Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Tuesday 11/11/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
- 0:05Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
- 0:08Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
- 0:11Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
- 0:14Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
- 0:17Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
- 0:20Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
- 0:25Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four next
- 0:29Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
- 0:33Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached
- 0:37Speaker 1: into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man,
- 0:42Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins
- 0:44Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
- 0:46Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
- 0:51Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
- 0:53Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
- 0:57Speaker 1: the worst day that I can possibly have, Back with
- 0:59Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die, at least
- 1:03Speaker 1: oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go
- 1:06Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
- 1:10Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
- 1:13Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump,
- 1:16Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:22Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 1:25Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up for everybody?
- 1:33Speaker 1: It's Toad back with you with a new branding on
- 1:37Speaker 1: the show. This is toad Stool Sports now. Shout out
- 1:41Speaker 1: to Jeffrey for the for the new name of this,
- 1:45Speaker 1: and shout out to AI for the logo for this. Emily,
- 1:50Speaker 1: what's up? Oh, thank you? It's not as bright. That's
- 1:54Speaker 1: the one thing I don't like about it. I don't
- 1:56Speaker 1: like the lack of Neon Green here, but I like
- 2:01Speaker 1: the name better. It's better seol though. I found out
- 2:03Speaker 1: that some other guy on YouTube that has like two
- 2:06Speaker 1: videos has the same name. Screw him because I got
- 2:10Speaker 1: the at Toadstool Sports. He has some other handle. He's
- 2:16Speaker 1: only got two videos. He's a loser. I'm the real deal.
- 2:19Speaker 1: I'm the real toad Steel Sports. Let's go. We lost
- 2:23Speaker 1: yesterday on the show, though, Jeffrey, what's up? Thanks for
- 2:26Speaker 1: hanging out again. It's new new Yes, thank you well
- 2:32Speaker 1: hopefully it has more. I mean, the main goal is
- 2:36Speaker 1: SEO though, like I mean, I love puns, but whatever. Also,
- 2:41Speaker 1: we're taking a little dig at Dave port and I.
- 2:45Speaker 1: I'm better at reviewing pizza than he has. I'm more
- 2:47Speaker 1: of a pizza expert than he is. I know more
- 2:50Speaker 1: about pizza than he does, and I'm less of a
- 2:53Speaker 1: grifter than he is. So and I will I'm just
- 2:58Speaker 1: as bad to my employees as Stave Portnoy is. And
- 3:01Speaker 1: my only employee is myself though, So that's the difference,
- 3:04Speaker 1: all right. I don't know if we're allowed to show that,
- 3:10Speaker 1: but okay, I need some more. I need like drops.
- 3:13Speaker 1: I gotta get my my Rick Patino video up here,
- 3:16Speaker 1: him saying that he's gonna like kill himself or whatever
- 3:20Speaker 1: it is. I don't know like that he said it
- 3:22Speaker 1: in jest, Okay, just like me. Maybe I do. Yesterday
- 3:27Speaker 1: on the show, I don't know what to say. Man,
- 3:30Speaker 1: we had Cleveland State that was bad. That was a
- 3:35Speaker 1: loser the whole well, I don't want to say it
- 3:37Speaker 1: was a loser the whole way because they were kind
- 3:40Speaker 1: of still hanging around in that game. The number did
- 3:42Speaker 1: go up against them, so you could have gotten about
- 3:44Speaker 1: twenty three if you waited a little bit. Really really
- 3:48Speaker 1: just a ridiculous shooting performance from Northwestern though, like something
- 3:52Speaker 1: that you would not expect. They shot like somewhere around
- 3:55Speaker 1: like the sixty five sixty six percent range and like
- 3:58Speaker 1: sixty four percent from three point range. That's just something
- 4:01Speaker 1: that you never ever see. So there's just nothing you
- 4:05Speaker 1: could do about that. Grand Canyon was an easy win.
- 4:08Speaker 1: That was my better of the two. I shouldn't have
- 4:12Speaker 1: added Cleveland State. That was the one that I added,
- 4:14Speaker 1: like during the show on the fly, I shouldn't have
- 4:17Speaker 1: added it. That was my mistake. A Grand Canyon was
- 4:21Speaker 1: my best college basketball play, So that was a winner.
- 4:24Speaker 1: I tried to push it and it did not work out.
- 4:26Speaker 1: Now I have my microphone cord tangled here or my headphones,
- 4:30Speaker 1: I mean headphone cord tangled here as I tried to
- 4:33Speaker 1: take it off, taking it all off, baby, But yeah,
- 4:36Speaker 1: Grand Canyon, easy win. Washington Wizards were a win for
- 4:40Speaker 1: us in the NBA. They should have won outright. They're
- 4:42Speaker 1: winning that game outright throughout the fourth quarter and then
- 4:45Speaker 1: it went into overtime and I'm just like, you're not
- 4:49Speaker 1: gonna do this to me, right, like, I've had some
- 4:51Speaker 1: very rare situations, usually in college basketball, where a huge
- 4:56Speaker 1: underdog goes into overtime and they don't even cover. Most
- 5:00Speaker 1: notably was long long ago, before I was streaming and
- 5:04Speaker 1: doing shows and whatever. I had one with Minnesota plus
- 5:07Speaker 1: I think eleven or maybe even twelve at Michigan State
- 5:10Speaker 1: and college basketball way back in the day, and it
- 5:15Speaker 1: went into overtime after Minnesota was winning most of the
- 5:18Speaker 1: game outright, and they wound up not covering. You guys,
- 5:21Speaker 1: could if you look at you look back, you could
- 5:23Speaker 1: probably find that it was a long long time ago,
- 5:26Speaker 1: probably twenty ten, twenty eleven, maybe I don't know that was.
- 5:32Speaker 1: I mean, I still remember that because that was one
- 5:34Speaker 1: of the worst beats that I've ever had. But Washington
- 5:36Speaker 1: was able to cover. They lost by two. I wanted
- 5:40Speaker 1: the outright win because I always recommend putting a little
- 5:43Speaker 1: bit on the money line, like three percent on the
- 5:45Speaker 1: money line in that case, But that didn't happen. The
- 5:48Speaker 1: LA Clippers they stunk. They blew it. I mean, the
- 5:51Speaker 1: game was close. Statistically, they lost out right by a
- 5:56Speaker 1: couple I think they lost out right by a couple
- 5:57Speaker 1: of points. Just yeah, not great. I don't know. I
- 6:02Speaker 1: don't know what else I could say about that. They
- 6:04Speaker 1: had the leader early and they never were able to
- 6:05Speaker 1: extend it. And the Green Bay Packers of course also
- 6:08Speaker 1: lost to give us well, the Clippers were the last
- 6:12Speaker 1: play of the night, so if that one went our way,
- 6:14Speaker 1: we would have had a winning day, but we did not.
- 6:17Speaker 1: The Green Bay Packers, I don't know what that game was,
- 6:19Speaker 1: but the offense was so bad that I won in
- 6:23Speaker 1: fantasy because I was. I went into last night with
- 6:25Speaker 1: like a fifteen point lead going up against Jalen Hurts,
- 6:29Speaker 1: and he scored like eleven and I won. It was
- 6:32Speaker 1: just such a bad offensive game. I mean, I'll take
- 6:35Speaker 1: the win in fantasy, and my main to improve to
- 6:38Speaker 1: eight and two during Mahomes bye week Mahomes and Rice.
- 6:42Speaker 1: But even so, I did not want to lose that
- 6:46Speaker 1: on Green Bay because I also had them in my
- 6:48Speaker 1: pick five and now I went four and one in
- 6:51Speaker 1: that because of that, so I'm dropping down in the standings.
- 6:54Speaker 1: I think I'm still in the money, but not as
- 6:56Speaker 1: I and you know that hurt my weak overall. Obviously.
- 7:00Speaker 1: Now I'm three and one in the NFL on the
- 7:02Speaker 1: on the show this week, and that hurt my overall
- 7:07Speaker 1: pick'em pools obviously because I just took Green Bay and
- 7:09Speaker 1: all the pools. So yeah, not happy about that. They
- 7:14Speaker 1: it was a nothing, nothing game and they get to
- 7:15Speaker 1: the third or fourth quarter, maybe even they were down
- 7:18Speaker 1: three to nothing. They gave up a touchdown on like
- 7:21Speaker 1: the one big play of the game. They were down
- 7:22Speaker 1: ten to nothing. They drove, they got a touchdown, They
- 7:25Speaker 1: had other chances, they got the ball back, they didn't
- 7:29Speaker 1: really get into field goal range. And the way the
- 7:33Speaker 1: wind was blowing and you could see like because mcmahonus
- 7:36Speaker 1: had tested it out down that end and he was short,
- 7:39Speaker 1: he was not going to kick a sixty four yard
- 7:40Speaker 1: field goal do like you're asking him to tie the
- 7:43Speaker 1: game with It would have been the longest field goal
- 7:45Speaker 1: ever made at Lambeau. Like that's really what you want
- 7:49Speaker 1: to try with kind of an age and kicker. I
- 7:51Speaker 1: think they should have just gone for a hail Mary, dude,
- 7:53Speaker 1: Like if Jordan Love is Aaron Rodgers, you saw how
- 7:57Speaker 1: many of those hail mary as Aaron Rodgers was able
- 7:59Speaker 1: to complete. I think he had like three game winning
- 8:02Speaker 1: like fifty yard hail mary's basically in his career, well,
- 8:06Speaker 1: his career is not over yet, but I don't think
- 8:07Speaker 1: he's gonna do it again. But that's what they should
- 8:10Speaker 1: have done. There was no way they were gonna make
- 8:11Speaker 1: that kick. I mean, I guess I get what they
- 8:14Speaker 1: were trying to do where they ran an extra play
- 8:17Speaker 1: on like a an out pattern because I don't think
- 8:19Speaker 1: they had any time outs left, so they were trying
- 8:21Speaker 1: to get maybe get like five six yards on an
- 8:23Speaker 1: out pattern, like catch it real quick, get out of bounds.
- 8:27Speaker 1: They tried to do that. Love had to throw it
- 8:29Speaker 1: away and they had to kick the field goal at
- 8:32Speaker 1: that point, or well, they didn't have to. They could
- 8:34Speaker 1: have thrown the hail Mary still, which I think is
- 8:37Speaker 1: what they should have done. They should have just thrown
- 8:39Speaker 1: the hail mary. I mean, one shot at it, but
- 8:41Speaker 1: the kick was never even close. I mean he shanked
- 8:44Speaker 1: it too, but it was never gonna be close. And
- 8:47Speaker 1: I think they I think Philly iced mcmahonus too and
- 8:50Speaker 1: his h I think he actually went through with the
- 8:52Speaker 1: kick when he got iced, and that was short too,
- 8:55Speaker 1: Like there was no way he was gonna make it.
- 8:57Speaker 1: They should have just they should have just taken the
- 8:59Speaker 1: shot for the win, go for the hail Mary, I'm
- 9:01Speaker 1: not happy about that. No, I don't agree. The NFL
- 9:07Speaker 1: is never easy. I mean I somewhat liked the board
- 9:10Speaker 1: this week and did pretty well with it. But I
- 9:13Speaker 1: hate the board this week. I absolutely hate it. I
- 9:15Speaker 1: don't have any strong opinions. I went through it and
- 9:18Speaker 1: I looked. It's disgusting. I absolutely despise it, like I
- 9:23Speaker 1: don't have one single play rum like I really want
- 9:26Speaker 1: to be on the side. I hate it. Yes, correct,
- 9:31Speaker 1: Wilkins played for the SuperSonics. Yeah, I did not remember,
- 9:36Speaker 1: so I was not able to correct you. I'm old
- 9:40Speaker 1: enough to remember him, but I basically just associate him
- 9:44Speaker 1: with the Hawks Lenny Wilkins Rip. He coached in Cleveland
- 9:49Speaker 1: as well. I remember Mark Price. Mark Price was, if
- 9:52Speaker 1: I remember correctly, he was the best free throw shooter
- 9:56Speaker 1: in the history of the NBA. Something like that. Very
- 9:59Speaker 1: good free throw. All right, let's get into today. We're
- 10:03Speaker 1: gonna have two college basketball plays. Getting really selective on
- 10:06Speaker 1: this giant college basketball slate. But I really don't like
- 10:10Speaker 1: the slate here, and I'm gonna try to get through
- 10:11Speaker 1: it quick and then because obviously, as I usually say,
- 10:15Speaker 1: I don't want this show to take that long. We
- 10:17Speaker 1: have some NHL, some NBA, not huge on either. I
- 10:21Speaker 1: have one NHL play. I'm really narrowing it down. I
- 10:24Speaker 1: don't have anything in NBA, and I'm going to give
- 10:27Speaker 1: out a college football play, which is why I have
- 10:28Speaker 1: my Eastern Michigan Noah Kaniga gear on right now, because
- 10:33Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a play in the Max. It'll
- 10:35Speaker 1: be my first Maction play. I don't know if it's
- 10:38Speaker 1: my first MAC play of the entire season. Probably it
- 10:42Speaker 1: is not, because I usually have like a few in
- 10:44Speaker 1: there somewhere, but usually I'm gonna have at least one
- 10:47Speaker 1: somewhere in the primetime Max slate. And I actually do
- 10:50Speaker 1: like one of the games tonight, so I will do that. Okay.
- 10:55Speaker 1: College basketball, our favorite team, IU Indianapolis is playing a
- 11:00Speaker 1: eleven AM by the way, but it's actually on ESPN
- 11:03Speaker 1: Plus and they're playing IU Columbus Division Two. So if
- 11:06Speaker 1: you want to see IU Indy with this up tempo
- 11:10Speaker 1: garbage that they're running even though they've lost two games
- 11:13Speaker 1: in a row, now, you can go watch that whatever.
- 11:15Speaker 1: And then there's a one pm afternoon game that's isolated
- 11:18Speaker 1: if you want to watch Iona at um Kansas City
- 11:22Speaker 1: or just Kansas City the ruse because really, because they
- 11:27Speaker 1: are a ruse, because I don't think they're a real team.
- 11:31Speaker 1: IONA is gonna be a favorite in that game. I
- 11:33Speaker 1: don't have a whole lot to say about that. The
- 11:35Speaker 1: money looks like it's coming in on Iona for what
- 11:38Speaker 1: it's worth, up from three to four with juice, fifty
- 11:40Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty seven percent of the cash. I
- 11:43Speaker 1: have nothing as far as the situation in that one
- 11:46Speaker 1: A Long Island going to air Force. To me, this
- 11:49Speaker 1: this spot does not look good for Long Island to me.
- 11:51Speaker 1: I mean, they're coming off that win in that uptempo
- 11:53Speaker 1: game against IU Indy. They're now playing a third road
- 11:56Speaker 1: game in a row. But now they're having to go
- 11:58Speaker 1: to air Force, which is where is that Colorado Springs?
- 12:02Speaker 1: Maybe don't love that, yeah, Colorado Springs. Uh. So they're
- 12:07Speaker 1: going out into high elevation. It's a very very strange
- 12:10Speaker 1: road trip, uh playing another road game. And they do
- 12:13Speaker 1: have James Madison next, which is somewhat of a bigger
- 12:16Speaker 1: game because JMU has been a pretty solid team in
- 12:18Speaker 1: the last few years. So and then they got Fourdham
- 12:21Speaker 1: which is a New York versus New York game there
- 12:25Speaker 1: and then Illinois after that. To me, this spot doesn't
- 12:27Speaker 1: look good for Long Island. Do I really want to
- 12:30Speaker 1: put like, do I want to recommend putting money on
- 12:32Speaker 1: Air Force? Not really? I mean Air Force. They're just
- 12:36Speaker 1: an awful team, but they're still looking for their first win.
- 12:39Speaker 1: They are staying at home. At least I do think
- 12:41Speaker 1: it sets up better for air Force in this one.
- 12:44Speaker 1: A Long Island went up from one and a halfway
- 12:46Speaker 1: favorite to a three and a half point favorite, and
- 12:49Speaker 1: it's getting even higher. So if you do agree with
- 12:51Speaker 1: air Force, you're getting more money on that. But Ken
- 12:53Speaker 1: bomb as air Force just I don't know where he
- 12:56Speaker 1: has them, but really bad. Yeah, they're They are three
- 12:58Speaker 1: hundred and twelve in the country, one of the slowest
- 13:02Speaker 1: paced teams as of right now at three inut of
- 13:04Speaker 1: forty six. Where he has Long Island not great though,
- 13:08Speaker 1: at too eighty two, and he's got them at a
- 13:11Speaker 1: high tempo eighty one. So Air Force does kind of
- 13:15Speaker 1: have a tempo advantage if you want to call it that,
- 13:19Speaker 1: Where the home team is usually the team that can
- 13:21Speaker 1: control the tempo. The worst team usually has an easier
- 13:24Speaker 1: time controlling the tempo if they're a slow paced team
- 13:27Speaker 1: because it's easier to slow it down. And this is
- 13:29Speaker 1: a pretty low total to really low and one hundred
- 13:32Speaker 1: and thirty six and a half, so that is sort
- 13:34Speaker 1: of indicating that it looks like air Force might be
- 13:36Speaker 1: able to slow this thing down, which is also what
- 13:38Speaker 1: you want as a home underdog. So I don't really
- 13:41Speaker 1: want to talk myself into this play, but I would
- 13:44Speaker 1: lean to air Force in that game at UNBC, I
- 13:47Speaker 1: kind of lean against them too. They just played at
- 13:50Speaker 1: Dayton as twenty five and a half point underdogs, and
- 13:53Speaker 1: UNBC played a pretty pretty solid game in this one. Man.
- 13:57Speaker 1: They shot really well from three point range. I think
- 14:00Speaker 1: is the main reason why they were why they were
- 14:02Speaker 1: this close forty two point three percent from three. A
- 14:05Speaker 1: little bit of an outlier there, but they actually outrebounded Dayton,
- 14:09Speaker 1: so that's interesting. They lost the turnover battle and still
- 14:12Speaker 1: came close, so not all, not everything indicated that this
- 14:17Speaker 1: was a total outlier for UMBC. How good are they
- 14:20Speaker 1: this year? I still don't think they're that good, but
- 14:24Speaker 1: I also think they're in a hangover spot now because
- 14:26Speaker 1: they were really close with Dayton. Dude, they were within
- 14:29Speaker 1: two points still after they were winning the game in
- 14:31Speaker 1: the second half, they lost the lead, they clawed their
- 14:34Speaker 1: way back into it again, and they were down two
- 14:35Speaker 1: in the final minute. Basically, so I think they're gonna
- 14:39Speaker 1: be hungover coming off of this. I don't like the
- 14:41Speaker 1: spot for them. They got to go to Morgan State.
- 14:44Speaker 1: Morgan State very bad team though, uh so. I mean,
- 14:48Speaker 1: I don't know if I would recommend putting money on
- 14:49Speaker 1: this Morgan State team either, although they played respectably at
- 14:53Speaker 1: Georgetown to start the season, which I think Morgan State,
- 14:56Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken, I think they're also in DC.
- 14:59Speaker 1: Am I wrong about that? No, They're in Baltimore. My mistake. Close,
- 15:02Speaker 1: I was close, all right. So they played pretty well
- 15:06Speaker 1: against Georgetown, who is a DC team. They got to
- 15:09Speaker 1: win against the Division two teams, So give Morgan State
- 15:12Speaker 1: a little bit momentum there. At least this line has
- 15:15Speaker 1: dropped a little bit from four to three and a half.
- 15:17Speaker 1: Kind of agreeing with me, I would take the points
- 15:19Speaker 1: with Morgan State if I was gonna do it. But
- 15:21Speaker 1: ken Bom has them as really really bad, like one
- 15:24Speaker 1: of the bottom ten teams in all of D one.
- 15:28Speaker 1: He's got them as actually a fast paced team, which
- 15:31Speaker 1: is really really strange like a fast paced team. It's
- 15:34Speaker 1: really bad. It doesn't really profile that well to me.
- 15:37Speaker 1: I mean, it's just kind of chaos for the most part,
- 15:40Speaker 1: and then and they just don't They still aren't able
- 15:43Speaker 1: to score that well. UNBC also plays fast, though not
- 15:47Speaker 1: quite as fast, but it's not going to really throw
- 15:49Speaker 1: them out of what they want to do because they're
- 15:51Speaker 1: eighty fourth and tempo this year in UNBC really bad
- 15:54Speaker 1: defensively though, So both of these teams are bad defensively,
- 15:58Speaker 1: although Morgan State typically can't score, so that's the advantage
- 16:01Speaker 1: that UNBC has. The offense is way better, but laying
- 16:04Speaker 1: points on the road with a really bad defense like that,
- 16:08Speaker 1: I don't like that either, So I would take the
- 16:10Speaker 1: points with Morgan State. But man, I mean right now,
- 16:14Speaker 1: I'm just trying to avoid being on like really really
- 16:17Speaker 1: bad teams to trying to be selective. But I do
- 16:19Speaker 1: have those leans there, and that's getting into the evening slate.
- 16:25Speaker 1: Wake Forest at Michigan is the first like Big Conference
- 16:29Speaker 1: matchup of the night at six thirty pm on Fox
- 16:32Speaker 1: Sports One, carrying some of these big I think they
- 16:35Speaker 1: carried Big ten matchups. Typically this is Big Ten versus
- 16:39Speaker 1: AC see Michigan is sixth in the country as far
- 16:42Speaker 1: as the rankings are concerned. I like to double check
- 16:44Speaker 1: out with ken Baum, even though early on in the season,
- 16:47Speaker 1: I mean, his rankings haven't really been totally fleshed out
- 16:50Speaker 1: yet because we have less data. He's got Michigan tenth
- 16:53Speaker 1: in the country, so telling you they're like slightly overrated
- 16:57Speaker 1: right now, but they're still good. And I mean against
- 16:59Speaker 1: wake Forest, it's like, what do you really want? I mean,
- 17:01Speaker 1: I don't really see a situational angle for this either.
- 17:05Speaker 1: I think both teams are actually undefeated right now. Michigan's
- 17:08Speaker 1: only played one game, though, and they just they put
- 17:11Speaker 1: up a ton of points against Oakland, one hundred and
- 17:14Speaker 1: twenty one points against an in state little brother Oakland
- 17:18Speaker 1: seemingly not very good defensively. Here, Michigan's going to be
- 17:21Speaker 1: a big favorite. They're up from a twelve and a
- 17:23Speaker 1: half point favorite, so sixteen point favorite, eighty nine percent
- 17:26Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash money seemingly
- 17:29Speaker 1: coming in on Michigan. I kind of thought this spread
- 17:32Speaker 1: would actually be a little bit bigger than this, although
- 17:34Speaker 1: it does seem to be climbing. Public is only going
- 17:38Speaker 1: to be on Michigan, but it may not be the
- 17:39Speaker 1: wrong side here. The money looks like it's kind of
- 17:42Speaker 1: in alignment with that. I mean, this game is actually
- 17:45Speaker 1: not at Michigan though. This game is at Little Caesar's
- 17:49Speaker 1: Arena Pizza Pizza, So this is actually a semi home
- 17:53Speaker 1: game for Michigan. They got they got a semi for
- 17:56Speaker 1: this game, a semi Chubb because Wake Forest doesn't really
- 18:01Speaker 1: get you that excited. But this game is at the
- 18:03Speaker 1: Detroit Pistons Arena, where one of our winners happened last night,
- 18:08Speaker 1: by the way, the Washington Wizards, who got to win
- 18:11Speaker 1: for us in this arena last night. So it's a
- 18:14Speaker 1: big NBA arena, so the site lines can be different
- 18:17Speaker 1: and whatever can kind of throw it off a little bit.
- 18:19Speaker 1: So just to keep in mind, it's not a true
- 18:21Speaker 1: home game for Michigan. If it was, it probably deserve
- 18:24Speaker 1: to be a little bit of a bigger favorite than
- 18:26Speaker 1: they are. But it's still semi home for them. They'll
- 18:28Speaker 1: get a big crowd. I mean, it's University of Michigan
- 18:31Speaker 1: in Michigan. You know they'll have a big home crowd there. Nonetheless,
- 18:35Speaker 1: Ohio State is playing app State here. App State not
- 18:39Speaker 1: great right now. App State looks like they're taking some
- 18:41Speaker 1: of the public tickets seventy three percent of the tickets,
- 18:44Speaker 1: only sixty percent of the cash. Very strange. App State
- 18:48Speaker 1: looks kind of like they're a public underdog right now.
- 18:53Speaker 1: I don't understand that. You got to think that the
- 18:55Speaker 1: public could only want to come in on Ohio State,
- 18:57Speaker 1: although maybe they just don't trust Ohio State to win
- 19:01Speaker 1: by margin here. Ohio State's been fined so far. I
- 19:04Speaker 1: mean they're two and oh there's certainly the better team here. Yeah,
- 19:07Speaker 1: they're laying a ton of points though, up from twenty
- 19:09Speaker 1: three and a half to twenty four. I mean, I
- 19:12Speaker 1: don't think I would want to take the points with
- 19:13Speaker 1: app State in that one though. I will just say, Pinsy,
- 19:17Speaker 1: what's up man, thanks for hanging out again, thanks for
- 19:21Speaker 1: finding me again. Because I changed my branding and streamwer
- 19:24Speaker 1: is doing something weird where it actually set up like
- 19:26Speaker 1: a mobile stream too. But the mobile stream is like,
- 19:30Speaker 1: I don't know, seemingly not actually happening. I gotta fix that,
- 19:34Speaker 1: like I don't know what it's doing. Maybe I should.
- 19:37Speaker 1: I should probably just only go with the landscape or
- 19:40Speaker 1: whatever until until they figure that out. Unless unless you
- 19:46Speaker 1: guys could actually see it on mobile as a portrait view.
- 19:50Speaker 1: But I don't even see why you would do that, right,
- 19:52Speaker 1: because if you're on mobile, you'll just flip your phone
- 19:54Speaker 1: horizontally and watch it again landscape anyway, So I don't know,
- 20:00Speaker 1: all right, some of these bigger game, well, Penn State's
- 20:03Speaker 1: playing Navy, and I don't really see again, I'm just pointing
- 20:06Speaker 1: these games out. I don't really see much of an
- 20:08Speaker 1: angle here, but I will say that Penn State did
- 20:10Speaker 1: drop from a thirteen point favorite to a ten point favorite,
- 20:13Speaker 1: so for a big ten team, that's not really a
- 20:15Speaker 1: huge number, even though I think that is at Penn
- 20:18Speaker 1: State's hole Marina, So Penn State kind of disrespected in
- 20:22Speaker 1: the market. I think they were a little bit of
- 20:24Speaker 1: an underrated team last year, though ken Bomb this year
- 20:26Speaker 1: only has them as the eighty seventh best team, so
- 20:29Speaker 1: he doesn't really have them as that good of a team.
- 20:31Speaker 1: He's got Navy almost one hundred ranking spots lower. Though.
- 20:37Speaker 1: Duke is in action again at West Point at Army.
- 20:40Speaker 1: I mean this is a mismatch again, obviously it's Duke.
- 20:43Speaker 1: Duke is up from thirty and a half to thirty
- 20:45Speaker 1: two and a half a game of a somewhat lows
- 20:47Speaker 1: total at one hundred and fifty and a half. I
- 20:50Speaker 1: don't think I would want to lay that many points
- 20:52Speaker 1: on the road. I mean, it's a situation where Duke
- 20:54Speaker 1: probably just I doubt that they really come in and
- 20:58Speaker 1: like show everything that the going to show later in
- 21:00Speaker 1: the season. But they don't really have any big games
- 21:03Speaker 1: upcoming until Kansas a week from now, so that'll be
- 21:06Speaker 1: a big game. But until then, I kind of expect
- 21:09Speaker 1: them to go through the motions to some extent. Army
- 21:12Speaker 1: probably will show up, but they just went to Saint Thomas, Minnesota,
- 21:16Speaker 1: so they're coming back from Minnesota. That was a battle too,
- 21:19Speaker 1: They actually battled Saint Thomas's actually a pretty decent team,
- 21:22Speaker 1: although I think they lost that game last night where
- 21:24Speaker 1: I said it was gonna be a pretty good game
- 21:26Speaker 1: with Saint Thomas there. Yeah, I mean I wouldn't want
- 21:29Speaker 1: to lay points with Duke, especially because Duke likes to
- 21:31Speaker 1: slow the pace down typically, though this year, I don't
- 21:34Speaker 1: know if they've continued to do that. But they do
- 21:36Speaker 1: have Shy or still as their coach, so you assume
- 21:38Speaker 1: they're a slow team. Yeah, Ken Bum has them two
- 21:40Speaker 1: hundred and eighty eight in tempo, so they're still a
- 21:42Speaker 1: very slow team. Florida State is at Florida Florida tenth
- 21:48Speaker 1: in the country right now. Ken Bum has them sixth,
- 21:51Speaker 1: so he's got them in his rankings higher than what
- 21:54Speaker 1: the rankings guys have them right now, because the rankings
- 21:56Speaker 1: guys just overreact to everything. So they're overreacting to Florida
- 22:00Speaker 1: losing to Arizona, which I want, and overreact to that.
- 22:03Speaker 1: I mean, it's your first game of the season, coming
- 22:05Speaker 1: up winning the championship. There's a lot of new pieces
- 22:08Speaker 1: for all these teams, so that first game, there's not
- 22:11Speaker 1: a whole lot that you can really take away from it,
- 22:13Speaker 1: Like you can almost completely ignore it to some extent,
- 22:17Speaker 1: other than the fact that it might set up a
- 22:18Speaker 1: certain situation in the next game. Florida bounce back and
- 22:21Speaker 1: just destroyed North Florida in the next game. Both teams
- 22:25Speaker 1: are gonna show up for this. I would say, Oh,
- 22:26Speaker 1: the Florida State, you could argue have a little bit
- 22:28Speaker 1: more motivation here because Florida has been the big boy
- 22:32Speaker 1: in the state of Florida for a while. I mean,
- 22:35Speaker 1: there were points where Florida State was the better basketball team,
- 22:38Speaker 1: but usually it's Florida. Florida State is two and zero,
- 22:43Speaker 1: but they beat two really like low conference teams here,
- 22:48Speaker 1: Alcorn State and Alabama State, So really nothing to take
- 22:51Speaker 1: away from those games. Florida has faced the way more
- 22:54Speaker 1: difficult schedule is what you can really take away from it,
- 22:58Speaker 1: as both the Florida is owns are better than both
- 23:01Speaker 1: the Florida State's opponents, so you can't read into these
- 23:03Speaker 1: records really at all. Florida is obviously the better team.
- 23:06Speaker 1: Florida State there are somewhat down program right now, and
- 23:10Speaker 1: they've actually become a public underdog, maybe just because they're undefeated,
- 23:14Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of tickets only sixty five percent of
- 23:17Speaker 1: the cash on them, and Florida has gone up from
- 23:19Speaker 1: a sixteen point favorite to an eighteen and a half
- 23:21Speaker 1: point favorite. I apologize for all this heartburn. I eat
- 23:25Speaker 1: oatmeal in the morning. Man, it gives me fucking heartburn.
- 23:28Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what else to say
- 23:29Speaker 1: about it. I should be popping like Zantac or some shit.
- 23:35Speaker 1: But yeah, the money is coming in. In Florida looks
- 23:37Speaker 1: like in Florida State is actually looking like a public
- 23:40Speaker 1: underdog right now. So the money is saying Florida minus
- 23:43Speaker 1: the points in that one. I won't really necessarily disagree
- 23:47Speaker 1: with it either. North Carolina is back in action against Radford.
- 23:52Speaker 1: North Carolina coming off a big win in a big
- 23:55Speaker 1: primetime game. I think it was a primetime game against
- 23:58Speaker 1: Kansas the other night. That's a big win for North Carolina,
- 24:02Speaker 1: so they could be in a little bit of a
- 24:03Speaker 1: letdown spot. They don't really have anything upcoming really, North
- 24:07Speaker 1: Carolina Central up next. I mean, yeah, they're a team
- 24:10Speaker 1: in North Carolina, but I don't think North Carolina's really
- 24:13Speaker 1: gonna pay that much attention. It's a much bigger game
- 24:15Speaker 1: for NC Central to try to do something as a
- 24:18Speaker 1: little brother. But I do think North Carolina is in
- 24:23Speaker 1: a potential letdown spot here, So I agree with this
- 24:25Speaker 1: move towards Radford. North Carolina down from twenty one and
- 24:28Speaker 1: a half to nineteen and a half. I would agree
- 24:30Speaker 1: with taking the points with Radford in this one. If
- 24:33Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, I won't give it out
- 24:34Speaker 1: as a play, but it does look like simply a
- 24:37Speaker 1: letdown spot for North Carolina. That's not the only thing
- 24:40Speaker 1: that I look for, Like I try to find situations
- 24:43Speaker 1: where kind of they kind of line up for both
- 24:46Speaker 1: teams and stuff like that is I mean, everything you
- 24:49Speaker 1: do in handicapping, like you seem to you have to
- 24:51Speaker 1: adapt like constantly, so I kind of adapt what I
- 24:54Speaker 1: do almost on the fly. So we'll see. Radford really
- 24:59Speaker 1: hasn't played any but great yet. They haven't been tested.
- 25:01Speaker 1: I mean, we know North Carolina is the better team.
- 25:03Speaker 1: They're also the more battle tested team. They're on their
- 25:06Speaker 1: way back up to as they're I think North Carolina
- 25:11Speaker 1: is showing some improvement again. Ken Bum's got them at
- 25:13Speaker 1: twenty third in the country does have them as a
- 25:15Speaker 1: fast paced team. He's got Radford at one point fifty,
- 25:18Speaker 1: which isn't too bad, but he does have Radford is
- 25:20Speaker 1: a very slow paced team at three twenty nine. So
- 25:23Speaker 1: in North Carolina is a tempo collision with them. In
- 25:26Speaker 1: North Carolina obviously the better team. If they're able to
- 25:28Speaker 1: speed this thing up, and the money has come in
- 25:31Speaker 1: towards the over in this game, that might throw Radford
- 25:34Speaker 1: out of the style game that they try to want
- 25:36Speaker 1: to play like. I think that North Carolina covering is
- 25:39Speaker 1: correlated to the over in this one, because they're the
- 25:42Speaker 1: better team They're the team that's laying a ton of
- 25:43Speaker 1: points and they need the game to be higher scoring
- 25:45Speaker 1: to cover it, and they're the faster paced team. So
- 25:48Speaker 1: that is a little bit of a hesitation with me
- 25:50Speaker 1: as far as uh looking towards taking the points with Radford,
- 25:53Speaker 1: although I will still slightly lean that way. Norfolk State
- 25:57Speaker 1: is that is that old dominion in this division? Excuse me,
- 26:00Speaker 1: this Virginia match up here in state matchup, not a
- 26:05Speaker 1: divisional matchup. There are no well, there are some divisions.
- 26:08Speaker 1: I guess it's some of the conferences, but old dominion
- 26:10Speaker 1: up from six to seven and a half here, they
- 26:12Speaker 1: are the better team. Norfolk State's good for the conference
- 26:16Speaker 1: that they're in. Money looks like it's coming in an odu.
- 26:20Speaker 1: I think Norfolk State does consider themselves to be like
- 26:22Speaker 1: the littler brother though in the state of Virginia, so
- 26:25Speaker 1: maybe they'll step it up for that reason. But I
- 26:29Speaker 1: don't have a whole lot else in that one. By
- 26:31Speaker 1: the way, I thought Colgate was in Pennsylvania. They're not.
- 26:34Speaker 1: They're in New York. Drexel is going up there. Drexel's
- 26:38Speaker 1: coming off one of their Philadelphia matchups against Saint Joe's
- 26:42Speaker 1: in Jeffreys area. There. Drexel took the loss, though, so
- 26:47Speaker 1: I don't know how they're gonna respond to that with
- 26:49Speaker 1: a second straight road game if they played Saint Joe's closer.
- 26:53Speaker 1: Given the Drexel as kind of one of the little
- 26:55Speaker 1: brothers in that city, I might be looking to fade
- 26:58Speaker 1: Drexel in this one. Colgate, I think is coming off
- 27:01Speaker 1: kind of a bad game though, so I wouldn't really
- 27:04Speaker 1: disagree with laying the points with Colgate in that when
- 27:06Speaker 1: they were four point favorite. Colgate, yeah, coming off a
- 27:10Speaker 1: close call against Northeastern, They were five and a half
- 27:13Speaker 1: point favorites, and they almost lost the game to Northeastern,
- 27:17Speaker 1: which this is a game we're gonna talk about in
- 27:19Speaker 1: a little bit. Both teams actually shot really really poorly
- 27:22Speaker 1: in that game. Colgate lost the turnover battle. They won
- 27:25Speaker 1: the rebounding battle, so they weren't really the worst team
- 27:28Speaker 1: in the game necessarily, but I think the turnovers is
- 27:30Speaker 1: really what kind of did them in. Both teams shot
- 27:33Speaker 1: really poorly. Colgate's not exactly as bad as this on
- 27:36Speaker 1: to two record makes it look, because they did lose
- 27:39Speaker 1: to Michigan State in their first game, and they played
- 27:41Speaker 1: fairly well in that game. They're gonna be looking for
- 27:44Speaker 1: a win. They do play Illinois up next, though, so
- 27:46Speaker 1: I would have a little bit of hesitation on Colgate
- 27:48Speaker 1: because of that. All right in, Maryland's playing Alcorn State.
- 27:54Speaker 1: Alcorn State really testing themselves early with games against Florida
- 27:57Speaker 1: State and Minnesota. They got Maryland, They're gonna be playing LSU, Oklahoma,
- 28:02Speaker 1: they get Iowa State, Baylor, Oh Miss. I mean, it's interesting, man,
- 28:07Speaker 1: some of these swack teams. Like last year it was
- 28:09Speaker 1: Jackson State. Jackson State started off the season like losing
- 28:12Speaker 1: their first like eight nine games at least something like that,
- 28:16Speaker 1: because they played so many difficult opponents that I was like,
- 28:19Speaker 1: that's actually good for teams in that conference because they're
- 28:22Speaker 1: gonna come in the public's not gonna want them if
- 28:25Speaker 1: they look at those games because the team has such
- 28:26Speaker 1: a bad record, but the team is actually probably not
- 28:29Speaker 1: as bad as they look in their battle tests. Then
- 28:31Speaker 1: you get into conference play and you're gonna actually be
- 28:34Speaker 1: a lot better than that, which is what happened with
- 28:36Speaker 1: Jackson State last year. I forget if they made the
- 28:41Speaker 1: tournament though last year I don't think they were the
- 28:43Speaker 1: team that won this conference, and though I actually I
- 28:45Speaker 1: think it was Grambling. Although yeah, but still alcorn State.
- 28:48Speaker 1: They may actually do pretty well in conference play after
- 28:51Speaker 1: they battle tests themselves with all these difficult opponents here.
- 28:57Speaker 1: Don't really have too much else to say about this
- 28:59Speaker 1: Maryland game. The Maryland is coming off a loss at
- 29:01Speaker 1: home to Georgetown. They do have Marquette up next, so
- 29:04Speaker 1: does that really make it a sandwich spot? I don't know.
- 29:09Speaker 1: Maryland's up to a thirty one point favorite, though it
- 29:11Speaker 1: seems like some of the money may have come in
- 29:13Speaker 1: on them early. At least I don't have a readon
- 29:15Speaker 1: on it. I don't like playing these bad teams in
- 29:17Speaker 1: these games that are complete mismatches. Really, I just stay
- 29:22Speaker 1: away win throw up at Coastal Carolina. Winthrop is coming
- 29:27Speaker 1: off almost pulling off an upset at George Mason as
- 29:30Speaker 1: nine and a half point underdogs. Winthrop played pretty well
- 29:32Speaker 1: in this game at George Mason. Winthrop had a lead
- 29:36Speaker 1: late in the game in the final few minutes they're
- 29:38Speaker 1: actually winning this game, and then they fell short at
- 29:41Speaker 1: the end. So Winthrop kind of in a bad spot
- 29:43Speaker 1: after that. After playing well, gets one of the top
- 29:45Speaker 1: A ten teams in George Mason. Now, a second straight
- 29:49Speaker 1: road game seems like a difficult spot to me for
- 29:52Speaker 1: I clicked on the wrong game. That was their mercer
- 29:55Speaker 1: game that's coming up next. Seems like a difficult spot
- 29:58Speaker 1: to me for Winthrop. Here Coastal Carolina, they bounced back
- 30:03Speaker 1: from a road loss in their first game by beating
- 30:06Speaker 1: the Vulcans. Who is this, I don't know, Virginia Lynchburg Dragons. Okay,
- 30:12Speaker 1: Coastal is able to get that win there By the way,
- 30:13Speaker 1: Coastal's court kind of cool looking, to be honest with this,
- 30:17Speaker 1: like this like aqua color court they got going on
- 30:20Speaker 1: there if you could see my screen here, they will
- 30:24Speaker 1: be playing at home again here, I'm pretty sure coming
- 30:26Speaker 1: off a win against a bad Division two team that
- 30:29Speaker 1: I assumed division two, I kind of just assume they're
- 30:31Speaker 1: all Division two. Maybe they're even Division three. I don't know.
- 30:34Speaker 1: But Coastal at least they get some momentum coming off
- 30:38Speaker 1: of that, and I think this being their first home
- 30:41Speaker 1: game against the Division one team, I expect them to
- 30:43Speaker 1: show up. So I like Coastal and this one. The
- 30:46Speaker 1: money may be agreeing with it. Early on, Winthrop down
- 30:49Speaker 1: from three to two and a half here. Coastal is
- 30:52Speaker 1: still pretty ugly though, so I don't know, but I
- 30:54Speaker 1: would lean to taking the points with them in that game.
- 30:58Speaker 1: You SEEF is playing gainst Florida A and M. UCF
- 31:02Speaker 1: just lost in Vandy, and they do have Texas A
- 31:04Speaker 1: and M up next, so I guess it's debatably a
- 31:07Speaker 1: little bit of a sandwich spot. Although UCF was not
- 31:11Speaker 1: that close in this game against Vandy, although it was
- 31:14Speaker 1: Vandy coming into their place, so it was the game
- 31:16Speaker 1: that they do get up for. Although they lost by
- 31:18Speaker 1: double digits, they came close to covering at the very
- 31:22Speaker 1: least u CF up to a twenty five point favorite here.
- 31:26Speaker 1: I mean, I would probably lean towards fading them in
- 31:29Speaker 1: this game, but I mean, Florida A and M really
- 31:32Speaker 1: bad from a bad conference. I mean, do you really
- 31:34Speaker 1: want to have money on them? Personally? I would not,
- 31:36Speaker 1: but I don't think the spot is that great for UCF.
- 31:40Speaker 1: Villanova's got a game today gets Sacred Heart, which I
- 31:44Speaker 1: forget where Sacred Heart is. Let me see where are
- 31:48Speaker 1: they at Fairfield, Connecticut? Is that right? Yeah? I think
- 31:52Speaker 1: that is right. I guess that makes sense. So yeah, Villanova,
- 31:56Speaker 1: I mean they're coming up a win over Queens, which
- 31:57Speaker 1: is one of our losses on the show, by one
- 32:01Speaker 1: and a half points. There's not really a whole lot
- 32:02Speaker 1: to say about the situation here. I mean, Villanova is
- 32:05Speaker 1: obviously the better team here, even though there's still not
- 32:07Speaker 1: a great team as far as their conference is concerned.
- 32:10Speaker 1: They're a twenty point favorite. The cash percentage looks like
- 32:13Speaker 1: it's taking the points with Sacred Heart fifty tickets seventy
- 32:17Speaker 1: four percent of the cash coming in on Sacred Heart.
- 32:20Speaker 1: Villanova notoriously a very slow based team, so not really
- 32:23Speaker 1: a team I'm looking to lay points with, especially with
- 32:26Speaker 1: a big spread like that, because that's just not the
- 32:30Speaker 1: style that they play, all right, trying to get through
- 32:34Speaker 1: some of these, Jeffrey, you can go to this Philadelphia
- 32:37Speaker 1: game here between LaSalle and Temple if you want to.
- 32:41Speaker 1: I' La Salle off to a two and zero start,
- 32:44Speaker 1: but against Coppin State and Monmouth, I don't know, not
- 32:47Speaker 1: a whole lot to take away from that. Temple has
- 32:48Speaker 1: only played one game though against Delaware State. Temple is
- 32:52Speaker 1: the better team. They do play b C next an
- 32:55Speaker 1: ACC team, so even though it's not a very good
- 32:58Speaker 1: ACC team, I don't know, if maybe they're gonna be
- 32:59Speaker 1: looking at head to that Temple is getting the money
- 33:02Speaker 1: though they're up to a seven and a half point favorites.
- 33:04Speaker 1: If you do like Temple, you've missed out on some
- 33:07Speaker 1: of the value here. These college basketball lines move quick.
- 33:11Speaker 1: Eighty three percent of the tickets on La Sal ninety
- 33:13Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Temple. So the money
- 33:16Speaker 1: is agreeing with Temple on this one. But again, if
- 33:19Speaker 1: you want to lay the points to Temple, I think
- 33:20Speaker 1: you've kind of missed the boat. If you do want
- 33:22Speaker 1: to have some action on Temple, I mean, I don't know,
- 33:25Speaker 1: maybe it might make sense to kind of start looking
- 33:28Speaker 1: towards I don't know, maybe actually going to the LASAL
- 33:32Speaker 1: team total under because the total is not that high.
- 33:34Speaker 1: Looks like the money's coming in in the under or
- 33:37Speaker 1: moneyline parlay Temple with some other money linder. You know me,
- 33:40Speaker 1: I don't love doing those money line parlays. Wagner. I'm
- 33:44Speaker 1: gonna say Wagner is in a pretty bad spot here.
- 33:46Speaker 1: They just they're playing a third straight road game, and
- 33:49Speaker 1: yes they're stepping down in class because they did face
- 33:51Speaker 1: VCU and Seaton Hall and now they're facing four of them,
- 33:54Speaker 1: who is not as good as those two teams. And
- 33:57Speaker 1: I my other hesitation with fading Wagon no other than
- 34:00Speaker 1: the fact they played a difficult schedule so far, is
- 34:03Speaker 1: that Fordham. I think they considered Fordham to be like
- 34:06Speaker 1: a bigger brother in New York City. Because Fordham, I believe,
- 34:09Speaker 1: is in It's either Manhattan or the Bronx. I forget
- 34:13Speaker 1: other than the Bronx, and Wagner's in Staten Island. So
- 34:17Speaker 1: I think they will get up for a game against Fordham.
- 34:20Speaker 1: But Wagner could be in a little bit of a
- 34:22Speaker 1: hangover spot because they did just play Seaton Hall really close.
- 34:26Speaker 1: They only lost by seven as twenty one and a
- 34:28Speaker 1: half point underdogs. Wagner was winning this game at one
- 34:31Speaker 1: point in the second half, so Wagner falling short playing
- 34:35Speaker 1: a game like that is a big underdog. I don't
- 34:37Speaker 1: think Seaton Hall is very good. In Seaton Hall, they
- 34:39Speaker 1: do not score a lot, so I thought Wagner maybe
- 34:43Speaker 1: I should I don't know if I should have given
- 34:44Speaker 1: it out as a play, but I did think Wagner
- 34:47Speaker 1: definitely had the ability to not only cover that, but
- 34:49Speaker 1: maybe be in the mix to even pull off a
- 34:51Speaker 1: ridiculous upset, which they came close to doing so, so
- 34:56Speaker 1: I don't love Wagner in this spot, but again my
- 34:58Speaker 1: hesitation would be that they do get up for games
- 35:01Speaker 1: against these other New York City schools because Wagner is
- 35:04Speaker 1: kind of a little brother there. Fordham not off to
- 35:08Speaker 1: a good start, I mean, one to one, with their
- 35:10Speaker 1: only win being against some Division two team that looks
- 35:13Speaker 1: like it's another Mount Saint Mary's. It's Mount Saint Mary
- 35:16Speaker 1: of New York. They lost to New Jersey Tech in
- 35:20Speaker 1: their first game or nj I T or whatever. So yeah,
- 35:25Speaker 1: I mean Fordham. I don't think they're really gonna not
- 35:28Speaker 1: show up for this game either. So Fordham is up
- 35:31Speaker 1: from a nine and a half boy favorite to twelve and
- 35:33Speaker 1: a half boy favorite. So it looks like there has
- 35:34Speaker 1: been some significant movement in agreement with me on that though.
- 35:37Speaker 1: So I do agree still with laying the points of
- 35:39Speaker 1: Fordham in that one, but there's less value on it
- 35:43Speaker 1: doing so. Now. Butler is playing Chicago State. Butler just
- 35:47Speaker 1: came off that ridiculous game against U I in or
- 35:50Speaker 1: I U Indy, our favorite guys I U p U Y.
- 35:54Speaker 1: Butler scored over one hundred points against them. Because basically
- 35:58Speaker 1: everybody's gonna score a ton against that U indie team.
- 36:00Speaker 1: It speeds up the pace and they playing no deepfense.
- 36:04Speaker 1: Butler does have SMU, South South Carolina and Virginia all
- 36:07Speaker 1: up next, so it is possible after scoring a ton
- 36:10Speaker 1: getting run up tempo that they will even though Butler
- 36:14Speaker 1: I think likes to play fast too, they might overlook
- 36:17Speaker 1: Chicago State. But Chicago State is really mismatched in this
- 36:20Speaker 1: game too. They're not very good. The money is coming
- 36:22Speaker 1: in against Butler, though, down from twenty eight and a
- 36:24Speaker 1: half to twenty seven. I don't really disagree with taking
- 36:28Speaker 1: the points for Chicago State, but it's not something I'm
- 36:32Speaker 1: really really very emphatic about. William and Mary and Richmond
- 36:36Speaker 1: is another division another I keep saying divisional when I
- 36:39Speaker 1: mean Virginia. What am I doing, man, I'm just yeah,
- 36:43Speaker 1: brain fighting all over the place. William and Mary does
- 36:45Speaker 1: consider themselves to be a little brother I think in
- 36:47Speaker 1: the state of Virginia. I mean, Richmond definitely has been
- 36:51Speaker 1: a more successful program over the years. Richmond down from
- 36:54Speaker 1: ten and a half to ten here and Richmond was
- 36:56Speaker 1: in the tournament not that long ago, and they pulled
- 36:59Speaker 1: off an upset against Iowa, which I think I had
- 37:03Speaker 1: Iowa and the Sweet sixteen in my bracket that year,
- 37:05Speaker 1: so that had some impact on my bracket ninety six
- 37:09Speaker 1: percent to take his ninety eight percent of the cash
- 37:11Speaker 1: on Richmond. But they are public and the life looks
- 37:13Speaker 1: to me moving against them a little bit. I don't
- 37:16Speaker 1: really disagree with the William and mary Side. I mean,
- 37:20Speaker 1: they're the little brother so I expect them to show
- 37:22Speaker 1: up stone Hill, my guys from Eastern mass after having
- 37:28Speaker 1: to deal with the fog situation that the fog rolls
- 37:31Speaker 1: in as I talked about every year on November sixth,
- 37:34Speaker 1: Man there's a ghostly fog on Stonehills campus. I forget
- 37:39Speaker 1: exactly what it is. It's something to do with some
- 37:43Speaker 1: rich like air in the area, or I think he
- 37:47Speaker 1: was actually the husband of a rich heiress. Maybe he
- 37:49Speaker 1: like crashed his plane and died I think in a
- 37:53Speaker 1: pond that's like right near stone Hill, and fog comes
- 37:56Speaker 1: off of it and rolls onto the campus. Something like that.
- 37:59Speaker 1: In addition to there being a haunted mansion on campus
- 38:02Speaker 1: that I think was in that family as well. I
- 38:04Speaker 1: forget exactly what the lore is there, but Stonehill is
- 38:07Speaker 1: a haunted campus and it's in the Bridgewater Triangle. But
- 38:10Speaker 1: I love pointing that out because I'm not just sports man.
- 38:13Speaker 1: I do sports and do true crime. I do supernatural stuff.
- 38:17Speaker 1: I like all that cryptids, you know, you know me, cryptids, aliens,
- 38:22Speaker 1: all that type of I love it man, the unsolved mysteries, whatever, ghosts,
- 38:27Speaker 1: I like it all. Yeah, a lot of a lot
- 38:31Speaker 1: of layers to Toad the Toad lore. Well, the actual
- 38:34Speaker 1: Toad Laura that I mentioned was Stonehill. Like, I'm fairly
- 38:38Speaker 1: familiar with their campus. Even though I didn't go there,
- 38:40Speaker 1: I know some people that did, Like one of one
- 38:42Speaker 1: of my friends did go there. Shout out to Sean.
- 38:46Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure I might lose in my mind, I'm
- 38:48Speaker 1: pretty sure he went there. But he and I actually,
- 38:51Speaker 1: when we were in like elementary school, we actually went,
- 38:54Speaker 1: uh to we instead of summer camp, we did an
- 38:58Speaker 1: academic summer camp college academy or whatever it was called
- 39:02Speaker 1: at Stonehill, where you just it's like a summer camp.
- 39:05Speaker 1: You gotta pay for it. You, I mean, you go
- 39:07Speaker 1: and you you take classes basically, which I don't know
- 39:10Speaker 1: if they're really supposed to I guess they're supposed to
- 39:12Speaker 1: be considered to be college level classes. But you can
- 39:15Speaker 1: take whatever classes you want, like whatever you're interested in.
- 39:19Speaker 1: You know, it's a it's a way to learn something
- 39:21Speaker 1: and fill your time. So I mean, we had fun
- 39:26Speaker 1: with it. He and I, as I mentioned, did radio broadcasting,
- 39:29Speaker 1: So we got to take that class which was actually
- 39:31Speaker 1: in the radio station and you get to actually do
- 39:34Speaker 1: radio broadcasts on the college radio station at the end
- 39:38Speaker 1: of that class, which is fun. SOB what's up man,
- 39:43Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Yep. I want to win. I
- 39:44Speaker 1: want to bounce back today. I haven't given out any
- 39:46Speaker 1: of the play as yet. I'm just talking about a
- 39:48Speaker 1: lot of this college basketball, which I consider doing it
- 39:51Speaker 1: last night. I'm gonna switch to doing like night shows
- 39:54Speaker 1: for these big college basketball slates when they're I don't
- 39:56Speaker 1: know if they're usually Tuesday or Wednesday. I forget, but
- 39:58Speaker 1: I'm gonna figure it out. It's aren't doing it soon. Uh, yes,
- 40:05Speaker 1: that's one thing people don't know. People think I'm an idiot,
- 40:08Speaker 1: but yeah, I was like valedictorian in my high school class.
- 40:13Speaker 1: Did I had perfect math SATs. I'm more of a
- 40:16Speaker 1: math guy, more of a like technical guy, which is
- 40:19Speaker 1: also weird because I do like situational handicapping, like I'm
- 40:23Speaker 1: reading like the human element of the handicapping, and I
- 40:26Speaker 1: played like poker a lot, so I'm actually not bad
- 40:29Speaker 1: at like reading people, even though I'm an autist and
- 40:31Speaker 1: I was mostly like a math and science guy, which
- 40:34Speaker 1: you know, I got into computers and software, so I
- 40:37Speaker 1: don't know. And yes, I did take software classes as
- 40:41Speaker 1: well at at college Academy, although did other things as well.
- 40:46Speaker 1: Took a movie class as well where you could like
- 40:49Speaker 1: we did like movie critiques, and even though we were
- 40:51Speaker 1: like nine, ten, eleven years old or whatever, we were
- 40:54Speaker 1: watching all these rated R movies. Okay, class, we're gonna
- 40:57Speaker 1: watch Jaws today. Classic by the way. I think we
- 41:01Speaker 1: watched Face Off at one point too, which I actually
- 41:04Speaker 1: hate that movie John wu with. You know, it's one
- 41:08Speaker 1: of those classic movies that people just love to laugh
- 41:11Speaker 1: at because it's almost in the territory that it's so
- 41:14Speaker 1: bad that it's good. But I still think it's bad.
- 41:16Speaker 1: But it's you know, Nicholas Cage and John Travolta switch faces,
- 41:20Speaker 1: ridiculous movie International break at soccer. I know you're into
- 41:26Speaker 1: the soccer. I'm not at all dirty sock. What's up man,
- 41:30Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out. US sports. That's the only thing
- 41:33Speaker 1: I focus on is US well, and I guess the
- 41:35Speaker 1: Canadian sports that seep into it. I don't do Canadian football,
- 41:39Speaker 1: though I know guys that do well with it. Nine
- 41:42Speaker 1: to eighty total. Remember this is back in the day.
- 41:45Speaker 1: By the way, Jeffrey and I are old, so now
- 41:46Speaker 1: I think the SATs are based on like twenty four
- 41:49Speaker 1: hundred now, but back when Jeffrey and I took them,
- 41:52Speaker 1: they were based on sixteen hundred. I think I did
- 41:57Speaker 1: like a fourteen eighty, fourteen eighty, fifteen hundred something in
- 42:01Speaker 1: that range, whatever it was. I had eight hundred on
- 42:04Speaker 1: the math section, and then I did a perfect eight
- 42:07Speaker 1: hundred again on the Math SAT two. Because he had
- 42:10Speaker 1: to take these, you know, the Advanced SATs or whatever. Yeah,
- 42:15Speaker 1: I mean I was. I was rolling through all the
- 42:18Speaker 1: all the math stuff. Man, That's what I was doing, math, computers, science. Again.
- 42:22Speaker 1: People think I'm an idiot, but I'm not. Although I
- 42:25Speaker 1: did have a stroke in twenty eleven which may have
- 42:29Speaker 1: brain damaged me a little bit. But you know, you
- 42:33Speaker 1: went to a Catholic school. I went to a public school,
- 42:35Speaker 1: but it was a pretty decent public school, and back
- 42:37Speaker 1: then it was not heavily politicized. Man, you know what
- 42:40Speaker 1: I mean, Like some of the teachers were good and
- 42:43Speaker 1: you could actually still learn something. Thank you, sir. Yeah,
- 42:48Speaker 1: I appreciate. Yeah, the feedback is appreciated. On the new branding,
- 42:53Speaker 1: good or bad, we'll see what people think about it.
- 42:56Speaker 1: Jeffrey actually came up with a name for it. Shout
- 42:58Speaker 1: out to Jeffrey, although, as I went out at the
- 43:00Speaker 1: very beginning, some guy actually has that name on YouTube.
- 43:04Speaker 1: But I actually got the handle of the at toadstool Sports.
- 43:07Speaker 1: He's got some toadstal Sports with some number at the
- 43:10Speaker 1: end of it. He's only got two videos. Come on, guy,
- 43:13Speaker 1: I'm the guy. It's me. But anyway, yeah, back to Stone.
- 43:19Speaker 1: I don't know if there's anything else for me to
- 43:21Speaker 1: say about my being a total nerd, But yes, I
- 43:24Speaker 1: was valedatorian in my high school out of three hundred
- 43:26Speaker 1: and thirty nine people. So it wasn't like some small
- 43:29Speaker 1: class and I was not to brag. But uh, basically,
- 43:33Speaker 1: when I was a sophomore, I went into like I
- 43:36Speaker 1: don't know, I went into the guidance counselor's office for
- 43:38Speaker 1: I think it was something to do with like talking
- 43:40Speaker 1: about what we're gonna do with college whatever, and like
- 43:43Speaker 1: at that point, the dude told me that like I
- 43:45Speaker 1: already basically had Valedatorian wrapped up. I'm like, how is
- 43:49Speaker 1: that even possible? Like because there were other really smart
- 43:52Speaker 1: people in my class, so I don't know, man, like
- 43:56Speaker 1: the the the chick who was number two, definitely very smart,
- 44:00Speaker 1: and I think, I mean she I got the feeling
- 44:03Speaker 1: that she didn't really like me back then because I,
- 44:06Speaker 1: I don't know, I had this air about me that like, well,
- 44:09Speaker 1: if people didn't know me, they didn't know this, but
- 44:11Speaker 1: like people who knew me kind of knew that I
- 44:14Speaker 1: like didn't really do a ton of work, Like I
- 44:16Speaker 1: did all the work on time and whatever to get
- 44:18Speaker 1: it done because I had to like maintain my grades
- 44:21Speaker 1: and I got like straight a's. But and I was
- 44:24Speaker 1: in like all the highest level classes and whatever, including
- 44:27Speaker 1: taking computer science classes as well. But I was I
- 44:32Speaker 1: gonna say, oh, yeah, like I did like the absolute
- 44:35Speaker 1: minimum that you had to to get that, if that
- 44:38Speaker 1: makes sense, and a lot of it just I didn't
- 44:40Speaker 1: have to even think about it, Like math science, I
- 44:43Speaker 1: didn't study at all. It's just like you know how
- 44:44Speaker 1: to do this problem where you don't, you know what
- 44:46Speaker 1: I mean, Like I didn't have to study that shit
- 44:48Speaker 1: at all, anything that involved I'm really good at memorization,
- 44:52Speaker 1: and that's how I got through like history and whatever,
- 44:54Speaker 1: anything that involves memorization. Like I actually had to make
- 44:57Speaker 1: sure that I memorized it, but it was really just
- 45:00Speaker 1: spitting back facts and whatever. And then English I was
- 45:04Speaker 1: better at, like the grammar stuff than like whatever, like
- 45:09Speaker 1: the you know, the actual like comprehension of the reading assignments.
- 45:12Speaker 1: But I did fine anyway in those as well, as
- 45:15Speaker 1: long as you like, read the books and whatever. Sometimes
- 45:17Speaker 1: I didn't do that either, which like we had spark notes,
- 45:21Speaker 1: clip notes, all that stuff back then, so I could,
- 45:24Speaker 1: you know, shorten it. I only did that if I
- 45:26Speaker 1: didn't like the book, though, like I started reading all
- 45:29Speaker 1: the books, and if I really hated it, and I'm like,
- 45:31Speaker 1: this is trash, Thomas Hardy, Jane Austin, you're going in
- 45:35Speaker 1: the garbage. I'm gonna cliff note this. But if it
- 45:36Speaker 1: was something I liked, like I actually liked Shakespeare and
- 45:40Speaker 1: for whatever reason, and some of the other stuff we
- 45:42Speaker 1: read I actually liked, So I actually did read the
- 45:45Speaker 1: things that I actually liked, you know, I picked and shows,
- 45:52Speaker 1: so whatever. Yes, I am a nerd. I don't know, dude,
- 45:56Speaker 1: And my extra curriculars were all nerds stuff too. Like
- 46:00Speaker 1: I was briefly in the Audio Visual club. The AV
- 46:04Speaker 1: club actually was notorious for being like a bunch of slackers,
- 46:08Speaker 1: even though I was actually secretly one of those as well.
- 46:14Speaker 1: It was only in that briefly. I tried to start
- 46:17Speaker 1: like a chess club, but like it was literally just
- 46:19Speaker 1: like me, So the chess club just didn't really like
- 46:22Speaker 1: take off. And I'm not really that good at chess either.
- 46:25Speaker 1: But I was in the Academic to cathlon. That was
- 46:28Speaker 1: one of my extracurriculars. We made states a couple of times.
- 46:31Speaker 1: We were pretty good, and we had some rivalries with
- 46:34Speaker 1: some of the other towns and got in a physical
- 46:37Speaker 1: fight with one of those other towns at one point
- 46:40Speaker 1: at one of those state championships. We never won these
- 46:44Speaker 1: there are a couple of nerdy towns that are all
- 46:46Speaker 1: like Asian kids that would always win. But we we
- 46:50Speaker 1: did pretty well at that. And then I was in
- 46:53Speaker 1: a mock trial as well, which was like not really
- 46:56Speaker 1: debate club, but it was like you actually set up
- 46:59Speaker 1: these like faith like actual like criminal trials, and you
- 47:03Speaker 1: had to take the role of like either one of
- 47:05Speaker 1: the lawyers or one of the witnesses, and I did
- 47:07Speaker 1: both at various points. I liked being a lawyer better
- 47:11Speaker 1: just because I don't shut up. And we had like
- 47:14Speaker 1: a crazy lawyer tandem between me and this chick who
- 47:18Speaker 1: I think actually became a lawyer. She was really really crazy.
- 47:22Speaker 1: She was like pretty hot, but she was crazy, and
- 47:25Speaker 1: like she was really really mean to the which she was.
- 47:28Speaker 1: She would do the cross examinations that she was really
- 47:31Speaker 1: really mean to the witnesses on the opposed side to
- 47:34Speaker 1: the point where they would like cry and stuff, even
- 47:37Speaker 1: though it wasn't even a real trial. So we had
- 47:39Speaker 1: we had that tandem with her and with myself and her. No,
- 47:47Speaker 1: we didn't know, oh, the guidance counselor. No, no, I
- 47:51Speaker 1: don't even know who. I don't remember who the guidance
- 47:53Speaker 1: counselor even was. We had a couple of different ones.
- 47:56Speaker 1: I think there one of them. I think we had
- 47:59Speaker 1: a woman at one point, and then there was a dude.
- 48:02Speaker 1: Dude I remember like who all my teachers were. But
- 48:04Speaker 1: I was never in like the I remember the principles,
- 48:07Speaker 1: but I was in the guidance counselor's office very very rarely,
- 48:11Speaker 1: so I don't really remember. I didn't need any guidance.
- 48:13Speaker 1: What are you talking about? So I don't even really
- 48:15Speaker 1: remember who was the guidance counselor. Man, that's yeah, that's
- 48:22Speaker 1: gonna throw me off now. Man. Wow, you hedge the
- 48:28Speaker 1: World Series you won three thousand, So yeah, I mean
- 48:33Speaker 1: by hedging you you guaranteed yourself a win, right, SOB,
- 48:36Speaker 1: glad you're still alive, bro, because I was like, oh
- 48:39Speaker 1: my god, SOB just lost that Blue Jays bet. But
- 48:43Speaker 1: you got into a position you could hedge and a win. Anyway,
- 48:45Speaker 1: back to stone Hill here, they're at Rhode Island. Stonehill
- 48:48Speaker 1: just was at DePaul and there were twenty two and
- 48:51Speaker 1: a half point underdogs, and they actually played pretty close
- 48:53Speaker 1: in this game against Paul, to the point where Stonehill
- 48:57Speaker 1: was actually winning this game by one with six minutes left.
- 49:01Speaker 1: So I think Stonehill is in kind of a bad
- 49:03Speaker 1: spot here, man. Even though it is Rhode Island, it's
- 49:06Speaker 1: another New England school that's better than they are, so
- 49:09Speaker 1: they should maybe get up for it. As kind of
- 49:12Speaker 1: like a little brother situation, but they could be in
- 49:14Speaker 1: a hangover coming up that game against De Paul, so
- 49:17Speaker 1: I don't love it. I would somewhat lean to Rhode
- 49:21Speaker 1: Island here. Rhode Island did just take a loss against
- 49:24Speaker 1: Tulsa at home, and Rhode Island was a favorite in
- 49:27Speaker 1: that game, so that's kind of a lackluster performance from
- 49:30Speaker 1: Rhode Island. And Tulsa just shot ridiculously in the game.
- 49:33Speaker 1: They shot fifty percent from three. Rhode Island lost the
- 49:37Speaker 1: turnover battle, so those are things that definitely should regress
- 49:40Speaker 1: to some extent of though I don't love that Rhode
- 49:42Speaker 1: Island lost the rebound battle. This was in the Veterans Classic.
- 49:46Speaker 1: Actually this was not at home for Rhode Island, so
- 49:48Speaker 1: this was actually in Annapolis, Maryland at I'm assuming the
- 49:52Speaker 1: Naval Academy hosted it or whatever, So that was a
- 49:56Speaker 1: neutral site game, which Tulsa I think is actually more
- 49:59Speaker 1: used to playing in that stadium. So I would lay
- 50:01Speaker 1: the points with Rhode Island if I was gonna do this,
- 50:04Speaker 1: although I think they did already play at home once
- 50:07Speaker 1: against Stetson, but doesn't set up well to me for Stonehill.
- 50:10Speaker 1: Rhode Island's already up from fourteen to fifteen and a
- 50:13Speaker 1: half here, it's tempting to actually do it, man, it's
- 50:17Speaker 1: tempting to actually give out some of these extra plays here.
- 50:19Speaker 1: They've really narrowed it down just for focus here. But yeah,
- 50:24Speaker 1: I would lean to Rhode Island. But again my hesitation
- 50:26Speaker 1: is that stone Hill might still get up for a
- 50:29Speaker 1: game against Rhode Island. Dayton and Cincinnati is gonna be
- 50:32Speaker 1: a big game. Actually at seven pm, it's only an ESPN. Plus,
- 50:36Speaker 1: we don't have too many games left to get through here.
- 50:39Speaker 1: I'm not gonna talk about all the games either, but yeah,
- 50:43Speaker 1: this is an Ohio matchup. Obviously, Cincinnati is the better
- 50:47Speaker 1: of these two teams right now, so Dayton might kind
- 50:49Speaker 1: of have a little brother thing going on because they're
- 50:51Speaker 1: in the A ten. Cincinnati's in the Big twelve, so
- 50:53Speaker 1: it's a bigger deal for Dayton. Dayton's also coming up
- 50:57Speaker 1: almost getting caught by Umbe. As I mentioned, Dayton were
- 51:02Speaker 1: huge favorites in this game of over twenty points and
- 51:05Speaker 1: UNBC just shot way better than them from three. I
- 51:08Speaker 1: do worry that Dayton lost the rebound battle in this
- 51:10Speaker 1: game though, that's not a great sign. But Dayton coming
- 51:13Speaker 1: off almost losing, you gotta think maybe they were even
- 51:16Speaker 1: looking ahead to the Cincinnati game, So I do expect
- 51:19Speaker 1: them to play better in this game. Cincinnati didn't exactly
- 51:23Speaker 1: play well in their last game because Georgia State either.
- 51:25Speaker 1: They were almost thirty point favorites and only one by ten.
- 51:29Speaker 1: But I think Dayton's was a bit more of an escape,
- 51:32Speaker 1: and I think this game means a little bit more
- 51:34Speaker 1: to Dayton, So I would take the points with Dayton,
- 51:37Speaker 1: although right now they will be like a public underdog
- 51:39Speaker 1: right now, probably because I don't know, just their name
- 51:43Speaker 1: kind of rings with people because people know that they're
- 51:46Speaker 1: like a decent basketball program, I guess. But seventy eight
- 51:49Speaker 1: percent of tickets only seventy three percent of the casual
- 51:51Speaker 1: on Dayton. But Cincinnati has dropped from a seven point
- 51:54Speaker 1: favorite to a six point favorite, not a huge move,
- 51:56Speaker 1: although seven is key, and it looks like they're probably
- 51:59Speaker 1: still seven out there. MI lean would be to take
- 52:03Speaker 1: the points with Dayton, but I mean, I'm not gonna
- 52:06Speaker 1: touch that. Clemson is facing Morehead State. I'm just shouting
- 52:09Speaker 1: out all the big conference teams that are playing today.
- 52:11Speaker 1: Clemson down to a twenty nine and a half point favorite,
- 52:14Speaker 1: from thirty. The cash looks like it's coming in a
- 52:17Speaker 1: morehead right now, but we don't really see percentages that
- 52:19Speaker 1: I think are really accurate right now, but money seemingly
- 52:22Speaker 1: fading Clemson right now. They do face Georgetown next. They
- 52:27Speaker 1: do have a bigger game up next, which may be
- 52:29Speaker 1: a look ahead, but I don't think it's very strong
- 52:31Speaker 1: there in that game. Central Connecticut is at Boston College.
- 52:35Speaker 1: I mean, this is a bigger deal for Central Connecticut
- 52:37Speaker 1: getting to play one of the bigger boys in New
- 52:39Speaker 1: England BC, coming off crushing Citadel, which I believe was
- 52:43Speaker 1: BC's home opener. They're staying at home. They might overlook
- 52:47Speaker 1: Central Connecticut. They do have Temple up next, which is
- 52:50Speaker 1: a little bit of a bigger game. Boston College down
- 52:54Speaker 1: from nineteen and a half to seventeen and a half.
- 52:56Speaker 1: Yere They're not a great team or anything this year.
- 52:58Speaker 1: Central Connecticut. We remember them being really good last year.
- 53:01Speaker 1: They should have won their conference last year. This year,
- 53:03Speaker 1: I don't think they're quite as good. They did just
- 53:05Speaker 1: get wrecked by Quinnipiac, though, and I think Central Connecticut
- 53:09Speaker 1: probably a little bit pissed about that. I mean, there
- 53:10Speaker 1: were nine and a half point underdogs and they lost
- 53:13Speaker 1: by whatever that is, twenty one, so I think they're
- 53:15Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit angry about that. Central Connecticut
- 53:18Speaker 1: has an awful, awful shooting game in that game. Sometimes
- 53:22Speaker 1: that happens with them, Seemingly they don't have a very
- 53:24Speaker 1: good offense. But maybe they were looking ahead to this
- 53:28Speaker 1: game against BC, although I don't know, because Quinnipiac is
- 53:32Speaker 1: really they're like an in state bigger brother to Central Connecticut,
- 53:35Speaker 1: So I don't know what happened in that game, but
- 53:38Speaker 1: I do lean towards taking the points of Central Connecticut
- 53:40Speaker 1: in this one. Northeastern Harvard haven't. I'm gonna give out
- 53:43Speaker 1: a play on this one. We're gonna lay the points
- 53:46Speaker 1: with Havard minus the four and a half. And I
- 53:48Speaker 1: know this isn't in city little versus big brothers situation,
- 53:53Speaker 1: although I mean is it? Though? I mean, I don't know.
- 53:56Speaker 1: I mean, which one of these teams does consider themselves.
- 53:58Speaker 1: I guess Northeastern half to consider themselves a little brother
- 54:02Speaker 1: because the Ivy is just considered to be a bit
- 54:04Speaker 1: better than the Colonial or whatever it's called. Now, I'm
- 54:06Speaker 1: gonna continue to call it the Colonial. Changing that name
- 54:08Speaker 1: is just woke bullshit. But even though Northeastern conseils themselves
- 54:14Speaker 1: to be the little brother, I don't think the situation
- 54:16Speaker 1: sets up that well for them. And howevard is the
- 54:19Speaker 1: better team. Northeastern coming off an overtime loss to BU
- 54:23Speaker 1: in another Boston game and then they went to Colgate
- 54:26Speaker 1: last game and they lost the game, or excuusly they
- 54:29Speaker 1: won the game as an underdog, So Northeastern pulled off
- 54:32Speaker 1: this underdog against Colgate. Both teams shot terribly, but Colgate
- 54:37Speaker 1: lost the turnover battle, so I think that was part
- 54:39Speaker 1: of the reason why this happened. Very very few turnovers
- 54:43Speaker 1: from Northeastern seven, which I think is not really sustainable.
- 54:47Speaker 1: I kind of expect them to make more mistakes this time.
- 54:50Speaker 1: Colgate did still out rebound them in the game, so
- 54:54Speaker 1: debatably a little bit of a misleading result. Here, a
- 54:56Speaker 1: pretty big win for Northeastern against Colgate, who's been like
- 54:59Speaker 1: the best team the Patriot League for many years. At
- 55:02Speaker 1: this win, they seem to always be the best team
- 55:04Speaker 1: in that league, though I think a different team out
- 55:06Speaker 1: have won it last year. But now Northeastern has to
- 55:09Speaker 1: come back from New York, so they are traveling. Yeah,
- 55:12Speaker 1: this will be a big game for them, But Harvard's
- 55:14Speaker 1: two and oh at home, and Harvard they being MIT
- 55:18Speaker 1: in the first game, and that's not a big deal.
- 55:19Speaker 1: Mit is a little brother to them both in Cambridge.
- 55:23Speaker 1: But then Harvard actually struggled with UNH in their last
- 55:26Speaker 1: game of university in New Hampshire. Harvard was a fifteen
- 55:29Speaker 1: and a half point underdog and they could have lost
- 55:32Speaker 1: this game. They were getting blown out of the building
- 55:34Speaker 1: in this game. UNH was beating them by eighteen at halftime,
- 55:39Speaker 1: they were up twenty at one point late in the
- 55:41Speaker 1: first half. It looked like Harvard was going to just
- 55:44Speaker 1: completely lose this game, and Harvard wound up actually getting
- 55:47Speaker 1: completely back in the game real quickly took the lead
- 55:50Speaker 1: after UNH coming out of the coming out of halftime,
- 55:53Speaker 1: They scored two points in the first like seven minutes
- 55:56Speaker 1: of the half. Then they still took the lead back
- 55:59Speaker 1: after Harvard basically like I think, kind of took their
- 56:04Speaker 1: took all their momentum away. Somehow un H got the
- 56:06Speaker 1: lead back and had an eight point lead with eight
- 56:09Speaker 1: minutes to go basically in the game, and then they
- 56:12Speaker 1: wound up falling short. So UNH wouldn't really want to
- 56:15Speaker 1: be on them in their next game, but Harvard had
- 56:17Speaker 1: a close call. Man. As a big favorite, they should
- 56:20Speaker 1: have won this game more easily. So in a situation
- 56:22Speaker 1: like that, yeah, I'm gonna look towards Harvard. Harvard did
- 56:26Speaker 1: shoot really really well in the game though, and won
- 56:28Speaker 1: the turnover battle, so I do worry about that a
- 56:30Speaker 1: little bit. That Harvard actually was worse than this game
- 56:34Speaker 1: than what it looks like. The unh actually shot pretty
- 56:36Speaker 1: well as well in the game. Both teams hit a
- 56:39Speaker 1: lot of threes in the game, I think, so you
- 56:42Speaker 1: could kind of make that argument for both sides there,
- 56:44Speaker 1: But I'm just looking at the fact that Harvard almost
- 56:46Speaker 1: lost that game in a game that they absolutely should
- 56:49Speaker 1: not have lost, So I think that's gonna scare them
- 56:52Speaker 1: back into focus. Whereas Northeastern's coming off an upset, this
- 56:56Speaker 1: line is moving fast, man, so it is agreeing with me.
- 56:59Speaker 1: Harvard's up from five to six already here sixty percent
- 57:01Speaker 1: of the tickets on Northeastern, so the public seems to
- 57:04Speaker 1: kind of like Northeastern here for whatever reason, even though
- 57:07Speaker 1: Harvard's two and oh eighty five percent of the cash.
- 57:10Speaker 1: Though on Harvard, the real money looks like it's on Harvard.
- 57:13Speaker 1: You could probably still find five's out there right now.
- 57:16Speaker 1: I don't know. I saw the line kind of all
- 57:17Speaker 1: over the place. It was four and a half right
- 57:19Speaker 1: before I did the show, though, but laying the points
- 57:22Speaker 1: with Harvard is my recommendation there. Of course, this is
- 57:26Speaker 1: why I tried to do the show early, because these
- 57:28Speaker 1: lines move a lot in college basketball, and a lot
- 57:31Speaker 1: of them move quick. All right, college basketball, take it forever.
- 57:35Speaker 1: I also derailed myself with toad Lore. Pennsylvania is at
- 57:39Speaker 1: Providence Providence to just lose in a pretty big game
- 57:42Speaker 1: in the Basketball Hall of Fame tip off against Virginia's
- 57:45Speaker 1: Ech And this game was in Uncasville, Connecticut, which is
- 57:49Speaker 1: Mohegan Sun. They played where the WNBA Connecticut Sun play
- 57:53Speaker 1: and they will I assume, not be playing there for
- 57:56Speaker 1: much longer because it seems like they're moving to Boston.
- 58:00Speaker 1: Big game for both teams. So Providence is coming off
- 58:03Speaker 1: that losing to Virginia Tech, and they do have Colorado
- 58:08Speaker 1: up next, So this is to me, it looks like
- 58:10Speaker 1: a bit of a sandwich spot here. I think Penn
- 58:13Speaker 1: might have more reason to get up for this game.
- 58:15Speaker 1: And Penn did just lose to a worst team in
- 58:17Speaker 1: American university on the road, although this will be a
- 58:20Speaker 1: second straight road game for them. Penn does not have
- 58:23Speaker 1: a win over Division One team yet. But I don't
- 58:26Speaker 1: like how the spot sets up for Providence. They did
- 58:28Speaker 1: move up a little bit from an eighteen and a
- 58:29Speaker 1: half to a nineteen point favorite. I would look to
- 58:33Speaker 1: take the points though, with Pennsylvania in that one. Yeah,
- 58:40Speaker 1: as far as the rest of these games, Bucknell and
- 58:42Speaker 1: Princeton is somewhat interesting. Like I looked at this game
- 58:45Speaker 1: and I was like, that is interesting. Buck Nell is
- 58:48Speaker 1: two and oh to start the season, played Delaware in
- 58:51Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's. I mean, those are not terrific teams,
- 58:54Speaker 1: even though I know Delaware won. I believe they won
- 58:56Speaker 1: their conference last year. Am I right about that? Or
- 58:59Speaker 1: maybe it was a two years ago last ye or no,
- 59:00Speaker 1: they came close to winning their conference last year. They
- 59:03Speaker 1: almost pulled off the big upset I think, and I
- 59:05Speaker 1: think they fell short in the championship. Buck Nell I
- 59:10Speaker 1: think might have been the team that actually won the
- 59:11Speaker 1: Patriot last year. I don't I don't remember anything I
- 59:14Speaker 1: should remember because I have bracketology autism. But I forget.
- 59:17Speaker 1: But buck Nell is usually one of the top teams
- 59:19Speaker 1: in the Patriot. They're two and zero. Princeton is own
- 59:23Speaker 1: one right now. Princeton hasn't played a home game yet,
- 59:26Speaker 1: and Princeton lost by whatever that is. What is that
- 59:30Speaker 1: thirty five points to Akron. I mean, that looks just horrendous.
- 59:35Speaker 1: Akron is pretty good though, like Akron is one of
- 59:37Speaker 1: the best teams in the mac Makron Akron better basketball
- 59:42Speaker 1: team than football team right now for sure. Well we'll
- 59:44Speaker 1: talk about the football team at the end of the show.
- 59:47Speaker 1: Akron was a thirteen and a half point favorite here. So
- 59:50Speaker 1: even though Princeton has been one of the better IVY
- 59:53Speaker 1: teams in the recent years, I mean, that line kind
- 59:57Speaker 1: of tells you something, that tells you that Akron is
- 59:59Speaker 1: quite good and Princeton just got embarrassed in this game.
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: So I think if that's your only point of data,
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: that's gonna skew the perception of your team. So in
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: this game, you have a two to oh buck Nell team,
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: but buck Nell played two weak opponents. Princeton is own one,
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: but they played a pretty difficult Akron team and they
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: got blown out. But again it's a bit of an outlier.
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: Akron shot really well. They shot over fifty percent over
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: forty percent for three. Princeton lost the turnover battle pretty badly.
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: They shot thirty five point four percent from the field,
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: Princeton shooting terribly. Of course, Princeton has to get used
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: to not having Xavian Lee anymore, who was their best player,
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: basically their best shooter. He transferred to Florida, so we
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: got to see him in that Florida Arizona game there Princeton.
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I guess there'll be a bit down
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: this year, but this is still I think an outlier
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: of a result here. It makes look it makes Princeton
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: look worse than they actually are. Now this is Princeton's
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: home opener. I think there's still a better team than
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: buck Nell, and that is what the line is reflecting,
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: Princeton up from four to four and a half. Yere,
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: nobody's gonna who's gonna want to lay points with Princeton
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: as an on one team against a two to ohero
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: Bucknell team after seeing Princeton's only game being like an
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: almost forty point loss. Nobody's gonna want to do that.
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: But that is what I would recommend doing in that game.
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: I I kind of like it, to be honest, I
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: just don't know. We don't know who this Princeton team
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: really is yet, but I would lay the points with
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: Princeton in that game. Yale is playing Quinnipiac. Those are
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: two very close geographic rivals, with Quinnipiac being in Hampden,
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: which is like the next town over for New Haven.
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: Uh So, Quinnipiac, they're definitely the little brother in this situation.
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: Yale has been one of the better teams in the IVY,
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: the best team in the IVY for quite a while. Now.
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: Yale's coming off a blowout win over Navy on the
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: road now against Quinnipiac. Quinnipiac just blew out Central Connecticut.
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: Their only loss Quinnipiac was to Saint John's. I think
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: at Madison Square Gardens, you're not gonna blame them for
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: losing a real good Saint John's team. Yale is up
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: from a seven point favorite to a seven and a
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: half point favorite. Don't know if Yale is gonna be
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: quite as good this year as they were in the
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: past couple of seasons. I would take the points of
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: Quinnipiac here. It looks like the money is agreeing with that,
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: sixty two percent of tickets ninety nine percent of the
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: cash on Quinnipiac. That is what I would do in
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: that game if I was gonna play it. I'm not
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: going to, but I think the little brother situation sets
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: up for them. Eastern Illinois terrible team has to go
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: to Notre Dame. Notre Dame huge favorite, up from twenty
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: two and a half to twenty five, but ninety six
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only eighty nine percent of the cash
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: on them. So the public is on Notre Dame. The
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: money's kind of disagreeing with it. Notre Dame does have
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: Ohio State as their next opponent, so it is possible
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: they just completely overlook Eastern Illinois. But Eastern Illinois is bad, dude,
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: They are bad. I don't want anything to do with it.
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: ESPN at eight pm is the biggest game of the day.
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: Probably we have two big games at night, and this
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: is I think the biggest one, as this very upstart
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: Kentucky team was ranked ninth now is playing at Louisville.
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: This is at Louisville at the KFC Youms Center a terrible,
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: terrible name, dude. They should call it the finger Licking
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: Goods Center. If you remember KFC, they made two horrific
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: decisions in twenty twenty. Covid was a disaster. Dude a KFC.
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: They did two things. They got rid of their potato wedges,
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: which is unbelievable to me because they they'd had those rounds.
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: It's like the nineties. I remember as a kid when
- 1:03:30Speaker 1: they brought them out to KFC. Potato wedges. They're honestly
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: one of the best like potato sides that you can
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: get at any fast food restaurant. I'm not a huge
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: fan of KFC's chicken. It's mediocre, like pretty much at best,
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: but I mean I'll ead it sometimes. But the wedges
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: are like the thing, man, The wedges are the jam.
- 1:03:49Speaker 1: I can't believe they got rid of the rid of
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: the wedges. The seasoning works really well on them. The
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: crisp like exterior and then the like soft potato on
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: the inside. It's like a perfect mix. No, we're just
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: gonna get rid of those and replace them with fries
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: that just are kind of soggy and have the same seasoning.
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: What are you doing, KFC? But I have good news
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: because KFC brought the wedges back within the last few
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: weeks or so, and hopefully they keep them on the menu.
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: I had to when they did it. I went out
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: and I got some. I'm like, dude, I need these wedges.
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: So they brought them back. Yes, KFC, thank you for that.
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: Keep them. The other thing that KFC did in twenty twenty, though,
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: is they change the name of their signature sauce, the
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: KFC finger Licking Good Sauce, to just be the KFC sauce, because, oh,
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: we can't tell people to lick their fingers. We're all
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: a bunch of pussies. Now COVID is out there. Man,
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: you can't lick your fingers anymore. We can't use that
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: slogan anymore. Now it's just the KFC sauce, Come on, man, which,
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: by the way, I do enjoy the sauce. I don't
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: think it's as good. It's their like variation of that
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: signature chicken sauce. You know, it's a whatever they put
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: in it. I don't even know what goes in it,
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: but it's I'm assuming it's MAO base. There's some to it.
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: Whatever's going on in there. Some pepper in there doesn't
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: beat Chick fil A sauce. Chick fil A Sauce and
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: Cane Sauce are both still the top two. Wendy's brought
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: out a new signature one with their tenders, which is
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: very heavy on the black pepper in my opinion, and
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: I don't love it. I think it's okay. KFC Sauce
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: is decent, I would say, And I think Poppies doesn't
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: really have their own version of a signature sauce like that.
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: Popeyes Black and Ranch is the way to go at Popeyes,
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: by the way. You know me, dude, I'm a fast
- 1:05:31Speaker 1: food connoisseur. I can tell you what to do with
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: fast food, especially the bigger chains that are everywhere because
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: I'm in New England, so we don't have a lot
- 1:05:38Speaker 1: of those Southern chains or Midwestern chains, but and we
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: don't really have any of them, but we do have
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: Chick fil A and Chick fil A infiltrated up here
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: after we didn't have it up here for a long time.
- 1:05:50Speaker 1: But Chick fil A, they made a huge mistake too.
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: They changed their waffle fry recipe. Another waffle fries used
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: like pea protein or pee p something I don't know,
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: not urine but peas. Maybe it's urine. I don't know,
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: but their waffle fries taste like absolute cardboard. Now they
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: absolutely destroyed their waffle fries. Unbelievable because I actually kind
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: of like Chick fil As Chicken. I like the spicy
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: chicken sandwich. What can I tell you, man? I like
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: some of their like beverages too. Oh yeah, we're talking
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: about what's up stacks, yes, sir, Oh yeah, I must
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: have blocked it out. Yeah, the guidance counselor probably did
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: that to me. Yeah. Camc's in trouble because people don't
- 1:06:32Speaker 1: like bone in their closing. Yum. Oh yeah, yum is
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: the brand. You're right, young brands. They're opening more Taco
- 1:06:41Speaker 1: Bells due Taco Bell. I mean, there's still the dominant
- 1:06:45Speaker 1: Mexican fast food because, dude, the thing that Taco Bell
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: does well two things. It's very inexpensive still, and they
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: do like really really good like limited time items that
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: are like gimmicky, but they're actually good, Like the Baja
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: Blast pie. I still have a little bit of it left,
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: even though it wrecked my stomach because I ate too
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: much of it. It's actually good, like I would go
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: out and get it before it's gone. Because they sell
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: the whole pie and that's all they're doing. It's twenty bucks,
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: which is a little bit ridiculous, but it's for the
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: novelty of it. But it actually is good. It's not
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: just a novelty. It tastes kind of like a key lime.
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: It's more like an artificial thing, kind of tastes like
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: Baja blast. Trust me, though. It's not bad. And at
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: the same time, they still have the grilled cheese flaming
- 1:07:29Speaker 1: Hot burrito that's actually a legit item too. Like the
- 1:07:33Speaker 1: grilled cheese burrito when they had it before, it was good.
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: It's one of their better items, there's no doubt about it.
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: They cook cheese like on the exterior of it and
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: it's filled with like beef and sour cream. And the
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: Flaming Hot one has flaming hot Fredo's in it and
- 1:07:47Speaker 1: flaming hot rice I think something like and extra cheese
- 1:07:51Speaker 1: cheese sauce. It's good, dude, for at least as far
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: as Taco Bell is concerned. Yeah, the ground beef is fake.
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: It has horse meat in it, but whatever, I still
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: like it. I don't care. That's what Taco Bell does well.
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: They dominate the fast food Mexican Arena. For that reason,
- 1:08:10Speaker 1: KFC is losing to Chick fil A and Popeyes though, so,
- 1:08:14Speaker 1: but yeah, we're going on too many tangents here. I
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: want to finish this video. Man, Kentucky and Louisville. This
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: is a good game. Louisville's ranked twelveth in the country
- 1:08:24Speaker 1: and KFC them and I still like their chicken strips
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: by the way that you're talking about boneless. Their strips
- 1:08:29Speaker 1: are fine. They got the sandwiches. Those are our right,
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: I mean, not as good as Popeyes or Chick fil
- 1:08:34Speaker 1: A though, so that's kind of the that's the detracting factor.
- 1:08:38Speaker 1: But the wedges make them a little bit competitive. Again, Man,
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: KFC's wedges, they're way better than Chick fil As. Absolutely
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: destroyed waffle fries because the waffle fries used to be good,
- 1:08:48Speaker 1: not anymore, and Popeyes fries are just mediocre. So KFC
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: actually wins that potato battle with the wedges right now
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: in my opinion, even though they lose the chicken. All right,
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: this game is gonna be good though. And by the way,
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: ken Baum has Kentucky as the number one team in
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: the country now based on his analytics. I don't know
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: if it's gonna stay that way. But I mean, Kentucky
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: were used to them being fast paced, which they still are,
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: but we're used to them being really good offensively in
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: no defense, and as of now their defensive rating is
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: really high. But again, these numbers can shift around a lot.
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: He does have Louisville as the worst defensive team but
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: the better offensive team, very good offensively and even faster
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: than Kentucky. Louisville looks like they might be shaping up
- 1:09:33Speaker 1: to be one of those stereotypical heavily offensive teams that
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: isn't as great defensively, which I don't love that profile.
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: But he has them as twelve in the country, so
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: right where the market is. Louisville in this game, though,
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: is up from three to six. Already the money is
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: heavily coming in on Louisville. If you want Louisville, you
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: got to get it before it hits seven, which is
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: the key number at this number, though even at six,
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit much, although I still
- 1:09:58Speaker 1: would lean to the Louisville side here fifty tickets ninety
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Louisville. Here, I think
- 1:10:06Speaker 1: just the general consensus I think in this game as well,
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: Kentucky is an SEC team, they're better than the ACC
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: which I don't disagree with. Kentucky is the higher ranked team.
- 1:10:15Speaker 1: But this is the same thing that you look for
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: in football, man, you look for in basketball. You have
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: the lower ranked team being favored their favorite for a reason. Man.
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: So the Odzwegers are telling you they actually think Louisville
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: has a nice home court advantage here, and the Ozwegers
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: are actually telling you they're well with the market shifting
- 1:10:32Speaker 1: that much, it's actually telling you Louisville's the somewhat better team,
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: although ken Bum is disagreeing with that right now. But again,
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: ken Bum, his early numbers are not like fully fleshed
- 1:10:42Speaker 1: out yet, so you can't put that much weight into them.
- 1:10:45Speaker 1: The market is telling me something though, telling me that
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: the Louisville side looks correct in this game. I'm not
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: gonna make it a play though, and I don't think
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: I would want to lay that many points with Louisville.
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: But I don't disagree with the side. Just generally, I
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: like those the lower ranked teams being favored. I mean,
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: it's one of those oddsmaker versus rankings maker mismatches. Arkansas
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: is facing Central Arkansas and yeah, I know Central Arkansas
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: little brother, but Arkansas is up to thirty five and
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: a half. This is a total mismatch. Arkansas is coming
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: off a big game against Michigan State though that they lost,
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: so could be a little bit of a hangover. They
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: just played a close game against a really good Michigan
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: State team, which I leaned to Michigan State in that
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: game and I think they may have won it covered
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: I don't remember, but could be a little bit of
- 1:11:33Speaker 1: a hangover. SA slightly lily into Central Arkansas on that one,
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: but I don't love taking points with underdogs that are
- 1:11:39Speaker 1: totally mismatched. Wafford is at number twenty two Auburn here.
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: Auburn does have Houston up next, which could be a
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: pretty big look ahead spot, so maybe Wafford is able
- 1:11:49Speaker 1: to do something in this game. A Wafford got their
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: first game of the win of the season after they
- 1:11:55Speaker 1: lost in a blowout to George Mason in their first game.
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: Auburn not as good as they were last year, and
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: they're under their new coach, Steven Pearl, Bruce Pearl's son.
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: Auburn up for twenty four and a half to twenty
- 1:12:05Speaker 1: six and a half here. In this one, again, it's
- 1:12:09Speaker 1: for me, it's kind of a wait and see on
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: what's going on there. I mean, I would slightly nean
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: to taking the points there, but I'm not gonna do
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: anything with it. Kansas is against Texas A and MCC.
- 1:12:18Speaker 1: Kansas just lost to North Carolina. Could argue it was
- 1:12:22Speaker 1: a bit of a letdown spot. They do have that
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: this is going to be a bit of a hangover
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: spot now. I mean after that game, they do have Princeton, Duke,
- 1:12:30Speaker 1: Notre Dame in Syracuse, and Yukon and Missourian NC State
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: all coming up next, so all bigger teams pretty much
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: after this, so they might overlook A and MCC a
- 1:12:40Speaker 1: little bit. An mc C was one of our games
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: that we won on with Tarlatan State the other day.
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: Kansas up for twenty five to twenty seven here, I
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: would look to take the points with A and MCC
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: to play better and bounce back. Here. Kansas looks like
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: they are improving a bit though with Dickinson being gone.
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: I think it's addition by subtraction, to be honest, So
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: I'd probably take the points in that one. Merrimack at
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: Tarleton State. Tarleton State got that nice win for US,
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: breaking their loss street. They fasit difficult schedules so far,
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: but now that they won that Texas battle against a
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: and mcc for us, they got this bad Merrimack team
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: and then they have Baylor up in a few days,
- 1:13:20Speaker 1: so it could be a pretty big look ahead for
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: Tarleton against Baylor. Merrimack hasn't won a game yet. Yes,
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: they are bad. They did face two teams that are
- 1:13:29Speaker 1: not bad though, san Diego State or excuse me, celt
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: Dakota State different from San Diego. San Diego State's better
- 1:13:36Speaker 1: than soelth Dakota State, but celt Dakota State. And then Auburn,
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: which that was a winner for us on the show
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: with Auburn blowing out Merrimack. But now Merrimack is phasing
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: a second straight road game. It is a pretty unfamiliar
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: environment to them going into Tarleton. So I don't really
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: want to do it, but I would lean to taking
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: the points with Merrimack based on the situation. Tarleton down
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: from five and a half to or from five to
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: four and a half. Here money seem to have come
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: in a little bit on Merrimack there, but I don't
- 1:14:03Speaker 1: think I could do it in an unfamiliar environment. Rice
- 1:14:06Speaker 1: against Steven F. Austin, I would look to fade Rice.
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: So the Rice actually looks like they're an improving team now.
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: They just took Oregon basically to the wire. That was
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: a loss on the show for me, not great, But
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: now that Rice had to go out to the Pacific Coast.
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: They took Oregon to the limit, a big ten team
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: in Oregon, and now they're coming back home. I mean,
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: Stephen F. Austin is still kind of a big deal
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: because they're considered a bigger program in the state of Texas.
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: Or Rice still might get up for it, but they
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: could be hungover coming off that big game against Oregon.
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: For Steve and F. Austin, they're two and zero, but
- 1:14:40Speaker 1: they haven't really faced anybody of note yet. The Arkansas
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: State's not a terrible Sun Belt team, and they did
- 1:14:45Speaker 1: win against them by a pretty big margin. So I
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: would lead to steveen of Austin. I think the spot's
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: not good for Rice. The market is agreeing with this.
- 1:14:54Speaker 1: Rice down for four to three, ninety three percent of tickets,
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash on Rice. I would
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: take the wins with Steven F. Austin and that one
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: just I don't love. The one thing I don't love
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: is Stephen. I mean, Rice might still get up for
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: facing Stephen at Boston. Oklahoma is facing Arkansas pine Bluff.
- 1:15:13Speaker 1: Oklahoma just had to go out to Gonzaga and took
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: a loss in that game, and they do have Nebraska
- 1:15:18Speaker 1: up next. Could be a little bit sandwichie for Oklahoma there,
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: But do you really want anything to do with Pine Bluff?
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: Probably not. Oklahoma's up as a thirty five and a
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: half here. Arkasaw pine Bluff one of the worst teams
- 1:15:30Speaker 1: in all the Division one though, so not really a
- 1:15:33Speaker 1: team I'm ever gonna want to have money on there. Literally,
- 1:15:36Speaker 1: in Ken Bombs rankings the second worst team only to
- 1:15:39Speaker 1: Mississippi Valley State was like always the worst. Those two
- 1:15:42Speaker 1: teams seem to always be the worst. It's like, get
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: your shit together, man. Buffalo at De Paul. De Paul
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: had that close call against Stone Hills, so they might
- 1:15:50Speaker 1: bounce back from that, but they do have a look
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: ahead to Northwestern next. That's gonna be a big game
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: for De Paul against one of the bigger brothers in
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: like the Chicago area, so I see arguments for and
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: against to Paul here. Money is coming on to Paul
- 1:16:04Speaker 1: early up from seventeen to eighteen and a half, sixty
- 1:16:06Speaker 1: four percent of tickets, seventy nine percent of the cash
- 1:16:09Speaker 1: on them. I don't disagree with de Paul just because
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: I think after that Stonehill game, I do think that
- 1:16:14Speaker 1: will focus them. Buffalo hasn't really showed much of anything
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: so far, and it'll be their first road game of
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: the season, which is always kind of a difficult spot,
- 1:16:23Speaker 1: So probably lean to de Paul there. Nebraska's playing the
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: awful Maryland East Eastern Shore. Nebraska up to a thirty
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite here or whatever. They
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: do have a bigger game up next though, against Ou
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: Oklahoma and then New Mexico, so possibly just don't care
- 1:16:42Speaker 1: and they overlook Maryland Eastern Shore. SMU's got Murray State.
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: Don't really have anything to say about this other than
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: SMU does have maybe a potential look ahead to Butler
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: up next, and they're coming off beating one of the
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: Lower Texas teams as well. Money is coming into Murray State. Actually,
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: SMU down for twelve and a half to two tend
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: to have sixty two percent of tickets seventy eight percent
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: of the cash on Murray State. So I'm being really
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: selective here, mad because I do have a lot of
- 1:17:07Speaker 1: opinions here, and my last play is actually gonna be
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: on this big game at Texas Tech and Illinois here.
- 1:17:14Speaker 1: Hopefully I can get this show done here man number
- 1:17:18Speaker 1: eleven Texas Tech at number fourteen Illinois. Know this is
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: a huge college of basketball board today. This is on
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: Fox Sports one at eight thirty pm Eastern. Texas Tech,
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: I think is kind of riding that wave from the
- 1:17:29Speaker 1: last couple of years where Texas Tech was really really good,
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: but they lost some of their best players, including McMillan. Yes,
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: they are still good, but how good are they really,
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: I don't know. In Illinois, they've been a team that
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: I don't love over the last couple of years because
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: they're always kind of like fast paced. They just didn't
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: play very well defensively. They seemed to just kind of
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: fall apart. But ken Baum, if you look at what
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: he's got going on this year, he's got Illinois as
- 1:17:55Speaker 1: the third best team in the country at this point
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: rankings wise. They play super fast. At thirty first in tempo.
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: Second offensively, although again you gotta take these ringers with
- 1:18:07Speaker 1: a grain assault early on because they don't have enough
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: data yet. Twelfth in defense as well. So he's got
- 1:18:12Speaker 1: Illinois really really good so far, and he has Texas
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: Tech good. But at fourteenth in the country, he actually
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: has Texas Tech worse both offensively and defensively than Illinois.
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: But the big thing here is the thing that I
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: think is accurate already, is that Texas Tech is a
- 1:18:28Speaker 1: slope ace team. Two hundred and seventy fourth in tempo.
- 1:18:32Speaker 1: That's that is in line with the way that they've
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: been the last few years. They do play slow and
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: leg I always say the team that is at home
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: can usually control the pace. In Illinois is way faster.
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: So I think if Illinois is able to control the
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: pace here, that is going to throw Texas Tech off
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: of their game and off of what they want to
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: do here. And again, I think people think Texas Tech
- 1:18:53Speaker 1: is kind of the better team here based on what
- 1:18:55Speaker 1: they've done, you know, the last couple of seasons and whatever.
- 1:19:00Speaker 1: Although Illinois made a nice run in the tournament two
- 1:19:04Speaker 1: years ago, fifty three percent tickets, fifty five percent of
- 1:19:06Speaker 1: the cash on Texas Tech, though right now Illinois did
- 1:19:09Speaker 1: drop a little bit from four and a half to
- 1:19:11Speaker 1: four earlier. I saw the money coming in on Illinois,
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: though we'll see all the market shapes up later on.
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: But this is another one of those situations we have
- 1:19:20Speaker 1: the lesser ranked team being favored here and this is
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: one that I like more. Again, I think Texas Tech
- 1:19:26Speaker 1: is kind of riding that wave from what they did
- 1:19:27Speaker 1: last year. They haven't played anybody yet, and this is
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: their first true road game of the season, so I
- 1:19:32Speaker 1: do like to fade teams in their first true road
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: game of the season. Illinois has already played twice at
- 1:19:39Speaker 1: home and they have scored man Although yeah, that might
- 1:19:42Speaker 1: mean the public is gonna want Illinois a little bit
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: more because they've scored one hundred and thirteen points in
- 1:19:46Speaker 1: each game, I don't expect them to do that again.
- 1:19:49Speaker 1: Here gets a much better opponent, but still both teams
- 1:19:52Speaker 1: haven't really played anybody good yet, and again this is
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: at home for Illinois, Texas Tech having to go on
- 1:19:59Speaker 1: the road on I think it's a great spot from them.
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: I think Texas Tech's opponents have actually been a little
- 1:20:03Speaker 1: bit worse than Illinoi's so far, so yeah, I think Illinois.
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: Well you can tell actually based on Ken pum Ken bum.
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: Let me see by the way he has both teams,
- 1:20:16Speaker 1: he has, yeah, both teams around the same and the
- 1:20:19Speaker 1: luck index. The luck index is basically, if the team's lucky,
- 1:20:23Speaker 1: it means they're winning more games than they should right
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: now based on the statistics. So I do like to
- 1:20:29Speaker 1: use that sometimes as the season goes on, but right now,
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: there's no real disparity between those two teams. Strength of
- 1:20:35Speaker 1: schedule though, the overall strength of schedule, which I believe
- 1:20:38Speaker 1: is the this strength of schedule net rating column. I
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: haven't zoomed in on this, but he's got both these
- 1:20:47Speaker 1: teams very weak. But Texas Tech's even weaker at three
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: hundred eleventh in the country, so I think my assessment
- 1:20:53Speaker 1: was correct about that. But yeah, whatever, Illinois minus the
- 1:20:56Speaker 1: points in this one will be the play there. Sorry,
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: I forgot to put it up on the board. Illinois
- 1:21:01Speaker 1: minus fours. Those are my two college basketball plays there.
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: Thought it was going to be a fan of the public,
- 1:21:07Speaker 1: which maybe it still will be. Thank you, Nate. What's up, man,
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: Let's see the other games that are remaining here Wisconsin
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: playing ball state. I mean, Wisconsin's rank to twenty fourth
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: in the country. I don't think there's a whole lot
- 1:21:21Speaker 1: to look at in this one. Wisconsin's up to a
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: twenty six point favorite here in this one. Whatever I mean,
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: I don't have a whole lot to say about this.
- 1:21:30Speaker 1: Not really anything upcoming for either team here. Arizona fifth
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: in the country playing little brother Northern Arizona. Arizona does
- 1:21:40Speaker 1: have UCLA and Yukon is their next two games, so
- 1:21:42Speaker 1: it is possible it's a bit of a look ahead here.
- 1:21:45Speaker 1: They're out from thirty four to thirty five and a half,
- 1:21:47Speaker 1: although they're very public. But do you want I mean,
- 1:21:51Speaker 1: do you want to really take Northern Arizona here against Arizona.
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: I personally don't, although the spot seems to set up
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: that way. I mean, if I was going to play it,
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: I would say Northern Arizona plus the points, but I
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: don't want to touch that one. Delaware at BYU BYU,
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: very difficult to beat at home. Welthough, now they have
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: Yukon in Wisconsin coming up after this, so it could
- 1:22:13Speaker 1: be a little bit of a look ahead. Delaware, though,
- 1:22:16Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be difficult, having to go into
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: high elevations, something they're not used to. It doesn't look
- 1:22:21Speaker 1: like a great spot for them necessarily. Delaware is coming
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: off losing to Wilmington Delaware, though that is one thing
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: I did point out that Delaware might be a way
- 1:22:29Speaker 1: to look after that, because that's an embarrassing loss that
- 1:22:32Speaker 1: everybody was talking about. Wilmington Delaware in state little brother
- 1:22:35Speaker 1: in Division two, I think beat Delaware. If you look
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: at what happened in this game. Delaware was terrible shooting,
- 1:22:42Speaker 1: especially three point range, twelve point five percent. They won
- 1:22:45Speaker 1: the rebound battle, so they won the most predictable stat
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: or predictive stat. They lost a turnover battle sixteen to seven.
- 1:22:53Speaker 1: That shouldn't happen again. So I was thinking, yeah, I
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: would look towards Delaware to bounce back from that. It's
- 1:22:57Speaker 1: a nice bounce back spot for them after an embarrassing loss.
- 1:23:01Speaker 1: But they're playing at BYU, so I don't think I
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: could do it. BYU is up to a thirty six
- 1:23:06Speaker 1: point favorite. Of the ninety two percent of the tickets
- 1:23:08Speaker 1: on them, seventy seven percent of the cash coming back
- 1:23:11Speaker 1: in on Delaware, so the money is agreeing with Delaware. Yeah,
- 1:23:18Speaker 1: I mean, it's just not something that I really I'm
- 1:23:20Speaker 1: gonna want to get involved in at all. But yeah,
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: I mean I could see arguments for and against Delaware
- 1:23:25Speaker 1: in that one. Memphis is at Old Miss. This is
- 1:23:28Speaker 1: an interesting matchup. Memphis started off the season playing a
- 1:23:31Speaker 1: pretty decent San Francisco team beat them by six. Uh,
- 1:23:35Speaker 1: it's a pretty decent win there. Ole Miss is still
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: the better team. Whether they haven't been tested yet. They've
- 1:23:40Speaker 1: beaten pretty much two cupcakes so far, although they are
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: still playing at home. You know me, I don't love Memphis.
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: I mean I I don't like Penny Hardaway as a coach.
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: Ole Miss is up from eight and a half to
- 1:23:50Speaker 1: ten here. Ole Miss, I assume is still under Chris
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: Beard there. I think it is still their coach. Tickets
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash coming in on Old Miss.
- 1:23:59Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the Old Miss side here.
- 1:24:02Speaker 1: I don't disagree with it. I mean, they haven't really
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: been tested yet. It is gonna be the first true
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: road game for Memphis so far. The so yeah, I mean,
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: I won't disagree with the market in that one. Virginia
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: is facing I believe in in state little brother in Hampton.
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: But you know, Virginia is gonna be a huge favorite
- 1:24:22Speaker 1: here from twenty two and a half to twenty three
- 1:24:24Speaker 1: and a half at least if you're fading Virginia. The
- 1:24:26Speaker 1: one good thing is that they tend to play slow
- 1:24:28Speaker 1: and not score a lot. And then ESPN is another
- 1:24:31Speaker 1: game at ten pm between number twenty three Creighton and
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: number nineteen Gonzaga. But the rankings makers make this look
- 1:24:38Speaker 1: like a close matchup, but the odds makers are kind
- 1:24:41Speaker 1: of saying otherwise, as Gonzaga is up from ten to
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: eleven and a half year, although public on creating a
- 1:24:48Speaker 1: bit seventy one percent of tickets money seemingly coming back
- 1:24:50Speaker 1: in on creating at eighty three percent of the cash.
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: But I would lay it with Gonzaga here, man, because
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: the public's gonna look at this and say, wait a minute,
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: how is the nineteenth ranked team a double digit favored
- 1:25:01Speaker 1: against the twenty third ranked team and think that this
- 1:25:03Speaker 1: should be a close matchup and it makes sense to
- 1:25:05Speaker 1: take the points. I would actually lay it, though, because
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: ken Bom is actually telling you Gonzaga has have been
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: underrated right now, as he has them as the eighth
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: best team in the country and they play fast. And
- 1:25:18Speaker 1: Creighton is down at forty fifth in the country according
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: to Ken Bomb very bad defensively so far, which is
- 1:25:26Speaker 1: kind of unlike them, I think at eighty seventh. I mean,
- 1:25:29Speaker 1: that's not very bad in the grand scheme of things,
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: but it's not good for a team it's supposed to
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: be ranked like Creighton and they're two hundred and thirteenth
- 1:25:36Speaker 1: tembo wise, So Gonzaga is going to try to speed
- 1:25:38Speaker 1: them up and throw them out of their element, and
- 1:25:40Speaker 1: I think they might be able to do that at
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: home as the better team. Creighton having to play out
- 1:25:45Speaker 1: in the Pacific time zone not exactly a spot that
- 1:25:48Speaker 1: they're familiar with, and it's their first true road game
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: as well. So I would lay it with Gonzaga on
- 1:25:54Speaker 1: that one if I was gonna do it. All right,
- 1:25:57Speaker 1: that's the college basketball breakdown. Hopefully I get the two
- 1:26:00Speaker 1: games correct there. Let's go to NHL decent size NHL
- 1:26:05Speaker 1: card here or board, but I only have one play.
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: Maple Leafs are at my Boston Bruins here. Bruins on
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: a nice run right now. Man. The Bruins won six
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: games in a row now, but they did just beat
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: Toronto on the road, so it is one of those
- 1:26:19Speaker 1: quick kind of revenge spots for Toronto coming back home.
- 1:26:25Speaker 1: I don't know Boston is coming back home excuse me, though.
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: They've had a couple of days off, so it is
- 1:26:28Speaker 1: a little bit of a road revenge angle. Where Toronto
- 1:26:31Speaker 1: lost at home to Boston, they might step it up
- 1:26:34Speaker 1: to play Boston here. But there is a little bit
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: of a wrench in the situation here, which I'll show
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: you in a minute. If you look at this game,
- 1:26:42Speaker 1: the Bruins did out shoot and out face off Toronto.
- 1:26:45Speaker 1: The Toronto had more hits, they were a little bit
- 1:26:47Speaker 1: more physical, which usually is not the case against the Bruins.
- 1:26:51Speaker 1: So it does look at a spot where maybe you
- 1:26:52Speaker 1: want to look towards Toronto in the road revenge angle.
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: The problem I have with that is that Toronto played
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: another game between the two on Sunday and it was
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: against Carolina, and Toronto played them pretty close and only
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: lost five to four. So you could argue they're in
- 1:27:07Speaker 1: a bit of a hangover spot coming off that game
- 1:27:09Speaker 1: big game against Carolina. They should still be focused try
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: to beat the Boston team and just beat them at home.
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: But I don't yeah. I mean there's situations that I
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: see going towards either team here, so I can't get
- 1:27:22Speaker 1: involved in it. Toronto will have still ours back in Net.
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: I assume they he was hill to be in their
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: last game, whoever that is, so I think it will
- 1:27:29Speaker 1: be both team's best goaltenders in this one. It should
- 1:27:32Speaker 1: be Swaying again. I think as he played the Bruins
- 1:27:35Speaker 1: last game, didn't play the game before that. The money
- 1:27:39Speaker 1: is seemingly coming into Toronto, and this is one of
- 1:27:41Speaker 1: those misleading lines where the Bruins are ten and seven.
- 1:27:45Speaker 1: They've been good at home though, seven to three at home.
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: Mayple Leafs are only one and three on the road,
- 1:27:49Speaker 1: so that is something to be aware of that the
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: Bruins have been good at home, mayple Leafs is not
- 1:27:54Speaker 1: good on the road. Mayble Leaf's only eight seven and
- 1:27:56Speaker 1: one though. But then you look at the line and
- 1:27:58Speaker 1: the maple Leafs are favored, so that tells you something.
- 1:28:01Speaker 1: And the odds makers are actually favoring the team that
- 1:28:03Speaker 1: has the worst record right now, So odds makers are
- 1:28:07Speaker 1: still telling you not to buy that the Bruins are
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: what they look like they are right now, still telling
- 1:28:14Speaker 1: you they're not that great of a team in the
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: Toronto's the better team. Unfortunately for me, Toronto Laning won
- 1:28:19Speaker 1: a minus one thirty five price here sixty three percent
- 1:28:21Speaker 1: to take a seventy eight percent of the cash coming
- 1:28:23Speaker 1: in Toronto. I'll still slightly lean that way to Toronto,
- 1:28:28Speaker 1: but I do worry a lot about that Carolina game
- 1:28:31Speaker 1: being in the middle there. La Kings are at Montreal.
- 1:28:36Speaker 1: LA just came off that win. That was one of
- 1:28:38Speaker 1: our winners in what hasn't been great hockey for us recently.
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: But we got the win on that one in regulation
- 1:28:44Speaker 1: with the Kings against Pittsburgh and what I thought was
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: a good spot to take the Kings the bad spot
- 1:28:49Speaker 1: for Pittsburgh. King's got it done. Now they're going up
- 1:28:53Speaker 1: to Montreal maybe a little bit more of a difficult
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: spot here, although they should get up for it because
- 1:28:56Speaker 1: Montreal has been pretty good so far ten three and two.
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: Montreal did get a pretty big win over Utah. Now
- 1:29:04Speaker 1: they've had a couple of days off, they do have
- 1:29:06Speaker 1: Dallas up next. So given that LA hasn't been that
- 1:29:09Speaker 1: great this year, it is possible that Montreal maybe overlooks
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: the Kings a little bit here beating Utah as a
- 1:29:15Speaker 1: better record, and that was coming off a bunch of
- 1:29:16Speaker 1: overtime games. That was a loss for me on the show.
- 1:29:19Speaker 1: By the way, with Utah, it wasn't as good as
- 1:29:22Speaker 1: it looked for Montreal really. If you look at the
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: stats in this game, Utah outshot them, The hits were close,
- 1:29:28Speaker 1: the face offs for fifty to fifty. The final score
- 1:29:32Speaker 1: was a little bit misleading in my opinion. The game
- 1:29:35Speaker 1: was four to two late in the game. I mean,
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know what else to say
- 1:29:38Speaker 1: about it. Utah was leading the game earlier in the game.
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: I don't know if Montemo is gonna be back in
- 1:29:45Speaker 1: NET or not here. You know, he's the guy that
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: I've liked fading because they haven't really been that good
- 1:29:48Speaker 1: with him in Net. Although the last two times I
- 1:29:51Speaker 1: tried to fade him, I gave out two losses. So
- 1:29:54Speaker 1: those are like his only two losses since early those
- 1:29:57Speaker 1: are only two wins I think since earlier in the season. Uh,
- 1:30:00Speaker 1: Montreal is really good at home, they'll five to one
- 1:30:02Speaker 1: on one at home, but the Kings are really good
- 1:30:04Speaker 1: on the road, six one and two on the road.
- 1:30:06Speaker 1: So something's got to give in that one money is
- 1:30:10Speaker 1: saying Montreal, but I actually slightly disagree with that. The
- 1:30:13Speaker 1: Kings have sixty percent of the tickets, which that makes
- 1:30:15Speaker 1: no sense to me. I don't think that the ticket
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: percentage would actually be on the team with the worst
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: record on the road a game with a short line
- 1:30:23Speaker 1: like this, that doesn't make sense. Fifty six percent of
- 1:30:26Speaker 1: the casual Montreal for now. But the oddsmakers are telling you,
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: because they're giving Montreal less than home ice here, they're
- 1:30:31Speaker 1: actually telling you that LA is actually the slightly better team.
- 1:30:35Speaker 1: So I would take some note as far as that's concerned.
- 1:30:40Speaker 1: Leads to LA slightly for me. In that one. Dallas
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: is playing at Ottawa. Dallas playing a third game in
- 1:30:47Speaker 1: four days, all in different cities, kind of going all
- 1:30:49Speaker 1: over the place. They went to Nashville, then Seattle, then
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: back out on the road to Ottawa. They beat Seattle
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: on the last game with Desmit the nets ottinger. We'll
- 1:30:59Speaker 1: be back here, so it's not all bad for Dallas.
- 1:31:02Speaker 1: Probably they'll still focus on Autawa. Autowa is a decent team.
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: Autawa just return over from a road trip and still
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: gotta win against Utah. They're playing a third game in
- 1:31:11Speaker 1: four days as well, but they're staying at home and
- 1:31:13Speaker 1: they're probably gonna get up for Dallas because it is
- 1:31:15Speaker 1: Dallas that's a big opponent. The money has indicated on
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: Autawa flipping them from plus one oh six to minus
- 1:31:22Speaker 1: one seventeen. Though sixty six percent of the cash on
- 1:31:25Speaker 1: Ottawa seventy six percent of tickets on Dallas, so Dallas
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: is a bit public here, Ottawa seems to be getting
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: the money. I'm not gonna disagree with Ottawa in that one.
- 1:31:36Speaker 1: I'll probably lean slightly that way. So those are my
- 1:31:41Speaker 1: thoughts on that A. Washington and Carolina, let's just give
- 1:31:44Speaker 1: it out now. This is my play. We're gonna take
- 1:31:46Speaker 1: the Washington Capitals here, and I'm gonna recommend a split
- 1:31:49Speaker 1: bet to make your own plus one puck line. So again,
- 1:31:52Speaker 1: it's a little bit more risk averse. If they lose
- 1:31:54Speaker 1: by one, it'll be a push. So obviously you want
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: them to win. If you want to just take them
- 1:31:59Speaker 1: on the plus one forty money line, you could do
- 1:32:01Speaker 1: that too, because I think they have a decent shot
- 1:32:05Speaker 1: to win this game. But this shaped up a little
- 1:32:07Speaker 1: bit better. You can actually put I think a little
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: bit of the majority on it. Like maybe somewhere in
- 1:32:12Speaker 1: the ballpark of about fifty seven to fifty eight percent
- 1:32:15Speaker 1: of it on the plus one and that puck line
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: here at minus one seventy five and the rest of
- 1:32:19Speaker 1: it on the plus one forty money line, and you
- 1:32:21Speaker 1: make your own plus one puck line. I'm sure you
- 1:32:24Speaker 1: guys had to do that with that calculator. There are
- 1:32:27Speaker 1: calculators out there. You can figure it out. And doing that,
- 1:32:32Speaker 1: it comes out to about a minus one four I
- 1:32:35Speaker 1: think price to do it something like that. So actually,
- 1:32:37Speaker 1: I think I still have it up minus one oh
- 1:32:42Speaker 1: nine actually, so it gets you right in line with
- 1:32:44Speaker 1: like an actual like pick em price bet there. So
- 1:32:46Speaker 1: I like that. So we're gonna do that with Washington here.
- 1:32:49Speaker 1: But the situational handicap, we'll talk about it in a minute.
- 1:32:53Speaker 1: The money looks like it's agreeing with Washington. We're fading Carolina,
- 1:32:56Speaker 1: which I know is a little bit dangerous because Carolina
- 1:32:59Speaker 1: is one of the best teams in the league. Carolina
- 1:33:01Speaker 1: done for minus one sixty five to minus one fifty
- 1:33:03Speaker 1: eight eighty five percent of the tickets on them, though
- 1:33:05Speaker 1: only seventy five percent of the cash. The money seems
- 1:33:08Speaker 1: to be fading Carolina here as well, So the money's
- 1:33:10Speaker 1: in agreement with us on Washington here. As far as
- 1:33:15Speaker 1: Washington's concerned, they're on a little bit of a losing
- 1:33:17Speaker 1: streak on They're only seven to seven and one. I
- 1:33:19Speaker 1: think they're a little bit better than this record makes
- 1:33:21Speaker 1: them look right now. They've lost a bunch of games recently. Man,
- 1:33:24Speaker 1: they've lost six of seven, so nobody's really gonna want
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: them right now. And it's been against some somewhat not
- 1:33:30Speaker 1: great teams either in that mix there. They've lost the
- 1:33:33Speaker 1: last two, both on the road. But I think they're
- 1:33:36Speaker 1: trying to get a win on this road trip, man,
- 1:33:38Speaker 1: And you know they're gonna step it up for a
- 1:33:40Speaker 1: game against Carolina, Carolina being one of the better teams
- 1:33:44Speaker 1: in all of hockey, like I said, and you're gonna
- 1:33:46Speaker 1: get focus out of them. I don't know which one
- 1:33:48Speaker 1: of their goalies they're gonna use. Although they've kind of
- 1:33:50Speaker 1: alternated between Thompson and lynd Gren, I don't think there's
- 1:33:53Speaker 1: really a huge upgrade or downgrade between the two. Yeah,
- 1:33:55Speaker 1: I know Carolina has been excellent. They're eleven and four.
- 1:33:58Speaker 1: They've won four games in a row, but those haven't
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: been against particularly great teams either. Their best win was
- 1:34:04Speaker 1: their last one on the road against Toronto. Yeah that
- 1:34:07Speaker 1: was with Bussy and net for Carolina. But Carolina has
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: no goaltender continuity here. I mean, Anderson is their best goalie,
- 1:34:13Speaker 1: but he's kind of old now and they've been alternating
- 1:34:16Speaker 1: between him. Could check Coov and Bussy, so which I
- 1:34:20Speaker 1: love that name. It might be Bussy, but I like
- 1:34:22Speaker 1: calling it Bussy. Uh, slip it right into the bussy man. Uh,
- 1:34:27Speaker 1: right through, right through the five hole, Bussy's five hole,
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: the five Bussy. What was I gonna say? But yeah,
- 1:34:39Speaker 1: there's like no continuity here with these goalies right now
- 1:34:41Speaker 1: for Carolina, So that's not a great thing. Uh, they're
- 1:34:43Speaker 1: coming back home from Toronto's they had that weird single
- 1:34:47Speaker 1: game road trip, got a nice win against Toronto, and
- 1:34:50Speaker 1: now they're coming back home. Possible they kind of overlook
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: Washington a little bit of the I don't know. They
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: only have Vancouver up next, so that's not really a
- 1:34:57Speaker 1: look ahead, but they might not take Washington totally. Seerio
- 1:35:00Speaker 1: with Washington being at five hundred right now, and it's
- 1:35:04Speaker 1: a third game in four days where they had to
- 1:35:06Speaker 1: go up to Toronto and now back to Carolina. So
- 1:35:09Speaker 1: the spot a little bit weird for them a lot
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: of games recently. It's also a fourth game in six
- 1:35:13Speaker 1: days or whatever that is, although all of them at
- 1:35:16Speaker 1: home except for the Toronto one. But I still like
- 1:35:20Speaker 1: it better. I know Carolina's good. I know they're really
- 1:35:22Speaker 1: good at home. They're five and one at home, so
- 1:35:24Speaker 1: you were kind of bucking that trend. Washington's been five
- 1:35:26Speaker 1: hundred on the road three three and one, so they're
- 1:35:29Speaker 1: not really worse on the road than they are at home.
- 1:35:31Speaker 1: I know Carolina is better at home, but I think
- 1:35:34Speaker 1: this is a spot to fade them. Oh and I
- 1:35:36Speaker 1: forgot the biggest reason to take Washington here playoff revenge. Baby.
- 1:35:42Speaker 1: Carolina is the team that eliminated Washington last year. Washington
- 1:35:46Speaker 1: was actually the home team in the series. I told
- 1:35:48Speaker 1: you Carolina was the better team last year, and they're
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: still the better team this year. But I think Washington
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: has this game circle man, because they were the President's Trove,
- 1:35:56Speaker 1: or they were not the President's Trophy winners, they were
- 1:35:58Speaker 1: the Eastern Conference winners. Last year. They hosted Carolina in
- 1:36:02Speaker 1: the playoffs, and Carolina eliminated them, And this is Washington's
- 1:36:05Speaker 1: first time playing them since then, so you know, they
- 1:36:09Speaker 1: have this game circled. So I expect a big effort
- 1:36:11Speaker 1: out of Washington for that reason too. That's one of
- 1:36:14Speaker 1: the main reasons for doing this. One of the types
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: of revenge that matters Washington, either puck line or a
- 1:36:22Speaker 1: money line. Let me get some more water here, man,
- 1:36:26Speaker 1: We're gonna go gonna go on intermission again for a second,
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: so I apologize. I'll let you look at the hockey
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: the rest of the hockey schedule there for a second. Sorry,
- 1:36:43Speaker 1: immute to my mic for all right, we're back. Let's go,
- 1:37:51Speaker 1: all right, the rest of the hockey board here with
- 1:37:53Speaker 1: Calgary at Saint Louis. I mean, this is a pretty
- 1:37:55Speaker 1: uninteresting game in my opinion. I think that water is
- 1:37:58Speaker 1: helping my voice. By the way, happy veterans they I
- 1:38:01Speaker 1: forgot it was veterans a yesterday. I mean. Still, even
- 1:38:03Speaker 1: though you know am anti war, I'm in opposition to
- 1:38:06Speaker 1: the military, I still think the veterans get totally mistreated,
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: not just because they get sent off to pointless wars
- 1:38:12Speaker 1: and brainwashed and whatever. Once they come back, they don't
- 1:38:15Speaker 1: get the best treatment either. So it's very very bad situation.
- 1:38:19Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean I support supporting the veterans in
- 1:38:22Speaker 1: whichever ways you can. All right, anyway, Calgary hasn't been
- 1:38:29Speaker 1: very good this year, and what else can we say? Uh, Jeffrey,
- 1:38:32Speaker 1: your guy Wolf will be back in net in this one,
- 1:38:34Speaker 1: most likely because he had Yes, he had a two
- 1:38:37Speaker 1: days excuse, he had the game two days ago, he
- 1:38:40Speaker 1: had off, and they've lost two straight shutouts. So you
- 1:38:43Speaker 1: gotta think Calgary actually will want to bounce back from
- 1:38:47Speaker 1: that and maybe show up with some focus here. Saint
- 1:38:49Speaker 1: Louis I think is not as bad as their record
- 1:38:51Speaker 1: looks right now, though they've had an extra day off
- 1:38:55Speaker 1: and they're staying at home, so their travel spot is
- 1:38:57Speaker 1: a little bit better right now. Both teams probably are
- 1:39:01Speaker 1: going to show up with focus for this. The money
- 1:39:03Speaker 1: is somewhat indicating on Saint Louis, even though they dropped
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: for minus one fifty to minus one forty eight. Seventy
- 1:39:08Speaker 1: three percent of tickets are on Calgary. I don't know
- 1:39:10Speaker 1: why Calgary would be public, to be honest. I mean,
- 1:39:13Speaker 1: people are gonna see that four and eleven record and
- 1:39:15Speaker 1: I think want to run away for MIT, so I
- 1:39:18Speaker 1: don't really understand that. But fifty six percent of the
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: cash on Saint Louis. I would kind of lead to
- 1:39:23Speaker 1: Calgary in this one, but I don't really see much
- 1:39:25Speaker 1: of a situation otherwise. I kind of think both teams
- 1:39:28Speaker 1: are going to show up, although Saint Louis did just
- 1:39:30Speaker 1: lose in overtime in their last game to Seattle, and
- 1:39:33Speaker 1: Seattle at least has a good record right now. San
- 1:39:35Speaker 1: Jose at Minnesota. The San Jose team above five hundred now,
- 1:39:41Speaker 1: at least well if you discount overtime losses. I mean,
- 1:39:46Speaker 1: I don't know how they're doing it. Man. They beat
- 1:39:48Speaker 1: Winnipeg and then they beat Florida back on Saturday, But
- 1:39:51Speaker 1: now they've had multiple days off, and I think those
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: days off might hurt their momentum, even though they are
- 1:39:56Speaker 1: starting a road trip here, and usually I say, when
- 1:39:58Speaker 1: you start a road trip, you are focused to start
- 1:40:02Speaker 1: the road trip. But they just beat the returning champs. Man,
- 1:40:04Speaker 1: I still have this San Jose team. They're nowhere near
- 1:40:07Speaker 1: as good as what this record is telling you right now.
- 1:40:09Speaker 1: They've been hot right now, but this could be a
- 1:40:11Speaker 1: letdown spot after beating Florida, having days off the might
- 1:40:14Speaker 1: hurt their momentum. Minnesota probably will show up because they
- 1:40:18Speaker 1: know San Jose's hot right now. But Minnesota also lost
- 1:40:22Speaker 1: to San Jose in overtime back on October twenty six.
- 1:40:25Speaker 1: There's a little bit of revenge for Minnesota. That is
- 1:40:28Speaker 1: in recent memory. Minnesota came back home and won against
- 1:40:33Speaker 1: Calgary on Sunday. I mean, the spot to me sets
- 1:40:36Speaker 1: up okay for Minnesota. Here. They do have Anaheim up next,
- 1:40:40Speaker 1: but it's not for a few days. I think they
- 1:40:42Speaker 1: will focus, especially because San Jose beat them in their
- 1:40:45Speaker 1: own place not that long ago. The money's indicating of
- 1:40:47Speaker 1: San Jose right now, and I do not agree with that.
- 1:40:50Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are still telling you that this San Jose
- 1:40:52Speaker 1: team is not for real because I talk about how
- 1:40:55Speaker 1: Minnesota is overrated and San Jose is so bad, and
- 1:40:58Speaker 1: the oddsmaker's eyes that Minnesotoda's up from minus two to
- 1:41:01Speaker 1: h five to minus two h six on the money
- 1:41:04Speaker 1: line here, uh, seventy percent of tickets on Minnesota, though
- 1:41:07Speaker 1: seventy five percent of the casual on San Jose. I
- 1:41:09Speaker 1: do not agree with that. I think San Jose is
- 1:41:11Speaker 1: gonna letdown spot. It's revenge. This, I mean, this is
- 1:41:16Speaker 1: actually kind of close to me. To me, wanting to
- 1:41:18Speaker 1: play this. I mean, Minnesota to win in regulation is
- 1:41:22Speaker 1: probably the way that I would look at this game.
- 1:41:24Speaker 1: But San Jose does take games into overtime somewhat offense,
- 1:41:27Speaker 1: so I worry about that a little bit. I think
- 1:41:30Speaker 1: got three overtime losses and they have more overtime wins
- 1:41:32Speaker 1: than that. Minnesota also three ot losses, but I would
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: probably lean to Minnesota in regulation in that one. Anaheim
- 1:41:42Speaker 1: and Colorado has actually turned out to be a huge
- 1:41:45Speaker 1: game because Anaheim's eleven to three to one, and they've
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: won a bunch of games in a row. Seven games
- 1:41:51Speaker 1: in a row, I think is what that is, including
- 1:41:53Speaker 1: beating me, beating Winnipeg, which, by the way, Winnipeg in
- 1:41:58Speaker 1: that game didn't use hell of so that did not
- 1:42:00Speaker 1: help us out in that game. They used comery in
- 1:42:03Speaker 1: net COMI. Anaheim is just riling off all these wins
- 1:42:07Speaker 1: against good teams, and the Oswigers are still not buying
- 1:42:10Speaker 1: Anaheim either, which I'll show you in a minute. Anaheim
- 1:42:13Speaker 1: now having to go into elevation, although they have momentum
- 1:42:15Speaker 1: right now and they're starting a road trip, you gotta
- 1:42:18Speaker 1: think they will be focused on the Avs here. But
- 1:42:21Speaker 1: the Avs are really really good. The Avs also only
- 1:42:24Speaker 1: have one regulation loss, five overtime losses, ten wins. The
- 1:42:29Speaker 1: Avs coming off kind of a close call against Vancouver
- 1:42:32Speaker 1: after they smashed Edmonton. That was the game where I
- 1:42:34Speaker 1: gave up Vancouver as a plus one puck line play there,
- 1:42:38Speaker 1: so we got to push on that one. I think
- 1:42:41Speaker 1: it was worth that is. Vancouver took the game into overtime,
- 1:42:44Speaker 1: so I think it was worth the play. I think
- 1:42:46Speaker 1: it made sense. Colorado had just destroyed Edmonton nine to one,
- 1:42:50Speaker 1: and then they were on a back to back with
- 1:42:52Speaker 1: Blackwood in net for only his second game of the season,
- 1:42:55Speaker 1: so it was not a good spot for Colorado. They
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: got the win anyway, and now they're coming off of that,
- 1:43:00Speaker 1: they're returning home. It is a third game in four days,
- 1:43:02Speaker 1: so the spot to me doesn't really look that great
- 1:43:05Speaker 1: for Colorado. Though. You gotta think they're gonna show up
- 1:43:07Speaker 1: because Anaheims has been playing really well, but the oddsmakers
- 1:43:10Speaker 1: are telling you not to buy Anaheim. Colorado's up from
- 1:43:14Speaker 1: minus two fifteen to minus two thirty at least not
- 1:43:16Speaker 1: buy then Anaheim's. As good as their record looks, I
- 1:43:19Speaker 1: should say they're not necessarily telling you to not put
- 1:43:22Speaker 1: money on them in this game, Colorado being up to
- 1:43:26Speaker 1: a two to thirty money Live favorite though minus two
- 1:43:29Speaker 1: thirty sixty four percent of tickets ninety one percent of
- 1:43:31Speaker 1: the cash on Anaheim though, so the money is seemingly
- 1:43:34Speaker 1: indicating on Anaheim right now. I don't really disagree with it, though,
- 1:43:39Speaker 1: because the spot looks better for them. I mean, it's
- 1:43:41Speaker 1: crazy that Anaheim keeps doing this, but they got momentum.
- 1:43:44Speaker 1: They're starting a road trip. You kind of know they're
- 1:43:47Speaker 1: gonna be focused. Although both teams are playing a third
- 1:43:49Speaker 1: game in four days though, and Anaheim's playing a fourth
- 1:43:51Speaker 1: and six days, all in different cities, so the spot
- 1:43:54Speaker 1: actually kind of looks iffy for both teams as far
- 1:43:58Speaker 1: as the the rest situation really not being that good.
- 1:44:01Speaker 1: Although Colorado didn't play for multiple days before they played
- 1:44:04Speaker 1: on Saturday, I could see this being an over as well,
- 1:44:08Speaker 1: and the money's pushing this so far over that this
- 1:44:12Speaker 1: is gonna be Wow. Sirens outside, man, it sounds like
- 1:44:15Speaker 1: a fire engine. Those sirens are so loud they like
- 1:44:19Speaker 1: they really throw me off. I think that was a
- 1:44:21Speaker 1: fire engine. Holy crap, man, this total might actually hit seven.
- 1:44:27Speaker 1: It's up from six and a half to seven. To me,
- 1:44:28Speaker 1: can you really play an over seven? I don't know,
- 1:44:31Speaker 1: but eighty six percent tickets eight and nine percent of
- 1:44:34Speaker 1: the cash coming in on the over here. I don't
- 1:44:36Speaker 1: disagree with the over I mean Anaheim has played a
- 1:44:38Speaker 1: lot of high scoring games this year. Yeah, I don't
- 1:44:43Speaker 1: disagree with it, but seven is like almost unheard of
- 1:44:45Speaker 1: in hockey. Like usually they'll stop at six and a
- 1:44:48Speaker 1: half and maybe they'll just keep juicing the six and
- 1:44:50Speaker 1: a half. So you'd have to pay money to take
- 1:44:53Speaker 1: it over the six and a half. Man, I mean,
- 1:44:56Speaker 1: seven is a key number ish in hockey because obviously
- 1:45:00Speaker 1: one team has to win, so some goal has to
- 1:45:02Speaker 1: break the tie if there is a tie, So man,
- 1:45:07Speaker 1: that's crazy. Though Winnipeg is at Vancouver, I do think
- 1:45:12Speaker 1: Winnipeg is the better of these two teams, even though
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: they've lost three in a row, including a loss of
- 1:45:16Speaker 1: San Jose in there. But that was kind of a
- 1:45:18Speaker 1: sandwich spot in there. Unfortunately, I thought they were gonna
- 1:45:20Speaker 1: be the one to break Anaheim's win streak and they
- 1:45:22Speaker 1: didn't do it. Comery and that not great. Although if
- 1:45:25Speaker 1: you look at the stats, this game wasn't really I
- 1:45:29Speaker 1: don't think it was quite what it looked like. Winnipeg
- 1:45:31Speaker 1: actually out face off, outshot, and out hit Anaheim in
- 1:45:35Speaker 1: the game, so they actually won the game statistically slightly.
- 1:45:39Speaker 1: Now Winnipeg coming into Vancouver, they're trying to get a
- 1:45:43Speaker 1: win on the road trip. Still Winnipeg is because they
- 1:45:45Speaker 1: haven't done it yet, so I expect Winnipeg to be focused.
- 1:45:49Speaker 1: Vancouver just took Colorado to overtime and they have Carol
- 1:45:52Speaker 1: line up next. Even though I don't necessarily think they're
- 1:45:55Speaker 1: gonna overlook Winnipeg because Winnipeg won the President's Trophy last year.
- 1:45:59Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure has been good. But still a tough
- 1:46:03Speaker 1: spot in my mind for Vancouver coming off taking Colorado
- 1:46:06Speaker 1: to OT. I like Winnipeg in this one. The money
- 1:46:10Speaker 1: is agreen with the fifty seventy tickets eighty seven percent
- 1:46:12Speaker 1: of the cash, and then they're down for minus one
- 1:46:14Speaker 1: twenty to minus one eighteen in the money line. Am
- 1:46:16Speaker 1: I gonna add another play on the fly here? I'm
- 1:46:20Speaker 1: tempted to do it because I do like Winnipeg here.
- 1:46:24Speaker 1: I mean, I'll skip it just for the reasons that
- 1:46:26Speaker 1: I said that. Give me a little bit of pause
- 1:46:27Speaker 1: on that but I don't mind it at all. I
- 1:46:32Speaker 1: like Winnipeg in that one. Let me see, what was
- 1:46:34Speaker 1: the game that I was on. Yeah, the game I
- 1:46:36Speaker 1: was on was Washington. Yeah, that's right, okay, And then
- 1:46:39Speaker 1: Columbus at Seattle. All I can tell you with this
- 1:46:41Speaker 1: game is that I think both teams are in bad
- 1:46:44Speaker 1: spots in this one too. Columbus they've lost four games
- 1:46:48Speaker 1: in a row, but they just took Edmonton into overtime
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: last night, so they're in a third game in four days.
- 1:46:53Speaker 1: It looks like they will of Elvis in net tonight.
- 1:46:57Speaker 1: He will return to the building after they use grieves
- 1:46:59Speaker 1: last night, so they're somewhat better. Goalie will be in net.
- 1:47:02Speaker 1: But three games in four days in different cities, and
- 1:47:05Speaker 1: they're actually in an Edmonton sandwich because they play Edmonton
- 1:47:08Speaker 1: again on Thursday, back at home after losing them in
- 1:47:12Speaker 1: overtime yesterday. The spot's pretty bad for Columbus. The problem
- 1:47:17Speaker 1: is Seattle is still seven four and four, which isn't terrible.
- 1:47:21Speaker 1: I mean, Columbus might still try to get up for
- 1:47:24Speaker 1: this game. Seattle looks like they will have Tocord back
- 1:47:27Speaker 1: in net, although he missed the last two games, so
- 1:47:29Speaker 1: I don't know what the deal was with that my
- 1:47:31Speaker 1: man Decord, because I think he's actually a Boston guy.
- 1:47:34Speaker 1: Joey da call if he's French. I don't know. Seattle's
- 1:47:40Speaker 1: were turning on from a road trip though, which I
- 1:47:42Speaker 1: don't particularly like. Well, it was only two games and
- 1:47:44Speaker 1: it started on Saturday, but they are coming off winning
- 1:47:47Speaker 1: an overtime against Saint Louis and then taking Dallas basically
- 1:47:50Speaker 1: in the limit in a two to one game. So
- 1:47:52Speaker 1: I don't love how this sets up for Seattle either.
- 1:47:55Speaker 1: I think it's worse for Columbus, so I do slightly
- 1:47:58Speaker 1: lean to Seattle. Here has fifty one percent of tickets
- 1:48:01Speaker 1: is sixty one percent of the cash, though, as Seattle
- 1:48:04Speaker 1: dropped for minus one twenty five to minus one twenty
- 1:48:07Speaker 1: so the money is kind of leaning against it. But
- 1:48:10Speaker 1: I think the spot's pretty bad for Columbus, so I
- 1:48:13Speaker 1: would look to Seattle on this one. But I think
- 1:48:15Speaker 1: probably the better way to look in this game is
- 1:48:17Speaker 1: also the over. This is me with hockey, man, I
- 1:48:20Speaker 1: basically just identify overs in hockey. That's pretty much what
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: I do for me. I'm not gonna give a play
- 1:48:26Speaker 1: as we'll just it's a wait and see approach for
- 1:48:28Speaker 1: me and these we'll see if Anaheim Colorado and this
- 1:48:30Speaker 1: game become high scoring. This game has gone up a
- 1:48:33Speaker 1: little bit on the total with seventy five percent of
- 1:48:35Speaker 1: tickets ninety two percent of the cash on the total,
- 1:48:37Speaker 1: and it is up to six and a half. So
- 1:48:40Speaker 1: for what it's worth there alright, NBA, we have a
- 1:48:45Speaker 1: little bit of a short slate here. I don't have
- 1:48:46Speaker 1: a play in the NBA today. I don't love the board.
- 1:48:50Speaker 1: Toronto is at Brooklyn, which is a very uninteresting game.
- 1:48:54Speaker 1: To mean, Toronto did just lose a win streak, though
- 1:48:56Speaker 1: they were on a four game win streak, and they
- 1:48:58Speaker 1: took a loss on Sat at Philadelphia. Could argue it's
- 1:49:02Speaker 1: a bit of a bad spot even though they've had
- 1:49:04Speaker 1: a couple of days off here that ended a win
- 1:49:06Speaker 1: streak for them, So the momentum is kind of stopped.
- 1:49:08Speaker 1: And they do have Cleveland up next on Thursday, so
- 1:49:11Speaker 1: a little bit of a look ahead here. So Brooklyn,
- 1:49:15Speaker 1: I mean, I know they're bad. They only have one win,
- 1:49:17Speaker 1: which by the way, was a winner for us on
- 1:49:18Speaker 1: the Show against Indiana. Brooklyn just got absolutely embarrassed on
- 1:49:22Speaker 1: Sunday at the New York Knicks though, losing one hundred
- 1:49:26Speaker 1: and thirty four to ninety eight. So they lost that
- 1:49:28Speaker 1: game by thirty six points. That is that is just awful.
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: I mean, you got to expect them to show up
- 1:49:33Speaker 1: with a little bit more intensity after a loss like that.
- 1:49:36Speaker 1: So I would take the points with Brooklyn in this
- 1:49:39Speaker 1: one if I was gonna do it. The money has
- 1:49:41Speaker 1: coming on the Raptors though they're up from eight to ten,
- 1:49:43Speaker 1: it's going through the ten. I just think that's too
- 1:49:46Speaker 1: many points as well. Fifty four percent take it's eighty
- 1:49:49Speaker 1: percent of the cash. I don't know what professional betters
- 1:49:52Speaker 1: are coming in and laying the Raptors here, but I
- 1:49:54Speaker 1: would not do it. I would take it with Brooklyn,
- 1:49:56Speaker 1: but I don't love it. Memphis is at New York Memphis.
- 1:50:02Speaker 1: They're just struggling right now. Man. I think the Jah
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: Morant experiment is a failure. This Memphis team has lost
- 1:50:07Speaker 1: five of their last six games. They're not playing well,
- 1:50:10Speaker 1: though in their last game it was an expected loss
- 1:50:12Speaker 1: against OKC. They lost by fourteen at home. They do
- 1:50:16Speaker 1: get to go out on the road now, so when
- 1:50:17Speaker 1: you do go out on the road a lot of
- 1:50:18Speaker 1: times that does help you refocus. After things are not
- 1:50:21Speaker 1: going well, you just forget about it and go on
- 1:50:23Speaker 1: the road. I don't think they're gonna be unfocused for
- 1:50:26Speaker 1: a game against the Knicks. I mean, the Knicks have
- 1:50:28Speaker 1: been pretty good Knicks, coming off multiple games where they
- 1:50:32Speaker 1: score over one hundred and thirty points against Minnesota and Brooklyn.
- 1:50:36Speaker 1: They're just stomping teams. So I think the Knicks look
- 1:50:39Speaker 1: too good right now putting up point totals like that.
- 1:50:43Speaker 1: They don't really have anything that big next. But it
- 1:50:45Speaker 1: is an ESPN game tomorrow against Orlando, which is still
- 1:50:49Speaker 1: I guess like a divisional game. I think it is, right,
- 1:50:51Speaker 1: let me see, I'm pretty sure it is. I know
- 1:50:54Speaker 1: it is. And what am I saying? They're in the
- 1:50:55Speaker 1: Atlantic with the Celtics. It feels like Orlando's in their
- 1:50:59Speaker 1: division for whatever reason. But Orlando's in the division with
- 1:51:03Speaker 1: Miami and whatever. All right, But anyway, I think that
- 1:51:07Speaker 1: is get You could argue that is somewhat of a
- 1:51:09Speaker 1: bigger game because it is still a conference game. So
- 1:51:12Speaker 1: I would fade the Knicks in this one other up
- 1:51:14Speaker 1: from nine to nine and a half. Eighty nine percent
- 1:51:17Speaker 1: of tickets and cash on the Knicks right now, I
- 1:51:19Speaker 1: don't love it at all, but I would take the
- 1:51:21Speaker 1: points with Memphis if I was gonna play it. My
- 1:51:24Speaker 1: Boston Celtics are playing the Philadelphia seventy six ers again,
- 1:51:29Speaker 1: playing them for the third time already this season, and
- 1:51:32Speaker 1: I think they only played them one more time this season.
- 1:51:34Speaker 1: And I don't know when it's gonna be. It's later
- 1:51:36Speaker 1: in the season, it's in March. But crazy Celtics got
- 1:51:40Speaker 1: their quick revenge against Orlando, which I was correct about
- 1:51:43Speaker 1: that lean in that game, the Celtics did get the win.
- 1:51:47Speaker 1: Now they're going up to Philadelphia from Orlando. Both teams
- 1:51:51Speaker 1: I think are gonna show up for this. They played
- 1:51:53Speaker 1: two one point games so far, with the road team
- 1:51:57Speaker 1: winning each game by one point so far, the Celtics
- 1:52:00Speaker 1: blowing a lead in the first game and then losing
- 1:52:03Speaker 1: by one. Celtics, I believe, had a bigger lead in
- 1:52:06Speaker 1: the game at Philadelphia and then wound up almost losing
- 1:52:09Speaker 1: the game. So the Celtics have actually been the better
- 1:52:12Speaker 1: team in these two matchups against Philadelphia. The Celtics have
- 1:52:16Speaker 1: had a big lead in both games, so the final
- 1:52:18Speaker 1: scores are kind of misleading, as the Celtics have actually
- 1:52:22Speaker 1: played well against Philadelphia, they've actually been the better team.
- 1:52:25Speaker 1: I expect focus here because they don't really have anything
- 1:52:27Speaker 1: up next. I think both teams will show up because
- 1:52:30Speaker 1: the Sixers playing the Celtics is still big and the
- 1:52:32Speaker 1: Sixers did just lose on this same floor to the Celtics. However,
- 1:52:38Speaker 1: it looks like Jason Tatum. Oh no, wait, what am
- 1:52:41Speaker 1: I saying, Jesse? I was thinking that was Jalen Brown, Like,
- 1:52:43Speaker 1: Jalen Brown is out. No, Tatum, we know he's out,
- 1:52:46Speaker 1: He's out for the season. Whatever, That's not a big deal.
- 1:52:49Speaker 1: Sam Howser is game time decision whatever. For the Sixers,
- 1:52:54Speaker 1: Paul George is still not back. It looks like he's
- 1:52:56Speaker 1: on his way back soon. Embiide probably will play in
- 1:52:59Speaker 1: this game for the Sixers. But yeah, there's nothing to
- 1:53:01Speaker 1: really see in the injury report because I was gonna say,
- 1:53:04Speaker 1: wait a minute, what Jalen Brown is out? Jason Datum
- 1:53:07Speaker 1: is out? I dude, My mind is just totally out
- 1:53:09Speaker 1: of it right now. I don't get enough sleep. But
- 1:53:12Speaker 1: for the Sixers, I think the schedule is a little
- 1:53:14Speaker 1: bit tougher for the Sixers though, even though they should
- 1:53:16Speaker 1: show up for a game against Boston, they're staying at home.
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: But it is a third game in four days, and
- 1:53:21Speaker 1: they just played Detroit really close, and they have Detroit
- 1:53:24Speaker 1: again next so they are in a Detroit sandwich. I
- 1:53:27Speaker 1: don't know what sandwiches they have in Detroit. I just
- 1:53:29Speaker 1: know they have Detroit pizza, which is one of the
- 1:53:32Speaker 1: best pizza styles. By the way. To add to the
- 1:53:37Speaker 1: Boston food Troy, there is a place I can't remember
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: the name of it right now. I want to say Vola,
- 1:53:43Speaker 1: but that doesn't sound right because they're like a progressive
- 1:53:47Speaker 1: metal band, so it's something like that. Though, there's a
- 1:53:50Speaker 1: place in the Boston area that I haven't tried it,
- 1:53:54Speaker 1: but they I guess they have a really good Detroit
- 1:53:57Speaker 1: style pizza in Boston, so take from that will, I guess.
- 1:54:00Speaker 1: But Detroit style is a very solid style of pizza. Man.
- 1:54:03Speaker 1: I love the crispy cheese on the edges. Love that
- 1:54:06Speaker 1: Detroit's a little bit thicker, but they usually use good
- 1:54:08Speaker 1: dough for it. The only thing I don't like is
- 1:54:11Speaker 1: they add like that extra like line of sauce on
- 1:54:14Speaker 1: top of them, Like why do you do that? Like
- 1:54:16Speaker 1: it's just bizarre. But otherwise Detroit pizza very good anyway.
- 1:54:21Speaker 1: Philadelphia's into Detroit Pizza Sandwich here. But I don't think
- 1:54:24Speaker 1: they're really going to overlook the Celtics. But to me,
- 1:54:27Speaker 1: the spot does set up a little bit better for
- 1:54:28Speaker 1: the Celtics. And again, I think the first two games
- 1:54:32Speaker 1: between these two teams, the results are misleading because the
- 1:54:35Speaker 1: Celtics could have blown the Sixers out in both games.
- 1:54:38Speaker 1: They had big leads in both games seventy six Ers.
- 1:54:42Speaker 1: Biggest lead in both games was a small margin of
- 1:54:45Speaker 1: the Celtics biggest lead in both games was double digits.
- 1:54:48Speaker 1: Seventy one percent of tickets on the Sixers because they
- 1:54:50Speaker 1: do have the better record, but eighty seven percent of
- 1:54:52Speaker 1: the cash on the Celtics. So the money seems to
- 1:54:54Speaker 1: agree with me on that. Slightly into the Celtics for
- 1:54:56Speaker 1: me in that one, But I'm not holding my breath.
- 1:55:01Speaker 1: Golden State at Oklahoma City, this is a pretty good game.
- 1:55:03Speaker 1: You know, Golden State has a six and five record.
- 1:55:05Speaker 1: We know they've had some of their guys out of
- 1:55:07Speaker 1: the lineup for some games. Curry has been out for
- 1:55:09Speaker 1: some games. Golden State has a little bit of momentum
- 1:55:11Speaker 1: as they just beat Indiana by a large margin by
- 1:55:15Speaker 1: thirty one. Now they're going on the road, They're gonna
- 1:55:18Speaker 1: be focused for Oklahoma City. I mean, come on, it's
- 1:55:20Speaker 1: okay see, Golden State going out on the road here
- 1:55:24Speaker 1: to face OKAC as far as ok see. They are
- 1:55:30Speaker 1: coming back home from a road trip, so it's not
- 1:55:32Speaker 1: a great spot for them. They've been on the road
- 1:55:33Speaker 1: since last week, since Tuesday. Again, I talk about this,
- 1:55:37Speaker 1: the road trip return spot tends to be a little
- 1:55:39Speaker 1: bit difficult. And is it possible that they actually overlook
- 1:55:42Speaker 1: Golden State here because they have an ESPN game against
- 1:55:45Speaker 1: the Lakers tomorrow. So if they're gonna focus on one
- 1:55:48Speaker 1: of those two games, I'm pretty sure it's gonna be
- 1:55:50Speaker 1: the Lakers. Golden State a little bit past their prime.
- 1:55:53Speaker 1: So yeah, you know, I talk about this, the return
- 1:55:56Speaker 1: home spot could be a distraction spot and you gotta
- 1:55:58Speaker 1: get back to home life, you know. I think the
- 1:56:02Speaker 1: spot's better for Golden State. Again, they're starting a rotrop,
- 1:56:05Speaker 1: but usually is a focused spot, momentum spot. Looking at
- 1:56:10Speaker 1: the injury report, I don't think there's anything really huge here.
- 1:56:12Speaker 1: Al Horford's game time decision for Golden State. Dort is
- 1:56:16Speaker 1: still out for OKAYC. I mean, he definitely helps their
- 1:56:19Speaker 1: defense other than that, I mean, Jillen Williams is kind
- 1:56:23Speaker 1: of their bigger one of their bigger guys who's out,
- 1:56:26Speaker 1: and he's still out as well. But I mean we know,
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: okay See is a very deep team, so those injuries
- 1:56:32Speaker 1: aren't really gonna affect them that much. But yeah, I
- 1:56:35Speaker 1: lean to taking the points with the Warriors here. The
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: thunder are down from seven and a half to seven,
- 1:56:39Speaker 1: but sixty six percent of the tickets ninety percent of
- 1:56:41Speaker 1: the cash on them. I like the Warriors in that one, though,
- 1:56:44Speaker 1: with the way the scheduling sets up, so I don't
- 1:56:48Speaker 1: love it enough to give it out as a play,
- 1:56:50Speaker 1: But that's my opinion there. Indiana at Utah what is
- 1:56:53Speaker 1: going to be a very very ugly matchup. Utah has
- 1:56:57Speaker 1: got the better record, although the osmakers are actually telling
- 1:56:59Speaker 1: you the Pacers the better team right now, up from
- 1:57:01Speaker 1: one and a half to two and a half, even
- 1:57:03Speaker 1: though they're without Haliburton, fifty two percent of tickets, fifty
- 1:57:06Speaker 1: four percent of the cash coming in on Indiana. Indiana's
- 1:57:09Speaker 1: lost four games in a row. I mean, they only
- 1:57:11Speaker 1: have one win on the season going from Golden State
- 1:57:16Speaker 1: into Utahs. They were in elevation on Saturday in Denver,
- 1:57:19Speaker 1: they went out to Golden State to the Pacific Coast.
- 1:57:22Speaker 1: Basically now, third game in four days, all on the road,
- 1:57:24Speaker 1: all in different cities, are going back into elevation. I
- 1:57:27Speaker 1: don't like the spot for Indiana here, man, I really don't.
- 1:57:31Speaker 1: They did get some of their guys back as a
- 1:57:34Speaker 1: I think their main injuries are now. Yeah, Mathrin is
- 1:57:37Speaker 1: basically one of their bigger injuries now he's out. McConnell's
- 1:57:39Speaker 1: the game time decision. But they got Nemhart, and well,
- 1:57:44Speaker 1: Nemhart was the big guy. They got back him and Topman.
- 1:57:48Speaker 1: I don't know if top And is back or not,
- 1:57:49Speaker 1: but whatever. So Indiana, I mean, they're a little bit
- 1:57:52Speaker 1: healthier now, but I don't love the spot for them here.
- 1:57:57Speaker 1: Up next they have Phoenix, which I don't think is
- 1:57:59Speaker 1: really that much of a look had Utah. They're certainly
- 1:58:02Speaker 1: worse without Kessler. I don't like that. That's a big blow.
- 1:58:05Speaker 1: They lost three games in a row. They did return
- 1:58:07Speaker 1: home in their last game, though, and while they played
- 1:58:09Speaker 1: pretty decently against Minnesota, and it was a zig zag spot.
- 1:58:13Speaker 1: A lot of times when a team returns home, I
- 1:58:15Speaker 1: tell you it's a difficult spot. You got to balance
- 1:58:18Speaker 1: playing the game with getting back to family life, and
- 1:58:20Speaker 1: now that this is the second game back home, maybe
- 1:58:22Speaker 1: they will play a little bit better. Although they are
- 1:58:24Speaker 1: coming off a big game where they did play pretty
- 1:58:26Speaker 1: well against Minnesota, so I would like it better if
- 1:58:29Speaker 1: they played really poorly in that game. I would still
- 1:58:32Speaker 1: probably meant to taking the points with the Jazz, but
- 1:58:35Speaker 1: don't feel strongly about it. And then Denver is that
- 1:58:37Speaker 1: Sacramento to finish off the NBA slate here, Denver's won
- 1:58:42Speaker 1: four games in a row. They're hot right now. They
- 1:58:44Speaker 1: just beat Indiana multiple days off, and now they're starting
- 1:58:47Speaker 1: a road trip. Multiple days off could hurt their momentum
- 1:58:50Speaker 1: a little bit, but usually you start a road trip
- 1:58:53Speaker 1: you are focus. But we'll see if the extra days
- 1:58:56Speaker 1: off are gonna help, are gonna hurt the momentum a
- 1:58:58Speaker 1: little bit install them out? I don't know about that.
- 1:59:01Speaker 1: They did beat Sacramento at home back on November third,
- 1:59:03Speaker 1: so I guess it is a little bit of a
- 1:59:05Speaker 1: revenge spot for Sacramento. But it was a close ish
- 1:59:10Speaker 1: game and Denver maybe potentially could have covered that for us,
- 1:59:14Speaker 1: but that was a loss for us on the show. However,
- 1:59:19Speaker 1: I still think Denver might, you know, maybe still not
- 1:59:22Speaker 1: take Sacramento totally seriously. And Sacramento they got blown out
- 1:59:25Speaker 1: in their last two games. Man, after they beat Golden State,
- 1:59:28Speaker 1: they lost by thirty one to Oklahoma City at home,
- 1:59:31Speaker 1: and then also at home they lost by twenty seven.
- 1:59:34Speaker 1: I think is what that is to Minnesota, that's pretty brutal.
- 1:59:37Speaker 1: Those are good teams. Denver is also a good team,
- 1:59:39Speaker 1: but you got to expect Sacramento will show up with
- 1:59:42Speaker 1: some focus here and try to bounce back from that.
- 1:59:44Speaker 1: So I would lean to taking the points with Sacramento.
- 1:59:48Speaker 1: Sixty two percent of the tickets on the Nuggets but
- 1:59:50Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the casual on the Kings. I
- 1:59:53Speaker 1: don't see it being a really terrible situation for Denver,
- 1:59:56Speaker 1: but I do see it being a bounced back spot
- 1:59:58Speaker 1: at the very least for the Kings. Got to see
- 2:00:01Speaker 1: what the injury situation is though here with us, some
- 2:00:03Speaker 1: bonus has been out. He's a game time decision, so
- 2:00:06Speaker 1: you got to make sure that you know, like the info,
- 2:00:09Speaker 1: I guess there. He did play actually in their last game,
- 2:00:14Speaker 1: so he's listed his game time decision. But he played
- 2:00:16Speaker 1: on Sunday, so that was kind of the injured player
- 2:00:19Speaker 1: that was the reverse injured player spot like he's their
- 2:00:22Speaker 1: best player, So I talk about that when your best
- 2:00:24Speaker 1: player comes back, sometimes you take your foot up the
- 2:00:26Speaker 1: gas a little bit and there's like a little bit
- 2:00:29Speaker 1: of a chemistry shift there. But if he's playing again today,
- 2:00:32Speaker 1: or even if he's not, I think it might mean
- 2:00:34Speaker 1: the Kings are gonna either have more chemistry now that
- 2:00:37Speaker 1: he is back for a second game, or they're gonna
- 2:00:39Speaker 1: play harder without him. So Kings make sense to me
- 2:00:42Speaker 1: in that game. Don't want to give it out as
- 2:00:43Speaker 1: a play though, And then we do have action tonight
- 2:00:46Speaker 1: where I'm gonna give out one play and it's not
- 2:00:48Speaker 1: in this first game, which is at seven thirty on ESPNU,
- 2:00:51Speaker 1: we have Kent State at Akron. Akron is the favorite here,
- 2:00:56Speaker 1: and I agree with Akron being the favorite. They're definitely
- 2:00:59Speaker 1: the better team through all the way up from four
- 2:01:01Speaker 1: and a half to six and a half with the
- 2:01:02Speaker 1: money coming in on them. So if you like Akron,
- 2:01:05Speaker 1: you got to make sure that you lay the points
- 2:01:06Speaker 1: where it's still below seven, man, because this line is
- 2:01:10Speaker 1: moving and seven is a key number. And I do
- 2:01:13Speaker 1: agree with the Akron side. Fifty percent to take its
- 2:01:15Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash on Akron. Kent State
- 2:01:19Speaker 1: they're three and six, but we're talking about a Kent
- 2:01:21Speaker 1: State team was like one of the absolute worst teams
- 2:01:24Speaker 1: in all of FBS last year, and if you look
- 2:01:26Speaker 1: at their wins, it's not impressive. I mean, they beat
- 2:01:31Speaker 1: Merrimack on a kick return touchdown by our guy to
- 2:01:34Speaker 1: Realist Clark, so they could have lost to FCS Merrimack.
- 2:01:38Speaker 1: Then one of their other wins was a blowout win,
- 2:01:40Speaker 1: but it was against You Mass, who is so bad
- 2:01:42Speaker 1: they're gonna go back to I think they're gonna go
- 2:01:45Speaker 1: all the way back to Division three so that they
- 2:01:47Speaker 1: can be competitive again. They've actually been like I think
- 2:01:50Speaker 1: there were a recent championship winner back in Division three
- 2:01:53Speaker 1: way back in the day. I mean, it's just pathetic,
- 2:01:57Speaker 1: but that's not an impressive win, even though, yeah, Kent
- 2:01:59Speaker 1: State did annihilate them, but Newmass is easily the worst
- 2:02:03Speaker 1: team in all of FBS, and I don't even think
- 2:02:05Speaker 1: it's that close. And then Kent State, they did pull
- 2:02:08Speaker 1: off an upset at home against Bowling Green a couple
- 2:02:10Speaker 1: weeks ago, which was I think a misleading result. It
- 2:02:14Speaker 1: was a seven and a half away favorite for Bowling Green.
- 2:02:16Speaker 1: Bowling Green is really not that good this year. They're
- 2:02:18Speaker 1: known for being a pretty good team generally, but this
- 2:02:21Speaker 1: year they're one in five in the MAC and three
- 2:02:24Speaker 1: and seven overall, so we're looking at a pretty down
- 2:02:27Speaker 1: Bowling Green team. And Bowling Green outgained Kent State by
- 2:02:31Speaker 1: like eighty five yards in this game, so it was
- 2:02:34Speaker 1: a misleading result. I don't know what happened in the game,
- 2:02:36Speaker 1: but Bowling Green out possessed them by over thirteen minutes
- 2:02:39Speaker 1: out first down the my eight first downs, so really
- 2:02:43Speaker 1: a misleading win for Kent State. So Kent State really
- 2:02:45Speaker 1: does not have any wins that are actually legit in
- 2:02:49Speaker 1: my opinion, so I think they're bad. They're on short
- 2:02:53Speaker 1: rest here, which I don't think helps when they're playing
- 2:02:55Speaker 1: back to back road games. They lost at ball State,
- 2:02:58Speaker 1: which is not good sign because Ball State stinks. But
- 2:03:02Speaker 1: I mean, you could argue you can't State will bounce
- 2:03:04Speaker 1: back from that. But I just don't think they're a
- 2:03:06Speaker 1: good team at all. Akron needs two more wins to
- 2:03:09Speaker 1: become Bowl eligible, so at the very least I think
- 2:03:11Speaker 1: they're trying to do that because it is possible. They
- 2:03:13Speaker 1: have two games left and they're both winnable. I mean,
- 2:03:16Speaker 1: certainly they can win this game at home. They just
- 2:03:19Speaker 1: blew out you Mass back on Tuesday, so they have
- 2:03:21Speaker 1: one extra day of rest compared to Kent State, and
- 2:03:23Speaker 1: they have to go to Bowling Green, who's down this year.
- 2:03:26Speaker 1: So that's gonna be a winnable game at least for
- 2:03:28Speaker 1: Akron to finish the season. So they do have that
- 2:03:30Speaker 1: in front of them. And the other thing I think
- 2:03:33Speaker 1: is gonna pump Akron up besides the fact that it's
- 2:03:36Speaker 1: a primetime game at home for them, although they already
- 2:03:38Speaker 1: played one of those last week and they did well.
- 2:03:41Speaker 1: They blew out U Mass. We know how terrible U
- 2:03:43Speaker 1: Mass is. Every team blows them out. But this is
- 2:03:47Speaker 1: also Akron's final home game, so we're getting into that
- 2:03:50Speaker 1: late season, the late season handicap here. Man. When a
- 2:03:53Speaker 1: team has their final home game, it's senior night, so
- 2:03:57Speaker 1: it's a big deal. It's an even bigger deal if
- 2:03:59Speaker 1: you have seniors on your team, because you celebrate the seniors.
- 2:04:02Speaker 1: It's their last home game of their college career. Huge deal.
- 2:04:06Speaker 1: Teams tend to play a little bit better on senior night.
- 2:04:09Speaker 1: Finley is their quarterback and he is indeed a senior.
- 2:04:12Speaker 1: So their quarterback is a senior. I don't know about
- 2:04:14Speaker 1: their other guys like Gant, their running back, he's only
- 2:04:17Speaker 1: a junior. But still it's gonna be a celebration. It
- 2:04:19Speaker 1: is bigger because their quarterback is a senior. So I
- 2:04:22Speaker 1: agree with the movement here on Akron. If you want
- 2:04:25Speaker 1: to do it, you got to find it at below seven.
- 2:04:27Speaker 1: I would say you probably try to still find the
- 2:04:29Speaker 1: six and a half out there right now. No real
- 2:04:31Speaker 1: opinion on the total. It's up. Oh no, went down
- 2:04:34Speaker 1: to forty eight, but sixty four percent. I think it's
- 2:04:37Speaker 1: eighty percent of the catch on the over. These teams
- 2:04:39Speaker 1: are not great defenses, so I mean, I'm not sure
- 2:04:42Speaker 1: that I would disagree with an over in that game
- 2:04:44Speaker 1: as well, which I think does help Akrons cause as
- 2:04:48Speaker 1: far as a covering the number there. But my play
- 2:04:53Speaker 1: is actually gonna be on the other game and we're
- 2:04:55Speaker 1: gonna go with Western Michigan plus one, though it looks
- 2:04:59Speaker 1: like they're now minus on one. Find the best number
- 2:05:02Speaker 1: that you can get. I mean, there's not a huge
- 2:05:03Speaker 1: difference when it's basically a pick the winner price, but
- 2:05:05Speaker 1: they have flipped to one point favorite. I saw plus
- 2:05:08Speaker 1: ones out there a little while ago. Uh, you could
- 2:05:11Speaker 1: probably get a pick them at the very least on it.
- 2:05:14Speaker 1: But I like Western Michigan here. Fifty four percent tickets,
- 2:05:16Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash on them. I agree
- 2:05:19Speaker 1: with that move. No real opinion on the total in
- 2:05:22Speaker 1: this one, which is down to forty seven of though
- 2:05:24Speaker 1: more of the cash on the over sixty nine percent
- 2:05:26Speaker 1: of the cash on the over fifty seven percent of tickets. Yeah,
- 2:05:31Speaker 1: I mean again, I like Western Michigan here for a
- 2:05:34Speaker 1: couple of different reasons. Ohio looks like the better team,
- 2:05:39Speaker 1: and they have the better they have the better offense,
- 2:05:41Speaker 1: and they have the better records, So people are gonna look,
- 2:05:43Speaker 1: oh just pick the winner. Well, Ohio state six and three,
- 2:05:47Speaker 1: Western Michigan's five and four, both teams four and one
- 2:05:50Speaker 1: in the MAC and Ohio. It's kind of just they're
- 2:05:53Speaker 1: a more recognizable name right now, and they have the
- 2:05:55Speaker 1: better offense with Parker Navarro and whatever. As far as
- 2:05:59Speaker 1: the schedule, I mean, yeah, Ohio did have that win
- 2:06:01Speaker 1: over West Virginia at home. That was a big win
- 2:06:03Speaker 1: for them, which I think was better than any of
- 2:06:05Speaker 1: Western Michigan's wins. Here. Western Michigan got blown out by Illinois.
- 2:06:09Speaker 1: They played decently competitively against Michigan State, but they did
- 2:06:12Speaker 1: also play North Texas and I'll talk about that in
- 2:06:15Speaker 1: a minute. So schedule wise, I mean Ohio played Rutgers
- 2:06:19Speaker 1: pretty close and they got blown up Ohio State. But
- 2:06:22Speaker 1: the schedules are pretty comparable in difficulty, I would say.
- 2:06:26Speaker 1: But when you look at the schedule here a little
- 2:06:28Speaker 1: bit more in detail. First of all, Ohio is already
- 2:06:31Speaker 1: Bowl eligible, but I know that their goal is to
- 2:06:34Speaker 1: make the conference championship here, that make the MAC Championship
- 2:06:37Speaker 1: because they're like always in the mix for it, and
- 2:06:38Speaker 1: I think they won it last year. But that means
- 2:06:42Speaker 1: there's a target on their back because they're always there
- 2:06:44Speaker 1: and they won it last year. They are Bowl eligible,
- 2:06:47Speaker 1: so that is another one of their goals that they
- 2:06:49Speaker 1: did accomplish again here, so they will be in a bowl.
- 2:06:53Speaker 1: They played on Tuesdays, they have normal rest here, but
- 2:06:56Speaker 1: they got a win over Miami Ohio. That was a
- 2:06:58Speaker 1: big win, dude, because I mean that's a big rivalry
- 2:07:01Speaker 1: between Miami Ohio and Ohio. Miami Ohio, I believe, was
- 2:07:05Speaker 1: undefeated in the MAC and Ohio beat them so to
- 2:07:09Speaker 1: knock them down a little bit. We know the top
- 2:07:10Speaker 1: two teams are going to be in the conference championship,
- 2:07:13Speaker 1: and right now Ohio, Miami Ohio, Buffalo, and Western Michigan
- 2:07:17Speaker 1: are all four and one, so they're all in the
- 2:07:19Speaker 1: mix right now. Man probably gonna be some combination of
- 2:07:22Speaker 1: any of those of two of any of those teams.
- 2:07:25Speaker 1: But this is a big win for Ohio. Man over
- 2:07:27Speaker 1: over Miami Ohio always a big rivalry. I know Miami
- 2:07:31Speaker 1: Miami Ohio was trying to get revenge for getting blown
- 2:07:33Speaker 1: up by Ohio and the conference championship last year, so
- 2:07:36Speaker 1: I kind of leaned that way in this game. They
- 2:07:38Speaker 1: were not able to do it. I was a close game.
- 2:07:41Speaker 1: The stats kind of bear out the same thing that
- 2:07:43Speaker 1: the score makes it look like. So yeah, I mean
- 2:07:48Speaker 1: that's what it is. Ohio does not have any look
- 2:07:50Speaker 1: ahead though I think they actually play UMass next, I think,
- 2:07:53Speaker 1: so it's not really a look ahead but Ohio if
- 2:07:57Speaker 1: you look at what they've done on the road, though
- 2:07:59Speaker 1: it has not been impressive, and they're on the road now.
- 2:08:02Speaker 1: They played well at Rutgers early in the season on
- 2:08:05Speaker 1: the road, but Rutgers just hasn't been very good. And
- 2:08:07Speaker 1: since then, Yeah, they got blown up by Ohio State.
- 2:08:09Speaker 1: I mean, that's expected, but their other road games were
- 2:08:12Speaker 1: lost to Ball State, which is a pretty bad indicator.
- 2:08:15Speaker 1: Ball State is bad, although they're actually I mean, they
- 2:08:19Speaker 1: actually have kind of a mediocre record, but I don't
- 2:08:21Speaker 1: think they're good. Ohio was a fourteen and a half
- 2:08:23Speaker 1: point favored in this game and they lost the game outright.
- 2:08:26Speaker 1: That's not a great sign, and it was not really
- 2:08:28Speaker 1: misleading as ball State actually outgained them in the game
- 2:08:31Speaker 1: by one yard, so they actually got outplayed, So that's
- 2:08:34Speaker 1: not a good sign. And then the most recent road
- 2:08:37Speaker 1: game they got a win over Eastern Michigan. There you go,
- 2:08:40Speaker 1: Noah Kaniga, our guy Eastern Michigan. But Eastern Michigan is
- 2:08:44Speaker 1: one of the bottom teams in the MAC. I mean,
- 2:08:46Speaker 1: they were quite bad and Ohio was a thirteen half
- 2:08:50Speaker 1: point favor which, interestingly, by the way, that line is
- 2:08:52Speaker 1: actually telling you Ball State is actually worse than Eastern
- 2:08:55Speaker 1: Michigan despite what the records are telling you. But Ohio
- 2:08:59Speaker 1: in this game, they didn't do in this game either.
- 2:09:00Speaker 1: They only won by seven and if you look at
- 2:09:03Speaker 1: this game, I know Ohio State did play better than that,
- 2:09:07Speaker 1: they outgained Eastern Michigan by over one hundred yards, lost
- 2:09:11Speaker 1: the turnover battle. They did beat them in possession in
- 2:09:14Speaker 1: it first down, so they did outplay them, but still
- 2:09:17Speaker 1: it wasn't a great performance to them. So Ohio, I mean,
- 2:09:19Speaker 1: they're not that great on the road. They're one and
- 2:09:22Speaker 1: three on the road, one and one in conference on
- 2:09:24Speaker 1: the road. They haven't even been good as a favorite
- 2:09:26Speaker 1: on the road. And this is the first time in
- 2:09:28Speaker 1: conference that they're gonna actually be a road underdog, So
- 2:09:32Speaker 1: that's a little bit of a different scenario. Western Michigan.
- 2:09:37Speaker 1: They actually have extra rest because they didn't played in
- 2:09:39Speaker 1: the middle of the week last week. They actually played
- 2:09:41Speaker 1: on Saturday, November first, so they have extra rest. I
- 2:09:44Speaker 1: don't think it'll hurt their momentum. They did have a
- 2:09:47Speaker 1: big win ish over Central Michigan. I mean, the Michigan
- 2:09:50Speaker 1: teams always get up to play each other, but and
- 2:09:53Speaker 1: Central Michigan is kind of still in the mix in
- 2:09:55Speaker 1: this conference. But with extra rest, you know they're gonna
- 2:09:58Speaker 1: be focused on this game on Ohio at home home
- 2:10:00Speaker 1: on ESPN too. And by the way, this is the
- 2:10:02Speaker 1: first time they've hosted a primetime game all season, so
- 2:10:06Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get up for it. They play
- 2:10:08Speaker 1: it on the road in a primetime game on Friday.
- 2:10:10Speaker 1: It's Michigan State, but this is a very isolated primetime game.
- 2:10:12Speaker 1: It's the better of the two games tonight, so I
- 2:10:15Speaker 1: think they're gonna step it up for that reason. But
- 2:10:16Speaker 1: not only that, but it is Senior Night for Western Michigan.
- 2:10:20Speaker 1: The remaining two games are both on the road, so
- 2:10:24Speaker 1: I think they're gonna step it up for that reason.
- 2:10:26Speaker 1: And they still need a six win to become Bowl eligible.
- 2:10:29Speaker 1: I mean, they're used to being in bowls, although I
- 2:10:31Speaker 1: don't know if they missed the bowl season last year. No,
- 2:10:34Speaker 1: they were in the Bowl the Salute to Veterans Ball.
- 2:10:37Speaker 1: But even so, being Bowl eligible is like one of
- 2:10:40Speaker 1: their main goals this year, and they could get it
- 2:10:42Speaker 1: done tonight with a win here, so I think they're
- 2:10:45Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit extra motivated for that reason.
- 2:10:47Speaker 1: Don't know if their guys are seniors year. Their quarterback
- 2:10:51Speaker 1: is only a sophomore, Brock Lowry, but still Senior Night
- 2:10:54Speaker 1: is always a game where the teams get up for it,
- 2:10:56Speaker 1: so I think that's gonna be an extra motivating factor
- 2:10:58Speaker 1: as well. And by the way, Western Michigan at home
- 2:11:02Speaker 1: they've been good against like everybody they've played at home.
- 2:11:05Speaker 1: They played North Texas into overtime at home as twelve
- 2:11:08Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs. So whereas you have Ohio
- 2:11:11Speaker 1: has actually been bad as a road favorite of double digits,
- 2:11:15Speaker 1: Western Michigan has actually been good as a home underdog
- 2:11:17Speaker 1: of double digits. And now Western Michigan is a small favorite.
- 2:11:20Speaker 1: I know it's a different role, but even so, Western
- 2:11:23Speaker 1: Michigan took this North Texas team that we know is
- 2:11:26Speaker 1: a really good offense and they're kind of pushing to
- 2:11:28Speaker 1: even maybe maybe even be in like the postseason. And
- 2:11:34Speaker 1: I don't mean the just getting into a bowl, because
- 2:11:37Speaker 1: of course North Texas would be in a bowl, but
- 2:11:38Speaker 1: I mean like the playoff, which is crazy playoffs. So
- 2:11:42Speaker 1: this is a really really good result for Western Michigan,
- 2:11:44Speaker 1: only losing that game by three points in overtime. They
- 2:11:48Speaker 1: got out game by one hundred yards, but it's still
- 2:11:50Speaker 1: impressive that they were able to do that. And then
- 2:11:53Speaker 1: there are other home games they beat Toledo. Toledo is
- 2:11:56Speaker 1: still a pretty solid team, even though the record doesn't
- 2:11:58Speaker 1: look that good this year. Toledo is still a good team.
- 2:12:01Speaker 1: And Western Michigan was a double digit underdog in that
- 2:12:03Speaker 1: game too. So we have two games where Ohio was
- 2:12:10Speaker 1: a double digit road favorite, and we have two games
- 2:12:12Speaker 1: with Western Michigan was a double digit road underdog and
- 2:12:15Speaker 1: both results all the results win against Ohio and towards
- 2:12:19Speaker 1: Western Michigan. So just something to keep in mind. Western
- 2:12:22Speaker 1: Michigan was able to win that game against Toledo at home.
- 2:12:26Speaker 1: I wasn't misleading though on the yardage no. I mean
- 2:12:29Speaker 1: Western Michigan outgained Toledo in the game, so I was
- 2:12:32Speaker 1: kind of a sloppy game. Both teams of turnovers, but
- 2:12:35Speaker 1: the end result was not misleading as far as the stats.
- 2:12:39Speaker 1: And then they won their other home games. They beat
- 2:12:41Speaker 1: Rhode Island whatever, that's an FCS team, but they beat
- 2:12:43Speaker 1: them handily. They beat ball State forty two to nothing,
- 2:12:47Speaker 1: so a lot different from the ball State result that
- 2:12:50Speaker 1: Ohio had. Although I know that's not really good. That's
- 2:12:52Speaker 1: not really a thing that you want to look at, like,
- 2:12:54Speaker 1: oh Western Michigan destroyed ball State, who beat Ohio, So
- 2:12:58Speaker 1: that means Western Michigan should win this game. You know,
- 2:13:00Speaker 1: I want to do that type of handicapping, But you
- 2:13:02Speaker 1: could do it with the more recent game against Miami
- 2:13:04Speaker 1: Ohio too. You could be like, well, Ohio just beat
- 2:13:06Speaker 1: Miami Ohio and Miami Ohio beat Western Michigan at Miami Ohio,
- 2:13:11Speaker 1: so that means that Ohio should win this game. So
- 2:13:13Speaker 1: you could do it both ways. Whatever. And then Western
- 2:13:16Speaker 1: Michigan did get that win over Central Michigan in their
- 2:13:18Speaker 1: last home game. Although it was a close game and
- 2:13:21Speaker 1: Western Michigan was a five and a half point favors,
- 2:13:23Speaker 1: they probably could have won this game more easily than
- 2:13:26Speaker 1: they did. They outgained Central Michigan by close to one
- 2:13:29Speaker 1: hundred yards in the game, they outfirst down them twenty
- 2:13:32Speaker 1: three to thirteen, and out possessed them by like seven minutes.
- 2:13:34Speaker 1: So kind of a misleading result there. That looks like
- 2:13:37Speaker 1: Western Michigan outstated them more than that. I'm going into
- 2:13:41Speaker 1: too much detail maybe here, But yeah, let's go with
- 2:13:43Speaker 1: the Western Michigan here. We'll agree with the market in
- 2:13:45Speaker 1: that one. That'll be a play for me. I might
- 2:13:47Speaker 1: throw it into one of my money college pools here.
- 2:13:50Speaker 1: I like it. I think one of them has the
- 2:13:53Speaker 1: lower conferences available and one doesn't. On splash Sports, so
- 2:13:56Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Man ridiculously long video college basketball season.
- 2:14:01Speaker 1: I gotta figure out a way to not do that
- 2:14:03Speaker 1: college basketball. Maybe I'll do night videos when we have
- 2:14:07Speaker 1: a big slate coming up. We'll see. But once again,
- 2:14:10Speaker 1: our plays today are in college basketball. Have it minus
- 2:14:13Speaker 1: the points, minus the four and a half, although I
- 2:14:15Speaker 1: think it's already gone up to close to six, but
- 2:14:18Speaker 1: I would probably still do it, maybe for a little
- 2:14:20Speaker 1: bit less money, but as long as it's below seven,
- 2:14:22Speaker 1: I don't think it's that bad. Illinois minus the points. Hockey,
- 2:14:26Speaker 1: we're gonna make your own plus one puck line on
- 2:14:28Speaker 1: the Washington Capitals in playoff revenge and in the maction,
- 2:14:32Speaker 1: we're gonna go with Western Michigan, although I'm wearing one
- 2:14:34Speaker 1: of their rival Eastern Michigan's get ups here. But that's
- 2:14:38Speaker 1: gonna do it. Have a good one today, guys. Learn
- 2:14:41Speaker 1: it towe and on Twitter, and learn it tone on Instagram.
- 2:14:43Speaker 1: I hope you guys like the new branding here, even
- 2:14:45Speaker 1: though it's less bright. Yeah, I mean, like, subscribe to
- 2:14:49Speaker 1: the channel here, leave me good comments, whatever, give me
- 2:14:51Speaker 1: the feedback on what you think about the branding. The show.
- 2:14:54Speaker 1: I want to have some more like funny drops and stuff.
- 2:14:57Speaker 1: Like I said, So I'll start maybe trying to prepare
- 2:14:59Speaker 1: some of those clips that I can add here. What
- 2:15:03Speaker 1: else is I gonna say? Oh, I'm on audio Spotify
- 2:15:06Speaker 1: and Apple give me a good review over there. That
- 2:15:08Speaker 1: helps me out as well. Listening helps me out there
- 2:15:10Speaker 1: as well. Covered in yuke my yup channel, which I
- 2:15:13Speaker 1: do have at least. I think one more thing I
- 2:15:15Speaker 1: gotta get up there. Maybe maybe I don't, but I
- 2:15:17Speaker 1: do have to update the Spotify or the Patreon feed.
- 2:15:20Speaker 1: Excuse me, the Spotify Patreon feed, Patreon dot com silas
- 2:15:23Speaker 1: learn to toe and you can get bonus content. It's
- 2:15:25Speaker 1: just a Spotify yuke feed right now and yuke requests.
- 2:15:30Speaker 1: So I have to come up with some more stuff
- 2:15:32Speaker 1: for that. But I gotta eat some lunch too. Man.
- 2:15:35Speaker 1: Maybe it'll be a micrib because the McRib is back.
- 2:15:37Speaker 1: I don't know. Should I be unhealthy on a Tuesday,
- 2:15:40Speaker 1: We'll see, but that's gonna do it. Let's get some
- 2:15:42Speaker 1: wins today, mail, Let's enjoy I love college basketball, so
- 2:15:46Speaker 1: let's enjoy that. I I like watching it as well,
- 2:15:49Speaker 1: so I believe it or not, so I think it's
- 2:15:51Speaker 1: real fun I love March madness. Maybe I'll start doing
- 2:15:54Speaker 1: bracketology videos. Maybe I'll pay well some of that, the
- 2:15:57Speaker 1: bracketologies and the bracket specials and stuff. I don't know.
- 2:16:00Speaker 1: I mean, this is I mean, I've been hot though,
- 2:16:02Speaker 1: so maybe this stuff should start getting paiwalled, But I
- 2:16:05Speaker 1: just like doing it. Man, let's bounce back today. Have
- 2:16:09Speaker 1: a good one piece, guys,