Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 218 - 2/17/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:18Hello, and welcome to episode 216 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:35Happy Monday. A new week begins.
- 0:38The month of February rolls on. Now, the second-half of
- 0:41February, before you know it, I keep mentioning this because you
- 0:44know what? I need something to look forward
- 0:46to because it is freezing. There's a ton of snow.
- 0:49It's been freezing rain and ice. My driveway is an ice skating
- 0:52rink, so I got to look toward baseball.
- 0:54So before you know it, we're going to have Major League
- 0:56Baseball to bet on. And of course, even before that,
- 0:59college basketball conference tournaments, March Madness.
- 1:02So that's something to look forward to if you're like me in
- 1:04New England where it feels like this is the iciest, coldest,
- 1:08snowiest winter and in quite a while here.
- 1:10So anyway, guys, we're going to get right back to it today on a
- 1:13big Monday, getting back into the swing of things and it's
- 1:16going to be all college basketball.
- 1:18Now, the slate tonight, only around 20 games overall, but I
- 1:21have 4 plays for you. So we have two very small low
- 1:25bet sharp plays here that are both added extra games.
- 1:28Then I have two big games. So we're going to kind of
- 1:31approach these little bit differently as we always do, the
- 1:33added game, extra games, leaning on, of course, line movement
- 1:36because these are the tiny little matchups that no one can
- 1:39even or the betting public for sure can't even find in their
- 1:41betting app. So we'll look toward line
- 1:43movement and then the big ones here.
- 1:44We're also going to look at line movement, but also lean on some
- 1:47good splits here in terms of heavily bet ESPN, ESPN 2.
- 1:53Yet we're having the public all on one side and good contrarian
- 1:56opportunities to go the other way.
- 1:58So a four pack of college basketball plays for you
- 2:00tonight. Too big, too small.
- 2:02See if we can at least get 2 and hopefully get three out of four
- 2:05to start off our week. Now before we dive right in, I
- 2:08just want to say thank you. I want to issue a thank you
- 2:11because I have just been so overwhelmed with all of your
- 2:15kind thoughts and just kind comments and people reaching out
- 2:20and showing me that they've already pre-ordered my new book,
- 2:23my second book, which if you, if you had missed it, it's now
- 2:26called the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
- 2:28How to analyze the market, go contrarian and bet like a
- 2:32data-driven wise guy. So seriously, those of you who
- 2:35have pre-ordered it, it means the world to me.
- 2:37I'm so excited to get this out to you.
- 2:40Of course, you know I'm preaching to the choir here.
- 2:41If you listen to the all systems Gopod, you probably already have
- 2:45a, a bit of a data-driven perspective, but again, trying
- 2:48to trying to bring more people to to the church, to the
- 2:51synagogue here, whatever you want to call it, because there
- 2:54are a lot of people who love to bet on sports and new people who
- 2:56join every year all the time. I was actually updating the
- 2:59final revision of my book going back and forth.
- 3:02We're in kind of the editing process before it gets printed
- 3:05out, and I added in some new stats and information about just
- 3:09how heavily bet the Super Bowl was this year in NFL betting in
- 3:12general. So the fact that it continues to
- 3:13blow up and we're nearly 40 states with legalized sports
- 3:16betting, plus Puerto Rico and DC, and yet we still haven't
- 3:20even gotten California. I was in New Mexico, they don't
- 3:22have mobile betting yet. And then of course, Texas and
- 3:25Florida's kind of a weird situation because you can bet, I
- 3:28believe at the Hard Rock, but you can't bet mobile.
- 3:30But just the fact that we have so many people betting sports
- 3:33for the first time, they're going to want to bet NFLI can't
- 3:36wait to get my book out to those people because again, when I
- 3:39started betting on sports back in the day, I'm 37 years old.
- 3:43I remember my first job in the industry was 2011.
- 3:46And before that I had bet. Of course, I was 21 but with my
- 3:50friends. But I wish that someone wrote a
- 3:51book for me telling me just the rules of the road.
- 3:53I learned by losing. I learned by learning from
- 3:56people who are much sharper and smarter than me.
- 3:58So hopefully my book will be a resource, not only you to
- 4:02support the team, but maybe your friend, your, your, your dad,
- 4:06your uncle, whoever, who are new into sports betting and want to
- 4:09get into it and have no freaking clue how to approach the NFL.
- 4:12That's where the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook comes in.
- 4:14But again, I have the presale link pinned to my profile on
- 4:19Twitter. If you want to just go to Josh
- 4:20at Josh under score insights. But seriously, I feel like every
- 4:24day I get like two or three people D Ming me with a
- 4:26screenshot that says, you know the NFL sharp betting playbook
- 4:29has been pre-ordered. Thank you, thank you, thank you,
- 4:32thank you. I cannot thank you enough.
- 4:34Spread the link far and wide. Let's keep those pre sales
- 4:36going. But I just wanted to mention by
- 4:37saying I'm overwhelmed and humbled and and I want to say
- 4:41thank you to all the support. Now that being said, let's get
- 4:44right back into what we love to do betting on sports, not from
- 4:47an opinion or opinion or bias perspective, but based on what
- 4:52the market is telling us. The context clues of how the
- 4:54line is moving, the bet splits, letting us know how to go
- 4:57contrarian, where the smart money's at, betting system
- 5:00matches, as well as all the other edges we like to employ,
- 5:02including our friends at Rhythm, Juice Reel, Ken Palm, the whole
- 5:06crew. So that being said, let's get
- 5:08right into it now first. But on the board for me tonight,
- 5:10guys. Now let's start with the two
- 5:12small added extra games where again, we lean on line movement
- 5:15because these are the games the public doesn't care about, can't
- 5:18even find on their app yet. We are excited to play them
- 5:20because we know if the line moved and ain't the public
- 5:22moving the line, it's sharps who have targeted the matchup.
- 5:25And remember, sharps don't care if it's Duke UNC or this example
- 5:29here is Alcorn State, Florida ANM.
- 5:31And you know how you can always tell if it's a small game?
- 5:34Number one, it's not on TV, but #2 can you name the the mascot
- 5:38Duke UNC Blue Devils, the Blue Devils and the North Carolina
- 5:43Tar Heels? What are Alcorn state Florida AM
- 5:46I can tell you they are. I believe I even got to find it
- 5:50for you, Alcorn State and in Florida A&M, but they are the
- 5:54Alcorn state Braves in the Florida A&M rattlers.
- 5:58Is it Spencer Rattler or the rattlers?
- 6:01Either way, let's start reading guys.
- 6:02Let's set the stage. Look at line movement and I'll
- 6:05give you my play here if you want to tail, tail or sweat it
- 6:07with me. So going into if Alcorn State 8
- 6:10and 17 on the year, bad record, but they have played better as
- 6:13of late. They've won four in a row, just
- 6:14took down Bethune Cookman 78 to 74.
- 6:17They won that game outright as a 6 1/2 point Rd. dog.
- 6:20Meanwhile, Ford A&M 11:00 and 12:00.
- 6:22But they've also played pretty well recently.
- 6:24They've won three straight, just held off Jackson State 76 to 71,
- 6:28winning outright as a 2 1/2 point home dog.
- 6:31So what have you seen across the market here?
- 6:33Well mentioned. It's an added game, extra game
- 6:34game 306-505-3065 O 6. So it's a tiny little matchup
- 6:40and we look toward line movement there.
- 6:41So Florida A&M open this game as a very short 1 or 1 1/2 point
- 6:45home favorite. And now Florida A&M is all the
- 6:48way up to -3 some books even 3 1/2 here.
- 6:51So big movement toward Florida A&M.
- 6:54Again, notable movement because no public yet smart money has
- 6:57taken a position here on Florida A&M causing that line move in
- 7:00their favor. So we got an add a game extra
- 7:02game. We got the line move.
- 7:04Now let's look at the bet splits.
- 7:05You'll get DraftKings, Florida A&M only getting 61% of spread
- 7:09bets, 72% of spread dollars. I'll take that.
- 7:12Low bets, higher dollars circa out in Vegas.
- 7:15There's the wise guys, the sharps out in Vegas, 75% of
- 7:19spread bets, 90% of spread dollars on Florida A&M.
- 7:23So you might say to yourself, 61% DraftKings, 75% circa.
- 7:27That's public, right? But technically it's public, but
- 7:30it or technically it's a majority, but it's not public
- 7:32because it's a added game, extra game.
- 7:34So it tells me it's more sharp. Better to have targeted the
- 7:37match up. Now our buddy Ken Palm is
- 7:39Florida AM only winning by one point.
- 7:41So of course Florida AM is -3 three and a half.
- 7:45I ain't laying A1 here. So I played Florida AM on the
- 7:47money line. I got him at -154 little bit
- 7:50earlier today. Now, they're probably a little
- 7:53bit higher here, maybe around -160 but not too far off that
- 7:57-154 but in addition to that, pretty good money line splits
- 8:01here. If you look at DraftKings, 75%
- 8:03of money line bets, 87% of money line dollars.
- 8:06So good heavy one way split in favor of the Rattlers.
- 8:10Now, Ford A&M, couple things we'll bank on.
- 8:12One is their offense, better offensive efficiency.
- 8:15They ranked 317 in the country versus 330 for Alcorn State.
- 8:19Nothing great, but slightly better, but also the better
- 8:21effective field goal percentage. Can you knock down your shots
- 8:2449% versus 46%? Then home Rd.
- 8:28Hopefully this bodes well for us.
- 8:29But Florida A&M this year is 7 and two at home.
- 8:32Alcorn State 3 and 15 on the road.
- 8:36So Alcorn State has really struggled as a visitor.
- 8:39Florida State, Florida A&M has done very well at home.
- 8:42Ken Palm, as you mentioned, has Florida A&M winning this game by
- 8:45one. But our friends at Rhythm have
- 8:47Florida A and M -, 2 1/2. So play here for me.
- 8:52Is Florida A&M on the money line?
- 8:54Low bet added obscure sharp line move.
- 8:57Got pretty good bet splits here as well as a bunch of
- 8:59statistical advantages. I'm going Florida A&M money line
- 9:02at -154 again around -160 now. Next one, Same blueprint added
- 9:08game, extra game sharp line move.
- 9:10This is game 306-509-3065 one O Jackson State and Bethune
- 9:15Cookman, 2 teams that we just had mentioned.
- 9:18Now going into this one, Jackson State is 8 and 17 on the year.
- 9:22They just went two in a row and then just lost two
- 9:24aforementioned Florida A&M their last game.
- 9:27Bethune Cookman, by the way, they are 11 and 14 on the year.
- 9:30They had a pretty good four-game win streak going and then they
- 9:32just lost by 4 to guess what, Alcorn State.
- 9:36So if you're, if you're looking at all these, you know, name
- 9:39drops here. That's because we're playing in
- 9:40the the SWAC, the Southwestern Athletic Conference.
- 9:44Anyway, we open this game with Bethune Cookman opening as a
- 9:48pretty short -1 1/2 point home favorite, and we have now seen
- 9:53this line move further toward Bethune Cookman.
- 9:56Bethune Cookman opening -1 1/2 now all the way up to -3 1/2.
- 10:00I'm actually kicking myself because I when I was writing the
- 10:03Sharp report earlier today for visen.com, which I, I do every
- 10:07day, I pick out three games and I was like Bethune Cookman.
- 10:10I kind of like them too. They're at -1 1/2, but they're
- 10:12kind of juiced up and I waited too long.
- 10:14If I played them a little bit earlier on the money line, I
- 10:16could have gotten a better number, like -130 ish, but now
- 10:21they're up to round. I got them at -160 but is the
- 10:24money line play for me on Bethune Cookman?
- 10:26Anyway, Bethune Cookman open -1 1/2.
- 10:27They pretty much sat 1 1/2 all day, but then they had big steam
- 10:30early afternoon. Now they're up to -3 1/2.
- 10:33Some books, even juice. Like who knows, maybe even goes
- 10:35to four now. Good bet splits here on Bethune
- 10:38Cookman. So at DraftKings, Bethune
- 10:40Cookman is getting 57% of spread bets, 74% of spread dollars,
- 10:45circa 55% of spread bets, 91% of spread dollars.
- 10:50So both at DraftKings and circa big National Public book and a
- 10:54Sharp desert book both basically half the tickets with heavy
- 10:57money in their favor. Couple things to bank on for
- 11:00Bethune Cookman. Better defensive efficiency.
- 11:03They rank 175 in the country versus 198 for Jackson State.
- 11:07They both averaged around 70 points a game, but Bethune
- 11:09Cookman is only giving up around 73 a game.
- 11:12Jackson State is giving up around closer to 80 points per
- 11:16game, as well as effective field goal percentage advantage.
- 11:19Bethune Cookman 48% versus 46%. And then the other thing I like
- 11:24here is, of course, money line play.
- 11:26So I'm not going to lay a 3 1/2 with Bethune Cookman.
- 11:28By the way, the Wildcats versus the Jackson State Tigers as I
- 11:31continue to test your, your mascot knowledge.
- 11:34But anyway, not going to lay a 3 1/2.
- 11:36They win by 1-2 or three, we lose our bet.
- 11:38This is a money line play for me.
- 11:39So I got Bethune cookman -160 and if you look at the money
- 11:42line, splits at DraftKings look pretty good. 69% bets over 80%
- 11:47of dollars. Once again, home Rd. within
- 11:50Cookman 5 and one at home. Jackson State another bad Rd.
- 11:53team 3 and 15 on the road. So if we have Bethune Cookman
- 11:57playing well in front of their home crowd, Jackson State
- 11:59hopefully struggling on the road again.
- 12:02Lastly, Ken Palm has them by two.
- 12:04That's why I money lined them. But rhythm does have Bethune
- 12:06cookman -3.4. So I like the fact that both Ken
- 12:09Palm and Rhythm have Bethune winning this game.
- 12:12So let's go Wildcats BC on the money line.
- 12:15Bethune Cookman at -160 So those are our tiny little games.
- 12:19Now let's get to the big boys tonight, 9:00 Eastern Time.
- 12:23This is AI believe ESPN plus game.
- 12:26We have Kansas State and Utah. So set the stage and I'll tell
- 12:31you which way I'm going here. By the way, let's go utes so K
- 12:34state opens or actually K state. Little background.
- 12:37They're 13 and 12 on the year. Just however saw their six game
- 12:40win streak come to an end. They lost to BYU 80 to 65.
- 12:44Did not cover as a 7 1/2 point Rd. dog.
- 12:46On the other hand, Utah just snapped A2 game losing skid.
- 12:49They had a big win over Kansas 74 to 67.
- 12:52They were a 6 1/2 point home dog and won that game outright.
- 12:56Now what do we see across the market?
- 12:57Well, this game open Utah as a very short 1 1/2 point home
- 13:01favorite and the public says the wrong team is favored.
- 13:05Now you might say to yourself, Utah's at home in 1411.
- 13:08Kansas State is 13 and 12. So why would the public be so
- 13:11heavy on Kansas State? And I would argue they're heavy
- 13:14on K State because of recency bias.
- 13:16K State, even though they lost their last game to BYU, they had
- 13:20a good winning streak going and that's some huge upset wins.
- 13:23They beat Iowa State, Kansas and Arizona.
- 13:26They're all highly ranked teams. So I think the public is just
- 13:29remembering, hey, Kansas State just beat all these really good
- 13:32ranked teams. Now they're going to play Utah.
- 13:34Oh yeah, they're above 500, but they're nothing amazing.
- 13:37So take the points with K State. However, even though you are
- 13:41getting at at DraftKings, 66% of spread bets going K State, what
- 13:46do we always talk about? Line movement, even though
- 13:49public 2/3 of bets are on the Wildcats.
- 13:51Line is going to Utah. Utah open -1 1/2 now they've
- 13:55been bet up to -2 1/2 now. Some shops even going to -3 So
- 13:59one of the most heavily backed games of the night, 2/3 of
- 14:02tickets on K State. You walk into a bar, everyone's
- 14:04going Wildcats. Yet the line's moving toward
- 14:06Utah. So if the public's on K State,
- 14:09you know when they open getting 1 1/2.
- 14:11Why are the odds makers now saying, oh, you like K State?
- 14:131 1/2, here's 2 1/2, here's 3. Go Wild tells me that wise guys
- 14:18have taken a lot of respect to money on Utah causing that fade.
- 14:21The Trendy Dog RLM play in favor of the utes.
- 14:24Now I love these splits at DraftKings.
- 14:26Only 34% of spread bets, but 90% of spread dollars on Utah.
- 14:32You'll get Circa. Only 33% of spread bets, 71% of
- 14:36spread dollars on Utah. So Utah's got the contrarian
- 14:39heavily bet primetime game angle and they got the fade the Trendy
- 14:42dog super sharp bet split from both DraftKings and Circa.
- 14:46So love that now Ken Palm is Utah winning by two.
- 14:49So of course they're -2 1/2 -, 3.
- 14:51You guys know the drill is the money line play for me.
- 14:53I got Utah a little bit earlier today.
- 14:55Money line -145 shop around now. But you're probably looking
- 14:59around a -, 150 at this point. But in addition to the kind of,
- 15:04you know, protect yourself, go money line, good money line
- 15:07split 50% tickets, 74% dollars at Circa on the Utah youths.
- 15:12A couple things all bank on Utah.
- 15:14Better offensive rebound percentage.
- 15:16Hopefully you get extra possessions, more opportunities
- 15:18to score 33% versus 30%. And they limit their opponents
- 15:23to a better effective field goal percentage.
- 15:25Utah's limiting their opponents to 48% versus you look at Utah,
- 15:30they giving up 50% to their opponent.
- 15:33So you always look also look at the utes 39 rebounds per game,
- 15:3734 for the Wildcats. Home Rd. splits, Utah is 13 and
- 15:41three at home. K State is 2 and seven on the
- 15:44road. Lastly, we have Rhythm Utah
- 15:47-2.6. So it's extremely heavily back
- 15:50game. Everyone's going K State, but
- 15:52the line is going toward Utah. Doesn't hurt that in the Big 12.
- 15:56Home favorites this year are 61 and 20.
- 15:58Straight up 75%. So public and the drunk guys can
- 16:02go K State. Let's go Utah baby.
- 16:04Utah Utes on the money line. I got him at -145 last bet of
- 16:09the night, the most heavily bet game of the night, one of the
- 16:11most lopsided games of the night.
- 16:13But another really sharp contrarian play.
- 16:15Arizona and Baylor, 10:00 Eastern Time tonight on ESPN.
- 16:20We have Arizona coming in 17 and 8 on the year, ranked 13th in
- 16:23the country, but they have lost two straight.
- 16:25Just came up short against Houston, 62 to 58.
- 16:28Didn't cover as a 2 1/2 point home dog.
- 16:31Meanwhile, Baylor 16 and 9 on the year, decent record, but
- 16:34they're unranked. They've been kind of
- 16:35inconsistent. They've rotated wins and losses
- 16:37over the last 6. Did, however, just outlast West
- 16:40Virginia 74 to 71 in overtime. Didn't cover, though they were
- 16:44favored by 8 1/2 at home in that one.
- 16:47So what have we seen across the market here?
- 16:49Well, this game open Baylor -1 1/2.
- 16:51And let's just start with that opener.
- 16:52To me, that opener speaks volumes.
- 16:55Why? Because Baylor's unranked and
- 16:57they've been inconsistent. Arizona, yeah, they've lost two
- 16:59in a row, but they're ranked 13th, and they got a good
- 17:01record. So the public says, once again,
- 17:04the wrong team is favored. Currently you're getting 72% of
- 17:07spread bets on Arizona. But this is more not a not a
- 17:11true reverse line move, but a really sharp line freeze.
- 17:14And line freezes when you have heavy betting on one side, but
- 17:17the line won't move toward the popular side.
- 17:18It stays right where it's at and tells you there's some sharp
- 17:21liability at play. So Baylor open -1 1/2 public is
- 17:25all over Zona, 72% of bets at DraftKings.
- 17:29However, even though everyone's playing Zona, this line has not
- 17:33gone down to Baylor -1 pick em. It hasn't hopped the fence and
- 17:36gone to zona -1 or 1 1/2. You would think normally
- 17:39extremely heavily lopsided betting the line will move
- 17:42toward that side because theoretically the odds makers
- 17:44have a lot of liability. They got to move the number,
- 17:47make it more expensive for the popular side, and then move the
- 17:49number to make it more appealing to play the unpopular side.
- 17:52But that hasn't happened. Even though everyone's playing
- 17:54zona, we're still right at -1 1/2.
- 17:57So that tells me the odds makers, even though they're
- 17:58getting hand over fist, you know, $510 bets from average
- 18:02Joes on zona, they're more concerned about the sharp
- 18:04contrarian Baylor betters, which is why they haven't moved the
- 18:07line. The other angle here is, though,
- 18:09if you look at the juice, it's juice not toward Zona like it's
- 18:12going to fall to one. It's juice toward Baylor like
- 18:14it's going to go to 2 -, 1 1/2 - 115 great bets.
- 18:18What's here? Baylor only getting 28% of
- 18:20spread bets is the number one contrarian play of the night,
- 18:24only getting, you know, basically a quarter of bets,
- 18:26less than 1/3 of bets in a heavily bet ESPN late night
- 18:29game. Circa splits look good for
- 18:31Baylor, 50% of bets, 72% of dollars.
- 18:35So good bets. But there Ken Palm only has
- 18:38Baylor winning by 1. So you guys know the drill.
- 18:40It's a money line play. I got Baylor on the money line
- 18:43at -120 some shops closer to -125 right now.
- 18:47But This is why, again, protect yourself, pay a little more
- 18:50juice. Let's win the damn game.
- 18:52Baylor at circa 71% of money line bets, 89% of money line
- 18:57dollars. Couple things to bank on here.
- 18:59Baylor. Better offensive efficiency.
- 19:0112th in the country versus 23rd for Arizona.
- 19:04They shoot the three better 36% versus 31%, and they are better
- 19:08at forcing turnover. 76th in the country versus 161 for Zona.
- 19:13Baylor hopefully plays well at home.
- 19:15They have all year. Knock on wood, they're 12 and
- 19:18one at home. And of course, unranked home fav
- 19:21VS ranked opponent, one of our favorite systems.
- 19:24Will it win every time? No, but hopefully it does
- 19:26tonight. Unranked home fav VS ranked
- 19:28opponent is 24 and 15 straight up this year, 62%.
- 19:32It's actually been even better historically.
- 19:35This would also match the same one as Utah, the Big 12 home
- 19:38favorite straight up in conference play, 75% This year,
- 19:42our friends at Rhythm have Baylor -1.3.
- 19:45So let's fade that trendy Dogzona sharp line.
- 19:48Freeze some juice RLM. Let's go with Baylor.
- 19:50Hopefully to pull this one out. I got Baylor money line at -120
- 19:55so Florida A&M, Bethune Cookman, Utah and Baylor 4 money line
- 20:00plays tonight. Let's try to get 2, hopefully
- 20:02three of these plays here for tonight.
- 20:05So that about does it for episode 216 of the All Systems
- 20:09Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 20:12Of course, this is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 20:15And I start first start first by saying thank you.
- 20:18Thank you for taking the time out of your day at your busy
- 20:21lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar, sweat some sharp
- 20:23contrarian breakdowns. And it means the world that we
- 20:26kind of organically have built this this crew to talk sharp bet
- 20:30splits and line moves with and take the betting system approach
- 20:34of a contrarian angle. Well, that being said, if you do
- 20:37enjoy the pod, do me a solid. Give this podcast a five star
- 20:40review, maybe a nice comment if you're able to comment on
- 20:43Spotify or five star review Spotify or iTunes, that would
- 20:46mean a lot to me. If you also want to click the
- 20:48follow button, if there's an option there.
- 20:50That way it goes right to your library and Spotify and it's
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- 20:55each day. If you want to recommend it to a
- 20:57friend, that would be fantastic as well.
- 21:00Secondly, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, not
- 21:03betting based on what we think or want or hope will happen,
- 21:06what the market is telling us. If this style of betting is
- 21:09appealed to you, if hopefully you've started to make some
- 21:12sharper bets since you started listening, could you also do me
- 21:16a favor? Or if you want to support the
- 21:17pod, you can go buy a couple books.
- 21:20I know people don't read books anymore, they should, but there
- 21:23are two books you should buy. One, go to Amazon.com and type
- 21:26in the everything guide to sports betting.
- 21:28That's my baby, that's my first child.
- 21:31And then next, I'd love for you guys to pre-order my new book as
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- 21:37But please get the pre-orders going.
- 21:39Tell a friend, you know, pre-order for the someone in
- 21:42your life who maybe is new to sports betting and needs to
- 21:44learn a thing or two about a thing or two.
- 21:46But the NFL short betting playbook pretty much has got
- 21:49everything that I've learned over the years on how to
- 21:52approach the NFL betting market as a data-driven better.
- 21:56So it's, it's really got a ton, especially in the last few years
- 21:58that I've picked up just being immersed in the betting world,
- 22:02but I'm really proud of it. Can't wait for it to drop.
- 22:04It comes out August 12th of 2025.
- 22:06Go pre-order, go to Amazon.com, type in the NFL Sharp Betting
- 22:10Playbook and pre-order a copy for yourself or someone that
- 22:14needs it. Next, have you taken advantage
- 22:16of a 7 day free trial of Juice Reel or Rhythm yet?
- 22:19Well, if you haven't, now is the time.
- 22:21I'm really excited with Rhythm. The fact that they've been
- 22:23working long and hard and they're going to unveil MLB for
- 22:27this year. So get ready for MLB.
- 22:30Not that far away. I'm already annoyed because the
- 22:33honeymoon with Alex Bregman almost feels like it's over.
- 22:35I'm so excited as a Sox fan. I got the over 85 1/2 win total
- 22:39and then I find out today that Rafael Devers is pissed off and
- 22:42will not move off a third base. They say will you move to DH?
- 22:45We move to 1st. No, he said no.
- 22:48So classic Red Sox drama right after the honeymoon.
- 22:51But anyway, baseball will be here before you know what
- 22:53rhythms got you covered. Also have you covered for
- 22:55college basketball with AI backed models and predictions
- 22:59for game bets and player props and then of course, juice.
- 23:01Real fantastic for a number of reasons.
- 23:05If you'd like to follow the all systems go best bet picks you
- 23:07can sign up actually just change the kind of the best bet follow
- 23:12option. Shout out to Ricky Gold and the
- 23:15crew. But there's now an option to
- 23:17have a 7 day free trial of following best bets.
- 23:20So you can do a free trial of following the all systems go
- 23:23best bet picks. You don't have to go right into
- 23:24the $4.99 per per week, which again to me is like a tip jar.
- 23:30If you enjoy the free insights, hopefully you feel they're
- 23:32worthy of $4.99 a week. You can go follow the ASG under
- 23:37score podcast best bets on Juice Reel as well as the Robo Jackson
- 23:41best bet picks, sharp mush indicators, arbitrage plays,
- 23:45shopping for the best line futures, actual dollar
- 23:48breakdowns. People have synced up their
- 23:50sports books to the app all available on juice reel.
- 23:53So go to the App Store, download rhythm, download juice reel,
- 23:55tell a friend, give it a five star review and you'll be off
- 23:58and running making sharp bets. So that about does it getting
- 24:02back into the swing of things on a Monday.
- 24:04Hope you guys had a great weekend.
- 24:06Let's see if we can cash some tickets for tonight.
- 24:08I'll always leave you with a couple things to finish up the
- 24:11pod. One, whether I see you at the
- 24:13Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
- 24:16in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut
- 24:20at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM
- 24:23Springfield. In my neck of the woods in
- 24:24Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true grinders
- 24:27get down. Where Billy Walter sends his
- 24:29number runners. Where the lowest use possible is
- 24:31found at the South Point. Or Sweat and Sharp can train
- 24:34plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
- 24:36When you cash a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
- 24:38you're going to walk up to me and you're going to show me a
- 24:41mint, shiny, beautiful copy of the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
- 24:46I'll sign it for you and I'll buy you a beer or a ginger ale
- 24:48and we'll sweat some sharp games together.
- 24:51But as always, guys, stay sharp. Stay contrarian.
- 24:54Bet against the public. Place yourself on the side of
- 24:56the house. Always be with the smart money,
- 24:58never against it. Will smart money when?
- 24:59Every time? Of course not.
- 25:01Unfortunately, sports betting is difficult.
- 25:03It ain't easy, as you've all probably come to know by now,
- 25:06but it doesn't mean it's impossible.
- 25:07So let's stick to the model, stick to the blueprint against
- 25:10the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid
- 25:13parlays, get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 25:16to be successful sports betters. So have a great Monday,
- 25:18everyone. If you're like me in New England
- 25:20and it's freezing cold and spitting rain and snow and ice,
- 25:25just just just look out the window.
- 25:28As Rodgers Hornsby once said this famous quote.
- 25:30What do you do when there's the when there's no baseball?
- 25:33He said. I, I look out the window and I
- 25:35wait for spring. So I'm waiting for spring.
- 25:37But either way, guys, have a great Monday.
- 25:39I'll be back at it tomorrow. That'll be a big Tuesday.
- 25:42Episode 217 of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast
- 25:47powered by rhythm. Good luck and have a great
- 25:49Monday.