Latest / Choppin’ It Up by Bloomberg Intelligence / Dutch Bros’ Barone on Driving Strong Sales Gains
Transcript
- 0:13Speaker 1: Welcome to Chopping It Up.
- 0:15Speaker 2: I'm Mike Hale, the Senior Restaurant and Food Service Analyst
- 0:18Speaker 2: at Bloomberg Intelligence. Today, we're joined by Dutch Bros CEO,
- 0:22Speaker 2: Christine Barone. Dutch Bros, which trades under the ticker BROS,
- 0:27Speaker 2: specializes in coffee and energy drinks and is one of
- 0:30Speaker 2: the fastest growing beverage chains in the U.S.
- 0:33Speaker 1: Thanks for doing this, Christine.
- 0:35Speaker 3: Mike, thanks so much for having me.
- 0:37Speaker 2: Yeah, I've been looking forward to chatting with you. Our
- 0:40Speaker 2: mutual friend, Lauren Bailey, told me I needed to meet
- 0:43Speaker 2: you back in your True Foods Kitchen days.
- 0:46Speaker 1: So this is a long time coming.
- 0:49Speaker 3: Wonderful. Well, she is a great friend and a great restaurateur.
- 0:53Speaker 1: Yeah, Lauren's the best. And before we jump in.
- 0:57Speaker 2: I'd like to give a shout out to my former intern,
- 0:59Speaker 2: Kaya Nyack, her summer project, like I told you, was
- 1:02Speaker 2: on Dutch Bros. And she gave me some great suggestions
- 1:05Speaker 2: for this discussion since... My associate Amir and I don't
- 1:08Speaker 2: cover the company just yet. So, you know, Dutch Bros
- 1:12Speaker 2: earnings beat the sell sides to Q estimates on the
- 1:15Speaker 2: top and bottom line. And you raised 2026 guidance, but
- 1:19Speaker 2: apparently missed the buy sides bogey causing the stock to
- 1:22Speaker 2: sell off. What would you say investors are most concerned
- 1:26Speaker 2: about following the report?
- 1:28Speaker 3: Yeah, so as we look forward, we had a wonderful 2Q.
- 1:32Speaker 3: We really beat our metrics across the board. We're growing
- 1:36Speaker 3: revenue at 32%. You know, we saw a 28% increase
- 1:41Speaker 3: in our EBITDA, so really awesome growth. Our same-shop sales
- 1:45Speaker 3: came in at 5.8%, which was above our estimates. And
- 1:49Speaker 3: in addition to that great growth, we were also able
- 1:52Speaker 3: to raise guidance for the rest of the year. And
- 1:56Speaker 3: so as we look at that, we really had a
- 1:57Speaker 3: fabulous quarter. I think that as we look ahead, investors
- 2:00Speaker 3: are looking at lots of different pieces of our business
- 2:03Speaker 3: as they analyze what we're doing. I think over the
- 2:06Speaker 3: long term, what we're really focused on is continuing to
- 2:10Speaker 3: grow our shop growth at a very healthy rate. Our
- 2:14Speaker 3: long-term algorithm is at that mid-teens percentage for that growth.
- 2:19Speaker 3: And I think our investors are pleased with how we're
- 2:21Speaker 3: doing on that path and on that growth. And we
- 2:25Speaker 3: also want our customers to continue to love us and
- 2:27Speaker 3: come back to us. And so as we grow, we're
- 2:29Speaker 3: always looking for that healthy same shop sales growth as well.
- 2:34Speaker 3: And we've had a number of initiatives as we go
- 2:37Speaker 3: forward to really focus on that. And I think when
- 2:40Speaker 3: you look throughout the year, really what's happening is we
- 2:42Speaker 3: had an incredible Q3 and Q4 in 2025. We've had
- 2:48Speaker 3: eight consecutive positive transaction quarters. We've had 13 consecutive quarters
- 2:54Speaker 3: of positive same shop sales. And so, you know, that
- 2:57Speaker 3: plane just gets steeper as we go throughout the year.
- 3:00Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 3:01Speaker 2: And that's enough to have some hedge funds sell the
- 3:03Speaker 2: stock if they see tougher comps coming on the horizon.
- 3:07Speaker 1: So that's really good color.
- 3:09Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the important thing that we keep seeing is,
- 3:11Speaker 3: you know, our long-term investors are really focused on that
- 3:14Speaker 3: incredible TAM that we have in front of us and
- 3:16Speaker 3: how much growth we still have. And doing that in
- 3:20Speaker 3: such a healthy way with such strong customer sentiment is
- 3:23Speaker 3: really what's going to matter over the long term.
- 3:26Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure.
- 3:27Speaker 2: And we'll dig into that same-store sales and net unit
- 3:30Speaker 2: growth a little bit further into the pod.
- 3:33Speaker 1: But yeah, You know.
- 3:35Speaker 2: How do you plan to respond to greater competition from Starbucks? And,
- 3:39Speaker 2: you know, energy drinks are popping up everywhere right now.
- 3:42Speaker 2: So how are you looking to respond to that?
- 3:46Speaker 3: Yeah, so we've been around since 1992. And so we
- 3:50Speaker 3: were founded in Grants Pass, Oregon, back in 1992 in
- 3:54Speaker 3: the Pacific Northwest, which has always been such a competitive
- 3:58Speaker 3: space for the coffee business. And so I think one
- 4:02Speaker 3: of the things about competition that, you know, with the
- 4:06Speaker 3: longevity of that we have been competing in the beverage markets,
- 4:10Speaker 3: we're really at an advantage where we've seen all different
- 4:13Speaker 3: types of things. So We've seen larger players come in
- 4:17Speaker 3: and enter specialty beverage. We've seen different brands come and go. And,
- 4:22Speaker 3: you know, as I think about what the future looks like,
- 4:26Speaker 3: that the overall market is really evolving. Oftentimes it's that
- 4:29Speaker 3: newest generations coming into the market. So we see Gen
- 4:32Speaker 3: Z coming into the market now. They really start to
- 4:36Speaker 3: shape beverage trends for the next decade or more to come.
- 4:41Speaker 3: And what we're seeing is Gen Z is coming into
- 4:43Speaker 3: this market Definitely a lot of iced. They're drinking more energy.
- 4:48Speaker 3: They want it customized. They really want to make it
- 4:51Speaker 3: their own. And we are so well positioned to compete
- 4:55Speaker 3: in this long-term market as evolves in that way. We
- 4:58Speaker 3: are the category creator of customized energy. Our ability to
- 5:03Speaker 3: customize across our platform is really unparalleled. So our shop
- 5:08Speaker 3: is just set up in the right way to do that.
- 5:11Speaker 3: Our beverages were 90% or so iced. So really, really
- 5:15Speaker 3: high across both our coffee beverages, our energy beverages, and
- 5:19Speaker 3: our other platform like teas and sodas and other beverages.
- 5:23Speaker 3: So really excited about where we are and our ability
- 5:26Speaker 3: to compete in this market and really grow share and
- 5:29Speaker 3: continue to take share in this market.
- 5:31Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think it's in any accident that, you know,
- 5:33Speaker 2: Dutch Bros and Starbucks and Pete's Coffee and all these
- 5:36Speaker 2: great brands started out West.
- 5:39Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 5:40Speaker 2: Is there one KPI you think investors maybe are paying
- 5:43Speaker 2: too much attention to right now and maybe another that
- 5:45Speaker 2: you think they're underappreciating?
- 5:47Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I think that as we are growing,
- 5:50Speaker 3: it is really important to look at how we are
- 5:53Speaker 3: building things for the long term. And so, you know,
- 5:57Speaker 3: I think as far as KPIs go, we look a
- 5:59Speaker 3: lot at our overall revenue growth and then our ability
- 6:03Speaker 3: to do that profitably. So our EBITDA growth. And the
- 6:06Speaker 3: reason why those two metrics are quite important to us
- 6:10Speaker 3: is that as we grow, we really are taking share. Like,
- 6:14Speaker 3: as you look at what we are being valued on
- 6:17Speaker 3: ultimately is we're going to continue to get larger. We'll
- 6:20Speaker 3: continue to take beverage share. And I think, you know,
- 6:23Speaker 3: I think in the short term, and it makes a
- 6:25Speaker 3: lot of sense that there's a lot of focus on
- 6:28Speaker 3: the same shop sales. We've also done really well with
- 6:31Speaker 3: those metrics too. But I do think that overall revenue growth,
- 6:35Speaker 3: which encompasses both our same shop sales and our shop growth,
- 6:40Speaker 3: is really an indicator of what we're trying to do
- 6:42Speaker 3: over time.
- 6:44Speaker 1: And Dutch Rose has a unique culture.
- 6:46Speaker 2: So can you talk a little bit about that culture
- 6:48Speaker 2: and how you've tried to impact it during your tenure here?
- 6:52Speaker 3: Yeah, so our culture is absolutely wonderful. Certainly the reason
- 6:56Speaker 3: that I wanted to come on board and join TRAV
- 6:59Speaker 3: and be a part of this wonderful story. So when
- 7:04Speaker 3: I look at our culture, I think, you know, at
- 7:06Speaker 3: our core, we are helping our team become the best
- 7:09Speaker 3: versions of themselves. That's across our shops. It's across HQ.
- 7:15Speaker 3: And I think ultimately every day that we fulfill that
- 7:17Speaker 3: promise of helping each other become the best versions of ourselves.
- 7:22Speaker 3: that that's a really neat place to be in. And
- 7:25Speaker 3: so as I've come on board with the culture, I
- 7:28Speaker 3: think a number of things I think is making sure
- 7:30Speaker 3: that that strength of culture that we've always had in
- 7:33Speaker 3: our shops, that we're also matching that in HQ. And
- 7:38Speaker 3: so we've done a lot of work. One of the
- 7:40Speaker 3: things I first did when I came on board was
- 7:43Speaker 3: have the leadership team pass their flow check, which is
- 7:47Speaker 3: our test to really make sure you know how to
- 7:49Speaker 3: do all of your drinks, to spend a lot of
- 7:51Speaker 3: time in our shops, so that we all are starting
- 7:55Speaker 3: with every decision with our broistas in mind. And how
- 7:59Speaker 3: would this feel for them? How does this impact them?
- 8:01Speaker 3: Does this make it easier to serve a customer? And
- 8:04Speaker 3: I think that that's one of the things that's been
- 8:07Speaker 3: really important on my journey is ensuring that we've got
- 8:10Speaker 3: more connectivity and that from an HQ perspective, we are very,
- 8:15Speaker 3: very focused just on serving our shops well.
- 8:18Speaker 1: Yeah, that's cool. You have the executives working as baristas.
- 8:21Speaker 2: I mean, you know, it reminds me of Domino's and
- 8:24Speaker 2: their working store in the basement of their HQ.
- 8:26Speaker 1: That's good stuff.
- 8:28Speaker 2: You know, and you kind of hinted towards it, but,
- 8:30Speaker 2: you know, I think your customers skew younger, which is
- 8:32Speaker 2: an enviable position to be in as it tends to
- 8:35Speaker 2: drive stronger traffic in the restaurant industry. Can you give
- 8:38Speaker 2: some color on the demographics of your customers?
- 8:41Speaker 3: Yeah, so as we look across demographics, we actually serve
- 8:44Speaker 3: customers across all age groups and all income levels. If
- 8:48Speaker 3: there is a little bit of a skew, we do
- 8:51Speaker 3: tend to skew a little bit younger. But overall, we
- 8:55Speaker 3: largely match the overall demographics of the markets we serve
- 8:58Speaker 3: with that slight younger skew.
- 9:00Speaker 2: Cool. And the missed energy drinks– You know, those I
- 9:07Speaker 2: guess a couple of questions.
- 9:08Speaker 1: Number one, I.
- 9:11Speaker 2: Guess what makes them a little bit different than than
- 9:14Speaker 2: than other energy drinks we're seeing on the market and
- 9:17Speaker 2: being launched by some, you know, quick service chains and
- 9:20Speaker 2: the like? Yeah.
- 9:21Speaker 3: So as we look across our energy platform, it really
- 9:24Speaker 3: is now quite complete.
- 9:26Speaker 2: So.
- 9:27Speaker 3: We have our proprietary Rebel energy platform, which is super strong.
- 9:31Speaker 3: We have that iced. We have it blended. We can
- 9:33Speaker 3: flavor it in all different ways. We could add a
- 9:36Speaker 3: flavor float even if you want. And mist is an
- 9:40Speaker 3: add to that energy category. And so what we see
- 9:43Speaker 3: is across energy need states, there are times when you
- 9:47Speaker 3: want to just like get ready for that exam, get
- 9:50Speaker 3: ready for that, you know, really tough like, night that
- 9:54Speaker 3: you're going to have because you've got a long shift
- 9:56Speaker 3: and you want that energy that's going to amp you up.
- 9:59Speaker 3: And then there's times where you want an energy like, hey,
- 10:02Speaker 3: I just want a little pick me up for the afternoon.
- 10:04Speaker 3: I want something that's going to be super refreshing and
- 10:08Speaker 3: have antioxidants and electrolytes and things that are going to
- 10:11Speaker 3: get me ready for that afternoon. And that's really what
- 10:13Speaker 3: MIST is. And so as we look at the broader
- 10:16Speaker 3: energy market, you know, we We look around at what's
- 10:19Speaker 3: happening in CPG. We look at what our customers are drinking,
- 10:22Speaker 3: what they're sharing as feedback to us and saw this
- 10:26Speaker 3: real opportunity to go in with this kind of pick-me-up-in-the-afternoon
- 10:30Speaker 3: type energy or even pick-me-up-in-the-morning because we're also seeing a
- 10:33Speaker 3: lot of morning occasions with Mist as well. You know,
- 10:37Speaker 3: customers coming into the market who really prefer that underlying
- 10:41Speaker 3: taste of the energy drinks and want to start their
- 10:45Speaker 3: day in that way.
- 10:45Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 10:47Speaker 2: Some of the healthy additions to the drink, like you
- 10:49Speaker 2: mentioned antioxidants and stuff like that was what kind of
- 10:52Speaker 2: piqued our interest. And they were launched as an LTO
- 10:55Speaker 2: in 2Q, but after a strong performance, the team made
- 10:59Speaker 2: it a permanent menu item in August. So what motivated
- 11:02Speaker 2: that decision? And how often does an LTO get added
- 11:06Speaker 2: to the permanent menu?
- 11:07Speaker 3: Yeah. So that was something we certainly had it in
- 11:10Speaker 3: the back of our mind as we were developing this.
- 11:12Speaker 3: It was It's actually been a two-year journey, I think,
- 11:14Speaker 3: developing a product kind of with that right mix, doing
- 11:17Speaker 3: all of the taste testing, all of the market testing.
- 11:20Speaker 3: But we'll typically launch new even platforms that we have
- 11:24Speaker 3: as LTOs just to make sure that everything we saw
- 11:27Speaker 3: is what we continue to see as we go through
- 11:29Speaker 3: a national launch. And we saw everything we thought we'd
- 11:32Speaker 3: saw and even more. And so really excited by that,
- 11:35Speaker 3: which is what allowed us to really understand that that
- 11:38Speaker 3: should be a platform rather than an LTO environment. very
- 11:41Speaker 3: similar to our launch at the beginning of 24 of Protein.
- 11:46Speaker 3: So we were the first to market with a protein latte.
- 11:51Speaker 3: And I think our history and heritage as dairy farmers
- 11:56Speaker 3: in the brand really helped with that. But what we
- 11:59Speaker 3: tend to look for, you know, both with Protein and
- 12:02Speaker 3: with Myst, is what we're looking for is that as
- 12:05Speaker 3: customers come in and try those beverages, that we see
- 12:09Speaker 3: a different pattern of trial and repeat for something that
- 12:12Speaker 3: we believe can be a platform. And so LTOs, a
- 12:15Speaker 3: lot of time those really flavor-forward ones, there's a lot
- 12:19Speaker 3: of trial and excitement and I want to try the
- 12:21Speaker 3: new thing, but we see a little bit of a
- 12:23Speaker 3: tail as that time frame goes on. And for things
- 12:28Speaker 3: that we look at to become platforms, it's really that
- 12:31Speaker 3: steadiness of it launches really well. And it actually stays
- 12:35Speaker 3: and oftentimes even grows as we get trial across it.
- 12:40Speaker 3: The other thing that we always are looking for is
- 12:43Speaker 3: how are our teams using our different platforms? And so,
- 12:47Speaker 3: you know, we're watching like when we launch protein and
- 12:50Speaker 3: how our broistas are watching it or when we launch
- 12:53Speaker 3: mist and that love from our broistas for it. And
- 12:56Speaker 3: it's really something that's additive. So lots of different indicators.
- 13:00Speaker 3: But we'll typically have a pretty good idea of which
- 13:03Speaker 3: things we might want to keep on the menu for longer.
- 13:05Speaker 1: Cool.
- 13:06Speaker 2: And are you seeing new customers come in for MIST
- 13:10Speaker 2: or is it primarily giving existing customers another reason to visit?
- 13:14Speaker 3: Yeah, so we're definitely seeing both. So we are seeing
- 13:17Speaker 3: an increase in frequency from existing customers and really adding
- 13:22Speaker 3: that additional occasion. So they're still having their rebel occasion
- 13:28Speaker 3: or their coffee occasion, but now coming back for Mist.
- 13:32Speaker 3: And then we're also seeing, you know, the beginnings of
- 13:34Speaker 3: some new customer growth in Mist as well. I think that,
- 13:38Speaker 3: and this is pretty typical of what we see for anything,
- 13:41Speaker 3: is that when we first launch something, It's our existing
- 13:44Speaker 3: customers that are trying it first and building a new
- 13:48Speaker 3: occasion first. And then as it grows and it's on
- 13:52Speaker 3: the market for longer is when we start to see
- 13:55Speaker 3: newer customers coming in.
- 13:58Speaker 1: And the new food program is being rolled out.
- 14:00Speaker 2: Have you given any color to the street on the
- 14:02Speaker 2: expected impact to sales and margins?
- 14:04Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 14:05Speaker 3: So as we look at the food program, we've actually
- 14:07Speaker 3: seen pretty consistent performance from our market test to our rollout.
- 14:13Speaker 3: So a couple of things is overall, we see about
- 14:16Speaker 3: a 4% lift when we roll out the full new
- 14:19Speaker 3: food program into a shop. And that has been quite
- 14:23Speaker 3: consistent as we've rolled it out. We started a food
- 14:26Speaker 3: program with four SKUs. So that 4% is on top
- 14:29Speaker 3: of the four SKUs we've already had. And now we're
- 14:33Speaker 3: at nine SKUs. So pretty minimal add of the number
- 14:37Speaker 3: of SKUs. But a big add in terms of capability,
- 14:40Speaker 3: because what we have added into our shops with the
- 14:42Speaker 3: warm food platform is we've added warming capabilities and we've
- 14:46Speaker 3: added ovens into our shops. And so that really is
- 14:49Speaker 3: making a difference for our customers.
- 14:52Speaker 1: Great.
- 14:52Speaker 2: You know, has there been a lot of training necessary
- 14:55Speaker 2: in terms of getting ready for the food rollout?
- 14:57Speaker 3: Yeah, we have done a lot of training with the
- 15:00Speaker 3: food rollout. I think part of it in keeping it
- 15:02Speaker 3: simple with nine SKUs, we've also rolled out a food
- 15:06Speaker 3: benefit to our broistas. And so they are trying everything
- 15:10Speaker 3: across the platform, which is really great. And it's something
- 15:13Speaker 3: our customers were asking for. You know, I think in
- 15:15Speaker 3: our industry, typically the great ideas are things that your
- 15:19Speaker 3: customers and teams are already asking for. And so we
- 15:23Speaker 3: just saw this opportunity. We had customers sharing with us that,
- 15:26Speaker 3: I love your beverages the most, but I will sometimes
- 15:29Speaker 3: go somewhere else because I really want a breakfast sandwich
- 15:32Speaker 3: on a Thursday morning or a Friday morning. And can
- 15:35Speaker 3: you please offer that so I can have my favorite
- 15:37Speaker 3: beverage alongside a breakfast sandwich? And so I think that
- 15:41Speaker 3: in seeing that need coming from our customers, those are
- 15:45Speaker 3: almost always the best ideas.
- 15:47Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think it's smart to keep that menu small.
- 15:50Speaker 2: Will the pace and cadence of LTOs change with the
- 15:52Speaker 2: new food program?
- 15:53Speaker 3: Well, so as we look at our LTO platforms, we
- 15:57Speaker 3: are very, we're in the early innings of building this
- 16:00Speaker 3: brand nationwide. You know, we were founded in 92, but
- 16:03Speaker 3: we were focused on the West Coast for, you know,
- 16:06Speaker 3: the first couple of decades of our growth. And now
- 16:10Speaker 3: that we're going nationwide, I think it's super important that
- 16:13Speaker 3: we stay focused on what our core is. And that
- 16:16Speaker 3: is that core beverage business. So those espresso-based beverages, the
- 16:21Speaker 3: energy category, So I do think there's more opportunities for
- 16:25Speaker 3: food and for LTOs there. But there's incredible opportunities on
- 16:29Speaker 3: the beverage side as well. And, you know, food, I
- 16:32Speaker 3: think of in our business, it's the accessory. So what
- 16:35Speaker 3: is that beverage I want? And then let me grab
- 16:37Speaker 3: that food to go alongside it. Great.
- 16:40Speaker 1: You know, the unit growth has been very impressive.
- 16:42Speaker 2: You know, most companies I speak to mention that their
- 16:45Speaker 2: talent pipeline is the most important governor for new store development.
- 16:50Speaker 1: How does your GM pipeline currently stack up?
- 16:53Speaker 3: Yeah, so like others, our people are our governor on growth.
- 16:58Speaker 3: And we're in incredible shape with our people pipeline. So
- 17:03Speaker 3: our level that sits just above shop is called operators.
- 17:07Speaker 3: And so they operate a number of shops. They're the
- 17:11Speaker 3: ones who are moving to new markets, introducing Dutch Bros
- 17:14Speaker 3: to new communities. We have an operator pipeline of over
- 17:18Speaker 3: 500 candidates that are sitting in that pipeline. They have
- 17:21Speaker 3: an average tenure of eight years with Dutch Bros. So really,
- 17:25Speaker 3: really invested in the culture, really invested in building their teams.
- 17:31Speaker 3: And I think, you know, when you look across the
- 17:34Speaker 3: food and beverage industry, our pipeline is really enviable and
- 17:40Speaker 3: what we can do. So all of our growth has
- 17:42Speaker 3: been from within. So all of the shop growth that
- 17:45Speaker 3: has happened over the last couple of years, the 185
- 17:49Speaker 3: plus shops that we'll add this year, is all with
- 17:52Speaker 3: growth from within.
- 17:53Speaker 2: That's great. And hearing about the tenure, that's fantastic. It's
- 17:58Speaker 2: an enviable position to be in. Can you please discuss
- 18:01Speaker 2: the speed and cost advantages of prefabricated stores and maybe
- 18:06Speaker 2: any other benefits you see from that?
- 18:09Speaker 1: Using that model?
- 18:10Speaker 3: So we're actually, so we're actually building our, our shops.
- 18:14Speaker 3: So we are not using many prefabs. We do use
- 18:17Speaker 3: them from time to time. Um, but you know, mark
- 18:20Speaker 3: markets are different in kind of the weather needs of
- 18:23Speaker 3: different markets are, are different. And again, we've been building
- 18:26Speaker 3: this brand since 1992. We're building shops that are going
- 18:29Speaker 3: to last, uh, for very long times. And, uh, so
- 18:33Speaker 3: really pleased with the developers that we're partnering with and the,
- 18:37Speaker 3: the quality of construction that they're building.
- 18:41Speaker 2: Great. And, you know, would you like to comment on
- 18:45Speaker 2: the Salad & Go unit acquisitions?
- 18:48Speaker 3: So Salad & Go is, so I would say, you know,
- 18:52Speaker 3: I think maybe taking a step back more broadly what
- 18:54Speaker 3: we're trying to do from a real estate perspective. So
- 18:56Speaker 3: there are a lot of sites across the country. We
- 19:00Speaker 3: are just at the beginning of our growth. Back in
- 19:02Speaker 3: our investor day, we shared that our We believe our
- 19:06Speaker 3: addressable market is about 7,000 shops in the U.S. We're
- 19:09Speaker 3: right around 1,250 today. So have a very long way
- 19:13Speaker 3: to go from a unit growth perspective. And the way
- 19:16Speaker 3: that we look at that unit growth is most of
- 19:19Speaker 3: our builds are refining a great site and we're constructing
- 19:23Speaker 3: a Dutch Bros. We also are always looking at opportunistically
- 19:27Speaker 3: at where we can convert shops. So both, you know,
- 19:32Speaker 3: one-off conversions where there's another brand that maybe has too
- 19:35Speaker 3: many in a market and we can pick up a
- 19:36Speaker 3: site that way, or conversions where we can be opportunistic
- 19:41Speaker 3: and have a number at the same time. We did
- 19:44Speaker 3: that earlier in this year with a concept called Clutch
- 19:47Speaker 3: Coffee in North and South Carolina. And and have gotten
- 19:50Speaker 3: those shops open. So one of the things that allows
- 19:53Speaker 3: us to do is pretty rapidly open those shops. And
- 19:56Speaker 3: so there was an opportunity across a couple of markets
- 20:00Speaker 3: with Salad & Go. Same kind of thought is that, hey,
- 20:03Speaker 3: as we know where all the openings are in our
- 20:06Speaker 3: real estate, across the country. And so if there is
- 20:10Speaker 3: an opportunity, this one's a little unique. It's a bankruptcy process,
- 20:13Speaker 3: so it unfolds every day. But we are always looking
- 20:18Speaker 3: at those opportunistic ways where we can find great sites.
- 20:22Speaker 1: Well, it made a lot of sense.
- 20:23Speaker 2: I mean, Salad and Go was also a drive-through concept, right?
- 20:27Speaker 2: Didn't have indoor seating. And conversions have gone really well
- 20:31Speaker 2: for chains like Kava. So Yeah, it makes a lot
- 20:34Speaker 2: of sense.
- 20:34Speaker 3: We actually converted a number of salad and goes already
- 20:37Speaker 3: in Texas. So as they were looking at sites, so
- 20:42Speaker 3: we have a lot of experience now already, too, with
- 20:46Speaker 3: converting all different types of brands into a Dutch Bros.
- 20:49Speaker 3: And so that is just another example of that.
- 20:52Speaker 2: So going back to the new builds, what are the
- 20:54Speaker 2: targeted unit economics for those?
- 20:57Speaker 3: Yeah, so, you know, when we look over the long term,
- 21:00Speaker 3: we shared a bunch of statistics that during our investor day.
- 21:04Speaker 3: So our targeted kind of year two AUV is 1.8 million.
- 21:09Speaker 3: We're actually trending quite a bit above that right now.
- 21:13Speaker 3: Part of that reason is, you know, when I first
- 21:16Speaker 3: came in, we were really building out our market planning efforts.
- 21:21Speaker 3: I think we have some of the most sophisticated market
- 21:23Speaker 3: planning really in the industry. And as we should, we're
- 21:26Speaker 3: growing really quickly and we're adding a lot of shops.
- 21:29Speaker 3: And so one of the things we did is we
- 21:31Speaker 3: were I think catching up our marketing engine to really
- 21:34Speaker 3: rapidly build brand awareness and that customer love in new markets.
- 21:39Speaker 3: We did some culling of our pipeline back a couple
- 21:41Speaker 3: of years ago. And so one of the results of
- 21:44Speaker 3: that is we did a pretty good job of figuring
- 21:46Speaker 3: out which sites were going to outperform and maybe a
- 21:48Speaker 3: little bit too good of a job. I said, you know,
- 21:50Speaker 3: hindsight in this industry, if it's when it's 2020, we
- 21:53Speaker 3: probably if we had known we would have done as
- 21:55Speaker 3: well as we have over the last couple of years,
- 21:57Speaker 3: we might have culled a few less out of that.
- 22:00Speaker 1: For sure.
- 22:01Speaker 2: Yeah, growing AUV tends to make your opportunity, market opportunity grow,
- 22:06Speaker 2: that's for sure. What's the split in 2026 and maybe 2027,
- 22:12Speaker 2: if you're willing to talk about it, between new stores
- 22:15Speaker 2: and new markets versus units that are filling out existing ones?
- 22:18Speaker 3: Yeah, so that continues to evolve. We don't share that statistic,
- 22:23Speaker 3: but what we're always trying to do is our ultimate
- 22:26Speaker 3: goal is to become part of your everyday routine. And
- 22:30Speaker 3: so what that means is we have a strategy of
- 22:32Speaker 3: going into a market and being close enough to where
- 22:35Speaker 3: you live and work that we can become part of
- 22:38Speaker 3: that everyday routine. And so that means we will be
- 22:41Speaker 3: opening new markets, but as we open those new markets,
- 22:44Speaker 3: we always have a plan for what does that ultimately
- 22:47Speaker 3: look like as we build out that whole market to
- 22:50Speaker 3: be close to you. And so that mix over time
- 22:54Speaker 3: is always going to be a mix of opening new
- 22:56Speaker 3: markets but continuing to densify in the markets that we're
- 23:00Speaker 3: in and doing that at a pace that really balances
- 23:03Speaker 3: that brand growth. So, you know, one of the things
- 23:06Speaker 3: that we see is when we go into a brand
- 23:09Speaker 3: new market, sometimes we will just have very long lines
- 23:11Speaker 3: and incredible customer demand. We just shared like our Chicago
- 23:16Speaker 3: opening in Melrose Park, you know, opened on track to
- 23:20Speaker 3: do over 7 million. That's actually not our goal, right?
- 23:23Speaker 3: Our goal is 180.
- 23:25Speaker 1: Seven million is hard to operate, I'm sure.
- 23:27Speaker 3: Yeah. Well, and I think, too, you know, when you
- 23:31Speaker 3: become part of someone's everyday routine, it's fun to have
- 23:34Speaker 3: lines because it draws a lot of attention to who
- 23:36Speaker 3: you are. But every morning on your way to work,
- 23:41Speaker 3: you might not want to wait in a long line.
- 23:43Speaker 3: And so part of our strategy really is building out
- 23:46Speaker 3: those shops. So our goal is to actually take that
- 23:50Speaker 3: volume down. and open as many shops right around Melrose
- 23:53Speaker 3: Park as we can so that our customers can have
- 23:56Speaker 3: that shorter line.
- 23:57Speaker 1: Yeah, that was my next question.
- 23:59Speaker 2: If you had any markets that you were purposely looking
- 24:02Speaker 2: to cannibalize, you know, some shops because they're capacity constrained.
- 24:06Speaker 3: Well, we're trying to do that in most of our
- 24:09Speaker 3: markets right now. So, you know, as we go through,
- 24:12Speaker 3: we are still at the early stages of this brand.
- 24:15Speaker 3: And so always trying to And I think there's this
- 24:18Speaker 3: delicate balance that you're always trying to hit of where
- 24:21Speaker 3: are you trying to get closer to your customers, but
- 24:23Speaker 3: at the same time, grow demand around each shop. So,
- 24:27Speaker 3: you know, you have some customers that move to another
- 24:30Speaker 3: shop as you grow, but you have newer customers now
- 24:34Speaker 3: who see, oh, the line's a little shorter. Let me
- 24:36Speaker 3: get in that line now. And I think it is
- 24:38Speaker 3: this balance that you're trying to do is really balance
- 24:40Speaker 3: the brand awareness, your growth across occasions with your overall
- 24:45Speaker 3: growth in that market. and kind of get that pacing
- 24:48Speaker 3: just right.
- 24:49Speaker 1: Very cool.
- 24:51Speaker 2: You know, and you mentioned, it sounds like, you know,
- 24:54Speaker 2: new markets are honeymooning. You know, I guess, you know,
- 24:59Speaker 2: what does it run the gamut, you know, like in
- 25:01Speaker 2: terms of fill-in stores versus new markets, you know, is
- 25:05Speaker 2: there a big difference in terms of honeymooning or building
- 25:09Speaker 2: up to, you know, full sales volumes. I guess if
- 25:13Speaker 2: you could just give a little color about the first
- 25:16Speaker 2: year performance of some of these units in different types
- 25:19Speaker 2: of markets.
- 25:20Speaker 3: Yeah. And so we do see different patterns. You know,
- 25:23Speaker 3: I would say in general, like when we're first to
- 25:26Speaker 3: a brand new market where there's not, you know, any
- 25:30Speaker 3: convenient locations, we often see very long lines and very
- 25:34Speaker 3: high volumes in those markets. As we infill we start
- 25:40Speaker 3: to go closer to that system average that we see overall. And,
- 25:45Speaker 3: you know, I think that, again, it is that balance
- 25:48Speaker 3: that having a plan to infill really quickly in those
- 25:52Speaker 3: markets where we see those high volumes. But I do
- 25:55Speaker 3: think it's pretty rare, right? We're at over 1,200 shops
- 25:58Speaker 3: to be able to open a new market with that
- 26:01Speaker 3: level of demand. I think it just really speaks to
- 26:04Speaker 3: the overall health of what we're doing from a brand perspective.
- 26:09Speaker 1: For sure.
- 26:10Speaker 2: You know, you recently launched the VibeCheck scorecard. What are
- 26:13Speaker 2: you measuring and is there anything that you're now capturing
- 26:17Speaker 2: that maybe you weren't measuring before the rollout?
- 26:19Speaker 3: Yeah. So the VibeCheck scorecard is really what's important to
- 26:23Speaker 3: our business. Well, it starts with our people, right? And
- 26:26Speaker 3: so how are our broistas feeling? So we're looking at
- 26:29Speaker 3: things like turnover metrics first. And so if our teams
- 26:32Speaker 3: are happy, that allows them to serve our customers, which
- 26:34Speaker 3: serves the business. And so the next category that we're
- 26:38Speaker 3: looking at from a VibeCheck perspective is really customers. And
- 26:42Speaker 3: what's really unique with Dutch Bros is we have so
- 26:45Speaker 3: many of our transactions that go through our Dutch Rewards program.
- 26:48Speaker 3: So about 73% of our transactions we capture because our
- 26:52Speaker 3: customers coming in saying, I'm part of your rewards program
- 26:55Speaker 3: and they're getting their points and they're telling us who
- 26:57Speaker 3: they are. And we can actually measure a lot of
- 27:00Speaker 3: things with that. So we send out surveys to our
- 27:04Speaker 3: customers Through that Dutch Rewards program, we've used it really
- 27:07Speaker 3: successfully with mobile order to ask our customers, was your
- 27:11Speaker 3: order ready when you arrived? We're also using it successfully
- 27:16Speaker 3: now to understand, how was your overall experience? Because Arbro
- 27:20Speaker 3: East does want to serve our customers really well, and
- 27:23Speaker 3: to have that constant feedback loop of where we're doing
- 27:26Speaker 3: that well, we're even starting to be able to look
- 27:28Speaker 3: at kind of How are we serving our customers by
- 27:31Speaker 3: day part and by day of week? And do we
- 27:33Speaker 3: have opportunities to make sure that we have that shop
- 27:36Speaker 3: staff just the right way? And then finally, our business metrics.
- 27:39Speaker 3: So I think if your team is happy, your customers
- 27:42Speaker 3: are happy, typically those business metrics follow. But we are
- 27:46Speaker 3: keeping track of important business metrics. And so the VibeCheck scorecard,
- 27:51Speaker 3: most of it is things we already had, but making
- 27:53Speaker 3: it easy and accessible and something that you can C
- 27:57Speaker 3: is something that is new for our teams all in
- 28:00Speaker 3: one place, which is a big thing. And then also
- 28:03Speaker 3: some of those customer metrics that we're using are brand new.
- 28:07Speaker 3: So as we continue to make that, to invest in
- 28:10Speaker 3: Dutch Rewards and things that we can, you know, survey
- 28:13Speaker 3: and pulse there, those are new great metrics for our teams.
- 28:16Speaker 2: So what's one decision you're making at Dutch Bros today
- 28:20Speaker 2: that investors might not fully understand or appreciate for a
- 28:23Speaker 2: couple of years?
- 28:24Speaker 3: You know, I think all of our decisions are really
- 28:27Speaker 3: made with that very long term in mind and thinking out.
- 28:32Speaker 3: And I think that the planfulness of how we open
- 28:36Speaker 3: new markets. So we may open a new shop at,
- 28:40Speaker 3: you know, a 7 million or 6 million AUV. But
- 28:43Speaker 3: what we underwrote that at was actually, you know, at
- 28:46Speaker 3: that system average or really at that new shop year
- 28:49Speaker 3: one expectation. And so I think that the planfulness of
- 28:54Speaker 3: which we make decisions and building a brand for the
- 28:59Speaker 3: very long term and how every time we open a shop,
- 29:02Speaker 3: we actually know how that shop is going to look,
- 29:06Speaker 3: you know, 10 or 15 years from now with all
- 29:08Speaker 3: of the shops around that. Of course, some markets will
- 29:11Speaker 3: change and we'll keep track of that. But I do
- 29:14Speaker 3: think the longevity of which we make decisions is actually
- 29:17Speaker 3: unique here. And I think part of it is that
- 29:20Speaker 3: long history and having made these decisions since 1992 and
- 29:25Speaker 3: really planfully going into markets.
- 29:28Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the way you should be running a business,
- 29:30Speaker 2: trying to manage it quarter to quarter. It tends not
- 29:33Speaker 2: to work so well in the restaurant business.
- 29:36Speaker 1: All right, great. What's your favorite order?
- 29:37Speaker 3: My favorite order? Well, what I'm drinking this morning is
- 29:41Speaker 3: my usual. So I do an iced protein milk latte
- 29:45Speaker 3: with a splash of chocolate milk. Our chocolate milk is
- 29:49Speaker 3: one of the most amazing things on this planet. And
- 29:53Speaker 3: so some mornings I take an extra splash and sometimes
- 29:55Speaker 3: I take a little splash, but I always like to
- 29:58Speaker 3: have that little bit of chocolate milk. And it reminds
- 30:01Speaker 3: me of part of our founding story. So one of
- 30:03Speaker 3: the things that Trav and Dane worked on a lot
- 30:06Speaker 3: was our mocha when they launched the business. And I loved,
- 30:10Speaker 3: as I was coming on board, listening to the podcast
- 30:13Speaker 3: that Trav had put out there and kind of how
- 30:18Speaker 3: the process of testing that chocolate milk and just getting
- 30:21Speaker 3: it perfect. And I do think that in this, it's
- 30:25Speaker 3: a reminder for me, not only of how much I
- 30:27Speaker 3: love it and how much I love this beverage, But
- 30:30Speaker 3: I think in this industry, it is so much about
- 30:32Speaker 3: every single detail and the thoughtfulness that goes into it.
- 30:37Speaker 3: And a reminder that although it seems simple, the thought
- 30:41Speaker 3: and perfection to get it to perfect actually is a
- 30:45Speaker 3: long journey and is a long time. And making sure
- 30:48Speaker 3: that even on simple things, when they need to be perfect,
- 30:52Speaker 3: how are we always making sure they're there? So I
- 30:54Speaker 3: love it both because I just love the taste of
- 30:56Speaker 3: it and how it makes me feel in the morning.
- 30:59Speaker 3: But I also love it because of what it represents.
- 31:02Speaker 1: That's great.
- 31:02Speaker 2: People notice that attention to detail, though, and chocolate and
- 31:06Speaker 2: coffee go together like peanut butter and jelly.
- 31:08Speaker 1: So I'm a big chocolate fan. I'm going to have
- 31:11Speaker 1: to give that a try.
- 31:12Speaker 3: You will love it. I promise.
- 31:14Speaker 1: All right. Good stuff. Thanks for doing this, Christine.
- 31:17Speaker 3: Thank you so much, Mike.
- 31:18Speaker 1: Yeah, it was fun.
- 31:20Speaker 2: I also want to thank the audience for tuning in.
- 31:22Speaker 2: If you liked our discussion, please share it with your
- 31:25Speaker 2: friends and colleagues. Check back soon for another interview on
- 31:28Speaker 2: Chopping It Up.