Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 261 - 4/21/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 261 - 4/21/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to episode 261 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:36
  Happy Monday, a new week begins and we got a lot to get to today
• 0:41
  guys getting right back into the sports betting arena.
• 0:44
  I do have a four pack of sweats for you today.
• 0:46
  I know it's a smaller than usual Major League Baseball slate, but
• 0:49
  I did find 3 bets that caught my eye with good sharp line moves
• 0:53
  and a ton of good bet splits and system matches.
• 0:56
  Also some good sharp mush edges from our friends at Juice Real.
• 0:59
  And then also going to get right back to the NBA playoffs because
• 1:02
  there is one game tonight where I said you know what, we got a
• 1:05
  really good rhythm edge. A rhythm is telling us one thing
• 1:08
  with the total and we have about a 2 or even 3 point edge based
• 1:12
  upon what the odds makers are offering versus what rhythm is
• 1:16
  predicting. So a four pack overall guys,
• 1:18
  three MLB, one NBA. Let's at least try to go 2 and
• 1:21
  two for you. Go three and one.
• 1:22
  That would be even better. Now before we dive into
• 1:25
  tonight's sweats, how was your weekend?
• 1:27
  Hope everyone had a great Passover weekend, an Easter
• 1:30
  weekend, of course. And you know what it got a got
• 1:33
  to be a pretty good weekend for me because if you had followed
• 1:37
  the V Syn sharp reports that I write every single day, no days
• 1:40
  off or if you are able to follow the all systems go best bet
• 1:44
  picks which every single one is posted officially on the Juice
• 1:48
  Reel app. You know, at the end of the pod,
• 1:49
  I always tell you, if you like the pod, you value the insights,
• 1:52
  you know what you can do. I'm going to hold out a tip jar
• 1:55
  and you can put $4.99 a week in that tip jar by signing up to
• 1:58
  get those plays officially on the Juice Reel app.
• 2:01
  So you can find on the Juice Reel app bottom right corner
• 2:04
  under buy sell. You can search ASG under score
• 2:07
  podcast or you can just click the link that I put out every
• 2:10
  single day for my Twitter profile at Josh under score
• 2:12
  insights because if you had played some of those, you know
• 2:16
  those those best bet picks on the juicer lap or the sharp
• 2:20
  reports that are right again, every day for vsend.com over the
• 2:23
  weekend. Of course, not not too bad six
• 2:26
  and O this weekend. You combine that with Friday,
• 2:28
  3:00 and 1:00. So we're off to a nine and one
• 2:31
  at a last out of our last 10-12 and one out of our last 13.
• 2:35
  Remember Friday we got that Dallas, Memphis over 221 also
• 2:39
  got the Astros and the Yankees. Saturday, 3 and O.
• 2:42
  If you played the Cubbies, the Giants and the Rangers with an
• 2:44
  epic walk off. They are down three to two in
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  the ninth and got to Kirby Yates, Adolos Garcia hit a walk
• 2:50
  off Homer. I know my guy King Nebuchad.
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  Nets are like that one and then another three and O on Sunday
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  with the Dodgers, the Brewers and the Yankees.
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  So don't let don't let the boys get hot.
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  That's all I'm going to say. But This is why you got to
• 3:02
  continue to grind and never give up sports betting because you
• 3:05
  know you can be ice cold. Nothing can go your way.
• 3:06
  You can be red hot where everything goes your way.
• 3:09
  Betting is always difficult. We're never as hot as we think
• 3:11
  when we're cashing at a high rate, we're never as bad as we
• 3:13
  think when we're struggling. We're always somewhere in the
• 3:15
  middle. But again, you got to keep keep
• 3:18
  grinding keep sticking with it, and it's always nice when you
• 3:20
  can run off a little bit of a hot streak.
• 3:22
  So today's challenge is to try to stay hot.
• 3:25
  So that being said, I want to start off with some NBA
• 3:28
  postseason action and I want to go to the first game tonight,
• 3:31
  7:30 PM Eastern Time. We got the Pistons and the New
• 3:35
  York Knicks. So this is game two of the first
• 3:38
  round Eastern Conference playoffs.
• 3:40
  We did see the Knicks post to win 123 to 112 in the opener.
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  Now in terms of the side, we did see the sign move a little bit
• 3:46
  to the Knicks -6 snap up to -7 but I'm going to focus on the
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  total here. This is where we have a pretty
• 3:52
  good rhythm edge in favor of the over.
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  So looking at this game, we had the total open around 221 1/2,
• 4:00
  even 222 at some shops and I noticed earlier today it got
• 4:03
  back down to 220 1/2. So my first inclination was to
• 4:07
  respect the line move. I think you always got to do
• 4:09
  that. Whether you agree or disagree,
• 4:11
  you got to respect that. The odds makers took in some
• 4:14
  sharp money and that caused them to adjust the number.
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  So it looked like early on there was some under money that showed
• 4:19
  up again, dropping the Pistons Knicks total two 22221 1/2 down
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  to 220 1/2. But then when it got down to 220
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  1/2, I started to see creep back up, which told me that I think
• 4:31
  and again, I could be wrong, but I think that 220 and half is
• 4:34
  your low watermark as we're starting to see this thing get
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  back up to around two 21221 1/2. So I pounced on the over 220 1/2
• 4:43
  and you should still get it. I hope I can, you know, get the
• 4:46
  pod, you know, produced and out to you quick and offer.
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  Maybe you just follow the best bet on the juicer lap.
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  But 220 1/2 is still available at DraftKings right now.
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  But again, I don't know how long it's going to last.
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  And you do see some books creeping back up.
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  But this is what I like about the over 220 1/2.
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  The first thing that I like is our rhythm system matches.
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  Now, I always tell you with rhythm, the first thing that I
• 5:07
  look for is that #1 all of my recommendations are on the same
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  side. And then #2 that they're all in
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  green, an official Green Star recommended play.
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  So for this over again, I hope you can get 220 1/2.
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  If not, you know, 221 or 221 1/2.
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  But all three are on the same side.
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  All three are Green Star recommended.
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  All three are on the OVA. So I have one model that's
• 5:30
  222.1. I have one model that's 221.8.
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  I have another model that's 222.5.
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  So we can round it to basically 222 again, over 220 NAF.
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  That's a 1 1/2 point edge, 221 half half point edge.
• 5:45
  Obviously we're going to need 222 or more if you weren't able
• 5:48
  to get the 220 NAF. But it was notable to me that
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  all three where Green Star recommended, none were on the
• 5:54
  under. All were on the over.
• 5:56
  If we dig a little deeper, Detroit #7 in the NBA in terms
• 5:59
  of pace. So they're quick get up and on
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  the court, more possessions, more opportunities to score.
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  Both teams are top 15 offensive efficiency.
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  Knicks are #5 Detroit is 15 again.
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  Game one, we did see 235 points. If you look at the regular
• 6:15
  season, though, I don't think that Game 1 was an aberration.
• 6:18
  Listen to these combined totals throughout the regular season 4
• 6:21
  matchups between Detroit and New York.
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  We had a 226-230-1243 and 2:21. So that averages to about
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  232.75. So hopefully you cash that over.
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  Did notice Detroit slight over team 41 and 39 to the over
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  51.3%, but when Detroit's on the road, 21 and 18 to the over 54%,
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  the Knicks 42 and 40 to the over again, slightly over team 51.2%,
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  but when the Knicks are at home, 22 and 1954%.
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  So nothing amazing here. It's not like these are the top
• 6:56
  one and two over teams in the NBA, but there are slight over
• 6:59
  teams. I would also kind of, you know,
• 7:01
  bank on the fact a little bit. I know this line is kind of
• 7:03
  getting a little high, 6 1/2 up to seven, but you know, seven,
• 7:08
  I'm not going to call it a short spread, but it's also not a 10
• 7:10
  or a 12 point spread. So do we get a bit of a
• 7:12
  competitive game, little back and forth?
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  Can we get some scoring? I also kind of like the fact
• 7:17
  that if you saw the games from yesterday, I believe the unders
• 7:22
  went three and one. So maybe the public says, oh,
• 7:25
  unders are three and one, let's just ride the unders.
• 7:28
  So maybe they're thinking of playing this under yet we're
• 7:30
  starting to see this line fall and then tick back up.
• 7:33
  But what really sold me with this one is 1, hopefully being
• 7:36
  able to bottom, bottom low watermark the 220 1/2 over.
• 7:40
  But really those rhythm system edges when I have 3 plays, all
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  recommended, all green star, no conflicting plays on the
• 7:47
  opposite side. So no plays on the under.
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  That gave me some confidence here to take this over.
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  So I'm officially on Pistons Knicks over 220 1/2 again.
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  Maybe you can only get a 221 now, but it I think it's still
• 8:01
  DraftKings 220 1/2. So try to jump on that number if
• 8:05
  you hopefully can get it. So give me the over 220 1/2
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  Pistons Knicks. Now let's go to Major League
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  Baseball today. Of course, if you didn't know,
• 8:13
  it is marathon Monday, which is a big celebration, big holiday.
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  If you're like me and live in outskirts of Boston and New
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  England, Of course you got the marathon.
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  You got the early Red Sox game four to two winners, which was
• 8:25
  nice because I got that over 85 1/2 win total.
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  They're down 1, nothing early, so luckily they came back.
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  But it for me in particular Marathon Monday.
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  I don't know if you guys, if I ever mentioned this to you, but
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  when I got out of college, I graduated in 2009 from UVM,
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  University of Vermont, go Cats, go.
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  And I had a English degree in a history minor, but my
• 8:44
  concentration was sports journalism and my goal was to
• 8:48
  write for the Boston Globe or write for, you know, Sports
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  Illustrated or work for the Red Sox or something like that.
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  Obviously, 2009 was the Great Recession, couldn't find any
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  jobs. So my first two years in Boston,
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  my very first job when we moved there, me and a couple of my
• 9:03
  friends, we got an apartment in Brighton.
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  We were snow shovelers, so it was pretty good.
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  We got paid like I think it was like 25 bucks an hour, which is
• 9:11
  kind of a lot back then. But then after that, my first
• 9:14
  job was working at Jerry Remy's Sports Bar and Grill, which is
• 9:18
  basically right behind home plate at Fenway Pack and I was a
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  server bar back busboy, you know, fill in bartender.
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  I did it all. But I remember Marathon Monday
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  was always the craziest day of the year, like a good day at
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  work. You know, you can make hundred
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  200 bucks marathon Monday. I worked there two years.
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  I think I got like 506 hundred bucks that day just because
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  people show up at like 6:00 AM the pregame and it's a very
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  festive awesome day. So I I like my paychecks that
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  day, but I'm I'm getting old now I'm 37 and I'm glad I work in
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  the sports betting industry because I was hard work, but it
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  was kind of kind of fun at the time anyway, not that you guys
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  care about my back story, but with that being said, smaller
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  than usual slate eight games overall, I found three games
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  that had some good sharp steam, good system matches and good bet
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  splits. So let's go through them one by
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  one First one here. 6:40 PM Eastern Time Padres at the
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  tigers. So set the stage talk line
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  movement. I'll give you my play for this
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  one. Padres, the father's the dads.
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  They come in 16 and 6 did however, just drop 2 out of
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  three against the Stroh's. Avoided the sweep though.
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  Sunday night baseball they won three to two last night as a
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  plus one O 5 Rd. dog. Meanwhile, the Tigers 13 and 9
• 10:35
  on the year, just took three of four from the Royals.
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  Couldn't get the sweep though. They lost four to three in
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  extras yesterday as a big -220 home favorite.
• 10:44
  So pitching matchup for tonight, we got the pods going with the
• 10:46
  righty Randy Vasquez one in one 1.75 ERA.
• 10:51
  And if we look at the Tigers, they're going to go with fellow
• 10:53
  ready Kyder Montero O and 1 ERA of nine.
• 10:57
  So what are we seeing across the market here?
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  Well this game open Tigers around a -, 130 home favorite
• 11:03
  San Diego around a + 115 Rd. dog and the public is thinking.
• 11:07
  The wrong team is favored. Yeah, the pods are getting plus
• 11:10
  115 to 16 and 6:00. You got to take San Diego.
• 11:14
  I don't know. What kind of accent I was doing
• 11:15
  there anyway? Publix on the Padres.
• 11:19
  They're getting upwards of nearly 60% of bets, but the line
• 11:23
  ain't falling toward to pick them.
• 11:25
  The line has gone further toward Detroit.
• 11:27
  Detroit -130 now up to -140 I got Detroit at -142 I still
• 11:33
  think that's your best number, but some books are creeping
• 11:35
  toward -145. But this is a classic fade.
• 11:39
  The trendy dog public San Diego Lions going to Detroit.
• 11:43
  If we look at the bet splits here, only about 40% of tickets,
• 11:47
  but more than half the money is on Detroit at DraftKings.
• 11:50
  So good bet split. Then we got a lot of system
• 11:53
  matches on Detroit. Favorites off a loss. 90 and
• 11:56
  4567% this year, 13% ROI. Home favorites off a loss 56 and
• 12:02
  2569 percent, 17% ROI. Interleague Home favorites 48
• 12:08
  and 2566 percent, 12% ROI. Monday Home favorites with steam
• 12:13
  $0.10 or more, Seven and two this year, 43 and 1772 percent,
• 12:18
  10% ROI. Since 2024, Home favorites of
• 12:21
  the winning record 73 and 2773 percent, 18% ROI.
• 12:27
  So on my odds page, I actually have 13 system matches on
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  Detroit. Tigers also have correlative
• 12:32
  betting favorite low total total.
• 12:35
  This one is 8, although it looks like it may be getting up to 8
• 12:37
  1/2. So technically you would lose
• 12:39
  the correlative favorite low total, but you still have the
• 12:43
  interleague, lack of familiarity system and all the other ones
• 12:46
  you mentioned on Detroit. Detroit is 8 and two at home
• 12:49
  this year. San Diego is just four and five
• 12:51
  on the road now. I'm going to give Detroit a
• 12:53
  little bit of a sneaky schedule advantage because Detroit just
• 12:57
  played A4 game series at home, played an afternoon game
• 13:00
  yesterday. So, you know, they got a lot of
• 13:02
  rest and slept in their own beds.
• 13:05
  San Diego played last night, late Sunday night baseball, then
• 13:09
  had to travel to Detroit. So there's a wise guy system
• 13:12
  where you always like to if you can help it, as long as there's
• 13:14
  not conflicting smart money on the other side.
• 13:17
  But really fade the team that played on Sunday night Baseball.
• 13:20
  It's just you're up late, you got to travel.
• 13:22
  It's a tough turn around. Also, Luis Arise, good hitter
• 13:26
  for San Diego member. I don't know if you notice he
• 13:28
  collided at first. He believed he had to go to the
• 13:31
  hospital. I think he's OK, but he's a good
• 13:33
  hitter who will not play tonight for San Diego.
• 13:36
  Lastly, nothing crazy but a 4% sharp mush edge in the juicer
• 13:40
  lap on Detroit. So 4% more of the sharper
• 13:44
  winning betters are on Detroit as opposed to the losing betters
• 13:48
  who are leaning more toward San Diego.
• 13:50
  But Publix on San Diego. However, the lines going to
• 13:53
  Detroit, we got a lot of system matches.
• 13:55
  I got the Tigers here, guys, give me Detroit.
• 13:58
  I got a -, 142 at FanDuel. Next one for you, Philly in the
• 14:03
  New York Mets, 7:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, big matchup
• 14:07
  in the NL East. So let's set the stage of this
• 14:09
  one. The Phills come in 13 and 9 on
• 14:12
  the year. Took two or three against the
• 14:13
  Marlins. Didn't get the sweep, though.
• 14:15
  Yesterday they lost seven to five in extra innings.
• 14:18
  They're actually a -, 300 favorite in that one and lost.
• 14:22
  On the other hand, the Mets 15 and seven just swept the
• 14:24
  Cardinals. They won 7 to 4 yesterday as a
• 14:27
  -, 130 -, 135 home favorite. So pitching match up here
• 14:32
  tonight in the Big Apple. We got Aaron Nola O and four
• 14:35
  6.65 ERA going for the Phils. Mets send out Tyler Miguel two
• 14:40
  and two, 1.4 O ERA. So what do we see across the
• 14:43
  market? Well, this game opened some
• 14:46
  shops open as low as a pick em like -110 both sides, but a lot
• 14:49
  of others open slight Mets favorite -115 Philly around a
• 14:53
  plus one O 5 Rd. dog and the sharps are saying give me the
• 14:57
  Mets. So that's where I'm going.
• 14:58
  Give me the Mets here guys. They open -110 -, 115.
• 15:02
  They've now been bet up to -120 -, 125.
• 15:05
  I jumped on the Mets -120 a little bit earlier today, but I
• 15:09
  like the splits on the Mets at DraftKings.
• 15:11
  Publix basically 5050 doesn't know where to go, but yet we're
• 15:15
  seeing a line move toward the Mets.
• 15:17
  But out in Vegas at circa 81% bets, 93% money is on the Mets.
• 15:23
  So big heavy split wise guy discrepancy out in the desert in
• 15:26
  favor of the Mets. Now I may not rattle all these
• 15:29
  system matches off, but I'll just tell you I have 9 system
• 15:32
  matches on the Mets. A lot of the similar ones to
• 15:35
  that Detroit game, but we have Monday.
• 15:37
  Home favorites of the line move 12 and four this year. 67% since
• 15:41
  2024. Favorites of the line move in
• 15:43
  general 144 and 7666 percent 8% ROI Favorite who made the
• 15:49
  playoffs the previous year 65 percent 6% ROI.
• 15:53
  Home favorites of the winning record 73 percent 18% ROI.
• 15:58
  Home favorites in general 67 percent 10% ROI.
• 16:01
  So a lot of matches here on the Mets, Mets do have that
• 16:05
  correlative betting favorite low total total.
• 16:07
  This one is 8 little juice to the under.
• 16:09
  So if your amount of expected run score more likely never
• 16:12
  guarantee, but hopefully will be an advantage to the Mets here
• 16:15
  tonight. Mets also have been great at
• 16:18
  home, nine and one at home this year.
• 16:20
  Philly's just four and five on the road.
• 16:22
  Hopefully the Mets get to NOLA. If not, and we got to sweat this
• 16:25
  thing, which feel like we always got to sweat these games.
• 16:29
  But New York has a big advantage out of the bullpen ERA of 2.27.
• 16:33
  That's third best in baseball versus 5.81 for the the Phills.
• 16:39
  That's actually second worst in baseball and little cherry on
• 16:43
  top. Our friends at Juice Reel,
• 16:44
  pretty big sharp mush edge on the Mets, 19% sharp mush edge on
• 16:49
  the Mets. So we got a kind of a pick em
• 16:52
  short favorite for the Mets opener.
• 16:54
  Steam to the Mets. Lot of system matches good at
• 16:57
  home, better bullpen. Let's hopefully we can hope we
• 17:00
  can get to NOLA here. I laid it with New York.
• 17:03
  I got him at -120 again, some shops, little closer to -125
• 17:07
  now. Last bed of the night in
• 17:10
  baseball. Saint Louis Cardinals, Atlanta
• 17:12
  Braves, 7:15 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
• 17:16
  So set the stage here. Cardinals 9 and 13 on the year.
• 17:20
  Just got swept by the Mets. As we just mentioned.
• 17:23
  Lost 7 to 4 yesterday as a + 125 Rd. dog.
• 17:26
  Meanwhile, the Bravos, after a really terrible start, starting
• 17:30
  to claw their way back. 8 and 13 on the year.
• 17:34
  They won six to two yesterday, swept the Mets -115 home
• 17:37
  favorite, and they are going to get Ronald Lacuna Junior back
• 17:40
  soon. So hopefully the I don't know, I
• 17:43
  actually should look at the adjusted win total for the
• 17:45
  Braves. Maybe they start to get hot
• 17:46
  here. But anyway, this game opened
• 17:49
  Atlanta a pretty hefty favorite around -175 Saint Louis plus 150
• 17:54
  on the road. And it's notable to me that the
• 17:57
  sharps are not scared off by this big number.
• 17:59
  Sharps have hammered Atlanta. Atlanta went from -175 up to
• 18:03
  -190 I'm seeing some shops now close to -200 I jumped on
• 18:08
  Atlanta at -190 I believe your best price might be -196 at
• 18:13
  FanDuel. Now, of course, I really don't
• 18:15
  like to go above -200 This is about as high as I'll go in
• 18:18
  baseball because again, you risk a unit, you're only getting a
• 18:21
  half unit back on a -, 200. But I got -190 So you get a
• 18:25
  little bit better on the buyback.
• 18:27
  But a couple other things to like about Atlanta at Circa 75%
• 18:32
  bets, 99% money heavy heavy betting on the Braves.
• 18:37
  I forgot to mention I totally skipped the pitching match up.
• 18:39
  Cardinals are going to go with the ready Eric Fetty one and two
• 18:42
  3.43 ERA. Braves Spencer Schwellenbach,
• 18:46
  one and one 2.55 ERA. Lot of matches on Atlanta sit
• 18:51
  very similar ones to the Mets in Detroit.
• 18:53
  Actually have 10 system matches on Atlanta.
• 18:56
  Home favorites. Favorites with the line move in
• 18:58
  their favor. Non division favorites with
• 19:00
  steam $0.10 or more. Favorites who made the playoffs
• 19:02
  the previous year Monday. Home favorite with steam
• 19:05
  favorites -150 or more 69 percent 5% ROI.
• 19:10
  Braves also have some additional value as the quote UN quote non
• 19:14
  divisional favorite. Lack of familiarity benefiting
• 19:16
  hopefully the better team. Braves even though the records
• 19:20
  kind of bad again. They are playing better now, but
• 19:22
  they are 6 and two at home. Cardinals are only 1 and 9 on
• 19:25
  the road. Braves have the better bullpen,
• 19:27
  3.73 versus 4.64 ERA for the Cardinals.
• 19:32
  And lastly, the Braves, they're hitting 293 at home this year.
• 19:35
  That's the best #1 the best batting average for home teams
• 19:39
  this season. Cardinals, meanwhile, only
• 19:41
  hitting 220 on the road. That ranks 15th.
• 19:44
  So it's a, it's a bit of an expensive price.
• 19:47
  Shop around. Try to get as close to -190 as
• 19:49
  you can. But I did get -190 on the
• 19:51
  Braves, So I'll be sweating the bravos here tonight at -190 So
• 19:56
  Braves, Mets and the Tigers, let's try to get two out of
• 19:59
  three or more. That is the goal.
• 20:02
  So that about does it for episode 261 of the All Systems
• 20:06
  Go Sports Betting podcast. Powered by Rhythm, as always.
• 20:10
  But this is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 20:12
  And as always, I start first by saying thank you.
• 20:15
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
• 20:17
  busy lives, to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat
• 20:21
  some sharp data-driven breakdowns with me.
• 20:23
  Win, lose or draw, I hope you value the insights.
• 20:25
  Obviously, I want to win every play we talked about.
• 20:28
  That's unrealistic. Betting is hard.
• 20:30
  There's hot and cold stretches. But if you do enjoy this pod,
• 20:34
  could you take a second or two and give it a five star review
• 20:37
  on Spotify or iTunes? Would go a long way to helping
• 20:40
  us to continue to grow the podcast.
• 20:42
  If there's a opportunity to leave a review and a nice
• 20:45
  comment, hey, I'll take it. If there's a button you can
• 20:48
  click that says follow that we get alerted as soon as it drops
• 20:51
  each day, you'll probably get a pop up or a notification on your
• 20:54
  phone. That'll be great as well.
• 20:56
  If you want to recommend the pod to a friend.
• 20:59
  Word of mouth is also, I think the best way to recommend
• 21:01
  something next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown,
• 21:06
  data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting.
• 21:08
  We're betting games not because of our bias or favoritism.
• 21:11
  We're human. We have those bias and
• 21:13
  favoritisms, but we try to keep them at the door and bet based
• 21:17
  on what the numbers and the money is telling us and how the
• 21:20
  market is moving and our system matches, of course.
• 21:23
  But if you want to learn more about data-driven betting or you
• 21:26
  know you want to let me know you appreciate the pod.
• 21:28
  You know what you should do. You should go to Amazon.com and
• 21:31
  type in the everything guide to sports betting.
• 21:34
  It's the first book I ever wrote.
• 21:35
  I'm very proud of it, but it's got everything I've learned in
• 21:38
  the industry. It's great for new betters.
• 21:40
  If you are brand new to betting or relatively new and you don't
• 21:43
  really know how the game works or have a blueprint how to how
• 21:46
  to pick games, or maybe you have a friend or colleague or someone
• 21:49
  in your life who's in a newly legalized state.
• 21:52
  If any of that is the case or you just want to, you know,
• 21:55
  again, make me happy and pick up a copy, I would really very much
• 21:58
  appreciate it. It's got everything I've learned
• 22:00
  in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
• 22:03
  to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to
• 22:06
  place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best line,
• 22:09
  how to set up a bankroll management plan.
• 22:11
  It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
• 22:13
  betting. Now, while you're at it and
• 22:15
  picking up a copy of the everything Guide to Sports
• 22:17
  betting, I think it's only like 15 bucks.
• 22:20
  You know, you should also do you should stay on Amazon and then
• 22:23
  type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 22:27
  That's my new book. I actually just submitted over
• 22:30
  the weekend my final edits for the book.
• 22:33
  So it's actually going to go to the printing press soon here,
• 22:35
  but it's called the NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 22:38
  How to analyze the market, go contrarian and bet like a
• 22:40
  data-driven wise guy. So if you want to help me to
• 22:44
  continue to generate the buzz, I would love it if you wanted to
• 22:47
  order a pre sale copy of the book cost 24 bucks, you'll get
• 22:52
  it delivered as soon as it comes out on April 12th.
• 22:55
  But really my goal is to get as many pre sales as possible just
• 22:58
  to again make the publishers happy and hopefully have a good
• 23:01
  debut. If you want to order one and
• 23:04
  bring it to the book or bring the Everything Guide to sports
• 23:07
  betting to the sports book, you know what I'm going to do?
• 23:09
  I'm going to give you a nice, nice handshake and I'm going to
• 23:12
  sign them for you. I'm going to buy you a beer or
• 23:14
  ginger ale or we'll get some nachos and sweat some games
• 23:17
  together. But seriously, you've already
• 23:19
  bought 1. Thank you, I really, really
• 23:21
  appreciate it. Next, if you haven't done it
• 23:24
  yet, what are you waiting for? Go download Rhythm and Juice
• 23:26
  Reel, my two favorite sports betting apps.
• 23:28
  Rhythm for their AI backed models and predictions for game
• 23:31
  bets and player props. And then of course, Juice Reel,
• 23:34
  where you can get some fantastic arbitrage system matches and
• 23:39
  sharp mush indicators. You can follow the Robo Jackson
• 23:42
  best bet picks or again, if you want to make my day go sign up
• 23:45
  for those $4.99 a week best bets on the juice reel app.
• 23:50
  You can get those all systems go best bet picks and again it's
• 23:54
  like a tip jar. So if again, you you like the
• 23:56
  service tip, your bartender, your server, you like the pod go
• 23:59
  sign up for those best bets. So it's actually a 7 day free
• 24:01
  trial if you just want to test it out and see if you like it.
• 24:05
  But but that's juice reel and that's rhythm go download both
• 24:08
  and give them a five star review in the App Store.
• 24:11
  Lastly, if you're betting on sports, you know what you need
• 24:15
  you need a live odds page shows you every game on the board.
• 24:18
  All your first you got to know what can I bet on today.
• 24:20
  Live odds page will give you every game and every sport
• 24:23
  available to you. Then you got to know what the
• 24:25
  line opened at and how it's moved the the odds logic.
• 24:29
  Live odds page also will give you that opening line column.
• 24:32
  Next to it will be all the current numbers.
• 24:34
  You can also pull up the line history just by clicking the box
• 24:37
  that shows any odds on any game so you can look at all the moves
• 24:40
  in between. And most importantly, it gets
• 24:42
  the gives you the the opportunity to shop for the best
• 24:45
  price. So I was giving you some of
• 24:47
  these games earlier, but big one for me was that NBA game
• 24:51
  tonight. Again, I noticed most books were
• 24:53
  221 even 221 1/2. But then I saw DraftKings at 220
• 24:57
  1/2 and I said, you know what, I want to play the over.
• 25:00
  That's my best price. So again, I hope the game sails
• 25:04
  over. But what if it lands on 2/21?
• 25:06
  Getting that over 220 1/2 will be will be worth it.
• 25:10
  I also like the fact that Odds Logic gives you pretty much
• 25:12
  every book to follow, but importantly they give you
• 25:15
  Pinnacle and Chris as well as Circa.
• 25:18
  So your market setting books your first to open when you see
• 25:21
  those move. You can pick off a slow moving
• 25:23
  copycat book that hasn't adjusted yet.
• 25:25
  So if you want to give it a shot I would highly recommend
• 25:29
  punching in this link. Odds logic.com/josh 123.
• 25:34
  That's odds logic.com/josh 123. You click that link again, make
• 25:40
  sure you have the slash Josh 123 at the end, but you will then
• 25:43
  get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month.
• 25:47
  And again, if you have any questions about, you know, odds
• 25:49
  logic, choose real rhythm. You want to, you know, order a
• 25:53
  copy of my book. You don't know how to access it.
• 25:56
  I'm always available on Twitter. You can always send me a direct
• 25:58
  message at Josh under score insights.
• 26:01
  But that about does it for today's pod on Marathon Monday
• 26:05
  against sun shining. Feels like it's spring, which is
• 26:07
  great, even though I'm depressed.
• 26:09
  No Boston Bruins playoffs, which is a rite of passage, but again,
• 26:13
  not this year. Bruins stunk.
• 26:15
  Anyway, I'm going to leave with a couple things, as I do at the
• 26:18
  end of every podcast. One, whether I see you at the
• 26:21
  Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
• 26:24
  Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
• 26:27
  Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park,
• 26:30
  Casino, REMGM, Springfield or the Nash in Nashua, NH, and my
• 26:34
  neck of the woods. Or, of course, out in the
• 26:36
  desert, where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters
• 26:39
  sends his number runners, where the lowest juice possible is
• 26:42
  found at the South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
• 26:44
  plays, jumping in the stadium swimming pool when they catch a
• 26:47
  big ticket at Circa. You're going to walk up to me.
• 26:50
  You're going to show me a nice little string of winners here
• 26:53
  from yesterday. Show me Dodgers, Brewers,
• 26:55
  Yankees. From Saturday, Show me Cubs,
• 26:57
  Rangers, Giants. From Friday.
• 26:58
  Show me that Mavs over the Astros, the Yankees.
• 27:02
  Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
• 27:04
  you. We're going to post about the
• 27:05
  book Sweat shark and train plays all night long.
• 27:08
  So whether we're hot, whether we're cold, whether we're up,
• 27:11
  whether we're down, whether we're grinding and can't seem to
• 27:14
  have that winning night or whether it feels like betting is
• 27:17
  easy and you know we're getting winners left and right or ice
• 27:19
  cold. We can't get a winner or snake
• 27:21
  bit again the previous day, the previous couple days, if we're
• 27:25
  humid, if we're hot, we're excited, we're happy.
• 27:27
  We want to bet more on rice cold.
• 27:29
  We're mad, we're upset, we're embarrassed, feels like it's a
• 27:33
  paralysis by analysis. But guess what?
• 27:35
  We just got to try to stay even keeled.
• 27:37
  Staying even keeled is so important in a business where
• 27:40
  it's really difficult to continue to win each day.
• 27:43
  But with that being said, if we can stick to the model, stick to
• 27:46
  the blueprint against the public, with the house, with the
• 27:48
  pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
• 27:52
  If we can do that, but games with our head and not our heart,
• 27:55
  stay disciplined with our bankroll management, stick to
• 27:58
  the model, stick to the blueprint.
• 27:59
  If we can do that, and I'm confident that we can, then
• 28:02
  guess what we're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 28:04
  So have a fantastic Monday night, everybody.
• 28:07
  I'll see when we get some winners in baseball in the NBA.
• 28:11
  And then guess what, we'll be right back at it tomorrow for a
• 28:13
  big Tuesday edition. That'll be episode 262 of the
• 28:17
  All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 28:21
  Good luck everybody and have a great Monday night.