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Bitcoin’s Stock-To-Flow (S2F) 2022 Analysis + Price Prediction
Watch the May 2022 videohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E3BWdciKZ7c Once a year, I review Plan B's stock-to-flow model, which predicts Bitcoin's price. I first critiqued it on May 11, 2020, which was the day of the 3rd Bitcoin halving. Plan B blocked me because of it.Last year, on May 11, 2021, I reflected on how well the price had been tracking the model, but I warned that we should not become overly exuberant. I predicted that we would drop below $40,000 in 2022, perhaps below $30,000, and maybe even below $20,000. It all seemed rather ludicrous given that BTC was at $55,000. Still, I…
The skinny
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