Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 7 Gambling Picks, NFC North Wagon-Off, Hot Surefire Picks
Transcript
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- 0:46Okay, okay, okay. We're here, we're back. Street for the Money. New episodes every Thursday
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- 1:07Check out the Trend Center app today, link in the bio. Yeah, let's move on. Okay, so I for one am
- 1:16very glad that week six is over. I did awful. I went, I went three and six. I did hit my
- 1:27surefire though. So that helped, but not enough. So I'm ready to move on. I don't want to talk about it.
- 1:37Well, we can talk about a little bit, but I'm gonna, I'm gonna throw it to someone else.
- 1:41So we can, we can, we can get this, get this over with. Sean, how did you do?
- 1:48Very, very well. I went, I lost more bets on Monday night than I did the entirety of Sunday.
- 2:00I went 13 and three throughout NFL week six. Yeah, I lost, I lost one bet on Sunday. And
- 2:09I don't know if you guys know this about me, but I always parlay my picks with like a dollar.
- 2:16And I would have won like so much money. I had just gotten that one. And it was that
- 2:27stupid chargers under that of course went over. So, but it's okay. I still went 13 and three.
- 2:37I'm not going to feel sorry for you. Yeah, I'm not. Yeah, you should.
- 2:43I would very much like to stay in week six.
- 2:48I could live there forever. That'd be great. Do it again. I'm going to try.
- 2:58Yeah, I feel like I shouldn't have gone after Sean. I went five and four.
- 3:03Yeah, fine. Hit my surefire again. It's fourth week in a row.
- 3:11And hit a nice little Josh Allen first touchdown bet on Monday night football. So that was nice.
- 3:18But yeah, I mean, I will not apologize for winning, especially hitting another surefire.
- 3:24And yeah, let's dive into week seven boys. Yeah, did you all parlay our surefires?
- 3:31I forgot this week. I do it every week. It was hit twice. It's hit twice in the last two weeks.
- 3:37I know. I went to the Tennessee Florida game and I was moving a little slow the morning after.
- 3:47I raced to get all mine in before the London game this time because last week I forgot to
- 3:54get the Vikings bed and before the London game. So I just got all those and I was like,
- 3:59okay, I'm good. I went back to sleep for a little bit. Okay. Yeah, let's move on.
- 4:08I'm ready to put this in the past. Put this behind me. All right, diving into week one,
- 4:16because we have a standalone game. We're back in London. Week seven. Sorry. Jesus Christ will.
- 4:23So week seven, starting in London, Pat's at the Jaguars. But it's in London.
- 4:33And the Jags are favored by five and a half. And I'm just going to say that I don't think the Jags
- 4:43should be favored by five and a half against anyone. And I'm just going to bet the under.
- 4:50I'm going to bet under 42 and a half. I'm keeping it simple. I was going to bet the under if I didn't
- 4:56bet the Jags last week, but that wouldn't have hit either. So there's nothing I could have done
- 5:03about last week. There's nothing I could have done. It was going to happen either way.
- 5:08Could have bet the Bears, but yeah. Yeah, well.
- 5:11So anyway, I bet the under under 42 and a half. Sean,
- 5:22what do you think? I think you're muted. Uh oh, my bad. I had to let bandit in the room
- 5:30because he's crying outside my door. Yeah, dude, this game stinks. I mean, this game feels like
- 5:37the Boston Tea Party wasn't enough. Like we have to punish the British just a little bit more.
- 5:44Uh, two, one and five teams in like this feels like punishment. I mean, yes. Um,
- 5:53I mean, the Jags, they may have some advantage, uh, staying in London for the week, but uh,
- 5:59this game is going to be gross. And to be honest, I don't really either trust any of these teams
- 6:05to cover any game. Um, but the Pats did show signs of life last week with, uh, versus the Texans
- 6:13scoring 21 points in the, the Drake may return. Um, sicko game. So let's get nasty, uh, Pats plus
- 6:22five and a half. Uh, Pats are also seven and one against the Jags in our last eight meetings. So
- 6:29Chris, what you got? Um, I agree with you, Sean. Um, yeah, it's Patriots plus five and a half. The
- 6:41Jags, they have an advantage because they've been in London all week, but they're also just a very
- 6:48bad football team. So I don't know how much of a leg up they'll have. And will I completely agree
- 6:56with what you said at the beginning of your point? I have written down the Jags should not be five and
- 7:00a half favorites against air. So, um, yeah, Drake may show signs of being like a good quarterback.
- 7:09Um, so yeah, Patriots plus five and a half. Um, yeah, the Jags, but this made me a little nervous
- 7:16because this line, why are the Jags minus five and a half? And then I was like, oh, should I bet
- 7:23the Jags? And then I remembered I bet them minus three and a half against the Colts and they won,
- 7:29but they didn't come. So I'm kind of making on that again. Like they may very well win this
- 7:35football game, but they went at by six points. No, thank you. So yeah, it's, it's Patriots plus five
- 7:43and a half. Okay. Moving on next game Texans at the Packers. Packers are home favorites by two
- 7:54and a half favored by two and a half here. Packers. Who did they beat last week? Cardinals
- 8:02Cardinals beat the shit out of the Cardinals. Texans lost to the bills.
- 8:07Um, what do we, what do we think, Chris? Texans beat the Patriots last week. That's what I said.
- 8:16You're right. I don't know exactly what I, yeah, I don't know what I was hearing. You're right.
- 8:20What do you think about this game, Chris? I'm taking the Packers minus two and a half.
- 8:26They might be approaching wagon status. Like they, they're getting there. Like they're kind of,
- 8:31when Gabe or when Jordan Love is healthy, they're kind of shit pumping. I don't know what I was
- 8:39thinking, but when he's healthy, they're kind of shit pumping teams. So I don't think they're
- 8:45going to shit pump the Texans. I think they're going to be in by field goal. Texans are banged up.
- 8:50Larry Tunsel, Aziz Al-Shair, Titans legend and Henry Toh-Toh known trader are all questionable.
- 9:00So in Tunsel, I think he might be like, I think, I don't know if he's confirmed out, but he heard
- 9:05his ankle last week and it didn't really look great. So give me the Packers minus two and a half.
- 9:12I have a trend center trend for this one since 2023. So last year, when a favorite who was favored
- 9:19in their last game, which the Packers were, are favored by three, by more than three or less
- 9:26than three points, excuse me. And the total is more than 44. That team is 34, 13 and one against
- 9:32the spread. So Packers minus two and a half is what that means.
- 9:38That's since last year. Yeah. And it already has numbers like that. Yeah, I was surprised.
- 9:44That's crazy. I'm just going by what it said. Yeah. I mean, we often just take trends by blind
- 9:54faith. So I mean, that has to happen a lot. It's like a team who was favored in their last game,
- 9:59favored again, by less than three. Like that. That's probably a lot. Yeah. That's sure. Yeah.
- 10:07That number is surprising. I mean, that's over 80. Yeah. No.
- 10:12But yeah, Packers minus two and a half. Oh, yeah. Okay. Sean, what are you taking?
- 10:16Yeah. So I also, I did some digging on some numbers and the Texans, red zone defense has been
- 10:30about as effective as using a spaghetti strainer to carry water. They allow 70% of touchdowns
- 10:38in the red zone. Yeah. To make things worse, they're hitting the road without Nico Collins,
- 10:46arguably their best offensive weapon. Like you said, Chris Packers approaching wagon status,
- 10:55they're firing on all cylinders, leading the league in explosive plays and takeaways.
- 11:01It's hard not to back the pack in Lambeau Packers minus two and a half.
- 11:09I also agree. You boys, you really took the words out of my mouth here. I will just to go on Chris's
- 11:20point when the Packers are healthy, they should pump teams. And I mean, clearly with Jordan Love,
- 11:28like, you know, did he barely cover against the Rams? Or did he not cover against the Rams?
- 11:36They covered. No, they covered. I mean, it was a little bit of a sweat, but they covered by a few
- 11:41points because yeah, but like, I mean, still that game was low key a rock fight, even though it ended
- 11:50like 24 to 19. If he didn't have that dumb ass pick six, they would have won that game easily.
- 11:56Yeah. So I also like the Packers minus two and a half here. They're at home. They're hot.
- 12:03They're four and one, four and two, something like that. Four and two, I believe.
- 12:11Yeah, they're four and two because. Did they lose one? Did they lose the game with Malik Willis?
- 12:18No, no, they were. They lost the the Eagles. They're four and two. They're four and two.
- 12:27Yeah. But they're also Jordan Love lost to one, two Malik one, two.
- 12:32Yeah, they're also the. Oh yeah, they lost. They're fourth in the division. A four and two team is
- 12:40fourth in the division. At whole division. So I'm taking the Packers. They got to they got to I
- 12:50got to write out my my future here, but put half a unit on the Packers to win the division. So
- 12:56we're rolling the Packers. OK, next game in a NFC North matchup, two wagons going head to head.
- 13:07Excuse me. Lions at the Vikings Vikings favored by two. I have my brain and a pretzel thinking
- 13:20about this game. I honestly don't know who to choose. The Vikings has just been so good to me
- 13:26this year, but also the Lions. The Lions have been great to me this year. And so I am going to listen
- 13:36to what y'all say because apparently I can't pick a fucking game to save my life. So, Sean, what do
- 13:44you think? Well, I thought about this a lot and I did a lot of research on this and the Vikings,
- 13:54they are a wagon, but they might hit a pothole here and the wheels might fall off.
- 13:59As mentioned before on this show, Jared Goff and the Lions have been printing money indoors,
- 14:06going 27 and 9 against the spread in their last 36 indoor games. Top tier offensive line, keeping
- 14:14the heat off of Goff. They're just well positioned to handle Minnesota's Blitz. Ben Johnson's offense
- 14:23has been on fire. They're averaging 44.5 points in their last two games.
- 14:32Yeah, the Vikings are coming off a bye week, but the Lions, they got their rest too, being able to
- 14:39rest their starters after the blowout win over the Cowboys. It's Lions money line all day for me.
- 14:47Chris, I feel like you're not going to agree with me, but go ahead.
- 14:54I don't agree with you, but I don't disagree with you. I more agree with Will that I,
- 15:00how can you bet against either of these teams? Both teams have just been so
- 15:05incredibly good to us, so I'm not betting against either team. I am taking over 50 or over 50 and
- 15:12this is probably a smart fun thing to do. It's sort of similar to the manager's Ravens game last
- 15:18week. I want this game to rock and so I'm taking over 50. I mean both offenses are playing lights
- 15:26out right now. Lions are going to be missing their best defensive player until they make the Super Bowl
- 15:33because A&H are in the, did y'all see that? Yeah. Get well soon, bro. That looked bad. That was one of
- 15:43the most stomach-turning injuries I've seen in a while. Anyway, yeah, over. I just want this game.
- 15:53I want both teams to have fun and they both will have fun over 50. I just took the over
- 16:00as well because you made a great point. So Lions, Money, Lion and over for me. So I like it. I will
- 16:08also take the over. I'm going to write that down. You know what? I haven't had a game this year that
- 16:12were like, you know, fuck it. I'm taking the over. Suck my dick. I'm taking the over.
- 16:21Because how can you bet on either of these teams? I don't know. Both of them are approaching
- 16:30wagging stats. We've already given the Vikings the wagon title. The Lions are right there.
- 16:39It's like the Vikings, they're playing at such a high level with fairly average players.
- 16:51I feel like it's like Sam Darnold. Yeah. I mean, yeah, he's had a really good year, but like,
- 16:55come on. Justin Jefferson is the best receiver in the league though.
- 17:00That is true. But yeah, I mean, yeah, Sam Darnold is, I mean, his career shows you his mediocre
- 17:08at best. Yeah. And he's a potential like dark horse in VP came there right now.
- 17:14Yeah. And for the Lions, it's like they have dudes everywhere and they're all playing great.
- 17:22And so it's kind of like, which one's hotter? I don't know. I'm taking the over over 50, whatever.
- 17:32I don't know. Moving on. I got it at 51. Okay. I have a written down. Okay. Chiefs at 49ers,
- 17:43the next game 49ers are favored by one and a half. She man, I'm going to throw it to Chris.
- 17:54All right. I hate this pick. This might be the least favorite pick that I've ever given
- 18:04in the history of this show. We all know the stats. Andy read off a buy 21 to four straight up. My
- 18:13home is as a dog or favorite less than three and a half 25, eight and one against the spread.
- 18:21We know the refs love them some chiefs. And I don't want to be sitting there at the end of the game
- 18:29when some **** happens holding the 49ers ticket. I hate this, but I'm taking chiefs money line.
- 18:37I hate it. I will probably actively rooting against this bet. But I just want when the game is over
- 18:45and like there's a bullshit pass interference or roughing the pass or some nonsense at the end
- 18:50of the game, I'll just be there. But hey, I mean, at least I at least I won money off of it. So yeah,
- 18:58it's this chiefs money line. It's just a square as it gets, but it's it's cheap. So
- 19:05Will, what are you taking? I have that same thing circled. I'm probably just going to take
- 19:11the plus one and a half, but also I'll just take money line whatever who cares. Yeah.
- 19:19Yeah. I mean, you know, the Cowboys on a buy. Yep. Okay, so this will this will be the game
- 19:30of the week then. It is. Yeah. I didn't even look that up. It's there's such a rare opportunity
- 19:39to take the chiefs as underdogs. And so I'm the chiefs they're battered, they're torn, they're
- 19:49also undefeated. I don't yes, there's fucking win win games. So I'll take that. But John, what do
- 19:59you got? Well, I just locked in chiefs money line. It's not my pick, but I'm going to take it. Because
- 20:09you guys are right. I mean, the whether it's the refs or the chiefs, they find way to win
- 20:16they find ways to win these games. And you just can't bet against it. But I do want to mention
- 20:27that I think this line is kind of all kinds of messed up. When this opened the chiefs were a
- 20:33point favorite. Now they're a point and a half dog. Chiefs are historically great against the
- 20:4049ers. They covered four in a row, seven of their last eight meetings. But I'm really my pick here
- 20:52is I'm going to lean on the under both teams have a injury report longer than a CVS receipt.
- 21:01As well as the 49ers have had 10 days to rest and the chiefs are coming off thereby,
- 21:07which brings me to a which brings me to a trend that I found on trend center called extended
- 21:12rest unders where the opponent and the team is on a eight or more days of rest. The under is 30
- 21:24and nine. So lock in the under in the Super Bowl rematch for me. What's the number? Oh, my bad.
- 21:35Under 47 and a half. Excuse me. I'll take it because that is one of my favorite trends.
- 21:40Yeah, I'm gonna take that. Sick.
- 21:46Well, thinking about it.
- 21:50Well, I'm more thinking about what's the next metaphor you're going to give on this episode.
- 21:56John coming in hot with the comparisons.
- 21:59CVS receipt. I mean,
- 22:02carrying water through a pasta strainer.
- 22:04Geez, wagon might hit a pot hole.
- 22:11Here we are. That's what I'm thinking about.
- 22:16Yeah, you know what? I'll take the under to whatever who cares.
- 22:21Believe in something, man.
- 22:23It's hard for me to believe in anything right now, Chris.
- 22:26How can I believe in myself?
- 22:28Okay, let's let's relax. But I do want to ask you a question, Will. Since we are,
- 22:35we have just discussed the game of the week and we're heading into the prime time games.
- 22:40Are prime time unders dead to you?
- 22:44No. No, no, they haven't hit in forever.
- 22:51Really? The Sunday night game. Sunday night game went under.
- 22:54The Monday night game. The Monday night game went over. The Thursday night game went over.
- 23:01The last two Monday night games the week before went over.
- 23:05I think that Sunday night game went over.
- 23:08I think the I think the prime time. I think prime time unders are dead.
- 23:13Just being real. But to me.
- 23:18All right. All right. Let's get into prime time picks then.
- 23:21All right, sir.
- 23:27Okay, next game Sunday night football. Jets at the Steelers.
- 23:32You know what? Fuck you, Sean. I'm taking the under.
- 23:37Under 38. This game is gonna stink.
- 23:41This game might stink.
- 23:42This game. I under 38. That's tough. Five touchdowns. Five touchdowns at a field goal.
- 23:50That's tough. That's a tough. That's a tough. That's a tall task for these teams.
- 23:53However, the Jets did acquire Devonte Adams. We will see what really that does.
- 24:02But also, I mean, it's the Steelers defense.
- 24:08I don't know who's gonna win this game, but they're gonna keep it under 38.
- 24:14And that's really all I gotta say about that.
- 24:16Sean, what do you have in this game?
- 24:22I feel like you gotta take the over just that spite.
- 24:25No, I'm not gonna do that.
- 24:28I actually hate the over on the Jets Steelers.
- 24:32I hate this game. I hate this game. This game stinks.
- 24:38I mean, Justin Fields is four and two. And now they're gonna be like, okay,
- 24:43you can you can go sit down. We got Russ.
- 24:48Adams is most likely gonna play.
- 24:51Will these guys make a difference in their team?
- 24:56Maybe. Who knows? Probably not for the Jets.
- 25:00But I don't know. I just gotta fade the Jets here.
- 25:04They're just not clicking right now. They have no idea who they are.
- 25:09They put up over 400 yards of offense on the bills on Monday night,
- 25:14but only converted four of their 12 third downs, which is atrocious.
- 25:21That's just good old third down Todd Downing right there back to his old tricks.
- 25:25Very true. They also missed two field goals.
- 25:28Yeah, the upright twice.
- 25:32Yeah, man. I think it's just a pure fate the Jets pick for me.
- 25:36I'm going on Steelers money line. Chris, what you got?
- 25:41I 100% agree. The Jets suck.
- 25:45Like, let's just call it like it is.
- 25:47Like woohoo. They got Devontae Adams.
- 25:49That's gonna fix their, fix their piss poor rush defense.
- 25:52That's gonna fix Greg Zerline, who has missed four field goals through seven weeks,
- 25:57six weeks. That's gonna fix that they have,
- 26:00they're the second most penalized team in the NFL.
- 26:03Yeah, it's going to cure everything.
- 26:06Now, this was a panic trade.
- 26:07No reason the guy was because he's Aaron Rodgers, but buddy,
- 26:10I have no confidence in the Jets whatsoever, especially with two dipshits
- 26:14that they will hack it and Todd Downing running that offense.
- 26:18It's Steelers money line. I hate the Jets.
- 26:21Like I hate them really for no real reason, but I hate them.
- 26:27They're everywhere now.
- 26:29And they, like they, they suck. So yeah, it's, it is, I doubt,
- 26:34it's not so much just a spike the Jets. I do think the Steelers are a better team.
- 26:39I think they're kind of rear-ended Justin Fields a little bit, but Russ was good last year.
- 26:45He wasn't anything special, but he was good. He was serviceable.
- 26:49I think they're just going to run the ball all over this defense.
- 26:52That's exactly what the bills backup running backs did.
- 26:55So if Najae Harris can get going, might be a long night for the Jets.
- 27:00So yeah, Steelers money line.
- 27:04It's a real meeting of the minds when, when it's Todd Downing and Nathaniel Hackett.
- 27:10Like, it's gotta be the two stupidest motherfuckers in the NFL to run an offense.
- 27:15Yup. All right. Well, we're moving on to my next question.
- 27:22Cup. All right. Well, we're moving on to Monday night football.
- 27:29This matchup could rock. This has a potential to be a good game.
- 27:36It's Ravens at the Bucks. The Bucks are home dogs by three and a half points.
- 27:43Both of these teams are pretty good. Like,
- 27:46there were questions after the Ravens lost their first two games.
- 27:49They've rattled off four wins. And the Bucks, I mean, they're, they beat the Lions. They,
- 27:57they're, they're a good team. They've had a, you know, a spinker or two here and there.
- 28:02But these are both two very good teams. Chris, what do you think about this game?
- 28:07I am taking the home dog Bucks plus three and a half.
- 28:12Ten Bay had a lot of injuries primarily on defense to start the season.
- 28:16They're getting healthier there. I mean, they, other than a God awful second quarter last week,
- 28:22the Saints didn't score. Like this gets scored all their points in the second quarter.
- 28:26So other than that one quarter, they held the Saints off the board. Baker, like, is cooking.
- 28:34That whole offense, probably the most underrated offense in the league.
- 28:37Did you know Baker Mayfield leads the league in passing touchdowns?
- 28:40No, I did. I did know that. I found out today by like a lot. Yeah. So yeah, I'm back in the
- 28:48bake show. Lamar as a favorite, not great against the spread. He is 19 and 21 against the spread as
- 28:57a favorite, eight and 18 as a favorite of three or more points. So yeah, give me the Bucks plus
- 29:06three and a half. I also think everyone in their mother is going to be on the Ravens because nobody
- 29:10really knows about the Bucks and the Ravens have just been beating the hell out of teams,
- 29:14mainly on national television. So yeah, it's Buck and yours plus three and a half.
- 29:21Well, what are you taking?
- 29:23It is the Bucks that I am taking. I'm taking the home dog that underscores me in this game.
- 29:31So I'm not I'm not taking it. The only thing that does scare me is the fact that Lamar is like
- 29:41undefeated against the NFC or something. Oh, damn, I forgot about that. But they can still win by two.
- 29:48Yeah, it could be a close game. Yeah. That's that's one thing that that scares me.
- 29:56Yeah. Are you going to change your picture, Chris?
- 30:00No, no, I just had totally forgotten about that. But somehow because like everyone has been talking
- 30:06about it. Because they just beat who they beat. Oh yeah, the commanders. But no, I'm sticking with
- 30:11the big show. Yeah, I'm also on the bus 17 and 0 against the spread against the NFC.
- 30:19No, I'm sticking with it. Sticking with it. Sticking with it. Okay.
- 30:27That's crazy. But to be 17 is one. He's got to lose eventually.
- 30:32Like, yeah, he's got to not cover at least eventually. Yeah, that's the thing about trends
- 30:37is that they don't last forever. Yeah, if honestly, you get it while they're hot.
- 30:42If you had told me he was like 17 and five or something, that would make me more scared.
- 30:46But like, it has to end at something. I see the logic there.
- 30:53Sean, what's your pick? I will spite you on on this one. My name is Sean and I am addicted
- 31:03to Raven's overs. The Ravens are just strutting around like NFL royalty for straight wins and
- 31:13scoring over 30 points a game. I mean, it's starting to look like the Lamar Henry connection is in
- 31:19fact a cheat code. Their offense is second in EPA while their defense is having almost an
- 31:27identity crisis at 25th. Flipping between elite and are you awake? The Buccaneers, yeah, they're
- 31:40scoring like they're at an all you can eat buffet. They've piled up 100 and 110 points in the last
- 31:49three weeks. But their defense is flimsier than a wet paper towel. So giving up 25 points regularly.
- 31:58Man, this Monday night football game is gonna rock. They might just I mean, the scoreboard might break.
- 32:05So give me over 50 and a half all day. Okay, I don't hate that either. I might end up taking it
- 32:18depending on how Sunday goes. But that goes against your your morals will. Yeah, well, I said that,
- 32:27you know, I'm not taking the under in this game, because I'm scared of the over. It's like, why
- 32:37why should I be scared of the over? If it's gonna hit, it just it just feels like crime time unders
- 32:45are your bread and butter. Yeah, because most of the time it's, I don't know, it's kind of sloppy,
- 32:51but Monday night football is a little bit different than then. I mean, I will I feel
- 32:58like I'll always been a Thursday under because those games always stink. And like Sunday night
- 33:05football, I feel like most of the Sunday night football games have gone under. If not, like at
- 33:10least half Monday night. I don't think it's done too well for me. But main slate is over. Now we're
- 33:20moving on to the sure fire picks of the week. I believe we're on a two week streak of all of us
- 33:27hitting our sure fire picks. Not a big deal. It's actually huge. It's actually it's it's actually
- 33:37not a big deal will it is for me. It's just what it is. I'm so terrible at this. Anyway,
- 33:44I guess I'll start off get the stinkers out of the way. This one is not a stinker. We've already
- 33:52talked about it. It's the Packers minus two and a half. I love that I love this game. I am low key
- 33:59high on the Packers for the rest of the rest of the season. I mean, I guess I'm low key high on a
- 34:05lot of the three of the NFC North teams. I am not high on the Bears at all. The Bears haven't beaten
- 34:13anyone. Anyone of note of noteworthy. But I'm on the Packers. I think that the Texans are a pretty
- 34:20mid team. They're going to end up winning our division, but they're a pretty mid team. Like,
- 34:25they lost to the bills like magically where the Texans just have so much more talent. I don't
- 34:32know. And now that talent is gone with a Niko Collins out and the Bangdae
- 34:40and I'm taking the Packers. I love this pick. And now, Chris, what is your pick? What is your
- 34:52Surefire double unit play? Surefire double unit guaranteed not to lose. Let's try to hit five
- 34:58of these things in a row. It is the Manders Panthers over 51 and a half. Two, I mean, the
- 35:08Manders offense is amazing. Jane Daniels is incredible. Their defense on the other hand is
- 35:18just garbage. I mean, it's so bad. The Panthers, I mean, their offense is with Dalton is competent.
- 35:28But the other defense is also terrible. The Buccaneer, Earth of the Box. The
- 35:32Commanders have gone over this number in five of their six games this season and the Panthers,
- 35:39since switching to Dalton have gone over this number in three of their four. So yes,
- 35:44it is Manders Panthers over 51 and a half. Sean, what are you taking?
- 35:52Well, it's a game we literally just talked about. Raven's Bucks over 15 and a half.
- 35:56Like I said, I should be in AA for how addicted I am to betting Raven's Overs.
- 36:06They are automatic. And if you haven't caught on yet, what are you doing? I mean, this won't last
- 36:14forever, but get it. Get it while it's hot. And like, I mean, this is the game where you really
- 36:20want to, you know, put two, three units on, I think. Because I mean, like I said, the Bucks defense is
- 36:30awful, but also their offense is firing on all cylinders. Ravens are scoring over 30 points a
- 36:38game. And, you know, their defense will let in a couple touchdowns. They'll take their foot off
- 36:44the gas at the end of the game when they're up and they'll let you score just to get the ball back. So
- 36:53I mean, this, this might be, I talked to Will about this. You know, you have those one game
- 37:00a week. There's like always one game a week where it's just no sweat. Like you don't even have to
- 37:04check it. This will be that game. I like it. Yeah. I mean, this, this will just be like, you don't
- 37:15even have to worry about you can go to bed and just be like, this, this, it's like Justin Tucker,
- 37:21like a couple years ago, and it's like, oh, he lines up at the, at the 50 for a 61 yard kick. And
- 37:28it's like, all right, I'm gonna get a beer. Like, it's like, Oh, you don't want to see this. It's
- 37:33like, no, he's got it's it's automatic. It's automatic. So give me yeah, give me 50 over 50
- 37:41and a half all all all day. I love this. I love this pic. This might be a triple unit for me.
- 37:49It might be. All right. All right. Triple unit play on the on the horizon.
- 37:57Okay, moving on extra plays for the week. Extra plays extra plays.
- 38:07Sean, what are your extra plays? I know you just got done talking. That's what I panicked.
- 38:14Yeah, I got the Falcons minus three. Falcons are on a roll. Seahawks can't cover a spread to
- 38:21save their lives. Seahawks. Yeah. Yeah.
- 38:33It's also worth it to note that Falcons are 13 and six against the spread in their last 19 games
- 38:38versus the NFC West. So Falcons minus three. I've got the Panthers, manders over 52. The Panthers
- 38:48defense has been as generous as a kid on Halloween, given up 30 points, 30 plus points even in each of
- 38:58their last three games. Now they're up against one of the hottest teams in the league. Stopping the run.
- 39:06That's not in their playbook, especially with Washington's power run game led by Jaden Daniels.
- 39:14He'll just steam roll through him. Yeah, over 52 and a half all day. Also Andy Dalton,
- 39:21bless his heart, dude. But he should be able to muster up at least 17 points against the
- 39:27commander's defense. So yep, I'm also liking the Chargers minus two and a half to cover against
- 39:35the Cardinals. The Cardinals were hit hard by injuries against the Packers. Marvison Harrison,
- 39:44juniors out. Several defensive players are uncertain for this week. Arizona struggles to
- 39:51stop the run. I think they rank 26th in run defense in the league. And that's just kind of what the
- 39:59Chargers do now. So give me the Chargers minus two. And you guys are going to think I'm crazy.
- 40:07I'm taking the Titans plus nine. This is I saved this one for last. Chris, I see you're shaking
- 40:14your head. This is just one I have a feeling about. This is just one of those Titans games we get a
- 40:22year where you open up the playbook and they surprise us all. Titans defense is still strong
- 40:30despite their shortcomings. Bill's a struggle. Last two weeks. I really don't have any stats or
- 40:41numbers to really back this up for you. But this is just like one of those gut feelings that I had.
- 40:47I went 13 and three last week. So suck it. The Titans plus the Titans spread is like one of the
- 41:02top trends for Sunday. Yeah. They are the biggest dog of the week. And I believe the biggest dog
- 41:10of the week all but one week has covered. If not one outright. Yeah. I don't think I've I also
- 41:17don't think I've taken a Titan spread outside of the Dolphins game. I did week one. I did week one
- 41:27and maybe week two. But yeah. Maybe. Yeah. I did bet on week one. Yeah. I mean I'm just trusting
- 41:37my gut here like this one was just calling to me like there was a spotlight on the number.
- 41:44Yep. Angels were singing to me. It's like a sign from God. Titans plus nine.
- 41:55Well what you got. What else you got. Well Sean since you're so gung ho about this Ravens bucks
- 42:03over. I will also add the Ravens bucks over. I will double dip on that game just for you buddy.
- 42:12I appreciate it. Also I need some money. So this will be the game to get you money.
- 42:20That would be really fucking dope. And I also had the Panthers commanders over written down
- 42:26before we record it. So I'm glad we're all on the on the on the same page there. I think
- 42:35is is commanders any game that they're in auto over bet. I mean other than the that Giants game
- 42:44they've gone over every single they're over this number every week. They they're like the Ravens
- 42:51like they have the same over under record as the Ravens. Okay. I might might be an auto bet.
- 42:59I do have the Cardinals Chargers under 43 and a half. Yeah.
- 43:07I so low. It's not the lowest. It's not the lowest. Yeah. The Sunday Night Football is
- 43:16I believe the lowest at 38. Did you say 34. What did you say you said 34. Oh 43. Okay.
- 43:26God. I'm like hearing dyslexic or something. The numbers just switch around on me. I am
- 43:38skeptical of this pick but I am taking it because it's the Chargers and their defense is decent.
- 43:44But also the Cardinals just suck. They're not going to be able to put up any points but I'm
- 43:49not sure they're going to be able to stop them. But I'm taking the under anyway. I am. This is a
- 43:55feel out pick. But also I think I could win money. So under 43. Those are my three extra plays. Chris
- 44:04what are yours. All right. These are all pretty smelly. I'm not going to lie. We're going to start
- 44:10up with the Giants plus three and a half against the Eagles. Philly's falling apart man. They're
- 44:16falling apart. They couldn't do anything against the Browns. They're Ciorioni's Yellow Net fans
- 44:23and then bringing this kids as like a human shield to press conferences. Jordan Maliata,
- 44:30Dallas Goddard and Darius Slay as of now are all questionable for this game. I think neighbors
- 44:36is coming back. That would be huge. I know he sucked on Sunday night football. Daniel Jones
- 44:42has not been that bad this season. He's been accurate. I'll say that. But yeah. I think Giants
- 44:52they might mess around win this game. I don't know. It's just because Philly is falling apart
- 44:57and Ciorioni's on his way out the door. So yeah. Where is it? It's in MetLife.
- 45:03Home divisional dog. Honestly, I was hoping it would be in Philly because Daniel Jones fucking
- 45:10sucks at home. The say Kwan return. I just this is more fade the fade the Eagles. They
- 45:20they're winning but they they're good. You can't cover the Browns.
- 45:26And they didn't they didn't cover that game. They didn't allow an offensive touchdown.
- 45:29Like I know it was kind of a big number but still anyway. Next thing you want dolphins plus three
- 45:39and a half against the Colts coming off a buy. Tyler Huntley former pro bowler. Let's we forget
- 45:46getting more familiar with the playbook. Maybe it might be Daniel kind of scheme some stuff up for
- 45:51him. The Colts run defense is abysmal. We saw that first hand last week. Tony Pollock scored on a
- 45:57third 19. So I think we're he most dirt and jail and right might might cook in this one.
- 46:03So dolphins plus three and a half might sprinkle moneyline on that one. I sneak you love that pick.
- 46:09And then Rams team total over 24 and a half against the Raiders. The Raiders are just terrible.
- 46:17I mean they're awful. Their defense is I mean they've given up at least 25 points. I believe in
- 46:22four of their five or five of their six or maybe four of their six and a no conal is getting the
- 46:28start the start and he is awful. So lots of turnovers. Lots of short fields. Let's score 25 points.
- 46:37Yeah. That is the card. OK. There we go. Those are the cards. Those are the picks. Those are the
- 46:44plays. I will have a pig for that other Monday night game. The Chargers Cardinals. I just
- 46:50don't know what to do with it right now. Yeah. Oh I forgot that was the other Monday night game.
- 46:55Yeah. We get double dose of Harbaugh. Double Harbitration.
- 47:08I think I think during our our surefire explanations when when Sean was like I should be in AA.
- 47:18I think I might isolate that that that the little audio clip there and make it as like a ringtone
- 47:24for when he texts me. Jesus Christ. I should be in AA.
- 47:35You want to go to tailgate. Yeah.
- 47:41Yeah. You bet. I don't I don't I don't even have anything to say that.
- 47:47Yeah. So I'm just so I'm like steaming right now. Damn. That was pretty rude. That was pretty
- 47:53you know it's just I thought I was going to call for. Now there's a funny observation.
- 47:59Just so I'm just joking. Yes. Just joking.
- 48:09Sure. Fuck in. What else happened this week. A new Will Levis meme dropped.
- 48:13Yeah. The spider man thing. The sun rose today.
- 48:21At least that one he was like being happy. Everything else just devastated. So I was
- 48:28willing to live with that. We call it massive devastation to that ball boy.
- 48:33That was. Okay. I want to ball boy. You got to keep your head on a swivel man. It wasn't like
- 48:40he was facing the opposite direction. He was looking right at it. Okay. I want to go the way bend
- 48:45your knees jump do something. I want to recall that play because like what happened was you know he
- 48:53went full crashing into this guy's just kneecaps right like got up looked behind him and then went
- 49:04it was like it also wasn't his fault. He got pushed. I know it wasn't his fault. It was like
- 49:17just the fact that he was just like
- 49:22like it was so funny to me. It was similar. It was two years ago. Maybe it was last year.
- 49:28And I went to the same thing to like a chain getting guy. Yeah. The guy screaming. Yeah.
- 49:33That guy his leg was visibly like the other direction and he just looked at it like
- 49:40rough. Anyway let's go play some ball. That guy was like yeah that was.
- 49:48But no that's I still think if you're on the sideline like you got to you got to be aware of
- 49:54this stuff man. I think I think if I recall correctly he was not looking at the field.
- 49:59Well then like he was like head swiveled like somewhere else. He was like often on
- 50:07on Saturn or something. Yeah. It was very funny. I mean like but it was it was very funny.
- 50:15It was like I kind of loved it because I was like I kind of like I kind of like that attitude
- 50:20just like well back to the back to the game like you can't you can't have that like in your head
- 50:27for the rest of the game. You know he was just like oh well first down.
- 50:36That was very funny. I do have a question since you mentioned Sirianni Chris. Yeah. Who do you
- 50:44think gets fired for Sirianni or Antonio Pierce. Sirianni I think really yeah well with Pierce
- 50:54they're kind of rebuilding and I think they hired a knowing they were going to suck this year.
- 51:00Sirianni this team is too talented to be just as mid as they are. Yeah. I just feel like I mean
- 51:11I don't feel like the Raiders can move forward enough with Antonio Pierce.
- 51:19I mean that team is just hope if they actually had a competent quarterback maybe things would be
- 51:23different but I mean Minchu and Aiden O'Connell are leading your offense especially now you don't
- 51:29have Devonte Adams who also by the way should be getting some shit. He just straight up quit on that
- 51:33team. Yeah. Like he faked an injury so they could trade him and which maybe it was a real
- 51:41to begin with but he definitely set out longer than he needed to and now he's going to the Jets
- 51:47and they're going to be also they're going to be incredibly average. His hamstring healed
- 51:52in like four days. Yeah. Got that. I was good at it. When he also when he popped up
- 52:01and Aaron Rodgers pat McAfee thing. I don't know why you didn't like that. No. I kind of
- 52:08what I kind of like I was like cool. I don't know if I'm just getting like old and cynical.
- 52:14I fucking hate. Well yeah but like he is such as like a whiny bitch
- 52:20and he blames everyone else when he is not playing well. He's like yeah but I'm fucking awesome so
- 52:26it's obviously everyone else's fault. It's me. Aaron Rodgers. He needs to take like a shred of
- 52:32accountability for this team being terrible. Yeah. Well Aaron Rodgers is an old man yelling at the
- 52:38clouds but he's not. Like I'm glad his family doesn't talk to him. I wouldn't talk to him either.
- 52:45He's an asshole. So yeah. No man. It wasn't anything against him. I just hate Aaron Rodgers so much.
- 52:58I thought the pat McAfee like thing was just like why was he already there? Like he was already in the
- 53:09build. He was in the Jets facility because you could see like behind him you could see the murals
- 53:14like painted on the walls of like Jets history and I was like you know this trade was announced
- 53:21like an hour ago. I think the second he they were like hey we're looking to like we have a deal
- 53:30like we're talking with New York about a deal. I think as soon as he heard that he hung up and he
- 53:35hopped on the jet. No pun intended to get over there. I think they are both incredibly full of
- 53:42shit but Aaron Rodgers more so. Do you think this is Aaron Rodgers last year? He's 41 years old.
- 53:53It should be. But I think he's too. He's too full of himself to admit that it's over. I think if he
- 54:02will he more or less have to be like pushed out of the league than he will officially retire?
- 54:10I think he'll just have to play so god awful that no one will touch him. Which we might be
- 54:15approaching like there's no real reason like they're offensive line isn't great. There's no
- 54:22real reason for this team to be terrible with the weapons they have. Yeah I think so on offense.
- 54:28He's a couple of good like sacks away from getting something debilitating.
- 54:38And I mean I don't want that to happen but because mainly it would be funny if he signed
- 54:44with the Vikings. I just think following very funny following directly Brett Farrefoot steps
- 54:50would be hilarious but yeah I just think yeah he's that full himself. He will have to be
- 54:56either carried off the field or just be so bad that no one will touch him.
- 55:04Yeah he's such a good player though anyway. Well he was. Yeah oh definitely he was but like right
- 55:13now he's just he's just incredibly average yeah. Yeah okay what else what else happened?
- 55:21It's so weird that Russell Wilson might get the start like just the fields.
- 55:29It is but it isn't. Yeah fields isn't like playing out of his mind or anything like he's been good
- 55:39but also I think they kind of knew was like hey we're we're letting we're putting Russell in when
- 55:44like when he's healthy unless you we're like six and up probably but I think that this was the
- 55:51final one. Okay yeah I mean it's it it is weird because they are four and two but it also isn't
- 56:03weird because they got Russ for this purpose but yes other news I guess the the Browns traded
- 56:19Amari Cooper to the Bills. He's got to be so happy to get that. Yeah there might not be a happier
- 56:26man on planet earth right now than Amari Cooper. I mean when I saw that I was like I wasn't even
- 56:35like mad about it like I know we play I know the Titans play the Bills this week but I was like
- 56:42I'm I'm I'm happy for this guy to get out of here like he must have been just in hell
- 56:47like I didn't sign up for this shit. I want Nick Shub to get traded next get everyone out of there.
- 56:57Yeah and then Stefanski can quit. She's like hey I'm not doing this. I mean just like what a
- 57:06what a whole just Browns series of events that this is just whole over the past like
- 57:12has it been three years now? Yeah but yeah three years he had to sit out one I believe
- 57:21he was hard for most of last year. Yeah so he signed that like four year deal for like 260
- 57:29million dollars guaranteed fully guaranteed just like what a Browns move to just have a 260 million
- 57:40dollar player sit out a year be hard for almost a year and a half and then just play like complete
- 57:50dog shit. It's almost poetry because it's just it's just so it's just written so well like it's
- 58:00just so Browns. I mean the Browns deserve this. Yes they do. One for running Baker out of town for
- 58:08no good reason. Two for signing a sexual predator accused in the first place. I mean we can
- 58:1924 times. Yes 27 I believe. Didn't he have another one this year? 20 something. He has more settled
- 58:30lawsuits than touchdown passes as a Brown. I saw something they have gone like 25 straight third
- 58:37downs without converting or something like that. What? That's preposterous. How does that happen?
- 58:45I don't know. Jamis Winston is like leading like the like the like huddle before the game like nobody
- 58:52respects this guy and they shouldn't but like it's just mind blowing how stupid that organization is.
- 59:01They should honestly just cut their losses and just start Jamis like they should just cut they should
- 59:10just cut him and just I think I saw if they cut him next year it's a hundred and seventy million
- 59:17dollar capital. They're gonna I mean but like but they couldn't sign anyone. They can't sign anyone
- 59:26but at least you I mean yeah I agree like there is no good solution but I mean I feel like just
- 59:33taking a hundred and seventy million dollar cap is like it's kind of like us with Levis just throw
- 59:38him out there. Fuck it maybe something good will happen. Yeah but Levis doesn't cost us anything.
- 59:46Oh no I it's not the same. It's not the same at all. The foundation the premise I think is
- 59:51is similar I should say but I mean no they I don't want them to cut him. I want this to be as miserable
- 1:00:00as possible. Yeah I do want them to stool in their mistake. I feel bad for Sifansky. Everyone else in
- 1:00:08that team I want Watson to suffer for as long as possible and I want the Browns organization
- 1:00:15primarily the Haslams to suffer for as long as humanly possible. Aren't the
- 1:00:24aren't the Haslams the. Maybe wrong or something or the related yeah they're
- 1:00:32they're related to the Preds owners right Jimmy. It's Jimmy Haslams yeah yeah it's the same
- 1:00:40same yeah yeah okay so I don't want him to suffer but I want every I want people in the Browns
- 1:00:50organization to suffer. Yes I mean no I want Jimmy Haslams to suffer. He's a he's a bad bad man.
- 1:00:58Okay well that's my team Chris. My team too but I Jimmy Haslams is not a good fuck that guy.
- 1:01:08I hate him. Yeah who'd have thought who'd have thought trading and signing for DeSean Watson
- 1:01:21after a laundry list of accusations came about. Who'd have thought that that would not have worked
- 1:01:29out. Has any like in all of sports who has gotten like that much money and been like okay this was
- 1:01:39a good deal long term. Like who's got well I don't I don't think anybody because I think at the time
- 1:01:46it was like the highest guaranteed. I was like oh guaranteed yes but just an alt like yeah whenever
- 1:01:51you see like these massive contracts when is it like when it's all said and done at the end of
- 1:01:56the guy's tenure or career whatever it is you look back like that was worth it. Probably I feel
- 1:02:01like probably probably my homes. We don't know at the end. He will be. Bro he's got three Super Bowls
- 1:02:09right now. I mean half a billion dollars though. God forbid he gets hurt in two years and it's like
- 1:02:15well shit we give this guy half a billion dollars. It was yeah maybe maybe show
- 1:02:23half a billion dollars with it. Yeah oh and again like there are a few right now that could be but
- 1:02:28yeah I can't remember. Well like we're only we can only really discuss right now because
- 1:02:34this is like we're seeing the times of player of position players being the highest paid at their
- 1:02:43position. So there's not really a comparable there's not another player that's comparable to
- 1:02:49the Sean Watson of getting this much money. I mean it's not as much money but making Taylor LaWan
- 1:02:58the highest paid left tackle in history football was it did not go well. I he played mean how many
- 1:03:09years of that and then his tore his knee up and then his career went to shit. I mean he tore both
- 1:03:15of his knees. I know but I'm just like both his ACLs and I'm not saying like it's not his fault
- 1:03:21like that's terrible but also just from a strictly business numbers perspective.
- 1:03:27That wasn't a good decision. Yeah I mean but it was I think it's I I think that the Taylor LaWan
- 1:03:37signing was a much more needed signing than the Browns needed to sign to Sean Watson.
- 1:03:46Well if they had run Baker at a time they wouldn't have to do it in the first place.
- 1:03:49Exactly that's the that's the whole point. That's another thing I love Baker is out here slinging
- 1:03:56it and the Browns are just I wish I used to feel sorry for Browns fans being just the losers
- 1:04:03they're the losers of the NFL for decades but they got a haste of success and start acting
- 1:04:09like a bunch of assholes. So yeah I they they ran him out of town they started talking shit about
- 1:04:16his progressive commercials which by the way I miss those commercials rocked. Yes.
- 1:04:25They they started talking shit about his commercials which is gonna happen to will
- 1:04:31levis with these fucking mayonnaise commercials. At least when at least when levis is terrible it's
- 1:04:37funny. I don't want it to be funny. I don't either but at least you get some sort of like okay
- 1:04:46it's not the worst thing ever. I didn't think we would get seven six weeks of will levis memes.
- 1:04:53At least we got something to laugh at. Had a bye. If he was this bad and not being hilarious I'd be
- 1:04:59furious but he's this bad being as like at least your your job is to provide me entertainment
- 1:05:04when you get down to it. At least he's kind of doing that not in the right way but he's kind of
- 1:05:11yes he is kind of doing that. I will say sort of in that same vein of like when a contract has like
- 1:05:20I don't know kind of worked out was like the the Derek Henry extension like we paid him a lot of
- 1:05:27money and normally running backs don't last that that that first contract after your after your entry
- 1:05:35level normally it's like that's not fucking worth it. Yeah that's true. It it was worth it I mean
- 1:05:42like he had a 2,000 yard season. I mean we didn't do anything but he was there. He played well.
- 1:05:50We made it as far as we did. Yeah that's a good one. Yeah that's you know obviously like I can't
- 1:06:00remember the number amount on that deal but it was a lot. Yeah and he wasn't the highest paid
- 1:06:06running back. No. I think it's McCaffrey. I can tell you who was but yeah he wasn't the highest paid.
- 1:06:13I don't think he was. Yeah. I think that might be it.
- 1:06:24Okay. You think? Don't want to call it. Is there anything else we want to discuss?
- 1:06:32Real quick.
- 1:06:33I can't think of anything. I can't think of anything either. I think I just wrap it up.
- 1:06:45Yeah okay. Yeah. All right I'm gonna wrap it up. Okay thank you so much for watching.
- 1:06:49Thank you so much for listening. We really really appreciate it. Any interaction with this video
- 1:06:54really helps us out, really helps our reach. Like, comment, subscribe. Check out the Trend Center
- 1:06:59app, link in the bio. 15% off a premium membership. If you're a sports vet, you straight up you should
- 1:07:07have this Trend Center app. It's no question has helped me tremendously. Obviously not on
- 1:07:14Sunday. I need to be paying more attention to the Trend Center app but the other six days of the week
- 1:07:22I'm there every day checking that shit out. Check out the Trend Center link in the bio.
- 1:07:30And follow us on everything. Link us in the bio as well for the Bandit Thursday night pick
- 1:07:38tonight Thursday when you're listening to this. I think he hit his last week. He did.
- 1:07:44Yeah he did. Yeah the Niners. Bandit's three and two right now. He's doing well. He's being a good boy.
- 1:07:53Yeah don't let him. Don't try and stop him. Follow that. Might have an old dog Parley.
- 1:08:00We'll see what he's feeling. We'll see if the dogs are barking. We'll see what happens.
- 1:08:05Yes okay that's it. Thank you so much. There's three of us. Now let's make some money.
- 1:08:15Hey guys real quick. What? Since we're talking about Trend Center and their trend of the day
- 1:08:22is the Utah Hockey Club Moneyline. Damn I forgot the date. It starts at nine. Oh let's go. I am taking it.
- 1:08:29You want to hop on it? Yeah. Okay. It's minus one sixty. Eight. So I want to put two units on it.
- 1:08:41We down? Yeah we down. Okay. All right.
- 1:08:44Okay. All right. That's it. See you next week. I love you.