Latest / Wellness, Actually with Emily Oster & Perry Wilson, MD / ParentData Presents: Raising Parents - "Should You Have Kids?"
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: This is parent data. I'm Emily Oster. Last fall, I
- 0:07Speaker 1: partnered with The Free Press to create and host an
- 0:09Speaker 1: incredible project, a limited series podcast called Raising Parents, where
- 0:15Speaker 1: we tackled hot button parenting issues from a data driven perspective.
- 0:20Speaker 1: We interviewed countless experts from all across the ideological spectrum,
- 0:25Speaker 1: many of whom both agreed and disagreed with one another
- 0:28Speaker 1: and with me and me with them, which is my favorite.
- 0:32Speaker 1: We looked at the impact of different parenting philosophies, from
- 0:36Speaker 1: gentle parenting to spanking. We looked at the role of
- 0:39Speaker 1: smartphones as it relates to our teens' mental health. We
- 0:43Speaker 1: looked at the different ways of feeding our kids, of
- 0:45Speaker 1: monitoring our kids, of medicating our kids. And the final
- 0:50Speaker 1: episode we released was ironically the biggest question of all,
- 0:55Speaker 1: the one that leads to all the others. Should you
- 0:58Speaker 1: have kids today? We're sharing this episode with you. The
- 1:03Speaker 1: focus is on the data. What's going on with our
- 1:06Speaker 1: global fertility rate, what we thought was going to happen
- 1:09Speaker 1: fifty years ago, that is overpopulation, and what has actually happened,
- 1:14Speaker 1: which is pretty much the opposite. We talk about climate
- 1:17Speaker 1: change and economic challenges and all the other reasons people
- 1:21Speaker 1: are waiting to have kids, if they plan to at all.
- 1:25Speaker 1: But we also get into the emotional side. I talk
- 1:28Speaker 1: to people who have made the decision not to have
- 1:31Speaker 1: kids and why. I talk about some of the reasons
- 1:35Speaker 1: we do have kids. We talk about how hard that
- 1:38Speaker 1: decision can be, both arriving at it and then defending it.
- 1:43Speaker 1: There's no right or wrong answer. As always, I am
- 1:46Speaker 1: a firm believer in doing what is best for you
- 1:49Speaker 1: and your family, whatever family means to you. It's what
- 1:53Speaker 1: makes the conversation so interesting and so important. I'm really
- 2:00Speaker 1: out of this series and especially of this episode, and
- 2:03Speaker 1: I am delighted to share it with you. You can
- 2:07Speaker 1: listen to the whole series on The Free Press's website
- 2:10Speaker 1: at THEFP dot com, slash Listen, Slash, Raising Dash Parents,
- 2:15Speaker 1: Dash with Dash, Emily dash Auster, or on Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
- 2:21Speaker 1: or wherever you get your podcasts. After the break, Raising Parents,
- 2:27Speaker 1: Episode eight, Should You Have Kids?
- 2:43Speaker 2: I always wanted to have kids. There was never a question.
- 2:47Speaker 2: So I got older. I know if I ever dated
- 2:49Speaker 2: someone who didn't want to have kids, I just probably
- 2:52Speaker 2: would have well, I know I would have ended it
- 2:54Speaker 2: because there was no point. It was just always there
- 2:57Speaker 2: for me. I wanted to be there for someone, and
- 2:59Speaker 2: it's very rewarding. Husband and father really two most important titles.
- 3:03Speaker 3: The idea of kids was literally that I would recoil
- 3:06Speaker 3: from the thought of that, because it seemed so phenomenally
- 3:10Speaker 3: on another planet that I was like, oh God, no,
- 3:14Speaker 3: there's no chance of that. I'm just living my life.
- 3:16Speaker 4: I chose to have kids, I guess. I definitely thought
- 3:19Speaker 4: the world would be a better place with more of
- 3:21Speaker 4: me in it, no doubt.
- 3:23Speaker 5: I was in the boat of two is ideal. And
- 3:26Speaker 5: then I got pregnant with our third, and now I
- 3:30Speaker 5: realize how people have many, many, many children because one
- 3:35Speaker 5: two of your third you're like, oh yeah, we just
- 3:37Speaker 5: like keep going.
- 3:38Speaker 6: We got this down, Like we can, we can do this.
- 3:41Speaker 3: It comes to talking about child free versus childless. For
- 3:45Speaker 3: some of us, it goes more towards the side of
- 3:48Speaker 3: oh yeah, I am so child free. I just never
- 3:52Speaker 3: thought about having children. Put my fist in the air
- 3:54Speaker 3: and declare with pride, Yeah, man, I am not responsible
- 3:58Speaker 3: for parenting anybody.
- 4:07Speaker 1: For most of human history, having kids wasn't much of
- 4:09Speaker 1: a choice. Social expectations, lack of birth control, and limited
- 4:14Speaker 1: autonomy for women delivered a limited set of options, say
- 4:19Speaker 1: have children or join the convent. But beginning in the
- 4:23Speaker 1: nineteen sixties, a combination of better birth control options and
- 4:27Speaker 1: better opportunities for women gave many more people a choice
- 4:31Speaker 1: about both how many children to have and whether they
- 4:34Speaker 1: should have any at all. Fast forward to today, many
- 4:38Speaker 1: more people are making the decision not to have children
- 4:41Speaker 1: at all, and for a wide range of reasons. People
- 4:45Speaker 1: tell me they don't want kids because of financial strain
- 4:48Speaker 1: or climate apocalypse. Others say they do want kids so
- 4:52Speaker 1: that they can heal generational trauma or give their first
- 4:55Speaker 1: kid a sibling. I once spoke to someone who told
- 4:58Speaker 1: me that it was important for him to have children
- 5:00Speaker 1: to pass on his spectacular genes. Maybe that's an underlying motivation,
- 5:06Speaker 1: even if most people would not put it quite so directly.
- 5:10Speaker 1: Having children is a personal choice. However, it's a choice
- 5:14Speaker 1: that has broader implications. And what's undisputable is this Virtually
- 5:19Speaker 1: everywhere across the globe the US, Europe, Asia, Africa, fewer
- 5:24Speaker 1: children are being born. Having kids has become a strange
- 5:27Speaker 1: part of the culture wars. On one side, you have
- 5:30Speaker 1: pronatalist public figures like Elon Musk saying everyone needs to
- 5:34Speaker 1: have more kids now in order to save humanity. I
- 5:38Speaker 1: think he has twelve kids to date. And on the
- 5:41Speaker 1: other side you have people like climate activist Greta Thunberg
- 5:45Speaker 1: saying that the rising sea levels are so catastrophic that
- 5:48Speaker 1: having kids in this era is akin to genocide. But
- 5:52Speaker 1: what everyone can agree on is that the fertility rate
- 5:55Speaker 1: is plummeting in America but also around the world, and
- 5:59Speaker 1: in my life of work, the speed with which this
- 6:02Speaker 1: number is going down in the US is causing concern
- 6:05Speaker 1: for all of the economists in the room.
- 6:07Speaker 7: Americans are not having babies anymore. The US fertility rate
- 6:11Speaker 7: fell to a record low, declining two percent from a
- 6:14Speaker 7: year ago. This marks the lowest rate recorded since the
- 6:17Speaker 7: government began tracking the data in the nineteen thirties.
- 6:20Speaker 8: Our fertility rate is below the replacement threshold. It's been
- 6:23Speaker 8: that way for several years since two thousand and seven,
- 6:25Speaker 8: which is basically the level our generation needs to replace itself.
- 6:29Speaker 8: And that falling birth rate and has implications obviously for
- 6:33Speaker 8: the economy For demographics, one.
- 6:34Speaker 4: Of the first effects we will see is when social
- 6:37Speaker 4: security funds are expected to run low in the twenty thirties.
- 6:40Speaker 4: The lower birth rate in twenty twenty two will have
- 6:43Speaker 4: long term effects. In a couple of decades, there could
- 6:46Speaker 4: be a shortage of young adult workers.
- 6:50Speaker 1: The basic problem is that economic growth relies at least
- 6:53Speaker 1: in part on population growth, Plus the older population relies
- 6:58Speaker 1: on the younger population for support through contributions to social
- 7:02Speaker 1: security and taxes. But before we all panic, what does
- 7:06Speaker 1: the data say. Presently, American women on average have one
- 7:12Speaker 1: point six kids. In the nineteen fifties, it was three.
- 7:17Speaker 1: The replacement rate in the United States, which is the
- 7:19Speaker 1: fertility rate needed for a generation to exactly replace itself
- 7:23Speaker 1: without considering immigration, is approximately two point one berths per woman.
- 7:29Speaker 1: The average age of first time mothers has increased to
- 7:32Speaker 1: about twenty seven years old, up from twenty one point
- 7:35Speaker 1: four years in nineteen seventy. The proportion of Americans aged
- 7:40Speaker 1: sixty five and older is projected to almost double, increasing
- 7:44Speaker 1: from sixteen percent in twenty nineteen to twenty three percent
- 7:48Speaker 1: by twenty sixty. This shift means that nearly one in
- 7:52Speaker 1: four Americans will be in the senior age bracket. And
- 7:55Speaker 1: this isn't just happening in the US. From nineteen fifty
- 7:59Speaker 1: to twenty twenty one, the global total fertility rate more
- 8:03Speaker 1: than halved, falling from four point eighty four to two
- 8:06Speaker 1: point two to three, as many countries grew wealthier and
- 8:10Speaker 1: women had fewer babies. Notable highlights from the data include
- 8:15Speaker 1: sub Sharran, Africa, which has the highest fertility rate in
- 8:18Speaker 1: the world, but has dropped from six point three in
- 8:21Speaker 1: nineteen ninety to four point seven children per woman today.
- 8:25Speaker 1: South Korea, with the world's lowest fertility rate, has only
- 8:30Speaker 1: zero point seven to eight children per woman. So today
- 8:35Speaker 1: birth rates, personal decisions and their broader implications. After a
- 8:40Speaker 1: whole series focused on the state of our children, we
- 8:43Speaker 1: cap things off with a fundamental question, should you have kids?
- 8:47Speaker 1: And what happens if we all don't. I'm Emila Astro
- 8:55Speaker 1: and from the Free Press, this is Raising Parents.
- 9:00Speaker 8: Emily aust and Economists by Trade has gathered the data,
- 9:03Speaker 8: crunch the numbers, and is now debunking some of the
- 9:06Speaker 8: most controversial myths about parenthood.
- 9:09Speaker 5: I think what everyone is most interested in, like pregnant women.
- 9:12Speaker 1: They're like, can I drink? You know you shouldn't have
- 9:14Speaker 1: like a lot?
- 9:15Speaker 8: Where is this data coming from?
- 9:16Speaker 1: The fundamental answer is we get data on people by
- 9:19Speaker 1: asking people about their behaviors and what they do, and
- 9:22Speaker 1: by collecting information on how their kids do.
- 9:24Speaker 9: Poster doesn't shy away from other charge topics.
- 9:26Speaker 8: People are using your database as an example as to
- 9:30Speaker 8: why schools should reopen.
- 9:32Speaker 1: What kind of reaction did.
- 9:33Speaker 8: You get to that? I imagine that was a little controversial.
- 9:36Speaker 1: It was a little controversial.
- 9:37Speaker 10: Yes, you're an economist, You're not a doctor. I mean,
- 9:40Speaker 10: what do you think people are going to take away
- 9:41Speaker 10: from what you've written in this book?
- 9:42Speaker 1: All that I'm trying to do here is really show women,
- 9:45Speaker 1: here is what the evidence is, and why don't you
- 9:47Speaker 1: think about some of these decisions for yourself? Episode eight,
- 9:53Speaker 1: Should You Have Kids?
- 9:55Speaker 11: I grew up in New Haven in the nineteen eighties
- 9:57Speaker 11: and nineteen nineties. At a certain point in high school,
- 10:00Speaker 11: I was assigned some kind of bulletin board project on
- 10:04Speaker 11: the intersection between science and some kind of major world
- 10:08Speaker 11: issue or trend, and I ended up choosing population.
- 10:12Speaker 1: This is Ross Duthett. He's a New York Times columnist
- 10:15Speaker 1: and father of five children.
- 10:17Speaker 11: And I went to the library as one did back
- 10:20Speaker 11: in the day, and went to the section of books
- 10:23Speaker 11: that were about that subject and Most of them seemed
- 10:26Speaker 11: to be written by Paul Erlik, who was quite famous
- 10:30Speaker 11: for a while as the profit of overpopulation and Doom.
- 10:34Speaker 11: And I checked out a number of those books, probably
- 10:38Speaker 11: The Population Bomb his original and then his follow up,
- 10:42Speaker 11: I think it was called The Population Explosion.
- 10:44Speaker 1: Those were sort of.
- 10:45Speaker 11: Prophecies from the nineteen sixties and nineteen seventies about the
- 10:50Speaker 11: demographic tide overwhelming the world.
- 10:53Speaker 4: That world population is increasing by twenty three people every
- 10:56Speaker 4: ten seconds.
- 10:57Speaker 6: It's clear that world population both remains completely.
- 11:01Speaker 9: Out of control. Look at what the year two thousand
- 11:03Speaker 9: will be.
- 11:04Speaker 1: Our cities are going to be choked with people. They're
- 11:06Speaker 1: going to be choked with traffic, they're going to be
- 11:09Speaker 1: choked with crime, they're.
- 11:10Speaker 9: Going to be chokum with.
- 11:12Speaker 2: Pollution, and they will be impossible.
- 11:15Speaker 11: As a good student, I compared those books prophecies to
- 11:18Speaker 11: what was actually happening in the world. And this was
- 11:21Speaker 11: about twenty five or thirty years ago. And even then
- 11:25Speaker 11: it was quite clear that for various reasons, Erlk's prophecies
- 11:31Speaker 11: of doom had not been fulfilled. His demographic projections no
- 11:37Speaker 11: longer matched what was happening really anywhere around the world.
- 11:40Speaker 11: But definitely didn't match what was happening in the developed world.
- 11:44Speaker 1: Paul Erlik wrote his book The Population Bomb in nineteen
- 11:47Speaker 1: sixty eight. He described the impacts of overpopulation in a
- 11:51Speaker 1: very visceral way. It was easy to make it scary.
- 11:55Speaker 1: He wrote about people dying from hunger because there literally
- 11:58Speaker 1: wouldn't be enough food, defeat everyone, sufficient calories, major political upheavals.
- 12:04Speaker 1: Every inch of the world would be looking like Bangladesh
- 12:07Speaker 1: in terms of density, poverty, and disease.
- 12:10Speaker 11: Everywhere, and back then, especially in Western Europe and to
- 12:15Speaker 11: some extent East Asia, especially Japan, where you could see
- 12:19Speaker 11: that the trends were likely to go in the entirely
- 12:23Speaker 11: opposite direction. Basically that population was peaking and was going
- 12:27Speaker 11: to pass a peak and start declining, that the richest
- 12:31Speaker 11: parts of the world were going to get old, very
- 12:33Speaker 11: very rapidly, and that, in fact, most likely the big
- 12:39Speaker 11: demographic challenge of the twenty first century was going to
- 12:42Speaker 11: be not population growth but population decline.
- 12:46Speaker 1: And it's sort of amazing. I mean, we're talking about
- 12:50Speaker 1: the nineteen eighties when this was already sort of somewhat visible,
- 12:54Speaker 1: but the decline in fertility rates in the sort of
- 12:58Speaker 1: period leading off to that and continuing is pretty astonishing
- 13:02Speaker 1: because it isn't just the decline in more developed countries
- 13:07Speaker 1: which have gone from replacement to under replacement, but it's
- 13:10Speaker 1: an enormous decline in many of the places that were
- 13:14Speaker 1: the highest fertility rates even in the nineteen eighties. So
- 13:16Speaker 1: places that had seven to eight kid fertility rates are
- 13:19Speaker 1: now down to three or four even two. I mean
- 13:24Speaker 1: that the magnitude of that change over relatively short period
- 13:27Speaker 1: has been pretty astounding.
- 13:30Speaker 11: Yes, what you just described is the change that's happened
- 13:34Speaker 11: from my bulletin board project to the present. Right, So
- 13:37Speaker 11: twenty five twenty five years ago, in the nineteen nineties,
- 13:39Speaker 11: whenever I was doing this, it wasn't quite as clear
- 13:42Speaker 11: what was going to happen to population in China, South Asia,
- 13:48Speaker 11: and Latin America. It was clear that they were not
- 13:51Speaker 11: going to fulfill sort of Airlick's worst case scenarios from
- 13:56Speaker 11: his perspective, right of just you know, too many people,
- 13:59Speaker 11: too many men to feed. But yeah, at that point,
- 14:02Speaker 11: it was clear that rich countries were going to get
- 14:04Speaker 11: old quite quickly. And what's become clear since then is
- 14:07Speaker 11: that middle income and even poorer countries can follow the
- 14:12Speaker 11: same trajectory. You don't have to become Denmark or the
- 14:16Speaker 11: Netherlands or Japan to enter into a shift not just
- 14:22Speaker 11: to replacement level fertility, but something below replacement, maybe even
- 14:27Speaker 11: well below replacement.
- 14:29Speaker 1: The replacement rate is the average birth per woman a
- 14:32Speaker 1: country needs to maintain its population. Erlck was alarming, and
- 14:36Speaker 1: he was following an alarming tradition. Thomas Malthus in the
- 14:39Speaker 1: eighteen hundreds had a similar set of dire overpopulation predictions.
- 14:44Speaker 1: Erlck was also wrong. The predictions he made haven't come
- 14:48Speaker 1: to pass, but the tenor of this argument hasn't gone away.
- 14:53Speaker 1: In a way, it's transferred from overcrowding concerns to environmental
- 14:58Speaker 1: arguments for lower population, and to moral arguments about human suffering.
- 15:03Speaker 1: Part of the legacy of this work is the sense
- 15:05Speaker 1: that having more humans is just in some way bad.
- 15:10Speaker 1: According to one new Pew survey of adults under fifty,
- 15:13Speaker 1: the primary argument against having children is I just don't
- 15:16Speaker 1: want to. All of this makes it harder for people
- 15:19Speaker 1: to see the real risks of a declining fertility rate.
- 15:23Speaker 11: You know, I'm a conservative crank, right, so I've been
- 15:26Speaker 11: talking about it that way for some time, though I
- 15:29Speaker 11: would say the trends of the last five years have
- 15:31Speaker 11: been sort of more alarming even than I expected. People
- 15:36Speaker 11: are sort of still surprised when they're confronted with some
- 15:40Speaker 11: of these demographic trends. There's still sort of just an
- 15:43Speaker 11: expectation that overpopulation is the main problem, which also then
- 15:48Speaker 11: is entangled with anxiety about climate change, where people will
- 15:53Speaker 11: either say, you know, well, clearly, the places where population
- 15:58Speaker 11: is still increasing sub Saharan Africa above all, are still
- 16:01Speaker 11: going to create some kind of overpopulation problem and also
- 16:04Speaker 11: contribute to climate change, or people will say, okay, well,
- 16:07Speaker 11: maybe we're getting demographic decline, but because of the threat
- 16:11Speaker 11: of climate change, we should welcome it.
- 16:14Speaker 12: Right.
- 16:14Speaker 11: There's both a certain uncertainty shading into denial about whether
- 16:19Speaker 11: this is really happening, and a kind of desire to
- 16:22Speaker 11: put an optimistic environmentalist interpretation on it. For most places,
- 16:27Speaker 11: the more realistic vision is old people dying alone in
- 16:33Speaker 11: large numbers place is emptying. So many more ghost towns,
- 16:40Speaker 11: rural areas emptying, but also potentially parts of cities emptying.
- 16:46Speaker 11: It's just sort of a picture of not so much
- 16:49Speaker 11: worn famine as deppopulation decay, and also kind of a
- 16:56Speaker 11: clustering effect in an age of population decline. And let's
- 17:00Speaker 11: say you have, you know, a country with eight major cities.
- 17:03Speaker 11: It's not that each of those cities declines in population.
- 17:07Speaker 11: It's that three of them decline in population, three of
- 17:11Speaker 11: them have their population increase because everybody moves to them, right,
- 17:15Speaker 11: because nobody wants to be in the declining places, and
- 17:17Speaker 11: two of them turn into you know, Detroit at its emptiest.
- 17:21Speaker 11: That's a weird future to get your mind around, I think.
- 17:24Speaker 1: And what's at stake if we do that? I mean,
- 17:27Speaker 1: why is that bad?
- 17:28Speaker 11: You can frame it in sort of economist friendly terms
- 17:32Speaker 11: and say, okay, this is a world of declining population.
- 17:36Speaker 11: Is a world that's going to have slower economic growth.
- 17:40Speaker 11: It's going to have less dynamism and less innovation. Older
- 17:44Speaker 11: populations are more change averse. They're less likely to come
- 17:47Speaker 11: up with new inventions. You know, when you have a
- 17:49Speaker 11: smaller and smaller group of younger workers supporting the welfare
- 17:53Speaker 11: states that rich countries have built up, that gets harder
- 17:56Speaker 11: and harder to sustain. Those kind of societies are going
- 18:00Speaker 11: to be more stagnant, less dynamic, less interesting in creative
- 18:04Speaker 11: places to live. And then also they're going to be
- 18:08Speaker 11: on the evidence we have now lonelier and unhappier places
- 18:11Speaker 11: to live. Now, we only have sort of a generation's
- 18:16Speaker 11: worth of data on what life in virtual reality looks like.
- 18:20Speaker 11: And it's possible that once you know Mark Zuckerberg and
- 18:24Speaker 11: Tim Cook perfect virtual reality goggles, that the Internet will
- 18:29Speaker 11: become a different place than it's been so far. But
- 18:32Speaker 11: right now, all of the data we have, I would say,
- 18:34Speaker 11: suggests that young people growing up in virtual spaces, in
- 18:40Speaker 11: a social media dominated social landscape, hanging out less in person,
- 18:45Speaker 11: spending less time with friends in reality and more time
- 18:48Speaker 11: with friends in the virtual, are unhappier in ways that
- 18:52Speaker 11: in turn seem to be compounding the low fertility dilemma.
- 18:56Speaker 11: They're unhappier, they're forming fewer relationships, They're less likely to
- 19:00Speaker 11: have a boyfriend or a girlfriend. They're less likely to
- 19:02Speaker 11: have sex, they're less likely to get married, they're less
- 19:04Speaker 11: likely to have kids, and so the low fertility trap
- 19:08Speaker 11: itself gets deeper.
- 19:10Speaker 1: Tell me your best theory for why people are not
- 19:12Speaker 1: having children.
- 19:15Speaker 11: I mean there's like seventeen theories, right, seventeen.
- 19:18Speaker 1: I mean, it's give me the best one. Ross.
- 19:20Speaker 11: So trying to really simplify it. One, you just expect
- 19:27Speaker 11: fertility rates to fall naturally in the transition from an
- 19:32Speaker 11: agricultural society where kids are a net economic benefit in
- 19:37Speaker 11: obvious ways because you have farms and you need kids
- 19:41Speaker 11: to work on farms, to a contemporary society where kids
- 19:45Speaker 11: are something that in order for them to do well
- 19:48Speaker 11: in life, you mostly have to invest in them and
- 19:52Speaker 11: get less back, and you don't need their support in
- 19:57Speaker 11: the same way at least, you know, until there's stopp
- 20:00Speaker 11: being no kids at all, as long as you have
- 20:03Speaker 11: social Security and Medicare and so on. So there's sort
- 20:06Speaker 11: of an economic basis for shrinking family size that you
- 20:10Speaker 11: would expect. There's a health and wellness basis where people
- 20:15Speaker 11: used to have larger families in part because fewer kids
- 20:19Speaker 11: survived to adulthood. Infant mortality was very high until quite
- 20:22Speaker 11: recently in our history. So it's not the case that
- 20:25Speaker 11: most people in seventeen thirty, we're having thirteen kids and
- 20:29Speaker 11: all those kids were surviving to adulthood. Your family size
- 20:32Speaker 11: of sort of kids who grew successfully to adulthood would
- 20:35Speaker 11: always tend to be four or five six kids, not ten,
- 20:38Speaker 11: eleven or twelve. So again you expect birth rates to
- 20:42Speaker 11: decline as infant mortality goes down. You expect birth rates
- 20:47Speaker 11: to decline as you get more professional and economic opportunities
- 20:52Speaker 11: for women. That's sort of an obvious expectation that has
- 20:56Speaker 11: been fulfilled in every country we can see. So when
- 20:59Speaker 11: you put all those things together, it's very easy to
- 21:01Speaker 11: see why you would go from people having ten kids
- 21:06Speaker 11: to having five, or from having six kids to having three.
- 21:09Speaker 11: The harder question is why does fertility go from two
- 21:13Speaker 11: to three kids, which is what most people still say
- 21:18Speaker 11: they want, not just men but also women, you know,
- 21:22Speaker 11: both sexes in rich countries. If you ask you know,
- 21:25Speaker 11: what is your desired fertility, it's still going to be
- 21:28Speaker 11: around let's say two point four two point five, not
- 21:31Speaker 11: one point two or something. You know, that's the trillion
- 21:34Speaker 11: dollar question, right, because if fertility rates settled at two
- 21:38Speaker 11: point five, then populations would be stable or slightly increasing,
- 21:42Speaker 11: and you wouldn't have this kind of depopulated wasteland future
- 21:47Speaker 11: looming ahead. And there, I think you have to get
- 21:50Speaker 11: into some mixture of essentially just the sheer scale of
- 21:56Speaker 11: wealth and immediate pleasures available to people modern life that
- 22:01Speaker 11: make having kids seem like a special kind of burden
- 22:06Speaker 11: that you are more likely to postpone until you feel
- 22:10Speaker 11: completely ready.
- 22:11Speaker 1: One thing I wanted to add to Ross's analysis here
- 22:14Speaker 1: is the question of social support. It's not lost on
- 22:17Speaker 1: me or most of us that support for children in
- 22:19Speaker 1: the US is pretty lousy. There's no national paid maternity leave,
- 22:24Speaker 1: there's limited childcare support. A lot of US look to
- 22:27Speaker 1: places like Sweden with its seemingly unending support for parents
- 22:32Speaker 1: and say, surely with that support there would be more children.
- 22:36Speaker 1: But in fact, fertility rates have gone down as much,
- 22:39Speaker 1: often more in those places than in the US, and
- 22:42Speaker 1: in general, policies which have tried to increase childbearing by
- 22:46Speaker 1: offering incentives to do so have fallen flat. This leaves
- 22:50Speaker 1: me back to Ross's final point, It must be something
- 22:53Speaker 1: else which explains this.
- 22:56Speaker 10: The main thing I noticed is that most people make
- 22:58Speaker 10: their decision about do I let another based upon I
- 23:00Speaker 10: feel exhausted right now. I mean, I just think that
- 23:04Speaker 10: a lot of times people are making these decisions impulsively.
- 23:07Speaker 1: Meet Brian Kaplan, a professor of economics at George Mason University,
- 23:11Speaker 1: a New York Times bestselling author, and a father of four.
- 23:16Speaker 1: In his book Selfish Reasons, to have more kids. He
- 23:20Speaker 1: argues that raising children is actually less demanding and stressful
- 23:23Speaker 1: than many people think. He suggests that the current trend
- 23:27Speaker 1: of having fewer children might be because parents overestimate how
- 23:31Speaker 1: hard it is to raise a successful adult. Brian tries
- 23:35Speaker 1: to ease parents' worries so they can enjoy their kids
- 23:38Speaker 1: in the short term and consider having more children for
- 23:42Speaker 1: long term happiness.
- 23:44Speaker 10: Like you wouldn't say I'm too tired to go and
- 23:46Speaker 10: shop for a dishwasher because I'm doing too many dishes,
- 23:50Speaker 10: And it's like, well, if you just put a little
- 23:52Speaker 10: investment in and get the dishwasher, then your life's is
- 23:54Speaker 10: going to be easier every day. So, like a lot
- 23:57Speaker 10: of times, if your life is hard, you've got to
- 23:59Speaker 10: do something and makes it worse for a little while
- 24:01Speaker 10: in order to make it better after that. And I
- 24:03Speaker 10: think there's definitely some part of having kids to that.
- 24:06Speaker 10: I'm like, I'm not crazy or blind. I do know
- 24:09Speaker 10: that the first couple weeks of any kids is really hard.
- 24:12Speaker 1: Why should people have kids?
- 24:14Speaker 10: I mean, my honest answer is not everybody should. It depends,
- 24:18Speaker 10: but I don't want to leave it with that total
- 24:20Speaker 10: cop out. In particular, I start with well, does this
- 24:25Speaker 10: idea have any appeal to you whatsoever? And there's a
- 24:28Speaker 10: few people just no, I just don't like it at all.
- 24:30Speaker 10: I'm like, that's fine. But out of people that are interested,
- 24:34Speaker 10: then a lot of it comes down to the question
- 24:36Speaker 10: of cost, not just financial, but also in terms of time.
- 24:39Speaker 10: And that's the main thing that I focused on in
- 24:41Speaker 10: my research is whether the time that people are spending
- 24:44Speaker 10: with their kids is actually either needlessly unpleasant or just
- 24:50Speaker 10: failing to deliver the benefits that they think, in which
- 24:53Speaker 10: case there's just a lot of the costs are actually
- 24:55Speaker 10: artificial costs that are caused by people's own, in turn
- 25:00Speaker 10: life theories about what they have to do, which.
- 25:02Speaker 13: Might not be true.
- 25:03Speaker 1: So people potentially overstate how expensive in the time sense,
- 25:08Speaker 1: in particular, it would be to have kids.
- 25:10Speaker 10: Write that, and on top of it, anyone who thinks
- 25:12Speaker 10: that kid doesn't get private schools destined to be a loser, Well,
- 25:15Speaker 10: we've got data on that, and the benefits are at
- 25:18Speaker 10: least a lot smaller than people imagine. So it's not
- 25:21Speaker 10: true that if you don't give your kids fancy private
- 25:24Speaker 10: schools or they don't go to the very top colleges,
- 25:27Speaker 10: that they're doom for disaster mediocrity in life.
- 25:31Speaker 1: Would you say, relative to the people who ask you
- 25:33Speaker 1: would ask you this, more of them should have kids
- 25:35Speaker 1: than think they should.
- 25:37Speaker 10: Yeah, absolutely so anything. Most people have an exaggerated notion
- 25:41Speaker 10: of how much their children's future depends upon them being
- 25:44Speaker 10: miserable during the kid's childhood. And once you set that aside,
- 25:48Speaker 10: then step on obviously as well. If I don't have
- 25:51Speaker 10: to be miserable, I'm not going to be miserable. But
- 25:53Speaker 10: step two is, well, if kids are not automatically coming
- 25:57Speaker 10: with this big package of suffering, maybe I should rethink
- 26:00Speaker 10: the number that I want to have.
- 26:02Speaker 1: So what's my If my job is not to suffer,
- 26:04Speaker 1: what is the role of the parents.
- 26:07Speaker 10: Well, of course there's always a little bit of suffering.
- 26:09Speaker 10: I'm not fool enough to deny that. I would say
- 26:12Speaker 10: that you think about yourself as your child's companion. What
- 26:16Speaker 10: is a child? A child is someone who is with
- 26:19Speaker 10: you for a great many years of your life. A
- 26:21Speaker 10: child is your companion. A child is your friend. A
- 26:23Speaker 10: child is the person that you are putting hopes and
- 26:27Speaker 10: dreams into. And you can do this with a negative attitude,
- 26:31Speaker 10: which it's up to you but I strongly recommend to
- 26:35Speaker 10: do it with a positive attitude, like you would with
- 26:37Speaker 10: any other person that you have a good relationship with.
- 26:40Speaker 1: Some of this feels that gets wrapped up in if
- 26:43Speaker 1: I have a relationship that I like or that I
- 26:45Speaker 1: find manageable, I'm able to have more kids? Does that link?
- 26:48Speaker 9: Well?
- 26:48Speaker 1: How you see that?
- 26:50Speaker 10: There's this wonderful evidence from adoption studies and twin studies
- 26:54Speaker 10: on what is the parents matter for, what are they
- 26:56Speaker 10: not matter for? And especially where's the dial? Normally they'll
- 26:59Speaker 10: be at least some slight effect, but the effects are
- 27:02Speaker 10: bigger on some things at others. And what I say is,
- 27:05Speaker 10: when you go through all of this evidence, the most
- 27:07Speaker 10: meaningful effect of parenting is just on appreciation how your
- 27:10Speaker 10: child feels about you, the kind of person they see
- 27:12Speaker 10: you as. And to me, this is really the heart
- 27:16Speaker 10: of being a parent. Is the main thing that's in
- 27:18Speaker 10: my power is this relationship, which makes a lot of sense.
- 27:21Speaker 10: If you think about a kid as being a person,
- 27:23Speaker 10: as you should, they are people. If you think about, well,
- 27:27Speaker 10: so I should marry this person in order to mold
- 27:29Speaker 10: them into some other person, it's not.
- 27:31Speaker 9: A good idea.
- 27:31Speaker 10: Generally, you need to roughly accept them as they are,
- 27:36Speaker 10: maybe try to send off some rough edges, but mostly
- 27:38Speaker 10: focus on enjoying your time together. Same with friends, same
- 27:41Speaker 10: with almost any good relationship. Try to focus on leading
- 27:45Speaker 10: a fulfilling life together rather than molding them. So that's
- 27:48Speaker 10: what I think of as the real heart of parenting.
- 27:51Speaker 10: It's like great many other kinds of positive relationships where
- 27:55Speaker 10: you enjoy spending time together without sitting around saying, yeah,
- 27:58Speaker 10: but what's the long run payoff? The payoffs?
- 28:00Speaker 1: Now, mostly there's one piece I think we definitely agree on,
- 28:06Speaker 1: which is that a lot of the things that parents
- 28:10Speaker 1: sort of sit around and obsess about, or at least
- 28:12Speaker 1: the kinds of parents that I think we probably talked
- 28:14Speaker 1: to a lot sit around obsessed about, don't matter as
- 28:16Speaker 1: much as they think they do or at all, And
- 28:19Speaker 1: that it would be you know, investing a lot of
- 28:22Speaker 1: time in trying to get your kid to the Junior Olympics,
- 28:24Speaker 1: like they're not going to the Junior Olympics in anyway.
- 28:27Speaker 10: Oh yeah, yeah. And also, of course it's not very
- 28:30Speaker 10: fun for your kid for the parent to be miserable.
- 28:33Speaker 10: One to me, very meaningful study that I came across
- 28:37Speaker 10: when I was doing my kid's book is something called
- 28:38Speaker 10: the Ask the Children's Survey. We just asked a lot
- 28:41Speaker 10: of kids to give reviews of their parents, and one
- 28:44Speaker 10: of the most revealing things to me anyway, was very
- 28:48Speaker 10: few kids complain their parents don't have time for them. Instead,
- 28:51Speaker 10: what kids complain is that their parents are too angry, tired,
- 28:54Speaker 10: and stressed. And I was reading that, it's like, yeah,
- 28:57Speaker 10: that's a lot like your parents go and they're driving
- 29:00Speaker 10: you around to a bunch of functions that they don't
- 29:02Speaker 10: really feel like taking you to, and then they flip
- 29:04Speaker 10: out at you because he's tried to change the radio station.
- 29:07Speaker 10: And then it's like, well, wouldn't been better to have
- 29:10Speaker 10: just had a nice night together and not taken the
- 29:12Speaker 10: kid to a sport he doesn't even enjoy very much,
- 29:14Speaker 10: and then you would have been happy.
- 29:19Speaker 14: I think part of it is that we've shifted to
- 29:22Speaker 14: a model of parenting, especially in those upper economic trenches,
- 29:26Speaker 14: that just sets the bar for parenthood too high, and
- 29:29Speaker 14: it causes people to miss out on a lot of
- 29:31Speaker 14: joy that they would otherwise have earlier in their life.
- 29:34Speaker 1: This is Leah Lobrasco, sergeant writer at Otherfeminisms dot com
- 29:38Speaker 1: and author of several books, including the upcoming The Dignity
- 29:42Speaker 1: of Dependence, which explores how to create a world that
- 29:46Speaker 1: welcomes women and children. She has three children under five
- 29:49Speaker 1: and is also the mother of six others whom she
- 29:52Speaker 1: lost through miscarriage. You tweeted about going to Yale to
- 29:55Speaker 1: convince students to have more kids at younger ages. What's
- 29:58Speaker 1: your first argument to the kids for why they should
- 30:01Speaker 1: have kids sooner.
- 30:03Speaker 14: I think the most basic reason is because kids are good,
- 30:07Speaker 14: and that you know you should be suspicious by default
- 30:09Speaker 14: of a culture that's telling you that these are goods
- 30:13Speaker 14: you have to wait to enjoy for a long time,
- 30:16Speaker 14: And because there's a tendency to overstate our own control
- 30:19Speaker 14: over our lives and our children, and then we lose
- 30:21Speaker 14: out on those goods. Ultimately, saying yes to children and
- 30:24Speaker 14: openness to children is a yes to a certain amount
- 30:27Speaker 14: of chaos. And whether you succeed in having children or not,
- 30:31Speaker 14: Acknowledging that reality that life is not totally authored by
- 30:34Speaker 14: you or under your control opens you up to the
- 30:36Speaker 14: richness of what your life can be.
- 30:38Speaker 1: How did the students respond to that, You know, it
- 30:41Speaker 1: was interesting.
- 30:41Speaker 14: We have varying speeches. The two major themes, one of
- 30:44Speaker 14: which I respect and one of which I don't. One
- 30:47Speaker 14: of the rebuttals was more of an environmental one of
- 30:50Speaker 14: just kids are bad, humans are mostly bad. We should
- 30:54Speaker 14: have fewer of all of these. You know, the student
- 30:57Speaker 14: giving the speech was tiptoeing pretty close to kind of
- 31:01Speaker 14: suicidal civilizational logic. Each individual person avoided, each life cut shorter,
- 31:06Speaker 14: fewer person lives on Earth is a net improvement for
- 31:09Speaker 14: the planet. It's an extremely college attitude. I would say,
- 31:14Speaker 14: of just this, what if everyone is bad, but you
- 31:18Speaker 14: want more people to go out of it than I
- 31:19Speaker 14: think are currently making it through that refreshman nihilism. Now,
- 31:24Speaker 14: the argument I respected a lot more came from a
- 31:27Speaker 14: young woman who would I think, position herself also on
- 31:30Speaker 14: the left, but was making a different critique. And she
- 31:33Speaker 14: just said, look, whenever women opt into having children, their
- 31:36Speaker 14: lives are more strongly differentiated from men, And in a
- 31:40Speaker 14: sexist society, encouraging women to have children is encouraging them
- 31:44Speaker 14: essentially to make their womanhood more salient, and that's bad
- 31:48Speaker 14: for them. And I think she's descriptively right. Right, in
- 31:52Speaker 14: a world that's hostile to children, children are dangerous to women.
- 31:57Speaker 14: But the kind of the alternative she's putting forward is
- 32:00Speaker 14: a strain in mainstream feminism is women are essentially received
- 32:04Speaker 14: by society as deficient men, and the feminist project is
- 32:08Speaker 14: helping us better pass for men or remedying those deficiencies,
- 32:11Speaker 14: not making a world where women are welcome as women.
- 32:14Speaker 1: So let's talk about moms and whether they can have
- 32:18Speaker 1: it all? Can they can they have a career and
- 32:20Speaker 1: be it? What is your feeling? Can we have it all?
- 32:22Speaker 14: No one can have it all, So you're making choices
- 32:25Speaker 14: about trade offs, and everyone has to make those choices.
- 32:28Speaker 14: I think our society asks unjust things of both men
- 32:31Speaker 14: and women, and the valance of that unjust demand is
- 32:34Speaker 14: a little different. Women face more pressure to have it all,
- 32:37Speaker 14: a high powered career and kids, and you love your kids,
- 32:41Speaker 14: but you can't see your kids. You go and you
- 32:43Speaker 14: should feel guilty about all these things. And men face
- 32:45Speaker 14: the opposite pressure of there's less room for men's grief
- 32:48Speaker 14: about their lack of fatherhood, whether it's because they don't
- 32:51Speaker 14: have kids or because they are succeeding in a non
- 32:54Speaker 14: parental career track and they come home as their kids
- 32:57Speaker 14: are going to bed and they miss that. But there's
- 32:58Speaker 14: not as much conversation about that being a real loss
- 33:01Speaker 14: for them. Right, we just don't put caregiving at the
- 33:03Speaker 14: center of our society, and everyone, men and women pay
- 33:06Speaker 14: a price for that.
- 33:07Speaker 1: It would be one thing to come to everyone and say, look,
- 33:10Speaker 1: if you want to have children, it's going to require
- 33:13Speaker 1: these trade offs, and that's something we're all going to
- 33:15Speaker 1: grapple with. I think the sort of current setup for
- 33:19Speaker 1: many people feels like men aren't going to have that
- 33:22Speaker 1: at all and women are going to have it a lot.
- 33:25Speaker 1: Let me be that person a little bit, the student
- 33:28Speaker 1: basically who would say, and I think I would have
- 33:30Speaker 1: said this at that time, like I did want kids,
- 33:32Speaker 1: and I also wanted a career, and I wanted fairness,
- 33:38Speaker 1: And it feels like we should be able to get
- 33:41Speaker 1: farther than we are, and that that has to be
- 33:46Speaker 1: part of the societal bargain, that no one could have
- 33:50Speaker 1: it all, but like, why am I having none of it?
- 33:53Speaker 14: This is where I see a lot of the most
- 33:54Speaker 14: fruitful collaboration between the feminist community and the disability community,
- 33:58Speaker 14: because they're both basically making the claim we build our
- 34:01Speaker 14: society around too narrow a range of bodies and experiences,
- 34:05Speaker 14: and the question isn't just will we help women fit
- 34:08Speaker 14: a male mold better? Will we help someone who's in
- 34:10Speaker 14: a wheelchair fit a walking mold better?
- 34:13Speaker 1: But do we build our.
- 34:14Speaker 14: Buildings, our expectations, our careers to accommodate a wider range
- 34:18Speaker 14: of lived experience. And that's where you get something that
- 34:21Speaker 14: isn't so much just okay, well, you do want to
- 34:24Speaker 14: have a baby, I guess, so I guess we'll make
- 34:28Speaker 14: this closet for you to pump in if we have to.
- 34:31Speaker 14: But water's pretty clean, so formula would be better for us.
- 34:36Speaker 14: I've got nothing against breast pumps, but I think a
- 34:37Speaker 14: lot of our expectations around them are built around how
- 34:39Speaker 14: they serve your boss, not around how they serve you.
- 34:42Speaker 14: And so the question is more all right, well we
- 34:44Speaker 14: start with the assumption you're a mom. What will it
- 34:47Speaker 14: look like to accommodate a mother in this job or
- 34:49Speaker 14: in this workplace? And I think COVID has helped a
- 34:52Speaker 14: little bit because it just was a hard reset on
- 34:55Speaker 14: a lot of expectations we have around work and let
- 34:58Speaker 14: people explore a broader range of models, not all of
- 35:01Speaker 14: what you're compensated at the same level, but just having
- 35:04Speaker 14: a broader range of accommodations is good for women. It's
- 35:07Speaker 14: good for people with physical disabilities because it means we're
- 35:11Speaker 14: not all fitting one narrow mold.
- 35:15Speaker 1: After the break, we'll tackle more tough questions about deciding
- 35:19Speaker 1: whether to have children. How do you make such a
- 35:22Speaker 1: significant decision when the future feels so uncertain, and how
- 35:26Speaker 1: can you be sure you won't regret it?
- 35:28Speaker 15: Stay with us.
- 35:42Speaker 9: My husband was a only child, and I growing up
- 35:45Speaker 9: had a sibling, and I do feel like part of
- 35:48Speaker 9: everyone is we're always all trying to just recreate our childhoods.
- 35:51Speaker 9: So I kind of always assumed that if I had
- 35:53Speaker 9: any kids at all, I would have two, and I
- 35:55Speaker 9: think he always assumed that if he had any kids
- 35:57Speaker 9: at all, it would be one. But we did start later.
- 36:01Speaker 9: By some doctors standards, I was geriatric by the time I.
- 36:06Speaker 1: Was birthing my son at thirty five, and I kind
- 36:10Speaker 1: of came to.
- 36:10Speaker 9: This realization recently that I wish that we had had
- 36:15Speaker 9: a second earlier. But for me, I am no longer
- 36:20Speaker 9: open to going through all that again.
- 36:22Speaker 15: Now.
- 36:22Speaker 1: Having children was never really like a question for me.
- 36:26Speaker 16: My mom was a type of mom that took parenting
- 36:29Speaker 16: really seriously. And she always told me and my sister
- 36:33Speaker 16: that raising us was her most important job, and that
- 36:37Speaker 16: was always something that just really stuck with me and
- 36:40Speaker 16: became something that I also wanted to take on.
- 36:43Speaker 13: I didn't have kids because I never felt the urge.
- 36:46Speaker 13: My husband didn't either, and I've seen how much work
- 36:49Speaker 13: they are most of my closest friends or parents, and
- 36:51Speaker 13: the amount of drudgery involved in raising children really requires
- 36:55Speaker 13: you to want them, because otherwise I think you'd feel resentful.
- 36:59Speaker 13: In fact, one of my friends just told me she
- 37:01Speaker 13: regrets having kids, and she did it out of societal pressure.
- 37:04Speaker 13: It's a hard decision to stick to, so much so
- 37:07Speaker 13: that I felt myself wavering in my late thirties and
- 37:09Speaker 13: early forties. But I'm glad I stick to my guns
- 37:12Speaker 13: and didn't bow to the pressure. It was definitely the
- 37:14Speaker 13: right decision for me.
- 37:15Speaker 12: I decided to have kids because unlike my friends who
- 37:19Speaker 12: think that the world is ending and therefore how could
- 37:22Speaker 12: we bring kids into it, I think that fundamentally, how
- 37:26Speaker 12: can we possibly have a future without bringing more humans
- 37:31Speaker 12: into this world? And I believe that we have a
- 37:34Speaker 12: moral and religious and spiritual imperative to do the thing
- 37:41Speaker 12: that is most essential to who we are, which is procreation.
- 37:45Speaker 12: And as a woman, I believe that my biology is
- 37:50Speaker 12: my destiny and I can't imagine an unfolding of life
- 37:56Speaker 12: without being one with my biology.
- 38:02Speaker 17: I have been thinking, like, I don't have a desire
- 38:05Speaker 17: to move to a commune or something, but I have
- 38:08Speaker 17: thought so often like if society was a little bit
- 38:11Speaker 17: more communal and we didn't have to raise our children
- 38:15Speaker 17: sort of within the tiny, tiny confines of the nuclear family,
- 38:19Speaker 17: I might want.
- 38:20Speaker 1: To have a child. This is Helena Dugrutz, a podcast
- 38:23Speaker 1: producer who lives in New York, and it's been working
- 38:25Speaker 1: on a series about not having kids.
- 38:28Speaker 17: If I could share the burden of child rearing with
- 38:31Speaker 17: a village, right as the saying goes, maybe part.
- 38:36Speaker 1: Of what's so interesting for me about this conversation is
- 38:39Speaker 1: this thinking I didn't feel it, and I think that
- 38:43Speaker 1: I find really resonant because I sort of from the
- 38:45Speaker 1: other side. If you had asked me, you know, did
- 38:47Speaker 1: you feel like you want to have kids? I would
- 38:49Speaker 1: have said from the beginning, like I always knew that
- 38:53Speaker 1: was something that I wanted, And in some ways I
- 38:58Speaker 1: did think about some practical parts of it, but not
- 39:01Speaker 1: very much because it was like, we're going to do this,
- 39:04Speaker 1: and it's just about sort of structuring around you know,
- 39:07Speaker 1: exactly how it seems like your decision started at this
- 39:13Speaker 1: like I don't have this feeling, but then has many
- 39:17Speaker 1: practical There's like a lot of not overthinking is probably
- 39:21Speaker 1: not quite the word I'm looking for it.
- 39:23Speaker 17: Like if people say overthinking, I've done a.
- 39:25Speaker 1: Lot about this, Yeah, yeah, yeah, do you think that's
- 39:28Speaker 1: new to the world.
- 39:31Speaker 17: What I hear when you ask that question is do
- 39:34Speaker 17: you think there were people in you know, before we
- 39:38Speaker 17: had reproductive choice, which okay, we don't. You know, it's
- 39:42Speaker 17: sort of debatable where exactly some of it, yes, Monica,
- 39:46Speaker 17: But before we had any I I probably think there
- 39:51Speaker 17: were people who were just like me who just never
- 39:54Speaker 17: had that feeling, who never had that desire, And it
- 39:57Speaker 17: terrifies me to know that they had no choice. I mean,
- 40:01Speaker 17: maybe they couldn't even imagine it because there just wasn't
- 40:04Speaker 17: really that scenario for them as an option, But I
- 40:09Speaker 17: can so imagine that there were people who felt trapped
- 40:12Speaker 17: their entire life as parents in a life that didn't
- 40:16Speaker 17: fit them. I don't think everyone is made to be
- 40:18Speaker 17: a parent. I'm so relieved to be born.
- 40:23Speaker 18: When I am, there was a combination of a total
- 40:31Speaker 18: social expectation that unless you were going to become a
- 40:34Speaker 18: monk or a nun, and sometimes even then, right, this
- 40:38Speaker 18: was sort of what you were going to do, joined
- 40:41Speaker 18: to an absence of reliable contraceptives that meant that even
- 40:44Speaker 18: if you didn't intend to do it, you probably would.
- 40:47Speaker 17: You know, you were.
- 40:48Speaker 1: Likely to have kids ross do that again.
- 40:51Speaker 11: But it's a relatively novel situation where there's this sort
- 40:55Speaker 11: of sense of this as like this very conscious choice
- 41:00Speaker 11: that you have to make, and you have to choose
- 41:03Speaker 11: what point in your life cycle you're doing it, which
- 41:05Speaker 11: you know, in your twenties or your thirties, how soon
- 41:08Speaker 11: after you get married, whether you're getting married at all,
- 41:11Speaker 11: all of these things.
- 41:12Speaker 1: Yeah, we just never had to confront that before, because
- 41:16Speaker 1: of course you were going to have kids, because that's
- 41:18Speaker 1: just what people do after sex.
- 41:21Speaker 11: Right, And I mean there is a sense in which,
- 41:23Speaker 11: as someone who now has by contemporary standards a lot
- 41:26Speaker 11: of kids, like, there are times when I sort of
- 41:29Speaker 11: find it unfathomable that people don't want this or sort
- 41:34Speaker 11: of setting up their lives in such a way that
- 41:36Speaker 11: this is deprioritized because I literally cannot imagine what kind
- 41:42Speaker 11: of meaning my life as a mid forties professional would
- 41:47Speaker 11: carry if it was not organized around my kids. But again,
- 41:51Speaker 11: from an outsider's perspective, that can look like Stockholm syndrome. Right,
- 41:55Speaker 11: It's like, well, yeah, you have all these tiny you know,
- 41:57Speaker 11: these tiny humans, and they're holding you hostage. You've learned
- 42:01Speaker 11: to love them, right, but you love your captor.
- 42:05Speaker 1: The central question is, you know, should I have a kid? Yes,
- 42:08Speaker 1: on her.
- 42:10Speaker 6: But I think the actual question is how do you
- 42:13Speaker 6: make a decision about a future that feels precarious.
- 42:16Speaker 1: This is Gina Rushtan. She's a reproductive rights and women's
- 42:19Speaker 1: health reporter from Sydney, Australia. Most recently she wrote The
- 42:23Speaker 1: Parenthood Dilemma, a book about procreation in an age of uncertainty.
- 42:28Speaker 1: Do you think there's a rational argument to have kids? Yeah,
- 42:31Speaker 1: of course.
- 42:32Speaker 6: You know, you very rarely speak to people who will
- 42:35Speaker 6: say that they regret having their children, because I think
- 42:37Speaker 6: that few people do you.
- 42:40Speaker 1: Talk about this idea of the impoverished epistemic position, which
- 42:44Speaker 1: is that you know the thing And I will say,
- 42:46Speaker 1: I am a person who has kids, and sometimes when
- 42:48Speaker 1: people ask me to describe the experience of that. It's
- 42:52Speaker 1: that it's both much harder and harder for my job
- 42:56Speaker 1: and harder for my marriage, and harder for like everything
- 42:59Speaker 1: about my life then I anticipated it would be. And
- 43:02Speaker 1: it's also the joy and the sort of connection to
- 43:06Speaker 1: my kids is something I wouldn't really be able to describe,
- 43:09Speaker 1: Like it's just so much different than any other life experience.
- 43:15Speaker 1: And so that's the piece I think you mean by that,
- 43:17Speaker 1: which is just until you have that experience, maybe it's
- 43:21Speaker 1: hard to hard to visualize both sides of it actually,
- 43:25Speaker 1: which makes it such a hard choice. It's like I'm
- 43:26Speaker 1: going to go into this world where I know there's
- 43:28Speaker 1: really big pluses and really big minuses, and I have
- 43:30Speaker 1: no ability to evaluate either of them. Yeah.
- 43:33Speaker 6: Absolutely, it's one of those decisions where you cannot make
- 43:36Speaker 6: a pros and cons list because you don't know how
- 43:40Speaker 6: having or not having kids will change it as a person. Therefore,
- 43:43Speaker 6: like you can't make a serious of judgments about that
- 43:46Speaker 6: because like having kids transform you and not having kids
- 43:49Speaker 6: transforms you, and you just haven't met those two people
- 43:51Speaker 6: that you could be, or those two lives that you
- 43:53Speaker 6: could lead. It is new in the sense that, particularly
- 43:56Speaker 6: for women with all the constraints around fertility or the
- 43:59Speaker 6: constrains around reproduct rights. Of course, this is the most
- 44:01Speaker 6: choice we've ever had, and it's the most access many
- 44:04Speaker 6: people have had to the technologies that will let them
- 44:06Speaker 6: put off this decision as well. And that's exciting and
- 44:10Speaker 6: really something to celebrate that that, like, it is more
- 44:13Speaker 6: of a choice than it's ever been in some senses.
- 44:16Speaker 6: I think the other thing that people there's a bit
- 44:19Speaker 6: of debate about, like, well, you know, people had kids
- 44:22Speaker 6: through all sorts of wars and all sorts of crisises,
- 44:25Speaker 6: and like why is this time particularly unstabable and isn't
- 44:29Speaker 6: this just like millennial naval gazing? And I think that
- 44:32Speaker 6: that is true in a sense, like, of course people
- 44:35Speaker 6: were deciding to have or not have kids in really
- 44:37Speaker 6: precarious situations. But I do think that there are a
- 44:40Speaker 6: few factors, particularly around the climate of something.
- 44:43Speaker 1: That it's not a war with a beginning and an end.
- 44:46Speaker 6: It's something that will get, as far as we can tell,
- 44:51Speaker 6: progressively worse over the time in a way that I
- 44:54Speaker 6: don't know we've had a particular you know, political or
- 44:59Speaker 6: financial crisis that's been the same.
- 45:01Speaker 1: I'm curious if you think there's a way that this generation,
- 45:06Speaker 1: the sort of millennial generation, was raised that makes them
- 45:10Speaker 1: approach the topic differently, like almost think about it more
- 45:13Speaker 1: like this question of like what am I passing on?
- 45:15Speaker 1: And am I going to repeat the problems of my parents?
- 45:18Speaker 1: I don't feel like my parents thought about that. Maybe
- 45:23Speaker 1: they had many complicated questions, but it was not that question.
- 45:26Speaker 1: This actually goes on to raising kids in general. But
- 45:29Speaker 1: in this it's almost like there's there's so much thinking
- 45:33Speaker 1: and I just wonder how that plays into this.
- 45:36Speaker 6: There is And it's funny because you know, some of
- 45:39Speaker 6: the feedback, particularly from older people, has been like you're
- 45:42Speaker 6: just thinking too much, Like just stop thinking and just
- 45:45Speaker 6: make the decision.
- 45:46Speaker 1: So if I told you people are morally obligated to
- 45:48Speaker 1: have children, yes or no? Oh that's a high on.
- 45:55Speaker 6: My instinct is to say no. But I do like
- 45:58Speaker 6: entertaining it because I do think that in a world
- 46:01Speaker 6: where we're entertaining it, we could perhaps be entertaining policies
- 46:05Speaker 6: that actually make mother but all parenthood more tenable for people.
- 46:08Speaker 14: No, people are morally obligated to be hospitable to children,
- 46:11Speaker 14: and that might look like having them yourselves. But you
- 46:14Speaker 14: just can't be part of actively or complicitly and making
- 46:18Speaker 14: the world hostile to children, because it's wrong, because it's
- 46:21Speaker 14: breaking a compact that you were part of as someone
- 46:23Speaker 14: who is once a child. And whether or not you
- 46:26Speaker 14: should have children is partly a personal discernment and partly
- 46:29Speaker 14: the factor of things outside your control.
- 46:31Speaker 11: I don't think everyone has a moral obligation. What I
- 46:35Speaker 11: would say to most people is, if you think you
- 46:38Speaker 11: have something in your future that is as important for
- 46:42Speaker 11: society as future generations of human beings and is as
- 46:47Speaker 11: good for your own moral development as having kids, then
- 46:50Speaker 11: by all means do that instead of having kids. But
- 46:52Speaker 11: the odds that you're going to find those things are
- 46:56Speaker 11: maybe a little bit lower than you would think.
- 47:09Speaker 1: So where does this leave us. I can't tell you
- 47:12Speaker 1: whether or not to have kids. It's not my style.
- 47:15Speaker 1: It's a personal decision, but also a financial one, a
- 47:18Speaker 1: religious one, and for some a political one. I feel
- 47:23Speaker 1: lucky to be born in a time, as Helena says,
- 47:25Speaker 1: in which we have a choice, and I also agree
- 47:29Speaker 1: with Leah that we need to make it easier on parents,
- 47:31Speaker 1: especially moms, and with Brian that kids can be more
- 47:35Speaker 1: fun than we sometimes admit. I also really resonate with
- 47:38Speaker 1: Ross's point that it's both harder and more joyful than
- 47:42Speaker 1: anything else I've ever experienced. Earlier in this episode, I
- 47:45Speaker 1: said to a guest that I couldn't even explain the
- 47:48Speaker 1: feeling of being a parent, but let me try. The
- 47:51Speaker 1: fundamental thing for me, at least, is to feel someone
- 47:55Speaker 1: else's joy and sadness so much more than your own.
- 48:00Speaker 1: When things are going well with my children, other setbacks
- 48:03Speaker 1: matter much less, And when things are not going well,
- 48:07Speaker 1: it's all consuming and impossible to find joy outside of it.
- 48:12Speaker 1: As I'm recording this, both of my children are at
- 48:14Speaker 1: sleep away camp, and I am spending my time refreshing
- 48:17Speaker 1: the camp website to see if they had added pictures.
- 48:21Speaker 1: They are simply everything. As a parent, you want nothing
- 48:26Speaker 1: more than to do the right thing for your children
- 48:28Speaker 1: and make the best choices for them, And at the
- 48:31Speaker 1: same time, it can be impossible to know what those
- 48:34Speaker 1: best choices are. Things crop up that you never thought about,
- 48:38Speaker 1: even with a second kid, probably even with a fifth kid.
- 48:42Speaker 1: The world and your child surprise you all the time,
- 48:45Speaker 1: and it's hard not to second guess yourself, even on
- 48:48Speaker 1: the small things. But here's the thing. You have way
- 48:52Speaker 1: less control than you think you do. You might ask, why,
- 48:55Speaker 1: if I know that to be true, have I spent
- 48:57Speaker 1: the last decades writing books about parenting. The answer is
- 49:01Speaker 1: that even if you don't have control, you have choices,
- 49:04Speaker 1: and those choices are important. The problem is that the
- 49:08Speaker 1: atmosphere about parenting rarely frames these choices in a way
- 49:12Speaker 1: that gives parents autonomy. We are not often given the
- 49:15Speaker 1: opportunity to think critically about the decisions we make. Instead,
- 49:19Speaker 1: we're expected to follow an arbitrary script, often without question,
- 49:24Speaker 1: and often one or two weak studies rapidly become conventional wisdom,
- 49:30Speaker 1: even if they're wrong. Parenting is among the most important
- 49:34Speaker 1: and meaningful experiences most of us will ever have, probably
- 49:37Speaker 1: the most important. I hope this series has taken some
- 49:41Speaker 1: of the stress out of parenting by arming you with
- 49:43Speaker 1: good information and perspectives that you don't often hear from
- 49:47Speaker 1: mainstream media or even from your parents or pediatrician. Because
- 49:52Speaker 1: we can do better, and data and information I hope
- 49:56Speaker 1: I've proven to you can help. Thanks for listening. Raising
- 50:07Speaker 1: Parents is a production in partnership with The Free Press.
- 50:10Speaker 1: It was produced by Liz Smith and Sabine Jansen. Thanks
- 50:13Speaker 1: as well to producer Tamar Abishai. The executive producer is
- 50:17Speaker 1: Candace Khan. Barry Weiss is the CEO and editor in
- 50:20Speaker 1: chief of the Free Press. And last, thanks to my
- 50:23Speaker 1: guest today Ross Juthat, Brian Kaplan, Leah Libresco Sargent, Helena Degrut,
- 50:28Speaker 1: and Gina Rushton. I'm Emily Ost. This has been raising
- 50:32Speaker 1: parents