Latest / Toadstool Sports / Tuesday BEST BETS | Cups | MLB & WNBA Cup & World Cup | 6/30/26

Transcript

Tuesday BEST BETS | Cups | MLB & WNBA Cup & World Cup | 6/30/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your checks.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: The black coffee on the felt man, you look like
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: a mess.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man. But don't you go quiet? Don't you fade
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name steal mean something in somebody for show? Put
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: the glass down, baby, look at me. No, hold on,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: hold on, nothing nice now, hold on, hold on and
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: me for.
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: That, but it an'll get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: Stay with me. Now, what's up? Everybody? It's sewed back
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: with you. Toadstool Sports, Tuesday, June thirtieth. We had a
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: very small win on the show yesterday, believe it or not.
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: There you go one thirty four, seventy seven and ten
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: run last eighty six days. Now we did get the
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: win with the well, we got a loss first with Germany.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: I mean Germany won that game statistically, So I mean,
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: what do you want to say about that? It goes
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: to penalty kicks and the teams that I thought were
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: gonna be good at penalty kicks, especially in the Netherlands,
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: both failed in the penalty kicks. I don't know what
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: else to say about that. Germany definitely could have won
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: that game. Maybe it wasn't the right play to lay
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: the spread, but Germany dominated the second half in that match,
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: and they still just couldn't put anything it. They got
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: one goal and couldn't do any more than that. I
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: don't know what else to say about that. France has
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: a pretty clear path right now, so yeah, which does
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: not help me because I didn't pick them in my bracket,
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: but I do have them in the semifinals. I don't
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: I don't remember what else I was gonna say, but oh,
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: I was gonna say the I was wrong about how
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: the three way line and the spread betting and the
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: totals work in soccer. In the knockout round, those do
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: actually only apply to the first ninety minutes like the
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: regular games, so they don't actually take into account the
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: extra time. I thought that they took into account extra
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: time but not penalty kicks, but I was wrong about that.
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: They don't take into account extra time. I still stand
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: by not viking betting on the draw, though I know
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: SOB gotta win on the draw in the Morocco Netherlands game. Whatever,
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: I still didn't like that. I mean, I haven't dug
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: into that box score to see if Netherlands were getting
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: unlucky in that game or not. I didn't really watch
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: the game, so I don't know. But yeah, I don't know.
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: All of that surprised me, especially Netherlands. They have good strikers, dude, Like,
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty shocked that they lost a penalty kick situation
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: as well. Things did not go well for those favorites yesterday. Today,
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: I think they will go a little bit better for
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: the favorites today. I don't have a World Cup play today.
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: I'm completely spraying the baseball board today. I have four
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: baseball plays and I'm gonna have a play in the
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: WNBA Commissioners Cup too, And if we lose that, we're
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: gonna be losing on the WNBA season. After being five
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: and zero and only making whatever like seven plays since then,
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: it's almost impossible, and multiple of those plays have been
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: completely unlucky. Now I could do. What's up? Thanks for
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: hanging out, all right, let's just do this. This is
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: gonna take forever. Baseball, White Sox Baltimore. All these games
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: are in the evening. Baltimore's lost three in a row.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: They lost yesterday. I think the White Sox kind of
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: unloaded late in that game against Baltimore's not very good
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: bullpen to win that game, which I did mention yesterday.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: I believe the White Sox are the better bullpen. White
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: Sox used three guys out of the bullpen yesterday, Baltimore
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: used four. White Sox are ranked eighteenth and bullpen Orioles fifteenth.
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: But like I said, White Sox better Bullpenny Ray, I
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: don't really buy some of these rankings sometimes, like I
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: range it by whip, which I think is usually better,
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: but you kind of have to figure it out by
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: digging into the numbers a little bit. White Sox are
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: the better offense, the ranked fifth, The Orioles are eighteenth
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: right now. Probably Oriols are a little bit better than
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: that though. And then we have a pitching matchup today
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: that is really bad, which is why you have a
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: ten and a half total on this game in a
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: baltim More game. Uh, they're lining this game like it's
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: a course field game. Basically, Baltimore is a somewhat hitter
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: friendly ballpark and they have had totals like this before.
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean this looks like it's gonna be
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: a game where there are gonna be some runs. Eric
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Fetti is going for the White Sox, and I will
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: caution that they might put an opener in front of him.
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: So if you're gonna play this game, I'll probably I
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: might even just play it action to be honest in
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: this game, because we basically know like what we're gonna
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: get from these pitching staffs here, but we don't know
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: is there gonna be an opener in front of either
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: of these guys. So I don't know. This is a
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: game where like an action play might just make sense here.
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: Fetti is probably gonna at least pitch.
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: In this game at some point four point three four
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: ERA one point four to two. Whip is not very good.
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: He's not good on the road five point eight five
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: roady ra It was okay, I.
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: Guess in his last few starts.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: He's not going deep into these outings though, which is
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: a red flag that he's not even making it to
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: five innings here in his last three outings. Faced a
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: couple of kind of weak offenses in the last two
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: as well as walk rate is kind of high over
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: the course of the season, is definitely too high. It's
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: hit rate also too high. Strike out rate is also low.
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: There's not a lot to like about him here. He
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: does not have great numbers against Baltimore either. In fifty
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: eight at bats to seventy six average allowed, eight ninety
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: one ops and a nine to eleven strikeout walk ray
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: M I would not trust Eric Fetti here. Trey Gibson
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: is pitching for the Orioles. Much younger guy, maybe with
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: some upside, but it doesn't really it doesn't look good
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: man five point six four ERA, one point six y
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: five whip. These are bad numbers. He's not good at
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: home five point nine to four homey ra, so the
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: home road splits are against both starters here. Orioles have
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: lost all but one of the Skuy's starts so far.
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: He's only made it five innings twice in seven stars.
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: This is not good. I know he's faced some good
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: offenses in here, but actually, in fact, he's faced mostly
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: good offenses here. But this guy, I mean, his numbers
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: are awful. His hit rates too high. Is walk rate
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: is really high, strikeout rate is mediocre. There's not a
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: lot to like here. I know the White Sox haven't
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: seen him before, but that unfamiliarity has not helped him
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: out throughout this season so far. I mean, all these
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: lineups he's facing are unfamiliar with him, doesn't matter, they're
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: all hitting him. So, as you could tell, over is
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: the way I would play this game if I was
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: gonna play it. I haven't done it, though. It's kind
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: of tempting, but the money is back in the under
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: and the total is high. For sure, it's at ten
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: and a half. Like I would much rather see this
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: at like nine. Well, obviously nine is a key number,
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: but the oddsmakers are not going to give you that.
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, even if it was nine and a half,
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: I might feel a little bit more tempted to do it.
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: Seventy six percent of tickets ninety three percent of the
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: cash on the under makes absolutely no sense. I mean,
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: I don't think the Bullpens are trustworthy either. I think
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: this game him as an over. That's what I think
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: about that, Kyle, what's up? I thinks for hanging out?
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: That is not one of my plays though. All right,
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh in Philadelphia, we did get the win. Oh I
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: forgot to mention the win yesterday. Uh, we did win
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: with Pittsburgh and it was a crazy win. Uh. We
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: had Brax and Ashcraft gave up three home runs in
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: the game, I think, and they were losing five to nothing.
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: I was like, oh God, like they're gonna take Ashcraft
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: out of the game. They didn't. They left him in
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: the game, and he settled down and he wound up
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: pitching six innings in the game, and he wound up
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: out pitching Nola, which was my handicap in the game.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh was losing the game five nothing in the fourth inning,
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: and we needed them to be winning by the end
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: of the fifth, and they did. They were. They got
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: two runs in the fourth and then six runs in
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: the fifth, and they were up eight five at the
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: end of the fifth, and Ashcraft was still in the
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: game at that point. He had a scoreless fifth. One
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: of the crazier ways that you win win a play
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: for sure, but I think it was the right play.
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: The situation made sense, the pitching matchup made sense. Nola
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: totally imploded in the game. Ashcraft after he was bad
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: early in the game, he settled down and wound up
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: out pitching Nola so and lasting deeper into the game.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: So that's what we wanted. Pittsburgh did win the full
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: game too, So if you played the full game you
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: got it as well. You know, it was a little
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: bit more questionable. Their bullpen wasn't great in the game,
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: so but they held Philly to to I guess two
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: runs there. Whatever, Pittsburgh won the game. As I was
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: alluding to, there could be a bounce back for Philly
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: because when a team loses in that return home spot,
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: a lot of times they bounce back in the next game.
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: Maybe that'll happen here.
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: But Pittsburgh's gonna want to get these games too, because
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: they're the little brother in Pennsylvania. Pittsburgh used four relief
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday, Philadelphia three. Pittsburgh don't like their bullpen. As
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: I have said, their number twenty two, and they're not
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: the worst, but they're not great.
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia is twelfth.
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: They're not that good either, era in the fours, but
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: better than Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's offense is really good. They're number
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: two right now, although they're better at home. Philadelphia is
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: twenty second. Pitching matchup, though, this is gonna be difficult
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: for Pittsburgh to get this win. Bubba Chandler's pitching for them.
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: He's got talent dude, it's just he's been walking too
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: many guys.
• 10:27
  Speaker 3: He looked good at the end of last year.
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: This year he's got a four point four two ERA,
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: one point three to nine whips. I mean, these numbers
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: are not awful, but he's got to get better, and
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: I think he can. I mean, he's still really young,
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: he's got talent. He's better on the road four point
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: two road ERA, but Philadelphia is better at hitting at home. Chandler,
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: he looked decent in his last few starts. Really, he's
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: pitched a little bit better here over the last I
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: would say four starts. Maybe he's been a little bit better,
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: allowing two or fewer runs in all of them. A
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: little bit questionable with the walks still kind of being
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: an issue. He walked too many guys last time out,
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: had only one strikeout in a game in course field,
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: but he still held Colorado pretty much off the board,
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: so that wasn't bad really, but the strikeout rate was
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: kind of alarming there that it was so low. His
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: walk rate is still way too high in the season,
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: but his other numbers look pretty good. His hit rate
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: is really low. His strikeout rate is all right, Chandler.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: He's dude, He's capable of pitching better than what his
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: numbers would suggest. Like, I think he might turn this
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: around at some point and his career might take off
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: a little bit. But it hasn't totally happened yet. Numbers
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: it gets Filly are not very good, but only ten
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: at bats against him. They have several hitters who have
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: seen him three hundred average, twelve hundred oh ps, one strikeout,
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: four walks.
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: That's not exactly great, and.
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: He's gonna have to contend with matching up against Christopher Sanchez,
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: who is a cy young candidate here two point one
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: three ERA, one point one to one whip. His numbers
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: have gotten worse recently. He's got a point nine to
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: five home here right though, so he's been really good
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: at home. He's allowed four plus runs in two of
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: his last three outings though, both of those on the
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: road and against Milwaukee and Washington. But he's facing another
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: good offense here in Pittsburgh. But I think, I mean,
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: he's good. I mean, I just I don't really put
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: much weight into those couple of bad starts there. I
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: think he's still good. You know, there was gonna be
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: some regression because his numbers are just unsustainably good. But
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: he's got a pretty low hit rate here is walk
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: rates really low, strike got rate is high, and these
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: numbers are good. He also is a very ground ball
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: heavy pitcher, so there's a lot to like here about him.
• 12:39
  Speaker 3: His numbers against Pittsburgh are fine.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: Two sixty eight average allowed, six thirty one oh ps
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: is pretty low, and seventy one at bats seventeen.
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: To four strike got walk ratio.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: Problem is, if you want if you want to back
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: Sanchez here, you have to lay minus two forty something
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: here on Filly. I mean that is an extremely high price.
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: I think it's probably unwarranted. Actually, I mean you're paying
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: a lot just for Sanchez here. Philly is the better
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: team in some ways, and they're better at home, but
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: that price, I don't think you can lay that price, man.
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, with that price, maybe there is some argument
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: to look towards like a Pittsburgh run line there to
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: keep this game closer than people think. The money is
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: hitting the under here as well, the total at eight
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: and a half. I think if I was gonna go under,
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: I'd probably do it in the first five. But then
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: you really are you're relying on Chandler to like hit
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: his ceiling in this game, you know what I mean.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: It actually pitched well, which he is capable of, but
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: I would not want to bank on it. Also, I
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: don't really want to play Pittsburgh either. I mean, Philly
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: clearly does have the edge in this game, like they
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: should get the win here, but you're paying a huge
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: price for it, which I think is just too high.
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: So do without what you want. But yeah, I mean
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia probably wins that game. Next two games up are
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: gonna be plays for me. Yep, whoops, that's not what
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: I meant to do, clicking on the wrong thing. Unless
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: you guys want to rewatch my old intro again, which
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: sometimes I use as an intermission, Maybe I will. We're
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: gonna take the under in Texas and Cleveland. I mean
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: I was eyeballing this game yesterday. I said yesterday that
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: this looks like a very underconducive series between these two teams.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: These teams both play a lot of low scoring games.
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're both better at pitching than hitting, so
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: that kind of lends itself towards unders. Cleveland is playing
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: a lot of unders at home, so is Texas. This
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: is at Cleveland The game yesterday went over as well.
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: It was a six to three game yesterday. This game,
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: I think it is gonna go under. We can get
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: a seven and a half at a decent price there.
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: As you can see. Texas they did use their better
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: relievers yesterday, which does worry me a little bit, but
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: they did have some rest prior to that, so it's
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: possible they can use them two games in a row.
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: They do have a good bullpen in general. These four
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: guys out of the bullpen yesterday, it's bullpen is a
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: little bit worried some, but they're fairly rested here. These
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: three guys yesterday didn't really use the best reliever they
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: use yesterday, didn't use them for that many pitches. But
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: I think we can go with this. I like getting
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: the hook on the full game too, rather than looking
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: at maybe a three and a half in the first five.
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you want to go first five and
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: you can find like a four on this, you could
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: do that too. But I think we leave the bullpens
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: in in this one. Plus, we're also banking on like
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: these starters might be able to get us through like
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: more than the fifth inning, you know what I mean,
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: which I'm gonna talk about more in the next game,
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: so you know where I'm going with the next game two,
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: which is gonna look too obvious, but I think you
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: can get some of these starters, can get you deeper
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: than five innings right and keep pitching well. Texas the
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: ranked ninth in bullpen right now. Their ERA is higher
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: then you would think that it would be. But this
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: is a pretty good Texas bullpen here. Cleveland is ranked nineteenth,
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: which doesn't sound good, but their ERA is better than
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: a lot of the teams around them, so I don't
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: think that that's a bad bullpen really. Hitting wise, these
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: teams have not been good Cleveland twenty eighth, dealing with
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: injuries as well, Texas nineteenth.
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: I mean, not too bad, but and they are better
• 16:10
  Speaker 3: on the road.
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: But this is a more pitcher friendly environment in my opinion,
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: and I like to starting pitching here obviously, otherwise I
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: wouldn't be doing this. We get Jacob de Gram here.
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: I know we've we've been up and down with him.
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: We've had some good outings from him that we backed him.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: We've had some bad ones too. I think we've won
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: more than we've lost backing him, though, he's got a
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: three point five to five ERA one point zero three whip.
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: Good stuff here. I know he's not as good on
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: the road four point six Roady Ira, which makes sense
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: because Texas they have a very picture friendly environment. But
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: this is not one of his more difficult road environments here.
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: Like I said, this is a pitcher canduce a ballpark
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: to some degree, and he's facing a weak offense here,
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: so I don't think this is a typical road start
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: for him here. He's in good form. I know he
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: gave up six runs last time out against San Diego,
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: which is a bit of a red flag, and that
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: was at home too, but he had nine strikeouts in
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: that one and only allowed six hits. His walks were
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: up in that game, he walked three, but I think
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: it was a little bit misleading. He's allowed two or
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: few runs in every other outing that he's gone since
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: late May, so he's definitely in good form here. Thirty
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: six to eight strike out walk ratio this month in
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: twenty nine innings with twenty three hits allowed, so that's good.
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: All those numbers are good across the board. He's got
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: a low hit rate on the season, a high strikeout
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: ran a low walk rate, so all of his numbers
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: are good here. He is he's a fly ball pitcher,
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: which is a little bit worrisome, but again, this is
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: a ballpark that can kind of negate that a little
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: bit not really a home run could do a ballpark.
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: And he's got some pretty good numbers against against Cleveland
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: one forty three batting average allowed for sixty ops and
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: forty nine at bats, so this is a decent sample,
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: although half of it is Reese Hoskins. Hoskins hasn't been
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: great against them, but these numbers overall are good. Sixteen strikeouts,
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: nine walks. The walks is kind of an issue, but
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: five of them are Hoskins, so a little bit of
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: an outlier there. Maybe Hoskins also hasn't been able to
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: hit him. So I think de Gram should set up
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: well here. And I also like Tanner Biby in this one. Biby,
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think he's all right, and he kind
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: of goes under the radar. He wasn't great last year,
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: and his record is terrible this year, but he's been
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: better this year than last year. Even though his record
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: is worse, it's because he's getting no run support this year.
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: But that's what we want when we're playing an under
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: we want him to continue to not get run support. Here.
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: He's got a three point seven to eighty ra one
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: point one to four whip pretty good. He's better at
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: home slightly three point five to eight. Homie ra threw
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: a six inning shutout last time out against the White Sox.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: That's a decent sign. That's a good offense. Biby has
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: allowed three or fewer earned runs in his last five starts.
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: One of them was against Texas. In Texas, he went
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: eight innings had shut them out, so he pitched well
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: all though strikeout rate was down in that one. But
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: he's been good.
• 18:56
  Speaker 3: He's been pretty unhittable this month.
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: His hit rate is really low, although his strikeout rate
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: is a little bit low too, but his walk rate
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: hasn't been too bad. He's faced a couple of good
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: offenses in there, so he's pitching.
• 19:06
  Speaker 3: Pretty well right now.
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: He's got a low hit rate on the season, his
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: walk rates reasonably low as well. Does allow some home runs,
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: but again I think that could be knocked down a
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: little bit in this stadium. And his strikeout rate is
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: not great on the season, like you'd want to see
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: it a little bit higher than that, but he has
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: good numbers against Texas. They hit one ninety six off
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: in five to eighty nine ops, fifty six at bats,
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: ten strikeouts, four walks. The number of walks is a
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: little high, but other than that, it looks pretty good
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: to grom by the way. I think did face Cleveland
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: in that recent series too, and he went six shutout
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: innings there. So both of these pitchers had shutout performances
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: last time out against these opposing offenses. And yeah, it
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: might mean that the offenses might adjust and do a
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: little bit better, but even if they do, like, I'm
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: not asking both pitchers to pitch an absolute shutout here,
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: although it would be helpful. I'm just asking him to
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: be good here. And I don't think it's gonna help
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: the offenses that much because these guys are veteran pitchers, like,
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: these offenses have seen these guys before, you know what
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: I mean. So having one extra game against them recently
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: is not gonna help the offenses that much. So we're
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: gonna go under in this one. The money's backing the over,
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: I don't really get it. Fifty three percent of tickets,
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: ninety three percent of the cash on the over doesn't
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: really make sense to me. The total is low. It's
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: low for a reason. Good pitching here, I think, and
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: weak hitting as well. Seventy percent of tickets ninety percent
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Texas. For what that's worth, Texas
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: is laying minus one to twenty. But I think you're
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: paying a little bit too much of a price for
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: that for Jacob de Grom, Like that's.
• 20:41
  Speaker 3: You know, you're paying for a name pitcher, right, so.
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: You know, maybe Biby's being a little bit overlooked in
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: the market there.
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: I don't have a good read on the side really though.
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: Like I said, when if I'm leaning under, you know,
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: sometimes it does make sense that maybe you want to
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: look towards the underdog as well. If it's gonna be
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: a low scoring game, the underdog be able to hang around.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: But I think under is the right way to play
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: that game. The next game up is you know what
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: it is. I mean, it looks way too easy. It's
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: Detroit and the Yankees on TBS and Amazon Prime. This
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: is one of the most elite pitching matchups you're gonna
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: get all season. But I think we're getting a fine
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: number on this We're going under in this one. I
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: know it seems too obvious, but that's what I'm gonna do.
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: It's under seven and a half at minus one seventeen.
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: I thought that was a pretty reasonable price here for
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: a pitching matchup between two cy young contenders here. I mean,
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: I was expecting this number to be seven and a
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: half or maybe even lower. But I think because it's
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: the Yankees at home and they have a powerful offense,
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: I think maybe that's what's doing this year. But this
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: Yankees offense has not.
• 21:47
  Speaker 3: Been good over the last like two weeks. Basically, this
• 21:50
  Speaker 3: has been an offense. It's been struggling a bit.
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: Granted, a lot of those games are on the road,
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: and a lot of them were against the Red Sox,
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: and the Red Sox pitch well, but hello, Yankees are
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: also facing an elite pitcher here, so we have an
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: elite pitching matchup here. Like I said, so, I think
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: under makes sense to me here. I know we're gonna
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: keep the bullpens in again. I think the pitchers can
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: kind of get you through more than five innings here two,
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: so I think that's gonna take the load off the
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: bullpen's a bit, but we have at least one good
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: bullpen here, and I think the other one is good enough.
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: Detroit they won yesterday against the Yankees. It was a
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: bad spot for the Yankees, were turning home from the
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: road and coming off that weekend series against the Yankees
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: and ex against the Red Sox and playing the night game.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Not a good spot. So I did lean towards Detroit
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: a little bit. But I also liked the under in
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: yesterday's game, and it didn't happen. It was Miz against Weathers.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: Miz pitched well, Weather's not so much. But we don't
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: have to deal with a pitching matchup like that here.
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: This is a pitching matchup where it's highly likely you're
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: gonna get good starts out of both guys. Here. Detroit
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: only these two relief pitchers yesterday, so they're the more
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: Worriousome bullpen, and they're pretty rested here because the game
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: was well in hand, so they didn't really have to
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: use any of their better relievers. Yankees, you know, they
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: did use five relief pitchers, they didn't really use their
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: better relievers. Although they're closer who I think Bednar, I'm
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: pretty sure he's their closer. He's on paternity leave right now,
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: so I don't know if he's coming back for this
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: game or not. Hopefully he is, although I know I
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: like to fade the baby because I think the baby,
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: the new baby, is a distraction. So I'm actually kind
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: of okay with him not pitching here. Maybe the Yankees
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: will just be winning the game and they won't have
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: to use them anyway. But I also kind of liked
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: that both of these games were playing the under They
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: both went over yesterday. Yankees. By the way, I've lost
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: five games in a row, But as far as the
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: side is concerned, they just return home from the row.
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: And you know, I talk about it when a team
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: does poorly in the return home spot, a lot of
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: times they will bounce back and play better in the
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: next game. But obviously I'm not looking at the side here,
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: I'm looking at the total. Yeah. I don't know what
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: else to say about what I was Well, I don't
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: even know what I was about to say. Oh yeah,
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: I like the fact that the game hit ten runs
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: yesterday because I think that might give us a little
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: bit of value on this number. Two. I think the
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers maybe have to skew the number a little bit
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: on the total in both of these games we're talking
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: about here. Because we had overs hit in both games yesterday,
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: maybe it gives us a little bit more value on
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: the under. But I mean, obviously you could see what
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup is here, but looking at the
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: the offenses here or excusely the bullpens, the Yankees are
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: ranked fifth and they have the second best bullpen in
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: RA right now. They're good. I don't think they're quite
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: that good, but they're a pretty good bullpen. Detroit is
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: not bad at sixteenth. Their bullpen e ARRA is at
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: least below four so and the rest did is so
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: and their better relievers are available here. Yankees are number
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: three in offense and they're better at home, but like
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: I said, they've not been hitting well recently and they're
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: going up and gets a really good pitcher here. Detroit
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: hasn't been good on offense. Their number twentieth, although I
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: know Yankee Stadium does tend to be more.
• 24:58
  Speaker 3: Hitter friendly ballpark, but again we school ball.
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: Going for Detroit here, three point three two ERA, but
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: his whip is point nine to nine, so that suggested
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: his ERA should be lower than that. Probably we know,
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: I mean we know he's good man. He's also been
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: better on the road this year for whatever reason. Two
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: point five to five roadyra so his home road splits
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: are better for the road games here. He did just
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: pitch against the Yankees, and he gave up four runs
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: and six innings. But he was not that bad. He
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: got unlucky. He gave up three home runs. This was
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: in Detroit. He only gave up four hits. It's just
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: three of them happened to be home runs. He also
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: had nine strikeouts and no walks, went six innings, so
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: he pitched fine in that game. It was just that
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: I think he got a little bit unlucky with where
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: those hits went. His strikeout walk race here this month
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: since coming back from injury twenty one to two, so
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: obviously his command is on point here. So I'm not
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: too concerned about him here, even though he is facing
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: a good offense. We know what you what you get
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: out of school, bowl man. He's got a low hit rate,
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is extremely low, strike gout rate is
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: pretty hig as well. Against the Yankees. Overall, he's got
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: good numbers. One ninety batting average allowed, six to twelve ops,
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: seventy nine at bats, so it's a big sample.
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: Twenty five strikeouts, three walks.
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: You know, Aaron Judge is still out as well, so
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: something to keep in mind there. But yeah, Scooble should
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: do well here. But I think we have the better
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: pitcher on the other side right now. Cam Schlittler is
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Yankees, so again, this looks like a
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: major pitching duel here, so I'm kind of surprised the
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: total isn't lower than it is. One point six two
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: era point ninety two whip from him, so we have
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: two starting pitchers that both have a sub one whip,
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: which is a rarity. Schlittler has actually not been as
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: good at home and the more hitter friendly ballpark here,
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: although he's made more starts on the road so far.
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: But he's got a two point five to six homeira,
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: still not bad at all. He did not face Detroit
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: in that last series, so Detroit has not seen him recently.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: He's got a low hit rate, low walk rate, high
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate, and you know, everything that you want to see.
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: Detroit hasn't really seen him much. They have six hitters
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: who have faced him fifteen at bats, one extra base
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: hit as a home run from outman, four strikeouts, one walk,
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: he's held him to a two hundred average and six
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: point fifty ops. So it's a small sample, but obviously
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: I think Schlitzler can do well against a pretty weak
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: lineup brilliant Detroit here, and they have not really done
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: that well against him in a small sample and haven't
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: seen him for a while. So under is my call
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: in this game. It seems too obvious, but sometimes the
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: obvious is right. I don't like that the money's back
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: in the over in both games that I've talked about
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: so far, fifty percent of tickets on the under, sixty
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over. So I mean,
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: I know, I don't like it when it looks too obvious,
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: but this total is not high. It's it's seven to
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: seven and a half, you know, so you're still getting
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: that key number there. I don't know what else to
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: tell you, man, Like I think it's an under. You know,
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: if you want to go first five with it, you
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: could do that too, but you're probably looking at a
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: three and a half in this one. I mean, for
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: five is probably where you get the least value in
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: a matchup like this with elite starting pitchers because everybody
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: knows that's what they are. So you're probably looking at
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: a total in the first five that's shaded lower, you
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: know what I mean. So I think there might be
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: a little bit more value in playing this full game
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: and hoping the starting pitchers get you like six innings
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: out of each of them, you know what I mean,
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: which is what they both would. Scooble pitch six six
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: innings last time out against the Yankees. Schlitzler can definitely
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: get through six innings here too, so that takes the
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: load off the bullpen a little bit. Money is back
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: in the Yankees as well. They're in the minus one
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: twenties fifty two percent of the tickets and seventy five
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Yankees, so the money
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: is back in the Yankees. I wouldn't disagree. I think
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: the Yankees actually have the better starter here. I know
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: how crazy that sounds. He's a little bit more unfamiliar
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: to them as well. They're in more of a bounce
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: back spot. They have the better offense in their bullpen
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: is slightly better too, So I slightly need the Yankees too,
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: but I like the under Obviously, again, it seems too obvious,
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: but that's what we're doing. Some of these games do
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: seem too obvious today, but it is what it is,
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: all right, New York at Toronto. I looked at this
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: starting pitching matchup and I'm like, this looks like an
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: under two. But then I dug into the matchup and
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: not so much. This is Mets and Toronto, is what
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: I'm talking about. Toronto won the game two to one yesterday.
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: If you played my lean in that game, which was
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: Toronto first five yesterday, you did get the win with that.
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: They're winning two to nothing at that point in the game,
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: and their bullpen held on to the two to one win.
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: Toronto's bullpen is not the better of these two. Though
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: they used three relief pitchers light usage. Mets didn't really
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: use their bullpen heavily either. They only used two guys,
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: so it looks like Manaia probably pitched a lot of
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: the innings yesterday. I'm assuming it was still him yesterday.
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: The Mets are third and bullpen. They've been a good
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: bullpen this year. Toronto's been okay at thirteenth, so we
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: have decent bullpens year. We have some offenses that haven't
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: looked good, So a lot of things that do kind
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: of look towards the under here. Toronto twenty third in offense,
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: Mets twenty ninth out of thirty. So yeah, it looks
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: this game does look like an under for the most part.
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: Nolan McClain pitching for the Mets. I like him. He's good.
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: I think he's better than his four point oh three
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: RA makes him look one point one to two whip
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: indicates his era should probably be in the threes. He's
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: a solid pitcher, dude. He's struggled a little bit, you know,
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: more recently, but I think he's good. You could definitely
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: make the argument that he's the best pitcher in the
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: Mets pitching staff here. He's still really young, so I
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: think he might still have some room for improvement a
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: little bit. He's been better on the road. I don't
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: know if it's just that the pressure is off when
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: he's on the road, but he has a two point
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: eight five ROADYRRA, so that looks good for him here.
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: So again, it is looking better for the under here.
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: McClain did give up six runs last time out against
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: the Cubs, but it was in six innings seven hits.
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: A lot he had nine strikeouts in that game and
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: two walks, so he pitched well in that game. I
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: think he just got a little bit unlucky. He's going
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: one hundred pitches in most of his outings now, so
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: they're really kind of unleashing him here, which maybe he
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: should worry you a little bit once we get later
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: into the season, because he might be a little bit tired.
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: Because these young pitchers that have not completed a full
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: season yet, sometimes we'll tire out before the end of
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: the season. I don't think we're at that point yet, though.
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: I like what we're seeing for the most part out
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: of him. The four prior starts to that last one,
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: McLain allowed two or fewer on runs and all of
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: them though one of them he didn't make it five
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: innings against Atlanta, But he was pitching pretty well with
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: those starts mostly, although his walk numbers were kind of high.
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: But his last two starts he's gotten his walk number
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: back down, so his command is getting better again. He's
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: got a really high strikeout rate here on the season,
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: low hit rate as well, and his walk rate is
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: a little bit high, but his numbers are still overall
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: good and Toronto's never faced him before, so that should
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: be an extra advantage to the young pitcher when the
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: offense hasn't seen him before.
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: So I like how McClean sets up in this one.
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: He looks to me coming back into form, good, good
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: numbers on the road, and I think a good matchup.
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: The problem that I have with the under is actually
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: Kevin Gussman. Goussman, he's better than his RA suggests though
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: four point three six ERA, one point one to nine whip.
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: I think he's better than his RA makes it look.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: He's been better at home three point seven home ERA.
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: So again, it does look like a lot of things
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: looking towards the under here. And again you have two
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: pitchers that have eras in the fours, but they're both
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: better than that. So that's another indicator towards an under here.
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: Why don't I like the under them? Well, Goussman, he
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: has not had a good month. He has a seven
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: point six two ERA this month. Gave up thirteen earned
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: runs over his last eight innings across two starts. One
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: was against the Cubs and that looked like a fluke
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: at the time. I backed him. In his last game
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: against Texas, I think I gave an under in the
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: last game and he was awful. That's a red flag, dude.
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: He was not good against Texas. That wasn't home. I mean,
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: Texas is better on the road, but Goussman's better at
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: home home, so I don't know what that was. Texas
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: is not a good offense generally, so Goussman. He hasn't
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: been good since he had a really good start against
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: the Yankees. That was his only good start this month.
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: Go figure. He's had five starts this month and the
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: only really good one was against the Yankees, which was
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: at home. But still he's in bad form right now,
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: so that really concerns me. His overall numbers is still good.
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: He's got a decent hit rate, pretty low walk rate here,
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: decent strikeout rate as well. The other problem I have, though, is,
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, the Mets have pretty much destroyed him.
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: In thirty eight at bats, the Mets have a three
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: sixty eight average against him, twelve twenty three ops, five strikeouts,
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: fourteen walks, although twelve of them are won Soto, but
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: if you want a player prop here, Juan Soto demolishes him.
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: Some of those are probably from back when Sodo was
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: on the Yankees. He's eight for seventeen Offen with twelve
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: walks and two strikegouts, So if you want hits, less runs, blessar,
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: he might be a way to look. Linn Door also
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: has good numbers off him, so I can't back Goussman here.
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: Man I still lean to the under. I mean, I
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: think that's still the way I would probably play this game,
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: but the money doesn't agree with it. Fifty four percent
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the under, ninety five percent of the
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: cash on the over totals at eight or seven and
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: a half year, so the audsmaker is still telling you
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: they think it's going to be a low scoring game. Here,
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: I think things mostly still line up for an under.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: I would also agree with the Mets here Toronto's minus
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: one twenty Here I think McClain is still kind of
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: the under the radar of these two pitchers because he's
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: a lot less known than Gussman, even though Gousman has
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: a pitch well recently, Toronto's got seventy percent of the
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: tickets on them. Public is avoiding the Mets because the
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: record sucks, but the Mets have sixty nine percent of
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: the cash on them, so the strongest market read in
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: this game actually does look like it's the Mets, also,
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: because I happen to agree with that as well. If
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: you play the Mets here, I think you're getting a
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: team that's kind of in a bounce back spot, probably
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: a team it's a bit undervalued. You get the better starter,
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: I think, and the one who has the better matchup,
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: and you get the better bullpen. So I do agree
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: with the Mets in that game as well. Garrett, what's up?
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. Don't play the under in every game, man, No,
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: I mean there has to be a reasoning behind it.
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: You can't just blindly do that. Even like if you do,
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: you're probably gonna win more than you You're probably gonna
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: win more of those plays than you lose, but it
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: might not be enough to overcome the vague the oddsmakers
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: know what they're doing. Man. Also, I still don't have
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: a voice. My voice is really getting out of control here.
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: Maybe I need to just if there's a way that
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: I can kind of talk more lightly. I don't know,
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: seems like I can't do it, Man Washington at Boston
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: here the Red Sox. They were in a bad spot yesterday. Dude,
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: and they still won. I mentioned I mean, obviously I
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: talk about all these games the Red Sox. Yesterday they
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: were coming off that huge weekend sweep of the Yankees,
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: plus the night game, a dramatic finish in that game.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: Horrible spot for the Red Sox yesterday, but the pitching
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: matchup still favored the Red Sox. So one thing I
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: forgot to mention, by the way, is that Mikolas for Washington,
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: a lot of times they put an opener in front
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: of him. They actually did not do that yesterday, and
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: they let him just go seven innings yesterday. He wasn't
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: particularly good though, he got outpitched by Suarez, so that
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: was the thing. Like the Red Sox had a big
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: matchup edge in the game Yesterday's, the Red Sox were
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: able to get the win anyway in a bad spot.
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: I think this matchup edge is actually less in favor
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: of the Red Sox. I think it probably is still
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: in favor of the Red Sox a bit, but not
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: as much. Red Sox do have the better bullpen. They
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: did use three relief pitchers yesterday, although they had to
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: give Chapman a break yesterday, even though I think it
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: was a save situation. They were up three. Washington only
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: use one guy out of the bullpen yesterday, so they
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: used Mikolas for most of the game to save the
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: rest of their bullpen, so that will help. But Red
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: Sox are the fourth ranked bullpen here. They have the
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: third best ERA right now, I believe, and Washington's bullpen's
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: really bad twenty sixth so Red Sox have the better
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: bullpen here. Washington has the better offense, though Washington's ring
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: fifth tied with the White Sox Red Sox twenty fifth.
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: Red Sox offense has been a little bit better recently,
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: but still not good. They're having to go up against
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: Kate Cavali, who he is not one of the worst
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: pitchers on Washington. He's actually not that bad in my opinion.
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: He's a little bit under the radar. He's gonna four
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: ERA al those whip is not very good one point
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: four to three. I'm not gonna say he's good necessarily,
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: but I don't think he's that bad. He is a
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: little bit worse on the road though, four point four
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: to six road ERA. He was good in his last
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: start though at home against Philadelphia. He held them to
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: two runs in six innings. Pretty good stuff there from him,
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: and he's actually been decent this month. You know, his
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: walk rate's still been a little bit high, hit rate's
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: still been a little bit high, but he's allowed four
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: or fewer earned runs and all of his starts actually
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: going all the way back through the previous month. Actually
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: all season, believe it or not, he's allowed more than
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: three earned runs only twice all season, a little grand
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: in a few of these starts didn't last very long,
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: but his numbers are not as bad as you might think.
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: His hit rate is too high, but that's actually his
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: worst attribute is he's too hitable. He's got a decent
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: walk rate, believe it or not, and his strikeout rate
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: is actually high, so he does have the ability to
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: strike out guys at the major league level, So I
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: don't think he's that bad. He's facing an offense that's
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: still very questionable in the Red Sox here, and the
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: Red Sox have not hit well at home generally this year,
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: though they do seem to be turning it around a
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: little bit. But they also have not faced Cavali before,
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: so the Red Sox might struggle to figure him out
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: early on, because that's how it goes with young pictures
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: that are unfamiliar to the opposing offenses.
• 38:57
  Speaker 3: If the picture is good.
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: And I know I just said, I don't know if
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: he's necessarily good, but I think he might be good
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: enough to qualify for that, you know, unfamiliarity being an
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: advantage for him. The unfamiliarity goes both ways here because
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: Connolly Early is pitching for the Red Sox and pretty
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: sure Washington has never faced him before. He's got a
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: three point five to ninety ray. His whip is a
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: little bit high right now, one point two five. Early
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: hasn't been as good at home, though at Fenway it
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: is a more hitter friendly park four point five to
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: seven homey ra, so he's not in the better of
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: his home road splits here. He was really good in
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: his last two starts, though. One was here at home
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: against the Yankees. He got up for that game. He
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: pitched really well, went six innings, give up two earned runs,
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: won the game. That was during that sweep. Of course,
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: that was the first game of that weekend sweep. Nine
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: strikeouts one walk from Early. There. Over the last two
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: starts he's got sixteen strikeouts and three walks.
• 39:54
  Speaker 3: Pretty solid stuff there.
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: One was on the road against Seattle though, and that's
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: a much more pitcher for on the environment there. Maybe
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: he is in a letdown spot after a huge start
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: against the Yankees. I don't know exactly, but he's also
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: not bad and he's got unfamiliarity here early. He's got
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: a low hit rate. His walk rate is his worst number.
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: His walk rate's too high. He is a little bit
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: home run heavy too, so that's not great. Although he's
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: not really that fly ball heavy, so the home run
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: number is a little bit odd.
• 40:22
  Speaker 3: His strike got rate is pretty.
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: Decent and it's gotten better over his last couple of
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: starts over one per inning on the season, And like
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: I said, Washington's never faced him before, so that is
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: an extra advantage to him there a little bit. I
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: think this game could be an under. Perhaps the money
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: looks like it's packing the over. What else is new
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: totals nine, which is really really high. That doesn't totally
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: make sense to me. Sixty four percent of tickets on
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: the under, seventy eight percent of the cash on the over.
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: Washington does play a lot of over games on they
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: do hit better on the road, so there are some
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: kind of negatives there for the red Sox pitching here,
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: but the Red Sox are getting the money. Though the
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: Red Sox are minus one thirty something here, Odds makers
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: consider them to be the better overall team eighty percent
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: of the tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox here, or at least they consider the
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: Red Sox have the better starting pitcher here. But yeah,
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: I think the Red Sox, as I've been saying, they're
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: not as bad as their record makes them look. And
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: I think Washington might not be as good as the
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: record looks. But I don't have a good feel for
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: this game really, But yes, eighty percent of tickets, eighty
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on the Red Sox. I
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: don't know if I love the Red Sox here really, though,
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: I think if you play Washington or if you play
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: the under though, I think a first five makes more
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: sense because you don't want to deal with Washington's bullpen.
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: So I think under verse five may be the best
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: approach in this game, believe it or not. But it's
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: not a game that I'm touching. Saint Louis and Atlanta.
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: So we have two games that involve teams that were
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: off yesterday or maybe three. I think two and this
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: is one of them. These two teams did not play yesterday.
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: Atlanta is returning home from the Pacific coast, though, and
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: you know I talk about that. When a team is
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: crossing the country and they've been off for a week,
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: it's a negative spot. I know they were bad on
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: the road trip, but the public's instinct is going to be, like,
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: their immediate reaction is going to be, oh, well, Atlanta's
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: a good team. They're back at home. They're gonna bounce
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: back now that they're back at home. I don't see
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: things that way, as you know, if you listen to me,
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: I think the return home spot is bad. And if
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: you're having to readapt to the time zone, you know,
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: to a time zone that's three time zones different, I
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: don't think it's a good spot. I think you have
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: stuff to do back at home and you've been home
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: for a while. Saint Louis is kind of an overlookable team,
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: you know, could be a distracted spot for Atlanta here.
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: Having to travel cross country could hurt them a little
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: bit too. Spot definitely favored Saint Louis here. Saint Louis
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: is starting a road trip, so they're only having to
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: travel one time zone over and they ended a long
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: or not a long losing street, but they had a
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: four game losing street. They ended with their win over
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Miami two days ago. So that's a decent spot for
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis because they ended that negative momentum. Now they
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: get to carry that new momentum out on the road
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: with them. So situation favorites Saint Louis here. Problem is,
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: their pitcher sucks in this game, so I can't pack
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis. You know, even though I all love a
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: situation with bullpen's obviously didn't get used yesterday. I'll you know,
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: I'll love a situation, but still not play it in baseball,
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean, Like, I'll play the situation
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: in most other sports, but not in baseball because the
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: starting pitcher just affects the game too much. Still, bullpen wise, yeah,
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, the Braves are still the best bullpen in baseball,
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: so they do have a bullpen edge here. Saint Louis
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: is twenty first, they have not been great, although I
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: think they're a little bit better than that, but not great.
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: The Braves have really fallen off offensively recently. They're down
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: to fourteenth on offense, and they haven't been as good
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: at home on offense either. That's not great. Saint Louis
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: is right behind them now at fifteenth, even though the
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: Braves do probably still have the better offense here. Matthew
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: Libertore is fishing for Saint Louis, which is why I
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: can't back them here because he sucks five point five
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: six ERA one point five to eight whip. Not something
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: I want to get behind, even worse on the road
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: six road e RA. I can't do it. Man. He's
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: been awful recently. He's allowed four or more runs in
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: his last three outings, failed to make it five innings
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: in two of them. He is not in good form
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: right now at all. Very high hit rate on the season.
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: He's a lot a lot of home runs too. This
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: is not good. His walk rate is slightly high as well,
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: and his strikeout rate is very mediocre. Not a lot
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: to like here from him. His numbers against the Braves
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: are kind of average, really, two fifty batting average alloted
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: seven eighty three ops is a little bit high, thirty
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: two at bats eight three strike out walk ratio, so
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: his numbers are not as bad as you would think.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: Against the Braves, but I don't think he's backable, Like,
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: I don't really think he's gonna do that well. Braves
• 45:04
  Speaker 2: are trash. I don't trust you on that, no way, Libratrea.
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: His numbers suggest that he's not gonna do well here,
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: even though his matchup numbers are not that bad, but
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: all the rest of his numbers horrible form right now,
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: horrible on the road. I don't like that at all, Martine.
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: Perez is pitching for the Braves. He has starting to
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: regress a little bit, and he's been pitching well though
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: for the most part for the Braves. Had a bad
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: start last time out. Though he's got a three ERA
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: one point one to three whip pretty good here, especially
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: for a thirty five year old journeyman pitcher that just
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: throws junk. You know what, I've been to Jansen junk.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: By the way, is he ever coming back? Perez has
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: been good at home one point six to four homie,
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: so he's in the better of his home road splits
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: here wasn't good last time out. Like I said, it
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: is a red flag because that was on the road
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: against San Diego. Very bad offense, very pitcher from the
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: environment and he had one of his worst starts of
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: the season, only made it four innings, was extremely inefficient
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: with his pitches, walked four guys that's not good stuff,
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: gave up three earned runs. But he was pitching well
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: before that, so you could make the argument that it's
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: a little bit fluky. He's not going too deep into
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: most of his outings, but he is keeping his team
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: in every game. He's allowed four or fewer earned runs
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: in every start this season. Low hit rate, so even
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: though he's a guy that pitches to contact, he's not
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: giving up hits, which is kind of crazy as walk
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: rate is reasonable enough. His strikeout rate is low though.
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: He also has not been fly ball heavy, which is good.
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: When you pitch to contact, you want more guys to
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: hit the balls into the ground, you know what I mean.
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: Keeping the ball in the infield will help, especially if
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: you have good fielding infielders. So overall, not bad for Perez,
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: and he's facing a Saint Louis lineup that I don't
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: think is that good. They also have not hit Perez
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: that well. They have six hitters who faced him twenty
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: one at bats. They have z Eero extra RaSE hits
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: against him two thirty eight average, five p forty two ops,
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: one strikeout, two walks, and it's a very low strikeout
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: rate there. But the rest of the numbers look pretty good.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: So I think the Braves do have a matchup advantage here.
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: I don't think I could back them in the return
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: home spot. I mean, it's a bad situational spot. So
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: the situation favors Saint Louis, but the matchup favors Atlanta.
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: Like I think Atlanta has the better pitching across the
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: board here, Atlanta's around minus one fifty here.
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: You're paying a price for sure for Atlanta here. I
• 47:31
  Speaker 3: don't know if it's completely warranted.
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: Especially in a bad spot which the oddsmakers don't really
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: take into account the spot like that, you know what
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, They're mostly taking into account the matchup. So
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: maybe I should focus on situations a little bit more
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: because you can find an edge there. But the matchup
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: still matters though many something something tells me the Braves
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: are probably gonna win this game, even though I know
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: how bad the situation is, that the matchup just is.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: It's too much in favor of the Braves for me here.
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: Man again, maybe not enough to warrant that price, but
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: I don't really see the Braves actually losing the game.
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: I guess it wouldn't shock me if they did, because
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: the situation's bad. But there's not a lot to like
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: about how Saint Louis matches up here. The money's also
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: backing the over. The totals at nine to nine and
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: a half. I'm not sure about the over man. I mean,
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: this game looks a little bit more underconducive to me, Like,
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, you have at least one
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: really good bullpen here. You could cut out the bullpens too,
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: just to avoid Saint Louis's bullpen. Libra Tore at least
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: doesn't have horrible matchup numbers here, and Perez has pretty
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: good ones. So I don't know. Next game up is
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati and the Brewers, as I can't get back to
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: my window here.
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: Brewers won the game yesterday five to three.
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: I think they won against Cincinnati's bullpen, though I think
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati was winning the game early yesterday and their bullpen
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: blew it, which is you know, since Cincinnati's bullpen blowing
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: games is expected, you're a bravest fan, but that makes
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: you biased, so I do not trust people who are
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: fans of a specific team to comment on that particular
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: team because their bias gets in the way of what
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: they think. I try to throw my bias out with
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: Boston teams man, and hopefully I do a good job
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: with it, but I don't know. It's hard to do it.
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: Although my bias tends to always be negative because I'm
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: a pessimist. Let me see here, what am I talking?
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, Cincinnati Milwaukee. Cincinnati's bullpen is ass They use
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: three guys out of the bullpen. They blew the game yesterday.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's bullpen is pretty good. They use three guys. They've
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: used me Gil three of the last four days, so
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: he's their closer. He's probably not available today, so the
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: Brewers are gonna need to have the lead earlier in
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: the game so they don't have to use them. Brewers
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: are fourteenth the bullpen, pretty good. Cincinnati not good at
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: twenty eighth, although they're not one of the bullpens that
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: has a five plus ERA, but they're pretty close. Milwaukee
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: number ten in offense, Cincinnati twenty third. So Cincinnati has
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: not been good offensively recently. Cincinnati is going with Rhett Louder,
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: who is not that good. Four point eight one ERA,
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: one point four to seven whip not good. He's way
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: worse on the road, which doesn't make sense to me
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: because Cincinnati is a hitter friendly ballpark. But six Roady Ray,
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: that's not good Louder. I mean, he's been pretty Medio
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: Grover's recent outings here not awful, but not going that
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: deep into these games. He's kept his team kind of
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: in the games, but he's not very good. His hit
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: rate is low, so at least there's that, But his
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: walk rate is way too high. He's walking one guy
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: every two winnings. He can't do that. His strike got
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: rad is pretty low as well, not a lot to
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: like really. Here, Milwaukee does hit him okay to seventy
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: three average, eight fifty three ops, thirty three at bats,
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: nine to five strike out walk ratio. I can't trust Louder. Here,
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: Brandon Sprout is pitching for the Brewers. Here.
• 51:08
  Speaker 3: Sproute has actually been somewhat okay recently.
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: Dude. He's a guy that does have some talent, and
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: maybe it's starting to show a little bit. I think
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: he's a guy who's better than his numbers suggests. He's
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: got a five point four to three ERA one point
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: three to five whip, which I know doesn't look good.
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: He's also not good at home six point seventy five
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: home ERA, so there are definitely some things that do
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: look like this game could be an over. He was
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: awesome last time out in Cincinnati, though. He went six
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: innings and shut them out, gave up one hit, ten strikeouts,
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: no walks. That was one of his best outings of
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: his career, and he only threw eighty pitches, so he
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: was pretty efficient as well in that game. That's a
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: good sign that maybe he is starting to pitch a
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: little bit better here now. He's actually been pretty good
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: in two of his last three outings, and the other
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: one was at the A Stadium, and he actually didn't
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: embarrass himself at Colorado either, so he pitched in two
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: hit or friendly environments that pitch well. So he is
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: actually pitching a little bit better here. Although he wasn't
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: good at home against Cleveland, which I guess is not
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: a good sign. That was his one home game this
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: month against a week offense. He didn't pitch well there.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: He's got a pretty decent hit rate here. His walk
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: rate is his one issue. His walk rate is way
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: too high. His strikeout rate is too high as well,
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: or not, his strike out rate is high as well
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: as what I mean to say, So that's good obviously.
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: So Sprote does have the ability to strike guys out
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: of the major league level, which is good. Shows you
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: that it does. He does have talent, and he's got
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: good numbers against the Reds. I know most of it
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: was that one game, but it's twenty eight at bats
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: they've all faced him before. Fourteen strikeouts, three walks, only
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: one extra base hit, which is a double from Da
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: La Cruz, who is back from being injured. But they
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: have a one oh seven average and three thirty six
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: ops against him, so he's dominated them in that short
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: sample size. So though granted he might do worse here,
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: I mean it's hard for him to do better than
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: what he did last time out. He might do a
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: little bit worse here because they just saw him, but
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: I think he actually should pitch well here. So I
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: think the Brewers do have the advantage in this game. Probably,
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: That's the way I'd be looking here. I don't really
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: want to do it, and you're laying a lot, man,
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: you're laying minus one seventy something here with Sproute on
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: the mound. I mean, I don't know, and they're public
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of the tickets ninety two percent of
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: the cash on Milwaukee.
• 53:31
  Speaker 3: It's questionable. I mean, that price is pretty questionable.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: But I think Milwaukee does have the advantage pretty much
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: throughout this game, starting pitching, bullpen, and offense, so there
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: is somewhat of a reason why they're favored like that.
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati is just not considered to be a good team.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: The money is also back in the over fifty two
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the over and eighty nine percent
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over. I could see it,
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: but I don't really know if I want to fade
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: Sprout right now, I mean, I think you could go
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee over there team total if you want to just
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: take Sproke kind of out of the equation there, maybe
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee will score and just get over their own team
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: total here, Like you'll probably need them to score about five,
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: which is kind of reasonable there. So that is definitely
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: an approach. And with that one, you get to you
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: get Cincinnati's bullpen to get you know, shelled up, so
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: that help that helps you out if you go Milwaukee
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: over team total. It makes sense. Full game over does
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: make some sense. I mean, I don't totally disagree with that,
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: but I don't know, man, I think Milwaukee might however
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: they do it, I think I think they probably are
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: gonna win that game. Though you wouldn't lay the minus
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: one fifty you like what? Yeah, I mean I said
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: that too, Like I think the price is yeah, probably
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: too high. But I don't know, man, Yeah, I'm just
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: saying that. I think bias gets in the way sometimes too.
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay and Kansas City wherever za Right now, Kansas
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: City just played Tampa Bay on the road in a
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: four game series and they split that series two and two,
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: with Tampa Bay winning the last two of those. So
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: maybe Kansas City is in a little bit of a
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: revenge spot here after that. But they're returning over from
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: a road trip, and you know, I don't like that.
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: Even though they finished the road trip in Chicago at
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: the White Sox, so that last travel leg is not
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: very long for them. But still it's a return home spot,
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: you know. I always talk about it when a team
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: returns home from the road. They got to get back
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: to home life. It could be a distraction They might
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: not overlook Tampa though, because Tampa's got one of the
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: best round I think they have the best record in
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: the American League because they overtook the Yankees again thanks
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: to the Red Sox or thanks to the Yankees sucking
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: in that series. If that's the way you want to
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: look at it, maybe that is the better way to
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: look at it, because the Red Sox are not very good.
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: But yeah, whatever. It's a bad spot for Kansas City though,
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: in the return home spot. But they may not fully
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: overlook Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is all so not good
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: on the road. As good as their record is. Tampa
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: Bay's been awesome at home and they've been awful on
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: the road. Seventeen to twenty one on the road. That
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: is not good. Kansas City is below five hundred at home, though,
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: but they're below five hundred everywhere. Tampa Bay is on
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: a five game win streak right now. They just swept Arizona.
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: They had yesterday off, They're starting a road trip. A
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: lot of times you were focused to start the road trip,
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: you know. But again, Kansas City might be focused just
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: because they did lose the last two to Tampa Bay
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: not long ago and Tampa Bay does have a good record,
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: so keeping all of that in mind, the situation does
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: still favor Tampa Bay a little bit, though the pitching
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: matchup I think probably actually does favorite Kansas City, though
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: not the bullpen though Kansas City is dead last and bullpen.
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: I think their bullpend is probably better than Minnesota's, but
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: they are a bad bullpen, really really bad, one of
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: the worst two, I would say, and Tampa Bay's bullpen
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: is actually not that good. Although they're ranked eleventh, their
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: ERA is in the mid fourth, so I do not
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: consider them to be that good. Kind of a mediocre
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: ish bullpen. Tampa Bay eleventh in offense, Kansas City twenty first,
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: So Kansas City not that good offensively, although they're better
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: at home, especially because they move the walls in this
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: year at Koupman Stadium, and we do have a high
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: total in this game. Griffin Jacks has pitching for Tampa Bay.
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: He's kind of a converted reliever, but they've been letting
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: him go like a starter's workload. You do have to
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: be aware that they might put an opener in front
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: of him, but I think they've just been letting him
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: start recently, though he's made eleven starts, so it is
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: probably likely he is going to start again, but just
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: to be aware, they might put an opener in front
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: of him. Jacks has a good ERA three point three
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: to three, but his whip is not that good one
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: point three to one. He is a little bit better
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: on the road two point nine to six, roady ra
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: He's mostly pitched well his last four starts. He's only
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: allowed two runs total, and he's pitched three to five
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: inning shutouts over that span. So they're pretty much having
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: him go exactly five innings every outing and then taking
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: him out, including last start against Kansas City where he
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: allowed two unearned runs in that game, so my mistake there.
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: But he went five innings, allowed no earn runs against
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: Kansas City last time out, seven strikeouts, two walks. That
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: was at home, but he is better on the road.
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: Do I think he'll do that well again? Probably not.
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: But he bitched well against Kansas City the last time.
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: But again, Kansas City does hit better at home, so
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: they might hit him better here. But Jackson has actually
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: been pretty good this month. Twenty six to five strike
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio on twenty four innings.
• 58:37
  Speaker 3: That's pretty good command there. Overall, He's got.
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: A pretty low hit rate, although a lot of this
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: was pitching as a relief pitcher early in the season.
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: His walk rate is too high, and his strike out
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: rate is actually pretty decent, So I don't know. I mean,
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: he's not awful, He's at least serviceable. His numbers against
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: Kansas City, they actually don't hit him well. They have
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: a one ninety four average against him, five twenty eight ohps,
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: sixty two at bats, fifteen to eight strikeout walk ratio,
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: but five of the walks are wit Junior or so
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: Ki's City really hasn't hasn't hit him well, and that
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: includes that last outing from him, but it includes more
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: than just that. So maybe Jax does line up okay here,
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: Kiss City's going with Noah Cameron. You know, I do
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: think Noah Cameron's pretty good. All those numbers are not
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: great here four point five ERA and one point three
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: to three WHIP. He was not good at the beginning
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: of the season this year. He was good last year though.
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: I think he's a decent pitcher. He's not been as
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: good at home this year though, four point six to
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: one ERA, so moving the walls and probably hurt him
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: a little bit. He was not as good in his
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: last start at Tampa. He allowed five runs in five innings,
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: eight hits, three walks, so he put a lot of
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: guys on base there.
• 59:49
  Speaker 3: That was not a good outing from him. Five strikeouts here.
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: He was pitching pretty well for a few starts prior
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: to that, but his last three starts have all kind
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: of been questionable, so he is kind of falling out
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: form again here, it looks like, which makes me not
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: really want to back him. Although his numbers overall this
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: month twenty seven to five strike out walk ratio, that
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: is pretty good. His overall numbers, his hit rate is
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: too high, his walk rate's not actually that bad, and
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: his strikeout rate is okay, but he's allowed too many hits.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: He is fly ball heavy too, but he hasn't allowed
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: that many home runs, so somehow that hasn't translated into
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: him allowing a lot of home runs. So that's at
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: least good for him. Against Tampa Bay, he does actually
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: have good numbers, even though he wasn't good last time out.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: Thirty four at bats to thirty five average, allowed six
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: to fifty seven ohps, seven to five strike up walk ratio,
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: So Cameron does match up Okay, here, I think this
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: game looks like a first five under. Dude, you know,
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: full game. Obviously, I would not do that because these pitchers,
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, the bullpens are awful. The money's back in
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: the over. What else is new? Sixty four percent of
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: tickets on the under, seventy two percent of the cash
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: on the over. Nine and a half or ten is
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: the total in the game. I think first five could
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: go under, though I think both pictures might be a
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: little bit under the radar. They both have have pretty
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: good matchup numbers here, so first five under I think
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: makes some sense to me. There you're getting a decent
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: number on it. Most likely it's probably like five and
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: a half, so seventy per ticket, sixty five percent of
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: the cash on Tampa Bay. So Tampa Bay is a
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: very public side. Even though I did say Kansas City
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: is in a bad spot. They're returning home from the road,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: so I don't really want to back Kansas City. I
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: don't like Cameron's current form either, but the money seems
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: to be backing Kansas City. Here has kind of an
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: undervalued commodity here at home. Part of it is probably
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: that Tampa Bay does struggle on the road, Cameron. You
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: could make the argument he is better than Jack's but
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: I mean he's the younger pitcher with more upsides. So
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay laying minus one twenty on the road. I
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: think the argument is there's some value on Kansas City
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: as a home underdog. If you're gonna play Kansas City,
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: you gotta do it for five. Though I still don't
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: want to do it in a return home spot and whatever.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: You know, all the things that I mentioned, But if
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: you do play Kansas City, make it a first five play.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: You do not want to have that bullpen in your pocket,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: you know. I mean, that could blow the game for you.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna be right back. I'll talk about the
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: rest of these games. I think I have two more
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: baseball plays here somewhere. Yeah, I think I remember what
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: they are. I better, and then I'm gonna give it.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: I'm going to give out a play in the w
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: n B ah so I'm gonna have a Cup play.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: But it's the w NBA Cup, not the World Cup,
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: World Cup. I almost put one of the games today
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: on my card. It's close, which I'll talk about as well.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: But I'll be right back. Yep. Inside I want to
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: kill myself. We were on and Own seven run over
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: the last two days after tonight. It was just complete bullshit.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five. I don't even know what to
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: tell you about that. I just don't want to do
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: this anymore. I have never seen anything like this. Man
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: day at all. Own four that have not had a
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: good season. Man with bookends the slump that I'm on,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: and the slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I don't
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: March ninth, I think who even knows?
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 3: Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: Back with you as I always am.
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 3: Until I die at least oh and two. Yes and
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 3: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: even tell you about this anymore. To the slump sum discontinuous.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: even know what I should do at this point other
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: than potentially ended. All yes, all right, the rest of
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: these games here, San Diego and the Cubs. I think
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: his next Oh I have six games?
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 3: I thought I had five left.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: My mistake. Oh whatever, all right, the Cubs? What was
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: about the hour mark? Cubs won the game three to
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: two yesterday. You know, Griffin Canning pitched again in that game.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: He actually he wasn't good, even though he didn't give
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: up that many runs. He didn't last very long this game. Yeah,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't like the pitching in this game.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: And this game looks the oddsmakers are telling you this
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: wind blowing out in Wrigley here too. Cubs used three
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers. Yesterday San Diego used a lot. They used five,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: including Mason Miller, but he only threw seven pitches and
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: he hadn't pitched in days, so Miller is probably available
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: again here San Diego. I still think they're the second
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: best bullpenal. They're ranked a little bit behind a couple
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: of other teams. Here Red Sox Yankees. San Diego's ranked
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: seventh in WHIP. I think fifth maybe in e RA
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: right now or fourth, but I think they're the second
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: best bullpen behind the Braves. Who are I forget what
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: other team were even talking. Oh the Cubs. Yeah, the
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: Cubs are an okay bullpen, They're tenth, but San Diego
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: is the better bullpen. Offensively, the Cubs are obviously the
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: better team. They're tied in seventh with the A's. San
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: Diego's dead last thirtieth. Not good.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 3: JP Sears is getting the start for San Diego.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: He can back.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 3: Made his first start with San Diego last time out.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: He was okay against Atlanta, so that's a decent sign,
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: even though that was at home san Diego, very pitcher friendly.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: Atlanta struggling on offense recently, but Sears was good in
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: that game against a pretty good offense. Went five to
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: two thirds, allowed two runs on five hits, five strikeouts,
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: two walks, so that gives him a three point one
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: eighty r a one point two to four WHIP. That's
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: not bad. So you know, him being on San Diego
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: might help him out because I think he was on
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: the A's, so going for pitching in the A's stadium,
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: pitching in San Diego Stadium, that should help him. However,
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: he's not gonna be in San Diego here. He's having
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: to pitch in Wrigley in a wind blowing out environment,
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: and that might not be good. If you look at
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: his overall numbers, you want to see like how fly
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: ball heavy he is, right, So you look at his
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: numbers last year. Yeah, he was an extreme fly ball pitcher.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: He gave up a ton of home runs last year,
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: so that is not good. I know some of it
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: was in the ace team. Oh.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 3: Actually, he did pitch with San Diego at the end
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 3: of the year last year.
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: My mistake.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 3: He made four starts with them last year and he.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: Was mediocre, So my mistake or maybe five starts with them,
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: whatever it was, Sears. There are some things to worry
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: about here, man, because Sears is kind of a home
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: run conducive pitcher and he's pitching any very home run
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: conducive environment today. Cubs have two guys who have faced him,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: Bregman and Kelly, and they've definitely knocked him around. In
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: twenty two at bats four h nine average, twelve ninety
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: eight ohps one strikeout three walks, most of the damage
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: from Bregman twenty of the at bats, but Kelly is
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: two for two often too, so Sears doesn't look like
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: he matches up well here, even though the Cubs have
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: a lot of guys that haven't faced him before. But
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: this is definitely not a good environment for Sears here
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: in my opinion. He's two fly ball heavy. As you
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: can see. The really high total today means the wind
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: is blowing out in Wrigley again. The Cubs are going
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: with Matthew Boyd, who came back from injury last time out.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: I know what to think about Boyd man because he
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: pitched really well the last couple of seasons, and it
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: seemed like it came from out of nowhere. Even though
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: he's in his he was like in his mid thirties.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: Usually you don't see that happen, like a guy that's
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: been mediocre throughout their career and then all of a sudden,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: they're really good. This year, though Boyd has not been
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: very good five point zero two ERA one point three
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: to six whip Now, I know he didn't pitch that
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: long before he got he before he got hurt earlier
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: in the season, he's been slightly better at home four
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: point nine to five.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 3: Homie Ra not much better though. Yeah, he's only made
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 3: like six.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: Starts this season, but he wasn't even good when he
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: came back. It looks like he was good because he
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: went four and two thirds scoreless innings against the Mets,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: but he gave up four hits, four walks in four
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: and two thirds innings, and four strikeouts. He obviously got
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: really lucky they didn't. He did not give up any
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: runs there. You can't put eight guys on base in
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: four and two thirds innings, man, So that does not
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: impress me against a Mets lineup that isn't really that good.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: I'm not really wanted to back Boyd here. He did
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: pitch well in his last start before he got injured,
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: but he wasn't very good at all prior to that.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: He does have a high strikeout rate, I'll give him that.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: His hit rate is two hyghes walk rate is too high, though,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: So even though the strikeouts are good, he's got to
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: fix some things right now, and it might not happen
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: to get San Diego. Even though they're not a good offense,
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, they hit him Okay, and we're
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: talking about again a high total Wrigley game here, two
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: ninety four batting average allowed seven to seventy six ops
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: not great, eighty five at bats so San Diego has
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: been able to hit him sixteen to six strikeout walk ratium.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: So I think this game does look like an over.
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: I know you're gonna have to go over a huge
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: total here, and the game went way under yesterday. Yesterday
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: was also a wind blowing out Wrigley game was another
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: game with like an eleven total yesterday and the game
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: landed five. And I know we're talking about one really
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: weak offense here, but I think they might be able
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: to put some runs up here. San Diego's offensive numbers
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: also get kind of you know, they all get kind
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: of taken down by the stadium that they pitch into,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: even though they haven't been good. But still, yeah, the
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: totals at eleven here, money is all over the over though,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: fifty seven percent of tickets on the under, seventy eight
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over. Again, I agree,
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: I lean over here. The money's back at San Diego,
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: which seems insane to me. Total or ex the money
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: line is like minus one fifty something on the Cubs
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: here minus one fifty seven, seventy three percent of the
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: tickets on them, ninety percent of the cash on San Diego.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 3: I don't really fully understand why.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, Sears doesn't seem very backable to me here,
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: So not really sure what's going on with that, other
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: than maybe it's just a value play. Oh, the Cubs
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: are just favored by too much. BOYD is getting overrated
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: in the market. Maybe maybe that's it, but I think
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: the over is the way to look at that game.
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: You need a lot of runs, but that's the way
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: I would lean there. Both teams that they can contribute
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: in that one. Okay, next game up, we're going to
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: give out a play and it's another one that seems
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: way too obvious, but maybe the obvious way to do
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: this for maybe the you know, the veterans who are
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: not well versed, and this is to play the full game,
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: because the price is way better on the full game
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: on this on Minnesota, but there's a reason for that.
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: Minnesota's bullpen is an absolute disaster. So I'm gonna take
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: Minnesota first five here on the money line, I know
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: you have to pay minus one thirty five for this.
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: I found that at I forget which book I might
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: have be in the m Lion book, I forget which one.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: I think you can find a price that's similar to
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: that out there. Obviously, if you want Minnesota full game,
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: you're gonna pay much less of a price for that
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: because their bullpen sucks. They're minus one fifteen on the
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: full game basically, So if you want to do that
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: and get the price down and try to dodge their bullpen,
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: you could do that. They're playing Houston. Houston's bullpen's not
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: good now. Houston is in a bounce back spot technically
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: because they return home from the road and they lost
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: yesterday five to four. So a lot of times the
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: team will bounce back in a spot like that.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 3: But you know, it's a situation that does work.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: But this pitching matchup looks like it is just completely
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: one way to me, Like it looks like a huge
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: starting pitching advantage from Minnesota. Hear, So I'm not gonna
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: put much weight into that into the situation. I mean,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: as far as the bullpen's, like I said, we're excluding Minnesota,
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: they're second to last and bullpen whip, but their era
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: is five point five come on man, this is a
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: horrific bullpen, so yeah, we're not gonna play their bullpen.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: Houston's bullpen hasn't been good. They're at twentieth, but they've
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: been better over the past few weeks, so Houston is
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: getting better in their bullpen, so they do have a
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: bullpen advantage here. Both offenses have been alright, Minnesota's ninth.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: Houston has dropped off a little bit to twelve, tied
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: with the Giants. Although you know what I think about
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: the Giants offense, I think they're actually not good. But
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: we're gonna back O'Ryan here. Man, he's clearly the better
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: pitcher here, Joe Ryan. He's the twins Ace three point
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: one eighty RRA, one point zero three whip. That's good.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: He's actually slightly better on the road three point one
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: five ROADRA, but very similar home road numbers.
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 3: He's pitched really well this month.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: He's got a thirty eight to five strikeout walk ratio
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: in twenty nine innings this month.
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 3: He's been slightly too hit able thirty one hits allowed.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: Some of that came in that last outing against the Dodgers,
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: but he still had nine strikeouts in one walk in
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: that game at six innings against the best offense in baseball,
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: so that still was not a bad outing from him.
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: Joe Ryan's I mean, he's been good all season. I mean,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: what else do you want? Right? He gave up five
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: runs in one early season outing against Kansas City. He's
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: allowed four or fewer in every other start. Besides that,
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: he's got a low hit rate on the season, so
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: I'm not too worried that his hit rate's gone up
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: a little bit recently, and again some of it was
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: that Dodger game low. He's got a low walk rate,
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: high strike up rate. A lot to like here with
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: Joe Ryan. He's got a high fly ball rate, I know,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: but he doesn't really allow that many home runs, so
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: it doesn't really translate into the home runs. And he
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: does really well against the Astros. He has one hundred
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: and thirteen at bats against him. This is a situation
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: where we have a huge sample size but also dominant numbers.
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: One seventy seven batting average allowed, five ninety ops forty
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: three to six strike out walk ratio. Is that good? Uh? Yeah?
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: So Houston has seen a ton of Joe Ryan and
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: they have not hit him well at all. So he's
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: got some really really good numbers against Houston. We're gonna
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: back that and we're gonna fade Mike Burrows, who is
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: not good, uh pitching for Houston here. Five point four
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: to eighty RA, one point five whip. That is not good.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: He's been atrocious at home seven point zero five home ras.
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: His home run rate goes way up at home. His
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: opponent batting average three to eleven at home. He's all
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: mixed up. He doesn't know what to do next thing.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: You turn around and the ball is flying out of
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: the yard, even though it doesn't rhyme whatever. I gotta
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: find a way to rhyme that. But yeah, he sucks
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: at home. His home road splits are very much against
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: him at home here. Borrows was good last time out
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: against Toronto. I'll give him that, but Toronto not a
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: good offense. That was on the road where Burrows is better.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna put much weight into that outing because
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: he sucked in his recent outings before that one, and
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: they gave him like a bullpen outing against Cleveland. I
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: don't know if they think that's gonna fix him or what.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: I don't think it will. I know he pitched well
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: in that one start after that, but I think it
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 2: is kind of an outlier. He's not good. He's given
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: up a high hit rate here. He's got a high
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: walk rate pretty much too. His home run rate is
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: really high too, and his strikeout rate is low. There's
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: not a lot to like here at all. I think
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: we have a huge starting pitching edge with the Twins here.
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: Borrows also has not been good against the Twins, and
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: twenty seven at bats they basically all faced him before
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: three point thirty three average, twelve to fifteen ops, four
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: to five, strikeout walk ratio. None of that is good
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: at all. We'll take the Twins in the first five here,
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: and I know, yeah, it's a little bit juicy, it
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: has to be with a matchup like this, but I
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: think they have the matchup edge. The money is agreeing
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: with me on this. Finally we get agreement. Fifty percent
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: of tickets eighty four percent of the cash on Minnesota. Yes,
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: that's on the full game, and they are shorter price
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: in the full game minus one twelve or so if
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 2: you want to do that, and you know, if you
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: hope that Joe Ryan goes deeper than the first five, whatever,
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: and maybe that will happen, right Like, Burrows could be
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: awful enough that Houston has to go to their bullpen
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: early and that will kind of negate the bullpens a
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: little bit. But I'm not going to back Minnesota's bullpen,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: so I'll pay the extra juice to just focus on
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: where I think we have the biggest edge, which is
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: in the.
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 3: First five there. So that's a play for me, all right.
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: Miami and Colorado, God, this game went way over the
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: total yesterday, ten to seven win for Miami yesterday. Not
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: good pitching going on there. I think ol Contra, I
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: guess wasn't very good in that game. I don't know.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: I don't know what happened there. Miami used three relief
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: pitchers in that game. Their bullpen is way better than Colorado's, though,
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: which is probably part of the reason they won. Colorado
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: used three relief pitchers. Miami is number two in bullpen.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're quite that good, but they're a
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: pretty good bullpen. Colorado is not good at twenty seventh,
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: and they're one of the four bullpen's with a five
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 2: plus ERA, along with Washington, Minnesota and Kansas City. Of course, offensively,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: Colorado has been good. Recently, they're number four against They've
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: been able to hit pretty well recently. They're the better
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: offense here. Miami's ranked sixteenth, tied with the Angels. Juri
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: Perez though pitching from Miami. I like Perez. I think
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: he's good. He's got a four point four to one ERA,
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: but his whip is pretty good. We're not too bad
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: one point two two, which I think means his THERA
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: should be a little bit better than it is. He's
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: still young, he's got a really really crazy wind up,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: and he's really tall, and he does strike a lot
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: of guys out usually, But there are some concerns here.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: I mean he's pitching a course field. He's bad on
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: the road, six point h four Rodio, right, so that's
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: not a good sign. He came back from injury last
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: time out, so they gave him kind of a shorter
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: start against Texas, but he wasn't that good. He only
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: had one strikeout in four and two thirds in he's
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: He held him to a one run and they wound
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: up winning the game. But he was kind of questionable
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: in that start against a not great Texas offense. But
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: they're working him back in you know, I mean he'd
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: been gone for a month, so it's understandable. I think
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: he'll pitch more innings in this game today. They'll ramping
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: back up probably over the course of the season. Low
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: hit rate, high strikeout rate. Like I said, but he
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: is kind of a fly ball pitcher. He's allowed some
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: home runs, so that's not good for pitching a course field.
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: His walk numbers a little bit high to him, but
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: not terrible. But yeah, coursefield might not be the best
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: environment for him because he is a fly ball pitcher,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: so that's not exactly great. However, he does have good
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: numbers against the Rockies and forty two at bats one
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: sixty seven batting average, six fifty one OPS fourteen to
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: three strikeout walk ratio against them, so matchup does look
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: okay for him, although the stadium doesn't look that good.
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: Tanner Gordon is pitching for the Rockies. He's coming back
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: from the injured this year. He hasn't been very good.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: Not that any Colorado pitcher is six point three seven
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: e RRA, one point five to six whip not great.
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: He's been really bad in course field this year, nine
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: point nine to two homey RA. That is not good.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: He's a pretty heavy fly ball pitcher as well. He's
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 2: allowed of a decent amount of home runs here. That's
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: not good. His hit rate is too high, his walk
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: rate is actually good. His walk rate is actually low,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: and his strikeout rate is okay. So I mean some
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: of these guys, man, if you put him in like
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 2: some other stadium, he'd be better. But he's been really bad,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: and Colorado's lost every game that he's appeared in this season.
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: Is that good. He's appeared in nine games this season
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: in Colorado has been the loser in every one of
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: those games. Yeah, that's not good, you know. And he
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: does not have the style that you want in course field.
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: He gives up way too many fly balls. His numbers
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: against Miami are actually good, though in eleven at bats
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: the only four guys who have faced him, so it
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 2: is a small sample. The one extra base hits a
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: home run from Otto Lopez one to eighty two. Batting
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: average allowed six thirty six OPS three, zero strikeout walk ratio.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with this game, man,
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: because both pitchers look like they could struggle in this
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: stadium because they both give up too many fly balls,
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: but they both have good matchup numbers. So what do
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: we do with that? Well, I'm gonna pass the game
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: because I don't know which one of those things is
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: gonna win out here, you know what I mean. You
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: know this is gonna be a high total because it's
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: course field, and you know, it's not like we have
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: exactly an elite pitching matchup here. Although I think Perez
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: is generally the better of these two pitchers, though he's
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: got more talent for sure, He's the younger guy with
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: the higher ceiling. The money is actually back in the
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: under two percent of tickets on the over fifty nine
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under totals at eleven
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: and a half. If you go under, I think you
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: should go first five though, because Colorado's bullpen is pretty
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: much a disaster. So you could focus on the starting
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: pitching and hope the mashup numbers will get you there.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: It's possible. I mean, you'll be looking at probably like
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: a six on that number there, maybe five and a half.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: It's probably six. I wouldn't really disagree with Miami either,
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, I know it seems too easy. They're like
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: minus one forty something here. They're public eighty two percent
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: of the tickets, but ninety four percent of the cash.
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: Also on Miami. I think Miami is the better starter here.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: They definitely have the better bullpen here. Miami makes some
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: sense in that game, but you know it also kind
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: of seems too easy. No, I'm not making a new
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: World Cup plays today. I'm done with the World Cup
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: after i was five and one, and I'm five and
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: two after yesterday's horseshit, I'm not gonna make a play today.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: Per As he's kind of a roller coaster, like he's
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: really good sometimes and he's really bad other times.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 3: I don't know his numbers last year.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: I don't think we're that good. Actually, his whip was
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: pretty good, but his era wasn't. His whip over his
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: career is actually good one point one two and his
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: ERA is below four, but his era last year landed
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: above four. But yeah, you're right, he was pretty good
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: last year, better than his era would suggest. Next game
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: up is my last play of the day, Anaheim at Seattle.
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: It's my last I have a w NBA play. This
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: is my last baseball play. Anaheim at Seattle, Soriano and Wu.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: You could probably guess where I'm going with this one.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be a first five under in this game.
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: It's in Seattle. It's a picture friendly environment here. I
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: think both starters actually line up decently in this game.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: We get a four on this at minus one eighteen.
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: That was I believe at the Lion m book as well.
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: You might have to pay a little bit more for this,
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: but I would say try to find the four out there,
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 2: even if you're paying like minus one twenty or whatever
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: for it. I think it makes sense to do it
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: that way. Every half run matters. When you're talking about
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: a first five under. It's a shortened game, you know,
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: the runs are at a premium. This game. Seattle. They
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: return home yesterday and they still won even though it
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: was a return home spot. But I talked about that game.
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: I told you it was a bad situation for Seattle,
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: but they clearly had the pitching edge in the game
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: and that's what got it done for them. I would
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: imagine Seattle does have the better bullpen here, but I'm
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: counting them out of this game. Well, I'm counting the
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: bullpens out because of Anaheim's bullpen, not because of Seattle's. Like,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: if this is a different opponent for Seattle, i'd be
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: going full game under here, probably, but I'm just I'm
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: excluding Anaheim's bullpen.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 3: That's how bad they are.
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: Even though they're not as bad as those other bullpen's
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: I already listed. Seattle does set up pretty well bullpen
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: wise here, so Seattle's bullpen might do well here. Anaheim
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: actually is rested in the bullpen at least both teams
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: only use one relief pitcher yesterday. But I don't want
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: to back Anaheim's bullpen the rank twenty fourth or eh
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: raised in the mid fours.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 3: I'm just not gonna do it. Seattle.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: I do like their bullpen the rank seventeenth, but as
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: I keep saying, I think they're better than that. But
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: they're also on my shit list because they blew the
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: under the other day against Cleveland, which is not acceptable.
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: Seattle's bullpen clearly should have been able to handle Cleveland
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: enough to finish that game off, and they didn't do it.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: They gave up a bunch of runs to them in
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: like the eighth inning. I'm pissed. These are offenses that
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: haven't been great, really, Seattle's at twenty six, though Seattle
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: is getting healthier. I understand that, but I think the
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: pitching can also just kind of counter the hitting here. Anaheim,
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: as I said, is tied for sixteenth. They're a weird
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: offense though, like they don't really hit for contact that well,
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: but they hit for power, and that's gonna be kind
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: of negated in Seattle's I think, because Seattle is a
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: stadium that knocks down fly balls. We are gonna back
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: Jose Soriano even though he hasn't been pitching that well recently.
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: He's got a three point three to two er RAN.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: I think he's worse than that, given that his whip
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: is one point three to two. So I know we're
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: not off to a good start here. But he's better
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: on the road. So Soriano, you want to back him
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: more when he's on the road. Same thing last year.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: Anaheim's kind of a more hitter friendly ballpark. But yeah,
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: he's got a two point six y four road ERA,
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: so he's better on the road. And I know he
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: wasn't good in his last couple of starts. I get
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: that his last two road starts didn't go well, but
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: look at what they were. One was at the A's
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: Stadium and that was I think that might have been
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: in that Vegas stadium too. Oh no, it might have
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: been back in the A stadium. I gave you guys
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: an over in that game, by the way, so I'm
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: not just going unders with Soriano on the road. I
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: said over in that one because Soriano had bad matchup
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: numbers there, and that's a very hit or conduc a ballpark.
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 2: So we got an easy over correct in that one.
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: But that was the reason why he sucked in that
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: game was it was a bad matchup and it's a
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: bad stadium to pitch. And and then the other game he
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 2: wasn't that good and on the road was against the Dodgers.
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: So his last two roads starts were bad, but they
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: were against the A's and the Dodgers, So that is
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: not what's happening here. He's facing Seattle in a pitcher
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: friendly ballpark, so that should alleviate those concerns quite a
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: bit here. And his numbers against Seattle, you know what's coming. Yeah,
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: they're not bad. Two fifty five average allowed, six to
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 2: ninety five ohps. So he's had success against Seattle ninety
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: four at bats. So even though they've seen a lot
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: of them, they haven't really done that well against him.
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: Even though I know a Rosa Reina and Crawford both
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: came back, and they both do have decent numbers against
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: him twenty four to ten strikeout walk ratio here, So
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: those numbers aren't that good. He's walked too many guys there,
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: but overall his numbers against Seattle are pretty good. His
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: overall numbers this year. He's got a low hit rate,
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: but his walk rate has gotten really high, so he's
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: got to get that under control again literally, and his
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: strike gout rate is good. So Soriano obviously has talent,
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: and he pitched really well early in the season, but
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: I knew he was going to regressh to some extent.
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: But this looks like a more favorable matchup for him,
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: and he's in his favorable home road splits here. We're
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: also going to back Brian Wu, who I think is
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: better than his four point twenty six ERA would suggest.
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: I like Wu. He's a good pitcher. One point four
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: era one point oh four whip excuse me indicates that
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: his ERA should be lower than what it is. So
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: we're off to a decent start. They're countering what his
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: ERA makes him look like. He's been really good at home.
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: He's got a two home ra so we have the
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: much better home road split for both starters here. WU
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: wasn't good last time out, but it was it was
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: at Pittsburgh on the road. He's struggled in three of
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: his recent stars, so they were all on the road.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: All of his bad recent starts came on the road.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: In fact, the last three times he's pitched at home,
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: he's allowed zero runs. In the last twenty innings that
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: he's pitched at home, he's only allowed eight hits over
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: that span. He's got what is this, I'm kind I'm
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: trying to do the math here real quick. He's got
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: a twenty six to five strikeout walk ratio. I think it, no,
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: twenty six to two, twenty six to three, my mistake,
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to do the math. I'm dude. Actually it
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: goes back further than that. But yeah, dude, I I'm
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: like kind of blind here. I'm wonder if this is away?
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 2: Can I just do this my home games only? I
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: don't think I can filter it, but yeah, like my
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: stroke brain, I can't really see the lines here. But yeah,
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: four starts in a row, actually he's allowed no runs.
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: He literally is not allowed to run at home since
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: May one against the Kansas City Royals, where he had
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: some inexplicably bad start. Since then, yeah, he's gone six
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: twelve let's count this all out, man nineteen and where's
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: the last one? Twenty six innings pitched, no runs allowed
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: in those innings at home, he's given up Let's see,
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: he's only giving up nine hits over that span. The
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: number of walks is let's say one, three, five, five
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: walks over that span, and let's see eighteen strikeouts. It's
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: more than that, but I'm counting it out twenty six
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: and what is that thirty thirty five strikeouts over that span,
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: So hopefully you guys got that. But yeah, he's been
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: like ridiculously good at home over his last four home starts,
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: so he pitches really well at home. And he's also
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: got good numbers against Anaheim two forty average allowed, six
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: sixty ops, seventy five at bats nineteen to two strikeout
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, So yeah, those are good numbers as well,
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 2: so he matches up well. I like it. I think again,
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: Who's era does not tell you the story here, So
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: we're gonna go undering this one in the first five.
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: The money is back in the full game under here,
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: which is at seven or seven and a half here.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna disagree with the full game under as well,
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: but I just I don't want I don't want Anaheim's
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 2: bullpen in this thing. So sixty seven percent of tickets
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 2: on the over, sixty nine percent of the cash on
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: the under. Again, I still agree with the full game,
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: and maybe the starters will get you deeper into the game,
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: but I think the best edge that we have is
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: in the first five, especially if you've had a four.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: There eighty three percent of tickets eighty eight percent of
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: the cash on Seattle, So minus one eighty something is
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: the price on Seattle here. I don't disagree with Seattle.
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: I think Wu is the better of the two pitchers here,
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: does have the better track record recently. He's been dominant
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: at home recently. Like I said, so yeah, I wouldn't
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: really disagree with Seattle. Also. Of course they have a
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: much better bullpen, but you're having to pay a price
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: for that, So I think the under first five is
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: the correct approach there. Let's keep this going, man, We're
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: already an hour and a half and not even done
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: with baseball. Two games left Dodgers and A's on ESPN Unlimited.
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 2: The as gauge Jump actually had a bad game yesterday,
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: so I'm glad I did not add that to my
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: hard He didn't pitch very well in the game.
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 3: You know, it was he wasn't gonna pitch well in
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 3: every game.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: You know. The Dodgers are a very good offense. A's
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: are in a bad spot, in a return home spot.
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: A's bullpen also was not helpful in the game yesterday.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: So yes, the Dodgers won the game yesterday. Of course,
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: could be a bounce back for the A's here, potentially,
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: because when a team returns home they don't do well.
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: A lot of times they bounce back in the next game.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: But the Dodgers are obviously a force. Dodgers used three
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 2: league pitchers yesterday. The A's have the worst bullpen and
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: they use three guys as well. Dodgers are clearly the
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: better bullpen the rank six, though I don't think they're
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: quite that good. The A's are ranked twenty third, and
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: they're one of the bullpen's with a five e ra.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: In fact, I missed them because the reira is exactly five.
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: It's not over five, but that's a bad bullpen. Hitting wise,
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers are number one, A's are tied at number seven,
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: so we do have some offenses year that can hit,
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: So could be a series where you're gonna see some runs,
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: especially because it's the A's stadium, so you get a
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: lot of high scoring games here. Justin Robleski is pitching
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: for the Dodgers. He continues to pitch well two point
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: seven to one ERA, one point zero one WHIP even
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: though he's not a strike cup pitcher. He pitches to contact,
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: but his numbers still are good and he's not putting
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: guys on base. He's slightly worse on the road two
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: point eight nine road ra. This is going to be
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: a difficult setup for him though, of course, pitching against
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: a good offense in a very offense offense friendly stadium. Robleski, though,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: even though he's kind of a fly ball pitcher, he
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 2: has not allowed a lot of home runs though, so
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: he's allowing a lot of soft contact. He's got a
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 2: low hit rate, low walk rate. He has a low
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate too though. Like I said, but maybe the
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: fly ball heaviness will be bad in this stadium, but
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: it really hasn't translated to allowing a lot of home
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: runs so far, so at least that's a decent sign
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: for him. The A's also haven't really seen him. They
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: have three hitters who have seen him. They're only one
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: for three off him. Langaliers has a single off him
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: and that's it. They got two strikeouts and no one
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: against him. So he kind of has some unfamiliarity here
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: against the A's, So that's somewhat decent. I guess that
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: he might be able to ride that unfamiliarity that could
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: give him an edge here. Jeffrey Springs, this pitcher for
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: the A's, not really having a great season here or
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: a great time with the A's. I mean, he pitches
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: okay on the road, but his numbers in this stadium
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: are quite bad. He's got a five point five two
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 2: ERA overall, one point three to three whip not great,
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: of course, his ERA goes up to six point four
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: to three at home. And he's a lot, a lot
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: of home runs here. He's a home run produce a
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: pitcher man, which is not good. He's already allowed one.
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: He's allowed one home run every four innings this year.
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: That is really bad. Twenty two home runs already in
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: eighty eight innings not good. He's got an okay ish
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate, his walk rate's not that bad. His hit
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: rate is right at one per innings, so really mediocre there.
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: But he's really fly ball heavy and his home run
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: rate is awful. So he does not do well in
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 2: this staatedium. Doesn't set up well in the stadium, hasn't
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 2: really pitched particularly well recently.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 3: His last couple starts here in this stadium.
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: Were all pretty bad. So things do not look good
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: for Springs here really, and he's facing a very good
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: Dodger offense. However, the Dodgers actually have not hit him
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: well in thirty nine. At best. They have a one
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: to twenty eight to average four point fifty three ohps
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: against him eight to two strike out walk ratio. So
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: what do we do with this game? I mean, obviously
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: I'm leaving it alone. I mean, there are arguments for
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 2: the over. There are arguments for the under. The money's
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: back in the under fifty tickets, sixty eight percent of
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: the cash on the under. The totals around eleven here.
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: If you go under, I would not go full game
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: with it, though you do not want the a's bullpen
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: included in that so first five under I mean, maybe
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: you could make the argument for it just because both
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: pitchers might have decent matchups here, but maybe you know,
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: Dodgers team total over I think makes some sense. I mean,
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: you gotta think the Dodgers are gonna somehow get to
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: springs a little bit here, and then you have the
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 2: A's bullpen in your back pocket to try to finish
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: that thing off. I still don't really want to do it, though,
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: And the money is actually back in the A's here.
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 2: Dodgers ninety three percent of tickets fifty to fifty on
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: the cash, so pretty strong market read towards the A's
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 2: right now, Dodgers around minus one sixty or so on
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: the price here. The thought is probably just that, well
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: it's an a's bounce backs about the Dodgers are probably
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: just favored by too much. But the Dodgers still, I
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: think I have the better starting pitcher here, the better bullpen,
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: the better offense too, So I don't really want to
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: go against the Dodgers there. So that's obviously a game
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: that I'm not playing. And then San Francisco and Arizona.
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: Arizona won yesterday five to four, despite being in a
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: return home spot, so they were able to overcome that
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: bad spot yesterday. I keep telling you San Francisco is
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: not good. Arizona did use three relief pitchers, which is
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: not too bad. San Francisco you only used two. Both
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: bullpens have kind of struggled though. I know Arizona's ranked eighth,
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: but there are bull beeny arrays in the mid forest,
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: so they are really more of a mediocre bullpen. Giants
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: are twenty fifth. I think they're actually better than that.
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen eer Rab is actually better than Arizona's, believe
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 2: it or not, Although it makes sense in a way
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: because the Giants had the better bullpen last year out
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: of these two teams fairly significantly. I think the Giants
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: are also more of a mediocre bullpen, So that's what
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: I think. I think both bullpens are mediocre. I think
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: the Giants may actually have the slightly better bullpen, but
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure. Hasn't really been the case this year,
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: but I don't know. It's tough to say. Giants are
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: tied in twelfth offensively tied with the Houston I still
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: don't buy that. I don't think the Giants are good
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: Offensively I still don't think they're good. Arizona's really had
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: some bad times offensively. They're at twenty seventh. However, I
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: do think there are gonna be some runs in this game.
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: Lynnam Roup is pitching for the Giants or Roupe. I
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: still have to figure out what the pronunciation is there.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: I do generally like him. He's got some really nasty
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: breaking stuff. He's got a four point oh seventy RA.
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: One point two to nine whip is not that good,
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: but his numbers are not awful. He's been pretty good
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: on the road three point eight three road y RA,
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: So I don't know why he pitches worse at home
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: in a pitcher friendly park, but that's the way it is.
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: He's been good in his last two starts on the
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 2: road against Miami and at home against the A's. Went
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: six innings and both of them allowed two earned runs
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: in each of them thirteen to two strikeout walk ratio
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: over that span. So he is pitching better over his
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: last two starts, and really kind of like three of
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 2: his last four starts have been pretty good. So he's
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 2: coming back into form here a little bit, which is good.
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 2: He's got a low hit rate, but his walk rate
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 2: is his problem. His walks are way too high. But
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: he also does have a high strikeout rate, and he
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: does induce a lot of ground balls. But yeah, that
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: walk rate, he's got to fix that. That is bad.
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 2: Numbers against Arizona are also, they're really bad. In sixty
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: five at bats, he's given up a four hundred average
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 2: to them in sixty five at bats. You usually do
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: not see a batting average allowed that's that high in
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: a sample size that big. That's really bad. The OPS
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 2: is oneenty nineteen. Also not good nine to four strike
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: out walk ratios. So I don't trust Route in this matchup.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: I think he can get knocked around a bit. And
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: Brandon fought. I don't know if he's actually pitching or not.
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: Because I looked and then it was undecided. I know
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 2: it is gonna be fought. It was undecided for a
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: bit for Arizona. Fot has been in the miners. That's
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: how bad things have gotten for Arizona. Man for some
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: of these pitchers. They sent Fot to the miners, and
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 2: I haven't looked to see how well he pitched in
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: the miners, but they brought him back up, and his
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 2: numbers this year are awful in the Major's five point
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: nine two ERA one point five whip really really bad,
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 2: not good at home six point h eight home era,
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: So that is not good either his last start before
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: they sent him to the Miners, or maybe it wasn't
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: even a start. They were giving him, like some really
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 2: short appearances. He hasn't gone more than one and two
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: thirds in since early May basically, so things are not
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: good for five Like, they basically made him a relief pitcher,
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: so that's not good. Yeah, he only made three starts
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: early this season. Then he was pitching as a relief
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 2: pitcher and that probably hurt his confidence because he still
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 2: wasn't good. But maybe he'll be more confident now that
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: they're giving him a start again. He maybe he'll be excited, dude,
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. Like there's a chance that
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 2: he comes out and he gets pumped up. He goes, Okay,
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 2: I get another shot at this, I get to start again,
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. So he'll be motivated, I think.
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 2: But his numbers do not really suggest anything good here.
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 2: He has a pitch well, he's been bad at home,
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: and his numbers against the Giants are also not good.
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 2: Two ninety six average, allowed seven to fifty one ohps
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: in seventy one career at bats, fourteen to five strike
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 3: So over is what makes the most sense to me.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: In this game. The money's back in the over. The
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: totals at nine fifty six percent of tickets ninety four
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over. I'm tempted to
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 2: give that one out too, but I just think that
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: fat could have motivation here. Raupe, i mean, is a
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: better pitcher than maybe people think, so I'm gonna leave
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: it alone. But Raup does have really bad matchup numbers here,
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: and the home road splits two favorite Roupe here though,
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 2: But the money's actually backing Arizona hilariously fifty ticket sixty
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Arizona here, So the money's
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: bagging Arizona at a very small price, at about minus
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: one oh eight. I don't really agree. I think San
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: Francisco might be the way to lean in this game.
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 2: I think I prefer Roupe over fot. But the over
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: is much much better, I think, in this game than
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: anything else. I think over it's close to being a
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: play for me. The over in that one, all right.
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: That is the baseball card. Let's try to finish this off.
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give out a play right now in the WNBA.
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna go to the Commissioner's Cup game
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: here and we're gonna play Lot Vegas plus two and
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: a half. We got to get back on the on
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: the right track here, man. Now the money is agreeing
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: with me on this. Fifty percent of ticket, seventy nine
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Vegas. Hopefully it stays. Actually,
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 2: hold on the number six and a half. Now what
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: are we doing? Why is it six and a half? Now?
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 2: Hold on, I'm gonna pull that down. Why is it
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 2: six and a half now, I've not actually played this
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: game yet, but there's gotta be like an injury or something.
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 3: What the hell is going on here?
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: Hold on, let me take a look real quick. I
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: don't I don't know what's Oh, Asia Wilson is gonna
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: miss the game?
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 3: Oh shit.
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 2: I mean it looks like Barker and Evans out too.
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: But Asia Wilson is the reason why this line move. Yeah,
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: she's out. Now do we still want to play the
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: Aces here at the six and a half? We might
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: want to, So Wilson, this is her first game out
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: so I think it's gonna be an injured player theory
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 2: spot now for the Aces, right, because she's their best player, Like,
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 2: she's like an MVP caliber player, and I think she
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: might have won the MVP last year because Collier got
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 2: hurt and Collier was on pace to do it. Yeah,
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: I think we might want to still do this man
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: on the Aces year because she did play in their
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: last game against Chicago and that was a loss for
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: us on the show, I know. And one thing that
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: worries me is if you look at this game. We
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 2: got completely screwed on this game due we had a
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: horrible second quarter and that completely threw the game off.
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 2: But look at the look at the what happened in
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: this game, dude. Chicago had eighty field goal attempts to
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: Vegas to sixty three, and Chicago couldn't even cover a
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: plus seven, Like, how is that even possible? If you
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 2: have almost twenty more field goal attempts in the game,
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: you don't even come within seven. I told you this
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 2: is a misleading result. Vegas also went to the line
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 2: thirty seven times to Chicago's twenty five, and Vegas.
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 3: Hit fifteen more free throws.
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: They hit eighty four percent of theirs, Chicago sixty four
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 2: percent of there, So that threw that completely screwed us
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: to Vegas shot fifty two percent from the field and
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 2: forty percent from three, so those were outliers. So there
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 2: were so many out liars in this game that screwed us.
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: Chicago won the rebound battle in the game. I told
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: you that was not a loss that we should have
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: taken to. I had Chicago correct in that game, Like,
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: look at how many outliers that were in that game.
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 3: So I told you I was gonna show you it,
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 3: and I did.
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: There you go.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 3: So I'm really really pissed. That should have been a win.
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: My WNBA has been a lot better than the six
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: at six that we actually are right now. We should
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: be like nine and three basically, and maybe ten and
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: three because I had another really good, uh play that
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 2: I left off my car that I almost added. But anyway,
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 2: you know what, let's just do this. Fuck it, Let's
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: play Vegas the six and a half or whatever. Let
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: me see can we get a seven on this? Let
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 2: me see? I mean, you know, I talk about the
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 2: injured player theory all the time, and the deal is
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 2: that the line overreacts to an injured player, you know
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: what I mean, Like the line gets skewed too much
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: towards an injured player. Vegas is still a fairly deep
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: team and they still have some decent players here, so
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: a lot of times the line will overreact to that.
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 3: We're not gonna get a seven on this right now.
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 2: It's six and a half basically everywhere, but we can
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 2: definitely get the six and a half. I think we
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 2: should still do it. I'm gonna add that right now.
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: Hang on, So I actually, like, dude, I think it
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 2: just adds another angle for us here that we can
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 2: sink our teeth into. So we'll change that to Vegas
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: six and a half here. So we're gonna play on
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 2: the injured player theory spot with Wilson out, which again
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 2: I point out multiple things about the injured player theory spot.
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 2: One is the line overreacts to the injured player, So
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: I think the line is overreacting. We're getting four extra
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 2: points here with her out. And the other thing about
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 2: it is the team usually steps up their game that
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: first game with the injured player. The team knows they
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 2: have to play hard without her, So I think you're
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 2: gonna get a heavily motivated effort from Vegas here, and
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna want to just try to win
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 2: this game, because dude, you've gotten this far. This is
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 2: the Commissioner's Cup Final, so I think they're gonna be motivated.
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: But I have more angles to use here too. Next
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: is the Liberty return home from the road. And you
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 2: know I always talk about this. They're returning home from
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 2: the Pacific coast, so they're traveling across three time zon
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 2: it's here, and yes, I know Vegas is traveling too,
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 2: but Vegas is only traveling from the Central time zone.
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: So I'll talk about that now because I already talked
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: about it. They just played a game that was I
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: know it was an outlier. I know Vegas should have
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 2: lost that game to Chicago based on the statistics in
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: the game, but I don't think that's going to really
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 2: impact their motivation level here, you know what I mean, Like, yeah,
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 2: they had a whatever game against Chicago, they won the game,
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: and now they're only traveling to New York from Chicago.
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 3: Here, so this travels about it's way better for Vegas.
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 2: I still think Vegas was kind of overlooking Chicago in
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: that spot because they think they had their eyes set
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 2: on this game against New York, so I think Vegas
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: is still showing up here. I think they're going to
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 2: be more motivated now that Wilson is out and the
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: Liberty are in a terrible spot, dude. The Liberty are
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 2: returning home from a week plus road trip to the
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 2: Pacific Coast where they played La they played Vegas and
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 2: won the game in Vegas, and then they lost to
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: Seaattle in a letdown spot, and they did lose to
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: Golden State. I'm kind of mad because that was my
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 2: second strongest play that day. That was the day we
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 2: lost on Chicago, and I also liked Golden State in
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: that on that slate that day, and Golden State was
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: a winner, so of course it was. You know some
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 2: of my other leans, Golden State, they've been Leans for
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 2: me a couple of times and I haven't given them out.
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 2: Not a fan of that. But anyway, Vegas, or excuse me,
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: the Liberty of returning home from a long road trip,
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: they've been a wasted June twenty first, they only have
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 2: one day off here to return home from the Pacific Coast.
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: I think that's a bad spot, dude. They have to
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 2: readjust to the time zone here, even though I know
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 2: it's west to east, so it's not as bad, but
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have more adjusting to do. Plus, you know
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: I always talk about the return home spot can always
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: throw distractions into your wake.
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 3: And they might actually, dude, I know this is the
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 3: Cup final, but they.
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: Might overlook Vegas a little bit, even though this is
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: a home game.
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 3: Whatever, it's on Prime. It's an isolation game.
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 2: But they just beat Vegas on the road, dude, so
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: Vegas might take this game more seriously. And I've been
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 2: eyeing this game since this game happened. And you know,
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 2: Vegas has actually been bad at home. Vegas is four
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 2: and three at home. Uh, so Vegas has not been
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 2: good at home, but on the road, I have to look,
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 2: I don't even know, dude.
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 3: They don't show their home road records here. What's the
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 3: deal with that?
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: Isn't this game? Is this game not at the Liberty
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 2: Home Stadium? Let me say at their home arena? It is? Yeah,
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 2: So I don't know why this is not considered to
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: be a home game. I mean, I guess it's considered
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 2: to be a game that's not on the schedule. But yes,
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 2: this is hosted at the Barclay Center, which is where
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 2: the Liberty play. Anyway, if you dig into this box score, yeah,
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: the Liberty one on the road and the Liberty, yes,
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 2: they're actually the Liberty I think are actually better on
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 2: the road home on let me say, Liberty, they lost
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 2: that last game on the road. That what is their
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: home record? That's what I want to see here. Let
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: me just can I look at the standings or something?
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 2: Let me say because I want to, you know, just
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 2: illustrate this point a little bit more here. Yeah, home record,
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: the Liberty are where are we looking? The Liberty are
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: only six and four at home, so they have not
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 2: been a dominant home team, and the Aces are nine
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 2: and two on the road.
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 3: That's what I was looking for.
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 2: The Aces have been excellent on the road and the
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 2: Liberty not good at home, so something to consider there.
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 2: The Liberty also are eight and one in conference, So
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 2: in the Eastern Conference, the Liberty are eight and one,
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 2: which means that they're four and seven against the Western Conference.
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: So the Liberty are not good against the West. So
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 2: that's not a good sign either. Whereas they the Aces,
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: they're ten and four in conference. That means that against
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 2: the East. They are what is that four and one,
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 2: I guess against the East. So those things line up
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 2: pretty well too. Those are things I didn't even really
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: consider it. But yeah, so the West is just a
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: stronger conference, dude than the East right now. Even though
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 2: I know the East has Atlanta, Indiana, whatever, the West
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 2: they got Minnesota, Golden Sight. You know, they're just a
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 2: stronger conference.
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 3: So I think that doesn't bode well for the Liberty
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 3: here either.
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: And I know, yes, the Liberty did just win at Vegas,
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 2: so that was what I was just gonna show you.
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: This is a bit of a misleading result here in
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 2: this game, of course, it was look at what happened
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 2: in this game. Aces had seven more field goal attempts
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: in the game. They only shot thirty percent from three, though,
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 2: but the Liberty shot forty two percent from three. They
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 2: had five more three so they were plus fifteen from
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: three point range. So that's what I was talking about.
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: This is an outlier of a game, dude. The Liberty
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 2: were plus fifteen from three. They wound up winning the
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 2: game by eleven, and they also went to the line more.
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 2: The Aces usually go to the line a lot, and
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 2: I know without Wilson, that's gonna be tough for them
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: to get to the line a lot. But they only
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 2: went to the line eight times in that game, and
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 2: the Liberty went twice as many times, sixteen. So the
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 2: Liberty were plus eight from the free throw line and
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 2: plus fifteen from three point range.
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 3: Those are outliers, dude.
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 2: That should regress, like we should probably see some more
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 2: even foul calling here. And the Liberty hit so many
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 2: threes in that game, that's probably gonna regress a bit.
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 2: The rebounding battle was close, yes, I know, but all
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 2: we need is for this to be a closer game
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 2: here at this point, man, we just need Vegas to
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: cover the six and a half.
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 3: But that's what we're gonna do.
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 2: So I think there are a lot of things that
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 2: line up nicely for this, and the injured player spot
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 2: just thrown on top of that, I think just gives
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: us some more value in the line. So take Vegas
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 2: plus the points. Let's get this done, man. Let's get
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: back on the winning track in the WNBA, all right,
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 2: And then we do have World Cup Arlington, Texas. We
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 2: have Ivory Coast in Norway. Here. Ivory Coast is coming
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 2: in from beating Curasau. I mean, who cares they beat Curisa.
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 2: Ivory Coast did play pretty well against Ecuador in Germany, though,
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 2: So they've had a World Cup that's been fairly competitive,
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 2: and they played well against Germany and lost in like
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 2: almost an extra time that they lost in stoppage time
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: is what I meant to say there on a late goal.
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 2: So Ivory Coast has played well against some decent opponents.
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: I mean, they had a whatever game against Curasaw. Who
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 2: cares about that? Now they're traveling in from Philadelphia to Texas. Here,
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 2: Norway is coming in from Foxboro Stadium. I believe Norway's
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 2: the better team. They're plus one fifteen in the three
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 2: way line here, their favored to advance. So some things
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 2: to consider here Norway. I think, dude, people are shitting
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 2: on Norway because they lost to France in their last game.
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 2: But remember Norway benched all their starters except for one
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 2: of them. Norway literally benched ten of their eleven starters
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 2: in that game. So Norway's second string is what lost
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 2: to France there. So that game. You can't tell anything
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 2: based on that game, dude, Norway, They're definitely a strong team, dude,
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 2: uh so, I don't know. I kind of like Norway
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 2: in this one. I think giving their players rest made sense.
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 2: And the fact that everybody was blasting them for not
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 2: playing any of their players, you know, I think that's gonna,
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 2: you know, kind of give them a little bit of
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 2: a jab here. Uh so, I kind of like Norway here.
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 2: I don't agree with SOB who likes Ivory Coast here.
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 2: I slightly lived Norway. I don't have a strong opinion
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 2: on it. But Norway did beat Senegal. That was a
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 2: good win for them. Norway did play their starters in
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: that one, and they were the they won. I mean,
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 2: they were the better team in the game. Senegal is
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 2: not a bad team either, but yeah, I mean again,
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 2: you can't gauge anything by them playing France. So yes,
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: I know. The bad thing is that Norway didn't battle
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: test their starters by playing them against France. But they
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: also kept them healthy and France is better than the
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 2: Germany is, so you know, keeping that in mind there.
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 2: I don't have a strong opinion on that game though,
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 2: but you know, just a slight lean towards Norway. Yes,
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: I know you're on the Ivory Coast. I would I
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 2: do not like these draws, dude. Yeah, yeah, I know
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 2: your draw hit yesterday, but I'm not I'm not gonna
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 2: keep firing on draws in the fucking knockout round, dude.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna do it. I don't understand. I don't
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 2: understand what you're saying. You're you're basically admitting that there's
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: value on Norway by saying that they should be minus
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 2: one twenty five, you're getting the plus one hundred.
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 3: I don't agree with you on the Ivory Coast.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 2: I think Norway is kind of stupid for swapping places
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 2: with France because I think Norway would rather play Sweden.
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 2: Norway would be a heavier favorite against Sweden. Sweden is
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 2: not as good as the Ivory Coast, so I agree
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 2: with that. But no, I think Norway wins. I have
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 2: them beating Brazil in my brackets, so I like Norway.
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 2: They have a very dangerous offense. Yeah. So yeah, and
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: I think Norway again they're getting shit on because they
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 2: rested everybody. No, no, the bookie, the bookies like again,
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 2: they're shading the line. I think because they know that
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 2: the World Cup is gonna get publicly bet so I
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 2: think they know that the public is kind of not
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 2: really on the Norway train right now, so they've skewed
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 2: the line towards the public. I've already looked at the
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 2: market the market read the public is more on Norway
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 2: than the money. The money has a slight or ex
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 2: the public is more on Ivory Coast. Excuse me if
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 2: you look. I looked at Action Network. They have the
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 2: numbers there. I know, I don't love Action Network's numbers really,
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 2: but Action Network says that there is a slight cash
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 2: percentage edge on Norway in the game, so the market
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 2: read is slightly indicating on Norway. France and Sweden. I
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 2: don't have much on this game. France is minus three forty.
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 2: They're the better team. They're only coming in from Foxboro
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 2: to New Jersey here. Sweden is having to travel from
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 2: I don't even know where they were, Arlington, Texas, So
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 2: Sweden has a little bit of a travel disadvantage here.
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 3: They just had a draw with Japan. Japan's now out.
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 2: France is not gonna lose here, even though you know,
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, France is over valued. Probably everyone is picking
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 2: France to win this whole thing at this point.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 3: But they're not gonna lose to Sweden.
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 2: Do it. I would be shocked if they did. But
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 2: can you lay minus three forty on the three way line?
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 2: I don't think so. I mean, I think maybe the
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 2: way to look at this, because it is a high totals,
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 2: maybe they just play France over their team total. But
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 2: even that, you're probably not getting much value in that.
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 2: You're you're gonna need him to score three and a half.
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 2: Probably you're probably gonna need him to score four goals.
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 2: If you do that, which is getting a little that's
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 2: pushing it, man, that is pushing it. I mean you
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 2: could look at I know a lot of guys like
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 2: the both teams to score market. I mean, you could
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 2: maybe look at that, but I don't know how much
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 2: value you're getting on that either. But maybe both teams
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 2: will score in this one, especially if France has a
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 2: big lead and they just kind of led up a
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 2: little bit. But I don't love that because it is
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 2: kind of fluky to ask both teams to score. So whatever.
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 2: And then the game that I actually have the strongest
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 2: opinion on is the last game I like Mexico, and
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 2: I almost put this on my card Mexico. I was wrong.
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 2: Mexico is actually getting to still play in Mexico in
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 2: the knockout round, so I was wrong. So Mexico has
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 2: a home advantage here and Mexico has yet to concede
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 2: a single goal in the World Cup. But my worry
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 2: is that's because they played easy opponents. They played South Africa,
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 2: South Korea, and Czech Republican all three of those teams
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 2: are already out. South Africa barely made the knockout round
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 2: and got knocked out immediately by Canada. I was not
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 2: even good, and then South Korea and Czech Republic didn't
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 2: even make the knockout round. So you have to dial
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 2: it back a little bit on Mexico. But they've been good.
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 3: They haven't a lot of goal yet. My worry is
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 3: that they.
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 2: Have a step up in class. Ecuador is gonna be
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 2: the best team that Mexico has faced so far, So
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 2: that is my worry. Mexico's plus one thirty on the
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 2: three way line here, but I think Ecuador has some
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 2: issues in the scheduling spot here. They just beat Germany,
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 2: and you know I gave out Ecuador as a play there.
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 2: That's gonna make Ecuador look a little bit better than
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 2: they are because that was a huge win over over Germany.
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 2: But I told you Germany didn't need that game. Germany
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 2: had already won the group, so Germany had no motivation there.
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I think it's it's the spot is better
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 2: for Mexico because I think Germany's kind of in a
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 2: letdown spot here. But my worry is that Ecuador is
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 2: more battle tested because Ecuador also plays Ivory Coast, who
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 2: also played Ivory Coast although they lost, it was one zero.
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 2: Ivory Coast to Germany are both better than Mexico, both
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 2: better than all of Mexico's opponents in my opinion. So yeah,
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 2: so that's my worry with Mexico is that Ecuador is
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 2: more battle tested. That is my worry. But they're gonna
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 2: be up against it man playing in Mexico and having
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 2: to travel here. Uh so, let me see, Mexico has
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 2: played most of their games in Mexico already. H Ecuador
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 2: is coming in from New Jersey here. Like I said,
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 2: Mexico they played their last game in the US. I'm
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 2: pretty sure, right, No, they played in Mexico. So Mexico
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 2: is staying in Mexico. They're actually staying in Mexico City
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 2: for this too, so Mexico literally is not even traveling,
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 2: so this was really close to being a play for me.
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 2: I would take Mexico and three away line plus one
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 2: point thirty. You need them to win in the first
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 2: ninety minutes if you do that. But that's the way
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 2: I play this game, Mexico to win. No, no, dude,
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 2: beating Germany makes you look better than you actually are.
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 2: I agree that they played the tougher schedule. Beating Germany
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 2: is gonna is gonna make you overrated, and it's gonna
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 2: put you in a letdown spot and it's gonna make
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 2: you overconfident. No, I don't agree with that. I think
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 2: Mexico is just being overlooked. Like I don't think people
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 2: think Mexico is that good, and I don't even think
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 2: they're that good. But they're better than Ecuador. The odds
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 2: makers are telling you they're at least better, or they're
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 2: you know, they're getting the home advantage here at the
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 2: very least. But no, I think the fact that Ecuador
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 2: just beat Germany is a bad thing and it's misleading
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 2: because they beat an unmotivated Germany team. My only issue
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 2: and it looks worse now that Germany lost yesterday to
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 2: fucking Paraguay, who's not even good at all. But that's
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 2: my That's my other issue with this is that Ecuador's
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 2: win over Germany now looks less good because Germany just
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 2: got eliminated by Poweraguays. So now that might mean people
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 2: are like, oh well, maybe Ecuador is not that good
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 2: for being in Germany. So that has me dialing it
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 2: back a little bit on Mexico here for that reason.
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 2: If Germany won yesterday, maybe I'd like this a little
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 2: bit more. I like Mexico. That's my strongest opinion out
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 2: of these three games today. Also, the cash does agree
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 2: with me on that too. By the way, according to
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 2: Action Network, the money is leaning towards me.
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 3: Sorry, stop, I don't agree with you.
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 2: Sorry. You know. I'm not a World Cup guy, but
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 2: I won five out of my first six World Cup plays.
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 2: I know I lost yesterday, which I think was kind
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 2: of bullshit. If you look at the stats. Germany was
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 2: really really putting up a lot of offense in the
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 2: second half of that match, and they weren't translating into
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 2: goals except for one of them. So Germany dominated the
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 2: extra time too. I don't know how they didn't score
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 2: in extra time, aces a plus seven got to take
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 2: the plus seven. Well, Pinnacle is a I don't know
• 2:00:04
  Speaker 2: if I'm allowed to say their name. They're uh, they're
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 2: an offshore though, so you know you can't really you
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 2: can't bet with them. Man, hold on, let me see
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 2: do we get a seven. I mean, you could just
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 2: wait on this. I don't see a seven at any
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 2: of the main books, though you could wait. It makes sense,
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 2: I guess on that game to wait and see if
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 2: you can get a seven at some point during the day.
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 3: But I have to score it at six and a
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 3: half here because there isn't a seven. So you could
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 3: wait and see if you get a seven.
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, I don't know if any of
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 2: the big US books are gonna do it. That's gonna
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 2: do it for the show here today, dirty sock, what's up?
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. We have a loaded baseball card here.
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 2: We have five plays today under seven and a half
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 2: in Rangers, Indians under seven and a half in Tigers,
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 2: Yankees first five, money line, Minnesota Twins under first five,
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 2: under the four in Anaheim, Seattle, Las Vegas, and WNBA
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 2: plus six and a half or seven. If you can
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 2: actually find a seven, but I don't really think you're
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 2: gonna see it. Maybe you know, but it looks like
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 2: the money, you know, the I think the public is
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 2: probably not gonna be involved in that game, really, so
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 2: and then my strongest world coupling that almost made my
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 2: card was Mexico on the three way line at plus
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 2: one thirty, which, by the way, it makes no sense
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 2: because the spread the minus half goal on Mexico you
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 2: have to pay like plus one ten for it, so
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 2: again the you're looking at two different markets. But it's
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 2: crazy that the line is that far off because it's
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 2: the same bet. And again remember I was wrong slightly.
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 2: If you play the spread or the three way line
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 2: on these soccer games, it's only the first ninety minutes
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 2: is what you're playing. So if it goes into extra
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 2: time I thought it was josef it goes into penalty kicks,
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 2: So if it goes into extra time, none of that
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 2: counts towards the bet, so which makes sense for the total,
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 2: but it doesn't maybe make that much sense for the
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 2: other plays. But whatever, So I don't even know if
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 2: there's a market where you can play like the full,
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 2: you can you know, include extra time. But of course
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 2: you can play the two advance line. That's the other thing.
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 2: But those lines seem like you know you're getting you
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 2: just have heavier favorites, mostly on the two advanced lines.
• 2:02:18
  Speaker 2: So like it seems like the three way options and
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 2: whatever just they give you like better options to play
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 2: these games. So that's the way that I think it is.
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 2: You can't bet any of those. Yeah, dude, there are
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 2: ways that you might be able to do it. There
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 2: is a there's somebody that has that has three initials
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 2: and starts with a V. If you know what I mean,
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 2: and I'm not talking about vas or anything like that,
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. It will allow you to
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 2: present as if you're in a different country. You know
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 2: what I'm saying. That's gonna do it. Learn it tow
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 2: on Twitter, learn itswe on Instagram. Let's have a winning
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 2: day today, man, we had a very slight winning day
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 2: yesterday somehow. Thank you to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Thank you
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 2: Aaron Nola. I should send him a gift. Learn a
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 2: tone on Twitter, Learn a tone on Instagram, Like, subscribe
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 2: to this channel here. We're like six away from five hundred.
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 2: Let's get to it, man. We did get some subscribers recently.
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 2: Let's go I've been changing. Let me know if you
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 2: like my AI thumbnails that I've been using recently because
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 2: descript has a new feature for that, so I've been
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 2: using that recently. There's less consistency to it, but maybe
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 2: it keeps things more interesting and gets more eyes on
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 2: it and looks more eye popping. Listen on audio, Apple, Spotify,
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 2: Spreaker or whatever. Covered in you because my yuke channel
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 2: on YouTube and my voice needs to come back for
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 2: me to do anything with that.
• 2:03:44
  Speaker 3: Patreon dot com, slash.
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 2: Learn a toad you can support me there. Loser Cast,
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 2: we had to move the show to Monday again this week,
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 2: so if you missed it, you can go watch that
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 2: from yesterday. Check that out and then the Giants g
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 2: Spot podcast. We'll be back at some point. I was
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 2: on Nephlem Desk Squad neft to America on Friday, so
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 2: if you miss that, go find that and I'm gonna
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 2: be on uh those guys that do the pick is
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 2: In podcast. They have another podcast that's I guess less
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 2: Sports Focus that's called or Less Betting Focus. At least
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 2: it's just more of a shoot the shit podcast. It's
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 2: called here's the thing I think is the name of it.
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 2: So I haven't found it yet on YouTube. You can
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 2: go find that. I'm gonna be on that show Friday evening,
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 2: I think, so you can go find that as well.
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 3: That's gonna do it. Oh thank you. The intra outro song. U.
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 3: I am hesitant to do that because.
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 2: I you know how I created it, and there are
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 2: reasons why I can't really do that, and this channel,
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 2: if I get more subscribers, this channel might get stricken
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 2: for those reasons too, just for using part of that song.
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, maybe I do. Maybe I should
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 2: just go and you know and pay, you know, and
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 2: do what I need to do for it, you know
• 2:05:02
  Speaker 2: what I mean. I'm not allowed to say any of
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 2: that though. Scratch that from the record. Just yeah, I'll
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 2: maybe I'll just go do that, you know, just so
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 2: I can get around that, you know what I mean.
• 2:05:15
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. Learn it to on Twitter, learn
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 2: it tone on Instagram. Oh no, I already settle that.
• 2:05:20
  Speaker 2: You know where I am. That's gonna do it. Let's
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 2: win today. Peace.
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet, don't you fade from the flow.
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: Your names fell me something to somebody for show. Put
• 2:05:32
  Speaker 1: the glass down, baby, look at me. No hold on,
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: hold on nothing, no hold on, hold on.
• 2:05:52
  Speaker 2: Let me.
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: That byes, but it don't get the crown. Hold on,
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 1: hold on and stay with me now