
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: has three written all over it, so, um, another solid number.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I don't think we I don't think you're going to
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: see a lot of these lines moving the way you
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: do early in the season. I think kind of we
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: got a pretty good beat on it. This is gonna
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: be an epic Sunday night game. Oh my god, I'm
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: gonna have to stay up late for this game. Which
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: one the late game the Vikings, because that's the late
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: game Lake game. Yeah, I got it, Sunday night on
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: the East Coast. As you staying up late, I'm trying
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: to think I'll staying up exactly. You're a Bears fan
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: trying a Bear Scott. Wow, you remember something about me? Yeah, occasionally,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: it's nice to know. It's nice tonight you remember the
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: little people? Yeah. Houston is a three point favorite on
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: the road against the Washington Redskins. I find everything about
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: the bookmaking here to be fascinating, Scooch fascinating. Nobody wants
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: to give the Washington Redskins any respect at all for
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: being in first place, for winning games on the road,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: for winning games at home that they're supposed to win,
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: for winning against teams that they're supposed to beat, for
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: winning hard games. The Texans have one, I don't know,
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: five in a row, six in a row, whatever it is.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: They haven't beat great teams. They had a really good
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: game in Denver, but Denver, like the Broncos defensive line
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: destroyed the Texans offensive line and that should have been
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: a game where the Broncos came away with a win.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: And so I feel like a huge advantage to the
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Redskins in this game. Yeah, it's not going to be
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: one of those real high profile games, uh, compared to
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: some of the other games on the board here, But
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: this is You're right, it is a really interesting one.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: It's it's very rare that we make a team a
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: road favorite that isn't uh, you know, one of the
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: top tier teams at which I don't consider the Texans
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: yet one of the top tier teams, and here they
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: are land points on the Yeah. So so if there's
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: any value on this one, it's gonna be on the Redskins.
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: But for the casual fan, uh, they're gonna they're gonna
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: bet the Texans. So this line is just more reflective
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: of where um it's kind of the public. The casual
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: fan is going to come in and bet and uh,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: we are, we are going to see a ticket account
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: of about three to one Texans to Redskins. I don't
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: think we want to go to three because we're just
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: inviting all these sharp guys that kind of had to
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: feel day last week. They're gonna have a field day
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: with some of these lines that are on key numbers
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: this week. So another game where I prefer to stay
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: at two and a half and not bounce back and
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: forth to three. Where do you think the wise guys
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: are going to come in in this game on the Redskins?
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: As I mean, it's really it really should be Redskins
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: minus one minus one and a half. That should be
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: the kind of the true line, the raw number. It
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: it's inflated a little bit to account for where we
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: feel the public is going to come in on this game.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: And as we talked a lot before, there's not a
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: lot of value in the line movement once you're in
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: between those minus three numbers of both teams minus three
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: on the road, minus three at home, that kind of
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: area in the middle of minus one road team minus
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: one home team. You know, we bounced back and forth
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: quite a bit off of just a little money, because
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: you have less chance of getting middled uh allegedly. Allegedly,
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: I might have just bet the Redskins plus three. Your attention, please,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Dad is making a bet allegedly. I'm glad we amuse
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: you like we are, like we're clowns. It's like I'm
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: listening to the podcast for the first time. Thanks for that, Scoge. Listen.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: The next game is huge, and we got to be
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: serious for a second. Okay, can we be serious? I'll try,
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: can we commit? We got serious news. Hugh Jackson has
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: been signed as a special assistant to the head coach
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: of the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals right now or five
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: and a half point dogs to the Ravens. We don't
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: know the status of Joe Flacco. I can't believe you
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: posted this number to begin with, But now you are
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: leaving yourselves open to Hugh Jackson coming in and redefining
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: what happens in that Bengals offensive meeting room. Have have
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: you not closed the gap on this number? Scooch? We
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: we didn't hang it. We we were. This game is
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: off the board right now while you're doing the right thing. Yeah, yeah,
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: we have to wait on this one. We got we
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: got battered Flacco. They battered Flacco. Boy, it's been a
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: while since we talked about him, right, Yeah, he's been
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: he's been healthy. Remember the battered Flacco For those who
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: don't know. In the previous uh incarnation of this podcast,
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: back when it was that on ESPN, Scooch and I
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: talked about uh he mentioned that Joe flat was battered,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: and he said something like battered Flacco and struck us
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: is funny, and it struck a lot of people who
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: listen is funny. So we decided it sounded a little
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: bit like a fish, like a fish dish. So Scooch
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: actually asked the chef at The Orleans to make a
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: dish called battered Flacco, and uh he made what Scooch,
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: do you remember? I remember? Uh? Well, it wasn't It
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: turned out not to be a fish. It turned out
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: to like a like a flanks. Yeah, it was like
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: a flank steak Pinco crusted paint Pinco crusted uh fried
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: flank steak with a chimmy Churis sauce. Yeah, exactly. It
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: was the battered plaque. Yeah, it sounds amazing. I love that.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: It was really good. Never got a chance to sample it. Um,
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: all right, so let me we'll move on because you've
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: done the right thing. Uh. And now that Hugh Jackson
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: is there, they're going to have to completely reconsider. Pittsburgh
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Steelers five and a half point favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: The Steelers are a steam train, a roll in. Boy.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: This game a month ago is like wow, talk about
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: what this game would have been a month ago, and
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: and just how much you've changed the ratings on both
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: of these teams. Steelers five and a half at Jacksonville righting. Yeah,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: there's probably about a good five six point difference in
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: both numbers where we've adjusted Jacksonville down and the Steelers up,
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: so that this line probably would have been close to
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: a pick them or or minus one either side. But uh, definitely.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: And we actually thought we were hanging this game high,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: similar to last week when we when we hung the
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: Steelers high against the Panthers and the sharp guys took
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: took the Panthers and drove that line down. I thought
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: we were gonna be high on this one, and the
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: sharp guys are not driving it down. So as I'm
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: looking at it, I'm gonna go to six right now.
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: So it's six nice. You're going to six right now?
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: You want that wise guy money, You want that wise
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: guy money on the jacks. I have to keep moving
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: this one because we know where the where the public
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: is going to be on this one. Uh you know.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: That's why bookmaking is a lot of just field. You
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: don't want to go too far. Like I just said
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: last week, we gave way too much back on the
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: on the home dogs to some of the sharp guys.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: But I want to see at what point they'll take
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: that number. So you have to keep inching it up
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: to kind of see where that point of resistance is
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: and and so far I haven't seen it. So I'm
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: gonna keep going up. Hopefully I don't have to go
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: up to seven. But uh, well, we'll see what they
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: do with the six. I wonder if we'll get a
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: play like remember the last time we talked about this.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: You change the number in like thirty seconds you started
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: getting hit and that should have been an indication and
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: it wasn't. That's why I said, I don't think we
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: did a great bookmaking job because right away interesting interesting, Yeah, alright,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: carolinea minus four at Detroit another Look, you're tempting me here,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: right like the Redskins. Um, you tempted me with Seattle
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: is a short less than a field goal favorite. You
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: hooked me with the Redskins at plus three, you did
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: not get me yet with Jacksonville a plus six, You're
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: not gonna get me at Detroit plus four. And the
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: public wants nothing to do with the Lions right now
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: that they've been drawing just fewer and fewer bets each week.
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: The Panthers, even with the laws against uh the Steelers
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: are drawing a lot of action from the public and
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: we're seeing about a five to one clip, So that
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: game really didn't sway too many of the betters. It's
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: just I guess I bet against Detroit more than bet
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: on the Panthers. But this is gonna be all Carolina.
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: I could see this number going up. I'm not going
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: to move it yet because we're pretty high in comparison
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: and to the rest of the numbers around town. I
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: think there's still some Caroline and minus three and a
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: half's out there. We're at minus four already, so we're high.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: But I could see this line going up. It wouldn't
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: surprise me. When do you think the wise guys come
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: in and take the lines they're they're probably looking for
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: at least a four and a half or or or
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: five and a half. But uh, I mean they haven't
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: taken it yet. And uh and we've been at four
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: for a couple of days now, so it doesn't look
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna take the four. I mean, Jacksonville is
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: going to become one of those games. I'm looking back
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: at that number now comparing the two since they're right
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: next to each other. Um, yeah, it's gonna be one
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: of those games where, like Sunday morning, it's going to
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: be at six and a half or seven, and I'm
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: going to have to fight myself not to take that game. Well,
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: you know, we we hung the same line last week,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: the Falcons and the Browns. If you remember that, the
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: Falcons were four point road favorite and we just kept
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: creeping up and then by game day it was six
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: and a half. So yeah, but the Steelers are much
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: better than the Falcons. I mean the Falcons stink. Yeah
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: that you just don't like the Falcons day, Well I don't. Um, Well,
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: it's just so obvious when they're going to be in
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: a bad spot and won't be able to produce, right,
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: and it's also obvious when they're going to be in
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: a good spot. There's never been a team to me
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: that is more transparent than the Falcons. For example, let's
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: move on to the next game. The Falcons are three
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites at home. Of course, I'm
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: going to bet the Falcons like it's way out of
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: whack now, because you've got a Cowboys team that just
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: beat the Eagles in prime time, you've got a Falcon's
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: team that lost to the Browns. Like, of course, this
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: line is a little bit deflated. I'm going to bet
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: the Falcons like they're getting back at home. Like come on, yeah,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: you look at this line just two weeks ago, and
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: you're looking at Falcons four and a half and and
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: probably moving up to five and a half. But one
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: game shouldn't make that much of a difference, you know,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: the Falcons losing to the Browns and the Cowboys beating
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: the Eagles shouldn't be that big of an adjustment. So
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: three is right where the line really really should be.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: I know, there's three three and a half. Um, the
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: public all kind of like seeing the Cowboys at a plus,
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: thinking that they're they're kind of a better team than
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: what they are based on one game, but uh, I
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: think the ticketcount will still be slightly favoring the Falcons
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: in this one. Can I wait on this game? Do
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: you think it'll go to three? Yeah? Yeah, So so
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: if you want to lay three, you can lay three.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: You can probably lay three a couple of places already
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: right here in town. So all right, I'm gonna keep
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: an eye on that one. I love this next game.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: Why are you laughing at me? I don't know? You
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: make me laugh? Do I amuse you? Like my clown.
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: I'm here for your amusement, my clown. You know it
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: would be funny what you and I should like do
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: a reenactment of that movie. Oh my god, I get
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: to be I get to be Ray Liotta and you
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: get to be Joe PESHI. Okay, just as there are scenes,
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: How funny would that be? That'd be hilarious. As soon
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: as soon as we stopped being a po dunk startup
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: and we get you know, legitimized, and we're huge, massive company.
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: I'm coming out there with like Marty Scorsese, I call
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: him Scorsese, but I'm coming out with Marty, probably Bobby,
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: Bobby d and um you know, they'll just be extras
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: and maybe we'll Murty do some DP work and we're
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: going to shoot the freak out of some of those
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: scenes right up until you get killed. That's a sad Yeah,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: let's get that part. You know, that's no fun, no
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: fun at all. Um, Tennessee at Inannapolis. I see the
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: Colts is two points. What do you have interesting games? Yeah,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: we have. We have the Colts at two and a
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: half and uh, actually I'm going to go down to
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: one and a half right now. Wise, guys are coming
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: here in Tennessee, right all over Tennessee. Freak me, man.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: I saw this line open yesterday and I wanted to
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: bet it and I forgot. I love the Titans in
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: this game. Yeah, this is This is to me the
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: most intriguing game on the board, because how can you
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: not like Tennessee after the last couple of weeks and
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: especially with the you know, and I keep I don't.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: I always say you can't put too much into just
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: one game, but this is back to back games where
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Tennessee if if you know, Mariota is healthy, this team
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: is really good and they're going on the road. The
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: only thing we can hope for is a bit of
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: a letdown here. Uh. As soon as we made this
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: line just based on the on the power rankings and
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: you know the method that we used to come up
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: with the lines, we knew it was too high. So
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: we hung two and a half. Adjusting off, the line
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: came out three, and we just dropped it down to
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: two and a half. And the first bet out of
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: the gate when we hung the line Sunday night was
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: was Tennessee plus two and a half, and uh, yeah,
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: it just doesn't pass the eye test here. We know
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: that the public is going to be on Tennessee and
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: this is kind of our worst case where the public
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: and wise guys are on the same same team. So
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: we're gonna be in big Indianapolis fans, so might as
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: well move this game really quickly. I don't think Tennessee
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: is the type of team that has let downs. It
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: doesn't look like it. Huh. They don't look like a
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: team that they're just not. They don't seem like an
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: emotional team. You know, they have the makeup of their quarterback,
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: like Mariota. He's like a robot out there. And I'm
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: not saying he's like a great quarterback. Um, but I'm
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: saying he's a pretty unemotional quarterback, and Vrabel seems to
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: be pretty unemotional and pretty cool as a customer. And
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: so I'm not looking at a team that is going
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: to come out and be flat. I think they feel
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: like they're recognizing how good they can be and they're
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: playing an inferior team. Um, and this is a big
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: opportunity to advance the cause, especially suffering themselves from the
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: Jags and staying pace with the Texans because the Texans
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: will probably lose to the Reds and then all of
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: a sudden they're tied for first. I think that's how
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: they see this. I'm with you a percent. And uh,
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: there's a there's a few teams coming out of a
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: real big game where you just haven't seen those letdowns,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: and these teams don't. There's no letdown anymore. And uh,
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: and but Tennessee is a team that seems to be
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: getting better and better each week. So I think, if anything,
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: they were inspired by the last week's win and they
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: may even come out better this week. I agree. Uh, Hey, listen,
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: we're coming up on the Corner TV game. It would
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: be this game if not for the game after this,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: but Tampa Bay at the New York Giants. Giants are one.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: They were picked yesterday obviously bookmakers afraid of the public
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: money coming in after they're huge, huge road win against
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: the Niners last night. Right, it was an entertaining game
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: to watch, but we we actually we hung the Giants
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: minus one and this one, and you're right, nobody's nobody's
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: gonna bet this one. Corner TV game, Buccaneers. I'm off
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: this Buccaneer team. They disappoint me. Disappoint me. But glad
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: to hear you say that, because you're not the kind
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: of guy who gets overly emotional, and so when you
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: say you're off a team, it means you're off a team.
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, and this is one of them, so your
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: face spent any time on it. Next game, well, the
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: next game really is a corner TV game. I think
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: Oakland Oakland Arizona. Arizona is a four point favorite. They
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: really are the corner TV game. We just wonder how
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: much we have to keep adjusting the Raiders because now
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: people just automatically put whoever the Raiders are playing, that's
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: the first team in their parlay. It's it's like the
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: it's like the free spot on your Bingo card in
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: this of the car we have we have I'm not
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: kidding you. We have six tickets on the Raiders. Seriously, six,
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: it's worth And that's an instant tweet right there. That's
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: that's what that is. Do you know what twitter is?
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: I've heard of it. Yeah, Um, that is in sane. Well, look,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: Derek Carr now continues to have a habit of throwing
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: the ball away and spiking it on fourth down. Yeah,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: what do you do about the Raiders? Like, how much
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: have you adjusted them at this point? Uh? Well, it's
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: another point point in a half each week just based
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: on I mean, they're not even. They're not even in
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: these games. Um, and that's at some point we're just
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: trying to keep adjusting until we get some money on
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: the Raiders. There was no eyes guy money on the
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: Raiders last week, and that's that's scary, you know. And
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: and crossing over ten ten and a half, eleven eleven
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: and a half, I mean these are big, big numbers
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: and they were you know, on the at home and
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: getting that and when the sharp guys aren't taking it,
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: then that's a real problem. Yeah. I mean, as we know,
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: I'm a sharp and I didn't bet the Raiders a
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: plus ten last weekend, but were the wise guys betting
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: the Chargers at minus ten last weekend? Uh? Towards the
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: It was on game day, so there was there were
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: some bets on the UH, but it wasn't. It wasn't overwhelming.
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: You know, there's different levels of the sharp guys coming in.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: They have different opinions. You know, they have real strong
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: opinions when they come in just blasting with both fists,
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: and then there's some that is just kind of more
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: or less a taste. And so it wasn't. It wasn't
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: full place. But they were more on the on the
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: Chargers than they weren't on the Raiders at all. So
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: if they were standing at a buffet a, it's not
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: like they're going two plates and piling it on. It's
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: more like it's like they're gonna try it, knowing that
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: they can go back if they like it a lot.
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: There you go, that's a good analogy. What do they
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: call that a soup song? You get to fancy? I mean,
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: so s O U P C O N with that
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: sort of interesting accident over the sea. Okay, speaking of
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: the Chargers, UH, you know what, Listen, I've tried to
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: bring some class to this podcast. Like remember when we
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: had the long discussion about stream music. Do you remember
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: that it's lovely? Right, yeah, a little classical music. Now
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: you're hitting me with two songs. Look at you knowing
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: how to pronounce him Denver on the road of the
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: l A Chargers. The Chargers are minus seven Chargers team.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: I've been on them all season long, all season long.
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: You are ahead of the curve? What I do you are?
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: And uh, actually I'm I'm actually moving a money line
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: now up to minus four dollars because as we're as
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: we're talking, we're getting some big bets. Are you really
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: on the Charges yet? What kind of money I like
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: to win? To win ten thousand on money line? Whoa, yeah,
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: ten nights, yeah, smackaroneys. Yeah, that's a lot of kick
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: of cash. That a size Johnny, you know, size Johnny.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: So that I agree with you on this Charger team.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: They are just like the Steelers in the public's mind
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: right now. They're just gonna keep laying these numbers on
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: the Chargers until until they disappoint them. And U, yep, no,
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: but but but what are the wise guys gonna do
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: here because that line feels big. They're not. You know,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: they did take the seven early in the week. They
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: took UH seven even money. We went to plus seven
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: minus twenty early on. But it's been all Chargers since,
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: mainly from from the public. But now the sharp guys
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: have kind of slowed down, and if anything, there's more
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: more money on the Chargers, even from the uh even
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: from the wise guys on this one. So this is
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be interesting. I'm not gonna get off seven. I'm
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: just gonna just gonna move the money on this one. Um,
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: we did get a pretty big bet on, like I
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: just said, on the money line, so um, they at
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: least see that they're not going to lose the games.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: And that was from that was from a pretty sharp guy. Wow,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: but I don't see the Broncos. But I mean, I
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: could only hope that we get a couple of seven
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: point underdogs winning the games straight up again like we
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: did last week. But I don't. I don't see it
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: in this one. Well, I didn't bet the game yet,
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: you know, so I'm just saying white chuckling at me.
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: You've bet a lot of games. I bet two games,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: so far today. I bet the reds I bet the
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: Redskins plus three, and I also bet the Seattle Seahawks. Right,
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: that's what I did. But the Seahawks and I bet.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: Seems like you said you're gonna be betting. That's that's
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: what probably. I feel like I'm probably gonna bet the Falcons,
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: but I want to get it at three. I would
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: like to bet the Titans, but I feel like I've
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: missed the best of the number. Um, this one is
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: interesting to me. The New Orleans Saints. Uh required comment
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: that I bought them as a super Bowl favorite at
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: eighteen to one. There now at six to one. Correct, yep, yep, right,
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: I bought him at eighteen one. Who does that? Wise, guys,
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: they're eight point favorites over the Eagles. I I don't
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: see anybody bettering the Eagles in this game. Wise, guys
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: are gonna stay away from it. Fans are gonna bet
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: the Saints. Absolutely, it's a it's another game, just like
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: the Chargers. You're gonna laying huge points. People are gonna
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: be all over the the Saints. They're gonna tease them
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: down to one or two, and they're gonna bet the
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: Saints on the money line. Um, you know, everything is
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: just pointing towards the Saints. I mean they've cracked up
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: fifty points last week and and there's no let down
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: in this uh Saints team, even coming off of big
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: wins like against the Rams and um, so the public
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: is just gonna ride this train too. So if it
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: comes in, Saints, Steelers and Chargers were cooked. Saints, Steelers
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: and Chargers, the three team deadly partlay Saints, Steelers and Chargers.
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: Those are gonna be really big favorites. UM On Sunday,
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, you are in trouble. I feel like
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: we are coming our best Sunday. We're just gonna give
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: it all back next week. Oh my god. Well, let's
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: talk about the biggest game of the weekend, the biggest
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: game of the year so far. Monday Night football. Kansas
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: City Chiefs visiting the lot. While not visiting, they're playing
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: in the Los Angeles Rams in Mexico City. The field
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: looks atrocious. The air quality is disgusting. The elevation is
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: seventy five hundred feet. The Rams defense is not very good.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: They do not have pass rushers. Marcus Peters I think
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: is a fraud. He was traded by the guy he's
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: playing against because they know how bad he is. Give
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: me the Kansas City Chiefs. Plus the public agrees with you.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm a little shocked at how how fickle the
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: public can be sometimes as as much as we need. Whoever,
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: the Rams are playing every single week, and for them
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: to be on the Chiefs at about a four to
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: one clip here, um tells me, I'll take the Rams
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: really really yeah, yeah no. The only thing, honestly, the
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: field concerns me because when you have a team that, uh,
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: that relies on the type of offense that you need
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: some good footing and that that does that, that is
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a concern. And we've seen it
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: in the past in Mexico City with some of the
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: games down there where it's like playing on on mud,
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: So that that concerns me. But otherwise I think I
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: like the Rams. Here. Oh my god, you've just so
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: completely thrown me for a loop, Like I was so
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: ready to go all in on casey. I'm so anti
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: the Rams defense right now. Yeah yeah, I could. I mean,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: I could see you. You made a good point about
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: how they you know, they make a lot of these games,
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: a lot closer than what they should be the Rams.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: You know what the Rams offense can do, but um,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: a lot of these games, even against very weak teams,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: are a lot closer than what they should be. I mean,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: the Rams should be winning like the Saints are winning,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: you know, by thirty five points. Also, the Chiefs defense
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: is just getting so much better. Yeah, they started out
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: a little slow, but they are improving every week. That's
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's you sure about the Rams? Yeah? Yeah,
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: I like the Rams. Yeah, well, then why don't we
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: put uh your metal to the test and play like
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: a little game I like to call scooch Roulette. Okay.
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: I wish that there was a way to vote for
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: UH music in podcasts. Do they have like podcast awards?
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at the two hipster mats, like who produced
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: the podcast? Do they have podcast awards for best interstitial music?
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: They said no, I don't have that. Well they should.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: Let's let's get a writing campaign going. I think we
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: I think we we put a lot of thought in
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: time into that music. We want this to be sort
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: of candy for the ears, and I feel like, uh,
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: I feel like they did a really nice job on that.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: I just want to commend them publicly. Yeah. Hey, just incidentally,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: not to change the subject, but we are taking some
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: bets on Jacksonville a plus six, so we uh, you know,
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: we did move that line from five and a half
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: to six early in the podcast, and we took some
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: some pretty big pets. So that's good. It's good to
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: know you felt like that news was more important than
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: acknowledging the people who produced the podcast. No, I'm sorry,
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: Matt's I think Scooch is getting a really big head.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: What is your what is your Scooch Roulette? Pick you
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: go first? You one? Last week I pushed I had Jacksonville. Okay,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: I might have to just go with the Rams. Oh no,
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: oh my god. Yeah, I can't believe you did that.
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: Why that is just such a high profile, Like you're
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: gonna have so much on that game. It's gonna it's
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: gonna you're gonna be thinking about that game and then
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be like, I need the Rams so badly,
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: and then I also got them in screw Roulette. If
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: I leave this game, it's going to be like a
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: double whammy. Wammy whammy, no wammy, Yep, it will ye. Yeah,
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, it's tough. Uh, I think I'm
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: I like the Redskins plus three, but the Texans off
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: by I think the Texans are so overvalued here, Hugh
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: Jackson is really making me consider the Bengals. No matter
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: what the number is, Um, what line are you seeing there?
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Someone's got to post it at five and a half?
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: Dumb dumbs. God, I love Tennessee. Tennessee looks good, don't.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: I just couldn't. I would have I would have played them,
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: but I just you know, I screwed myself out of
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: a point. I went from one two and a half
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: down one and a half, So no no value there.
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: I don't like it. I don't like it. I only
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: liked it at two and a half. I think I'm
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: gonna go with the Falcons. Are you at three or
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: three and a half. I'm at three months twenty, so
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: all right, I'm going with the Falcons and minus three.
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: There you go. That is called scrutinizing. It's called shopping,
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: called doing the best thing you can do to make
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: the best possible decision. This has been the favorite podcast
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: from the Action Network. I am Chad Millman, he is
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: Bob Scucci. Go download our free, free free app. You
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: can see everything we're talking about all the lines Action
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Network App, Follow us at Action Network HQ, Listen to
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: us on Apple podcasts, radio dot com, whatever you get
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: your podcasts. Join us on Friday when Blackjack comes in
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: and we're gonna talk about the five pick for the
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest where we're gonna win one
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: point four million dollars. We're getting close, people, we are
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: getting so close. Make sure you listen until miss Thank
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: you m