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NCAAF Week 12 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four, I.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: into peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my Broins hack. Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: the slump, praise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody's towed back with you? For better off dead?
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: Oh no, toadstool sports? Why do I keep doing that?
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: It's ingrained, its habit whatever. Uh this is gonna be
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: the college football edition week twelve. We're already in week twelve. Man,
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: this is insane. Uh. I'll rant about today tomorrow because
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed. I'll rant about it in the morning. Five
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: and five today lose day and college basketball was excellent.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: Uh we're yeah, I half point away from being five
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: and zero college basketball. We were four and one. Then
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: everything else just went to complete shit. And I think
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: there were what like four of those plays were like
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: on the verge of being winners and they all fall
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: the wrong way. Like just I don't dude, this is
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: like I can't stand days like this. Fuck it, Like,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: do not praise me, by the way, do not celebrate
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: when I'm winning? Oh yeah, I get one win today
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: and then all these other ones that should be wins
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: fall short. No, don't celebrate shit, it's a fucking losing day.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: I'm pissed. I'm not happy about it. Charles, what's up? Man? Yeah,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: San Antonio, they're all fat Latinas. Every fucking thing was bullshit,
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: and mister Penzi fuck yeah again. I don't like, I
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: don't even want to like talk about it, Like I
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: get pissed. I'm not trying to be a dick, but
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: I'm like, I don't know, I see shit, and I'm
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: just like, I don't want to respond to anybody right now.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: I'm fucking pissed, Like, don't say shit about it. I'm
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: gonna give up five college football plays, and it almost
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: feels like it should be more than that. We'll get
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: into it, I guess, because I'm already starting this video
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: late because I was running through I was doing college
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: basketball too, which college basketball tomorrow is gonna be complete ass.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: I hate the board tomorrow. It's terrible. I have no
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: idea how many plays I'm gonna even give out. Don't know.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to look at the market tomorrow. I
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: have a list of like the ones that I narrowed
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: it down to but I don't even know how many
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: of those is gonna wind up being.
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: I hate all of them.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: College football. I actually like too many games tomorrow, so
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: hopefully I choose the right ones. We're gonna get into
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: it right now. We'll start with BC, just because that's
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: just the way that it is, because BC is at
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: the top of the scoreboard here because I have them
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: listed as one of my favorite teams. Georgia Tech is
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: playing at BC. Georgia Tech sixteenth in the country. Now,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech, they're definitely a massively overrated team, there's no
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: doubt about that. BC's however, horrible, But I think the
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: spot is probably not very good for Georgia Tech. I mean,
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: they finally took their first loss of the season. You know,
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: I talk about this, when a team takes their first
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: loss of the season, that can hang them over into
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: the next game. Now, they did have a bye after that,
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: so that buy might help mitigate that hangover a little
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: bit potentially, So I think that buy might help them
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit because they did lose to NC State
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: on the road. I mean, you knew Georgia Tech was
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: gonna lose at some point man, it was just a
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: matter of time. They came close to losing some other games.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: Finally they did. But they are still trying to get
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: into the ACC Championship game, which obviously they could still
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: do because I don't think there are any undefeated teams
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: in the ACC here, so they're they definitely get do that. Now.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: The remaining games are against ranked Pittsburgh, who is one
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: of their one of the teams that's up against them
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: for getting into the ACC Championship game, and then they
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: have a huge rivalry game against Georgia after that.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: So if they are going to.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Overlook any of these remaining games, it's going to be
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: this one on the road at BC. Yeah, they have
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: to go up to Boston as well. I mean that's
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: not great either. It's getting cooler out up here in Boston.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be forty four degrees. Weather will be fine,
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: but cool weather not exactly something that Georgia Tech exactly
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: wants to do here PC.
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're just playing out the stretch.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: But as far as BC, I mean, I thought they
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: would get up last week for the Red Bandana game,
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: and I was completely wrong about that.
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: That was terrible, But you still.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: Got to think that BC as a team that's going
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: absolutely nowhere. This is their final home game and it's
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: against the ranked Georgia Tech team. BC could potentially throw
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: a wrench into their season and spoil their season. So
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: I do expect BC to show up one last time here.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: You know, it's senior night whatever Senior day, So usually
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: teams play a little bit better in that final home game.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: So I would take the points with BC. I don't
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: love it, obviously, Georgia Tech up from fifteen and a
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: half to sixteen and a half, eighty nine percent of tickets,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on them.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: They're a very public side.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, don't have anything else to really add to that,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: but I would take the points there, but obviously not
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: making that a play.
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: Nate, what's up?
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Then? Thanks for hanging out. I can't even read that, man,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: dirty sock. What's up? Man? Wisconsin and Indiana starting the
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: noonslate here Big Ten Network. I mean Indiana. They're undefeated
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: right now. Obviously they are pretty much a shoe in
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: at this point to make the Big Ten title game
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: unless something really crazy happens, and I don't think that
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: it will. This is Indiana's final home game, so it's
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: not really something I want to fade. I have to
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: have a pretty good reason to fade a team in
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: their senior day game. Although I think when it's a
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: night game the crowd gets more up for it because
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: the crowd gets a bit more drunk by then and whatever.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: But I do kind of like Indiana in this game,
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: even though I'm still not totally sold on Indiana being
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: the second best team in the entire country. But obviously
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: they've been good. They've you know, they've they've won the
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: games where they were actually tested, which was basically just
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: the road games against Iowa and Oregon. I mean, those
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: are their two most difficult games. But they are coming
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: up a game where they almost lost to Penn State
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: and it basically took like a miracle catch by Indiana.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: This is gonna come up in one of my handicaps,
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: by the way, so you might know where I'm going
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: with this. But Indiana, they know that they escaped. Man,
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: they almost took that loss at Penn State. Now this
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: is their final home game. I think they are going
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: to show up for it. They're going to realize that
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: they almost lost that game. They can't afford to do
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: that again really because there are a bunch of one
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: loss teams here, although they do with the tiebreaker against
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: some of them, but they're still trying to make the
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: make sure that they make the Big Ten title game. Wisconsin,
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: I mean Wisconsin, Yeah, I mean, they're not going to
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: like overlook Indiana or anything like that. It's just a
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: matter of is Indiana way too good against Wisconsin. I
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: think probably in Wisconsin just pulled off a ridiculous upset
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: win last week against Washington, so they knocked Washington out
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: of the rankings. That's a pretty big win for Wisconsin.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: So I don't really know they're gonna be able to
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: continue with that effort. Again. They might be hung over
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: a bit coming into this game. And that game was
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: so ridiculous that Wisconsin's leading passer was their punter West
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: with twenty four yards. Wisconsin's quarterback got injured in the game,
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: and then their backup quarterback did absolutely nothing. I mean,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: it's unbelievable that Wisconsin won that game with their leading
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: pass or being a punter that threw one pass on
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: a fake punt. That game was just insane, dude. The
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: longest scoring drive in the entire game was seven yards
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: or the longest touchdown drive. Excuse me, the longest. I
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: think all of the field goal drives except for one
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: where like twenty something yards or fewer too. It was
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: an unbelievable game, I mean, unwatchably ugly. But yeah, after that,
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: I do think Wisconsin, I mean, they're not gonna be
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: able to keep up with Indiana's offense. Another thing, this
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin offense can't do anything like they don't even know
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: who their quarterback is. They could just put their punter
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: out there and make him the quarterback. I mean, who knows.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: At this point, it's not gonna happen. I think Indiana
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: isn't a bounced back spot. Wisconsin just pulled up a
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: ridiculous upset. I would actually lay the points with Indiana
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play this. I'm not going to
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: but Indiana down from twenty nine and a half to
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: twenty nine. So the market is actually going against Indiana.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: But I disagree with it.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: Seventy one percent of tickets only sixty two percent of
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: the cash in Indiana. Yeah, again, I don't agree with it.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, Wisconsin's defense is okay, so maybe that
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: will allow them to hang within this number. The one
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: thing that they do have going for them, I guess
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: is that this is a very low total down to
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: forty four. So laying twenty nine points in the totals
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: forty four never really a great idea, So I mean,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away from it, obviously, but those are just
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on that game. South Carolina also at noon,
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: is at number three undefeated Texas A and M. Who
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty shocked that Texas A and M is still
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: undefeated at this point. I mean, they've got some injuries
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: going on. I think their best wide receiver and whether
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: they're running back are both injured, and they're still just
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: continuing to do this. Texas A and M. I thought
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: it was a spot to fade them last week and
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: it was not good. They won decisively on the road
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: at Missouri. Didn't think it was a good spot for
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M. Third straight road game, although the
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: actually they'd had a buy but they went into the
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: by undefeated, so I thought that was going to be
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: a momentum stopper. Nope, they won against Missouri. The stats
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: bore that out as well. Not a misleading result out there.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home, but how focused are they
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: really gonna get on South Carolina? Man?
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, they're undefeated, They're headed towards the Big
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: Twelve title game. Of course, their biggest game left is
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: the one at Texas in the final game. They do
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: have their technically senior night next week against Samford or
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: Senior Day, I guess. But I mean, are they gonna
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: consider this game against South Carolina even be their their
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: senior day because it's their final home game in SEC play?
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: It's not something I want to get involved in at
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: all South Carolina. I mean, with nothing left to play
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: for in the season, they may get up for this
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: game because it is against Texas, A and M. And
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: South Carolina did go into a bye on a bad note.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: They lost four games in a row. Though they lost
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: to LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama, and oh Miss. I mean they
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: lost to a bunch of good teams. South Carolina's had
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: a difficult schedule, so I don't think they're really quite
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: as bad as their record looks, although again, it's a
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: lost season for them. But this is their biggest remaining
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: game besides debatably the rivalry game against Clemson, although I
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: think they beat oh no, yeah, I think they beat
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: Clemson last year. But yeah, I mean I do expect
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: them to get up for this game. And again, the
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: buye came at a good time for them. I think
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: late in the season they'd lost four games in a row,
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: all to ranked teams. So when you're losing going into
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: the buy, you can use that buy to fix some things.
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would lean to taking the points with
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: South Carolina and this one. The money seems to agree
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: with that. A and M is down from nineteen and
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: a half to seventeen and a half. If you do
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: want to do that, you got to get in on
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: the seventeen and a half, I would say, cause seventeen
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: is a key number. Seventy six percent of tickets only
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash on A and M.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: Pretty low total in this game as well at forty
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: nine and a half, although it looks like it's gone
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: up a little bit. But I would, Yeah, I would
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points there. Notre Dame and Pitt
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: will be one of my plays, so I'm gonna hold
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: off on that. Michigan at Northwestern also at noon on Fox.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: This is this is a weird game Man and Michigan,
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, they have one they have one loss, so
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: there's an outside chance that they can still make the
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Big Ten title game. I mean, I don't know how
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: realistic these chances are, but for Michigan it's a little
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: bit more realistic actually, because they host Ohio State in
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: the final game. So if Michigan is able to win
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: against Northwestern and Maryland, which is pretty likely that they will,
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: they could actually come into this Ohio State game one
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: game behind Ohio State, and if Michigan wins that game,
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: I think they would leap frog Ohio State and get
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: into the title game instead of Ohio State. Michigan. Of course,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: they also have a chance at making the playoff at
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: that point, so I don't think Michigan is really gonna
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: overlook opponents at this point. They are coming off a
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly performance against Purdue as well.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: They went into a bye, so I.
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: Could see that maybe going both ways here where Michigan
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: they went into the by winning three games in a row,
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: so I don't love that because that buy can stop
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: their momentum. But then you could argue that they played
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: like ass against Purdue. Michigan was a big favorite here
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: twenty two and a half and they only won by five,
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: so they didn't do well in this game. Purdue score
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: was six minutes left in the game to cut it
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: to five, and it was the game was kind of
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: teetering on the edge from Michigan, so you could argue
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: that maybe that means they actually didn't go into the
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: buy in a good note and they'll actually come out
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: with some focus here. I could see that argument as well.
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Northwestern one went away from becoming bowl eligible here, which
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: somewhat of a big deal because they actually didn't get
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: into a bowl last year. I think they did the
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: year before that though, Yeah, so I mean they did
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: have a season last year, they didn't make a bowl,
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: so becoming bowl eligible was big for Northwestern.
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: Although you got to figure they probably will well, I
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: don't know.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, their best chance of doing it is their
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: next week's game against Minnesota. But Northwestern even I doubt
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: that they overlook Michigan. They do at least have one
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: extra day of prep time here because they played on Friday,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: but they are traveling back from the Pacific coast, so
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: that's a bit of a concern. And Northwestern, I believe
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: they still don't have a home stadium, right, Like, is
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: that correct? I mean, I know where they're playing this
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: game is definitely not their home stadium, which I'll talk
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: about in a minute, but I don't know. It looks
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: like they're playing somewhere on campus for their home games
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: this year, but this game is actually at Wrigley Field,
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: So this is a semi home game for Northwestern. Michigan
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: fans are undoubtedly going to show up here though, so,
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, they have a huge fan base in the area. Obviously,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: traveling to Chicago is not really that far from them
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: to do, although they have to go around they have
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: to go around Lake Michigan basically, I guess. But yeah,
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: so it's not at actually on Northwestern's campus. That's something
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: of note there at least, even though it is in Chicago,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: which is where Northwestern is. Our cloase in Northwestern is
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: close to Chicago. Michigan up from nine and a half
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: to ten. As far as the market read, the market
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: read is saying lay it with Michigan, fifty tickets, fifty
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Michigan. I'm not really
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: going to disagree with that. I mean, I do think
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: that their game was so ugly in their last game
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: that maybe they will actually bounce back from it. Northwestern
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: does have the chance to kind of play spoiler against Michigan, though,
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: so I don't think there. It's not like Northwestern is
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: not going to show up. I think both teams probably
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: will show up here. Laying ten points on the road
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: with a low total doubt that's down to forty one
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: also is not exactly something I want to do, or
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: on the semi road, if you want to call it that.
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: Expect you to be a low total game I will see.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: And Michigan, I mean they they have struggled on the
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: road though when they stepped up in class they did.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: They lost to Oklahoma and USC on the road. They
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: did beat Nebraska and Michigan State. Though in Northwestern even
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: how good are they really? They're probably the only one
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: of those teams that Northwestern is better than is Michigan State.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: I would say so. So Michigan of course, certainly does
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: have the ability to beat them on the road, even
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: though Michigan is still playing with a freshman quarterback in Underwood,
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: and he hasn't been you know, terrific, I wouldn't say,
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: but they don't exactly need him to be either, because
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: Michigan does play defense and run the football as well.
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: All right. Also, at noon, South Florida I was ranked
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: twenty fourth in the country against Navy. Both these teams
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: are one loss teams in the American Conference, so these
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: teams are vying for getting into the American Championship here
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: where there are no undefeated teams in this conference.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: South Florida, in my opinion, doesn't.
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Deserve to be ranked. I will say that I just
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: think this entire conference is pretty much bs. South Florida
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: beat UTSA just hammered them, and what I thought was
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad spot for South Florida. Actually, after
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: losing to Memphis the prior game, they still just destroyed
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: UTSA on a Thursday night game at home for South Florida,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: so they have a little bit of extra time off
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: to prepare for this. But now they're gonna be facing Navy,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: and Navy is a triple option attack, and soeuth Forida
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: has not faced a triple option all year.
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: I don't believe.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Although Charlotte I think does some kind of weird things,
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: but Charlotte just sucks, So I don't know. UTSA does
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: run the football a lot, but not a triple option.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: South Florida has not face a triple option since last year,
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: and they actually lost pretty badly.
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: To Navy at home last year twenty eight to seven.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Of those. South Florida wasn't as good last year as
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: they are this year, and Navy debatably is not as
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: good this year as they were last year, so the
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: gap has more than closed as South Florida is also
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: a big favorite in this game as far as Navy
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: is concerned. Navy is coming off a game against Notre
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: Dame last week, so Navy does have less prep time
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: here because they played on Saturday, probably a game.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: They got up for it, but they got.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: Drilled by Notre Dame, which I know that was not unexpected.
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: If you saw my show, I thought Notre Dame would
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: just crush them again because that's what they always do
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: Navy basically. So, Navy has lost two games in a
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: row now, but now they're back home and this is
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: actually their last home game of the season, so got
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: to expect they're gonna show up South Florida. Prepping for
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: this triple option maybe a little bit difficult. Man, Both
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: team's gonna want to get up for this a Navy.
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: The remaining games after this are after a buye. They
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: play Memphis on the road, and then they have the
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: annual Army Navy game, which is a neutral site game.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: I believe in Baltimore, so it is actually closer to Navy,
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: but it's not at Navy's campus, which is in Annapolis.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: So this is senior day for Navy, so a little
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: bit of extra motivation for Navy. I would probably take
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: the points with Navy, and this one South Florida is
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: a ten point favorite. Numbers gone up a little bit.
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: They're public, eighty percent of tickets, eighty one percent of
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. I mean, I could see Navy,
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: because Navy's gonna run the football here, man, they might
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: be able to maybe stay within this number, although it's
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: a very high toll, but the money's coming in towards
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: the under although it's sixty two and a half, so
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: it's not expected to be a low scoring game. But still,
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know the type of offense that Navy runs
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: is conducive to covering as an underdog. So that's what
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: I have to say about that. I mean, obviously I
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: don't love that game. Fox Sports won at noon Arizona
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: is at number twenty five Cincinnati. Cincinnati still has a
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: shot at getting into the Big twelve Championship because they're
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: a one loss team. Arizona now has six wins, which
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: I actually think is big for Arizona because Arizona actually
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: missed out on the bowls last year, so I think
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: that is actually a big deal for Arizona. They were
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: in a bowl the year before that, but Arizona, they
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: were a team that's used to getting into a bowl
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: like that's at least one of their goals every year,
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: and I think after last year that is a big
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: deal that they got to their six wins this year,
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: they will be in a bowl this year. Now they
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: got to go on the road to face Cincinnati here.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: Maybe Arizona will still get up four and in one play
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: spoiler here, In a way, this is defense versus offense
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: because Arizona's defense has been pretty solid this year. In
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati is basically all offense, so Cincinnati has the better
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: offense here, Arizona has a better defense if you want
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: to simplify it. Cincinnati hadn't lost since their opening game,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: and they took a really really ugly loss to Utah
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: back on November first, on the road at Utah. I
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: had mentioned I thought Utah was gonna blow them out.
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: That did happen. But now Cincinnati is coming out of
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: a bye, so they did go into the mine a
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: bad note. So sometimes you come out of that buy
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: you use that buy effectively if you went in on
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: a bad note and you fix some things. I do
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: have some hesitations with Cincinnati though, because going into the
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: bye an ugly note kind of has to be looking
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: towards Cincinnati. Problem is Cincinnati. First of all, they do
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: a BYU up next that almost makes this almost look
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: like debatably a sandwitch. I mean, it could be a
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: little bit of a look ahead because BYU is one
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: of the other one loss teams in the conference, so
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be a big game. It's also gonna be
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati's senior day. The fact that Cincinnati had not lost
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: since the first week of the season, or actually since
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: week zero, also does worry me a little bit about
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: how they respond to getting basically taken back down to
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: earth by Utah there. So I do have some concerns
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: about Cincinnati and that one. And Arizona does fall into
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: the case where they are the better deepfense getting points.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: The money is indicating towards Arizona here. Cincinnati is a
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite. The fact that there
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: are six and a half point favorite Oddsmaker's throwing that
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: out there almost looks like they're almost begging you to
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: lay the points because it's below a touchdown, so.
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: It looks almost too easy to do it.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: Fifty nine percent of tickets, only fifty six percent of
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: the cash on Cincinnati, so market read does say Arizona Situationally,
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I can kind of see some arguments for Cincinnati here, though,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: like maybe they will have used that buy to fix
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: some things. I'm not really sure they're going to overlook
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: Arizona necessarily because since and that he does still have
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: the chance to get into the title game here, so
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: they can't really overlook these conference opponents. And again, it
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: could be a little bit of a letdown for Arizona
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: because they did just become Bowl eligible and they know
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: they're not going to make the Big twelve title game
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. And again, after not making a
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: bowl last year, that is actually kind of a big deal.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: So I actually.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Slightly lean towards Cincinnati in that game. But the market
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: is saying no and kind of and I just I
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: don't want to have any part of it really. Three
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: point thirty pm, Eastern ABC, Oklahoma at Alabama. I'm not
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: sure which game is College game Day, although I'm guessing
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: it's Texas. Georgia is probably game Day, but I'm not
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: really sure. Oklahoma is eleventh in the country, but two
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: losses in the SEC. Alabama undefeated in the SEC and
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: fourth in the country, and at this point that loss
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: to Florida State is looking pretty strange for Alabama at
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: this wind. Although I know they had a freshman quarterback
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: in his first start on the road that was not
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: an easy task necessarily there Anyway, this game, this game
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: is the difficult one to figure out.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: Man, Oklahoma, They're coming out of a bye.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: They went into a bye on a good note, a
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: beating Tennessee on the road. That was a nice win
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: for Oklahoma, as I presume they were an underdog in
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: this game only of two and a half. But yeah,
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: that was a good win for Oklahoma. Nonetheless, Oklahoma, if
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: they want to try to get into the playoff or
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: the SEC title game, the playoff is that? Is that
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: a thing?
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: Can they still make the playoffs?
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Playoffs. Don't talk about playoffs, you kidding me? Playoffs? I
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: just hope we can win a game another game. Yeah,
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna be having drops on this show now. Baby.
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if if they still
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: have that outside shot to make the playoffs or not.
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, you're looking at two undefeated teams still in
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: the SEC though, But Oklahoma, I mean they're playing Alabama.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: You gotta think they're probably gonna get up for it,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: just for that reason, although the buye could hurt them
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit because they went into the buy in
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: a good note, so that momentum could be stopped. Essentially, Alabama,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: they're coming in off one of their big games of
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: the season. Man. I know LSU is having a down season,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: but beating LSU is always a pretty big thing Alabama LSU.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: It is a rivalry Alabama. However, they didn't play that
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: well in the game. LSU I think should have covered
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: depending on what number you got, I don't know if
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: it landed right on the number or not, because the
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: number I think was like it could have been ten
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: and a half, it might have been eleven. I don't know.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: So I could see it going both ways, Like, is
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: Alabama actually gonna have a letdown off of that? I
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: don't really think so, though, because I think Alabama, you know,
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, they still have everything in front of them here.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: This is they might consider this to be kind of
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: their last big home game as well, even though technically
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: their game against Eastern Illinois. These big teams get to
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: schedule these cupcakes late in the season and that's technically
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: their final home game. And then they have their rivalry
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: against Auburn where I think Auburn might actually have the
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: ability to trip Alabama up in that game, which will
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: be at Auburn. But we'll see when it gets to it.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Oh Man, this game is a really difficult read for me.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: Alabama's public seventy three percent of tickets, only seventy one
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, and the number has dropped from
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: seven and a half down to six.
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: So it's gone through that key number, man.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: So it was above seven seven, very key number of football, obviously,
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: now it's dropped to well below the seven. So I
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: consider that to be a pretty big move. So the
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: money is saying take Oklahoma, I guess I'll agree with it.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: I actually I kind of prefer the under in this
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: game rather than the side, although I'm not really total
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: those guys, you know, but money looks like it's coming
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: in the under as well. The number did go up
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: to forty six, but fifty three percent of the tickets
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: and sixty one percent of the cash on the under.
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: Alabama there's still a bit of a one dimensional offense.
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: They throw the football, though Oklahoma's better at defending against
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: the run, so that would worry me a little bit
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: about the under here, but I kind of expect like
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: a playoff atmosphere. Both these teams pretty strong defensively, and
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma's offense hasn't been as good as it was earlier
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: this year. I don't know if there's something wrong with
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: Matier or if he's just not that good now, but
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: he basically hasn't been the same since that injury at
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: the very least, So I don't know, man, We'll see
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: what happens, but very very weak lean for me towards
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Oklahoma and towards the under, although
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: if you want Oklahoma, I would wait and try to
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: see if the number gets back to seven. I don't
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: know if the sevens will show up anymore, but we'll
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: see Jay Daddy. That picture your profile picture is pretty
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: gay dude, A naked dude. I mean, what's up with that?
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know. That might get my channel nukes just
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: for that, I don't know. Thank you, sir, you love
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: the drops. Not thank you for the gay man, but
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: thank you for the positive comment about the drops Andrews shown.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: I do not want to get my shown nuked. That has
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: nothing to do with sports. Really, did you ever talk
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: about sports? I don't know. Three point thirty pm on
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: Fox UCF at number six Texas Tech Texas Tech. Texas
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: Tech's coming off a big game, man. I mean they
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: beat BYU last week. That was one of my winners
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: last week with Texas Tech. They won in covered against BYU.
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: Huge win. Could be a little bit of a letdown
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: spot if that for Texas Tech. Although Texas Tech is
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: still trying to get to the Big twelve title game
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: here man, which they can do. They need to keep
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: winning in conference and this is senior Day for them.
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: This is their final home game. So even though yes,
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: it is a letdown spot and I might have a
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: week lean towards fading them here, I'm not going to
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: make this a play UCF. I think they'll get up
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: for it because they do want to spoil Texas Tech season.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: They have been off since last Friday, where they lost
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: at home in that pretty big game in primetime against Houston,
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: so I could kind of see that going either way though,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: So yes, they have an extra day off, but that
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: was also kind of.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: A big game against Houston.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: But again, I think they will still show up for
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. However, UCF has not been good when they've
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: traveled this year. I mean, they're in Florida, so it's
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: these weird travel spots having to go out to the
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: middle of the country, and they've lost all their road
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: games and by pretty much by margin. They lost by
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: fourteen at Kansas State, nine against Cincinnati on the road,
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: and then they lost by twenty seven at Baylor. So
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: they have not been good on the road. So I
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: do worry about UCF in that respect. They do have
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: the ability to run the football and try to slow
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: this thing down a little bit, So there is that
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: I'll give a slight lean towards taking the points with UCF,
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: but there's no way I would really want to do it.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech down from twenty four to twenty three and
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: a half with juice. If you want Central Florida, I
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: would look for the twenty four because that is a
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: key number. Eighty six percent of the tickets, only eighty
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on Texas Tech, so they
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: are public. It's a low total at forty eight down
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: for forty eight and a half, So if you are
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: looking to take the points, that at least is help.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: That's that's a good indicator, at the very least that
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: it's a low total, so to the points are going
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: to be more at a premium. All right, NC State
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: miamim giving out a play on this, so I'll wait
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: on that. Also giving out a play in Iowa, USC
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: so that'll come at the end of the show. ESPN
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: two at three thirty pm nineteen ranked in the country
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: Virginia at Duke, who's only five and four and unranked
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: even though Virginia is eight and two. Both teams are
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: one loss in the ACC. But look at this number.
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: Duke actually opened a six point favorite and they're down
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: to three and a half now, which I don't even
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: know when that number was out there, the six I
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: don't think I ever saw that. I think it was
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: three and a half pretty much all week. But even
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: at three and a half, you got to think that
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: the public is going to look at this and say,
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: how is an eight and two ranked Virginia team getting
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: points from Duke who's only five and four and un ranked,
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: Like it looks ridiculous. It looks so easy to take
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: the points with Virginia. But the oddsgs are telling you
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: that Duke is almost like basically the better team here,
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: And as I showed you before last week, Duke actually
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: had the best odds to win the acc U So
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: I think Duke might actually be the better team here,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: and the line might actually be a little bit short,
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: just because the oddsmakers know that the public's gonna come
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: in on the Virginia side here. Although we do see
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of tickets on Duke, I don't know
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: if I really buy that percentage is accurate, seventy five
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Duke. I do think Duke
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: is the side that I would lean to in this game,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: but I have some hesitations with it. I mean, it's
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: a big game for both teams, though, so both teams
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: are gonna show up, and when that's the case, you
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: do kind of want to look towards the better team,
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: and I actually do think it's Duke.
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: I think Virginia is a little bit overrated here now.
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: Virginia did take a loss last week, and that was
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: their first loss since all the way back in Week
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: one in their second game because they played in Week zero,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: they lost on the road to NC State.
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: They hadn't lost since then.
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: This Virginia team losing a long streak like that, man,
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: that could hang you over into the next game. However,
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: I do also think maybe they were looking ahead to
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: this game against Duke because this is a big game.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: That was a bad spot for Virginia last week. I
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: think SOB was on wake Forest last week, so good
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: for him. I mentioned that I did agree with it.
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Virginia was coming back from the Pacific Coast man Or
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: they went out there and played Californias. They were making
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: a cross country trip. They had actually made two cross
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: country trips over two weeks, so that was a very
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: difficult spot for them, and they had this big game
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: against Duke upcoming, so it's understandable why they didn't play
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: well in that game. They did still actually outplay wake
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: Forest statistically, they outgained them by over one hundred yards.
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest only had two hundred three yards of offense,
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: which is pretty pathetic. The reason Virginia lost the game
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: was three turnovers. They just weren't focused.
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: But they won the game yardage wise at the very least.
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: So I could see the argument that Virginia will bounce
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: back from that because that was an ugly loss and
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: an explainable loss, and statistically they did better than maybe
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: it looked on the scoreboard. Duke, I think we'll also
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: show up for this game, though Duke also lost last week.
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: One of my winners on the show was Yukon because
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: I said, that's not even a conference game, so Duke,
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: they're not going to really care about that game as much.
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: They'd come off that big win against Clemson. Yukon not
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: really a place where Duke plays very often. Yukon definitely
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: under the radar, although now maybe not so much after
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: that win, because now everybody's talking about Fanano, the Italian
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: man who's Yukon's quarterback there, and we'll see him in
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: one of the bowl games coming up. But yeah, and
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: Duke had this game up ahead, so you know, they
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: were probably overlooking Yukon because Duke again had just won
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: at Clemson, which they hadn't done in decades, and then
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: they had this big game against Virginia up next, so
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: I think both teams got caught in a bad spot
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: last week. That kind of evens out. I would probably
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Duke in this game. I mean, again,
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: it's one of those odds maker versus rankings make or
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: mismatches here. It just looks way too easy to take
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: the points with Virginia. Uh, New Mexico State at Tennessee,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: who's still ranked twenty third, But Tennessee probably dream crush
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: at this point. I think that that's the spot they're in.
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: They did go into the buying on an ugly note
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: because they lost at home to Oklahoma, so you can
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: argue they would use that by to fix some things.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: But Tennessee is done, dude. I mean, you know their Tennessee.
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: They made the playoffs last year. Of course, their goal
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: this year is to make the playoffs, and now that
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: they have three losses, that's not gonna happen. So I
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: think they're in a dream crusher spot here, So I
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: would probably look towards taking the points with New Mexico
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: stayed in this one. I think if Tennessee is going
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: to show up for any remaining games. It's going to
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: be maybe the SEC games they have left them, probably
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: just their final home game against Van Dey. Like, I
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: don't think they're even really necessarily going to show up
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: for Florida with how down Lord has been. Next week
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: for New Mexico State, though, I mean, can they hang
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: with Tennessee. I don't know New Mexico State. They did
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: play last week. They lost to Kennesas State, but they
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: actually played pretty close in New Mexico State. I think
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: it was like a ten point underdog in that game
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: and they actually covered, so they actually played pretty well
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: as an underdog. And I tend to want to look
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: to fade teams that come close to winning as an underdog.
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: So I don't love New Mexico State here either. Justin
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: had mentioned this game, by the way, I don't see
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: him in the chat tonight though. For Tennessee, I mean
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: they're a huge favorite. Forty and a half. It's probably
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: too many points for a dream crush team like Tennessee
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: that if you worry about them giving a full effort here,
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: they're probably not going to be able to cover a
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: number like that. I don't expect them to lose, obviously,
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: but probably they won't cover that number. Seventy nine percent
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: of tickets only seventy six percent of cash on Tennessee.
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: So the I mean, the market read is saying, take
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: the points of New Mexico State. Do I really want
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: to actually do that? No? I mean, there are much
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: much more enticing games on the board here, so no,
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: thank you. Yes, I'm gonna talk about Missouri State. That's
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: a pretty interesting game. But man, this show is gonna
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: go really late as usual seven pm Eastern, at least
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: around the seven pm games here. Florida is at ole Miss.
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: We're only a little bit over a half hour in
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: to the show, so that's not too bad.
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: Because I started late. Ole Miss is ranked seventh in
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: the country.
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: They have one loss, so Ole Miss does have the
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: chance to potentially make the SEC Championship game. They don't
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: control their own destiny though, because they don't play any
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: of the teams above them at this point, so they
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: need A and M or Alabama or somebody like that
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: to slip up at this point. So Ole Miss that's
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: kind of one of those spots where it's actually kind
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: of a good thing because you don't control your own destiny.
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: But you're not mathematically eliminated, you know what I mean.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss also has the chance to make the playoff
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: as a one loss SEC team, So even if they
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: don't make the SEC's idle game, there is a chance
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: that we get like a third SEC team that makes
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: a playoff as well, So they do have that potential
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: as well. And this is their final home game, so
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: I just don't really expect Old Miss to not show
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: up here. They had an easy game last week crushing
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: the Citadel. But yeah, I expect Old Miss to show up.
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, it is senior night for them. Florida. I
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: mean it is possible that Ole Miss doesn't take Florida totally. Seriously,
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: Florida got embarrassed last week at Kentucky. Man. That was
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: the game where I mentioned that I liked Kentucky.
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: I almost made it. I almost added it to my card.
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: I did add it to my like pick seven entry,
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: and I think my pick sixth entry too, because that
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: was like the first one that I left off my
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: card last week. I liked it, and Kentucky embarrassed them
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Man thirty eight to seven. A Kentucky team that can't
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: even score. I don't know how that happened to Florida,
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: though I know Florida. I think they benched DJ lagway
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: Man because he doesn't look right.
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: He looks like he's heard or something.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: So Florida maybe coming to this game with a different quarterback,
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: so they're trying to switch some things up. And I
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: know Florida probably they had a goal this year to well,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know what their goal was this year, because
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: Florida did make a Bowl last year, and I think
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: that was the first time they made a Bowl in
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: a long time, so maybe really their aspirations this year
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: were just to make the Bowl.
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: Really realistically thought that they could win the SEC. It's
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: just a really, really difficult conference. But I'm guessing they
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: probably will still show up for a game against an
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: opponent of this magnitude and old miss so and Florida
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: has at least been okay defensively, so I mean, I
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: would probably lean towards taking the points of Florida here.
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, I certainly don't love it. Mississippi down from
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: thirteen to eleven and a half, seventy nine percent of
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: ticket's only fifty four percent of the cash on Ole miss.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: So the market Reid is saying take the points with
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: Florida here, So I'll give a very weak agreement with
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: that one, but certainly don't love it. Number thirteen Utah
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: is at Baylor. Utah sitting at two Big Twelve losses.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: They could still potentially get into the Big Twelve title game.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: They need some teams that are above them to mess up,
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: and that could happen because, like I think, Texas Tech
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna get in. BYU I think is a
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: total fraud, so BYU could definitely lose again. Cincinnati I
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: think could lose again as well, so Utah could still
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: do it. I still think Utah is the second best
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: team in this conference besides Texas Tech. Now. Utah is
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: coming out of a bye, though, and they went into
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: the buy in a good note, winning their last two
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: games in blowout fashion against Colorado and Cincinnati. So the
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: buy did not come in a great time for Utah
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: because that could disrupt their momentum a little bit. Now
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: they're gonna go back out on the road to Baylor.
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: They haven't really been as tested on the road though,
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Like their most difficult game on the.
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: Road, Utah at BYU.
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: They did lose the game, although Utah statistically I think
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: they still should have won that game. But we'll I mean,
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: we'll leave that aside. At least Baylor, I think is
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: not Baylor is probably not as good as BYU. I
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: know that seems obvious, but I'm actually kind of questioning
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: it because BYU doesn't deserve to be ranked where they
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: are in my opinion. Baylor's still a pretty dangerous team though,
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: And Baylor they need one more win to become Bowl eligible,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: which I think is probably one of their goals this year.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if they realistically thought they
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: could win this conference this year. They were in a
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: bowl last year, which they lost. Probably one of their
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: goals was to still make a bowl this year. They
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: could still do that. They have three games left, they
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: got to win one of them. With a team like
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Utah coming into their house, I think they will be
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: motivated to try to spoil Utah's season, maybe because if
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: Utah loses year, Utah's done, so Baylor does have the
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: ability to make that happen. Baylor did go into the
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: buy in a good note, though not quite as good
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: as Utah's. But Baylor blew out UCF going into their buy,
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: so they're coming out of the buy as well.
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: Both teams are coming out of unhelpful.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: Buys, so I think that actually kind of negates that
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: aspect of the game a little bit. Utah is a
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: big favorite for me, have Tony it, and the money
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: is actually indicating on Utah sixty five percent of the
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, but seventy seven percent of the cash
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: on Utah. So the money is actually saying to lay
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: it with Utah on the road here. I don't know
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: if I'm prepared to do that, but when I don't
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: really have a strong opinion, I will kind of default
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: to agreeing with the market there. And again, Utah, in
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: a way, they're kind of in a spot where they
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: can play a little bit looser because they don't control
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: their own destiny right now. They do need some team
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: that's above them to slip up, So there is that,
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: and unfortunately for them, BYU does all have the tiebreaker
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: against them, so they do need some slip oops to
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: happen up there up above them all right. UCLA is
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: at Ohio State seven thirty pm on NBC. Ohio State
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: number one in the country. I think they're legitimately the
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: number one team in the country as well, like power
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: ratings wise, they think to be favored over everybody on
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: a neutral They're undefeated Ucla. It's been a loss season
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: for them. I mean, will they get up for a
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: game against Ohio State May? Will they be able to
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: even compete against Ohio State? I'm not really sure. Ucla
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: had a fairly big game last week against Nebraska, took
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: the loss the Nebraska the latif factor. Nebraska's backup quarterback
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: there was big as he was from California, and Nebraska
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: did actually get the job done. I know there were
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: some professionals who were on the Nebraska side in that game. Charles,
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: all right, thank you, sir. I will see you tomorrow, man.
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: I'll reiterate my college football players on the morning show.
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: But thanks for hanging out, man. I appreciate it, even
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: though again, I am mad all the time and just
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: generally a dick yelling, yelling into the air. I'm not
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: really yelling at anybody specifically, I'm just generally not happy.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: Boston Toad's gonna come out. I'm an angry man. Now
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: Ucla having to go back on the road. Things have
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: not been good when they've been on the road this year,
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: except they did win somehow on the road at Michigan State,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: but all the rest of their road games are losses
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: at UNLV, at north Western, at Indiana they got destroyed.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Ohio State probably gonna still show up because it is
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: a Big ten game. They want to maintain their lead here.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess you could argue that Ohio State
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: could afford one loss and still make the playoff and whatever,
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: but they want to try to make the Big twelve
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: title game. They're not coming off of anything big. They
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: beat Purdue last week, doesn't really matter. They don't have
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: anything big next week either against Rotgers. So I do
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: think Ohio State probably just shows up in this game.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Ohio State here, although
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: it's up from thirty and a half to thirty one
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: Huge spread here.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: Seventy three percent takes eighty five percent of the cash
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: on them, so the money agrees with Ohio State. But
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: the total is also down to forty seven so this
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: is a very low total.
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: Will be laying thirty one points.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: Man, It's like you're basically asking Ohio State to almost
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: shut UCLA completely out. Which could happen, but I'm not
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: gonna get involved in it. I mean slightly in towards
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: laying it with Ohio State, which again it sounds ridiculous,
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: but that that is where I read on That game
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: leads me at least ABC at seven thirty. I don't
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: know if this is a college game day game or not,
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: but number ten Texas at number five Georgia. Both teams
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: are one loss in the SEC. Both teams I believe
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: could still make the playoffs even though Texas is a
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: two lost team, So don't know if they could still
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: do that or not. Potentially maybe I think, I mean
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: some team from the SEC will get in. It's gonna
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: be a big game for both teams. Regardless, both teams
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: will show up. It's also double revenge for Texas because
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: if you remember, Georgia beat them during the regular season
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: last year and in the ACC championship game. I believe
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: ACC SEC Championship game last year. I believe, so Texas.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: Georgia beat Texas twice last year. So you could read
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: that two ways, right. You could read that as Georgia
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: has Texas's number, or you could read it as Texas
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: is gonna you know, figure the is out and bounce back.
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: Which one of those is it. I don't know that
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: kind of leaned towards Georgia having Texas's number, though, because
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: history does seem to kind of repeat itself with some
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: of these teams. Texas is coming off a big win
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: over vand although Texas almost blew the game, but they
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: did go into a bye after that, so I think
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: the spot is actually negative for Texas. They went into
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: the buy on a four game win streak, and again,
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: you don't want to go into a buy and a
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: win streak like that because it could hurt your momentum there.
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: Even though I know they.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: They had the huge lead over Vandy, it almost blew
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: the game, So normally I would say that could go
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: either way, like they could be in a letdown spot
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: coming off a big win over a Vanday team it
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: was ridiculously ranked ninth in the country at that point,
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: or because they were so bad late in the game,
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: you could argue they might even refocus after that. But generally,
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: I think because the buy came in after that, I
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: actually think this is not a great set up for Texas.
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: For Georgia, they played last week and they had an
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: easy win over Mississippi State. So I do think the
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: spot actually does set up better for Georgia here. This
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: will be their final SEC home game at least because
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: next week they play Cupcake Charlotte.
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: Overall, yeah, I lean to Georgia in this game. The
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: money seems to somewhat disagree with that.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: They're laying six and a half fifty nine percent of
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: tickets only fifty six percent of the cash, so the
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: money is kind of disagreeing with it. The oddsmakers are
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: kind of in line with what the rankings makers are
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: just saying with Texas number ten, Georgia number five, Georgia.
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: Being the home favorite, it's kind of in line with that.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, osmaker is telling you Georgia is the slightly
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: better team, which I agree with. Both teams have good defenses,
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: though Texas offense is really struggled, I mean arch Manning
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: he is not it, so Georgia obviously has the better
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: offense out of the two teams. Both teams are better,
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: I think defensively than offensively, though, so I think an
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: under does make sense in this game, even though the
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: number went up to forty nine and a half fifty
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets and sixty on a couch
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: on the over, but I actually disagree with that market read.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: I think it undermakes sense in this game, even though
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: you would think that an under would be correlated with
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: Texas though, because an under would seemingly be correlated with
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: the underdog covering and Texas being probably actually the slightly
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: better of the two defenses. Texas is an They're an
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: elite defense. They're just very bad offensively. So we'll see
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: what happens in the game. But those are my opinions
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: on that game. I probably prefer the under to the
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: side though. And then late night at ten pm ten
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: point fifteen pm Eastern on ESPN, BYU still ranked twelfth
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: in the country, hosting TCU. BYU still can make the
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: Big twelve title game. Obviously the only one loss on
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: the season, they could still make the playoff. All that
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: is in front of them, but that was a big
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: game last week for BYU men, and the fact that
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: they took a loss there at Texas Tech that could
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: hang them over Man. When you are undefeated this late
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: into the season into November and you finally take a loss,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: I think that can hang you over Man. And BYU
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: us have Cincinnati up next, so it is kind of
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: a hang. It's kind of a sandwich spot here because
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati is one of the other teams they're fighting with
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: for making the Big Twelve title game. I think they might.
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: Overlook TCU here.
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: Man, TCU, they are a six win team now, which
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: I actually think is big because they think they missed
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: the balls.
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know they didn't. What am I saying?
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: They did make a Bowl last year for some reason,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: I thought they didn't. I think maybe the previous year
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: they didn't. I don't know whatever. TCU is Bowl eligible now,
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: but I don't know. Did TCU have higher aspirations than that.
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure TCU. It does set up decently
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: for TCU here because they are coming off a home
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: loss to Iowa State pretty ugly. Where Iowa State it
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: was a misleading result. Man. Iowa State was winning the
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: game early and then they basically didn't score again for
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: a long time. They scored in the first quarter, didn't
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: score again until the fourth quarter, when they actually went
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: from being up six nothing to being down seventeen to six.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: They scored a touchdown, so it was like, Okay, Iowa
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: State's gonna cover. But then they actually won on a
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: punt return uchdown, although I guess you could debate that.
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: You know, Iowa State maybe would have driven down the
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: field and scored again as well, But it was kind
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: of a weird way for Iowa State to win that
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: game outright. Man. As far as the yardage in the game,
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: TCU dominated. They outgained Iowa State by whatever that is,
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: like one hundred.
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: And sixty yards.
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: They did lose the turnover battle, but they doubled their
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: first downs thirty to fifteen. They won the possession battle
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: as well. So TCU was actually better in that game
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: than it looked, and they probably will actually show up
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: focus there. I'm almost talking myself into playing them against BYU. Man,
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: should I do it? I do like it? Let me
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: see what's the number look like here? We've lost a
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: lot of value on it though, BYUS dropped from six
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: to three. Here, sixty six percent of tickets on BYU,
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: So the BYU's public fifty six percent of the cash
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: coming in on TCU.
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: I like it, man, It's just that BYU.
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, they still kind of have to remain focused though,
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: because they can't really lose any conference game at this
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: point because they wanted to still make the title game,
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: so I'll leave it off my card. But it's close, man.
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: So I do like TCU plus the points there, although
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: you got to take less fewer points now, but I
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: would at least try to get three to three and
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: a half. Maybe you'll see three and a half show
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: back up tomorrow. You're not going to get that better
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: number six though, or even four and a half anymore,
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: I don't think. But still I would lean to taking
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: the boys to TCU. Maybe put a little bit on it.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: Not on my card though.
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to some of these other games the
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: other day. There are a lot of games to kind
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: of talk about here, man, I want to try to
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: run through these.
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: I'm going to talk about Air Force and Yukon.
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: Because I do think on the service it does look
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: at Yukon could be in a letdown spot. I mean,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: they're already in a bowl, which I think was their
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: goal this year. They're not in a conference. They don't
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: really have anything else to play for. However, even though
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: I think they could be in a letdown spot because
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: they did just beat Duke. That was a big win
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: for Yukon to beat an ACC team, But This is
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: their final home game though, so I don't know that
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: I really want to fade Yukon here, because Senior Night
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: is a real thing. Man Senior Day, probably crowd's going
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: to show up. I don't know if Fanano is he
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: a senior as well? He is, so their star players
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: also seniors. That makes Senior Night matter a little bit more. So,
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm not quite wanted to fade Yukon here.
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: They're also facing air Force here. Air Force has actually
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: been better than I kind of thought they would be
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: this year. Man, this air Force team their triple option
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: attack obviously because they're a service academy.
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: They also do throw the ball a little bit, and
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: I thought their defense.
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: Was really bad this year. But air Force has actually
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: played well recently. And I think the fact that they
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: run the football a lot helps them maintain the possession
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: of the football and then they don't like overwork their
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: defense as much. How is Yukon going to play against
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: a triple option? I don't know. They lost to Rice,
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: which was the triple option attack, the one triple option
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: attack they face this here, and Rice, I would say,
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: not a great triple option attack there, And Yukon did
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: lose that game in two overtimes, but I thought that
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot for Yukon.
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: That one almost made my card.
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: I think I did throw it in like my pick
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: seven pick six, maybe just to pick six, because I
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: think the pick seven doesn't have these small conferences. But
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: Yukon had pulled off a big win against a bigger
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: brother Boston College, big New England matchup there on the road.
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: They'd done that, so I think they were in a
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown spot and kind of a
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: weird spot having to go to Texas and.
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: Play against Rice. So that kind of explains the loss
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't necessarily say it was all just because
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: Yukon doesn't know how to defend the triple option, but
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: air Force will be a better example of the triple
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: option air Force for them, though it is a weird
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: spot having to go east where air Force they did
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: earlier this year to go to Navy, but they're kind
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: of more familiar with that because they always play Navy,
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: so I think every other year they do play at Navy,
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: so that was kind of a different thing. So maybe
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit more of afficult spot this time
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: having to go to Yukon, which is not really a
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: place they usually play up in Connecticut obviously, so which
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: I believe is in stores Connecticut, kind of near the
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: ESPN campus there, So I'm not gonna play this game
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: slightly to fade in Connecticut, though slightly in to taking
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: the points of the air Force, but I don't love it.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: A Yukon went down from eight and a half to
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, so you could still probably get
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: seven and a half on air Force here, but it
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: looks like fifty four percent of the tickets on air
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Force and fifty four percent of the cash on Yukon
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: right now, so the money seems to be indicating on Yukon,
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: although those percentages are small enough that they might flip
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: come game time, so we will see. Oregon State and Tulsa.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: I just find to be a little bit interesting because
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: Oregon State lost as a gigantic favorite in that game
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: against Sam Houston, which Justin knows about.
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: Justin You're gonna cover Missouri State tomorrow.
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: Hell yeah, Oregon loss as I think there were more
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: than a twenty point favorite in this game. Oregon State,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: excuse me, they're twenty one and a half boy favorites
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: man in that primetime home game, and that was senior
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: Night as well. Like, how does Oregon State lose on
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: Senior Night to a winless Sam Houston team as a.
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: Twenty one and a half way favorite.
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: I don't get it, man, I mean, that's just that's
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: awful for Oregon State.
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: That's embarrassing.
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: And if you look at the stats, Oregon State dominated
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: this game. They outgained Sam Houston by like almost three
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: hundred and twenty yards and out first down through twenty
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: eight to eight and outpossess them by like seventeen minutes.
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: How do they lose this game? Oregon State statistically dominated
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: this game so hard. It looks like they should have
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: won this game by thirty points. They lost the turnover
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: battle three to one, but even that doesn't look like
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: it would have been enough to cause them to lose
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: this game. I mean, that's just insane. So I think
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: it's probably a better spot for Oregon State now, even
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: though that having.
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: To go out on the road to Tulsa.
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: But maybe going out on the road is a good thing.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: Just forget about what happened at home. Oregon State might
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: be a bit more motivated because that was so embarrassing. Uh,
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: Tulsa is a dead team right now. I mean they're
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: not going anywhere either. I mean, do they really get
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Oregon State? I don't know.
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: It's not their final home game, so I would probably
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: look towards Oregon State in this game.
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: Where's that at?
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Oregon State's actually favored as well, which that kind of
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: looks ridiculous as well. Oregon State two and eight, It's like,
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: how are they favored? Although Tulsa two and seven looks
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly too, But yeah, I would lay it with
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: Oregon State if I was gonna play this one. Where's
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: it at? Again? Throughout from one and a half to
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: two Here, though, it looks like the money's coming back
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: on Tulsa now fifty percent of the tickets on Oregon State,
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the cash coming on Tulsa. Maybe
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a weird environment that Oregon State doesn't
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: usually go to, kind of some unfamiliarity there.
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: I kind of think they got to be really pissed
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: after that game, and maybe they will show up after
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: how ugly that loss was. I mean, we will say,
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know some of these other games I don't
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: really really want to jump in on, Like, don't really
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: want to talk about some of these games.
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: Let me see here.
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: As far as Marshall, I mean, Marshall did just play
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: a big game against James Madison, took that loss, and
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: now Marshall, I mean they're going nowhere now.
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: I mean you could argue that they're gonna be looking.
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: To try to become Bowl eligible though, which nobody expected
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: anything out of Marshall this year though they didn't make
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: a well, they did make a bowl last year, but
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: they didn't play in the Bowl because their entire team
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: bailed for Southern Miss this year. So I think Marshall
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: they really didn't expect to be any good at all
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: because they're a complete rebuild here. But they actually could
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: actually make a bowl here, and they have somewhat weak
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: opponents left, so you could argue that maybe they will
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: try to show up for this game. Even though that
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: was a pretty significant loss to James Madison and they
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: played decently in that game. I think Marshall was actually
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: in that game late in the game too, if I'm
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: not mistaken. It was actually revenge for James Madison as well,
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: because I believe Marshall as an underdog, beat James Madison
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: towards the end of the season last year, and like
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: end of James Madison's hopes to get into the conference
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: championship game. All right, I can't even talk right now, man,
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: I'm running out of breath. Let me see, because I
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: thought Marshall was close to this game.
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they were. Marshall was within five late in this game.
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: So it could be a bit of a hangover for
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: Marshall here, even though again, on the other hand, they
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: might be still looking to.
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: Try to get Bowl eligibility.
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: They got to win two of the remaining three, but
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: they might not take Georgia State seriously because Georgia State
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: has just been awful. This is Georgia State's final home game,
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: so if they're gonna show up for a game, it
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: should kind of be this one. I mean, Georgia State
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: maybe may They may be motivated for that reason, man,
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: just because it is senior day for them. They don't
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: have a win yet in conference, so I would probably
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: fade Marshall here. They're very public. They're up from six
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: and a half to seven and a half, ninety three
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on Marshall,
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: they're very public. I would probably look to take the
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: points in that game though with Georgia State, even though
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: that seems very very ugly to do so. But I
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: don't love it enough. Man Utah met Missouri State. Let's
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: talk about it. Missouri State first year in FBS and
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: their bowl eligible, so they just got their sixth wins.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: So I think when that happens, it is a natural
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: letdown spot because again there, I think they're gonna have
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: to petition like they're they're gonna have to petition the
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: NCAA and the and the bowl schedule is gonna have
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: to have not enough teams to fill the bowls. But
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: Missouri State could make a bowl here now. So they
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: got to that six win that's huge, which especially in
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: their first season, so could be a letdown spot. And
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: not only that, but they did it against Liberty on
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: the road, and Liberty has kind of been the class
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: of the conference. Liberty was the team was supposed to
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: win this conference, and Liberty still had a chance to
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: do that as they were one loss team. Missouri State
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: basically dream crushed Liberty. Man because Liberty now with two losses,
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna make the conference championship Now, man, they're
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: pretty much I think they're pretty much a dead team now.
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: I think maybe mathematically it's still possible, but it's not
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: gonna happen. So I think this is gonna be a
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: letdown spot. I mean, there were seven and a half
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: point underdogs in this game. As far as how the
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: game played out, Liberty actually did outgain them by seventy
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: six yards or whatever that is, so it was a.
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: Slightly misleading result.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: And after this, Missouri State, where are we at here
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: with Missouri State? They do also play Kensas State next
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: week and Kanessas State is one of the remaining undefeated
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: teams in Conference USA, so that's gonna be a big
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: game as well. Missouri State could still get into the
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: conference championship though, so maybe Missouri State is not done yet.
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: So that's the one thing that kind of has that
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: I hesitate here. I have two hesitations because I like
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: UTEP in this game, but I have two hesitations here.
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: So one is that Missouri State still could potentially make
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: the championship game because there are still a few games
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: left here, although one of the things they're gonna have
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: to do is beat ken saw and that is their
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: next game, so it does look like a sandwich spot here,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: so I do worry about that. Still, UTEP a pretty
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: ugly team this year at two and seven. My hesitation
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: here with UTEP, though, is that UTEP is also coming
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: off a big game. Is they played the other undefeated
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: in the conference, Jacksonville State, last weekend. They lost the
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: game right at the end of the game on a
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: field goal, So UTEP, even though Jacksonville State was actually
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: only a one and a half point favorite in this game,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: UTEP took Jacksonville State to the wire. Man. That was
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: a big performance from UTEP. Jacksonville State actually outgained them
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: by almost one hundred yards in the game, but UTEP
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: was in that game right to the end. They lost
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: on a field goal right at the end of the game.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: Brutal way for UTEP to lose that game. Now they
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: have to go to an unfamiliar venue because Missouri State
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: is new to the conference. So those are my hesitations
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: with giving out UTEP as a play here. I thought
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: I was going to it first because it looked like
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: a pretty significant sandwich spot, So I will still need
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: to taking the points with UTEP, but it does not
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: make my card. Missouri State up from four and a
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: half to four and a half with juice, so the
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: money is actually kind of coming in on Missouri State
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: here eighty percent of the tickets, ninety percent of the
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: casual on them, I will disagree with it. They are
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: still public, so I would still lean towards fading the public.
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: And that one with UTAP plus the points, it also
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: almost looks too easy to lay the points, Like why
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: is Missouri State who is six and three and they're
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: four and one in conference? Why are they only laying
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: four and a half at home to two and seven
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: and one in fourign conference Utah. So it does almost
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: look too easy to lay the points with Missouri State
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: in that one, so I have a hesitation for that
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: reason as well. Colorado State at New Mexico is an
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: interesting set up here where I was considering this one.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: New Mexico they just went into UNLV and they beat
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: UNLV obviously in an upset, even though I've been talking
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: about how UNLV's overrated all year. I was only a
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: four and a half point upset. But New Mexico they
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: played well this year, man, even though I think they're
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: in a rebuild season, they went in and they beat UNLV,
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset, and it's even bigger than that
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: because New Mexico got their sixth win and that means
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: they're Bowl eligible, and if you can correct me if
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong, but I look back and I believe New
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: Mexico has not played in a Bowl since twenty sixteen,
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: So that is actually really really big for New Mexico
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: to get a six win where I think they were
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: thinking that they weren't going anywhere this year and now
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: they're Bowl eligible and they did it by pulling off
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: an upset. And they're also coming out of a buy
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: now because they went into the buy in a three
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: game well they went into the buy and I think
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: the buye is a bad thing because they went into
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: the buy on a three game win streak, including finishing
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: it with that crazy upset of UNLV, although not that
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: crazy on the as far as the osmakers are concerned,
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: but still big deal when you go into UNLV and
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: beat them when UNLV has been atop this conference the
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: last couple of seasons, so there are a lot of
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: indicators to fade New Mexico in this game. Man, this
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: is also not their final home game because they do
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: finish the season against San Diego State, So this does
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: look like a bad spot for New Mexico for all
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: of these reasons. Now for Colorado State, this gets interesting
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: because Colorado State just played UNLV last week and they
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: lost horrifically at home. They lost forty two to TEND.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: So people are gonna look at this and say, if
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: New Mexico went into UNLV and beat them by five
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: on the road at UNLV and Colorado State at home
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: lost by thirty two to UNLV, this looks so easy
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: to lay the points in New Mexico, right And will
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: Colorado State get up for it?
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: Those another question?
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: Because Colorado State does that boising next, which will be
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: the pretty much their biggest remaining game, maybe they will
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: still be focused on New Mexico. Man. I mean that
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: New Mexico game again was a monumental win for a
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: couple of different reasons there. As I just mentioned, there
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: is that sort of transit of property thing here where
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: the recreational betters are going to see that both teams
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: just face UNLV the same opponent and read into that
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: way too much. Colorado State, they don't really have anything
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: left to play for this season except to play out
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: the stretch though, So will they show up for New
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: Mexico that is the question, and will New Mexico still
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: show up is the other question, because New Mexico actually
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: is not eliminated from conference contention. Because now New Mexico,
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: if they went out and they beat Colorado State here,
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: which they should because they are a big favorite here,
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: and then they win at air Force, excuse me, they
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: finished their season against San Diego State, and San Diego
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: State is one of the one lost teams atop the conference.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: And also San Diego State plays Boise State this week,
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: so one of those teams has to become a two
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: loss team. So if that's the case, the New Mexico
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: does actually have a chance to still make the Mountain
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: West title game. So that's kind of my concern here
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: with fading New Mexico. But everything else looks like it's
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: a fade of New Mexico to me here man, so
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Colorado State in this game.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: This one was close to being a play for me.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: New Mexico is up from fourteen to fourteen with juice
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: very public, eighty eight percent of the tickets, ninety percent
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: of the cash for now, though, I kind of think.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: The cash is going to start flipping in the other direction.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: I do worry about Colorado State being a pretty bad
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: team though in general, though that's obviously factored into the
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: line though, But I do think the spot is worse
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: for New Mexico. But hopefully that analysis made sense. There's
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: a lot of stuff going into that game. Man, you
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: think Missouri State is boul brained. What are we talking about?
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: I don't understand what you mean.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: Kennesaw, they know the Dakotas.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure what we're talking about here at all.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: Missouri State, I mean, yeah, justin I'm having a hard
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: time figuring out what you're saying there. But my read
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: on that game is to take the points with UTEP,
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: Like I do think it sets up as a pretty
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: major sandwich spot to be honest, from Missouri State. Really,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: the hesitation I have is that UTEP is also coming
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: off a big game. All right. One are the games
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: that I want to talk about before I get some
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: actual plays. I'm skipping some of these games that are
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: just games that are just crap pretty much. Let me
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: see what other games that I even really want to hit.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: Southern miss in Texas State is actually interesting because Southern
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: Miss is five and oh in the conference, seven and
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: two overall, in Texas State's three and six and they're
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: overall and zero to five in the conference. Yet Southern
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: Miss is a three and a half point home favorite,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: So the odsmakers are basically telling you these teams are even.
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: So it's like that, like this line looks so easy
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: to lay the points with Southern Miss. Man, it's ridiculous.
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't do that. I would look towards taking
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: the points in Texas State. And Texas State is a
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: team that they might be the most underrated team in
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: the country. Man, it's just shocking, Like how many losses
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: they've taken this year or they shouldn't have lost, including
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: one game that I was well the game that I
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: was on, they deserve to lose the game, but it
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: was just a game where I thought they were in
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: a much better spot to show up for it. In
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: Texas State, under their current coach, they've been really, really good,
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: actually made Bowls the last couple of years. It looks
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: like they may not this year, but they do still
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: have a chance to do so. So now Texas State,
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: they should already have a bunch of wins, man. I mean,
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: they've some losses that are just ridiculous, and on the road.
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: If you look what they've done on the road this season.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: They they did lose my margin at Arizona State, but
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: that's a big twelve team, so you can give them
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: a pass for that. But the road games that they
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: played otherwise, they lost by one at Arkansas State, they
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: lost by three in double overtime at Marshall, and they
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: lost by three in their last game last week at Louisiana,
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: And that's an ugly loss because Louisiana is not that good.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: Texas State was a favorite there.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: Texas State, by the way, they were favorites in these
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: games against Arkansas State, Troy, Marshall, in Louisiana, and they lost.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: All four of those.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: So they lost four games or they were favored, So
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: that kind of tells you that they're also underperforming as well.
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: I think Texas State's going to show up in this
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: game too, because that was another ugly loss where they
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: were a favorite last week. Now they get Southern Miss.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: You know, Southern Miss sitting atop the conference. Texas State
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: wants a shot at Southern Miss. Here man, Southern Miss
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: also being marsh Yeah, Southern Miss is Marshall from last year,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: which is very very strange as well. So I forget
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: what Texas State did against Marshall last year, although they
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: didn't play them, but Marshall I believe actually, uh, they
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: either won the conference or they at least made the
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: conference championship last year, So Texas State might want a
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: shot at Southern Miss for that reason, as weird as
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: that sounds. The other thing is that this is actually
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: a winnable game for Texas State and if they win
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: this game, I actually think they'll still make a bowl
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: because their remaining games are at home against pretty bad
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: teams in Joel Monroe and South Alabama, so Texas State
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: will be favored in those games, so they could actually
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: still make a bowl. So everything is in front of
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: them here. Whereas for Southern Miss, they have they have
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: padding in the in this conference. Man, so they have
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: a two game lead over Arkansas State and Troy now
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: because Troy lost U the other day. For me, unfortunately,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss, I mean they can fourd to slip up
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: here a little bit because and they also have Troy
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: at the end of the season. So basically as long
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: as they beat Troy at the end of the season,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: and they already beat Arkansas State on the road, so
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: they have the tiebreaker against Arkansas State, so it's almost
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: impossible for them to lose this this division of the
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: Sun Belt West, which of course, winning the division means
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: they're gonna make the They're gonna make the title game
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: here for the conference, so they they honestly don't have
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: that much left to play for here. They have to
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: win against Troy basically in their final home game, kind
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: of depending on if Troy even catches up to them, Like,
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: they might not even need to win that game, depending
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: on what happens here.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I don't like it.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: Man. The only thing that gives me a little bit
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: of hesitation is that last week Southern miss did play
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: against Arkansas State and they played ugly in the game.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: And this Arkansas State team, not really that great. Southern
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: missis was a six and a half point favorite and
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: they only won by six and it was a close game.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: I think it was a high not high scoring, but
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: it was a high yardage game where both teams put
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: up a ton of yards. Arkansas State, though, had six
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: turnovers in the game and Southern Miss was only able
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: to win by six. That's kind of a red flag.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: Even though Southern Miss did out gain them by seventy
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: yards or whatever, the fact that they were plus fourig
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: turnovers and they couldn't really take that much of advantage
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: of it, that's not that good for Southern Miss. And again,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: so dude, Southern Miss is Marshall from last year, and
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: I had such problems with Marshall because I kept saying
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: how overrated Marshall was last year, and they kept beating me.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: They kept beating me, which sucks.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: I'm almost tempted to add this to my card, man,
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: even though we I think we've lost some value on
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: the number here. But yeah, now, that was actually a
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: big game though for Southern Miss to beat Arkansas State
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: because Arkansas State was a one loss team in their division.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: So the fact that Southern Miss beat Arkansas State means
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: that they have a two game lead plus the tiebreaker
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: on them. Now, so that was actually a big game
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: for Other Miss. You know what, I am thinking I
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: might want to add this now. Oh my god, I'm
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: thinking about it. Yeah, I kind of want to do it,
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: uh man. Yeah, the public is definitely on them. SOB,
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: you're you're on Texas State Louisiana Tech against Washington State.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: I haven't. I haven't. I mean I looked at it,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: but I'm gonna i'll talk about it. I guess it
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: didn't jump out at me, though it didn't really jump
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: out at me as being a game. I wanted to
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: do anything with this game. I kind of do though.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: Let me see, I want to add a sixth play here.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: Southern misses down from six and a half to three though,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: so we have lost a decent amount of value on
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: this which I don't love. Because the games have given out,
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: we have not lost as much value.
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: So being you know, very.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: I'm being very selective this time because I like a
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: lot of games this week. The best we can get
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: on this game right now is three, not even a
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: three and a half. I'm gonna leave it alone, but
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: I like Texas State here man. Texas State has also
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: let me down way too much this season, even though
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: I think it was just that one game Memphis at
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: East Carolina. This looks weird too, because East Carolina is
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: a couple of games worse than Memphis, and East Carolina's
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: actually favored in this game from Memphis, you could argue
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: that they're in a dream crusher spot now because they
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: just took their second loss in conference, losing to Tulane
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: in primetime. That was a pretty big loss to take. Man,
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go out on the road to face
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: East Carolina and they do have Navy how to finish
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: the season after that. Navy is gonna be a big
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: game from Memphis, if Memphis is even still alive at
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: that point, although the fact that they do face Navy
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: actually means that Memphis might still have motivation here because
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: Memphis is not mathematically eliminated yet, so they're one of
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: those teams where maybe they do actually just play more loose,
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: and they did lose that game to Tulane as a favorite,
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: so maybe they will be a little bit angry. So
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: you have to try to gauge what their mental state
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: will be here, like will they be in a dream
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: crusher spot or will they show up here because all
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: the teams above them in the in the conference have
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: to have one loss, so if some of these teams
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: fall down, Memphis could potentially still make the title game,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: so they're not actually completely out of it yet, even
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: though there are two games left. If they beat Navy,
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: obviously that will be helpful to them, so maybe I'm
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: not quite ready to do this, although I do lean
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: to East Carolina in this game though. East Carolina is
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: coming up of an easy game last week where they
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: beat Tulane excuse they beat Charlotte and easy win there.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: East Carolina did become Bowl eligible again, but they're usually
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: at a bowl, so that's not really a big deal
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: for East Carolina. East Carolina they're actually a one loss team,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: so they could actually make the title game as well.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: Though it does mean that Memphis kind of needs to
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: beat them to knock them down to a two loss team,
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: and then Memphis would have the tiebreaker against them and
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: overtake them. But it is also a Senior Day for
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: East Carolina, so it's their last home game of the season,
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: so that's extra motivation. So I kind of see factors
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: going both ways here. Man, I would lean to East
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: Carolina here. The money's actually kind of saying differently. I'm
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: gonna stay away, but it does look too easy to
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: take the points with Memphis though, being the team with
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: the better record and getting points or East Carolina's up
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: from two and a half to three ticket sixty four
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Memphis though, so the money
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: is saying Memphis here.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna stay away.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: Though Tulane could be in a letdown spot because they
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: did just beat Memphis.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: That was a huge win for them.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: Temple was up next for them, and Temple has been
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: pretty good in this conference too, although actually Temple dropped
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: down to a three loss teams, so that's not as
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: big of a game as I thought it was. But
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: you could argue Tulane's just simply in a letdown spot
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: off of that big win in primetime on the road
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: at Memphis. But Tulane is still trying to make the
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: conference championship game, man, so maybe they won't overlook FAU here.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: This is not Tulane's final home game, though they can
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: also beat FAU without covering. Of course, FAU is in
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: a better spot here because they just beat Tulsa. I mean,
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: no big deal there. They probably will try to show
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: up because they do have the chance to maybe play
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: spoiler against Tulane because they think if Tulane does take
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: another loss, they will be screwed. Tulane up from fifteen
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: and a half to seventeen and a half, sixty percent
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them fifty five percent of the
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: cash coming in an FAU. I'll agree with that one,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: especially at seventeen and a half. I would agree with
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: taking the points with FAU.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: Do I love it not enough?
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, I do think it's a letdown spot that
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: Tulane is in the East Carolina cannot defend explosive plays,
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: SOB you have East Carolina. I do agree with that one.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: UNC At wake Forest, Wake Forest, I mean, man, Wake Forest,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: they became Bowl eligible, which I think is actually big
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: for them because I didn't actually look like, when's the
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: last time Wake was.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: In a bowl.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: I think it's been a while, man, I mean I
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: could go back and look, they were in a bowl.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: Actually on in twenty twenty two was the last time
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: Wake was in a bowl. So it's been a while.
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: So getting a sixteenth win is big. And not only that,
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: but they did it on the road as an underdog
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: against ranked Virginia. So that was a huge win for
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest. And in addition to that, Wake sucked in
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: this game. Wake only had two hundred and three yards
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: of offense. Virginia shot themselves in the foot because I
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: think Virginia as I said, was maybe looking ahead to
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: the Duke game of Virginia had three turnovers in the game,
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: So Wake won that game despite getting out played basically
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: and not playing that well. Now they host North Carolina.
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: It is their last ACC home game though, because they
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: have Delaware up next, which is their final home game,
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: so technically Senior Day is against Delaware. But the thing
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: that gives me pause on fading Wake here though and
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: saying that yes, they're definitely in a letdown spot is
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: that Wake Forest does consider themselves to be a little
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: brother in North Carolina, So I think just because it's
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: North Carolina, I think they might actually still show up
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: for this game against North Carolina. So that's the one
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: hesitation that I would have in fading Wake here North Carolina.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: They're on a little bit of a mini run here,
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: beating Syracuse at Stanford, I mean, not really impressive, but
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: they're starting to play better, especially defensively, so the Belichick
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: experiment is actually at least doing something. And they do
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: have Duke next, which do you think they might consider
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: that to be actually a bigger game than Wake Forest,
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: because Wake still is kind of like the bastard child
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: in North Carolina. Where North Carolina still has Duke and
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: NC State coming up next. So I do have hesitations
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: with North Carolina on this one, and with thinking that
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: Wake might actually still want to show up in this game,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: but I'll still lean towards fading Wake. This is also
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: ridiculously low total at thirty eight Wake.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, they just can't score.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: So that's another reason to maybe take the points against them,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: because they should probably not be laying points like this.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: They're down from six to five and a half, fifty
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and sixty nine percent of the.
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: Cash on UNC in this game.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Wake, I mean, low scoring game like this,
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: Wake very very pathetic offensively, they don't really have the
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: weapons to cover numbers like this as a favorite. North
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: Carolina will probably slow their offense down a bit too,
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: because they've turned into a defensive team after we signed
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: North Carolina be insane offensively and terrible defensively. They're the
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: complete opposite under Belichick. So yes, I would take the
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: points with North Carolina and that one you want the
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: under I mean I don't think I could do under
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: thirty eight. I mean, I mean I could see why
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: you would want it, though, I mean I would not
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: want to take an over really, but North Carolina money line,
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: I would take the points. I don't see why you
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: would take the money line. I would take the points
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: with North Carolina though in that game, and that one
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: is close to being a play for me. And if
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: you take the points, put some of the put some
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: of it on the money line Liberty. I think Liberty's
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: in a dream crusher spot at this point. Man. Liberty
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: struggled out of the gate this season. They were the
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: favorite to win the Conference USA to start the season.
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: They still could have done it until last week because
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: they had one loss. Now they got two losses, so
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: they might be fucked, although they I think they're not
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: mathematically eliminated though, because there's still three games left. But
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: it's looking close to dream crusher territory to me. Man,
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: with that loss against Missouri stated though, you could argue
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be angry about it and show up because
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: they lost as a favorite. So I could see it
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: going both ways, but I kind of lean more towards
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: the dream crusher phenomenon here. Florida International as their opponent
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: this week, and this is not their final home game.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: I'm not an easy win over a very bad Middle
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: Tennessee team last week. I would fade Liberty here. Again,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: I do think they're in probably a dream crusher spot
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: at this point. I think they needed to win that
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: game last week. For the most part, it's highly unlikely,
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: at the very least, that they have any chance to
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: win the Conference USA now, which was their goal this year.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: I guess you could argue they still have.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: An eye on winning, on getting bowl eligible, but I
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: mean they're used to being in bowls. They've been in
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: bowls last few years, so they were supposed to win
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: the conference this year. So they are a disappointed team
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: assuming that they're not going to win the conference now.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: The mathematically, I think they are technically not eliminated, which
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: is kind of my hesitation here, but I would take
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: the points with FU. It also looks too easy to
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Liberty because Liberty still got that
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: name recognition.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: They're up from two and a half to three.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: Basically here, fifty two percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash on FVIU. I would
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: take the points with FYU and that one Carolina at
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern. There's a lot to talk about in these
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: late season games. Man Coastal is at six and three
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: and five and one in the conference. Yes, they're bowl eligible.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know how big being bowl eligible for them
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: is because they are a program that has been in
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: bowls recently. Two years ago they won a bowl. Last
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: year they lost a bowl, so they are in bowls
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: a lot. So I don't know that being bowl eligible
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: matters that much. Especially Coastal ridiculously still actually has a
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: chance to get into the Sun Belt title game because
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: they actually played James Madison in the final week of
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: the season, so that game actually matters potentially, So if
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: Coastal is still one game behind James Madison at that
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: point or less, they could beat James Madison and actually
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: win them win the division, even though I think Coastal
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: is a complete fraud. And looking at these records here
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: six and three for Coastal, five and one in the conference,
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: up against Georgia Southern.
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: Four and five overall and two and three in.
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: The Sun Belt. Yet Georgia Southern is a favorite here
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: of basically home fields. The Osbergers are basically telling you
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: these teams are basically even, which is insane. So it
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy to take the points of Coastal,
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: even though yes, I hesitate to do it because they're
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: a team that is still fighting to get into the
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: conference title game and they're getting points, so I don't
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: quite want to do it. But Coastal, again, I think
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: they're fraudulent, Like they really have not faced a difficult
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: schedule coming into conference. They face Juell Monroe, app State,
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: They did face Marshall, but Marshall is still not that
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: great this year, and then Georgia State bad teams, So
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: Coastal has faced a lot of bad Sun Belt teams
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: in South Alabama as well, so they've had a pretty
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: easy schedule. Georgia Southern their schedule has been more difficult.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: They didn't have to go to the Pacific Coast twice
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: to open the season Fresno and USC that's not easy.
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: And then in conference they actually beat jackson Oh no,
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: that was a CUSA. Wait, Jacksonville State. Are they in
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: the c USA now, Yeah? But being Jacksonville State's a
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: decent win for Georgia State. And then they already had
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: to play James Madison they lost that game. They played
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss already and lost that game, so they've played
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: more difficult conference opponents as well, and they last played
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: last Thursday at app State and barely got by that game,
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: So I think they have extra time off here because
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: Coastal played on Saturday, so a little bit extra rest
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: there for Georgia Southern as well. I would lay the
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: points to Georgia Southern. Still, if I was gonna do
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: this up from two and a half to three, fifty
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: six percent of the tickets sixty seven percent of the
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: cash on Georgia Southern Michigan State. I'll talk about that
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: game eventually. You're on Georgia Southern.
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you're sob.
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: I think you're you're not restricting yourself enough. I would say,
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: even though I think if I splashed the board, I
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: would probably win. But I'm trying to be very very
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: selective here. I will say that Purdue at Washington. Purdue
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: having to go out to the Pacific Coast seems like
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: a weird spot here, man. I mean, I don't think
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: they've done it this season, so it's not a good
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: spot for Purdue. Purdue is not going anywhere. They're not
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: gonna become Bowl eligible. They do have their final home
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: game against Indiana, which is a big game because it's
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: in Indiana. Rivalry don't know that they're really going to
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: pay attention to Washington here, and Washington just had that
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: horrendously ugly loss at Wisconsin last week, so I kind
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: of expect Washington to show up here after a bad
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: loss like that, and it's a weird travel spot for Purdue.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: I would lay it with Washington in this one.
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: They're sitting as a seventeen and a half point favorite,
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: cash on them, so the money seems to agree with it,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: even though they're public. I'm just running through a couple
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: of these games quick Delaware at Sam Houston.
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: We know Sam Houston pulled off that.
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: Absurd win last week, so on the one hand, you
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: could argue that that gets the monkey off their back
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: finally where they're no longer win list. They finally have
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: a win, but they're on the Pacific coast, they're having
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: to travel back into Texas now, and they off a
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: twenty something point upset here, so I think it is
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot here for them. I don't know what
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: happened to a Hunter Watson though, did he get hurt
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: in the game. I see Sam Houston's quarterback. He didn't
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: even play. I guess, so Sam Houston, I guess just
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: benched him because he hasn't been effective enough.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: I don't know. Man.
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: Now they get Delaware, and Delaware might be a little
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: bit more motivated though, because Delaware is a five win
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: team here and if they get one more win, they're
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: going to be technically Bowl eligible in their first season
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: in the FBS. They'd have to petition like I met
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: you in Missouri State, but that would be big for them.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: So I do actually expect Delaware to show up, although
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: they did just beat Louisiana Tech last week, which was
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: a big game I think for Delaware as they were
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: an underdog there. But the spot to me, is a
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: lot worse for Sam Houston. You could argue Delaware has
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: a look ahead to Wake Forest next, so I don't
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: quite love this one, but I would probably go with Delaware.
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: But you also have to lay a ton of points
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: on the road, and I'm not really quite loving that,
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: especially when it's gone through the key number of ten.
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: It went from eight to eleven, so I'm gonna leave
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: it alone. Man, if it was still below ten, it
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: will be a lot more tempting to do it. Ninety
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: on Delaware, even though they're public. I just don't think
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: the public is even getting involved in that, or I
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: should say, even though they have the high ticket percentage,
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: I just don't really think the public's even getting involved
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: in that game. Virginia Tech and Florida State interesting game,
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: just you know too probably disappointed ACC teams. This is
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: kind of the Disappointment Bowl of Virginia Tech to just
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: lose at home to a Louisville That was two weeks ago,
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: so they did go into a bye, so now they're
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: coming out of a bye, so that buy might actually
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: help Virginia Tech. I know they have big games up
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: next against Miami and Virginia, but Florida State is such
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: a big name. I just don't think you're gonna really
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: overlook Florida State, and especially coming out of a bye
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: that I think should help Virginia Tech. Kind of write
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: the ship there and it's not gonna happen, but they could.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: They could win out and become Bowl eligible herero I
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: don't think it's going to happen, but technically possible for
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: Florida State. They just lost to Clemson last week, and
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: I think that could be kind of a It's kind
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: of a worse spot for Florida State here because I
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: think they got up for that game against Clemson, kind
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: of a big emotional get up game. And now they're
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: coming back home. But it is their final home game,
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: although it's been a disappointing season for them, but maybe
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: they will give their fans something to see at home.
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: So I don't really want to fade Florida State, although
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: I do lean towards taking the points with Virginia Tech here.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: Florida State did go up from thirteen to thirteen and
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: a half. It's headed towards fourteen, so I think it
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: might hit fourteen. If you do like Virginia Tech here,
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: you'll probably get the two touchdowns. Money looks like it's
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: on Florida State a little bit though, sixty seven percent
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: of tickets, seventy four percent of the cash on them.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: Do I want any part of it? No?
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 2: No, I do not.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: Okay, what else do we want to talk about here?
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: I mean Mississippi State and Missouri? I mean, is this
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: the Disappointment Bowl? I don't know. I'm Mississippi State. I
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: think this game means more to them because they could
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: become Bowl eligible at some point here.
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: I know they play oh Miss to finish the season.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: This might be a slightly more winnable game though against Missouri.
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State. It would mean I think something to this
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: team to become bowl eligible because they were so bad
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: last year, their quarterback got hurt. Whatever. Getting back to
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: a bowl would be big form Mississippi State.
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: They lost in a blowout last week to Georgia.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: I think they may show up WHEREUS Missouri just took
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: their third loss, so they could be in kind of
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: a dream crusher type of scenario. Hero though I don't
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: know if maybe they thought they could do something prior
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: to that, but they just faced two ranked teams man
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: Vandy and Texas A and M. I think with a
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: bye in between the two, but they came out of
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: the by couldn't get it done against.
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: A and M.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: They're pretty much done for the season now, man. I mean,
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: I expect they'll probably show up against Oklahoma last week,
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: but my hesitation with fading Missouri. Of course, this is
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: actually their senior day, so this is their final home game,
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: so maybe they do have a reason to show up
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: just for that reason. As disappointing as it's been for them,
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points of Mississippi State,
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: though Missouri up from six to seven, fifty six percent
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on the fifty nine percent of the
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: cash on Mississippi State. Okay, Kennisaan Jacksonville State, this is
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: actually a pretty good game. This is an interesting game
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: in the CUSA because these teams are battling for the
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: top seed in the CUSA, which every team loses, this
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: game is gonna have to, you know, defend themselves for
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: the rest of the season to try to make sure
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: they get into the conference championship, which every team wins.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: This game is highly likely to get into the conference championship,
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: both teams being undefeated in conference right now. It's been
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: a good run for both these teams. Kennesaw coming kind
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: of from.
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: Out of nowhere.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: I think they were new to FBS last year. They're
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: rolling and last week they almost lost to New Mexico State,
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: and I talked about how I thought that was kind
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: of a bad spot for them, maybe looking ahead to
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State coming out of a buy which I thought
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: was kind of a momentum killer. So I mentioned I
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: like New Mexico State plus the points. Last week, they
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: did get it done, losing only by three, So Kennessaw
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: had kind of a lackluster game. I think it was
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: because they were looking ahead to this though, So this
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: game they will show up for for Jacksonville State. I
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: think they might not have expected a whole lot this
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: season either, because they lost rich Rod and whatever. They're
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: on a bit of a roll too, and now they're
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: coming back home for this one. So I do see
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: both teams showing up for this one, so it is
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: an interesting one. I don't really know if I have
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: much of an idea on this game, although Kennesaw interestingly
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: is a road favorite here, so I would probably actually
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: lay it with Kennesaw in this one.
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: It looks like Jacksonville State is a.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: Public home underdog here, which is a red flag to
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: me that that's a team that you do want to
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: look to fade sixty percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: only fifty percent of the cash, and then with the
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: osrig is telling you shockingly that Kenisaw is actually the
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: better team up from two to three. Now, so if
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: you do like Kennesau, you got to try to lay
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: the three before it gets to three and a half.
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: On that one, I probably agree with it, but that
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: one doesn't make my card at all obviously. I mean,
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: I just thought that was that's a big game. It's
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: an interesting game at eight pm Eastern on ESPN New
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech and Washington State.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: What do we do with this one?
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, Louisiana Tech they need one more win to
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: become Bowl eligible, which I think I don't know how
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: big that is because they did make a Bowl last year.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a loss at Delaware, which they did
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: lose that game as a favorite, so that was kind
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: of an ugly loss with Louisiana Tech probably should have
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: gotten a done in that game. Now, they do have
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: to go to the Pacific Coast for the first time
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: this year, so that is kind of a brutal travel spot.
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: They're going out to Washington State. But debatably, they could
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: be in a bit of a bounce back after losing
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: as a favorite to Delaware. Again, they need one more
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: win to become Bowl eligible, so that might keep them
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: motivated still because they don't think they really had aspirations
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: to win that conference this year.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: I don't really know Washington State.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: They're coming out of a bye where they lost to
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: Oregon State, which was kind of an ugly loss. Although
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: I mentioned this game before it happened, I liked Oregon
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: State in this game. Is Oregon State was undervalued because
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: the record looks so bad, but they'd played I think
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: a more difficult schedule and they got the win. So
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: Washington State went into the bye on that ugly note,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: on that ugly game. So I think the bye is
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: helpful to Washington State coming out of that buy having
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: gone into it on a really bad note. They do
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: have James Madison up next. Is that gonna be a
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: bigger game for them?
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, they technically like they could become Bowl eligible
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: as well. The Washington State was in a Bowl last
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: year as well. They got massacred by Syracuse, but becoming
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: Bowl eligible maybe still a big deal for them. I
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: struggle with this game, man. I mean, I agree it's
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: a better spot for Washington State here. I would probably
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: lean that way. I think the buy is helpful. The
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: travel spot doesn't look good for Louisiana attack. I don't
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: think it's strong, not enough for me to make my
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: card or whatever money is coming in on Washington State.
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: But also, if you like them, you could have laid
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: six and a half and now it's seven and a half,
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: So you're losing the best of the key number there
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: if you do it. So I don't love that either.
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: It doesn't look like you're gonna get a seven anymore either,
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: because the higher ticket percentage is also on that side.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: So I don't think that number is coming back down.
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: I think if you wanted it, you had to have
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: gotten it earlier, because I yeah, I mean, the seven
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: and a half is not something I'm interested in laying.
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: Here seventy nine percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: the casual Washington State. The money is on that side.
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: I agree with it, but not that strongly. And again, yeah,
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, I just don't really, I don't love losing
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: value like that through a key number either. Washington State
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: good at home ats, Yeah.
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: Washington State.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: The other good thing about them is that they had
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: done a bunch of travel, so that was a good
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: time to get a buy because they'd crisscross the country
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: a bunch. Louisiana had to switch to bus travel. Oh okay,
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: I didn't realize you had said that. Well, I saw
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: that you had said that. I was like, wait, what
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: is he talking about? All right?
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that does make it worse. So what why
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: was that the case?
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: Though?
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 2: Like, oh, I guess just because the nearest.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: Airport, I guess is that far away and it's an
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar venue for them. So yeah, I'm not gonna disagree
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: with you on that one, but yeah, I mean not
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: one that that really totally caught my eye. And then
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: we got to talk about Boise in San Diego State. Man,
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: this is a huge Mountain West match up at ten
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern on CBS Sports. Both of these.
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 2: Teams are in the mix here.
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: Boise is still one loss in conference and I believe
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: all San Diego State also is.
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: Boise is coming out of a buy and they went
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: into that buy in.
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: A horrific note, losing thirty to seven to Fresno State.
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: And what happened in this game was Boise State lost
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: Maddox Madsen, their quarterback there, who I believe has been
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: their quarterback for a long time now, and they brought
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: in cut Forth as their backup quarterback and he was
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: not good.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: He was below fifty.
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: Percent completions, He had multiple interceptions, but that does mean
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: this is an injured player spot.
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: For Boise State now.
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: So now Boise State knows they're gonna have to step
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: up their game here because their quarterback is now injured,
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna go with cut Forth again. And it
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: happened in a good time because when you get a buy,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: not only did they go into the buy in a
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: bad note there so they can fix things, but that
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: means you get an extra week practicing with your new
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: quarterback here, so that should actually help him improve a
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: little bit here. So I actually think that's that is
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: definitely a good thing that Boise he had to buy.
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: Then they're going up.
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: Against San Diego State, and San Diego State did also
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: take a very ugly loss last week at Hawaii, getting
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: a nigh thirty eight to six. It was one of
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: the worst performances from San Diego State defensively all seasons.
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: It was the worst I think all season as well.
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: That's not good, and that doesn't mean they're having to
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: travel back with no week off. They're having to travel
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: back from Hawaii, which is not great.
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 2: Although I know it's something that San Diego State does
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: have to do.
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: I think every other year having to go out of
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: to Hawaii, but still Boise State was on a bye
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: in San Diego State's coming back from Hawaii, so it's
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: not an easy spot for San Diego State. And this
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: game obviously has huge implications because one of these teams
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: is going to be sitting really nicely atop the Mountain
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: West and very likely get to the Mountain West Championship.
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: With one loss there, one of these teams is going
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: to fall down into the two loss categories. This is
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: a huge game for both teams. I like Boise in
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: this one, though. Boise as the uglier record because they
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: did get that loss early in the season, and San
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: Diego State is now a favorite because Boise lost their
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: quarter and I think Boise would have been a favorite
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: if Madsen didn't get hurt, so I think it's an
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: overreaction in the line as well. San Diego State wasn't
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: really expected to do a whole lot this year, and
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: they've been impressive.
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: For sure.
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: They're good defensively, not really anything to talk about offensively.
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: They're up from one and a half to two. Here
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the tickets on San Diego State,
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: but sixty two percent of the cash can be back
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: on Boise. The total is also low. It's all the
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: way down to forty and a half. So it did
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: go through that key number of forty one, or if
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: you like the under, you got to try to at
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: least get forty one in that game. But I like Boise.
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: It's an injured player spot with a very helpful buy.
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: San Diego State in a very war. I think in
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: a worse travel spot for sure, And I mean this
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: is still Boise's conference to lose until otherwise noted Man.
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: So even though yeah, both teams will show up for it,
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: I think it's a better spot for Boise. It actually
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: put in the effort here, So I lean to Boise.
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: In that game, they threw a game. They threw the
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: game away against Why you don't like Boise's backup? All right,
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: you're on San Diego State. I do not agree with
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: that one at all. Uh skit. The situational set up
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: definitely points to Boise in my opinion. Quarterback is injured
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: for Louisiana. Which quarterback is injured Louisiana tech? I mean,
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: if that's the kid, dude, I don't fade injured quarterbacks
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: in the first game. You know me. I mean they've
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: used the Louisiana States used a bunch of different quarterbacks though,
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: so I don't even know which of their quarterbacks is better.
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: But if we're looking at this game, did one of
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: their quarterbacks get hurt? Yeah? I guess so so bullet
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: got hurt. They used I guess Baker and ku Kuck
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: the kuk Kuk Klan. Who dude, Kukkuk got me that
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: cover against the LSU even though they only scored seven points.
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: He had fifty yards. But that was a win for
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: me in that game.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: But no, if a Louisiana Tech is having to go
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: to a backup quarterback again, that is uh, that's an
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: indicator on the Louisiana Tech side.
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: Man again, it's the injured player spot.
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: So yes, and I still like Boise Uh Fresno I
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: think is in a bad letdown spot here man Fresno.
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: They became Bowl eligible, which I think is fairly big
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: for them.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: They weren't a.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: Bowl last year though they usually do make bowls, but
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: that is their goal pretty much every year. They're coming
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: off a bye where they went into the by having
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: beaten Boise State. I mean, that was a huge win
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: for them maybe, though Boise State's quarterback went down.
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous win for Fresno.
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming out of a bye that they went
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: into on a really good note. Fresno now has Wyoming
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: and it's not their final home game Fresno. I guess
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: you could argue technically Fresno does still have a chance
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: to to make them out in West title game, though
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: because Fresno, well, Fresno doesn't face anybody that's above them
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: anymore though, so it's pretty unlikely they're gonna be able
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: to do that. So generally, I do think it's a
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: letdown spot coming off of a bye that I don't
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: think was helpful. Wyoming potentially still could make a bowl themselves,
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: and they went into the buy in a bad note.
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: They're coming out of a buy as well, and they
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: lost to San Diego State going into the buy. So
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: this is one of those inverted buy situations where I
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: would lean towards Wyoming in this game. Fresno's down for
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: five and a half to three and a half. Fifty
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets though on Wyoming right now fifty
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on Fresne, but that might
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: shift around. I don't agree with that, I would take
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: the points with Wyoming in that game. All Right, man,
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: I kind of want more water because I ran out
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: of water. I'm gonna, yeah, I'm gonna do it. I
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: feel like I do this every show now. But give
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: me one second and then I'll give you my best bets.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go to the best bets segment, baby, after
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: I come back, hang on and one of them, I'm
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: gonna have another drop to give you. There you're on Wyoming, Yes,
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: I agree with that one. All right, too many plays
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 1: for you though, but yes, it'll be the best bets
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: in a second. All right, back to it, baby, Alright,
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: let's go best bets alright. First one up, I mean
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: you guys might be able to guess what some of
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: these are because obviously the ranked matchups I haven't talked
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: about are involved here.
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: First play up is gonna be Notre Dame.
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: Actually, wait, why did I put nd Notre Dame minus
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: the points? Hold on, I'll spell it out because I
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: usually do Notre Dame minus the twelve and a half.
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: This is at Pitt.
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 2: I mean, first of all, pit sucks. Okay, Pitt they
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: are the pits?
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: Do they deserve to be ranked twenty second in the country.
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: Absolutely not. This is a noontime game on ABC. Notre
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: Dame ranked ninth. I think they're actually under ranked right now.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: I think Notre Dame is probably about a top five
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: team in the country, very good defensively, very good at
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: running the football, even though Pitt does stop the run defensively,
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: but I still think Pitt is gonna very much struggle
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: offensively themselves in this game against this Notre Dame physical defense. Pitt.
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're in a conference it's basically a finesse conference,
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: the ACC. At this point, they don't do well with physicality.
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: Pitt included as one of those teams, so I think
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame's gonna beat them up physically. Pitt being ranked
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: twenty second, in my opinion, is a joke. They do
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: not deserve to be ranked. Notre Dame also has way
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: more to play for in this game. Because Notre Dame
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: they took two losses at the beginning of the season,
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: everybody wrote them off. But because those losses are both
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: close losses to teams that both have shots at making
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: the playoffs Miami and Texas A and M Notre Dame
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: could still make the playoff here, but they do have
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: to win out and they certainly have to win this
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: game against Pitt, and they may even need style points.
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: That's another reason why I think laying the points of
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: the Notre Dame does make sense here because they might
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: have an incentive to actually win by margin here to
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: make themselves look better to the committee to make sure
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: they get into the playoff. Also, they run the football well.
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: I know Pitt does slow the run down a little bit,
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: but assuming that Notre Dame is gonna be playing with
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: the lead late in the game, which they should be,
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: teams that run the football well are actually good teams
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: to lay points with because they're gonna be running the
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: football right because they're ahead, so they're you know, trying
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: to like chew the clock and whatever. But when it's
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: a team that runs the football well and they're doing that,
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: doing that, they're doing what they do best. They can
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: actually score and pad the lead while they're actually still
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: trying to you know, end the game as well. So
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: that's actually good. And when you have a rushing team
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: like that, that's laying points, So I like that aspect
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: of this as well.
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: I know Notre Dame's coming up that big win over Navy.
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: But again, Notre Dame's got to focus on all these
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: games to finish the season off. So and they've just
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 1: been pounding everybody like since they lost those two games.
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: This Notre Dame team they're legit Pitt, is not legit Pitt.
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: They're coming out of a bye as well, and I.
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: Don't like that for Pitt because Pitt went into the
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: by winning five games in a row. That is one
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: of the worst times that you can have a bye
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: because that buy could stop your momentum. So they're getting
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: a buy at a bit at a bad time when
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: they want a bunch of games in a row. They
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: haven't lost, it's all the way back. It's us excusely
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: September twenty seventh, so they did not want to have
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: a buye at that time. And the other thing is, well,
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: this is a similar situation to h This is like
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: why I faded Duke last week. And what is that situation?
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's that this is not a conference game.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: Let me, I'll give you a drop here and we'll
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: let we'll let Pitt's coach Nardoozi Paton NARDOZI listen to
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: what he thinks about this game, and what you think
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: this means for a Pittsburgh's motivation and why I'm gonna
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: give out a Notre Dame. I feel like this is
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: a must land under this team comes absolutely not. You know,
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: it is not an ACC game. I'm gonna glad you
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: brought that up. It's not an ACC game, you know.
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: I gladly get beat one hundred and three or one
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: hundred and ten to ten in that game. They can
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: put one hundred up on us, and I was going
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: the next two after that, but again, our focus is
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: on on a Notre Dame and they can get this
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: many wins as we can. Yeah, you like that. You
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: hear what you just said. They asked him the Brian
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: Reagan question. If you're familiar with familiar with Brian Reagan's comedy.
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: I don't have that as a drop. I should have
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: added that, actually, Brian Reagan, I heard it. When you know,
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: when they ask, like a player, is this a must
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: win game, it's like, well, mathematically no, like no, no,
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: we could lose this next game. We're only down two
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: to nothing in the series. Now we could lose we could,
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: you know, or we're only down one nothing. We could
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: lose this game. We could lose the next one too,
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: So that's basically what Narduzzi is saying. So this is
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: a non conference game. Pitt doesn't need this game. Pitt
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: has one win, excuse me, one loss in the ACC.
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: They gotta win their next games against Georgia Tech in Miami.
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame does. Like, actually Notre Dame does not matter
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: to Pitt, And Narduzzi just told you that himself, and
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: he literally said, I don't even care if we lose
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: this game one hundred and ten to ten or whatever.
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: He says, one hundred and three to ten or one
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: hundred and ten to ten. I don't care if we
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: give up one hundred points of this game, Like, we
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: just need to win the next two. So he's literally
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: telling you they're not even gonna be focused on Notre Dame.
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: He's literally making an excuse for losing this game before
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: they even lose it. Pitt is gonna get absolutely destroyed
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: in this game, dude, Like, is that really what you
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: want your coach to be saying? Is that gonna motivate
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: your players? Hell, Tho, Notre Dame's gotta still win. They
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: might need style points. Pitt doesn't need the game. At all.
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: Pitt's gonna get run out of this building. Man, They're
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: gonna get absolutely smashed. Notre Dame minus the points. That
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: is the first play Pitter frauds. I don't even like
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame. I'm not a fan of Notre Dame at all.
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: But Shane Gillis I will be happy about it all right.
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: Next up, we're gonna take Arkansas plus the five.
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: This is against LSU.
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: If I can get my schedule back up here, how
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: do I lose the schedule?
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: Come on, man, I want to get out of here too.
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: It's late, baby.
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be against LSU. LSU is a dead team, dude.
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: They're an absolute disappointment this year. People might be saying, oh, well,
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: LSUS five wins, they're gonna be still playing for Bowl eligibility, right, Really,
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: do you think LSU making some like piece of crap bowl?
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: Do you think that's really what they want this year? No.
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: They came into the season, they brought back nuss Meyer.
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: Their goal was to win the championship this year and
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: they are so far from that. This is gonna be
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: a dead LSU team, man. And last week was one
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: of their last gas like this that was one of
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: the last games where I thought they were gonna put
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: an effort SAB I recommended against Alabama. I think maybe
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: they covered depending on what number you got, but I
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: don't think they really should have. LSU. That was I
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: think the last game they were gonna put it in
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: an effort until maybe their final game against Oklahoma. Like,
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: I know, this is their last home SEC game, but
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: what do they really have to play for here? They're
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: coming up that game against Alabama. It was a big game.
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: I think they were within eight points late in that
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: game too, in the fourth quarter.
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 2: They were only down eight.
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: Points, so they had a chance to maybe pull off
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: the upset against Alabama, and I think that's what they
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: wanted to do. Now they get to face this arc
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: saw a team and has a terrible record. Really, I
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: mean whatever, man, I don't think less is gonna be
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: very excited by the way LSU if they want to
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: make a Bowl. They faced Western Kentucky at home next week,
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: so LSU could just show up and win that game.
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: If they really want to get their six win and
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: make a Bowl, they probably will just win that game anyway.
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: So they don't even need to win this game to
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: become Bowl eligible and for Arkansas, Arkansas is two and seven,
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: but they're seriously underrated, man, I mean, look at their
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: losses this year. They lost by six at Old Miss.
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: They lost by one against Memphis on the road, and
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: I told you that was a trouble spot for Arkansas,
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: and I gave out Memphis as a play on my
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: show in that game, and Memphis had to make a
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: huge comeback in that game. But I thought it was
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: a terrible spot for Arkansas because it was sandwiched in
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: between Old Miss, who they played basically to the wire,
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: and then Notre Dame up next. So that was a
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: bad spot. Yes, Notre Dame killed them, but that was
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: that's starting to look like more of an outlier. Notre
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: Dame is good because after that, Arkansas went to Tennessee
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 1: and played them to within three. They lost by three
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: to Texas A and M. And they lost by eight
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 1: to Auburn, which is excusing nine still not a bad loss.
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: Really Auburn very underrated as well, and then they lost
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: to Mississippi State. We'll win a minute, and which one
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: was one of these games was the one that I
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: lost on which I think was was it the Mississippi
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: State game.
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 2: Let me see, Yeah.
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: This was the game where Arkansas was winning by fourteen
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter and they blew this game. For me,
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: that was a game where I gave out Arkansas in
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: that game against Mississippi State. They should have won that
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: game too. So this Arkansas team is underrated, man, and
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: now they're coming out of a bye. They went into
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: a bye on a six game lost streak or seven
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 1: game lost streak, excuse me. So I think that buy
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: is going to be helpful.
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: To them, man.
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, they don't have a whole lot left to
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: play for here, but I think when you have a buy,
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: when you're on a losing streak like that, you want
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: to come out and get a win at some point.
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: I think it's a big deal for them to play LSU, men,
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: because this used to be like a big rivalry game.
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: I think the game at this point matters a lot
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: more to Arkansas than it does LSU. I think they
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: would very much like to beat LSU here, so we're
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: gonna go with it. I think the buy is gonna
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: be helpful. I think LSU has nothing left to play
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: for here, so we're gonna take the points with Arkansas
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 1: against what I think is gonna be a very defeated
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: LSU team coming off their last gas like big game
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: against Alabama. LS use down for six and a half
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: to five. Here fifty one percent of the tickets. It's
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: sixty three percent of the cash on Arkansas. Surprise, the
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: public's not an LSU You would think that they would be.
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 1: Maybe they're just avoiding the game entirely. I know the
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: totals a bit high, but I actually think Arkansas might
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: be correlated to an over in this game because Arkansas
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: is the team has the better offense. Yes, LSU has
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: the better defense, but l t's use the team laying points.
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: LS use offense has been a big time disappointment this year. Man,
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: Arkansas can actually move the ball. They could score. So
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: we'll go We'll go with Arkansas plus the points in
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: that one. So there you go with that one cash
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: by a half point. Yeah, I mean I I recommended
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: against that for sure.
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 2: For sure.
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 1: Last week I thought LSU was in a spot where
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: they would get up for it, and I think they did.
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 2: It just wasn't quite enough.
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: Next up, we're gonna take Michigan State plus the points. SOB,
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 1: I mean you already knew that was gonna happen. I
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: think this is a major, major fade spot. The Penn
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: State is in. They're up to seven. You can easily
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: get this, sme, you might be able to get seven
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: and a half. Actually, I'm gonna call this seven and
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 1: a half. Actually, if we can find a seven and
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 1: a half, because it looks like it's seven with juice
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: right now, let me say, I'm gonna look right now
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: and see what we can get seven and a half
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 1: on this. I'm losing my voice as well. I don't
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: see it right now, but I mean, I don't know.
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, I would still obviously take the seven on
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: this too. Penn State up from six and a half
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: to seven here, sixty two percent of tickets, only fifty
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash. The pub look is on
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: Penn State for whatever reason, even though I think they're
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 1: still winless in the big ten. Totals not too high
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: at forty nine and a half. So that's another indicator
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: that you might want to look towards taking the points here.
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 2: So I do like that as well.
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: But the main factor here, by the way, this is
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: CBS at three point thirty pm Eastern. If you care
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: Penn State. They're coming off almost beating Indiana, Dude, and
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: Penn State. I mean, this is a This is as
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: disappointing as season as you could possibly have. Penn State
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: started the season with championship aspirations and now they might
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: not even make a bowl. And I don't even think
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: they care about making a bowl due because when you
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna be playing for a championship again, do
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 1: you really care about making some really lousy bowl game? No,
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 1: Like your players are probably just all gonna opt out
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: of the bowl anyway.
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 2: They do not care. Their super Bowl was basically last.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: Week against Indiana Man and they almost dealt Indiana loss.
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: That would have been huge for Penn State to get
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: that win, and it could have happened. Penn State was
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: winning that game in the final minute of the game
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: and it took a crazy catch on a pass from
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: Indiana there from Mendoza Cooper Junior with the catch there,
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: unbelievable catch to win the game on a long drive
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: to win the game from Indiana, ripping Penn State's hearts out. Basically,
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: Penn State absolutely played their guts out in that game.
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: That was their super Bowl. Man, they almost had to win.
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be massively deflayd coming off of that game.
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: And they do still have Senior Day up next week
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: against Nebraska, So if they're gonna get up for one
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: more game this year, it's probably that game because Nebraska's
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: played pretty well as well. So yeah, I think this
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: is also kind of a sandwich spot. But again, it's
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: just terrible spot to be in. And grunk Meyer has
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: not really been the answer for them at quarterback either.
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: He hasn't been good on Michigan State a little bit
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: under the radar. They've been decent defensively, you know, I
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: mean Michigan State. There are a lot of things I
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: like about Michigan State. Their spot coming in here. Michigan
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: State also is winless in the Big Ten. They're coming
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: out of a bye, so they went into a bye
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: having lost six games in a row. Again, I think
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: that's a good spot to have a bye because that
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 1: by can disrupt that losing momentum. Not only that, but
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: now they're coming out of that bye, they get to
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 1: play Penn State, which I think is a big deal
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: still from Michigan State.
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 2: You get to face Penn State.
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: The name is still big and this is Michigan State's
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: final home game because their last game of the season
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: is against Maryland, but it's like a neutral site game
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: or something. It's at Ford Field actually, so it's a
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: semi home game for Michigan State. So this is actually
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: their last game at home. This is senior Day from
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: Michigan State here man, so I think they're gonna show
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: up for that reason as well. I know Michigan State
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: they haven't figured out their quarterback. Chiles wasn't getting the
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: job none, so they've brought in Milivojevich for a bit.
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: I don't think it really matters. Milivojevic actually was good
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: in their game against Minnesota the last game that they played.
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: He threw for three hundred and eleven and they actually
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: ran the football pretty well as well. So Michigan State's
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: offense actually showing signs of life in that game. So
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 1: maybe that's a decent side as well. Their defense has
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: been I would say okay this year, but again, this
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: is just a horrible spot for Penn State as well.
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: In addition to it, I think being a positive spot
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 1: for Michigan State. So yeah, we're definitely doing that. Michigan
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: State plus the points love it all right. Next up,
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 1: we're going back to laying.
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 2: Some points here.
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay six and a half with USC. Hopefully
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 1: you can still get the six and a half on this.
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: It's been all like everywhere between seven and six and
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: a half. I mean six and a half obviously preferable
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 1: here because seven is a key number. I would probably
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: still lay the seven. I don't think you'll have to
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 1: lay seven and a half on this, which I would
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: be less tempted to do. But this is a very
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: similar spot to what Penn State is in man kind of,
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: although it's not really a disappointment spot as much.
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 2: But this is against Iowa.
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: Sixty tickets, seventy percent of the casual on USC try
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: to find the six and a half. Man. I Still,
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 1: before I started the show, I saw a couple of
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 1: books that still had the straight up six and a
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: half at minus one ten. So I think you'll be
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: able to do it. I know this is a low total.
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: I know Iowa plays really good deepense, and I know
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 1: that typically you want to take the better deepfense getting points,
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 1: and that is Iowa. But Iowa is in such.
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 2: A terrible spot.
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go against that in this game. The money
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 1: it looks like it's actually coming in on the over
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 1: now with the public ticket percentage seventy percent on the under,
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: sixty one percent of the cash though on the over.
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 1: So some indicators that maybe scoring will happen in this game,
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 1: because I do the USC is correlated to an over
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 1: in this game, and Iowa is correlated to an under. Yes,
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: Iowa has been able to shut down some really good
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: offenses like Indiana and Oregon. But oh yeah, speaking of Oregon,
• 1:58:59
  Speaker 1: Iowa was a two lost team in the conference. They
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: were one loss team in the conference coming into last week,
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 1: two lost team overall. So Iowa actually had a chance
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 1: to make the Big Ten title game going into last week,
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: and they had Oregon completely on the ropes man huge
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: game for Iowa, and they fell just short. They were
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 1: leading in the final minute of the game and they
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 1: gave up a field goal right at the end of
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: the game, absolutely brutal after I think Iowa scored too
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: quickly and Iowa missed a two point conversion where that
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: two point conversion would have put them up three, and
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: then it probably would have gone into overtime, brutal loss.
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: When they had Oregon on the ropes. Now Iowa has
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 1: to go to the Pacific Coast for the first time
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 1: this year, which is not good. And really their only
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 1: road test was against Iowa State, and we know at
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: this point, we know how overrated Iowa State was, and
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: Iowa lost that game too, So Iowa the road resume
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: is not great. Man, they have two wins on the road,
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: but they're at Rutgers and at Wisconsin. I mean, those
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: are not good teams. Iowa was able to put up
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: a lot of offense against those teams. Whatever, Iowa's offense
• 2:00:04
  Speaker 1: is not that good. USC's offense is really good. So
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: in this case, I'm actually gonna go with the better
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 1: offense here. And again, Iowa that loss to Oregon, not
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 1: only did they have the chance to pull off a
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: giant win there, but Iowa actually could have been kind
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: of almost on an inside track to maybe even make
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: the conference championship, and now that's all gone because of
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 1: that loss. I would like to see even more if
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: this was a night game, because the Pacific Coast night
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: games really can kind of throw off the biological clock.
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 1: But this is still a Pacific Coast game, man. Meanwhile,
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 1: USC they could still make the conference championship. They have
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: one loss here, so they need one of the teams
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 1: above them to screw up. And I know USC does
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: not play those teams, but even so, I mean, I
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: think that's gonna keep USC motivated a little bit. And
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: USC is just staying at home and they have an
• 2:00:52
  Speaker 1: extra day of rest because they played on Friday and
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: they got an easy win against Northwestern on Friday, so
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home, not having to change time zones
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: at all. That's a nice setup for USC extra day off.
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 1: I like it. I mean, I really don't like the
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: spot for Iowa there, so we're laying it with the USC. Oh. Yes, correct,
• 2:01:12
  Speaker 1: SOB is correct. Rain will be happening in this game,
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: which rain does kind of help the defense though, and
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 1: Iowa is the better defense in Iowa. Is the team
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: that runs the ball more in Iowa? Well, it could,
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: it could help both actually, so Iowa was playing in
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 1: some rain last week too, But it does actually help
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: the offense in that if the defense doesn't know which
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: way the offensive player is gonna cut, like if the
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: service gets slick, that actually does hurt the defense. So yes,
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: so I just don't really care about the rain that
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: much here. But yeah, because of the rain, I think
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 1: the total may have dropped too low as well. That's
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: probably why the money is coming back in on the
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: over because I think the total drop because of the weather,
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: and now the money is actually fading that as that
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 1: being maybe an overreact action. You're on USC as well.
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: Hell yeah, you're on everything though, man. And finally we're
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: gonna lay Miami minus fourteen and a half here.
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 2: I like how this sets up as well.
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: Out to finish off my card here, they're already up
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: to fifteen, but it was fourteen and a half before.
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: There's not much of a difference between those, so you're
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 1: still not getting you know, you were never getting the
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: best of the key number in this one. So they
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: will have to win by more than two touchdowns, but
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be able to do it. Seventy
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets, eighty three percent of the cash
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 1: on Miami. They're up to fifteen now, so they're a
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 1: little bit public, it looks like, but I think the
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on the side. It's a high total,
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 1: well not high, but it's in the mid mid range
• 2:02:40
  Speaker 1: fifty five, so I'm not too concerned about laying points
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: with a total. That's the total is at least not
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: too low. This is on ESPN at three thirty pm Eastern,
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 1: so all my games are gonna be going in the
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: afternoon here, so we'll know what's gonna happen, you know,
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: after not too much time. Yes, they're facing NC State,
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 1: and yes, ETZ State needs one more win to become
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: Bowl eligible. They have two home games up after this, though.
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: They're probably gonna be able to get it in one
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: of those games. I would imagine, probably against North Carolina at.
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 2: The very least.
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: But n C State, I mean, I don't know. I mean, yeah,
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 1: I'm making a bowl I guess is one of their goals.
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: They make a ball every year anyway. But look at
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 1: what NC State is off of. Man, they are the
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: only team that beat Georgia Tech. They pulled off the
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: upset against Georgia Tech.
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 2: They're also the only team to beat Virginia by the way.
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: But they pulled off that ridiculous upset of Georgia Tech,
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: busting Georgia Tech's undefeated season. This laid into the season,
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 1: and I think Georgia Tech is overrated. As I've been saying,
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're that good. I leaned to taking
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 1: the points in that game with n C State. Didn't
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: give it out as a play but NC State had
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 1: that huge win then they went into a bye, so
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 1: they went into the buy in a really good note.
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 1: So I don't think that buye came in a good time,
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 1: even though I guess it could kind of delay the
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: letdown a little bit after the Georgia Tech win. But
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: even so, I don't like man that was a huge
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 1: win now coming out of a buy that I think
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: didn't come at an opportune time. They gotta face Miami,
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 1: and Miami I believe could still make They could still
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: make the a SEC Championship. I think still, but they
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: need to win and they need help. They could beat
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: Pitt at the end of the season, although I think
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 1: Pitt's already gonna drop to two losses anyway this week,
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: But if a couple of these teams slip up, Miami
• 2:04:25
  Speaker 1: still has a chance to do this.
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 2: Man in Miami.
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: Actually still could potentially make the playoffs, so Miami still
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: has something to play for. The ranked fifteenth in the country,
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: they were a two loss team, even though their losses
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: are a little bit ugly to Louisville and SMU. But
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: still I think there is the potential that maybe they
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: could do this, especially if they make a run of
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: the AEC championship. So I think that's still in front
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: of them. They had an easy win last week at home,
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 1: they're not traveling anywhere.
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 2: They beat Syracuse.
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 1: I think the sets up a lot better for Miami.
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: I don't like if Ramsey stayed at all. We're gonna
• 2:04:57
  Speaker 1: lay it with Miami and that is the final play
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: for me. So that's gonna do it. Man. Hopefully that
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: was all good once again. The plays for tomorrow Notre
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: Dame minus twelve and a half, Arkansas plus five, Michigan
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: State plus seven, USC minus six and a half, and
• 2:05:15
  Speaker 1: Miami minus fourteen and a half. Let's get some wins,
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 1: get back on the right track here in this one.
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: One hundred and oh for a SOB and then you're
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: gonna buy a private island by Little Saint James. Obviously,
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: that's what you're gonna be doing. You took Syricus plus
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half. I would have recommended against that.
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: I liked Miami last week. I think in that game,
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: I think you got lucky on a couple of those.
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: Man that is what I will say about that. But
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 1: you're on the right side of the number. At least
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Man, Learn it tone on Twitter,
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: learn it tone on Instagram. Mom, Man, I gotta get
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: this audio up and whatever. Oh god, leg a subscribe
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: to the channel here. Man that to me out. Give
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 1: me a good comment, uh or good comments. Listen on
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 1: audio as well, Give me a good review on audio.
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 1: We're on Apple Spotify. Covered in UC is my yuke
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: channel on YouTube. Check that out as well, and Patreon
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: dot com slash learn to toe and you get a
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: yuke Spotify feed and Yuke requests. That's gonna do it.
• 2:06:18
  Speaker 1: I gotta get some sleep, I gotta get this video
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 1: or I gotta get this audio up. I should say.
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it until tomorrow morning when I have
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: to figure out the stupid basketball card tomorrow, and then
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be some NHL and NBA as well. NHL
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 1: is usually a bigger board on Saturday, NBA usually a
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 1: bit smaller, So hopefully that's not gonna be horrible tomorrow.
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 1: But that's what I'm gonna talking about in the morning,
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: and I'll rant about the bs that happened today that's
• 2:06:43
  Speaker 1: gonna do it for now, peace until then,