Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 107 - 8/28/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:18Hello and welcome to episode one O 7 of the All Systems Go sports
- 0:23betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:26I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:33Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
- 0:36week. We are one day closer.
- 0:38It's the official launch of the football season.
- 0:39I know we had week zero last week, but for me it really
- 0:42starts with week one. And with that said, we do have
- 0:45some college football games for tomorrow.
- 0:47So I'm looking at the lines could possibly have our first
- 0:50official college football sweat for the all systems Gopod for
- 0:54tomorrow, looking at some lines going to see how the percentages
- 0:57breakdown see some late movement.
- 0:58But there are some games that have my eye on.
- 1:00So I'm looking forward to that. Maybe a college football play
- 1:03starting for you tomorrow. And then of course, one day
- 1:06closer to the NFL just have cut down day where had to get down
- 1:09to the 53,000,000 rosters. And we're that much closer to
- 1:13week one of the NFL, which I can't wait to get my rhythm
- 1:16player prop system matches started.
- 1:18So looking very much forward to that.
- 1:21But in the meantime, you guys know, still Major League
- 1:24Baseball season. I know football's in the air
- 1:26feels like summer's winding down.
- 1:28Fall is coming up upon us here quickly.
- 1:30But I am one of those crazy grinders that goes from week one
- 1:34or day one opening day of MLB all the way to the bitter end
- 1:38last out of the World Series. So even though football is kind
- 1:41of at the top of the mind for all the sports, betters still
- 1:44going to grind baseball to the bitter end.
- 1:45So with that being said, I got a four pack for you today guys.
- 1:48Major League Baseball sweats including three money lines.
- 1:52Bunch of them or most of them are short favorites here laying
- 1:55a little bit of chalk as well as another total jumping out to us
- 1:58today looking at a another over bet.
- 2:00Hopefully we can look for some runs with a match up with a
- 2:03great bet split here. And I'm not going to give out,
- 2:06give away too much of it, but a good bet split, good weather
- 2:09system match and one team in particular that's cashing 57% to
- 2:13the over and I'm looking at them hopefully cashing another over
- 2:16for us tonight. So before we dive in, looking
- 2:18back toward yesterday, couldn't get many breaks, one and 3 -,
- 2:222.1 units had a great winner with Colorado and Miami.
- 2:26Went to the Rockies, cashed an over ticket in the 6th inning
- 2:29over 11 with a great sharp mush edge.
- 2:31Remember that was an incredible bet split to that over where
- 2:34you're only getting 34% of bets, but more than 80% of dollars on
- 2:38the over, as well as a great sharp mush system match from our
- 2:41friends at Juice Reel. So you're able to get that one.
- 2:44But then unfortunately, nothing else went our way.
- 2:46It was really not just that they weren't close, but we gave up
- 2:49leads and that's baseball. Hey, sometimes it happens.
- 2:52Sometimes you're down and come back and win.
- 2:54Sometimes you're up and you get your heart broken.
- 2:56So I'm looking at you. Seattle up one nothing in the
- 2:597th inning, giving up A2 run Homer to Jose Siri, losing that
- 3:03game three to two and then Milwaukee up four to three in
- 3:05the 7th. And yes, he has the grandson of
- 3:09the great Karlie Ystromsky, Mike Ystromsky.
- 3:11It's a two run Homer to sync us with AG men beating Milwaukee.
- 3:14So those are two wins. That flip to losses really gave
- 3:17us a losing night instead of a winning night.
- 3:20And then we had the Guardians who again, shame on me for not
- 3:23playing him again today. I actually just wrapped up and
- 3:26beat the Royals but lost again to Kansas City yesterday.
- 3:29So again, there are days when the brakes go your way.
- 3:31There are days when they go against you for you, against
- 3:34you. That's just the way betting
- 3:36goes. So looking to get some hopefully
- 3:38brakes going our way for today. So looking toward today's slate,
- 3:42let's get right into it. Four pack three MLB money lines
- 3:45as one as well as one MLB total. I want to start off with matchup
- 3:50here tonight early, 6:40 PM Eastern Time between the Los
- 3:54Angeles Angels and the Detroit Tigers.
- 3:57Now going to this one, the Tigers are 67 and 66.
- 4:00One last night's series opener six to two taking care of
- 4:04business as a -, 155 home favorite three match For tonight
- 4:08we have the Angels who are 54 and 78.
- 4:10They're going to go with the righty Griffin Caning who's 4:00
- 4:13and 11:00 with a 5.18 ERA. You know the Tigers are going to
- 4:17counter with fellow righty Mason Engler, who's one and O with a
- 4:205.95 ERA. So what we've seen across the
- 4:23board here, well, pretty standard big home steam in favor
- 4:26of the Tigers. So I'm going Tigers here, guys.
- 4:29The Tigers open this game around a -, 140 home favorite.
- 4:33Now they're all the way up to -160 and I see a couple shots
- 4:36even inching as high as -165 S anytime we're talking about line
- 4:40moves, obviously it's important driven by sharp money most of
- 4:43the time, if not all the time. Of course you'll have some
- 4:46weather moving a number or an injury, but mostly it's wise guy
- 4:49money, respected money pushing that number.
- 4:51What I like is 1 sided movement where there's no buyback.
- 4:55You don't get to a high watermark and then see the line
- 4:57come back down. No continued movement.
- 5:00Maybe you're not getting the best of the number anymore, but
- 5:02it's clear that smart money is taking a position and really
- 5:04isn't, you know, kind of going back the other way.
- 5:07So that's one of those bets here with Detroit -140 up to -160 as
- 5:11high as -165 currently you're getting around 75% of bets on
- 5:16the Tigers. So bit of a public play here,
- 5:18which again, I don't love as a contrarian better, but in
- 5:21baseball, you know, 75% is not the same as NFL 75%.
- 5:25I'll never be on a 75% NFL side. But baseball, especially with a
- 5:30lot of betters and this is one thing to keep in mind.
- 5:32Now the footballs back think you're going to have a lot of
- 5:34people who are recreational better baseball batters kind of
- 5:37abandoned baseball and just say, hey, I'm going to football.
- 5:40So maybe that 7075% is more, you know, kind of wise guy money
- 5:45versus recreational betting. But anyway, good steam move in
- 5:49favor of the Tigers. Tigers also have that classic
- 5:52non division favorite value. So the lack of familiarity
- 5:55benefiting, quote UN quote the better team who's expected to
- 5:57win and also recent performance really screams Detroit here.
- 6:01Detroit is 8 and two over the last 10 games.
- 6:04I saw they called up Josh Young's younger brother and
- 6:07Spencer Torkelson and Colby Keith or Colt Keith.
- 6:10So they got a lot of young guys who are contributing Right now.
- 6:12They're eight and two over the last 10, maybe getting back in
- 6:15the wild card race. They're hitting 277 with a
- 6:18three-point O3 era in their last ten games, so really playing
- 6:21well. Meanwhile, the the angels going
- 6:23the completely opposite direction.
- 6:25They're one and nine over the last 10 games, only hitting
- 6:28$1.87 with a 5.53 ERA Tigers on the year plus 17 and run
- 6:34differential Halos -127. And also in the month of August,
- 6:39Detroit's hitting pretty good 250, thirteenth best in
- 6:42baseball. The Angels are only hitting 214
- 6:45in August, ranking 28th, nearly dead last.
- 6:48So you add it all up. We got good steam on Detroit,
- 6:51really no let up. We have a non division favorite
- 6:53been playing much better as of late.
- 6:55I'm going to bank on Mason Angler hopefully pitching well
- 6:59and the bats of Detroit getting to canning tonight.
- 7:02I'm going to go with Detroit Tigers on the money line at -160
- 7:07Next bet for you. Another early game here. 6:40 PM
- 7:10Eastern Time, the Oakland A's visiting the Cincinnati Reds now
- 7:14going to this one. The A's are 57 and 75.
- 7:17Took last night's series opener five to four, cashing as a + 120
- 7:21Rd. dog. So the rematch for tonight, we
- 7:23have the A's going with ready Osvaldo Bido.
- 7:26He's five and three with a 3.24 ERA.
- 7:29And the Reds, meanwhile, who are 63 and 69, they're going to send
- 7:33out fellow ready Fernando Cruz. He's three and eight with a 5.3
- 7:36O ERA. And I believe Cruz is going to
- 7:38be the opener in this one. So be kind of a bullpen game for
- 7:41the Reds. So what have you seen across the
- 7:43market here? Well, it looks like wise guys
- 7:45banking on the Reds to get back on track at home this game.
- 7:48Open Reds very short -110 home favorite Oakland around an even
- 7:53money dog. And we've seen the Reds get
- 7:55steamed up all the way from -110 up to -120 So it tells me smart
- 8:00money here pounced on the Reds and a bounce back spot.
- 8:03Basically a coin flip game. I'm seeing some shops even as
- 8:06high as -125 so you might have beaten the closing line if you
- 8:10are beating the closing line, some CLV if you had bet the Reds
- 8:12a little bit earlier. But the Reds are getting only
- 8:14around 60% of money line bets. It's not a huge public play,
- 8:18just very slight public support. Yet you're getting that 10 or
- 8:21even a 15 cent steam moving the line in favor of Cincinnati.
- 8:25Now Cincinnati would have that classic inter league favorite
- 8:27value. Lack of familiarity benefiting
- 8:29the better team who's expected to win.
- 8:31Also some betting system value as a buy low, sell high,
- 8:35favorite off a loss, playing an opponent off a win.
- 8:37That system matches upwards of 60% this season.
- 8:40Oakland, by the way, 24 and 40 on the road.
- 8:44Fourth worst Rd. record in baseball.
- 8:46So I want to bet against the A's when they're away.
- 8:48The Reds, meanwhile, hitting 259 over their last ten games.
- 8:52Oakland's only hitting 215 over their last ten games.
- 8:55Hopefully the bats of the Reds come to play here tonight at
- 8:58Great American Ballpark. Run differential, Cincy plus 28.
- 9:02Oakland -79 and the A's, by the way, only hitting 226 on the
- 9:07road. That's 27th and Major League
- 9:09Baseball. So again, you had Oakland Steel
- 9:11win last night. Reds are the better team at home
- 9:14with a good line move in their favor at a very short price.
- 9:16I'm going to go with the Reds in this interleague steam.
- 9:19I got Cincinnati at -120 next game for you, 7:10 PM Eastern
- 9:24Time, first pitch, the Toronto Blue Jays visiting the Red Sox.
- 9:29This is the third game of four-game set.
- 9:31We had the Blue Jays, who are 65 and 69 win the opener seven to
- 9:35three, cashing as a + 130 row dog.
- 9:38Meanwhile, the Sox who are now 68 and 64, they bounce back with
- 9:42a big six to three win yesterday cashing as a -, 135 home
- 9:46favorite. So pitch a match up here for
- 9:48tonight. We have the Jays going with the
- 9:50righty Chris Bassett. He's 9:00 and 12:00 with a 4.41
- 9:54ERA. You know the Sox are going to
- 9:56turn to fellow ready Brian Baio, who's 11 and six with a 4.95
- 10:00ERA. So what have you seen across the
- 10:02market here? Well, good steam in favor of the
- 10:05Sox. Sox open this game around -135
- 10:09you're now seeing Boston bet up to around -145 so bought a 10
- 10:12cent steam move in favor of the Red Sox.
- 10:15They're taking into account about 70% of money line bets in
- 10:18dollars. So both a pro and Joe bet split
- 10:20here in favor of Boston. And you guys might know me by
- 10:23now. I'm a Sox fan.
- 10:24Doesn't mean I bet on the Sox every game.
- 10:26Never want to do that. Never want to bet on your
- 10:28favorite team just because you want to see them win.
- 10:30However, when your favorite team happens to be sharp, happens to
- 10:33be a system match, you fire on that play.
- 10:36So I'm going to fire on the Sox here tonight.
- 10:38Got him at -145 I'm going to bank on the Red Sox bats.
- 10:41They're hitting 259 on the year with 167 homers and 646 runs
- 10:47scored. The Jays, meanwhile, hitting 240
- 10:50with 136 homers, 567 runs scored.
- 10:54Also, I want to bet against Chris Bassett.
- 10:56His overall numbers aren't terrible.
- 10:58You know, on the year nine and twelve, 4.41 ER, a mediocre I
- 11:02guess. But in the month of August, he's
- 11:04really gotten knocked around. He has a 6.55 ERA and four
- 11:08August starts. He's given up 16 earned runs and
- 11:1122 innings pitched. Meanwhile, Brian Baio 4 point O,
- 11:149 ERA and four August starts he's only given up 10 earned
- 11:18runs and 22 innings pitched. And for whatever reason, Sox
- 11:22usually give him good run support.
- 11:23They're eight and two in his last ten starts.
- 11:26Overall, Red Sox +9 and run differential.
- 11:29Blue Jays -63 and Boston against righties.
- 11:33We got two redies on the bump here tonight.
- 11:35Baio against Bassett, Red Sox are hitting 265 against
- 11:38righties. That's second best in baseball.
- 11:41Meanwhile, Toronto only hitting 243 against righties, that's
- 11:4417th. So again, Sox are my favorite
- 11:47team. But here's the thing, don't bet
- 11:48him. Don't bet your favorite team
- 11:50just because they're your favorite team.
- 11:51But as I mentioned, if they're sharp, they got a good line
- 11:54move. They got some system matches.
- 11:56I'll make that bet. So I'm going to go with the Red
- 11:57Sox tonight, going to root for Boston to hopefully cash as a -,
- 12:01140 favorite. Let's go socks on the money
- 12:04line. Last bit on the board again.
- 12:06We had a good success last night with a total which took the over
- 12:10and cashed the over. While I'm looking toward another
- 12:13hopefully high scoring game here tonight, this time in the
- 12:16nation's capital. This is the Yankees visiting the
- 12:19Washington Nationals. Now going into it, the Yankees
- 12:22are 78 and 55, Nationals 60 and 73.
- 12:27And this is the third game, final game with three-game set.
- 12:30We had two low scoring games. So that's going to be kind of
- 12:32part of my fishy overplay here tonight.
- 12:35First game we had the Yankees win 5:00 to 2:00.
- 12:38Last night Nationals won four to two.
- 12:41So game one we had seven runs. Game two we had six runs.
- 12:45So why is that important? Because if you look at the bet
- 12:48splits here for tonight, public is looking at a total of nine
- 12:52and saying, hey, seven runs, six runs.
- 12:55This total is 9. Might as well go under, right?
- 12:57They've been cashing under as the under is 2 no of the series.
- 13:01However, despite looking at 54% of bets on the under, the juice
- 13:07on this over is rising. The total open at 9, mostly
- 13:10around -110 both sides. Now it's 9 / -, 115 -, 120.
- 13:15So public's leaning under. And just like we talked about
- 13:18with the Rocky Rockies game last night, remember that's a rare
- 13:21thing because the public wants to bet over.
- 13:23They want to see a an action-packed game.
- 13:25They want to root for home runs and run scored.
- 13:28It's no fun rooting for A1 nothing game.
- 13:30However, when the public leans under, that's almost pure public
- 13:33bias that I want to go against because the public's kind of
- 13:36inclination is to bet over. So if they're going under,
- 13:39that's pure public bias to go against.
- 13:41So with that bet split, I kind of buried the lead.
- 13:44Only 46% of bets are going over 9 tonight for the Yankees Nats
- 13:48game, but 90% of money is going over nine.
- 13:53That is a huge low bets, higher dollars bets split.
- 13:55Very similar to that Colorado Rockies game last night that we
- 13:59cash. Remember last night it was 34%
- 14:01bets, 83% money on the over. This one is 46% bets 90% of
- 14:08money on the overs. That is a huge 54% low bets,
- 14:12higher dollar, smart money discrepancy.
- 14:14Now let's talk about the pitchers.
- 14:16We have Carlos Rodon going for the Yankees.
- 14:18He's 14 and eight with a 4.16 ERA on the year.
- 14:22He'll be opposed by Mackenzie Gore, another southpaw.
- 14:25He's 7:00 and 11:00 with a 4.51 ERA.
- 14:29Couple southpaws on the bump, but also some splits here that
- 14:32might favor a higher scoring game.
- 14:33I know Rodon's had a pretty Goodyear, but at home, 3 point O
- 14:378 DRA at Yankee Stadium on the road, 5 point O 7.
- 14:41He's literally giving up two more earned runs per game on the
- 14:45road than at home. He's on the road here for
- 14:47tonight and then also Mackenzie Gore and the day.
- 14:50He's got a pretty good, uh, a 3.86 at night, 5 point O3.
- 14:54So Rodon's been worse on the road than at home.
- 14:57He's on the road tonight. Gore has been worse at night
- 14:59than in the day, and it's a night game here in the nation's
- 15:02capital. Now, digging in a little deeper,
- 15:05let's look at the Yankees. They've been a really good over
- 15:07team this year. 73 and 56 to the over, 57%.
- 15:12When the Yankees are a road favorite, the over is 29 and
- 15:151664%. And when the Yankees are playing
- 15:19an inner league game against the team from the NL, the over is 22
- 15:23and 14, 61%. So all good situational angles
- 15:27here. Totally root for a higher
- 15:29scoring game. Then lastly, if you're betting a
- 15:31total in the baseball or betting any kind of total in an outdoor
- 15:34sport, you got to know what the weather is looking like.
- 15:37Well, it is going to be a hot one in the nation's capital
- 15:39tonight, 95°, The wind is going to be blowing out to center
- 15:43right at around 5:00 to 10:00 mph.
- 15:46But if we can combine the heat with the wind blowing out,
- 15:48that's a good recipe. Hopefully for some runs, maybe
- 15:51that wind will push a warning track flyball into a first row
- 15:54home run. And hopefully that heat will
- 15:56really get to the starting pitchers.
- 15:57They're going to labor. Maybe they got a quick hook.
- 16:00And you got to remember, pitchers are out there baking in
- 16:02the sun, sweating there, you know what off.
- 16:04Whereas the batters are in the dugout where they got the fans,
- 16:07you know, they're cooling off. So it's a big advantage in these
- 16:09heavy, really hot games with the offense over the pitching.
- 16:14Lastly, 1 little nugget here. You know, hey, we got the
- 16:17Yankees as a big favorite. Yankees are around -200 on the
- 16:20money line, so that means Nationals most likely are going
- 16:23to get their last at bat. Hopefully won't.
- 16:25We won't need a run or two to cash that over.
- 16:27But if all things are equal, I do prefer that that home team to
- 16:31be a dog. If you have the home team as a
- 16:33big favorite, probably not going to get the bottom of the knife
- 16:35at bat. We add it all up here guys.
- 16:38When I saw that over being juiced up over 9 -. 115 -. 120
- 16:43with actually 5054% of bets going under automatically notice
- 16:49an edge to the over and then when I dug deeper, 46% bets, but
- 16:5399 O 90% of dollars on the over. This will play where I'm going
- 16:58to take a shot on the over guys. So shop around.
- 17:01Let's go over Yankees and gnats over nine try to get the lowest
- 17:05juice possible. I got Yankees gnats over nine at
- 17:08-115 So Yankees gnats over 9, Red Sox, Reds and Detroit.
- 17:14Can we get three out of four and hopefully produce a winning
- 17:16night? That is the goal.
- 17:18So that about does it for episode 107 of the All Systems
- 17:21Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 17:24But this is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 17:26And I asked, First off, a favor of you, could you please, the
- 17:30loyal listeners, could you please help me to grow this
- 17:33podcast? And the easiest thing, easiest
- 17:35way you can do it is please give this pod a 5 star review.
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- 17:50help with the podcast reviews. If you want to leave a review,
- 17:53that would be great. Also, if there's an option to
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- 17:57That way as soon as the pod drops, you'll get alerted.
- 18:00So hopefully you can listen quickly before maybe some
- 18:02numbers move and you're late to the party.
- 18:05So also, if you enjoy the pod, could you please, if you are
- 18:09interested in data-driven betting and want to learn more
- 18:11about data-driven betting, maybe you enjoy kind of the thought
- 18:14process of looking at how the market's moving.
- 18:17Maybe you're never really paid attention to what a line open
- 18:20that and how it moved. Thinking to yourself, why is it
- 18:23moving? Is it sharp money?
- 18:25You know, is there an injury? Is the weather at play?
- 18:27Maybe you never really dug into betting percentages before
- 18:30splits between bets and dollars, or maybe you never looked at
- 18:33betting system matches. We're going contrarian.
- 18:36If any of that is the case and this stock of betting appeals to
- 18:38you, you like the data-driven approach, acting like you're a
- 18:41Wall Street trader looking at the stock market.
- 18:44Well, guess what? I wrote a book and if you'd like
- 18:46to learn more about data-driven betting, I think you may enjoy
- 18:49it. All you got to do is go to
- 18:50Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
- 18:53Betting. It's got everything I've learned
- 18:55in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
- 18:58to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to
- 19:01place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best line,
- 19:05how to set up a bankroll management plan, all included in
- 19:08the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
- 19:10So pick one up for a friend or buddy of yours or colleague or
- 19:14maybe just yourself if you want to support the team and let me
- 19:16know you appreciate the hard work that I put in producing
- 19:19this pod on a daily basis. And guess what?
- 19:22If you buy it, here's a promise I'll make to you.
- 19:25Bring it to the book. I'll see you at the book, I'll
- 19:26sign it for you. I'll buy a beer or ginger ale.
- 19:29If you don't drink, that's fine too.
- 19:31But seriously, if you want to pick one up, it would mean a lot
- 19:33to me. With that being said, here's the
- 19:35part of the pod where I introduce you to my two favorite
- 19:39sports betting apps. That's right, Rhythm, who does a
- 19:42great job of powering this pod as well as Juice Reel.
- 19:45These are two apps that will help you win because they're not
- 19:48opinion based. They're not about hot takes.
- 19:50They're not about getting clicks, it's about data.
- 19:53And as data-driven betters, we respect data that can help us
- 19:56win. So let's start off with Rhythm.
- 19:59Rhythm is fantastic for their AI driven best bets, as well as
- 20:03system matches and models and predictions for pretty much all
- 20:06sports. I know they don't have baseball
- 20:08yet, or hockey, but that's down the road.
- 20:10But for here in the now WNBA golf, of course, college
- 20:15football, we're going to look to see some rhythm system matches
- 20:17for tomorrow. Maybe help us pick a best bet.
- 20:20I'm leaning on a couple college football games for tomorrow, but
- 20:23we'll wait and see how those those system matches develop.
- 20:27But rhythm is great. Either you can create your own
- 20:28models or you can just follow the AI AI driven models where
- 20:33maybe they're saying, hey, we have this line at 2 1/2 and the
- 20:37dogs getting 6. So take those points because
- 20:39that is a data-driven advantage or a an edge over the sports
- 20:44books. And then of course, Juice Reel.
- 20:47Juice Reel has been helping us cash those sharp mush system
- 20:50matches each day. But Juice Reel is great not just
- 20:53for the sharp mush plays, but for their AI Robo Jackson best
- 20:56bet picks if you want to follow those and tail them each day at
- 20:59noon. Or you can look at the arbitrage
- 21:01bets as well as syncing up your sports books and getting a
- 21:04running report card of your performance.
- 21:07But both juice real and rhythm, you can give it a shot with a 7
- 21:10day free trial. All you got to do is sign up
- 21:12using the custom link located in the bio description of this
- 21:15podcast. So without further ado, couple
- 21:19things to leave you with, as I always try to do at the end of
- 21:21every pod. Whether I see you at the Borgata
- 21:24in Atlantic City, Twin River and Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
- 21:26Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, at the
- 21:30Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
- 21:33In my neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
- 21:36Or out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
- 21:38Or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the lowest juice
- 21:41possible is found at the South Point.
- 21:43Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 21:45swimming pool at Circa. When you catch a big ticket,
- 21:48Don't show me a Mariners ticket. Don't show me a Brewers ticket.
- 21:51Two wins that turn into losses unfortunately last night, but
- 21:54you know what you can show me that Colorado Miami over 11
- 21:58public was on the under yet the line was getting juiced up over.
- 22:01We had a great sharp mush edge and we're able to cache that
- 22:04over 11 with twelve runs in the first six innings.
- 22:07So hopefully a little bit more of that tonight with especially
- 22:10our Yankees, Washington over 9. Hopefully that one can hit, but
- 22:14that about does it everybody. Of course, as always, stay
- 22:16sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the public, place
- 22:19yourself on the side of the house.
- 22:20Always be with the smart money, never against it.
- 22:23Will smart money win every time? Of course not.
- 22:25Remember, sports betting is hard, but that gives you
- 22:28perspective. If you're struggling, don't get
- 22:30down on yourself. It's hard to win these games
- 22:32with unknown outcomes, but also if you're winning and you're
- 22:35doing well, gives you some confidence about whether you're
- 22:38up, whether you're down, whether we went 3:00 and 1:00 or 1:00
- 22:40and 3:00 last night. The model never changes against
- 22:43the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid
- 22:47parlays, get that closing line value.
- 22:49If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters
- 22:51long term. So enjoy the sweats, everyone.
- 22:54I will see you tomorrow for a big Thirsty Thursday episode 108
- 22:58of the All Systems Go sports betting pod powered by Rhythm.
- 23:02Have a great Wednesday night, everybody.
- 23:03Good luck.