Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 444 - 1/30/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems go with Josh Appelbaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to episode 440.
- 0:17Four of the all systems go sports betting podcast powered
- 0:22by rhythm. I am your host, Josh.
- 0:25Appelbaum. What's going on, everyone?
- 0:30Happy Friday. Our work week has come to an
- 0:33end. Big weekend ahead here, guys,
- 0:35although it's a little bit quieter than usual.
- 0:37No Super Bowl, no AFC NFC Championship Games, No.
- 0:40Football at all, but that means. We are now.
- 0:42Basically just a week away from the big Super Bowl here between
- 0:46the Patriots and the Seahawks, and guys were still sitting, you
- 0:49know, Seahawks -4 1/2 public, still hammering.
- 0:52Seattle Patriots are still in an epic contrarian opportunity and
- 0:56a heavily bet, the most heavily bet sporting event of the year,
- 0:59plus 4 1/2. And remember, I want to give a
- 1:02shout out to everyone. Who tuned into the Rhythm
- 1:04Rundown last night? Our live show myself.
- 1:07And my buddy Kate Harper every Thursday night at 6:00 PM
- 1:09because we were talking about how not only our Super Bowl dogs
- 1:13barking since 2004 last 20 plus years covering 68% of the time
- 1:18if they're a dog getting three or more they've.
- 1:20Covered 73. Percent of the time.
- 1:22But we also. Have of course rhythm with a
- 1:24couple great edges on the Patriots plus one O 9 + 0.9 -,
- 1:290.8 + 0.5 and again, a lot of people.
- 1:33Underestimating the Pats because they had an easy schedule.
- 1:36But that's fine, I'd rather be the team.
- 1:37That's underestimated, especially in the spot where
- 1:40dogs have done well historically than being a shoe in or a huge
- 1:44favorite. And oh, by the way, what do you
- 1:47guys think? The team that.
- 1:48Wears the white jersey. Is it total BS?
- 1:50Maybe it is, maybe it. Isn't but the white.
- 1:52Jersey teams are 37 and 22 straight up in the Super.
- 1:56Bowl and guess what? The Patriots are wearing white
- 1:59jerseys. So we're again, we're a week
- 2:01away. We're you know what?
- 2:027-8 days now, I guess 9 days if you look towards Sunday, but we
- 2:07are getting closer here, so we'll see what develops over the
- 2:10weekend. Now looking toward today.
- 2:13We got college basketball guys got a three pack of.
- 2:15College hoops plays for you. I got to play on Michigan,
- 2:18Michigan State, the biggest game of the night.
- 2:20Most heavily back game. Of the night.
- 2:22We have an opportunity here to take one team over the other,
- 2:25which is a sharp mush edge and a good bet split opportunity.
- 2:29Then I got a couple short favorites so.
- 2:31We're going to see if we can get. 2 out of 3 eek out of
- 2:33winning night to end our week. Looking back toward last night
- 2:36guys after a couple of. Rough nights where?
- 2:38Nothing went our way. And we're beating closing lines
- 2:41and losing. Or covering the whole.
- 2:42Game and blowing it at the very end.
- 2:45We had a nice bounce back night. Three and O.
- 2:47Plus 2.27 units. Had a nice hit with.
- 2:50Memphis. Remember Memphis?
- 2:51Kind of struggled. All year long.
- 2:53But they had that. Line move they were. -1 1/2 up
- 2:56to -2 - 2 1/2 They actually closed 3 1/2 so beat the closing
- 3:00line. Read The Market.
- 3:01Correctly. And Memphis rolled, beating
- 3:04Florida Atlantic 92 to 65, so that was a nice hit.
- 3:07And then Northern Colorado, they were around -2 up to 2 1/2 or
- 3:11three, they came through and beat Idaho and then late night,
- 3:15Cal State Northridge -1. Up to around -2 two and a half,
- 3:19they actually. Closed 3 1/2 so it's nice.
- 3:22To be closing lines and get wins.
- 3:24Cal State Northridge One. Beat UC Davis, 90. 4 to 78 and
- 3:29child to rhythm because they had a good edge on Cal State
- 3:31Northridge as well. And that's betting.
- 3:33Guys, sometimes. You're going to.
- 3:34Go O and three. Sometimes you're going to go 3
- 3:36and O, so when we sweep the board, we're probably.
- 3:38Never as good as we think. When we get.
- 3:40Swept. We're never as bad as we think.
- 3:42That's just the the roller coaster ride of sports betting
- 3:45and not. Getting too down on yourself.
- 3:47When you're you're having a tough night or two, stick with
- 3:50it again. I was actually.
- 3:53As I was watching the ESPN. Plus Cal State Northridge there
- 3:57was also on the TV as my wife was falling asleep, but I had my
- 4:01iPad with Cal State Northridge. And then the main TV in our
- 4:04bedroom. Was on The Dark Knight and what
- 4:07does he say? In The Dark Knight, it's always
- 4:08darkest before the dawn, so you just got to keep.
- 4:10On grinding. Well, that being said guys,
- 4:12wrapping up the week. Let's talk some college hoops
- 4:15and I'll just. Remind you guys that.
- 4:16On the weekend, of course, there is no.
- 4:18Podcast but. I'm still going to give you
- 4:20some. Coverage because every Saturday,
- 4:23Sunday, as I do every day of the week, No days off.
- 4:26I'll have the V sin live. Sharp report so you can always
- 4:29check it out around 10:00 AM Eastern Time every day for my
- 4:32free write ups. And if.
- 4:34You want to support. The pod.
- 4:35And get those all systems go best bet pics from the juice
- 4:38reel app. All the best bets will be posted
- 4:40there. So write ups for V sin as well
- 4:42as and always tweet those out at Josh under score insights as
- 4:45well as the best bets if you. Just want the plays, you don't
- 4:48need the analysis, you can. Always get them for $4.99 a week
- 4:52from Juice Reel. Now that being said.
- 4:55After a good night. Last night.
- 4:57Busting out the brooms. 3 and O + 2.27 units let's.
- 5:01See if we can get some winners here for tonight.
- 5:03So first. But on the board for me, I want
- 5:05to look at the most heavily bet game in the night.
- 5:08By far no game was even close. Michigan and Michigan State.
- 5:12Now this is an 8. O clock game on.
- 5:14Fox again. Super, super, you know, public.
- 5:18Interest in this matchup? Because you got.
- 5:19Two really good teams. Facing off.
- 5:21So let's set the stage. Talk line movement, split system
- 5:24matches. I'll give you my play for this
- 5:26one now. Michigan comes in 19 and one.
- 5:29Ranked third in the. Country.
- 5:31They won five. Straight they just beat
- 5:32Nebraska. 75 to 72 did not cover though.
- 5:35They're favored by 11 1/2. At home, meanwhile, Michigan
- 5:38State, 19 and 2 ranked 7th. So two really good teams.
- 5:42Here going at it hopefully is a good game tonight.
- 5:45But they've won. Seven in a row just beat
- 5:47Rutgers. 88 to 79 in. Overtime but did not cover as a
- 5:5014 1/2 point Rd. favorite. So what have you seen across the
- 5:54board for this one? Well, this game open Michigan
- 5:57listed as a very short 1 1/2. Point Rd.
- 5:59Favorite. And the public.
- 6:00Yeah, they respect Sparty. Good record.
- 6:03They're at home. Their dog.
- 6:04They're also thinking, man, Michigan is a really good team
- 6:06this year and they're only laying 1 1/2 hammer Michigan.
- 6:10So currently you're getting nearly 60% of spread bets at
- 6:13DraftKings backing the Wolverines.
- 6:16However. We have not seen Michigan get up
- 6:18from -1 1/2 to -2 -, 2 and a. Half -3 which you would kind of
- 6:22expect getting nearly 2/3 of tickets.
- 6:24No, it's actually kind of shown liability the other way because
- 6:28even though majority. Tickets are on the.
- 6:30Wolverines, we've seen the juice.
- 6:32Lean toward Michigan State, so plus 1 1/2.
- 6:35At -115. We also.
- 6:37See a couple books. That have gotten down to 1 so
- 6:40right off the. Bat big biggest indicator to me
- 6:42is that and most heavily that game the night the public's
- 6:45leaning Michigan. But the juice?
- 6:47In the movement is leaning Michigan State.
- 6:49So I want to go Sparty in the spot to bet against the public.
- 6:53So right off the bat you do have as well just a contrarian play
- 6:56getting less than half the. Tickets of Michigan State.
- 6:58And the most heavily back game of the night, but then as we.
- 7:00Always talk about. You know.
- 7:02Contrarian is a founding philosophy, but it's not the end
- 7:06all be all you want to at the very beginning if you can help
- 7:08it. Just give yourself contrarian
- 7:10value to bet against. The masses.
- 7:12Because more often than not, the masses are wrong.
- 7:14But as this podcast always tries to preach.
- 7:17We don't want. Just contrarian.
- 7:18We want some element. Of sharp action, whether that's
- 7:21a. Reverse line move a line.
- 7:23Freeze 5050 fifty line. Move a little.
- 7:26Bit higher dollar split, whatever the case may be.
- 7:28So not only is Sparty contrarian.
- 7:30In the most heavily back game of the night.
- 7:31But also you have that element of smart money.
- 7:34With the line freezer RLM or juiced up plus 1 1/2 towards
- 7:37Sparty with a lot of books getting down to 1.
- 7:40Now if we look specifically, Michigan State only getting
- 7:43about 40. Percent of bets, but 50% of
- 7:45dollars. At DK, so a.
- 7:47Little bit of a low bets higher dollar split.
- 7:49Ken Palm does have Michigan winning, but only by one point,
- 7:53so again, nitty gritty here if you're getting a + 1 1/2.
- 7:57And Ken Palm says Michigan's going to win by 1.
- 8:00That is a little bit of an edge there, taking the hook with
- 8:03Michigan State. We have even seen, if you want
- 8:06to be a little bit bold, some smart money hitting Michigan
- 8:08State to win the game. I know it's bold but it's only 1
- 8:121/2 but. Around plus 100 you might even
- 8:14be able. To get plus one O 5.
- 8:15I did notice out at circa. 33% of money line bets, but 95.
- 8:20Percent of money line dollars going Michigan State to win the
- 8:23game. And then Michigan State, they
- 8:25have the number one defensive efficiency in the country now
- 8:28Michigan's number. 2 So both good defensive teams.
- 8:31But Michigan State does. Have the better offensive.
- 8:33Rebound percentage 6th. In the country.
- 8:35Versus 48th. For the Wolverines, better
- 8:38three-point shooting 68th. In the country.
- 8:41Versus 158th for Michigan and the better free throw shooting
- 8:44129th. Versus 184th, which again is
- 8:48important in a tight match up here.
- 8:50So we got. Most heavily back Game of the
- 8:51Night Public Michigan, but lines showing liability on Michigan
- 8:55State. Juiced up or dropping 1 1/2 down
- 8:58to 1. Oh, by the way, we do have a.
- 9:00Nothing huge, but a. 6% sharp mush edge on Michigan State from
- 9:04our friends at Juice Reel. So a lot of the wise guys and
- 9:07wise gals like you out. There, listening.
- 9:09Who have downloaded juice reel and synced up your books also?
- 9:12Leaning Michigan State here. So add it all up guys, let's
- 9:16have a. Sparty Party.
- 9:17I'm on Michigan State. I took the plus. 1 1/2.
- 9:20Just on the off chance they lose by one, which is what Ken Palms
- 9:23predicting. So I'm on Michigan State.
- 9:25Plus 1 1/2 and most heavily back Game of the night.
- 9:28Next up, let's look at. Another 8:00 PM Eastern Time
- 9:31matchup. Not quite as heavily bet, but a
- 9:33very sharp line move here. Let's look at 8:00 tip.
- 9:37Between let me. Find it for you, Wright State
- 9:41and Milwaukee. Now setting the stage here we
- 9:43got Wright. State 13 and 8 on the year.
- 9:45But they're pretty hot. They've won eight of their last
- 9:47nine. They just held off Northern
- 9:48Kentucky. 88 to 80. Covering as a 2 point home
- 9:52favorite. On the other hand, Milwaukee 9
- 9:54and 13 on the year they just snapped A3 game losing skid by
- 9:57beating Youngstown State. 65 to 60.
- 10:00Four, they actually won that game outright as a 6 1/2 point
- 10:03Rd. dog, so. Just sitting across the market
- 10:05here. Well, this game opened.
- 10:07With Wright State listed as low as a one.
- 10:09And a half point. Road favorite.
- 10:11And we've seen nothing but movement.
- 10:13In favor of Wright State. Wright State has gotten steamed
- 10:15-1 1/2 now all the way up to -3 even 3 1/2.
- 10:19Across the market, so we always talk.
- 10:21You know, 1/2 point move, a full point move.
- 10:24You're looking at nearly a full 2 point move in favor of right
- 10:27state. That tells me a lot.
- 10:28Of big money has. Poured in on right state in this
- 10:31matchup. Now if we look at the splits at
- 10:33DraftKings, right state is getting 79% of spread bets and
- 10:3890% of spread dollars. So a very low bet, higher
- 10:42dollar. Bet discrepancy in.
- 10:43Favor of the road chalk. And that tells me.
- 10:45It's kind of. Pro and Joe Maybe the public is.
- 10:48Leaning and it's. Not a very heavily back game but
- 10:50majority of tickets by definition public leaning right
- 10:53state because they're hot and they have the better record.
- 10:55But remember the wise guys, the. Sharps out there, they don't
- 10:58care what the public's doing. They don't care that team is
- 11:01getting 70% of bets or more. They're betting based on their
- 11:04discrepancy plays. So the fact that we saw right
- 11:07state get steamed up -1 1/2 to -3 three and a half tells me a
- 11:11lot of pro money piled on to the public lien and push that line
- 11:15in favor of the Raiders. Now, Ken Palm does have, right?
- 11:18State winning, but only by two points. 76 to 74.
- 11:22He does, however, have right state ranked quite a bit higher,
- 11:25hundred and 43rd in the country versus 200 and 45th for
- 11:29Milwaukee. But because of this because.
- 11:31Ken Palms. Got a 2 point game and the line
- 11:32did open 1 1/2. Because again, that tells you.
- 11:35Pros laid the 1 1/2 immediately so if.
- 11:37Right state were to win by two Ken Palm.
- 11:40Will be spot on and the early. Sharps would cash, but if we
- 11:43were to lay a three 3 1/2 and they win by two, we would lose
- 11:46that bet. So what I did is I money lined
- 11:48right state just to protect ourselves.
- 11:51Make sure they can just win the game regardless of the outcome.
- 11:54Again, you win by 1-2 or three. You push or lose this bet, you
- 11:57win by 1 and you money. Line them.
- 11:59Hey, we can get out of here with a win.
- 12:01I do like the splits as well at Circa.
- 12:03On the money line, 67%. Of money line bets, but over 90%
- 12:08of money line dollars on Wright State to win the game straight
- 12:11up. And Wright State does have.
- 12:13Quite a few advantages. A lot of them are just overall
- 12:16offense. And defense, but in particular.
- 12:19Right state has the better. Offensive efficiency 119th in
- 12:22the country. Versus 207th.
- 12:24For Milwaukee. They have the better.
- 12:26Defensive efficiency 195th. Versus 200 and. 78th.
- 12:31For Wisconsin, Milwaukee, they have the better effective field
- 12:34goal percentage. 52nd versus. 260. 2nd.
- 12:38They shoot the three. Better 54th verse. 256th and
- 12:42they're better from the charity stripe.
- 12:43Ranking 100. And 102nd across the country
- 12:48versus 300 and 22nd for. Milwaukee So again, may not be
- 12:53the most heavily back game of the night, but we're seeing a
- 12:55sharp. One way line move in favor of
- 12:57right state. They're hot.
- 12:59They got the better record and we have some good advantages
- 13:02here, both offense and defense. So I money lined right state.
- 13:05I got him at -155 I was either, I think Valley.
- 13:08Bet or maybe it was the score, but shop round because some
- 13:11books are closer to like -165 So we want to make sure we win this
- 13:15game. That's all we care about when
- 13:16we're on the money line. But.
- 13:17Let's go right state. Raiders last.
- 13:20Bet of the night. Is a team that.
- 13:22Pissed me off. I'm not going to lie to you the
- 13:24other night because they fouled a guy shooting a three, which
- 13:28you should never do, and they lost in overtime and we couldn't
- 13:31cover the number. One, they should have won the
- 13:32game. Outright.
- 13:33But tonight they're going to get it back for us.
- 13:35We're going to get some revenge, I'm talking.
- 13:37Grand Canyon hosting. Boise State, 9:00 PM Eastern
- 13:41Time tonight, now Boise. State comes in 13 and eight
- 13:45playing pretty. Well, though, they won four in a
- 13:46row. They just crushed San Jose State
- 13:4889 to 58 easily. Covered as a 12 1/2 point Rd.
- 13:52favorite on the. Other hand, Grand Canyon 13 and
- 13:547. Just had that.
- 13:55Three-game win streak coming on in?
- 13:57Don't remind me. It was that loss to Nevada, 66
- 14:00to 60 in overtime and failing to cover as a 3 1/2 point Rd. dog.
- 14:04That's a game that I will, I will maybe never forget.
- 14:07Because it was just. Hurt me so much when they fouled
- 14:10shooting the three like an idiot, but anyway.
- 14:13This game open Grand Canyon listed as a very short.
- 14:15One point home favorite. And we've seen this line creep
- 14:18up. To Grand Canyon -1 1/2.
- 14:21So open -1 up to minus. 1 1/2 that tells me that when this
- 14:26line. First came.
- 14:26Out, wise guys said. Hey, let's play Grand Canyon
- 14:30'cause that half point move in favor of the Lopes.
- 14:33You look at the. Splits.
- 14:33Right now, Grand Canyon is taking in 73.
- 14:36Percent of spread bets. But 87?
- 14:38Percent of spread dollars, so that's a pretty good low bets.
- 14:42Higher dollar one way Pro and Joe split in their favor now.
- 14:45Ken Palm does have Grand Canyon winning by. 2 So if you.
- 14:48Wanted to lay the 1 1/2. Hey, you win by two, you cover,
- 14:51you save the juice, but I want to protect our protect.
- 14:55Myself and I. Welcome you 2 as well by going
- 14:57Grand Canyon money line here they're.
- 14:59Mostly -125 across the market -120 but I.
- 15:02Did notice Bally bet where I'm at in Massachusetts?
- 15:05Was offering Grand Canyon at -1. 12 on the money line, so I
- 15:09jumped on that and I like. The splits at DK.
- 15:11In particular. Grand Canyon 69.
- 15:14Percent of money line bets. 81%. Of money line dollars.
- 15:19And Grand Canyon does have some obvious advantages here.
- 15:22They have the better defensive efficiency 19th.
- 15:25Versus 47th, they force more turnovers on.
- 15:28Defense 130. Third versus. 219th and they
- 15:31limit their opponents. To a better effective field goal
- 15:34percentage. 28th. Versus 175th.
- 15:37Grand Canyon is also. Kind of a buy low, sell high
- 15:39because they're coming off a loss in.
- 15:41Which they didn't cover. Versus.
- 15:43Boise State was 1. Four in a row and did just
- 15:45cover. So you kind of have that buy low
- 15:47sell high value opportunity. And by the way, Grand Canyon
- 15:50nine and two at home, Boise State 3 and.
- 15:53Three on the road. So you add it all up here guys.
- 15:56-1 up to. 1 1/2 maybe a bounce back spot.
- 15:59And if the gambling gods are real, which I think they are,
- 16:02they're going to reward, reward us because they hurt us so bad
- 16:04with Grand Canyon a couple nights ago.
- 16:07We'll get it back here tonight. So I money lined.
- 16:09Grand Canyon. So Michigan State Plus. 1 1/2
- 16:12right state money line. Grand Canyon money line so you
- 16:15can get two out of three and finish off the week on a
- 16:18positive note. So that about does it for
- 16:20episode 444. Of the all.
- 16:22Systems Go Sports betting podcast Power by Rhythm Little,
- 16:26short and sweet because there's no football games to talk about
- 16:29this weekend, sadly. But just, you know, rest for the
- 16:32wicked and calm before the storm.
- 16:34Whatever cliche you want to use, don't worry if you're sad
- 16:37there's no football this weekend.
- 16:39It'll just get you more excited for the Super Bowl coming up a
- 16:41week from Sunday. But with that being said, guys
- 16:44wrapping up the pod, I always want to leave.
- 16:46You with a few odds and ends leave you with some.
- 16:48Some links or or. Ways to go or some tips and
- 16:50strategies? First one I want to always say
- 16:52is, is, is. Thank you.
- 16:54Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning.
- 16:56In thank you for grinding in the arena with me every.
- 16:59Single day through the. O and three nights.
- 17:01And the three and O nights, the hot streaks, the cold streaks,
- 17:04the good days, the bad days. That's life.
- 17:06That's sports betting. Sometimes things all go your
- 17:08way, sometimes nothing goes your way.
- 17:11But we just got to stick with it.
- 17:13And keep grinding. So if you do enjoy the pod, you.
- 17:16Want to help me? Grow this podcast.
- 17:18Could you do me a very? Simple little little.
- 17:20Thing you can do, you know we should do.
- 17:22You should give. It a five star review on Spotify
- 17:24or iTunes that would go a long way to helping us again
- 17:27continuing to grow the pod if you want to leave.
- 17:29A nice comment under the rate and.
- 17:31Review section. Or recommend the pod to a
- 17:33friend. Or click the follow button or
- 17:35retweet the pod when I put it out every afternoon for Matt
- 17:38Josh under Score insights. And also if you do want to do a
- 17:41follow. To the ASG.
- 17:43Podcast page, it's always at under score ASG, under score
- 17:47podcast on Twitter, but I would appreciate all that.
- 17:51And you know, hey. You'd help me grow this pod,
- 17:53which is the goal. Because we want.
- 17:55To reach more recreational butters and help them bet with a
- 17:58data-driven approach, not a bias or a personal standpoint
- 18:02approach. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 18:05sports. Betting data-driven, sharp
- 18:07contrarian plays focusing on line.
- 18:09Movement bet split system matches what the numbers are
- 18:12saying, not what our gut is telling us.
- 18:14I always joke but isn't it funny people always say trust your
- 18:17gut? Well, sometimes in life that.
- 18:19Can be a good thing, but. You don't want to bet on your
- 18:22bet based on your gut when you're betting on sports because
- 18:24that's when your bias gets injected into the conversation
- 18:27and a lot of times your gut is wrong.
- 18:29So go go off the numbers. That's the whole point of this
- 18:31podcast, to remove your bias and bet based on numbers and not
- 18:35teams. But if you want to learn more
- 18:37about data-driven betting, if you want to let me know you
- 18:39appreciate the pod. If you have.
- 18:41Someone in your life? Who could use some data?
- 18:43Driven tips maybe they're looking to get into.
- 18:45Sports betting, but. Can't tell.
- 18:46You the difference. Between a money line and a
- 18:48teaser. Or maybe they bet quite a while
- 18:51and they just have no basic philosophy or approach.
- 18:54It's just betting based on gut instinct.
- 18:56Well. Any of those situations.
- 18:58Ring true? I'd love.
- 18:59For you to go. To Amazon.com.
- 19:01And type in the. NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 19:05That's my new book. Came out in in August.
- 19:07Very proud of it. But I actually.
- 19:09Have a full chapter on how to bet the Super Bowl and Super
- 19:12Bowl props as well as the big game.
- 19:14So if you want to get ready, dust up, dust off some Super
- 19:17Bowl thought processes and next week I'm going to kind of go
- 19:22through some of my tips for betting Super Bowl props.
- 19:25But if you want to grab a copy of the NFL.
- 19:27Sharp betting playbook. Or my first book, the Everything
- 19:29Guide to sports betting. You'd make.
- 19:30My day. And then what you're going to do
- 19:32is bring it to the sports book. I'll sign it for you.
- 19:34I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
- 19:36together next. Have you downloaded Rhythm and
- 19:40Juice Reel yet? My two favorite sports.
- 19:42Betting apps, they help me win. They're going to help.
- 19:44You win. Just look no further than last
- 19:46night with Cal State Northridge where Rhythm was saying hey,
- 19:48play Cal State Northridge the market.
- 19:50Moved in their favor. Then up rolling, covering and
- 19:53winning out, right? So with those AI back models and
- 19:55predictions, you're going to really, you know, up your game.
- 19:59And really lean on. Some AI discrepancies to help
- 20:02you cash some tickets with Rhythm and then also Juice Reel,
- 20:05another great sports betting app.
- 20:07So many great features you can just.
- 20:09Follow the Robo Jackson best bet picks that the AI bot turns out
- 20:13pair each. Day at noon.
- 20:14They come out or you can get the sharp mush indicators.
- 20:18The arbitrage plays the shop for the best sign futures.
- 20:21But as I mentioned earlier, you can support the pod.
- 20:24By dropping a $5.00 bill. In the tip chart, I'll give you
- 20:26a cent back because it only costs $4.90.
- 20:29Nine cents a week. To get the official ASG pod best
- 20:32bets from Juice Reel, I've synced up my books.
- 20:35As soon as I make a bet it goes right to Juice.
- 20:37Reel if you get those 499 a week.
- 20:40And again, that's $4.99 a week, not $499, but you will get those
- 20:45plays as soon as I make them. And you can tail fade do
- 20:48whatever you like, but it's a way to support the pod to again
- 20:52considered a tip jar. You go out to dinner, bartender,
- 20:55the server takes care of you and give him a tip at the end of the
- 20:57night. This pot is free.
- 20:59You enjoy the insights you value the insights.
- 21:02Sign up to get those 499 best bets on juice reel.
- 21:05So download rhythm, download juice reel.
- 21:07Give them a. Five star review in the App
- 21:09Store next Do you have a live odds?
- 21:12Page. Well, if you.
- 21:12Don't you need one? Because you got to be able to
- 21:14track the market. The market is.
- 21:16Fluid. It's constantly changing.
- 21:18Lines go up and down. You got to be.
- 21:20Able to have your finger on the. Pulse knowing, of course, what
- 21:23are all the. Games being played today, the
- 21:25sports that are in in season. What are the start times I need
- 21:28live? Scoring once the game.
- 21:30Starts. I need.
- 21:30Live in game wagering odds once the game gets going, but more
- 21:34importantly prior. To the the tip off or kick off
- 21:37or first pitch, whatever you want to call it, which is
- 21:40considered the preflop bet you got to be able to see OK.
- 21:44What? Did the line open at?
- 21:45Where is it now? How is it moved across the
- 21:47market? Which book is giving me the best
- 21:48number? Once the team's getting steamed,
- 21:51they get. Lit up in red and if you're
- 21:52looking at the dog and they're 4 1/2.
- 21:54And you see 3. Books get down to. 4 you can go.
- 21:57Find that book still offering the four and a half.
- 21:58That's the beauty. Of the live odds page.
- 22:01So there's a lot of live odds pages out there, but the best
- 22:03one is Odds Logic. I'd love for you guys to test it
- 22:06out. Just go to this special link
- 22:08Odds logic.com/josh 123. You do that, you're going to get
- 22:14a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month of service.
- 22:18Next, have you downloaded Novig yet?
- 22:21Novig. Is a sports betting exchange.
- 22:23It's not a sports. Book so as a result, you're
- 22:25going to get way better juice prices because you're not going
- 22:28up against the house who you have.
- 22:29No, you have no say in the matter.
- 22:31You got to pay that -1. 15 - 1. 20 if that's what the odds are.
- 22:35But in an exchange. Because you're going up against
- 22:37other betters who have taken the opposite.
- 22:39Side as you you're. Going to get -1 O 5.
- 22:42Plus one O 2. -1 O 3. So that means you can win at the
- 22:45same rate you. Would at DraftKings, FanDuel.
- 22:47Sports Book. Caesars.
- 22:48Whatever book you normally bet at, but make more money in the
- 22:51back end because you're risking less juice upfront.
- 22:54Which means you're making. More when you cash your ticket.
- 22:57So go download Novig and when you fund your account there.
- 23:00Should be a little promo code, little blank.
- 23:01Box next to where you fund your account.
- 23:04Put in Josh 123. That'll tack on an extra 25
- 23:07bucks to your account. So that about dozen guys
- 23:10wrapping up the pod finishing. Up the week the.
- 23:13Final week in January. I can make a joke now.
- 23:15I'll see you guys in February. How about that?
- 23:18Because it'll be February 1st or February 2nd I should say, when
- 23:21we come back on Monday. But as always.
- 23:23I'll leave you with. Two final thoughts.
- 23:24One whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 23:28River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn.
- 23:29New Hampshire. Foxwoods.
- 23:31Or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut at the Encore in
- 23:33Boston Plain Ridge Park. Casino MGM Springfield.
- 23:36Or the Nash on the border of Massachusetts and Nashua, NH,
- 23:40which is my. Closest local sports book.
- 23:42Or out in the desert, where the true grinders get down.
- 23:45Or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the lowest juice
- 23:47possible is found at the South Point.
- 23:49Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays, jumping in the stadium
- 23:52swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 23:54Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
- 23:56You're going. To show me a.
- 23:57Memphis ticket A Northern Colorado ticket.
- 24:01A Cal State Northridge. Ticket.
- 24:03And then we're going to bust open the janitor's closet.
- 24:05Grab a broom, do a little Fred Astaire dance on the sports book
- 24:08floor and and we're going to see if we can again keep this.
- 24:13This good night turned into a winning streak.
- 24:15Wouldn't that be nice? But as always, guys.
- 24:17Coming off. A three and O or an O and. 3A2
- 24:20and. One or A1?
- 24:21And two, a bunch of winning. Nights in a row.
- 24:23A bunch of losing nights in a row.
- 24:25A hot streak. A cold streak.
- 24:27We can't let. The good or the bad throw us off
- 24:30our game. We just got to stick to the
- 24:31model. Stick to the blueprint.
- 24:33Look for the games that fit that model, and that model is a sharp
- 24:36contrarian approach where we're looking for games that are
- 24:39against the. Public with the House.
- 24:41With the pros, flat bet and avoid parlays.
- 24:44If we can do that, which I'm. Confident that we can, then
- 24:47we're going to be successful sports bettors.
- 24:49So have a great Friday night, everybody.
- 24:51Let's go, Sparty, let's go right.
- 24:53State Let's go Grand Canyon, because Grand.
- 24:54Canyon owes us, and they'll be right back at it.
- 24:57On Monday. Thought of the episode 445 and
- 25:00that'll be. Super Bowl week.
- 25:01Get ready, that'll be episode 445 of the All Systems Go sports
- 25:06betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 25:09Have a great Friday, everybody. Have an even better.
- 25:11Weekend. Maybe you'll see me tweet a few.
- 25:14Things on Sunday because as I mentioned yesterday, I'm going
- 25:17to the Patriots send off rally at Gillette Stadium.
- 25:20Maybe you'll see me and Cardi. B, you know, hanging out with
- 25:23Stefan Diggs, Who knows, But good luck everybody, and I'll
- 25:25see you back on Monday. Have a great weekend.