Latest / Pod Save America / Why is JD Vance so Annoying?
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Pod Save America is brought to you by Strawberry.me. The
- 0:03Speaker 1: clock is ticking. The days are rolling by, turning into weeks, months, years.
- 0:06Speaker 1: We spend nearly a third of our waking hours at work,
- 0:09Speaker 1: but the unfortunate truth is that for many of us,
- 0:11Speaker 1: that's time languishing away in a job we've outgrown or
- 0:14Speaker 1: one we never wanted in the first place, but we
- 0:17Speaker 1: stick with it.
- 0:17Speaker 2: What are you trying to say, John?
- 0:18Speaker 1: Something I got to tell you.
- 0:24Speaker 2: You say things like, I've already put years into this place.
- 0:26Speaker 2: What if the next move is even worse?
- 0:28Speaker 1: Not possible.
- 0:32Speaker 2: Yeah, really down in the mines here. I can't afford
- 0:37Speaker 2: to take a wrong step. And isn't everybody miserable at work?
- 0:41Speaker 1: Don't fool yourself. There's a difference between reasons for staying
- 0:43Speaker 1: and excuses for not leaving. It's time to get unstuck.
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- 1:13Speaker 1: That's strawberry.me slash cricket. Stop settling. Start building the career
- 1:17Speaker 1: you actually want. Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 1:42Speaker 2: I'm Jon Lovett.
- 1:42Speaker 3: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 1:43Speaker 4: Tommy Vitor.
- 1:44Speaker 1: Happy Labor Day, everyone.
- 1:45Speaker 4: Thank you.
- 1:46Speaker 1: To mark the occasion, we thought we'd pre-record an episode
- 1:49Speaker 1: where we take some of your questions, especially... because we
- 1:52Speaker 1: have now hit the 1,000th episode.
- 1:55Speaker 3: On this exact day.
- 1:56Speaker 1: Of Pod Save America. We did it. We saved America saved.
- 2:00Speaker 1: Let's pack it up and go home.
- 2:01Speaker 4: Months of conversation about whether or not this was really
- 2:04Speaker 4: the 1,000th. There's zero chance it is, but.
- 2:06Speaker 2: No, and, well, also, by the way, doesn't 1,000 episodes
- 2:08Speaker 2: feel like somehow, like, too many, but also not enough? Like,
- 2:12Speaker 2: it feels like we've done more, but also, how can
- 2:14Speaker 2: we have done that many?
- 2:15Speaker 1: We've got to keep podcasting until this thing's finished.
- 2:17Speaker 4: Too many takes. Yeah.
- 2:18Speaker 1: We've got to keep going. You know, on a slightly
- 2:20Speaker 1: serious note, um, The absolute best part of doing this
- 2:24Speaker 1: for the last eight and a half years has been
- 2:26Speaker 1: all of you. Not you three. People listening.
- 2:29Speaker 2: Thank you, John.
- 2:30Speaker 1: You're cool, too.
- 2:30Speaker 2: You gestured forward, but it was towards the people.
- 2:32Speaker 1: Yeah, the people who are out there. But getting to
- 2:35Speaker 1: hear from a lot of you, getting to meet a
- 2:37Speaker 1: lot of you, knowing that a lot of you get
- 2:39Speaker 1: to meet each other through the show, and especially seeing
- 2:43Speaker 1: how many of you chose not to just listen to
- 2:46Speaker 1: us while we whine about politics every week. but actually
- 2:49Speaker 1: get involved yourselves, which is the entire reason we started
- 2:52Speaker 1: doing this. So thank you.
- 2:54Speaker 4: Yeah, and so some folks sent in some great stories
- 2:57Speaker 4: that were inspiring, and we hope we could tell them,
- 3:00Speaker 4: and maybe that will inspire even more of you to
- 3:01Speaker 4: give it a shot, run for office, maybe get involved.
- 3:04Speaker 4: Isabel told us she started with the pod as a
- 3:05Speaker 4: 13-year-old when her dad would play it in the car
- 3:08Speaker 4: on the way to school. Sorry about the F-bombs.
- 3:11Speaker 3: She's 13 in America.
- 3:12Speaker 2: I think it's okay.
- 3:13Speaker 4: I've been working on limiting my F-bombs. Doing my best, Isabel.
- 3:17Speaker 4: Isabel's dad. You too. You too.
- 3:19Speaker 2: Trag wife over here.
- 3:21Speaker 1: Isabel.
- 3:22Speaker 2: Just churning his butter. Gosh darn this Trump.
- 3:26Speaker 1: Political science.
- 3:28Speaker 4: Isabel's in college. That does make me feel old. Becky
- 3:30Speaker 4: said she'd never met another Democrat before she started volunteering
- 3:32Speaker 4: as a poll worker. Now she has a community.
- 3:34Speaker 1: Jess M.
- 3:35Speaker 4: Went back to school as a single mom of twins
- 3:37Speaker 4: to teach history and government and says she plans to
- 3:39Speaker 4: run for office in 2028. That's cool. Bidco. Real name,
- 3:43Speaker 4: we're told. Ran for city council and lost. Ran again
- 3:45Speaker 4: and won and is still door knocking for other candidates.
- 3:47Speaker 4: And then JK, which is the most likely to be
- 3:50Speaker 4: a fake name in all of these, ran for city council,
- 3:52Speaker 4: came up two votes short, won a seat for the
- 3:54Speaker 4: county board, and now really enjoys working with the person
- 3:58Speaker 4: that beat them the first time.
- 3:59Speaker 1: No way. That's a great story.
- 4:00Speaker 4: How about that?
- 4:00Speaker 3: Look at that.
- 4:01Speaker 1: Look at that.
- 4:01Speaker 2: Hello.
- 4:02Speaker 4: Bringing people together.
- 4:03Speaker 2: So we appreciate everybody that has already signed up to run.
- 4:06Speaker 2: But for everybody else, we are recruiting people through Vote
- 4:09Speaker 2: Save America to run for local office in North Carolina, Texas,
- 4:13Speaker 2: and Arizona. And for everybody else, we have a lot
- 4:16Speaker 2: of big races coming up. We have the redistricting in California.
- 4:18Speaker 2: We have an incredibly exciting, inspiring candidate in New York
- 4:22Speaker 2: running against Mom Donnie. There's statewide races in Pennsylvania, in Georgia.
- 4:30Speaker 2: There's a Virginia governor's race. There's a Michigan governor's race.
- 4:33Speaker 1: Dan's primary in Chris Coons?
- 4:34Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 4:35Speaker 4: Nice.
- 4:35Speaker 3: I'm not. I'm sorry. I've given up my residency.
- 4:38Speaker 1: Someone did ask him one of the questions, who's going
- 4:40Speaker 1: to run Dan's campaign? So we got a couple of those.
- 4:43Speaker 3: Okay, maybe I can move back.
- 4:43Speaker 4: I'm not a details guy, you know what I mean?
- 4:45Speaker 2: I want to be on the message calls like Axe.
- 4:48Speaker 2: I want to just think big thoughts.
- 4:49Speaker 4: And let other people deal with it. Do a narrative.
- 4:50Speaker 1: Who's chewing in the background? Oh, let's love it.
- 4:54Speaker 2: Look, if there's anybody that should say, I'm sorry I'm
- 4:56Speaker 2: not on the call, I dropped a donut into my phone,
- 4:59Speaker 2: it would be me.
- 4:59Speaker 1: But I will send a lot of thoughts via email
- 5:01Speaker 1: to your younger staff afterwards.
- 5:03Speaker 3: Who forgets about the call on mute when they order
- 5:05Speaker 3: a breakfast sandwich?
- 5:08Speaker 4: I'll fill that role.
- 5:09Speaker 2: So again, if you want to sign up to run
- 5:11Speaker 2: in Arizona, North Carolina, or Texas, go to votesaveamerica.com slash run,
- 5:14Speaker 2: or just go to votesaveamerica.com because there's a lot of
- 5:16Speaker 2: ways you can help even in these upcoming elections.
- 5:18Speaker 1: All right, let's get to some questions. There were a
- 5:20Speaker 1: few questions about the midterm, so let's start there. KDR asks, Dan,
- 5:25Speaker 1: with 2026 coming, I'm nervous about getting sucked into over-optimistic
- 5:29Speaker 1: interpretations of the polling, but I'm also not willing to
- 5:32Speaker 1: go cold turkey. What indicators, polling or not, should I
- 5:35Speaker 1: be watching? KDR is actually me.
- 5:37Speaker 3: I was going to say. It's like they're all fake questions.
- 5:40Speaker 3: I would begin with just the simple premise that we
- 5:44Speaker 3: are way far away from the 2026 elections. What the
- 5:47Speaker 3: polls tell us right now says is not very connected
- 5:50Speaker 3: to what will actually happen. But as we get closer,
- 5:52Speaker 3: I think there are three things to watch. One is
- 5:54Speaker 3: the polling question called the generic ballot, where they just
- 5:56Speaker 3: ask if you are going to vote for a Democrat
- 5:57Speaker 3: or Republican. Right now, even though it doesn't matter, Democrats
- 6:00Speaker 3: have in the average about a three-point lead in the
- 6:02Speaker 3: generic ballot. When we had our huge victory in 2018-
- 6:06Speaker 3: The last most credible polls from like the Wall Street Journal, ABC,
- 6:10Speaker 3: had the Democratic advantage at seven points. But most people
- 6:14Speaker 3: estimate that given how narrow the House is, three would
- 6:17Speaker 3: be theoretically enough to overcome Republican redistricting, but it would
- 6:19Speaker 3: be quite close. But still too early to worry about that.
- 6:22Speaker 3: The second thing to track is Trump's approval. Now, as
- 6:25Speaker 3: Biden showed in 2022, the direct connection between a president's
- 6:28Speaker 3: approval and midterm performance is not what it used to
- 6:31Speaker 3: be because we're so polarized, there's so much negative partisanship.
- 6:34Speaker 3: But Trump really, the only way Republicans can do very
- 6:37Speaker 3: well in these midterms is if a bunch of the
- 6:39Speaker 3: people who vote only presidential elections who voted for Trump
- 6:42Speaker 3: or first-time Trump voters turn.
- 6:43Speaker 4: Out in the midterms.
- 6:44Speaker 3: And I do think Trump's approval rating is somewhat connected
- 6:47Speaker 3: to that measure. And then the third thing is how
- 6:49Speaker 3: people feel about the economy and inflation in particular. So
- 6:52Speaker 3: those are the sort of measures that I think will
- 6:53Speaker 3: tell us the most as we get closer. But there's
- 6:56Speaker 3: no need to panic. about it yet or get too
- 7:00Speaker 3: excited yet. We have a lot of time to go.
- 7:01Speaker 4: So we're not panicking about the Democratic Party's favorability being
- 7:04Speaker 4: the worst it's been since at least 1990, according to Gallup.
- 7:08Speaker 3: Well, at this almost exact point in 2013, the Republican
- 7:15Speaker 3: Party approval rating was worse than Democrats right now.
- 7:17Speaker 4: Okay, I like that.
- 7:18Speaker 3: Then they won the Senate and picked up House seats
- 7:20Speaker 3: in 2014.
- 7:20Speaker 4: Right.
- 7:21Speaker 1: I haven't asked you this yet, but.
- 7:23Speaker 4: Let's do it right here live.
- 7:24Speaker 1: Yeah, that's what I was thinking. How are you feeling
- 7:26Speaker 1: about the reliability of polling right now? Do you feel
- 7:29Speaker 1: the same as you did in 24? Do you feel
- 7:31Speaker 1: different in any way?
- 7:32Speaker 2: I feel.
- 7:33Speaker 1: The polls I've seen, especially over the last couple weeks,
- 7:36Speaker 1: feel swingier to me in that the range of Trump
- 7:40Speaker 1: approval has seemed quite large.
- 7:42Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 7:43Speaker 3: So I feel better about the midterm polls because the
- 7:47Speaker 3: problem with polling has been getting less engaged people to participate.
- 7:51Speaker 3: And so when you get to a likely voter filter
- 7:54Speaker 3: for a midterm election, you're just going to be you're
- 7:58Speaker 3: gonna be more accurate if it is true that we
- 7:59Speaker 3: continue to more accurately poll people with higher political engagement,
- 8:05Speaker 3: which is why the polls were accurate in 2018 and
- 8:07Speaker 3: pretty accurate in 2022. The big question will be what
- 8:12Speaker 3: happens in 2028, because in 2024, the polls were right,
- 8:16Speaker 3: but I mean, not to get super political nerd here,
- 8:19Speaker 3: but I know you appreciate this, but they were primarily
- 8:21Speaker 3: right because polls reduced the statistical trick by weighting by
- 8:24Speaker 3: the 2020 election results. That is probably less reliable presuming
- 8:28Speaker 3: Trump was not on the ballot in 2028. And then
- 8:31Speaker 3: the question is, how do you get people, that would
- 8:34Speaker 3: solve a lot of pollsters problems if he ran again.
- 8:37Speaker 3: So big, big win for G. Eliot Morris, I guess.
- 8:39Speaker 3: I don't know. But so hard to know. It may
- 8:43Speaker 3: be really hard to get. We may have a 2016
- 8:45Speaker 3: like problem in the polling in 2028, unless we can
- 8:47Speaker 3: figure out some other tactics to solve that problem.
- 8:51Speaker 1: Two very similar questions about the midterms that I'm combining.
- 8:54Speaker 1: Tyler says, all of my hope for the future is
- 8:56Speaker 1: riding on a Democrat midterm sweep. What are the chances
- 9:00Speaker 1: that the midterms will actually happen? And if they do,
- 9:02Speaker 1: can we trust them? And Evil Gamer asks, what reason
- 9:05Speaker 1: does Trump or Republicans have to recognize the results in 26?
- 9:10Speaker 1: Anyone like to field that?
- 9:11Speaker 2: So we are, like, we've talked about this in the show. Like,
- 9:15Speaker 2: there's no single moment where an election... is recognized or
- 9:19Speaker 2: not recognized by Trump or Republicans, we are in some way,
- 9:24Speaker 2: to some extent, protected by the fact that elections are
- 9:27Speaker 2: run in this incredibly disaggregated way that will continue to
- 9:30Speaker 2: be the case. That doesn't mean there won't be intimidation.
- 9:32Speaker 2: That doesn't mean we won't be having to worry about
- 9:36Speaker 2: everything from people claiming the votes are rigged, people trying
- 9:39Speaker 2: to shut down counts, ICE agents outside of polling places.
- 9:42Speaker 2: But Trump isn't responsible for deciding who is or is
- 9:45Speaker 2: not in Congress, and we shouldn't give him power. that
- 9:48Speaker 2: he hasn't tried to take. What does that look like?
- 9:51Speaker 2: We don't know, but we're not in control of all
- 9:54Speaker 2: those pieces. We have to keep an eye on it,
- 9:55Speaker 2: but our job is to put ourselves in a position
- 9:57Speaker 2: to win while worrying a lot about, uh, uh, what
- 10:01Speaker 2: it looks like to run an election, even just, you know,
- 10:04Speaker 2: 16 months from now.
- 10:05Speaker 3: Did you know the constitution gives full power on who
- 10:07Speaker 3: the members of the house is to the house itself?
- 10:09Speaker 4: Oh, I mean, yeah. The issue is that if they
- 10:12Speaker 4: don't seat them, Speaker Johnson, not to seat the Congress.
- 10:15Speaker 3: So we hear, here's how this would work. So the
- 10:20Speaker 3: big question was, is Trump going to cancel the midterms?
- 10:22Speaker 3: You're naive for thinking they're going to happen. Trump can't
- 10:24Speaker 3: cancel the midterms. That's not a thing that can happen
- 10:26Speaker 3: because elections are run by states. Where the choke points
- 10:30Speaker 3: are where they could really play with the elections, other
- 10:32Speaker 3: than all the things you mentioned that happened before the votes,
- 10:34Speaker 3: is election certification, where you have secretaries of state in
- 10:40Speaker 3: Republican states who refuse to certify certain elections. Now, the
- 10:45Speaker 3: good news there is that most states have pretty prescriptive
- 10:47Speaker 3: recount laws. And so if it's within this margin, you
- 10:50Speaker 3: have to recount it. And if it stays within that margin,
- 10:53Speaker 3: then we're going to do a hand recount and all that.
- 10:54Speaker 3: And when you get to the end of that, as
- 10:55Speaker 3: we saw in 2020, the courts will almost certainly side
- 11:00Speaker 3: that the election has to be certified because you followed
- 11:01Speaker 3: all the procedures. The second point is the House seats
- 11:05Speaker 3: the members who are elected. And in a case where
- 11:10Speaker 3: the election is not certified, as happened with Al Franken,
- 11:14Speaker 3: in the Norm Coleman race in 2008, you can go
- 11:16Speaker 3: a long time without anyone, you have to wait, they
- 11:18Speaker 3: cannot be seated to election certified. But if election certified,
- 11:22Speaker 3: the House could theoretically prevent someone, seating someone if there was,
- 11:26Speaker 3: they could come up with some sort of case that
- 11:29Speaker 3: like this was fraud or it was stolen or all
- 11:31Speaker 3: of that. Now that's hard if it's already been certified.
- 11:33Speaker 3: Although the good news here is that the Supreme Court
- 11:36Speaker 3: has actually weighed in on this because the Democrats refused
- 11:40Speaker 3: to seat Adam Clayton Powell, many, many decades ago because
- 11:44Speaker 3: they believed that his election was corrupt. And the Supreme
- 11:48Speaker 3: Court ruled in that case that the House's power in
- 11:52Speaker 3: the Constitution was specifically around eligibility issues. So if you
- 11:55Speaker 3: are a 25-years-old citizen for seven years, resident of the
- 11:59Speaker 3: district or whatever that is, then you have to be seated.
- 12:01Speaker 3: So the Supreme Court would have to undo, I think
- 12:04Speaker 3: it's called Powell v. Morgan or something like that, to
- 12:05Speaker 3: do that. So it is There are places they can
- 12:08Speaker 3: do mischief, but there are guardrails around that. Now, guardrails
- 12:11Speaker 3: have done us a lot of good recently, but so.
- 12:13Speaker 2: I just think it requires, it's not just Trump from
- 12:18Speaker 2: on high.
- 12:18Speaker 3: Yes, that's right.
- 12:19Speaker 2: It would require a great deal of coordination. And by
- 12:22Speaker 2: the way, unanimity among Republicans, and they're very narrow. You
- 12:25Speaker 2: just start to look at it, not saying it's not possible,
- 12:28Speaker 2: but the election's.
- 12:30Speaker 4: Not going to be canceled. I sure see a path
- 12:32Speaker 4: of Trump. you know, beating the drum that this was
- 12:35Speaker 4: illegitimate and votes were stolen. And I don't want to
- 12:37Speaker 4: be a doomer, but like, I, it's very plausible.
- 12:39Speaker 3: I think the more that I think you hit on
- 12:41Speaker 3: the most important point, which is the, the, the more
- 12:43Speaker 3: urgent dangers are the ones that happened before the votes
- 12:46Speaker 3: were cast. It's suppression. I mean, Gavin Newsom brought this
- 12:48Speaker 3: up when we interviewed him on Ponce America about, he
- 12:51Speaker 3: thinks he's going to send ICE agents to stay outside of, uh,
- 12:53Speaker 3: polling places.
- 12:55Speaker 1: I would just say this, which is, I worry about
- 12:58Speaker 1: everything that we're talking about. Literally everything, everything all the time. But, um,
- 13:03Speaker 1: I worry less only because what say we knew that
- 13:06Speaker 1: this is going to be the outcome that Trump fucks
- 13:08Speaker 1: with it. How's that going to change our behavior now
- 13:10Speaker 1: and through the midterm? It's not like I don't know
- 13:13Speaker 1: what else we could do for between now and the
- 13:15Speaker 1: midterms to head off that possibility. So we might as
- 13:18Speaker 1: well go forward and try to win the election first
- 13:20Speaker 1: and then deal with the trouble when we get to.
- 13:22Speaker 3: It's like too big to rank that plan.
- 13:24Speaker 4: Right.
- 13:24Speaker 2: That's that's all I mean. Like, I don't want to
- 13:25Speaker 2: be Pollyannish and like we could look back on this
- 13:27Speaker 2: and be like, yeah, they did the worst possible version. Absolutely.
- 13:29Speaker 2: But we can't have people so cynical that they think
- 13:31Speaker 2: the results aren't going to matter. And that we can't
- 13:33Speaker 2: overcome even if they put people outside of polling places.
- 13:35Speaker 1: Yeah, because that does have an effect.
- 13:37Speaker 4: Right.
- 13:37Speaker 1: You're like, well, they're not going to have the election anyway,
- 13:38Speaker 1: so I might as well not get involved.
- 13:39Speaker 4: Self-suppress. Right.
- 13:41Speaker 1: Dan and I talked about this on Friday's pod, but
- 13:43Speaker 1: would love to hear what Tommy and Lovett think. Boop2U asks,
- 13:47Speaker 1: should more Democrats take Newsom's lead and go on the
- 13:50Speaker 1: meme offensive?
- 13:51Speaker 4: Tommy? Is that like giving a boop to a doggy,
- 13:53Speaker 4: you think? A boop to you?
- 13:55Speaker 2: Oh, yeah.
- 13:55Speaker 4: Boop on the nose? I don't know. Whatever. I don't think, no,
- 13:59Speaker 4: I don't think every Democrat should do a Trump impression,
- 14:01Speaker 4: which is what Gavin Newsom is doing. I think there's
- 14:03Speaker 4: a more important thing that Gavin Newsom is doing that
- 14:05Speaker 4: is less covered, which is a broader strategic focus on
- 14:09Speaker 4: independent media and progressive media. And I think what Gavin
- 14:13Speaker 4: is doing is he's doing tons of interviews with independent media.
- 14:16Speaker 4: He's been on Positive America a bunch. He's talking to
- 14:18Speaker 4: Brian Tyler Cohen. He's talking to a bunch of YouTubers
- 14:20Speaker 4: and TikTokers. And that's what Trump did that was really smart.
- 14:25Speaker 4: He talked to the so-called Manosphere podcast. He talked to
- 14:28Speaker 4: conservative podcasts. He talked to the comedy audiences all the time.
- 14:31Speaker 4: And he built a relationship with those audiences. And he
- 14:33Speaker 4: also helped those shows build their own presence and subscriber base.
- 14:37Speaker 4: That is really smart. And so I think the Trump
- 14:40Speaker 4: impression stuff is like getting him a lot of attention. Like,
- 14:42Speaker 4: I don't know. What do you guys think? In six months,
- 14:43Speaker 4: is Gavin Newsom doing a Trump impression? I kind of
- 14:46Speaker 4: I'm a little bit skeptical. I think like it's its
- 14:49Speaker 4: utility is getting attention. And when that utility goes away,
- 14:52Speaker 4: you probably slow down or stop doing it. But the
- 14:56Speaker 4: strategic focus of building up independent and progressive media is
- 15:00Speaker 4: really smart and long-term and enduring. And it's something every
- 15:02Speaker 4: single Democrat needs to do.
- 15:04Speaker 2: So there's a podcast called the diary of a CEO.
- 15:06Speaker 2: He does a lot of these really long form interviews.
- 15:07Speaker 2: It's incredibly popular on YouTube. And he did this interview
- 15:10Speaker 2: with a pioneer in AI. I was interested in, I
- 15:12Speaker 2: clicked on it. And then I looked two months ago,
- 15:14Speaker 2: Gavin Newsom sat down for a two hour interview with
- 15:16Speaker 2: this guy. I didn't know that it wasn't something that
- 15:18Speaker 2: came across my feed, but that reached a huge audience
- 15:20Speaker 2: of people that's apolitical. And like, Whether the memes continue
- 15:23Speaker 2: or not, like he's thinking about how to be the
- 15:25Speaker 2: Democrat sucking up all the attention. Like that to me
- 15:28Speaker 2: is the plan. It seems like it's working.
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- 17:24Speaker 1: and support the show. Texas Hold'em. Do any of you
- 17:32Speaker 1: have a coherent theory of why J.D. Vance is so
- 17:34Speaker 1: singularly annoying? The more I watch of him, the less
- 17:37Speaker 1: I'm able to put my finger on it.
- 17:40Speaker 4: I don't know if it's a coherent theory. I mean,
- 17:41Speaker 4: I got a couple of reasons. Like one, he's got
- 17:43Speaker 4: no sense of humor. Like none.
- 17:46Speaker 3: Jokester like Marco.
- 17:47Speaker 4: Well, remember in 2012 when like Mitt Romney was such
- 17:50Speaker 4: a stiff that it was like a political problem for
- 17:52Speaker 4: him and his team tried to put out like all
- 17:54Speaker 4: this background. It's like, he's a prankster. He's a scamp.
- 17:58Speaker 4: He's a scallywag. Remember that shit?
- 18:01Speaker 3: Scallywag Mitt.
- 18:02Speaker 2: It was such obviously.
- 18:03Speaker 4: Bullshit because then Mitt Romney would do interviews and be like,
- 18:05Speaker 4: I love humor. It's just no one talks like that.
- 18:07Speaker 4: And the same as with J.D. Vance. Like, JD Vance
- 18:09Speaker 4: is a very angry, constantly aggrieved, whiny dude. It doesn't
- 18:13Speaker 4: matter if it's like a podcast interview or a speech
- 18:16Speaker 4: to all of Europe. He's just angry and aggrieved. And
- 18:19Speaker 4: then second, like the guy is a shapeshifter politically in
- 18:23Speaker 4: terms of his own identity. He's had several different names.
- 18:27Speaker 4: He's changed his religion recently. He has evolved his political
- 18:30Speaker 4: worldview entirely. So like, I don't know. I think that
- 18:32Speaker 4: phoniness and authenticity is what reads great.
- 18:34Speaker 3: Do you think he's legitimately aggrieved or performatively aggrieved?
- 18:37Speaker 4: I think he's legitimately an angry little prick.
- 18:39Speaker 1: I've come to believe that as well. I've thought about
- 18:42Speaker 1: this a lot. This question, I wanted to pick it
- 18:46Speaker 1: because I'm like, yes, I feel the same way. I'm
- 18:49Speaker 1: so enraged with him all the time, but I don't
- 18:50Speaker 1: know why. He has a rationale that everything they do
- 18:55Speaker 1: is justified because the left hates America and is ungrateful
- 19:00Speaker 1: to him and his ancestors for who are the rightful
- 19:03Speaker 1: heirs to this country, and he's fucking smug.
- 19:06Speaker 4: Who was he demanding offer gratitude yesterday? We were watching
- 19:09Speaker 4: an interview.
- 19:10Speaker 1: Yeah, he was demanding, oh, well, he's done it to Mamdani.
- 19:13Speaker 1: He's done it to, obviously, Zelensky. There was someone else.
- 19:17Speaker 4: That I, you and I were watching, we were all
- 19:19Speaker 4: watching J.D. Vance at our office, and you're getting mad
- 19:20Speaker 4: about something. I think it was Mamdani.
- 19:22Speaker 1: But, and the fucking smugness, too. Like, when he, because
- 19:26Speaker 1: the fight that I got in with him over Kilmar
- 19:28Speaker 1: Brego Garcia was, he was like, You know, I commented
- 19:32Speaker 1: on the fact that like they made a mistake and
- 19:34Speaker 1: whatever else. And he was like, obviously, you haven't read
- 19:36Speaker 1: the court document on this and blah, blah, blah. Like
- 19:38Speaker 1: he's like a big and then it's like when you
- 19:40Speaker 1: read the court document, which his tweet complaining about it
- 19:44Speaker 1: is now evidence in the case because the court document
- 19:47Speaker 1: said the opposite of what. So he wasn't just wrong.
- 19:50Speaker 1: He was like, Oh, you obviously haven't read it yet.
- 19:52Speaker 4: Blah, blah, blah.
- 19:53Speaker 1: It's like, you didn't read it. You fucking moron. But
- 19:55Speaker 1: he's so confidently smug that it's real. And the thing,
- 19:58Speaker 1: the difference with Trump is like Trump's tone is almost like,
- 20:01Speaker 1: I know I'm full of shit, but at least I'm
- 20:03Speaker 1: going to have some fun with it. And you're, it's
- 20:06Speaker 1: back to your original point. Like there is no, humor.
- 20:08Speaker 1: There's no having fun with anything. There is just like,
- 20:11Speaker 1: just dire smug grievance. Yeah.
- 20:13Speaker 2: There's something I feel like I agree with that. Like I,
- 20:16Speaker 2: I always see him and I feel like there's two
- 20:18Speaker 2: parts of it. One is he is, he is a shapeshifter.
- 20:22Speaker 2: He's been performing different people his whole life. And you
- 20:25Speaker 2: just feel in everything he does, the space between whatever
- 20:28Speaker 2: he was, which is now nothing. And what he is now,
- 20:31Speaker 2: you see that when he's in the donut shop, you
- 20:32Speaker 2: see that like that there's just quiet. Like, like when,
- 20:35Speaker 2: when he's not putting on a show, it's so quiet.
- 20:37Speaker 2: and so stuck and awkward and strange. And I think
- 20:41Speaker 2: there's rage in him about all of that. You can
- 20:44Speaker 2: feel it from him. But the other part of it
- 20:45Speaker 2: is he made it. He made it. He made it
- 20:48Speaker 2: out of Ohio. He made it to the heights of
- 20:50Speaker 2: liberal elite culture. Then he switched sides and made it
- 20:53Speaker 2: to the very top. of right-wing culture. And he's still
- 20:56Speaker 2: fucking furious. It's not working. He's not happy. He seems
- 20:59Speaker 2: angry all the time. He's not getting the meaning from
- 21:01Speaker 2: it he hoped. And who could be responsible for that?
- 21:03Speaker 2: It's not him. It's not Trump. He's doing everything he's
- 21:06Speaker 2: supposed to do.
- 21:06Speaker 4: It's us.
- 21:07Speaker 2: It's the liberals.
- 21:07Speaker 4: It's the left. Text from Michael O'Neill incoming. He made
- 21:10Speaker 4: it out of Ohio.
- 21:15Speaker 1: And my wife.
- 21:17Speaker 2: He made it out of a tough part of Ohio.
- 21:19Speaker 2: You know, he had like a rough go of it.
- 21:21Speaker 2: I mean, I didn't watch the movie, but the trailer
- 21:23Speaker 2: went closely rough. She was in that muumuu. It seemed
- 21:26Speaker 2: like it was tough. I don't know what actually happened
- 21:27Speaker 2: in his childhood. I think a lot of, I don't know.
- 21:31Speaker 1: I will, all this to say though, I still think
- 21:32Speaker 1: he is a very dangerous, not just dangerous for what
- 21:36Speaker 1: he can do governing wise, but in 2028, I do
- 21:38Speaker 1: not underestimate him as a very strong candidate, even though
- 21:42Speaker 1: he does not have the charisma clearly that Donald Trump
- 21:44Speaker 1: has or a lot of other politicians.
- 21:46Speaker 3: He is a incredibly dangerous human being. He is someone
- 21:48Speaker 3: who's like very interesting to think of in comparison to
- 21:50Speaker 3: Barack Obama, because on paper, like there's the similar background of,
- 21:55Speaker 3: like J.D. Vance is vice president of the United States
- 21:57Speaker 3: now because of his, the way he told his own story, right?
- 22:00Speaker 3: Similar to how Barack Obama did, right? Both in Dreams
- 22:02Speaker 3: of My Father and the speech. And they both come
- 22:05Speaker 3: from what are really, really hard backgrounds. Obama, son of
- 22:09Speaker 3: a single mother, father leaves on food stamps.
- 22:12Speaker 4: J.D.
- 22:12Speaker 3: Vance's story is told in a movie trailer. But the
- 22:16Speaker 3: difference between the two of them is what Barack Obama
- 22:20Speaker 3: took from his experience was like, how do I help
- 22:22Speaker 3: all the people who came up like I did? And J.D.
- 22:24Speaker 3: Vance is, how do I screw over all the people
- 22:25Speaker 3: who came behind me? He just burns the bridge behind him.
- 22:28Speaker 3: And it's very.
- 22:31Speaker 3: Malicious. Like it's like shame of where he came from
- 22:34Speaker 3: as opposed to understanding his true story and like what,
- 22:37Speaker 3: how that should inform his values.
- 22:38Speaker 1: Ben Rhodes and I have been talking about this a
- 22:40Speaker 1: lot because it does feel like when we were talking
- 22:42Speaker 1: about that Claremont speech and we talked about it on
- 22:44Speaker 1: offline too, that he is the almost mirror image of
- 22:48Speaker 1: Obama story. Cause they both have these stories, but they
- 22:50Speaker 1: both went like very different ways.
- 22:51Speaker 2: And they don't worship an awesome God in the blue state.
- 22:55Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 22:56Speaker 2: Right.
- 22:56Speaker 1: And fuck little league.
- 22:57Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 22:59Speaker 4: Um, All right.
- 23:00Speaker 1: This is from over under Tommy. What do you think
- 23:02Speaker 1: is the top foreign policy issue that we should be
- 23:04Speaker 1: paying more attention to talking more about?
- 23:07Speaker 4: I mean, I think it's an obvious one, but it's
- 23:09Speaker 4: climate change. Climate change. Sure. I think China. It's weird
- 23:13Speaker 4: because Trump ran on being tough on China. It was
- 23:16Speaker 4: like the centerpiece of his populist pitch. And now it's
- 23:19Speaker 4: just absent from the conversation. And it's sort of weird
- 23:21Speaker 4: to me. Like and then. I think as president, he's
- 23:24Speaker 4: been soft on China. He recently agreed to let NVIDIA
- 23:27Speaker 4: sell these pretty high-powered AI chips to the Chinese, which
- 23:31Speaker 4: is very weird. He's been soft on Taiwan. The tariffs
- 23:34Speaker 4: have been all over the place. And then Trump made
- 23:36Speaker 4: this announcement the other day where he's said we would
- 23:38Speaker 4: allow 600,000 Chinese students into the United States to study.
- 23:41Speaker 4: And it's actually inflamed the right wing. And it's just
- 23:44Speaker 4: hard to understand. And so Ben and I are going to,
- 23:47Speaker 4: Rhodes and I are going to dig into this deeper
- 23:48Speaker 4: on how to take the world next week. But I
- 23:50Speaker 4: do think Like, given the stakes involved, it's odd that
- 23:53Speaker 4: there's not more conversation about it.
- 23:55Speaker 1: Can I ask you, what's going on in Venezuela? Are
- 23:58Speaker 1: we going to war with Venezuela? What is happening there?
- 24:00Speaker 3: Are we attacking them?
- 24:01Speaker 4: They're sending a bunch of naval ships and assets down
- 24:05Speaker 4: to the region for, like, counter cartel something.
- 24:09Speaker 3: To interdict boats?
- 24:10Speaker 5: No.
- 24:11Speaker 4: Well, there's been a steady kind of effort to name
- 24:15Speaker 4: drug cartels and gangs as terrorist organizations. Yeah. to officially
- 24:20Speaker 4: designate them and to sort of like socialize this idea
- 24:23Speaker 4: of going to war with cartels, with or without the
- 24:27Speaker 4: approval of the countries involved, where the cartels are actually working,
- 24:30Speaker 4: like Mexico, for example. And now we're setting naval assets
- 24:33Speaker 4: down to the region. It feels like they are trying
- 24:37Speaker 4: to merge the war on drugs and the war on terror.
- 24:40Speaker 3: And what could go wrong. Do you think they have
- 24:43Speaker 3: red flags? the book or seen the movie Clear and
- 24:45Speaker 3: Present Danger?
- 24:45Speaker 4: Probably not.
- 24:46Speaker 3: Or the movie Sicario, Day of the Soldado, which is
- 24:49Speaker 3: the exact plot of?
- 24:50Speaker 4: I've not seen that.
- 24:51Speaker 2: Dan, I think about the movie Clear and Present Danger
- 24:52Speaker 2: all the time. It's one of the movies that are
- 24:55Speaker 2: part of a canon of political thrillers where the end
- 24:57Speaker 2: result is someone tells the truth publicly to solve the problem.
- 25:00Speaker 2: And if you imagine now a deep stater going before
- 25:03Speaker 2: Congress and saying, actually, President Trump did this in a
- 25:05Speaker 2: corrupt way, the credits don't roll. The problem isn't solved.
- 25:09Speaker 1: It's so funny. We've 1,000 episodes. I feel like we've
- 25:12Speaker 1: had this conversation before.
- 25:13Speaker 3: We did, in fact, and I remember because the last
- 25:15Speaker 3: time I said it's also the plot of Lioness season,
- 25:18Speaker 3: Special Operations Lioness season two, and you guys said, what
- 25:20Speaker 3: the hell is that? And so I left that out.
- 25:21Speaker 3: It was actually the last time we did a mailbag,
- 25:22Speaker 3: to be clear.
- 25:23Speaker 1: Oh my gosh.
- 25:24Speaker 4: I'm sorry.
- 25:25Speaker 2: Hey, hey, it's a good enough point to hear it again.
- 25:29Speaker 1: Who is the most controversial guest that you would low-key
- 25:32Speaker 1: have on the show?
- 25:34Speaker 2: You can't low-key have a guest. You can't ironically have
- 25:36Speaker 2: a guest. But yeah, who would we want?
- 25:38Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I didn't.
- 25:38Speaker 2: I know, I know, I'm just quoting. I know, I'm
- 25:39Speaker 2: just thinking about it.
- 25:40Speaker 3: Isn't the question, doesn't it come down to, would you
- 25:42Speaker 3: have Trump on the show?
- 25:44Speaker 2: Yeah, of course.
- 25:45Speaker 4: For sure, yeah.
- 25:46Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 25:47Speaker 4: J.D. Vance, sure. Yeah.
- 25:48Speaker 1: Joe Biden.
- 25:50Speaker 4: He won't come on. Hunter. I think Tucker Carlson would
- 25:54Speaker 4: be interesting.
- 25:55Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 25:56Speaker 1: I think this gets it. Would you ask him about
- 25:57Speaker 1: his new 9-11 truther documentary that he's in?
- 25:59Speaker 4: No, I'm unaware of that.
- 26:01Speaker 3: But you would ask him if he was on.
- 26:02Speaker 4: Well, I'll be honest with the listeners. I reached out
- 26:04Speaker 4: to him when he was talking about his opposition to
- 26:09Speaker 4: the U.S. bombing Iran. and asked if he would come on.
- 26:11Speaker 4: He declined, but he was polite about it. But I
- 26:14Speaker 4: think he occupies an interesting space where he's clearly MAGA,
- 26:17Speaker 4: has some very extreme views that I find abhorrent, but
- 26:21Speaker 4: also doesn't always toe the party line in a way
- 26:24Speaker 4: that is interesting and I think makes him powerful in
- 26:27Speaker 4: that space.
- 26:29Speaker 2: And then there's the creeping anti-Semitism that he's more and
- 26:33Speaker 2: more flagrantly putting on display. That's part of it too.
- 26:36Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 26:37Speaker 3: It gets to the bigger question, which we get a lot,
- 26:40Speaker 3: depending on when we have guests, is like, why are
- 26:42Speaker 3: you platforming these people? And I think one of the
- 26:44Speaker 3: points I think we've tried to make to people is
- 26:46Speaker 3: if someone already has a huge platform.
- 26:48Speaker 4: They are platformed.
- 26:49Speaker 3: They are already platformed, right? And so the goal here
- 26:52Speaker 3: is to have a conversation where you can hold them
- 26:55Speaker 3: accountable for some stuff. You can ask hard questions. You
- 26:58Speaker 3: can engage in a conversation on like, at least you
- 27:02Speaker 3: put with Tucker Carlson, like an area.
- 27:03Speaker 4: Yeah, my goal with Tucker would have been to talk
- 27:05Speaker 4: about why going to war with Iran is a bad
- 27:07Speaker 4: idea and why Republicans and Democrats both agree that Donald
- 27:10Speaker 4: Trump shouldn't get sucked into this conflict.
- 27:12Speaker 1: Yeah. Someone is influential. You can't stop the influence. Uh,
- 27:17Speaker 1: so just by, by not having them on different shows.
- 27:20Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 27:21Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 27:21Speaker 2: We've tried that.
- 27:21Speaker 1: Remember, remember Twitter, Twitter and Trump.
- 27:24Speaker 2: And everyone got upset. Bernie Sanders talked to Joe Rogan
- 27:26Speaker 2: and then it's like, well, that, that didn't work.
- 27:28Speaker 4: Did it?
- 27:28Speaker 1: You guys have any controversial guests you'd have on? Mine
- 27:31Speaker 1: would be Matt Iglesias. Okay.
- 27:37Speaker 4: Kidding.
- 27:37Speaker 2: I just don't even think about it that way anymore.
- 27:38Speaker 2: I just think that that's like not a way to
- 27:40Speaker 2: think of like whoever would be interesting to talk to.
- 27:42Speaker 1: Biggest Dickus asks, didn't make that up. Serious question. I'd
- 27:47Speaker 1: really like to hear the crooked people's opinion on. I'm
- 27:50Speaker 1: a government side civil defense attorney and I'm being softly
- 27:52Speaker 1: recruited to be a civil assistant U.S. attorney in a
- 27:55Speaker 1: major metropolitan city.
- 27:56Speaker 4: I'm here.
- 27:57Speaker 1: So it's fair to say I don't share the politics
- 27:58Speaker 1: of the administration here being our discourse. This is a
- 28:02Speaker 1: job I've really always wanted, but the realities of the
- 28:04Speaker 1: moment make me want to run away. Is there any
- 28:06Speaker 1: value or realistic need for people like me who care,
- 28:09Speaker 1: are ethical, et cetera, and joining the federal government at
- 28:11Speaker 1: this time, presuming that eventually we're back in control? Would
- 28:14Speaker 1: I just be setting myself up to be purged and
- 28:17Speaker 1: then hit the market with a scarlet letter on me?
- 28:19Speaker 1: I thought this was interesting.
- 28:19Speaker 4: Can I ask a question that someone else can answer
- 28:21Speaker 4: the substance? Do you think you end up with the
- 28:23Speaker 4: discord name Biggest Dickest? Because you join to talk about
- 28:27Speaker 4: Call of Duty when you're 13, and then your interests
- 28:29Speaker 4: evolve over time.
- 28:31Speaker 2: Right, right.
- 28:31Speaker 1: They're talking about why.
- 28:33Speaker 4: And all of a sudden, you just have the name
- 28:34Speaker 4: Biggest Dickest, and you don't even realize it.
- 28:37Speaker 3: Do you remember messaging important communications advice to someone named
- 28:40Speaker 3: Yum Petri Scream?
- 28:41Speaker 4: Yes, that was our friend Bill Burton.
- 28:43Speaker 3: On AOL Messenger, the Discord of our time.
- 28:44Speaker 4: Yes, yes.
- 28:45Speaker 1: I thought about this one. I think I would not
- 28:48Speaker 1: have said go in to the administration in the first term.
- 28:52Speaker 1: I think in this term, you do it. And I
- 28:55Speaker 1: think you try to be a reasonable voice. You try
- 28:59Speaker 1: to push things in the right direction. And failing that,
- 29:02Speaker 1: at least be there to document what's going on and
- 29:04Speaker 1: to hopefully tell people. Like, I kind of think that's
- 29:06Speaker 1: the situation we're in right now.
- 29:08Speaker 3: Go in and take copious notes.
- 29:09Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I do.
- 29:11Speaker 2: And that specific role, yeah, like that specific role, right,
- 29:14Speaker 2: would be you'd have a pretty, there's a pretty big
- 29:17Speaker 2: kind of like, Yes or no question around whether or
- 29:20Speaker 2: not you should be there when you're sort of handed
- 29:22Speaker 2: a case. You're like, oh, this is about trumped up
- 29:24Speaker 2: charges against Kilmar, Abrego, Garcia. I'm out. But until then,
- 29:28Speaker 2: being inside and being a good person inside, like it's
- 29:30Speaker 2: not about whether you take the job or not. Someone
- 29:32Speaker 2: will be in the job. Should it be you or
- 29:33Speaker 2: should it be somebody else?
- 29:34Speaker 1: And by the way, the people who quit because they
- 29:36Speaker 1: didn't want to bring the case against Abrego, Garcia in Tennessee,
- 29:40Speaker 1: that was a signal to everyone else and to future
- 29:42Speaker 1: judges and future courtrooms that like, yeah, this is a
- 29:44Speaker 1: fucked up case.
- 29:45Speaker 4: Yeah. I guess I don't know how much discretion you
- 29:47Speaker 4: have in these jobs, really. I defaulted to where you were. Like,
- 29:50Speaker 4: I think take the job, see if you can improve
- 29:52Speaker 4: it from within. The person who's going to take it,
- 29:54Speaker 4: if you don't, will probably be worse. Yeah. But, yeah,
- 29:57Speaker 4: at some point you're going to get asked to prosecute
- 29:59Speaker 4: the dude who threw a hoagie and, you know, then
- 30:01Speaker 4: it's nut cutting time and you walk out.
- 30:03Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think you, like, you stay there forever, right?
- 30:05Speaker 1: I mean, I'm thinking about all the CDC folks that
- 30:07Speaker 1: just got pushed out, right? And they were like, look,
- 30:10Speaker 1: didn't agree with them, wanted to try to make it work,
- 30:12Speaker 1: tried my hardest to, like, you know, do the MAHA
- 30:16Speaker 1: agenda with as much integrity as we could have and
- 30:19Speaker 1: to make it as best as possible and it just
- 30:20Speaker 1: didn't work, you know?
- 30:22Speaker 4: Can I just read for everyone a quick Maha headline? Yes, please.
- 30:26Speaker 4: Because I just want everyone to know how healthy we
- 30:29Speaker 4: are making this nation. I'm vamping because this Twitter is slowly,
- 30:32Speaker 4: slowly loading. New York Times headline, Pediatric Brain Cancer Group
- 30:36Speaker 4: to Lose Federal Funding. A network dedicated to early phase
- 30:40Speaker 4: trials of treatments for children with brain cancer will be
- 30:42Speaker 4: phased out. Thank you very much to RFK Jr., the
- 30:46Speaker 4: HHS team, and everyone at the Maha world making us
- 30:50Speaker 4: healthier by, you know, Throwing kids out of a trial
- 30:53Speaker 4: for pediatric brain tumors.
- 30:55Speaker 3: Can I give you another MAHA headline from today?
- 30:56Speaker 4: Yes, please.
- 30:56Speaker 3: Also from the New York Times. The Dr. Oz Run
- 31:00Speaker 3: Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services today is launching a
- 31:03Speaker 3: pilot program where they will now require prior authorization for
- 31:06Speaker 3: medical procedures. And normally in Medicare, you do not need that.
- 31:10Speaker 3: They just grant it. And they've hired AI companies who
- 31:13Speaker 3: are going to use AI to decide which are needed
- 31:16Speaker 3: and which aren't.
- 31:16Speaker 4: AI death panels.
- 31:17Speaker 3: AI death panels.
- 31:18Speaker 4: Robot death panels.
- 31:19Speaker 1: That's what we're at.
- 31:20Speaker 3: And the AI companies make money based on the savings
- 31:23Speaker 3: they get Medicare, so they're financially incentivized to deny care
- 31:27Speaker 3: to seniors on Medicare.
- 31:28Speaker 1: Pilot program in six states.
- 31:29Speaker 4: I hope it's Palantir.
- 31:30Speaker 1: A couple of them are swing states. I noticed Arizona's
- 31:32Speaker 1: on that list.
- 31:34Speaker 4: How do we not make a thing out of AI
- 31:36Speaker 4: death panels? I know.
- 31:38Speaker 1: What are we doing, Democrats?
- 31:39Speaker 2: The AI death panels are a distraction. From what?
- 31:43Speaker 1: From the pediatric cancer.
- 31:45Speaker 2: From what? From what?
- 31:47Speaker 1: The tariffs.
- 31:47Speaker 2: All right.
- 31:50Speaker 1: Friendly cabager merchant. What does Crooked see as the next
- 31:54Speaker 1: steps for a strong progressive media ecosystem? A convention or
- 31:58Speaker 1: policy event similar to what MAGA has? Media partnerships consolidation? Boy,
- 32:02Speaker 1: do we have an event for you guys. It's called CrookedCon.
- 32:05Speaker 2: It's called CrookedCon.
- 32:06Speaker 4: I hope CrookedCon is much like TPUSA where there's... Alleged
- 32:10Speaker 4: fingering in the lobby. There's fistfights between MAGA influencers.
- 32:15Speaker 2: I'm sorry. This is the first time I'm hearing of
- 32:17Speaker 2: supposed fingering.
- 32:18Speaker 4: Oh, my gosh. Dude, you got to read about Will Summer. Oh,
- 32:20Speaker 4: you might have been on vacation when this came out.
- 32:21Speaker 4: Will Summer at the Bulwark did a long report on
- 32:25Speaker 4: a huge Twitter fight between some MAGA influencer types that...
- 32:30Speaker 4: Revolved around Allegations Alleged, that's right Consensual fingering Oh yeah,
- 32:35Speaker 4: very much so Just in a public space Consensual, but like,
- 32:37Speaker 4: you know People might have been married And there's all
- 32:39Speaker 4: these Allegations Apparently a lot of shit Goes down at
- 32:42Speaker 4: TPUSA Of a sexual nature Yeah, so.
- 32:44Speaker 6: CrookedCon Is going to be like that For sure CrookedCon CrookedCon.com
- 32:50Speaker 6: Get your tickets Meet the love of your life See
- 32:51Speaker 6: you in the lobby Meet the love of your life
- 32:52Speaker 6: Or meet the love of your weekend Huh?
- 32:55Speaker 2: Goodcon.com.
- 32:56Speaker 3: Did you guys read that directly for the marketing team's pitch?
- 32:59Speaker 4: I think that works. I think that's pretty good.
- 33:02Speaker 1: Anyone else want to pitch Crooked Queen? I mean, I
- 33:04Speaker 1: think that was the best pitch for it.
- 33:05Speaker 4: Oh, yeah.
- 33:05Speaker 1: We're going to have a good time.
- 33:07Speaker 2: Less pointing fingers among Democrats.
- 33:10Speaker 4: Less finger pointing.
- 33:11Speaker 2: Less finger pointing.
- 33:12Speaker 4: More.
- 33:13Speaker 1: The circular firing squad is something else entirely.
- 33:16Speaker 2: Triggered.
- 33:17Speaker 3: Oh, boy.
- 33:18Speaker 6: Oh, boy.
- 33:18Speaker 4: Oh, boy. I'm out.
- 33:22Speaker 2: What was that, Tommy? I'm sorry. Oh, sorry. Get back
- 33:24Speaker 2: to your butter churning.
- 33:25Speaker 1: This is my bad. This is my bad.
- 33:28Speaker 2: I understand you have a new sourdough loaf you're starting.
- 33:30Speaker 2: You've got a new starter.
- 33:32Speaker 4: Oh, boy.
- 33:33Speaker 3: Well, I guess he technically did not use profanity there.
- 33:35Speaker 3: That's right.
- 33:36Speaker 2: That's true.
- 33:36Speaker 6: That did not.
- 33:37Speaker 4: That is true.
- 33:38Speaker 1: We're excited about Cricket Con. It's filling up fast. Yeah.
- 33:40Speaker 1: We're going to Pod Save America the night before. Don't
- 33:42Speaker 1: care about it.
- 33:42Speaker 4: Jesus.
- 33:43Speaker 1: We're going to Pod Save America the night before, November 6th.
- 33:47Speaker 1: Live show. We haven't done a live show in a while.
- 33:49Speaker 2: I know. It'll be great.
- 33:50Speaker 1: And then on Friday the 7th, we're just going to...
- 33:52Speaker 1: We're going to have all these panels. They're not robot
- 33:55Speaker 1: death panels. We're going to have people, really smart, great people.
- 33:59Speaker 3: Some of the brightest minds in the party.
- 34:00Speaker 1: Some of the brightest minds in the party and us.
- 34:01Speaker 3: Some big game politicians.
- 34:03Speaker 2: Some overlap in that Venn diagram.
- 34:06Speaker 1: Hopefully more as.
- 34:06Speaker 4: We go along.
- 34:07Speaker 1: We're going to have some good conversations. And, you know,
- 34:11Speaker 1: we hope to see you all there. CricketCon.com.
- 34:22Speaker 2: Pod Save America is brought to you by HIMSS. HIMSS
- 34:25Speaker 2: can't solve snoring or blanket stealing, but when it comes
- 34:28Speaker 2: to performance, Tommy, they've got you covered.
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- 36:02Speaker 1: Do any of you guys play fantasy football? Are you
- 36:04Speaker 1: excited for football in general this year? Are the Pats back?
- 36:07Speaker 3: You want to start with the Pats, Tommy?
- 36:09Speaker 4: I don't know if we're back, but we're better. I mean,
- 36:11Speaker 4: Drake may look good. Mike Vrabel's good. Josh McDaniels is back.
- 36:14Speaker 4: Pick it up. Stefan Diggs is good. Yeah, we get
- 36:17Speaker 4: some good players.
- 36:18Speaker 3: So I play fantasy football. I play a lot of
- 36:22Speaker 3: fantasy football. Are you in multiple leagues? I'm in multiple leagues.
- 36:25Speaker 4: That's hard to keep track of, Dan.
- 36:27Speaker 3: Well, I'm in two main leagues. I have a dynasty
- 36:32Speaker 3: league on top of that. And I now play best
- 36:34Speaker 3: ball fantasy football. Which is basically you draft your team
- 36:38Speaker 3: at the beginning of the year. You play in large
- 36:40Speaker 3: field tournaments. And then you don't have to do anything.
- 36:43Speaker 3: It just takes the best scores. You have to manage it.
- 36:47Speaker 1: That is so much to keep track of.
- 36:49Speaker 3: Well, the best ball thing, once you do it, it's done.
- 36:50Speaker 1: I was in 2020 and I was like, I could
- 36:52Speaker 1: barely fucking pay attention.
- 36:54Speaker 3: I think more people in politics should do fantasy football.
- 36:57Speaker 3: I'm not going to urge people to do gambling. But
- 37:00Speaker 3: I do think there is a real lesson in understanding...
- 37:05Speaker 3: that's applicable to political strategy, that is understanding value and
- 37:09Speaker 3: understanding ceiling versus floor outcomes. Because that's what you're always
- 37:12Speaker 3: trying to pick. You're trying to find someone who has
- 37:15Speaker 3: the best possible outcome and you're willing to take on
- 37:17Speaker 3: additional risk to do that. And the Democratic Party lives
- 37:20Speaker 3: in a world of high floor, low ceiling in all
- 37:21Speaker 3: of our decision-making. But yeah, I am a fan of
- 37:24Speaker 3: football lunatic. I really picked it up during the pandemic
- 37:26Speaker 3: and haven't let it go.
- 37:28Speaker 1: You know, I moved out here in 2014 and that
- 37:31Speaker 1: was like the last year I paid attention. to sports
- 37:35Speaker 1: in any way because my head started getting like so
- 37:37Speaker 1: into politics and every year I'm always like I think
- 37:39Speaker 1: I want to get like it's because baseball's really there's
- 37:42Speaker 1: just like so many fucking baseball games but football's like
- 37:44Speaker 1: really fun every Sunday I watch football and every year
- 37:46Speaker 1: I'm like I'll either do fantasy football or something that
- 37:49Speaker 1: makes me pay attention to football. Now that I have
- 37:51Speaker 1: fucking two kids, it's like, I don't know how I'm
- 37:52Speaker 1: going to do it.
- 37:52Speaker 3: Well, so I was a Washington Commanders fan, which you
- 37:55Speaker 3: couldn't even use the name of my team for like
- 37:57Speaker 3: a decade in public discourse, so it's very hard to
- 37:59Speaker 3: follow them.
- 37:59Speaker 1: We're going to be heading back to it, though.
- 38:00Speaker 3: That's right, according to Trump.
- 38:02Speaker 4: Yeah, good point.
- 38:02Speaker 3: So fantasy was the way in which I stayed very
- 38:04Speaker 3: involved in football. And also, living on the West Coast,
- 38:07Speaker 3: football is great because it's every day at 30. It
- 38:11Speaker 3: starts at 10 a.m., which is awesome. And then if
- 38:13Speaker 3: you have small children, on the London game, it starts
- 38:15Speaker 3: at 6 a.m.
- 38:16Speaker 6: Yep.
- 38:16Speaker 3: Is like a real gift.
- 38:18Speaker 4: Bet the Lunder. You know, this conversation made me think
- 38:20Speaker 4: of something that pissed me off about J.D.
- 38:22Speaker 6: Vance.
- 38:22Speaker 4: I remember what it was.
- 38:23Speaker 2: So J.D.
- 38:23Speaker 4: Vance did an interview yesterday with this guy on Fox
- 38:25Speaker 4: named Will Kane, who's basically got a set of veneers
- 38:27Speaker 4: who was given a show. And they were talking about like,
- 38:30Speaker 4: they were talking about Ohio State versus Texas, I think.
- 38:34Speaker 4: And clearly he'd been prepped that this was going to come, right?
- 38:36Speaker 4: Because like Will Kane's like, I got my orange tie
- 38:39Speaker 4: and you're a Buckeyes guy, J.D. And J.D. 's like,
- 38:41Speaker 4: I'm told that the Buckeyes are an 11-point dog. And
- 38:44Speaker 4: Will Kane, who came from sports media, was like, no.
- 38:46Speaker 4: that's not even close to the line on the game.
- 38:48Speaker 1: He couldn't even pretend to be nice to him. It
- 38:50Speaker 1: was funny because it was a rare moment when Will
- 38:52Speaker 1: Cairns was like, what are you talking about?
- 38:54Speaker 3: If you understand anything about gambling lines or football, it
- 38:58Speaker 3: would be fucking absurd for the defending national champion.
- 39:02Speaker 4: 11 points.
- 39:02Speaker 2: It's a dog at home.
- 39:03Speaker 4: It's impossible.
- 39:04Speaker 2: It's crazy.
- 39:05Speaker 4: It's crazy. Again, total phony- Was beclowned on Fox News.
- 39:09Speaker 3: By a clown, literally.
- 39:10Speaker 1: By a clown.
- 39:10Speaker 3: It was the first beclowning ever done by an often
- 39:13Speaker 3: beclowned person, Will Kane.
- 39:14Speaker 4: Yes.
- 39:14Speaker 1: To our earlier conversation, immediately blamed someone nameless on it.
- 39:19Speaker 4: Yeah, blamed his staff.
- 39:19Speaker 1: I don't know. Someone sent me a link with the line.
- 39:22Speaker 1: Someone sent me that line.
- 39:23Speaker 2: Did they?
- 39:24Speaker 4: Did they? I think you had a prep document.
- 39:26Speaker 1: Glad that you're getting good information all the time. You
- 39:28Speaker 1: want to talk about the Pats at all? Did we
- 39:29Speaker 1: talk about the Pats?
- 39:30Speaker 4: Pats?
- 39:30Speaker 1: We did.
- 39:31Speaker 4: Sorry.
- 39:32Speaker 2: I think it's done.
- 39:34Speaker 4: Which part?
- 39:34Speaker 2: This part of the show.
- 39:35Speaker 4: It's the longest you've ever been silent on a podcast.
- 39:44Speaker 1: Monica Not Monica asks, Labor Day special, since it's Labor Day.
- 39:49Speaker 1: You are attending a holiday cookout and must choose between
- 39:52Speaker 1: a paper plate with two hot dogs, a scoop of
- 39:54Speaker 1: potato salad, and a wedge of watermelon, or a paper
- 39:57Speaker 1: plate with a cheeseburger, bean salad, and two chocolate chip cookies.
- 40:01Speaker 1: There is a condiment table with standard toppings, but between
- 40:04Speaker 1: you and it is someone who wants to critique your
- 40:06Speaker 1: recent Twitter posts, so you may have to do without.
- 40:09Speaker 1: You have arrived late, and the only remaining beverage to
- 40:11Speaker 1: pair with your food is LaCroix Limoncello. Which plate are
- 40:15Speaker 1: you taking?
- 40:16Speaker 3: This question hurt my head.
- 40:17Speaker 4: Why is the paper versus normal plate, why is that
- 40:20Speaker 4: so highlighted?
- 40:21Speaker 2: Because I'm sure this person thinks you don't need a
- 40:23Speaker 2: straw with your coffee. So I think it's, for me.
- 40:27Speaker 1: Oh, I missed the paper plate part.
- 40:29Speaker 2: Here's what I do. I take the cheeseburger in one hand.
- 40:32Speaker 2: I take the two cookies. I just throw the bean
- 40:34Speaker 2: salad out.
- 40:35Speaker 4: 100%. Now I'm mobile. And the limoncello.
- 40:37Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't want the limoncello.
- 40:38Speaker 3: It's the whole thrust of the question. They're trying to
- 40:40Speaker 3: figure out whether you want a hot dog, hamburger, bean salad, whatever.
- 40:45Speaker 3: And whether you love condiments so much that you engage
- 40:48Speaker 3: in an awkward conversation about your Twitter feed to get them.
- 40:52Speaker 1: I just took it as like, you can't have any condiments,
- 40:55Speaker 1: which plate do you pick?
- 40:57Speaker 4: To me, it's easy.
- 40:57Speaker 1: I just pick the hot dogs.
- 40:58Speaker 4: Yeah, I would pick the hot dogs.
- 40:59Speaker 1: Bean salad is not that, and I like watermelon, and
- 41:01Speaker 1: bean salad is not that great. What is a bean salad?
- 41:05Speaker 1: It's like, there's some mayonnaise in beans. Let me tell you.
- 41:10Speaker 1: And I like potato salad, and I like hot dogs.
- 41:12Speaker 4: Yeah, that's great.
- 41:12Speaker 1: That's me. I don't know. Anyone else got it?
- 41:13Speaker 2: And I think if somebody criticizes... I think the best
- 41:16Speaker 2: thing to do if somebody talks to you about something
- 41:18Speaker 2: you don't feel like talking to them about, just agree
- 41:20Speaker 2: with them more than they ever expected. It was a
- 41:22Speaker 2: stupid post. Right here, I'm out.
- 41:25Speaker 1: You're right. You got my number. I totally hear you.
- 41:27Speaker 2: It was stupider than even you're saying. Man, do I
- 41:30Speaker 2: regret that.
- 41:31Speaker 1: Moving on. Have never gotten in a fight with someone
- 41:33Speaker 1: in person over my tweets.
- 41:35Speaker 4: Yeah, this is not likely to happen.
- 41:38Speaker 1: I know that could surprise a lot of you. Handypants...
- 41:43Speaker 1: You guys have been doing the podcast.
- 41:44Speaker 3: Candy Pants sent this in directly from TPUSA. Confirm the
- 41:47Speaker 3: Crooked Kong, Candy Pants.
- 41:50Speaker 1: You guys have been doing the podcast for a good
- 41:51Speaker 1: while now. A thousand episodes. Looking back at those first
- 41:54Speaker 1: few years, how have each of you changed as podcast hosts?
- 41:59Speaker 1: Who would like to begin? See, there's a lot of growth.
- 42:08Speaker 4: I changed this show. That's what I've been hearing.
- 42:11Speaker 2: I don't know. I think we, over the years, I mean,
- 42:17Speaker 2: part of it is did we change? Did the environment change?
- 42:19Speaker 2: But I do think one thing, it got worse, I think,
- 42:22Speaker 2: during the pandemic. We said from the beginning, we had
- 42:27Speaker 2: a slogan, we want to entertain, inform, we want to
- 42:29Speaker 2: inspire action. And informing people and talking about what people
- 42:33Speaker 2: do to get involved, that's a little bit more objective
- 42:36Speaker 2: than what's subjective, which is just being entertaining. And I
- 42:38Speaker 2: think there were times where We got so concerned about
- 42:41Speaker 2: the mission that we didn't focus enough on like what
- 42:44Speaker 2: we were really in, which is this crazy attention war.
- 42:47Speaker 2: And I think sometimes we felt like, oh, people would
- 42:49Speaker 2: message us like, you guys got to talk about climate change.
- 42:51Speaker 2: It's so important. And so then we would try to
- 42:53Speaker 2: force it in or try to prove we were doing
- 42:56Speaker 2: what we were meant to do as like good members
- 42:58Speaker 2: of the resistance, which led to, I think, a worse product.
- 43:00Speaker 2: And I think we've gotten more comfortable just feeling like
- 43:03Speaker 2: it's very important that people come back because it's like
- 43:06Speaker 2: a fun conversation. And that's not like a nice thing.
- 43:08Speaker 2: It's like a necessary thing. I think that's one thing
- 43:11Speaker 2: we've done differently over the years.
- 43:15Speaker 1: It's taken me a while and I've not gotten there yet,
- 43:17Speaker 1: but I think more about what do I want to
- 43:21Speaker 1: say about this and less about how is it going
- 43:24Speaker 1: to land necessarily. Because I think if you're constantly like, oh,
- 43:28Speaker 1: this take will get me in trouble or someone's going
- 43:30Speaker 1: to be mad about this and whatever else, then it
- 43:32Speaker 1: just makes you, it makes the conversation tighter and also
- 43:36Speaker 1: just harder to have. And you just start feeling like,
- 43:39Speaker 1: if I have a platform to say this stuff, I
- 43:41Speaker 1: might as well say what I, it does not to
- 43:43Speaker 1: not be thoughtful about what you believe, but like, I
- 43:45Speaker 1: just try to say what I believe, you know?
- 43:48Speaker 3: Like I love doing this podcast. I'm very grateful to
- 43:50Speaker 3: you guys for starting this company so I can do
- 43:51Speaker 3: this podcast. Like I love talking about politics. I love
- 43:52Speaker 3: talking about smart, entertaining people who are my friends. I
- 43:55Speaker 3: would say that for a very long time, I like
- 43:57Speaker 3: had a real identity crisis about being a podcaster. It's just,
- 44:00Speaker 3: it's like in my life, like I always was like
- 44:03Speaker 3: a political operative. Like that's what I was from the
- 44:05Speaker 3: second I left college. And just what I always was.
- 44:07Speaker 3: And then all of a sudden I was a podcaster.
- 44:09Speaker 3: And I will say that when I left the White House,
- 44:11Speaker 3: Barack Obama, as he would do, had some life advice
- 44:13Speaker 3: for me. And I told him that I was like
- 44:15Speaker 3: negotiating with CNN about doing like a cable deal. And
- 44:17Speaker 3: it's like Axe was doing that. Jay Carney had just
- 44:19Speaker 3: finished one. Like a bunch of his people were doing it.
- 44:21Speaker 3: He's like, that's a good thing to do right away.
- 44:23Speaker 3: Like keep your profile. It's like, but I just don't
- 44:26Speaker 3: want to look up in 10 years and still see
- 44:28Speaker 3: you on cable TV all the time. Like that's not
- 44:30Speaker 3: what you want. And so like that haunts me.
- 44:32Speaker 2: I was like, boy, don't worry about that. That whole
- 44:34Speaker 2: autonomy is going to fall apart.
- 44:36Speaker 3: And so that like has always haunted me about like, Like,
- 44:39Speaker 3: we're media people. And it's this conflict between... And then
- 44:42Speaker 3: he went and started a media company.
- 44:44Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 44:44Speaker 2: No, no, no. He's doing a podcast.
- 44:46Speaker 1: Anyway, check him out with Bruce Gracie.
- 44:48Speaker 3: Well, I can't turn on Netflix without hearing his voice
- 44:50Speaker 3: talking about some migrating manatees.
- 44:57Speaker 2: These manatees make the cars right here in America.
- 44:59Speaker 4: But.
- 45:06Speaker 2: It took a while.
- 45:07Speaker 3: It really has been probably since the last couple of years,
- 45:10Speaker 3: we're just like, this is politics now. Politics and media
- 45:13Speaker 3: are the same, and it's information warfare. Even though I
- 45:15Speaker 3: would say those things and write those things, it took
- 45:17Speaker 3: a while to adjust in my head that the way
- 45:20Speaker 3: I will contribute to politics is not being on conference calls,
- 45:25Speaker 3: going through polling data for candidates like you used to do,
- 45:27Speaker 3: or working on messaging or pitching reports or other things.
- 45:30Speaker 3: It's having a platform and using it and thinking about
- 45:33Speaker 3: ways in which you can grow the platform and other
- 45:35Speaker 3: people can grow the platform and stuff like that. It's
- 45:37Speaker 3: understanding that media is politics now.
- 45:40Speaker 4: Yeah. Yeah. You want to clear a room, tell people
- 45:43Speaker 4: you're in podcasting. You know what I mean?
- 45:44Speaker 3: Can I tell you the hardest thing about just like
- 45:47Speaker 3: going about life is when you're like at, at the
- 45:52Speaker 3: playground with your kids and, or you're at a birthday
- 45:55Speaker 3: party with your kids and like, so what do you do?
- 45:57Speaker 4: Yeah, no, it's hard. I never engaged on that.
- 45:59Speaker 3: Well, in an Uber on the way home from a
- 46:02Speaker 3: trip recently, I told the guy I was a consultant and,
- 46:04Speaker 3: And usually that just like ends the whole thing. And
- 46:05Speaker 3: he's like, what are you a consultant in? And I
- 46:07Speaker 3: was like, PR. He's like, you mean like marketing? And
- 46:09Speaker 3: then he, I then had an hour conversation where I
- 46:11Speaker 3: just had to pretend I was in marketing because his
- 46:13Speaker 3: wife was in marketing.
- 46:14Speaker 1: Do you know how many Uber drivers I've just said
- 46:16Speaker 1: podcasting and then by the end of the Uber, they're like, oh,
- 46:18Speaker 1: Pod Save America.
- 46:21Speaker 3: I can't do that.
- 46:22Speaker 4: I would not be in sales. The reaction to this
- 46:24Speaker 4: had changed a lot over time. Like 2017, when I
- 46:25Speaker 4: was like, Hannah, can we please move from San Francisco
- 46:27Speaker 4: to Los Angeles so that I can do a podcasting
- 46:29Speaker 4: company with my friends? It was like, that was a
- 46:31Speaker 4: challenging conversation. You know, there are people in my life
- 46:33Speaker 4: who are like, you have a plan B, right? There's
- 46:35Speaker 4: a lot of that. She's pretty happy now, isn't she?
- 46:37Speaker 4: Now it's far more mainstream.
- 46:39Speaker 3: Jeez.
- 46:40Speaker 4: Dirty, hairy threat of my wife.
- 46:43Speaker 2: Pretty happy now, woman.
- 46:45Speaker 4: No, now it's like a very different thing. It's like what,
- 46:47Speaker 4: like it was a much more niche thing. I think
- 46:49Speaker 4: it's more widespread. I think you're right, Dan, though, that
- 46:52Speaker 4: like the kind of media piece of politics is so
- 46:56Speaker 4: much more important now. It's much more central. It's like,
- 46:59Speaker 4: I think the way I would think about it is
- 47:00Speaker 4: like we all spent so much time shaping the words
- 47:03Speaker 4: and now the clear challenge is getting the words to
- 47:05Speaker 4: the people and like being a part of the last
- 47:07Speaker 4: mile is like interesting and fun.
- 47:09Speaker 1: Schumerfan69. If in the near future someone can go to
- 47:16Speaker 1: chat GPT and ask it for a political podcast to
- 47:19Speaker 1: catch up on the day's news, are you worried you
- 47:21Speaker 1: will be replaced?
- 47:24Speaker 4: Kinda. I mean. there'll probably be an older, like some
- 47:27Speaker 4: generation that wants real people to do their news. So
- 47:29Speaker 4: then there's going to be folks who just could care less.
- 47:32Speaker 4: That's what I think.
- 47:33Speaker 3: I've been working on a, on the side in AI
- 47:35Speaker 3: podcasting company. Yeah.
- 47:37Speaker 1: Are they going to let, are they going to let
- 47:39Speaker 1: you be part.
- 47:41Speaker 2: Of AI, Dan?
- 47:42Speaker 3: I'm starting out in charge. How that ends, I don't know.
- 47:45Speaker 2: Yeah. It's called great point, Dan. I'm like, I go
- 47:50Speaker 2: back and forth about, I feel like AI, we get,
- 47:53Speaker 2: we get bogged down because it's like an abstraction, right? Like,
- 47:56Speaker 2: it's a, it's a tool that can do a lot
- 47:57Speaker 2: of different things. And so like, was the hammer good for, like,
- 48:00Speaker 2: it's like, it's a very, it's, it's a very broad question.
- 48:03Speaker 2: And I feel like sometimes it's like, do I think
- 48:05Speaker 2: like technology that can imitate real people to confuse people
- 48:10Speaker 2: into thinking they're real is good? I don't do, am
- 48:12Speaker 2: I as worried about that as I am all these
- 48:14Speaker 2: other implications? No, because on some level, like it would
- 48:17Speaker 2: just be doing an impression of the things that already existed.
- 48:19Speaker 4: Right.
- 48:20Speaker 2: And people ultimately are seeking something out that feels new.
- 48:23Speaker 2: So it's like, Am I worried about something that's kind
- 48:25Speaker 2: of a mirror of what people have already done? Not
- 48:28Speaker 2: as much, but maybe not as much as I should be.
- 48:29Speaker 4: I don't know.
- 48:30Speaker 1: I'm worried about AI a lot, as anyone who listens
- 48:32Speaker 1: to offline knows. But on this point, I do think
- 48:35Speaker 1: there's a limit to... AI is limited by its inability
- 48:40Speaker 1: to be creative. For now. For now. But if AI
- 48:45Speaker 1: is always going to be scraping the internet or the
- 48:48Speaker 1: entire world for information, and that's what's... There's just something...
- 48:52Speaker 1: And I notice it when you... Just to try it out, like...
- 48:54Speaker 1: when you ask it to write or you ask it
- 48:56Speaker 1: to do stuff like that, it's just not, I know
- 48:58Speaker 1: it's going to get a lot better. I can imagine
- 49:01Speaker 1: it being extremely proficient and accurate and all this kind
- 49:03Speaker 1: of things, but there's just an added, like the, the,
- 49:07Speaker 1: the humor I think is not as good as it could,
- 49:09Speaker 1: as sharp as it could be. It's just, it's, I
- 49:11Speaker 1: don't know if it'll ever completely replace human creativity in
- 49:14Speaker 1: terms of just like being a newsreader. Yeah, no, I
- 49:16Speaker 1: think that's a, yeah, it's like.
- 49:17Speaker 2: It's hard to, it's like hard to wrap your mind
- 49:19Speaker 2: around because it's like the technology is improving and it's like, okay,
- 49:23Speaker 2: what can it improve? Like, what does it look like
- 49:25Speaker 2: when it's maximally improved and what are the limits that
- 49:28Speaker 2: are like endemic to the technology? And one of the things,
- 49:31Speaker 2: one of the like limits of it is like, It
- 49:34Speaker 2: is of the past. It has to be of the past.
- 49:37Speaker 2: And we're making new things.
- 49:39Speaker 1: Totally.
- 49:40Speaker 2: And that is a protection. That is something that I
- 49:43Speaker 2: think it traps you in the moment it did its scraping.
- 49:48Speaker 1: And that can never change. Right. No matter how good
- 49:50Speaker 1: it gets.
- 49:50Speaker 4: Right.
- 49:50Speaker 3: It can't change. I mean, we're all trapped for the
- 49:54Speaker 3: past and we have the capacity to take what's in
- 49:56Speaker 3: the past and.
- 49:56Speaker 4: Use it to project.
- 49:57Speaker 3: New things forward.
- 49:57Speaker 4: That's sort of where I am too. It's like, I
- 49:59Speaker 4: think that's what creativity is. It's like kind of taking
- 50:01Speaker 4: information that already exists in your brain and like connecting
- 50:03Speaker 4: different strands than might thematically, people might not think of otherwise.
- 50:07Speaker 1: I think what it's missing though is human, is individual
- 50:10Speaker 1: human experience.
- 50:11Speaker 4: Right?
- 50:12Speaker 1: Like I can't ever, that's the thing.
- 50:14Speaker 4: Potentially, unless Tilla reads all the memoirs in the world.
- 50:17Speaker 2: Well, but then like, okay, it's also, when it does,
- 50:20Speaker 2: when like you see a photo, or when like someone
- 50:22Speaker 2: makes a video or a fake photo, wow, that looks
- 50:25Speaker 2: really real. It only has a function in a world
- 50:29Speaker 2: where people expect most things to be real, right? What
- 50:31Speaker 2: is it doing an impression of, of real things, right?
- 50:34Speaker 2: And in a world where there are fewer of those
- 50:36Speaker 2: real things, it starts to have less meaning and have
- 50:38Speaker 2: less utility because it has to do the trick. Like
- 50:41Speaker 2: it has to do the function of replacing someone. Those
- 50:43Speaker 2: people need to exist to be replaced. Right, right.
- 50:47Speaker 1: Well, we'll see. Kristi Gnomes Injector asks, Due to a
- 50:53Speaker 1: series of shocking coincidences and mishaps, you find yourself trapped
- 50:56Speaker 1: in an undersea habitat, stocked with food and water and
- 50:59Speaker 1: little else. The seas are rough, and it will be
- 51:02Speaker 1: between two and three weeks until you are rescued. Oh,
- 51:05Speaker 1: so two and three weeks.
- 51:06Speaker 4: Okay.
- 51:06Speaker 1: You are down there with one other person. It's either
- 51:09Speaker 1: Stephen Miller, Don Jr., or Marjorie Taylor Greene of the three.
- 51:14Speaker 1: Who do you hope it is? It's an easy one.
- 51:16Speaker 4: Don's got drugs.
- 51:17Speaker 3: It's not Stephen Miller.
- 51:18Speaker 4: Yeah, that's... It's an easy one for you.
- 51:21Speaker 3: Marjorie Taylor Greene?
- 51:21Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 51:22Speaker 3: Me too.
- 51:22Speaker 4: Marge.
- 51:23Speaker 2: Wow.
- 51:23Speaker 3: What a great way to meet your crush.
- 51:26Speaker 2: Yeah, you're doing workouts.
- 51:27Speaker 1: You were going to go Don Jr.
- 51:29Speaker 4: Well, I just want to make a joke about him
- 51:30Speaker 4: having a bag. But I think Marjorie Taylor Greene is
- 51:33Speaker 4: a more fully formed person, surprisingly.
- 51:35Speaker 2: What's interesting is when I made up these questions.
- 51:39Speaker 1: Those two were tied for me.
- 51:40Speaker 4: Stephen Miller's like, you push him out of the habitat.
- 51:42Speaker 2: Well, I thought it was more evenly balanced.
- 51:44Speaker 1: I pushed myself out of the habitat.
- 51:46Speaker 4: You did?
- 51:46Speaker 2: Kristi Noem's Injector. Yeah, I'm Kristi Noem's Injector.
- 51:49Speaker 1: Yeah, love it to this question.
- 51:51Speaker 2: And I thought it would be more balanced in part because, yeah, like, yes,
- 51:54Speaker 2: but as I say it, no, I think we all, like,
- 51:56Speaker 2: I would rather spend the time with Marjorie Taylor Greene
- 51:58Speaker 2: because I do think she has a genuine ideology, but
- 52:00Speaker 2: so does Stephen Miller, but he's so heinous. But wouldn't
- 52:03Speaker 2: you maybe learn something trying to kind of understand him?
- 52:06Speaker 3: No. I don't think I could do that.
- 52:07Speaker 1: Keep in mind on Katie Miller's podcast, J.D. Vance did
- 52:12Speaker 1: say if he could pick one cabinet member to fly
- 52:16Speaker 1: transatlantic with next to on a plane, he would pick
- 52:19Speaker 1: Stephen Miller. Even though Stephen Miller's not in a cabinet,
- 52:21Speaker 1: that's how much he likes Stephen Miller.
- 52:22Speaker 3: He said that to Stephen Miller's wife.
- 52:24Speaker 1: Yeah, but she gave him an out with the cabinet.
- 52:27Speaker 4: But just a perfect example of why he's the phoniest loser.
- 52:30Speaker 4: That is such a lame answer. It is not what
- 52:33Speaker 4: the question asked. You're kissing the ass of the person
- 52:36Speaker 4: you're naming. It is like, you suck.
- 52:37Speaker 1: In fairness, probably more powerful than most of the cabinet, though. Yeah.
- 52:40Speaker 3: I think the answer has to be Marjorie Taylor Greene.
- 52:42Speaker 3: I mean, just imagine you could egg her on for
- 52:45Speaker 3: conspiracy theories. Like, Marjorie, it's day seven here. So I'm
- 52:50Speaker 3: waiting for the rescue boat. tell me about the Jewish
- 52:52Speaker 3: space laser again.
- 52:54Speaker 4: Or the CrossFit classes for free.
- 52:55Speaker 1: You think you could get, though, good info out of
- 52:57Speaker 1: Don Jr. that could be useful to his dad? Yeah,
- 53:00Speaker 1: that's the only thing.
- 53:00Speaker 3: That just popped into my head.
- 53:01Speaker 4: He probably has good stories.
- 53:02Speaker 2: Well, I think as many intelligence agents have figured out
- 53:05Speaker 2: over the years, a little bit of flattery, a couple drinks,
- 53:08Speaker 2: he eventually softens.
- 53:10Speaker 1: That's true. Okay. This is Lovett's second question. I'm with
- 53:18Speaker 1: that little girl is me.
- 53:22Speaker 4: Solid combo.
- 53:24Speaker 1: You can open a portal right now. You will either
- 53:27Speaker 1: see yourself 20 years ago or 20 years from now.
- 53:31Speaker 1: Would you rather tell your past self about the future
- 53:34Speaker 1: to change our present or learn about the future so
- 53:38Speaker 1: that you can shape it from this point forward? That's
- 53:41Speaker 1: a really good one.
- 53:42Speaker 3: I'm definitely going to the future. I feel pretty good
- 53:44Speaker 3: about where my life is now. Wait. You can either
- 53:47Speaker 3: go to the past and make your present better or
- 53:50Speaker 3: you can go to the future and have knowledge back
- 53:53Speaker 3: to the present.
- 53:54Speaker 1: And you'll go to the future.
- 53:54Speaker 3: I'll go to the future, both because I think you
- 53:56Speaker 3: can maybe help shape the world, but also, just like
- 53:59Speaker 3: in Back to the Future 2, I would get the
- 54:00Speaker 3: lottery numbers and the Super Bowl winners.
- 54:03Speaker 1: Austin has a thumbs up to that.
- 54:04Speaker 4: You go back in time, you either say, buy Bitcoin,
- 54:07Speaker 4: or you go in the future and.
- 54:09Speaker 3: You tell yourself, run from the machines.
- 54:12Speaker 2: Yeah, tell the machines you really like them starting in 2022.
- 54:14Speaker 2: Be nice to the machines.
- 54:16Speaker 1: What if you go to the future, though, and it's
- 54:17Speaker 1: just like an apocalyptic wasteland?
- 54:19Speaker 4: That'd be bad.
- 54:20Speaker 1: And you don't know how or why.
- 54:21Speaker 2: You know what?
- 54:22Speaker 3: You've really caused me to question my initial answer here.
- 54:24Speaker 2: But what's interesting about this, what I like about this
- 54:26Speaker 2: is this is going in the direction I thought, because
- 54:28Speaker 2: I did think everyone's initial response would be, well, I
- 54:31Speaker 2: love my life. Yes, Trump is bad and things are bad,
- 54:34Speaker 2: but this is the life that I have and where
- 54:36Speaker 2: I led. I'd love to change my future.
- 54:38Speaker 1: My initial response was go to the past.
- 54:40Speaker 3: But the thing is, if you do go to the
- 54:41Speaker 3: past- What are you dissatisfied about your present?
- 54:43Speaker 2: No, no.
- 54:43Speaker 1: I'm just kidding. It's funny because this is how broken
- 54:48Speaker 1: my brain is. I didn't even think about my personal life.
- 54:50Speaker 1: I just thought about the politics in the world. And
- 54:53Speaker 1: I was like, we go back and we.
- 54:55Speaker 2: Don't write that joke.
- 54:55Speaker 3: Don't give those jokes.
- 54:58Speaker 2: Good to see you, Mr.
- 54:59Speaker 4: Trump.
- 54:59Speaker 2: You're going to have a proud future in politics.
- 55:02Speaker 1: And tonight I'm naming Donald Trump to my cabinet.
- 55:05Speaker 2: Hey, you know what you need to do? Run the
- 55:06Speaker 2: Kennedy Center starting today. Oh, that would have been so good.
- 55:11Speaker 2: But it's interesting, right? Because then you're saying, okay, I
- 55:13Speaker 2: would like to have information about the future to change it.
- 55:17Speaker 2: But you didn't have that about a present you currently
- 55:19Speaker 2: have that you wouldn't change. And if you went back
- 55:22Speaker 2: and gave yourself in the past information, it would not
- 55:24Speaker 2: only give you power now, it would give you power
- 55:26Speaker 2: 20 years from now. So that to me is what's
- 55:28Speaker 2: interesting about it.
- 55:29Speaker 4: It's interesting. Cool. Yeah, buy Bitcoin. Smart.
- 55:33Speaker 1: You going past future?
- 55:35Speaker 4: No, I'm a real butterfly effect person. I feel like
- 55:38Speaker 4: anything I changed in the past might impact today. And then, like,
- 55:40Speaker 4: what if my kids aren't here?
- 55:42Speaker 3: Are you already going to make out with your mom? Like,
- 55:45Speaker 3: why did we fly?
- 55:45Speaker 1: I knew exactly what he meant.
- 55:47Speaker 2: We knew what he meant.
- 55:49Speaker 4: Oh, got it.
- 55:51Speaker 2: Like, Dan's... Tommy's like, Tommy flipped out.
- 55:54Speaker 1: I was just saying, by the way, that Hannah enjoys
- 55:58Speaker 1: the lifestyle now because you're a very successful media company.
- 56:00Speaker 1: That's literally all I'm saying.
- 56:01Speaker 2: It's true. This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Who do
- 56:15Speaker 2: you go to in order to solve your life's problems?
- 56:17Speaker 2: The group chat? Oversharing with strangers?
- 56:20Speaker 3: Jesus.
- 56:21Speaker 2: You go to Jesus? Yeah, can't go wrong.
- 56:22Speaker 4: Can't go wrong.
- 56:23Speaker 2: Speak into praying and so forth. That helps.
- 56:26Speaker 4: I'm at my roommate's house.
- 56:28Speaker 2: Oh, your roommate's house.
- 56:29Speaker 4: Okay.
- 56:29Speaker 2: Also a good person to talk to. Great advice. BetterHelp
- 56:32Speaker 2: has been helping people find solutions to their problems for
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- 56:46Speaker 2: can focus on your therapy goals. A short questionnaire helps
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- 57:20Speaker 2: We've talked about it. You got to talk to somebody.
- 57:22Speaker 2: And especially if you think you don't have to, that's
- 57:24Speaker 2: when you absolutely do have to.
- 57:26Speaker 4: Good point.
- 57:26Speaker 2: There's a lot of people that can't get therapy, and
- 57:28Speaker 2: that's wrong. But if you can, you should. You just should.
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- 57:52Speaker 1: All right, last thing before we go. You're about to
- 57:54Speaker 1: hear a special preview of our subscription show, Inside 2025.
- 57:57Speaker 1: If you're not already a member, we really hope you'll
- 58:00Speaker 1: consider signing up. Dan? Dan? Elijah only wants you to
- 58:03Speaker 1: do these pitches, which I know is a signal to
- 58:05Speaker 1: the three of us that we don't do them as well.
- 58:07Speaker 1: And he's right. And you do do them better.
- 58:08Speaker 3: It's important that I take it.
- 58:09Speaker 1: It makes me want to try harder.
- 58:11Speaker 3: Especially now that we're literally sub-stack competitors. I think it's
- 58:13Speaker 3: good for me to do this.
- 58:14Speaker 2: It's good to see why Democrats fail, right? Because it's
- 58:16Speaker 2: not because of the words he's going to use. He's
- 58:17Speaker 2: a trusted messenger. We haven't built enough credibility. So it's
- 58:21Speaker 2: not like we have the magic. We said what Dan said.
- 58:23Speaker 4: It wouldn't work.
- 58:24Speaker 3: So the usual pitch is you would get ad-free episodes.
- 58:27Speaker 3: You need to hang on the Discord, which are all
- 58:28Speaker 3: great things. People like that. But. I think the reason
- 58:31Speaker 3: to be a subscriber is the mission of this company,
- 58:35Speaker 3: the company you guys started 1,000 episodes ago, was to build.
- 58:39Speaker 1: Give or take a few.
- 58:41Speaker 3: Just go with the bit. The company you guys built 1,000
- 58:45Speaker 3: episodes ago, give or take a few, was to build
- 58:48Speaker 3: a counterweight to the right-wing media ecosystem. And when that started,
- 58:51Speaker 3: the idea was Fox News. And now it is much
- 58:54Speaker 3: bigger and more dangerous than Fox News. And the need
- 58:56Speaker 3: for a counterweight is even greater than it ever was before.
- 58:58Speaker 3: You can argue that we almost lost the 2020 election,
- 59:01Speaker 3: lost the 2024 election because Democrats lost the ability to
- 59:05Speaker 3: communicate with large swaths of the American people. The way
- 59:07Speaker 3: to fix that is not to double down on the
- 59:10Speaker 3: old broken media system. It is to build an alternative,
- 59:12Speaker 3: to build an alternative independent media system. So your $ 10
- 59:17Speaker 3: a month, I think it is, it goes to help
- 59:19Speaker 3: do that. It helps the company develop new initiatives, develop
- 59:24Speaker 3: new shows, get bigger, reach new audiences, find more talent.
- 59:27Speaker 3: And so it is an investment. Just like your contribution
- 59:30Speaker 3: to a political campaign or a PAC, this is an
- 59:33Speaker 3: investment in a better, more progressive, democratic future.
- 59:36Speaker 2: Can we put some fucking patriotic music on it?
- 59:38Speaker 1: That's how we do it. That's why Dan does the pitches, guys.
- 59:42Speaker 4: And we're now.
- 59:43Speaker 1: On Substack alongside YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Supercast, and all the
- 59:48Speaker 1: info you need to be part of all this is
- 59:50Speaker 1: at crooked.com slash friends. Here's Inside 2025.
- 59:58Speaker 5: All right, let's do a gimmick, as Bill Simmons calls it.
- 1:00:01Speaker 5: I'm revealing myself as a Bill Simmons listener.
- 1:00:03Speaker 3: I mean, Bill Simmons, obviously, legendary podcaster, and in many ways,
- 1:00:07Speaker 3: responsible for the creation of this podcast. But I don't
- 1:00:09Speaker 3: think he invented the word gimmick. Like, what?
- 1:00:14Speaker 4: I don't know, man.
- 1:00:15Speaker 3: I was just like, what do I call this? Well,
- 1:00:16Speaker 3: Simmons calls it a gimmick. So I'm just going to
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: call it that. Okay. Before this recording, I gave you
- 1:00:20Speaker 3: guys a prompt. Here's the prompt.
- 1:00:22Speaker 5: You're a political consultant and you can magically make the
- 1:00:24Speaker 5: campaign that you're working on have a robust presence in
- 1:00:28Speaker 5: any of the platforms listed here. TikTok, Facebook slash meta
- 1:00:32Speaker 5: slash Twitter slash sub stack, TV news, podcast slash.
- 1:00:36Speaker 3: YouTube, and then digital and linear paid advertising.
- 1:00:40Speaker 5: Rank those in the order you prefer your campaign to
- 1:00:43Speaker 5: have a robust presence on.
- 1:00:44Speaker 3: And then let's see how much you guys align. Dan,
- 1:00:46Speaker 3: what's most important for you?
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: Before Dan goes, can I just ask why you grouped,
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: I know Facebook and Meta, obviously, but why you grouped Facebook, Meta, Twitter,
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: and Substack all together?
- 1:00:55Speaker 3: I don't know, man.
- 1:00:57Speaker 5: I was looking back on this and I was like,
- 1:00:58Speaker 5: why did I do that?
- 1:01:01Speaker 3: Can I redo your gimmick just real fast? Can we
- 1:01:03Speaker 3: redo it? Yeah, my thought was TikTok is just its
- 1:01:04Speaker 3: own beast. It should be TikTok is one, YouTube is another.
- 1:01:09Speaker 3: Instagram is a third. Facebook is a fourth. Substack is
- 1:01:13Speaker 3: a fifth. Linear advertising is a sixth. Those are your six.
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: Well, now I don't know. Did I say.
- 1:01:21Speaker 3: Podcast and YouTube be together? Yeah, podcast and YouTube could
- 1:01:24Speaker 3: be together.
- 1:01:25Speaker 4: I think they should.
- 1:01:25Speaker 3: That's fair. That is because, John, as you know, most
- 1:01:28Speaker 3: podcasts are watched on YouTube.
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: That's right. That's right. Wait, so what are we taking
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: out now? Facebook, Meta, Twitter, Substack. Which ones are we removing?
- 1:01:35Speaker 3: I guess you could put Twitter in there, but just
- 1:01:37Speaker 3: make them individual.
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:01:40Speaker 3: All right. Cool.
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: So Facebook, Instagram is one basically.
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: Sure.
- 1:01:45Speaker 3: No one, no one, no one would ever pick Facebook
- 1:01:47Speaker 3: in 2025. It's ridiculous.
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: What's the other, what's the other option?
- 1:01:51Speaker 3: Uh, parchment paper. Like what are we doing? Dan, what's your,
- 1:01:56Speaker 3: what's your number one? We'll work through it. We'll talk
- 1:01:58Speaker 3: about how combined these things are. It'll be messy, but what's,
- 1:02:00Speaker 3: what's your number one pick here? Uh, YouTube. And I,
- 1:02:04Speaker 3: I don't think any, there's no other, it can't, you
- 1:02:06Speaker 3: can't pick another option. It's not even close.
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: John.
- 1:02:09Speaker 3: Do you align with that?
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:02:11Speaker 4: Yes, I do.
- 1:02:14Speaker 5: I guess it's because YouTube feeds all the other ones.
- 1:02:16Speaker 5: You do something on YouTube and then you get clips
- 1:02:19Speaker 5: on all the other ones, including cable news.
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: That's where most people in the country are getting their
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: content right now.
- 1:02:26Speaker 3: YouTube is TV. That's the thing that people don't recognize
- 1:02:29Speaker 3: is that many people are now watching their YouTube, not
- 1:02:34Speaker 3: on their phone, not on their tablet, not on their laptop,
- 1:02:35Speaker 3: but on their actual television in 2024, 1 billion hours
- 1:02:39Speaker 3: of YouTube were consumed on TVs globally. And that number
- 1:02:41Speaker 3: is going up. It's particularly going up among Gen Z.
- 1:02:44Speaker 4: Yep.
- 1:02:45Speaker 5: Okay, so then what's your number two? If it's the
- 1:02:47Speaker 5: same thing, I'm going to be upset. I hope you
- 1:02:49Speaker 5: guys have some deviation. No, because there are clear answers here.
- 1:02:51Speaker 5: It's TikTok, and you shouldn't pick anything else.
- 1:02:54Speaker 3: John?
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: Get ready.
- 1:02:57Speaker 3: Oh, please say Facebook.
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: No. Well, first of all, there is a fuckload of
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: people still on Facebook, just not any people under 40.
- 1:03:07Speaker 3: And under 60.
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: Yeah, right.
- 1:03:10Speaker 1: I was going to say... This is different now that we...
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: This is all fucked up now that we have changed
- 1:03:14Speaker 1: the categories. But I was going to say Twitter sub
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: stack because I do think if you are running a campaign,
- 1:03:21Speaker 1: there's still an influential set of people in politics and
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: media that you're going to have to reach. and you're
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: gonna have to talk to, and it's not, I have
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: to sit down with the New York times or the
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: Washington post editorial board or anything like that. But I
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: think you kind of need, if you're going to have
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: a campaign presence, you're going to have the need to
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: have some presence, um, in the, uh, you know, in the,
- 1:03:44Speaker 1: in the world of journalists, influencers, sort of the traditional, uh,
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: establishment gatekeepers.
- 1:03:52Speaker 3: And that's one of the reasons why we're going on
- 1:03:54Speaker 3: sub stack because unlike a lot of other places where
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: people get podcasts and content these days, Substack actually has
- 1:03:59Speaker 3: a very robust, very successful discovery algorithm. I have benefited
- 1:04:03Speaker 3: from this as I spent the last five years building
- 1:04:06Speaker 3: a newsletter on Substack, and it is incredibly helpful. It
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: has helped me find other newsletters that I'm very interested in.
- 1:04:12Speaker 3: It has grown my newsletter. And one of the reasons
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: to be on Substack is to help us reach new
- 1:04:17Speaker 3: people who might be interested in our content, and their
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: algorithm helps us do that. Where did you have TikTok ranked, John?
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: Three.
- 1:04:24Speaker 2: Next one.
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: Okay. And then, Dan, what was your three? Instagram. Interesting. Okay.
- 1:04:31Speaker 3: Why Instagram? See, I'm going to build a bottom-up campaign
- 1:04:33Speaker 3: where I'm going to reach voters first, and then the
- 1:04:37Speaker 3: elites that John is fighting with on Twitter will then
- 1:04:40Speaker 3: see the success of my campaign and then start writing
- 1:04:42Speaker 3: about it.
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: Where will they see it?
- 1:04:44Speaker 3: In Iowa or Michigan or wherever the first state is
- 1:04:47Speaker 3: with all the people coming out.
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:04:49Speaker 3: Or when I'm sending out... Yeah. I mean, we're not
- 1:04:53Speaker 3: going to not be on Twitter. I would just rather
- 1:04:55Speaker 3: have a robust TikTok presence to reach voters first than
- 1:04:57Speaker 3: then we can tweet out our massive TikTok following numbers.
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: And you think that, is it just because Instagram has
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: a bigger user base than TikTok that you would rank Instagram?
- 1:05:06Speaker 1: Oh no, because you put TikTok before Instagram.
- 1:05:08Speaker 3: Yes, yes. And I would pick TikTok over Instagram.
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: Now, why did you do that if Instagram has a
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: bigger reach?
- 1:05:14Speaker 3: Great question, John. Because one, TikTok sets culture in a
- 1:05:21Speaker 3: way that Instagram does not, right? As someone who has
- 1:05:23Speaker 3: mostly abandoned TikTok and Instagram Reels from my short-term memory.
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: But the one thing you know is that whatever is
- 1:05:32Speaker 3: cool on TikTok shows up on Instagram like three weeks later.
- 1:05:35Speaker 3: It's just it's more culturally relevant. It reaches more young people.
- 1:05:39Speaker 3: It's a cultural driver of what's happening on Instagram is
- 1:05:42Speaker 3: less so.
- 1:05:43Speaker 5: Dan, what I'm hearing from you is you are an
- 1:05:45Speaker 5: admirer of Zoran Mamdani's campaign.
- 1:05:47Speaker 3: Absolutely.
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: Absolutely.
- 1:05:48Speaker 3: That's actually the one that is.
- 1:05:51Speaker 3: When you talk about how you build your campaign and
- 1:05:54Speaker 3: then you get the elites last, that is an example
- 1:05:56Speaker 3: of how that works. AOC is another example of how
- 1:05:58Speaker 3: that works. Bernie, frankly, in 2016 is another example of
- 1:06:00Speaker 3: how that works in a very different media environment. All right,
- 1:06:02Speaker 3: so Dan, what did you have number four? What's left
- 1:06:04Speaker 3: on the... Subsect Twitter is one combined, right? Mm-hmm. Subsect Twitter, probably.
- 1:06:10Speaker 4: John?
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: Did I do Instagram? No, you haven't done Instagram.
- 1:06:14Speaker 3: You've not done Instagram.
- 1:06:15Speaker 4: Instagram, Instagram.
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: Well, no. Facebook, Instagram. You haven't done TikTok. I did TikTok. Yeah.
- 1:06:20Speaker 3: TikTok was his three. Yeah.
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: Now, and then Facebook, Instagram is four. Yeah.
- 1:06:26Speaker 5: So you guys both have TV news in digital slash
- 1:06:29Speaker 5: linear advertising, paid advertising as your five and six here.
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: Uh, yeah, my, my six is TV news.
- 1:06:36Speaker 3: I mean, like I wouldn't even, I'd cross it off
- 1:06:38Speaker 3: the list. I would pick a robust early state billboard
- 1:06:44Speaker 3: presence over dominance of TV news.
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: I would love to have some people who are working
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: in Democratic politics right now do this because how much
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: you want to bet the digital and linear paid would
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: be further up the list than where we put it.
- 1:06:56Speaker 3: Depends. Depends on what part of the industry they work in.
- 1:06:59Speaker 1: Do they make money off of it?
- 1:07:02Speaker 2: I don't think it's just making money.
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: Some of the people who work in politics genuinely believe
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: that digital and linear paid are sort of uh, underestimated by,
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: you know, the pundit class and everyone else who doesn't
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: work in democratic politics.
- 1:07:15Speaker 3: I fundamentally disagree with me too.
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: Me too.
- 1:07:18Speaker 3: And just, I think the way that here's what I'm
- 1:07:19Speaker 3: thinking about is if you are 40 years old, your
- 1:07:23Speaker 3: entire life has been about skipping ads, right? Skipping them
- 1:07:28Speaker 3: on your DVR, just ignoring the digital ads that pop
- 1:07:31Speaker 3: up at you on Facebook. When you were a kid,
- 1:07:34Speaker 3: just skipping right past them on Instagram stories or Tik TOK.
- 1:07:38Speaker 3: And you just are culturally attuned to believe, to not
- 1:07:41Speaker 3: believe a advertisement paid for by the people who want
- 1:07:45Speaker 3: you to vote for the person or buy the product.
- 1:07:48Speaker 3: And that is like, and it's also almost impossible to
- 1:07:51Speaker 3: reach people under 40 with paid television ads because they
- 1:07:54Speaker 3: are other than like major sporting events and award shows. They,
- 1:07:57Speaker 3: you can't run political ads on Tik TOK. You can't
- 1:08:00Speaker 3: run political ads on net on Netflix. The two biggest
- 1:08:03Speaker 3: platforms people spend their most time. And, or, or also
- 1:08:06Speaker 3: on YouTube, people are constantly skipping that, that ad at
- 1:08:09Speaker 3: the beginning of it. And so you have everyone under
- 1:08:13Speaker 3: 40 doesn't either doesn't get, or doesn't believe in ads
- 1:08:16Speaker 3: and next election to be 45 election after that, it's
- 1:08:18Speaker 3: be everyone under 50. It's everyone. It's just, you're just
- 1:08:21Speaker 3: reaching a, you cannot reach young people with linear television ads.
- 1:08:25Speaker 3: It is, you cannot find a less efficient way to
- 1:08:29Speaker 3: spend money right now.
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: That's our show for today. If you like what you
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- 1:08:43Speaker 1: Hope everyone had a great Labor Day weekend. Dan and
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: I will be back with a new show on Friday. Bye, everyone.
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- 1:09:04Speaker 1: america is a cricket media production our producers are david
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