Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | Whatever Wednesday | MLB & WNBA | 7/22/26

Transcript

Wednesday BEST BETS | Whatever Wednesday | MLB & WNBA | 7/22/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: In your chicks. Black coffee on the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Man, you look like a mince three teen Parlette turned
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: the dust in your head.
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: They made you this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet?
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the floor. Your name steal mean
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: something on somebody for show? Put the glass down, baby,
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: look at me now.
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on nothing nice, no, hold.
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: On, hold on.
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: Me that.
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: But it don't get the crown. Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: Stay with me. Now, what's up? Everybody? It's towed back
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: with you with Toadstool Sports. It is Wednesday, July twenty second. Uh.
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: Not happy about the way the show went yesterday. Either
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: one else is new one and one on the show.
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: It was almost to break even because the bigger favorite
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: of the two one, which was the Reds in the
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: first five, they won in the full game as well. Detroit.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you, man, if
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: you told me that fromber Valdez, who dominates the Cubs
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: historically in at least a sample size, that he was
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: gonna give up six runs in the first inning and
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: not even make it out of the first inning and
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: that David Peterson was gonna go like six scoreless. I
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: would have told you you're out of your mind. There's
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: no possible way that's gonna happen. And that is exactly
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: what happened, Like, how can you even predict that? And
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: then of course the other games that I liked, I
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: left off my card Mets first five one, Anaheim first
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: five one. There's there's nothing I could do about this.
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you. Never listen
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: to me, seriously, just turn off the show. Do not
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: listen to me in July and August. Football needs to
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: come back right now, because I'm so fucking sick of this.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: I'm so sick of trying to figure out baseball like
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: this has been such a bad run in baseball. It's
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: basically erased all the good from earlier in the season.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: I can't do this. I can't do it. I'm gonna
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: give you one baseball play today and it's probably gonna lose.
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: And I don't like the board. Even though they're extra
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: games today because of headers and there's a big WNBA slate,
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give out one w NBA play. I don't
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: know how much. I really love it, but I think
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: it's good enough. Garrett, what's up? What's good? Not me?
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: I can tell you that baseball. Let's just Drew. Let's
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: get right into this man. It's also getaway day for
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: a lot of teams. Tomorrow is gonna be easier to handicap.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: Only five baseball games tomorrow, so I'm looking forward to
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: that and no WNBA because they're going into the All
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: Star breaks. So tomorrow is gonna be a nice, easy,
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: short show and I might not have any plays. Who knows?
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: All right, Pittsburgh and New York Yankees. They got rained
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: out yesterday, so presumably, well, I was gonna say it
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: looked like the second game today, the night game was
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: gonna wind up being the same pitching matchup as yesterday.
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: But that's not the case because Max Freed is coming
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: back now, so he's pitching in the night game. The Yankees.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go with Ryan Weathers. I think is that
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: no know Will Warren. I think Will Warren he might
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: be out of the rotation actually now that Freed is
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: coming back, so we'll see what the Yankees do. The
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: afternoon game is going to be Mitch Keller against Garrett Cole.
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: Neither team used any relief pitchers yesterday, so yesterday I
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: kind of was leaning over. But that same pitching matchup
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: is not gonna happen now. And now these teams have rest,
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: so the bullpens are going to be rested coming in here.
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: The offenses might have cooled off a little bit by
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: the way. I thought the other game got rained out
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: when the Yankees had another game where they they didn't
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: play in the previous years I think or whatever, but
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: that was another one of those games was canceled due
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: to air quality because of the Canadian wildfires. It's all
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: so ridiculous, man, Like, I don't know how that can
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: cancel a baseball game or postpone it. I don't know.
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: Everybody's so weak now, dude, It's just so stupid. But whatever,
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: Yesterday's was a rain out. It was raining up here
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: in the Northeast. As the bullpens, the Yankees have the
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: way better bullpen over Pittsburgh. They're number three. They're tied
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: and second in bullpen y Ray with the Red Sox. Still,
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: as both teams didn't play yesterday, Pittsburgh is twenty third.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen has not been particularly good both offenses have
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: been good. Pittsburgh number two, Yankees number six, tied with
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: the Rays, although I think the Yankees are better than
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: the Rays offensively. Yankees are good offensively at home as well.
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is not as good on the road, but there's
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: still obviously a very capable offense. The starting pitching matchup
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: looks like it is pretty disadvantageous to Pittsburgh, though they're
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: going with Mitch Keller. Keller, I don't know what's going
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: to dude. It's like ESPN's changed the layout here, so
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: now it's like going to this mobile view that is
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: really pissing me off. Actually, the numbers are just screaming
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: at you now. Mitch Keller has a five point one
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: four ERA and one point three to three WHIP. Yeah,
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: we get it. He's not really that good. He was
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: pitching well earlier in the season, but yeah, he's not
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: doing well recently. He is better on the road though
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: four point four to three. Roady Ray hasn't been good recently.
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: Like I said, his last couple of starts have been
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: pretty bad overall, not too bad overall, except that his
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is very low. He doesn't strike anybody out,
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: hit rate not too bad, walk rate is reasonable, but
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: still yeah, I mean, he's not the greatest, and he
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: doesn't do well against the Yankees either. Eighty five at bats,
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: three eighteen average, eight sixty six ops. So I don't
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: really trust him in this spot obviously, and he's gonna
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: have to go up against Garrett Cole, who was obviously
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: the better pitcher here. Even though he's not what he
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: once was, he's still a more than capable pitcher obviously,
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: three point nine to three ERA, one point one six whip.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: He's been good at home three point one to eight home.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: The IRA's pitching well recently. He looks really good in
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: his three starts in July after he wasn't that good
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: for a couple of starts towards the end of and
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: he's obviously turned it around. He's faced some pretty good
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: offenses this month, and he's been good in all three starts.
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: Twenty one to two strikeout walk ratio this month and
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: seventeen to third innings that's pretty good. So his command
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: is obviously on point right now. He's got a reasonable
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: hit rate, pretty good walk rate, pretty good strikeout rate
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: as well, and he's been good against the Pirates although
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: it's a limited sample. They have five guys who have
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: faced him eighty one career bats. Though it's a lot
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: of at bats. Brandon Lowe has forty of them, and
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: he has not done well. None of them have done
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: well really, except Ozoona has actually done all right. They
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: have a one to eighty five average against him, five
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: sixty seven oh ps, twenty six to eight strike out
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. And it will be cold facing his former team,
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: by the way, although I don't think that matters that
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: much because he's not been on Pittsburgh for a long time,
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: so it won't be the first time, and he's facing them.
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: I don't believe since he's been gone from their team.
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: The Yankees, I think they should win this game. They
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: obviously have an advantage here in the starting pitching. They
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: have an advantage in the bullpen as well, but you
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: have to lay a price for it. Obviously. You know
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get tax when you try to play the
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: Yankees with Garrett Cole on the mound, and with free
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: on the mound as well, for that matter. He's gonna
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: minus one or excuse me, the Yankees are minus one
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: seventy something here, and they're pretty public. Eighty one percent
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: of tickets only sixty seven percent of the cash on them,
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: so the money is indicating towards taking Pittsburgh at the
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: large underdog price. I wouldn't do it. If I was
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: gonna go do anything in this game, I would just
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: lean towards making like a minus one run line with
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: the Yankees or something. Another way to approach this is
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: you could take the Yankees to go over their team
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: total maybe, like I think they should score runs in
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: a ballpark where they've been good at doing that this season,
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: and they're facing a pretty weak pitcher here that doesn't
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: do well against them, and the bullpen probably is not
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: gonna help Pittsburgh's case either, so that might be an
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: approach Yankees team total over. You'll probably need to get
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: six runs, though if you do that, the money seems
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: to be backing the over a little bit at eight
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: and a half, with ticket percentage actually on the under.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't have a good read on
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: the total in that one though. The second game, I'll
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: just do with the doubleheaders out of chronological order, just
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: to get them done. Bubba Chandler is pitching for Pittsburgh.
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: He was gonna pitch yesterday, and really what you need
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: to know about him is he walks way too many guys.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: Although he's a young guy that does have some talent,
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: and the Yankees have never faced him before, I'm pretty sure,
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: so he does have maybe an advantage there where these
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: if you're a young pitcher and you're good. I don't
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: know if he's actually good or not, though a lot
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: of times you do have an extra advantage against a
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: lineup that have not faced you before. But with Chandler,
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's so walk heavy. I just don't really
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: trust him. And he's gonna have to go up against
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: Max Freed now, who's coming back from the injured list.
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: And you know, I keep saying it, when veterans come
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: back from the injured list, I actually like to back
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: them because I think they're ready to go, and people
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: don't really think that they're they're gonna be ready to go.
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: People tend to kind of not want to play them.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: But I think that gives you actually maybe some value
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: when that guy comes back. But in his case, maybe
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: not because he's a big name pitcher, you know, so
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: you're probably still not really gonna get value on Freed.
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: Although I'm expecting him to pitch well here because obviously,
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: if they're gonna bring him back, he's obviously gonna be
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: ready to go. He's been good this season three point
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: two one ERA, one point oh one whip overall. He
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: wasn't pitching well before he went down though in mid
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: May he had three not very good starts in a row.
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: But I think he's gonna be ready to go. I
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: think he's probably gonna bounce back. He's got a low
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: hit rate here, low walk rate. His strikeout rate isn't
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: really that good though. He's not really striking a ton
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: of guys out at this point in his career. He
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: never was like the biggest strikeout guy. But yeah, I
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: mean his strike out rate is a bit low, maybe
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: slightly concerning against Pittsburgh has been good in the past
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: fifty at bats to twenty two average, five to seventy
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: ops allowed, So yeah, I would I think Freed is
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: preferable to Chandler here. If you look at Chandler's numbers
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: four point seven to seventy ARRA, one point four or
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: five WHIP and his overall numbers, He's got a good
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: hit rate, it's pretty low, but his walk rate is
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: enormous and his strike up rate is just okay. So
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: that's what you're getting there. And yeah, like I said,
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: he's unfamiliar to the Yankees, so maybe that will help
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: him a little bit. But I think the Yankees probably
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: should win both games with this doubleheader, but the market
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: reid is fading them in both games. The Yankees are
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: actually a smaller favorite in the in the night game.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: In the Freed game, eighty seven percent of tickets, only
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: fifty one percent of the cash on them at like
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: minus won seventy something, So the money's indicating towards Pittsburgh
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: as an underdog and towards the over in both games.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: The total in that game is eight and a half.
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: I just don't really have much of a read on it.
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: I think I would say Yankees minus one on the
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: on the run line in either game, I think might
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: be the approach to there. I don't know much else, man,
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't want to touch those games, but
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: that's uh, yeah, then of course the market doesn't agree
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: with me, so I don't really love that either. But yeah,
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: so that's definitely gonna be just a double header and
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: just staying the hell away from it. What I will
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: say is that with the double header, you could still
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: see like a pitching change, Like these teams still could decide, oh,
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: we're going to flip the starting pitchers or something like that,
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: So just keep an eye on it. Keep that in mind.
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: I think if you do want to play the game,
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: you do probably want to specify the starters that you're
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: expecting to pitch in that game to pitch so that
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: your handicap is going to be right on in that one,
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: because they're all legitimate starters. So that's what I'll say,
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: And then whatever the other thing I say about a
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: doubleheader is game two. I tend to lean a little
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: bit more towards an over because the bullpen usage can
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: be high in game one, so you might not get
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: the best arms in game two, so and the bats
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: can kind of up again in game one and get
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: some momentum. So that's kind of what I think they're like.
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: I don't think the hitters are tired out by playing
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: two games, you know what I mean, in the same day,
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: because they don't. Really you're only a bad a few
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: times a game, you know what I mean. Jeffrey, what's
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: up man? Thanks for coming back. I haven't seen you
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: in a while. Man, hope everything's going well. Maybe maybe
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: you have a new bank roll to work with and
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: you can lose your money with me here because I've
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: been on a massive cold streak here. You know, bet doubleheaders,
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: I mean I do as you know. If if I
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: see an angle, I'll do it. It's easier to figure out
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: game one usually than game two though, but yeah, I
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: would say not to. I wouldn't avoid them. Like as
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: a rule, I think if you see a good angle
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: to play the doubleheader, I mean I would say do it.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: The other there is another double header with Baltimore in
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox because it got rained out in Boston
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: last night. It was definitely raining. Game one is going
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: to be a completely differ from pitching matchup the what
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: was scheduled yesterday. My guess is that Game two is
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: going to be the pitching matchup from yesterday. But the
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: Red Sox have not announced their starting pitcher in Game two,
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: which is kind of weird because it was supposed to
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: be Suarez coming off the DL yesterday and now the
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: Red Sox are undecided. I don't know what they're doing here.
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: Game one though, looks like it is set to be
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: Creamer against Bennett here. The Red Sox will neither team
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: us any relievers yesterday, so we do rested bullpens. Red
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: Sox have a really good bullpen. They're number two. They're
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: tied with the Yankees in era for the best ra
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: Baltimore is tenth. Their bullpen has actually been pretty good recently,
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: but the Red Sox still have the better of the
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: two bullpens. Both bullpens might be ready to go in
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: this one, though because of the rest scenario. The offenses
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit cooler. Because of the rest yesterday.
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's seventeenth in offense, Red Sox twentieth. Red Sox have
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: been moving up offensively. Red Sox, Yeah, they're still on
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: a fourteen game win streak right now. It's gonna end
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: at some point, man, and when it ends might not
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: be good because that negative momentum might carry this game
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: won here. Dean Kreamer is pitching for Baltimore. He's been good,
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: although it's a small sample size. He hasn't pitched that
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: much this year, and I don't think he's this good.
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: I think he's a mediocre pitcher if you look at
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: his career numbers. He's got a four point one five
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: ERA this year, but a one point one to two
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: WHIP is pretty good. He's been a little bit worse
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: on the road erray wise four point five, although his
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: opponent batting average is actually better on the road, it's
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: below two hundred. He wasn't good in his last two
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: starts though. He gave up four home runs against the
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: against the Cubs at home and then went to Houston.
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: Didn't make it five innings in that one, walked three guys,
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: so he's not really an excellent form right now. His
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: numbers this season have been pretty good overall, though low
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: hit rate, low walk rate, high strikeout rate like that
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: all looks pretty good. Against the Red Sox, He's been
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: a little bit all over the map here. They've hit
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: him for contact or they haven't really hit him for power.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: He's got fifty six at bats against him. They have
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: a three to h four average against him, but only
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: a six forty nine OHPS because they only have one
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: extra base hit, which is a double from Yoshida. But
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: a lot of the Red Sox hitters have good batting
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: averages against him though, so they are able to reach
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: base against him. He's he's such a slot on the
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: mound man. Thirteen strikeouts, two walks though, so that is
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: a good ratio, you know. I mean, I still lean
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: a little bit towards the Red Sox having a little
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: bit of the advantage against him here and the Red
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: Sox are going with Jake Bennett, who has been quite
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: good so far as a rookie here two point three
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: five ERA point eighty eight whip a little bit worse
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: at home in the ERA two point five to seven,
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: but that is not bad Bennett. He's been really good, dude.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, his last six starts, he's allowed two or
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: fewer earned runs in all of them. Red Sox have
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: won four starts in a row. He's picked up a
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: win in all four of them. He's in good form
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: right now. He's pitching well. His strikeout rates not very
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: high though, but he's not walking guys. He's not allowing
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: a lot of hits at all. He just he gets
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: guys to hit into bad contact basically, which I know
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: the advanced analytics guys don't like that, but that is
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: a really low whip, dude. So that he's been solid
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: and the Orioles have never faced him before. So that
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: should be an extra advantage to the pitcher when they're
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: a good pitcher and the opposing offense hasn't faced them before.
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: So I think in Game one I would probably have
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: to lean a little bit towards the Red Sox. But again,
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: it looks like the same type of situation in the
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: market as the Yankees games. Red Sox are public. I mean,
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: obviously the public's gonna come in on a team that
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: has a big name. It is one fourteen in a row,
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of tickets, eighty four percent of the cash. Though,
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: on the Red Sox at about minus one fifty, I
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: mean I would lean that way, maybe making like a
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: run line on the Red Sox or the money line.
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: If it's below minus one fifth, I'm not gonna do it.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: Though obviously the over looks like it's getting subtraction here
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: at over nine. I don't really I don't think I
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: agree with that. I think I would slightly lean under
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: in that first game because he's got rested bullpens, they've
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: both been good recently. The starting pitchers both might actually
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: pitch all right there, So yeah, I don't really see
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: the argument for the over in that one. I don't
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: have much else than that. Oh the other thing I
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: will say is Baltimore came into this series with a
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: seven game win streak and they lost it in the
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: first game in kind of dramatic fashion. So Baltimore might
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: be in a little bit of a hangover. Like when
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: a team loses along win streak like that, that can
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: definitely hang them over into the next game. So somebody
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: keep in mind with the situation. And then game two
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: of the doubleheader here is going to be Kyle Bradish
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: for Baltimore, and he was scheduled to start yesterday. Goody
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: Ray from him three point six to one, but his
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: whip is pretty bad one point three to five. He's
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: not as good on the road four point six Roady
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: Ray with a much higher opponent batting average as well.
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: He's been good in the month of June of July.
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: Those last two starts are both pretty good. I don't
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: know if he's really that trustworthy though. I mean, his
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: walk rate is very bad, although the rest of his
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: numbers are pretty good. His hit rate is fine, walk
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: Susie strike got rate is fairly high as well, but
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: his wildness is a huge problem. And as I mentioned yesterday,
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox have been able to hit him for power.
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: They have thirty nine at bats against some two fifty
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: six average nine fifty six ops. That is definitely high
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: thirteen to five strike out walk ratio, So I think
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox two of the upper hand against Bradish.
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: We'll have to see if it is going to be
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: Suarez or not. I don't know why he would have
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: been announced as the pitcher yesterday but then not pitching today.
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: I expect it will be Suarez, and I would lean
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: to the Red Sox in that one if it is
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: going to be him, but it would be a slight
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: lean for me. I got not a whole lot here,
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: and the money is heavily backing Baltimore in that one,
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: ninety two percent of tickets on the Red Sox, sixty
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash on Baltimore. Not a market
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: read that I really want to see as a Red
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: Sox fan. And the over is getting a lot of
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: traction in that one. At about nine, it looks like
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: the line is kind of all over the place. I
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: don't know, but yeah, it's not something that I want
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: to do anything with. This next game is going to
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: be my only baseball play so we have afternoon baseball
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: action here and it involves one team that I actually
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: have had a good gauge on, the New York Mets.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: I believe I gave up two plays on the Mets
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: in their Philly series and they won both of them.
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: For us, we're gonna go under seven and a half
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: in this one, Mets Brewers. I think this is a
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: good pitching matchup, and it's one that's gonna kind of
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: just fly under the radar because people still don't really
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: know who these pitchers are. But they're both good. These
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: teams did play yesterday, and I was correct about the
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: game yesterday. Zach Thornton, he might be the real deal man.
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: He was really good again yesterday sprote was not particularly good,
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: and if you went with my recommendation their first five
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: with the Mets, that would have been a winner. I'm
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: pissed I didn't put it on my card. Now the
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: Brewers are in a spot where they lost a four
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: game win streak, so that possibly can hang them over
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: coming into this game. But the teams have split the series,
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: so I think both teams are gonna try to show
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: up for this. But I'm looking at the total as
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: you could see. I like both bullpens and they're not
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: really that used after yesterday. Milwaukee u's two guys who
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: are long relief type of men, so all their best
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: relievers are available here, and they're a good bullpen. The
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: Mets have a pretty rested bullpen as well, though they
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: did use their better relievers yesterday to close the game out,
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: but their bullpen is still decently resting and not that bad.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna leave the bullpens in and get this
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: key number seven and a half here on the full game,
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: which my first five under something awful recently, so I
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: probably should be doing more full game unders at this
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: point and rely on these pitchers to get you more
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: than five innings here. Potentially, Milwaukee's number eight in bullpen.
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: They're pretty good. The Mets are number nine, although their
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: ERA is a little bit higher, so Brewers have the
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: better bullpend, but they're both bullpens that I think you
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: could back here. Milwaukee's been a good offense number nine,
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: tied with Minnesota, but I think they could be silenced
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: a little bit by the pitching here and the Mets,
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: you know, their office is just not that good. At
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: twenty ninth, we know they haven't been good this year,
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: so probably we don't have to worry about them doing
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: a whole lot of damage here started pitching. We're gonna
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: back both these guys. Christian Scott going for the Mets.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: We backed him in his last game, but part of
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: that was because of the situation, but part of it
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: was because I like Scott. I think he's under the radar.
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: He's been pretty good two point eight to seventy array,
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: one point two to whip. He pitched a bit last
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: year or too, and he showed some signs of being
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: fairly good last year, and I think that, yeah, that
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: has come to fruition. He's pretty good. He's given up
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: no runs in his last two starts, so that's pretty good.
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: Still not going too deep into these games, but I
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: still think he can carry us through this thing. With
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: the bullpen behind him, I think should be good enough here.
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: He's got a low hit rate of high strikeout rate.
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: His walk rate is a little bit questionable, but not
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: too bad. So yeah, overall, his numbers are pretty good
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: here in milwaukee's never faced him before, as you might
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: have been able to guess. So we're gonna get a
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: pitcher who has an unfamiliarity edge year against the opposing offense.
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: So I like that Milwaukee's going with Logan Henderson, another
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: guy who I've been backing when I can find spots
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: to do it. He's been good a two point nine
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: to seventy ra point nine to three whip. He looked
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: pretty good last year when he was a pitcher for
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: the Brewers as well. He looks like he's in pretty
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: good for him right now. He's allowed two or fewer
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: earned runs in all but one outing on the season.
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: He was injured for a bit, mostly for the month
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: of June, and he's looked fine since coming back. He's
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: got a high strikeout rate, pretty low hit rate, really
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: walk rate, so his numbers are strong across the board,
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: and the Mets have never faced him before. So another
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: good situation here. I think we have both starting pitchers
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: are just totally unfamiliar to the opposing offenses, which I
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: think should give both pitchers a little bit of an
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: extra edge there. This is my only Baseball player of
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: the day under in Mets Brewers. Let me see here,
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: and the money doesn't totally look like it agrees, but
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: it looks like the over is kind of public seventy
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: six percent of tickets seventy nine percent of the cash
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: on it total seven and a half. So the oddsmakers
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: are telling you they think it's going to be a
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: low scoring game here, and the money is backing the
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: Mets here as well eighty one percent of tickets and
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of the cash on the Brewers, So
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: that means the market indicators are leaning towards the Mets
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: here as an underdog. Milwaukee had about minus one forty
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: or so I could see the argument for that. I mean,
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: it looks like it's a close matchup, and when that's
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: the case, close low scoring matchup expected, it kind of
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: makes sense to look towards the underdog. So that's what
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: I will say about that. But the under is the
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: play for me and that one, all right, San Francisco,
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: Kansas City. I was wrong about that game. I thought
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: that game was going to be high scoring and it
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: was not. Although I did mention both starting pitchers in
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: the game yesterday did have good matchup numbers at least,
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: so we're matchup situations depending on which picture you're talking about.
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: Still Kansas City, I mean it's a fairly high scoring
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: ballpark here for Kansas City. Kansas City is on the
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: verge of a sweep. By the way, they use three
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers yesterday San Francisco used four. Kansas City is
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: the worst bullpen in baseball though basically they're dead last
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: and whip second worst ERA. Not a good bullpen at all.
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: San Francisco's bullpen has struggled this year, but they're better
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: than Kansas City. They're twenty fourth hitting wise. Neither team
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: I think is really that impressive. Giants of fifteenth right now,
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: I think they're probably more like a bottom ten offense, though,
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: as I keep saying, they're tied with the Rangers right now,
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: who I also don't think are that good. Kansas City
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: is eighteenth. Kansas City hits better at home at least,
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: but situationally, I think San Francisco might be worth a
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: look here because Kansas City is on the verge of sweep.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: They look good right now, but they only won each
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: game in the series by one run, and I believe
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: they played Detroit next, so they could potent. Yeah, they've
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: started a series against Detroit tomorrow, so that could kind
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: of be a look ahead spot there. That's a pretty
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: big divisional series against Detroit, so maybe a bad spot
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: for Kansas City here. They've already won the series. The
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: next series they have upcoming matters more than this one,
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: so situation favors the Giants here. Giants. You could definitely
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: argue that the Giants have the better starter in this
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: game with landon route three point nine to eighty array
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: one point two to seven whip not bad. He is
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: not as good on the road though, four point one
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: to two. Roadie ra pretty good in his last two starts,
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: although his walk rate well, not really the walk rate
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: so much, but the strikeout rate has been really low,
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: so I don't know what the deal is with that.
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: But he's been basically unhittable over his last two starts,
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: but against struggling offenses Toronto and Seattle, although Kansas City
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: I don't think is really that much better than that.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: He's got a low hit rate on the season, his
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is pretty high. He's a big ground ball
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: pitcher as well, but his walk rate is way too high.
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: So that's the problem with Roupe as he walks way
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: too many guys. Numbers against Kansas City limited sample size,
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: though he hasn't been that good against them in eleven
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: at bats to seventy three average, one twenty one OPS
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: one to two strikeout walk ratio. So I don't know.
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know how to gauge what Roupe is going
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: to do in this game. Really, I lean a little
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: bit more towards him doing better, but it wouldn't shock
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: me if he didn't do well. Obviously, Seth Lugo is
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: pitching this game for the Royals. He's not been very
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: good this season. He's been good good off in the past,
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: but I don't know, Man. It might be something to
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: do with the walls having moved in in the stadium,
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: or having been moved in in the stadium. Maybe that's
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: affecting him a bit. Maybe just he's getting up there
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: in age. I don't know what to tell you, man.
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: Four point three to ninety IRA, one point four to
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: one whip not great. And again the advanced analytics guys
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: also don't like Lugo because he pitches the contact, which
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: can hurt you unless you can consistently get them to
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: hit into soft contact. Lugo some positives here, though. He's
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: been good at home three point six to one home
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: the Ray, and he's been pretty good recently at least.
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: His last start was pretty good, at least against San Diego,
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: but San Diego not a good offense, although I don't
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: think the Giants are particularly good either. Lugo his hit
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: rate is too high, man. The rest of his numbers
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: aren't really that bad, Like his strikeout rate is kind
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: of low, but that's what you expect from him. His
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: walk rate isn't really too bad, but his hit rate
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: a little bit high. He's too hittable here. Numbers against
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: the Giants are not very good twenty six at bats.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: They only have five guys who have faced him, but
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: they've done a lot of damage, especially Devers. Three to
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: zero eight batting average one thousand and eighty eight ohps
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: for the Giants offense against him, three strikeouts, two walks.
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: Devers is four for eight with two on runs by
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: the way, one walk and no strikeouts. So possible player
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: prop potential there with Devers if you want to go
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: hits plus runs plus RBIs or something. He has good
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: matchup stats at least. I mean, my first instinct was
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: Giants to avoid the sweet peer and you might still
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: have the pitching advantage with route there. The money looks
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: like it does agree with that they're at about minus
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: one twenty here, so you do have to lay a
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: favorite price with them, But I think you'll get the
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: better motivational spot there and potentially the better pitcher, and
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: you do have the better bullpen as well, because Kansas
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: City's is so bad. So I think the Giants makes
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: some sense here sixty percent to take a sixty seven
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them, That's probably what I
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: would do if I was gonna play this game. The
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: total looks like it's getting some money on the over
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: at eight and a half, which is kind of a
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: low total for Kansas City at this point. For their
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: home games, you've been seeing higher totals than that for
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: the most part, so over, you know, might be a
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: consideration there. I mean, you got two bullpens that aren't
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: really that good. I think both starters are at least
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: questionable there, so I think over makes some sense there.
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: But I think my preference would be to play San
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: Francisco in that game. On the money line Washington and Colorado,
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: I said that the series felt like an over series,
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: and yesterday's game did go over, so my lean was
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: correct in that one, But I didn't love it because
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: of the pitching matchup numbers not looking really bad enough
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: for me, but it was an over game. Colorado won
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: the game eight to seven. These teams to split the
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: series so far, so both teams I expect to show
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: up here. Colorado used five relief pitchers yesterday, not a
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: good bullpen. Washington used four. Their bullpen is good, Colorado's
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: twenty fifth, Washington twenty sixth. We're looking at a couple
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: of bad bullpens and two good offenses. Washington tied in
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: second with Pittsburgh offensively and Colorado fifth. So again, a
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: lot of kind of indicators towards overs, but this starting
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup does not look like an over to me.
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: Washington's going with cade Cavali. I've been saying that I
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: think he's a pretty talented young pitcher. He's got a
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: three point seven to eighty RA one point three to
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: one whip is still a bit high, but he's pitching
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: pretty well recently, and he's been good on the road.
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: Three point six to five Roady Ray, Now, how is
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: he gonna do in course field? As a question, Well,
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: he just pitched in that horrible A's stadium and he
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: was really good in that start. He pitched in the
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: game that Washington won twenty three to four, but he
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: didn't really need the run support him, and he was
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: really good in that game. So that's a good sign
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: as far as pitching a course field because the most
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: similar stadium to this is that a stadium, and that
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: balls fly out of that ballpark and he's still pitched
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: really well in that start. He's been good for his
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: last like really his last five starts, four of them
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: have been good. The only bad one was against Pittsburgh
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: at home. His hit rate is still too high, is
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: walk rate is pretty good, though in his strikeout rate
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: is high, so that's a good indicator that he does
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: fool hitters. And the other good thing about the course
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: field scenarios he is not a fly ball pitcher. He
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: doesn't really allow that many home runs. He gets a
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: lot of ground ball outs, so he might actually pitch
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: well here in Colorado has only one guy who's ever
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: faced him, Troy Johnston, who's zero for three off him,
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: So cavally has an unfamiliarity edge here against Colorado two.
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: I think he should actually pitch reasonably well here, and
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: Colorado is going with Gabriel Hughes, who I believe is
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: new to the major leagues this year, and he's pitched
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: well so far. Three point one four ERA, one point
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: one two Whip. He's been good in course field two
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: point one to six Homie area though he's only made
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: three start so far, but he's given up three or
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: fewer earned runs, and all of them they've basically unleashed
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: him and let him go like a full start. His
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: last two outings, one was against the Dodgers, and he
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: was fairly good in that start, so that's pretty impressive. Man,
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: He's been pretty good so far. He might actually be
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: a good pitcher. And Washington's never faced him before, so
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: he does have that unfamiliarity edge going from him here.
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: Both pitchers do, so I would not be playing an
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: over in this game. The bullpens might implode, though, So
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: I think the way to play this game is the
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: first five under. I know, I mean it doesn't sound
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: great in course field. The full game total is eleven
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: and a half, which is slightly low based on what
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: we've seen in the series so far. The other games
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: were like twelve, twelve and a half, thirteen, So the
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: Oddsmaker's kind of indicating to you this is a little
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: bit lower scoring, well, it's expected to be lower scoring
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: than the other two games. Sixty one percent of tickets
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: on the over, ninety four percent of the cash on
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: the over. But I still think I was gonna play
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: this first five on would be the way I would
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: look to play that game. You're probably looking at like
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: six or something there, So it's a reasonable number. Man,
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: Both starting pitchers might actually be able to do well here,
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: and I think they're both still kind of under the
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: radar here. The money is back in Washington a little bit,
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: but they're very public. Nine tickets, ninety five percent of
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: the cash minus one thirty something. I don't think I
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: would lay that type of price with, but I think
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: might be kind of an even starting pitching matchup there.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I think under first five, as dangerous as
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: it sounds, makes more sense than anything else to me. There,
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: Dirty Sock, what's up? Thanks for hanging out A's and Arizona.
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: This game is gonna be an ESPN unlimited in the
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: afternoon here. These teams have split the first two games
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: of this year, as Arizona won the game yesterday after
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: If you watch Loser cast last night, we talked about
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: the first game one of the A's batters fouled a
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: ball off of his ball and he ruptured his testicle, Like,
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: what is he not wearing a cup or something? I
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: have no idea. I'd never heard of the guy before.
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: I forget Joshua something, I forget what the hell his
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: name is. And he stayed in the game and he
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: got a hit in that pad. Anyway, I don't know, man,
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: It's it's kind of ridiculous, but uh whatever, he's gonna
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: have one ball from now on. Anyway, He's gonna he's
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: gonna have a one ball count from now on. Anyway.
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: He seems to split the series so far. I think
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: both teams are probably gonna show up to try to
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: win the series. You could tell that this game went
• 35:39
  Speaker 2: into extra innings yesterday because Arizona used five relieve pitchers
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: in the A's used, uh six side, Like, just based
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: on that alone, I was like, oh, that must have
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: been an extra inning game and it was, so I
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: wouldn't really want to back the bullpens in this one
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: of the Arizona's bullpen has been pretty good, but they're
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: they're ranked fifth. I don't think they're really that good,
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: but they're fairly good. The bullpen is not good. They're
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: twenty seventh and they have the worst bullpen era in baseball.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: The A's have the better offense, they're twelfth, and the
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: d Backs are twenty fifth. Really been struggling offensively. I
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: think the decider in this game, this game almost made
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: the cut for me. Really it's the starting pitching matchup.
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: I think the starting pitching matchup here pretty clearly favors
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: the A's here with my man gauge jump on the mound,
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: even though he hasn't been that good recently, but we
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: had some wins backing him earlier in the season, and
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: then I jumped off of the jump train at the
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: right time. Man, this might be the time to get
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: back on the train though, for this one game, at
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: least jump three point seven to eighty rrail. Those whip
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: isn't really that good one point three to two, so
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: that number has gone way up recently. But he's still
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: a young guy, dude, and it's just not good that
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: he has to pitch in that a stadium. Man, I mean,
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: look at what he's done when you've taken him out
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: of that stadium. His ray on the road is point
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: seventy five with a one seventy three polling of batting
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: average and almost the same sample size. So yeah, I mean,
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: he doesn't pitch well in that a stadium. It's a
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: horrible stadium for pitchers. And you put him on the road.
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: He's a very good pitcher on the road. I know,
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: look at this recent stretcher, he hasn't been good. Three
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: of his last four starts have been kind of bad.
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: All three of those came at home, and the one
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: good start was on the road against a pretty good
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: offense in the White Sox. So I still think Jump
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: is good and backing him on the road makes some
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: sense to me. He's still got a high strikeout rate,
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: so that's a good indicator that he fools guys at
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: the major league level. His hit rate has kind of average,
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is not too bad, but he's got
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: the strikeout potentially there. I think he's good. He's obviously
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: good on the road, and he's got unfamiliarity here, which
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: should be an extra advantage for him. The Diamondbacks have
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: never faced him before, so that should be an extra
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: advantage for gauge Jump here. And he's gonna go up
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: against Meryl Kelly, who really has kind of gone off
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: the rails this season. Five point two ERA, one point
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: four to nine whip That is not good. He's been
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: much better than that throughout his career, but he might
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: be nearing the end man and he's been really bad
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: at home six point six' nine homey, ray so he
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: is a guy that you could definitely fade at, home
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: although he's been better recently. Though all three of His
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: july starts have actually been pretty, good including two home,
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: starts so he's in better form right now at least of.
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: Those walk rate has still been too, high but at
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: least for his, sake he is starting to pitch better
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: than he was earlier in the. Season his overall numbers
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: are still pretty ugly though his hit rate is, high
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is too. High he's giving up a
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: ton of home. Runs his strikeout rate is really, low
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: so he's just not really fooling anybody at this. Point
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: his numbers against The a's are a little bit all
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: over the place. Really in thirty six at bats two
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: twenty two average allowed is not very, high but eight
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: h six ops is pretty. High McNeil has two home
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: runs against him and three for, Twelve so, YEAH i,
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: MEAN i think a's first five is the way to
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: play This this almost made the cut For, meal Though
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: kelly is pitching better, recently But jump has way more.
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: Upside he's the talented young pitcher. Here he's been excellent
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: on the, Road, Merril kelly's been awful at, home so
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: the home. Roads let's heavily Favor Gauge jump in that
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: starting pitching. Matchup there's no way THAT i would back
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: The a's, bullpend but, YEAH i think playing the a's
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: first five is what makes the most sense in this,
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: game and very tempted to put that on my. Card,
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: uh sixty eight percent of tickets On arizona ninety four
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on The, A's so you know
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: what's gonna. Happen you, know The a's are going to
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: be a winner and the play THAT i gave out
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: is going to be a. Loser that's just the way
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: everything has gone. Recently like IF i had just splashed
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: the board, YESTERDAY i would have gone three to. One
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: IF i went with all four of my first five
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: money line. Plays it's such, bullshit, dude but, Anyway, yeah
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: that's HOW i play this. Game the money's backing the
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: over nine as well in that. GAME i, MEAN i
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: wouldn't necessarily disagree with an. OVER i, MEAN i think
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: after the bullpen's got used up yesterday and at least
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: one of the bullpens is really bad, Anyway like jump
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: is really kind of the only good aspect of the
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: pitching in that, game, really so over kind of makes.
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: Sense But a's first five is the WAY i would
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: play that. Game cincinnati And. Seattle oh, yeah and The,
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: A'S i think you're actually gonna have to play them
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: at a favorite price though probably they're an underdog in
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: the full, game BUT i think they're gonna be a
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: slight favorite in the first. Five so just noting that. There,
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: Yeah cincinnati At, seattle we got that game. Right Chase
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: BURNS i think exited the game with a three nothing
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: lead or. SOMETHING i think it was three nothing at
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: the end of. Five so that was one of the
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: winners on the show yesterday With. Cincinnati they held on
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: and won in the full. Game got a little bit
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: question about the, end but that's WHY i said go
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: first five With cincinnati because they're bullpen. Stinks this game
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: looks like it's gonna flip back To seattle based on
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup. HERE i Think seattle is probably
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: gonna get this one to win the. Series, here the
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: teams have split the series so. FAR i Think seattle's
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: the better. Team seattle used two relief pitchers. Yesterday they
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: definitely have the better. Bullpen cincinnati also used five relief,
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: pitchers so pretty big bullpen edge For. Seattle. Here they're ranked,
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: twelveth BUT i think they're better than. That cincinnati is
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: where are they twenty? Eighth they're not quite that, bad
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: but they're pretty. BAD i Think seattle offensively has struggled
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: this year though they're twenty, seventh tied With San. DIEGO
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: i think they're better than, that but that still have
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: not really turned it, around and The reds are twenty,
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: first which is really not much. Better starting, Pitching cincinnati's
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: going With Brady. Singer he's not good four point five SIX,
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: era one point four to one. Whip he's been really
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: bad on the road six point one Four Roadie. RAY
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: i don't know what the deal is with him because
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: their home stadium is very hitter, friendly but he pitches
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: way better, there SO i have no. Idea and this
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: is a more pitcher friendly park In, seattle which maybe
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: means he's going to pitch better. HERE i don't. Know
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: singer has actually been better over his last couple of.
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: Starts he got his walk rate way down over the
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: last two. Starts he went seven plus innings in each
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: of them and allowed two or fewer runs in both of,
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: them so he is actually in pretty good form at
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: least over his last two. Starts over the course of the,
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: season he has not been very. Good has hit rate is,
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: high his home run rate is too, high walk rate
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: isn't too, bad strike out rate is not, great but
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: he's not really a strikeout. Pitcher Against. Seattle he does
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: actually do okay in ninety four at bats two thirty four,
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: average seven to sixteen. Ops seattle has definitely seen a
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: decent amount of him because he used to be in
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: The American league before last. YEAR i think he was
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: On Kansas. CITY i don't know Where zach is right,
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: now but shout out To zach and the chat. Wherever
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: he is twenty one to six strike out walk. Ratio
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: so this is not the worst matchup For Brady's singer,
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: here BUT i still think he's the lesser pitcher Against Emerson,
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: hancock who has definitely had a good season so, far
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: three point one SEVENTY, rra one point zero one whip For. Seattle.
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: Here hancock is really good at home two point nine
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: to two HOMEY. RA i don't know what happened in
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: his last. Start he pitched one to two thirds scoreless
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: Against Tampa bay and then exited the. Game i'm not
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: really sure what that. Was if there was a rain,
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: delay but it couldn't have been a rain. Delay it
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: was in the trop In Tampa, bay so in a roofed,
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: stadium SO i have no idea what happened in that.
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: Game looks like there's no cause for, alarm, though because
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: he is pitching on schedule. Today so, YEAH i don't
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: know what that. Was But hancock has been good for
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: pretty much the entire. Season he's got a low hit,
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: rate his walk rates pretty. Low strikeout rate is decent as,
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: Well so, YEAH i MEAN i like. Him he's pretty.
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: Good he's got good numbers Against cincinnati as. Well only
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: five of their hitters have faced him twenty at. Bats
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: they have no extra base hits against. Him two fifty,
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: average pretty, low five thirty six ops for, strikeouts one. Walk,
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: yeah so my preference would Be seattle in that one,
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: athough you're probably gonna have to lay a price to do.
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: It the price on. It let me, see where are
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: you seea out? There you are in inter? League, YEAH
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: i mean you're laying like minus one fifty something and
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: the money is actually going against them seventy eight percent of,
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: tickets seventy seven percent of the. Cash they're a public
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: side money backing the over eight for whatever that's. Worth
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: BUT i still Think seattle should, win. MAN i, mean
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: they got the better starter on the, mound they got
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: the better, bullpen the more rested bullpen as. Well, YEAH
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: i MEAN i would only be able to lean Towards seattle,
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: there like making a minus one run line or. Something All,
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: Right Saint louis And. ANAHEIM i got this game right
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: yesterday and didn't put it on my. Card Walbert urania
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: was really good again, Yesterday, MAN i told. You kind
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: of pisses me off that it wasn't on my. Card,
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: Now anaheim looks like they're on the version of a
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: sweep Of Saint. Louis So Saint louis might have a
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: little bit of extra motivation, here because when a team's
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: coming in trying to avoid a. Sweep usually that team
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: is going to be the more motivated. Side. ANAHEIM i
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: don't think they have a big series up. NEXT i
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: think they're Playing San francisco or something next starting On,
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: friday so it's not really a look ahead for. Them
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: But Saint louis might have the extra. Motivation the problem,
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: IS i don't like the starting pitching matchup For Saint louis,
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: here even THOUGH i Like. DOBBINS i, mean he's kind
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: of my, guy BUT i don't think he's that. Good
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: Saint louis used two relief pitchers, Yesterday anaheim used. Three
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: anaheim is the lesser bullpen. Here they're not good other twenty.
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: Second Saint louis is twenty, first BUT i think there
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: is a little bit of a gap. THERE i Think
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: anaheim is the worst of the two. Bullpens LIKE i think,
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: Definitively Saint louis is twenty fourth in. Offense The a's
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: have jumped back ahead of them at twenty. Third both
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: offenses have been, struggling, THOUGH i LIKE i, Said Saint
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: louis is going with The yankee hater, Himself Hunter, dobbins
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: formerly of The Boston Red. Sox BRIEFLY i like his,
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: attitude BUT i don't really love these numbers here that
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: he's posted so this. Year it's a limited sample, size
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: but four point zero THREE, rra one point three to
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: nine whip is not that. Good hasn't been good on the,
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: road six point two to three ROADY, ira so that's
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: kind of a. Problem he's been pitching just off and.
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: ON i don't know if he's BEEN i think he's
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: been up and down between the major league team and
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: the minor league. Teams so he's made whatever this, is
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: five major league starts so far the. Season he's been
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: up and down between majors and. Minors he's not going
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: deep into these. Starts he did finally go five innings
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: last time against The milwaukee though he wasn't particularly good
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: in that. Start his walk rate was really a problem.
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: THERE i don't know what he's gonna do. Here. Man,
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: overall his numbers are not really too bad on the.
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: Season his hit rate is kind of, average strike got
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: rate is a bit a little bit, high higher THAN
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: i thought it would. Be and his walk rate is
• 46:47
  Speaker 2: too high, though so he does walk too many. Guys
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: dobbins Against, anaheim they have thirteen at bats against, him
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: two thirty one average seven to forty seven, ops so
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: he's had the slight upper hand against The angels, offense
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: so he might actually do okay. Here The angels haven't
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: really been that good at home. Offensively The angels are
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: going With Reed, debtmers, though who is on my shit
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: list because we lost two starts Where i've tried to
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: back him. Recently but of course as soon AS i
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: jump off The debtmers, train he pitches really, well which
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: is what he did in his last. START i Think
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: dettmvers is good. Overall man four point one six Y
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: ray doesn't really look that, good but it's one point
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: one two whip that's pretty, solid so his era really
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: should be lower than it. Is he's basically the same
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: home and. Aways hear rays a little bit worse at
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: home four point, three but not really anything. Significant LIKE i,
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: said he bounced back really nicely after two pretty bad
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: starts where we got. Focked we lost two unders in those,
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: games first five, Unders i'm pretty sure because that first
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: game would have gone under in the full. GAME i hate, it,
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: MAN i hate. It but he bounced back WHEN i
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: decided to not be on the, game which MAYBE i should.
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: HAVE i THINK i had a lean to the first
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: five under in his most recent. GAME i think it
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: was him Against, melton who's been pitching really well For,
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: detroit and of course what. Happened it was a really
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: low scoring game And detmer Shut detroit out for six.
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: Innings so he looks like he's back in. Form. MAN
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: i know it's only one, start but if you look
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: at his overall, numbers he's pretty. Solid he's got a
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: low hit, rates walk rate is not really bad. Either
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: strike out rate is, high so a lot of good
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: indicators From detmer's numbers. Here numbers Against Saint louis are pretty.
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: Good in fifteen at bats to sixty seven average isn't really,
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: great but six forty six ops allowed is low, enough eight,
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: strikeouts one, walk SO i would PROBABLY i don't, know,
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean the money's coming in On Saint, louis
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: BUT i kind of Like anaheim in the first five.
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: THERE i Think debtmer's is the pitcher with the more upside.
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: There they're at about minus one twenty Something, anaheim but
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: you know they're gonna be a heavier favorite than. That
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: in the first five you're probably looking at minus one thirty.
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: Something at least money is back In Saint louis fifty
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: nine percent of tickets eighty five percent of the cash on.
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: THEM i mean the situation Favors Saint, louis LIKE i,
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: said BUT i don't like the pitching matchup. Enough if
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: you're gonna Go anaheim, though LIKE i, said you should
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: go first five innings only because their bullpen is. Bad
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: so those are my thoughts on the. Game the money
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: is also backing the over eight and a. HALF i
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: MEAN i could see the argument for. HIM i, mean
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: you have one more questionable, PITCHER i, guess and then
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: the bullpens aren't really that. Good ALTHOUGH i don't know
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: first FIVE i actually might be looking leaning more towards
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: an under or what else is new with debt, mers
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i Think, dobbins you, know his matchup numbers aren't
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: really that bad, here and Debt MES i think is actually,
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: Solid so first five under actually might make some sense
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: in that. Game that game's all over the, place man
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: And dodgers And phillies one of the big series that's
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: going on in the middle of the week. Here these
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: teams will split the first two. Games dodgers are able
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: to hang on to a two to one win. YESTERDAY
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: i think The phillies made a Ba he's running blunder
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: at the end of that, game which wound up being
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: what ended the game IF i remember. Correctly this, game,
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: though this is not going to be a very elite
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: starting pitching matchup for this. One The dodgers only used
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: two relief pitchers. Yesterday they do have the better bullpen as.
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: Well phillies used two as. Well The dodgers there ranked
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: seventh and. Bullpen their bullpen's been pretty, good better than last.
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: Year The phillies. Twentieth their bullpen's had some issues this.
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: Year dodgers are still number one in, offense and The
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: phillies have definitely had some offensive issues as. Well twenty.
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: Second although they're better at home at least at, Hitting
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: dodgers are going With eric Lower his numbers are getting
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: better on the. Season man. Was he was good last
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: year With. Toronto he was bad this year With. Toronto
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: toronto got rid of, him and it looks like he's
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: got some new, motivation newfound motivation with The dodgers because
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: he's kind of turned his season. Around he's pitched a
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: lot better with The dodgers since they got him a
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: four point eight one point two eight whip on the
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: season that includes all of It toronto. Starts he's been
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: a little bit better on the road this year four
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: point one to nine roadira with The, dodgers though his
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: first start with The, DODGERS i think this is. ACCURATE
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: i think it was This colorado. Start so he's now
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: made whatever that, is seven starts with The. Dodgers The
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: dodgers have won every single one of those. Games so
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: The dodgers have not lost a game That lower has
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: started for them this, season which sounds, crazy but it's.
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: True and some of it is that he's pitching. Better
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in all of those.
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: Outings his strikeout rate hasn't really been that good, though
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: the rest of his number is pretty, good but the
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is. Low i'm looking at his season wide numbers.
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: Here hit rate is pretty, low walk rate isn't really too.
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: Bad strike out rate very low, though which is maybe
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: a little bit concerning that he's just not striking anybody.
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: Out his numbers against The phillies are, good, though in
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: sixty seven at, bats one ninety four, average six twenty
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: three oh, ps twenty to five strike out walk. Ratio
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: so a lot of things that look like they kind
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: of Favor lour here, right like good matchup numbers better
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: on the. Road dodgers have won every start that he's
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: made for them so, far and he's not having to
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: face one of the phillies better. Pitchers so the thing
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: about The phillies is they have a really really good
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: record when they have one of their top three pitchers,
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: pitching which Is, Sanchez wheeler And. Lozardo, obviously those three pitchers,
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: going The phillies have like a ridiculously positive, record but
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: when anybody else pitches for, them they have like a
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: ridiculously negative, record like really. Bad LIKE i think something
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: along the lines of like fourteen and thirty one or
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: something like. THAT i think that's around what The phillies record.
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: Is if if it's anybody besides those three pitchers starting for,
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: them well today it is anybody besides those three. Pitchers
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: one of their good pitchers is not pitching. Today Aaron
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: nola is, pitching and he has not been able to
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: recover from his. Injuries, man he used to be. Good
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: he is not good right. Now since like last year
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: WHEN i tried to come back from that injury hasn't worked.
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: Out he's got a five point six to eighty array this,
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: year one point four or five whip not. Good he's
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: been bad at home six point Five Homie, ray so
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: he's in the worst of his home road splitz. Here
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: he's looked a little bit better this. Month i'll give him.
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: That his three starts this month haven't really been that
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: bad except last time. Out four walks against The mets
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: isn't really that. Good and we had a winner on that.
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: One that Was Christian scott getting us a win in
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: that one on the, show so that was. Good nola
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: got a little bit lucky in that. One they needed
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: to allow more runs based on the fact that he
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: put ten guys on base and gave up three home
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: runs and somehow will only love three. Runs that's The
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: mets offense for, You. Nola he's got a high hit
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: rate on the, season not. Good he's a lot of
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: a lot of home. Runs his walk rate isn't too
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: bad on his strike cut rate is actually pretty. Good
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: so his command it's really weird because his command is
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: actually there and his strike gut stuff kind of tells
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: you his stuff isn't really, gone but he's been way
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: too hittable at the same. Time SO i don't, know,
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: man you, KNOW i mean the fact that home runs
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: are still kind of. Fluky he might be able to
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: get these numbers turned around a little. BIT i don't
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: know if it's gonna happen, here but he does actually
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: pitch well, historically at least against The dodgers in two
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: hundred and thirty seven at bats two twenty eight to
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: average six fifty six, ops forty one strike got sixteen.
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: Walks it's a lot of. Walks though it's a lot
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: of at. Bats Freddy freeman has a ton of, them seventy. Six,
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: NOW i don't know if we should really take away
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: that much from those, Numbers like, obviously most of those
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: numbers were accumulated When nola was actually a good, pitcher
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: which he is not, Anymore SO i would not read
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: into those numbers a, ton even though it is a
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: huge sample. Size maybe he will pitch well. HERE i
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: guess you could make an argument for like a first
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: five under in this. Game both starting pitchers might actually
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: do okay here and better than you would think because
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: they're both not considered to be good right. Now full
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: game total is pretty high at nine and a, half
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: though money is somewhat back in the the over in the.
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: Game BUT i still think my preference in this game
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: would be to play The. Dodgers they're a fairly cheap
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: price at minus one twenty or maybe even a little
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: bit less than. THAT i, know road, favorite typically you're
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: not gonna get value on The, dodgers BUT i don't, know.
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: MAN i mean The. Dodgers they've been an underdog in
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: the other two games in this series because they had
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: to Face sanchez And, wheeler but that means this should
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: be a bit of a reprieve for The dodgers and
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: they get to Face, nola, now who's a big time
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: step down from those other two, pitchers and LOWER i
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: gave you the. Numbers he's actually been good with The
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: dodgers pretty much so. Far SO i think The dodgers
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: is probably the right play. Here eighty percent of, tickets
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of the cash on. Them i'd go
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: full game BECAUSE i think they have the bullpen advantage as.
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: Well so, YEAH i, Mean dodgers have been a reasonable
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: price on them all, series and some of the guys
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: that do like the market stuff will say, well if
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: you're getting The dodgers an underdog in the first two,
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: games and you shouldn't play them as a favorite. Here
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: BUT i don't really think about it that. Way AND
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: i told you the reason they were the underdog in
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: the first two games because they were facing basically elite,
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: pitchers And nola is not that at. All so all,
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: Right minnesota And. Cleveland it's a, long a long show, here,
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: man because we had to cover two double. Headers hold,
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: on how many games DO i have left to cover?
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: Here i'm gonna take a break AFTER i cover this.
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: GAME i already covered the night games of the, doubleheaders
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: so they'll be five more games after. This but THEN
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: i have a lot OF wnba to, cover AND i
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: do have A wnba. Play cleveland is on the vergion of,
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: well actually they're not on the vergi of Sweet they
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: won the first two games Against. Minnesota but this series continues,
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: tomorrow so keep that in. MIND a few of these
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: series continue. Tomorrow in, fact the only new series tomorrow
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: Is Kansas city Of, detroit and the rest of the
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: games being played tomorrow continuations of the current. Series So
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: cleveland's won the first two games of this, series so
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: of Our, minnesota they're really not that good of a,
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: team and it's really because they're pitching is. Bad but
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: they couldn't even win With Joe ryan on the. Mound
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: we got fucked in that first. Game AND i can't
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: believe how Bad Joe ryan was in that. ONE i
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: went with the first five under in that, one And
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: Joe ryan was absolutely atrocious in that. Game it was
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: his worst start of his. Career probably made no sense at.
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: All On minnesota's bullpen is. Trash they used four guys.
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: Yesterday cleveland has the better. Bullpen they used four as,
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: well But cleveland is ranked fourteenth and bullpen The twins
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: are twenty, ninth really, Bad so, Yeah cleveland obviously better
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: in that. Department minnesota is the better. Offense minnesota is,
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: ninth tied with The. Brewers cleveland moved back up to twenty.
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: Six they were dead last, yesterday but they had an
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: offensive outburst or actually two days ago that must have.
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: Been but they climbed out of that last spot really
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: easily with that thirteen run out, burst some of it
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: Against Joe, ryan and then they put up five. Yesterday
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: So cleveland is putting up some runs against This minnesota.
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: Pitching maybe they'll be able to still do that. Here
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: this pitching matchup is not particularly. Good Bailey ober is
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: pitching for The twins. Here he's been alright this season
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: four point three TWO, era one point one to nine
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: whip is not too. Bad he's been significantly worse on
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: the road six point Nine Roady ray with a three
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: to h three opponent batting average that's not. Good was
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: pretty good in his last two, starts, though one of
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: them on the road At, wrigley so that's a decent.
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: Sign he pitched well in that, environment and he pitched
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: Against cleveland in the start before. Then it did pitch
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: well in that one, too that was at home At.
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: Minnesota but at least you could say With ober that
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: he is pitching well. Recently over his last two. Starts
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: he's got a decent hit rate on the season's walk
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: rates not bad. Either strikeout rate not so. Good but
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: he's not really a strikeout, pitcher even though he's. Huge
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: he's six.' nine you think he'd have like, harder stuff
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: like better. STRIKEOUT stuff i think he's the tallest pitcher
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: in base, or no. He's Not noah schultz is the
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: tallest now at, six' ten but. OBER six Nine I
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: think uri perez is like six eight. Or, SIX nine
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: anyway i like Tall men Man. Ober against cleveland he's
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: been good throughout his career ninety, eight AT bats two,
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: o four average five point, fifty four ohps twenty to three.
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: Strikeout walk, ratio so yeah he's had the upper hand
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: in this matchup in. A Big sample so ober may
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: very well. Pitched well here even though he hasn't been good.
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: On the road this looks like a good, matchup for
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: him and he's at least in good. Form Right now
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: slate chacone Is. PITCHING for cleveland i don't. Really trust
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: him four point five, to five yr one point one
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: point four to one whip. That's not good he is
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: a little bit better at home Four Point, eight homie
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: ray but his opponent batting average is bad both. Home
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: and away. Doesn't really matter he wasn't really good in
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: his Last, outing against minnesota, by the way and then
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: he missed a, start or something or they skipped a.
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: Start for him he hasn't Pitched Since that. Cleveland Minnesota
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: series so ober had another start. After that series, chak
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: HAS not so i don't know. Do with that info,
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: What you want but both pitchers are recently familiar to.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: The OPPOSING offenses but i don't think it matters in
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: this case because these offenses are familiar with. These PITCHERS
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: anyway so i don't really think it's. Gonna matter much
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: it's not gonna help the. Offenses that much chacone has
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: a pretty, bad hit rate. It's pretty high his walk,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: rate is mediocre. Strike out, Rate excuse me i'm not
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: Very good Either, chaconi against minnesota he's been alright in thirty,
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: five at bats two, fifty seven average five ninety two
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: o ps eight one strike. Out walk ratio maybe he could.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: Pitch well here this is a hard game. To, figure
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: out man the money is All. Back in minnesota they're
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: a little bit. Of an underdog minus one twenty something
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: is The. Price on cleveland if You're, GONNA back minnesota
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: i would say only do it in. THE first five
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: i might not, disagree with that but obviously you can't.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: Include their bullpen seventy percent Of, tickets on cleveland eighty
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: five percent of The. Cash on, MINNESOTA but yeah i
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: don't Really disagree with minnesota in. THE first five i
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna come out with some effort trying to avoid.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: The sweet peer, AND you know I mean as, I
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: had said i think ober probably does have the upper
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: hand in the starting pitching matchup better recent, form at
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: least and probably just overall of the, somewhat better pitcher
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: better whip and whatever the over is getting some money
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: as well. AT over eight, I don't KNOW i don't
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: i don't really have a good. Feel for that it
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: could be a first five under given that both pitchers
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: actually have a decent matchup. FOR themselves there. I don't
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: know i'll. BE right back i already talked about The
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: doubleheader between Pittsburgh and The Yankees, and baltimore boston so
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 2: five games left to. Talk about here i'll. Be. Right,
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: BACK yep inside i want. To kill myself WE were
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: on own seven run over the last two. Days after
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: tonight it was just. Complete both shit So that's that's
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna start. Off This show horrible sunday. ONE and
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: five i don't even know what to tell. YOU about
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: that i just don't want to. DO this anymore i
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: have never seen. Anything like this man with, the slump continuing,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: two straight losses not a good. Day at. All own
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: four that have not had. A, good season man with
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: Wookends slump, that i'm on and, The slump continues i've reached. A,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: New peak actually i'm going to burn My, BROWINS hack
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: man i don't know what is going On with the?
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: Bruins arch hape is that? WHAT it is i don't
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: Even know, IT'S march ninth i think? Who, EVEN knows
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: man i don't know what? Data Is anymore. BUT i'm
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: not i don't even know what. Data, Is anymore man
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: back with you after the WORST day that i, Could
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: possibly have back WITH you as i ALWAYS am, until
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: i die at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: it did not go. Well for, me own five the
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: Worst month that i've ever had in my eighteen. YEARS
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: doing this i don't know what to even tell you.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: About this anymore, Slump series discontinues. The slump continues somebody, fucking.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: KILL me please i don't EVEN know what i should do,
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: at this point other than potentially end it, All all Right.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: Tampa and toronto this, series Continues tomorrow but tampa has
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: won both games in the SERIES of our i thought they.
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: WOULD win yesterday i was kind Of surprised that tampa
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: beatdylln't cease in the first game yesterday looked Like It
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: favored Tampa bay with rasmussen. On the mountain he did
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: bounce back with a. Good start yesterday what do we
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: do with? THIS one, though i mean it doesn't really
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: Look great for toronto really, in this one even though
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: they should have a motivational edge here because they're trying to,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: avoid a sweep although they could do. That tomorrow, TOO
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: but yeah i think the Pitching matchup favors tampa. In
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: This one tampa bay used three relief Pitchers just today
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: toronto used. THREE as well I still think toronto might
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: have the, better bullpen here, The Ranked thirteenth tampa, bay's
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: Ranked six but toronto has the. Better e, ray IT'S
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: close but i think the argument is definitely. There for
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: that the argument For Anything but tampa bay being the better.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: Offense Doesn't exist tampa bay is definitely. The better offense
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: the rank sixth Tie, with the YANKEES even though i
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: don't think. They're That good but toronto is now dead last.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: Thirtieth in offense their offense. Has been terrible they're gonna
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: have to Go Up against. Griffin, JACKS here, jacks i
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: mean he's kind of he's, a converted reliever but he's.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: He's been alright four, point eighty ra one point two.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: To seven whip not as good on, the road though
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: four point Four To six roady ray and we got
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: screwed in. HIS last start i gave out an under
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: in that Game Against, the red sox and he gave
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: up seven runs. In five innings but he wasn't. Even
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: that bad he, had six. Strikeouts one walk it was a,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: little bit hittable gave, up eight hits but his, command
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: WAS there so i don't really know how he got
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: tagged for. THAT many runs I Guess the red sox
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: team that is still really not that good, of an
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: offense even though they've. Been better, Recently for, sure jack's
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: overall including all of, his relief appearances he's got a pretty,
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: low hit rate pretty. Low, WALK rate well i walk,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: RATE is OKAY i guess i should say strike out
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: rate is actually still pretty good more than, one per
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: inning so. That's not Bad jacks against toronto has. Been
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: pretty good sixty, four at bats two, h three average
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: six seventy, six oh ps eleven to nine strikeout walk ratio,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: is not good but the rest of those numbers. Are
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: pretty good He did face toronto, earlier this year went
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: five shutout innings against Them here in Toronto back, on
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: may thirteenth though he walked four guys in those five
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: innings and, had one strikeout so that's a little bit of.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: A red flag but he's generally been pretty good Against
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: him in toronto's going with A. Bullpen game Toronto's He's
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: got bradon fisher listed. As a starter, he's been good
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: but he's only gonna go like one or two innings,
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: HERE probably probably i would say closer to one would.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: Be more accurate he hasn't really gone more than one inning,
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: that MUCH here so i think it's just gonna be
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: a full Bullpen game. For toronto Here who does, Toronto,
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: even have like who's gonna even be? IN behind him
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: i guess you gotta look five games back to try to.
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: Figure that out that was a twelve four loss they
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Had To. The white, Sox, that was yeah it was
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: a complete bullpen Game From the patrick corbin was in
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: the mix there. FOR that one. I don't know it
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: doesn't seem very good To, me FOR toronto though i
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: definitely have underrated their bullpen, games A bit but i don't.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: LIKE it here i think This Game is tampa. Bay or,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: pass You Know maybe tampa bay in, the FIRST five
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: because I think, The TORONTO'S bullpen but i don't Even
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: know if toronto's bullpen really, has an edge especially if
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: they're going. Bullpen game here maybe just simplify it And
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: just take tampa as a, small underdog here but the
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: motivational factors are not. Really for that so seventy nine,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets ninety percent of The, cash on tampa
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: so it does look, like they're public but maybe some
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: of the actual Money is on. Tampa as well there'll
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: be a small underdog here and the totals at eight
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: and the over is. GETTING some traction, i, DON'T know,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: MAN i mean i think it all kind of depends
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: on what you think you're gonna Get out, Of jacks
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: here like is he gonna return to form? Here a
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: bit or is he gonna have? Another BAD start that's
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: i think that's really the most unpredictable aspect. Of, THAT
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: game ACTUALLY i Think i Think toronto's bull. TORONTO'S bullpend
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: game i guess it's kind, Of unpredictable, TOO so, yeah
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: i mean you COULD see why i don't want to.
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: Play That game San. Diego in atlanta this is another series, That.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: Continues Tomorrow, arizona saint louis, by the way also does
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: so ACTUALLY scratch. WHAT i Said I said saint louis
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: is trying to. Avoid the, sweep, oh no wait that's. A,
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: new series. Yeah never, Mind So yeah saint louis is
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: trying to. Avoid, A Swep yeah Saint louis and arizona
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: starting a. New series tomorrow my apology. Is my mistake
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: so three series that are going on Today Continue, Tomorrow, San, Diego,
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: atlanta Minnesota Cleveland And. Tampa bay, Toronto All right San,
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: diego and atlanta they've split the. Series so far atlanta
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: won the first game and then lost badly yesterday. EIGHT
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: to Three i thought atlanta had. The, upper hand yes
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: really They Lost to. Walker Bueller. Yesterday REALLY bueller maybe
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: i Should Get the ferris bueller clip go back to,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: some drops here use That Just for walker bueller before baseball,
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: season is over but before he's out of. The, league
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: forever sorry he's just. Not That good san diego used four,
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: relief Pitchers Yesterday, including mason miller although he hadn't pitched,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: for a while so maybe he'll be able to. Be
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: Available again today atlanta. Only used two these are. Two
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: good bultpens, atlanta's number ONE, although they're era is second,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: best right now well third Really Behind the red Sox.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: And The yankees san. Diego's ranked, ELEVENTH you know I
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: like their i mean A Bullpen with mason miller and
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: is pretty much always. Gonna be good well maybe Not
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: because the a's bullpen wasn't that good when they, had
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: But yeah san diego's. Bullpen, Is Good offensively san diego.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: Is not good they're twenty Seventh and the braves are
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: better than that there where, They at eleventh so there
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: is an offensive mismatch here a Little, bit FOR atlanta
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: but i think. Pitching Overcomes that and atlanta hasn't hit that,
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: well at home and they're gonna have To Deal. With
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: Michael king michael King Is probably san. DIEGO'S best, starter
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: i mean they don't really have many other starters. Are
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: any good he's got a three POINT three four era
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: one point. One six whip he's still pretty good on
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: the road three point Six to two rodyra it's a,
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: little bit worse. But not bad he's been. Pretty consistent
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: recently he's been. Pitching all right he's got a low
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: hit rate. On the season his walk rate is a,
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: little bit high so that's a little bit of. A
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: concern there strike out rate is, not really high so
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: he doesn't really. Strike guys out but he's been, pretty
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: effective generally and he's been Good against the braves. In
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: the past and seventy eight at bats two, thirty one
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: average allowed five forty one ohps twenty to three strike,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio so king it looks like he should pitch.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: Pretty Well, here martine perez, the old timer is coming
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: back from the injured list to Pitch for, the braves
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: here and he was having a surprisingly good season before
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: he went down a three point five forty one point one.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: TO nine, whip i mean he's an old man and
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: he is, a junk pitcher but, he's you know he knows,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: how to pitch like. That's the thing and he's pitched pretty,
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: well this year and he's been good at home two
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: point nine to eight. HOME e ray i have been
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: thinking there's some regression in store, for him though and
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: he wasn't really that good over his last three starts.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: Before going down one of Them Was, at san diego,
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: by the way more pitcher, friendly park there and he struggled,
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: through that start had a lot of walks. In that
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: one and he's walked a lot of guys really in his,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: last three starts and he's failed to make it five
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: innings in two, of the three so he is falling off.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: A little bit and those Starts Are, Against San diego
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: saint Louis, and the mets so not facing really. Good
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: offenses there maybe there was something going on with the
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: whatever his, Injury situation was maybe that had something to.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: Do WITH it but i don't Know how trustworthy? Perez
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: this year? OH wait what i don't know why that didn't?
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: Load for, ME hang on I hate out espn when
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: the guy's, injured or whatever they get rid of the
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: batter versus, picture, tab entirely, like, come on man There
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: we go Perez. Against the padres he's been okay in
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: ninety at bats, to, sixty seven average seven to, twenty
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: six ops fourteen to thirteen strike out walk ratio is definitely,
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: not good though although nine of Those walks Or bogart's
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: and machado so do with that info. WHAT you Want
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: I think san diego is the way to look. In
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: that game you're gonna get them is a little bit.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: Of an underdog the public is Probably gonna. Play atlanta
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 2: here uh, Let, me see yeah fifty one percent Of.
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: Tickets around atlanta they're, not heavily public but, they're slightly
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: public and the Money Is backing san diego. Fifty seven
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: percent so THAT is what i would do. IN THAT
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: game i i was. Gonna play it money's back in
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: the over eight and, a HALF too but i don't
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: have a good. READ on that I, think, king well actually,
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: you know what You Could go san diego First five
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: because atlanta does have a, pretty good bullpen and they
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: might have a, Bullpen edge here so if you want
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: to just focus on, the starting pitching maybe that's the
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: best way. To Play This take san diego in, the
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: first five but you won't get as good of a
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: price like you'll get them as an underdog in. The
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: full game but they might be a slight favorite in.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: The first five but even, if they are that's not
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: really that bad. Of, A price yeah i think that's
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: probably the best approach Is First five san diego money
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: line In that One detroit and chicago are GONNA, be On,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: espn the Cubs Not, the white sox an INTERLEAGUE. Game
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: On espn the Cubs blasted. From brevaldez yesterday i'm not
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: happy about. THAT at all i don't know. How that
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: happened they won the game. Eleven to two and on,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: THE other side i have No Idea how david peterson actually,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: pitched really well that. WAS just insane i don't know
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 2: how anybody could have predicted. Any of, that, such bullshit
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: dude this has been a split series of both teams
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: probably show. Up for this detroit used. TWO relief, pitchers i,
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: said oh god there's, gonna be maintenance but not during
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: THE window where i for this rotal WIRE site that
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: i used for, the bullpen usage but not during THE
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: hours that. I usually, Go so whatever cubs. Didn't use
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: anybody that's NOT right Because i know peterson. Went SIX
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: innings but i think what it Was is the cubs
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: probably used like one of their long relief men, slash
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: spot starters probably pitched, and relief yesterday so he's not listed.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: In this table that's probably. What they did so they
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: did rest most of. Their bullpen yesterday as far as the.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: Bullpens Are concerned the cubs bullpen. Has struggled recently they're
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: down to, sixteenth right. Now not great, detroit is nineteenth
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: but they HAVE, A BETTER era so i think it's
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: close between the. Two bullpens here they're both. Kind of
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: mediocre cubs are, fourth and offense they're the. Better offensive team.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: Detroit is nineteenth Detroit's Going, with keeter montero who has
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: been pitching him relief. For a bit now he's back in.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: The starting rotation he's put up good numbers this year
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: three POINT two two era point NINE. To eight whip
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: he's been good on the road two POINT five nine
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: roadi with a oppon a batting average of one. Point,
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: fifty three yeah he's been good. On the road we'll
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: see what he could do going back into. The starting
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: rotation and when he was in, the starting rotation he
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: was going pretty deep into a lot. OF these games
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: i don't really know why they took him out of,
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: the starting rotation but he's been in the bullpen for,
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: a bit now but he, was PITCHING well so i don't.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: REALLY know why i think it must have been because school,
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: bull Came back right that must. Have been it so
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: even though he, Was pitching well school bull came back
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: and they actually Decided to replace montero in. The starting.
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: ROTATION yeah, WEIRD i mean i think it's because that's
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: just kind. OF his role i think that's why. They
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: did that but he was. Pitching pretty well he's got a,
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: low hit rate. Low walk rate his strikeout rate is
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: not good though he doesn't, strike guys out but he's
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: been pitching Effectively for a Numbers against the cubs are,
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: not good though eighteen at bats not, a big sample
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: but two, seventy eight average twelve thirty, nine oh ps
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: five to two strike. Out walk ratio not convinced that
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: he's gonna. Pitch well. HERE he might i think he's
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: a little bit hard to predict. In, THIS one generally
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: i think he's the Better Pitcher, over colin ray but as,
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: You're gonna see ray has the better. Matchup numbers here
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: he's Pitching. For, the cubs here he's not really been
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: that good four point Seven to forty ray one point.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: Four to whip he is good, at home though two
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: point nine to. Four homey ra so both starting pitchers
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 2: are in the better of their. Home. Road splits here
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: ray has been in. Okay form recently his last few starts, have,
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: been alright really his last like five starts. Have been
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: decent he's allowed three or four earned runs and all
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: of them not really bad command. Numbers, There either necessarily
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: he's got a somewhat high hit rate, on the season
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: those walk, rate is okay his strike out. Rate is
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: low he doesn't really strike Guys, out against detroit though
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: they have, thirteen at bats, very small sample only five guys,
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: have faced them only one hit though it's A. Single
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: from torkosen they have an seventy seven average and two twenty,
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: ops against them with two strikeouts. In One walk so
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: ray has been able to shut them down in a
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: small sample size when he. Has faced them does that
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: mean we want to Look towards? THE cubs here, i.
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: DON'T know man i mean you could make the argument
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: For it that ray has a Matchup, edge over montero
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: but the money's all Coming, in on detroit, just like
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: yesterday and that still didn't. Help the market reid agreed with,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: my play yesterday although it was a full, game market
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: read but still sixty three percent of Tickets, on the
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: cobs ninety two percent of The casual on detroit strong
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: Market read. TOWARDS detroit here i think the Feeling is
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: that montero is just generally the Better. Pitcher over ray
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: and ONE thing that i, will say is if you're gonna,
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: PLAY this game i think You should play detroit action
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: because you don't know if they're gonna put an opener In.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: Front of montero you have no idea what, they're gonna
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: do like they've done that. Before this year, sometimes he
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: starts some times he has an opener in. Front of
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: him sometimes he just comes out. Of the, BULLPEN so
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: yeah i mean that IS probably what, i would do
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: because he's. Probably gonna pitch it's just a matter of
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 2: will they put an opener in front of. Him or
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: not chicago is a slight favorite there minus won. Twenty
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: or so the money's also back in the over the,
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: totals at eight so that means you know that there's
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: not really a win factor. In this game in regularly
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: it looks like a pretty, average total there so probably
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: not a lot of win going on. In that one
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: do with that, VO you want i don't really have
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: a good, read. ON it man i mean my slight
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 2: lean was Gonna be towards chicago in the first five
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: just based on the. Matchup NUMBERS there but i don't
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: feel strongly about. It at, All All right White. Sox
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: In texas white sox won the first game, ten to
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: Three and then texas won ten to. Not thing yesterday
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: it's been a hard series, to, figure out man both games.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: Have gone over texas rested. Their bullpen yesterday for, the
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: most part they only us one guy out. OF the,
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: bullpen i mean kind of a long RELIEF role or
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: i already forget who. We're Talking About. The, white Sox Yeah.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: THE white sox i used two guys out of. The
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: Bullpen YESTERDAY texas generally i would say they have, the
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: better bullpen but that hasn't really been. The case recently.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: THEY'VE been bad i don't know what's going. On with
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: them they dropped all the. Way to fifteenth they were
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: like an elite, bullpen last year pretty. CLOSE to it
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: i don't know what they're doing this. Year At fifteenth white.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: Sox are seventeenth but their era is Actually. Better than
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 2: texas so if there's not much of a disparity with these,
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: two bullpens here there isn't really much. One offensively, either
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: Right Now the white. Sox are thirteenth, texas is fifteenth Tied.
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: WITH the giants I Think the white sox are, the
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: BETTER offense So i think texas a, little bit overrated
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: and they don't really score that. Well at home this, starting,
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup though. Looks pretty ugly Chicago's Going with ANTHONY
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: kay who i don't think is particularly good four POINT,
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: two four era one point three, to seven whip very.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: Mediocre at best he's not good on the road five
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: point eight roady rail those opponent batting average, is actually
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: LOWER but his era is. A lot worse he's a
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: lot a lot of. Road home runs he's not really.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: Pitching well recently three of his last four starts he
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: didn't make. It five innings not really a whole lot.
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: To like here he's not really allowing, that many runs
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: but he's. Serviceable at best his hit rate is, actually
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: reasonably low as WALK rate is i would. Say too
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: high his strike gout rate, is not high so he
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: doesn't really. Strike guys out he has some, issues with
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: command doesn't go. Deep into outings texas has a very
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: small sample seven at. Bats against them three hitters have
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: faced him but they've all had. Hits off him they
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 2: have a four to, twenty nine average eleven, forty three
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: ohps one strike out. In no walks it's such a
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: small sample size it's hard to figure out. Anything FROM
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: that but i just don't think, he's that good and
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: he's not good. ON the Roads i think kay is.
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: Definitely Fatable here and texas looks like they're going with
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: a Boltpen Game with tyler alexander listed. As a starter
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: he's been a relief. Pitcher from them he's, been all
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: right two point seventy ninety are one point three. To
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: one whip but he's not gonna go deep. Into this
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: game he's probably gonna, be an opener basically gonna. Go
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: one inning and my guess Is that what texas is
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: doing is They're gonna have alexander pitch the first inning
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: and then they're gonna Go with cal quantrell because it's
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: his turn. In The rotation so i'm pretty sure that's what.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: They're doing here, let me say and If, it is
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: quantrill let me just bring him. Up real quick he's
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: got a three point NINE to three era one point two.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: To nine whip he was not good in his last
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: down And. He gets atlanta. He got blasted he pitched
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: Pretty well against houston the, start BEFORE then and i
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: think costs us a play. On the show i'm pretty
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: sure when we're trying To, fade Him Quantrill the white
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: socks haven't really seen. Much of him three hitters, have
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: seen him but they have thirty two at. Bats Against
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: him Ben Intending And great chuck i've both seen him
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: a lot two, eighty one average eight, oh three ops
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: seven to one strike, a walk. RATIO small sample i
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: don't know what you really do With That'll the white
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: socks have been able. To hit him so if this
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: is what's, going on here it's gonna be k Versus
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: basically cal quandrill slash Bullpen. GAME for texas i think
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: it might, be, an over dude and watch watch this
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: game be the only game in the series. To go, Under,
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: you know texas it's been an under, haven this season
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: but it's balanced. Out. A bit uh they've had a
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: lot of recent games go over the, total at home
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: and this entire series would wind up going over if.
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: THIS game does i think that is probably the approach,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 2: in this game is to go over the eight and
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: a half here sixty three, percent of tickets eighty seven
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash. On the over the money Is
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: back in texas sixty two percent of tickets Are On,
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: the white sox fifty two percent of The cash on
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: texas at about Minus one. TEN pickham price i. WOULDN'T do,
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: THAT i mean i can't find a way to back
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: either of these, Pitchers here, REALLY so yeah i think
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: it over makes the most sense. In that one and
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: then you're getting, mediocre bultpends too so They. Can go
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: texas bullpen has. Been really struggling then We have On
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: miami and houston is the last game. On the board
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: miami's trying to avoid, getting swept here so they're in
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: That spot where houston's won the first two games. Of
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: the series this series is. NOT continuing tomorrow I don't
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: believe houston has a really. BIG series next i forget,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: who THEY'RE playing but i don't really think it's a.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: Look ahead spot Let me say, houston, is playing well
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: They're Playing, the white sox So Maybe. The white, sox
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: you Know They're an american league team that might make the,
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: playoffs THIS year and i think they're still, Leading their
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: Divisions so maybe houston will look Ahead To the white sox.
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: A little bit but, THE pitching matchup i don't think
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 2: i'd Want. To fade houston given what this. Pitching matchup
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: is their bullpen. Might be fadable they used three. Relieve
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday miami used. Three as well miami's got. The better.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: Bullpen they're fourth, houston is eighteenth, not particularly good although they've.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: Been BETTER recently as, I keep saying miami, EIGHTH in
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: offensive i don't think they're. QUITE that good i think
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: their numbers got skewed by some hit or friendly stadiums.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: They played in houston, is FOURTEENTH offensively but i think
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: these offenses are closely. Matched pitching wise both pitchers. Might.
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: Be good Here sandy al condra is Pitching, from the,
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: MARLINS you, KNOW i mean, i keep saying, despite the
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: limitations after all of his arm issues and, surgeries and
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: whatever he's still pitching. Well right now three POINT, eight
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: two era one point. Two to whip he's never gonna
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: be what, he once was but he's, still pitching alright
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: although he's been worse on. The road though four point
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: Four To eight roady ray with a much worse, opponent
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: batting average so he might be vulnerable here. On the
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: road although he's been good in his in all of
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: his starts this. Month so far, high strikeout rate pretty,
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: low walk right although he walked four guys Last, time
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: against milwaukee and that was A game where i was
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: very close to giving out the under in THAT game and.
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: I should have that was an. Easy underwinner there not.
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 2: HAPPY about that i think that Was probably Al condra
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: gets henderson would be My guess what I've Been, to
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: kyle harrison, by the way? IS he hurt i haven't
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: seen him in A while. From, Milwaukee anyway oh condra's
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: been good in his three, starts this month including One,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: at the a's which. Is not easy he's got a
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: reasonable hit it's. Not too bad his walk. Rate is
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: low he's got a, lot of innings and his strikeout.
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: RATE is low, i mean again that's like part of
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: his game is just. Not there anymore is he doesn't
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: really have that ability to blow. Guys Away, anymore against
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: houston he's been mediocre in fifty two at bats to,
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: sixty nine average seven to, twenty five ops eleven of four.
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 2: STRIKEOUT walk ratio i would say he has like the
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: slight upper hand. In That matchup peter lambert Is. Pitching
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: for houston man good thing for him he got out
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: of The out of colorado's organization because he's been Pretty
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: good for houston three POINT oh three era one point one.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: To one whip he's only a little bit worse at
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: home three point ONE. Seven home era he's been really
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: good this month with a one POINT oh two era
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: seventeen to two thirds in he's pitched, nine hits allowed,
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: touring runs, allowed five walks. Twenty, three strikeouts yeah. That's
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: pretty good so he's definitely in good. Form right now
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: he's gone at least five to two thirds in all three.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: Of those outings. That's all solid he's he got a
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: really low hit rate on the season is walk grade,
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: is not great but it's. Kind of mediocre his strike
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: got rated, is fairly good almost. One per, inning, So
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: yeah overall lambert, is Pitching well and miami's never, faced
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 2: him before so he does have an unfamiliarity edge. There
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: AS well So i think lambert has the advantage of the.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: Starting PITCHING here so i don't really want to come
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: in and Try, to back miami even though they're trying to. Avoid,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: the sweep here and the motivational aspects would say that
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: the money's actually Coming, in ON houston and i kind of.
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: Agree with that fifty five percent Of tickets on miami
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: fifty one percent of The. Cash on houston public seems
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: To still like miami because the record is good and
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: it's Probably. Better THAN houston's but i think these teams
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: are pretty, closely, matched here man especially. In this matchup
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are saying, that As well with houston being at,
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty basically just the home advantage for, them
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: at home but the money is. BACK in them I
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: would lean houston FIRST five because i don't think they
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: have a bullpen, Advantage Or anything so houston verse, five
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: makes sense so we're gonna pay a little bit more.
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: Of a price that money's also. BACKING the over I
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: don't think i. WOULD do that i think probably first
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 2: five under would be my opinion on. THE total there
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: i think both starting pitchers still might come in and.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: Pitch well, HERE so Yeah i like houston in, the
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: first five but also the first five under in that one.
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: Makes some sense it's a tough board, to, figure OUT
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: man so i only have one PLAY and hopefully i
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: identified a strong play. There FOR, baseball for wnba we
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: got six games and then we Go Into the. ALL
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: star break i know you guys are all Gonna Watch
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: The all Star, Game On saturday Team Spoon, against team
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: coop which ARE whoever those i think they're? What are
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: THEY they're x wnba players that lead, those two teams
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: and they. CHOOSE their team i don't know how. It even.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: Works who cares we're gonna have a play in, the
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: afternoon here the, first game up so we have two
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: after noon plays today and that's, the whole board a
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: whole card. For me today we've turned it AROUND in,
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: the wnba recently and, TO be honest i think the
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: MAJORITY of my wnba losses have been bullshit and hopefully
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: we can get. A win here We're gonna take phoenix
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: plus two and a half in the first GAME. HERE
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: against la i think the spot sets up. Well for
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: this people are gonna look at, this, AND, THINK oh,
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 2: la i mean you're only laying like basically two points
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: HERE with the la and they have a Better. Record
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: than phoenix, phoenix is awful not like, nine, to eighteen
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: right who? Would? Want that well, FIRST of all la
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: is playing without their best player, right now plumb so
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: some of their wins came with her still in there before.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: She got HURT so this la team without, her is
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: worse and. Their depfense stinks phoenix has faced a. Fairly
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: difficult schedule they had a really difficult run at the beginning,
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: of THE season so i still think they're not as
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: bad as. The record looks so that's KIND of where, i,
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: start this like it kind of looks too EASY to,
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: play LA here and i will say that the line
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: has moved down. A little bit it looks like it's
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: mostly one and a half's, out there now, Maybe A
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: two so i, apologize FOR that but i would still
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: say take the Points here with phoenix here and put
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: ten percent of it on the money, line, as well
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: obviously but this is a good spot. In my opinion
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 2: it looks like the money's coming in and, agreeing WITH
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: me so i like, to see, that although, unfortunately you
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: know BY the time i get to it, in the
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: show the line. Has already moved it's just, how. This,
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: WORKS man now la they've lost four games, in a
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: row they've lost seven of their, last nine games so
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: it's not like they're exactly. Playing that Well but what
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: i'm looking at is they're returning on from. A road trip, so,
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: you know me we have three road trip return SPOTS in,
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: the wnba today and this is THE one that i like.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: Fading The best here la has been on The road.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: Since july thirteenth they had to go all the Way
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 2: To the east coast and then they Were in the.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: Central time zone so now they're coming Back. To the
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: west although it's not really One Of those west coast
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: biological clock fuck situations because it's not, a late game
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: so it's not gonna, matter that much but it's still.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: Return home spot and YOU know what i talk about
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: with that is when. Teams return home plus they're still
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: gonna have to return across multiple time zones and they
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: have to get back, To HOME life so i think
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: what it is. Is us distraction then they're gonna Go
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: Into the, all star break although maybe they'll be motivated
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: because they don't want to Go Into the all star
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: break in a five. Game losing, streak, BUT still, man
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: I mean is phoenix really gonna be the team you're gonna?
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: Get up for They've already played Phoenix twice in phoenix
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 2: and beat. Them both Times back on may twenty first.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 2: By nine points if you dig, INTO that game la
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: shot out in their minds, in That game and plumb played,
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: in THAT, GAME so la i think there's gonna be
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: some offensive regression from. WHAT that was i mean that
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 2: was a. Crazy offensive GAME and then la beat them
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: in overtime in the Other game in phoenix As well,
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: on june thirteenth winning By nine and plumb played in
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: that game as well and put up. Forty THREE points
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 2: so la Has not Faced phoenix since, plumb WENT down
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: so i don't think you really put that much. Weight into,
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: those of course they're not gonna be favored by as
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: much now, with her out but They haven't faced. Phoenix
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: without her and if you look, AT those games la
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: shot really well, in both games so there might be
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: some regression COMING. For in la the first game they
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 2: had a massive, three point disparity and, THE second game
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 2: i think they had a pretty big, free throw disparity
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: so some of that stuff might even out. A little
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: bit the second game didn't really have as many outliers
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: though it wasn't more of, a close GAME but still
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: i don't like the spot. The return home they're gonna
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: Go Into The. All star break They Do have new
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: york when they come Out Of The. ALL star break
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: i don't really know if that's gonna be a look.
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: Ahead Or, NOT but phoenix i think they're in, a
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: positive spot like they're gonna. Try to win they just
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: broke a five game losing streak with A, win OVER
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: connecticut which i think is. A momentum starter when you
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: get a win against anybody. When you're losing connecticut's the
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: worst team. In the league but if you get a
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: win against anybody and you break, YOUR losing streak i
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: think that's. A good thing it gives. You new confidence
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: you're not gonna be overconfident because you didn't beat, a
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: good team and you're gonna be able to take that
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: momentum with you and quick TRAVEL. SPOT to la i
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: think they should show. UP for, THIS i mean la
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: is a team that's coming to their house and. Beat.
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: THEM twice phoenix i got that game right. BY the
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: way i didn't give it out as a Play, on
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: a sunday but that was a Zigzag spot where phoenix
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: Had lost to connecticut that, game before that and they
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: made the adjustments and. Won and, covered but yeah we're
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: Gonna go with phoenix here. In this one it's not
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 2: my Strongest feel that i've HAD, in the wnba but
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: the money seems to agree with me on. This pretty
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: strongly seventy eight percent OF, tickets on la eighty five
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: percent of The. Cash on phoenix the lines. Are already
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: moving try to find a good number. ON this man
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: i would still probably play it at one, and, a
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: half though and obviously put some of the money on,
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: the money line because it's pretty likely that if, they're
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: gonna cover. They're gonna win So that's what i'm gonna do.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: With that One. MINNESOTA at seattle i got this game wrong.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: The other day these teams are playing a second straight game.
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: Against each other seattle definitely played well in. The last
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: game they. HUNG in there i thought it was a
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: Bad spot for seattle returning home from, a ROAD trip
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: but i said there was the chance they were gonna
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: get up for that game Still. Because it's minnesota they're
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: the best team. In the LEAGUE but Now i think
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: minnesota might be the team to. Look, for here NOW
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: even though i liked them to cover in, that first
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: game you're getting a little bit More value. ON minnesota
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: time i think the line is moved by. ABOUT a
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: point i think they were eleven and a half in
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: that other game and now they're ten. And a half
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: although this line opened at nine and it, quickly SHOT
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: up and i don't really see great market indicators, on this,
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: ONE but yeah i think it's kind of. A. Zigzag
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: spot right so If, you had, seattle you know they
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: played their guts out in that last game And almost
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: upset minnesota as. Double digit underdogs YOU know, What i
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: say when a, team does that a, lot of times
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: they just have nothing left in the. Tank after that
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: Minnesota should take seattle more seriously, now after that Because
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 2: they know seattle almost Caught them and, minnesota almost lost and,
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: just in general when a big, favorite almost loses it
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: tends to shock them back into. Focus AFTER that so i.
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: Like the spot it's basically a Zigzag spot, from minnesota
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: here although if you dig, into the NUMBERS you know
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: i was looking for like a reason, to ZIGZAG this
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: and i mean it's. KIND of, There i mean seattle
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: did shoot better than, they probably will but there really
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: weren't that. Many outliers here the game was actually kind,
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 2: of close statistically so that kind of worries me A
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: little bit minnesota didn't win the rebound battle. By That,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: much but minnesota they should clamp down. Defensively this time they're.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: A good deepfense they're not gonna give up one hundred
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: and Two points, to, Seattle AGAIN right Like i think
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 2: seattle they like, to PLAY fast so i think that's
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 2: what they tried to do there and it. Pretty MUCH
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: worked but i think after that they might be. Out
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: OF gas Like i think minnesota should be able to
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: come in and get. THIS thing done i think it
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: is sort of, a zigzag spot but it's more that
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: just you'd be, playing the favorite the team that lost
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: is a big favorite in, the previous game and fading
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: a team that almost pulled off. A big upset and,
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: in this case it just happens to be a zigzag
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: as well because it's the. Same team's, PLAYING so yeah
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: i would Lay it with minnesota minus ten. And a
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: half seattle has fifty three percent of tickets fifty six
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 2: percent of the, cash on them not really much of a,
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: cash DISPARITY there so i don't. Know about, that but
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: yeah if you if you wanted me to give you a,
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: PLAY on That i like minnesota. In that one and
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: that is not the WEAKEST opinion that i have. In
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: these games So that's what i'll Say about That Chicago,
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: At New york new york as they're turning over. A
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: road trip i took a long look. At. THIS one
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: Man i considered chicago. IN this game i don't like
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: The Spot. For new york they were on The, Road since,
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: saturday july eleventh so. Long road, trip you know when
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: a team returns home from the road from, a LONG trip,
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 2: like i say it can. Be a distraction you got
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 2: to get back. To Home life the liberty probably have
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: some players are gonna Be In The all star, game
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: and whatever so they Might overlook the chicago team who,
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: they played once although they only beat. THEM by one
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 2: i think the only time they played Them was in
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: chicago and they only beat. Them by one but then
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: also Does tell you chicago has the ability to hang Around.
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: Against The liberty the liberty finished their Road trip on
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: monday with a big win and Overtime. Win against dallas
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: that was. A tough game i believe It was Also,
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: dallas Without becker so dallas really stepped. UP their game
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: i talked about that game. ON the show i thought
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 2: it was a Bad, spot for dallas except that it
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: was also an injured player spot because their best player had.
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: Just Gotten injured so dallas stepped, up their game man
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: And took the liberty right. To the wire it was
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: a big game for both teams. In MY opinion so
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: I think the liberty they're gonna be in that distracted
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: spot plus maybe a. Hangover spot Here, and for chicago
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: they're coming up a big, game too though which is
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: The main reason i'm kind of shying away From this
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: is chicago just played a really Close game against atlanta
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: and That Was the, angel Reese battle and chicago has not.
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: Beaten them since so if you Are Runaway or angel
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 2: Reese was on chicago just started her career and Now
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: she's On atlanta and chicago's played them twice and they've
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: failed to beat. Them both times so that was still.
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: A big game chicago wants To beat. That atlanta team
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: now they're gonna have to step up their game and
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 2: play another big game. Right AFTER that so i don't
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 2: love The. Spot for chicago i'm still Gonna lean, towards
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: chicago here and the money doesn't agree with. Me at
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: all sixty percent Of tickets on chicago. There's no way
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: there's no way the public Is. Playing in chicago their record.
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: SUCKS the liberty i know the record doesn't look, good
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: right now but there's no way the public is actually Coming. In,
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: Playing Chicago here new york fifty percent of the cash
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 2: and then they're laying about six and. A half here,
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 2: it looks like actually it's actually around seven. And a
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: half the books are all. Over the place what is going?
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: On with this the books have numbers anywhere between six
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: and a half and eight. And a half IT looks
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 2: like i don't know what the. Deal, is there obviously
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: if you're gonna, play this game find the best number
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: for whichever. SIDE you're playing i lean towards taking The points,
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: to CHICAGO there but i don't want To do It.
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: Vegas at washington washington's returning over a road trip was
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: a quicker road trip where it Was Just. To golden
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: state still pretty big though there were Only. Away since
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: saturday but those are two Big Games, against Golden state
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: and washington played well. In both games they covered for
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: us in the first game and should have won that
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: game probably based, on the statistics and then they did
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: win the NEXT game After I thought golden state would
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 2: be scared. Back into focus. That didn't happen washington played a,
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 2: really good game even though it was a higher paced
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 2: game in, the second game which didn't really expect that
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: those two teams play. Really Good deepfense but washington was
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: able to win a high Scoring Game. Against golden state
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: they could be in a, letdown spot here plus the.
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: Return home spot it's not exactly great having to go cross.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 2: Country or whatever But They're playing las vegas man. The
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: RETURNING champs so i don't really think They're. Gonna overlook
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: vegas they haven't played. THEM this year i. Don't think
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: so it's not really a team you're. Really. Gonna overlook,
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: vegas in fact might Overlook them because washington they just
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: get overlooked because they don't really look like they're that good,
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: of a team but they're pretty solid on the on.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: The deepfense event vegas is coming off an Easy. Win
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: over toronto nothing to really see There. Coming into, washington
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: from there it's not really a Bad. Spot for vegas
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: they bounce back well after that Ugly loss to. INDIANA
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: they had i don't see that much of. AN angle,
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 2: here i, mean you know you're probably gonna be paying
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: too much of you if you Want to, play vegas
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: here you're laying six. And a half everybody knows they're
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: one of, the best teams eighty one, percent of tickets
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of The. Cash ON vegas but i
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 2: think they're a pretty, public, side here man not really
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: A side that i would really want. To BACK here
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: But i know washington's in, a bad spot the, return
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: home spot so. MAYBE the, MAN i mean i guess
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 2: the lean Has to be vegas just because they're in.
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: The BETTER spot but i don't really want, to play,
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 2: that you know laying points of the public team like that,
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 2: on the road NOT really something i really. Want TO
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: do but i think that might be. THE right, Sides
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: i mean i've, done IT before but i don't really
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: want to. Do it there but that might be. The
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: right side, this, NEXT game actually i think is the
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 2: second STRONGEST opinion that I Have On usa Network. INDIANA
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: and connecticut i Do not like indiana. And the spot
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: indiana's coming off of a big game That WAS. On
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: national tv They beat the liberty and they. Absolutely demolished
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: them they beat them. By twenty points they had a,
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: great second half Huge win for Indiana beating The LIBERTY.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 2: On national tv coming, OFF of that i think it's.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: A letdown spot they're. Staying at home but do you
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: really think they're gonna put that much weight into. Playing
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: can Etiquette they played connecticut once This year in connecticut
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: and they beat. THEM by ten i don't really see
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: the fever being that focus here. In this one connecticut
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: did Just lose to phoenix in. Their last game they
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: are having To, travel FROM phoenix which i don't know
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 2: if that's really a great Thing going From, Phoenix to
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 2: indiana but at least you're probably going to get an Effort.
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: OUT of, connecticut i mean they know they're not that good,
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: of a team and they're probably gonna step it up
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: To Play, against caitland clark against the team that already
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 2: came into their house and. Beat them, ONCE so Yeah
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 2: i like connecticut, In this one but the Money. IS
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: packing indiana i don't really know why lank ten and
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 2: A half with indiana sixty one, percent of tickets ninety
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 2: four percent of The cous In. Indiana plus indiana probably
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 2: they might be, looking ahead To Like the. ALL star
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: Festivis I assume caitlin clark is going To be an all.
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 2: START this, TIME i mean i think they've kept her
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: out so Far Of The. All Star games maybe i'm,
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: wrong about that but they can't. CONTINUE doing, that i
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: mean she's obviously one of the top players. In THE
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: league and i don't know About My girl Sophie cunningham
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 2: on indiana or whatever else they got, going on There
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: But The all star game could be a. DISTRACTION to
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: them i would take The points WITH connecticut if i
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: was gonna. PLAY this one i think, it looks like at,
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: the very least a Letdown spot for indiana where they're feeling,
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 2: plump and gay as we kind of say, on the
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: show which is a different way of saying, fat and
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 2: sasse Which Is a marco DiAngelo is. My favorite handicapper
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 2: when teams are coming off, a big win especially a
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: blowout like that against, a good team he calls them,
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: fat and sassy and, they get overconfident they. Get too
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 2: cocky we call it plump and gay. On, This show
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: anyway indiana, GETTING the money i don't. Really get it,
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: sixty percent tickets ninety four percent. OF the cash i
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: Would only play connecticut plus the points, in that ONE
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: And then usa network. HAS another game i guess it's
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: a doubleheader AT. Night and cnbc because of course you
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: can learn economics FROM. Watching the wnba you can say
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: that the amount of these players get paid is not.
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: Free market activity let's just put. It that way This
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: game Is. Dallas in portland portland is returning home from,
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: a road trap but another team in a. Return home
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 2: spot not a particularly Good. Spot for portland they Were On,
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: the east coast then They, were in minnesota and they
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: didn't really play that well. In that game but still
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: they're coming off A game against minnesota that was reasonably
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: close later in the game. And returning, HOME you know
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 2: i talk about how that's a distraction, coming back home
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: and this is a late night game where they're having
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: to go Back To, the pacific coast travel across multiple. Time,
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: zones here still so it's not a great. Spot for
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 2: them they're gonna have to Readjust to the. Pacific time
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 2: zone they Might not. Overlook dallas here but THE problem
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: that I have with dallas is Not only that portland might,
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: not Overlook them but dallas is coming off a. Big,
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: game themselves man that was the First game without becker's,
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: their star player and they stepped it up big time
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: and they Almost Beat, in NEW york so i really
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: don't Want to play. Dallas after that and they're having
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 2: to Travel To the pacific coast as Well from the,
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 2: central time zone so both teams having to adjust to
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: The Late night pacific. Coast TIME there so i don't.
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 2: REALLY love it i don't love the spot, for Either
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: team so. I'm Staying away is becker is going to
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: be back. In this game possibly she's a, game TIME
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 2: decision so i don't know if they're gonna, just, figure
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 2: like hey we might be able to win without her
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 2: here in this game and just rest her Going Into the.
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: ALL star break i could see it going either Way
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 2: with what dallas is, Gonna DO here so. I don't
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: know the line is five and, a half here money Is,
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: back in, dallas seventy tickets ninety three percent of the,
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 2: cash on them they're at five. AND a half i, wouldn't.
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: DO it, man i, mean Of course if, becker's comes
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 2: back it's gonna be a reverse, injured player spot and
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 2: you're gonna have to Lay more with dallas because their
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 2: star players coming back and they have to readjust. Her
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 2: BEING back so i definitely would not want To be
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: on dallas. If that happens maybe some of the money
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: is just thinking that it might happen and Jumping. In
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: on dallas it was probably a lower. PRICE right now
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 2: i still wouldn't want, to, do it Though even though
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 2: portland is in, A bad spot i don't like the spot.
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: For either team an over might, make sense though because
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: both teams are kind of in bad spots, having to
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: adjust although the adjustment might mess up. Their offensive timing
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: but when teams are in bad spots a, lot of
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 2: times the defense just. Isn't that focus totals in the
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 2: one seventies is a. Fairly high total the money's backing,
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: The over there maybe the over is worth considering. In
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: that game portland is not a good. Defensive team either
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: dallas plays a lot of high, scoring games too so
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 2: that might be the better way to look. At that
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: game really, slutorns AN overall though i don't really DO much.
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: With wnba totals that's gonna. Do it though the only
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: players we have today both in the afternoon very small
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 2: card today under seven And a. HALF mets brewers i
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: like to starting pitching. In that one bullpens are. Fine
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: as well. In my opinion so that's. What we're doing
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 2: getting that KEY Number there wnba phoenix. Plus THE points
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: although i know the line has dropped, A little bit
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: i would still say do it and maybe if you
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: want to put a little bit less, money, on it
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 2: fine but plus one and a. Half or whatever. Hopefully
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 2: it's not if IT lands to, i will apologize, BUT
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 2: you know i. Mean it is it's not out of
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: the question, that it, would you know two. Point winning,
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 2: basketball it happens but it's still fairly it's. Still pretty unlikely. So,
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: That's it man learn A, tone on twitter and learn It,
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: tone on instagram like subscribe to. This channel here we
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 2: gotta get. Back. On, track man overall we've been good
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: just In general since i've. Been doing this but you,
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 2: have hot streaks you, have down streaks and that's what we're.
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: On right now very cold. STREAK right now i. Don't
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 2: like it. It's not fun let's get back, on. Track
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: here man, We're, On, Audio, apple spotify spreaker. Check it
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 2: out they Are covered in you is my yuke Channel on.
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: YouTube uke covers you can Check that out, Patreon Dot
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 2: com Slash Learn The tone loser cast had a new
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: episode last night. It was fun the beginning OF the
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: show i thought was funnier than when we actually. Nominated
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: The losers uh so you can check that Out And
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: The New york giants geez podcasts should be back. At
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: some point i'll start doing some football, previous STUFF soon
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: and i already kind OF did, the nfl One but
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 2: maybe i'll have an UPDATED one WHERE i maybe i
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: will have. DIFFERING opinions slightly. I don't, know WE'LL see
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: but i think my wind totals are. STILL like those
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: i don't think are, really gonna change like THE opinions
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: that i had on THE ones that i. Liked the
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 2: best so you can go find that that show is
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: on the channel here somewhere that's. Gonna, Do it peace
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: but don't.
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: You go quiet don't you fade. From the flow your
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: name steal means something to. Somebody for show put, the,
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: glass down baby. Look at me, no.
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on nothing, no.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 2: Hold on.
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 3: Hold on let me for, that bites hard but it don't.
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 2: Get the, crown hold, on hold on stay with me
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: now