Latest / Words & Numbers / Episode 460: Echo Echo Chamber Chamber
Transcript
- 0:00Coming up next on Words and Numbers, The Rapture.
- 0:03The cost of housing. HO as in Phoenix?
- 0:06And living in bubbles. All this and more next on Words
- 0:08and Numbers, a Civil original production.
- 0:11Check us out at civil.com. That's C ivl.com.
- 0:15Hi, I'm James. And I'm Anthony and.
- 0:17This is words and numbers, aunt. It's doing exciting in your
- 0:25world this week. Somebody sent me an article.
- 0:28I'm just looking it up here. It's one of these things that
- 0:32that gets repeated all the time. And it's the title.
- 0:36I'll read you the title 8 everyday things lower middle
- 0:39class families could afford in the 80s but can't anymore.
- 0:42And it's a whole list of stuff. And let me start by saying I
- 0:47also run across articles saying, well, anybody that says the cost
- 0:54of living is not as bad as what people say is just out of touch.
- 1:01I'm going to look at some numbers and people are going to
- 1:03get all bent out of shape. But this guy, The article lists
- 1:06all kinds of things we could take issue with, but the one I
- 1:09thought was most interesting is the cost of housing.
- 1:12And specifically this article is talking about the price of
- 1:16housing in the 80s versus the price of housing now.
- 1:19And we couldn't can't afford the price of housing now to why
- 1:22can't it be like the 80s? In fact, in it, he says my
- 1:26parents bought a house for $100,000 in the 1980s, turned
- 1:33around, resold it for 800,000. And it's the same, you know,
- 1:37house that would have sold for 100,000 back in the 70s and
- 1:41nobody could afford it today. And he uses this as an example
- 1:45of look at what's happening to the cost of housing.
- 1:47Now, let me start off right here.
- 1:50I looked up the median price of housing in the US and it's
- 1:54nowhere near 800,000. It's around 400,000, so somewhat
- 1:57less about half of that. Furthermore, in 25 of the 50
- 2:03states it's below 380,000. In fact, you can go all the way
- 2:08down to Iowa, the median single family homes 230, Oklahoma it's
- 2:13about 250. Same in Ohio, Michigan 250,
- 2:17Louisiana, Mississippi 250. Right the house he was talking
- 2:21about California, where the median, the median house in
- 2:27California is $866,000. I would submit that that might
- 2:34have a lot more to do with California than much, much
- 2:36anything else, right? So.
- 2:38First, first statement here is if you're going to start saying
- 2:42things about price of housing now versus the price of housing
- 2:45in the past, at the least don't cherry pick things like price of
- 2:50housing in California. That's a way outlier.
- 2:54But Aunt we, we all know that when n = 1 you can make a much
- 2:58better argument. It is, yeah.
- 3:00It's a much more enticing argument to say, well, the how's
- 3:03the things cost 800. $1000 You show up with your median cost of
- 3:08housing in various States and all this other nonsense that you
- 3:11spew on a regular basis, this is just going to anger everybody.
- 3:15Yeah, sorry. All right, so let me anger
- 3:17people a little bit more. I'm looking at and again,
- 3:21understand averages are are kind of dicey because very rich
- 3:25people can pull the averages up. So everything we're going to
- 3:28talk about here are medians, the guy in the middle.
- 3:30So the median house, the median full time worker, all of this in
- 3:36the 1980s, because that's what he was talking about here in the
- 3:391980's. The median house cost about 260
- 3:45weeks worth of work for the median worker.
- 3:50So whatever it is, you're earning 260 weeks worth of those
- 3:56wages. That buys you a house in the
- 3:581980s, today 360, so significantly more.
- 4:05But the price of a house, excuse me, not the price.
- 4:09The the square footage of the house is significantly higher.
- 4:13It's back in the 1980's. The median house again, this is
- 4:16the one in the middle. The median house was about 1600
- 4:19square feet. Now it's about 2400.
- 4:21So you're getting 50% more house today than you got in the 1980s.
- 4:28So granted is going to cost you a little bit more, but 50% more
- 4:32house. Now you could still argue you're
- 4:34behind the 8 ball here because if you've done them, actually
- 4:37you're not, you're better off because the price of the house
- 4:40today is 38% more than in 1980. And understand what I mean when
- 4:45I say that. I don't mean it's 38% more in
- 4:48terms of the price, It's way more in terms of the price.
- 4:50But relative to your income, it takes 38% more labor today to
- 4:57buy a house than it did in 1980s.
- 4:59But you're getting 50% more house, so you're actually better
- 5:02off. And that's not the end of the
- 5:04story. Tell me more, Aunt.
- 5:06In 1980, the average mortgage rate 12%.
- 5:13Yeah, today things were. Things were kind of rough back
- 5:15then. Today, 6.7.
- 5:18And that's not great either. No, it's not.
- 5:22It's. Not a great, it's not a great
- 5:24rate. Yeah, yeah, I know.
- 5:26I was. I bought one of my first houses
- 5:29early in our marriage at like I maybe I had 5.25% and I even
- 5:34then I thought that's a bit hefty.
- 5:37Yep, when I lived in western Pennsylvania, right around the
- 5:39corner from you, I had 5.7. Yeah, heck of a lot better than
- 5:436.7 today. So I think part part of what's
- 5:46going on here, and I want to give, give people their, give
- 5:49people credit here when they say the price of housing is rising,
- 5:54they're absolutely correct. If you look at the past, let's
- 5:59say 10 to 15 years, housing is way more expensive than it was
- 6:0410 to 15 years ago relative to wages.
- 6:08If you take a much wider perspective and you look at
- 6:12today versus in 1980s, it's actually the other way around.
- 6:16It was more expensive in the 1980s.
- 6:19So, so so to to both the Boomers and the and the Gen.
- 6:24Z's. You're both correct.
- 6:27The Boomers are right, it was, it is more expensive back then
- 6:32than it is now. But Gen.
- 6:33Z is also correct. It's more expensive now than it
- 6:36was 1015 years ago. All right, so your assignment
- 6:40aunt, should you choose to accept it, is to for next week
- 6:46or next time or however we're saying this.
- 6:49Now for a future iteration of words and numbers, I want you to
- 6:54tell me about the median citizen.
- 6:59Does the median citizen live in a house?
- 7:02Does he own a house? Does he rent a house?
- 7:04Does he rent an apartment, etcetera, etcetera?
- 7:07Because there's an interesting question, right?
- 7:09It's a really good question and it's it's something that I find
- 7:14people who rent seem to think that they are flushing money
- 7:18down the drain. Because they suspects they are.
- 7:22Yeah, what they're they're missing and they don't catch it
- 7:25until they buy their first house.
- 7:28All. Of the things that the landlord
- 7:30is handling, all of a sudden now you got to deal with that.
- 7:33Yep, that's right. And and you know, I don't, I
- 7:38don't cast a lot of blame on them.
- 7:40They just don't see it. They think I'm paying my bill
- 7:43every month, go fix the damn dishwasher, right.
- 7:46So, you know, OK, but where does that median citizen fall?
- 7:53And what's happened to the cost of rent over the same period,
- 7:58etcetera, etcetera. And there's all kinds of great
- 8:01further questions we can ask. There are.
- 8:03And as long as you're on the topic, let me shift gears a
- 8:06little bit and talk about household wealth because as I
- 8:09was digging into these these house pricing numbers, this came
- 8:13up and it just shocked me. I've never seen these numbers
- 8:16before. And this comes from the Census
- 8:17Bureau, right? So they're all on the up and up
- 8:21household wealth and it's comparing across the ages.
- 8:24So we break it down to the young people, the middle-aged, the
- 8:27older, and then the the elderly. Household wealth for married
- 8:32couples is 3 to five times what it is for unmarried.
- 8:39So an unmarried male or an unmarried female?
- 8:42Let's leave that as a teaser for the next episode we will record,
- 8:46which will be about wealth. Fair enough.
- 8:48Let me put a footnote. Apparently, according to the
- 8:51numbers, getting married is as valuable to your wealth as
- 8:55getting a higher education. But if you're a man, you'll die
- 8:57a lot sooner and you'd be a lot crankier.
- 9:00Get words and numbers on civil.com and on Civils TV and
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- 9:14All of this is for Naughty Aunt. Do you know why?
- 9:17Tell me. Because tomorrow, A matter of
- 9:20fact, there's no reason we should even be recording this
- 9:22episode. Because tomorrow, September
- 9:2523rd, or perhaps the day after September 24th, there's a little
- 9:30murkiness in the prediction the Rapture will occur.
- 9:34Again, yes. Are they going to be?
- 9:35Are they right this time? But this time they mean it, damn
- 9:38it. And it, it's, it's apparently
- 9:41now to be coincidental with Rosh Hashanah, our Jewish friends,
- 9:46celebration of their new year. They've got way more many years
- 9:50than we do. It's like, are you 20,000?
- 9:53755. Are you the one that years ago
- 9:56said to me, tongue in cheek, you want to invest in a whole bunch
- 9:59of clothes and like, on the day of the purported rapture, like
- 10:04lay them out on sidewalks and stuff?
- 10:10Come on, you have to admit, that'd be hilarious.
- 10:15That would be hilarious, no? Offense to those who who believe
- 10:18in the rapture, but I will point out that this has been predicted
- 10:21many times and nothing has happened.
- 10:24Well, well, you know the raptures predicted endlessly,
- 10:27the the return of Jesus has been again endlessly, and the end of
- 10:33the world has been predicted endlessly.
- 10:36Pick your poison. Which of the three will we talk
- 10:38about today? Well.
- 10:40Well, it's like an economist predicting a recession.
- 10:42Eventually, they're right. Yeah, that's right.
- 10:44Sooner or later, you got to be right.
- 10:48But I mean, come on, come on. This all starts.
- 10:53This version of it starts with a viral video made by somebody
- 10:59named Joshua. Oh, here's the last name I'm
- 11:02never going to be able to pronounce.
- 11:04Malaikala. I bet that's right.
- 11:06A South African preacher who shared his quote, UN quote
- 11:10divine prophecy to YouTube. And then this thing called
- 11:15Christian TikTok, of which I was blissfully unaware until just
- 11:19this afternoon, got a hold of it and ran with it like a bunch,
- 11:24like, like the bunch of fools they are.
- 11:27And now they're all, I mean, there are reports of people
- 11:31quitting their jobs and giving away their cars and, and sorry,
- 11:36pumpkin, but you're gonna, you will regret this.
- 11:39You will regret this. And in the future, when anyone
- 11:43within the the very distant sound of my voice believes that
- 11:47the Rapture is upon us, or it's to be the end of the world, or
- 11:52that Jesus is verifiably returning, I will bet any amount
- 12:00of money up to and including my full net worth that it's not.
- 12:05It's not so. Well, Speaking of betting money,
- 12:08I know someone personally who back in the turn of the century,
- 12:13remember the whole thing about when the dates change from 1999
- 12:18to 2000, The end of this computer in the world, right?
- 12:21He maxed out every credit card he could, figuring that he'd
- 12:25never have to pay because the world was going to end well.
- 12:29Yeah. Not exactly the the sharpest
- 12:32move one could have predicted, but understandable knowing what
- 12:35we know of human nature. Well, he put his money where his
- 12:38mouth is, I'll give him that. Yeah.
- 12:41And then he paid it back over the course of the next 20 years
- 12:44or just simply declared bankruptcy, which a lot of
- 12:46people like to do. I once knew a couple and the I
- 12:50want to make it clear that these these were not my friends.
- 12:53I just knew them. The woman was technically my
- 12:56boss. Not technically she was my boss.
- 12:59And they went on a big, expensive vacation that lasted a
- 13:04very long time. And when she got back, I said,
- 13:09'cause, you know, I knew what she made.
- 13:11We had essentially the same job. And I said, how the hell could
- 13:14you afford that? And she said, oh, we're
- 13:17declaring bankruptcy next week. Oh my, yeah, that's got.
- 13:22That's got to be illegal to knowingly rack up debt.
- 13:27Yeah, I that's the word. So do you know what happened
- 13:31thereafter? Is there?
- 13:32AI do not, and espiculously, just kind of disappeared and was
- 13:36replaced by another person who did not declare bankruptcy, to
- 13:42the best of my knowledge anyway. Today, aunt, we're supposed to
- 13:46be talking about those little ideological bubbles that we all
- 13:50find ourselves in. And you know, this, this Charlie
- 13:54Kirk business that that is getting to be in the rearview
- 13:58mirror is, is not a bad way to start framing it, right?
- 14:02Because there were obviously at least two different groups of
- 14:08people who I observed in in the wake of the murder.
- 14:14One group was horrified by what happened and and couldn't stop
- 14:19weeping, and the other half was celebrating with tremendous Glee
- 14:24and couldn't stop making fools of themselves on social media.
- 14:28Fast forward a little bit and the people who were broken
- 14:33hearted, I, I've got nothing to say to or about them.
- 14:36I, I understand they were broken hearted.
- 14:39They comported themselves relatively well, all things
- 14:42considered, and we don't really have to talk about them so much.
- 14:47There was a bloodthirsty group, not perfectly coincidental with
- 14:53those who were heartbroken, who decided they wanted to go after
- 14:57all of the people who laughed and giggled about the death of a
- 15:01human being. And how better to go after them
- 15:03than by trying to take a chunk out of them in their personal
- 15:06lives and, you know, getting them fired and, and things like
- 15:10this. And then the wave of new videos
- 15:16from the people who were laughing and dancing and singing
- 15:19about how unfair it was that they just got fired.
- 15:22And all of a sudden they were thinking very, very differently.
- 15:25But the the thing that kept coming back over and over and
- 15:28over again was that they couldn't believe anybody could
- 15:31see it any other way. Right.
- 15:33Yes. And I think, you know, there,
- 15:36there's a lot of blame to go around here.
- 15:38A lot of people acted very poorly, as is often the case
- 15:41when things happen. I just want to talk about this
- 15:46propensity that we have to think that every but every rational
- 15:51person just naturally agrees with us.
- 15:54Yeah, but how do how do people miss so many other people on the
- 15:59other side of every issue? How do you just miss them all
- 16:03together? It's like they're not even
- 16:05there. Part of this there's a
- 16:06psychological phenomenon. Who?
- 16:09This name escapes me. You, you may well know what it
- 16:12is that everybody thinks that they're average.
- 16:17And This is why, you know, earlier in this in the previous
- 16:20segment, we were talking about people complaining about the
- 16:23price of housing. And, and This is why I think
- 16:27people have a tendency to report anecdotes rather than data
- 16:31because whatever experience they have, well, of course that's
- 16:34average because the presumption is that one is average, when in
- 16:38fact that's often not the case. Yeah.
- 16:41And you know, as I sit here thinking about it, we talk about
- 16:44this sort of thing a lot, right? Where not only what what you
- 16:49just said that that's a weird phenomenon, right?
- 16:51That people just naturally assume that everybody's kind of
- 16:54like they are and they're like everybody else.
- 16:57And that makes a lot of sense until you get to the level of
- 16:59opinions. And you know, we have radically
- 17:03different opinions. You and I agree on almost
- 17:06everything. And we would go to the
- 17:08mattresses against each other over any number of things,
- 17:12right? We probably agree 90% of the
- 17:16time. Yeah, easily.
- 17:18And and we don't allow the other 10% to make us bloodthirsty
- 17:22against each other, but we know that that 10% exists.
- 17:26Oh, not only does it exist, it's it's, how should I say it
- 17:31involves fundamental stuff on both of our case, in both of our
- 17:34sides. And yeah, that's right.
- 17:36That's right. We're happy.
- 17:37We're happy to put it aside. And and move forward, right.
- 17:41And it's so unimportant in the grand scheme of things.
- 17:44Not in the scheme of things, but in the grand scheme of things
- 17:48that we can let it go because, you know, we both know we have
- 17:51bigger fish to fry and the things that we agree on are
- 17:54infinitely more important and and deeper than the things we
- 17:58don't agree on. Yeah.
- 17:59Let me, let me put just a little bit of color on that.
- 18:01We're not saying that there are these things are important to us
- 18:04that we've decided just to put, put aside.
- 18:08We both still hold them very dear.
- 18:10We just don't make them part of our relationship.
- 18:13Yeah, and but it but more than that, Aunt, I know what yours
- 18:16are, and you know what mine are. Right.
- 18:18Yeah, yeah. We, we operate under no
- 18:21illusions, right? There are things I will never be
- 18:26able to prevail upon with you and vice versa.
- 18:30And OK, notice there are two very important things here.
- 18:34A we understand and B we don't let it affect us.
- 18:39Yes, and you know why? Because we both believe
- 18:43fundamentally in human dignity and I respect you as a person.
- 18:48Doesn't mean I have to agree with you, but it does mean that
- 18:50I'm going to interact with you in a respectful manner.
- 18:54Right. So how is it that we've managed
- 18:57to come to a place where people seem to be genuinely shocked
- 19:04that other people might disagree with them?
- 19:08They they seem to have no understanding that there are
- 19:13large swaths of humanity that agree with them on almost
- 19:16nothing. Yep.
- 19:19And, and I'm not talking about insignificant disagreements, I'm
- 19:22talking about massive wholesale disagreements.
- 19:26I think a large part of it is is kind of trite to blame things on
- 19:30social media, but but I think this is true.
- 19:32A large part of it is, is the way social media does what it
- 19:36does. It's designed to show you things
- 19:40that you have expressed an interest in.
- 19:41Now here I am. I'm I'm a a admittedly right
- 19:46leaning economist. My sister, whom I love dearly,
- 19:49is a left-leaning professor of theatre and dance.
- 19:54From time to time, I notice her on Facebook, on her phone,
- 19:59looking at Facebook. It's like a completely different
- 20:01app. I've never seen the stuff on
- 20:04there that she's looking at. No.
- 20:06And, and I notice it most on Twitter where if I say something
- 20:12that's particularly what's the word, I'm looking for it.
- 20:17It's, it's more than just critical, right?
- 20:19If if I say something that comes off as a condemnation of group
- 20:26XI, get group not X over and over and over again to the
- 20:30exclusion of everything else, until I make a remark that is in
- 20:36the same neighborhood about Group not X.
- 20:39At which point it kicks me right back to group X again.
- 20:42As if there are only two flavors of humanity and I must be one of
- 20:47them or the other of them. And and X Twitter, whatever the
- 20:52hell we're supposed to call it now, it's going to carefully
- 20:56insulate me from what it thinks or opinions I won't agree with.
- 21:02I mean, I, I go out of my way to follow people with whom I have
- 21:06severe disagreements just so I see it.
- 21:10Yeah. I don't want to get, I don't
- 21:12want to get stuck in a, in a, an ideological bubble.
- 21:15I want to see what all the crackpots are saying from every
- 21:19conceivable side of every story I see.
- 21:22I'll never get that, but at least I'm trying.
- 21:25A lot of people aren't even trying.
- 21:27Well, and I think you and I want to see it for, for the same
- 21:31reason. I need to know when my own
- 21:35thinking has gone off the rails and asking people in my bubble
- 21:40is not going to get me anywhere. They're all going to agree.
- 21:42Oh yeah, you're absolutely right.
- 21:44I need, I need to hear from people who disagree with me.
- 21:48And unfortunately, Facebook, Twitter aren't the places to do
- 21:52that. Because if indeed you do manage
- 21:54to break out of the bubble and start interacting with people
- 21:57who disagree with you, all you get is vitriol.
- 22:00Well, all you get is a new bubble.
- 22:03All right. Sure, sure.
- 22:05Right. Our bubbles just bounce off each
- 22:07other over and over again as if that's really what we all want
- 22:11and need. And and you know, it's gotten
- 22:15bad when because here we are, aunt, it's what, September 22nd
- 22:19as we sit here, which means that my favorite and the best
- 22:24American holiday is coming up soon.
- 22:28It's almost time for Thanksgiving.
- 22:30And I'm I'm going to make this bold prediction about the
- 22:36future. One month hence, many, many
- 22:40people on the political left bubble are going to make public
- 22:47how they're not having Thanksgiving dinner with anybody
- 22:50in their damn families ever again because they disagree with
- 22:54them politically. Now that makes you a bit of an
- 22:59imbecile. Now look, if I woke up and found
- 23:02out that everybody in my family was a member of the Klan, I
- 23:06might say the level of political difference in my family is such
- 23:10that perhaps Thanksgiving is better spent somewhere else.
- 23:16Now something short of that, I'm.
- 23:20Pretty sure. I'm not going to say anything of
- 23:23the sort because that would make me the biggest jerk in the
- 23:28world. And oddly enough, you don't see
- 23:31this from the political. Right.
- 23:34Oh, I I do. I don't, in fact.
- 23:37In my bubble, I'm not allowed to see any of this from the
- 23:40political. Right Oh, I see, I see.
- 23:42I was going to say I see on both both the left and the right, I
- 23:46see this same phenomenon that the people who get most angry
- 23:52when they dis when I encounter them disagreeing with me.
- 23:57The ones who get the most angry are also the ones who are least
- 24:01able to defend their positions in.
- 24:04Some level I'm talking about, I'm talking about people who
- 24:07disavow their families, right? But, but I, I think it, I think
- 24:11it comes from the same thing at some level.
- 24:13At some level you're aware of this disconnect that you hold
- 24:17this thing to be important, yet at the same time you you
- 24:22recognize that you're unable to articulate why it's important or
- 24:26why you're holding it as opposed to something else.
- 24:29And that creates that creates tremendous discord within the
- 24:33person. And that's what comes out as
- 24:35anger. Yeah, that's a level of
- 24:37self-awareness that I don't. Think no, I'm not saying it's
- 24:40no, no, no. I don't think has anything to do
- 24:41with self-awareness. It's, it's an automatic thing.
- 24:44How how best can I resolve this tension within me?
- 24:49It's to get away from you. Because when you're not here,
- 24:53you there's nothing pointing to this, to this tension, to my
- 24:56inability to articulate why I believe this thing that I think
- 25:00is so important. Yeah.
- 25:01I'm going to have to think about that.
- 25:03I, I don't know if I agree with you, but I agree more with the
- 25:08more formulated version you just offered than I did with the,
- 25:12the, the earlier one. It's just, and, and I do want to
- 25:16lay this at the feet of social media, right?
- 25:18We, we are in no uncertain terms now programmed by algorithm and
- 25:27we always have that look in, in any time where there was media
- 25:33that was sold, you are going to be programmed by algorithm.
- 25:37It, it just becomes more obvious.
- 25:43The companies that develop the algorithms are much more
- 25:47sophisticated about it now than they ever have been in the past.
- 25:51And, and people miss the most important thing because in the
- 25:59past, you and the viewer of television, the the reader of
- 26:08newspapers and magazines, you got to kind of go and pick and
- 26:13choose this or that. And you made some obvious
- 26:17decisions, right? I'm going to read the Wall
- 26:19Street Journal of the New York Times.
- 26:21Very few people read both, right?
- 26:24So it's, it's one, it's the other.
- 26:26And we fall on largely ideological lines.
- 26:29You're going to watch this news channel or that news channel,
- 26:34etcetera, etcetera. But notice what was happening.
- 26:37You were the consumer and those were the products.
- 26:41You're not the consumer anymore, you're the product.
- 26:45Right. Yeah.
- 26:47And and you're being manipulated.
- 26:49Why Sales, that's what, that's why we always manipulate
- 26:54everything. So if you're the product, it's
- 27:01in the interest of the social media provider to keep you
- 27:05whipped in a frenzy. Hate scrolling, doom scrolling
- 27:09day after day after day, saying things like those bastards on
- 27:14the other side. I can't believe it.
- 27:16Look at what they're doing now. Those are the people you made a
- 27:19soccer practice. Right.
- 27:21Yes, yes. That's, I mean, come on, give
- 27:26it, give it a rest, for the love of God.
- 27:28And the more seriously you take your membership in in your
- 27:36insular bubble, the less human you will be, right?
- 27:42You're just going to turn out to be a partisan crank that nobody
- 27:45wants to be near except all the other partisan cranks who happen
- 27:50to believe with your definition of correct partisanship.
- 27:54And it's going to be just that simple.
- 27:56And yeah, in America, we breakdown, roughly speaking,
- 27:59into a couple of camps. But it it's not that simple,
- 28:03right? There's a number of bubbles out
- 28:06there. Earlier I referred to Christian
- 28:10TikTok. There's a bubble if I ever heard
- 28:13of 1. How much interaction do you
- 28:18think is happening between Christian TikTok and us?
- 28:22I'm guessing not, I'm just guessing done.
- 28:25And and hey, that might be to everybody's preference, but look
- 28:31at what's lost. Any idea of social cohesion is
- 28:35just gone. What you're describing is very
- 28:38similar to what people have started to experience with AI.
- 28:43People who have, who have gone down rabbit holes in largely,
- 28:46not always, but largely they there's some mental illness that
- 28:51they bring to the table in AI. All AI does is magnify and send
- 28:56back to you what you show it. So in that sense, your bubble is
- 29:01no different. And yes, you're talking to human
- 29:03beings, but the human beings are being selected by an algorithm
- 29:07to tell you what you want to hear.
- 29:10It's like going to Catholic school from K through 12 and
- 29:13then going to college finding out there are non Catholics in
- 29:15the world right? Is it?
- 29:18What do you mean you disagree with me and being legitimately
- 29:22shocked by it, right? Words and Numbers is part of the
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- 30:32Let me point out a counterexample.
- 30:35At least it's a partial counterexample, and I'm not sure
- 30:38why it is, but maybe we can hash this out.
- 30:41There is one place in social media where you still get what
- 30:46you're describing, but I see it way less, and that's YouTube.
- 30:51I've got hundreds of videos on YouTube.
- 30:54All of our our episodes are on YouTube.
- 30:56And often people will get on there and leave comments and
- 31:00they're disagreeing with something we've said.
- 31:02And not all the time by any means, but by a huge fraction of
- 31:07the time compared to Facebook and X.
- 31:11When I engage with them, I get a decent, we get a decent back and
- 31:14forth. We don't necessarily come away
- 31:15agreeing, but it's a civil conversation.
- 31:19It's weird because I I always took the admonition not to read
- 31:24the comments very seriously. So in all the thousands of
- 31:28things, I dare say 10s of thousands of things we have
- 31:32released into the wild, I have read exactly none of the
- 31:36comments on any of them. But with the new move to put the
- 31:40podcast on YouTube, I I started dipping my toe and I have to
- 31:46admit I've been really pleased. Right now, I don't care if
- 31:51people agree or not, I just care that they're decent about it,
- 31:55and they almost always are. Yo.
- 31:58So now, in an unlikely turn, I'm actually participating in the
- 32:03comments in our own videos. Right.
- 32:06Yeah. And you know, when I find that
- 32:09it what brings the temperature down quite a bit is when they
- 32:13realize that we're the guys in the video.
- 32:16Yeah, and. Usually I get something like,
- 32:18well, I disagree with you, but I, I respect the fact you came
- 32:21on here to, to, to talk to me. And I think it's that humanizing
- 32:24element that that makes things people are inherently we're, we
- 32:29want to be social. We're inherently good to you see
- 32:32each other at the at the soccer game, and we're much more
- 32:34accepting. It's when you get, when you
- 32:37become the keyboard warrior and you're responding not to a human
- 32:40being but to text on a page that the, the, the hatred comes out.
- 32:46So two things. First, I don't want to meet
- 32:48anybody at a soccer game. It's just a bad example I used
- 32:52I'm I'm never going to a soccer game.
- 32:53Soccer's horrible and it should not be played here or anywhere,
- 32:59but but having set that off to the side, people respond to a
- 33:04characterized version of other people, right?
- 33:09They don't see you, they see your caricature and they say,
- 33:12all right, well, aunt believes this, this and this.
- 33:15Therefore he must believe all these other things that other
- 33:19similar people believe these first three things.
- 33:22They all believe these things. So I'm just going to call him an
- 33:25ass. And they never stopped to think,
- 33:30you know, maybe ants, an actual human being who is going to take
- 33:34being called an ass to heart. It's going to ruin his day.
- 33:38So, you know, we, we tend just not to think of each other in
- 33:42the way we should as human beings.
- 33:45And, and I'll say it again, humans are ends, not means.
- 33:50You have to treat a human being as an end in and of himself, not
- 33:54as the means to get you something that you want.
- 33:58Now, we all serve as means to other people.
- 34:01I, I don't want to just say that's never appropriate, but
- 34:04human beings are first and foremost ends.
- 34:07And it does us all well to remember that.
- 34:10But how do we remember it if we never see other people who
- 34:15aren't like us at all, right, When when the algorithms spit
- 34:20out carbon copies of all of our worst characteristics and throws
- 34:26those people in one room functionally together and then
- 34:31does it for this group and this group and this group and this
- 34:33group. You're not going to get the best
- 34:36of humanity in those groups. It it takes a little bit of
- 34:41interaction in a lot of people have been using the word empathy
- 34:47a lot lately. And and I think empathy is kind
- 34:50of I'm with Charlie Kirk on this one.
- 34:52Empathy is a bit of a new agey nonsense work, but what it
- 34:55really takes is sympathy, your ability to see another life and
- 35:00and understand what a person is very likely feeling.
- 35:05And, and part of that part of that is opening your mind to the
- 35:10fact that we're not split into left and right.
- 35:14Humans are complex creatures and someone may agree with the right
- 35:20on certain things and with the left on other things.
- 35:22There is no line of demarcation like that.
- 35:25And I, I think that's actually one of the places where
- 35:28libertarians, to the extent that they've succeeded at anything,
- 35:32they have managed on their better days to be accepting the
- 35:36people who believe with, who believe some of the things they
- 35:39believe without having to believe all of them.
- 35:42On their better days. But This is why, you know, back
- 35:46to the idea of caricature. I defy you to turn on Fox News
- 35:51or MSNBC and tell me that you really think that's right, that
- 35:58either one of them is doing a nice job of covering the news.
- 36:02These are cartoons that are made for echo chambers and they.
- 36:07Were they're made, They're made to attract your attention and
- 36:10make you mad, so that you can keep coming back, so they can
- 36:13sell advertisements. That's right, because you are
- 36:16the product over and over and over.
- 36:20You see it again and again. And you know, if your echo
- 36:26chamber is so pervasive that you don't hear the echo for what it
- 36:31is, that's a you problem. And you, you should take some
- 36:35positive steps. And I would say the very first
- 36:38positive step you should take is to go out of your way to consume
- 36:44media that you think is from the other crazy side that you don't
- 36:49think should ever be listened to.
- 36:52Whatever your site is, I don't care what your site is, Go find
- 36:56people with whom you have severe disagreements and consume their
- 37:02product. And then I want you to go one
- 37:04step further and find a way to understand them in the most
- 37:11charitable way possible. And that's the hard part.
- 37:15Anybody can turn something on. But can you explain your
- 37:21opponent's political beliefs as well as your opponents can?
- 37:28Because then don't write. And don't write it off as well.
- 37:32My opponent's beliefs are stupid.
- 37:33They're not logical. No, no, no, they are.
- 37:36They're smart and they are logical.
- 37:38And only if you can explain your opponent's beliefs as well as
- 37:43your opponent can, are you now qualified to comment.
- 37:49Yes, right, right. It would be like asking me about
- 37:53the finer points of the rules of soccer, going back to that tired
- 37:57example that we're using. I have no idea.
- 38:01I don't want to know. And if you ask me to opine on
- 38:06the rules of soccer, anything that comes out of my mouth is
- 38:09definitionally ignorant. Now if you want to talk about
- 38:13American football, which is the only kind of football there is
- 38:16except for Australian rules football, yeah, now I've I'll
- 38:22have something to say. You're talking about the
- 38:24football where you use your hands.
- 38:27Shut up. This is why nobody likes you.
- 38:32It's this kind of thing. Right here.
- 38:34In the past, James has talked about Erica Kirk forgiving
- 38:40Charlie's murderer and how much strength that it takes.
- 38:45That's the same kind of strength, albeit on on a smaller
- 38:48scale. But that's what we're talking
- 38:50about here, is forgive the other person.
- 38:53The other person's going to say things that make you mad, Let it
- 38:56go. The other person's going to say
- 38:58things that you think are stupid, Let it go.
- 39:00Engage with other people you disagree with as human beings.
- 39:05Wouldn't that be something? And look, I understand better
- 39:08than most the the very strong desire to live in an antisocial
- 39:15way. Maybe that's the best way of
- 39:17putting it. I've said repeatedly that in the
- 39:21seven years I've lived in my house, I've not met my
- 39:23neighbors. I have no idea who my neighbors
- 39:25are they The only one of my immediate neighbors who I've met
- 39:30is when some poor girl took my, took my, my mail back my mailbox
- 39:36off it's pedestal when she rammed her car into it.
- 39:40Right? This, this is what it takes to
- 39:42get me to answer the door when there's a neighbor ringing the
- 39:45bell. You know, a lot of us would
- 39:48rather be left alone a lot of the time.
- 39:51But that, that's, that's not really what what we're talking
- 39:53about here. Because I like to be left alone.
- 39:56And yet there's an X feed open on my computer, literally if I'm
- 40:00sitting at the computer. So I'm interacting with other
- 40:04humans somehow. I try to approach X with a
- 40:07certain sense of humor because I know it's not real life.
- 40:11I'm not convinced other people realize that that's not real
- 40:16life, right? Facebook is a little more real
- 40:19lifey to me. Why?
- 40:20Because people who I've actually met are there and we interact in
- 40:24in certain ways. But you know, social media is
- 40:28still media. It's just a thing.
- 40:30It's not reality. It's a, it's a, it's a, a
- 40:34carnival mirror held up to reality.
- 40:37And you have to do your part to go find out what real reality
- 40:41looks like, because if you fall for it, you'll fall for
- 40:46anything. Words and Numbers is a Civil
- 40:48original podcast. We work with Civil to advance
- 40:51their mission of upgrading civilization by exploring ideas
- 40:55that promote civic equality and cooperation.
- 40:58We believe the most pressing issues humans face, war,
- 41:01poverty, debt, tribalism, arise from coercive institutions that
- 41:06bring out the worst in us. We at Civil look to voluntary
- 41:10solutions to these and other problems.
- 41:13We invite you to explore Civil's new platform at civil.com
- 41:17thatscivl.com.