Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / NFL Christmas, College Football Bowl Preview, Mailbag & More!

Transcript

NFL Christmas, College Football Bowl Preview, Mailbag & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Welcome.
• 0:00
  Speaker 2: It's Tuesday, Christmas Eve, Eve, December the twenty third, the
• 0:04
  Speaker 2: best betting show ever, and hey, early Christmas gift. The
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: PRES is not here, but you get me instead. Steve
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: Merrill filled in for the PRES. You got Joe Vernay.
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Look at that hoppy holidays festivus to the rest of us,
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: Arthur de Caesar. Because the PRES is not here, no
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: aerin of grievances. We will still have feats of strength, though,
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: because all three of us are pretty powerful. Let's get
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: right to it though. We will have a lot of
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: content by the way here on wager Talk TV throughout
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: the holidays, free play videos for all the games, but
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: many live shows the next two days. So enjoy these
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: while you can get them, and a right let's get
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: right too. We got three Bowl games today on Tuesday,
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: December the twenty third, As is the case with a
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: lot of these minor Bowl games, uncertainty on opt outs,
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: coaching changes, all the other delightful things we get in December,
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: but a lot of action. Three ESPN games. What are
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: you seeing here on your side of the counter.
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to touch on the two later Bowl
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: games and then the Hawaii Bowl as well. Steve Western
• 0:56
  Speaker 3: Kentucky Southern Miss. We took Sharp money on Solar Mess
• 0:58
  Speaker 3: at plus five plus four, got to pick and then
• 1:02
  Speaker 3: even even got Southern Miss minus one at one point,
• 1:05
  Speaker 3: so Southern Miss was a slight favorite that was short lived.
• 1:08
  Speaker 3: We're back to pick on the game. We opened that
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: total at fifty six, got to his high as sixty
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: and a half now creeped back down to forty nine
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: and a half. That was early Sharp money on the
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: over and then late Sharp money on the over, so
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: they're kind of maybe trying to find a little bit
• 1:24
  Speaker 3: of a middle there. UNLV obviously the home team, there
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: will be a little bit of interest on UNLV Hawaii
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: open UNLV five got to his high as seven. Sharps
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: actually took Ohio at seven, so we're now at six
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: and a half on the game. And then the Sharp
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: spent the over sixty four and a half now up
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: to sixty six and a half. The Hawaii Bowl cal
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: and Hawaii Sharp's took Hawaii plus two. WHI is now
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: a one point home favorite basically because that is their
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: home bowl, and we moved with the market on the total.
• 1:56
  Speaker 3: It wasn't necessarily Sharp or public action here, but it
• 1:59
  Speaker 3: was fifty four and a half on an opener. We've
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: now seen under money come in, pushing us to fifty
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: two and a half.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: I know it's yeah, I do.
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: I'm just gonna ask Art before obviously the Sugar Bowl
• 2:14
  Speaker 4: and everything else comes up next week. Did you see
• 2:17
  Speaker 4: anybody after the results of the quarterfinals.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: Did you see.
• 2:21
  Speaker 4: Anybody run into the window to back one team or
• 2:24
  Speaker 4: the other. Have you seen any interest for the bigger
• 2:27
  Speaker 4: picture games?
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: No?
• 2:30
  Speaker 3: I mean, I will say this is the favorite so
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: far the public, especially the three big favors. I'll take
• 2:36
  Speaker 3: Oregon and Texas Tech out of it, but we've already
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: seen the three team money line parlays on Ohio State, Indiana,
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: and Georgia, and we know out of those three games,
• 2:48
  Speaker 3: we'll probably need an upset out of one of them
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: because that is going to be a very popular money
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: line parlay moving forward here, even a three legger where
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: maybe they add an NFL game, whatever the case may be.
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: So we'll be fighting against those three big favorites, whereas
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: obviously Oregon Texas tack you know, one point one and
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: a half point game that will probably see pretty good
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: two way action, but it's probably a little too early
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: to kind of see where really the public or the
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: sharps lean for us in these playoff games.
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: Talking to Arthur de Caesar, of course from the Westgates
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: super Book in Las Vegas and Nevada, I should have
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: told some people that we might have some new viewers
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: art but definitely getting the other side of the counter here.
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: And you mentioned the NFL tried to delay talking about
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: these Thursday games as long as possible because there are
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: some ugly games. Who better Roger de Guell getting a
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: glump of coal? Who could deserve them more right on
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: Christmas Day? As of now, we could have all three
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: underdogs with third string quarterbacks on Christmas. Netflix and Amazon
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: Prime getting what they paid for with one hundreds of
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: millions of dollars for these streaming games. But the reality
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: is are going to be heavily bet people will find
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: a way to play them. What have you seen so
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: far on these three Christmas Day Thursday games?
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and they certainly will. And it's gonna have a
• 4:05
  Speaker 3: feel of the playoff games. We're gonna need one of
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: these dogs outright, because I listen, these are tough games.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: You know.
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: Cowboys in Washington six and a half now seven for
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: US total of fifty one. The public has creeped Dallas
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: up to a seven point favorite. Detroit has been six,
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: and we really haven't budged off that, and the public
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: is on Detroit as well. There is sharp action on
• 4:28
  Speaker 3: this game. On the under, we were forty six now
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: forty four and a half, and then Denver as big
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: as a thirteen point favorite. Here on the road total
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: is creeped down. With the market thirty seven and a
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: half now thirty six and having a seven to six
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: and thirteen point favorites, we're gonna just need They're gonna
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: be moneyline parlays all day on this. It's just it's
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: not gonna end. They might even just say Dallas and
• 4:52
  Speaker 3: Detroit and maybe leave Denver out of it. Two teamers, teasers,
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: all that type of stuff. So we're gonna need one
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: of these dogs to win out right on Christmas Day.
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: I don't think there's any question.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: Good luck with that, art, Yeah, good luck with that.
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: I don't even think anything that you can't even teaser
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: protect that. Guys are just gonna be playing ten point d.
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: They're gonna do whatever they gotta do to try to
• 5:12
  Speaker 4: get attion on those games there.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Joe, I gotta ask gart real quick. I mean, we've
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: all been doing this a long time. I did my
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: videos yesterday are for these three games. And something I
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: thought about last night as I was just laying down
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: and relaxing. I didn't mention in the video, so I
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: want to mention it now. Kansas City was a four
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: point road favorite like a month ago. They're now a
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: thirteen point home dog.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: I know home field isn't worth three each way like
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: it used to be, but Denver and Casey are two
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: of the stronger home field so let's just say two
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: each way. That's a seventeen point plus four. It's a
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: twenty one point difference in one month basically because one
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: player is out. I mean, I know the Chiefs have
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: been terrible. I know they shouldn't have been minus four
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: a month ago. Maybe they'd be plus four with Mahomes
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: now at Denver, But have you ever seen anything like
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: that in your life? Basically, one player is worth twenty
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: one point? And I'm not saying I like the Chiefs.
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: I mean I probably that'd be the only way I
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: play it, probably at this point. But how insane is that?
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: It is?
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: Endlessen no one is worth twenty one points. And as
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: great as my home is, you know, as great as
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: Josh Allen is, you know, all these great quarterbacks, it
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: is just such a First of all, no one knows
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: who this chief quarterback is. It's not Gardner Minshew. We
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: have history with him, we just know. Like we were
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: sitting in the wrisk room on Sunday and when Minshew
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: got hurt and they brought this kid and we were like,
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: who is this Michael olawagandhy like what like. We were
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: like making up names and we were joking around like, well,
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: no one had ever heard of this guy. So I mean,
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: clearly it's an overreaction, I guess. And I'm with you, Steve.
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: I think the only way I could play it is
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: Kansas City. But it's just such a tough game.
• 6:46
  Speaker 4: Finally, the market is out on Kansas City art. I
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: think it's official. We were wondering when it was gonna happen.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: I believe.
• 6:55
  Speaker 4: Also, the biggest spread that Kansas City has had an arrowhead.
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: I believe they said in fifty years it's just.
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: Their harrowhead was supposed to be one of these big
• 7:06
  Speaker 4: home field advantages, but not anymore.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: When it comes.
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: Different won two games by double digits all season. They
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: see your thirteen wins, they've only won two by double digits.
• 7:15
  Speaker 4: I think this season it's crazy. Yeah, unbelievable. It's it's
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: gonna be gros Art. It's a good luck there, but
• 7:22
  Speaker 4: you do at least have an opportunity. If you're going
• 7:24
  Speaker 4: to play at parlay, you might as well do our
• 7:27
  Speaker 4: parlay of the day coming up here at Art because
• 7:29
  Speaker 4: we're gonna focus just on the games here today and Merril,
• 7:34
  Speaker 4: you are the guest tost so guess what you.
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: Get to throw out any game you want.
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: Today to start off our three team parlay here, which
• 7:42
  Speaker 4: are and I have been pretty good all season long.
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: I don't have to tell you the pres has been
• 7:46
  Speaker 4: total Well you know exactly what happens there.
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: Borrow the Frisco Ball Not in San Francisco. This is Frisco,
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: Texas where they used to play the one double A
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: championship for several years, the FCS Championship. And you know,
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: Vien Ohio to good off defensive teams, two questionable defensive teams.
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: The Ohio head coach is out. He pulled a Michigan
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: with an affair with the undergrad, so a lot of
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: uncertainty there. I don't look for much defense in this game,
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: and his art will tell you, being a UNLV local,
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: there lots of offense no defense with them. You know,
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: these minor bowl games have a tendency to be high scoring.
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: This is as big of a total as we're going
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: to see this bowl season. It opened sixty two and
• 8:21
  Speaker 2: a half. It's up to sixty six and a half. But,
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: as I'd love to say, the highest totals go over,
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: and I think this is a textbook example of that.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: The only way I would play the Frisco Bowl tonight
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: is up and over sixty six and a half.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: Art, what are you thinking? Yeah, I love it.
• 8:36
  Speaker 3: Steve's right, UNV scores and they play zero defense. I'm
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: going to the NHL Big Slate. I'm taking the Bruins
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: minus one fifteen short home favorite against Montreal.
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: Oh I kind of like that one too as well.
• 8:48
  Speaker 4: All Right, so then I'll go to the I'll go
• 8:51
  Speaker 4: to the NBA. I'll take the eight points with the Knicks.
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: I got no problem with that. I'll do it. I've
• 8:57
  Speaker 4: been pretty decent. I will do not trust the Timberwolves
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: to finish off people in games, especially at home. So
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: Nicks plus eight for me, and that seems to be
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: a pretty darn good parlay of the day, Meryl, what
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: do you think?
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I was gonna say, what am I missing there?
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: In that next game? I'm still digging into the NBA.
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: But that's a big number. I'm considering they've got Jalen
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Brunton is ruled out, right, yeah, and is ruled out?
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I figured.
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: Figured there were some injuries there because that looked like
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: a pretty big number for the NBA Cup champs. It's
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: kind of like the Kansas City Chiefs. Let's do a
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: Nicks Chiefs parlay.
• 9:31
  Speaker 4: Yeah, right, exactly, Yeah, Yeah, I'm willing to. I'm willing
• 9:34
  Speaker 4: to take on the depth here of the Knicks. It's
• 9:36
  Speaker 4: good to go there. Don't trust Minnesota at all. Art
• 9:40
  Speaker 4: get out of here. A big day for you, man.
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: Enjoy your holiday. We'll be back. You'll be back Friday. Right,
• 9:46
  Speaker 4: we'll do the show getting everyone ready for the weekend.
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: Absolutely, listen, Happy holidays, boys, and yeah, Friday will be
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: a big show, man. We'll break down all the Saturday
• 9:54
  Speaker 3: Bowl games. Yeah, we'll try to touch us in. I
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: guess really as many NFL as we can maybe even
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: all of them. So yeah, Friday will be a nice
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: lot of information.
• 10:02
  Speaker 4: Yeah, all right, Artur sees that we're gonna get to
• 10:05
  Speaker 4: see him on Friday.
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: Double R one l.
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: Steve Merrill at his time for our fade or not
• 10:12
  Speaker 4: to fade segment here. And I think it's pretty easy,
• 10:16
  Speaker 4: certainly in the NFL, because we got a handful of
• 10:19
  Speaker 4: bubble teams thanks to Indies defense crap in the bed
• 10:23
  Speaker 4: last night. Looks like a whole lot of teams clinched
• 10:26
  Speaker 4: their playoff spots, Buffalo being one of them there has
• 10:30
  Speaker 4: already gone ahead and punched their ticket now, so that
• 10:34
  Speaker 4: leaves a couple of teams on the outside maybe looking in.
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: And let's start with this indie team here.
• 10:42
  Speaker 4: Now they're not mathematically dead, but it certainly hasn't been
• 10:46
  Speaker 4: Philip Rivers problem as to why they have gone zero
• 10:49
  Speaker 4: to two in these last couple of games.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Do we look to back them?
• 10:53
  Speaker 4: Do you think this team rallies around them or are
• 10:56
  Speaker 4: we looking just to fade Indie moving forward here?
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: No, I mean Indy was a fade for me going
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: into last night on Monday. But Philip Rivers played well.
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: He averaged about four yards of pass a week ago
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: in Seattle, and actually played much better in the loss
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: last night, even though it was a bigger loss. Averaged
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: almost eight yards per pass a ninety seven QB rating.
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: He looked serviceable, and I think the Colts have a
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: chance now because of that, not a team I would
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: write off. I believe there's only one playoff spot up
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: for grabs between these two. The two teams have a
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: chance of still grabbing one of the playoff spots. Well,
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: I guess there's you know, there's seven teams now. Houston
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: is in the seventh spot. Indianapolis and Baltimore the only
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: other two teams I could get that spot right now,
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: And I do feel like it's an uphill battle because
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: there are two wins behind Houston. Not gonna happen, But
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: I think the Colts will still play hard, and I
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: thought Philip Rivers looked serviceable and against a Jacksonville team
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: coming off that big Denver win, might not be a
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: terrible spot for the Colts this week.
• 11:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, listen, it's a division rivalry coming up, right,
• 11:57
  Speaker 4: It'll be kitchen sake and feels like kind of game
• 12:00
  Speaker 4: they're gonna lay it all out there one way or
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: the other. It feels like, I don't know, Houston, is
• 12:06
  Speaker 4: they what they started? Oh and free? And then they've
• 12:09
  Speaker 4: brattled off all of these wins and some of them
• 12:12
  Speaker 4: are a bit head scratching, but there is no doubt
• 12:15
  Speaker 4: they are gonna have to get it done in a big,
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: big way and need some help if they're going to advance.
• 12:21
  Speaker 4: And then you switch it and you go to a
• 12:24
  Speaker 4: couple of other teams here much like I don't know,
• 12:27
  Speaker 4: let's talk about Carolina. Carolina holds their destiny in their
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: own hands, which I guess is where you want to.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: Be at this point.
• 12:35
  Speaker 4: I still I'm still listening to a lot of guys
• 12:37
  Speaker 4: telling me they're not buying Carolina.
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: They win today, this.
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: Week coming up, it really might it matter what happens
• 12:45
  Speaker 4: in that final game against Tampa because Carolina, I'm looking
• 12:49
  Speaker 4: the back Tampa.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: Is it too late for him? Steve at this.
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: Point, yeah, I'm not a big believer in Carolina, But
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: then again, I don't like Tampa any better. It's a
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: terror division and they're going to win it by default.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: You remember the Bucks won this division a few years ago.
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: I think with a losing record that one season, they
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: get a home game still with the playoff format. Seattle
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: not a great spot for the Seahawks this week, traveling
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: across the country after that emotional, high scoring, incredible Thursday
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: night win against the Rams, but it was some extra
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: time off, so we'll see how that This is a
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: one o'clock Eastern start, that's ten am Seahawk time. So yeah,
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Carolina's probably gonna be live again this week, and then
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: it comes down to that game at Tampa next week.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: And by the way, Houston plays at the Chargers this
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: week and then they play the Colts next week.
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: So the schedule makers didn't get it right for Christmas Thursday,
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: but they got it right for next week. Perhaps is
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: some really good playoff elimination games on deck.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: There are going to be some huge ones here.
• 13:41
  Speaker 4: I think Tampa is just at this point it doesn't
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: look like Baker Mayfield's healthy at all, and I think
• 13:47
  Speaker 4: that's going to be a big problem for them. It
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: looks like that shoulders a big, big issue for them.
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: But another big issue is not mathematically eliminated. But are
• 13:57
  Speaker 4: we really backing the Ravens in any shape or form here?
• 14:01
  Speaker 4: Meryll moving forward? I can't watch them throw up all
• 14:05
  Speaker 4: over themselves anymore. But the good news is they're taking
• 14:08
  Speaker 4: on a Green Bay team that might also have a
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: third string quarterback having to go here. So I don't know,
• 14:14
  Speaker 4: is that maybe short run we looked to back the Ravens.
• 14:17
  Speaker 4: They ain't dead until I guess somebody sticks a fork
• 14:21
  Speaker 4: in a mere or can you just not trust them
• 14:23
  Speaker 4: at this point?
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson has officially listed as questionable as of Tuesday
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: with the back injury, so I don't know if he's
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: gonna go. I can't imagine he's fully healthy. He looked
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: really pained up at halftime there when he left the
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: game on Sunday night. The one thing the Ravens have
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: been doing better recently, he's playing better defense, and the announcers
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: were talking about that. Then of course the floodgates open.
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: We had a team total play for my free play
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: video on the Patriots over twenty three and a half.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: I had a best bet for my clients on the
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: game over, so I was happy with that result. And
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: one thing I pointed out last week was that the
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: Ravens have not stepped up well against good teams. All
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: those recent wins and better defensive performances have come against
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: some of the weaker teams in the NFL. Believer in
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: the Ravens Huntley is serviceable at quarterback. It'll be a test, though,
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: because the Packers have not been good offensively and what
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: a terrible loss. One of the best bets of the year,
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: Joe was an end game on the Bears. When that
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: game went to overtime, you just knew Green Bay had
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: no chance of coming back after blowing a sixteen to
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: six lead with a few minutes to go. Packers, I believe,
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: have to win out and Detroit has to lose out
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: and the Lions likely are not losing at Minnesota. So
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: by the time this game takes place on Sunday, Packers
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: will likely be eliminated from the playoffs.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: Kind of crazy and listened.
• 15:32
  Speaker 4: I mean, a lot of teams got that injury bug
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: this year and it's just it's it's kind of set
• 15:37
  Speaker 4: them off the rails here in a big, big way.
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: But now then there's Detroit. So Detroit screwed the pooch there,
• 15:45
  Speaker 4: played with its food and Pittsburgh caught them. Are we
• 15:49
  Speaker 4: believing Detroit here?
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: Moving forward? It feels like Dan Campbell's not a guy.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: Nobody's quitting.
• 15:54
  Speaker 4: It doesn't feel like it doesn't mean they're a good
• 15:57
  Speaker 4: play because I still feel like the public is going
• 15:59
  Speaker 4: to want back Detroit as best they can, especially coming
• 16:02
  Speaker 4: up against the.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: Bears, I think on the fourth of January.
• 16:06
  Speaker 4: But I don't it feels like Detroit might be still
• 16:10
  Speaker 4: a little old valued in the market.
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: What do you think correct?
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: But then there's a lot of uncertainty with Minnesota right now,
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: Brosmer likely going to be the starter the University of Minnesota.
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: Rookie will get to start maybe in Minnesota and in
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: NFL game. And that's why we see this line go
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: from three and a half look ahead last week to
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: now six even some six and a half's out there
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: starting to show total big drop as aren't mentioned earlier,
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: from forty eight and a half down to forty four
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: and a half. And that's because McCarthy is out, and
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: you know he wasn't that good this season anyway. He
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: had started to play a little bit better. But the
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: big question is which Detroit team shows up. Is the
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: team that got the number one seed last year, had
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: that bad loss to the Commanders with five turnovers in
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: the playoffs, and it's kind of lingered all season this year.
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: You know, it's amazing, Joe, when we see teams with
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: bad losses in the playoffs, like the Chiefs last year,
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: or the Lions or the Commanders in the title game,
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: how they kind of regress the file in a year.
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: With that said, it'd be Detroit or passed. For me,
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: it's going to probably be a public square side. Yeah,
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: but I don't trust the Vikings, and I think Detroit
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: does step up this Thursday.
• 17:09
  Speaker 4: You know, Art and I have talked all year long
• 17:11
  Speaker 4: here on the show Stave about for whatever reason, especially
• 17:14
  Speaker 4: early on in the season, the Sharps loved the Saints and.
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: They were looking to back them everywhere.
• 17:20
  Speaker 4: Again, there was always a lot of valid because nobody
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: the public didn't expect anything from the Saints. But here
• 17:25
  Speaker 4: they are now rattling off, you know, a bunch of wins.
• 17:29
  Speaker 4: Tyler Schuck actually looks like he's getting it, believe it
• 17:33
  Speaker 4: or not. Here with this team are they are you
• 17:36
  Speaker 4: continuing to back them?
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, what have they got coming up Tennessee?
• 17:39
  Speaker 4: I mean it is New Orleans, a you know, a
• 17:42
  Speaker 4: team that you don't want to look to fade here
• 17:45
  Speaker 4: the rest of the way.
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: So last week, one of the games that just missed
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: done in my Fade the Public video was the Saints.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: How crazy is that?
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: The Saints were almost a public play last week and
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: luckily it didn't make the video because they covered. And
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: I always liked to fade the public and what do
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: you want anything to do the Jets? I think that
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: was more people just fading the Jets. But it was
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: weird to me because, like you said, for weeks in
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: and weeks out, the Saints have been a play against
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: team from the public, and you look at what they've done.
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: They did lose what was it eight seven or eight
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: straight games there in October through mid November, but they
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: covered half of them. And even now I think they're
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: just two and eight their last ten, but they've gone
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: five and two ats their last seven, so they've been
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: better as an underdog recently than is a favorite. And Tennessee,
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: what do we make of that win last week against
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: Kansas City? I mean, that's how bad the Chiefs have become.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: They held them to nine points. Tennessee had only won
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: two other games all season. Not in a hurry to
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: late points with either one of these teams. But I
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: do think New Orleans is probably the better squad. By
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: the way, the look ahead a week ago or this summer,
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: the look ahead was going to be Titans minus three
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: and a half, and then just a week ago it
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: was about two Saints. Now it's two and a half.
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: We'll see where it closes. If it hits that key
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: number of three by Sunday.
• 18:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah, kind of crazy like the Saints getting it rolling
• 18:56
  Speaker 4: here towards the end of the season, and it feels like,
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: I don't know, I mean Borrow with all these cryptic,
• 19:03
  Speaker 4: you know, messages and all these things. You can't it
• 19:07
  Speaker 4: feels like Cincinnati and especially Joe Burrow, if no other reason,
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: they're tired of lose it. So are they a team
• 19:15
  Speaker 4: where looking the back here? Because it felt like Miami
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: got an awful lot of love this week in the.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: Marketplace against them.
• 19:22
  Speaker 4: But I don't know, did that look like a Bengals
• 19:25
  Speaker 4: team that had no interest in winning?
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: I had a strong best bet on Cincinnati for my
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: clients last week at waiter talk dot com. So I'm
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: definitely a believer that the Bengals are still playing hard
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: and that was one of our top plays last week.
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: Never in doubt forty five to twenty one win, and
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: one of the reasons because they're coming off the shutout.
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: I like the back teams off a shut In fact,
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: the week before, Joe I had a best bet on
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: the Ravens in a twenty four to nothing win. So
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: I've had a good feel for this Cincinnati team. I
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: don't think the spot's as good this week, obviously, as
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: that was kind of their focused game last week. But yeah,
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: back at home, Arizona's nothing special should a high scoring game.
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: Neither team has anything to play for. Cardinals off six
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: seven straight losses and they failed to cover six of
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: the last seven. Talk about a team to maybe fate.
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: Arizona's quietly been the biggest money burner in the NFL
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: the last couple months. This line was five and a
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: half a week ago. Now it's seven, even seven and
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: a half starting to show. So there's probably not a
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: lot of value left at this point with Cincinnati.
• 20:19
  Speaker 4: No they're not, but borrow now, if you're tired of losing,
• 20:23
  Speaker 4: you're gonna have to show up here in these last
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: couple of games. That's that's for sure. So there you
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: got a lot of teams on the bubble. You got
• 20:31
  Speaker 4: some teams with nothing to play for, but look like
• 20:34
  Speaker 4: they're a little more interested in finishing off the season
• 20:37
  Speaker 4: strong than maybe mailing it in. Unfortunately, I don't see
• 20:41
  Speaker 4: any of those games happening on Christmas. But that's you
• 20:45
  Speaker 4: got to take the good with the bad, there, Meryl.
• 20:48
  Speaker 4: All right, before we get to some early NFL bets here,
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: we'll put the clock on. We'll go over to the
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: NBA games here tonight, some college basketball games, and then
• 20:57
  Speaker 4: we'll take a look ahead to any Bowl game that
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: might peat your interest. You're gonna love this. It is
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: time for a little business here Maryland. Who doesn't love
• 21:07
  Speaker 4: a good picture of Saturday night fever pres there? And
• 21:12
  Speaker 4: it's all about what you got rolling over at wager Talk.
• 21:15
  Speaker 4: Plus a great Christmas twenty five deal coming up here
• 21:19
  Speaker 4: for clients.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's gonna be a fantastic special, which I believe
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: goes live midlight for everybody. I mentioned it early in
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: my videos, so you can get a sneak peek on
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: a Christmas special by watching my videos. Don't forget I
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: do every Bowl game free here on wager Talk TV,
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: including all three games Tuesday, the Hawaii Bow tomorrow, also
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: those Friday games, all the NFL games Thursday up free
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: right now. We'll keep in mind when I'm giving you
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: every game for free, a lot of those are light
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: TV Leans only. I'm letting you know how I'm looking
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: at every single game on the board, maybe one percent
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: of bank. Well, if you play them all, if you
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: want my official best bets, those are the strong Plays
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: four percent best bets four hundred percent stronger than the
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: light Leans, and those are available exclusively at wager talk
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: dot com. I do have a strong bowld best bet
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: for one of the Tuesday games up on my page,
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: along with four to five Advanced Bowl games for the
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: next couple of weeks. It's another reason to be a
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: direct client because you get them the minute they're released.
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: You lock in on the best number and you never
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: miss out. Also daily free plays on my page. The
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: last Cut just a bit outside goes up as a
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: bonus free play, so check it out. Steve Merrill wager
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: talk dot com and hey get there quicker with shortcut
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: WT dot buzz slash sm.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: Good stuff there, Meryl.
• 22:27
  Speaker 4: Yeah, take advantage of the deals coming up here, guys,
• 22:30
  Speaker 4: great opportunity to do so. I believe the final one
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: of the final days here I think that ends at midnight.
• 22:36
  Speaker 4: The opportunity to buy three get one free, So that's
• 22:40
  Speaker 4: also a great opportunity. Five percent College Bowl game today
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: locked loaded up at the page at wager talk dot com,
• 22:49
  Speaker 4: so you guys can head over there and check that out. Plus,
• 22:52
  Speaker 4: got a couple of college basketball games and an NBA
• 22:55
  Speaker 4: game on what is a loaded card coming up at
• 22:59
  Speaker 4: wager talk dot com. Take advantage of it, guys, as
• 23:03
  Speaker 4: we looked around out the year. Here on a profitable note.
• 23:07
  Speaker 4: Meryl a Joe, we buried the lead. I forgot to
• 23:09
  Speaker 4: mention something very important. Shot five. Yes, he was like,
• 23:15
  Speaker 4: what are you doing? What are you doing?
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: Yes, my goodness, I've been drinking too much Joe for
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: my my Steve fret.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: Fer I like that very nice, Meryll.
• 23:27
  Speaker 4: That is Look at that right there, baby, that is
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: outstanding right there, very good.
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: Look at that comment from one of the videos this morning.
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: They said, Steve Ferrell or Will Merrilyn, I never, I
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: don't think you've even thought.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: I never came up with that. That is outstanding? Did
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: that for decades?
• 23:49
  Speaker 4: Outstanding that somebody put that together? That is the chat
• 23:54
  Speaker 4: room never loses. I gotta love that man. Outstand wills
• 23:57
  Speaker 4: of crowds, Will Merrill and Steve.
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: That's all right, Well, don't worry.
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know how we've I don't know how we've
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: missed this, no idea, but I promise you.
• 24:06
  Speaker 4: That, well, there will be a graphic next time you're
• 24:08
  Speaker 4: on the show. With that, I can assure you there
• 24:10
  Speaker 4: will be something ready to row.
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: And that's going to be like squirrel you've been. I've
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: been a lot of extra fifteen minutes of that episode
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: with press correct.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: I love it.
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: All right, let's go with the early NFL bets here again.
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: Three games on Christmas doesn't mean listen, they're not exciting games,
• 24:29
  Speaker 4: but it doesn't mean that there's not value somewhere to
• 24:31
  Speaker 4: be had in there. So we'll put two minutes on
• 24:34
  Speaker 4: the clock Merrill and sixty seconds each talk about a
• 24:39
  Speaker 4: game coming up this week here that you might have
• 24:41
  Speaker 4: interest in taking a look at.
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: Look, they're three ugly NFL games. Of course, had broken
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: all three down in my Free Thursday video of the
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: Prime games this year, by the way, are thirteen and
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: three for free thirteen and two on Thursdays because I
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: missed the Friday Prime game on Thanksgiving weekend.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: So let's look at the game.
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: Let's put that thirteen and two Thursday prime record on
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: the line with this ugly game, Kansas City Denver. But
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: I'll tell you what, the more i've been looking at
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: it the last couple of days, I'm starting to warm
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: up more to the Chiefs. And I'm not a big
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: fan of catching fallen knife.
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: You know that.
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: But this is such an overreaction. Last week, the look
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: aheadline was projected to be Denver by five and a half.
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: Now it's thirteen thirteen and a half. So right there,
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: Minshee being out is eight points. Minshoe ain't worth eight
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: points even in his short shorts. The backup I'll a
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: duke and Laca Lucan whatever is I don't have it
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: in front of me is it's a no name. We
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: don't know anything about him, but there's upside. He could
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: perform well. He actually threw all right last week, almost
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: seven yards per pass in that backup performance. And the
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: bottom line is this is a twenty one point adjustment
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: from a month ago. They were a four point road favorite,
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: now thirteen point dog factor in a couple points, so
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: that it's a twenty one point adjustment. I think it's
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: an overreaction. Broncos have only won twice by double digits
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: all season. Chiefs have only lost by more than ten
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: points once all season. I know that was last week.
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: Kansas City plus thirteen is the only way I would
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: play on Prime.
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: Ooh, I like that?
• 26:02
  Speaker 4: All right, I'm gonna I'll keep it simple, because exactly
• 26:06
  Speaker 4: where in the hell are the points coming from in
• 26:09
  Speaker 4: this Pittsburgh and Cleveland game coming up this week?
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: And I have no idea Judkins is out.
• 26:16
  Speaker 4: Poor guy snaps his leg in that game against Buffalo,
• 26:19
  Speaker 4: So there goes the running game for the Browns. And
• 26:22
  Speaker 4: now Pittsburgh has got players, their star wide receiver players,
• 26:27
  Speaker 4: by the way, the only wide receiver player. Oh yeah,
• 26:30
  Speaker 4: he's just gonna take swings to people in the stands
• 26:32
  Speaker 4: and get and get suspended there. So it feels like
• 26:36
  Speaker 4: with these two teams who don't like one another, this
• 26:39
  Speaker 4: feels like a dead under to me. I'm not expecting
• 26:42
  Speaker 4: a whole lot of points from either. It would only
• 26:45
  Speaker 4: be an under for me, merrill when it comes to
• 26:47
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh and Cleveland this weekend.
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: No see, I mean there's certain teams, as you know, Joe,
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: in the league that are just pure under or overplays
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: for you, like that Cowboy Commander game Thursday afternoon. Yep,
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: you know it's a pure it's an overpass and you
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: don't know who the quarterback's gonna be for Washington, which
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: makes it dicey. But yeah, the Browns are one of
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: those teams, like, how can you make a case ever
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: for the over with the terrible offense and actually a
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: pretty good defense all season long? And that just smells
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: like an undergame in December?
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: How about this too?
• 27:17
  Speaker 4: Now he needs one, Miles Garrett needs one sack right
• 27:21
  Speaker 4: to set the league single season record. Aaron Rodgers, former
• 27:26
  Speaker 4: Green Bay Packer quarterback, might be laying down, making it
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: real easy for him, because.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: We know Aaron ain't gonna be running around and.
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: Trying to outrun him, so it'll be interesting to see
• 27:37
  Speaker 4: if he ends up sacking Aaron Rodgers for the record.
• 27:42
  Speaker 4: Let's do the same thing with the NBA run down here,
• 27:45
  Speaker 4: Merrill two minutes. We'll just go over a bunch of
• 27:47
  Speaker 4: these games tonight, loaded card because once again, we all
• 27:50
  Speaker 4: know the NBA season doesn't start until Christmas. But in
• 27:53
  Speaker 4: the meantime, no games tomorrow, ton of games tonight. I'll
• 27:57
  Speaker 4: start it off here, Meryll, let's talk about the Sixers
• 28:01
  Speaker 4: taking on the Nets and listen. Brooklyn has gotten a
• 28:06
  Speaker 4: little bit feisty here over the last couple of weeks.
• 28:09
  Speaker 4: But the seventy six Ers finally look like they have
• 28:13
  Speaker 4: Maxi healthy at Edgecomb and Paul George looks like he's
• 28:16
  Speaker 4: getting back into the swing of things. You don't have
• 28:18
  Speaker 4: to look any further, guys than what this line is
• 28:21
  Speaker 4: telling you about how healthy the seventy six Ers are.
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: Getting nine and a half to eighteen and a half
• 28:26
  Speaker 4: is a total. I think the Sixers rolling into this
• 28:30
  Speaker 4: Christmas start of the season on a pretty good note.
• 28:33
  Speaker 4: I love the Charlotte Hornets, loved them last night getting
• 28:36
  Speaker 4: nine and a half. They're laying five and a half
• 28:39
  Speaker 4: here against the Wizards. Question is who the hell is
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: playing for the Charlotte Hornets here tonight?
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: How about the Bulls?
• 28:45
  Speaker 4: They go rattle off what nine losses, seven losses, something
• 28:49
  Speaker 4: along those lines, and now they refuse to lose taking
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: on the Hawks again at the State Farm Arena. When
• 28:56
  Speaker 4: are they going to get rid of Trey Young? I
• 28:59
  Speaker 4: just this team is not good with him. They're a
• 29:01
  Speaker 4: different team, and it shows the last couple of games
• 29:04
  Speaker 4: since he's been available. To me, I like the Bulls
• 29:08
  Speaker 4: keep doing what they're doing, and I'd score a lot
• 29:10
  Speaker 4: of points, Meryl. That would be a Chicago Bulls team
• 29:13
  Speaker 4: total up and over for me. And don't mind the
• 29:16
  Speaker 4: Bucks getting a point or two at the Pacers either tonight.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a huge NBA card tonight on Tuesday. And that,
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: of course is because there are no games tomorrow on Wednesday,
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: and that's because we do have five big matchups for
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: Christmas Thursday. Lines are already available for those games. But
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: look at the board tonight on two. One move that
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: jumped out to me was the over move in that
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: game between New Orleans and Cleveland tonight at seven to
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: forty Eastern open two thirty seven and a half, it's
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: up to two forty five now second biggest total on
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: the board, of course, after that Chicago Atlanta game that's
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: now up to two fifty three, two fifty three and
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: a half in a lot of locations. About this New
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: Orleans Cleveland game, not only should it be a high
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: scoring game, but the New Orleans Pelicans quietly having a
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: fantastic season. This is a team that had lo seven
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: games in a row late November early December and now
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: have won six games in a row. And I guess
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: we should have seen it coming because during that extended
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: losing streak, they still covered five of the final six losses,
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: and now they've gone to perfect five and oh straight
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: up in ATS the last five. That means this team
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: is now a ten and one against the spread their
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: last eleven games. Are catching nine and a half points
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: tonight against a Cleveland team that's won in three straight
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: up oh and six against the spread their last six games,
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: and of course, with the big Christmas card coming on
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: board Thursday, Cleveland is going to New York, so they
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: have a big look ahead. So that'll be a game
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: very extry to meet tonight to see if the Cavs
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: get back on track, which you're laying nine and a
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: half points with a team that's on an OH to
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: six ATS slide. And then what maybe is the best
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: game of the night is Oklahoma City against San Antonio.
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: You know, Joe, you and I a few weeks ago
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: in Sports Grede we're talking about with the thunder lose
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: again all season when they were like twenty two and
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: one at the time, I think, well, they're now twenty
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: six and three straight up, and this is a team
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: that has alternated wins and losses their last four games,
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: also alternated wins and covers wins and losses against the spread.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: Not a lot of movements so far in the spread
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: in this one. By the way, these teams will play
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: again on Thursday, which is interesting to me, So keep
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: a close eye on this game tonight, as Oklahoma City's
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: gone from six and a half to five and a
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: half total, though from two thirty four and a half
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: down to two thirty three makes sense because it should
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: be a playoff atmosphere. Both teams are definitely capable defensively.
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: And what's strange to me, Joe's the look aheadline for Thursday.
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: The total is around anywhere from to two thirty three.
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: It's jumped all around nine and a half, ten and
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: a half, eleven and a half. Is Oklahoma City at home,
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: So maybe we'll get a little bit of that playoff
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: zigzag angle to use on Thursday in the Christmas game,
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: depending on how tonight's game plays out in San Antonio.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, like that one a lot.
• 31:44
  Speaker 4: I think there's some very interesting spots in the NBA
• 31:47
  Speaker 4: card here tonight. Maybe not so much in college basketball, though,
• 31:52
  Speaker 4: there were a couple of games that stuck out to
• 31:55
  Speaker 4: me here Merrill, and I'll start with the one coming
• 31:58
  Speaker 4: up seven o'clock Eastern Times, and that's going to be
• 32:01
  Speaker 4: Villanova taking on Seaton Hall. Listen, it's a new Villanova team, right,
• 32:06
  Speaker 4: Kevin Weller comes over from Maryland. He's got these guys
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: playing a little different style of basketball. But yes, they
• 32:14
  Speaker 4: love to shoot the three here. Now, the question is
• 32:17
  Speaker 4: is that when you go to Shaheath Holloway, they are
• 32:19
  Speaker 4: over its Seaton Hall. His teams like to bully you,
• 32:23
  Speaker 4: like to make sure that you can't get into paint.
• 32:25
  Speaker 4: They like them slow things down. They're very long, they're
• 32:28
  Speaker 4: very athletic. But once again, shockingly, they don't do a
• 32:32
  Speaker 4: great job of scoring here. And that's the problem. The
• 32:36
  Speaker 4: question is are we buying Villanova good enough to make
• 32:39
  Speaker 4: enough threes and to make enough jump shots in order
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: to get it done. I think styles make fights Maryland.
• 32:45
  Speaker 4: In this game tonight, it's just not a good style
• 32:49
  Speaker 4: fight for Seaton Hall. They'd much rather have a team
• 32:52
  Speaker 4: that's going to try to get inside and.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Score that way. Villanova's not going to do that.
• 32:57
  Speaker 4: They're not gonna get swallowed up by the physicality here
• 33:00
  Speaker 4: of Seaton Hall. So I do think point point and
• 33:03
  Speaker 4: a half. I think you can get with Villanova. I
• 33:05
  Speaker 4: don't mind looking at him in this one here. I'll
• 33:07
  Speaker 4: take the Cats to Night over the Pirates.
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, a little bit of money on the over in
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: that game too, Joe. At seven Eastern night Open one
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: thirty one, it's up to one thirty four. So we
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: have seen some sharp money on the over under in
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: the Villanova's Seaton Hall game. There's yeah, a lot of
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: daytime games, so I'll look at the other night time
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: game on the main betting rotation for you. At six
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: Eastern Harvard and Saint John's a very little movement on
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: the side in the Saint John's Open twenty five and
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: a half, it's pretty much twenty five and a half,
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: So so twenty six is out there. But we have seen
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: money on the over in this one as well, open
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: one forty three and a half and now it's up
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: to one forty seven and a half. And the tempo
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: is gonna be the key in this game because Saint
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: John's likes to play fast up tempo. As always under Patino,
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: Harvard plays slow down half court basketball, and they're gonna
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: have a tough time. They don't shoot many threes, they
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: don't get to the free throw line much. So if
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: you're gonna play the over, the sharp money likes the over,
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: I'd much rather have the Saint John's team total over instead.
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: Eighty six and a half is what I'm seeing there.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: And oh, by the way, Saint John's coming in off
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: a loss against Kentucky. I think they'll be extra focused
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: in this game. And they gave up seventy eight points
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: in that loss. They're still one of the best defensive
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: teams in the country. So while the sharp money likes
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: the over, I would rather just take slow down and
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: bad offensive Harvard out of the equation and look at
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: the Saint John's team total up and over eighty six
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: and a half tonight at six Eastern.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Love that look there, Steve Yep.
• 34:27
  Speaker 4: Not the biggest of cards in college hoops, but a
• 34:30
  Speaker 4: couple of late night games certainly we're taking a look at.
• 34:34
  Speaker 4: And of course we do have three bowl games coming
• 34:37
  Speaker 4: up here a little bit later today. In fact, Merrill,
• 34:40
  Speaker 4: if I bring a can of Bush's beans to Boca Ratone,
• 34:43
  Speaker 4: I might actually get to watch that disaster that is
• 34:46
  Speaker 4: Louisville taking on Toledoll. But if there is a college
• 34:49
  Speaker 4: football game that we're looking ahead to, I'll start. I'll
• 34:54
  Speaker 4: take a look here at the Sheridan Hawaii Bowl where
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: California and Hawaii are to go at it.
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: And listen.
• 35:01
  Speaker 4: I mean, it's been an amazing year for Chang and
• 35:05
  Speaker 4: for this Hawaii team. They've done an amazing job. It's
• 35:08
  Speaker 4: taken a few years to get it going, but they
• 35:11
  Speaker 4: have absolutely turned it around. Cal got rid of Justin Wilcox.
• 35:16
  Speaker 4: Obviously they've had a pretty good end to the season,
• 35:21
  Speaker 4: but it's still a team that has way too many
• 35:24
  Speaker 4: questions marks not to mention, you're in the back yard
• 35:28
  Speaker 4: here of the University of Hawaii. To me in Honolulu,
• 35:32
  Speaker 4: there's only one way I would lock Maryland. That is
• 35:34
  Speaker 4: Hawaii and a small number against this Cal team, how
• 35:38
  Speaker 4: about you.
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: So I did a video for this game and we
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: posted it last night, and I mentioned the under It
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: was around fifty two and now it's fifty and a
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: half in most spots. So maybe my videos show or
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: moving the market, but my point is fifty one is
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: a very key number, so there's definitely less value now
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: for those that watch the video early, it's now down
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: to fifty and a half, but there's still some fifty
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: ones floating around there. By the way, there's about a
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: three to four percent chance this Hawaii ball lands.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: Exactly on fifty one points.
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: There's a lot of scores that gets you there, twenty
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: seven to twenty four, thirty one to twenty forty one
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: to ten. What's interesting is both teams cannot run the ball.
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: Col's one of the worst rushing attacks in college football.
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: Both teams like to throw the ball, both teams defend
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: the pass.
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: Well.
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: That's one of the reasons I like the under, And
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: normally when you got teams throwing the ball the entire game,
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: it makes you nervous with the under. But then keep
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: in mind also both teams have been off for several weeks,
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: and you know these precision passing attacks sometimes falter a bit.
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: We saw all those teams with the bye last year
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: losing the college playoffs versus the teams that had the
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: game with the week before. So yes, I like the
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: under in this The sharp money seems to agree. It's
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: gone from fifty five down to fifty and a half
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: now it was fifty two yeah, yesterday still would lean under,
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: but like it more if you can get that key
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: number of fifty one on Christmas Eve.
• 36:49
  Speaker 4: Yeah, and that crazy enough is your only game there
• 36:53
  Speaker 4: tomorrow on Christmas Eve. And that's Steve Merril is what
• 36:58
  Speaker 4: they call a rap on the best betting show ever.
• 37:01
  Speaker 4: So a little something for everyone coming up here over
• 37:04
  Speaker 4: the next couple of days.
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: We'll be back again.
• 37:07
  Speaker 4: Tomorrow and then of course on Friday, we'll get you
• 37:10
  Speaker 4: guys all set up for what should be a great
• 37:13
  Speaker 4: weekend with art and I believe the pres is getting
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: dental work done or I don't know, well, who knows.
• 37:20
  Speaker 4: Maybe that Nova candle kick in should be fun to
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: watch that show here. But remind the folks Steve what
• 37:26
  Speaker 4: you got rolling over at wager talk dot com.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: It's a big weekend. Yeah, it's a huge weekend.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, we have four major sports going on a
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: daily basis right now, college and pro football, College and
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: pro basketball. So it's a great time to get a
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: one day, a one week, a one month, even a
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: one year all sport all access. And we do have
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: special prices and promos on my page along with that
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: bonus daily free play.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Check it out.
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: Steve Merrill wager Talk dot com, including a strong best
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: bet in the Bowl action tonight. Steve merrillwagter Talk dot com,
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: Get there, quicker, wt dot Buzz, slash sm and while
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: you're here on wager Talk TV, make sure you click subscribe.
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: You click the bell for insis alerts because I'm giving
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: you every Bowl game video for free. I'm also giving
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: you all the NFL games almost every week, all the
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: primetime games, all the Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday night games.
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: Lots of free content here. Click subscribe, click the bill,
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: and if you're liking it, hey thumbs up like this
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: video and show, and a quick comment below because we
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: do truly read the comments and we reply back here
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: on wait for Talk TV.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: Yes we do. Man.
• 38:20
  Speaker 4: It should be an awful lot of fun. Uh Merrill,
• 38:23
  Speaker 4: enjoy the holiday you and the family. Of course, we'll
• 38:26
  Speaker 4: see you again soon on the show. In the meantime, guys,
• 38:30
  Speaker 4: enjoy the games here today, come back and join us
• 38:32
  Speaker 4: again for another edition of the best betting show.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: Let's Cash It