Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | Sued by Jayden Daniels | MLB & WNBA | 8/19/26

Transcript

Wednesday BEST BETS | Sued by Jayden Daniels | MLB & WNBA | 8/19/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chase the black coffee on the felt. Man, you
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: look like a mist three teen Parlette turned the dust
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man. But don't you go quiet?
• 0:35
  Speaker 3: Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name steal means something on somebody for show. Put
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 4: Nine, hold on, hold on nothing nice now, hold on,
• 1:00
  Speaker 4: hold on me.
• 1:03
  Speaker 5: For you, but it all get the crown, hold on,
• 1:16
  Speaker 5: hold on, stay with me now.
• 1:32
  Speaker 3: Somehow my mic doesn't unmute. Now when the intro ends,
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: that's awesome. What's up, everybody? It's Toad back with you,
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: toadstool sports whatever. Wednesday, August nineteenth. Can I say that
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: I'm hot again? I don't know when am I here
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: or not? No, I roll out of bed and I
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: just do the show the way that I slept.
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: So that's hot.
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: You know, three and er on the show yesterday, So
• 1:56
  Speaker 3: I'm happy about that. I think it was all jgitimate winners.
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: The Yankees won. I mean, that's the only time where
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: I won't be extremely mad about that is when we
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: have them as a play first five under Detroit Pittsburgh.
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: It hit if you took the four and a half,
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: if you took a four.
• 2:13
  Speaker 3: It was a push, but it should have been way
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: easier than it was.
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: It was a zero zero game into the fifth inning,
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: and then the full game.
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: Wound up going under as well, but all the runs
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: came in the fifth inning.
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: Four runs in the fifth inning.
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: It was three to one Pittsburgh at the end of
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: the fifth and then no more runs in the game,
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: and Pittsburgh's bullpen basically didn't even have to come into
• 2:34
  Speaker 3: the game. Ashcraft i think went eight innings again, So
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: that's the thing. It's hard to gauge, like how long
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: is the starter going to be in this game? You know,
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: when you're trying to avoid the bullpen. Last two times
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: Ashcraft was out there, there was no bullpen to avoid,
• 2:49
  Speaker 3: and we backed him in some way in the first
• 2:51
  Speaker 3: five and both of them, but the bullpen pitched one
• 2:53
  Speaker 3: inning I think combined across those two games. So you
• 2:58
  Speaker 3: never know, man, you might have your actually go almost
• 3:02
  Speaker 3: the entire game. But whatever, it was still a winner
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: if you got the four and a half, and it
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: should have been easier. Just so happened that all the
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: runs came in the fifth inning, except there was one
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: more run after that.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I think Pittsburgh won four to one.
• 3:16
  Speaker 3: But yeah, if it's zero zero going into the fifth inning,
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: and yeah, I mean, that should be a pretty easy
• 3:22
  Speaker 3: winner on the under there Arizona Boston, that was an
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: easy over as well. That game was it was over
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: probably by like the third or fourth inning. Once it
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: hit four to four, it was guaranteed to go over
• 3:36
  Speaker 3: the total. And that game, Suarez, I mean, I think
• 3:41
  Speaker 3: he was better than maybe his pitching line looked in
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: that game. It was like one inning where everything just
• 3:47
  Speaker 3: kind of unraffled. The Red Sox had a three nothing lead,
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: and then Suarez gave up these two blue hits that
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: just landed in the shallow outfield. And this was all
• 3:56
  Speaker 3: with two outs, by the way, I think in the
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: third inning, two like bluep that you couldn't do anything about.
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: They just landed in the right place in the shallow outfield.
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: Then I think he might have walked the next guy,
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: and then he gives up a grand slam and that
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: all happened with two outs in the third inning, and
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: then he stayed in the game for I think at
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: least two more innings, and he didn't give up any
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: more runs, so I don't know. But then the Red
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: Sox of course got their runs back, like right after
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: Suarez gave that up Rechman homer to tie the game.
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: Then the Red Sox scored again, and then the Red
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: Sox scored more times to make that thing go easily
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: over the total. It was a nine to four win
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: in that one.
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: Macadoo, what's up?
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: Yes, thank you, I'm not the goat though, thank you
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: for hanging out. Let's get into this man again. I
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: don't want these shows to take as long as they do,
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: but I don't know. I mean, I need to find
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: some way to condense these things. I'm just not really
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: able to do it because of autism. Probably we have
• 4:54
  Speaker 3: after noon baseball here, a few after noon games here.
• 4:57
  Speaker 3: Some of these series are ending. Detroit Pittsburgh is the
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: first one. These teams have split the series so far.
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: Both teams I think are trying here, Like Pittsburgh's technically
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: not eliminated yet, although in the NL it's highly unlikely
• 5:11
  Speaker 3: they're gonna be able to make the playoffs at this point.
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: Detroit definitely can in the AL, so maybe a little
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: bit more motivation on the Detroit side here, Detroit does
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: have the better bullpen. They used two guys out of
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: the bullpen yesterday, Pittsburgh used one. Whoever wins this game
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: also wins the series, of course, But yeah, Ashcraft basically
• 5:32
  Speaker 3: save Pittsburgh's bullpen yesterday. Detroit's number fourteen in bullpen arranged
• 5:37
  Speaker 3: by whip Pittsburgh is where are they twenty third? So yeah,
• 5:42
  Speaker 3: Detroit ranks higher in the bullpen. Pittsburgh is the better offense.
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: They're fourth. Detroit is thirteenth, tied with Minnesota right now.
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh is a pretty good offense at home. Detroit is
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: going with Jackson job in this game. I'm not sure
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: what to make of him. He pitched a bit last year,
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: Like that's the biggest gage that we have is his
• 6:03
  Speaker 3: ten starts last year, and he wasn't great, Like he
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: walked way too many guys and he wasn't that good
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: of a strikeout guy. So I don't know, man, there
• 6:12
  Speaker 3: isn't that much to like about him. He's got a
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: six point two to three e RA this year and
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: one point three eight whip only in two starts though,
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: And people were looking at him and oh he had
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: a good start against San Francisco. Okay, yeah, well San
• 6:25
  Speaker 3: Francisco in San Francisco pitcher friendly park, San Francisco is
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: not a good offense. But I felt like people were
• 6:30
  Speaker 3: like really hyping job up after that because he shut
• 6:34
  Speaker 3: them out for five innings. Okay, well, then what did
• 6:36
  Speaker 3: he do in his next start? He came home and
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: he got obliterated by the White Sox. So I'm not
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: sure that he's really that good. Although he's not really
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: walking anybody right now this year eight to two strikeout
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: walk race year this year, he's actually getting hit too hard.
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: He's got done no stats against Pittsburgh, so he is
• 6:54
  Speaker 3: unfamiliar to them, so that could be an advantage to
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: the pitcher when the posing lineup hasn't seen before.
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: I don't think I trust him though.
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: His numbers don't look trustworthy in me, so I don't
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: really want much to do with him here. You'll get
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: maybe some value on him because he's going up against
• 7:11
  Speaker 3: Paul's Skins, but Paul's skeins. You could start arguing that
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: there's gonna be value backing Paul Skins at some point
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: here because there's something that looks like it has not
• 7:21
  Speaker 3: been right with him, like his velocity's been down a
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: few miles an hour.
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: I don't know what is going on with him.
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: He's having his worst season, even though his numbers look
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: pretty good. Three point eight eight ERA, one point one
• 7:32
  Speaker 3: two whip.
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: And unhealthy schemes.
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: Is still an above average pitcher, but this year has
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: been a disappointment. He is better at home three point
• 7:41
  Speaker 3: four to four homy ra. He got through his last
• 7:45
  Speaker 3: start against Miami, he only went five innings. He hasn't
• 7:48
  Speaker 3: made it past five innings for three starts in a
• 7:50
  Speaker 3: row now. Pirates have lost four starts in a row
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: of his, and they had won three in a row
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: prior to that, but before that, I think they'd lost
• 7:58
  Speaker 3: nine or ten in a row. Are not going well
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: for him or for the Pirates when he's on the mound.
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: It's not all him, though. Some of it is that
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: they're not backing him up with runs or that the
• 8:08
  Speaker 3: bullpen isn't doing well. He's had a few legitimately bad
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: starts in here, but he's not this like elite pitcher
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: that he's supposed to be right now, so it seems
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: like there is something wrong with him. His strikeout walk
• 8:21
  Speaker 3: ratio is still pretty good, but it's a little bit down,
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: and strike out for nine is actually pretty much right
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: in line with where it has been. So it's like, well,
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: what's going on with them? Like what, He's still striking
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: guys out, his walk rate's still pretty low, his hit
• 8:35
  Speaker 3: rate is still low. So I mean, I think it's
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: just a combination, I guess of the the hit I
• 8:40
  Speaker 3: guess it's maybe that he is walking more people than
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: he usually does, and maybe he's a little bit more hittable.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: He's been good against Detroit.
• 8:46
  Speaker 3: In the past, and twenty nine at bats they have
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: five hitters w have faced him, so it's not a
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: huge sample, but he's dominated these guys ten strikeouts, two walks,
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: one oh three average three twenty five ops. I don't
• 8:58
  Speaker 3: really want to fade scheme, and you got to think
• 9:01
  Speaker 3: that at some point they're gonna kind of figure out
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: what's wrong with him and whatever schemes is better than job.
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: I mean, you have to pay about minus one fifty
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: for Pittsburgh. The money is back in Pittsburgh, seventy six
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: percent of tickets, ninety one percent of the cash on them.
• 9:16
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna do it at this price, and you
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: can kind of tell what I'm doing today if you
• 9:21
  Speaker 3: see my title and you get the joke here. We
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: may or may not have numerous first fives today, and
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: they're all in the later part of the board. It's
• 9:30
  Speaker 3: all night stuff for me today. I don't like the afternoon.
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: Board like I was.
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: I got through most of the board and I was
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: thinking I was gonna skip the whole board, but then
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: I started liking like most of the later games, and
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: I was like, oh.
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: Okay, I gotta narrow this down now.
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: Anyway I think I had man, I mean, I think
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: I would lean Pittsburgh here, but I don't want to
• 9:51
  Speaker 3: do it. I don't want to trust it. It looks
• 9:53
  Speaker 3: like a somewhat cheap price really to get Paul skeens
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: at you could, like, you can make it like a
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: minus one run line and get the price down. Pittsburgh
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: hits well enough at home that maybe they can accomplish
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: that the money's also coming in on the over, which
• 10:07
  Speaker 3: I don't really think I agree with that. To me,
• 10:09
  Speaker 3: it seems like both pitchers might set up for more
• 10:12
  Speaker 3: of an underish type of game because there's a lot
• 10:15
  Speaker 3: of unfamiliarity here. Schemes is just generally pretty good, So
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: I don't know. It's a hard game to figure out
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: because we need to know what is going on with skiings,
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: So I don't know San Diego and the Mets. This
• 10:28
  Speaker 3: has been a pretty low scoring series, which is what
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: I expected. Both games, I think, have gone under the total.
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: So far, each team has won a game. The Mets
• 10:36
  Speaker 3: won the first game and then they lost their four
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: game win streak, with San Diego winning the game yesterday,
• 10:43
  Speaker 3: which surprised me a little bit because I didn't think
• 10:44
  Speaker 3: Robbie Ray was that good, but he was able to
• 10:47
  Speaker 3: get the game yesterday. I think he got the win.
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: San Diego used three relief pitchers yesterday. Whoops, I'm looking
• 10:54
  Speaker 3: at the wrong New York team. Mets used three as well.
• 10:57
  Speaker 3: Both bullpens are pretty good. San Diego's is better. I
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: think San Diego is one of the top four or
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: five bullpends here. The ranks seventh and the Mets are
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: actually fifth, but I think San Diego is slightly better
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: than the Mets. Neither offense has done well this year.
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: San Diego twenty third, Mets twenty fifth, tied with the Reds,
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: although they've both been better recently at least. This looks
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: like a total pitching mismatch here, though, with San Diego
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: having a decent starter on the mound and the Mets
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: going with mister unsolved mysteries who was not a good pitcher.
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: Michael King is pitching for San Diego. He is fairly good,
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: a three point four to winning RA one point one
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: to nine whip advanced analytics. Guys don't really love him
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: because he doesn't strike that many guys out, but he's
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: had a good career, so it's like, how can you
• 11:46
  Speaker 3: really argue with a long career where he's put up
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: consistent numbers like this.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to tell you, man.
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: He's been slightly worse on the road, which makes sense
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: because San Diego is a pitcher of friendly park three
• 11:58
  Speaker 3: point six y five road still not bad.
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: He's still in pretty good form here.
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: He's allowed three or fewer runs in all but one
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: start going all the way back through the beginning of July.
• 12:09
  Speaker 3: He's got a low hit rate. He's hard to hit.
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: He does walk too many guys. That is kind of
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: a concern as well.
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: His walk rate.
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: I think, if I remember correctly, he usually doesn't walk
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: this many guys so I think his walk rate is
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: up from where it usually is, and his strikeout rate
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: may actually be a little bit down from where it
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: usually is. So yeah, maybe the advanced analytics guys maybe
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: have a point here with the way he's pitching right now.
• 12:31
  Speaker 3: His strikeout walk ratio is at a career low this year,
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: so that is kind of an issue.
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: And his strikeout per nine also is.
• 12:39
  Speaker 3: So he's walking more guys than usual and striking fewer
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: guys out than usual, but he's still not allowing that
• 12:45
  Speaker 3: many runs and not putting that many guys on base.
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: The Mets actually do have good numbers against him, so
• 12:51
  Speaker 3: that is concerning a two to eighty average, eight ninety
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: three ozh ps and seventy five at bats big sample.
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: There, twenty to six strikeout walk ratio.
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: So I don't really want to come in and trust King,
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: even though when I first looked at this, I was like, yeah,
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: like San Diego is gonna win this with King against
• 13:07
  Speaker 3: Robert Stock. If you have any information about how bad
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: this pitcher is, please contact po Bocks. I wish I
• 13:18
  Speaker 3: remember the number of it. Burbank, California Unsolved Mysteries. Anyway,
• 13:24
  Speaker 3: Robert Stock is not good. He's an old man, and
• 13:29
  Speaker 3: I think he hasn't really like. He has not done
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: much in Major League Baseball, and whatever he has done
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: hasn't been good. Six point five to seven. He ra
• 13:37
  Speaker 3: one point eight six whip this year. Yeah, that's not good.
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: Although he's been good at home, I guess, with a
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: point nine to six homey array. His roady array is
• 13:47
  Speaker 3: twenty four, but he's only made three starts so far,
• 13:50
  Speaker 3: and yes, his home starts have been better, but his
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: strikeout walk ratio is thirteen to eight. He's allowing more
• 13:56
  Speaker 3: hits than innings pitch fifteen and twelve and a third innings.
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: None of this is good, so I wouldn't trust him.
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: Even though he did struggle through a start against the
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: against the Nationals last time out, and he did not
• 14:08
  Speaker 3: allow any earned runs in that one, but he got
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: kind of lucky that he didn't allow any earned runs there.
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: He's not good.
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: San Diego hasn't really faced him though, only Machado has
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: seen him, and he's zero for two with no strikeouts,
• 14:20
  Speaker 3: no walks. I mean, I would still probably lean to
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: San Diego here. They do still have the better starting
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: pitcher and the better bullpen here in my opinion, the
• 14:31
  Speaker 3: money is backing them.
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: It's minus one thirty on the road.
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: I don't know if I really love that, especially with
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: King not having good matchup numbers sixty seven percent of
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: tickets ninety five percent.
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: Of the cash on San Diego. I would probably also agree.
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: With an over in this one, because King has bad
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: matchup numbers.
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: I'll lean in with the I'll side with the.
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: Advanced analytics guys here and agree that maybe he won't
• 14:56
  Speaker 3: pitch the best here stock you know he's not good,
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: So the money is actually agreeing with the over. It's
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: eight and eight and a half is the total fifty
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: percent of the ticket, sixty four percent of the cash
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: on the over. So yeah, I would lean San Diego
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: and I would lean over in that one, but not
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: strong opinions for me there. Maybe the over is better
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: because the pitching matchup just actually doesn't really look that good.
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: I don't know where Garrett is right now, but one
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: of his guys is coming back for Atlanta here. Atlanta's
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: also trying to avoid getting swept in Minnesota. This is
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: on ESPN Unlimited. Minnesota's won both games, but I told
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: you I liked Minnesota in the first five at least
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: in both of those games, with over being better at home,
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: and I didn't really like either of Atlanta's pitchers that
• 15:43
  Speaker 3: had pitched so far in the series, and Minnesota had
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: Zebbie pitching yesterday and he's better.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: At home as well.
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: So they did win both games full game and first five,
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: all of those one with Minnesota. But Atlanta's the better
• 15:57
  Speaker 3: team trying to avoid the sweep, so so you know,
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: I will tend to look that way towards the team
• 16:03
  Speaker 3: trying to avoid a sweep, especially if they're the better team.
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: I'm not gonna do it in this case, though, Minnesota
• 16:09
  Speaker 3: is still gonna play with motivation because they're trying to
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: make the playoffs, even though I don't think that's gonna happen,
• 16:16
  Speaker 3: but they're still fighting for it. Bullpen wise, Atlanta definitely
• 16:19
  Speaker 3: has the better bullpen. Atlanta used two guys out of
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: the bullpen, Minnesota used four. Atlanta is number two in
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: bullpen here in Whip actually three because the Yankees have
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: the same Whip but a better era. Yeah, I think
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: Atlanta's around the third best bullpen, maybe the fourth or fifth.
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: Minnesota is way worse. Minnesota is twenty eighth Atlanta is
• 16:41
  Speaker 3: also the slightly better offense. I think they're twelfth, Minnesota thirteenth,
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: tied with Detroit. Right now, Red Sox somehow have pulled
• 16:49
  Speaker 3: ahead of both of them. Atlanta has a j Smith
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: Shaver coming back to make this start.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: He's not had the greatest.
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: Career so far, but he started his career really early,
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: like he must have been like nineteen when he first
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: pitched in Major League Baseball, which is kind of insane.
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: Maybe they rushed him a little bit, and then his
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: longest season was last year and he had some walk issues,
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: which has kind of been the case throughout his career.
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: The walks have been the issue with him, and I
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: think he's mostly been in the miners this year. Maybe
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: he's been injured, I'm not sure, but four point one
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: five v one point three to eight whip his whip.
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: Is a problem.
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: But he's only made one start this year. He started
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: in late July at the Mets, didn't really go that
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: deep into the game. He was mediocre in the game,
• 17:34
  Speaker 3: give up two runs of four and a third innings.
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: Minnesota has basically no experience against him. Only Josh Bell
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: because he used to be on Washington, has ever faced
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: him before. He's zero for four with two strikeouts, so
• 17:46
  Speaker 3: there is unfamiliarity here. So Smith Shaver might have a
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: little bit of an edge here because Minnesota has never
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: faced it before. And I don't think he's a bad pitcher.
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: He's fairly talented, but the walks are the issue with him.
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: Taj Brown getting the start from Minnesota. He's had a
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: pretty decent season three point nine to eighty RA, one
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: point two to nine whip not excellent, but definitely not bad,
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: and he's been pretty good at home three point six
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: y five homey. RA. Didn't do well last time out,
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: which is which was in the Field of Dreams game.
• 18:16
  Speaker 3: I believe he did not pitch well in that game
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: against Philly, and he's not really been in great form recently.
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: He's walking too many guys. He was striking a ton
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: of guys out for a while, but the walk number
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: has been a problem basically all season, and in August
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: the twelve to ten strikeout walk ratio in fifteen innings
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: nineteen hits allowed. Yeah, that's not good form. So he's
• 18:37
  Speaker 3: not really pitching well right now. He does have a
• 18:39
  Speaker 3: pretty low hit rate on the season. His walk rate
• 18:41
  Speaker 3: is too high, so that's the main problem that he has.
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: He strikes out a lot of guys though, so he's
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: got some talent here with the strikeouts. Strike out walk
• 18:49
  Speaker 3: ratio isn't great, but it could be worse. But the
• 18:53
  Speaker 3: walks he needs to fix that. Strike out per nine
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: is actually pretty good. It's at ten, so that's it's
• 19:00
  Speaker 3: definitely not bad. But I don't trust his form right now.
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: His numbers against the Braves are pretty decent though, forty
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: nine at bats to forty five average allowed, six to
• 19:09
  Speaker 3: sixty nine oh ps, eighteen to four strike out walk ratio.
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: I was looking at maybe the Braves here. The money
• 19:18
  Speaker 3: is coming in on the Braves trying to avoid the sweep.
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: It's like a pick'em price here. I worry because it
• 19:24
  Speaker 3: looks too easy right, Like the public likely is going
• 19:28
  Speaker 3: to side with the Braves as well, although it looks
• 19:30
  Speaker 3: like it is public and real money all on the
• 19:32
  Speaker 3: Braves here fifty four percent of the tickets, not that
• 19:34
  Speaker 3: public ninety two percent of the money.
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna disagree with the Braves.
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: I think Shaw Smith shaw Or might have the upper hander,
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: plus the Braves will have the better bullpend and the
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: better team and.
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: Trying to avoid the sweep here, so it kind of
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: makes sense.
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: I'm kind of thinking under might make some sense here
• 19:53
  Speaker 3: too because Bradley. I worry about Bradley's current form though,
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: but he's better at home, He's not too bad on
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: the season, and decent matchup numbers against the Braves. Is
• 20:02
  Speaker 3: Smith Shaver has the unfamiliarity here. The money is slightly
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: indicated towards the over totals at eight and a half.
• 20:09
  Speaker 3: If you're gonna take the under, though, I would only
• 20:12
  Speaker 3: do it in the first five though, because Minnesota's bullpen
• 20:15
  Speaker 3: not good. Uh sixty ticket sixty seven percent of the
• 20:18
  Speaker 3: cash on the over first five under. Yeah, it might
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: be worth a look in this game, and I would
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: lean Atlanta full game as well. All Right, Chicago, Chicago
• 20:28
  Speaker 3: Cubs are on the verge of a sweet peer.
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: I believe this is the last game of this year.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: Is they're not playing tomorrow?
• 20:33
  Speaker 3: Right? I don't think so.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: So the Cubs are on the verge.
• 20:36
  Speaker 3: Of sweet peer. And you do have to look like,
• 20:38
  Speaker 3: will these teams that are on the vergion of sweep
• 20:40
  Speaker 3: will they overlook this team and look forward to who
• 20:44
  Speaker 3: they're playing next. Minnesota's playing San Diego next. I don't
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: know if that really matters. Cubs are playing Seattle next,
• 20:50
  Speaker 3: I don't know, but the White Sox should have a
• 20:52
  Speaker 3: little bit extra motivation to try to avoid the sweep.
• 20:55
  Speaker 3: The problem with that is they're pitching set up in
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: this game is really bad, so the Cubs have gotten
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: kind of the luck of the draw in the series.
• 21:03
  Speaker 3: The pitching matchups have favored the Cubs in all three
• 21:06
  Speaker 3: games in the series, including this one, so that does
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: help the Cubs here, and they haven't won each game
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: by that much.
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: I don't think.
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: Cubs used two relief pitchers yesterday. The White Sox DD
• 21:18
  Speaker 3: used Eric Fetti yesterday, like I said they would. They
• 21:21
  Speaker 3: wound up using five guys out of the bullpen, which
• 21:24
  Speaker 3: is probably not good because they're going with a bullpen
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: game today, so that's a negative I think for the
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: White Sox. The Cubs are the eleventh ranked bullpen, White
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: Sox are fifteenth. But if the White Sox are going
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: with a bullpen game, yeah, I don't like that. Cubs
• 21:38
  Speaker 3: are number three offensively, White Sox are eighth, tied with Miami,
• 21:42
  Speaker 3: but the White Sox have Sean Newcomb listed as the
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: starter he's been good, but he's just an opener man.
• 21:49
  Speaker 3: Two point five one ERA, one point one whip. He's
• 21:53
  Speaker 3: probably only gonna go one two winnings here. Maybe Max
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: he'll make it into the third inning. But you're gonna
• 21:59
  Speaker 3: get bullpen game from the White Sox here, basically with
• 22:03
  Speaker 3: their bullpen already kind of used up, and they used
• 22:05
  Speaker 3: Eric Fetti yesterday, so they probably aren't using him today.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: So I don't think that's good.
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: You're taking a mediocre bullpen that doesn't have much rest
• 22:13
  Speaker 3: and you're gonna throw them out there again for this game.
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's not good.
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: Well, the Cubs are going with Clay Holmes, who has
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: been alright.
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: He's been good over the course of the season.
• 22:23
  Speaker 3: He was good with the Mets before he had his
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: broken what was it is tibby? I think either the
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: Tibby or the fibul. I forget where he broke his
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: leg with a liner off of it against the Yankees
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: and stayed in the.
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: Game because he's a badass.
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: He's got a two point five six ERA one point
• 22:43
  Speaker 3: seven whip on the season.
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: That's good.
• 22:45
  Speaker 3: He's been a good home pitcher at two point one
• 22:47
  Speaker 3: five ERA and below a two hundred batting average a lob.
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: That was mostly with the Mets, though, but he pitched
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: well at home here last time out, he said, two
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: starts with the Cubs so far. Cubs traded for him,
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: I believe, and then he came back from his injury.
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: He pitched kind of poorly at Kansas City in his
• 23:04
  Speaker 3: first start with the Cubs, bounced back nicely and shut
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: out Saint Louis here at home last time out for
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: six to two thirds. In he's a lot only one hit,
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: didn't really strike any guys out, three strikeouts, one walk,
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: so strike out walk ratio hasn't been that good, but
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: he pitched well in that one. He's had a decent
• 23:20
  Speaker 3: season here, doesn't a low many hits. His problem is
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: the walks, and he doesn't really strike out that many guys,
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: so his strike out walk ratio is not really that good,
• 23:30
  Speaker 3: which is kind of the main issue with what his
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: numbers look like here.
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: It's in the twos.
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: He's never really been a huge well actually know I'm
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: wrong about that. He did have some huge strikeout numbers,
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: mostly when he was on the Yankees, so that's interesting.
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: His strike out rate has gone way down over the
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: last few years. He's getting a little bit older as well,
• 23:48
  Speaker 3: but he's still pitching fairly effectively, and he's been good
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: against the White Sox. Only five hitters of face and
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: eighteen of bats one sixty seven average four ninety five
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: ops to three strike out walk ratio, which is not good,
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: but the rest of those numbers are good. I think
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: I'd only be able to lean to the Cubs again
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: in this one. Man. I know the White Sox are
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: trying to avoid the sweep. They should be motivated. They're
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: fighting for a playoff spot, whereas the Cubs are almost
• 24:16
  Speaker 3: guaranteed a playoff spot already at this point.
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: Money is back in the Cubs.
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: That looks like even though they are public seventy six
• 24:22
  Speaker 3: percent of tickets ninety one percent of the cash on them,
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: they're at about minus one forty. I still think that's
• 24:27
  Speaker 3: probably what I would do, is just play the Cubs
• 24:29
  Speaker 3: on the money line if I was gonna play. This
• 24:32
  Speaker 3: just looks like it's a pitching mismatch again that favors them,
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: and that's been correct in the other two games. Maybe
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: it won't be here, but the Cubs have only won
• 24:41
  Speaker 3: each game by two and one run, and both games
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: were legitimately close, I believe, So do with that what
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: you want. And then the totals eight, the money is
• 24:50
  Speaker 3: coming in a little bit on the over there, I
• 24:53
  Speaker 3: could see the arguments for the over I mean, it
• 24:55
  Speaker 3: looks like you're gonna get bad pitching out of the
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: White Sox. And then Holmes, I mean, he's not tea
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: to be that good here. You could also do something
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: like play the White play the Cubs, excuse me over
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: team total, which you probably needn't get to five. I
• 25:10
  Speaker 3: would guess if you're gonna do that, they could do that.
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: Although given that the totals eight, it probably means the
• 25:16
  Speaker 3: wind is not gonna be hit or friendly at least
• 25:19
  Speaker 3: in this one, and Wrigley, it means the wind is
• 25:21
  Speaker 3: probably not doing much or it might even be slightly
• 25:24
  Speaker 3: blowing in if that total is eight. So do an
• 25:27
  Speaker 3: you want with all that info. Arizona against the Red Sox.
• 25:30
  Speaker 3: Arizona is trying to avoid a sweep. What else is new?
• 25:33
  Speaker 3: The Red Sox are playing San Francisco next, I believe.
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: I don't know if that's gonna be a distraction or anything,
• 25:40
  Speaker 3: but for the Red Sox this is going to be
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: the best pitcher from Arizona that the Red Sox have
• 25:45
  Speaker 3: had to face. You could say the same thing about
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: Arizona here though. The Red Sox are probably going with
• 25:50
  Speaker 3: their best pitcher of the series here as well. So
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: this I'm not gonna be playing an over in this game,
• 25:57
  Speaker 3: I'll tell you that much. The Red Sox I use
• 25:59
  Speaker 3: three relief pitchers yesterday. They do still have the top bullpen,
• 26:02
  Speaker 3: but they got some injuries going on in this bullpen
• 26:05
  Speaker 3: right now. Arizona's bullpen, I don't think he's as good.
• 26:09
  Speaker 3: They used four guys out of the bullpen yesterday. Red
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: Sox are still the number one bullpen here. Maybe they're
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: a little bit less than that with those injuries though.
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: But Arizona, they ain't ninth now. I told you they
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: weren't as good as when they were ranked up in
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: the top five. Their e ray is getting close to
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: the mid foes man, so I don't really think their
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: bullpen is that good. The Red Sox offense, yeah, they're
• 26:33
  Speaker 3: up to eleventh, man. The Red Sox offense has definitely
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: been much improved recently. They seem to be gelling. Like
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: the Red Sox have a lot of injuries too. Like
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: Yoshida's out now, Roman Anthony looks like he's on his
• 26:46
  Speaker 3: way back. Red Sox did get Rutchmen finally in the
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: lineup with this series. I think at the start of
• 26:53
  Speaker 3: this series he had a couple of hits yesterday. He
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: looked pretty good yesterday at the plate, so that told
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: me them. But it looks like they just had this
• 26:59
  Speaker 3: tea chemistry going on where everybody in the lineup is hitting,
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: and the Red Sox did something that I think had
• 27:05
  Speaker 3: never been done before. In the first game of the series,
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: all nine batters in the starting lineup had an RBI
• 27:12
  Speaker 3: and none of them.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: Struck out, which is ridiculous.
• 27:16
  Speaker 3: The Red Sox did that in the first game, and
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: then over the first two games of this series, I
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: believe everybody in the Red Sox lineup had a hit
• 27:23
  Speaker 3: in both games and they only had three strikeouts total
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: across the two games.
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: So yeah, this Red.
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: Sox offense is u is gelling right now. But they
• 27:33
  Speaker 3: did face some kind of bad pitching over the last
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: two games, and they're facing better pitching here, which sounds
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: crazy because it's Brandon Fot, but he is better than
• 27:42
  Speaker 3: the other guys that have pitched in this series, and
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: he's been good since he came back up from the Miners.
• 27:46
  Speaker 3: His entire season has turned around three point one to
• 27:50
  Speaker 3: one ERA, one point one to three WHIP. He's been
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: good on the road two point six to two ROADIRA,
• 27:55
  Speaker 3: although opponent of batting average a little bit worse on
• 27:57
  Speaker 3: the road. Last two outings of his been seven innings
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: shutout performances three of his last four in fact, and
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: he's he hasn't allowed to run in his last four starts,
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: and he's gone at least six to two thirds in
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: all of them. And three of the teams that he
• 28:12
  Speaker 3: faced there were Pittsburgh, the Dodgers in Atlanta, so he's
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: doing that against some good offenses. He's not walking many
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: guys right now. He's getting a decent amount of strikeouts
• 28:22
  Speaker 3: to some degree at least as well, and I don't
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: think he's a huge strikeout pitcher. And since he's come
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: back from the Miners, the d Backs have won every
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: one of his starts except one of them. They're eight
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: and one with him pitching since he's come back, and
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: the only one they lost was the one where he
• 28:39
  Speaker 3: had a shutout for seven innings against the Dodgers, and
• 28:42
  Speaker 3: they lost in extra innings. I almost said overtime. So
• 28:45
  Speaker 3: you have fot Is pitching quite well right now. He
• 28:47
  Speaker 3: does have a pretty low hit rate on the season,
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: doesn't really walk anybody, but he doesn't strike anybody out either,
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: even though it looks like his strikeout stuff is getting
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: a little bit better here as well. He doesn't put
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: a lot of guys on base at all. Man the
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: advanced analytics guys will probably take some umbridge with this
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: because he does the strike guys now. This is his
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: lowest strikeout Rady's had in his career. He actually was
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: a decent strike up pitcher two years ago, or he
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: was a good one, not so much now. But he's
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: pitching well right now. I wouldn't want to fade him
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: right now. And the Red Sox. The Red Sox have
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: hit him a little bit kind of mediocre numbers here,
• 29:25
  Speaker 3: two seventy six average, seven fifty eight at ops, twenty
• 29:28
  Speaker 3: nine at bats, eight to three strike out walk ratio.
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: So when I first looked at this, I was thinking
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: this is going to be an under with this pitching matchup,
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: and maybe it is, But when you start digging into
• 29:38
  Speaker 3: the actual matchup numbers, it gets a little bit questionable,
• 29:41
  Speaker 3: like the Red Sox have been able to hit fot
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: a little bit. Red Sox offense is hot right now.
• 29:46
  Speaker 3: Red Sox have Peyton totally pitching here. He's he's good man.
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: I mentioned that graphic the other day with the top
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: ten expected era pitchers based on stat Cast or whatever
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: Baseball Savant. They had the top ten pitchers in expected era,
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: not real era. Some of them overlap, though Peyton Totley
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: was in that mix. He was one of the top
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: ten in expected era. So he's been very good. He
• 30:14
  Speaker 3: has a two point nine to seven ERA one point
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: zero six whip. He He's debatably the best starter in
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: the Red Sox rotation at this point, which is kind
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: of insane because he's twenty three. He's been a little
• 30:26
  Speaker 3: bit worse at home three point four to eight home
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: e RA. Pitched well last time out, shutting out Toronto
• 30:31
  Speaker 3: for eight innings, and he didn't even really have great stuff.
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: He put the lead base, he put the lead batter
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: on the first three innings of that game and he
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: still didn't allow any runs. The Red Sox have won
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: seven starts in a row of his this month. He's
• 30:44
  Speaker 3: been on point twenty five to four strike out walk
• 30:47
  Speaker 3: rage on twenty innings. Pitched pretty well against the Dodgers
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: in there as well on the road, blew away the
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: A's with a ton of strikeouts in his other start
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: this month. Yeah, he's definitely on point right now. He's well,
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: he's got a low hit rate, low walk rate, high
• 31:03
  Speaker 3: strikeout rate.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: These numbers are all good.
• 31:05
  Speaker 3: Pretty good strike out walk ratio here, walks maybe a
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: little bit of a concern, good strikeouts per nine. He
• 31:11
  Speaker 3: throws pretty hard. However, he did have one start against
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: Arizona last year on the road, and it was one
• 31:17
  Speaker 3: of his worst of his career. It was bad. They
• 31:20
  Speaker 3: have eleven current their current lineup as eleven at bats
• 31:24
  Speaker 3: against him. Although catl Marte, whoever you want to pronounce
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: his name, he's still on the active roster, so he's
• 31:31
  Speaker 3: still in this. Uh, he's still on the stat sheet here,
• 31:34
  Speaker 3: but it doesn't matter because he's zero for one with
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: a walk against totally. So with him out of the lineup,
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: who cares even So with him in there, Arizona has
• 31:43
  Speaker 3: a four to fifty five average is sixteen to twenty
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: nine ops against them, two strikeouts, two walks, five for
• 31:49
  Speaker 3: eleven even if you take Marte out, Okay, well there,
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: then they're five for ten with one fewer walks. That
• 31:56
  Speaker 3: doesn't really make it better. So totally did struggle, but
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: that was like his second start of his career probably
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: or something like that, So maybe you shouldn't take that
• 32:03
  Speaker 3: much away from it. Given what these pictures are pitching
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: like right now. I still think this game probably is
• 32:11
  Speaker 3: an under.
• 32:12
  Speaker 5: Uh.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: Both other games of.
• 32:14
  Speaker 3: The series have gone over sixty percent of the tickets
• 32:17
  Speaker 3: are on the over fifty six percent of the cash
• 32:18
  Speaker 3: on the under, the totals at eight here. I think
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: the under is what makes the most sense in this game,
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: but I worry about it because the matchup numbers don't
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: look good. The money is also coming in an Arizona
• 32:29
  Speaker 3: with the Red Sox up to minus one sixty here,
• 32:33
  Speaker 3: basically Peyton totally getting some respect in the market here
• 32:36
  Speaker 3: ninety percent of the tickets, only sixty seven percent of
• 32:38
  Speaker 3: the cash on the Red Sox money coming in backing
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: Arizona to try to avoid the sweep here. You know,
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: I don't know, man. I mean, I still think totally
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: probably is the better. He's the better of these two pitchers,
• 32:49
  Speaker 3: and I mean he's definitely got the better strikeout stuff.
• 32:52
  Speaker 3: The advanced analytics guys will tell you he's the better pitcher.
• 32:55
  Speaker 3: Red Sox do still have the better bullpen, so I
• 32:57
  Speaker 3: think matchup wise, I don't really love Arizona, although the
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: situation does kind of look like Arizona is maybe worth
• 33:06
  Speaker 3: consideration because again they're trying to avoid the sweep and
• 33:08
  Speaker 3: then then.
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: Kind of embarrassed in this series.
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: So there are those factors there, but it's not necessarily
• 33:15
  Speaker 3: great that they have to go up against potentially the
• 33:17
  Speaker 3: Red Sox best pitcher here. However, they did hit them
• 33:20
  Speaker 3: well last year, so I don't know do with all
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: that info what you want, But trying to sift through
• 33:27
  Speaker 3: all the information we have in that one, I think
• 33:28
  Speaker 3: the under is probably the way to look in that game,
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: but not gonna be a play for me. Miami at Philadelphia.
• 33:34
  Speaker 3: Philadelphia is on the verge of a sweep. They've won
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: five games in a row. Both games in the series
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: have been close though six' five and six,' Four so
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: miami is playing. Competitively, here miami they're gonna show up
• 33:47
  Speaker 3: for Games, against philly but of course they're gonna show.
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: Up here they're trying to avoid. The sweep philadelphia Is
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: Playing saint. LOUIS next i don't know if that's a
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: big deal, or NOT but i think they're both kind
• 33:56
  Speaker 3: of in the. Wildcard race but So. IS miami i
• 33:59
  Speaker 3: think so all THESE teams i think are kind of
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: battling for wildcard positioning. Here POTENTIALLY and i looked at
• 34:05
  Speaker 3: the starting PITCHING and i, was, Like yeah miami might
• 34:07
  Speaker 3: be a, play here because you could definitely make The
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: argument miami has the better starting pitcher on the mound
• 34:13
  Speaker 3: in this game and they're looking to avoid. The sweep, miami's,
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: bullpen though even though they're the, better one they went
• 34:19
  Speaker 3: with a bullpen game Yesterday And TYLER phillips i said
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: he was gonna be in, the game and, he was
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: but he came into the game LATER than i thought.
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: He wouldn't it was just like a full bullpen Game.
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: For miami so they use five guys out of. THE
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: bullpen i don't really, love THAT and i Don't like
• 34:34
  Speaker 3: philly's bullpen, really either they use. Four guys miami is
• 34:37
  Speaker 3: the better at ranked bullpen, At eighth philadelphia. Is SEVENTEENTH
• 34:42
  Speaker 3: but i would not want to trust either bullpen in
• 34:45
  Speaker 3: this game after what we, Saw yesterday miami is the better.
• 34:48
  Speaker 3: Hitting team they're, ranked eighth tied With The. White sox philly,
• 34:52
  Speaker 3: is eighteenth tied With. The giants philly is moving, up,
• 34:55
  Speaker 3: offensively though and they are better At. HOME miami i
• 34:58
  Speaker 3: don't think is that, good OFFENSIVELY but i Do think
• 35:02
  Speaker 3: miami has the better starter. In. General here Sandy al,
• 35:05
  Speaker 3: Contra's pitching he's had a good season three point four TO,
• 35:08
  Speaker 3: three era one point one TO. Seven whip he's not
• 35:11
  Speaker 3: as good on the, road though four point Zero, eight
• 35:13
  Speaker 3: roadyra so that's a little. Bit concerning he's in good form,
• 35:17
  Speaker 3: right Now though he's allowed one run total across his last,
• 35:21
  Speaker 3: four starts including a seven inning Shutout. Against philly He's
• 35:24
  Speaker 3: faced philly twice, THIS year, i think once on, the
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: road once. At home the shutout was, at home but
• 35:29
  Speaker 3: his road start against him was also. Pretty effective so
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: he is pitching, pretty well and he's been Good against
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: philly this year. As well the recent starts that, he's
• 35:38
  Speaker 3: had though we're against some pretty bad, Offenses, Though mets Anaheim,
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: and CINCINNATI so i would maybe dial it back a,
• 35:44
  Speaker 3: little bit but it's still a decent sign that he's
• 35:47
  Speaker 3: going deep into. These outings he's not. Allowing runs he's
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: got a pretty low hit. Rate here his strikeout rate
• 35:53
  Speaker 3: is actually getting a little, bit better and his walk rate.
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: Is fine he's going a lot of, innings, here man
• 36:01
  Speaker 3: uh so his strike up for nine is actually getting
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: back closer.
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: To three so he's.
• 36:06
  Speaker 3: A, guy that, you KNOW like i thought he was
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: never really gonna come back From His tommy john surgery
• 36:11
  Speaker 3: or whatever, he had but this season has actually been
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: a nice turnaround. For him it's been his, best SEASON like,
• 36:16
  Speaker 3: i think since all. That happened, so yeah. Pretty impressive
• 36:20
  Speaker 3: you'd like to. See it. You know those strike up
• 36:22
  Speaker 3: for nine of course is at like a career, low
• 36:25
  Speaker 3: here so his strike out rate, is still, you know not,
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: really there but he's finding a way to pitch. Effectively
• 36:31
  Speaker 3: anyway Numbers, against, philly though despite having two good starts
• 36:35
  Speaker 3: against him, this year overall his numbers are not good.
• 36:38
  Speaker 3: Against them this is one of the biggest sample sizes you'll.
• 36:40
  Speaker 3: Ever see three hundred and twenty four at bats Against this,
• 36:45
  Speaker 3: phillies lineup they have a two ninety nine average against
• 36:47
  Speaker 3: him in seven eighty.
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: Five ops so that does. Worry me if you want
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: to Back on.
• 36:51
  Speaker 3: Contre here he's not as good on, the road and
• 36:53
  Speaker 3: even though he's been good the last two Times, against
• 36:56
  Speaker 3: philly these numbers don't. Look good sixty, two strikeouts Twenty
• 36:59
  Speaker 3: four and keep in mind some of this was Back
• 37:02
  Speaker 3: when alcandre was a. Better pitcher they still hit, Him well,
• 37:06
  Speaker 3: so yeah that doesn't look great. To Me this phillies
• 37:08
  Speaker 3: lineup has been able to mostly get, to HIM so
• 37:12
  Speaker 3: i don't. Love That, aaron, nola though is Pitching, for
• 37:14
  Speaker 3: philly and, YOU know i Talk about philly generally Basically
• 37:18
  Speaker 3: if philly wins when They Have wheeler Sanchez or lozardo on,
• 37:22
  Speaker 3: the mound and generally they lose with any other pitcher on.
• 37:24
  Speaker 3: The mound nola is obviously any. Other pitcher he hasn't
• 37:28
  Speaker 3: had a. Good season he's trying to come back from injury.
• 37:31
  Speaker 3: As well he is pitching, better recently THOUGH career i
• 37:34
  Speaker 3: mean a season numbers. Not good five point three TO,
• 37:37
  Speaker 3: three ra one point four TO. Five whip his career
• 37:40
  Speaker 3: numbers are a lot better than, this though but again
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: he hasn't really been the same since the. Injury stuff
• 37:45
  Speaker 3: he's worse, at home so both pitchers are in the
• 37:48
  Speaker 3: bad home road split here six point two to three.
• 37:51
  Speaker 3: Homey RA like, i said though he is doing. Better
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: recently he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in all
• 37:56
  Speaker 3: but one start going back to the Start.
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: Of, July however philly has lost most of.
• 38:01
  Speaker 3: Those games they've lost six of his eight starts over.
• 38:04
  Speaker 3: That span but that's obviously not really. His fault he's
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: actually pitched okay for the. Most part the one bad
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: starting there by, the way it Was against La, the
• 38:12
  Speaker 3: DODGERS so i wouldn't really knock him. For that his
• 38:15
  Speaker 3: strakeout walk ratio has been decent over. That span, so
• 38:19
  Speaker 3: yeah he is, pitching better there's no doubt. About that
• 38:22
  Speaker 3: the bullpen the offense isn't really helping him out here
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: over the course of. The season his hit rate is
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: still too high though he's a lot a ton of.
• 38:29
  Speaker 3: Home runs thirty home runs and one hundred and. Thirty,
• 38:32
  Speaker 3: innings yeah that's a. Problem obviously his walk rate, is
• 38:35
  Speaker 3: okay strike out rate is actually, pretty good so strake
• 38:38
  Speaker 3: out walk numbers actually not too, bad, here decent not
• 38:42
  Speaker 3: as good as he used, to be. But decent and
• 38:44
  Speaker 3: his strake up for nine is. Actually okay it's like
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: not that much worse than it has been throughout, his
• 38:49
  Speaker 3: career so he does seem to have his stuff to some.
• 38:52
  Speaker 3: Extent here he did Pitch against miami in that recent series,
• 38:55
  Speaker 3: as well and he did alright five and, two thirds allowed.
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: One run he was kind of walked heavy in, that.
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: Game though.
• 39:03
  Speaker 3: Overall against miami he's mediocre against him in forty nine
• 39:06
  Speaker 3: at bats two eighty, six average seven to twenty, two
• 39:08
  Speaker 3: ops thirteen to two strikeout. Walk ratio i'm thinking over in.
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: This one the money seems like maybe it agrees. With
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: that the totals at eight and, a half so it's
• 39:20
  Speaker 3: right there in the middle, of nowhere sixty six percent
• 39:23
  Speaker 3: of tickets on, the under sixty two percent of the
• 39:25
  Speaker 3: cash on. The under maybe somewhat of an indicator towards the,
• 39:29
  Speaker 3: over HERE although i don't really see the public coming
• 39:31
  Speaker 3: in and playing an under in any of. These games
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: but both pictures are in the worst home road. Split
• 39:36
  Speaker 3: here maybe you Can't trust Alcondra's recent he's in good recent,
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: form though that's. The thing both pictures are in good,
• 39:42
  Speaker 3: recent FORM but i don't like the. MATCHUP numbers i
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: don't like the home, road splits And al contra his
• 39:47
  Speaker 3: good recent form is mostly against, bad teams so there
• 39:51
  Speaker 3: might be some regression.
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: Coming here the money Is, vacking MIAMI and.
• 39:54
  Speaker 3: I kind of still agree. With that sixty eight percent
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: of Tickets on philly six percent of the Cash. On
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: miami philly dropped for minus one thirty down into the
• 40:04
  Speaker 3: minus one twenty something. Range HERE like, I said miami
• 40:07
  Speaker 3: might be extra motivated to try to avoid. The sweep
• 40:10
  Speaker 3: philadelphia is in better playoff positioning, right now and you
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: could make the argument our contra is Better than nola.
• 40:16
  Speaker 3: Right now so those would be the Arguments. For miami
• 40:20
  Speaker 3: i'm not gonna be doing. It obviously Yankees, in baltimore
• 40:24
  Speaker 3: as we, get it we're in the evening games. Here
• 40:26
  Speaker 3: now that last game was an evening game.
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: As well Yankees and baltimore are continuing their.
• 40:31
  Speaker 3: Series tomorrow we got the win With the, yankees yesterday
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: although it was a one to one game late in
• 40:36
  Speaker 3: the game And the yankees were able. To win part
• 40:38
  Speaker 3: of the handicap Was the yankees have the, better, bullpen
• 40:40
  Speaker 3: though And so redome. Pitched well yankees offense still, struggled
• 40:45
  Speaker 3: though and that was a possible concern going into, that
• 40:49
  Speaker 3: game but they were able to get. It, done anyway
• 40:50
  Speaker 3: the bullpen. Won out this game is probably not going
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: to be as. Low scoring this pitching matchup looks. Pretty
• 40:58
  Speaker 3: bad this Is.
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: On Amazon on PRIME And.
• 41:01
  Speaker 3: Mlb network by, The way baltimore debatably could be in
• 41:05
  Speaker 3: a bounce back spot because you remember my. Handicapped yesterday
• 41:08
  Speaker 3: part of It was baltimore returning home from a, road
• 41:10
  Speaker 3: trip a, long one and YOU know i talk about
• 41:12
  Speaker 3: when teams are turned on from, road trips a lot
• 41:14
  Speaker 3: of times they don't. Do well and if they don't
• 41:16
  Speaker 3: do well in, that game a lot of times they
• 41:18
  Speaker 3: get settled and they bounce back nicely in the. Next
• 41:20
  Speaker 3: game whatever they had to do, at home put it out.
• 41:23
  Speaker 3: Of site you get shocked back. Into focus, You know
• 41:25
  Speaker 3: baltimore is not gonna be unfocused Against the, yankees anyway
• 41:29
  Speaker 3: But the yankees are also going to try to. Win,
• 41:31
  Speaker 3: Here obviously yankees ended a losing streak with that, last game,
• 41:35
  Speaker 3: or no with the game. BEFORE that I think yankees
• 41:37
  Speaker 3: used five relief, pitchers yesterday al though some lighter usage
• 41:41
  Speaker 3: a little bit from their back end of their, bullpen
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: here but they still did use their. Closer yesterday but
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: they still have the. Better bullpen baltimore did only use
• 41:49
  Speaker 3: two guys out of there, as Though so baltimore's bullpen
• 41:51
  Speaker 3: rest is a. Little better yankees ARE the, i think
• 41:54
  Speaker 3: the second best, bullpen here and technically they are ranked
• 41:58
  Speaker 3: second here even though it says third because they have
• 42:00
  Speaker 3: THE better Era than atlanta and they're Tied And whip
• 42:03
  Speaker 3: baltimore is an okay bullpend, theer thirteenth though they haven't
• 42:07
  Speaker 3: been as good recently and they lost the. Game yesterday
• 42:10
  Speaker 3: i'm Pretty sure yankees offense has. Been.
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: Struggling man they're at seventeenth.
• 42:15
  Speaker 3: Right now baltimore, is sixteenth so these offenses are kind
• 42:20
  Speaker 3: of on even. Footing HERE but i think there might
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: be some offense in. This Game will warren is pitching For.
• 42:26
  Speaker 3: The yankees he's got to be their worst starting pitcher at.
• 42:30
  Speaker 3: THIS point i don't think he's, that bad but these
• 42:32
  Speaker 3: numbers are. Not great four point FOUR, two era one
• 42:35
  Speaker 3: point four To one whip is. Pretty ugly he's kind
• 42:40
  Speaker 3: of falling back. Into that he's falling back into not
• 42:44
  Speaker 3: being as good on, the ROAD which i think was
• 42:46
  Speaker 3: the case last year. As well he is slightly worse
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: on the road again, this year though it's not, that
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: significant but he's also not really in particularly good form.
• 42:52
  Speaker 3: Right now bad start last time out at Home, against
• 42:55
  Speaker 3: seattle and that's a team that hasn't been hitting well
• 42:57
  Speaker 3: and they hit three home runs off walked a ton.
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: Of guys he's having.
• 43:02
  Speaker 3: Some. Issues man he's had some good starts in, here
• 43:04
  Speaker 3: too but he's been all over. The place he's had
• 43:07
  Speaker 3: some really bad ones and some really good ones. In
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: here so he's a little bit of a, roller coaster
• 43:12
  Speaker 3: kind of hard. To predict his hit rate is, too,
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: high though his walk rate isn't really. That great strike
• 43:16
  Speaker 3: out rate, is okay so overall strike out for nine
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: is still not strike up, for nine yet it's still not.
• 43:22
  Speaker 3: Too bad strike out walk ratio is also not. Too
• 43:25
  Speaker 3: bad but he's definitely. TOO hittable i think that's really
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: his main problem is he's. Too hittable and his Numbers
• 43:33
  Speaker 3: against baltimore are. Pretty decent to eleven average seven to
• 43:38
  Speaker 3: seventeen ops is seventy one, at bats nineteen. To ten
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: strike out walk ratio is not, good though but generally
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: he does pitch all Right. Against baltimore Baltimore's Got chris.
• 43:48
  Speaker 3: BASSETT going i didn't even realize.
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: He was back in.
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: THE majors i knew he was in, the MINORS but
• 43:53
  Speaker 3: i guess. He's back and he's not had a good
• 43:55
  Speaker 3: season five point one one, really bad one point sixty
• 43:59
  Speaker 3: two whip that's, not good although he is better, at
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: home like throughout, his career he's always been better at
• 44:05
  Speaker 3: home three point Zero nine Homie, ra however he does
• 44:08
  Speaker 3: still pretty high upon a batting average at home, two
• 44:11
  Speaker 3: seven even though he's worse on. The road he made.
• 44:14
  Speaker 3: ONE appearance i don't know if it was a start.
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: Or not he, CAME back, i guess and he pitched
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: in A major league Game against tampa back on. THE
• 44:21
  Speaker 3: fourteenth i guess he might have started. That game it
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: might Have been baltimore hadn't decided on.
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: A starter and then they. Used him he pitched okay.
• 44:28
  Speaker 3: In that one on, the road but he was a little,
• 44:30
  Speaker 3: bit Wild held tampa to two Runs and baltimore actually won,
• 44:33
  Speaker 3: the game but he walked three guys, as well so
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: he was putting too many guys. ON base i Don't,
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: trust bassett and he's not particularly good Against. The yankees
• 44:42
  Speaker 3: they have one hundred and three at bats against him
• 44:44
  Speaker 3: two seventy, two average seven to seventy five ops twenty
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: seven to eleven strikeout. WALK ratio i, don't, KNOW man
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: i was thinking over makes the most sense in. This
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: game it looks like the money is strongly agreeing. With
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: that sixty eight percent of tickets on, the under eighty
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: two percent of the cash on, the over you might
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: be able to still find a nine juice to. The.
• 45:05
  Speaker 3: Over here it looks LIKE the m book With the
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: lion AND The c book With The roman emperor look
• 45:12
  Speaker 3: like they both have a nine juice to. THE over
• 45:15
  Speaker 3: i would rather do that than the nine and a,
• 45:17
  Speaker 3: half obviously so you don't have to lay that extra
• 45:19
  Speaker 3: half run on the, key number because if you get
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: a four to, four tie you'd at least be guaranteed
• 45:24
  Speaker 3: it's gonna, hit nine but not nine and. A half,
• 45:27
  Speaker 3: but yeah the money is indicating on, the over, SO
• 45:30
  Speaker 3: yeah i agree. With that the money's also slightly On.
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: The yankees they're at like minus one, sixteen here sixty
• 45:36
  Speaker 3: nine percent of tickets seventy three percent of the cash.
• 45:38
  Speaker 3: ON them i don't DISAGREE like I. THINK warren, i
• 45:42
  Speaker 3: mean he does have the better. Matchup NUMBERS bassett i
• 45:44
  Speaker 3: think is. Quite bad and you know.
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: The over the.
• 45:48
  Speaker 3: Concern, would, be Well the yankees just haven't been hitting,
• 45:50
  Speaker 3: well Recently but bassett might be a cure. For, That
• 45:54
  Speaker 3: man like he's really, not good even though he is better.
• 45:57
  Speaker 3: At home so that is kind of a concern. As
• 45:58
  Speaker 3: Well so i'm not gonna. Do, it obviously there's there
• 46:01
  Speaker 3: are some concerns, with it, BUT yeah i think, the
• 46:03
  Speaker 3: over if you're gonna play, that game that would be.
• 46:06
  Speaker 3: My Opinion There san Francisco in cleveland. THIS one i
• 46:10
  Speaker 3: was thinking maybe an under in. This one cleveland won
• 46:13
  Speaker 3: the game eight to, one YESTERDAY so I Think foster
• 46:15
  Speaker 3: griffin did pitch well. FOR them, I said I thought cleveland.
• 46:19
  Speaker 3: WOULD win i just didn't really like. The price, But
• 46:21
  Speaker 3: yeah cleveland broke out offensively yesterday with an eight to.
• 46:24
  Speaker 3: One win cleveland has some motivation HERE that I Think
• 46:28
  Speaker 3: san francisco Doesn't Because san francisco is definitely out. Of
• 46:30
  Speaker 3: IT they're i mean not, technically maybe but THEY'RE done
• 46:33
  Speaker 3: i think for. The season cleveland is still trying to
• 46:36
  Speaker 3: make the playoffs here in A tight, american League and
• 46:40
  Speaker 3: cleveland might be able to win this. GAME too i
• 46:42
  Speaker 3: mean they should really because they're favored and they have
• 46:44
  Speaker 3: another good pitcher on the, mound here, in fact debatably their,
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: best Pitcher whereas griffin is an okay pitcher and he was.
• 46:51
  Speaker 3: Good yesterday this is an interesting pitching, matchup Though which
• 46:54
  Speaker 3: i'm gonna talk about in. A Second SAN francisco i
• 46:57
  Speaker 3: don't like their bullpend these two. Guys yesterday cleveland's bullpen
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: is better. Than theirs they, Use three they use a
• 47:05
  Speaker 3: couple of kind of their, better, relievers though even though
• 47:07
  Speaker 3: it was a, Blowout win cleveland's ranked eighteenth AND bullpen
• 47:10
  Speaker 3: i think they are a little bit better, than that though.
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: Their era is at least.
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: Sub Four san francisco's, is not and they are, twenty
• 47:17
  Speaker 3: fourth so their bullpen has. Definitely struggled BOTH offenses i
• 47:20
  Speaker 3: think are. Pretty Bad san francisco, is eighteenth Tied, with
• 47:23
  Speaker 3: PHILLY but i think they're worse. Than that cleveland is
• 47:26
  Speaker 3: definitely one of. The worst they're twenty eighth tied With.
• 47:28
  Speaker 3: The angels, Not good so some indicators towards this potentially
• 47:33
  Speaker 3: being an under and maybe some unders in.
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: This series the series is. Continuing, TOMORROW.
• 47:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean i guess you COULD Argue s francisco
• 47:41
  Speaker 3: is in a bounce back spot by the way after losing.
• 47:44
  Speaker 3: Badly Yesterday but i'm not sure how focused they're, gonna
• 47:47
  Speaker 3: be but maybe they will get up for This Because,
• 47:49
  Speaker 3: matt wilkinson The, tug boat is making his that's his
• 47:54
  Speaker 3: name's making his major league Debut For san. Francisco here
• 47:59
  Speaker 3: he is a six foot or six foot one left.
• 48:02
  Speaker 3: Handed pitcher weighs like two sixty. Two seventy he's a.
• 48:06
  Speaker 3: Big boy that probably that's why they call him the.
• 48:09
  Speaker 3: TUG boat i, don't know but he's Making his maajor league.
• 48:12
  Speaker 3: Debut here. It's EXCITING but i looked at his minor
• 48:15
  Speaker 3: league numbers, AND yeah i mean they're. Not Great IN,
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: TRIPLE a i think he had like a FOUR something
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: era and he was kind of walking too, many guys
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: although he has the ability to strike. Guys out he's,
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: he's INTERESTING but i thought he was gonna be a,
• 48:30
  Speaker 3: relief pitcher so it's kind of weird that they're having
• 48:33
  Speaker 3: him start this game because he has more of a
• 48:35
  Speaker 3: relief arsenal like he throws basically. Three pitches i'm PRETTY
• 48:38
  Speaker 3: sure i think he throws, a fastball, change up and
• 48:41
  Speaker 3: a Slider if i'm, Not mistaken AND then i think
• 48:44
  Speaker 3: he also has like, a cutter then he might mix
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: in there a. Little bit HIS fastball i think is
• 48:48
  Speaker 3: called the like the invisible or something, like THAT because
• 48:52
  Speaker 3: i guess he has a weird arm angle where it's
• 48:54
  Speaker 3: really hard to pick up the pitch and see.
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: It coming and he doesn't throw.
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: That hard he throws like NINETY three, i think or
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: maybe even lower, Than that so like low nineties fastball.
• 49:04
  Speaker 3: From HIM so i, Don't, know man, HE'S interesting i will,
• 49:08
  Speaker 3: say THAT but i expect him to be. A reliever
• 49:10
  Speaker 3: no idea what you're gonna get out of. Him Here
• 49:12
  Speaker 3: but cleveland has a bad offense and they've never seen,
• 49:15
  Speaker 3: him Before so wilkinson might pitch, well, Here right but,
• 49:18
  Speaker 3: of course you know it's his DEBUT and i don't
• 49:21
  Speaker 3: think he has a starter's, arsenal really so he might
• 49:23
  Speaker 3: not go that deep into, this. Game right they might
• 49:25
  Speaker 3: just want to get him acclimated and have him go a.
• 49:28
  Speaker 3: Few winnings and if they, do that and then you're
• 49:30
  Speaker 3: gonna deal With The san. Francisco, bullpen yeah that would.
• 49:33
  Speaker 3: Worry me cleveland's Going With parker. Messek here he doesn't.
• 49:37
  Speaker 3: WORRY me, i mean. He's good the only thing you
• 49:39
  Speaker 3: have to be worried about with him is his, innings
• 49:40
  Speaker 3: count which is getting a little. Bit high and these,
• 49:43
  Speaker 3: young guys when they first throw that, many innings you
• 49:46
  Speaker 3: might have. To WORRY but i don't really see many
• 49:49
  Speaker 3: signs of a. Concern yet he's had a good season
• 49:52
  Speaker 3: two point five to nine, y ray one point zero.
• 49:55
  Speaker 3: Three whip he is a little bit worse at home
• 49:57
  Speaker 3: two point nine, homey area which is. Still good he's
• 50:00
  Speaker 3: still pitching pretty, well here not allow of. Many runs
• 50:03
  Speaker 3: he's still on point with. His command twenty to four
• 50:05
  Speaker 3: strike out walk ratio this month in. Seventeen, innings yeah.
• 50:08
  Speaker 3: That's good he's allowed two or fewer earned runs in
• 50:11
  Speaker 3: every start since the Beginning. Of july low, hit rate
• 50:16
  Speaker 3: doesn't really walk that, many guys strikes out a pretty
• 50:18
  Speaker 3: good amount of guys.
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: As well all those numbers.
• 50:20
  Speaker 3: Are Good strike out walk ratio, is solid although it
• 50:23
  Speaker 3: was better, last year but that was a small sample size.
• 50:25
  Speaker 3: Last year strike up for nine has actually gone up a,
• 50:28
  Speaker 3: little BIT although i guess that means his walk number
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: has gotten a little bit worse.
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: This year.
• 50:33
  Speaker 3: But Whatever san francisco has never faced, him BEFORE so
• 50:37
  Speaker 3: i think he has that advantage. The unfamiliarity he's going
• 50:41
  Speaker 3: up and gets a kind of weak lineup that hasn't seen,
• 50:43
  Speaker 3: him before he should have the.
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: Edge there he is going to.
• 50:46
  Speaker 3: Hit that one hundred and fifty innings in either this
• 50:49
  Speaker 3: start or the, next one so maybe you know some
• 50:54
  Speaker 3: signs to maybe just keep an eye out. For THAT
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: but i still think he's. Backable HERE if i was
• 50:58
  Speaker 3: gonna play, THIS game i STILL think i would be
• 51:00
  Speaker 3: looking towards an. Under here the money doesn't look like
• 51:03
  Speaker 3: it agrees. With me the total seven and, a half
• 51:05
  Speaker 3: so it looks like the oddsmakers are expecting a low
• 51:08
  Speaker 3: scoring game here seventy seven percent of, the tickets eighty
• 51:11
  Speaker 3: eight percent of.
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: The cash on.
• 51:13
  Speaker 3: THE over i think if you, GO under i think
• 51:16
  Speaker 3: it should be a first, five, under THOUGH because i
• 51:18
  Speaker 3: Don't Trust san francisco's Bullpen, and wilkinson you don't know
• 51:21
  Speaker 3: how long he's gonna last in, this game but at
• 51:23
  Speaker 3: least if you go, first five he's probably gonna at
• 51:25
  Speaker 3: least pitch the majority, of That AND messic i think
• 51:28
  Speaker 3: will probably go deeper. Than five, BUT yeah i think
• 51:32
  Speaker 3: the under in the first five, Makes sense but you're
• 51:34
  Speaker 3: gonna be looking at about a three and, a half
• 51:35
  Speaker 3: which is, very dicey especially when you have no idea
• 51:38
  Speaker 3: what you're gonna get Out of. Wilkinson here the money
• 51:41
  Speaker 3: also looks to get kind of his Back in, cleveland
• 51:43
  Speaker 3: here but they're at minus.
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: TWO hundred i Don't think i'd be able to.
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: Do that eighty seven percent, of tickets ninety four percent
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: of the cash. ON them, I mean messick should have
• 51:52
  Speaker 3: the upper hand in the. Starting pitching cleveland should have the.
• 51:54
  Speaker 3: BETTER bullpen i think they're the better general team.
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: And they have more.
• 51:58
  Speaker 3: Motivation here but layg minus two hundred in what's supposed
• 52:02
  Speaker 3: to be a low scoring, game here possibly close game
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: a team that really does not perform Well. Offensively cleveland
• 52:10
  Speaker 3: that doesn't look great. To me, SO yeah i think
• 52:13
  Speaker 3: first five under would BE how i would. Play that
• 52:15
  Speaker 3: but it's, a yeah another. STAY away i told, you
• 52:19
  Speaker 3: man my games are all the. Late Games saint Louis.
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: And cincinnati they're continuing their series tomorrow, as well even
• 52:25
  Speaker 3: though they've already played three times in this series because
• 52:28
  Speaker 3: they played a double header because they had a, makeup
• 52:30
  Speaker 3: game And Then saint louis won yesterday three to. Not
• 52:34
  Speaker 3: Things So saint louis has a two to one series.
• 52:37
  Speaker 3: Lead here Not that i'm matter because it's not a,
• 52:39
  Speaker 3: playoff series but BOTH teams i think are.
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: Competing here it's a.
• 52:43
  Speaker 3: Divisional series, you know the bullpens are kind of taxed
• 52:46
  Speaker 3: here and they're not. Good Bullpens saint louis used a
• 52:49
  Speaker 3: bunch of guys in the double header and then they
• 52:50
  Speaker 3: use a bunch of guys for double.
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: Duty yesterday four pitchers came into the.
• 52:55
  Speaker 3: Game yesterday, for them that's, not GREAT and i think
• 52:57
  Speaker 3: most of them pitched the day before That since sinati
• 53:00
  Speaker 3: kind of saved their bullpen by.
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: Only using one guy out of the.
• 53:03
  Speaker 3: Bullpen Yesday so cincinnati's pitching probably does set up a
• 53:06
  Speaker 3: little bit better here in, this game and they definitely
• 53:08
  Speaker 3: have the better starter on, the mound so you probably
• 53:11
  Speaker 3: know what.
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: THAT means i don't trust their.
• 53:14
  Speaker 3: Bullpen Anyway though cincinnati's twenty fifth And Bullpen saint louis,
• 53:17
  Speaker 3: IS nineteenth i would still probably avoid both. Bullpens here
• 53:22
  Speaker 3: the offenses here have not really been. That Good saint
• 53:25
  Speaker 3: louis is, Twenty fourth cincinnati twenty fifth. NOT good i
• 53:28
  Speaker 3: thought yesterday's game would be much higher scoring than. It
• 53:31
  Speaker 3: was it was quite. Low scoring.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: Yes today, IN.
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: Fact I believe cincinnati didn't even score in, The game
• 53:38
  Speaker 3: so that's kind. Of crazy they might score in this
• 53:42
  Speaker 3: game because they get to go Up Against, matthew libertrure
• 53:44
  Speaker 3: who is not a good pitcher five point h SEVEN,
• 53:47
  Speaker 3: e ra one point four to.
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: Eight whip he's a little bit.
• 53:50
  Speaker 3: Better on the road four point nine to EIGHT, roady
• 53:52
  Speaker 3: ra which is Weird Because saint louis has a pitcher.
• 53:55
  Speaker 3: Friendly Park, But, libratore yeah he's not. That good decent
• 53:59
  Speaker 3: last out Against, the cubs BUT he's, i mean HE'S been,
• 54:03
  Speaker 3: i guess a little bit. Better recently his strikeout walk
• 54:06
  Speaker 3: number has been better over the last couple. Of months
• 54:09
  Speaker 3: he's been kind of more mediocre, THAN bad i guess
• 54:11
  Speaker 3: over the last couple. Of months his numbers overall are not,
• 54:13
  Speaker 3: good though high, hit rate kind of walks too many guys.
• 54:17
  Speaker 3: As well his strike out rate. Is okay there's not
• 54:19
  Speaker 3: a ton to like about. Him here strike up for
• 54:22
  Speaker 3: nine is. PRETTY mediocre i would say it's a little,
• 54:25
  Speaker 3: bit low or strike up for nine is actually. Somewhat
• 54:29
  Speaker 3: HIGH actually i met. STRIKE out i always SAY that
• 54:30
  Speaker 3: i met, strike out walk ratio is a little. Bit
• 54:33
  Speaker 3: low strike up for nine is actually a, decent number
• 54:35
  Speaker 3: but that means his walk rate is. Too high his
• 54:38
  Speaker 3: numbers Against the reds are. Good though in seventy three
• 54:40
  Speaker 3: at bats he telled them to a two nineteen average
• 54:43
  Speaker 3: six point eighty, five ops so he's done pretty well.
• 54:45
  Speaker 3: Against them sixteen to seven at strike up walk ratio
• 54:48
  Speaker 3: is not. Very good rest of those numbers are, pretty
• 54:51
  Speaker 3: good but he has to go Up Against, chase burns
• 54:53
  Speaker 3: who is clearly the better. Pitcher here burns really. Good
• 54:56
  Speaker 3: season two point four TO, seventy ra one point h
• 54:59
  Speaker 3: nine whip and a four to fourteen to two record
• 55:02
  Speaker 3: is really good considering the team that he. Pitches for
• 55:05
  Speaker 3: they have a terrible bullpen and, terrible hitting and he
• 55:07
  Speaker 3: still has a really. Good, record yeah. He's good he's
• 55:11
  Speaker 3: been really good at home one point nine To eight
• 55:13
  Speaker 3: Homie are raby with a one to eighty seven opponent a.
• 55:15
  Speaker 3: Batting average you have to worry with his inning count.
• 55:18
  Speaker 3: As well he's up to one hundred and, thirty one
• 55:19
  Speaker 3: but he doesn't look like he's slowing down. Right now
• 55:22
  Speaker 3: twenty three to five strike out walk raceio this month
• 55:24
  Speaker 3: had a seven inning shutout last time Out. Against miami
• 55:28
  Speaker 3: did have one bad start in Here, against washington but
• 55:31
  Speaker 3: he's been generally still pitching really, well here command number on.
• 55:36
  Speaker 3: Point here last month he had some issues with, his
• 55:38
  Speaker 3: command but this month he's been really. Good again he's
• 55:41
  Speaker 3: got a low hit rate on. The season he doesn't
• 55:43
  Speaker 3: really walk that. Many guys his strike cut rate is,
• 55:46
  Speaker 3: quite high so these numbers. Look good the walks are
• 55:49
  Speaker 3: really the only number that you can really even dig
• 55:51
  Speaker 3: at a. Bit like he does still have a pretty
• 55:53
  Speaker 3: high strike up, walk ratio nice strike up per nine
• 55:56
  Speaker 3: of the last year it, was better but he's he
• 55:58
  Speaker 3: didn't throw that many innings, last year so it's a
• 56:00
  Speaker 3: bigger sample size. This year Burns Against. Saint louis they
• 56:05
  Speaker 3: only have four hitters who have, faced him and they're zero,
• 56:07
  Speaker 3: for three often with a Walk from burlison it was
• 56:10
  Speaker 3: the only guy who's reached base, against him and one
• 56:13
  Speaker 3: strikeout in Here.
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: From walker the walk Wasn't.
• 56:16
  Speaker 3: From, WALKER oh I think i Would lead cincinnati. FIRST five,
• 56:20
  Speaker 3: i mean it's The typical chase burns is, pitching approach
• 56:24
  Speaker 3: you KNOW what. I mean they're in the minus one
• 56:26
  Speaker 3: forty range for the, full game though so if you
• 56:28
  Speaker 3: play them in the, first five you're gonna be looking
• 56:30
  Speaker 3: at above minus one fifty here because obviously the odds
• 56:33
  Speaker 3: makers know the biggest edge they Have is, burns here
• 56:37
  Speaker 3: so you'll have to lay like a half run probably
• 56:39
  Speaker 3: to get the. PRICE down i think THAT'S what i, would,
• 56:41
  Speaker 3: DO though i would lay the half Run. With cincinnati
• 56:43
  Speaker 3: at least you know the bat in the bottom of,
• 56:45
  Speaker 3: the fifth so if you need them, to score they
• 56:47
  Speaker 3: have a chance to do that in the bottom of.
• 56:49
  Speaker 3: The fifth seventy two percent of tickets ninety four percent
• 56:52
  Speaker 3: of the Cash on cincinnati money seems to agree. WITH
• 56:54
  Speaker 3: it i believe THAT'S what i, would do and it
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: looks like the money's kind of indicating towards the over
• 56:59
  Speaker 3: eight and a.
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: Half here i'm not so sure.
• 57:02
  Speaker 3: About that the starting, pitching matchup with the matchup numbers,
• 57:05
  Speaker 3: they have looks a little bit more under ish, to
• 57:08
  Speaker 3: me so maybe a first five. Under HERE but i
• 57:10
  Speaker 3: think the better approach is just do what, has worked
• 57:14
  Speaker 3: which Is back burns in the. First five he's a
• 57:16
  Speaker 3: very good first. Five PITCHER like i haven't looked at the,
• 57:20
  Speaker 3: numbers Really but i'm almost positive that his record if
• 57:22
  Speaker 3: you play him in.
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: First fives i'm pretty sure his record is.
• 57:26
  Speaker 3: Very good so that's THE way i would be leaning in,
• 57:29
  Speaker 3: that game, All right Toronto And. Tampa Bay then i'll take,
• 57:33
  Speaker 3: a break AND then i will give out my plays
• 57:36
  Speaker 3: which are not in. THIS game i have two plays to,
• 57:39
  Speaker 3: give out and my other two strongest leans are also
• 57:42
  Speaker 3: in the. Remaining Games tampa bay got killed yesterday ten.
• 57:45
  Speaker 3: TO five i TOLD you i Liked The blue jays
• 57:47
  Speaker 3: yesterday because they had the rest, edge THERE and i
• 57:51
  Speaker 3: also actually kind of liked the over because both starting
• 57:54
  Speaker 3: pitchers had bad matchup numbers and both those wound up.
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: Coming true but this might be bounce Back For tampa.
• 58:01
  Speaker 3: Bay, here remember even though they've been losing at, home
• 58:03
  Speaker 3: recently they still have a really good home record on.
• 58:05
  Speaker 3: THE season i think maybe they got a little bit
• 58:08
  Speaker 3: complacent here because they have a big not a, big
• 58:12
  Speaker 3: lead but they do have a lead in the Al out,
• 58:14
  Speaker 3: east here but that leads dwindling a, little bit especially
• 58:17
  Speaker 3: because Yesterday the Yankees And red sox. Both Won So
• 58:20
  Speaker 3: tampa bay might show up with a little bit more,
• 58:22
  Speaker 3: motivation here AND they i think they definitely have the
• 58:24
  Speaker 3: better starter on the. Mound Here SO tampa, i think
• 58:28
  Speaker 3: is probably gonna win.
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: This game they only used.
• 58:30
  Speaker 3: One guy out of the, bullpen yesterday so they saved
• 58:32
  Speaker 3: the bullpen in that hideous blowout of. A game they Only,
• 58:36
  Speaker 3: used motts who has not been. Good anyway toronto only
• 58:39
  Speaker 3: used three guys out of the, bullpen though so they
• 58:41
  Speaker 3: didn't really use any of their better. Relievers either so
• 58:43
  Speaker 3: these bullpens probably are in good. Shape Here timpa bay
• 58:47
  Speaker 3: is the fourth. Ranked, BULLPEN however i still don't think they're.
• 58:49
  Speaker 3: THAT good i think they're just like probably an upper.
• 58:52
  Speaker 3: Half bullpen toronto. Is sixteenth they have the better bullpen
• 58:56
  Speaker 3: era and they're like back half of their bullpen is a.
• 59:00
  Speaker 3: Pretty good varland has been one of the, best closers
• 59:02
  Speaker 3: and They Have Rogers, TYLER rodgers i think the GUY
• 59:06
  Speaker 3: that i always get, Confused With. Trevor rodgers he's been
• 59:09
  Speaker 3: a good relief pitcher for them. This Year tampa bay
• 59:12
  Speaker 3: definitely is. Better offensively they have the sixth, ranked offense
• 59:15
  Speaker 3: EVEN though i don't think that.
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: That good toronto is definitely.
• 59:18
  Speaker 3: Very bad they're ranked thirtieth even, after yesterday they're still.
• 59:22
  Speaker 3: Ranked thirtieth that's. Not Good and toronto's Going With max.
• 59:25
  Speaker 3: Schurzer here they're still sending him, out, there man and
• 59:28
  Speaker 3: he's not had a good season six point five TO,
• 59:31
  Speaker 3: nine era one point four TO. Six whip he is
• 59:33
  Speaker 3: better on the road three point two to ONE, road
• 59:36
  Speaker 3: ray and he's been a little bit. Better recently he's
• 59:39
  Speaker 3: got at least five innings in his last three outings
• 59:41
  Speaker 3: and he's allowed no more than the touring runs than any,
• 59:44
  Speaker 3: Of them so he is pitching a little bit. BETTER
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: here i guess give him credit because obviously he's nowhere
• 59:49
  Speaker 3: near what he, once was but he's in not the
• 59:52
  Speaker 3: worst form right now at the. Very least his numbers
• 59:55
  Speaker 3: on the season still don't. Look good his hit rates
• 59:57
  Speaker 3: too highs walk rates kind of. Two high strike up rate,
• 59:59
  Speaker 3: is down so he's not a strikeout pitcher for the most.
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 3: Part anymore bad strikeout walk ratio at, this point the
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 3: strikeout per nine is that it's lowest that it's, ever
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 3: been so definitely some concerns. IN here, i mean he's
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 3: definitely gonna. Retire soon, you know his numbers are Good,
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 3: against tampa but it's only across twelve. At bats they
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 3: only have three hitters who have. Faced him they have
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 3: no extra, base hits, three strikeouts, no walks two fifty
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 3: average five hundred.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: Oh ps but it's a.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 3: SMALL sample i don't put too much, into that especially
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 3: when one of the guys in There is motts being
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 3: over two. Off him he's, a pitcher so he's obviously
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 3: not gonna be. Batting here so that makes it three
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 3: for ten instead of three, for twelve so that increases
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 3: the numbers a little. BIT here i don't Really, trust
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 3: SCHERZER and i Do Trust drew rasmus and who's Picture for.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 3: Tampa here he's had a very good season two point
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 3: seven to eighty ra point nine to.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: One whip he's.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 3: Very consistent his numbers are almost exactly, the same home.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 3: And road he's still, well recently good, command numbers striking
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 3: out a good amount, of guys not really, walking anybody
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 3: not allowing a lot. Of hits he's allowed two or
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 3: fewer earned runs in every start Since The All. Star
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 3: break he's struggled a little bit right Before The All,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 3: star break and since he pitched In The All, star
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 3: game he actually. GOT better a lot of guys will,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 3: get worse but he got. Better again he's been pitching
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 3: really well. Since then he's had three shutout performances since then.
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 3: As well in those, five starts he's got a low,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 3: hit rate doesn't really walk. Anybody Either strike out rate is.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 3: Also high these are. Good Numbers strike out walk ratio
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 3: is tied for the highest that he's, ever had and
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 3: given the sample size he has, This, year yeah it's,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 3: The highest so. That's. Good, rasmussen yeah this is, maybe
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 3: debatably this is his best season he's. Ever had his
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 3: strikeout per nine is, also high, but yeah he's got
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 3: the highest strike out walk ratio he's.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: Ever had Numbers against toronto are.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 3: Pretty good in ninety three, at bats two fifty, eight
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 3: average six ninety three. Ops eight strike out walk ratio is,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 3: not great but four of the Walks, of springers so
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 3: he's kind of worked his way. Around, HIM tampa i
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 3: think is gonna get. This game they're good at HOME
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 3: and i think it's time that they. BOUNCE back i
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 3: think they have the better of the starting. Pitching, here bullpen,
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 3: YOU know, i mean it's debatable which team has the bullpen.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 3: Edge here tampa definitely has a, better offense but you
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 3: gotta lay minus two Hundred. Of tampa it looks like
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 3: they are getting the money's seventy four percent of tickets
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 3: eighty three percent of the cash on them sures they're
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 3: getting no respect in the. Market anymore but also it's
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 3: Just because toronto's not a. Good team total, is, low
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 3: though so they're respecting him in. That way the money
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 3: is coming in on the, over though which is the
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 3: totals at seven seven and, a half so it's expected
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 3: to be a very low.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: SCORING game, I mean.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 3: I think if you're gonna play, THE game i think
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 3: you try to find a way To play. Tampa here
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 3: but you Could go toronto under their, team total but
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 3: it's risky because you're you need to score two, or
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 3: less you KNOW what. I mean or you could go
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 3: really granular with it and Go with toronto first five team.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 3: Total under probably you don't need him to score one
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 3: or Zero against rasmusen in the first five you. DO
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 3: that i don't like doing that because one bad thing,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 3: goes wrong including, an error and, you're fucked you KNOW what.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: I mean so there's no room.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 3: FOR error i thought about that, joke yesterday pun INTEND
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 3: and I think tampa wins. THE game i just think
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 3: it's unplayable at, this price, you KNOW what, i mean
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 3: if you really wanted to, DO it i guess you
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 3: could lay the run line, with them and they are good,
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 3: at home so maybe they can get. That done but
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 3: they won't bat in the ninth inning if they're winning,
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 3: by one and then.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: You'll LOSE so i, don't.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 3: Know man i'll be, right back And then i'll talk
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 3: about the GAMES that i have stronger, opinions on which.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: Is the next four of them in.
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 3: A row i have a, strong opinion and you could
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 3: try to Guess where i'm, going here but it's the
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 3: title of this episode has something to do With what i'm,
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 3: doing HERE and i have the same opinion in all
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 3: four of these Games that i'm about to, Talk about
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 3: so think. About that you might Know where i'm going.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 3: With this i'll be. Right.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: Back, YEP inside i want to.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 3: Kill myself we are on own seven run over the
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 3: last two days after tonight it was just. Complete bullshit
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 3: so That's that's i'm gonna start off this Show horrible
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 3: sunday one. AND five i don't even know.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: What to tell you ABOVE.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 3: That i just don't want to do. THIS anymore i
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 3: have never seen anything. Like this man with the slump
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 3: continuing two, straight losses not a good day at all
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 3: all in four that have not had a. Good, season
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 3: man with wickends the Slump that, i'm on and the.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 3: Slump continues i've reached a.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: New, Peak actually i'm going to.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 3: Burn my Bruins, HACK man i don't know what is
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 3: going on With. The Bruins? March hape is that what?
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: IT is i don't even Know it's, MARCH ninth i
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: think who?
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 3: Even, KNOWS man i don't know what day.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: Is, ANYMORE thumb i don't even know what data.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 3: Is, Anymore man back with you after the worst DAY
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 3: that i could, Possibly have back with YOU as i
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 3: always AM until, i die at least own two yesterday
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 3: and yesterday it did not go well. For me own
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 3: five the worst Month that i've ever had in my
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 3: eighteen years.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: DOING this i don't know what to even tell you about.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 3: This, Anymore, slump yes the. Slump discontinuous the.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: Slump continues somebody fucking, kill.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: ME please i.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: Don't even KNOW what i should do at, this point
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: other than potentially.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: End it all?
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 3: All RIGHT and i just Saw the toronto box score
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 3: from yesterday, up There that okamodo Guy. ON toronto i,
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 3: feel like nobody's talking about, that guy but he's hitting.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 3: Really WELL and i did they get him From the
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 3: japanese leagues. OR something.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: I assume i have.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 3: NO idea i don't even know who, he is but
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 3: he's nobody's talking. ABOUT them i don't Thin because toronto's
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 3: offense has been, so bad but he's got twenty five.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: Home runs apparently he's. Hitting well.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 3: All right next game up almost to play for Me As.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 3: Kansas city AND once i tell you what my opinion on,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 3: this is you're gonna know what my opinions are in
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 3: the rest of. These Games kansas city has won both
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 3: games in the series. So far this will be a four,
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 3: game series But the a's might be a little bit
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 3: more motivated here after losing two games of. The series
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 3: these teams are both just playing out the. Stretch here but,
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 3: you know maybe after losing two games in, the series
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 3: you will. BOUNCE back i would not be able to back.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 3: Either bullpen we know these are probably the two worst bullpens.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 3: In Baseball the a's used five. Guys Yesterday the royals.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 3: Used three not. Good Bullpens the a's are the worst
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 3: era the rank twenty Ninth In Whip kansas city is
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 3: the worst whip and the SECOND, worst era so. They're
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 3: both they're the two. Worst bullpens royals probably slightly. Less
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 3: Bad the a's are the better Offense Fifteenth kansas city.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: Twenty Second kansas city does hit better.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 3: At home Though the a's of gauge, jump scheduled though
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 3: he wasn't on the, board here It has. A'S undecided
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 3: i think it is going to, be JUMP but i
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 3: don't know why they're undecided, right NOW because i think
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 3: it is his turn of the. Rotation jump he's YOUNG
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 3: and i. Like him we backed him a.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: Little bit earlier in. THE season i believe we won
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: on the majority of.
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 3: Those plays he's got a four point Five, year ray
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 3: but his one point four to five whip is a
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 3: bit of.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: A question he is kind of walking too.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 3: Many, guys however he is a lot better on, the
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 3: road so, you know we've been trying to back him
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 3: when he's on. The road mostly two Point Six roadie ray.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 3: Quite good it makes sense he pitches worse at home
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 3: in that horrible stadium. AT home i don't know if
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 3: he's in the greatest form, recently though because, this month
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 3: even Though the a's have won three of his last,
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 3: four starts and he was the only guy to Beat
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 3: The red sox in that span Where The red sox were.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 3: On fire jump was the only pitcher that was able to,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 3: beat them and he beat. Them twice he gotta win both.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 3: Of those he's walking too many. Guys, though man he's
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 3: walked four or more guys in five of his last
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 3: six hour or four of his last.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: FIVE outings i think is what.
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 3: That is that's. Not good i'm one of the one
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 3: that he didn't was the second one Against The, red
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 3: sox and he had a lot of strikeouts Against The.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 3: Red SOX but i. Still. Worry man he's got a
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 3: seventeen to twelve strike out walk ratier, this month so
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 3: he's not exactly in the greatest of. Form here he's
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 3: got an okay hit, rate here his walk rate is.
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 3: Too high that's his main concern is. The walks he
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 3: does strike out a lot, of guys so he does
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 3: have a good strikeout per nine. Rate here strike out
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 3: walk ratio not as good because he walks too. Many
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 3: guys but he's. Got talent he definitely gets strike, guys
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 3: out and his Numbers Against kansas city, don't exist so
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 3: he's unfamiliar, to THEM which i think is an extra
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 3: advantage because their offense is gonna have to figure him
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 3: out on. The Fly so i'm kind of Looking Towards
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 3: gage jump in this one here if he is actually
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 3: Playing seth ugo is getting the Start For. Kansas city
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 3: he's been very mediocre four point five ninety r ray
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 3: one point three to. Eight whip we actually backed him
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 3: in his last start and we. Got it we got,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 3: it right but it was it was. Dicey man it
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 3: was this Game. Against anaheim, oh no it was. A,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 3: push actually we should have gotten. It right lugo actually.
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 3: Blew It so i'm Pissed. At, LUGO actually i think
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 3: we had a three To Nothing kansas city lead in.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 3: That game We Had kansas city, First five lugo. Blew
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 3: it it was five to five at the end, of
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 3: five And Then kansas city won. The, game anyway that pissed.
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 3: Me off, But, YEAH lugo i mean he didn't walk
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 3: anybody in. That one he was too. Hittable, there still
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 3: he's got a twelve six strike out walk ratier, this
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 3: month which isn't really. That good of all the walks
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 3: came in course field. Pretty much. HE'S yeah, i mean
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 3: there's not a lot to say. About this, he's mediocre
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 3: and he's not pitching as. Well recently he's got a high.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 3: Hit rate his walk rate is a little bit. TOO
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 3: high i would say it's not. TOO bad i guess
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 3: strike out rate is, low though so he doesn't really strike.
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 3: Guys out so the advanced analytics guys do not. Like
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 3: him he is a four point five. NINE yer i
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 3: ran one point three to eight, whip overall by, the
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 3: way but he is better at home three point seven home,
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 3: ere race so you don't necessarily want to fade him.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: At Home.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 3: His, UH oh i was gonna look at his. Stats
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 3: here i'm all over. The place strike out up for
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 3: nine is obviously. Not great it's in the two or
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 3: strike out, WALK ratio i, keep saying for nine straight
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 3: out walk ratios in the two is. NOT great a
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 3: strike up for nine fairly low ish in. The sevens
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 3: you know his numbers Against, the a's they only have
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 3: five hitters will faced him twenty two, at bats a lot,
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 3: of strikeouts, ten strikeouts, one walk but they've hit him pretty,
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 3: well otherwise two seventy three average eight h four to,
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 3: oh ps so the most of the damage Comes. From,
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 3: geloff however he pronounce his name four for nine or
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 3: the double and a home. Run, HERE still I think
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 3: i Would trust Jump. Over lugo but you Can't play
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 3: jump must start right now because they don't have a pitcher,
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 3: selected here so that's. The Thing so i'm kicking it
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 3: off my. Card ANYWAY but i think if you're gonna play,
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 3: THIS game i, would wait and then If gauge jump,
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 3: IS announced i would jump, on THAT and i would
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 3: Play the a's in the. FIRST five i guess probably
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 3: on the. Money Line kansas city's might have won forty
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 3: something in the full game eighty seven percent, of tickets
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 3: only eighty six percent of the cash, on them so
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 3: the public hilariously seems like They're Playing kansas. City here,
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 3: TO me, i mean they're one of the worst teams,
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 3: in BASEBALL and i don't really think they should be favored,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 3: like this at least not if they're Facing gauge. Jump
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 3: here and if, THEY are i don't think the line's
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 3: gonna move. That much but if you're, GONNA play i
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 3: would Play the a's. First five and if you're gonna,
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 3: do that obviously have to exclude. The bullpens then if
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 3: you're gonna do, that again Wait until jump. Is ANNOUNCED
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 3: and i don't think the line's gonna drop. That much
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 3: BUT obviously i think you'll still get them as, an
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 3: underdog but it will be a smaller. Underdog price BUT
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 3: still i think it's worth it because you got to
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 3: Avoid the. A's Bullpens so a's first five would be
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 3: how it would play that. One jump, YOU know i
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 3: think he's there with the higher ceiling and he's better on,
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 3: the road but we still don't know if he's. Actually pitching,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 3: all right the next two games are both gonna be,
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 3: my PLAYS and i don't have them in, The system
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 3: so isn't? That great, hold on, LET me i have
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 3: to look and see WHAT prices i got. These at
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 3: one OF them I think i got as. An underdog
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 3: THE other I think i got is a very small. Favorite,
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 3: here yeah, all right, hold on bear, with me MAN
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 3: as i get these banners in and you already Know what,
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 3: i'm doing PROBABLY because i already told You what i'm
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 3: doing here based on the last GAME that i. Just
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 3: handicapped we're Gonna take seattle in the. First five nobody's
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 3: gonna want To take seattle here in, this, game MAN
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 3: but i just can't back their bullpen Here. Against MILWAUKEE'S
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 3: but i will back them with the starting. Pitching Here
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 3: and seattle has to be. Motivated. Here man the season
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 3: is slipping away. From them and they lost twenty two to,
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 3: nothing yesterday and GOOD thing i didn't give out the
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 3: under in.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: That Game bryce miller didn't.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 3: Have it and Then the seattle bullpen was an absolute
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 3: dumpster fire in, that Game and seattle was making all
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 3: these mistakes, out, THERE like i forget. His name they're a,
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 3: CENTER fielder i think thought that there were three outs
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 3: when there, were two so he gave the ball to,
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 3: a fan which allowed more runs. To score and at
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 3: that point they were already down nineteen. To. Nothing probably
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 3: it's just. It's unbelievable twenty two, to nothing And the
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 3: brewers were not even in a. Good spot they were
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 3: in a return. HOME spot i Slightly leaned seattle in. That.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 3: GAME unbelievable I think seattle's got to bounce. Back. Here
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 3: man that is just. Too embarrassing And the brewers are
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 3: sitting pretty well, right now and with their, standing, here
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 3: like do really think they're gonna take a team they
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 3: just blew out twenty two, to, nothing seriously and everybody's
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 3: talking about how embarrassing that. GAME was i think a
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 3: lot of times you want to play on the team.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 3: After that it's almost like a zigzag type, of SPOT
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 3: evenough i think the zigzag works better.
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: In a more momentum, based.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 3: SPORT but i do think the pitching matchup helps us
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 3: Here with seattle here.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: As Well so i'm gonna. Do it i'm Gonna.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 3: Back seattle nobody's gonna want to do. It here will avoid.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 3: The bullpen, Seattle's bullpen i've been saying they're good. All
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 3: season i'm not sure at this point they're not Better.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 3: Than milwaukee i'll tell you that although yesterday they basically
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 3: just let their bullpen get. Absolutely wrecked they only used
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 3: two bullpen, arms yesterday and they saved all their, better
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 3: relievers so all their better relievers are coming into this game.
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 3: TOTALLY rested i think they just figured the game was out,
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 3: of reach so they just didn't use. Anybody good so
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 3: that's Good for seattle. At Least but i'm not gonna
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 3: focus on the. Bullpen's here i'm gonna avoid Them because
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 3: milwaukee's bullpen is also almost equally. Rested here they only
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 3: Use gran anderson yesterday because again it was, a blowout
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 3: so all their better relievers also have rested the last,
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 3: two Days and milwaukee has the, better Bullpen so i'm
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 3: not a factor into. The bullpens i'm not going to
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 3: factor in the. Bullpens here milwaukee's, ranked SIX though i
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 3: think you could debate they're the third. Best bullpen They're.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 3: GOOD seattle i don't know what's happened. To, Them man
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 3: they're twenty first in bullpen now and they're eras well above.
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 3: FOUR now i know yesterday it was kind of a,
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 3: fluke THING but. I don't i don't Trust the seattle
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 3: bullpen at. THIS point i know they're off. AS stinks
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 3: i Get that seattle's twenty, seventh offensively They're bad, milwaukee's
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 3: SEVENTH and I believe milwaukee is better at. Home OFFENSIVELY
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 3: but i think we can get this done with a starting.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 3: Pitching matchup in this, one man plus the, motivational angle
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 3: We Get logan gilbert Pitching. For seattle he's one of their,
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 3: better pitchers and he's one of the few Pictures that
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 3: seattle has who actually does better on.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: The road three point two eighty ra point nine to.
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 3: Nine whip that's some, good stuff and he's been excellent
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 3: on the road two point twenty FIVE roady i rail
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 3: those opponent batting average is actually almost the same home,
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 3: And away but he's allowed a ton of home runs.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 3: AT home i don't know what the Deal is, without
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 3: all he's gotten way better at. Home recently he's just
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 3: been pitching better in. General recently but he's allowed nineteen
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 3: home runs on, the season and eighteen of them have Come,
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 3: in seattle which is not a home, Run BALLPARK so
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 3: i don't know what the deal is. With that milwaukee
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 3: also is not a home run, hitting TEAM so i
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 3: will throw that out there. As well, But yeah gilbert's pitching.
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 3: Well recently he's not allowing that. Many runs he's got
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 3: good command numbers over the last couple. Of months not
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 3: a lot to, dislike here really good actually strike out walk.
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: Ratio really for the. Whole season low, hit rate pretty low,
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: walk rate high strike.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 3: Got rate these are. Good numbers you could make the
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 3: argument at this Point that gilbert Might be seattle's most.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 3: Trustworthy starter his strike stark out walk ratio is actually
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 3: lower than it has been the last, few years so
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 3: maybe he's got to fix that and increase his strike
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 3: got rate a. Little bit but the numbers aren't that
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 3: much different than what he's put up in, the past
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 3: and HE'S had i think kind of a shorter well actually,
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 3: THIS season i thought it, was shorter but he's pitched
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 3: most of.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: The sea his strike out up.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 3: For nine is kind of in line with where it
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 3: has been in. His career last year he was really
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 3: good in, that department but he's still quite good this,
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 3: year man and his Numbers against milwaukee are. Also good
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 3: they have fifty seven at bats. Against him his strikeout
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 3: walk ratio against him is twenty two. To zero. That's
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 3: insane so he has he's had really good command, against
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 3: them and Outside, of yellick who has two of them
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 3: runs Off, him yelich however he pronounce, his name nobody
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 3: else has really done a ton of damage. Against him
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 3: one seventy, five average five oh. Six ops good numbers Here.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 3: FOR gilbert i think it's a good matchup. For him
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 3: he pitches well on. The road he's in good form.
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 3: Right now we'll take him and Will Fade, dustin MAY
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 3: who i think is the lesser. Pitcher here Even though
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 3: may he's had an. Alright season milwaukee went and the
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 3: got him at the trade deadline to Bolster, their basically
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 3: they just want a depth in their. STARTING pitching i
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 3: think he's got a four point one TO three rra
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 3: and they one. TO experience i guess one point two
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 3: to five whip four point ONE. Three rra those are not.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 3: Bad numbers, and yes he's been good at home three
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 3: point one to eight home. He array most of that
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 3: Was With, saint Louis Though saint louis is a very pitcher.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 3: Friendly park milwaukee maybe not. So, Much, however yes he's
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 3: been Good with milwaukee. So far he's gone six plus
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 3: innings in both starts and allowed two or. Fewer, runs
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 3: however he does have an eleven of five strikeout, walk
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 3: ratio so the walks have been a bit of an
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 3: issue for him in. Those starts one of them Was At,
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 3: san diego which is a very pitcher. Friendly park the
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 3: Other one i'm a little bit more. Impressed by he
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 3: pitched Well against pittsburgh Here in milwaukee the, other TIME
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 3: but i still don't KNOW if i Fully. Trust may
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 3: he does have a reasonably low hit. Rate here it
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 3: hasn't walked that many guys and his strike out rate's,
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 3: been okay so he does have decent. Numbers here it's
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 3: been a nice bounce back season for him after it
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 3: looked like he was just going off the rails after
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 3: he had his injury issues With. The dodgers he's not
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 3: as good as he, once, WAS though i don't know
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 3: if he ever. Will be he has a decent strike
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 3: up for nine, this, year though it's like right around
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 3: the Average or dezez strike out. WALK ratio i keep making.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 3: THAT mistake i can't, help, It man it's just. My
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 3: Mind it's i've trained myself. Wrong already his strike out, for,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 3: nine yeah is also pretty decent. This YEAR like, i
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 3: said Numbers, against seattle we don't really have much to go.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 3: On here they have twenty at bats. Against them only
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 3: four of their hitters have. Faced Him josh naylor has
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 3: done a lot of damage. Against him they have a
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 3: three point fifty average seven to EIGHTY one ops four
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 3: to one strike out. Walk ratio But what i'm just
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 3: looking AT is i think we get the better Pitcher
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 3: with gilbert here in the first five plus highly motivated Spot,
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 3: for seattle zigzag spot and nobody's gonna want to. Do
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 3: it the public is only going to come in And.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 3: Play milwaukee milwaukee's, heavily public eighty one percent of, the
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 3: tickets seventy eight percent of the cash.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: On them so it does look like the money Is backing.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 3: Seattle here based on my read of this, market here
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 3: the number's gone down. A bit milwaukee is minus one
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 3: thirty and now they're in the minus one. Eighteen range
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 3: you Can get seattle in the first five around the
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 3: PRICE that i have. Listed here let's. Do it Let's
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 3: take seattle in the first five at somewhere, you know
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 3: close to a pick them, Price Here, dirty sock? What's
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 3: up thanks for?
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 2: Hanging out next game is my other play of.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 3: The day nobody's gonna like these, two, plays man and
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 3: THAT'S why i do. LIKE these i think the market
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 3: read is strong on. BOTH these i thank you for.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 3: The jewels the next one is my last play of.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 3: THE day i, told, You Man road team first five
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 3: is the name of the, game today and we're gonna
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 3: get Sued By jayden daniels because we can't use the,
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 3: number five so we're gonna be first forced to make
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 3: these first four Bets instead we're Gonna take washington in
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 3: this next game in the, first five OBVIOUSLY because i
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 3: can't trust. Their bullpen but we're gonna back a hot pitcher,
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 3: here man and the money's coming In on.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: WASHINGTON here i like this Even.
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 3: Though texas the motivation should be There for texas because
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 3: they're trying to make. The playoffs they're one game out
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 3: of their division. Right now, so yes we're going to
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 3: getst a motivated. Team here but just Shut out. Washington
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 3: yesterday it was a bad Spot for texas in a return.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 3: HOME spot I think washington might bounce. Back here so
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 3: we're gonna play two teams that got shut, out YESTERDAY
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 3: which i think is gonna motivate those teams to be
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 3: better in. This Game and washington rarely gets shut out.
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: On, the road you KNOW what.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 3: I mean i don't know what happened in. That Game
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 3: col quantrill Pitching for texas resulted in a shutout of
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 3: one of the league's. Best, OFFENSES really, I mean I
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 3: know washington's offense isn't as good since. THE break i
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 3: know they Traded Away. CURTIS. Mead cj abrams is complaining
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 3: about having to move to. Second base but this is
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 3: still a. Good OFFENSE so i think we're gonna get
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 3: some Offense from washington here in. THIS one i think
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be enough to get them through the first
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 3: five in this, one here even, THOUGH yes I know
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 3: texas is trying to make, The playoffs washington isn't really in.
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 3: That scenario washington their bullpen is in okay shape at
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 3: least they use two guys out of, the Bullpen and
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 3: texas isn't really.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: That good they use three guys out of.
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 3: The Bullpen but i'm just gonna factor the, Bullpen's out washington's.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: BULLPEN'S bad i want nothing to do. With them they're.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 3: Twenty six texas doesn't get me.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: Going either at. This point.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 3: They're twentieth they were great bullpen. Last year, this, year no,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 3: they're Twentieth but i'll still avoid both. Bullpens here well
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 3: back the, better offense Which, is washington the ranked second
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 3: still over the course of, the season, ALTHOUGH yes i
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 3: know they haven't been as. GOOD recently i know we're
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 3: in a pitcher friendly park. Here too texas's offense they
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 3: kind of suck though they're twenty first and they're not
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 3: that good, at home and we're Gonna Back kate, cavali
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 3: here EVEN though i don't like his, you know ridiculous
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 3: up posturing that he did Against The. Red sox i've
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 3: been saying all season that looking at his, UNDERLYING metrics
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 3: i thought he was a talented pitcher that's coming. To.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 3: Fruition man he's turned this into a very. Good season
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 3: three point THREE. SIXTY ra, i mean one point two
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 3: to four whip isn't really, that good but these are.
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 3: Good numbers he's better on the road to three point
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 3: two To Three roady ram better opponent batting average on
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 3: the road, as well and he's in very good. Form
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 3: recently he did any one hit shutout Against the cubs
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 3: last time out, ten strikeouts and he's got a twenty
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 3: one to five strikeout walk ratio. This month he's allowed
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 3: two or fewer earned runs and all but one start
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 3: going all the way back to the Beginning. Of july
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 3: the last time he had an actual bad start was
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 3: the Beginning of July. Against pittsburgh, before that he was
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 3: awesome in that start Against The. Red, sox yeah he's
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 3: starting to. Pitch well he's got a reasonably low hit.
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 3: Rate here he doesn't really walk that, many guys and
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 3: he strikes out a lot, of guys gets a lot
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 3: of ground.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: Balls too he's a very.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 3: Effective pitcher the only thing is you have to worry
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 3: about are the innings pitch count and the amount of
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 3: pitches that. He threw last, time out he did throw
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 3: over one hundred pitches for the second.
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: Straight game maybe a little bit of.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 3: A concern i'm not too worried about that because it
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 3: wasn't like. That extreme they're kind of letting him go
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 3: a little, bit more but, like throwing, you know just several.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 3: More pitches he's used to throwing ninety to one hundred,
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 3: Pitches Anyway so i'm not too concerned, by that just
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 3: that arbitrary one, hundred NUMBER although I know i use
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 3: the arbitrary like one fifty innings pitch NUMBER when i
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 3: think guys might start fading a, Little bit and he's
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 3: up to one thirty six and two thirds innings pitch
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 3: so he might start fading a little bit because he's
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 3: not used to throwing this. Many innings but, for now
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 3: he's on fire. Right now he looks really good, Right
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 3: now he's in really good for him, right now good
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 3: strike out walk ratio on, the season good strike up,
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 3: for nine having a career season here, so far like
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 3: this is his. Breakout season and as far as his,
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 3: opponent Here only nimo has ever, faced him and he's zero.
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 3: For two nimo has been in. His division nimo was On,
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 3: the mets so that's what we have going. On there
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 3: and he's gonna be Opposed By, kumar rocker who is.
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 3: Also unfamiliar so both pitchers do have an unfamiliarity edge
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 3: here with the. Opposing OFFENSES but i Don't think rocker
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 3: is nearly as Good. As cavali rockers kind of struggled
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 3: so far to get his. Career going four POINT five era,
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 3: this year one point. Four whip he's not good, at,
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 3: home really four point, eighty four homie are those batting
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 3: average against is a little bit better, at home but
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 3: his eray. Is worse his walk number has been. Bad
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 3: recently texas has lost all three of his starts. This
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 3: month granted two of them are actually on the road
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 3: and one was At The, a's state and.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: But this walk number is.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 3: Still concerning thirteen to nine strike out walk ratio with
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 3: twenty one hits allowed in those thirteen to. Third innings that's.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 3: Not good he's been way too hittable. As well he's not.
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 3: Pitching well his hit rate is okay on the course of,
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 3: the season but his walk rate is too high and
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 3: his strike up rates not. That good so these numbers
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 3: overall not. That good strike out walk ratio in the
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 3: low twos that's. Not good to strike up for nine. Is,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 3: Mediocre yes washington has a face, it before but we
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 3: have that going for both. Pitchers here the money is
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 3: heavily Back in, washington Here and i'm going. To agree
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 3: i'm going to back them in the. FIRST five i
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 3: think we have a pitching edge Here with Cavali. Over,
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 3: ROCKER plus I think washington might be motivated to bounce
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 3: back after you has to. SAY so i told you
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 3: these are all similar. HANDICAPS here i like the road
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 3: team in the first five and four games in a,
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 3: row here sixty eight percent of the Tickets on texas
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 3: because the Public knows texas is trying. To, Win here
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 3: washington's kind of done for, the season but eighty five
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 3: percent of the Money.
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: ON washington i think we should. Do it we Should back.
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 3: Washington here total seven and a half money coming in
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 3: towards the. UNDER here I could i could see the argument.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 3: FOR it, i mean it's possible that both pitchers with
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 3: the unfamiliarity might, do well but if you like the
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 3: under that's also kind of an indicator the underdog has
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 3: a better chance to stay in the game because it'll be.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 3: Lower scoring minus one twenty eight down for minus one
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 3: forty six is the money Line on, texas HERE so
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 3: i think some real money is definitely Back in, washington
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 3: HERE and i believe you can still find them at
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 3: plus money in the. First five so that's what we're. Gonna,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 3: do zach? What's up thanks for, Hanging. Out garrett there
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 3: might be other ways that you can get, that, done
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 3: though or just travel across state lines somewhere you didn't
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 3: think to get the bets, IN well, i mean my
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 3: show is you didn't know what my plays are gonna
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 3: be until, right, now THOUGH so i. Don't know you
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 3: might be able to find a way to do, it.
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 3: Anyway though Anaheim in houston this is. ANOTHER one i
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 3: like the road team in the first five in this,
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 3: one Too although houston did lose Yesterday and houston is
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 3: going to be the more motivated team because they're trying to.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: Win their.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 3: Division, here obviously but they did lose ugly Loss to
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 3: anaheim yesterday three. To one LOOKS like i thought that
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 3: was gonna be a high. Scoring game the pitching matchup
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 3: was terrible in that game instead. OF it i Guess
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 3: maybe classon is actually not. THAT bad i, don't know,
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 3: But whatever houston will. Be motivated and that's one ISSUE
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 3: that i have with maybe Looking, towards ANAHEIM because i
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 3: Do like anaheim in the first, five here but you're
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 3: getting a huge underdog Price with anaheim hero although it'll
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 3: be less in the, first five but you'll still be
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 3: getting them as. An. Underdog, Now yes anaheim has the,
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 3: worst BULLPEN so i would take them out of. The
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 3: equation these three, Guys yesterday houston. Used four houston is
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 3: the better bullpen though they ranked tenth, Decent bullpen anaheim,
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 3: twenty second not. So good houston is the better offense
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 3: by a lot their. Number ten anaheim is number, twenty
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 3: eight Tied. With cleveland that's not a. Good SIGN but
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 3: i like the pitching matchup To favorite anaheim in this
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 3: one Man AND anaheim i think will be motivated as
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 3: well because they get to play spoiler against a division
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 3: foe and they got my, Favorite Guy walbert urania on.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 3: THE mound i have a few concerns, with him mostly
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 3: that he walks too many guys and he's pitching on.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 3: The road so those are my. Issues here but.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: He's had a.
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 3: GOOD season i called it out. EARLY on i thought he.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 3: Was good and if he fixes his, walk issues.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: He's only, twenty two he's gonna be a really good.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 3: Pitcher man two point six to, seventy array one point
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 3: two to five whip is a little bit concerning because of.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 3: The walks he is not quite as good on. The
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 3: ROAD like, i said three point three. To Five roadie
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 3: ray is still not. Bad though he just Shut out
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 3: texas last time out for. Six innings that. Was good
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 3: two of his last three starts have, been shutouts and
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 3: aside from a bad Outing, against miami he's been good
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 3: for like over. A month he's allowed one or fewer
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 3: and run in all the rest of his starts since
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 3: the Beginning. Of july one was a shortened Start against
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 3: TEXAS where i don't know what. Happened there he threw
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 3: a lot of pitches and walked too. Many guys and
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 3: that's really the issue, with him is the strikeout.
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: Walk ratio. Worries me although he's been.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 3: Basically unhittable he's very hard, to hit which is a,
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 3: good sign but he walks a ton. Of guys his
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 3: strikeout rate is actually a little bit lower than. You'd
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 3: think he gets a lot of ground, ball outs which
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 3: sometimes kind of masks the fact that you're putting a
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 3: lot of guys. On base the strikeout, walk ratio the
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 3: advanced analytics guys are gonna come in and, be, like
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 3: yeah that's concerning one point eight because of how many walks.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 3: He issues that's. Not good streke ut bur nine, is
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 3: okay although with a guy, like him you'd like to
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 3: see him strike more guys out than. He DOES but
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 3: i think he's. STILL good i think he's got Talent
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 3: and houston has not been able to hit him. So
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 3: far they have forty at bats, against Him so houston
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 3: has a big sample size against, him already and they
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 3: only have a one to fifty average against him five
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 3: fifty six ops twelve nine strikeout. Walk ratio that's The,
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 3: only again the only concern with him really has been,
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 3: the walks and it shows in this stat sheet here.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 3: As WELL but i trust Him over we just don't
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 3: know what we're gonna get Out. Of houston Houston Has, Ethan, Pecko.
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 3: Pecker pico Maybe it's pico that sounds it Looks. Like
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 3: Pecko Though ethan pecko is making his major league Debut.
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: FOR houston i looked at.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 3: HIS stuff, i mean he's a he's basically projected, to
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 3: be like his ceiling is like a, back end starting
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 3: rotation type. Of guy so he's. NOT excellent i looked
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 3: at his minor league numbers and they weren't really. That
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 3: great but they're calling. HIM up i guess seeing what
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 3: they get out of. HIM here I guess houston has
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 3: some issues in their starting bitch of, rotation anyway so
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 3: we'll see what we get out. Of him he might
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 3: be pumped in his major. League debut so we have
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 3: two guys making their major league. Debut today he's gonna
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 3: be old foreshadowed by the, tug boat not just because
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 3: the tug boat is a. Large man but everybody's talking About,
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 3: tug boat nobody's Talking. About peco so Maybe tug boat
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 3: is Overhyped and peco will fly under the.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: Radar here he's at least he's getting a.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 3: Bad offense both of those pitchers today making their major
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 3: league debuts are getting to face a, weak offense.
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: So that might help him a.
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 3: Little bit that he's getting to face a bad, offense
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 3: here and that offense hasn't, seen him so maybe they'll
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 3: be able to do something. Against him he has like a.
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 3: Typical arsenal he throws like load to mid. NINETIES fastball
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 3: i think he has slider curve change, like BASICALLY and
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 3: i think he might have a cutter in. There too
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 3: so the very typical arsenal, FROM him i didn't really
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 3: see anything special. About it AND like, i said he
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 3: had really mediocre numbers in, the Miners so I'M not i.
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 3: Don't know i'm not like jumping out of my seat
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 3: to try to back. HIM here i think taking your
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 3: rain as an underdog here in the first five is
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 3: the way to play. This GAME like, I said i
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 3: Would back anaheim in the. First five avoid. Their bullpen
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 3: let me see WHERE am?
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: I looking where's?
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 3: The al there? They are the money seems to strongly agree.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 3: With this houston sixty seven percent of tickets.
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 2: On them.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 3: Fifty to fifty on, The cash so fifty percent of
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 3: the Cash. On anaheim we're agreeing with the market on
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 3: all four of these GAMES where i like the road
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 3: team in the. First five hopefully the TWO plays i
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 3: give out are the, right, ones man because they're not all.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 3: Gonna hit you're looking at about a minus one fifty Now,
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 3: on houston so uses drop for minus one sixty down
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 3: to minus. One fifty if you're Gonna play anaheim in the,
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 3: FIRST five i think you only get them at a
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 3: very small. Underdog price but getting them at plus money with,
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 3: THIS matchup i think it does make.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: Some sense so THAT'S what i. WOULD do i Would
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: take anaheim in the.
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 3: FIRST five i did raise the CONCERNS that i do
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 3: have with it totals at eight and. A Half maybe
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 3: i'm being too, selective here but that's what we're looking.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 3: At here money's coming in on the over for whatever that's.
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 3: Worth here, But, yes SO like, i said my, two
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 3: PLAYS if i was gonna add any, more plays my
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 3: two players are the first Fives on seattle and what
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 3: was the Other? One. Washington uh BUT if i was
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 3: gonna add, TWO more i would add the a's in the.
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 3: First five but you gotta wait and see if it's,
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 3: gauge jump and if, it IS then i would jump
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 3: on THAT and i would Also add anaheim. FIRST five
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 3: i would add those TWO if i was gonna. ADD
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 3: anymore i don't know which one.
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: OF those i think it.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 3: Is better to. Be honest if it's not gonna be
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 3: jumped For the A'S that i would not play, It
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 3: though hindi and? What's up thanks for, hanging out unless
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 3: IF It's, jt ginn Then maybe i'd consider it. All
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 3: right and then the last Game Is, DODGERS rockies i
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 3: Mean the dodgers one, again yesterday Though the rockies played
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 3: more competitively, again yesterday they only lost. By one they've
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 3: lost by one in a lot of games To the dodgers.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 3: This year this is a point WHERE now i Believe
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 3: the rockies are trying to avoid. The SWEEP now i
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 3: think the teams are, off tomorrow So.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: The dodgers might Overlook.
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 3: The rockies they might start. Looking Ahead the dodgers Play the,
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 3: pirates next which is a bit of a. BIGGER series
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 3: i suppose so Possible that colorado does have a motivational. Edge,
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 3: here dodgers, you know are gonna be a heavy. Favorite
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 3: Here and dodgers don't have one of their elite pitchers
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 3: on the mound. Here, EITHER so, I mean i guess
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 3: there are some arguments to be made for Looking. Towards
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 3: colorado i'm not gonna want to. Do, It though dodgers
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 3: used four relief. Pitchers yesterday colorado is the worst of the.
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 3: Two bullpens they used four. As Well the.
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: Dodgers are where are?
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 3: They at their bullpen has not been as, good recently
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 3: Their Twelfth the rockies are obviously worse at. Twenty seventh
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 3: dodgers in the number one offense, again here they've been
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 3: back and Forth, With washington colorado's, fifth offensively so they've
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 3: been hitting. Pretty Well roki sasaki is pitching For. The
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 3: dodgers he's been decent as. Of late he's turned his
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 3: season into a. Decent season four point four TO, sixty
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 3: ra one point two TO. Nine whip he's a little
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 3: bit worse on the road four point six Y one
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 3: Roady rail those opponent batting average actually a little bit
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 3: better on.
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: The road he's been pitching fairly.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 3: Well recently he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 3: every start going all the way back to the Beginning,
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 3: of july And the dodgers won all Of his. July
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 3: starts they've lost both of his starts, this month but
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 3: it wasn't really all.
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: His fault he didn't allow him.
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 3: Many runs and there were. Close, games however his walk
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 3: rate has been kind of an. Issue here walked five
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 3: guys in his last Outing. Against milwaukee maybe it was
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 3: a fluke because his walk rate was somewhat low in
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 3: the Month. Of july he does have a low hit
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 3: rate on. The season his walk rate is maybe. A
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 3: concern his strikeout rate. Is okay he allows a lot of,
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 3: home runs and that's kind of a concern if you're
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 3: gonna be pitching in. Corse field but he's not really
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 3: a fly, ball pitcher so not heavily a fly, ball
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 3: pitcher so it's kind.
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 2: OF weird i.
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 3: Don't know he did pitching course field earlier this Year,
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 3: in april and it did not really, go well and
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 3: he did allow one home run in, That one but
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 3: he did not pitch well in. That outing but he
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 3: wasn't pitching well in general, back then and he is pitching,
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 3: better now so it is possibly he does better here in.
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 3: This one his strikeout, walk ratio, you know it's it's,
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 3: not great but it's at least better than it was.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 3: Last year he's up to strike ups. Per nine so
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 3: he is pitching better, at least and his Numbers against
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 3: colorado overall are. Pretty good they have twenty six at bats,
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 3: against him one ninety, two average four to eighty one
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 3: oh ps three to two strike out. Walk ratio some
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 3: not necessarily Sold on sasaki not doing. Well Here kyle
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 3: freeland is Pitching, for colorado not a whole lot too.
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 3: LIKE here a six point two TO seventy ra one
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 3: point four to four whip. Not good he's better at
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 3: home somehow In course field five point four To NINE
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 3: homie ra still. Not great two of his last three
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 3: starts have actually, been, excellent though where he went eight
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 3: plus innings and two of them along one run in each.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 3: Of them but it was at Home Against, kansas CITY
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 3: and i know That's, course Field But kansas city can't
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 3: hit on. The road they couldn't hit In the a's.
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 3: Stadium either and then the other one Was At. San
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 3: francisco i'm Not really i'm not gonna go overboard being
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 3: that impressed. By that they were, good outings no doubt.
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 3: About that but he's still not striking. GUYS out i.
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 3: DON'T know, i mean he still allows a high hit
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 3: rate on. The season he allows a lot of. Home
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 3: runs he's fairly fly. Ball heavy he doesn't really walk,
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 3: many guys but he doesn't strike many guys.
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 2: Out either not really a lot to.
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 3: Love here he strike out walk ratio is pretty, decent
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 3: actually just because he walks so. Few people but he
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 3: allows a lot of hits and a lot of, home
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 3: runs so that's the trade off.
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: With him his strike up for nine is.
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 3: ALL right i mean it's. Not great numbers Against, the
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 3: dodgers not. Very good two hundred and fifty two. At
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 3: bats they've seen a ton, of them three zero, six
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 3: average eight to, ninety ops, a loot fifty four to
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 3: fourteen strike out.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: Walk ratio none of that is.
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 3: VERY good, I mean i don't really have much of
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 3: a reason to want To play. COLORADO here i don't
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 3: think they have the better of the starting pitching. Matchup
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 3: here dodgers, are public and they're definitely heavily priced at
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 3: minus one ninety eighty nine percent of tickets ninety four
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 3: percent of the cash. ON them i DON'T think i
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 3: could see the argument really For playing colorado here other
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 3: than the price is too high On. The dodgers well
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 3: that in. THE situation i guess That the dodgers might overlook,
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 3: them Here but i'm not.
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 2: Liking it the.
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 3: Money is backing the over sixty tickets ninety four percent
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 3: of the cash on the over totals above that key
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 3: number of eleven at eleven and. A half, i mean
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 3: it's a high total, for sure but the over might make.
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 3: MORE sense, i mean neither pitcher is really, that TRUSTWORTHY
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 3: and i don't love the.
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: Bullpens here it. Could happened it could be. An over the.
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 3: First game both games of this series went over actually,
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 3: so far so it definitely has been an. Over series,
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 3: SO yeah, i mean if you're gonna force me to
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 3: give an opinion on, THAT game i suppose the over
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 3: is better than. Anything else dodgers team total over is
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 3: an option, as well if you Think that sasaki is
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 3: kind of a mystery and might actually, Do okay dodgers
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 3: probably will tee off here On this colorado, pitching staff
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 3: but you're you'll need him to score. A lot you'll
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 3: need him to score probably, at least which they've been
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 3: able to do in both games so far in, the
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 3: series and they might be able to do, It again
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 3: but it is a. Bit risky. Dirty, sock Yes, the,
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 3: Rockies DUDE like i think they're kind of a, Dead
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 3: franchise like, they Can as, i've said they cannot attract
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 3: pitchers who would want to pitch in, That stadium like
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 3: they need to move. The team that's the only way
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 3: they're gonna be able to improve, the team, All right
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 3: and then WE have wnba to and either are.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: TWO games i considered.
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 3: Maybe having a, play HERE but i DON'T think i
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 3: like either game. Well Enough here washington Is. Hosting toronto
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 3: washington is staying at. Home here they last Played, on
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 3: Saturday so washington has a big rest, edge here but
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be factored into. The line washington did JUST
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 3: beat i, Almost said Anaheim beat la in their. Last
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 3: game Washington as minnesota, next though so that's kind of.
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 3: A problem they might look ahead there because you're really
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 3: gonna Focus on toronto. That much washington has a rest,
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 3: edge Though because toronto played yesterday and they played a
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 3: fairly close Game against. Indiana yesterday so it's not a
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 3: good Spot, for toronto even though they're rested kind of
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 3: because they didn't play for five days prior. To yesterday
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 3: but they're playing. Bad basketball, of course they've lost a
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 3: bunch of games in. A, row however maybe they're not
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 3: playing that bad because most of these games were actually
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 3: against good teams and the start of the losing streak
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 3: was Actually, against washington so they might actually show up
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 3: for this Game. Against washington but yesterday kind of tough Game.
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 3: Against indiana they lost. By six it.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: Wasn't really that.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 3: Close though they WERE losing i think by double digits
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 3: in the, fourth QUARTER and i think it was a
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 3: little bit cosmetic at. The end they weren't really in
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 3: any sort of position to win. That game but the
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 3: fact that they're on a back, TO back, i mean maybe.
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 2: You don't have to fade them because again they had rest.
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 3: Before yesterday and it's going to affect, The line like
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 3: the Oddsmakers know washington has, arrested manage so it's gonna increase.
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 3: The line and they're minus ten and a half minus
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 3: eleven here now and it's a low total one seventy and.
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 3: A half both totals are. Low here and, You know
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 3: washington's a, defensive TEAM and i don't like laying points
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 3: with teams. Like that they're a, good team but they're,
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 3: mostly defensive so laying a huge price, with them Not
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 3: something i'm. That interested AND like, i said their spot
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 3: is not exactly. Great either sixty three percent, of ticket
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 3: sixty six percent of the cash, on them the money's
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 3: coming in on.
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: THE over, I.
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 3: Mean i could see maybe the argument, for That, uh toronto,
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 3: you know Unrest in. Toronto's, Bullpen bulp WHY do i
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 3: Keep doing i'm in complete. Baseball mode toronto's defense might
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 3: fail here because they're on no rest and their defense isn't,
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 3: Good Anyway so washington might be able to go like
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 3: over their team total or something like, that here but
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 3: they're not an.
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: Offensive TEAM so i. DON'T know i.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 3: Don't like, This GAME like i just can't figure. IT
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 3: out I mean i go back and forth even on
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 3: like trying to figure out the. Side here LIKE when
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 3: I saw toronto was on the back to back off a,
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 3: TOUGH game i, was thinking you gotta lay the Points.
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 3: With Washington but i'm kind of thinking maybe the opposite,
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 3: is true and maybe the line is just. Too high
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 3: maybe there is some Value on Toronto and washington does
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 3: have the, look Ahead and toronto might Focus on Washington
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 3: because washington started this long losing streak, for Them and
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 3: Washington has, minnesota next, so whatever the owners. Don't, care, yeah,
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 3: aladies yeah, The yeah nica. Auto correct you're talking about
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 3: cars a, lot apparently, all right And. Then Minnesota golden
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 3: state is the much more competitive. Game here you got
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 3: two good, teams Here A western. Conference battle IT'S on
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 3: TV On. Usa Network golden state's pretty hot. Right now
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 3: they've won a bunch of games in. A row they're
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 3: coming off a Win. Over dallas but you know they're
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 3: not Gonna. Overlook minnesota minnesota is the best team in.
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 3: The league they played them, once earlier they played them
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 3: twice earlier. This season they lost by six at home
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 3: to them and by.
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: Three on, the road so those were.
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 3: Close Games So golden state is able to Compete. Against
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 3: minnesota they've won six games in. A row they're staying at.
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 3: Home here they did Play, on monday so they're not
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 3: on a huge amount of. Rest here minnesota is coming
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 3: off a big win Over, the, aces Though so minnesota
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 3: is coming off a, bigger win a. Huge, game really
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 3: They beat vegas for the second. Straight time they're on
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 3: more rest because they last Played, on saturday but they're
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 3: coming off a big. Win, Here man minnesota's hot. As
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 3: well they've won four in, a row and they've won
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 3: they've only lost one game Since, early july and we
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 3: know they're a. Dominant TEAM like i don't really see
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 3: any team being able to beat them in a. Playoff
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 3: series but in, THIS game i kind Of Like. GOLDEN
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 3: state I Think golden state they're one of the few
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 3: teams that could Compete. With minnesota on the, Defensive Side
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 3: golden state runs some kind of weird offensive schemes that
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 3: if you're not used to, seeing it you have to
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 3: kind of adapt. To it, And yes minnesota did go
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 3: in here and beat, them Before But golden state was
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 3: able to hang around both times they. Played them the
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 3: money's coming Out. OF minnesota i don't really agree. WITH
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 3: that i think it looks too easy to. Play them
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 3: they're minus two and a half minus three uh sixty
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 3: one percent of the cash on the sixty seven percent
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 3: of the Tickets On golden state money also heavily.
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 2: Back in the over total is low one sixty four and.
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 2: A half i don't agree with.
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 3: THE over i think in a game, like this with
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 3: two good deepfenses and two, competitive teams usually the deepfense
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 3: shows up and it becomes a.
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: Physical BATTLE so i would be.
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 3: Leaning more towards an under in a game, LIKE that
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 3: I Think golden state because of the style. OF game
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 3: i also would be looking towards taking the points with
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 3: the home. Team Here With golden state a good deepfense
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 3: at home, GETTING points i think they can. COMPETE here
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 3: i think the spot is a little bit better for
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 3: them staying. At Home with minnesota coming up a big
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 3: win Over, the aces everybody's talking about How the Aces
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 3: even i'm talking about How the aces are the biggest
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 3: Competition that minnesota has in the league. This Year golden
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 3: state's probably sitting, there, thinking yeah well what. About us
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 3: we have a, good record which, is true so that's.
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 3: That Game golden state also is really good, at Home
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 3: although minnesota is also really good on, the road so
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 3: you have two really good records going up against.
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 2: Each other minnesota is a really good.
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 3: Fifteen and two on, The Road golden state fifteen and
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 3: four at home is not. Bad, either obviously it's an,
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 3: INTERESTING one i guess as FAR as wnba, is concerned
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 3: at least it's one of the more. INTERESTING games i
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 3: Would Lean, golden STATE but i don't have a, play
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 3: HERE so i haven't HAD a wnba play for. A
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 3: while i know we have to get back on the.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 3: WINNING side i think we're one game below five hundred IN,
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 3: the wnba but we've gotten some real. Bullshit results.
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have SOME.
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 3: MORE wnba i just have to find some situations to.
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: Do it but that's gonna do. It today it's. All
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: BASEBALL as, i said.
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 3: We're gonna get Sued By jaden daniels for the first
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 3: five plays that we.
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 2: Have today We're taking seattle in the.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 3: First five nobody's gonna want to do it after the
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 3: massacre that they suffered. Last, NIGHT however i like IT
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 3: and i think they have the best starting pitcher on.
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 3: The mouth so we're Gonna take seattle in a highly,
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 3: MOTIVATED spot. I believe and we're taking two teams that
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 3: both got shut Out yesterday washington in the. FIRST five
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 3: i think they have the better starting pitcher.
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 2: As well let's.
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 3: Do it, and again my other leans Were the as
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 3: first Five and anaheim. First five as would be Dependent
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 3: On gauge JUMP. Or jt ginn being the starter, for
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 3: THEM though i would say either one of those and
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 3: it might be, a go but it's not on. My
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 3: card so those are the other two PLAYS that i
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 3: like the best besides the two, actual, plays though that's gonna.
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 3: Do it learn it Ton, on twitter Learn it Tone.
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 3: On instagram like subscribe to the. CHANNEL here I know
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 3: i keep pumping the. Football previews. It'll happen we gotta
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 3: get it done college.
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 2: Football soon that one will.
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 3: Be soon it's, starting soon, So yeah i'll do the
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 3: show soon and then there'll be A final nfl PREVIEW
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 3: though i did kind of already, do ONE and i
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 3: think the season WIN totals i gave out were good on,
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 3: that show but the, DIVISIONAL.
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: Standings i might change my opinions a.
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 3: Little bit? What else, SO yeah i like. Subscribe here you'll.
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 3: Get notified listen, On, Audio, Apple. Spotify spreaker that. All
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 3: helps the numbers have gone up recently, on AUDIO so i.
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 3: Like that we're stagnant again, on YouTube so we gotta fix.
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 3: Something here nobody likes to listen to my ramblings covered in.
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 2: You because my uke channel. On YouTube you can.
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 3: Check That out patreon dot comptash learned IT so i
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 3: always forget what my. Plugs are. Loser casts we had
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 3: a new episode, last night go check. IT out i
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 3: thought it, was decent, YOU know i. DON'T know i
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 3: felt like it wasn't the funniest episode in. My opinion
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 3: we gotta stop getting off track and going on these
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 3: serious tangents on. THAT show i try to kind of
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 3: Like With, tower game but this is it's worse on.
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 3: LOSER casts i try to steer it more to, It's
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 3: no we're supposed to be a, comedy Show like let's
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 3: do this and Then the Giants g. Spot podcast it's, gotta,
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 3: start man BECAUSE the, i mean we did do, one
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 3: episode but we got to do something because the season
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 3: is about. To START so i gotta Talk to ben.
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 3: About that that's gonna. Do it, For now i'll be
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 3: back With The College, football preview will be my next
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 3: SPECIAL that, i do and then of course i'll be
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 3: here tomorrow morning for A.
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 2: SHORT thursday i Love the thursday cards because.
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 3: They're shorter but OF course i will have to TALK
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 3: about nfl Preseason and week two becomes More unpredictable i'm
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 3: speaking OF which i do have to watch The Latest
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 3: hard knocks With The, seattle SEAHAWKS which i assume came.
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 3: OUT yesterday i haven't watched, that Yet so i'll probably
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 3: watch that today that's gonna. Do it. Hindian thing i've
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 3: had a long beard a couple. OF times i don't
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 3: like it when it gets, that, Long, though, LIKE no
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 3: i like to keep it around. This length I'm gonna
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 3: i'm gonna probably trim it a. Little bit i'll USUALLY
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 3: make i let it get a little bit longer during
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 3: the winter. Usually, though yes like. AND hype i don't
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 3: know what the fuck, hype does, but yes. Do it
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 3: that's gonna. Do it, thanks everybody subscribe and you'll be
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 3: NOTIFIED when, i GO because i don't know when my
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 3: football previews are, gonna happen so keep that. In mind
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 3: and obviously you pretty much Know what i'm gonna be
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 3: here in the. Mornings, though oh that's gonna do it. For.
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 3: Now peace.
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: If the doc, starts talking hand me, the phone let
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: somebody and so let somebody know you do not have to.
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 5: Lose, this.
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 4: Round lone, hold on hold on.
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: Nothing nice, not now.
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 5: Hold on. Hold on let me pull you out that
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 5: bad luck, by time but it don't get. The crown,
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 5: hold on, hold on stay, with, me now, hold on,
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 5: Hold on you're still here now