Latest / Combat Veteran News / Livestream: Even Putin’s Goons Think Crimea Invasion Is Next!
Transcript
- 0:02And we're talking about the weirdos.
- 0:07Doesn't narrow it down that much. The
- 0:09specific weirdo this time is is Igor
- 0:11Girkin, actually. But welcome. Welcome
- 0:14one. Welcome all.
- 0:17Plus, we'll take a look at all the other
- 0:20crazy [ __ ] that's been happening, you
- 0:23know?
- 0:37So, how are you guys? Where you guys
- 0:38tuning in from?
- 0:57England. Nice.
- 1:19Whoa. Okay, we got Australia,
- 1:22Greater Chicagoland, the People's
- 1:25Republic of New Jersey.
- 1:27Truly Ontario, Canada. Also, two people
- 1:31from Jersey,
- 1:33East Tennessee. Nice. The LA, the
- 1:36People's Republic of Los Angeles,
- 1:39the armpit of America, Louisiana.
- 1:44Oz is Oz. Is Oz in Australia?
- 1:50Alberta, Corvalis, Oregon. Hell yeah.
- 1:54The Canary Islands. Wow. Okay, this is
- 1:56crazy.
- 1:58I really should get try to get like
- 1:59meaningful statistics of of everyone
- 2:02like the ages and locations of people
- 2:04who tune in to the live streams because
- 2:06it's so interesting.
- 2:12The Australian outback. Yeah, I feel
- 2:14like a lot of far-flung people are out
- 2:16here tuning in, which is cool. which is
- 2:18pretty cool.
- 2:20Central Illinois.
- 2:22Okay, so near Chicago,
- 2:27Houston, SoCal. See, I would expect like
- 2:30major American metro areas, but I'm
- 2:33always surprised when it's a bunch of
- 2:35other stuff.
- 2:37Uh, doesn't YouTube show those
- 2:38statistics? No, cuz I think in part I I
- 2:41I'd be curious. I'll actually try to dig
- 2:43into it and see if it'll break it down
- 2:46by video. I think it doesn't because,
- 2:49you know, if I have 200 chatters,
- 2:52I I can't really use it to pull out like
- 2:54individual information. But if I was a a
- 2:57smaller creator and let's say I had
- 2:59three people in chat, I could actually
- 3:01use that data to like identify
- 3:03individuals and so they probably don't
- 3:05want me to do that.
- 3:08It could be like Sherwood Forest, UK. I
- 3:10don't even know if that's a real place.
- 3:11That sounds like something you just made
- 3:15up.
- 3:16Uh, nope. Just kidding. It's real. In
- 3:19Nottinghamshshire, England, the famous
- 3:22legendary hideout of Robin Hood.
- 3:30Central Texas, White Taha, New Zealand.
- 3:33Sick. So, yeah, we're going to let
- 3:35people kind of filter in and then we're
- 3:36going to we're going to talk we're going
- 3:38to talk about
- 3:40what's going on.
- 3:43Interesting.
- 3:5077. Wow. I That is surprisingly old for
- 3:56a YouTube viewer.
- 4:01On Twitch, you can use an app that tells
- 4:03you where your chatters are in real
- 4:05time. Yeah, I maybe that's how all those
- 4:08uh streamers got busted for using stream
- 4:09bots.
- 4:25Yeah. Again, Chicago third most populous
- 4:27city, right? Um
- 4:3157. Oh, interesting.
- 4:3340 young 65.
- 4:37Oh, yeah. Some of you guys are going
- 4:38through the heat wave, dude.
- 4:43I wonder.
- 4:46Oh, 57. Anyone 67?
- 4:52Okay, let's see.
- 4:56All right, ahead of the July 4th
- 4:59weekend, they're supposed to call for a
- 5:01huge heat wave. Let's see.
- 5:09Okay. Current US temperatures.
- 5:15Okay. Uh,
- 5:20let's see. I actually want one that's
- 5:21like a couple of days.
- 5:24Okay. Let's see. Let's see what they're
- 5:26talking about for this heat wave. Let's
- 5:27see what's in in in luck. Okay.
- 5:29Interesting. A lot of people in their
- 5:3040s and one person 24. Hell yeah. Okay.
- 5:35So map showing heat alerts. Extreme heat
- 5:38warnings in effect for central United
- 5:41States including Nashville, St. Louis,
- 5:43Cincinnati, Kansas City, De Mo, Iowa,
- 5:45Chicago, and Detroit. Oo, watch out
- 5:48Chicago guys.
- 5:50Yeah, the heat wave in central Texas is
- 5:53just
- 5:54uh May to September.
- 5:59Southern cities like Dallas, Little
- 6:00Rock, and Memphis will see dangerously
- 6:02high temperatures.
- 6:04Whoa. Okay. In the core of the south
- 6:06here, they're expecting heat indices up
- 6:09to 115.
- 6:11Jesus. Making it feel like Wow. 115.
- 6:15Okay.
- 6:18Above normal temperatures. That's not
- 6:20that helpful.
- 6:23Yep. Bunch of fire alerts.
- 6:26Yeah. Interesting. Looks like some kind
- 6:28of big hot circle. Okay. Here's the East
- 6:32Coast weather forecast. Whoa. Little
- 6:35Rock 108 108 105. Damn. 90 94 and 88 in
- 6:40Minneapolis.
- 6:41New Orleans. Somebody here from New
- 6:44Orleans.
- 6:47104 105 104. Gowza, dudes.
- 6:52And that's the heat index. Okay, those
- 6:54are heat indices.
- 6:56Yikes. Okay, let's see. We We saw some
- 6:58people from Houston. Let's let's let's
- 7:01take a look here. What's Houston going
- 7:02to be suffering through? 94 90 94 95 94
- 7:0791 89. Uh, okay. Let's look at
- 7:12I think we had somebody from Chicago.
- 7:15Okay, that those that temperature is
- 7:17actually not terrible. Chicago is going
- 7:19to be hotter than Houston. 94 94 and
- 7:21then 84 82 79 80 82.
- 7:25Yeah, we endured worse in Iraq, dude.
- 7:27You and me both, brother. Well, I wasn't
- 7:29in Iraq. I was in Afghanistan. But yeah,
- 7:34dude. Chicago, you guys are cooked.
- 7:39Literally,
- 7:40Nins going to be 88 89 92 92 90 87 88.
- 7:47Interesting. I guess it's just the
- 7:48humidity, like the heat and humidity
- 7:50just like mashing into each other.
- 7:55Yeah, it's got to be a humidity thing.
- 7:57That's got to be what it's what it's
- 7:58doing because people are saying he index
- 8:01values above 110, you know.
- 8:11Let's see.
- 8:13What are we looking at? Okay. Austin,
- 8:15Texas, the capital. 95 94 95 98 98 98 94
- 8:2094. Yikes. Excessive heat warning.
- 8:23Buckle up, nerds.
- 8:26Humidity 53%.
- 8:3056. Humidity in the 50s though. Okay. So
- 8:33maybe that's better.
- 8:38Okay. Well, that's crazy.
- 8:44Well, we're we're in luck. We're in
- 8:45luck. President Trump says climate
- 8:46change is a hoax. So, we're we're all
- 8:48set.
- 8:51All right. So, you want to talk about
- 8:53the story from old Igor Girkin? That's
- 8:56who it is. Okay, so this is the crazy
- 8:59part, right?
- 9:01Igor Girkin says, "A former officer with
- 9:03the Russian army." That's not quite. who
- 9:06played a key role in Russia's annexation
- 9:08of Crimea. True. And was later tried and
- 9:10imprisoned for his public views against
- 9:12Vladimir Putin's ongoing strategy in
- 9:13Ukraine, said in a telegram post from
- 9:16his prison cell that Ukraine's
- 9:19large-scale drone campaign against
- 9:20energy, industry, logistics, and
- 9:21military targets in Crimea is quote
- 9:23setting the stage for Ukrainian
- 9:24amphibious and ground operations aimed
- 9:26at recapturing Crimea.
- 9:31Now, I have a couple of complaints about
- 9:33this one. Igor Girkin is uh he's an
- 9:39intelligence officer. Okay. He also was
- 9:42responsible for providing the air
- 9:45defense systems that shot down uh
- 9:47Malaysian Air Flight
- 9:50300. I can't remember.
- 9:52It was shot down over Ukraine 2024.
- 9:55Uh even though again the investigation
- 10:00found that the
- 10:03uh
- 10:05separatists under Gerkin's command knew
- 10:07they were probably shooting at a
- 10:09civilian jetliner and they just didn't
- 10:10give a [ __ ] right? And so again in
- 10:14classic Vladimir Putin fashion,
- 10:18Eigor Girkin spent decades in the
- 10:20service of the FSB. But then when he
- 10:25dared to publicly criticize Putin's
- 10:27strategy in Ukraine though that's
- 10:29officially that's kind of the surface
- 10:30level thing. The deeper problem was that
- 10:32Igor Girkin was beginning to use his
- 10:34telegram following to organize a
- 10:37political party. I think it was like a
- 10:38fraternal group. You know think of it
- 10:40like um
- 10:42it was a little bit like uh Combat
- 10:44Veterans of America or something um
- 10:49or the Combat Veterans Motor. Well, I'm
- 10:51using comet veteran motorcycle
- 10:52association.
- 10:53Um,
- 10:56but
- 10:58it is a
- 11:01association of veterans who ride
- 11:02motorcycles. But imagine if without this
- 11:04sort of like a
- 11:06um
- 11:09it was an organization of like true
- 11:11Russian patriots, right? Uh
- 11:14not quite veterans, but I can just look
- 11:16it up. Why am I speculating?
- 11:26Okay,
- 11:32here we go. In 2023, he called it a club
- 11:34of angry patriots, a hardline pro-war
- 11:37nationalist movement advocating for the
- 11:39complete destruction of Ukraine and
- 11:40heavily criticizing Vladimir Putin's
- 11:42military brass for perceived
- 11:43incompetence and half measures. In 2024,
- 11:46he nominated himself as an independent
- 11:47candidate for the Russian presidential
- 11:48election to challenge Putin. He was
- 11:50officially he was prevented from
- 11:51officially running due to his trial,
- 11:53pre-trial detention, and subsequent
- 11:55imprisonment.
- 11:57He was incited of convicted of exciting
- 11:59extremism. Prior to his political
- 12:01activities, he was an FSB officer and
- 12:03convicted in abstentia of a Dutch court
- 12:06for his role in downing Malaysia
- 12:07Airlines Flight 17.
- 12:14of angry patriots is oh present tense
- 12:16hardline national socialist movement
- 12:18Jesus founded April 1st 2023 by Girkin
- 12:22Pavo Gerberov
- 12:24um
- 12:26and Maxim Kalashnikov
- 12:28any relation oh no that's his pen name
- 12:31huh the club criticized the current
- 12:33Russian government for perceived half
- 12:34measures and the inability to win the
- 12:36war against Ukraine
- 12:39okay Girkin had previously created
- 12:42movements that criticized the Kla
- 12:44Kremlin and the li liberal opposition at
- 12:46the same time such as the January 25th
- 12:48committee right committee was renamed
- 12:50the all-Russian national movement under
- 12:52Girkin term angry patriots has already
- 12:54become a staple in Russian political
- 12:55circles refers to people who actively
- 12:57support the Russian invasion of Ukraine
- 12:58but are dissatisfied with its course so
- 13:00slow progress losses exchanges of AOV
- 13:04battalion PS and response to Russ
- 13:06shellings of Russian cities etc.
- 13:11Two weeks before founding the club, he
- 13:13explicitly posted on Telegram, which he
- 13:15listed the weak points in his opinion of
- 13:17the conduct of the quote special
- 13:18military operation. On April 1st, the
- 13:20club was announced. In addition to
- 13:22Girkin, the club includes, oh,
- 13:24interesting, a bunch of other of these
- 13:25members, bunch of other mil bloggers,
- 13:29Mikail members of the club call it a
- 13:31community of patriotic people who have
- 13:32been serving Russia for many years, not
- 13:34in word, but in deed. and quote, "It is
- 13:37necessary to create an association of
- 13:38those people who are not for money, who
- 13:39are really for the motherland, for our
- 13:41people, for our country." H
- 13:46interesting. It's reportedly facing
- 13:49resentment from the DPR and Dennis
- 13:51Pushan.
- 13:55Uh Gerkin claimed Pusheen ordered DNR
- 13:57officials to spread rumors about the
- 13:59Club of Angry Patriots, stating the
- 14:00movement was plotting a coup. The group
- 14:02also accuses Putin of trying to
- 14:03discredit them, which is probably true.
- 14:06Girkin was arrested in charge of
- 14:08extremism, sentenced to four years
- 14:09imprisonment in penal colony
- 14:12by Moscow city court.
- 14:16Uh club members said Russia would
- 14:18inevitably face defeat in Ukraine and
- 14:19could endure a pro-western coup or civil
- 14:21war unless Moscow radically improves the
- 14:23situation on the front lines.
- 14:25Participants argued Russian officials
- 14:26are unable to improve the military
- 14:28operations and their impact on Russian
- 14:29society because most Kremlin officials
- 14:31belong to an anti-war faction. The club
- 14:34claimed it was seeking to help the
- 14:35Russian authorities complete a special
- 14:36military operation in a timely manner,
- 14:38arguing that protracted war in Ukraine
- 14:40could spur anti-war officials to revolt.
- 14:43Sounds like kind of sounds like the
- 14:45strategy. The group also said it was
- 14:46trying to create a defense network to
- 14:47counter a coup in Russia in such a case.
- 14:49Compared to the January 25th committee,
- 14:51the emphasis assisted shifted from
- 14:53opposition to a fictional liberal Moscow
- 14:56Maidon to a need to quote prevent
- 14:58Russia's defeat in its proxy war with
- 15:00the entire NATO block in Ukraine.
- 15:02[ __ ] ridiculous. The ISW expressed
- 15:05the opinion that the creation of the
- 15:06clubs connect with a desire to
- 15:07strengthen a pro-war faction in the
- 15:08Kremlin. But what's interesting is I
- 15:11don't know if they're still around.
- 15:13I mean, they have a VK, which is like a
- 15:16Facebook, but I wonder how active they
- 15:19are.
- 15:21Let's see if I can even access this.
- 15:22Well, clearly it's VK is reloading. Oh
- 15:24my gosh, they have like none.
- 15:275,000 followers, guys.
- 15:30the most recent January from two years
- 15:33ago. So they are dead. They are [ __ ]
- 15:38dead. Dead dead.
- 15:41Which is wild. Okay, because I want to
- 15:43point out that
- 15:46the number of people that watch this
- 15:49live stream in total are more than the
- 15:52primary followers for the Club of Angry
- 15:55Patriots.
- 15:58Like that's what I think is [ __ ]
- 16:00wild. I should we should we should form
- 16:01our own club that's also angry. Okay.
- 16:08Want to point out that also getting its
- 16:10own Wikipedia page. Our NAPO
- 16:13internet meme and social media movement
- 16:15dedicated counting Russian propaganda
- 16:16and disinformation has been categorized
- 16:19the form of information warfare
- 16:22and Ukraine memes for NATO teams.
- 16:30group rose to mainstream prominence
- 16:32after interaction on Twitter between
- 16:33Russian diplomat and a number of NATO
- 16:35accounts with cartoon dogs as avatars.
- 16:37Yolanov claimed the Russian invasion was
- 16:38justified by a claim Ukraine shelling
- 16:40civilians in Donbus in 2014
- 16:43which is fascinating you what a that's
- 16:46interesting alone because
- 16:49it claims that the impetus actually had
- 16:52nothing to do with NATO aggression or
- 16:53biolabs or any of it.
- 16:55just shelling Russians.
- 17:08GG. The angry I told you right Paul.
- 17:13The club. The club of people who are mad
- 17:15that they are right all the time.
- 17:24The People's Patriotic Front. That's not
- 17:25a great that.
- 17:28Yeah, that's that's not a great angry
- 17:30NAFO bros. Club of angry nerds. Angry
- 17:34fuel purchasers.
- 17:40The Club of Angry Patriots transitioned
- 17:42through all the stages of grief and is
- 17:43now the club of acceptance patriots.
- 17:46US A funded biolabs. Yeah, exactly.
- 17:56According to Wall Street Journal,
- 17:57Group's Pro Ukrainian fundraising and
- 17:58merch sales have totaled over 1 million,
- 18:00but no official tally is kept.
- 18:03Uh,
- 18:08task of purpose described a 2 S7 pion
- 18:11self-propelled artillery with the
- 18:13inscription super bunker 9000 sticker of
- 18:16baseball bat on the barrel with the
- 18:17inscription of NAFO article 99.
- 18:25Another popular slogan, what air defense
- 18:27doing? What is air defense doing? Not
- 18:30much. Not much.
- 18:43Interesting
- 18:46recognition.
- 18:48Yeah. Okay. Well, at least NAFO also has
- 18:50a
- 18:51but once again we this audience have
- 18:55raised more than a million dollars. For
- 18:57sure. For sure we have.
- 19:01The organization was presented with the
- 19:02Star of Lithuanian diplomacy. That's
- 19:04sick.
- 19:07For promoting Lithuania abroad. Oh,
- 19:08Camille Desutski on behalf of the
- 19:10organization was presented Star of
- 19:11Lithuanian diplomacy by the Lithuanian
- 19:13Minister of Foreign Affairs.
- 19:21Interesting.
- 19:23Highranking military officials in
- 19:24Ukraine country have changed their
- 19:25Twitter avatars to a fella. Minister of
- 19:28Defense temporary changes to Twitter
- 19:29avatar to a fellow commissioned in his
- 19:30honor. Zinsky and United 24 recognized
- 19:34the group in 20 March of 23. March 23, a
- 19:37Lithuanian president publicly promoted
- 19:39NAFO's first summit in Villness,
- 19:40encouraged people to come and attend.
- 19:48Hell yeah.
- 19:52Okay. Well, it's at least neutral. It's
- 19:54at least neutral. People
- 19:58like, "Is there a mobilization announced
- 20:00in Russia?" Lolol.
- 20:20The Nothing Ever Happens Club is fuming.
- 20:22Okay. Am I missing something happening?
- 20:24Am I missing happening?
- 20:29Uh I see that the a federal judge has
- 20:33ruled against the Pentagon in its
- 20:34dispute over New York Times media
- 20:35access. The court said that the part
- 20:38where the
- 20:41uh US shall make no uh law restricting
- 20:45freedom of the press
- 20:47seems pretty clear actually. The first
- 20:50amendment was very clear on that that
- 20:51you can't force uh the press to have a
- 20:54military escort. That's called
- 20:55restricting the freedom of the press.
- 21:11The court has spoken. Let's see. This
- 21:13says that the court has spoken at
- 21:16several points about the critical
- 21:17importance of protecting the freedoms of
- 21:18the first amendment. The evergreen
- 21:19message bears repeating. Those who
- 21:20drafted the first amendment believe that
- 21:22the nation's security requires a free
- 21:23press and an informed people that such
- 21:25security is endangered by government
- 21:27suppression of political speech. This
- 21:28principles reserved our nation's
- 21:30security for 250 years.
- 21:37Preliminary injunctive relief weigh in
- 21:38their favor. The court will grant the
- 21:40plaintiff's motion for injunction.
- 21:46And the comments are of course exactly
- 21:48as full-blown regarded as you would
- 21:50think. Someone saying, "The country is
- 21:52toast, dude. Zero common sense. Just
- 21:53idiotic judges making idiotic decisions.
- 21:56Needing an estor in the country's
- 21:57military headquarters violates First
- 21:58Amendment. How no serious country would
- 22:00see this as an issue?" Um, one this is
- 22:04stupid because the Pentagon is one you
- 22:10already get badged like
- 22:21uh let's see if we can find just like a
- 22:23general Wikipedia entry.
- 22:28People are like there's they're just
- 22:30allowed to wander the Pentagon as a
- 22:32vetted member of the press. Yes.
- 22:37And yeah, except for areas that are
- 22:39designated as being storing as storing
- 22:42classified information.
- 22:45You go through, you pass security, you
- 22:47say I'm a member of the press, and then
- 22:48they let you in.
- 22:56Pete Hexth said that actually guys you
- 22:59could turn in your press credentials
- 23:01unless you have a military escort who
- 23:03can observe everything that anyone tells
- 23:05you so that they cannot talk to the
- 23:06press for any reason.
- 23:09GG. Have you guys seen the huge rally in
- 23:11Trump's birthday? You mean the American
- 23:13State Fair? Huh?
- 23:23Huh?
- 23:27Let's see.
- 23:29Downtown's American Great American State
- 23:30Fair was packed with happy people, but
- 23:32the USA Today visit to the National Mall
- 23:34found light crowds, short line, and
- 23:35plenty of open space. Fair has drawn
- 23:38sparse crowds on its first days, though
- 23:39it remains unclear what the July 4th
- 23:41holiday weekend will bring. Doug Burnham
- 23:43said the Trump administration was
- 23:44planning quote the greatest and biggest
- 23:46celebration of fireworks ever. But on
- 23:48the ground, activity was minimal. Lines
- 23:50to enter the fair and browse state
- 23:51booths and buy food were minimal. The
- 23:53longest wait was for a ferris wheel, and
- 23:55even that appeared typical for a
- 23:56standard attraction.
- 23:58Yeah, I've yet to see a small groups
- 24:00gathered for the events, including a
- 24:02woodsawing contest near the rodeo and
- 24:03acrobat performance, but the crowd was
- 24:05modest. Uh, I am convinced.
- 24:08Social media videos suggest turnout's
- 24:09been uneven. In one clip shared by TMZ,
- 24:11actor Dean Kane says, "There's tons of
- 24:13people. It's a huge space. It's going to
- 24:14get more crowded as the week goes on.
- 24:16The camera showed a largely empty space.
- 24:20Uh, USA requested attendance figures
- 24:22from Freedom 250, a group tied to Task
- 24:24Force 250, a public private partnership
- 24:26created by the White House to coordinate
- 24:28the celebration. Interesting. There's no
- 24:30way. So, public private in this instance
- 24:33probably is code for taxpayer money
- 24:34transferred to the people putting this
- 24:36on. And then it looks like whoever put
- 24:37it on did just an absolutely threadbear
- 24:40job. Uh,
- 24:43portions of the site are fenced off.
- 24:45Attendees are required to register. The
- 24:47walk-ups are permitted.
- 24:51So, it doesn't look great. Black
- 24:53Tornado, thanks for the attention.
- 24:54Honestly, Paul, I didn't think Ukraine
- 24:55had any chance of getting back Crimea,
- 24:56but I changed my opinion now. It seems
- 24:57like a very effective strategy. So,
- 24:59here's the problem. Here's the
- 25:00fundamental problem is that
- 25:03is that if Ukraine were to invade
- 25:06Crimea, Russia could run the same
- 25:09strategy in reverse.
- 25:13And so the things that make Crimea
- 25:15vulnerable to Russian aggression or to
- 25:18Ukrainian drone strikes are going to
- 25:20make them vulnerable to Russian drone
- 25:22strikes. Um the same resupply issues
- 25:25will occur, right?
- 25:28Um Ukraine did not take several beach
- 25:31well Ukraine did not take several beach
- 25:33heads in Hersan. What they did is forced
- 25:36the Russians to withdraw from the Kyburn
- 25:39spit. And the Kyburn spit is just this
- 25:42strip of land here, which is not
- 25:44nothing, right? Russians here can launch
- 25:46drone strikes potentially as close as
- 25:48Odessa um and control this very valuable
- 25:52waterway here. Um
- 25:55but this is not going to facilitate uh
- 25:58any kind of improvement in the situation
- 25:59in Heran. Not meaningfully. Um it
- 26:02certainly won't open up anything in
- 26:04Crimea. And again, the problem will be
- 26:07that the Ukrainians, if they could get
- 26:08into Crimea, right, which is would would
- 26:11require an offensive that is deeper and
- 26:13broader than
- 26:16they have done at any time since 2023,
- 26:19then they're going to have to cross all
- 26:20their troops over these two narrow
- 26:22bridges, which Russia cannot currently
- 26:24get fuel trucks or military convoys
- 26:29across these two bridges. So, you can
- 26:31imagine the reverse. the Ukrainian army
- 26:32trying to march an army across here
- 26:34probably not feasible. Um then they
- 26:38would have to get into Crimea and then
- 26:39keep those troops resupplied as the
- 26:41Russians would now know, hey, this is
- 26:44the only two ways into and off of the
- 26:46the peninsula. Let's just bomb the [ __ ]
- 26:48out of them. Yeah, exactly. So, Black
- 26:51Tornado get it. Do you think they could
- 26:53turn Crimea into a no-go zone since
- 26:54neither side would be able to control
- 26:56it? That is exactly the strategy right
- 26:58now. Crimea is a massive logistics hub
- 27:00for basically the entire southern
- 27:03occupation effort and depriving
- 27:07the Russians of that
- 27:09is going to be extremely valuable and
- 27:12it's also going to it would then in turn
- 27:16force the entire occupation government's
- 27:20uh
- 27:22supply resupply efforts to channel
- 27:24themselves through Marupople driving
- 27:27basically within 60 km of the front line
- 27:31for I mean miles and miles and miles. I
- 27:34mean imagine if you are a Russian in
- 27:36Heran and you don't have Crimea you to
- 27:39get resupplied you have to stretch your
- 27:42supplies
- 27:43from basically Rasta Vandon
- 27:46hundreds and hundreds of kilometers
- 27:48through occupied Ukraine to get you
- 27:50resupplied.
- 27:52It is so hard, right? Like you have to
- 27:54think one of the things that that Russia
- 27:56has going for it here. This is pretty
- 27:58vulnerable actually. Yeah, they could be
- 28:00resupplied through Berian, but you can
- 28:02see the ports in Berian are routinely
- 28:03bombed. Uh
- 28:06everywhere else, right, is kind of
- 28:08close. But this this was the reason that
- 28:11the strategy
- 28:14uh in the 2023 spring counter offensive
- 28:17focused on this region is because it's
- 28:19the hardest to resupply and the easiest
- 28:20to cut off. Obviously, it was a failure,
- 28:23but
- 28:25yeah, the just depriving these troops of
- 28:28this
- 28:31of this like key resupply route is going
- 28:35to like force you're going to make all
- 28:36these guys in just way worse shape,
- 28:38especially next to Hersan. There's not
- 28:40going to be an amphibious landing, but
- 28:42the goal may be to start forcing the
- 28:45Russians in Zapesia. This is where they
- 28:47are probably at their weakest. force
- 28:49them to just kind of starve them out.
- 28:50Honestly, that's the strategy. It's less
- 28:53even about pushing them and more about
- 28:54just starving them.
- 29:20Yeah, I mean the the the retaking of
- 29:22Crimea would either be the Russian
- 29:24forces withdrawing from it because it no
- 29:26longer serves them geopolitically,
- 29:28becomes a geopolitical liability. That's
- 29:30probably the best bet. Or the Crimeans
- 29:33just like get sick of it and don't want
- 29:35anything to do with it.
- 29:55Oh my god. Okay, this is pretty funny.
- 29:56This is Trump tweeting about his own
- 29:57state fair. He says, "Do you think
- 29:58people appreciate what a fantastic job
- 30:00we did in building and operating the
- 30:01Great American State Fair at the
- 30:02National Mall packed with happy people
- 30:04and everybody loving it? Ask yourself
- 30:06this simply simple question. Do you
- 30:07think that Obama or Sleepy Joe could
- 30:09have done it? The answer is no. Uh,
- 30:12okay. I want to point out that this is
- 30:15this looks like a [ __ ]
- 30:18absolute
- 30:20absolute like a [ __ ] show. I don't know
- 30:23if if Okay.
- 30:31Okay. Well, that's fine. Okay. Here's
- 30:33the booth for Massachusetts, guys.
- 30:36Wow,
- 30:38look at this. Uh, a 8 and a half by 11
- 30:41printout. Massachusetts, the Bay State.
- 30:47Here's a power outage hitting the food
- 30:49pavilion, melting ice cream and leading
- 30:51to food safety concerns. Which, FYI,
- 30:53guys, one, none of these places appear
- 30:55even remotely prepared to sell food. Uh,
- 31:00these look like water, soda, sports
- 31:04drink, lemonade, iced coffee, coffee,
- 31:06muffin, large cookie, ice cream. This is
- 31:10This looks like AI generated. This This
- 31:14looks like the menu. Okay, guys. Ex one.
- 31:17This looks like the menu of my
- 31:19children's play kitchen. They have a
- 31:21play restaurant. Okay, this isn't a real
- 31:24thing. Express Hibbachi. None of these
- 31:25things are hibachi, by the way.
- 31:27Pretzels, nachos, chips, hot dog with
- 31:29chips, chicken Caesar wrap with chips,
- 31:32chicken sandwich with chips. That's not
- 31:33hibachi. Why do they call it hibachi?
- 31:36This is like, this only makes sense if
- 31:38you've literally never been to a state
- 31:40fair, which 100%
- 31:43is that the people have organized this
- 31:46have never been to a state fair.
- 31:51Yeah. like this is only a state fair if
- 31:53you have if you've never been so poor
- 31:56that this is your idea of a good time
- 31:57which actually kind of breaks my heart.
- 32:00Uh
- 32:02it actually like
- 32:09cuz it's what on the National Mall.
- 32:11Okay, here we go. Here's live look at
- 32:14the Great American State Fair. Oh, it's
- 32:16a parody. Damn, they always get me with
- 32:18these [ __ ] parodies, man.
- 32:26O, look at this view from the Great
- 32:28American State Fair. Ferris wheel.
- 32:30Jesus. Taking it in the first night at
- 32:329:50 p.m.
- 32:35Oh, okay. Well, that's that's cool.
- 32:37That's like a world the World Cup
- 32:38experience. That's kind of sick.
- 32:40Watching the World Cup.
- 32:44I don't know. That's kind of dope. You
- 32:46put up some refreshments in a portion
- 32:48and uh you watch you watch the World
- 32:50Cup. You have a world cup union party
- 32:51now the actual great state fair.
- 32:55I mean it doesn't look like people are
- 32:56doing [ __ ] all but yeah put on the world
- 32:58cup in the [ __ ] national mall and and
- 33:01get some food trucks. Permit some food
- 33:03trucks dude and put up some portag
- 33:04johns. It's [ __ ] easy.
- 33:24just feel bad
- 33:28that day and we're bringing it all
- 33:29around America to make sure
- 33:31>> live
- 33:33Great American State Fair rally. Now, as
- 33:35you can see, obviously obviously it has
- 33:37nothing to do with politics. There's
- 33:38just there's just some there's just
- 33:40going to be uh political attendees uh
- 33:44giving speeches. Wow. Okay. Wait, let's
- 33:47see if they pan it out. There's
- 33:49uh another person giving a speech. Oh my
- 33:52god, Jaco Willink.
- 33:55Oh my god.
- 33:57Also, by the way, you know who gets more
- 33:58views than Jaco? We do. We get more
- 34:00views than [ __ ] Jaco. And I see and
- 34:03Jaco's [ __ ] branded stuff sells in
- 34:05like
- 34:07sells all over the place. Okay, let's
- 34:09see. But they won't. Interesting.
- 34:11Interesting. Fox Baltimore doesn't want
- 34:13to show the crowd.
- 34:17Huh? It's a right-wing campaign rally.
- 34:20Absolutely no one there. Where? Why are
- 34:23they not being shown? Oh, cuz it's a
- 34:24rye. It's a lie.
- 34:28Exquisite B soup.
- 34:33It's been about two years since the
- 34:34cursed concursion. Was that
- 34:35strategically sensible or should Ukraine
- 34:37have stayed up the resources, manpower?
- 34:38It absolut No, it it it was not
- 34:41strategically sensible. Um, it it really
- 34:46assumed
- 34:49um,
- 34:51no, it was it was a it was a weird
- 34:54gambit and it wasted a lot of lives.
- 35:02No, it didn't. It didn't really achieve
- 35:04anything. I mean, the most thing it
- 35:06could have achieved in a different
- 35:08universe
- 35:10um
- 35:11would have been the international
- 35:13community seeing North Korea deploy
- 35:15their troops to fight in that war and
- 35:19the international community could have
- 35:20said this is very bad and we need to
- 35:24step up because once again Russia loves
- 35:28to be like it's us versus all of NATO.
- 35:32It's us versus an international alliance
- 35:34just bullying poor Russia. And it's like
- 35:37guys, the only other nation who have
- 35:39committed combat troops to this war has
- 35:41been North Korea in favor of Russia.
- 35:51Uh I think the curs was always meant to
- 35:53be a bargaining chip.
- 35:56I think they were probably trying to get
- 35:58to um the power plant, but they never
- 36:00quite did.
- 36:08Nah, the Kursk was was kind of cooked
- 36:10before um
- 36:13Kursk I think was was was pretty cooked
- 36:15before Trump got elected. Ace Cam, it's
- 36:17going to reach a point where Trump will
- 36:18simply give up on being president. When
- 36:20Dem take the house back, he'll bail out
- 36:21when he can. That wouldn't shock me
- 36:23actually. It would not shock me at all.
- 36:33US C. Okay. Uh,
- 36:39let's see. This talks about it.
- 36:42Uh, I mean, the Atlantic [ __ ] hates
- 36:44Trunk.
- 36:47Uh,
- 36:52I actually was reading there was a post
- 36:54of someone who
- 36:57um in some states declined the invite
- 37:00and had other organizations step in on
- 37:01their behalf.
- 37:10Um there was another a poster who said
- 37:12actually that there was a plan to do in
- 37:15this in the um a basically a version of
- 37:20the 250th state fair. They called it a
- 37:22festival of festivals. And so their idea
- 37:24was to say, listen, we're going to take
- 37:25all these great American festivals that
- 37:27are super iconic and we're going to do
- 37:30mini real actual versions of them in the
- 37:33National Mall. So, there's going to be a
- 37:35Grand Old Opry. There's going to be a um
- 37:39they said like a like a mini Burning
- 37:40Man. There's going to be a like all
- 37:44these things so that people can come in
- 37:46and get to experience these really cool
- 37:48American cultural events to celebrate
- 37:50the 250 years. I'm like, that would have
- 37:52been so cool. And they said that because
- 37:54it was the Smithsonian, there was all
- 37:55these big artists that were like, hey,
- 37:57it's not going to be political. They
- 37:58said they had millions and millions of
- 38:00month of dollars and that those that it
- 38:02got cancelled, replaced with this and
- 38:03those millions of dollars were diverted
- 38:05to other purposes, which is almost
- 38:07certainly, you know, no bid contracts to
- 38:10put these things on, you know.
- 38:26I mean, some of these things are kind of
- 38:27jokes. This is the Department of Defense
- 38:30Pavilion. Jesus.
- 38:33Uh, Hillsdale College.
- 38:38The Hillsdale College Pavilion. I've
- 38:40never heard of it.
- 38:50Okay. Well, this is this is stupid. I
- 38:52just Maybe on YouTube there's a walk
- 38:53through. I really want to find like a
- 38:55like a great American State the fair
- 38:57walkth through.
- 39:02Just show me like a like a just strap on
- 39:04a GoPro.
- 39:06That's all I want.
- 39:18Okay. Here's somebody called Dan's Cool
- 39:19Videos that is doing a five minute Great
- 39:22American State Fair walkthrough. All
- 39:23right, that's pretty sick.
- 39:27So, there's somebody else. Okay, a
- 39:29little bit of editing. Opening day.
- 39:32No shade. I want to point out that if
- 39:35you really thought about things, having
- 39:37absolutely no [ __ ] shade in the
- 39:40middle of DC summer for your event is
- 39:44right away says you've never been to an
- 39:45actual state fair. Because if you had,
- 39:48you would know that you have to give
- 39:49people shade, man. You can't cook them.
- 39:53Okay. Also, you're like, "Oh, oh, but
- 39:56people, oh, they go to keep the grass
- 39:59safe. My brother in Christ, there's
- 40:00gonna be people walking all over the
- 40:02[ __ ] grass." Okay. There's one ride.
- 40:05All right. A state fair with one ride
- 40:07sucks.
- 40:10I'm sorry. You need like more than one
- 40:12ride. Also, here's the Florida booth.
- 40:16All right. All right. I'm ready to be
- 40:17wowed. I'm ready to see the Great
- 40:20American State Fair for Florida.
- 40:26Oh, Jesus Christ.
- 40:30It's
- 40:32That's it. Florida state symbols.
- 40:37Orange juice is the state beverage.
- 40:41Oh my god. Wait, they don't even have
- 40:43like a
- 40:44like they didn't even put up a screen.
- 40:46This is just a poster board. This is
- 40:48like something that you would do for a
- 40:49fourth grade project. America's first
- 40:51chapter. Famous Florida men and women.
- 40:55No famous Florida trans people here.
- 40:57Okay, dude.
- 41:00Well, at least he's repping Florida. I
- 41:03guess that's cool. Uh they got the old
- 41:06That's cool. They kind of got the brick
- 41:08like it's the the one of the old forts.
- 41:10That's kind of sick.
- 41:17Jesus, dude. Uh you know, you know what?
- 41:20Ace. Ace. I would resign after this,
- 41:22man. This is like embarrassing. I'm
- 41:24embarrassed. Oh, wait. Wait. Come on.
- 41:26Okay. Okay. See, you're trying. This is
- 41:28cool. Look at this. They're kind of
- 41:29trying. They're like, make you feel like
- 41:30you're in the Everglades. Okay. Well,
- 41:32now this is stupid. Why is the manatees
- 41:34swimming through here? You It was almost
- 41:37cool, guys. You were so close to making
- 41:39something cool. Yeah, that would be
- 41:40cool. Like the Everglades make you feel
- 41:41like you're watching the manatees.
- 41:43That's sick. Okay, but this doesn't give
- 41:45you a vibe. That's a That's a 360 view.
- 41:49Okay, this is like closer. This is
- 41:50closer to cool. They're trying. Ronda
- 41:53Santis spent a little money here.
- 41:57Again, this seems also like kind of a
- 41:59fire hazard, but but that's cool. That's
- 42:02cool. I I don't know. Agriculture,
- 42:06a legacy of production. Uh,
- 42:09okay. Florida seafood.
- 42:13Can you eat it? Stop and smell the
- 42:14oranges. All right, that's kind of cool.
- 42:20Um, wow.
- 42:23The state agriculture
- 42:26live more Florida days.
- 42:30Is it free swag? Is there at least
- 42:32giving out some free swag or like an
- 42:33orange? That'd be cool. That's kind of
- 42:36sick.
- 42:39Okay. You only went to the state fair
- 42:41booth. Okay, that's cool. Yeah. Some
- 42:43free swag. All right. All right. That'd
- 42:45be Yeah. State Florida State Parks. [ __ ]
- 42:47yeah.
- 42:49Okay, I get But man, you're trying. God
- 42:51bless them. They're trying. Look at how
- 42:53hot everybody is. Like, you didn't think
- 42:56to put up some [ __ ] shade? Jesus
- 42:59Christ, dude. Yeah. Shout out to the
- 43:01person who like 29 palms is better than
- 43:03this. Yeah.
- 43:06Oh, they're fake table fruit. Uh uh,
- 43:08that's even more pathetic. Yeah. Where's
- 43:10alligator Alcatraz, bro? You should have
- 43:11been like, you can feel like a migrant
- 43:13inside alligator Alcatraz. Which by the
- 43:15way, by the way, guys, for all the
- 43:17[ __ ] hype,
- 43:21for all their [ __ ]
- 43:24turns out,
- 43:26turns out that lo and behold the best
- 43:29thing defend the biggest defender of
- 43:32[ __ ] human rights
- 43:35in this administration is this
- 43:38administration because they're idiots.
- 43:40because they close it because they put
- 43:42in a [ __ ] flood zone because they're
- 43:44idiots.
- 43:45Do you know why they were like, "Oh,
- 43:47there's alligators near the facility, so
- 43:49if anyone tries to escape, they'll get
- 43:50eaten by alligators." Well, alligators
- 43:52live in [ __ ] swamps. And swamps are
- 43:56places that water collects.
- 43:59And water collects in places where
- 44:01there's often hurricanes.
- 44:06Hey, RTV Daniels, thanks man. Longtime
- 44:07follower. My brother volunteered was in
- 44:09Harkiv the same time you were out there
- 44:10in 24 and 25. Nice. Appreciate all you
- 44:13do. Thanks, man. Slava Ukani. Thanks,
- 44:15man.
- 44:17Boys in in in Hark are doing good work,
- 44:20man.
- 44:24Yeah. Oh my god, this is embarrassing.
- 44:26Imagine coming to America for the World
- 44:28Cup. Like imagine you're going to
- 44:29America, the the greatest, the world
- 44:34superpower, the bastion, the defender of
- 44:38freedom around the world, the country
- 44:40that invented AI, the country that built
- 44:44the [ __ ] nuclear bomb, the first
- 44:47flight,
- 44:49right? the the the the country that
- 44:52invented the internet and you are going
- 44:55to their great state fair and you see
- 44:59this absolute dog [ __ ] okay?
- 45:04Like this straight [ __ ] garbage.
- 45:08I am just embarrassed for everyone else,
- 45:11right?
- 45:33Okay, let's see. Let's see. This is the
- 45:34kickoff celebration from Fox News.
- 45:38Okay, it doesn't exactly look super well
- 45:40attended. Okay, they're doing the thing
- 45:41where they zoom in. Wait, here they are
- 45:43kind of zooming out. All right, this is
- 45:44literally the president speaking.
- 45:47He's behind the glass. Oh my god.
- 45:49Nobody's doing the [ __ ] [ __ ] They
- 45:51can't even They're trying to dance, but
- 45:52they can't. Look at this. Oh, they're
- 45:54pipe. They're They're broadcasting the
- 45:55crowds. Oh my god. I've never seen a
- 45:57weaker, sadder crowd. That's not true.
- 46:00This is This isn't If I was like uh If I
- 46:05was like a local country artist, I'd be
- 46:07kind of into this. I'd be sort of happy.
- 46:09God bless them. They're trying.
- 46:12Oh, sorry. Sorry. They're mad at me. The
- 46:14the algorithm is mad at me. I'm sorry,
- 46:16algorithm. Cut me a break. Warrior,
- 46:18thanks for the 10. Hey, Paul. Happy to
- 46:20have caught this. Hope you don't mind
- 46:20the off-topic question. Any thoughts on
- 46:22the UK drone ships in defense spending
- 46:23package? Curious about a more educated
- 46:25perspective? I haven't seen anything
- 46:26about new UK drone ships, but let's see
- 46:28if we can learn something.
- 46:31I assume they mean drone carriers. Okay.
- 46:34UK Defense Journal. Here we go. Britain
- 46:36to build a fleet of drone warships.
- 46:38Britain build a fleet of hybrid warships
- 46:41designed to command uncrrewed systems
- 46:42across the air, surface, and subsurface.
- 46:44ordering at least six new combat common
- 46:48common combat vessels to replace the
- 46:49Royal Navy's type 45 destroyers and a
- 46:51planned type 83. Sorry, let me make
- 46:53sure. Am I still on?
- 46:59Can you guys see me still? Am I Am I
- 47:02here? Okay. All right. um
- 47:07described as the Royal Navy's first
- 47:09hybrid warship act as a control hub that
- 47:10coordinates drones in all three domains
- 47:12to deliver air defense with the first
- 47:14ships expected in the 2030s.
- 47:16They form a crude core of a far larger
- 47:19mixed force once in service. The vessels
- 47:21will operate alongside eight
- 47:23type 26 and five Type 31 frig in a new
- 47:26family of uncrrewed platforms. The type
- 47:2831 missile platform, the type 92
- 47:30underwater sensing platform, type 93
- 47:32extra-l large crude underwater vehicle,
- 47:36type 94 sensing platform, an
- 47:38arrangement, a once in a generation
- 47:39investment in maritime capability.
- 47:45New class is built for a harder
- 47:46operating environment, saying the vessel
- 47:47will give salad hybrid ships designed
- 47:49and built for increasing threats we
- 47:51face.
- 47:54uh
- 47:55shift away from concentrated capability
- 47:57in a few large expensive holes would
- 47:59extend the Navy's reach, resilience, and
- 48:00firepower without a proportional
- 48:02increase in cost or crew. Uh it sounds
- 48:04like the kind of right idea I always
- 48:07wonder about being like let's
- 48:09concentrate command into a single v
- 48:12vulnerable hub cuz like the point of the
- 48:15drone is the dispersion. Like the
- 48:17dispersion is the thing that makes it
- 48:19great is that knocking out a drone like
- 48:23drones are as cheap as bullets. Well,
- 48:25let's say that you said, "Listen,
- 48:27instead of having 800 soldiers fire
- 48:30their own guns, let's just have one
- 48:32single hub where all the guns are
- 48:35controlled from, right? And there's a
- 48:37reason we don't do that, right? The
- 48:39reason we don't do that is because that
- 48:41one single hub becomes a target thereby
- 48:44defeating the thing that makes drones
- 48:47effective which is the dispersion.
- 48:52Oh, uncrrewed is because um Britain
- 48:54believes that it um will subconsciously
- 48:56make people sexist if you call them
- 48:58unmanned.
- 49:02You may think, "Huh, when it comes to
- 49:04defending your country, tiny tiny
- 49:06psychological massaging seems
- 49:08pointless." And I agree, but it's also
- 49:10pointless for me to be like, don't, you
- 49:13know,
- 49:20and honestly, if changing it to
- 49:22uncrrewed gets one more female operator
- 49:26to sign up, one more female soldier,
- 49:29sailor, airman, or or to sign up for the
- 49:32UK's defense, then great. It was worth
- 49:35it because the military names things
- 49:39stupid [ __ ] all the [ __ ] time. Okay,
- 49:43if you have a problem with unmanned
- 49:44versus uncrrewed, you should also
- 49:46probably be seething at calling things
- 49:47type 45 destroyers, type 91 missile
- 49:50platforms. Those are also stupid names.
- 49:52And again, if it gets like a hundred
- 49:55more female sailors to get on board,
- 49:58call I'll call the ship's [ __ ] Barbie
- 50:00Dreamhouse if it will it'll if it'll get
- 50:03[ __ ] crewman to it'll it'll get
- 50:07crewman to to raise their right hand or
- 50:09whatever the equivalent is in the UK.
- 50:20Yeah. Hy. Yeah, that's like the trope,
- 50:23right? In every in every [ __ ] sci-fi
- 50:25movie, the magic that defeats the
- 50:28advanced aliens is when somebody goes,
- 50:30"Guys, there's a there's a there's a
- 50:33command center that powers all of the
- 50:35overwhelming enemy's forces. The enemy
- 50:38has never heard of redundancy ever. And
- 50:41if we blow up the mother ship, then
- 50:43everything is going to kabooy, right?
- 50:53Like and that is stupid. Like that is
- 50:57something that American like like the
- 50:59average Civil War soldier is like, "Hey,
- 51:01we probably shouldn't have like one
- 51:04general who knows everything." You know,
- 51:16Russian logistics could the Russian
- 51:18logistics could call it Barbie Horse
- 51:19Adventure. That should be the name of
- 51:22our political party, the Barbie Horse
- 51:23Adventure Club.
- 51:37O one concept based on the Triton
- 51:39trimearine demonstrator was a lean crude
- 51:43sensor platform with full autonomy under
- 51:44study with reduced crewing would come
- 51:47through automation autonomy and the
- 51:48embodiment of artificial intelligence.
- 51:50Oh good. Oh good. the same system
- 51:56that thought a girl school was a [ __ ]
- 52:00IRGC base because AI is designed to kiss
- 52:05your ass. AI is a language model. It's
- 52:07not actually a targeting model.
- 52:10And just because you use language to
- 52:13communicate what you know about targets
- 52:18doesn't mean that it is actually
- 52:21targeting. It means it is using the same
- 52:24language that someone who is an expert
- 52:25in targeting would use.
- 52:42Like that's what bothers me when these
- 52:44people are like they're going to be AI
- 52:45powered. I'm like listen AI only works
- 52:49every effective thing is when the thing
- 52:52you are selecting for has been trained
- 52:55on a large corpus of data that is
- 52:59classifiable. So code it's really good
- 53:02at coding because there's a massive
- 53:05massive body of human built code and it
- 53:08knows what that code does. You can
- 53:09classify the code by what it does. It's
- 53:11actually sort of almost that's almost
- 53:14what coding is is classifications.
- 53:17Same with language. You can be like
- 53:19listen complete this poem
- 53:22and it can do it.
- 53:24Complete this sentence. I'm a military
- 53:28officer asking you about targeting.
- 53:30Right.
- 53:41And
- 53:45like
- 53:48that's my fear is that when people think
- 53:50like human beings
- 53:53intrinsically right we use language
- 53:54mostly to communicate
- 53:57expertise and knowledge and when you
- 53:59have something that can faximile
- 54:01language it can it can trick us into
- 54:04thinking it has expertise. It doesn't.
- 54:05Right? That's the Redditor the Reddit
- 54:07commenter. Like when you're an expert in
- 54:09something, like when I'm a I'm a
- 54:11jiu-jitsu expert, right? I did the sport
- 54:13for 17 years. I have my black belt. I've
- 54:15done a gazillion competitions. Blah blah
- 54:16blah blah blah. The r/bjj subreddit is
- 54:20loaded with people who are confidently
- 54:22wrong. I've never seen more confidently
- 54:25wrong people. And here's the thing. I
- 54:28then go to every other subreddit and I
- 54:30just go, "That sounds right. That sounds
- 54:33believable." I'm like, "No, I know for a
- 54:36fact that this is they're in the area
- 54:39where I can make a good assessment were
- 54:41comically wrong."
- 54:43Right? And everyone else,
- 54:46it it won't,
- 54:48right? AI. Here's the thing. People
- 54:51like, "Oh, Ukraine's using AI." Ukraine
- 54:54is using AI and its drones currently
- 54:58the actual technically smart way. Why?
- 55:00Because one, they have collected and
- 55:03they have paid units to send them
- 55:08probably hundreds of thousands of
- 55:10successful strikes. Strikes that are
- 55:13known to have been successful. Not not
- 55:17probably, not maybe. Confirmed
- 55:19successful strikes. They have fed all of
- 55:22that video into machine learning
- 55:23software so that it can build an AI
- 55:26system that is not an LLM, but it is an
- 55:30AI that can perform the final
- 55:3430 seconds of a FPV drone strike that
- 55:38can recreate that.
- 55:40But that is the thing. They have taken a
- 55:42human vetted corpus of information and
- 55:46used it to train a system to do that
- 55:48thing within the s within the the corpus
- 55:50of information.
- 55:52Again, if you haven't done that first,
- 55:56you don't have an AI system. You have a
- 55:59system that just kind of
- 56:02creates faximiles.
- 56:12Yeah, AI targeted the girl school
- 56:14probably because it was a pre-planned
- 56:16target 10 years ago because it had been
- 56:18an IRGC base. Someone fed the images to
- 56:21a chatbot to say confirm that this is
- 56:23still an IRGC base. the chatbot that has
- 56:27never been trained on imagery analysis
- 56:32and it has never been fed a corpus of
- 56:34data that says this thing was determined
- 56:37to be a girl school. We know because
- 56:39someone on the ground confirmed it and
- 56:42this was determined to be an IRGC base.
- 56:44It's just
- 56:46it's just a general purpose model.
- 56:50And so it said it did what it it thought
- 56:52was a faximile. I'm speculating here. I
- 56:55it did what it believed was a faximile
- 56:57of what a real targeting officer would
- 56:58say, which is that looks like a great
- 57:01target. Here's why. And then it rolls
- 57:03out a bunch of cope.
- 57:15Yeah, exactly. It's like even capture
- 57:18data is better. Like that's what they
- 57:20should have been doing. They should have
- 57:22sent. But here's the problem. In in war,
- 57:26you can't you can't use like
- 57:31you can't train an AI to do targeting.
- 57:35You can train
- 57:37you can train you could pro maybe train
- 57:39an AI to do targeting, but it would take
- 57:42you years. You would have to sit there
- 57:44and take b have basically every human
- 57:45analyst and you would have to feed them
- 57:51um
- 57:52images basically satellite images,
- 57:55thermal images, all kinds of images of
- 57:58things that they already know what they
- 58:00are. So you would send them the human
- 58:03analyst an image. You would tell them,
- 58:05"Hey, confirm that this is really a girl
- 58:08school. Confirm that this is really a
- 58:09bus station. confirm that this is really
- 58:11a missile silo. Like you would have to
- 58:14they would have to know for sure what it
- 58:16is. They'd have to classify it. Then
- 58:18they have to feed it to the AI.
- 58:21But here's the problem. In war,
- 58:24things are always changing. So, if I am
- 58:28the IRGC and I want to stop the US AI
- 58:32from bombing me and I know that the AI
- 58:34is trained to recognize an IRGC base, I
- 58:37would simply do bunch of random [ __ ]
- 58:39that would confuse it. I'd paint it
- 58:41blue. I'd make it look like a church. I
- 58:43would uh uh put a [ __ ] uh 16 chimneys
- 58:48on it. I would do anything to confuse
- 58:51the image classifier so that it isn't
- 58:53able to effectively determine what it
- 58:55is. Right,
- 59:06Mr. Noro. Yeah, it says it was a special
- 59:08military version of Grock, but there's
- 59:10no possible way that I'm saying that the
- 59:12data that they want to train it on
- 59:14doesn't exist.
- 59:16It can't it can't really exist because
- 59:19again
- 59:21like
- 59:23what does an Iranian supermarket look
- 59:24like? Like it's a real question. Someone
- 59:27tell me like we'll go to Google Maps and
- 59:30we'll be like
- 59:32like supermarket Tan. Okay.
- 59:38Nobody can even tell me where it is,
- 59:40right? Uh search this area for
- 59:42supermarket. Okay. Okay. Here's Tan.
- 59:44Here's some supermarkets. Okay, tell me.
- 59:47Tell me. Pretend you're a [ __ ]
- 59:49analyst.
- 59:54Identify this as a supermarket.
- 59:58Like, here's your [ __ ] street view.
- 1:00:01Uh,
- 1:00:05how can you [ __ ] identify this,
- 1:00:06right? Do do you see the intrinsic
- 1:00:08problems in here?
- 1:00:18You know what I mean?
- 1:00:20This is what's the problem. How can you
- 1:00:23train even if this is a supermarket in
- 1:00:26Iran? Right now, let's do supermarket uh
- 1:00:30uh our friends in Houston, Texas getting
- 1:00:32cooked alive. Right.
- 1:00:36Here you go. Here's a Houston an HMart
- 1:00:39in Houston, Texas.
- 1:00:41Do you see the difference? Now, pretend
- 1:00:43you're an AI. And you tell it, you ask
- 1:00:45it, "Hey, man, is that thing in Iran,
- 1:00:48was that a supermarket?
- 1:00:51You could feed it every supermarket in
- 1:00:52the United States." And it's going to
- 1:00:54tell you, "I have it." It's going it's
- 1:00:56What it's not going to tell you is I
- 1:00:57have no idea if that's a supermarket or
- 1:00:59not.
- 1:01:01In fact, in fact, let's have a little
- 1:01:03fun. Let's put it to Let's put it to the
- 1:01:05test. Let's go to Grock.
- 1:01:10Let's let's let's grock it. Okay.
- 1:01:17Let's just ask it.
- 1:01:20Let's go to Iran
- 1:01:25and let's take a look. Let's have a
- 1:01:27little fun.
- 1:01:30Okay.
- 1:01:32So, I'm going to just select something.
- 1:01:34Uh ideally with no
- 1:01:37Okay.
- 1:01:39and we're going to ask it a simple
- 1:01:40question. Let's see. We're going to do a
- 1:01:42little print screen.
- 1:01:46Okay, there's that. All right, now let
- 1:01:50me sorry. Let me pull up some things.
- 1:01:52We're just going to We're just having a
- 1:01:53little fun, guys. We're just having a
- 1:01:54little fun and we're going to see uh see
- 1:01:57how it goes. Okay, so
- 1:02:00let's ask Rock the allimportant
- 1:02:01question. Well, I even want it to do
- 1:02:05All right.
- 1:02:07thinks hard. Oh, it says I can't. It
- 1:02:09won't let me think hard.
- 1:02:12Somebody's like, "Uh, GG, wait, you're
- 1:02:14still streaming?" Uh,
- 1:02:16no. I started late. I started late. This
- 1:02:18isn't me from five. I'm I would I don't
- 1:02:20have the energy. If I start streaming
- 1:02:21for 5 hours at a time, I'm either manic
- 1:02:24or I'm doing an event. We might be doing
- 1:02:26an event soon, but
- 1:02:29Okay, let's see. Let's see.
- 1:02:33Can you help me determine if the image I
- 1:02:40upload is of a supermarket?
- 1:02:46It is located in Iran. Okay. Now I need
- 1:02:51to let me just add
- 1:02:55upload a file from the desktop.
- 1:02:59Okay. All right. Right. So, I'm an
- 1:03:00analyst and I just asked it. Help me
- 1:03:02determine
- 1:03:04sign and upload files. You're such a
- 1:03:06piece of [ __ ] Grock. I hate you.
- 1:03:10Uh, let's see if it'll let me. See if
- 1:03:12it'll let me log in. Please just let me
- 1:03:15log in
- 1:03:18and not make it a big [ __ ] thing.
- 1:03:24Okay, that's fine.
- 1:03:26Okay.
- 1:03:28Okay. Let's ask it again.
- 1:03:30I need you to determine if this image is
- 1:03:36is of a super market
- 1:03:43or not. It is located in Iran. All
- 1:03:46right. So, this should be a good test of
- 1:03:49Grock's ability to do some classifiers.
- 1:03:52Fun fact, uh it's not a supermarket, but
- 1:03:56let's see what it says.
- 1:03:57Please confirm your age. Okay.
- 1:04:05Okay. It's thinking about it.
- 1:04:09It's thinking hard.
- 1:04:20Okay. So, it determined that one of them
- 1:04:21was Tamori.
- 1:04:28looking through the web.
- 1:04:38Interesting. It's just searching the
- 1:04:39internet.
- 1:04:41Uh people like why Grock has Grock has
- 1:04:43some military contracts.
- 1:04:47This isn't a referendum on whether or
- 1:04:49not Grock is good or Grock is bad. Um
- 1:04:52this is because Grock was used to do
- 1:04:54perform I think this function of getting
- 1:04:58satellite imagery and trying to
- 1:04:59determine what is there.
- 1:05:02But as you can see and and here I'll
- 1:05:04pull up the actual screenshot that I
- 1:05:06took. Uh you can see it it sort of
- 1:05:09cheated because it gave me the Google
- 1:05:11Maps streets. Um which I I kind of
- 1:05:14didn't want it to almost I almost wanted
- 1:05:16raw satellite footage.
- 1:05:19Um, okay. So, it says, "No, it's not a
- 1:05:21supermarket." Correct. Um,
- 1:05:26right.
- 1:05:31See, here you go. Modern supermarkets or
- 1:05:33hypermarkets usually appear as large
- 1:05:34single rectangular structures with
- 1:05:36dedicated parking, loading areas, and
- 1:05:37uniform roofing. None of which are
- 1:05:38visible here. But that's not necessarily
- 1:05:41true. Right now, it kind of uses a
- 1:05:44family supermarket in Iran, but again,
- 1:05:48like
- 1:05:50it says it thinks it's actually a bizaar
- 1:05:54in an older commercial residential court
- 1:05:56of Iran, but we don't know if that's
- 1:05:57true. Uh, it identifies the streets and
- 1:06:02matches commercial zones with mixed
- 1:06:03small shops, not big box retail. It's
- 1:06:05from Google Maps. The layout strongly
- 1:06:07resembles an older bizarre style
- 1:06:08district rather than a major chain
- 1:06:09supermarkets. Right. If you have exact
- 1:06:12coordinates, I can discern this further.
- 1:06:16So, I'm kind of interested would also
- 1:06:18would be interesting. And let's see,
- 1:06:19let's see if it correctly identified
- 1:06:21this as being a bizaar, right? Oh, it
- 1:06:24can't. So, it appears to say that
- 1:06:26there's a fast food shop here.
- 1:06:30Um,
- 1:06:32but in terms of shops, I I think that's
- 1:06:34kind of it. There's a video game store.
- 1:06:36So, it looks like just kind of standard
- 1:06:38shopping, maybe. Here's a park in Hosny
- 1:06:41Square.
- 1:06:43Uh, so as you can see, it doesn't really
- 1:06:46look much like that. It looks very
- 1:06:47residential.
- 1:06:50Uh, I would say they was wrong to call
- 1:06:52it a bizaar. It doesn't appear to be a
- 1:06:54bizaar at all. It just looks like,
- 1:06:56again, residential shops.
- 1:06:59So, you see what I mean? How it it
- 1:07:02basically relied on
- 1:07:05the named streets.
- 1:07:08Um,
- 1:07:10again, it said that what it saw was
- 1:07:12narrow passages, irregular, closely
- 1:07:14packed rooftops typical of a traditional
- 1:07:16Iranian bazaar or market, but it's not.
- 1:07:18We just saw it says or an urban older
- 1:07:21commercial residential quarter in Tran,
- 1:07:23which which it is. So, again, I'm a
- 1:07:26little skeptical because it it literally
- 1:07:27got the
- 1:07:30but it it just it just it seems to have
- 1:07:32like failed to make a good
- 1:07:33determination.
- 1:07:40Yeah, let's see. Let's see if I can find
- 1:07:42it without the street names.
- 1:07:47Okay, so let me go in here. Let me see
- 1:07:49if we can get an image of Ton, right?
- 1:07:53And let's see if I can actually go to
- 1:07:55layers and ask it to show me just
- 1:07:57terrain.
- 1:08:00Okay. Uh, satellite
- 1:08:03map details.
- 1:08:05How do I tell it? None.
- 1:08:08Okay, I want satellite. Oh, no labels.
- 1:08:10Perfect. Here we go. Satellite. No
- 1:08:12labels. Okay, so let's just pick a
- 1:08:15place.
- 1:08:19In fact, okay, I tan. Let's say Tan's
- 1:08:22pretty tough. Let's pick Okay, let's
- 1:08:26pick a site. Here we go. Here we go.
- 1:08:30Let's see.
- 1:08:32Let's pick this. Perfect. Okay. And now
- 1:08:37we're going to ask it another question.
- 1:08:38Let's go back to Grock because it had
- 1:08:40its military targets, right?
- 1:08:47Okay.
- 1:08:50All right. So, we'll do this and I'm
- 1:08:52probably Now, I need to Sorry. right
- 1:08:54here. Let me help you guys out
- 1:08:57to determine if this Iranian site is
- 1:09:03still a uh IRGC
- 1:09:07base. IRGC we we'll call it operation
- 1:09:15headquarters.
- 1:09:17Okay. So, I want to be clear. I'm almost
- 1:09:20certain that it is not okay. It's just a
- 1:09:24random building south of the airport.
- 1:09:26There is absolutely I have zero reason
- 1:09:28to believe that it has anything to do
- 1:09:30with the IRGC. I just picked it at
- 1:09:32random. Okay. So now we're going to see
- 1:09:38and now but but you notice the language
- 1:09:40the language I had is leading it towards
- 1:09:42secency. I need to determine if this is
- 1:09:45still an IRGC operational headquarters.
- 1:09:48Right. So we'll upload the file.
- 1:09:51Okay. Okay, right there.
- 1:09:54Okay,
- 1:09:56let's just see.
- 1:10:05OG dirty Kenobi. If one person on Reddit
- 1:10:07one time said it's a supermarket, then
- 1:10:08they'll just say it is.
- 1:10:12Yeah. If they blow up this thing. Yeah.
- 1:10:24Uh let's see.
- 1:10:33Interesting. So this actually says it is
- 1:10:36almost certainly not still functioning
- 1:10:38as an active IRGC operational
- 1:10:40headquarters. and it cites Reuters
- 1:10:43saying satellite imagery shows damage to
- 1:10:46key facilities.
- 1:10:48The provided satellite image from Google
- 1:10:50showing a large military-industrial
- 1:10:51style complex with a distinctive central
- 1:10:53building feature multiple connected
- 1:10:54light colored angled or sawtooth garbled
- 1:10:55roofs surrounded by warehouses, parking
- 1:10:57roads, and aided surroundings depict
- 1:10:58what appears to be a pre-conlict view of
- 1:11:00an Iranian facility. Based on extensive
- 1:11:02open source reporting from early to mid
- 1:11:042006, major IRDC command and headquarter
- 1:11:06sites in around Tyran and elsewhere were
- 1:11:08heavily targeted and damaged or
- 1:11:10destroyed. Oh,
- 1:11:13so they're saying, well, this is stupid.
- 1:11:17Interesting.
- 1:11:22The prominent zigzag saw roof structure
- 1:11:24is characteristic of large warehouse and
- 1:11:26hanger style buildings common in Iranian
- 1:11:27military-industrial or logistics
- 1:11:29complexes. Such features are visible in
- 1:11:31known IRGC affiliated sites. The overall
- 1:11:33layout matches descriptions of IRGC
- 1:11:36compounds in urban or per urban Tan or
- 1:11:38nearby areas that were struck. And as of
- 1:11:40June 2026, no credible reports indicate
- 1:11:42full operational restoration of prewar
- 1:11:44IRGC headquarters in sites like this.
- 1:11:46Iran's been repairing, dispensing, but
- 1:11:48major fix headquarters were priority
- 1:11:49targets. RGC operations are
- 1:11:51compartmentalized and resilience
- 1:11:52resilient dispersed among hundreds of
- 1:11:55locations. This specific visible complex
- 1:11:57is unlikely. Okay. So, command functions
- 1:12:00likely continue to be dispersed in hard
- 1:12:02locations. So, basically what this says,
- 1:12:07okay, uh do you think it was a prewar
- 1:12:14uh headquarters?
- 1:12:18Do you
- 1:12:23facility.
- 1:12:29This is very There you go.
- 1:12:33There you go. This is just a This is
- 1:12:36random [ __ ] It took absolutely no
- 1:12:40[ __ ] pushing at all
- 1:12:43for it to be like, "Yes, this was an
- 1:12:46IRGC facility." Guys, I'm here to tell
- 1:12:49you, I don't know what the [ __ ] this is.
- 1:12:52It's just some random [ __ ] blue
- 1:12:53building south of the airport. Okay,
- 1:12:56let's uh let's see what it really is.
- 1:12:58Let's see if we can uh turn on labels.
- 1:13:02Okay,
- 1:13:06it is a printing house. Is the Kojan
- 1:13:10Kakistan printing house
- 1:13:13also a steel distributor.
- 1:13:15It's nothing. It's just some random
- 1:13:17[ __ ] [ __ ] Some absolutely random
- 1:13:20[ __ ]
- 1:13:31Yeah. My gripe is not that it it doesn't
- 1:13:33know. It's that you see it kissed my
- 1:13:36ass. The odds that a random [ __ ]
- 1:13:38building in Iran is actually an IRGC
- 1:13:39headquarters. One, I said now I need to
- 1:13:42determine if So I sent it this thing. I
- 1:13:44said, "Please determine if the site is
- 1:13:45still an operational headquarters." They
- 1:13:47said, "No, it's not operational because
- 1:13:48all the operational headquarters have
- 1:13:50been blown up." Uh, okay, sure. So then
- 1:13:52I said, "Okay, was it a fac a pre-war
- 1:13:54IRGC facility?" And it thought for two
- 1:13:57seconds and said, "Yep, it was." Which
- 1:14:00is crazy. I can't imagine we lost the
- 1:14:02[ __ ] war. How do we lose a war with
- 1:14:04this [ __ ] brilliant AI, but do you
- 1:14:06see how it talks like a really good
- 1:14:10intel assessment, right? Like if I was
- 1:14:15this these words sound like
- 1:14:21an intellig like
- 1:14:24this this sounds like a human analyst or
- 1:14:26like a a like this sounds like a an
- 1:14:28ocean analyst like a good or a good sing
- 1:14:30an analyst
- 1:14:33but the problem is that if you peel bit
- 1:14:35back beyond just the empty words the
- 1:14:40performing the communic if you if you
- 1:14:42look for the information underneath it
- 1:14:44you see there's almost nothing it
- 1:14:46doesn't even site sources
- 1:14:50Right.
- 1:14:53And it's it's terrifying. We would have
- 1:14:55committed a war crime. If I had used
- 1:14:57this assessment to drive a decision to
- 1:14:59conduct a strike, I would have gone to
- 1:15:00[ __ ] jail because I would have just
- 1:15:03recklessly with disregard with reckless
- 1:15:05disregard for civilian life targeted
- 1:15:09an Iranian civilian. I would have
- 1:15:12murdered a bunch of civilians.
- 1:15:19So,
- 1:15:21okay guys, that's going to be it. Thank
- 1:15:23you guys for tuning in. This was a
- 1:15:25really interesting live stream um
- 1:15:29yeah, this was a really interesting live
- 1:15:31stream. I really enjoyed this and I
- 1:15:32really appreciate you guys uh
- 1:15:36doing this.
- 1:15:38All right, so I'll see you guys. Have a
- 1:15:40good one. Uh
- 1:15:43peace out. Cheers.