Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 13 May 2026
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
- 0:05Speaker 1: early edition with Spark for business Technology that keeps business
- 0:09Speaker 1: moving news talks.
- 0:10Speaker 2: They'd be good morning, it is Wednesday. Great to have
- 0:12Speaker 2: your company. Trump's hopping on a plane to Beijing right now.
- 0:15Speaker 2: Starmer is about to get the boot. We've got Gavin
- 0:17Speaker 2: in London for us. The Americans are coming for our
- 0:20Speaker 2: LAMB exports details on that, plus the Aussies are coming
- 0:23Speaker 2: for property investors.
- 0:26Speaker 1: The agenda.
- 0:28Speaker 2: It is Wednesday, the thurninth of May. UK labor ministers
- 0:30Speaker 2: are dropping like fliers calling through a star at a
- 0:33Speaker 2: stand down.
- 0:34Speaker 3: What was really clear from talking to my constituents was
- 0:37Speaker 3: that the Prime Minister had lost their trust and their
- 0:39Speaker 3: confidence and they did not believe that he could deliver
- 0:42Speaker 3: the scale and the pace of change that we have
- 0:45Speaker 3: a mandate fault and that my community deserves. And in
- 0:47Speaker 3: the end that was the thing that drove my decision, not.
- 0:49Speaker 2: Just backbench as but ministers. I should suggest Phillips, one
- 0:53Speaker 2: of them. One of Starmer's most influential compair.
- 0:56Speaker 4: That was when Boris Johnson was on the way out.
- 0:58Speaker 4: I remember within half a now of each other Saji
- 1:01Speaker 4: Javid quit and then Rishi Sunac quit big senior figures
- 1:06Speaker 4: in the cabinet, and of course others followed. So we
- 1:10Speaker 4: haven't had. If we get a resignation from the cabinet,
- 1:14Speaker 4: well wow, we're on our way.
- 1:16Speaker 2: Which we've had, and I tell you what, it is
- 1:18Speaker 2: a different kettle of fish. The Labor Party in the
- 1:21Speaker 2: UK to the Conservatives, O time Minister has my full support.
- 1:24Speaker 2: The Labor Party has a process for triggering a leadership
- 1:27Speaker 2: election that has not happened.
- 1:30Speaker 5: We are working hard on the big issues that are
- 1:32Speaker 5: facing the country and kir is.
- 1:34Speaker 1: Showing really steadfast leadership.
- 1:36Speaker 6: We'll do what we were elected to do, which is
- 1:39Speaker 6: served the British people.
- 1:41Speaker 7: The primis to has my full support.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Over in Australia, Charmers is delivered as budget as predicted,
- 1:47Speaker 2: the negative gearing text, deductions now limited to new built
- 1:51Speaker 2: investment properties, a lot of changes that sound very just
- 1:54Speaker 2: sinder esk in grant Esk. Not everyone happy.
- 1:57Speaker 8: Angus Taylor used to call you sneaky.
- 2:00Speaker 2: I mean you are, aren't you?
- 2:01Speaker 9: But this you could have said at any moment during
- 2:04Speaker 9: that campaign you were intending this.
- 2:05Speaker 2: So why not just be up.
- 2:06Speaker 10: Front what we said at the election and what we meant,
- 2:10Speaker 10: and it's become increasingly clear to us that this challenge,
- 2:13Speaker 10: the intersection of the housing market and the tax system,
- 2:15Speaker 10: is locking too many young people out of the aspiration
- 2:18Speaker 10: that comes with owning your own home. And so we've
- 2:21Speaker 10: come to a different view on this policy.
- 2:23Speaker 2: All the detail you need to know on that. In
- 2:24Speaker 2: twenty minutes, finally back home due to Collins is bound
- 2:27Speaker 2: out of Parliament.
- 2:27Speaker 7: To my dearest friends in Parliament, my Corpus colleagues, and
- 2:31Speaker 7: i'm many good friends on the opposing teams, I bid farewell.
- 2:35Speaker 7: I now leave politics behind and move into an apolitical
- 2:38Speaker 7: world with Gusto and even Relish. I'm over politics and
- 2:43Speaker 7: looking forward to going back to my first loves, my
- 2:46Speaker 7: family in the law.
- 2:47Speaker 10: Thank you.
- 2:49Speaker 2: Well well the great speech. We'll have more on it
- 2:51Speaker 2: throughout the program. This morning, nine after five before the.
- 2:55Speaker 1: News breaks here at first Ryan Bridge on early edition
- 2:59Speaker 1: with for Business Technology that keeps Business moving, News talks
- 3:03Speaker 1: there'd b it.
- 3:05Speaker 2: Is nine after five. Great to have your company this morning.
- 3:07Speaker 2: Nine two ninety two is the number to text. In
- 3:09Speaker 2: Labour's one hundred and twenty six year history over in
- 3:12Speaker 2: the UK, there has never been an official leadership challenge
- 3:15Speaker 2: to a sitting Prime minister, and there still isn't one,
- 3:18Speaker 2: to be fair, and this is where they differentiate themselves
- 3:21Speaker 2: from the Conservatives, where you got the nineteen twenty two committee.
- 3:24Speaker 2: You need in order to get a leadership change within
- 3:28Speaker 2: the Labor Party, especially while they're in government, you need
- 3:31Speaker 2: twenty percent of MPs. You need eighty one MPs. And
- 3:34Speaker 2: you don't need eighty one MPs to say we don't
- 3:36Speaker 2: like this guy. You need eighty one MPs to say
- 3:39Speaker 2: we want this guy or this girl. However you want
- 3:43Speaker 2: to say that they need a challenger in the Labor Party,
- 3:46Speaker 2: that is the difference, and they don't have one yet
- 3:49Speaker 2: and everyone's saying, oh, what about Andy Burnham, Well, Andy
- 3:51Speaker 2: Burnham is not an MP. The interesting thing about that,
- 3:54Speaker 2: and so they just basically need to coalesce around someone
- 3:57Speaker 2: and then they can force the thing. Although Starma could
- 4:00Speaker 2: do what happened with Gordon Brown, which is where your
- 4:03Speaker 2: incumbent doesn't decide to contest. If you get a challenger,
- 4:07Speaker 2: your incumbent doesn't decide to contest and then yeah, Gordon
- 4:11Speaker 2: Brown becomes your de facto leader. Now, the interesting thing
- 4:15Speaker 2: is that is what happens with Burnham because there could
- 4:17Speaker 2: be a by election which he may not win, so
- 4:20Speaker 2: there's a risk to begin with, but you need him
- 4:23Speaker 2: to be in the House of Commons in order to
- 4:25Speaker 2: be eligible. And then if this process kicks off, so
- 4:29Speaker 2: let's say they back someone, Let's say it's Angela Rainer, right,
- 4:33Speaker 2: they back Angela Raine and say we want Angela to
- 4:35Speaker 2: be the leader. So there's a challenge, and then it
- 4:38Speaker 2: could take a month, could take months actually, because then
- 4:41Speaker 2: if there's a contest, it has to go to the
- 4:43Speaker 2: wider party. So every man and his dog gets to say,
- 4:46Speaker 2: there's three hundred thousand labor members over in Britain. So
- 4:50Speaker 2: but what they reckon they could do is have Rainer
- 4:53Speaker 2: in there as a stalking horse, as a substitute, and
- 4:57Speaker 2: then you get Burnham in in a by election, and
- 4:59Speaker 2: then you do a switcheroo and he becomes the Rainer,
- 5:03Speaker 2: he becomes the leader. Very gray area this, by the way,
- 5:08Speaker 2: but it's something that's been talked about over there at
- 5:10Speaker 2: the moment. But I mean it's a matter of time.
- 5:12Speaker 2: He's a dead man walking as a secure starmer and
- 5:15Speaker 2: pity the successor. I mean, it's a bit like the
- 5:19Speaker 2: National Party here isn't it. I mean, there was obviously
- 5:21Speaker 2: a bit of grumbling, bit of mood for change in
- 5:23Speaker 2: the backbenches. But then who puts their name up? No one?
- 5:26Speaker 2: Why because politics right now is a poison Chalice Bryan
- 5:31Speaker 2: even after five So some interesting numbers for you on
- 5:33Speaker 2: property Q one property sales. This is an interest dot
- 5:37Speaker 2: co dot NZ piece which I found fascinating. Not good
- 5:41Speaker 2: for apartment owners, not good for investors. Forty one percent
- 5:45Speaker 2: of apartments resold in Q one of this year sold
- 5:49Speaker 2: at a loss compared to their purchase price. Nearly fourteen
- 5:53Speaker 2: percent of properties sold by investors also sold at a loss. Overall,
- 5:59Speaker 2: the number was twelve point two percent, so one in
- 6:01Speaker 2: ten properties in Q one of this year sold at
- 6:04Speaker 2: a loss. That figure has been going up since late
- 6:08Speaker 2: twenty twenty one when it was less than one percent.
- 6:12Speaker 2: We'll have details on that for you shortly.
- 6:14Speaker 1: News talks headbig herett the first Ryan Bridge on early
- 6:18Speaker 1: edition with Spark for business technology that keeps business moving.
- 6:22Speaker 2: News Talks AB seventy seven billion dollars of net tax
- 6:26Speaker 2: increases across the Tasman and Jim Chalmer's fifth budget will
- 6:30Speaker 2: have details with Cali Ecole before six this morning. Last
- 6:33Speaker 2: night it was Judith Collins and in politics you need
- 6:36Speaker 2: a bit of resilience.
- 6:38Speaker 7: It has often commented that I have a bit of resilience. Well,
- 6:44Speaker 7: I you don't get to be resilient unless you have
- 6:47Speaker 7: to be, and I sometimes quit that adversity is just
- 6:51Speaker 7: an opportunity show character. So much adversity, so much character.
- 7:00Speaker 2: Farmers fall the past five Todd McLay Reckins. In the
- 7:02Speaker 2: next couple of weeks, Trump will come for our lamb
- 7:05Speaker 2: exports and the Aussies too, looks like they're going to
- 7:08Speaker 2: launch an investigation. He's spoken to us about this before,
- 7:10Speaker 2: into whether they threatened local producers our exports. By the way,
- 7:15Speaker 2: Lamb to the US with six hundred million last year.
- 7:17Speaker 2: Richard Dawkins fed Farmer's Meat and woelchair with me. Richard,
- 7:20Speaker 2: Good morning, Richard, you're there, Yeah, good morning, good morning,
- 7:27Speaker 2: very well, thank you. The timing of this obviously coming
- 7:31Speaker 2: off the back of the failed the court ruling on
- 7:33Speaker 2: the tariffs, and we're still paying a tariff on what
- 7:36Speaker 2: we're exporting. But how significant is our export to the US.
- 7:39Speaker 2: How damaging would it be if they threaten it?
- 7:44Speaker 11: Look, the US is a significant trading partner, especially for
- 7:48Speaker 11: sheet meat. But overall last year they took thirteen percent
- 7:53Speaker 11: of our total exports, so an important relationship that companies
- 7:58Speaker 11: like Silversans Farms look, they experts around sixty countries, so
- 8:02Speaker 11: the industry does have the ability to pivot. This needs be.
- 8:05Speaker 2: It's the local producers that are pushing this, isn't it
- 8:08Speaker 2: the Republicans. There were thirty six Republican members of Congress
- 8:12Speaker 2: signed letters to Trump officials they wanted this probe. They
- 8:16Speaker 2: also have introduced a bill proposing a thirty percent tariff
- 8:19Speaker 2: on all lamb and sheep products imported from New Zealand
- 8:22Speaker 2: and Australia.
- 8:24Speaker 11: Yeah, that's right, and I can gather the American sheep
- 8:27Speaker 11: industry have certainly been pushing for it as well, which yeah,
- 8:30Speaker 11: is very protectionists. It is a wee bit frustrating Ryan
- 8:33Speaker 11: and that we produce high quality product and it's quite
- 8:38Speaker 11: complementary to their production seasons. It really enhances their market
- 8:42Speaker 11: and it allows the American consumer to get a taste
- 8:45Speaker 11: for lamb, which has beneficial flow on effects for the
- 8:49Speaker 11: American producers as well.
- 8:51Speaker 2: I've had a look at the part of the section
- 8:53Speaker 2: of law section two one and two or two of
- 8:55Speaker 2: the US Trade Act. Basically, they can impose tariffs if
- 8:59Speaker 2: this and instigation finds that it is causing or threatening
- 9:03Speaker 2: to cause injury to their domestic industry.
- 9:07Speaker 11: Yeah, so you would hope the findings of that would
- 9:10Speaker 11: show you the actual complementary nature of this trade. But
- 9:15Speaker 11: I'll just say for sheep farmers on the ground in
- 9:17Speaker 11: New Zealand, I mean, we can't control this. We have
- 9:20Speaker 11: to focus on what we can control, and the industry
- 9:23Speaker 11: is in a really good space at the moment, strong
- 9:25Speaker 11: returns across the board, a pretty favorable climate as well,
- 9:29Speaker 11: So we'll focus on that and like I said, we
- 9:32Speaker 11: can pivot to other markets if required, but I don't
- 9:35Speaker 11: think it would get to that point.
- 9:36Speaker 2: All right, good to know. Richard Dawkins fed Farmers, Meat
- 9:38Speaker 2: and woelschair Good TV on the show this morning time
- 9:41Speaker 2: is seventeen minutes after five Ryan Bread US Just to hand,
- 9:44Speaker 2: one hundred and ten labor MPs as signed a statement
- 9:47Speaker 2: opposing a leadership contest. They say, last week we had
- 9:51Speaker 2: a devastatingly tough set of election results. It shows we
- 9:54Speaker 2: had we have a hard job ahead to win back
- 9:56Speaker 2: trust from the electric That job does need to start
- 9:59Speaker 2: today with all of us working together to deliver the
- 10:03Speaker 2: change the country needs. We must focus on that. This
- 10:05Speaker 2: is no time for a leadership contest. So you now
- 10:08Speaker 2: have more people saying we won't do it than you
- 10:10Speaker 2: do will do it. But that doesn't necessarily mean it
- 10:13Speaker 2: won't happen, does it? Eighteen after and he just looks
- 10:17Speaker 2: like when you turn on your TV this morning, looks
- 10:20Speaker 2: like a dead man walking eighteen after five News talks,
- 10:23Speaker 2: he'd be those property doun details. Next, the first.
- 10:27Speaker 1: Word on the News of the Day Early edition with
- 10:31Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps Business
- 10:35Speaker 1: Moving News talksb.
- 10:36Speaker 2: March Crown accounts out yesterday. Deficit narrows, but the worrying
- 10:40Speaker 2: thing is your GST receipts are a the canary and
- 10:43Speaker 2: the coal mine. So yeah, it does look better than
- 10:45Speaker 2: it did at the hay for the deficit that is. However,
- 10:48Speaker 2: when you look at March twenty six GST revenue, it
- 10:51Speaker 2: was two point zero six seven billion. That is down
- 10:55Speaker 2: four point four percent on March twenty twenty five, and
- 10:59Speaker 2: it is even lower than the two point zero eighty
- 11:02Speaker 2: five billion in March of twenty twenty four. That is
- 11:05Speaker 2: not a good sign. The other thing you've got here
- 11:08Speaker 2: is individuals us paying our income tax up seven point
- 11:12Speaker 2: one percent from a year earlier, and that is boosted
- 11:15Speaker 2: no doubt by bracket creep, where you get paid more
- 11:19Speaker 2: you shift into a higher tax bracket. Twenty one after
- 11:22Speaker 2: five cry and Bridge, so Kiwis are holding onto their
- 11:25Speaker 2: homes longer than ever. New cotality data shows the median
- 11:28Speaker 2: ownership is now ten years, matching an all time record.
- 11:31Speaker 2: Fewer people are cashing in big In fact, one in
- 11:34Speaker 2: ten selling at a loss. It's up from one percent
- 11:37Speaker 2: that was several years ago back in twenty twenty one.
- 11:40Speaker 2: Matt Ball Property Investors Federation is with us this morning,
- 11:43Speaker 2: Get a Matt Oday, Ryan. So it's apartment owners and
- 11:47Speaker 2: it's also investors who are more likely to sell for
- 11:50Speaker 2: a loss.
- 11:51Speaker 9: Right, Yeah, that's right. But that's right across the board.
- 11:54Speaker 9: As people are holding onto their houses longer and getting
- 11:56Speaker 9: less of a profit or making a loss.
- 11:58Speaker 2: You're more likely to make a loss if you sell sooner,
- 12:02Speaker 2: aren't you. I think four point two years was the
- 12:05Speaker 2: medium length of ownership for a loss making property. So
- 12:08Speaker 2: you hold it longer, you're less likely to sell for
- 12:10Speaker 2: a loss.
- 12:12Speaker 9: Yeah, that's true, Ryan, But there's two factors in there.
- 12:14Speaker 9: One is that we had that peak house prices about
- 12:17Speaker 9: four or five years ago, So there's a bunch of
- 12:19Speaker 9: people who got caught out buying at the top of
- 12:21Speaker 9: the market and then obviously having to sell. Or if
- 12:25Speaker 9: it's an investor, maybe they're just going to cut their
- 12:27Speaker 9: losses and put that money into something else. The other
- 12:30Speaker 9: thing to think about here is inflation. Over that ten
- 12:32Speaker 9: year period, general CPI was thirty six percent, So even
- 12:36Speaker 9: though making a so called profit, aren't going to be
- 12:40Speaker 9: doing that well.
- 12:41Speaker 2: And it also doesn't take into account what you might
- 12:43Speaker 2: have done to the place in the meantime.
- 12:44Speaker 9: Right, No, absolutely, right. I mean this is quite interesting.
- 12:48Speaker 9: I think this is the end of the casual investor era.
- 12:50Speaker 9: You can't just bug some money on a house and
- 12:52Speaker 9: think you're going to make a profit.
- 12:54Speaker 11: You've actually got to.
- 12:54Speaker 9: Work for your money. I think it's the end of
- 12:56Speaker 9: the treat your house like an atm erar. You can't
- 12:59Speaker 9: just come from the house price going up and covering
- 13:02Speaker 9: all your debts, the boat and the bats that you
- 13:03Speaker 9: put on and whatever else. So that's changed. The good
- 13:08Speaker 9: news is if you're just buying a house to live in,
- 13:11Speaker 9: that's perfectly fine. And if you're a professional investor, you
- 13:14Speaker 9: know you're someone who's buying a rundown house, bring it
- 13:17Speaker 9: up to then resell it because you put some work in,
- 13:20Speaker 9: that's fine. And if you're buying and holding and you're
- 13:23Speaker 9: went into people and providing a own and making a
- 13:25Speaker 9: living out of that, that's fine as well.
- 13:28Speaker 2: Are we going to see more corporate style landlords as
- 13:32Speaker 2: opposed to mum and dad landlords.
- 13:37Speaker 9: That's an interesting question. That's actually a trend that you've
- 13:40Speaker 9: seen overseas, and some of the changes to the rules
- 13:44Speaker 9: and regulations don't favor the mum and dad investor. I
- 13:48Speaker 9: think you probably will see a bit of a drop
- 13:50Speaker 9: in that. And because it won't be the casual investor,
- 13:55Speaker 9: someone who's just thinking, oh heck, I better get in
- 13:57Speaker 9: here because everyone else is making money, so I do it.
- 14:01Speaker 9: It will be investors with purpose who want to run
- 14:04Speaker 9: a rental accommodation business, who enjoy providing homes for other
- 14:08Speaker 9: people and know how to make money out of it.
- 14:11Speaker 9: That's the group that will rise.
- 14:12Speaker 2: Good stuff. Matt Matt Bull Properly Investors Federation time is
- 14:16Speaker 2: twenty four minutes after five rayan bridge to the use
- 14:19Speaker 2: very quickly, twenty nine billion dollars. Now the Bill for
- 14:23Speaker 2: fighting the War with Iran Pete Higgseth before another committee
- 14:26Speaker 2: talking about how they might re escalate the thing.
- 14:28Speaker 12: I would say, we have a plan for all of that.
- 14:31Speaker 12: We have a plan to escalate if necessary. We have
- 14:34Speaker 12: a plan to retrograde if necessary, we have a plan
- 14:38Speaker 12: to shift assets. Certainly, in this setting we wouldn't reveal
- 14:41Speaker 12: what the next step may be, considering the gravity of
- 14:44Speaker 12: the mission that the President is undertaking to ensure that
- 14:46Speaker 12: Iran never has a nuclear bond.
- 14:47Speaker 2: Gavin Gray with us from the UK on All the
- 14:50Speaker 2: Star and Drama at about quarter two this morning. That's
- 14:52Speaker 2: in about half an hour. Next I'll run you through
- 14:55Speaker 2: the Aussie budget, the bits that we really need to know.
- 14:57Speaker 1: The early edition full the show podcast on IARM Radio.
- 15:01Speaker 1: Now it by News.
- 15:02Speaker 11: Talks at me.
- 15:04Speaker 2: Twenty seven after five News Talks be give them an
- 15:06Speaker 2: inch and they'll take a mile. That is basically the
- 15:09Speaker 2: message to anyone worried about a capital gains tax in
- 15:12Speaker 2: New Zealand. In Canberra last night, Jim Charmer's budget was
- 15:15Speaker 2: pitched as a rebalancing of intergenerational inequality. Fewer young people
- 15:21Speaker 2: own homes in Australia, so they've picked grandkids against grandparents
- 15:25Speaker 2: and made tax changes to negative gearing and capital gains.
- 15:28Speaker 2: Negative gearing is where landlords make a loss on their
- 15:30Speaker 2: property your income your renter is less than your expenses,
- 15:34Speaker 2: and you claim the difference is a tax deduction on
- 15:37Speaker 2: other income. It's a benefit. This, by the way, is
- 15:39Speaker 2: something they said that they wouldn't touch and now they have.
- 15:43Speaker 2: Albanezian charmers ran an election campaign say they wouldn't do
- 15:47Speaker 2: this in the same way their key we labor colleagues
- 15:50Speaker 2: claim their capital gains tax will be limited in scope
- 15:52Speaker 2: and scale. But what does it achieve. The median cost
- 15:56Speaker 2: of a Sydney house one point seven million, the country
- 15:58Speaker 2: median almost one million, and that's more than Kiwi prices.
- 16:01Speaker 2: By the way, try by a house in Melbourne. Good luck,
- 16:04Speaker 2: God speak to you. The reason these changes are not
- 16:07Speaker 2: going to change the game for any young Australian or
- 16:09Speaker 2: young Kiwi flying the coup is simple supply as anyone
- 16:13Speaker 2: with a townhouse in West Auckland right now well knows
- 16:16Speaker 2: the fastest way to lower prices to build more of
- 16:20Speaker 2: the things supply and demand. It is basic and these
- 16:24Speaker 2: changes in Australia, fewer homes will be built, not more
- 16:29Speaker 2: Master bills Australias. Is the number of homes built in
- 16:31Speaker 2: future as a direct result, will go down in the
- 16:35Speaker 2: budget treasury. Charmer's own treasury reckons thirty five thousand fewer
- 16:40Speaker 2: homes will be built over the next decade and that
- 16:44Speaker 2: is not a recipe for rebalancing intergenerational inequality. If you
- 16:49Speaker 2: ask me, Bryan Bridge five twenty eight News Talk seb
- 16:55Speaker 2: We've got inflation numbers out of the US. By the way,
- 16:57Speaker 2: consumer price is up three point eight percent for April
- 16:59Speaker 2: from a year earlier. This is high gas prices driving it.
- 17:03Speaker 2: In fact, if you look at the energy mix, forty
- 17:07Speaker 2: of the monthly increase was energy and if you strip
- 17:11Speaker 2: those out, core inflation was two point eight percent. Surprising.
- 17:16Speaker 2: No beef, they've got problems with beef over there. They
- 17:21Speaker 2: are the same ones we do. You want to buy
- 17:23Speaker 2: mints at a supermarket at costco. Good luck everybody, Right,
- 17:28Speaker 2: We'll get to the UK and the latest on Starmer's leadership.
- 17:32Speaker 2: Wose that's coming up in twenty minutes.
- 17:43Speaker 1: Get ahead of the headlines on early edition with Ryan
- 17:47Speaker 1: Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps Business moving
- 17:51Speaker 1: US talks at B.
- 18:01Speaker 2: Twenty four. Away from the six News talks, you'd be
- 18:02Speaker 2: we'll get to Kelly Ekov from Westpac on the Aussie
- 18:05Speaker 2: budget before six this morning, and very shortly we will
- 18:08Speaker 2: cross to London find out what's happening with Starmer who's
- 18:11Speaker 2: still got a job. Staying there for a second though.
- 18:13Speaker 2: You know the Green Party leader over there, what's his name? Polanski,
- 18:19Speaker 2: Zach Polanski. This is the guy I've told you about
- 18:21Speaker 2: before who said that he claimed to be able to
- 18:24Speaker 2: make a women's breasts bigger using hypnosis. It's true. This
- 18:29Speaker 2: is the Green guy. This is the guy that Chloe
- 18:31Speaker 2: Swarbrick stopped in to see when she was over in
- 18:34Speaker 2: London to have a little greeting with her meeting with
- 18:36Speaker 2: the Green counterpart. So he claimed to be able to
- 18:39Speaker 2: make women's breast bigger, then later apologize for the claim,
- 18:42Speaker 2: which I would have thought. You know, there are such
- 18:44Speaker 2: an evidence based party, aren't they, the Greens. They like
- 18:47Speaker 2: to always have evidence for something. I mean, where is
- 18:49Speaker 2: the evidence that you can use hypnosis to make a
- 18:51Speaker 2: woman's booms bigger? The only way to do. That is Bolton's,
- 18:55Speaker 2: isn't it. Everyone knows that facts Now he has just
- 18:59Speaker 2: been found to be staying at a two million pound
- 19:01Speaker 2: property in Hackney owned by a fellow Green politician. The
- 19:05Speaker 2: reason this is newsworthy is that he was living on
- 19:08Speaker 2: a houseboat or partially living on a houseboat. And what
- 19:13Speaker 2: it turns out has happened in the last twenty four
- 19:15Speaker 2: hours is, according to the Times, he wasn't paying council
- 19:21Speaker 2: tax that he should have been paying while he was
- 19:24Speaker 2: living on this houseboat. They reckon up to three years
- 19:27Speaker 2: worth has not been paid. So he's in the spot
- 19:29Speaker 2: of bothered. This morning twenty two away from six Bryan
- 19:32Speaker 2: Bridge to go to our reporters Callum in Dunedin. Morning Callum,
- 19:35Speaker 2: Morning Ryan. What's the update on the by election?
- 19:38Speaker 13: The progress result here has Joe Gayla winning the vacant
- 19:41Speaker 13: council seats Sir Ryan Gayla, a former journalist and Comm's
- 19:45Speaker 13: pr specialist. Eighty five percent of the voting papers have
- 19:49Speaker 13: been counted and Gala's leading the way, less than eight
- 19:52Speaker 13: hundred votes clear of former mayor Aaron Hawkins, who's second,
- 19:56Speaker 13: but Hawkins appears to have conceded to Gala He says
- 19:58Speaker 13: he offered experienced and progressive leadership, but the community's gone
- 20:02Speaker 13: down a different path. Gaylas said her priorities were fixing
- 20:05Speaker 13: the drainage problems and infrastructure in South Dunedin while supporting
- 20:09Speaker 13: Dunedin's economic well being. The Spy election, sparked by the
- 20:12Speaker 13: unexpected death of counselor and former med Dules Radick back
- 20:15Speaker 13: in January, still special votes to come in and the
- 20:18Speaker 13: late votes to be counted, so preliminary results later today,
- 20:21Speaker 13: the final result tomorrow.
- 20:22Speaker 2: All right, how's your weather? Shower? Is clear to find
- 20:26Speaker 2: this afternoon fifteen? The high nice one clear on christ
- 20:28Speaker 2: Church Morning, Claire, good morning. Why is caring order selling
- 20:32Speaker 2: and old christ Church Holiday Park?
- 20:34Speaker 14: Oh, I've actually scrapped that story for you, Ryan, because
- 20:36Speaker 14: I've got some better news that's just landed. I'm telling
- 20:39Speaker 14: you about the fact that there is more money going
- 20:41Speaker 14: to christ Church Cathedral after all. So Christchurch City Council
- 20:45Speaker 14: is planning to give another fifteen million dollars of taxpayers
- 20:48Speaker 14: money to restore the cathedral. What's interesting about this, though,
- 20:51Speaker 14: is that only fifteen percent of twelve hundred submitters actually
- 20:55Speaker 14: support doing that. Thirty five percent say absolutely not. What
- 20:59Speaker 14: Council is proposing to do is use thirty.
- 21:00Speaker 15: Five point eight million of the forecast forty four point
- 21:03Speaker 15: four million dollars they'll save from the annual budget in
- 21:06Speaker 15: order to go towards some of our iconic equake damage
- 21:10Speaker 15: to buildings now. As well as the cathedral, there'll also
- 21:12Speaker 15: be some money for Canterbury Museum. That's another fifteen million
- 21:15Speaker 15: dollars plus a loan which would be paid back via
- 21:18Speaker 15: a levy on international visitors. At this stage, the Arts
- 21:22Speaker 15: Center and the Canterbury Provincial Chambers miss out on extra money,
- 21:25Speaker 15: despite the public actually supporting that a bit more. The
- 21:28Speaker 15: council money, though, is dependent on some support from central
- 21:31Speaker 15: government too, so we'll see what happens there.
- 21:33Speaker 2: Some late breaking news this morning, Claire, I've got to
- 21:36Speaker 2: have it.
- 21:36Speaker 16: How's your weather for Christchurch today?
- 21:38Speaker 14: Cloudy, There is a few showers for Banks Peninsula and
- 21:40Speaker 14: the Chance elsewhere as well.
- 21:42Speaker 6: Southwesterlies and fifteen.
- 21:43Speaker 2: Degrees nice one. Thank you.
- 21:44Speaker 5: A bit of rock and roll for you last night, Max, Well, yes,
- 21:48Speaker 5: but don't let anyone tell you otherwise. It was a
- 21:51Speaker 5: very light earthquake four point one, sort of around cook
- 21:54Speaker 5: straight twenty five kilometers south of Wellington Felton, Pickton and
- 21:58Speaker 5: then further up the coast here in car about six
- 22:01Speaker 5: thousand people reporting it on a Geo neet. One person
- 22:05Speaker 5: in Corori said this said earthquake felt like a jolt
- 22:07Speaker 5: and a pop. Another described it like a thud. Felt
- 22:11Speaker 5: like only half the lounge shook, they said. One other
- 22:15Speaker 5: person said it felt a little more sudden and sharp
- 22:17Speaker 5: in southern Wellington. I can tell you I didn't feel
- 22:19Speaker 5: it at all, but they're being from christ Church perhaps
- 22:22Speaker 5: more accustomed to these sorts of things. Yeah, lied earthquake
- 22:25Speaker 5: in Wellington last night about six o'clock.
- 22:26Speaker 2: I if you didn't feel it, Max, it didn't happen
- 22:29Speaker 2: exact in the forest. How's your weather?
- 22:32Speaker 5: Yes, overcast with the odd shower Southerly's twelfth.
- 22:35Speaker 2: Nice don't thank you, Neva, good morning, good morning. How
- 22:37Speaker 2: do you only feel the earthquake and half your lounge?
- 22:40Speaker 2: I know one side you're on the fault line anyway.
- 22:46Speaker 2: So you're talking about the biggest crane soon to tower
- 22:49Speaker 2: over Auckland's mongody.
- 22:51Speaker 6: It's correct. So look this mess of crane. Now it
- 22:54Speaker 6: has to be assembled on site using another crane, but
- 22:57Speaker 6: it's the only one capable of lifting a new hype section.
- 23:01Speaker 6: So this is going to be put into place at
- 23:02Speaker 6: Hudda near creek in Mangai. This will mean that the
- 23:06Speaker 6: creek will soon be able to carry water freely to
- 23:08Speaker 6: the harbor instead of backing up. So this change is
- 23:11Speaker 6: expected to reduce the flood levels to at least forty
- 23:15Speaker 6: five properties. So it's all part of Auckland Councils seven
- 23:17Speaker 6: hundred and sixty million dollars flood Resilience program and apparently
- 23:21Speaker 6: that's due for completion mid twenty twenty six.
- 23:24Speaker 2: How exciting.
- 23:25Speaker 6: How's our weather, Neva, fine, becoming partly cloudy this afternoon.
- 23:28Speaker 6: No rain though. Eighteen is the high.
- 23:30Speaker 2: I saw a headline yesterday that said temperatures in Auckland
- 23:33Speaker 2: and not just Auckland, presumably the rest of the country
- 23:35Speaker 2: to plummet to September levels. I'm like, yeah, so season
- 23:39Speaker 2: is changing.
- 23:40Speaker 6: Well, that's all right, it's supposed to be. We were
- 23:42Speaker 6: talking about that in the news room. Actually, so next week,
- 23:45Speaker 6: you know. But even for us overnight low of eight
- 23:48Speaker 6: I know everyone around the country and go, oh shut up,
- 23:50Speaker 6: had enough plund.
- 23:51Speaker 2: Today, you don't know, Thank you, Neva. It is eighteen
- 23:54Speaker 2: minutes away from six and Bridge, So tariff's on the agenda.
- 23:58Speaker 2: Trump is heading to Beijing, He's going to meet with She.
- 24:00Speaker 2: Tariffs on the agenda. Of course, they reached one hundred
- 24:02Speaker 2: and forty five percent, remember that one hundred and forty
- 24:05Speaker 2: five percent. However, they reach the truce in October, the
- 24:08Speaker 2: straight will be on the agenda. But the big issue
- 24:10Speaker 2: for and it's I'll tell you in a minute, who's going.
- 24:12Speaker 2: But the big issue for she is the risk of
- 24:15Speaker 2: a global recession. Because you've got to remember that about
- 24:18Speaker 2: a fifth of China's GDP comes from exports. If the
- 24:21Speaker 2: rest of the world is poorer or in recession, they're
- 24:24Speaker 2: not going to buy as many of those exports. That's
- 24:26Speaker 2: a problem for Beijing. Guess who's going on the trip
- 24:29Speaker 2: with Trump? Tim Cook, Apple Okay, Elon Musk hoping to
- 24:37Speaker 2: do a deal seventeen away from six were in London next.
- 24:40Speaker 2: Markets are being a bit jumpy lately. It's fair to
- 24:43Speaker 2: say we've had the war in the Middle East, oil
- 24:45Speaker 2: prices a bunch of uncertainty, and when that hits your investments,
- 24:48Speaker 2: it's hard not to worry, and it's natural that you do.
- 24:51Speaker 2: I'd be concerned if you weren't. But volatility isn't new,
- 24:55Speaker 2: and it doesn't mean that your long term plans stop working.
- 24:58Speaker 2: In fact, you need a flip the thinking here. A
- 25:01Speaker 2: little bit market dips can work in your favor if
- 25:04Speaker 2: you're making regular contributions, because those regular contributions can buy
- 25:07Speaker 2: more units when the unit prices are lower, and that
- 25:10Speaker 2: can translate into long term gains when the markets ultimately
- 25:13Speaker 2: recover again. That discipline underpins Milford's approach to active long
- 25:19Speaker 2: term management of its Keiwisaver funds. Morning Star data shows
- 25:23Speaker 2: Milford's Kiwisaver funds have delivered the highest returns over the
- 25:26Speaker 2: past ten years across growth, balanced and conservative categories. Learn
- 25:31Speaker 2: more at Milfordasset dot com. Forward slash Keiwisaver past performance
- 25:35Speaker 2: is not a reliable indicator of future performance Milford Funds Limited.
- 25:38Speaker 2: It is the issue of the Milford Kiwisaver Plan. Go
- 25:41Speaker 2: to Milford Asset dot com to read the Milford Keiwisavi
- 25:44Speaker 2: Plan product disclosure statement and Milford's Financial Advice provided disclosure Statement.
- 25:49Speaker 1: International correspondence with NS and Eye Insurance Peace of Mind
- 25:53Speaker 1: for New Zealand Business.
- 25:55Speaker 2: So Health Sectrey We're streeting over in the UK, apparently
- 25:58Speaker 2: going to meet with Starma to myrow, what is on
- 26:00Speaker 2: the agenda? Well, hi, wonder Devin Grays with us, given
- 26:03Speaker 2: what's the lightest here.
- 26:05Speaker 17: Well, yes, Wes Street. He'm probably going to say give
- 26:08Speaker 17: me a job or else, but we don't know. It's
- 26:10Speaker 17: a high stakes game this because if you file the
- 26:14Speaker 17: starting gun too early you could end up losing and
- 26:17Speaker 17: be banished. Of course, otherwise, timing it right means you
- 26:20Speaker 17: could get the prize job of Prime Minister Sekir. Starma, though,
- 26:24Speaker 17: is hanging on by a thread. Today four ministers have resigned.
- 26:29Speaker 17: Eighty six of his own MPs have formally come out
- 26:34Speaker 17: and said that he should resign or set out a
- 26:36Speaker 17: timetable for his resignation, and therefore that represents coming on
- 26:41Speaker 17: to one in four of his own MPs. Meanwhile, one
- 26:44Speaker 17: hundred and ten MPs of his have signed a statement
- 26:47Speaker 17: opposing a leadership contest, saying that it would be bad
- 26:51Speaker 17: for the country and indeed plenty of people are agreeing
- 26:54Speaker 17: that this uncertainty is not good. Today in London was
- 26:59Speaker 17: the King of the North, the mayor of Graad de Manster,
- 27:01Speaker 17: Andy Burnham. He was in London seeking support and a seat,
- 27:06Speaker 17: probably needing to do that quite soon. Because he's mayor,
- 27:09Speaker 17: he is not an MP, so he can't become the
- 27:11Speaker 17: Prime minister. But it's thought at least four MPs have
- 27:14Speaker 17: offered him their seat. It would need a by election,
- 27:17Speaker 17: but it would mean one of them would resign. Andy
- 27:19Speaker 17: Burnham stands Andy Burnham gets the seat and then goes
- 27:22Speaker 17: from there, and that looks to be perhaps the most
- 27:26Speaker 17: likely at the moment scenario. But honestly, as I speak,
- 27:30Speaker 17: we're probably going to get more resignations and a week
- 27:32Speaker 17: is a long time in politics.
- 27:34Speaker 2: And just to clarify for people, this is different from
- 27:37Speaker 2: the Conservatives. It doesn't matter how many people oppose you
- 27:39Speaker 2: these eighty sixty en piece of posing. You actually need
- 27:41Speaker 2: eighty one to get behind a colist, behind a challenger
- 27:46Speaker 2: in labor right.
- 27:47Speaker 17: Yes, and that needs to be a formal letter and
- 27:51Speaker 17: that needs to go in front of the relevant authorities.
- 27:53Speaker 17: And at the moment that is not a figure that
- 27:57Speaker 17: has been attained. So Sir Kirstarmer was out and about
- 27:59Speaker 17: today visiting a college in London alongside the Work and
- 28:04Speaker 17: Pension Secretary. But there's no doubt that you know the
- 28:07Speaker 17: numbers are building. The number of ministers regularly tops up.
- 28:11Speaker 17: I'm tall, I'm told that more could go as well
- 28:14Speaker 17: in the next few hours. It is a pretty untenable
- 28:18Speaker 17: message and the markets are not liking this. Today the
- 28:21Speaker 17: foot Sea one hundred dropped half of one percent and
- 28:24Speaker 17: then at the end of the day managed to climb
- 28:26Speaker 17: its way pretty even. So pound down against zero, the
- 28:30Speaker 17: pound is down against the US dollar. It is very,
- 28:34Speaker 17: very full of turnil at the moment.
- 28:35Speaker 11: All right.
- 28:36Speaker 2: Kevin Gray are UK europe correspondent. By the way, the
- 28:38Speaker 2: UK government borrowing costs have jumped to the highest level
- 28:41Speaker 2: overnight since two thousand and eight, since the global financial crisis,
- 28:44Speaker 2: because of all the uncertainty, touching five point one three
- 28:47Speaker 2: percent on ten year eleven to six. Ryan Bridge some
- 28:51Speaker 2: Charmer's fifth budget across the ditch seventy seven billion dollars
- 28:54Speaker 2: a nit new Texas deficit stays by the way until
- 28:57Speaker 2: twenty thirty five.
- 28:59Speaker 10: This is the most important and ambitious budget in decades.
- 29:03Speaker 10: Important because the world is throwing a lot of us
- 29:05Speaker 10: and this budget is about helping Australia deal with those challenges.
- 29:10Speaker 10: And ambitious because we have so much going for us,
- 29:13Speaker 10: and this budget is about Australia seizing those opportunities.
- 29:17Speaker 2: Your Rossie Batler's you work is five dollars a week
- 29:20Speaker 2: tax cut for you, negative gearing, capital gains tax breaks
- 29:23Speaker 2: scaled back for your investors and property owners. Kelly, you're
- 29:27Speaker 2: cold Wistpact Chief economist with us LIME this morning, Kelly,
- 29:29Speaker 2: good morning, Good morning.
- 29:31Speaker 8: Your thoughts well, I mean, I think for the financial
- 29:36Speaker 8: markets this was a bit of a wash because probably
- 29:39Speaker 8: the amount of debt hitting the market is not very
- 29:41Speaker 8: much different than they expected, but it certainly is a
- 29:45Speaker 8: reasonably expansionary budget on net.
- 29:48Speaker 9: And if I look at what.
- 29:50Speaker 8: Lucy Ellis, my boss in Australia saying, is this issue
- 29:53Speaker 8: of a bit of a tailor two horizons there where
- 29:56Speaker 8: I mean at the starting point for that Ossie economy,
- 29:58Speaker 8: it's been doing well. That's why THERBA has been tightening
- 30:01Speaker 8: this year. So the government's seen a bit of revenue
- 30:03Speaker 8: from that, so that's good. But then they are spending
- 30:07Speaker 8: more money and all of the savings measures that are
- 30:10Speaker 8: designed to pay for all of this are backloaded because
- 30:13Speaker 8: it's going to take away while before things like capital
- 30:15Speaker 8: gains taxes etc. Start to add to the coffers. So
- 30:19Speaker 8: there's quite a lot of risk there, particularly since most
- 30:22Speaker 8: of those initiatives have to go through legislation. And my
- 30:25Speaker 8: understanding is that some of those oppositions, some of those
- 30:28Speaker 8: other coalition parties, are not supporting some of these things.
- 30:32Speaker 8: So they might be spending a bit of money now,
- 30:34Speaker 8: but they might not get the savings later.
- 30:37Speaker 2: Plus you've got the thirty six billion I think they
- 30:39Speaker 2: want to cut from the disability insurance scheme. All these things,
- 30:42Speaker 2: as you say, are going to take time to happen
- 30:44Speaker 2: and are not even guaranteed to happen.
- 30:46Speaker 8: That was my point. Yeah, particularly on that the savings scheme.
- 30:50Speaker 8: I mean, I think that's their equivalent basis seed. You
- 30:53Speaker 8: know how challenging it is to start coming back. The
- 30:55Speaker 8: other thing I'll say is that the assumptions, the economic
- 30:58Speaker 8: assumptions are here. They're quite a bit more rosy than
- 31:01Speaker 8: my colleagues in Australia have in terms of, for example,
- 31:04Speaker 8: where unemployment's going to peak. They say, actually, you're going
- 31:06Speaker 8: to peak at four and a half percent. I would
- 31:08Speaker 8: have thought that's pretty fanciful in the current environment.
- 31:12Speaker 2: Kelly, you're cold a book very quickly before you go property.
- 31:15Speaker 2: They are you know, scaling back negative gearing that are
- 31:19Speaker 2: doing the tax changes to property investors, and yet the
- 31:23Speaker 2: Treasury's own estimates say it's going to result in fewer
- 31:26Speaker 2: houses being built there.
- 31:29Speaker 8: Yeah, well, I guess everybody's got a view when they
- 31:32Speaker 8: when they kind of like model these these things through.
- 31:36Speaker 8: I mean, obviously the increase it's a less less positive
- 31:39Speaker 8: environment for investors, isn't it. So I think ordinarily you
- 31:43Speaker 8: might expect to be some supply implications are there.
- 31:46Speaker 2: Kelly are called Westpac. It is eight to six News
- 31:49Speaker 2: Talk SEB.
- 31:51Speaker 1: On your radio and online on iHeartRadio Belly Edition with
- 31:56Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps is
- 32:00Speaker 1: this movie news talks there'd be.
- 32:01Speaker 2: You had loads of text this morning about Judith Collins
- 32:03Speaker 2: and her valedictory in the House yesterday. It was a
- 32:05Speaker 2: good speech, and people have been pointing out the fact
- 32:08Speaker 2: that Chris Hopkins wasn't there, How rude, how disrespectful, et cetera.
- 32:12Speaker 2: I mean, you never know, they probably had other events
- 32:14Speaker 2: to go to. But Judith Collins did make a funny
- 32:16Speaker 2: quick about when she announced her resignation.
- 32:19Speaker 7: I would like to acknowledge that the true news of
- 32:22Speaker 7: my resignation because I Shall never retire was greeted with
- 32:26Speaker 7: an outpouring of love around Parliament and it was so
- 32:29Speaker 7: lovely that I thought I died.
- 32:33Speaker 2: So as they didn't go on for too long, which
- 32:35Speaker 2: is key news talks, he'd be Bryan Bridge, good morning,
- 32:38Speaker 2: Mike morning. What do you reckon about? What did you
- 32:41Speaker 2: see the valedictri? Yes, I did.
- 32:43Speaker 16: It was eighteen minutes, which you're correct that she didn't
- 32:45Speaker 16: go on for that. Some of them going halfway were
- 32:48Speaker 16: those things I like what I did like? So she
- 32:51Speaker 16: introduced tases yes for the police, and she introduced no
- 32:54Speaker 16: smoking in prison.
- 32:55Speaker 2: No smoking.
- 32:55Speaker 16: And what was interesting about those two stories, as she recounted,
- 32:58Speaker 16: was at the time and it's just so classic of
- 33:00Speaker 16: the news cycle whenever you say something I'm going to
- 33:03Speaker 16: do X Y or Z, it's just roll out the
- 33:05Speaker 16: endless people who were forecasting the doom and the misery
- 33:08Speaker 16: and how it's right and these None of it happened.
- 33:10Speaker 16: It was going to be riots in the prison, None
- 33:12Speaker 16: of it ever happened. So it's interesting, isn't it.
- 33:14Speaker 2: And also having to convince I thought it was really
- 33:17Speaker 2: insightful actually that you have to convince your own colleagues
- 33:21Speaker 2: of a lot of things first before you even get
- 33:23Speaker 2: to it, because it was.
- 33:24Speaker 16: Pretty legal, which was interesting. So anyway, she's on the
- 33:28Speaker 16: program this morning. It's something she remained relevant to my eye.
- 33:32Speaker 16: So it's length of time versus relevance. So nothing wrong
- 33:37Speaker 16: with being there for a long time if you're still relevant.
- 33:38Speaker 16: She's seemed relevant for the whole time. A lot of portfolios,
- 33:41Speaker 16: a lot of decisions, a lot of jobs, and she
- 33:43Speaker 16: leaves something tangible behind that you can point to that's
- 33:45Speaker 16: not bad at.
- 33:46Speaker 2: And especially the sort of lowly portfolio she was given
- 33:50Speaker 2: at the very beginning, and that what's wrong with the
- 33:54Speaker 2: National Library is hardly inspiring.
- 33:56Speaker 16: Anyway, she's with us, among other things.
- 33:58Speaker 2: Fantastic, have a great day. Everybody, see you tomorrow.
- 34:10Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live
- 34:14Speaker 1: to News Talks. It'd be from five am weekdays, or
- 34:17Speaker 1: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.