Latest / Toadstool Sports / Tuesday BEST BETS | Deadline Chaos | MLB & WNBA | 8/4/26

Transcript

Tuesday BEST BETS | Deadline Chaos | MLB & WNBA | 8/4/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your chicks.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Man, you look like a mist three teen Parlette turned
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: the dust in your head. Now you stare at the
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: chips like they made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Your name steal mean something in somebody for show. Put
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: No, hold on, hold on, nothing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Nice, not now, hold on, hold on me, but it all.
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: Get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: And stay with me. Now, what's up, everybuddy? It's towed
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: back with you with Toadstool Sports for whatever day it is.
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: What is it Tuesday? August fourth? We went want to
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: Oh on the show yesterday. San Francisco Giants pretty easy win,
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: so I'm happy about that. Logan Webb was good. I
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: believe Texas did actually start cal Kwantra in the game.
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: I said, just don't pick a starter with Texas, but
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: I think if you did, you still got that one right.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: Hold on, I'm just adjusting my settings here, all right, hopefully,
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: hopefully we're good to go here. Hold on, let me
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: make sure that yeah, all right, I think we're all right.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: You guys can let me know if the audio is
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: all right. I keep adjusting it because I don't know.
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: I go back and I just listen briefly to check,
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: like what did the audio sound like here? And I
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: don't know. Sometimes I don't like what I hear, so
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know whatever. I'm gonna talk about some of
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: the trade deadline stuff, like as I go through each
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: baseball matchup here, I'll mention I guess some of the
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: bigger trades at least if I remembered them for each team,
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: whether a team was a buyer or a seller. And
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: what I will say is it kind of does matter,
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: I think in the short term, Like if a team
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: established themselves as a seller, especially if you didn't know
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: if they were going to do that or not, and
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: then they did, that team might not play that well
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: over the short term once we get into you know,
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: once we get like a week later or whatever, Like
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: I think it doesn't matter that much and teams will
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: still be trying to win games and stuff generally, But
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: like a team that just established themselves as a seller,
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: like Baltimore for instance, where Baltimore is not eliminated, but
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: they were like nope, we're selling a team like that,
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: the players might not respond that well to it, you
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: know what I mean. So just something to keep in
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: mind in the short term here as we try to
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: analyze these games. I got two baseball players I'm gonna
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: give out here and hopefully they win. One is just
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: a very toad esque total a total, and the other
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: is a side that has to do with the situation
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: and the pitching matchups. So, Kyle, what's up. Thanks for
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: hanging out. Yeah, let's get into it, man. So we
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: do have a full slate of baseball here after we
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: had a shorter card yesterday or shorter board. We'll both
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: Speaking of Baltimore, they're playing in the first game here,
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: and this is gonna be a weird one. Baltimore has
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: not decided on a starting pitcher here. It was gonna
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: be Dean Kreamer. It was gonna be his turn of
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: the rotation. But they traded him. I think they traded
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: him to Minnesota. I don't know what Minnesota's doing, dude.
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: Minnesota did not sell really. I don't think they really
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: did at all at the trade deadline, so they're actually
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: trying to win, which seems like total delusion to me,
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know what they're doing. Anaheim absolutely sold. They
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: sold half of their line up. Basically, Joe Adell is gone.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: I forget who else they got rid of. Anaheim got
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: rid of a lot of their position players at the deadline,
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: and they traded Jose Soriano to Toronto, which that was
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: a bizarre move to me as well, because Toronto had
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: already already established themselves as a seller basically because they
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: traded Kevin Gussman before that to the Cobs and then
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: all of a sudden like no, we're now we're gonna
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: pick up a starting pitcher. I'm like, what are you doing?
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: It makes no sense to me. Man Toronto they're out
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: of it. So I don't know what that move was.
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Anaheim did trade Jose Soriano there for I
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: think probably prospects, I would imagine, is what that was. Anyway,
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: this game is gonna be really difficult to handicap. We
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: don't know who's starting for Baltimore at all. I think
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: they might be calling somebody up to make the start,
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: or you know, because Baltimore they're sellers now, So who
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: knows what they're doing here today? If it's gonna be
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: a call up, maybe that pitcher will be excited to
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: be up and get a chance, or they might be
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: going with some just disgusting bullpen game. I have no
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: clue what they're doing. And Anaheim's offense is going to
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: have nobody in it pretty much besides Mike Trout, so
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: that's what we have going on there. So I would
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: not want to bank on Anheim's offense to really do
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: a whole lot here. Grays and Rodriguez looks like he's
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: getting the start for Anaheim. Both these teams are off yesterday,
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: so they're both rested. I don't know how much it's
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: gonna help the bullpens. Baltimore's rank eleventh in bullpen, they
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: were doing better, but yeah, I don't know if that
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: really is going to continue. They maybe I don't know
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: if they sold relief pitchers off of the trade deadline too.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: I'm not even sure. Like some of these trades just
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: go way under the radar. Anaheim is not a good
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: bullpen though they're twenty first, so Baltimore still does have
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen here. Baltimore has the better offense as well,
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: but they traded some guys. Of course, they traded Rutchman.
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: They're I almost at center their catcher to the Red Sox.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: Red Sox gave up way too much for him. I'm like,
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: I'm fine with getting Rutchman. He's got a wrist injury,
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: though he's hurt right now. He's a good catcher, good fielder,
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: pretty good hitter. But to give up three of your
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: top six prospects. Although I know the Red Sox have
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: a whole arsenal of pitching and most of what they
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: gave up was pitching, but still I don't. Yeah, I
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: don't fully get it. Man. The Red Sox paid too
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: high of a price for it. I don't know what's
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: going on with Craig Breslo, what's in his mind. Obviously,
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox are trying to win this year, which
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to. I don't think they're
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: good enough. Ruschman will also need to come back, but
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: that will it'll help the Red Sox in the short
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: term because they don't have good offense out of their
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: catcher position at all, so that should be a pretty
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: big improvement there at the very least. We'll see. But
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: he's not gonna be with the Red Sox yet because
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: he's hurt, so that's great. But Baltimore, yes, they did
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: trade him, but he hasn't been playing for Baltimore that
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: much anyway, so I don't think that's gonna affect Baltimore's
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: offense that much here Offensively, Yeah, Baltimore has been better.
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: Nineteenth Anaheim twenty fourth Grayson Rodriguez pitching for Anaheim. This
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: is a very interesting scenario because he started his career
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: with Baltimore and this will be his first time facing Baltimore.
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: So Baltimore got rid of them, and you know I
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: talk about pitchers sometimes will step up their game when
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: they go up against the team that got rid of
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: them for the first time because they're gonna want to
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: prove something against that team. So g rod might be
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: a little bit motivated here. He's not pitching well though,
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: seven point nine to eighty one point seventy five whip.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: Although what I will say is I think he's better
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: than that. As I keep saying, if you look what
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: he did before he went down with the injury, he
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: was pitching pretty well when he was on Baltimore. Maybe
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: he could do that again here. Maybe he'll have the
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: motivation to do it. He's familiar with pitching in Baltimore's stadium. Here,
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: he's been better on the road five point six y
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: five Roady area, which I know isn't great, but still better.
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: Pitched Oka last time out at home against Houston. Still
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: some issues here though. The walk rate is way too high.
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: His hit rate is also too high, so he's putting
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: way too many guys on base in every possible way.
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: And his strikeout rate is still pretty low. I mean,
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: not too bad with the strikeouts. Really, it's more about
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: the base runners that he's putting on. All that as
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: a problem, but maybe he's moving in the right direction.
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: His last start was pretty good against Houston. He's going
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: up against a team that he might be motivated to
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: go up against, like I said, because that's the team
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: that got rid of him. However, the two guys in
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's lineup that have faced him are combined two for
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: five off him, although all the hits are Taveras, but
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: they Taveras and O'Neill have a combined three walks against him,
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: as well a strikeout a home run from Taveras in there.
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: It's a four hundred and average in eighteen twenty five ops,
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: but it's a very small sample size, so I don't
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: know what we do with this. But the way that
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: I see, I don't know, manh. And I know I said,
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: I don't want to bank on Anaheim's depleted offense here,
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: but the pitching to me in this game seems like
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be bad just in general. So I don't know, man,
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: I still see some arguments to play the over in
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: this game at eight and a half. I'm not gonna
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: come in and do it because you might have motivated pitching. Still,
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: we have no idea what Baltimore's gonna do. Anaheim's still
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: I don't even know who's going to be in their lineup.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: You know, eighty nine percent of the tickets ninety percent
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over, so the public looks
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: like they're playing the over. Public looks like they're playing
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: Baltimore despite not even knowing who's starting or seventy six
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, fifty six percent of the cash on them.
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: They've moved up to about minus one fifty, although I
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: think probably that was partially because we don't know who's
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: stars from them, and maybe they hadn't they had announced
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: the starter before that, and then changed their mind, or
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: maybe it was back, maybe the line was out before
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: they traded Dan Cream or something. I have no idea,
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: but this game is really unpredictable, man. I think if
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: you put your money on it, I think you're a
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: total degenerate pretty much. I just I don't really see
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: an angle to attack this game. Really. That makes a
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: ton of sense, like as far as if you're actually
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: trying to make money. So that's what I think about it.
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: Let's keep going a's at Cincinnati. These teams are off
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: yesterday as well, so these teams are rested. We have
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: no teams with rest advantages today because all the teams
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: that played yesterday started a series yesterday, so they're gonna
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: be playing the same opponent today and all the teams
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: that were off yesterday or playing each other. So just
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: something to keep in mind. As a Cincinnati here, these
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: teams are both going nowhere. Of course they didn't. Neither
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: team really sold that much. I don't think of the
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: trade deadline though, So these teams are somewhat the same
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: as what they already were, and we know that means
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: they have two bad bullpens here. Cincinnati twenty fifth as
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: twenty eighth well, if they sold, they'd be even worse.
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: So yeah, these are two bad bullpens. The A's have
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: been struggling offensively recently. There's sixteenth now Red's even worse
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: though at twenty first, and the Reds have not been
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: good hitting at home generally this year. JT. Ginn is
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: pitching for the A's. He's actually coming off the DL.
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: I didn't even realize he was hurt. He missed just
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: the standard two weeks a time he had an injured finger.
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: Gin has actually been alright. He's been one of the
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: better pitchers for the A's three point four to six
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: ERA one point two to whip. Considering that the A's
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: playing this ridiculous home run stadium, gin has pretty good numbers.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: He's actually been a little bit worse on the road.
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: He ra wise three point six Roady Ray opponent batting
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: average is better on the road, though he's been good.
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: He had a bad start against the White Socks a
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: couple of starts ago, but he's generally pitched pretty well here.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: Those walk rate has kind of elevated here. He has
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: a low hit rate, though he doesn't allow that many hits,
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: doesn't allow that many home runs. Really He's kind of
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: a big ground ball pitcher, which is why he can
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: succeed in a stadium like the A Stadium. He's got
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: a decent strike out rate, and yeah, his main problem
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: is he walks too many guys. But generally he's pitched
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: pretty well here against the Reds. I am guessing that
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: he has not faced them that much. Although I looked
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: at this earlier. I just always forget, let me see,
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: and I always have to change the team as well
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: because ESPN doesn an update. Yeah, they have sixteen at
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: bats against him. Five hitters have faced him one twenty
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: five average, five thirty five ops five to two strikeout
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. So the Reds have not seen him much
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: and they haven't really succeeded against him. So again, may
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: pitch well here. And he's a veteran coming up the DL.
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: And you know I talk about that too. When a
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: veteran is coming back from the d L, they're usually
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: excited to get back out there, and I actually think
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: they tend to pitch better more often than not, although
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: I know there's a lot of pushback from that amongst
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: the professionals. But again, I am specifically talking about guys
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: that have been in the league for a while, they're
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: used to that, and Gin qualifies as that. Brady Singer
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: is pitcher for Cincinnati. He has not had a very
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: good season four point three five ERA, one point four
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: to two WHIM. He's been pretty good at home though,
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: two point seventy three home y RA, so he's been
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: significantly better at home. Last time out at home, he
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: walked too many guys against Cleveland, which isn't really that
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: good of a sinal though he also kind of got
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: screwed by his defense. He didn't give up any earned runs,
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: but he had to throw a lot of pitches to
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: get out of some jams, it looks like, and he
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: didn't even make it five innings, but it was somewhat
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: not really his fault of the walks or his fall,
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: but the fielding definitely lapsed behind him. He's still got
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: a pretty high hit rate here. His walk rate is okay,
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: his strike got rate is somewhat low, and he does
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: allow a lot of home runs even though he's not
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: really that much of a fly ball pitcher. The home
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: run rate is definitely a concern with Singer, and this
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: is a somewhat home run friendly ballpark here as well.
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: In Cincinnati against the A's, he has taken care of
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: business against them. They have thirty at bats against him,
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: one hundred average, five p thirty nine oh ps, seven
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: to four strike out walk ratio. Both pitchers actually look
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: like they match up okay here. You could make the
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: argument they're both in the better of their home road
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: splits here because Singer's better at home again doesn't have
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: to pitch in the A stadium here. They both have
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: good matchup numbers. So I know I hate the first
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: five unders, but the full game total on this one's
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: pretty high at nine and a half, and I it's
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: impossible to back these bullpens in my opinion, but I
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: think a first five under is probably the better way
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: to look at this game. Nine and a half again,
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: is the full game total here, so you're probably at
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: least looking at like a five in the first five.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: So that's not a bad number. Although when the oddsmakers
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: put a high number out there, you know they're telling
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: you they think it's gonna be a high scoring game.
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: Fifty percent of tickets on the over, ninety four percent
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over, some money coming in
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: on the over. But again, first five under, I think
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: makes the most sense to me in this one. The hitter.
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: The hitters might be a little bit cold as well,
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: because you know me, I like unders when teams were
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: off the previous day. Although some of that is because
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: the bullpen's arrested, but I don't want to deal with
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: these bullpens at all. But still the hitting might have
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: cooled off a little bit with the day off. The
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: money is also strongly back in the A's by the way,
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: so the money is indicating on the over which I
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: don't agree with in the first five, but I do
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: kind of agree with the A's. I think gin is
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: just the better pitcher over Singer. Seventy eight percent of
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: tickets on Cincinnati eighty five percent of the cash on
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: the A's the Cincinnati side is minus one thirty or so.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: Here I don't disagree with the A's. I would make
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: it a first five play, but yeah, that would be
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: my other lean to this game. I would agree with
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: the A's in the first five there with ginn over
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: Singer not a very strong opinion for me, but I
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: would generally agree with that. Mets in Cleveland, we know
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: the Mets. They sold at the trade demo, and they
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: sold away Freddy Peralta to the Rays, and he's actually
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: pitching today, which I'll talk about. We have a couple
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: of guys pitching in their new homes today. The Mets
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: also traded Luke Weaver away at the last minute, who
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know if he's really that good. I mean,
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: he was part of the struggling Yankee bullpen last year,
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: but he's a relief pitcher. They traded him to Pittsburgh,
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: and Pittsburgh does need bullpen arms to try to fix
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: their bullpens, So Pittsburgh it kind of made sense for
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh to make that move. The Mets. Yeah, I mean,
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: obviously they've had a horrible season. They sold, But with
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: the Mets, I don't think it's like Baltimore or Baltimore
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: is a team that looked like they might still be
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: in it and then they're like, Nope, we're selling, which
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: might affect their team's mental state negatively in the short term.
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: The Mets already knew they weren't going anywhere, so the
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: fact that they were sellers came as no surprise to anybody.
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: So I don't think that's really gonna affect the Mets
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: mental state really that much. You know what I mean,
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: they already knew they weren't going anywhere They're going up
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: against Cleveland. Cleveland made a couple of moves that kind
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: of went under the raidar. I think they got a
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: couple of position players because we know the Cleveland's huge
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: problem is their offense. I don't really think they did
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: that much to improve it, but I think they made
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: a couple of moves to get some like lineup pieces there. Anyway,
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: these teams are off yesterday as well. I'm pretty sure
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: you gotta see are these teams were turning over from
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: road trips, by the way, So that's one thing I
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: forgot to mention with these teams. Baltimore is not, by
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: the way, They're staying at home. Cincinnati is staying at home.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: So Cincinnati, by the way, they just had a huge
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: series against Pittsburgh. They took three out of four from Pittsburgh.
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: That was a big series for them. So before I
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: get off of that Cincinnati game, I should have mentioned
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: that Cincinnati could be in a letdown spot there too.
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: So that's another indicator towards maybe a first five look
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: with the A's there. All right, Mets in Cleveland. Cleveland
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: is staying at home. They beat Arizona on their last game.
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is still in the race, man, I mean they're
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: they're trying to win here and get back to the playoffs,
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: and the Mets obviously are not, so Cleveland should have
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: a motivational edge here. Cleveland is gonna be favored in
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: this game. They might be favored by a little bit
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: too much, though, given that it's not one of their
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: better pitchers on the mound here. The Mets debatably might
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: still have the better bullpen. The rank seventh Cleveland is
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: not bad, though Cleveland's eighteenth. But these bullpens have both
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: been decent this year. And I know the Mets traded
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: away Weaver, but I'm not sure how good he really is,
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: so I think the bullpens are all right coming into
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: this game. The offenses have both been bad, like I said,
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: twenty eighth for the Mets, thirtieth for Cleveland, and I
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: don't really think that much is gonna change with those offenses.
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: Sean Manaia looks like he's getting to start for the Mets,
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: but I will say they've used an opener in front
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: of him before, so be aware of that if you're
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: gonna play this game. You might want to just pick
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: action on the Mets side, because I don't know if
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: Manaia is actually gonna start, but he'll probably pitch in
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: the game and he'll start, or he'll come in after
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: an opener. He's he's been pretty mediocre, you know. He's
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: not a guy that comes in and necessarily kills you.
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: But he's not great either. Getting towards the end of
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: his career four point four to two ERA, one point
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: three to four Whip, he's a little bit worse on
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: the road four point six' eight Roady. Ira he's had
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: two good starts in a row against The dodgers and
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: The braves, though so that's a decent sign that he's
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: in somewhat good form right. Now a couple of good starts.
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: There his month Of july actually is pretty good. Overall
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: he's got kind of a high hit rate and his
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: walk rate is. Okay his strikeout rate is okay as,
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: well which still is kind of weird to see you
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: Because mania was kind of always a guy that walked
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: too many guys and he's kind of changed. That but
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: he's sacrificed for sacrificed it for hit ability a little.
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: Bit manaia is Facing cleveland here, though and they're not
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: a good, offense and they do have somewhat decent numbers
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: Against manaia though in forty eight at, bats eleven, strikeouts six,
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: walks two fifty average eight twelve, ops So manaia doesn't
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: exactly have the greatest numbers Against. Cleveland cleveland is going
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: With Joey cantillo three point eight to EIGHT, era one
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: point four or five whip is not good. Though, cantillo
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: he definitely has a problem with. Walks the walks are
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: definitely the issue with. Him he is better at home,
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: though three point eight to one. Homey ira was pretty
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: good last time out Against, cincinnati but they kind of
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: have him on a pitch, count pulling him at around
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: ninety pitches and that's basically what he reached in only
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: four innings Against, cincinnati so he was really good in the,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: game but they took him out because of his pitch.
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: Count he's been mediocre really, though not going deep into,
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: games and again he's got a nice strikeout rate, here
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: but he's been walking too many. Guys his hit rate is,
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: okay it's not as low as you would think with
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: a guy the pitches like he does is walk, rate
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, said is a major. Problem that's the big
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: problem with him is the. Walks and he does strike
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: out a lot of. Guys so he is a talented.
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: Pitcher it's just he's too out of. Control he is
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: going up against a pretty bad line up here in The,
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: mets and The mets really haven't seen, him Only luis Reb,
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: Junior luis Robert. Is he's the only guy that's faced
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: and he's zero for eight with two. Strikeouts So cantio
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: might have a little bit of an edge. Here he's
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: kind of unfamiliar to The. METS i would not want
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: to try to back The mets. Here LIKE i, SAID
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: i Think cleveland probably has the motivational edge, here and
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: because you, know buyer versus seller at the trade, deadline
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: AND i Think cantio has the better of the match up.
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: Here cleveland might debatably have the bullpen edge, Too but
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: the price doesn't seem right to me at about minus
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: one fifty And cleveland is public seventy six percent of
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: the tickets On. Cleveland you, know the public wants nothing
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: to do with The, mets but the money is actually
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: playing The. Mets sixty eight percent of the cash on
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: The mets totals at seven and a, Half so with
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: a low, total sometimes it doesn't make sense to look
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: towards the. DOG i. DON'T i don't have any desire
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: to do that, here THOUGH i understand the market read
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: is saying you should take The mets. HERE i wouldn't
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: really want to lay this price With cleveland. EITHER i
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: Think cleveland is likely to win game, though based on
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: HOW i analyzed. It do what you want with. THAT
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: i would slightly lean Towards, cleveland but you have to
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: make like a minus one run, line and given That
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: cleveland's offense is not that, good it's gonna be difficult
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: To it's a little bit of a difficult ask For
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: cleveland to do, that and when they don't have one
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: of their better starters on the mound really, either SO
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: i would worry about. That Garrett, BRAVES i don't. Know
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: they made a couple of moves that were pretty under the.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: RADAR i don't really know if it's gonna change that.
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: MUCH i forget what they made a couple of. MOVES
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: i forget exactly what they did, though but it, was,
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: yeah it it might not have that much. Impact all,
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: Right washington And. Philadelphia philadelphia did make the move That
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: jeffrey mentioned. Yesterday they Got Luis araez from The giants Of,
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: philadelphia trying to fix their hitting a little, bit which
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: has been one of their main. PROBLEMS i think they
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: might have gotten a bullpen arm as, well Because philly
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: knows that their problems of the bull in the. Hitting
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: LIKE i said, yesterday it's not a. SURPRISE i, mean
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: it's not a. MYSTERY i should. Say everybody knows This.
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: PHILLY i still don't think they're really that good. THOUGH
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: i think they're not as good as their record makes them.
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: Look they. Have they have good starting, pitching they. Gotta
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: they do have a playoff starting pitching. Rotation three of
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: their starting pitchers are, good and one of them is pitching.
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: Today BUT i don't know if it's gonna be enough
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: to carry. Them it's not gonna carry them to a,
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: championship let me put it that. Way although, yes they
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: did get a rye as. Yesterday philadelphia did win yesterday
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: as well Against. WASHINGTON i had MENTIONED i like the
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: over in that game, yesterday But Zach lttel didn't, pitch
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: so the game fell under the total by a half,
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: game AND i apologize BECAUSE i Thought lattel was gonna
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: pitch in that, game SO i did, say if you're
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: gonna play, it to play the over and pick action
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: on The washington. Side and MAYBE i still would have
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: agreed with that because it's not Like washington has good. Pitching,
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: oh by the, way speaking of the, brains didn't they
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: Get Foster? Griffin i'm pretty sure they made that, move,
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: right Didn't somebody Got Foster griffin From. WASHINGTON i thought
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: it Was atlanta that was a decent move for, them
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: get another starter who has been shockingly good this. Year but,
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: actually you know, what it Was alvarez yesterday For. Washington so, maybe,
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: YEAH i. APOLOGIZE i thought it was gonna Be lttel
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: or a bullpen game slash lttel whatever. Man so, yeah
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: the game still probably could have gone, over but it did. Not,
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: Anyway lttel is gonna be pitching in this, game which
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i also think is a. NEGATIVE i don't Like washington's.
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: Pitching their bullpen is, rested but their bullpen. Sucks they
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: used only two guys, yesterday Though philly used. THREE i
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: don't like either. BULLPEN i wouldn't trust either. One philadelphia
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: in Nineteenth washington twenty. Six philadelphia is better Than, washington's
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: but these are bad. Bullpens washington's been a good. Offense
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: they're number, two although they did make some trades at
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: the trade. Deadline they hung on to some of their guys,
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: though LIKE i, believe they wound up not Trading. Abrams
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: So washington's offense is still pretty potent, here although they
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: sort of established themselves as sellers of the trade deadline,
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: anyway and that's kind of an issue if you want
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: to look At. Washington their motivational level might not be
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: very good here because they did sell at the trade. Deadline,
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: philly of, course we're buyers because they're trying to win right.
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: Now philadelphia's offense should improve a little, bit but and
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: they have some talent in their. Offense they've moved up
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: a little. BIT i, think let me see where are they.
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: At they're still twenty second tied With, arizona which is
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: not that. Good they might improve a little. Bit washington's
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: going With lttel. Here AS i said, YESTERDAY i think
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: if we're gonna play this, GAME i would say it,
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: again play action on The washington, side because they they
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: put an opener in front Of Zach lttel a, lot
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: AND i don't Think lutel is gonna pitch that well.
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: Here he's not really that good four point nine to FOUR,
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: era one point three to four. Whip he's worse on
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: the ROAD era, wise at least five point three to
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: One ROAD era pitched okay in his last start Against.
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: Toronto didn't make it five innings, Though and AS i
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: pointed out, Yesterday washington's lost his last five games and
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: they've lost eight of his last, nine so they're not
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: playing well with him on the. Mound he's got kind
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: of a high hit rate. Here here's a lot of
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: ton of home, runs which is not. Good he doesn't
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: strike anybody. Out his walk rate is, okay but that
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: along with the fact that he strikes nobody out strike
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio is really bad for. Him he's not
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: that good Against philadelphia two eighty three batting, average seven
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: fifty five, ohps sixty at bats, there nine to five
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: strike out walk. Ratio nothing to really like about. That
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: Jesus lozardo's pitching For. Philly he's obviously the better pitcher,
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: here but if you Want, philly you have to pay
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: a huge price for, it and probably too much of our.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: Price But lozardo's had a good season And philly has
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: won most of the games that he's pitched three point
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: five to seventy or a one point one to nine. Whip,
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: however he's had some issues at. Home he has extreme
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: home road, splits and he hasn't been that good at,
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: home and mostly it's been the home run balls really
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: affected him at. Home five point five to three homey
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: ra not. Good he gave up six runs last time
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: out In. Miami we actually got a we had a
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: win on that game With phillies in the first. Five
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: lozardo completely unraveled later in the game and like the
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: sixth seventh, hitting so we got the win and Then
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: philly unraveled after. THAT i thought it was gonna be
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: the bullpen that, unraveled but it was Mostly lozardo that.
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: Did but he was good while uh while we had
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: him in there for the first five, though So i'll take.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: It lozardo has a fairly low hit rate. Here his
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: walk rate's not too. Bad his strike out rate is,
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: high so his numbers across the board are pretty, good
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: and his ground ball rate is also, high so he
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: gets a lot of ground. Balls he's very mediocre Against washington,
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: though in sixty seven at bats to sixty nine average
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: seven to twenty six ops very average numbers here twenty
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: seven to seven strike out walk rat shows all, Right,
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: YEAH i, MEAN i think the over might be another
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: might be a way to look in this game, again
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: Because lozardo's not that good at, Home it's not the
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: greatest matchup for. Him washington is a potent offense on
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: the road, still AND i don't Expect washington's pitching to
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: really do a whole lot. HERE i would play the
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: over IF i was gonna play this at. All totals around,
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: nine so you get it right on that key number.
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: NINE fd actually has an eight and a, half although
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: it's pretty heavily juiced to the. Over find the best
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: number you. Can eighty eight percent of the tickets are
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: on The philly, side eighty percent of the cash On,
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: washington so the money is actually back In. WASHINGTON i
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: don't want to do, that but obviously it has to
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: do with the. Price philly's gone up to minus two
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: seventy from an initial minus two twenty, six SO i
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: think there might have been a pitching change For. WASHINGTON
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: i don't know if it was gonna. Be griffin originally
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: scheduled to pitching this. Game i'm not sure when he last,
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: Pitched but whatever happened, here the line moved. Up AND
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: i don't think it was just money moving, it especially
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: because the money looks like it's coming in A. Washington but,
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: yeah that you can't lay a price like that With,
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: philadelphia you know WHAT i. Mean washington's still a good.
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: Offense are getting kind of disrespected. Here money is coming
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: in on the over fifty four percent of, tickets on
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: the under sixty three percent of the cash in the old. Verse,
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: YEAH i would IF i was gonna play that, GAME
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: i would take the shot with the over. Again all.
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: Right Saint louis And, Yankees yesterday's game was completely. Insane,
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: Uh Saint louis was winning the game six to. NOTHING
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: i think into THE i want to say it was
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: like the sixth, inning maybe it was a sixth Nothing
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: Saint louis, lead and then they blew the entire. Thing,
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: uh The yankees wound up wound up taking the. LEAD
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: i want to say as late AS i think the eighth,
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: inning The yankees took a seven to six, lead and
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: The yankees have had a pretty good bullpend this. Year
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: and what? Happened oh, Yeah Saint louis scored seven runs
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: and maybe that was a seventh to the Eighth maybe
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: is what that. Was Saint louis put up a seventh.
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: Spot it was either in the eighth inning or the,
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: NINTH i. Forget and then they won the game after
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: they blew a sixth nothing, lead fell behind seven to,
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: six they put up seven more runs and one thirteen to.
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: Seven really really int saying Game, now The yankees were
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: returning home from a road trip in that, Game Kim,
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: schlitzler he did not pitch well in that. Game So,
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: schlitler you, know he might have reached kind of his
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: limit as far as innings pitch. Like he's a good pitcher,
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: obviously BUT i would tread a little bit Carefu Lewis.
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: Schlitler moving, Forward yankees might actually have to start spreading
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: out his starts a little bit and get ready for
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: the playoffs, here because they're gonna need him to be
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: in better form coming into the playoffs, here you know
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: WHAT i? Mean, Now Saint louis did trade a bunch
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: of their guys at the trade, deadline they Traded Noop.
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: Bar they traded Uh Dustin may Noup. BAR i forget
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: where he even. WENT i Know may went To. Milwaukee
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: Saint louis traded two of their pitchers To. Milwaukee so,
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah Saint louis definitely traded at the trade deadline trying
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: to get rid of some of their. CONTRACTS i Think
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: yankees should be in a good bounce back spot, here
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: because WHAT i was about to say, is yesterday they
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: were returning home from a long road, trip and you,
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: KNOW i talk about how that's a negative. Spot it
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: becomes a distraction a lot of, times and after, that
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: if you do badly in that, game a lot of
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: times you play better in the next. Game plus it
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: was a very, exciting big win For Saint, louis SO
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: i don't Think Saint louis is gonna play as well
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: in this. Game so The yankees have some advantages. Here
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: they have the better, bullpen although their bullpen really cracked.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: Yesterday that was a bad performance from That yankees bullpen,
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: yesterday shockingly. Bad they used four guys. Yesterday Saint louis
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: still has the worst. Bullpen they used four guys out
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: of their bullpen. Yesterday yankees are still second in bullpen
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: era and fifth and. WHIP i still don't think they're
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: a bad, bullpen But i'm not gonna cry about it
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: if The yankees bullpen starts pitching like. Ass ALTHOUGH i
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: don't really think it's a, trend but they were bad.
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: Yesterday Saint louis is bad in general, though twenty second
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: out of the. Bullpen yankees, offense LIKE i, said even
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: though they put up runs, yesterday they've been. Struggling they're
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: thirteenth right, now tied with The White sox In San.
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: Francisco Saint louis still the worst, offense and again they
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: traded some guys. Away they're twenty fourth, now tied with
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: The Anaheim. Here yankees should have some advantages. Here Saint
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: louis is going With Hunter. Dobbins he's not that good
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: of a. Pitcher he's been okay for. Them he hasn't
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: really pitched that much this. Year he was formerly on
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: The Red sox three point seven FOUR era this year
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: one point three to four whip is not really that.
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: Good he's been basically the same home and. Away it
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: doesn't really have extreme splits here or. Anything he hasn't
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: really put his team out of any of the games
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: that he, started you know WHAT i, Mean like they've
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: been in every game when he's exited the game, basically
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: so he's pitched. Okay and one thing THAT i will
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: say About dobbins is when he was on The Red
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: sox at, least he was known to really hate The,
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: yankees and he pitched, well specifically against The. Yankees like
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: he got up for these games against The yankees and
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: he was talking about how his father was like in
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: The yankees farm system and they got rid of, him
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: and that's part of the reason why he hates the
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: YANK i have no. Idea people were saying that that
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: wasn't even, true but if you try to look it,
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: up you can't find anything about his father's like playing.
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: History SO i have no. Clue, dude maybe it's, true
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: it can't be, confirmed or you, know it can't be
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: confirmed that it was a lie. Either SO i have no.
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: Idea But, dobbins he does actually pitch well against The.
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: Yankees in a limited. Sample they have six guys who
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: have faced him twenty one at. Bats they only have three,
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: hits no extra base, hits no, walks three strikeouts one
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: forty three average two eighty six o, ps so this
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: might be a decent matchup For dobbins. Here The, yankees
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: by the, way of, course they did make. That they
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: made one big move at the trade, deadline which was
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: they Got Luis. Garcia is that his, name which seemed
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: weird to me because he's mostly a first, baseman even
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i think he plays outfield as. Well But i'm
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: guessing he's probably not that good of a. Fielder if
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: he's a first, baseman it probably means he doesn't have
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: that much. Speed and it seems weird because The yankees
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: have like three first, basemen SO i don't really they
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: Have goldschmidt And Ben rice on The RICE i think
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: is kind of dh and he's sort of a. HATCHER
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: i don't know what The yankees are, doing, MAN i
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: REALLY i don't. Know the move didn't make a ton
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: of sense to. Me it'll be another bat, though and
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: The yankees offense has been. Struggling but Whatever yankees are
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: going With Ryan weathers in this, game he's been okay
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: three point nine to NINETY ra one point two four
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: Whip weathers has been a little bit worse at home
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: four point five home y ra so he's in the
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: worst of his home road splits, here had a pretty
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: good month Of. July hasn't been pitching too poorly. Here
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: most of these numbers decent. Here his hit rate is,
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: okay his walk rates, decent strike out rate is pretty,
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: high so none of these numbers are really that. Bad
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: he gets a lot of ground balls. Here numbers Against
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: Saint louis are a little bit all over the, map
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: but it's because they only have seven at bats against
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: some only four of their heroes have faced, them so
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: they haven't really seen much of them. Here Although Alec
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: burlison is listed, HERE i thought he got traded To.
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: Cleveland AM i wrong about? THAT i don't. Know maybe
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: they are are multiple guys Named, BURLISON i don't. Know but,
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: anyway Unless cleveland traded him To Saint louis for, SOMETHING
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: i don't, KNOW i don't know what the hell the trade. Was.
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: Anyway whether there's only a seven at bats Against Saint,
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: louis they only have one hitoff, in which is a
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: home run From. Herrera one forty three average over robin
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: a nine to five, ops two, strikeouts two, walks not
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: much you can really draw from those numbers. THERE i,
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: KNOW i SAID i leaned under in that game, yesterday
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: and it certainly did not go. Under this. GAME i,
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: mean this game could potentially be an under as. WELL i,
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: MEAN i think you got two pitchers that might actually
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: pitch better than. Expected. Here it's still even though these
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: teams put up offense, yesterday these offenses have still not
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: been that good eight and a half as the total
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: there eighty percent of, tickets eighty eight percent of the
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: cash on the. Over but it is a public, over
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: and you, know the public they'll come in and play
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: over Zin yankee, games especially when the pitching isn't supposed
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: to be that, good and especially when they saw what
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: the score was. Yesterday you, Know so maybe that's one
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: way to look get this. Game is the under possibly
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: eighty four percent of, tickets eighty percent of the cash
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: on The, yankees and if you go, under maybe first
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: five under BECAUSE i don't really trust the bullpens right.
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: NOW i, MEAN i probably trust The yankees, bullpen but
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: Not Saint. Louis's the money's also indicating Towards Saint, louis
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: but that has to do with the. Price The yankees
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: have gone up to minus one to eighty something here
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: in the, line probably Because Saint louis switched to a
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: starting for, them eighty four percent of tickets and eighty
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on The, yankees so The yankees
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: are a public side with less of the money on.
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: THEM i don't really know. THAT i really want to
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: come in and Back Saint louis. HERE i think it's
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: a better spot for The yankees if you do Play Saint.
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: LOUIS i would say take them in the first, five
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: only just Take dobbins to actually Outpitch, weathers which he
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: is capable of doing. That BUT i don't want to
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: have my money on that. Anyway but you'll probably be
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: able to Get Saint louis like plus a half run
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: in the first five at probably a decent price there.
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: Anyway all, right next game up is going to be
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: a play and we're gonna fade The Red sox. Here
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: we're gonna take The White sox in the first five.
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: HERE i can't trust The White sox bullpen against The
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: Red sox. BULLPEN i know The White sox bullpen is not,
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: bad But Red sox had the better bullpen, here So
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna avoid that that was the other move The
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: Red sox made Is marcelo May. Or they traded, him
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: which that means The Red sox are kind of all
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: in On Franklin arius, now who is their number one
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: prospect and he's a short. Stop he's In TRIPLE a right,
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: now and it looks like they might trade. Him i'm
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: glad they didn't BECAUSE i think he's. Legit he's still
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: like a small, dude and he's still hitting for. Power
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: so when he puts on a little bit of, WEIGHT
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: i think he's gonna be a pretty strong power hitter
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: because he's got bat speed man and he could. Field
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: SO i Like Franklin. ARRIS i think he should be
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: up on The Red sox like before the end of this.
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: Year man bring his ass up and have him bat or,
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: ninth you know WHAT i. Mean take the offensive pressure off.
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: Him he'll be out, there he'll be able to. Field
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: that's WHAT i think The Red sox should. Do but,
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: anyway The Red sox Traded, meyer who's just been hurt
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: the whole time they've had. Him he might wind up being.
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: GOOD i don't know they traded him FOR i didn't
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: know IF i loved the. Move they traded him for
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: relief Pitcher Eric miller From San, francisco who is a big.
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: Lefty what else is you? Know The Red Sox Craig
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: breslos gave for big left handed Pitchers Man. Miller his
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: problem is he's. Wild he walks way too many, guys,
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: like he throws, hard he strikes a lot of guys.
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: Out he's a, big fat. Dude he's like six' five
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: two sixty five. Or something and ONE thing i do
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: like is he gets fired up on the mound and gets,
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: you know he, Gets excited let's just put it. That
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: way there are some clips of him getting really fiery
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: and yelling at opposing teams and stuff. Like THAT so
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: i like that he's gonna bring some some. Fire there
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: But the red their bullpen's already like the top bullpen,
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: in baseball so it didn't make a ton, of, sense,
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: like oh let's get. Another BULLPEN m i guess you
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: can never have enough. Bullpen, DEPTH really i guess it's
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: kind of. The THOUGHT but i, Don't Know. Man miller
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: he walks way too. Many guys though Maybe The red
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: sox will be able to work with him and. Fix
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: that though. WE'LL see i think his Name, is, MILLER
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: right I forget, eric something whatever the hell his. Name,
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: is anyway we're gonna Fade The red. SOX here i
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: don't like the spot For The. Red sox they're returning
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: home From The. Pacific coast they were, off yesterday but
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: so Were The. White sox and, YOU know i talk
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: about him when a team returns home from, the road
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: especially a good, road trip And The red sox finished
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: the road trip after they won three out of four
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: In the. A's stadium they Swept. The Dodgers the a's
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: haven't been, playing well But, the dodgers we know they're
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: the top team, in baseball And The red sox just
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: swept Them. In LA so i think it's gonna be
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: a let down For The. RED sox i think having
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: a day off and having to travel across the country
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: might slow their momentum. DOWN here i don't really like any.
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: Of That The red sox actually haven't been that good
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: at home. This year they've been a good road team for,
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: some reason, road warriors so they actually haven't been quite
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: as good. At home so they're definitely a team you
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: can fade in various spots. At home, and again, you
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: know the return home spot just, in general is a.
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: Bad spot it's a. Distraction SPOT and i Know The
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: white sox are a, decent team they're leading, their division
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: But The red sox might overlook them because they just
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: Played in chicago not that, long ago and you know
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: the result of that Years The red sox. Swept them
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: that was in that perfect road Trip The red sox
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: had leading Into The all. Star break so a little
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: bit of a road revenge angle For The white. Sox
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: here and you're also Getting the red sox worst starting
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: pitcher on the, mound here who HAS an era that
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: makes him look way better than he. Actually is he
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: is easily the most fatable Pitcher The red, sox have
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: And The white sox have one of their better. Pitchers
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: GOING so i think we get the situation and we
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: get the starting pitching in favor Of The white. Sox here, bullpen,
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: wise Yes The red sox are number one ON their
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: era is really good. Below, THREE still i don't expect that,
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: to last but they're a. Good Bullpen the whip is also.
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: Number One white sockx not bad out of, the bullpen,
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: it's Sixteenth although i'll still take them out of the
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: equation because they don't have a bullpen. Advantage Here. Red
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: sox they've been improving on the, offensive side. For sure
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: they're up to, eighteenth now they're hitting. Is better they
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: still Won't have, ritchman THOUGH because i don't know when he's.
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: Coming back he should be, back soon but he's still
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: on the injured list, Right now i'm, pretty sure so
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: he's not gonna. Be there as far as the offense
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: For The, white sox they've been better Than The. Red sox,
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: they're thirteenth tied With, the YANKEES as, i said And,
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: the giants so we'll get an offensive edge With The white.
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: Sox here but the starting pitching is kind of the clincher. For,
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: me Well Back davis, martin here EVEN though i don't
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: think he's quite as good as. He's looked he was
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: really good for the first like half of. The season
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: he's been a little bit, worse Recently but i'm still
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: gonna back. Him here he's got a three point SIX.
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: Two era one point two whip is maybe indicative THAT
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: his era should be higher than, it is but he's still,
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: pretty GOOD although i know he's not as good on.
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: The road this is a little bit of. A concern
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: we're gonna play him in the worst of his home
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: road splits here four point four to three road her
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: with a much higher batting average allowed too. To eighty
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: he's been okay in his last, two starts. Not great
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: he gave up some Runs against houston And, the yankees
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: but we know those are. Capable offenses his walks have
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: been a bit of an, issue recently and the strike
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: gut rate's gone a little. Bit down and he did
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: pitch Against The red sox in that Series in chicago
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: and he didn't. Do well he gave up five runs in.
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: Four innings so WHY do i want to back? Him,
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: here well part of it is, the SITUATION as i.
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: Already said part of It is i'm gonna Fade The
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: red sox. Pitcher here but, Also overall martin's still not.
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: Bad here he's got a low, hit rate pretty low walk,
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: right here strike gout rate, is decent and he gets
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: a lot of, ground balls which should play Decently In.
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: Fenway park but the other thing about, it is believe it,
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: or not even Though The red sox did hit him
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: last time they, faced him they generally have not been good.
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Against him they have thirty five at bats. Against them
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: they have a one forty, three average four to, eleven
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: ops six to two strike out, walk ratio so generally
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: he has not been good Against The. Red SOX so
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: i think he does have the ability to come in
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: and pitch, well here And The red sox is Going With.
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: Patrick sandoval this guy's. Gonna, unravel dude he's. Not Good
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: The red sox need To get. CROCHET back i Know
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: The red sox have one of the best starting pitching rotations,
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: In baseball sandoval is the one guy in the rotation
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: that you. Cannot trust in, my opinion he's by Far
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: the red sox worst. Starting pitcher it's not. Even close
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: he's got a three point three TO two erra which,
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: looks good but his whip is. A disaster one point five. To,
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: eight yeah that eraray is going, To skyrocket there's no doubt.
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: About it he's putting way too many guys. On base
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: you want to talk about home, road, splits well he's
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: been worse at home so far three point seven to TWO.
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: HOMEY ra, i know he's only made four starts And
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: The red sox have won all. Of them and he
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: actually did pitch. Pretty well In The a's stadium, last
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: time which surprised me, a BIT and i mean that's
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: a hitter friendly stadium Against The. White sox he had
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: his first start of the season Against The white sox in.
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: That series that happened, pretty recently and he didn't make
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: it five innings in, that one although he did on the.
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: One run i'll give him credit. For that in four and,
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: a third, five hits, one walk. Five strikeouts he wasn't
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: bad in. That outing he does have a good strike
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: out walk, ratio here but he's allowed way more hits than,
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: innings pitch which is. NOT good i don't think he's
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: really this much of a strikeout. PITCHER either i think
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: there are some. Concerns. Here man he's definitely been, too
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: hittable as walk rate is. Just okay his walk grade,
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: is okay, but again his hit ability is the main.
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: Problem here And The white sox they have actually. HAD well,
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: i mean they have average numbers, AGAINST him i would say.
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: SOMEWHAT average a two eighty six average is. Pretty good
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: they don't have any extra base hits, off, him though that's.
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: The thing they don't hit him for power six, nineteen
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: OPS so i know that's a. Bit low, seven strikeouts,
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: two walks twenty eight, at Bats but i'm still gonna.
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: DO this I think martin is the better Pitcher. OVER
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: sandval i think it's a bad spot For The. Red
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: sox everybody knows how Hot The red, sox events so
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: the public are all gonna come in On The red.
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: Sox here we're gonna. FADE that i think having days
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: off here OR whatever i think is gonna Hurt The
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: red sox having to travel. Across country ninety one percent
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: of tickets eighty six percent of the cash On The,
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: red sox so they're a public team with less of
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: the money. On them it looks pretty easy to Play
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: The red sox at around minus one thirty in the.
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: Full game that is Not what i'm. Gonna do i'm
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: gonna focus on just the starting pitching and the early
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: part of the game Where The red. Sox mike they
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: might struggle. Early on that's the. Other thing when teams
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: are turning home from the road and they have a,
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: day off the offense might be slow. To Start so
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna Fade The red sox early on in that way.
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: As well mostly IT'S because i don't want to deal
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: With The white sox bullpen Against The red, sox, bullpen
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: though and the money is playing the over here. Over
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: nine i'm not SURE if i agree. WITH that i
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: think maybe the under makes a little bit more sense
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: because both pitchers actually have somewhat decent matchup numbers here
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: and with days off and stuff, like that and the
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: bullpen's both. NOT bad i think the under makes a
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: little bit. More sense but my play Is The white
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: sox fading the public big. Time there we'll Take The
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: white sox as an underdog in the. First five you
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: can take them in the, full game you'll get a bigger,
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: underdog price but getting them plus money in the FIRST
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: five i think is the way to go there in,
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: that one even, though yeah if you play the, full
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: game you'll probably get them at like plus. One fifteen,
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: but uh we're not doing THAT because i don't want
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: to Fade The red. Sox bullpen. ALL right i FEEL
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: like i was gonna say one, other THING and i
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: forget what. It was, OH yeah i was just gonna
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: look At The red sox home. Record here it's. Not
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: good it's they're twenty five and twenty nine, at HOME
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: and i Know The white sox aren't really good on the,
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: Road either But The red sox still have a bad
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: home record below. FIVE hundred i told you they're way
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: better on, the road which might be good come, playoff time,
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: you know if they're gonna be a wildcard. Or whatever,
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: but yeah for, these purposes they're not good, at home
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: and that's probably not good as far as this game.
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: Is concerned Miami, at atlanta THESE teams i think. Both,
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: Well actually miami did sell a little bit at the.
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: Trade deadline miami got RID of i can't remember. HIS
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: name i know they got rid of one of their
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: one of the guys in. Their lineup they traded Over
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: to uh wait Did they i'm trying To maybe i'm
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: GET into i. DON'T know i, don't. REMEMBER man i
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: don't think either these teams made huge splashes at the,
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: trade Deadline although i'm Pretty sure atlanta Did Get. Foster
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: griffin you can correct Me if i'm wrong, about THAT
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: but i think, they DID and i think that just
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: flew under. The radar let, me see is he on
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: their roster? Right now let me say check Me if
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: I'm maybe i'm wrong. About that it looks like They Got.
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: Tyler molly that didn't make any sense. To me why
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: would They get Tyler. AND maley i. Don't Know maybe
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: i'm Wrong About. FOSTER griffin i know he, went, Somewhere
• 47:55
  Speaker 2: though i'll have to. Check that. WE'LL see i still
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: don't have it all straight in. My mind maybe Ye
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: at atlanta kind of a weird move To Get tyler
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: mollym and he kind. OF sucks i don't know what that.
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: Was anyway atlanta is coming off Sweep. Of washington they've
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: won five games in. A row they had a day,
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: off yesterday which maybe will stall their momentum a. Little
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: bit they're staying. At home miami they've won six out,
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: of seven though they just won the last three games Against.
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: The mets so both teams are coming into this matchup
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: pretty hot, right NOW and I think miami is still
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: actually still like trying to make the. Playoffs year both
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: bullpens are. Pretty good both offenses are actually pretty good.
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: As Well the braves are the number two OFFENSE, in
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: whip although they're the third best Er behind Yankees And.
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: Red sox miami is fourth. IN bullpenal i don't think
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: they're quite, that good, but yes they're definitely a. Decent
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: bullpen braves are eighth, In offense, Miami ninth so these
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: teams have hit pretty well this year. As well started
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: pitching is not a very elite, matchup here especially On the.
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: Miami Side ryan gusto is getting. The start he's. Not
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: good we faded him in his last start and we got,
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: the WIN which i think Was that. Philly game five
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: point three TO one era, for him one point four to.
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: Four whip that's. Not good he's not good on the
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: road six point two TO. Three roadira he's definitely worse on.
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: The road he struggled at home last Time. Against philly
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: he was not going deep into out and. So FORTH
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: that i think they were using him out of. The
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: bullpen so one OTHER thing i would be aware Of
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: is miami might put an opener in front of him.
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: Or something although he did start the last Game, against
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: philly but, as possible they put an opener in front.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: Of him so if you're gonna play, THIS game i
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: would not pick a Starter for MIAMI because I think
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: gusto will pitch for a starters, workload basically but he
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: might have somebody pitching in front. Of him he's got
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: kind of a high hit. Rate here his walk rate
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: is not, too bad strike out rate, is okay but
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: he's a. Bit hittable he's not a very. Good pitcher
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: atlanta has hit him fairly well in twenty six at
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: bats two sixty, nine average nine to twenty. Six obs
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: they got some, home runs they got a lot of RBIs,
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: against him five, strike outs. Four walks, So yeah gusto
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: generally has not been Good. Against atlanta atlanta's Going With,
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: grant holmes who is the better pitcher here out of,
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: the TWO although i don't think he's that. Good either
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: he's got a three point EIGHT, eight era but his
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: whip is pretty high one point. Three six he walks too.
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: Many guys he's also not as good, at home even
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: though he was good last year, at home but this
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: year four point Twenty. Seven homierra that's. Not good he's
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: struggling kind. OF recently, I mean atlanta has won his last,
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: five STARTS so i will give. Him that he's not
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: allowing that, many runs but he's not going deep into
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: his outings and he's walking too, many guys so that's
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: kind of. A problem, you know he's getting some run support,
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: Behind him he's not killing. His team i'll give you
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: that his hit rate is, pretty low so. That's good
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is definitely. Too HIGH like, i said
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: he walks too many guys and he doesn't really strike
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: out that, many guys so that strakeout walk ratio definitely.
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: Is concerning Looking, against miami he has been good against
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: them in twenty six. At bats they only have a
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: one ninety two AVERAGE five i have thirty one ohps
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: eight to four strike out. Walk ratio so all that,
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: BEING said i mean you might be able to kind
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: of simplify that To just atlanta's got the better, Pitching
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: HERE so i would probably have To lean. Atlanta here
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: but the public Is on atlanta eighty six percent, of
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on then The
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: public mike's to play the. Better team you're looking at
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: about a minus one fifty price year or So. On
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: atlanta the line has gone up a. Little bit you
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: probably have to either just suck it up and pay,
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: the juice or you'd have to lay like a minus
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: one run Line with atlanta here and make your own minus.
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: One whatever i'm not willing to. Do it they look
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: too public. To ME but i would not want To
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: back miami in. THIS matchup i think the Matchup favors
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: atlanta pretty much throughout. The game the money is also
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: coming in on the over in. That game don't KNOW
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: if i really love. That either the. Totals nine it's kind.
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: Of high it should be high for, a Reason but
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: atlanta doesn't hit as well. At home team's coming off,
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: a break, you know have, it yesterday off might. Cool
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: off the off is A little we have, rested bullpens,
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: SO really i think the only like really bad pitching
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: that you're gonna get in this game sort Of. Is
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: GUSTO so i don't really see that many indicators for an.
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: Over there, but yeah those are. MY thoughts i Still
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: think atlanta might be the way to. Lean there it's
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: just the price doesn't seem right. To me price is.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: Not Right Bobby Minnesota. Kansas city THIS is i don't
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: know what to tell you. About this minnesota did not
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: really sell at the. Trade Deadline, joe ryan who has
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: been talked about is a potential trade target the last.
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: Two seasons he's Still. On minnesota he's. Pitching Today. KANSAS
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: city i believe They traded boobich To. The dodgers i'm,
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: pretty Sure but boobach is hurt. RIGHT now i haven't
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: heard his name in a, long TIME so i don't
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: know what was going. ON there i don't think these
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: teams really did a ton at the. Trade Deadline kansas
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: city has been playing. Bad baseball they've lost four in,
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: a row including Playing. At minnesota by, the way they
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: just lost two out of Three, in minnesota so It's
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: possible minnesota overlooks them a little. Bit Here But kansas
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: city's returning on from. Road trip but they Went, To,
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: detroit minnesota and then into Elevation, into colorado so it's
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: not a good Spot For. Kansas city bad teams are
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: turning on from, road trips not a good spot because
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: it's already a, bad spot but bad teams tend to
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: handle that a little. Bit WORSE so i do not
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: want to try To Back kansas city here in the return.
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: HOME spot i don't really want to try To Fade joe.
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: RYAN either i don't like.
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Either.
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: Bullpen obviously these bullpens are both. Very bad they're twenty
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: ninth to Thirtieth respectively Minnesota And, kansas city Although the
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: aas still have a worse ray out of. The bullpen
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: but these are. Bad bullpens the hitting has been okay
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: On the twins side Their Twelfth kansas city, is nineteenth
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: tied With. THE orioles i don't see a whole lot.
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: Changing There joe ryan Pitching, from minnesota still a, good
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: pitcher three point FIVE, two era one point one to
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: one whip to be bad EVERY time i actually try to.
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: Back him he's been basically the same home. And away
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: his home road splits are not. Significant here pitched all
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: right last time Out Against. Kansas city by, the way
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: he went, six innings gave it four runs in that.
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: Home start what was good about it is he. Bounced
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: back he had a really ugly start coming out of
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: pitching In The All, star GAME which i didn't think
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: was going to affect him because he's. A veteran i
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: think he's Pitching The All star, game BEFORE so i
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: was surprised that he had a horrible Start, against cleveland who.
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: Can't hit they hit him for six home runs and
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: we lost an underplay in. That game i'm PRETTY sure
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: i don't know what. That was but it was a
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: nice bounce back for him to pitch Decently Against kansas
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: city last. Time out he got no run support in,
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: that START though i don't know that might have been
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: against the guy he's going, against today by, The Way,
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: DOB knock i think it. Actually, Was yeah so this
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: is the same pitching matchup we had in, that game
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: which it's Crazy That dob knock is actually pitching. Pretty
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: WELL but I Expect joe ryan will probably pitch. Well
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: here He's got he's still got a low, hit rate
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: really low, walk great pretty high. Strikeout rate his numbers
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: are still good across, the board and he is generally
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: Good Against. Kansas city they have one hundred and four
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: at bats, against him only a two thirty, one average
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: six point eighty two oh ps eighteen to four strike out.
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: Walk RATIO so i do expect him to pitch pretty.
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: Well Here Although kansas city just, SAW him i don't
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: think that matters because they've seen him a lot throughout,
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: their careers so seeing him one more time after a,
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: SHORT time i don't. Think matters it might matter More
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: from MINNESOTA because I think minnesota had Not seen Randy
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: dobb knock for a, long time and he just pitched well.
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: Against him but Now that minnesota, saw him they might
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: make adjustments and hit better. Against him this guy's a
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: real mystery, to, Me, man like he has not really
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: had much of. A career he actually Was, on minnesota by,
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: the WAY so i think that was his first time
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: pitching against his, Former TEAM so i think maybe he
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: got up for. That game he, got, motivated, LIKE hey
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: i get to pitch against the Team that i've spent
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: my entire career with, until now you KNOW what. I
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: mean although he does Have a seattle uniform, on here
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: but it looks like he never actually Hitch. FOR seattle i,
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: don't KNOW but i think that was a big deal
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: for him to Pitch, Against minnesota so he might be
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: in a little bit of a letdown spot coming off.
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: Of that but he's actually been pretty. Good otherwise he's
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: allowed two or fewer runs and all of his starts
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: so far, this year and he said three shutout starts
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: in his, five starts and all of those he went
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: at least. Five innings that's kind, of. Crazy man, well
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: though really the only actual good offense he kind of
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: faced the Ear Was tampa bay and that was his,
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: worst start although it was his first start in a
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: long time, as well so maybe he was just shaky for.
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: That Reason there the one real bad thing about his
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: numbers is. The walks he does have a high, walk
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: rate but overall one point four one point one to.
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: NINE whip, i mean you can't really complain, about that
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: although he's obviously not. This good, you know like his
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: walk rate alone tells YOU his hera. Should be his
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: whip tells you HIS the rra should be higher. Than
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: this but he has a. Bitch porling i'll give. Him
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: that his strikeout rate is, pretty low though he doesn't
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: really strike. Anybody out he gets a lot of. Ground
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: balls his hit is, fairly low so he's kept guys
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: off the base pass, that way but he's walked way too.
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: Many guys what do we expect out? OF him i honestly. Don't.
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: Know man he's been Good against minnesota because it was
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: mostly just that, one start but they do have twenty
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: seven at bats, against him a two twenty, two average
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: five forty six obs four to one stringle. Walk Ratio
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: maybe minnesota will hit better against him now that they
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: just saw, him AGAIN but i think that was more
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: than just one Start against minnesota factored into those, numbers
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: there and he's been generally good, Against THEM so i
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: think this might be a first five. UNDER man, i
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: mean you gotta avoid the, bullpens HERE so I know
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: i hate these first, five Unders and i'm probably gonna
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: be playing them very rarely at this point because they've
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: been going. So badly but the full game total is.
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: NINE here i know that's a little, Bit high so
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: the oddsmaker's kind of telling you they think it'll be
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: a higher. Scoring game but part of that is definitely
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: because the bullpens are a, disaster here fifty seven percent,
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety four percent of the cash in. The
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: OVER but i still think first five under makes. Some
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: sense and the last time he's two pictures faced off against,
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: each other the game went way under. The total so
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: just somebody keep in. Mind there but, first five you'll
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: probably get five on, that number maybe even five and.
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: A half. Probably, five though Given That joe ryan is
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: one of, the starters he gets respect in. The market
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: he might be getting too. Much respect and an indicator
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: that the under might make sense is that the money
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: is actually. Coming In On, kansas city eighty percent of
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: the tickets is sixty six percent of. The Cash on
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: minnesota they're at minus one forty. SOMETHING here i think
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: it's because you've got to pay a Price For. Joe
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: ryan everybody, knows that like he gets respected in the
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: market and maybe overvalued in. The MARKET so i think
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: that's why the money's Coming In. Kansas, city though the
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: last time these two pictures, Matched Up kansas city won,
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: the game and maybe that's skewing people's perception a. LITTLE
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: bit i, don't, know Man but i'm not. Gonna back
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: i'm not gonna recommend Back In kansas city in a return.
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: Home spot i'm not gonna. DO that i, IN fact
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: i would probably slightly Lean towards minnesota to kind of
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: bounce back after that loss that they had the Last
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: Time joe ryan went Up Against. Dobb knock plus the return,
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: HOME spot i would kind Of. Lean minnesota but given that,
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: MARKET read i don't want to do. That, either yeah it's.
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: A game i don't want anything to do with, That
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: GAME but i think the under in the first five
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: would be my strongest. Opinion there speaking, of unders we're
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: gonna play one in the. Next game it would be
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: my only other play Here and i'm not gonna go
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: first five. With it EVEN though i Don't like pittsburgh's bullpend.
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: Very much we're gonna get the key number seven and
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: a half here and hope the starters can carry us
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: deeper into, this game and hope that, the Bullpen's especially milwaukee's,
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: good bullpen could kind of just get us there in.
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: This one we're taking under seven and a Half In pirates.
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: BREWERS here i thought the over was the right, side
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: yesterday and it. Didn't happen it wound up a four
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: To three. Pittsburgh win pittsburgh won yesterday four. To three
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: milwaukee was in return, home, spot remember and they were
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: returning home From the, Pacific coast so it's kind of
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: a negative Spot. For milwaukee now it's gonna Be. INTERESTING milwaukee,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: i mean they didn't do much at the. Trade deadline
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: they Did Add dustin may and whoever that other picture
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: was that. They got not really a. BIG deal i.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: Don't think not a huge, move There but milwaukee just
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: kind of adding, SOME depth i guess for the stretch.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: Run there pittsburgh Did Add. Luke WEAVER like i said in,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: the bullpen they didn't really do a whole. LOT else
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: i don't think so. These teams not a huge change
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: with these two, teams here the pitchers that are. Going
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: here have both been in these rotations for. A while
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: pittsburgh did use three guys out of the, bullpen yesterday
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: but we're gonna back the bullpen's. HERE anyway I know
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: i Don't like. PITTSBURGH'S bullpen i Do. Like milwaukee's milwaukee used.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: Three guys they mostly kind of used longer relief type of,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: guys yesterday so their better relievers are. Available here milwaukee
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: is a, good bullpen so they are definitely backable, their
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: TENTH but i think they're better Than that pittsburgh at the.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: Very least they're not a bullpen that you like need
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: to just throw out on, the curb even though the rank. Twenty,
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: FOURTH basically i consider the bullpens that are just a
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: total disaster you absolutely cannot Back, Are, Washington, Colorado, A's Minnesota,
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: kansas city And. Maybe Cincinnati, SO pittsburgh i know they're
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: like right on, that threshold but everything else points towards an,
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: under here and we get the key number seven and
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: a half here and hopefully the bolt. STARTED pitching, i
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: mean hopefully you can get us deeper into this game
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: than just the. First five, but, OBVIOUSLY yes i agree
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: with the first five here, as well but if you
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: play the. FIRST five I think i Saw The roman
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: emperor's book that starts With, THE sea i think had,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: a four but it was minus, one thirty so you
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: did have to pay a little bit of a juice price.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: For that you could, do that you could take the
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: three and a half in the, first Five but i'm
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: gonna extend it to the. Full game hopefully the starters
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: can get, us there because, YOU know i like both these, starters,
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: here man and if you watch, My show i've always
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: kind of liked both. These Guys jared jones is pitching For.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: The pirates and one OTHER thing i like about this
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: is these are, not pitchers you KNOW what. I mean
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: so the public is not coming in, and, Going oh
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: Pirates and brewers because we know that these teams, can hit,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: and yes obviously they. Can, HITTING wise i forgot, To
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: say pittsburgh, Is fourth, milwaukee's SEVENTH so i know these teams.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: Can HIT and i think the public is gonna not
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: want to play an under here because they don't know
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: who these pitchers. Are really these teams are known for
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: being able, to HIT but i think pitching over pitching defeats,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: hitting usually JUST like i think defense is better, than
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: Offense and pittsburgh is not quite as good offensively on,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: The road so we do have that going for. Us
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: here AND again i like, both starters and again they're
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: not named. Starters Here jared jones missed all of, last
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: year looked like he was good prior, to that and
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: he looks. Good again his numbers this year have become.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: Good again three point EIGHT, one era one point oh
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: two whip and he's actually been better on the road
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: in a, way too with a three point four To three.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: Roady rail those opponent batting average is a little bit
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: worse on. The road it's kind of a small, sample
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: size so he's pretty much been good, either way and
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: he's definitely come.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: Into.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: Form man he had a really good Month of july
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: thirty three to six strike out walk ratio with only
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: eleven hits allowed in twenty. Seven innings he was in
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: full Command. Throughout july good, numbers, There, man yeah just across.
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: The board he allowed three or few earned runs in,
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: every start only allowed more than. One once he's got
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: a low hit, rate here pretty low walk rate. As
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: well strike out rate. Is high these numbers across the
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: board are good going up Against the milwaukee they haven't
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: really seen much. Of them they only have five hitters
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: of have faced and twelve at bats one extra base
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: hit which is a Double. From bowers four to zero
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio two, fifty average five eighty Three Ops.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: JAKE bowers i Was Like, jack bauer what is that
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: the twenty? Four Guy No jake, bowers anyway two, fifty
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: average five eighty. Three Obs so jones has been Good
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: against milwaukee. So far the guys that have, seen him
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: a lot of their guys haven't even faced. Him before
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: he's pitching really well. Right now, good pitcher under the,
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: radar pitcher definitely backable Here And logan henderson backing him
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: on the show back to multiple times, this season, including
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: recently and it's worked out. Pretty Well so i'm gonna
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: continue to. Do That logan henderson's been good man two
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: point six TO sixty ra point nine to one Whip,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: Like jones he's looked good when he's Pitching the major. So. Far,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: though no we don't have a big sample Size. With
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: henderson we have a bigger One. With jones but there's
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: really nothing to dislike about the Way that henderson. Has
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: pitched since coming into the majors. Last year now, with
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: him he doesn't go that deep into some of, his
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: OUTINGS so i know it makes the first five maybe
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: look a little bit more, enticing here, but, WHATEVER man,
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: I mean i'm not too Worried about milwaukee's, bullpend Here so.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: I'm okay if he gets us five innings and then
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: we get the, bullpen there hopefully that'll still get us
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: there in. This, One henderson milwaukee's won his last. Seven
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: starts he's. Pitching well he's got a low, hit rate
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: really low, walk rate high. Strikeout rate numbers good across the,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: board Here and pittsburgh has basically never. Seen him they
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: have two hitters to have, Faced him Horowitz, and treolo
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: and they're zero for four, off him no strikeouts though.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: One walk, But YEAH henderson i think should do. Well
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: here he's very unfamiliar. To them should be an extra.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: Advantage here under is my call in. This game the
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: money doesn't. Totally agree it, looks like but it's hard
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: to gauge these. Numbers here fifty two percent, of tickets
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of the cash and the over that
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: doesn't really tell me a. Whole lot seven and a
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: half being the total does tell me the oddsmakers respect
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: these pitchers here and for, THE side i think you're
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: paying too Much, for MILWAUKEE though i know they're in
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: a bounce back spot BECAUSE as i, always say when
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: a team returns home from, the road a lot of
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: times when they lose that, first game will bounce back
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: in the. Next game but this is a, highly like
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: this is a series where both teams are gonna, show
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: up you KNOW what. I Mean in milwaukee has such
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: a big Lead, Over pittsburgh pittsburgh is going to be
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: the more motivated team throughout. The series probably eighty four percent,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: of tickets sixty eight percent of the Cash. On milwaukee
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: that really has to do with, The Price so milwaukee's
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: public less of the money coming in. On them they're
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: in the minus one sixty something. Range here the money's
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: coming In on pittsburgh because of. The PRICE and i don't,
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: really Disagree but milwaukee does have a. Bullpen ADVANTAGE so
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: i think if you're Gonna, play pittsburgh you should do
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: it in the FIRST five i think it's, it really
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: you'd be just doing it because it's a close. PITCHING
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: matchup i think both pitchers can duele each, other here which.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: Is obvious obviously THAT'S what i Think because i'm going
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: with the. Under here but usually when you, see that
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: if you if one of the sides is a big
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: underdog and you think it's gonna be a low, scoring
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: game that usually means there's value on. The UNDERDOG as i,
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: always say if you think it's gonna be a, pitching
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: duel there's a decent chance that underdog is gonna be
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: hanging in, that game you KNOW what. I MEAN so
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: i think that's what's going on with the. Market there
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: if you Do, WANT pittsburgh i would only do it
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: in the first, five though because their bullpen is not the.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: Better one. Dirty sock? What's up thanks for? Hanging out
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: how many games do we have? Left? Here six? All
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: right i'll talk ABOUT this. Tbs game it's a, big,
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: Game Man. Dodgers cup IT'S the. Tv game everybody's gonna
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: want to watch it because it Is the dodger Debut
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: For Taric school, bawl HERE and i think they have
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: a pretty big match up. Edge here but if you Want,
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: the dodgers you have to pay a huge price, for
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: it And the cubs are kind of getting disrespected with this, Market, price,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: like really you're gonna Make the cubs this much of
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: an underdog, At home like that's kind of insane. TO me,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: I mean i Understand it's schoolable And, the dodgers but
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: the price is kind of. Insane HERE and i Understand
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: the cubs pitching is they're set up in this game
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: is not really. That good But the cubs are still
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: a pretty, good, Team MAN so i think they're getting,
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: disrespected here although they did win yesterday ten, to five
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: so it is kind of a bounce back spot For the.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: Dodgers here so Maybe the dodgers will have a little
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: bit of extra. Motivation here maybe it'll be excited to
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: play Behind School bawl schooble might pitch well because a
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: lot of times when these guys switch over to a,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: different team especially if they're going to a team that
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: has a better chance to win the, whole thing that
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: pitcher will, pitch better you KNOW what. I mean they'll,
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: be motivated they want to go out and you KNOW what,
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: i mean if you made that big effort to come,
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: Get me i'm gonna pitch well, for you you KNOW what.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: I mean it's that type, of thing like you feel
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: like you need to. Prove Yourself so schooball might pitch,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: well here Though obviously i'm pretty much never gonna assume
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: that school is gonna pitch poorly because he usually, Does
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: not so that's just NOT how i. Do it it's
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: just the problem is the price is insane in, this
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: Game so i'm not gonna be able to Back the.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: Dodgers Here the dodgers' bullpend they've been a little bit.
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: Worse recently they used three. Guys Yesterday the cubs bullpen
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: hasn't really been that good. Recently either they used two.
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: Guys yesterday there's still. Decent bullpens dodgers, are Ninth the cubs,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: are fourteenth But the dodgers e ray is. Above four
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: cubs actually have the better bullpen array. Right now they're both,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: decent bullpens though they're both. Good offenses dodgers, Number one cubs,
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: Number three so these offenses definitely can. Can score BUT like,
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: I said schooble is pitching For, The dodgers he's probably
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: gonna go out and give you a good. Performance here
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: the trade was also kind, of ridiculous Like the tigers
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: really did not get that much. In return it was kind.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: Of ridiculous and then you look At The red sox
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: giving up three of their top six prospects to get
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: a catcher that's hurt all. THE time i, don't, know
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: Man uh schooble two point seven ninety ra point nine.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: One whip but by, the, Way uh detroit Also traded
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: mize right at the, trade down And the Padres Got
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: casey mize from them to try to add a. Starting
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: pitcher So the padres still trying to win. THIS year
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: i don't know if it's gonna, be, enough man Because
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: the padres rotation is, not GOOD although i like myes
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: he will improve. The rotation, but whatever school. Bolm again
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: two point seven ninety ra point nine. One whip he's.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: Obviously good he's been really good on the road two
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: point zero Five. Roady ra he's. PITCHING well, i mean
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: people were saying he was done because of, his injury
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: and oh, my god, the injury he's never gonna be.
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: Good again, i'm, like yeah that's that's, obviously bullshit and.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: IT was, i mean he he's. BEEN fine i mean
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: he's started to pitch really. Well again, Uh Yeah, so schooble.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: He's fine he's got a low, hit rate really low,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: walk right high, strikeout. Right whatever all of his numbers.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: Are good numbers Against the cobs are also good in
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: fifty at bats eleven to one strike out walk ratio two,
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: forty average six fifty five. OHPS allowed i don't expect
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: him to pitch. Poorly here he's Better Than, javier asad
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: who's pitching For. The cubs ASD's been good for them,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: this year a three point SEVEN, five era one point one,
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: six whip although a lot of that has come out of,
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: the bullpen but he's been significantly better at home two
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: point two to TWO, Homey ira so he is pitching well,
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: at home pitching well generally. This year he's not going
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: deep into his. Outing zone that kind of. Worries me
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: he's made a lot of, relief appearances. Short appearances there
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: is also the possibility Of the cubs putting an opener
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: in front, of HIM so i would just be aware.
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: Of that if you're gonna play, THIS game i would
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: Probably pick schooble, must start but don't Pick a, chicago
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: STARTER because I think asad will pitch in this game
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: and will probably pitch a decent amount, of innings but
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: they might put an opener in front, of THEM so
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: i would just be aware. Of, that aside he's got
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: a decent hit, rate here his walk rate, is low
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: so he's not walking anybody. Right now but he also
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: doesn't really strike, anybody out so he doesn't, fool guys
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: and that's kind of the issue. With him the advanced
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: analytics guys are not going to like that he doesn't blow.
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: GUYS away a side Against the dodgers has really struggled
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: as well in nineteen at bats four to twenty one
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: average eleven. Sixty, ops yeah that's. Not good two to
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 2: two strike a, walk ratio so he's definitely struggled against.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: This lineup although it's a small sample size and there
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: is money coming in on the under in. This game
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: the total is pretty high, at nine which seems way
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: too high for a, schoolble game but you know what.
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: That means It means wind is. Blowing out In regular
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: there's no way a schooble game would be, nine otherwise absolutely.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: No way so wind is, Blowing OUT so i would
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: be aware, of THAT so i don't really want to
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: come in and try to play any an. Under here
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: sixty four percent of tickets ninety four percent cash on.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: The under the schoolble side of it looks good as
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: far as. The under it is a, high total probably
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: too high for what this pitching matchup, is normally but given,
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: the win maybe. It's appropriate asad looks like he could
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: pitch well here because he's good, at HOME but i
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: don't trust his. MATCHUP numbers i don't see any way
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: you can come in and Play the dodgers here either
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: at minus, two hundred even though they should have the,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: advantage here especially in the starting pitching eighty six percent
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: of tickets eighty five percent of the cash On, the
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: dodgers but they might be in a bounced back mode
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: because they lost yesterday kind. Of EMBARRASSINGLY so. I don't.
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: I don't i don't really Love the cub, Side HERE
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: like i don't really see a great angle to Play
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: the cubs other than. Its value like that's why, YOU
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: know i mean the public they're gonna be On the
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: dodgers because it's, Schooable whatever but the price is the
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: reason Why there's it looks like there's probably some money
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: from the professionals coming in On. The, cubs again they'll
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: basically just play the price and NOT like i think
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: a lot of times they don't even break the match
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: up down the WAY that, i do and they'll just, be,
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: like oh that price is, Too high like let's just
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: there's value On. The cubs let's just. TAKE that i, don't,
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: KNOW man i Think the dodgers probably do win. This
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: game if you're gonna Play, the dodgers you'd have to
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: lay like a minus one and a half, run line
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: which at least they're the, road team and they'll bat
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: in the. Ninth inning we Know the dodgers do score
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: decent amount of runs on. The road maybe that is
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: the way to play. THIS game i don't, love, IT
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: man i. REALLY don't, i mean you could try to
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: Play the cubs under their. Team total maybe just Take
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: the dodgers in school to kind of Stifle the. Cubs
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: here maybe, THAT'S that's, i guess a possible way to.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: PLAY that i don't love those under team, totals though
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: because one thing goes wrong and you're gonna, lose it
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: you KNOW what. I mean and you're probably gonna Need
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: the cubs to score like. Three RUNS so i. DON'T
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: know i don't KNOW if i, Love that i'll be.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: Right back i'll talk about the rest of, THESE games
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: i don't have any other players to, give out and
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: there's ONLY one wnba GAME where i do have an
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: opinion on THE w, nba again but it did not
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: make the cut. For me i'll be right. Back, YEP
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: inside i want to. Kill myself WE'RE on o seven
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: It was just.
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: Complete bullshit so That's that's i'm gonna start off this
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: Show horrible sunday one. AND five i don't even know
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: what to tell you. ABOVE that i just don't want
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: to do. THIS anymore i have never seen anything. Like
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: this man with the. Slump continuing two, straight losses not
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: a good day. At all, OWN four i have not
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: had a. Good. Season Man, with wickens the Slump that,
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: i'm on and the, Slump continues i've reached a. New,
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: Peak actually i'm going to burn my browins. HAT man
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: i don't know what is going on With. The bruins archie.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: Is that what?
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: IT is i don't even Know it's. MARCH ninth i
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: think who? Even? Knows? MAN oh i THINK did i accidentally?
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 2: STOP that i don't? Know whatever, all right next game
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: Up is Giants. And rangers that was THE win i
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: gave out on the. Show Yesterday the giants got, the
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: win and they won, full game and they were winning
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: at the end of the. First five they were up
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: three to nothing at. That point web gave us a good.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: Start there rangers definitely struggling. Right now they've lost six
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: games in. A row but that was a return home.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: Spot yesterday, YOU know i talked. About it when a
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: team has a bad game the return, home spot a
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: lot of times they turn it around and they play
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: better in the. Next game So the rangers may do.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 2: That Here the rangers are still not out, of it
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: like they're still fighting to Win The al, west here
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: so they might have. More motivation as, We Know san
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: francisco's sold at the. Trade deadline they Traded away miller
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: or whatever the hell's name was of the relief pitcher
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: over To The. Red sox They traded Arias, to PHILLY
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: which i should have kind of pointed that out more
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: Yesterday that arias was likely to not be in the
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: Lineup For san francisco, there yesterday but they still got us. To.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: WIN anyway i still like The spotn't it didn't matter
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: that much. To me now this looks like it is
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 2: going to be a bounce back Spot. For texas the
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: problem is you have to pay ridiculous price if you
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: want to Pay play. Texas here they should be the
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: more motivated team in the bounce back spot and they
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: should have the better pitching in, this game but the
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: price is insane if you want to try To play.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: Texas here their bullpen has also, been STRUGGLING and i
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what's going on with. Their bullpen they used three.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: Guys yesterday they're probably better at this Point Than. San
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: Francisco san francisco, used four, But Again san francisco did
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: sell some relief arms at the, trade deadline at least
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: the one that they traded To The. Red Sox san
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: francisco's twenty third And bullpen texas. Is, twentieth again kind
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: of weird because these were both good bullpens, last YEAR
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 2: but I think texas is probably the better of the
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: two bullpens at, this point although it's actually hard. To
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: Say san francisco thirteenth, in OFFENSE but i still don't
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: think they're, that good and they, you know They, traded arias,
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: SO yeah i don't Think the giants offense is really.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: That good tied With The white sox And. The, yankees
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah the giants are worse than both of. Those offenses
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: texas is, seventeenth offensively but we know they have some
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: low scoring. Home games yesterday was another low scoring Game.
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: In texas will this? One be i'm not. So Sure
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: san francisco's. Pitching loose like it's a bad set. Up,
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: here man it was Gonna Be robbie ray Pitching For.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: San Francisco but i'm pretty sure they. TRADED him I
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: Think ROBBIE ray, I thought i think they traded Him To,
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: san DIEGO but i could be wrong. About that i'm, not.
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: SURE man i Don't think ray is really, that good
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: but he's he's a guy that'll be in a, rotation
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: wherever you KNOW what. I, mean like he's not, that
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: bad so good enough to be in a major. League
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: Rotation san francisco is going with a. Bullpen game it
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: Looks Like blade hidwell is listed as, the starter but
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: he's a, relief pitcher so he's probably only gonna go like.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: One inning he's got, good numbers but again he's. A
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: reliever he'll go like one two, Winnings MAYBE and i
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a full bullpen Game For, san
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: francisco so that doesn't look good to me going Up Against,
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 2: mackenzie gore who is at least an actual Starter. For
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: texas even THOUGH his era looks bad four point, seven
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: seven his whip is not that, bad though at one point,
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: two SIX so i THINK his era should be lower than.
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: It is he's been pretty good at home three point
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: six to one HOME, e ra so he pitches better
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: in this pitcher friendly. Stadium here he's been, good recently
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: and it really it's kind of weird that HIS e
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: ra was almost seven in the Month, of july but
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: he had a thirty nine to six strikeout walk ratio
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: in thirty one to two, thirds inning, so like how do?
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: You like what are we? Doing here like it's because
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: he allowed eight. HOME runs i GUESS his era was just,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: way high but his command was Awesome. In july, you
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: know he struck out a ton, of guys didn't really,
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: walk anybody and usually his problem is. The WALKS so
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: i think he pitched a lot Better in july THAN
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: that era gives him, credit for although he was, too
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: hittable so very strange, Because again gore usually. Is unhittable
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: but he usually walks too, many guys and it seems
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: like he changed something and then it kind of flipped
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: on its head a. Little bit but he definitely pitched
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: a lot Better in july than the era makes. It
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: look he's got a pretty low hit rate here on.
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: The season his walk rate is actually lower than you
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: usually get out, of him and his strikeout rate is.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: Still HIGH so I think gore is not, that bad
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: and he's been Good Against. San, francisco well then they
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: only have twenty one at bats, against him four of
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: their heroes, of face but they only have one hit
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: against him Single From Jung. Ho lee, ten strikeouts, three
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: walks oh forty eight average two. Fourteen OHBS so i
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: would have to be Leaning towards. Texas here the problem is.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: The price there's just no way you could, do it
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: and minus Two hundred Texas With mackenzie gore on the
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: momb minus two hundred reeling and the total is pretty
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: low at seven and, a half and the money Is
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: fading texas seventy six percent of the tickets, on them
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: sixty five percent of the Cash On. San francisco but
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: there's NO way i Would Back san. Francisco here with a,
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 2: bullpen game And with texas and a potential bounce back
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: and being the motivated team Here because texas is still
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: trying to win. Their Division san francisco has basically said
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: we're done on. The season, so yeah there are definitely
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: Indicators on. Texas here, but again the reason why the
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: money's coming In On san francisco is totally. The price
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 2: the price is just too High. On TEXAS so i
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: don't really see a good way of coming in and
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: doing this other than the money's coming in on The
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: under the total is low at seven and, a half
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: and that's another part of the reason why the money's
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: playing the, underdog here because if you think it's gonna
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: be a low, scoring game the underdog makes. SOME sense
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: i think you may be you might be able To
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: Go san francisco under their team. TOTAL year, i mean
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: they don't do Well against gore typically he is better.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: At home, texas's bullpen could they get you, There maybe
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: or you could look at a First Five san francisco
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: under if you have a book that gives you, that
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: availability maybe something like that. MAKES sense I mean texas,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: RUN line i think it's not off the, table here,
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: but man laying the minus one and a Half with
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: texas when they don't score, THAT well i think it's
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: an option in, this game but the money's definitely kind
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: of like disagreeing. With IT so i, don't, know man
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: THERE'S just i. Don't know that game is kind of,
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: unplayable UNFORTUNATELY because i, was THINKING like i almost WAS
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: thinking i wanted To add texas to. My card the
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: price is just, not right you KNOW what. I MEAN
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: like i Was thinking texas was gonna be like minus
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: one sixty or something, like THAT and i was thinking
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: maybe there'd be a way To play. Texas HERE but
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: i don't. Think so Toronto. At HOUSTON but i Do
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: think texas will finally break their losing streak in. THAT
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: game i think they should win. That game houston lost
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: yesterday three. To one they were not in a return.
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: Home spot toronto were sellers at the. Trade DEADLINE like,
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: i said They, traded gousman although they did actually buy.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: As well They Got, jose soriano which was kind of strange.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: TO me i don't Know what, toronto's Doing but houston
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: is trying to win. Their division they're winning the division,
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: right now, So yeah houston is going. For it houston,
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: lost Yesterday so houston might be in a decent spot
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: to bounce back here right because they're gonna be the
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: more motivated team here for the. Stretch run they have
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: more to play For than. Toronto does houston got embarrassed
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: yesterday losing three to one. At home houston only is
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 2: one guy out of. The bullpen It was emi WHO
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: they i guess they took him out of the. Starting
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: Rotation so houston's bullpen is in a good rest. Situation
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: here toronto used three guys out of. Their bullpen they
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: did not use their Closer though, Viarland generally toronto's had
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen. This year TORONTO is i don't know
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: why we HAD the i don't. Know why my cursor
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: is just like. THE spinner i don't know what the
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: hell is going on there with. My computer houston thirteenth
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: in a in a? Bullpen here, Toronto is where? Are
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: they WHY don't? I, See oh, TORONTO'S fifteenth i don't,
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: know why staring at me right in. The face toronto's
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: got The, better eray both bullpens are, ALL right i
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: would say at, this point though, Hitting wise toronto's. Been
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: awful they're. Twenty ninth houston's the way. Better offense houston,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: is sixth EVEN though i don't think they're, that good
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: but they're definitely Better than toronto by quite. A, bit
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: however if you're gonna try To play, houston here that
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: means you Gotta fade Tray, is SAVAGE and i DON'T
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: think i really want to. Do that he's pretty good
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: three point seven TO, three era one point one To.
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: Six whip he's been good on the road three point
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: Two Eight. Roady ray his opponent batting average is, very
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: good below, two hundred both at home. And away pitched
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: pretty well last time Out, at washington which is not easy.
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: To do he's had a high strikeout. Rate recently his
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: problem is definitely. The walks he doesn't allow many hits.
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: At all he's. Very unhittable his strike out rate is.
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: Pretty strong walks huge problem, With. You savage he's got
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: to figure out the, control, issues MAN which i think.
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: He will he's still. Pretty young he just had his
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: twenty third birthday not that, long ago and he's been
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 2: good Against the astros. So far they only have six
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: guys who have faced him fourteen. At bats one extra
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: base hit is a double from parade as three to
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: four strike out. Walk ratio but the rest of these
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: numbers are good one forty, three average five forty. Eight
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: OHPS so i Think you savage will pitch. Well here
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: houston's Going With, hayden wesnsky who just came off the
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: injured list a little. WHILE agoing i think he's better
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: than what his numbers look. So far four point seven TO,
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: six era one point five to, NINE whip i know is,
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: not good but if you dive into his numbers throughout,
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: his career he was pretty good when he was With.
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: The cobbs he was better THAN his era made him
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: Look with houston, last year but he's been injured for
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: a lot of, THIS time, i think so he hasn't
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: really been able to establish Himself. With houston but back
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: when he Was with chicago he was, pretty good although
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: he was a relief pitcher for a lot of. The
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: time but his career whip is way lower than it
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: is right now this year one point. One seven, so,
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 2: AGAIN yeah i think he's better than what these numbers suggest.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: So far he's only made one start so far, this
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: year like he just came back from being injured, or
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: whatever and it wasn't that. Battle though it Was against
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: anaheim and they're not a, good offense but that was
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: before they traded some of their. Guys away he went
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: five to, two thirds allowed three runs on, seven hits,
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: two walks. Four, strikeouts yeah he definitely put too many
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: guys on, base THERE but i don't Think wasz nesky is,
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: that bad and he's facing a Really weak toronto. Lineup
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: here toronto has five guys who have faced him in
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: their zero, for seven often with a strikeout and, a
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: walk So Only george springer has ever reached base. Against
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: him he has the. ONE walk i think an under
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: might be the way to look at. THIS game i
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: know yesterday's game was really low scoring, as WELL but
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: i think that's the way to look At this the
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: money looks like it doesn't agree seventy four percent of
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: tickets fifty three percent of the cash on the under
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: total eight and. A HALF but i think both starters
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: might do. Well here they have good, matchup numbers they're
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: both kind of unfamiliar to the, opposing offenses and THE
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 2: bullpens i think are both decent as. Well here, so
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: yeah the under would be my lean in. That game
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: the money is also Back. In toronto BUT again i
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: worry a little bit about the Motivation for toronto, at
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: LEAST although i guess they get a chance to play
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: spoiler if they care about That, with houston although it's
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: like this is. A rivalry sixty three percent of the Tickets,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: on houston eighty two percent of the Cash. On toronto
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: so the money is playing the tickets excuse the public
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: Is playing houston and the actual Money's. Playing, toronto yeah
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: so the public doesn't want anything to Do with toronto
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: because their record. Is bad they did sort of sell
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: at the, trade deadline but, you know but because, OF
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: that i don't Really want, toronto EITHER although i think,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: the argument the Argument for toronto would be That y
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: savage is Better, than wesnesky and maybe. He Is he's
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: he's definitely a really talented, young PITCHER so i think
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: there is a higher seal With. You SAVAGE so i
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: could see, that argument and maybe you go first Five with.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: Toronto there if You, want toronto just focus on the starting.
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 2: Pitching there, but yeah eighty two percent of the Cash,
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: on toronto sixty three percent of Tickets, on Houston and
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: houston's in the minus one thirty range on the money.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: Line There tampa Bay at colorado really high scoring. GAME
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: yesterday i did SAY that I thought tampa team total
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: over made the most sense to me in, that game,
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: sort of but they had to get to, SEVEN runs,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: i think and. They did they scored thirteen and they
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: won thirteen. To nine the game was crazy. HIGH scoring
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: i think it was eight To one tampa at one
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: point in, the game AND then I guess tampa's bullpen didn't. Do,
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 2: well yes they're definitely better Than the. Rockies Bullpen tampa
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: bay used two guys out of, the bullpen. Three guys,
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: excuse mely they didn't really use anybody that good out of.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: The bullpen colorado used one guy out of the bullpen
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: and none of their. Better relievers but their bullpen is just.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: Awful anyway colorado's twenty seventh In Bullpen tampa. Bay's third
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: EVEN though i Don't Think tampa bay's, that good they're
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: still obviously the better. Bullpen here colorado debatably is the
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: better offense Their Fifth tampa bay's ninth Tie. With miami
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: both offenses are, definitely capable as we. Saw yesterday this
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: is also a hitter, friendly ballpark but the pitching matchup
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: might actually favor the. Pitching here freddy parolt is Pitching
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: For tampa bay and this might be good. For, him
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: man he was not pitching well With, the mets but
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: we've seen what he's done throughout. His career he had
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: a good career With, the BREWERS and i think he
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: just didn't pitch well With the mets Because the mets
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: are ASS and i think it was just a bad situation.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: For him maybe he just didn't get. Motivated well now
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: he's on a team that's in contention With, the rays
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: so he might actually. PITCH well i think it was
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: a decent move For the rays because they're starting ROTATION
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: is i. Don't know they got a lot of guys
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: in that rotation that are just whatever and they put
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: openers in front of them. Or whatever now they add
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: a legit starter to. THE rotation i Think paral it
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 2: does a lot better than what his numbers look like
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 2: so far. This year he's not. Done yet he's only
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: thirty four point nine TO ninety ra one point four to.
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: Eight whip we'll see if the change of Scenery. Fixes peralta,
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: because again if you look at what. He's on throughout,
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: his career he's been way better than he's been. This
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: year he was awesome last Year, with milwaukee and he
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: hasn't had any significant injury. Or ANYTHING so i think, it's,
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: just yeah it was. JUST motivational i think With the
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: mets it just. Wasn't good but now he might pitch. Better,
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: here man he's had a, Bad season there's no doubt.
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: About it his hit rate is too highs walk rate is,
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: not great. Not great usually he's less hittable. Than this that's.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: The thing he's usually pretty hard, to hit and he
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: usually is a little bit. Too wild that's usually what his.
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: Thing is his strikeout rates still pretty good here at
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 2: one basically one, per inning which is. Not bad Numbers
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: against colorado are kind. Of mediocre two forty, six average
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: seven to thirty nine, oh ps fifteen to nine string
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio it's sixty nine. At BAD so i
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: don't know if this is the greatest matchup, for him
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: but he might, be excited you KNOW what. I, Mean
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: again IT'S what i said. Was school when you go
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 2: to that, new team you kind of want to, prove
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: yourself right because you haven't proven. Anything yet this team
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: just went out and. Got you so you want to prove,
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 2: them right you KNOW what, i mean do well in
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: that first start, for them because they put their faith,
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: in you so you'll want to do that. For them
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: So par alton might be able to. Do that he
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: is kind of a fly. Ball pitcher he's giving up
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: a decent amount of home runs and that's kind of
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: an issue with him pitching a. Course field he did
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: actually Pitch IN corps i think once. This, year yeah.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: He did he's actually pitched Against the rockies twice, this
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: year and he pitched pretty well in. Both outings although
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: the one course field he only had, one strikeout which
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: does look like kind of a, red flag but he only.
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 2: Allowed one he allowed no runs in. That outing he
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: allowed two in the other one. At home didn't really
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: go deep into. Either outing, BUT yeah, i mean he's
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: generally not too Bad, against colorado was able to pitch
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: effectively at Least in colorado earlier. THIS year i think
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: he might. Be Okay and colorado's Going With, GABRIEL hughes
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: i think he might be. GOOD man, I know i
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: tried to back him in his last game and he
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: just got no. Run support he wasn't that bad in.
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: THE game i think it Was Against, san diego but
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: the run support just wasn't there. At all but he's
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: put up some, good numbers especially given that he's pitching.
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: In coursefield he's got a three point three TO three
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: era one point one to nine whip probably means he's
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: not gonna Be on colorado for that long because good
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: pitchers usually find a way To. Escape colorado but he's
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: actually been good in course field this year two point
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: zh three. Homey ra he hasn't given up more than
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: three earned runs and andy outings, so far though he
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: hasn't gotten much. Run support andro the bulp and has
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: screwed him, behind him but he's alloted three or fewer
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: earned runs in all of. His outings colorado did lose
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: his last, four, outings though but his numbers overall are not.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: Bad here pretty low hit, RATE here i mean not
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: too bad, at Least walk rade is. Reasonably low strikeout rate,
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: is decent and he's not a huge fly. Ball pitcher,
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: in fact he hasn't allowed any home. RUNS yet i
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: don't want to, jinx it but it looks like he
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: has a good style of pitching for Course field he's
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 2: made three homes arts, so far so that's a. Decent
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: sign and he's pitched against some good offenses, In here
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: washington And the dodgers one on one at home, one
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: away so that's not. Too bad and he's gonna be
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar to the opposing. Offense Here tampa bay has never faced,
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: it BEFORE so i think that's an extra Advantage to
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: hughes being unfamiliar to the. POSING offense i think the
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: way to play this is a first. FIVE under I
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: know i hate the first, five unders but, TO me
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: i think the starting pitching might do. Well here full game.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: TOTALS eleven i don't want to back, the bullpens Especially
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 2: not colorado's money's playing the over sixty one percent, of
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety two percent of the cash on. The OVER
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: but i still THINK if i had to play, THIS
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: game i would take the first. Five under you'll probably
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: get like a six on, that number which is pretty
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: high because it is, Course field so maybe that's the way.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: TO look, i mean there's a little bit of leeway
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: there with a number. Like That timpa. Bay's favored, of
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: course they've gone all the way up for minus one
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: thirty seven to minus one. SIXTY something i think it
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: Was because peralta probably wasn't initially going to start, this
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: game and they've decided they will. Start HIM so i
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: think that's why the line moved way Up On. Tampa
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: bay they're going to. Be public the public Doesn't want colorado.
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: At all eighty six percent of takes ninety one percent
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: of the Cash On, tampa bay so the money has
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: come in a little bit On The tampa. Bay SIDE
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 2: but i think there might be an argument To take
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: colorado in the, first five or if you think both
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: pitchers are going to kind of duel each, other here which,
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 2: might Happen maybe colorado can hang around in the. FIRST
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 2: five i would not back, their bullpen but you Could
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: take colorado on like the run line in the, first
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: five to stay within a half run in the. First
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: five they might be able to. Do that and they
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: do have the more, unfamiliar pitcher which might help a
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: little bit because At Least freddy peralta does at least
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: have a lot of game film, on him so there,
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: is That and colorado has, seen, Him actually colorado has
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: seen him a somewhat. Decent amount, so yeah those are my,
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: Thoughts there but first FIVE under i think makes the
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: Most sense Detroit. At, seattle detroit of course they sold
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: at the, trade Deadline in seattle, did Not so seattle
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: is they're trying to, win, Here man seattle still could win.
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: Their division that's what they're trying, to do trying to
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: get back to. THE playoffs I thought detroit might still go, for,
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: it MAN because i didn't think they were totally out.
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: Of it, but nope. They sold they Traded school ball
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: And miz so you got to Worry about detroit's mental
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: state for a little while here because it looked LIKE they,
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: I mean detroit's a team that is used to making,
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: the playoffs like they've made the playoffs a couple of,
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: times recently including, Last year i'm. Pretty sure and the
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: fact that they just gave these guys away when it
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 2: looked like they might be shooting for the division not too.
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: LONG ago i think that's Gonna have detroit in a
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: bad mental state for a little. While here seattle is
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: coming Off, beating minnesota they're staying. At home seattle going
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: to be trying. To WIN like, i said they're trying
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: to make. The playoffs detroit's been playing well even though
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 2: they traded their. Guys away they've won four of the,
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: last five but granted the last three were a sweep Against,
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: the A'S which i don't know if we put much
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: weight into that Because the a's have been playing. Really
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 2: bad detroit Coming into seattle From, northern california which isn't,
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: too bad but we don't Know who detroit is starting
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: as their starting. Pitcher Here troy melton would be the next,
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: guy Up and melton has been pitching Well for detroit
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: and they did not trade. Him away they hung on
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: to him because he's a pretty talented. Young pitcher but
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: it Looks like melton is pitching. Tomorrow instead he's listed as.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: The Matchup heard MELTON. AGAINST wu i might come in
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: and put in give out an under in, that game
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: and maybe that's A maybe i'm jumping the gun. ON
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: that i haven't really dug into that, matchup yet, BUT
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: yeah i might give out an under in that. Game tomorrow.
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: We'll see but, this game we have no Idea who
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: detroit is. Starting here it's gonna be maybe a, bullpen
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: game or they might call, somebody up but we have
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: no way of really Knowing what detroit is. Doing here
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: so that makes this game pretty difficult. To handicap seattle's
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: gonna be Going With. Emerson hancock he's been decent three
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: point TWO six era at one point zero. Four whip
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: the advanced analytics guys aren't huge fans, of him even
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: though his whip is. Pretty good he's been good at
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: home two point nine to THREE home ra with a
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: one ninety four opponent a, Batting average, so yeah he's
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: pitching well in the pitcher friendly tea mobile stadium or
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: whatever the hell it. Is here he's been good recently.
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: As well hancock looks pretty good. RIGHT now i don't
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: really see too many THINGS that i don't like about what.
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: He's doing he's got a low, hit rate low. Walk
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: rate his strike up rate isn't really that, Bad EITHER
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: so i don't know what the advanced analytics guys. ARE
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: seeing i guess when they look At His baseball savant
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: and stat cast, and whatever it doesn't look. THAT good i,
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: don't know but his numbers really look pretty good to
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 2: me across. THE board I still i Didn't want there
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: were rumors That The red sox might be trying to
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: get him Or Get. GEORGE kirby i didn't really like.
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: THE idea i really Didn't. WANT kirby I. MEAN kirby
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: i think he's kind of a product Of the mariners
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: home stadium and. His numbers he's been too hittable. To
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 2: me i'd Rather. Have handcock, BUT again i worry about
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: if any other team is going to Get these. SEATTLE
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: pitchers i WORRY because i think their numbers get skewed
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: towards being better than they actually are by pitching in.
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: The STADIUM and I Know luis castillo got traded and
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: he's been worse this season than you would expect. From
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 2: HIM so i don't know who. GOT him i forget
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 2: somebody went and they Picked. UP castillo i can't remember
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 2: who it. Was, Though anyway Hancock against i'm looking at
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: the wrong, Team, here hancock who are you talking? ABOUT
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: here i Already. Forget detroit they only have five at bats.
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: Against him they have four hits, against him so they've
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: definitely done Damage. Against hancock it's a very small sample
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: those six hitters have, faced Him But riley green as a,
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 2: home run they have, one walk, no strikeouts eight hundred
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: average and twenty four point thirty three. Oh ps that's,
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: not good but it's such a small, SAMPLE size i
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 2: wouldn't weigh that. Too heavily hancock may actually very well
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 2: come out and pitch. Fairly. Well here seattle. Is favored
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 2: they're at minus one, thirty SOMETHING so, i mean they
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: have To be hancock against Potentially unmotivated, detroit team but
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: we don't even know who their starter is. Gonna be
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: seattle's got seventy percent, of tickets seventy six percent of
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: cash on them at about minus one. THIRTY something I
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: don't i don't love it really Back in, seattle here
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: even though they should have the, extra Motivation but detroit
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 2: no idea who. They're starting the totals at seven and
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 2: a half, or eight it's just a difficult game to. Figure,
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 2: out man the money is strongly backing the. UNDER here
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: i kind of disagree with that Too him and at
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 2: least if you want to put any weight into that
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 2: small sample Size, with hancock he doesn't pitch, that well
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: and who Knows what detroit is doing in. This GAME
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 2: so i don't really KNOW if i love the, under
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: there even THOUGH when i first looked at It and, i'm,
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: Like oh hancock's. Pretty Good maybe detroit's gonna be going
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 2: with some. Decent pitching and the one other thing is
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: these are not. GOOD offenses i forgot to go into the,
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: stats here so that is some indicator maybe towards an.
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 2: Under here, detroit's ELEVENTH but i still don't think they're
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: that good of. An offense seattle's really struggled at. Twenty
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: seven the, Bullpen wise seattle is the. Better bullpen they're
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: Twelfth and detroit. Is seventeenth so just to keep all that,
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: in mind the bullpen's are. All right, BUT yeah i.
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: Don't know that game really. CONFUSES me i don't even
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: want to give out a leen. ON it i don't
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: have a good opinion on that game. At All And
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: San Diego, arizona arizona despite being in return home. Spot,
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: one ANYWAY yesterday i told, You Man, brandon fott he
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 2: was good. Again, YESTERDAY yeah i mean he's been really
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 2: good since coming back from. The Miners so arizona got
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: that win there and they might win again HERE because
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 2: i think they have a starting pitching edge in. This
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: Game san diego did make some of, those trades so
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 2: they're trying to do something here in the stretch. RUN here,
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: i mean they're a winning team. Right now they're definitely
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: in the wildcard. Hunt here both these, teams are so
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 2: these teams are both gonna show. Up here, PROBLEM is
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: I Think san diego is at a big starting pitching.
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: DISADVANTAGE here i do think they have the. Better bullpen
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: these three, Guys yesterday arizona. Use Two so arizona's bullpen has,
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: decently rested but their era is not really. That good
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 2: they're ranked sixth in The bullpen whip departmentber their eray
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: is not. That Good san, diego's eighth but they have
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: a much, Better ERAY so I Think san diego is
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: the better. Bullpen Here san diego's offense has. Had issues they're,
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: Twenty sixth arizona's, twenty second tied With, the phillies so
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: neither offense has done. That Well but arizona, to me
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 2: looks like they have a big starting. PITCHING advantage a
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: lot of It Because randy vazquez is Pitching For san
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 2: diego here and he's, not Good and i'd just be
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: aware that they might put an opener in front, of
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: him because they've been doing that. A lot they've had
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: him come in later in games and stuff, like that
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: so he might Not, be yeah he might not pitch the,
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: first inning you KNOW what, I mean so just be
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: aware of that if you're gonna play. THIS game i
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: would Pick e rod must Start, for arizona but don't
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: pick a Starter For san diego because it'll It'll be
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 2: vazquez at some point in, this game but it might
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 2: be after. An opener and he's not very good four point,
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 2: four five one point four to, seven whip although for,
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: whatever reason he's a little bit better on the road
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: three point nine to nine, roady array but his opponent
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 2: batting average is terrible both home, And away so his
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: era doesn't even tell. The, story like he's way more
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: hittable than his era makes him. Even look so he's
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: worse than his. Ra suggests he's, not good and he's
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: had issues with walks in his. Past too he's not
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: going deep into any of, his OUTINGS so i don't
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: really expect him to go that, deep pier although he
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: was doing it earlier in. The season he's got a
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: really high hit, rate THOUGH like, i said he's kind
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: of fixed his walk issues. A bit his walk rate's,
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: gonne down but he's Sacrificed hit ability's just become way
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: too hittable and his strike out rate. Is bad he
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 2: doesn't strike, guys OUT so i Don't. Like vasquez the
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: advanced analytics guys Don't. Like vasquez he doesn't have good
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 2: Numbers against. Arizona either in forty six, at BATS three h,
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: four average eight EIGHTY, five ops five to six strike out.
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: Walk ratio none of that. Is GOOD so i Don't
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: think vasquez is gonna do well here e Rod for
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 2: arizona Here At dwater rodriguez surprisingly good season. From him
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: the advanced analytics guys don't like, him either because he
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 2: doesn't strike, anybody out but he's putting fewer guys on
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: base two point four TO. EIGHTY ra i think that.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: IS misleading i think he probably should HAVE an era
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: in the threes the way he's pitched. This year but
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: one point two to one whip is still not. That
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: bad he's been pretty good both home. And away he's
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 2: been a little bit better at home with a two
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: fourteen upon a batting average, at home so he's pitching well.
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: At home pitched really well last time Out, against pittsburgh
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: shut them out for eight innings on. The road that
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 2: is not easy. To do that's a, good lineup Especially,
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 2: in pittsburgh and he shut, them down although he didn't
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: strike anybody, out really and that's been the one concern.
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: With him he's. Pitching well he's got a low hit.
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: Rate here his walk rate's not too, bad either but
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: his strikeout rate is. Really low he just doesn't strike
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: guys out anymore because he's getting a little bit up
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 2: there in age and he's dealt with injuries more recently
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 2: in his career. And whatever but he's having an effective. Season.
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 2: Anyway man just the strikeouts, aren't there but he's still,
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 2: doing well and at this point maybe it's not. A mirage,
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 2: i mean we're pretty late into the. Season Here san
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: diego is not a. Great offense they have kind of
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: mediocre numbers, against, them though and one hundred of bats two,
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 2: fifty average seven to fifty six, oh ps twenty one
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 2: to eight strike a, walk Ratio so erod has not
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: been that Good Against. San DIEGO but i still Think
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: probably arizona first five would be my. LEAN here i
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 2: think the money is Agreeing with, arizona here eighty one percent,
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety four percent of the cash. On them
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: they've actually dropped from minus one thirty down to like
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty. Or So here vazquez is listed as
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 2: the Starter For, san diego BUT again i would Probably
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 2: pick erod, must start and don't pick a Starter For
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: san DIEGO because i don't think it's gonna be anybody
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 2: that good unless they surprise everybody in last minute decide
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 2: to switch to one of the guys they, picked UP
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: but i don't think that's. Gonna, Happen uh so you're
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: Gonna get arizona at a pretty short, price here although
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: it'll be a bit bigger in the, first five probably
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 2: Because e rod everybody kind of knows he's gonna be the,
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 2: bigger ADVANTAGE and i don't really want to Deal with
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 2: arizona's bullpen going Up Against san. Diego's bullpen, SO yeah
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 2: i think First five arizona probably you'll be looking at
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 2: about minus one thirty or so on that that might
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: be the way to look. At that and that is baseball,
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 2: for today. Long. Show today we do HAVE one wnba.
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: Game here it's a Late game Toronto At. Golden State
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 2: but toronto's already Out In golden state because these two
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: teams just played, each OTHER and i think this is a,
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: zigzag SPOT so i would lean towards taking the Points.
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 2: With toronto here the line is about the same as
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: it was in the. Other game they just played two
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 2: days Ago, on Sunday And golden state won. Pretty easily
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 2: they won. By seventeen they're probably not Gonna take toronto seriously.
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: After that they just. Beat them they already beat them
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: on the road a little while, ago too and they
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: have a bigger game on Deck Against Dallas west coast
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 2: game or Excuse A West western, conference game, excuse me
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 2: against one of the. Better Teams So, golden, state, yeah
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: again probably Won't take toronto. That seriously toronto might have
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: the adjustments. To make here the line is like thirteen and,
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 2: a half and that's about what it was in the.
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 2: OTHER game i have some issues. WITH it, I mean
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 2: toronto's obviously not a very. Good Team golden state's the way.
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: Better team but that's why they're laying a lot of. Points.
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: Here Now golden state they're good at home, as well
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: and they're in the. Better conference so that does worry
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: me a. Little Bit That golden state's very good at
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: home and again especially in the, first half and, they're
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 2: yeah in the. Better conference that. Worries me a little
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 2: bit if you dig into this. Matchup here not Only
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 2: Did golden state win pretty EASILY and i think They'll
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: overlook toronto here and probably look Ahead, to dallas but
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 2: there are some zigzag components to this as well if
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: you look. Into it the three point percentage was just
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 2: a major outlier in. This game toronto only shot twenty,
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 2: Three Percent golden state forty. Eight Percent golden state hit
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 2: twice as. Many threes they were plus twenty one from three,
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 2: point range fourteen to seven from the, Three department so
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: that was the one major outlier in. The game everything
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 2: else was not much of. An outlier but one other
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: thing that is a little bit of a red Flag
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 2: For golden State is toronto actually won the rebound battle.
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 2: By eight so that's a decent Indicator for toronto that
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 2: they were winning the game in the paint to some,
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: extent there and both teams went to the free throw
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 2: line about the. Same amount but the big outlier Definitely
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 2: Was golden state hitting way too, many threes which they're
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: probably not gonna, do again plus twenty one from the three,
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: point range and that was the difference in. The game
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: they won. By seventeen that plus the spot probably being
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: an overlook. SPOT here I like toronto in. This one
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 2: that's THE way i would. Play this it's, YOU know i.
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 2: Don't know. I'm considering it's close to making the cut.
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: FOR me i DON'T think i totally want to. Do
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 2: it but it is a situation where you get a. Low,
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: Total Here golden state is, you know a more of a.
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: DEFENSIVE team i would say one sixty eight and a
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: half one. Sixty nine it's a. Low total so taking all,
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: those points it's a little. Bit better taking all. Those
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: points when you have a low total, like that you're
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: looking at about thirteen now or twelve and. A half
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 2: but there's not much of a difference between that and
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 2: thirteen and. A half, i know maybe you're getting like
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: one point less value than you were in the. Last,
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 2: game uh seventy five percent take us ninety two percent
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 2: of the Cash. On toronto, BUT yes I like toronto in.
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 2: The game you, know what? Hold ON am i gonna add?
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 2: Another play and is it gonna be another loser In
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: the IN, THE wnba I know i did it the
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: other day and we took. A loss i think we're
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 2: still up by like two games IN, the wnba, right
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: now it hasn't been. That great but let, me see
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 2: can we get a thirteen and a half still? On,
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: this no it looks. Like thirteen it's basically what you
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: can get on this, right now you, Know, what, yeah
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 2: whatever let's. Do it let's ADD a. WNBA play i
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 2: don't want to, regret, it MAN but i kind of.
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 2: Like it we have the outlier going for us with
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: a three point percentage of the rebound battle was Won. By.
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: TORONTO there i know How Good golden state is, at home,
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 2: BUT yeah i think it's a bad Spot For. Golden.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: State toronto by, the way they've now adjusted To the pacific,
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: time ZONES which i think they were not out there prior,
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 2: to that right let, Me, See yeah toronto was at
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 2: home prior. To that so that was the other thing
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 2: that kind of got to them is they were going
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 2: out To the pacific coast for that. First game so,
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 2: YOU know i talk about that when they're having to
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 2: adjust to that, time zone and let me see if
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 2: it was a late night, game two which might have.
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: Affected them so now they're already out there and they're
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 2: staying in the same, venue now so that's gonna help them.
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 2: As well here let. Me, see yeah it was an
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 2: EIGHT thirty, pm games so it was not, late late
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: but it was still kind of a. Late game so you,
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 2: know what let's. Do it Let's take toronto plus thirteen IN,
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 2: the wnba and that'll do it for my, plays today
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 2: which are one. More, time Unfortunately The white sox money
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 2: line in the, first five we're. Gonna Go and i'm
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: gonna be really pissed If The red sox win the
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 2: first five and then lose. The game, IT'S unlikely, i
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 2: Think but i'll be pissed if, that, happens obviously because
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 2: that'll be the worst of every possible scenario. For me
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: we're also on the Under In pittsburgh milwaukee AND. Then
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: wnba i'm deciding to. Do it We'll take toronto plus
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 2: the points IN. The wnba em will Zigzag Against. Golden.
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 2: State there that's gonna. Do it learn it Tone, On
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: twitter learn it Tone. On instagram like subscribe to the
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: channel here you get notified football's. Coming, up man the
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 2: first preseason Game. Is thursday i'm not gonna. Give IT
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 2: i'm i Don't think i'm gonna be giving out any.
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 2: PRESEASON games i DON'T think i ever. Have before unless
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: there's some SITUATION that i really, really LIKE but i
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: don't Know that i've ever given. Out one but, we'll
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 2: see but it would. Be exciting i'll do some more.
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 2: Previews stuff i'll SEE if i Can Get clint On
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: for bald to see what he thinks About, his chargers
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 2: who are NOW The. La chargers that's his team because
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: He's From. San diego what ELSE is i gonna? PROMOTE
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 2: here i. Don't know listen On, Audio apple spotify speaker
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 2: that helps me out. As Well here covered in you
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE my uk cover channel on YouTube with some originals
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 2: to so check, That out padron, Dot com slash learn
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 2: to toe you want to support me. That way loser
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 2: casts will be back tonight with a. NEW episode I
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 2: think i've narrowed it down to like two picks For,
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: my Loser so i'm gonna pick one of. The two.
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: IT'LL be i think it'll be a, good SHOW and
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 2: i think we have another, guest ON but i Don't
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 2: know lighton is in charge of, doing THAT so i
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: don't know what's going on. With that, and Uh The
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 2: New york giants g spot podcast almost forgot. About that
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 2: that should be back at some point that's gonna. Do
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 2: it have A.
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: Good.
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: Tuesday peace.
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: If the doc, starts talking hand me, the phone, that's
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: somebody and so that. Somebody know you do not have
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: to lose. This Round, hold on hold on nothing, not now,
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: hold on, hold on let. Me pull you, are bad
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: bad luck, by time but it don't get. The Crown,
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: hold on, hold on stay, with, me now, hold on,
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: Hold on you're still here now