Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - The FED Just Did the UNTHINKABLE (Global Monetary Reset Starts Now) + Stock Market News 04 August 2026

Transcript

Felix Prehn - The FED Just Did the UNTHINKABLE (Global Monetary Reset Starts Now) + Stock Market News 04 August 2026 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:00
  SPEAKER_00: The Federal Reserve just did something it has never done before in its 113-year history.
• 0:06
  SPEAKER_00: It opened its emergency dollar facility, the one built for American banks, to a foreign government.
• 0:14
  SPEAKER_00: Japan can now walk up to a window at the Federal Reserve, hand over a bunch of US treasuries, and walk out with fresh American cash.
• 0:24
  SPEAKER_00: No questions, no selling, no crashing the precious American bond market on the way out.
• 0:30
  SPEAKER_00: And Treasury Secretary Bessant didn't just allow it.
• 0:33
  SPEAKER_00: He said he wants to make it bigger.
• 0:36
  SPEAKER_00: Now, if you watched my last video, and even if you didn't, but I made one about the Yen intervention that more than half a million of you have already watched.
• 0:44
  SPEAKER_00: You know the machine, you know the carry trade and the trillion dollars that vanished in 40 minutes on Friday.
• 0:51
  SPEAKER_00: And this is the next chapter.
• 0:53
  SPEAKER_00: This is America's answer.
• 0:55
  SPEAKER_00: And when you understand what they just built, you understand why it changes how your money moves from now on and how money moves around the world, and why it matters for two very specific stocks.
• 1:07
  SPEAKER_00: I'm going to buy today.
• 1:09
  SPEAKER_00: And I'm going to tell you what those are.
• 1:10
  SPEAKER_00: Both of them just broke out above the exact lines that Wall Street watches most closely.
• 1:15
  SPEAKER_00: And one of them is, well, the market's literally going to pay you to own it.
• 1:19
  SPEAKER_00: So stick around to the end because the second one is a special situation trade.
• 1:24
  SPEAKER_00: It's the kind of trade that I used to find when I was an investment banker, and the kind of trade that most people on YouTube will never ever show you.
• 1:31
  SPEAKER_00: Now, before I go any further, because this is kind of information dense, I get it.
• 1:35
  SPEAKER_00: This is not what we normally talk about, right?
• 1:37
  SPEAKER_00: There'll be charts, there'll be numbers, there'll be feds and all sorts of things.
• 1:42
  SPEAKER_00: I've put together a full free companion research report for you.
• 1:47
  SPEAKER_00: Covers everything in this video and much more.
• 1:49
  SPEAKER_00: And you can download it for free at felixfriends.org slash fedreset.
• 1:53
  SPEAKER_00: Felixfriends.org slash fed reset.
• 1:55
  SPEAKER_00: The link is down below.
• 1:56
  SPEAKER_00: Completely free, zero obligations.
• 1:58
  SPEAKER_00: Now, if you're wondering who the heck I am, my name is Felix.
• 2:00
  SPEAKER_00: I'm an ex-invest in banker.
• 2:02
  SPEAKER_00: That sleepy chap down here is Winston.
• 2:04
  SPEAKER_00: And he obviously did all the hard work and research around this one.
• 2:08
  SPEAKER_00: Um, we're also the founders of the GOAT Academy, where my retired Wall Street mentors have taught tens of thousands of regular investors the same institutional strategies that are normally only taught behind closed doors on those trading floors, the very same rules I'm applying to those two stocks I'm going to show you today.
• 2:24
  SPEAKER_00: So, what does it mean that the Fed just opened the vault door to a foreign government?
• 2:28
  SPEAKER_00: Very unusual.
• 2:29
  SPEAKER_00: Well, before I show you the machine and before I show you the two stocks, I need to say something that made me make this video because it actually makes me kind of angry what's going on.
• 2:39
  SPEAKER_00: You see, what happens every time the Fed does something like this?
• 2:43
  SPEAKER_00: Every single time, the professionals, my friends in the hedge funds, institution of desk, and so on, the people who already know how to read the signals, they read the signals, they position right, they make money, right?
• 2:55
  SPEAKER_00: That's their job.
• 2:56
  SPEAKER_00: But the beginners, most of you, the regular people, well, they call them exit liquidity.
• 3:02
  SPEAKER_00: They're the ones the smart money sells into when the trade is done.
• 3:07
  SPEAKER_00: And that is the design of the system.
• 3:10
  SPEAKER_00: And it's the most expensive version of that story that keeps me up at night.
• 3:14
  SPEAKER_00: It's the person, and maybe that's you or someone you know who spent, you know, 20 years being careful, saving, doing the right thing.
• 3:22
  SPEAKER_00: And then one week, one event they didn't understand, it knocks them out.
• 3:27
  SPEAKER_00: And they quit the market forever.
• 3:29
  SPEAKER_00: And that's the single most expensive mistake a person can make with their money.
• 3:33
  SPEAKER_00: Not a bad stock pick, not a rough quarter.
• 3:35
  SPEAKER_00: It's actually quitting.
• 3:37
  SPEAKER_00: So here is what I did about it.
• 3:39
  SPEAKER_00: For the first time, I'm running a free live session built purely for beginners.
• 3:45
  SPEAKER_00: No jargon.
• 3:46
  SPEAKER_00: You know, I'm not going to be showing off anything fancy.
• 3:49
  SPEAKER_00: I'm just going to show you the real skills from the ground up.
• 3:52
  SPEAKER_00: And I'm going to show you how to read where the big money is actually moving, how to spot a stock that's breaking out above Wall Street lines, and how you can do that on your own so you don't have to watch my bloody videos all the time.
• 4:05
  SPEAKER_00: And honestly, if you can do that without depending on anybody else, then it's very, very different to me handing you two stocks today.
• 4:14
  SPEAKER_00: I'm not saying you should buy them, but I'm going to walk you through it.
• 4:16
  SPEAKER_00: Because if you can't read the money flow yourself, you would be dependent on the next guy with a microphone for the rest of your life.
• 4:25
  SPEAKER_00: And I don't want that for you.
• 4:27
  SPEAKER_00: So it's this Saturday.
• 4:28
  SPEAKER_00: It's at 9 a.m.
• 4:30
  SPEAKER_00: Eastern Time.
• 4:30
  SPEAKER_00: I think it's 1 a.m.
• 4:32
  SPEAKER_00: formerly Great Britain time.
• 4:34
  SPEAKER_00: And it's completely free.
• 4:35
  SPEAKER_00: No credit card, no cash.
• 4:37
  SPEAKER_00: Just go to fast trackforbeginners.com.
• 4:40
  SPEAKER_00: Link is in the description down below.
• 4:41
  SPEAKER_00: And if you're going to be there, write I want to learn in the comments right now.
• 4:45
  SPEAKER_00: So I know that you're going to be there.
• 4:48
  SPEAKER_00: And then come straight back to this because what I'm about to tell you is really important.
• 4:52
  SPEAKER_00: So let me tell you what just happened.
• 4:54
  SPEAKER_00: And I'm going to explain it the way I'd explain it to, you know, Winston, because that's sort of my golden rule, the golden retriever rule.
• 5:01
  SPEAKER_00: If you can't explain it simply, it means you don't understand it well enough to actually have any money in this.
• 5:06
  SPEAKER_00: So the Federal Reserve has a facility, think of it as a window, and it's called the FIMA repo facility.
• 5:14
  SPEAKER_00: And here is what it does: a foreign central bank, say the Bank of Japan, walks up to that window, it hands the Fed a stack of US Treasury bonds, which is government debt, as collateral.
• 5:26
  SPEAKER_00: And the Fed hands back fresh US dollars.
• 5:29
  SPEAKER_00: And a day or two later, they can reverse the trade.
• 5:32
  SPEAKER_00: Japan gets its treasuries back, the Fed gets its dollars back plus a little fee.
• 5:37
  SPEAKER_00: It's basically a pawn shop for central banks.
• 5:39
  SPEAKER_00: I think that's probably the best analogy I can come up with.
• 5:42
  SPEAKER_00: And there is a reason this matters.
• 5:44
  SPEAKER_00: Japan has been spending tens of billions of dollars defending its currency.
• 5:49
  SPEAKER_00: And where has that money been coming from?
• 5:52
  SPEAKER_00: Well, from selling US debt.
• 5:54
  SPEAKER_00: Japan is the largest foreign holder of US government debt.
• 5:58
  SPEAKER_00: And when they sell it to raise cash, it pushes interest rates up.
• 6:02
  SPEAKER_00: And bear with me, Anna, it's a little complex.
• 6:04
  SPEAKER_00: But it makes America's$40 trillion of debt pile more expensive to maintain.
• 6:11
  SPEAKER_00: So this new facility, this new window at the Fed gives Japan a different option.
• 6:17
  SPEAKER_00: Instead of selling the US debt and crashing the debt market, you pledge it, you pawn shop it, right?
• 6:24
  SPEAKER_00: So you get the dollars, you defend your currency, and you get your treasury, your debt back when you're done.
• 6:30
  SPEAKER_00: So there's no selling.
• 6:32
  SPEAKER_00: There is no rate spike.
• 6:33
  SPEAKER_00: There is no mess in the markets.
• 6:35
  SPEAKER_00: And the US Treasury Secretary, he said he wants to upsize it.
• 6:40
  SPEAKER_00: He wants to make this a bigger facility, more capacity, more money available.
• 6:44
  SPEAKER_00: Now, the part most people will miss is that the Fed built this facility in March 2020 during COVID.
• 6:51
  SPEAKER_00: It was supposed to be temporary, but they made it permanent in 2021.
• 6:56
  SPEAKER_00: The limit's about$60 billion per foreign bugger bank.
• 7:00
  SPEAKER_00: And the US now wants to raise that limit for Japan and maybe others.
• 7:04
  SPEAKER_00: And if you look at the headlines here, it says Japan's use of Fed repo may ease pressure rather on the treasury market.
• 7:13
  SPEAKER_00: So this is a Bloomberg article, and it tells you everything.
• 7:16
  SPEAKER_00: They're building a pressure release valve so Japan can defend its currency without destroying the US markets.
• 7:25
  SPEAKER_00: Now I used the word reset in the title, and I don't use that word lightly.
• 7:28
  SPEAKER_00: Let me tell you why.
• 7:30
  SPEAKER_00: For decades, the global financial system has run on a very simple assumption.
• 7:34
  SPEAKER_00: When a foreign country needs dollars, it sells US debt.
• 7:38
  SPEAKER_00: And that selling pushes interest rates up, it's messy, it's painful, it creates the kind of trillion dollar crash we saw on Friday.
• 7:45
  SPEAKER_00: So what the Fed just did is they built a different pipe.
• 7:50
  SPEAKER_00: A pipe where foreign governments can get dollars without selling, without disrupting the market, without triggering a chain reaction.
• 7:57
  SPEAKER_00: And it is a fundamental change in how the plumbing of the global monetary system works.
• 8:03
  SPEAKER_00: And when you change the plumbing, you change where the money flows.
• 8:06
  SPEAKER_00: Think about it from the Fed's perspective.
• 8:08
  SPEAKER_00: They get essentially collateral.
• 8:11
  SPEAKER_00: Like you buy a house, right?
• 8:12
  SPEAKER_00: The bank has your title deeds.
• 8:14
  SPEAKER_00: It's collateral.
• 8:15
  SPEAKER_00: In this case, they get US debt.
• 8:17
  SPEAKER_00: It's the safest asset on earth, allegedly.
• 8:19
  SPEAKER_00: They have zero credit risk.
• 8:21
  SPEAKER_00: They have zero currency risk because they print the dollar, and they charge a little bit of money to Japan.
• 8:26
  SPEAKER_00: So the Fed gets paid, it takes no risk, and it prevents a bond market crash.
• 8:31
  SPEAKER_00: Japan gets its dollars without a file cell, everybody wins.
• 8:34
  SPEAKER_00: Except not everybody wins.
• 8:36
  SPEAKER_00: The people making bets against the yen, well, they lose because this facility takes away the chaos they profit from.
• 8:43
  SPEAKER_00: And that's a reset.
• 8:44
  SPEAKER_00: The Fed is quietly building a system where central banks cooperate instead of crash.
• 8:51
  SPEAKER_00: And the people who don't understand this, they're going to keep trading the old playbook in a very, very different, very new world.
• 8:58
  SPEAKER_00: And this has actually already happened.
• 9:00
  SPEAKER_00: And I thought about this this morning and I double-checked it, and it's true.
• 9:04
  SPEAKER_00: In March 2023, one of the largest banks in the world called Credit Suisse, it was collapsed.
• 9:11
  SPEAKER_00: The Swiss government was scrambling to save it.
• 9:14
  SPEAKER_00: And the Federal Reserve, along with the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank, issued a joint statement.
• 9:26
  SPEAKER_00: Got it on the screen here for you.
• 9:28
  SPEAKER_00: Coordinated central bank action to enhance the provision of US dollar liquidity.
• 9:33
  SPEAKER_00: Sounds kind of boring, right?
• 9:35
  SPEAKER_00: But they moved.
• 9:36
  SPEAKER_00: Now what does that actually mean?
• 9:38
  SPEAKER_00: Well, that same weekend, the Swiss government forced Credit Suisse into a shotgun marriage with UBS.
• 9:44
  SPEAKER_00: The US had sent a couple of billion dollars in that direction to prevent the collapse.
• 9:49
  SPEAKER_00: So the pattern I want you to see when something breaks, when a foreign financial system is under stress and the Fed opens up the dollar taps, in 2023, it was a slightly different instrument.
• 10:02
  SPEAKER_00: They called it swap lines, sort of similar thing.
• 10:05
  SPEAKER_00: Essentially, you get money.
• 10:07
  SPEAKER_00: In 2026, it's the FIMA repo, slightly different tool, but same outcome.
• 10:12
  SPEAKER_00: When the Fed starts pumping dollars to a foreign government on an emergency timeline, something is cracking.
• 10:19
  SPEAKER_00: And they're trying to keep it from spread.
• 10:22
  SPEAKER_00: The question is, do you know how to position yourself when the cracks appear?
• 10:26
  SPEAKER_00: Because the pros do, the guys on Wall Street do, the guys in Chicago do, right?
• 10:31
  SPEAKER_00: They've seen this movie before.
• 10:32
  SPEAKER_00: So fascinating history lesson, all that, but what do you actually do about this, right?
• 10:36
  SPEAKER_00: Well, here's the single most important thing I can tell you.
• 10:38
  SPEAKER_00: Do not sit in cash and wait.
• 10:41
  SPEAKER_00: Every time the Fed opens a new pipe, every time they invent a new facility to pump money into the system, what happens?
• 10:48
  SPEAKER_00: Asset prices go up.
• 10:50
  SPEAKER_00: Not because the companies are suddenly worth more, because there are more dollars chasing them.
• 10:55
  SPEAKER_00: Cash is the thing that gets quietly diluted.
• 10:58
  SPEAKER_00: It's the ice cube on the warm counter in the summer.
• 11:01
  SPEAKER_00: And it looks safe, it feels safe, but it just disappears, it melts.
• 11:06
  SPEAKER_00: So what do you do instead?
• 11:07
  SPEAKER_00: Well, you follow the money.
• 11:09
  SPEAKER_00: You look for where institutional money is actually going.
• 11:13
  SPEAKER_00: I'm going to teach you that on Saturday if you join me.
• 11:15
  SPEAKER_00: Link is down below in the description.
• 11:17
  SPEAKER_00: And it's very simple.
• 11:18
  SPEAKER_00: There are a couple of lines literally we watch.
• 11:20
  SPEAKER_00: It's bizarrely simple.
• 11:21
  SPEAKER_00: And this brings me to two stocks I'm going to buy today for real.
• 11:26
  SPEAKER_00: Doesn't mean you should.
• 11:27
  SPEAKER_00: In fact, I'm not a financial advisor.
• 11:29
  SPEAKER_00: I'm not registered for anything.
• 11:30
  SPEAKER_00: I'm not giving you advice.
• 11:31
  SPEAKER_00: I'm also probably not going to tell you when I'm going to sell it because I don't make a video every single day and it'd be tedious and I might forget.
• 11:37
  SPEAKER_00: So if you ever buy something, A, it's your responsibility.
• 11:41
  SPEAKER_00: And B, before you buy it, you need to know where you're going to sell it.
• 11:43
  SPEAKER_00: That's the basic rule on Wall Street.
• 11:45
  SPEAKER_00: So you've got to think that through.
• 11:47
  SPEAKER_00: Don't know what that rule should be.
• 11:48
  SPEAKER_00: Again, join me on Saturday, I'll teach you for free for two hours.
• 11:51
  SPEAKER_00: Now my first name is Google.
• 11:53
  SPEAKER_00: And you're thinking, boring! Felix, everybody knows Google.
• 11:57
  SPEAKER_00: And yes, you're right.
• 11:57
  SPEAKER_00: Everybody knows Google.
• 11:59
  SPEAKER_00: Almost nobody knows this, though, about it right now.
• 12:02
  SPEAKER_00: Google is trading at a price to earnings ratio, so price to how many profits they're making of 19.
• 12:11
  SPEAKER_00: It's its cheapest valuation in seven years.
• 12:14
  SPEAKER_00: And what does that mean?
• 12:16
  SPEAKER_00: Well, what's happened over the last seven years to Google?
• 12:18
  SPEAKER_00: Google Cloud has gone from a money-losing side project to doing 12 billion a quarter.
• 12:22
  SPEAKER_00: I don't really care about revenue growth all that much, but you can see very clearly here on the Winston App chart, it's increasing every single quarter.
• 12:30
  SPEAKER_00: 80% year over year.
• 12:32
  SPEAKER_00: Cloud backlog is$500 billion, if you believe that or not.
• 12:36
  SPEAKER_00: Anyway, well, it's a few hundred billions between friends.
• 12:39
  SPEAKER_00: They just signed a$15 billion deal to build the data center, a data center in Texas for Anthropic, one of the most important AI companies in the world.
• 12:48
  SPEAKER_00: And that deal, it reframes every dollar Google spends on AI, because it's no longer speculative spending.
• 12:55
  SPEAKER_00: It's sort of pre-sold demand.
• 12:56
  SPEAKER_00: Like they already got a customer.
• 12:58
  SPEAKER_00: They even paid dividends, they have more cash than they know what to do with.
• 13:01
  SPEAKER_00: Cash flow is tremendous, except for the stuff that they're burning on AI, but that's a different story.
• 13:06
  SPEAKER_00: But let me show you the chart here.
• 13:08
  SPEAKER_00: And I I uh took a screenshot of a trade vision chart in here.
• 13:13
  SPEAKER_00: And what has it just done?
• 13:14
  SPEAKER_00: Well, there are three lines on this chart here: this one, that one, and the yellow one.
• 13:18
  SPEAKER_00: And it's just taken out all three of them, bounced off the one at the bottom here, which is important.
• 13:22
  SPEAKER_00: They're gonna go into more detail on that on Saturday, and it's taken out the resistance zones here.
• 13:27
  SPEAKER_00: That's exactly what I was waiting for, right?
• 13:29
  SPEAKER_00: Uh yes, we all heard Buffett bought it and so on, but I don't buy something because Buffett buys it, because the man's got a slightly different risk profile than me.
• 13:36
  SPEAKER_00: He's got 350 billion.
• 13:37
  SPEAKER_00: And by the way, he doesn't hold any cash.
• 13:39
  SPEAKER_00: He holds T-bills, very different.
• 13:41
  SPEAKER_00: They pay him about 5% interest.
• 13:44
  SPEAKER_00: So that man is not sitting in cash, he's not a retard.
• 13:47
  SPEAKER_00: Uh but yes, 14% bounce here, and I'm liking that bounce.
• 13:50
  SPEAKER_00: It takes a lot of my risk away the way I see it.
• 13:53
  SPEAKER_00: And yes, there is going to be one more here at the top, and that's gonna be one to watch, and we might well hit our head again, sort of go a little bit sideways and eventually break through it.
• 14:00
  SPEAKER_00: Why do I say eventually break through it?
• 14:02
  SPEAKER_00: I haven't got a crystal ball.
• 14:04
  SPEAKER_00: But I'm looking at a company that even if they get and waste a lot of the AI spent, is generating so much cash.
• 14:11
  SPEAKER_00: And in my humble opinion, it's just winning the AI race.
• 14:16
  SPEAKER_00: It isn't getting killed by it.
• 14:18
  SPEAKER_00: Why?
• 14:18
  SPEAKER_00: Because I can type into Google who is Winston and Felix, and there it goes.
• 14:25
  SPEAKER_00: So why on earth would somebody pay for Chat GPT or Anthropic or something if you just get AI faster than any of the other AIs already in the browser you're already using, right?
• 14:36
  SPEAKER_00: So therefore, someone's literally called Winston Felix and he's a former financial advisor.
• 14:41
  SPEAKER_00: That's funny.
• 14:42
  SPEAKER_00: Um, all right, a tough SEO game for this guy.
• 14:45
  SPEAKER_00: Uh so that's stock number one.
• 14:48
  SPEAKER_00: And I'm not telling you to buy it.
• 14:50
  SPEAKER_00: You have to come to your own conclusion on that one.
• 14:52
  SPEAKER_00: I just want to be transparent with you and share something with you because a lot of people are like, well, what the heck do we do?
• 14:56
  SPEAKER_00: Don't do what I'm doing because I'm doing it.
• 14:58
  SPEAKER_00: But think about there is this an opportunity, right?
• 15:01
  SPEAKER_00: Now, stock number two is one I'm really excited about.
• 15:04
  SPEAKER_00: And I have to be honest, it's the kind of stuff that I used to do for a living when I was a banker.
• 15:09
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, we looked at merger app, which is a very fancy term for uh you look at companies that are essentially trading below the amount of cash they have and the their physical value, and then someone's gonna come along and buy it, usually because it's just silly that it's that cheap.
• 15:28
  SPEAKER_00: Um, and the company is called ZIB, Z-I-M.
• 15:32
  SPEAKER_00: Now, I told you about Zim back in May 2025.
• 15:37
  SPEAKER_00: It was trading at$17.91 at the time, or actually a little bit below that, I think.
• 15:43
  SPEAKER_00: That's actually probably the price I bought it at.
• 15:46
  SPEAKER_00: Um, and you can check out the video and go back and see that it's true.
• 15:51
  SPEAKER_00: Now, it went up 45% since, which is nice.
• 15:55
  SPEAKER_00: And then on top of that, it's paid a 30% dividend to hold us.
• 16:00
  SPEAKER_00: So the whole thing is up something like 74% in 14 months, and it's a shipping stock most people have never ever heard of.
• 16:08
  SPEAKER_00: But here's the thing I think the story is actually better now than it was back then.
• 16:13
  SPEAKER_00: And let me explain why this is a special situation.
• 16:17
  SPEAKER_00: Now, first of all, you might be wondering why the heck are you looking at Zim?
• 16:20
  SPEAKER_00: All right, let me show you that.
• 16:21
  SPEAKER_00: So in the Winston app, and I just built this in, I built it for myself, and then I release these things to you guys once I know it works.
• 16:27
  SPEAKER_00: If you go into the Winston app and enter stocks, you can click on deep value.
• 16:32
  SPEAKER_00: And deep value is exactly what it says on the tin.
• 16:35
  SPEAKER_00: These are companies whose cash and investments are worth 90% of the entire market value.
• 16:43
  SPEAKER_00: So the market is saying 90% of you is cash, essentially.
• 16:50
  SPEAKER_00: And we are only saying that your business is worth an extra 10%, which is an extraordinarily low number.
• 16:56
  SPEAKER_00: And of course, you can filter that to sectors and countries and so on.
• 17:00
  SPEAKER_00: In this case, it gives you 263 of those deep value stocks.
• 17:04
  SPEAKER_00: Um, you can filter some more, and what I actually did is I looked at those with cash flow.
• 17:10
  SPEAKER_00: So companies that are actually generating some cash.
• 17:13
  SPEAKER_00: And now you've got 15.
• 17:14
  SPEAKER_00: And there she goes, Zim is at the very top of our list.
• 17:17
  SPEAKER_00: I'll put an entire 30-day free trial for you guys, so the win snap down below in the description as well, so you can play around with it uh risk-free.
• 17:25
  SPEAKER_00: And if you don't like it, just cancel it on day 29.
• 17:27
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, and that way, you know, it it is a free experience.
• 17:31
  SPEAKER_00: And yeah, essentially, we look for negative enterprise value.
• 17:34
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, and it kind of means you get paid to own it.
• 17:36
  SPEAKER_00: Now, there is a bit more to this.
• 17:39
  SPEAKER_00: Hapagloid, one of the largest shipping companies in the world, which is from my hometown of Hamburg, they made an offer for Zim at$35 cash.
• 17:50
  SPEAKER_00: So remember that number,$35 cash trading at 26 right now.
• 17:55
  SPEAKER_00: Now, that therefore means 35% upside, right?
• 18:00
  SPEAKER_00: So if the deal goes through, you just get cash.
• 18:04
  SPEAKER_00: But the deal of as of right now is considered kind of dead.
• 18:09
  SPEAKER_00: The Israeli government is an Israeli company, they hold a golden share in Zim, and there is political opposition to a foreign German takeover.
• 18:20
  SPEAKER_00: So the market is pricing Zim as if the deal is dead.
• 18:25
  SPEAKER_00: And that is exactly the kind of setup that I used to hunt for.
• 18:29
  SPEAKER_00: Because let me show you what Zim looks like without the deal.
• 18:33
  SPEAKER_00: Zim's market cap is three billion dollars.
• 18:35
  SPEAKER_00: So all the shares on the stock market are worth three billion dollars together.
• 18:39
  SPEAKER_00: They have 2.6 billion in cash, right?
• 18:42
  SPEAKER_00: In cash, plus they have about 600 billion this year from the business already generated this year.
• 18:53
  SPEAKER_00: So when you subtract the cash from the market cap, which is how professionals value a business, you come to a number that we call enterprise value.
• 19:05
  SPEAKER_00: So 3 billion minus 2.6 minus 600, we have a negative enterprise value.
• 19:12
  SPEAKER_00: So Zim's entire operating business, the ships, the routes, the customers, the contracts is valued at minus$200.
• 19:22
  SPEAKER_00: So you're basically being paid to own the fleet.
• 19:26
  SPEAKER_00: Now think about the asymmetry of that.
• 19:28
  SPEAKER_00: If the Hapakloid deal comes back to life because the Germans are back, you get$35, which is a 35% upside from here.
• 19:38
  SPEAKER_00: If the deal stays dead, you're in a company that is trading below its value, and it has the youngest and the most efficient container fleet in the industry, the highest sensitivity to freight rates changing.
• 19:54
  SPEAKER_00: And guess what?
• 19:56
  SPEAKER_00: Yes, your downside is protected by the cash and the earnings.
• 19:58
  SPEAKER_00: The upside is either you get bought out or you don't.
• 20:02
  SPEAKER_00: And if you look at the Zim stock chart here, yeah, so our first buy point was somewhere here, and then it went down.
• 20:09
  SPEAKER_00: Why did it go down?
• 20:11
  SPEAKER_00: Well, a lot of that gap was a 30% dividend.
• 20:14
  SPEAKER_00: So you have to understand these stocks.
• 20:16
  SPEAKER_00: They're a little bit more complex than buying the Google or an index fund.
• 20:20
  SPEAKER_00: And what are we seeing right now?
• 20:22
  SPEAKER_00: Well, we're actually consolidating here.
• 20:24
  SPEAKER_00: Now it's a little bit small, and we've just broken out of this little sideways pattern here that I like like to look at.
• 20:31
  SPEAKER_00: And it's to me one of those follow-the-money signals.
• 20:34
  SPEAKER_00: Doesn't mean you should buy it.
• 20:35
  SPEAKER_00: I'm not telling you to buy it.
• 20:36
  SPEAKER_00: I'm not going to tell you probably when I sell it.
• 20:38
  SPEAKER_00: I probably will sell it at some point.
• 20:40
  SPEAKER_00: But the macro tailwind is something that also I wouldn't ignore.
• 20:44
  SPEAKER_00: And let me show you the macro.
• 20:46
  SPEAKER_00: Because one, ships are being rerouted away from the Red Sea.
• 20:50
  SPEAKER_00: Why?
• 20:51
  SPEAKER_00: Because, well, there is a little bit of um a little bit of trouble happening in that part of the world.
• 20:56
  SPEAKER_00: And that removes about 8 to 10% of global container capacity, just because they have to go all the way around Africa, right?
• 21:04
  SPEAKER_00: So if you if you look on a map, there is sort of the Arabian Peninsula, then here is, you know, sort of Africa, glorious drawing, I know.
• 21:13
  SPEAKER_00: And then here you have, you know, Europe kind of thing, right?
• 21:19
  SPEAKER_00: You know, that kind of thing.
• 21:20
  SPEAKER_00: Britain is up there.
• 21:21
  SPEAKER_00: So normally what happens is that ships will go from, you know, Asia or from the Gulf or somewhere, or even from, you know, South Africa, they will go this way.
• 21:32
  SPEAKER_00: Everybody goes that way and they go through the Suez Canal, and then they go to the southern European ports, or they go to Rotterdam, or they go to Hamburg, or they go to the UK, or wherever.
• 21:42
  SPEAKER_00: And that's the route the world goes.
• 21:45
  SPEAKER_00: Now, that isn't working anymore because you might get blown out of the water and that isn't an insurable thing.
• 21:51
  SPEAKER_00: So, therefore, what are they doing?
• 21:53
  SPEAKER_00: Well, they are all going all the way around.
• 21:56
  SPEAKER_00: And that's obviously much longer, and therefore you need more ships.
• 22:00
  SPEAKER_00: So it's tying up vessels.
• 22:01
  SPEAKER_00: And we have port congestions, right?
• 22:04
  SPEAKER_00: Ports are overwhelmed everywhere.
• 22:05
  SPEAKER_00: That again costs more money.
• 22:07
  SPEAKER_00: You need more ships.
• 22:08
  SPEAKER_00: And global trade volume is growing at 5% a year.
• 22:11
  SPEAKER_00: So more stuff, fewer ships, longer routes.
• 22:14
  SPEAKER_00: I would call it a supply squeeze.
• 22:17
  SPEAKER_00: And Zim has a very young, very efficient fleet.
• 22:20
  SPEAKER_00: I think one of the best to actually capture this.
• 22:23
  SPEAKER_00: So this is merger up for you, deep value play, as Winston calls it.
• 22:29
  SPEAKER_00: And it's the kind of trade that I enjoy.
• 22:31
  SPEAKER_00: It doesn't mean you should go into it.
• 22:33
  SPEAKER_00: It's definitely not a put all your money into it type situation, but it's kind of an interesting one.
• 22:38
  SPEAKER_00: So you want to learn a simpler thing than this, but still see why I used it.
• 22:45
  SPEAKER_00: Like I will literally teach you on Saturday why I found these two stocks and how, precisely, in a lot more depth.
• 22:49
  SPEAKER_00: So you can do it on your own.
• 22:51
  SPEAKER_00: And that's going to take about an hour or two.
• 22:54
  SPEAKER_00: So join me, go to the link down below, sign up.
• 22:57
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, because we have a bunch of things.
• 22:59
  SPEAKER_00: We have the Fed just changed the story.
• 23:01
  SPEAKER_00: They just built a different pipe for the Japanese.
• 23:04
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, you can get dollars now without crashing the market, but they tell you there's gonna be a crack somewhere else.
• 23:10
  SPEAKER_00: And it's going to pump more money into the mark.
• 23:13
  SPEAKER_00: And when more money gets pumped into the system, assets go up.
• 23:17
  SPEAKER_00: Not because the world is perfect, not because there are uh better companies, it's just it's a framework.
• 23:24
  SPEAKER_00: So I would say to you, don't sit in cash.
• 23:27
  SPEAKER_00: Cash gets diluted for sure when the money taps get opened again.
• 23:31
  SPEAKER_00: Learn to follow the money.
• 23:33
  SPEAKER_00: I'll teach you that on the weekend.
• 23:34
  SPEAKER_00: Free link down below, but you've got to show up, it's gonna be live, it's not gonna be recorded.
• 23:39
  SPEAKER_00: And I then like to own asymmetric things, so where I can see substantial upside because I like those kinds of things.
• 23:47
  SPEAKER_00: Now I don't put 100% of my money into these asymmetric bets, but I like putting some of my money into that because it can be very profitable at times.
• 23:55
  SPEAKER_00: It's not a prediction, it's a framework.
• 23:57
  SPEAKER_00: Predictions are guesses.
• 23:58
  SPEAKER_00: Frameworks are repeatable.
• 24:00
  SPEAKER_00: I don't know what's going to happen in the future, but I've got a risk management system that deals with that.
• 24:05
  SPEAKER_00: But if you're sitting there and you're going, yeah, I don't fully understand how to read a chart.
• 24:09
  SPEAKER_00: I'm not sure I could find that breakout.
• 24:11
  SPEAKER_00: I'm not sure why Google, why Zim, or any of that.
• 24:15
  SPEAKER_00: Well, that's what the Free Beginner Seminar is for.
• 24:17
  SPEAKER_00: Fast TrackForbeginners.com.
• 24:19
  SPEAKER_00: Our entire mission here is to make a million people financially free.
• 24:23
  SPEAKER_00: So we've got our work cut out.
• 24:24
  SPEAKER_00: Uh, we enjoy every minute of that.
• 24:26
  SPEAKER_00: So I'm gonna teach you live how to read where the big money is moving.
• 24:31
  SPEAKER_00: So you never have to depend on the next guy who happens to have a microphone again.
• 24:35
  SPEAKER_00: Right?
• 24:36
  SPEAKER_00: I want to learn in the comments if you're gonna join me.
• 24:38
  SPEAKER_00: And if this video helped you, share it with one person who needs to see it.
• 24:42
  SPEAKER_00: And I wish you a tremendously successful year.
• 24:44
  SPEAKER_00: Winston?
• 24:46
  SPEAKER_00: Where did you go?
• 24:47
  SPEAKER_00: Winston, did you leave?
• 24:49
  SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I think he heard some cooking going on, so he went there.
• 24:52
  SPEAKER_00: All the best.