Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 231 - 3/6/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 231 - 3/6/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 231 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:29
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Thirsty Thursday, our work week is coming to an end.
• 0:41
  And guess what? I can smell, I can smell it.
• 0:44
  I can taste it. I can see it, I can feel it.
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  March Madness right around the corner.
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  So I want to talk today to start off the pot.
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  And by the way, I do have another 3 pack of college sweats
• 0:53
  for you guys tonight, including an early game of 530 game
• 0:56
  Eastern Time that will hit on. Try to get this this out kind of
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  a little bit earlier than usual so you can have some time to
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  listen to the breakdown, but three plays overall. 1 is a
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  regular just regular season game here.
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  The other two are conference tournaments.
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  So 3 pack overall. Let's try to go 2 in one eek out
• 1:12
  a winning night also mention real quick, because it's a
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  Thursday. I jump on every Thursday night.
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  Visen live tonight, which is hosted by two of my favorite
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  people in the world, Patrick Maher and Dustin Swedelsen.
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  So you can listen on SiriusXM channel 82.
• 1:27
  That's with the Mad Dog Network, but also if you didn't know, you
• 1:30
  know I also am a Visen sports betting analyst.
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  If you ever interested in learning about Visen or you want
• 1:37
  to get access to the bet splits which Visen offers or you just
• 1:40
  want to listen to Visen now that they're back on SiriusXM, that
• 1:43
  is channel 158. So I look forward to jumping on
• 1:46
  Patrick Show here tonight at 8:00 PM.
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  Before we dive in our sweats for tonight and recap last night, I
• 1:51
  wanted to mention a couple things in terms of brackets,
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  because if you have logged into Rhythm recently, if you haven't
• 1:58
  done it, go download the rhythm map.
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  I say it every day, but you got to do it.
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  I know a lot of you have. I know a lot of you guys have
• 2:03
  been really enjoying rhythm, but if you haven't yet, time to
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  download Rhythm and get a basically a leg up an advantage
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  as we're going into March Madness.
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  But with that being said, if you log into your rhythm account,
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  which by the way does work on both death desktop and tablet.
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  I use it a lot on my cell phone, of course.
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  But no matter how you log in, right in the middle of the
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  homepage, there's going to be a big orange square.
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  And it's got a beautiful message.
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  It says NCAAM March Madness brackets are here.
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  Request your bracket now. Choose from up to three models
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  to build it for. So if you haven't done it yet,
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  request your bracket. This is just going to get you
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  excited for the tournament here and you can basically, you know,
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  just follow the bracket that'll be AI generated through the just
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  recommended, you know, basically the classic rhythm best bet
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  model. Or you can use some of your NCAA
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  models. If you think, hey, March
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  Madness, you know, I noticed teams that, you know, hit their
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  free throws and don't get in foul trouble or don't turn it
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  over or out rebound their teams. You can weight those criteria
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  and create your own model. So just get yourself excited.
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  Obviously the bracket isn't here yet.
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  We got to go and finish up all the conference tournaments, but
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  you can now get a leg up by just, you know, seeing a bracket
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  that's filled out. Maybe think about some teams
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  I've been thinking about. So guys, I want you all to
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  download or quote UN quote, request that bracket and Rhythm
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  will spit it out to you. Now, on the topic of brackets, I
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  know we're getting ahead of ourselves a little bit because
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  we still again got to go through the conference tournaments and
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  Selection Sunday, But I wanted to just mention real quick how
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  to build a contrarian bracket because we want to kind of get
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  out ahead of this. You know, if you've been
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  grinding with me for years and years at this point, this is
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  probably going to be something you've heard of a million times,
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  but a contrarian bracket is kind of a different approach to March
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  Madness. So we'll recap this.
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  I'll go over it again when the, you know, obviously the March
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  Madness is actually officially here, but I want to kind of get
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  you guys thinking about filling out your bracket.
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  Now, let me ask you a question. First off, when you get your
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  bracket, your beautiful bracket meant maybe you do it online,
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  maybe you're old school like me. You print it out and fill it out
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  with a pen and a, you know, piece of paper and a pen.
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  Regardless, when you get your bracket, what's the first thing
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  you do? You start on the outside, right?
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  You start going through round of 64, pick your teams, then go in
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  round of 32, go in Sweet 16, go in get get yourself all the way
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  to a champion in the middle. That's what 99% of people do
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  filling out their bracket. When you create a contrarian
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  bracket, though, I'm going to get ready, I'm going to blow
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  your minds ready. Are you listening?
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  You start from the middle and work your way out instead of out
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  working in. Now, you may say like, what are
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  you talking about, Josh? But the whole point of a
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  contrarian bracket is to be different from the masses.
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  So another angle here is when you are getting points, when
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  you're filling out your bracket and you know, maybe you guys do
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  Yahoo or ESPN or CBS or whatever, you know, platform you
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  do. Obviously whatever bracket
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  contest you're in, they're going to give you updated standings
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  after every single round. But do you notice that often
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  times whoever's winning or the leaderboard, the top one or two
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  people after the first round, they don't always win the whole
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  thing? Like you see a lot of variants,
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  you see a lot of movement, someone who is maybe way down
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  the list after round one might end up winning the whole thing.
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  Well, the reason for that is based on the scoring.
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  So when we talked like NFL key numbers like 37106, I think you
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  want to think about kind of the importance of key rounds, I
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  guess you should say, because when you're getting graded, you
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  got to think about the grading structure of the bracket.
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  You're going to get a low amount of points, a small amount of
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  points. If you win the first round,
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  second round, you're going to get double the points, third
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  round, triple the points, or you're getting basically more
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  points the more teams that you advance further, if that makes
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  sense. So think of it this way.
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  If you and I join Jeopardy, you know, we got, we got the thing
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  in the mail says, hey, you've been selected to, to, to be on
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  Jeopardy. What are you going to do when
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  you're up there and when you see this happen?
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  I mean, my wife and I were actually watching Celebrity
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  Jeopardy last night. It's always funny.
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  She never wants to do regular Jeopardy.
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  She thinks it's too hard. But she's like, celebrities.
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  Oh, the questions are easier, so let's watch it anyway.
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  Celebrity Jeopardy, everyone who started and you see this very
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  often, they start with the clues that are worth the least.
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  Like, they'll start at the top of the column.
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  Like, give me, you know, the pen is mightier for USNL fans for
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  $100. Then they work their way down.
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  Think of the bracket as flipping it on its head.
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  Because if you guys know who, James Holzhou Holzhauer, I think
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  I'm saying Holzenhauer. Anyway, he was a Jeopardy
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  champion. He's a professional sports
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  better. He mentioned a couple years ago,
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  like when you go on Jeopardy, everyone picks the lowest, you
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  know, cheapest clues first. Don't do that.
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  Pick the $1000 clues first because those are worth more.
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  Like if you get 10 clues for 100 bucks, right, and I get 10 clues
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  for 1000 bucks, right? We both got the same amount of
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  clues, right? But I'm going to get way more
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  money because I picked the heavier, you know, basically
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  questions or clues that are worth more, more points.
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  So with that being said, when you create a contrarian bracket,
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  you want to pick your champion first because you might not do
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  great on the outside, but if you can get a champion right, you're
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  probably going to win your bracket.
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  If you can get at least a couple final fours in there, you're
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  probably going to win your bracket.
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  Now the one catch is you can't pick the champion that everyone
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  else is picking. So I'm looking at the updated
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  odds right now at DraftKings to win March Madness.
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  Duke is your favorite plus 350. Auburn is second best odds plus
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  370. I would safely assume that a
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  vast majority of people who are in your bracket are either going
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  to pick Duke or Auburn to win. So if Duke or Auburn wins the
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  tournament, you're going to lose because that's what everyone
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  else is doing. But reminder, March Madness, a
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  lot of upsets happen. The chalk doesn't always win
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  out, so in order to differentiate yourself, you need
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  to pick a champion other than the two favorites, Duke and
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  Auburn. So I'm looking at the boards,
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  right? The board right now, maybe you
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  pick Florida plus 800, third best odds.
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  Houston tied for the third best odds plus 800.
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  Tennessee plus 1200. Alabama plus 1500, Iowa State
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  plus 2200. Saint John's plus 2500, Michigan
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  State plus 2800. Whole point being is that if you
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  pick Duke or Auburn and they win, you may not even win your
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  bracket because everyone else is picking them.
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  So maybe you have one bracket where you have Florida as the
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  champion, one bracket where you have Houston as the champion.
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  Then if one of those two win, there's a good chance you're
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  going to win your bracket because you're different from
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  the rest. So that's really the way you can
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  differentiate yourself and set yourself up for winning your
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  bracket. So pick a champion that no one
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  else is picking. And again, I'm not saying like
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  I'm looking at the, you know, the odds right now, like UCLA is
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  plus 9000, like I'm not going to pick UCLA between my bracket.
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  It's just that's probably not going to happen.
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  But pick someone who's like, you know, third four, fifth best
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  odds, who has a realistic shot. Then you can differentiate
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  yourself and then you can kind of start in the middle and then
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  work your way out. So I just wanted to mention that
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  on the topic of rhythms got their new bracket, you can
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  request thinking about creating a contrarian bracket.
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  We can kind of use the two in tandem.
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  So I'm just excited about March Madness.
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  Maybe I just had to mention that today cuz cuz I want, I want my
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  bracket, I want to fill it out. I'm very much looking forward to
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  that. Now let's move on to today's
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  action 3 pack overall. I want to mention real quick
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  last night, sadly our two day winning streak came to an end.
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  We went 1 and 2 -. 1.4 units. Had a nice hit with Connecticut.
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  They pulled it out. Caravan had a huge 3 late.
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  They won that game, which was great to see, but the two other
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  games were frustrating because we beat the closing line on both
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  Pittsburgh on the money line. We money line number on -2 two
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  and a half. They closed 2 1/2 even juiced up
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  couple books closed at -3 so closing line value.
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  But they lost. And then late night 1 was
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  Morehead money line Morehead around.
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  I want to say it was -1 1/2 - 2. They closed -2 1/2 so beat the
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  closing line on both games. Lost both games tells me we're
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  we got our finger on the pulse reading the market correctly.
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  Just, you know, Pit and Morehead did not come through for us
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  unfortunately. So either way, guys, you don't
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  get any money for CLV, but it is a sign that we're reading the
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  market correctly. So I will take that.
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  So let's flip the page and go to a big Thirsty Thursday.
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  So the first game that I want to talk about, it's an early game
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  today, 5:30 PM Eastern Time. We're going to look at a matchup
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  that might not be the most popular, but maybe you can get
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  this thing in early and hopefully start your night off
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  with a win. I'm talking about the first
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  round of the West Coast Conference tournament, San Diego
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  against Pacific. Now let's set the stage, look at
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  some line movement, bet splits. We'll look at some rhythm and
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  sharp mush indicators, and I'll tell you which way I'm going
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  with this one. So coming into this first round
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  of the WCC tournament, San Diego, they've been bad 5 and 26
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  on the year. They're the 11 seed.
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  They did however just snap a 16 game losing streak.
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  They just beat Portland 82 to 80.
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  They went out right as a 1 1/2 point home dog.
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  Meanwhile, Pacific 9 and 23 on the year, bad as well, little
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  bit better record though. The ten seed.
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  They have however dropped four straight.
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  They just lost to Santa Clara, got destroyed 97 to 66 didn't
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  cover as a 13 1/2 point home dog.
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  So. What have you seen across the
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  market here? Well, this game opened with
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  Pacific List. It has a very very short one
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  point neutral site favorite. So this is a true conference
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  tournament game. Neutral site now.
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  What do we see across the market here?
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  Well, all movement and liability has picked the lesser of two
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  evils. Pacific.
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  I like Pacific money line here guys.
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  Pacific open -1 they've now been met up to -1 1/2 some books even
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  now up to -2 So it's always notable to me.
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  You open as a pick, you open as a one point favorite.
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  You know, where does the line move?
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  Does it flip dog to fave? Does it get down to a pick?
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  Does it rise up? Well, this one rose up in favor
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  of Pacific. Now the bet splits on Pacific
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  look really good at both DraftKings and Circa.
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  At DraftKings, Pacific's getting 73% of spread bets, 93% of
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  spread dollars. At Circa, Pacific is getting 50%
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  of spread bets, 85% of spread dollars.
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  So both DraftKings and Circa National Public book and a Sharp
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  Vegas book, both showing really good low bets, higher dollar
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  splits in favor of Pacific, which coincides with that line
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  move in their favor. Now Ken Palm has specific
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  winning the game, but only by one point.
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  So I ain't laying a 1 1/2 or two.
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  This is a very modest money line.
• 12:18
  I got Pacific on the money line at -125 we do see a pretty good
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  bet split on Pacific money line at DraftKings.
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  They're getting 67% of money line bets, but nearly 90% of
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  money line dollars. And again, taking a position
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  here on a kind of small early game tells me it's probably
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  mostly sharp betters versus the public who may might not even be
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  out of work by then, might not even know this game is, you
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  know, this early in the day. Then you look towards some stat
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  categories, hopefully that benefit Pacific.
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  They have the better offensive efficiency.
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  They ranked 267th in the country.
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  Doesn't sound great, but San Diego ranks 3 O 9th.
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  They have the better effective field goal percentage, 48%
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  versus 46%, but are two point field goal percentage, 50%
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  versus 47%. And they also do a better job at
• 13:05
  limiting offensive rebounds to their opponents.
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  So are you giving up, you know, offensive boards?
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  They rank 89th in the country. That's actually pretty good
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  versus San Diego ranking 268th. And then I just looked at last
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  10. Like how have you been playing
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  recently? I noticed that Pacific's giving
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  up 74 points a game, their last 10.
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  San Diego is giving up 85 points a game, their last 10.
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  So hopefully that is a benefit to Pacific.
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  Now, our friends at Rhythm have Pacific -1.3, so pretty much
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  right on the 1 1/2 or two. But I did notice at Juice Reel
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  there is a 29% sharp mush edge in favor of Pacific.
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  So 29% more of the sharper more, you know, winning betters, I
• 13:48
  guess you want to say are on Pacific versus losing betters
• 13:52
  leaning more towards San Diego. So we have a early 530 game.
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  It's kind of under the radar, but it's clear this line's going
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  to Pacific. You got great bet splits.
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  We got good stat categories. We have a rhythm edge, a Ken
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  palm edge and a sharp mush edge. So hopefully first play of the
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  night, can we get a win to start tonight?
• 14:09
  That will be great. I am on Pacific, the Tigers on
• 14:13
  the money line at -125 next one for you.
• 14:16
  Another conference tournament game. 7:00 Let's go to the
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  Summit League conference tournament between Kansas City
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  and Omaha tonight. Now setting the stage, we have
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  Kansas City coming in the ruse Kangaroos 13 and 19 on the year.
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  They're the eighth seed. They've won two of their last
• 14:33
  three. They actually played yesterday
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  in the first round of the Summit League tournament and they beat
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  up on who is it Oral Roberts, 73 to 56, they covered as a 5 1/2
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  point neutral site favorite. Meanwhile, Omaha, 19 and 12 on
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  the year, they are the one seed in this tournament.
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  They've won three straight and they're coming off a bye, so
• 14:55
  we'll get to that in a second. I think that could be a benefit
• 14:58
  toward Omaha. And in the last game they also
• 15:00
  played Oral Roberts. They crushed them 80 to 57,
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  covered as a 10 1/2 point home favorite.
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  So. What have you seen across the
• 15:06
  market here? Well.
• 15:08
  It looks like pros are going with the chalk, the one seed,
• 15:11
  because Omaha opened as a 2 1/2 point neutral site favorite.
• 15:14
  We've not seen Omaha get steamed up to -3 1/2.
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  And some shops are juiced up like they may even be going to
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  four. So it's pretty clear here, all
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  movement liability on Omaha at DraftKings, 79% of spread bets,
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  91% of spread dollars are on Omaha.
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  So this looks like, again, a pro and Joe play where maybe the
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  public just says, hey, give me Omaha because of the number one
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  seed, where pros don't care what the public's doing.
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  They see value in the number saying, hey, that 2 1/2, even
• 15:41
  three 3 1/2 is too low. Let's play Omaha to win this
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  game. Now Ken Palm has Omaha winning
• 15:48
  by two points. So you guys know the drill.
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  I ain't laying 3 1/2 when Ken Palm tells me it could be a
• 15:53
  bucket win. So I went money line here.
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  I got Omaha on the money line at -170 at FanDuel.
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  Fanduel's got the best price right now.
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  Other books are closer to like -180 so try to shop for that
• 16:06
  best number when you're playing favorites, you got to find the
• 16:08
  lowest juice possible so that when you risk a unit, if you win
• 16:11
  your money back, you're getting, you know, a bigger payout.
• 16:15
  If you look at the money line splits of DraftKings look really
• 16:17
  good. 88% of bets, 99% of dollars, Circa, 75% of bets, 98%
• 16:25
  of of money line dollars. So both again, DraftKings and
• 16:28
  Circa, I love it when they line up, tells me that even though
• 16:30
  you have different style betters at different books, more average
• 16:34
  Joe's at DraftKings, more sharper betters at Circa, the
• 16:37
  heavy money here is in particular on the same side.
• 16:41
  So you're kind of coming to the same conclusion, even though
• 16:43
  maybe you're kind of pulling different, different style
• 16:45
  betters. Omaha, lot of advantages here,
• 16:48
  better offensive efficiency, 98th in the country versus 200
• 16:52
  and 90th for the ruse. Better effective field goal
• 16:55
  percentage, 53% versus 49%. Hopefully, they can hit their
• 16:59
  threes 37% versus 33% and they also take better care of the
• 17:03
  ball. They're 83rd and turnover
• 17:05
  percentage. The ruse ranked 289th.
• 17:08
  Then some other angles here. It's conference tournament.
• 17:11
  Omaha went 13 and three in conference play this year.
• 17:14
  Kansas City went just 4 and 12. And here's a little kind of
• 17:18
  advantage I alluded to rest versus tired.
• 17:21
  You know, this is the eternal question.
• 17:22
  Rest versus rust. Like, yeah, Kansas City had a
• 17:25
  win yesterday. Maybe they can carry that
• 17:27
  momentum into today. I hope not.
• 17:29
  But also, they're playing the second game in back-to-back
• 17:31
  days, whereas Omaha, the one seed, hasn't played since March
• 17:34
  1st. So they are rested and ready to
• 17:36
  go. So I'm going to hope that that
• 17:38
  rest first tired is a benefit to Omaha.
• 17:41
  The Long story short, you know, typically you're playing the one
• 17:44
  seed in a tournament like this. Maybe the spreads too high to
• 17:46
  money line. I don't think this is that high.
• 17:48
  It's a little higher than or about as high as I'm willing to
• 17:51
  go. I never want to go -200 or more.
• 17:53
  But if you can still find that -170 -, 175, this will play for
• 17:58
  me on Omaha to win the damn game.
• 18:01
  By the way, we do have our friends at Rhythm Omaha -2.7.
• 18:05
  So line move, great stat advantages.
• 18:08
  Rest first. Tired Ken Palm, Rhythm edge.
• 18:11
  Let's go. Omaha.
• 18:12
  You guys know what their mascot is, The Mavericks, Nebraska
• 18:15
  Omaha, Mavericks money line -170 last bite of the night, 9:30 PM
• 18:21
  Eastern Time. This is not a conference
• 18:23
  tournament. It's just a classic late regular
• 18:25
  season game Hawaii at Cal State Bakersfield.
• 18:29
  So Hawaii comes in on the air 15 and 14.
• 18:32
  They just snapped A3 game losing streak.
• 18:34
  They beat UC Davis 78 to 70. They covered as a 3 1/2 point
• 18:38
  home favorite in that one. You know Bakersfield 13 and 18
• 18:42
  on the year. They've dropped two of their
• 18:44
  last three. Just got crushed by Cal Poly 98
• 18:47
  to 72 did not cover as a 3 1/2 point Rd. dog.
• 18:50
  So. What do you see across the
• 18:52
  market here? Will this game open Cal State
• 18:54
  Bakersfield? A true home game for them.
• 18:56
  Very short, 1 or 1 1/2 point home favorite and all movement
• 19:00
  liability has come on Bakersfield.
• 19:03
  Bakersfield -1 -, 1 1/2. Now they're juiced up -1 1/2 -,
• 19:07
  115 -, 120. Some books even up to -2 So it's
• 19:11
  pretty clear, you know, you open Cal State short favorite,
• 19:14
  they've either stayed the same or become more of a favorite.
• 19:17
  Pretty good bet split in favor of Cal State Bakersfield.
• 19:20
  It is a very low bet late night game.
• 19:22
  It's not an added extra game, but still, you know how how many
• 19:25
  you know, public betters woke up today and said I really got to
• 19:27
  bet Hawaii, Cal State Bakersfield.
• 19:29
  So to me, it's more of kind of a wise guy targeted game.
• 19:33
  But the bet splits look pretty good.
• 19:34
  DraftKings Bakersfield's getting 78% of spread bets, 94% of
• 19:38
  spread dollars, Circa 44% of spread bets, 69% of spread
• 19:43
  dollars. So another overlap of both
• 19:46
  DraftKings and Circa with a good low bet, higher dollar bet
• 19:48
  split. Now our buddy Ken Palm is
• 19:50
  Bakersfield winning by two. So you might say to yourself,
• 19:53
  hey, got the 1 1/2, lay it, but I don't want to lay a 1 1/2 or
• 19:57
  two and you know they win by 1 and I lose my bet or push my
• 19:59
  bet. So it was a pretty short money
• 20:01
  line. I got Bakersfield at -135 on the
• 20:04
  money line at DraftKings Bakersfield pretty good split to
• 20:07
  win straight up. 68% of money line bets, 94% of money line
• 20:12
  dollars. Bakersfield has the better
• 20:14
  offensive efficiency, 177th in the country versus 200 and 32nd
• 20:19
  for Hawaii. Better offensive rebound
• 20:21
  percentage, 36% versus 31%. Better three-point shooting.
• 20:26
  Hopefully they can hit their threes because it's a good
• 20:27
  advantage here, 38% versus only 31% for Hawaii and better free
• 20:32
  throw percentage, 77% versus 74%.
• 20:36
  Roadrunners, Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners also
• 20:39
  better at forcing turnovers. The rank 76th in the country
• 20:43
  versus 300 and 53rd for Hawaii. Home Rd.
• 20:46
  Bakersfield, 8:00 and 6:00 at home.
• 20:47
  Nothing crazy, but winning record.
• 20:50
  Hawaii only two and seven on the road Rd.
• 20:52
  Runners fishy buy low play. They're a below 500 team off a
• 20:57
  loss who's favored over a sell high above 500 team off a win.
• 21:01
  So I want to buy low in this spot and Bakersfield sell high
• 21:04
  on Hawaii. And then little cherry on top,
• 21:07
  it's senior night for the Road Runners.
• 21:09
  So they have, I believe, 3 or 4 seniors on their team, but two
• 21:12
  of them are starters. So hopefully this is one of
• 21:15
  those, you know, extra motivation.
• 21:17
  Your parents and your aunts and uncles are coming to the game.
• 21:19
  You walk out to midcourt and you get some flowers and a plaque
• 21:23
  and you get some, you know, you get some, some extra motivation
• 21:26
  to win your last game and your homecourt.
• 21:28
  You saw this happen with Lamar the other night, which came
• 21:30
  through. So hopefully that's a little
• 21:32
  just little nugget that can benefit us in this game as well.
• 21:36
  Lastly, our friends at Rhythm have Cal State Bakersfield -1.4,
• 21:40
  so we just got to win this game. The Long story short, late night
• 21:44
  game, very low bet, great bet split, good movement.
• 21:47
  We have a home Rd. split, lot of stat advantages.
• 21:50
  It's senior night, let's go Bakersfield, win the damn game,
• 21:54
  money line -135 So that about does it for episode 231 of the
• 22:00
  All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 22:03
  This is the part of the pod, of course, where we wrap things up
• 22:06
  and I start first by saying thank you.
• 22:09
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
• 22:11
  busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
• 22:14
  sharp, contrary and data-driven breakdowns with me.
• 22:17
  If you do enjoy this pod, which I hope that you do, I hope you
• 22:20
  feel the insights are valuable. Hope you know that they are all
• 22:24
  not opinion based of course, but again, trying to read the market
• 22:27
  and pick up on these context clues in terms of where the
• 22:30
  smart money's going, where's the public making bets with our head
• 22:33
  and not our heart. If you do enjoy the pod, could
• 22:36
  you please do me a solid give it a five star review on Spotify or
• 22:40
  iTunes. It would go a long way to
• 22:41
  helping us to continue to grow the pod.
• 22:43
  If you want to click the follow button that also be great.
• 22:46
  That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
• 22:48
  You'll get a pop up on your cell phone or it'll go right to your
• 22:51
  Spotify library. And if you want to recommend the
• 22:54
  pod to a friend, maybe someone who's interested in sports
• 22:57
  betting and you know, can't really find some, just, you
• 22:59
  know, data-driven analysis, if you want to recommend the all
• 23:02
  systems go pod to that person, that would be great as well.
• 23:06
  Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown data-driven
• 23:09
  betting, you've not you're not hooked on monitoring the market
• 23:13
  and looking at line movement and bet splits and figuring out
• 23:15
  system matches and taking a contrarian approach.
• 23:18
  If this style of betting has appealed to you and you want to
• 23:21
  learn more about data-driven betting or you just want to make
• 23:23
  my day, let me know you appreciate the hard work that I
• 23:26
  put in hosting this pod each day.
• 23:28
  Then there are a couple things I'd love for you to do.
• 23:30
  One is go buy my first book. Go to Amazon.com and type in the
• 23:35
  everything guide to sports betting.
• 23:37
  Pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
• 23:39
  It's really great for brand new betters to the betting market.
• 23:42
  People who have never bet before are kind of new to betting.
• 23:45
  But then I also have something I'm very excited about.
• 23:47
  And again, get ready. I'm going to mention this every
• 23:49
  day until it comes out. I'm sorry you're not just going
• 23:52
  to have to deal with it, but I'm just super excited for my next
• 23:55
  book to come out August 12th. It's called the NFL Sharp
• 23:59
  Betting Playbook. I tweeted yesterday that it is
• 24:02
  now the number one new release bestseller in the category of
• 24:05
  sports betting on Amazon. So I'm like super, super excited
• 24:08
  about that. But if you want to make my day,
• 24:10
  could you please pre-order a copy?
• 24:13
  Go to Amazon.com, type in the NFL Sharp betting Playbook,
• 24:16
  pre-order a copy. I believe it's $24.00, but
• 24:20
  you'll get it dropped on your front porch from 1 of Bezos's
• 24:23
  drone in August. And then you're going to bring
• 24:25
  it to the book. I'm going to sign it for you and
• 24:26
  I'm going to buy you a beer or ginger ale and we're going to
• 24:29
  we're going to sweat some games together.
• 24:31
  But seriously, for those of you who've already bought a copy,
• 24:33
  pre-ordered it, thank you. It really really does mean a lot
• 24:35
  to me. Next, if you haven't done it
• 24:37
  yet, it's time to download to my favorite sports betting apps,
• 24:41
  Juice Reel and rhythm. Rhythm as we mentioned, where
• 24:44
  you can now request your March Madness bracket.
• 24:48
  Rhythm is great for their AI backed models and predictions
• 24:50
  for game bets and player props. They got MLB coming soon, which
• 24:52
  is which is great. Then also Juice reel where you
• 24:56
  can sign up to get the all systems go best bet picks each
• 24:59
  day. I make this kind of point each
• 25:01
  time, but this pod is free. It cost you nothing if you enjoy
• 25:04
  the pod. I'm I'm I'm holding out a cup.
• 25:07
  It says tips. I would love for you guys to tip
• 25:10
  the pod by signing up to get the all systems go best bets on
• 25:14
  Juice reel. It costs $4.99 a week, but seven
• 25:18
  days of plays again, basically a cup of coffee or half a cup of
• 25:22
  coffee if you go to Starbucks. And it's a great way to get
• 25:25
  these plays a little bit earlier in the day, hopefully beat some
• 25:27
  closing lines. You can always click the tweet
• 25:29
  that I put out around 5-6 O clock every night at Josh under
• 25:33
  score Insights. Or you can just go to the Juice
• 25:36
  Reel app, go to social, find juicers and then type in ASG
• 25:40
  under score podcast. You're also going to get with
• 25:43
  Juice Reel, the Robo Jackson best bet pics, the sharp mush
• 25:46
  indicators, the arbitrage plays. Sync up your sports books and
• 25:50
  get a running report card of your action and also great
• 25:53
  shopping for the best line futures both available with
• 25:56
  juice rail and of course, you got to download rhythm as well.
• 26:00
  Lastly, if you need a live odds page, you got to have a live
• 26:03
  odds page. If you're listening to my voice,
• 26:05
  it means that you care about being the best better you can
• 26:08
  be. And if you don't have a live
• 26:09
  odds page, you are flying blind, my friend.
• 26:11
  You got to know what the lines open that how they're moving,
• 26:14
  what the current prices are. You got to be able to see the
• 26:17
  lines light up and see if they're moving down from -2 to
• 26:20
  -1 1/2 or rising up from -3 to -4 or the totals of falling.
• 26:25
  It's getting juiced. You got to be able to shop for
• 26:28
  the best line, track the market in real time.
• 26:30
  It's so important, and the best live odds page to do that is
• 26:34
  Odds Logic. So you've heard me talk about
• 26:36
  it, but I'd love for you guys to sign up with Odds Logic and you
• 26:39
  just give it a shot with a 7A free trial.
• 26:41
  See if you like it. I tweeted out earlier today
• 26:43
  there's a lot of new advancements of the Odds Logic
• 26:45
  team is doing. It's more customizable, the
• 26:47
  homepage, the color coordination, you can get little
• 26:50
  arrows up and down when lines change.
• 26:52
  But if you want to give it a shot, I think you're going to
• 26:54
  like it. You got to go to this specific
• 26:56
  link, www.oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 27:03
  So oddslogic.com/josh 123, you get your 7 day free trial.
• 27:08
  I think you're going to like it if you like it and you want to
• 27:10
  continue. It's 99 bucks a month, which
• 27:12
  sounds like a lot, but believe me, there are live odds pages
• 27:15
  out there. Most of them are like 300 bucks
• 27:17
  a month, 600 bucks a month. So this is the best option at
• 27:20
  the lowest price. And again, if you have any
• 27:22
  questions about anything I mentioned, you can always DM me
• 27:25
  at Josh under score insights. I'd be happy to give you that
• 27:28
  promo code or question, answer your questions about pretty much
• 27:31
  anything. So that about does it for
• 27:34
  episode 231 of the ASG Pod Powered by Rhythm.
• 27:37
  As always, I'm leave you with two things.
• 27:39
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 27:42
  River in Rhode Island, the Brook in New Hampshire or the Nash in
• 27:46
  New Hampshire, which I'm going for the first time this weekend.
• 27:49
  Also, if you are looking at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
• 27:53
  Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods out in
• 27:56
  the desert where the true grinders get down or Billy
• 27:58
  Walter sends his number runners with lowest true as possible
• 28:01
  found the South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays
• 28:04
  jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 28:06
  When you cash a big ticket at Circo wherever, maybe you're
• 28:09
  going to walk up to me. Unfortunately, Pit and Morehead
• 28:11
  let us down. But show me that beautiful UConn
• 28:13
  Huskies ticket. Shout out to my guy King
• 28:16
  Nebuchadnezzar, who had to drive, I believe from was it New
• 28:19
  York to Connecticut or Connecticut to New York because
• 28:22
  yeah, you can't bet on college teams in your own state.
• 28:25
  And he drove over the border, put in a UConn ticket and then
• 28:27
  drove right back. And my guy King cashed a big one
• 28:30
  there. So Congrats to you, my buddy,
• 28:32
  but as always, first one's on me, next one's on you.
• 28:34
  We're going to post about the book.
• 28:36
  Sweatshop Can Train plays all night long as always. 1 and 2,
• 28:40
  two and one, O and three, three and O.
• 28:43
  It should never change what you did the previous day, how you
• 28:46
  approach the following day. We beat some closing lines,
• 28:49
  brakes didn't go our way. We're not going to get pissed
• 28:52
  off and double and triple down or, you know, chase or do
• 28:55
  whatever. Just going to stick to the
• 28:56
  blueprint, that blueprint, as you guys know by now, betting
• 29:00
  games with our head and not our heart, games that fit the model,
• 29:02
  avoiding ones that don't against the public with the house, with
• 29:05
  the pros flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
• 29:09
  If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters.
• 29:12
  So have a great thirsty Thursday, everybody.
• 29:14
  I'll see you guys tonight on V some live SiriusXM channel.
• 29:18
  It's either 158 or 82 for Patrick Maher show, but then
• 29:22
  we'll be right back at it tomorrow for a big Friday
• 29:24
  edition. That'll be episode 232 of the
• 29:28
  All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 29:32
  Good luck everybody and have a great Thursday night.