Latest / Pod Save America / Trump Stokes Border Chaos
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau. I'm Jon Leavitt.
- 0:22Speaker 2: I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 0:23Speaker 1: On today's show, Joe Biden wins the South Carolina primary.
- 0:25Speaker 1: Nikki Haley does SNL. Donald Trump throws his RNC chair
- 0:28Speaker 1: under the bus. and we all creep closer to regional
- 0:31Speaker 1: war in the Middle East. But first, Democrats and Republicans
- 0:35Speaker 1: in the Senate finally unveiled a bill that would reform
- 0:37Speaker 1: our border, asylum, and immigration laws, while also providing aid
- 0:41Speaker 1: for Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan, and some humanitarian relief for Palestinians.
- 0:46Speaker 1: President Biden, Chuck Schumer, and Mitch McConnell all support the deal,
- 0:49Speaker 1: but Donald Trump has ordered Republicans to kill it, and
- 0:51Speaker 1: sure enough, Mike Johnson says it's dead in the House.
- 0:54Speaker 1: Still unclear if it can even pass the Senate. Fortunately,
- 0:58Speaker 1: we have some great intel on that. Lovett just talked
- 1:00Speaker 1: to Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy, the deal's lead Democratic negotiator.
- 1:04Speaker 1: So we're going to listen to what he says, and
- 1:07Speaker 1: then we'll talk more about the politics. Here it is.
- 1:15Speaker 3: Senator Chris Murphy, good to have you back on Pod
- 1:16Speaker 3: Save America.
- 1:17Speaker 4: Yeah, awesome to be with you guys. Thanks for having me.
- 1:20Speaker 3: You were the lead Democratic negotiator on this bipartisan border
- 1:23Speaker 3: proposal that also includes funding for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan.
- 1:26Speaker 3: Can you talk briefly about what this proposal does and
- 1:29Speaker 3: why people thought a compromise like this might not even
- 1:31Speaker 3: be possible?
- 1:33Speaker 4: Yeah, well, you know, listen, first of all, it preserves
- 1:36Speaker 4: the post-World War II order by saving Ukraine by making
- 1:39Speaker 4: sure that they have enough to fight throughout this calendar year.
- 1:43Speaker 4: That's good for Ukraine. That's good for our fight to
- 1:46Speaker 4: prevent the takeover of Taiwan. That's good for our.
- 1:49Speaker 1: Allies in NATO.
- 1:51Speaker 4: We wanted to get Ukraine money done last fall, but
- 1:53Speaker 4: Republicans told us that notwithstanding their support for Ukraine funding,
- 1:58Speaker 4: they wouldn't vote for it unless the bill also included
- 2:01Speaker 4: provisions to make changes at the border.
- 2:03Speaker 2: So we took them at their word.
- 2:05Speaker 4: And we spent four months negotiating changes in our immigration
- 2:08Speaker 4: and border laws to help the president better manage the
- 2:11Speaker 4: flow of people across the border. Obviously, it's not great
- 2:14Speaker 4: when you have 10,000 people showing up on a daily
- 2:16Speaker 4: basis unplanned, but also to fix our broken asylum system, right?
- 2:21Speaker 4: You come to the United States, you apply for asylum.
- 2:23Speaker 4: It can sometimes take 10 years to get that claim approved.
- 2:26Speaker 4: That's not fair either. Now, I was pessimistic that we
- 2:30Speaker 4: could get this done. I mean, we don't normally have
- 2:33Speaker 4: much success finding bipartisan compromise on the question of immigration,
- 2:37Speaker 4: but we did it. Senator Lankford, nine, Senator Sinema got
- 2:41Speaker 4: a deal done on new powers at the border, a
- 2:45Speaker 4: new asylum system, and the deal's going to be good
- 2:47Speaker 4: for the country. And it also gets Ukraine funded. So
- 2:50Speaker 4: it's now coming to the floor of the Senate, and
- 2:52Speaker 4: we'll see whether Republicans were serious. They said they wanted
- 2:55Speaker 4: to pair border policy and Ukraine funding. Maybe they didn't
- 2:59Speaker 4: really think we'd get it done. We did, and now
- 3:02Speaker 4: they have a chance to vote on a pretty landmark
- 3:05Speaker 4: bipartisan achievement on both immigration and border reform and support
- 3:09Speaker 4: for Ukraine, Israel, and humanitarian assistance.
- 3:12Speaker 3: Now, This wasn't a year ago that Republicans were saying this.
- 3:16Speaker 3: This was as recently as December. And there are a
- 3:19Speaker 3: lot of people that said it couldn't happen, but that
- 3:21Speaker 3: this is what Republicans were demanding for Ukraine aid. Now
- 3:23Speaker 3: you have, just a few weeks later, Donald Trump's agitating
- 3:26Speaker 3: against the bill. Your colleague and negotiating partner, James Lankford,
- 3:31Speaker 3: is getting censured just for the sin of participating in
- 3:33Speaker 3: the negotiations. You have Republicans like Mike Johnson coming out
- 3:36Speaker 3: before the bill is done. You have senators Basically saying
- 3:40Speaker 3: just the fact that Democrats and Republicans work together is
- 3:43Speaker 3: what Josh Hawley said today is a problem in and
- 3:45Speaker 3: of itself. It does seem as though Senator Lankford went
- 3:48Speaker 3: out on a limb and now his colleagues are sawing
- 3:52Speaker 3: it off. Are you surprised by how quickly his Republicans
- 3:57Speaker 3: turned against Republicans on this? And behind the scenes, are
- 4:02Speaker 3: the sort of serious Republicans who have negotiated this deal frustrated?
- 4:07Speaker 4: I wish I was shocked by it, but this is
- 4:10Speaker 4: part of the reason why we were reluctant to engage
- 4:13Speaker 4: in this conversation, because we knew that any bipartisan immigration
- 4:19Speaker 4: reform proposal would be opposed by Donald Trump. Why is that?
- 4:24Speaker 4: Donald Trump has no interest in solving the crisis at
- 4:28Speaker 4: the border. He wants to preserve chaos at the border
- 4:31Speaker 4: because it's good for him electorally. So you go into
- 4:36Speaker 4: these negotiations knowing that even if you do get a deal,
- 4:39Speaker 4: it's going to be opposed by Donald Trump. And if
- 4:41Speaker 4: it's opposed by Donald Trump, you know that there's going
- 4:43Speaker 4: to be a bunch of Republicans that are going to
- 4:45Speaker 4: side with him and his political interests instead of siding
- 4:48Speaker 4: with what's good for the country. So this is not
- 4:51Speaker 4: an unexpected position to be in.
- 4:54Speaker 1: But I did think with all these.
- 4:57Speaker 4: Republican senators telling Senator Lankford to go get a deal
- 5:00Speaker 4: with me and Senator Sinema, that enough of them would
- 5:03Speaker 4: stick with him to get the bill across the finish line.
- 5:06Speaker 4: That is not certain today. It's not clear whether there
- 5:10Speaker 4: will be just 15 or 20 Republicans that will stand
- 5:14Speaker 4: with Senator Lankford and stand with the country to back
- 5:17Speaker 4: up these common sense changes in immigration policy. We will see,
- 5:21Speaker 4: but it wouldn't obviously be shocking to anybody if Donald
- 5:24Speaker 4: Trump ultimately won out here and his desire to preserve
- 5:30Speaker 4: chaos at the border ultimately won the day.
- 5:33Speaker 3: So one argument in recent days is that President Biden
- 5:36Speaker 3: doesn't need additional authority to control the border. That must
- 5:39Speaker 3: have come as a surprise to you, especially as Republicans
- 5:43Speaker 3: have been pushing for H.R. 2. What did you make
- 5:45Speaker 3: of that argument?
- 5:46Speaker 4: So why is it called H.R. 2? It's H.R. 2
- 5:50Speaker 4: because it was the second bill introduced by Republicans when
- 5:54Speaker 4: they won the majority. It was so important to them
- 5:57Speaker 4: to pass new law giving the president new power to
- 6:01Speaker 4: control the border that they made it the second bill
- 6:04Speaker 4: that they introduced. And so Republicans have been super consistent
- 6:08Speaker 4: for the last year and a half about the white
- 6:12Speaker 4: hot need to pass new immigration laws right up until
- 6:16Speaker 4: the point in which it was actually possible to pass
- 6:19Speaker 4: new immigration laws because most House Republicans weren't sincere about
- 6:24Speaker 4: actually fixing the problem. They have become so addicted to
- 6:27Speaker 4: complaining about the problem, they've been so addicted to using
- 6:31Speaker 4: immigration and the border as a political cudgel come election time,
- 6:35Speaker 4: that they can't conceive of it going away, right? The
- 6:39Speaker 4: idea that there might be less scenes of thousands of
- 6:43Speaker 4: people presenting at the border in an unplanned way this
- 6:46Speaker 4: summer and this fall, that is paralyzing to many House
- 6:49Speaker 4: Republicans because they don't have anything to run on other
- 6:51Speaker 4: than criticizing the president on the border. And so.
- 6:56Speaker 1: This is new.
- 6:58Speaker 4: Information to me that Republicans in the House are all
- 7:01Speaker 4: of a sudden saying, well, the president doesn't need any
- 7:03Speaker 4: new authority. They've been pushing for that new authority right
- 7:06Speaker 4: up until the point when it was possible that the
- 7:10Speaker 4: new authority would actually become law.
- 7:13Speaker 3: What is your response to the criticisms from the left?
- 7:15Speaker 3: Because if you do want to pass through the Senate,
- 7:17Speaker 3: you don't just need Republicans, you need enough Republicans to
- 7:19Speaker 3: overcome any Democrats you might lose. What is your response
- 7:22Speaker 3: to the criticism from the left that this is enforcement
- 7:25Speaker 3: only and will lead to more hardships for people with
- 7:29Speaker 3: legitimate claims to asylum while not actually reducing the chaos
- 7:34Speaker 3: at the border?
- 7:35Speaker 4: Yeah, so this is going to be an old-fashioned compromise.
- 7:38Speaker 4: There are going to be a lot of Republicans who
- 7:39Speaker 4: will vote against it, but there are going to be
- 7:41Speaker 4: some Democrats that are going to vote against it. And
- 7:43Speaker 4: I think largely for this reason, this bill... is not
- 7:47Speaker 4: comprehensive immigration reform, and it doesn't include a pathway to
- 7:51Speaker 4: citizenship for undocumented Americans. And I'm heartbroken over that. But
- 7:56Speaker 4: I do think that the situation at the border has
- 7:59Speaker 4: become so unmanageable on many days that it is threatening
- 8:03Speaker 4: to unwind mainstream Americans' confidence in the legal immigration system.
- 8:08Speaker 4: And so if we want to preserve the asylum system
- 8:12Speaker 4: and the refugee system, I do think we have to
- 8:15Speaker 4: make some reforms to those systems and how the border
- 8:19Speaker 4: is managed. And I think that is in service of
- 8:23Speaker 4: progressives' desire in the long run to be able to
- 8:27Speaker 4: keep those pathways open. But, John, the bill also does
- 8:31Speaker 4: have some really important wins for progressives. This bill includes
- 8:35Speaker 4: the biggest expansion of family reunification visas in recent memory.
- 8:41Speaker 4: It includes, for the first time ever, a right to
- 8:43Speaker 4: counsel for all migrants to the country. It actually has
- 8:46Speaker 4: government paid for counsel for unaccompanied minors. It gets work
- 8:51Speaker 4: authorizations to migrants much quicker, right? You have all these
- 8:55Speaker 4: immigrants on the streets in homeless shelters because they can't
- 8:59Speaker 4: work for a year after they get to the United States.
- 9:02Speaker 4: This bill fixes that problem. So yes, this isn't everything
- 9:06Speaker 4: that progressives want, but I think it's important to make
- 9:08Speaker 4: a down payment on reform to preserve sort of the
- 9:12Speaker 4: bulk of Americans' faith in the system. And there are
- 9:14Speaker 4: some important wins in here for progressives and immigrant right groups.
- 9:18Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I hear you sort of trying to
- 9:19Speaker 3: strike a balance. On the one hand, as you pointed
- 9:22Speaker 3: out at the top, that this negotiation only took place
- 9:24Speaker 3: because Ukrainian funding was on the line. But at the
- 9:27Speaker 3: same time, that there is a real crisis at the border.
- 9:31Speaker 3: It does threaten to change the politics of this issue.
- 9:35Speaker 3: Democratic mayors are dealing with this crisis as it hits
- 9:38Speaker 3: their cities. Do you believe this bipartisan immigration piece is
- 9:43Speaker 3: worthy and good in and of itself? Or would you
- 9:46Speaker 3: not be behind this kind of proposal if not for
- 9:48Speaker 3: the Ukraine hostage taking?
- 9:51Speaker 4: I think it's worthwhile in and of itself. I was
- 9:54Speaker 4: reluctant to start this conversation because I didn't think it
- 9:57Speaker 4: was possible to get a bipartisan immigration reform bill done.
- 10:02Speaker 4: And since it hasn't gotten a vote on the Senate floor,
- 10:06Speaker 4: I'm still not sure that it's possible. But I actually
- 10:08Speaker 4: do believe that this isn't 2013 anymore. I mean, back then,
- 10:13Speaker 4: you know, there were maybe 500 people every day applying
- 10:17Speaker 4: for asylum at the southern border. Today, it's 8,000, 10,000 people.
- 10:22Speaker 4: And if you look all around the world, you are
- 10:24Speaker 4: seeing left governments and center left governments being brought down
- 10:29Speaker 4: by the issue of immigration and hard right nationalist regimes
- 10:33Speaker 4: taking their place. And so I think as a progressive constituency,
- 10:38Speaker 4: as a democratic movement that cares deeply about preserving the
- 10:42Speaker 4: pathways of legal immigration, we do need to understand that
- 10:46Speaker 4: the status quo is not sustainable. and that if we
- 10:49Speaker 4: ever wanna be in a position to win those fights
- 10:53Speaker 4: on behalf of DREAMers or undocumented Americans, it frankly serves
- 10:57Speaker 4: our interest to show Americans that we can handle our
- 11:02Speaker 4: existing immigration system in a more orderly way. So I
- 11:06Speaker 4: get it that this isn't the way that a lot
- 11:08Speaker 4: of advocates thought this was gonna play out. Everybody thought
- 11:11Speaker 4: that when you did a big immigration deal, a pathway
- 11:14Speaker 4: to citizenship was definitely gonna be there. But I worry
- 11:17Speaker 4: that if we don't take this step, Harder more dystopian
- 11:21Speaker 4: times are ahead of us when it comes to migration
- 11:23Speaker 4: politics in the United States.
- 11:25Speaker 3: So one last question just on the immigration piece and
- 11:28Speaker 3: the process Obviously, you know, there's a joint statement by
- 11:32Speaker 3: Republican leaders in the house saying this thing is dead
- 11:34Speaker 3: on arrival They don't want it to pass the Senate
- 11:38Speaker 3: If it passes the Senate what happens?
- 11:41Speaker 4: So I think they do not want it to pass
- 11:43Speaker 4: the Senate because they know if it did and it
- 11:47Speaker 4: had a good bipartisan vote in the Senate, there would
- 11:50Speaker 4: be a lot of pressure to bring it up for
- 11:52Speaker 4: a vote in the House. Because there are a not
- 11:56Speaker 4: insignificant number of House Republicans who desperately want Ukraine aid
- 12:02Speaker 4: and who are willing to look at the changes we
- 12:04Speaker 4: made to the border on the merits. So Johnson just
- 12:09Speaker 4: doesn't want to have to deal with the ratcheted up
- 12:12Speaker 4: pressure that would exist on him both on passing border
- 12:16Speaker 4: reform and on passing Ukraine aid if we get this
- 12:19Speaker 4: bill out of the Senate. If it fails, then he
- 12:22Speaker 4: can just throw his hands up and say, well, the
- 12:25Speaker 4: Senate couldn't get their act together. Until the Senate figures
- 12:27Speaker 4: their stuff out, I'm just not going to do anything
- 12:30Speaker 4: on Ukraine or the border. So this is just a
- 12:33Speaker 4: play to prevent him from having to figure out a
- 12:38Speaker 4: path forward on Ukraine and on immigration. It's a bluff, essentially,
- 12:43Speaker 4: and it's a bluff that the Senate should call.
- 12:51Speaker 1: Okay, so we're going to play the rest of that
- 12:53Speaker 1: interview later. Senator Murphy also talked to Lovett about two
- 12:56Speaker 1: equally important topics, war in the Middle East and pizza. Yeah,
- 13:00Speaker 1: you bet.
- 13:00Speaker 2: Connecticut pizza, to be specific.
- 13:02Speaker 1: Don't spoil it.
- 13:03Speaker 2: Well, I can't tell if he liked it or not.
- 13:07Speaker 1: But anyway... Let's start with what we just heard Murphy
- 13:10Speaker 1: say about the immigration deal. He basically said he expected
- 13:13Speaker 1: Trump and Mike Johnson to kill this deal, but still
- 13:16Speaker 1: thought there'd be enough Republican votes in the Senate to
- 13:19Speaker 1: pass it. Now he's not so sure. He also thinks
- 13:22Speaker 1: if it does pass the Senate, Johnson knows there will
- 13:25Speaker 1: be pressure to give it a vote in the House. Tommy, politically,
- 13:29Speaker 1: do you think it makes a difference whether or not
- 13:31Speaker 1: the Senate passes this?
- 13:32Speaker 2: I think the Senate passing this bill will definitely help
- 13:36Speaker 2: Biden focus attention on it. So to the extent you
- 13:38Speaker 2: want a political fight, I think the Senate passage would
- 13:40Speaker 2: be useful. I don't think they need the Senate to
- 13:42Speaker 2: pass the bill to make the case that Republicans are
- 13:46Speaker 2: obstructing immigration reform because they think it might help Biden politically.
- 13:50Speaker 2: Republicans have given them all kinds of quotes where they
- 13:53Speaker 2: say it explicitly. And so Biden should have a field
- 13:55Speaker 2: day with that. I just think it will get easier, though,
- 13:57Speaker 2: to get the press corps involved. to cover what's happening
- 14:00Speaker 2: if there's actual movement. Obstruction, unfortunately, as we learned through
- 14:04Speaker 2: years of Mitch McConnell, is hard for the press to cover.
- 14:07Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 14:07Speaker 2: It's kind of the same story every day.
- 14:09Speaker 1: Love it. What was your take on it?
- 14:10Speaker 3: I think reading between the lines, it feels like there
- 14:13Speaker 3: was maybe a hope that what the opposition to this
- 14:17Speaker 3: border agreement would look like would be the opposition to
- 14:20Speaker 3: bipartisan budget agreements, right? That it might more take the
- 14:23Speaker 3: shape of that, where you have something that could potentially
- 14:26Speaker 3: pass the Senate in a bipartisan way and then kind
- 14:29Speaker 3: of die in the House or meet right-wing resistance in
- 14:35Speaker 3: the House. I think that it does seem like the
- 14:38Speaker 3: number of Republican senators that have been willing to come
- 14:41Speaker 3: out against this, I think maybe is a little bit
- 14:43Speaker 3: more than sounds like he expected, but I don't know.
- 14:45Speaker 1: I mean, I do think it only matters on the.
- 14:47Speaker 3: Margins because whether It died in both chambers or just
- 14:52Speaker 3: the House. Republicans decided to, out of fealty for Donald Trump,
- 14:55Speaker 3: kill something important that they requested.
- 14:57Speaker 1: That is true regardless.
- 14:59Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 14:59Speaker 1: You can tell that they, Republicans, really don't want it
- 15:02Speaker 1: to pass the Senate.
- 15:03Speaker 4: Yes.
- 15:03Speaker 1: Did you notice there's a concerted effort underway to make
- 15:06Speaker 1: James Lankford the fall guy for this whole thing? Trump
- 15:09Speaker 1: said on Monday that he didn't even endorse the guy,
- 15:12Speaker 1: which is not true. There's a whole statement from him
- 15:13Speaker 1: endorsing him. Mike Lee's staff reportedly yelled at Lankford's staff
- 15:18Speaker 1: at a meeting yesterday. and accuse them of betrayal. So
- 15:23Speaker 1: it is much harder for them to define this deal
- 15:26Speaker 1: as the work of like some rogue rhino if it
- 15:29Speaker 1: passes the Senate, right? Like they can't do that. And
- 15:32Speaker 1: so they don't want... Because if Joe Biden and Democrats
- 15:36Speaker 1: can go around being like, look, there's this many Republican
- 15:38Speaker 1: senators voted for this bill. The House decided to kill it.
- 15:40Speaker 1: Donald Trump did it. It's just, it is a better argument.
- 15:42Speaker 1: I agree that you can make it either way, but
- 15:45Speaker 1: I'd love it to pass the Senate.
- 15:46Speaker 3: It is like... I know it's sort of like we've
- 15:48Speaker 3: set up, but like, man, what was said when Republicans
- 15:51Speaker 3: first started saying we will not support Ukraine funding unless
- 15:54Speaker 3: there is a border deal. Like at the time, people said, oh,
- 15:57Speaker 3: this is just their way of killing Ukraine funding because
- 16:00Speaker 3: a border deal is basically impossible. And then they get
- 16:03Speaker 3: what is ultimately like, you know, there there are parts
- 16:06Speaker 3: that reform the asylum system. There are parts that reform
- 16:08Speaker 3: the visa system. But this is a border enforcement bill.
- 16:11Speaker 3: They got what they wanted. And they really did catch
- 16:14Speaker 3: the car.
- 16:15Speaker 1: Because they did. I think they didn't believe the Democrats
- 16:18Speaker 1: would actually negotiate and meet them that far. Yeah, they
- 16:21Speaker 1: didn't believe it.
- 16:22Speaker 2: They got what they wanted. And the kinds of things
- 16:24Speaker 2: that they're now mad about are like Senator Josh Hawley
- 16:28Speaker 2: is upset that the bill would give taxpayer funded lawyers
- 16:31Speaker 2: to certain migrants. Chris Murphy pointed out that that would
- 16:34Speaker 2: be for. unaccompanied children who cross the border. Like the
- 16:38Speaker 2: things they're mad about are so ridiculous and outrageous that
- 16:41Speaker 2: they're holding up to try to kill this bill. It's
- 16:42Speaker 2: just like, it shows you how, how trapped they feel.
- 16:45Speaker 1: And they're lying a lot about a lot of the
- 16:46Speaker 1: provisions too. Some of the, like they're mad about certain
- 16:48Speaker 1: things that are real, like you just mentioned, and then
- 16:50Speaker 1: some shit they're just lying about.
- 16:51Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 16:51Speaker 1: I mean, there's a mix, right?
- 16:52Speaker 3: Then there's, then you have like Langford having to go
- 16:53Speaker 3: on Fox and friends to be like, they're like, uh, uh,
- 16:56Speaker 3: you know, one of those doofs asked him like, oh,
- 16:57Speaker 3: there's this money in here that seems that, that Republicans
- 16:59Speaker 3: are objecting to. And Langford's like, yeah, I mean, that's money.
- 17:03Speaker 3: So people don't die of thirst in the desert. which
- 17:06Speaker 3: is not something as Americans.
- 17:08Speaker 1: We would support.
- 17:10Speaker 3: And then you have like Mike Lee and all these
- 17:12Speaker 3: other guys like lying about what the provisions on the
- 17:15Speaker 3: number of people that have to come in before these
- 17:17Speaker 3: rules kick in. And they're using that to say like, oh,
- 17:20Speaker 3: they want to allow 1.8 million undocumented people into the country,
- 17:23Speaker 3: which is again, just like a bold faced lie. I
- 17:26Speaker 3: wonder if, you know, it's like there are all these
- 17:28Speaker 3: Republicans that worked on this deal. Now they're having kind
- 17:31Speaker 3: of the lies Republicans normally reserve for us kind of
- 17:33Speaker 3: visited upon them.
- 17:34Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it's great. It's funny watching Lankford be like,
- 17:38Speaker 1: what is this party? What are they doing? At one point,
- 17:42Speaker 1: Lankford said, I just want people to read the text
- 17:44Speaker 1: of the bill because right now I think they're making
- 17:46Speaker 1: a lot of their judgments based on Facebook posts. I'm like, what?
- 17:49Speaker 1: Not your fellow Republicans.
- 17:51Speaker 3: Can you believe it?
- 17:52Speaker 2: And then he's like, what?
- 17:53Speaker 3: You know, Mike Lee asked for three weeks to read
- 17:54Speaker 3: the bill but came out against it before it was out.
- 17:56Speaker 3: What's going on?
- 17:57Speaker 1: I've never seen that happen with my party before. There's gambling.
- 18:00Speaker 3: There's gambling in this casino.
- 18:01Speaker 1: Well, so Trump and a lot of these Republicans opposed
- 18:04Speaker 1: to the deal are calling it open borders. It is,
- 18:06Speaker 1: of course, not. They're calling it an amnesty bill. It
- 18:10Speaker 1: grants no amnesty to anyone. Immigration activists and some progressive
- 18:14Speaker 1: Democrats are saying it's too harsh and restrictive. Obviously, both
- 18:18Speaker 1: can't be right. What do you guys think?
- 18:20Speaker 2: I mean, it's absolutely not an open border amnesty bill.
- 18:24Speaker 2: It's $ 14 billion for border enforcement. It reforms the asylum process.
- 18:29Speaker 2: They make it harder to get into the country. The
- 18:31Speaker 2: authority to close the border if too many people cross unlawfully.
- 18:34Speaker 2: It forces border wall construction. So that's just nonsense. I
- 18:38Speaker 2: definitely understand the criticism from the left. especially the fact that,
- 18:42Speaker 2: and you addressed this with Senator Murphy, this doesn't provide
- 18:45Speaker 2: a pathway to citizenship for the dreamers, for kids who
- 18:47Speaker 2: are brought to the United States by their parents, have
- 18:49Speaker 2: lived here their entire lives, and face deportation to countries
- 18:53Speaker 2: they've never lived in, maybe don't speak the language, don't
- 18:55Speaker 2: know anybody. That is a tough pill to swallow. But
- 18:58Speaker 2: the other thing that, just for context, there are all
- 19:01Speaker 2: these changes to the asylum process, including the ability for
- 19:04Speaker 2: the president to shut down the border between ports of entry,
- 19:06Speaker 2: but those provisions sunset after a couple of years. So
- 19:09Speaker 2: they're not permanent changes. it is seemingly designed to address
- 19:13Speaker 2: what they feel like is an acute crisis that's been
- 19:15Speaker 2: happening over.
- 19:15Speaker 1: The last couple of years.
- 19:16Speaker 2: So, you know, Murphy's response, I'll let you guys listen
- 19:19Speaker 2: to Murphy's response to that argument.
- 19:20Speaker 1: I found it compelling.
- 19:21Speaker 2: I do think there's real concern that people feel like
- 19:24Speaker 2: the entire immigration system is totally broken and are so
- 19:28Speaker 2: angry about it that they're only going to support more
- 19:30Speaker 2: draconian things first before they are willing to reform the
- 19:34Speaker 2: entire system in ways that progressives might like.
- 19:36Speaker 1: I think that there was a longtime hope that you
- 19:40Speaker 1: would pair pathway to citizenship with stricter border enforcement to
- 19:45Speaker 1: get some kind of a compromise grand bargain on immigration.
- 19:47Speaker 1: I think that is long gone. And you were never
- 19:50Speaker 1: going to get a pathway to citizenship through this house.
- 19:53Speaker 1: We're not even going to get an enforcement only bill
- 19:55Speaker 1: through this house. So that was never on the table.
- 19:58Speaker 1: And the only way you're going to get a pathway
- 20:00Speaker 1: to citizenship is now if you have 60 Democratic votes
- 20:03Speaker 1: in the Senate or get rid of the filibuster and
- 20:05Speaker 1: a Democratic president, Democratic house. That's the only way we're
- 20:07Speaker 1: getting a pathway to citizenship is And doing an enforcement
- 20:10Speaker 1: bill now doesn't mean that you can't get that later
- 20:12Speaker 1: because there's no more such thing as a grand bargain
- 20:14Speaker 1: where you get both anymore. So what you need for
- 20:16Speaker 1: a pathway to citizenship is you need the Democratic votes,
- 20:18Speaker 1: you need it in the Senate. I do think that
- 20:20Speaker 1: the challenge on changing the asylum laws, like you said,
- 20:24Speaker 1: is if you're limiting applications for asylum to ports of entry,
- 20:28Speaker 1: you definitely could have migrants with legitimate asylum claims get
- 20:33Speaker 1: turned away because they either couldn't show up at an
- 20:36Speaker 1: official port of entry or You also have to prove
- 20:38Speaker 1: that you couldn't relocate to a different part of your
- 20:41Speaker 1: own country and prove that you're fleeing persecution or torture,
- 20:44Speaker 1: not just economic hardship or potential violence. And of course,
- 20:48Speaker 1: it doesn't do anything to address the root causes of migration,
- 20:51Speaker 1: as we've talked about before. So it is like you
- 20:53Speaker 1: are going to get some asylum seekers who are legitimate
- 20:55Speaker 1: asylum seekers not being able to get asylum because this
- 20:58Speaker 1: makes it more difficult. And they would say the reason
- 20:59Speaker 1: we're doing that is because when the border is overwhelmed,
- 21:01Speaker 1: what else are we going to do?
- 21:02Speaker 5: Right.
- 21:03Speaker 3: And that is the point that Jayapal made, which is
- 21:04Speaker 3: that this will result in people who have a legitimate
- 21:07Speaker 3: claim being in potentially more dangerous circumstances in Mexico, unable
- 21:13Speaker 3: to apply. But at the same time, right now, if
- 21:16Speaker 3: you have a situation in which if you can apply
- 21:18Speaker 3: for asylum and the process is so broken that it
- 21:20Speaker 3: will be 10 years before your claim is fully adjudicated,
- 21:25Speaker 3: that is both uncertainty for people who have legitimate claims
- 21:28Speaker 3: and also a way for people who don't have legitimate
- 21:30Speaker 3: claims to to be in that line with people who
- 21:32Speaker 3: desperately need to be in there according to the rules
- 21:34Speaker 3: because they know that there's 10 years before this will
- 21:36Speaker 3: ever come before a judge. Yeah.
- 21:39Speaker 2: And I honestly, I don't really have an opinion on
- 21:41Speaker 2: this bill yet. Like it came out today, but it's
- 21:44Speaker 2: worth noting that for a while, the conversation and concern
- 21:48Speaker 2: about the border was like a Fox News right wing
- 21:50Speaker 2: media driven thing. Now you're seeing mayors in liberal cities
- 21:54Speaker 2: saying they're overwhelmed, their services are overwhelmed and they need help.
- 21:58Speaker 2: In New York, Denver, places like that all over the country.
- 22:00Speaker 1: Well, and even progressive Democrats and others who've come out
- 22:03Speaker 1: against this bill have said that the system is broken.
- 22:08Speaker 1: They know the system is broken. And I do think
- 22:10Speaker 1: that Murphy's points about the sort of progressive wins in
- 22:13Speaker 1: this bill, like I hadn't heard those before. The idea that,
- 22:16Speaker 1: you know, also it's going to increase legal immigration, another 250,000
- 22:19Speaker 1: visas over five years. Um, the lawyers, uh, for migrants
- 22:24Speaker 1: who need them, especially children, faster decisions, like you said,
- 22:28Speaker 1: and it lets migrants who pass asylum screenings get work
- 22:32Speaker 1: permits so they can actually work because a lot of
- 22:34Speaker 1: the migrants who are in the cities and don't have
- 22:36Speaker 1: homes and are on the streets, it's because they can't work.
- 22:38Speaker 3: And the point that Murphy makes too, that like, or
- 22:41Speaker 3: it's been 40 years since there's been any kind of
- 22:43Speaker 3: a big immigration reform. We, we were, we watched that
- 22:47Speaker 3: reform fail under the Bush administration, under the Obama administration.
- 22:52Speaker 3: And it just, if the situation at the border gets worse,
- 22:57Speaker 3: that will create even less space for any kind of
- 23:00Speaker 3: compassionate and like kind of more progressive and just system.
- 23:05Speaker 3: It just creates political space for people like Trump to
- 23:08Speaker 3: operate and scare people. You know, like when Abbott and
- 23:11Speaker 3: DeSantis did their little stunts.
- 23:13Speaker 2: Governor of Texas.
- 23:14Speaker 3: Governor of Texas.
- 23:15Speaker 2: And Ron DeSantis, you know, he's in purgatory.
- 23:19Speaker 5: They.
- 23:20Speaker 3: they did their little, the stunt of sending planes to
- 23:23Speaker 3: Martha's Vineyard and everybody said, oh, this is a disgusting
- 23:26Speaker 3: political stunt, which it was. But what's worse than a
- 23:28Speaker 3: disgusting political stunt is an ongoing busing operation that sends
- 23:35Speaker 3: thousands upon thousands upon thousands of people to cities across
- 23:39Speaker 3: the country because that had a legitimate political impact.
- 23:43Speaker 2: That was just effective.
- 23:44Speaker 3: And when it stopped being a stunt, it started becoming
- 23:46Speaker 3: a policy stunt. it did change the politics around this
- 23:49Speaker 3: issue for those mayors, for example.
- 23:51Speaker 2: I think Murphy's, he's a world at heart and he's
- 23:53Speaker 2: looking around Europe and there's a big European election in
- 23:57Speaker 2: June and you're seeing polling show a lot of these
- 24:00Speaker 2: right-wing parties are ascendant and doing really well. And a
- 24:03Speaker 2: lot of the center-left parties are hurting. And some of
- 24:05Speaker 2: that is driven by concerns about migration and the feeling
- 24:08Speaker 2: that the system is broken.
- 24:22Speaker 1: OK, so Senator Murphy and three of us were just
- 24:25Speaker 1: having sort of a reality based conversation about what's the
- 24:28Speaker 1: best policy to fix the border. Just to give everyone
- 24:30Speaker 1: an idea as to how Trump and Trump media is
- 24:33Speaker 1: discussing immigration. Here he is during a sit down interview
- 24:37Speaker 1: with Maria Bartiromo over the weekend.
- 24:39Speaker 3: Look.
- 24:40Speaker 5: I want China to do great. I do. And I
- 24:42Speaker 5: like President Xi a lot. He was a very good
- 24:43Speaker 5: friend of mine during my term.
- 24:45Speaker 6: Well, look, COVID, COVID cover-up, intellectual property theft. The list
- 24:48Speaker 6: is long from our number one adversaries.
- 24:50Speaker 4: I don't know if he's a friend.
- 24:52Speaker 5: No, but I got along with him great. I'm not
- 24:54Speaker 5: sure he loved what I was doing because I was,
- 24:56Speaker 5: you know, getting.
- 24:56Speaker 6: Along with him. I don't think he wants you in
- 24:58Speaker 6: the White House, Mr.
- 24:58Speaker 4: President.
- 24:58Speaker 5: No, no, he doesn't. The market almost crashed when I
- 25:00Speaker 5: won Iowa and New Hampshire. The market went down tremendously.
- 25:05Speaker 6: The Chinese are paying $ 35, 000 a head, $ 50, 000 a head
- 25:08Speaker 6: to come to the southern border. They're paying the drug
- 25:12Speaker 6: cartels this money. The number of Chinese nationals, and they
- 25:15Speaker 6: are military-aged men.
- 25:16Speaker 5: You're right.
- 25:18Speaker 6: Off 1,100% year over year. Are they being directed by
- 25:21Speaker 6: the Communist Party to come here? I believe so.
- 25:23Speaker 4: I believe so.
- 25:25Speaker 5: The heads of these countries are smart. They're not sending
- 25:28Speaker 5: the people that are doing a great job and that
- 25:31Speaker 5: they love in the country. They're sending people, for the
- 25:33Speaker 5: most part, that they don't want. And they're putting them
- 25:35Speaker 5: into caravans.
- 25:36Speaker 1: You know what I love there is he's playing the
- 25:38Speaker 1: old hits, the original hit, right? They're sending them, right?
- 25:41Speaker 1: And then he's got some new stuff, right? Which is,
- 25:42Speaker 1: I love my communist dictator friend who's also directing... military-aged
- 25:49Speaker 1: men to come to invade the southern border.
- 25:51Speaker 2: He's loved Xi for a while. He's a central casting character.
- 25:56Speaker 1: I haven't heard about the sending the military-aged men to
- 25:58Speaker 1: the southern border yet. That seems like a new one.
- 26:02Speaker 2: Also, the Chinese version of the S & P 500
- 26:04Speaker 2: is down 25% over the past year.
- 26:07Speaker 1: I'm not sure it's just a Trump thing. Trump also
- 26:11Speaker 1: called the deal a gift to Democrats, a death wish
- 26:14Speaker 1: for Republicans, and said that immigration shouldn't be tied to
- 26:17Speaker 1: foreign aid in any way, shape or form, which is
- 26:20Speaker 1: the exact opposite of what Republicans in Congress have demanded
- 26:25Speaker 1: for the last several months. It's the whole reason we
- 26:27Speaker 1: got into these negotiations in the first place.
- 26:30Speaker 3: It's just like I said this to Murphy. This wasn't
- 26:33Speaker 3: two years ago. It was December. It was December. It
- 26:37Speaker 3: was a month ago, a month and a half ago.
- 26:39Speaker 3: They were like, we will not do this unless you
- 26:40Speaker 3: come to the table on the border. And then Democrats
- 26:42Speaker 3: come to the table on the border and make this kind.
- 26:44Speaker 2: Of a deal.
- 26:45Speaker 3: And they're like, how dare you make a deal like this?
- 26:47Speaker 2: We should never have tied these two things together.
- 26:49Speaker 3: It's like, you know, we....
- 26:52Speaker 1: It's also wild that he's just he's like just so
- 26:57Speaker 1: transparently calling the deal a gift to Democrats and a
- 27:00Speaker 1: death wish for Republicans. Like he's he's always so open
- 27:03Speaker 1: about the politics.
- 27:04Speaker 2: In part because he knows that's the thing that will
- 27:07Speaker 2: upset the base the most. You know what I mean?
- 27:09Speaker 2: They're not necessarily upset about migration. If Donald Trump came
- 27:12Speaker 2: out in favor of this bill, they'd probably all support it.
- 27:14Speaker 2: But there they know they like hating on Democrats and
- 27:17Speaker 2: they like owning the lips.
- 27:18Speaker 1: Negative partisanship. He knows he gets it.
- 27:21Speaker 2: And Trump knows that the economy is like slowly but
- 27:23Speaker 2: steadily improving. And he now wants to run on immigration.
- 27:26Speaker 2: And he's going to call Biden the open border guy
- 27:28Speaker 2: who lets caravans of hot Chinese soldiers with a bowler
- 27:32Speaker 2: or whatever like.
- 27:33Speaker 1: Across the border. They're always hot.
- 27:35Speaker 2: They're always hot.
- 27:35Speaker 1: They're always hot.
- 27:36Speaker 3: Remember when, uh, what's his name? Uh, Steve King was like,
- 27:38Speaker 3: they've got calves the size of cantaloupes.
- 27:40Speaker 2: In part why he got thrown out of the caucus.
- 27:42Speaker 1: It's a very fascist.
- 27:43Speaker 3: Kind of thing. Yes, the sexualizing of the, of the,
- 27:45Speaker 3: of the young man. The, uh, like, like even how
- 27:48Speaker 3: Holly was out there being like, so, so I just,
- 27:52Speaker 3: I do think that like all of these Republicans saying
- 27:55Speaker 3: just so brazenly, like this would be good for Democrats.
- 27:57Speaker 3: That's why we shouldn't do it is very like, you know,
- 28:00Speaker 3: they may live online and it may play with the base,
- 28:02Speaker 3: but like, There are still things that like consistently people
- 28:06Speaker 3: say they want. And one of them is people in
- 28:08Speaker 3: Washington to work together.
- 28:09Speaker 5: Totally.
- 28:09Speaker 1: Well, it's now and also it's it's now the essence.
- 28:12Speaker 1: They've boiled it down to the essence of the Republican platform.
- 28:15Speaker 1: That's all there is. There is no policy anymore. There
- 28:17Speaker 1: is no issue they care about.
- 28:18Speaker 2: There's no platform.
- 28:19Speaker 1: There's no platform. Their message is we will do whatever
- 28:23Speaker 1: makes the Democrats mad. like owning the libs is the
- 28:26Speaker 1: only message is the only platform. And people use that. Well,
- 28:29Speaker 1: they do know they like tough borders and they're tough
- 28:31Speaker 1: on immigration. No, clearly not. This is what they want
- 28:33Speaker 1: is they just want to piss Democrats.
- 28:34Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 28:35Speaker 3: And like Schumer or McConnell were talking about how well
- 28:37Speaker 3: they were able to kind of work together on this
- 28:39Speaker 3: negotiating process. And, and Holly points to that and says,
- 28:41Speaker 3: that's the problem. The problem is just the idea that
- 28:44Speaker 3: Democrats and Republicans work together. Like, Lankford gets censured before
- 28:47Speaker 3: the bill even comes out. So it's just for the
- 28:49Speaker 3: act of talking with Democrats, of just like negotiating with
- 28:52Speaker 3: the enemy. And like that may work online, that may
- 28:55Speaker 3: play to a small subset of Republicans, but that is
- 28:58Speaker 3: like anathema to a lot of the normies out there
- 29:01Speaker 3: that ultimately do have a say in politics.
- 29:04Speaker 2: Totally.
- 29:05Speaker 1: And this is again why I think During the State
- 29:07Speaker 1: of the Union, Joe Biden should use that opportunity to
- 29:11Speaker 1: talk about how he came all this way to work
- 29:14Speaker 1: with Republicans and made a bunch of compromises and wants
- 29:17Speaker 1: to do something for the country. And why can't they
- 29:19Speaker 1: do it and let everyone see? Because a lot of
- 29:21Speaker 1: people are tuning in who don't like the message that
- 29:24Speaker 1: we're going to do whatever is bad for Democrats. And
- 29:26Speaker 1: they can see who's willing to compromise and who's not.
- 29:29Speaker 3: And like, I do think that's a stage, too, that's
- 29:31Speaker 3: like big enough. I mean, you know, when when this
- 29:33Speaker 3: negotiation was first on the table at the end of
- 29:36Speaker 3: last year, we were talking about it. And, you know,
- 29:38Speaker 3: there was this question of like, how much will Democrats
- 29:40Speaker 3: have to be dragged to this kind of a debate?
- 29:42Speaker 3: And even Biden's, you know, like, will Biden be saying
- 29:45Speaker 3: he's for it because he has to be? And a
- 29:47Speaker 3: lot of people looking at this thing, no, if he's
- 29:49Speaker 3: going to be negotiating on the border, he shouldn't say
- 29:51Speaker 3: I'm doing this because Republicans want it. I'm doing it
- 29:52Speaker 3: because I'm here to solve a problem. Well, Republicans have
- 29:55Speaker 3: now made that a much more believable message because now we,
- 29:58Speaker 3: I mean, there's going to be a situation where Joe
- 30:00Speaker 3: Biden is going to be at the State of the
- 30:01Speaker 3: Union begging Republicans to go along with a border security deal.
- 30:06Speaker 1: Can't you imagine him? It's unbelievable. He can do it
- 30:07Speaker 1: in a way that's not like, that doesn't sound like
- 30:10Speaker 1: an attack either to really land to them. He can
- 30:12Speaker 1: have James Lankford stand up. He could say, thank you.
- 30:15Speaker 1: You and I don't agree on much. You're one of
- 30:17Speaker 1: the most conservative members of the whole Senate. And I
- 30:19Speaker 1: really appreciate it.
- 30:20Speaker 3: See this ghostly white man from Oklahoma. Looks like Edward
- 30:23Speaker 3: Cullen's father. And oh, you hear those boos? They don't
- 30:27Speaker 3: like you anymore, do you? Because you agreed to do
- 30:29Speaker 3: something good.
- 30:29Speaker 2: You know, you need to work with the Democrats. Yeah,
- 30:31Speaker 2: there's a lot of opportunity. John's going with the magnanimous version.
- 30:34Speaker 2: The hackish version is you're like, these guys voted against
- 30:38Speaker 2: billions of dollars to combat China, right? Like that's like
- 30:42Speaker 2: the Taiwan piece of this. These guys voted against allowing
- 30:45Speaker 2: our Afghan allies who fought and died for U.S. service
- 30:48Speaker 2: members to become citizens of the United States. Republicans might
- 30:51Speaker 2: actually hate that. But like, you know, there's some like,
- 30:52Speaker 2: there's some other pieces of this bill that are bad politics.
- 30:55Speaker 1: Twilight. If you vote against it. Twilight. Yeah, Twilight. I
- 30:57Speaker 1: get it now. Cullen Brothers?
- 31:00Speaker 4: Cullen.
- 31:00Speaker 3: I don't know Twilight.
- 31:01Speaker 2: Famous.
- 31:02Speaker 3: Cullen.
- 31:02Speaker 2: Name another famous vampire.
- 31:03Speaker 1: I'll tell you that. I'll tell you that. The dials,
- 31:05Speaker 1: the dial tests, they'll go on the, on the magnanimous one.
- 31:08Speaker 1: That's what will get them. It won't be the, it
- 31:10Speaker 1: won't be the money to, money to Taiwan or. The reason. Oh,
- 31:13Speaker 1: absolutely not.
- 31:14Speaker 3: The reason Republicans were hammering this issue and have hammered
- 31:17Speaker 3: this issue for years is because, uh, Their position is
- 31:21Speaker 3: more popular than the Democratic position. Voters in the country,
- 31:24Speaker 3: if you ask people, if you poll people, Republicans have
- 31:26Speaker 3: more support on immigration than Democrats. That is the reality
- 31:30Speaker 3: we've been living in. That's why they made this gamble.
- 31:32Speaker 3: That's why they demanded the border security money.
- 31:34Speaker 2: That's why they picked this fight.
- 31:35Speaker 1: Not just among Republican voters, not just among independent voters
- 31:38Speaker 1: with like basically every single demographic group that there is.
- 31:40Speaker 2: Biden's approval is 18% on immigration.
- 31:43Speaker 1: And it's not because people think he's being too tough.
- 31:45Speaker 4: No.
- 31:46Speaker 1: All right, so Trump also used the interview with Bartiromo
- 31:49Speaker 1: as an opportunity to toss under the bus the RNC
- 31:51Speaker 1: chair who literally changed her name for him. Let's listen.
- 31:55Speaker 6: How's Ronna McDaniel doing?
- 31:57Speaker 5: I think she did great when she ran Michigan for me.
- 32:00Speaker 5: I think she did okay initially in the RNC. I
- 32:03Speaker 5: would say right now there'll probably be some changes made.
- 32:11Speaker 1: Do you guys feel like he decided to do that
- 32:13Speaker 1: right on the spot? Like he had not... It just
- 32:15Speaker 1: was like, you know what? I'm going to do it.
- 32:18Speaker 2: I'm going to do it.
- 32:19Speaker 3: He was yes-anding. It was just like improv.
- 32:21Speaker 1: He's like never.
- 32:22Speaker 3: He's just like, sure. Sure. I saw some of the people.
- 32:25Speaker 2: Being mad at her.
- 32:26Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in.
- 32:27Speaker 2: I love it.
- 32:27Speaker 5: I mean.
- 32:28Speaker 2: Remember when Vivek Ramaswamy screamed at her from stage? Tried
- 32:31Speaker 2: to get her fired on the spot.
- 32:31Speaker 1: I forgot about that.
- 32:32Speaker 2: Tried to get her to come up and debate him,
- 32:33Speaker 2: I think.
- 32:33Speaker 1: I forgot about that. This woman... helped Donald Trump change
- 32:38Speaker 1: the rules of the Republican primary so that he could
- 32:40Speaker 1: win enough delegates to wrap up the nomination on Super Tuesday.
- 32:43Speaker 1: And then even before that, he wins New Hampshire and
- 32:47Speaker 1: she tries to push Haley out of the race. She's
- 32:49Speaker 1: the fucking RNC chair. She's supposed to be neutral. And
- 32:52Speaker 1: that is still not enough loyalty for Donald Trump.
- 32:55Speaker 2: The entire party is bent to his will. They don't
- 32:57Speaker 2: say anything when he recruits terrible candidates who lose critical races.
- 33:01Speaker 2: They do not say anything when he says, you know,
- 33:04Speaker 2: criticizes their fundraising, even though He is cannibalizing their small
- 33:08Speaker 2: dollar fundraisers to fund his PACs and his various legal
- 33:11Speaker 2: defense funds. Like he is harming the RNC and he's
- 33:14Speaker 2: blaming Ron for it. And it's great, but it's also,
- 33:16Speaker 2: I love it.
- 33:16Speaker 1: What, what more do you need? If you're one of
- 33:19Speaker 1: these Republican politicians who are like, who know that this
- 33:22Speaker 1: is a bad idea to endorse Donald Trump and support
- 33:25Speaker 1: him again, who said bad things after the insurrection about
- 33:28Speaker 1: Donald Trump, want him to be accountable, all this bullshit.
- 33:31Speaker 1: And now you're going to endorse him again. No matter
- 33:34Speaker 1: what you do, he is going to toss you aside
- 33:37Speaker 1: at some point. No matter how much you kiss his ass,
- 33:40Speaker 1: suck up to him. You can be Tim Scott behind
- 33:42Speaker 1: him at the New Hampshire thing. Say, I love Donald Trump.
- 33:45Speaker 1: He is going to screw you or have the mob
- 33:48Speaker 1: try to kill you. I do think it's like... Some
- 33:50Speaker 1: way he's going to do it.
- 33:51Speaker 3: I do think it's like, just deal with it. It's
- 33:54Speaker 3: like Scheherazade. You want to tell him a story to
- 33:56Speaker 3: stay alive for one more night. Like every person that
- 33:58Speaker 3: goes in.
- 33:59Speaker 1: What's the reference?
- 34:00Speaker 4: Um.
- 34:00Speaker 3: A Thousand and One Arabian Nights.
- 34:02Speaker 1: I'm not familiar. I'm familiar, but I'm not familiar.
- 34:07Speaker 2: That's why I figured, you know, you get this.
- 34:11Speaker 1: Twilight reference.
- 34:12Speaker 3: I was looking for a vampire.
- 34:16Speaker 2: Interview with a vampire? I can't remember who it was.
- 34:19Speaker 3: Maybe it was Chris Christie or one of them just
- 34:21Speaker 3: talks about when you take a job with Trump, somebody
- 34:24Speaker 3: pulls you aside and tells you at some point he'll
- 34:25Speaker 3: turn on you. You'd have to keep that off for
- 34:27Speaker 3: as long as possible. And all these people made their
- 34:29Speaker 3: dirty little deal knowing exactly what kind of person he is.
- 34:31Speaker 3: But also, there's nothing Trump, like when someone like Tim
- 34:35Speaker 3: Scott kind of supplicates the way that they do, like
- 34:38Speaker 3: he doesn't respect it.
- 34:39Speaker 2: He doesn't respect it.
- 34:39Speaker 3: And he knows like, oh, this person's weak. I can
- 34:41Speaker 3: bat him around for a while. And when they're done,
- 34:43Speaker 3: I can dispose of them and they won't pose a
- 34:44Speaker 3: problem because they're weak.
- 34:46Speaker 2: Look, you get handed a little package.
- 34:48Speaker 1: It's ticking.
- 34:48Speaker 2: It's going to blow up in your face at some point. But,
- 34:50Speaker 2: you know, if you go after him now, it's going
- 34:51Speaker 2: to blow up in your face now is probably what
- 34:52Speaker 2: they're thinking.
- 34:54Speaker 1: It's a longer fuse.
- 34:54Speaker 2: You're buying time.
- 34:55Speaker 3: It's a longer fuse.
- 34:56Speaker 1: It's wild.
- 34:56Speaker 5: It's wild.
- 34:57Speaker 1: Speaking of Republicans who are on Trump's shit list, Nikki
- 34:59Speaker 1: Haley is really embracing her new gig as a Rhino
- 35:03Speaker 1: establishment chill. She made a surprise appearance on SNL over
- 35:06Speaker 1: the weekend in the cold open. Let's listen.
- 35:09Speaker 2: Okay, our next question comes from someone who describes herself
- 35:12Speaker 2: as a concerned South Carolina voter.
- 35:15Speaker 5: Yes, hello.
- 35:16Speaker 2: My question is, why won't you.
- 35:22Speaker 5: Debate Nikki Haley?
- 35:24Speaker 3: Women are terrible with money.
- 35:26Speaker 5: In fact, a woman I know recently asked me for $ 83.
- 35:29Speaker 2: 3 million.
- 35:30Speaker 5: And you've spent $ 50 million in your own legal fees.
- 35:35Speaker 1: Do you need to borrow some money?
- 35:37Speaker 5: Nikki Haley, Joel Osment, we call her.
- 35:39Speaker 6: Six cents, remember that one? I see dead people.
- 35:43Speaker 5: Yeah, that's what voters will say if they see you
- 35:45Speaker 5: and Joe on the ballot.
- 35:46Speaker 1: He's so good.
- 35:47Speaker 3: James Austin Johnson went from like, I look, I don't know,
- 35:50Speaker 3: I saw him on TikTok and then like the next
- 35:52Speaker 3: day he was on SNL. And when you saw him
- 35:53Speaker 3: on TikTok, he was like, running around the streets doing
- 35:56Speaker 3: this impression, and it was so fucking good.
- 35:58Speaker 1: It's the best one.
- 35:58Speaker 5: It's amazing.
- 35:59Speaker 4: It's the best one.
- 36:00Speaker 1: So, you think that'll close the gap for Nikki Haley
- 36:02Speaker 1: in South Carolina, that appearance? I think a lot of
- 36:04Speaker 1: undecided voters in the South Carolina primary are going to
- 36:07Speaker 1: tune in.
- 36:08Speaker 2: It's pretty wild.
- 36:08Speaker 3: It's pretty wild that, like, Nikki Haley just goes to SNL,
- 36:11Speaker 3: and they just do, like, just a solid chunk of just, like,
- 36:15Speaker 3: Nikki Haley propaganda on her behalf. It actually, what I
- 36:17Speaker 3: thought was, like, man, like, maybe she's weakening, but, like,
- 36:23Speaker 3: Tough if she makes it.
- 36:24Speaker 1: I will say SNL does that for every politician who
- 36:27Speaker 1: agrees to be on SNL. Yeah, they're pretty nice to you. Yeah,
- 36:30Speaker 1: they're pretty nice to you. They let you make fun
- 36:32Speaker 1: of your opponents.
- 36:33Speaker 3: I wasn't even, I was just sort of like, just
- 36:35Speaker 3: sort of like noting it. Like, wow, she just came there,
- 36:38Speaker 3: did three solid hits on Trump. They did one joke
- 36:40Speaker 3: at her expense around slavery and got out.
- 36:43Speaker 2: She's at the YOLO part of the campaign. This is just,
- 36:46Speaker 2: she's just having a good time. She knows it's over.
- 36:48Speaker 2: Might as well say kind of what you want to say.
- 36:50Speaker 2: She's saying most of what she wants to say, not
- 36:52Speaker 2: all of it. Do some things like SNL, which probably
- 36:55Speaker 2: won't endear you to the hardcore Republican base.
- 36:58Speaker 1: But, you know, she's really trying out for her. I'm
- 37:00Speaker 1: telling you, she's just she's one appearance away from sitting
- 37:02Speaker 1: right at this table.
- 37:03Speaker 3: Hey, honestly. And by the way, and we're not saying no.
- 37:08Speaker 3: Do you think Nikki Haley hasn't been on this show
- 37:10Speaker 3: because we said no?
- 37:11Speaker 2: How are the comedic chops? Could she do some lowly?
- 37:14Speaker 3: She's, I mean, look.
- 37:15Speaker 1: She handled it okay.
- 37:16Speaker 3: She handled it fine. She's a very good politician. She's
- 37:19Speaker 3: just a very good politician. She did put in a little, like,
- 37:22Speaker 3: kind of spin on why it's okay if she loses
- 37:26Speaker 3: South Carolina.
- 37:27Speaker 1: I thought that was interesting. That was novel, right?
- 37:29Speaker 3: Saying, like, well, you know, oh, like, you know.
- 37:31Speaker 1: Because they asked her, like, the Trump impersonator said, bro,
- 37:34Speaker 1: you're going to lose your home state.
- 37:36Speaker 3: You lost New York. It's interesting.
- 37:38Speaker 2: It's interesting.
- 37:39Speaker 1: Well, that's just because she's sticking around.
- 37:41Speaker 2: She's sticking around through Super Tuesday.
- 37:43Speaker 1: I love it. So the Republican primary in South Carolina
- 37:46Speaker 1: obviously isn't for a few weeks, but the first official
- 37:48Speaker 1: Democratic primary took place there on Saturday. And in a
- 37:52Speaker 1: stunning turn of events, Joe Biden narrowly edged out his
- 37:56Speaker 1: opponents with 96.2% of the vote. Marianne Williamson got 2.1%.
- 38:01Speaker 1: And Dean Phillips pulled in a whopping 1.7%. Only about
- 38:04Speaker 1: 4% of the electorate turned out. It's just about 130,000 voters.
- 38:11Speaker 1: But the Biden campaign and allies like DNC chair Jamie
- 38:14Speaker 1: Harrison and former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina pointed to
- 38:18Speaker 1: the results as evidence that the polls are underestimating Joe
- 38:21Speaker 1: Biden's support. And they were all citing an Emerson poll
- 38:24Speaker 1: from early January that only had Biden at 69%.
- 38:26Speaker 3: Nice.
- 38:30Speaker 1: The earlier we were edging, too. Edging and, yeah, both
- 38:34Speaker 1: of them. I have a few thoughts on this. Okay.
- 38:36Speaker 2: I want to hear them.
- 38:38Speaker 1: I very much understand the desire to stop the collective
- 38:43Speaker 1: Democratic freakout over all the polls that have Trump leading Biden,
- 38:47Speaker 1: which is all the national and state polling averages right now.
- 38:52Speaker 1: Non-individual polls, all the averages, both nationwide and in the
- 38:56Speaker 1: swing states, show that Trump is leading. I don't think
- 38:59Speaker 1: that the best way to stop that freak out is
- 39:02Speaker 1: to cherry pick good polls, unskew bad polls, yell at
- 39:07Speaker 1: the media for covering the bad polls and not covering
- 39:11Speaker 1: the good polls. And I really don't think that Joe
- 39:14Speaker 1: Biden overperforming a single month old Emerson poll by 20
- 39:21Speaker 1: points is In a primary election against Marianne Williamson and
- 39:26Speaker 1: Dean Phillips with 4% turnout can tell you anything. significant
- 39:31Speaker 1: about anything about Joe Biden's general election strength, about how
- 39:36Speaker 1: he'll perform against Trump, against polls, about anything.
- 39:39Speaker 2: Well, that's where we disagree.
- 39:42Speaker 1: Yeah, you're obviously right.
- 39:44Speaker 5: Also, yeah.
- 39:45Speaker 3: I just, I felt this, look, I understand why there's
- 39:48Speaker 3: this desire to reassure and like, because panicking doesn't really
- 39:53Speaker 3: get us anything.
- 39:53Speaker 2: And we have to, we have to listen to keeping
- 39:55Speaker 2: the 1600s.
- 39:56Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 39:56Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 39:56Speaker 3: We were there, but, but, but like there's, I think
- 39:59Speaker 3: this desire to like, this is assuming what we're heading
- 40:02Speaker 3: towards is a close election. Then the turnout among Republicans
- 40:07Speaker 3: in an Iowa caucus is not going to tell you much.
- 40:09Speaker 3: The turnout of Democrats in an unconstested South Carolina race,
- 40:12Speaker 3: just not going to tell you much because Anything I
- 40:13Speaker 3: tell you has to have a huge error bar on it.
- 40:15Speaker 3: And this election will be determined inside of the error bar.
- 40:17Speaker 2: So just a special election is not going to tell
- 40:19Speaker 2: you much because it's a different electorate.
- 40:22Speaker 1: It's panic isn't helpful. It's also not helpful to tell
- 40:25Speaker 1: people that every piece of bad news or good news
- 40:28Speaker 1: is somehow evidence that Joe Biden is being underestimated yet again.
- 40:32Speaker 1: It's just like it's fighting a battle that doesn't need
- 40:34Speaker 1: to be won. Right.
- 40:35Speaker 5: Right.
- 40:35Speaker 1: Like the battle is not over. whether Joe Biden is
- 40:38Speaker 1: properly estimated and whether the polls are correct. We shouldn't
- 40:42Speaker 1: be panicked, but we should be worried, and we should
- 40:44Speaker 1: use that worry to motivate us to do some work
- 40:47Speaker 1: and volunteer. And that's less likely to happen, by the way,
- 40:51Speaker 1: if you tell everyone, you know what? It's fine. Everyone's hyperventilating.
- 40:55Speaker 1: The polls are all great. Joe Biden's going to do it.
- 40:57Speaker 1: Because then you might get people who say, okay, I'm
- 40:59Speaker 1: just going to stay home and I'm going to be fine.
- 41:01Speaker 1: Use the worry to motivate people. Don't just keep telling
- 41:03Speaker 1: everyone everything's fucking fine.
- 41:05Speaker 5: Yes.
- 41:06Speaker 3: I think we need to get the worry into a
- 41:07Speaker 3: place where people feel that these polls are reason to
- 41:12Speaker 3: believe that Joe Biden could very well lose unless everyone
- 41:16Speaker 3: does everything they can. Right. And that's all we need.
- 41:19Speaker 2: Can we just talk about how Marianne Williamson beat Dean Phillips?
- 41:23Speaker 1: I mean, how does that happen? He went there. He appeared.
- 41:27Speaker 2: Absolutely brutal.
- 41:28Speaker 1: He also set the bar. He was like, look, if
- 41:30Speaker 1: Joe Biden gets 95% in South Carolina, that's enough. That's
- 41:34Speaker 1: what Dean Phillips said. And he beat, he said it
- 41:36Speaker 1: at 95%, Joe Biden got 96%.
- 41:39Speaker 2: I mean, if I were the Biden campaign, I would
- 41:41Speaker 2: just be pointing the report as the fact that a
- 41:43Speaker 2: lot of them were looking at the primary schedule this
- 41:46Speaker 2: time around and the changes that have been made. And
- 41:48Speaker 2: the fact that you had this weird kind of looming
- 41:51Speaker 2: zombie New Hampshire primary happening where some challenger could have
- 41:55Speaker 2: gotten a big percentage and made Joe Biden look bad.
- 41:57Speaker 2: And that didn't happen. That would be my argument about strength.
- 42:00Speaker 1: Right.
- 42:00Speaker 3: I mean, like one incumbent president is getting 95 percent
- 42:03Speaker 3: of the vote in South Carolina. The other, for all
- 42:06Speaker 3: intents and purposes, incumbent president is still is still fighting
- 42:11Speaker 3: off a challenger who will do far better than that.
- 42:13Speaker 1: Right. I think the other thing you can take from
- 42:15Speaker 1: results is and you got this in New Hampshire, too.
- 42:18Speaker 1: There's not much of a protest vote against Joe Biden
- 42:20Speaker 1: right now. People are not turning out to protest Joe
- 42:24Speaker 1: Biden and vote against him. You didn't see it in
- 42:26Speaker 1: the right ends in New Hampshire. You haven't seen it
- 42:28Speaker 1: in South Carolina. We will, of course, see in Michigan
- 42:31Speaker 1: where there's now an effort to vote uncommitted for people
- 42:34Speaker 1: who are pissed at Joe Biden there. But we're not
- 42:36Speaker 1: saying that. What we're seeing is, if anything, you know,
- 42:39Speaker 1: the turnout in South Carolina was very low, as is
- 42:41Speaker 1: expected to be in a primary where there's Joe Biden
- 42:43Speaker 1: versus two candidates who are not like serious, serious candidates.
- 42:47Speaker 6: But.
- 42:48Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think it tells you anything else.
- 42:49Speaker 2: Protests are just going to events. Do you guys see
- 42:52Speaker 2: that Jamie Harrison, the DNC chair, said that he was
- 42:55Speaker 2: open to seating the full New Hampshire slate of delegates?
- 42:58Speaker 4: I did.
- 42:58Speaker 2: Totally walked it out. So the context for our listeners,
- 43:00Speaker 2: like Biden told the DNC to change the order of
- 43:03Speaker 2: the primary process to make South Carolina first. But New
- 43:05Speaker 2: Hampshire has a law that says, actually, we have to
- 43:07Speaker 2: go first. So they went first, which means under the
- 43:09Speaker 2: DNC rules, that's supposed to result in you losing half
- 43:12Speaker 2: of your delegates to the convention. But since Biden won,
- 43:15Speaker 2: I guess Clyburn, uh, Congressman Clyburn and Jamie Harrison, the
- 43:19Speaker 2: DNC chair just decided like no harm, no foul. Let's
- 43:22Speaker 2: just seed them all and try to mend this rift
- 43:25Speaker 2: with New Hampshire.
- 43:25Speaker 1: I know. I'm not sure what to think about that. Like, okay, great.
- 43:28Speaker 2: I could tell if it was on the fly or
- 43:29Speaker 2: if it was planned.
- 43:30Speaker 1: I guess they just want everyone. I think it felt
- 43:31Speaker 1: a little on the fly, didn't it?
- 43:33Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 43:34Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 43:34Speaker 2: Cause, cause, uh, Clyburn floated it and then Harrison goes, well,
- 43:37Speaker 2: when the boss speaks, which is great.
- 43:40Speaker 3: Maybe it's sort of one of those things where, um,
- 43:43Speaker 3: It's better to kiss ass than eat shit kind of
- 43:45Speaker 3: a situation.
- 43:46Speaker 1: I like that. And in terms of party chairs who
- 43:49Speaker 1: have to suddenly turn on a dime when the boss
- 43:52Speaker 1: says something, Jamie Harrison in a much better position. Could
- 43:54Speaker 1: be much worse.
- 43:55Speaker 2: Yeah, could be much worse.
- 43:57Speaker 1: He was like, the boss speaks, we've got to sit
- 43:58Speaker 1: in your hamster. Ron McDaniels is like, the boss speaks,
- 44:00Speaker 1: I'm out. And I'll see you later. Good point, boss.
- 44:03Speaker 1: And one more thing, if you want some poll sanity,
- 44:06Speaker 1: some real informed analysis, Dan hosts a show now here
- 44:11Speaker 1: on Crooked Media called Polar Coaster. It's really good. That
- 44:13Speaker 1: you can get if you sign up as a friend
- 44:16Speaker 1: of the pod. You just go to crooked.com slash friends
- 44:19Speaker 1: to sign up. And I think he's got a great
- 44:20Speaker 1: episode this week with Democratic pollster Celinda Lake. So obviously
- 44:25Speaker 1: Biden's also dealing with the political fallout from a Middle
- 44:27Speaker 1: East conflict that seems to keep getting bigger and deadlier.
- 44:31Speaker 1: The president ordered missile strikes against Iran-backed militias in retaliation
- 44:34Speaker 1: for a drone attack that killed three American service members
- 44:37Speaker 1: and wounded dozens of others. The White House says there
- 44:39Speaker 1: will be more strikes to come. Republican hawks are mad
- 44:42Speaker 1: that Biden didn't just attack Iran, though Trump hasn't said
- 44:46Speaker 1: anything beyond his initial response to the drone attack, which
- 44:50Speaker 1: he blamed on Biden being weak and said that he
- 44:53Speaker 1: has us, quote, hurtling toward World War Three. Tommy, what
- 44:57Speaker 1: are your thoughts on first the strikes and then on
- 45:00Speaker 1: how Trump is responding to the growing conflict in the
- 45:03Speaker 1: Middle East?
- 45:04Speaker 2: I mean, on the strikes themselves, I was relieved to
- 45:06Speaker 2: hear that Biden didn't even consider hitting targets within Iran itself.
- 45:10Speaker 2: That would have been a crazy escalation. It sounds like
- 45:13Speaker 2: they hit like IRGC linked targets in Iraq and Syria.
- 45:16Speaker 2: They might be considering more strikes in the future. They
- 45:18Speaker 2: keep hinting at them, but we don't know. But the
- 45:21Speaker 2: broader point is that it's clear that the core driver
- 45:23Speaker 2: in this uptick in violence in Iraq, Syria, Yemen is
- 45:27Speaker 2: the ongoing war in Gaza. Until we get a ceasefire
- 45:30Speaker 2: in Gaza... there will not be an end to these
- 45:32Speaker 2: attacks on U.S. personnel or on ships in the Red Sea.
- 45:35Speaker 2: So that's what I would love to see happen and
- 45:37Speaker 2: them focus on. The Trump piece of this is very interesting, though,
- 45:40Speaker 2: because his comments or lack of comments since October 7th,
- 45:44Speaker 2: the Hamas attack, I think tell you a lot about
- 45:46Speaker 2: the Republican Party and its politics. Because remember, Trump's initial
- 45:50Speaker 2: response to the Hamas attack was to criticize Netanyahu, attack
- 45:54Speaker 2: him for not being prepared, and then he praised Hezbollah
- 45:57Speaker 2: for being smart. And then he said, Netanyahu let us
- 46:01Speaker 2: down in 2020 when we assassinated this Iranian general in
- 46:04Speaker 2: Qasem Soleimani and they didn't back us or something, which
- 46:07Speaker 2: I don't even, it was not at all true. So
- 46:09Speaker 2: clearly someone in Trump's camp said that was a disaster.
- 46:13Speaker 2: They mopped it up and they said, just shut the
- 46:15Speaker 2: fuck up for a little while. And so since then,
- 46:17Speaker 2: his message has been Biden is weak. None of this
- 46:20Speaker 2: would have happened if I was president. That is his
- 46:21Speaker 2: reaction to everything. And so I think the reason for
- 46:24Speaker 2: that is Trump knows his party is split on these issues.
- 46:27Speaker 2: Like you have your hardcore evangelical base that will say,
- 46:30Speaker 2: do everything possible to defend Israel to the hilts. Then
- 46:34Speaker 2: you have some sort of like residual neocons, the Lindsey
- 46:37Speaker 2: Grahams and the Tom Cottons. But then you have Tucker
- 46:39Speaker 2: Carlson and this flock of Republicans that are like anti-war.
- 46:44Speaker 2: They're trying to figure out why are we even overseas?
- 46:47Speaker 2: Why do you have troops in Jordan or Syria or
- 46:49Speaker 2: Iraq anymore? Good question, by the way. And so Trump
- 46:52Speaker 2: needs all of them. And he's doing this dance where
- 46:53Speaker 2: he's just trying to say nothing to appease everyone. And
- 46:57Speaker 2: I don't know, it seems like it's kind of working.
- 46:59Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 46:59Speaker 3: I mean, look, the Trump term sort of like it was,
- 47:03Speaker 3: we used to call it like the neocon paleocon like thing.
- 47:06Speaker 3: And like Trump going after Bush in those early 2016
- 47:11Speaker 3: debates were one of the ways in which he kind of,
- 47:14Speaker 3: I think, signaled that he was willing to take on
- 47:17Speaker 3: kind of like Republican chivalrous and like kind of push
- 47:19Speaker 3: back against the neocons. And I mean, remember there was that,
- 47:22Speaker 3: that fucking awful Maureen Dowd column, but like Donald Trump.
- 47:27Speaker 2: The dove.
- 47:27Speaker 4: Oh yeah.
- 47:28Speaker 3: Hillary the Hawk, Donald the Dove.
- 47:30Speaker 1: Well, I think that Trump realized that, okay, what is the,
- 47:35Speaker 1: what are the most unpopular aspects of the Republican party
- 47:38Speaker 1: to most voters back in the, in the 2008 era? Warmongers,
- 47:44Speaker 1: helping the rich, and the, on cultural stuff, pretty weird
- 47:48Speaker 1: and out there, right? And abortion's the, obviously the best
- 47:51Speaker 1: example now after Dobbs. But, you know, some of the
- 47:55Speaker 1: Ron DeSantis stuff got a little too.
- 47:56Speaker 2: People like Mike Pence.
- 47:57Speaker 1: Got a little too weird. Yeah, people like Mike Pence, right?
- 48:00Speaker 1: And so in this election now, he's trying to back
- 48:04Speaker 1: off from... He's taking credit for Dobbs. This just mirrors
- 48:08Speaker 1: what he's doing here. He's trying to keep everyone in
- 48:09Speaker 1: the party happy. He's taking credit for Dobbs, taking credit
- 48:11Speaker 1: for the Supreme Court, but he's like, I don't know
- 48:13Speaker 1: if I want to go endorse the six-week ban, right?
- 48:16Speaker 1: And in 2016, on the economic stuff, remember he was
- 48:20Speaker 1: talking about closing the carried interest loophole and the hedge
- 48:24Speaker 1: fund guys and all that bullshit? And now, and since
- 48:27Speaker 1: he ran against Hillary, he's been calling Hillary, Biden, these
- 48:30Speaker 1: people warmongers, right? He wants to call Democrats warmongers. So
- 48:34Speaker 1: he's trying to, and I think the key for Democrats
- 48:37Speaker 1: is to make sure that he does not run away
- 48:39Speaker 1: from his own record on all of these issues. Because
- 48:42Speaker 1: he was, as you said, he was not like Donald
- 48:45Speaker 1: the Duff.
- 48:46Speaker 2: No, I mean, look, on Israel, he gave Bibi Netanyahu
- 48:49Speaker 2: everything he wanted. He moved the embassy to Jerusalem. He
- 48:51Speaker 2: recognized Israeli sovereignty under the Golan Heights. They negotiated all
- 48:56Speaker 2: the Abraham Accord agreements, worked for these bilateral normalization deals
- 48:59Speaker 2: between Gulf autocrats in Israel. And in some of those cases,
- 49:03Speaker 2: like the U.S. would just give giant concessions to the
- 49:06Speaker 2: country that wasn't Israel. Like the UAE got a huge
- 49:08Speaker 2: arms sales deal. For example, right. So Trump, if he
- 49:12Speaker 2: were president right now, would probably be giving Netanyahu even
- 49:16Speaker 2: more support, pushing far less hard for a ceasefire agreement.
- 49:21Speaker 2: would care less overtly about civilian casualties. I don't say
- 49:24Speaker 2: any of that to suggest that I'm happy with Joe
- 49:26Speaker 2: Biden's handling of what's happening in Gaza. I want to
- 49:29Speaker 2: see us loudly criticizing Netanyahu, the conduct of the IDF
- 49:33Speaker 2: in this war, and pushing publicly for a ceasefire and
- 49:36Speaker 2: not just doing it behind the scenes. But I still
- 49:38Speaker 2: think Trump would be a lot worse. If he were
- 49:40Speaker 2: president right now.
- 49:41Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 49:41Speaker 1: I mean, he loves dictators and he loves dictators because
- 49:45Speaker 1: and he they he thinks that they provide order in
- 49:48Speaker 1: their countries and he doesn't care what they do to
- 49:51Speaker 1: their own citizens in terms of Bibi Netanyahu. It's the
- 49:54Speaker 1: Palestinians like he doesn't give a shit how people are
- 49:56Speaker 1: treated around the world. But he's chummy with these dictators
- 49:59Speaker 1: because he likes authoritarianism and he thinks it provides order
- 50:02Speaker 1: like that's that that tells you all you need to
- 50:04Speaker 1: know about Trump. And so I do think that like
- 50:07Speaker 1: making sure that people know that and knowing how dangerous
- 50:09Speaker 1: he could be on the world stage. And then also
- 50:11Speaker 1: on the economic stuff, you know, he wants to give
- 50:13Speaker 1: another fucking huge tax cut to rich people into corporations.
- 50:16Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 50:16Speaker 3: I mean, like his, you know, once, once he got
- 50:19Speaker 3: into office, I think it was actually a policy nightmare,
- 50:22Speaker 3: but on, on economics, but actually a political boon that
- 50:25Speaker 3: Donald Trump wasn't the populace he said he was going
- 50:28Speaker 3: to be. Like if Donald Trump had actually been governed
- 50:33Speaker 3: the way he sound talked about governing the we wouldn't
- 50:37Speaker 3: have been in a much worse political situation. It mattered
- 50:39Speaker 3: that he tried to overturn the Affordable Care Act. It
- 50:42Speaker 3: mattered that his biggest economic achievement is a massive tax
- 50:45Speaker 3: cut for the wealthy.
- 50:46Speaker 2: It will matter in 2024. If he married up culture
- 50:49Speaker 2: war with an expansion of the welfare state, like a
- 50:51Speaker 2: lot of populists do, that would have been incredibly powerful.
- 50:53Speaker 1: It's almost like a.
- 50:54Speaker 3: Mix of nationalism and socialism.
- 50:57Speaker 2: Put those two things together. The end of the day,
- 51:00Speaker 2: the challenge for Biden is he has actual responsibility right now.
- 51:03Speaker 2: He's not just like truthing from Mar-a-Lago like Trump is.
- 51:07Speaker 1: And honestly, and that's why Trump It was so tough
- 51:10Speaker 1: for him in 2020 in that race because Trump had
- 51:12Speaker 1: the responsibility because he was president. He loves being a challenger.
- 51:15Speaker 1: He loves just fucking throwing rocks from the sidelines.
- 51:18Speaker 3: And I do think, too, it's like you just like
- 51:20Speaker 3: step back from this and like, you know, we've just
- 51:21Speaker 3: been through like an endless news cycle of every media
- 51:25Speaker 3: organization in the country losing jobs. And we have like
- 51:27Speaker 3: misinformation spreading rampantly online. The Republican Party no longer believes
- 51:31Speaker 3: it is necessary to have a platform. There was a
- 51:33Speaker 3: time when you actually had to articulate information. a competing
- 51:37Speaker 3: vision for what you would do as president. You couldn't
- 51:38Speaker 3: just say everything he does is bad and if our
- 51:40Speaker 3: president thing would be better. The market is up because
- 51:43Speaker 3: I will be president. The market is down because I'm
- 51:44Speaker 3: not president. Like these things- Chinese market also down. Also down.
- 51:47Speaker 3: These things would be, these things wouldn't- You'd be left
- 51:50Speaker 3: out of the room.
- 51:50Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 51:51Speaker 3: And now there's no, because like the media is consumed
- 51:55Speaker 3: in such a fractured way and there are fewer kind
- 51:58Speaker 3: of gates on like what is acceptable, what is treated
- 52:02Speaker 3: as legitimate, what is, what reaches people. these Republicans feel
- 52:07Speaker 3: like they are safe to make these ridiculous, ridiculous arguments.
- 52:12Speaker 2: Biden needs the economy to keep improving. He's the highlight,
- 52:15Speaker 2: the choice between him and Trump and the extremism of
- 52:17Speaker 2: the Republican Party. But they have to broker a ceasefire
- 52:20Speaker 2: agreement in Gaza. And they have to publicly lean on
- 52:25Speaker 2: Netanyahu to include conditioning future military aid to Israel and
- 52:29Speaker 2: have a carrot and stick approach, not just a hug
- 52:32Speaker 2: BB approach. And I will be mad about this.
- 52:34Speaker 4: Until it happens.
- 52:35Speaker 1: And then one more thing he needs to do is
- 52:37Speaker 1: just before every speech, just do some jumping jacks, push-ups maybe,
- 52:42Speaker 1: just show everyone he's in a.
- 52:43Speaker 2: That's all you're going to say.
- 52:44Speaker 3: And one thing is he's got to make sure these
- 52:46Speaker 3: juries he's put in place convict. Joe Biden worked so
- 52:50Speaker 3: hard to get all those jurors right there, and now
- 52:52Speaker 3: they've got to fucking bring the hammer down.
- 52:54Speaker 2: Oh, we should politicize DOJ.
- 52:57Speaker 3: I wish we fucking would.
- 52:58Speaker 1: Honestly, he's doing a terrible job.
- 52:59Speaker 5: I know.
- 52:59Speaker 1: His son's gotten indicted a couple times now.
- 53:03Speaker 3: Cori Bush can't fall in love.
- 53:04Speaker 1: Cori Bush is under investigation.
- 53:05Speaker 2: How pissed would you be? Can you guys stop indicting
- 53:07Speaker 2: my relatives? This is not why I installed you.
- 53:10Speaker 1: By the way, there's a special counsel out there that
- 53:12Speaker 1: the Biden team is preparing for this week.
- 53:14Speaker 2: To do the classified documents thing.
- 53:17Speaker 1: His own classified documents case. Remember that? That's coming back.
- 53:19Speaker 3: Remember the good old days when JFK appointed his brother?
- 53:21Speaker 3: What happened to that?
- 53:23Speaker 1: Well, the brother's son, now we're dealing with that.
- 53:26Speaker 3: Right, yeah, I guess that's right.
- 53:27Speaker 1: Yeah, so anyway, you asked Chris Murphy about, not any
- 53:30Speaker 1: of that, but about the Middle East and pizza. Sure.
- 53:34Speaker 1: And we're going to listen to the rest of that
- 53:36Speaker 1: right after the break.
- 53:49Speaker 3: Senator, before we let you go, I did want to
- 53:51Speaker 3: ask you about a couple other pieces of the proposal. Specifically,
- 53:54Speaker 3: how urgent is the Ukraine funding right now? What happens
- 53:59Speaker 3: if it doesn't pass?
- 54:00Speaker 4: Yeah, Ukraine will lose the war. And it's possible that
- 54:04Speaker 4: the tide could start to turn relatively quickly. Right now,
- 54:10Speaker 4: on many days, Ukraine is firing one quarter the artillery
- 54:14Speaker 4: shells that Russia is on the other side of the
- 54:17Speaker 4: line of contact. used to be that when Russia sent
- 54:21Speaker 4: missiles to Ukrainian cities, Ukraine could shoot almost all of
- 54:25Speaker 4: them down because they had enough interceptors. Now, on some days,
- 54:28Speaker 4: they shoot only half of those missiles down. We are
- 54:32Speaker 4: on the precipice of a disaster. This isn't theoretical any longer. And,
- 54:36Speaker 4: you know, I don't want to be hyperbolic, but man,
- 54:39Speaker 4: like history does sometimes repeat itself. And if Putin gets
- 54:43Speaker 4: his hands on Ukraine and sort of does so because
- 54:47Speaker 4: the West and the United States stuck with an ally
- 54:50Speaker 4: for like two seconds, he will consider moving on NATO.
- 54:55Speaker 4: And then that is U.S. troops in the fight. So
- 54:59Speaker 4: we do have a direct personal interest as a nation
- 55:03Speaker 4: in making sure that Ukraine has what it needs. And
- 55:05Speaker 4: we're months away from the tide turning in this war,
- 55:10Speaker 4: potentially in a pretty disastrous direction.
- 55:13Speaker 3: One other piece of this is the Israel funding. Senator
- 55:17Speaker 3: Bernie Sanders has come out against additional aid for Israel
- 55:19Speaker 3: without any conditions. Would you like to see conditions as
- 55:24Speaker 3: part of a package like this, if it were possible?
- 55:27Speaker 3: And do you see a political shift on that issue,
- 55:31Speaker 3: given how dire the situation is and how the conflict
- 55:34Speaker 3: is escalating in the region?
- 55:36Speaker 4: Listen, the number of civilian casualties in Gaza is unacceptable.
- 55:41Speaker 4: It ultimately does not accrue to the benefit of Israel
- 55:44Speaker 4: for this many civilians to perish and for Hamas to
- 55:48Speaker 4: essentially have a permanent organizing platform. I've never been terribly
- 55:54Speaker 4: afraid of applying basic human rights and international law conditions
- 55:58Speaker 4: to the aid we send Israel or any other nation.
- 56:02Speaker 4: We're obviously going to potentially have amendment votes on this
- 56:06Speaker 4: bill in the Senate, and one of them may be
- 56:08Speaker 4: a pretty straightforward bill to say, For all the countries
- 56:12Speaker 4: receiving aid in this bill, you've got to comply and
- 56:15Speaker 4: there's got to be a certification of compliance for basic
- 56:19Speaker 4: human rights laws. And to me, that shouldn't be anything
- 56:23Speaker 4: any of our allies should be afraid of.
- 56:25Speaker 3: Does the standalone Israel proposal that Republicans are pursuing in
- 56:30Speaker 3: the House complicate this already complicated path? Or do you
- 56:35Speaker 3: think that's sort of a feint?
- 56:36Speaker 2: What do you think?
- 56:38Speaker 4: I don't think it complicates the path in the Senate,
- 56:40Speaker 4: because in the Senate, we still do have a bunch
- 56:43Speaker 4: of Republicans who want to fund Ukraine and who know
- 56:46Speaker 4: that the Israel-only bill in the House is really about
- 56:51Speaker 4: one thing, avoiding funding Ukraine. So I think Democrats and Republicans,
- 56:57Speaker 4: for the most part, in the Senate understand that if
- 57:01Speaker 4: we're going to do funding for Israel, we have to
- 57:03Speaker 4: do it at the same time as Ukraine.
- 57:06Speaker 3: This deal is being put forward in the context of
- 57:08Speaker 3: a war between Israel and Hamas, the deadly attack on U.S. troops,
- 57:11Speaker 3: violence escalating in the region. President Biden has talked about
- 57:15Speaker 3: wanting to avoid a broader regional conflict. But you also
- 57:18Speaker 3: have Secretary of Defense saying that what we've seen is
- 57:20Speaker 3: only the start of the U.S.
- 57:22Speaker 1: Response.
- 57:22Speaker 3: When does a broader conflict in the region become a
- 57:26Speaker 3: broader regional conflict? And what kind of military authorization do
- 57:31Speaker 3: you believe is not only needed, but also one that
- 57:33Speaker 3: you would support?
- 57:35Speaker 4: Yeah, so I asked this question of the administration about
- 57:39Speaker 4: a week ago. Senator Kaine, along with two of our
- 57:42Speaker 4: Republican colleagues, sent a request to the administration to give
- 57:45Speaker 4: us their justification, in particular for the attacks inside Yemen.
- 57:52Speaker 4: I can't figure out what the existing legal authorization is
- 57:57Speaker 4: for ongoing attacks against the Houthis inside Yemen. I also
- 58:01Speaker 4: think they will likely need an authorization if these attacks
- 58:04Speaker 4: against Iranian proxies continue. Listen, I certainly would be open
- 58:12Speaker 4: to a limited authorization of force to make sure that
- 58:17Speaker 4: the message is sent all throughout the region that if
- 58:21Speaker 4: you attack U.S. forces, there is a consequence. I have
- 58:24Speaker 4: no desire for this to expand into a direct confrontation
- 58:28Speaker 4: with Iran. And I think at some point, we have
- 58:31Speaker 4: to step back and understand that our unprotected force structure
- 58:37Speaker 4: in the region, frankly, makes our troops there targets for low-cost,
- 58:46Speaker 4: provocative confrontations with the United States. When Joe Biden was
- 58:50Speaker 4: sworn into office, I made a very immediate recommendation that
- 58:54Speaker 4: we dramatically draw down our forces in the region, in
- 58:57Speaker 4: part because I worry that it would make these kinds
- 59:01Speaker 4: of conflicts very easy for, um, our relatively unorganized non-state
- 59:06Speaker 4: actor adversaries, uh, to prompt. Um, and I think we're
- 59:09Speaker 4: seeing that reality. Listen, we have to respond, but we
- 59:13Speaker 4: don't need to be spread as thin as, and as
- 59:16Speaker 4: unprotected in the region as we are today. And I
- 59:18Speaker 4: hope that, um, this is, um, you know, a reason
- 59:22Speaker 4: for us to reconsider our, our force presence throughout the region.
- 59:27Speaker 3: I'm going to switch gears now. And, uh, as hard
- 59:30Speaker 3: as a person can, I owe you an apology. And
- 59:33Speaker 3: here's what I owe you an apology about.
- 59:35Speaker 2: Bring it on.
- 59:37Speaker 3: A few years ago, I made some glib comments about
- 59:41Speaker 3: Connecticut pizza.
- 59:42Speaker 1: You did.
- 59:43Speaker 4: You did.
- 59:44Speaker 3: And I ended up spending a portion of the pandemic
- 59:48Speaker 3: in Connecticut. And I want to tell you, I am sorry.
- 59:53Speaker 3: Connecticut makes some of the best pizza in the United
- 59:56Speaker 3: States of America. It is in the conversation. For number one, though,
- 1:00:03Speaker 3: but I would, I as a person from New York
- 1:00:06Speaker 3: would still, I think, ultimately choose New York, but I
- 1:00:09Speaker 3: wanted you to know that you were right, I was wrong,
- 1:00:14Speaker 3: and I apologize.
- 1:00:15Speaker 4: You know, really, no matter what happens to this comprehensive
- 1:00:20Speaker 4: border in Ukraine bill that I have bled and sweat
- 1:00:22Speaker 4: over the last four months, it really doesn't matter anymore
- 1:00:25Speaker 4: because this apology... It's really, you know, it's just worth it.
- 1:00:33Speaker 4: So what's the number one pizza for you in Connecticut? Pepe's.
- 1:00:40Speaker 3: I love Pepe's. Come on. So good.
- 1:00:43Speaker 4: I'm a modern guy, but they're all good.
- 1:00:47Speaker 5: All right.
- 1:00:47Speaker 4: Sing the gospel, man. Let people know.
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: I'm doing my part.
- 1:00:50Speaker 4: Come to Connecticut and see what John's talking about.
- 1:00:53Speaker 3: All right. Senator Chris Murphy, thank you so much for
- 1:00:56Speaker 3: your time.
- 1:00:56Speaker 4: Thanks, man.
- 1:01:02Speaker 5: All right.
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: Thanks to Chris Murphy for joining. One note before we go.
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: Vote Save America is back with a brand new political
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: action finder that curates volunteer opportunities specifically for you. Doesn't
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: that sound nice? It curates opportunities for you.
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- 1:01:29Speaker 1: Are you calling it an action finder tool? I like that.
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: It's like a good cocktail menu. You know what I mean?
- 1:01:33Speaker 3: Just action finder.
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: It rolls off the tongue. So don't walk. Run to votesaveamerica.com.
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: I don't know if you can actually do that. Votesaveamerica.com.
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: Get started now. All right. Anyone have anything else? How
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: about those Grammys? How about those Grammys?
- 1:01:47Speaker 3: I did.
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: I don't watch a lot of award shows. I really
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: like the Grammys because they're like, hey, what if instead
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: of self-indulgent speeches and awards, we make this like a
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: cool one-of-a-kind concert experience?
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: Well, I, I really enjoyed that.
- 1:01:59Speaker 3: I liked, we, so we got, we got Joni Mitchell
- 1:02:02Speaker 3: doing both sides now.
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:02:04Speaker 3: We've got, we got a new song from Billy Joel.
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: Great.
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: I missed that.
- 1:02:07Speaker 3: And then you had Tracy Chapman, uh, doing a fast
- 1:02:12Speaker 3: car with that gentleman, Luke Holmes. Now I like, I
- 1:02:15Speaker 3: have to say like, I, when, when the Luke Holmes
- 1:02:17Speaker 3: version of fast car was like going around, I, it
- 1:02:22Speaker 3: was like, I was like, I don't know. What are
- 1:02:24Speaker 3: we doing here exactly?
- 1:02:24Speaker 2: What does that Hetzel mean?
- 1:02:25Speaker 3: It means like- You can't see it, but there's- Have
- 1:02:28Speaker 3: you ever seen the first, I can't, I may get
- 1:02:30Speaker 3: my history slightly wrong, but there was a moment where
- 1:02:32Speaker 3: Tracy Chapman performs Fast.
- 1:02:34Speaker 2: Car, maybe for the first time or maybe- At Wembley Stadium.
- 1:02:36Speaker 2: At Wembley Stadium. She subbed in for Stevie Wonder, I believe.
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: With like 10 minutes notice. No notice.
- 1:02:41Speaker 3: And she sings this song and like fast, it just-
- 1:02:45Speaker 3: a stadium is like captivated by this incredible song.
- 1:02:50Speaker 2: Imagine, you're expecting Stevie Wonder and this person you don't
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: know comes out and it takes like two minutes to
- 1:02:54Speaker 2: get to the chorus and then the chorus hits and
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: they're like, oh my God, this woman is incredible. You
- 1:02:58Speaker 2: can see it.
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: It's such a good song.
- 1:03:00Speaker 3: And there's something so magical about that and it is
- 1:03:02Speaker 3: her song and there was something about seeing it, like,
- 1:03:05Speaker 3: I don't know, in this sort of like, this country guy,
- 1:03:08Speaker 3: kind of like, and then people being like, oh, I
- 1:03:11Speaker 3: love that Luke Combs song.
- 1:03:13Speaker 2: Oh, it's a cover?
- 1:03:13Speaker 3: I had no idea.
- 1:03:14Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 1:03:14Speaker 3: Made me a little.
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: Well, that's what all the kids do these days.
- 1:03:17Speaker 2: But that's the story of every cover, right? So there was,
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: I think, there was sort of a justifiable controversy and
- 1:03:24Speaker 2: discussion around the country music charts, which are famously biased
- 1:03:29Speaker 2: against women and people of color. Like, Jason Isbell talks
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: about this all the time. His wife, Amanda Shire, is
- 1:03:34Speaker 2: a famous country star. She's incredibly talented. And they're just, like,
- 1:03:38Speaker 2: furious that they can never both chart at the same time.
- 1:03:41Speaker 2: But that wasn't Luke Combs' fault, right? Like he just
- 1:03:44Speaker 2: loved the song and he covered it and it got
- 1:03:45Speaker 2: the song to number one on the country charts. And
- 1:03:47Speaker 2: I think because that happened, it created this conversation about
- 1:03:50Speaker 2: the song and it led to Tracy Chapman performing it
- 1:03:53Speaker 2: for the first time in years and years and years.
- 1:03:55Speaker 2: And the way that he.
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: Talked about her was so wonderful and like really gave
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: her her due and made it about her.
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: I got that.
- 1:04:04Speaker 3: It got me back a little bit because I feel like,
- 1:04:06Speaker 3: I felt like her embracing of the fact that he
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: is now performing the song made it, made me more
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: comfortable with it. But a part of it is also
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: just like, I don't know, like we saw both sides
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: now and you see fast car and it's a little
- 1:04:17Speaker 3: bit unfair because like, you know, those are two of
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: the greatest songs of like the last 50 years. And
- 1:04:23Speaker 3: then you just sort of like, God damn it.
- 1:04:25Speaker 2: Like where, like, where's that?
- 1:04:28Speaker 3: Or more of that.
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: I think the, the, the Luke Combs straight to Chapman
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: performance was cool because the way he hung back and
- 1:04:35Speaker 2: was like, this is not about me. Even his voice,
- 1:04:37Speaker 2: he like kind of hung back. And then when they
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: started applauding, he was like pointing her. I thought that was, Nice.
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: But also it just hearing that song performed reminds you
- 1:04:44Speaker 2: that there are songs and there's famous songs and there's
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: like anthems, you know what I mean? And that song
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: is iconic in like five notes, you know, you don't
- 1:04:52Speaker 2: even hear her voice and you know what it is
- 1:04:54Speaker 2: and you know, you love this song and the next
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: five minutes are going to be good.
- 1:04:57Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:04:57Speaker 3: It's also just sort of, there's a, there's like, there's
- 1:05:02Speaker 3: politician good, there's TV good, there's movie good. And then
- 1:05:06Speaker 3: there's like rockstar good, like rockstar charisma and, Nothing quite
- 1:05:11Speaker 3: like it.
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: Anyway, Grammys, good.
- 1:05:13Speaker 2: Grammys are great.
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: It was a great show. Good for them.
- 1:05:16Speaker 2: All right, everyone.
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: We'll talk to you on Wednesday. If you want to
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- 1:05:38Speaker 1: a review. Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production.
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: Our show is produced by Olivia Martinez and David Toledo.
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: Our associate producers are Saul Rubin and Farah Safari. Kira
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: Wakim is our senior producer. Reid Cherlin is our executive producer.
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