Latest / The Curve / What Olivia Dean reveals about the music economy.
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to the Curve Weekly, where we read the finance news you don't have to.
- 0:04I'm Vic Harris, I'm a finance professional and have made a career out of making money
- 0:08for other people.
- 0:09And I'm Sophie Hallwright, I'm an XTV radio music industry producer and I was just really
- 0:14sick and tired of not knowing anything about the economy or money, so we made this podcast.
- 0:19We are also joined by our producer Emily Rigby and our social media manager Lucy Monroe,
- 0:23who we're doing, all the hard work behind the scenes to make this show possible.
- 0:26In today's episode, we have both been to see Olivia Dane, the amazing, amazing artist,
- 0:32and naturally we're breaking down her business model.
- 0:34Is it her billion dollars of streams?
- 0:36Is it her sold-out shows?
- 0:38Is it her endorsements that make it the most money?
- 0:40We break it all down.
- 0:41Next up, the London Marathon has brought in a record amount of money into the UK economy.
- 0:46London and the UK used to be one of the financial hubs of the world, if not the financial hub,
- 0:51but things are not looking very shiny at the moment.
- 0:53So we're going to look into what does this mean for your investments and your wallets.
- 0:56It's also a reporting season, which means some of the biggest companies on the earth are
- 1:01delivering up their report cards and most of them are terrifyingly good.
- 1:05We're doing a quick fire round on what this tells us about AI, your daily habits, and
- 1:09the future of bi-singentech.
- 1:11There is a cool girl at Felicia Brand that you may know, in fact, you definitely will know.
- 1:15It's underperformed by about 80% and there is a lot of drama going on behind the scenes
- 1:20in terms of who should lead the company, what direction they could go in.
- 1:23So we're diving into what happens when a brand loses its cool, the board starts fighting,
- 1:27and the new person being brought in comes straight into the drama.
- 1:30Before we dive in, absolutely no personal chat.
- 1:33We go straight into our favourite girl, Olivia Dean.
- 1:38I woke up so excited this morning.
- 1:42Nice.
- 1:43I am going to my favourite artist, Olivia Dean.
- 1:47I wish I knew her middle name, or would have used her full name.
- 1:49I went on Wednesday.
- 1:50Did you?
- 1:51It was.
- 1:52So good.
- 1:53Really?
- 1:54Okay.
- 1:55I felt like I was watching Tina Turner or Diana Ross before they become, well she's already
- 2:01incredibly famous.
- 2:02But you know, I was like, this is someone that's going to be around for a long time.
- 2:07And just knowing every single song, I was like, really need to go to a toilet and I was
- 2:10like, you know what?
- 2:11I just can't.
- 2:12I just can't.
- 2:13I'm in a pump of squat.
- 2:14Right here.
- 2:15But no, it was incredible.
- 2:17I came home and I was like, gosh, I wonder how much she makes.
- 2:20Because she sold out three O2 arenas, which are Londoners like, you know, a massive, massive
- 2:24iconic arena.
- 2:25And how big is O2?
- 2:27Because that was where we went for Tina Swift.
- 2:2922,000.
- 2:30Quite people.
- 2:31Lot, isn't it?
- 2:32Can I say before we move on to the stats and finances of this, which I'm quite excited
- 2:37to look into?
- 2:38I love.
- 2:39And I've tried Purbe's flight and not engaged with the social media post, because I want
- 2:43to be surprised.
- 2:44I'm going to be like, I've seen that on Instagram.
- 2:47But the tiny snippet that I saw, she's wearing this big, beautiful white skirt or something.
- 2:52And I just thought, it's so nice to see an artist wearing beautiful clothing that's
- 2:58on tacky, but still quite big and performative and looks good on stage, because I feel like
- 3:03her styling is quite cool.
- 3:05It's not like tacky and girly.
- 3:06It's all pretty.
- 3:07Right.
- 3:08Like it's all, because she was like, jeans and sneakers, when she first released her first
- 3:14album.
- 3:15And now, she's had like a mess of glass, like she's always been stunning, but like in terms
- 3:20of her fashion, like the fan that does her hair when she performs, you know, like all
- 3:25of that.
- 3:26Even like, do a leaper or Taylor Swift, you look at their outfits.
- 3:30And it's for do a leaper, you kind of like, I'm a bit disappointed that that's your stage
- 3:34outfit, because you have impeccable cool style in real life, but then as soon as you're
- 3:39on stage, you kind of look like you're wearing one piece glitter.
- 3:42Yeah.
- 3:43And it looks like in that tiny, stiff, and I sort of Olivia Dane that her outfits are
- 3:48beautiful clothes that she wore a beckon bridge dress or something when she did Australian
- 3:55to her, and it sold out 10 times over of course it says, yeah, I mean, she is a walking.
- 4:01I was going to say, hang on, which is not what I mean, but you would see her in the outfit
- 4:04and think, how gutted would you be if she, well, you'd be stoked if she wore your label,
- 4:08but then you'd be gutted that you didn't like stock more and then you sold out, you'd
- 4:12be like, that's even for beckon bridge, the fact that yes, like maybe that style sold
- 4:17out, but probably a lot of people would never heard of beckon bridge until that point.
- 4:20Totally.
- 4:21And it's also like people into your, onto your website, right, onto your, yeah.
- 4:24But yes, we want to show deep dive on her because there's a lot going on behind the scenes
- 4:29and I love that this is a story we're going to talk about because it's not the kind of
- 4:32thing that you would see in the news or headlines, but I'm assuming you're watching the show
- 4:36thinking, hmm, yeah, I was just like, there's been a lot of artists that have been touring
- 4:40lately. I was like, how much do they get from touring, like who owns them, like all of
- 4:44this, and she's sexually assigned to universal music, which we also spoke about the other
- 4:50week.
- 4:51And I can't remember why.
- 4:52Oh my god.
- 4:53My brain is turning on.
- 4:54Oh no, we spoke about it because there's someone trying to take it over private equity
- 4:56that raised a guy.
- 4:57Yeah.
- 4:58And it's trying to get, um, Bill.
- 4:59Bill.
- 5:00One of the two.
- 5:01One of the, yeah.
- 5:02It's definitely not Mary or Jane.
- 5:03You're like, did you know Mary was actually one of the top names for like 2025 or something?
- 5:08It's not true.
- 5:09I was like, I need to send this to someone.
- 5:11It's because you mention it in every podcast, but anyone that's new here, the old geez will
- 5:17get it, but, but every time you try something, it's an example of something, so it might
- 5:21be.
- 5:22Mary goes to the shop, but every name she uses happens to be Mary.
- 5:25Anyway, she's owned by universal music.
- 5:28She's also huge on all the streaming platforms.
- 5:30She, man I need, has had over a week to hear this live.
- 5:35Did you cry any of the songs?
- 5:37I did.
- 5:38There was, yeah.
- 5:39There's a few night.
- 5:40Yeah, yeah.
- 5:41All the way through.
- 5:42No, I didn't cry.
- 5:43I was like, decked out in the show.
- 5:44I was like, come here.
- 5:45Why did you buy?
- 5:46I got a t-shirt and a hat.
- 5:47Oh, look, it stopped.
- 5:48You did.
- 5:49That's so funny.
- 5:50I don't such a wiser money.
- 5:51Sorry.
- 5:52Uh, do as I say, not a load, though.
- 5:53But she's had a billion streams on Man I Need, which is wild, like a billion, a billion
- 6:02people have listened to that song.
- 6:04And so I was like, well, I wonder how much they get.
- 6:06Because I know they get very little from those streams, but they get 0.003 to 5 cents per
- 6:13stream.
- 6:14So, yeah, a billion streams is like three to five million dollars, which is still nothing
- 6:17though for how many people have listened.
- 6:19And how few artists would get to a billion?
- 6:22Like Spotify must just be like a bit of a, like, cream on the top kind of thing.
- 6:26Yeah.
- 6:27I mean, I think that's the point, right?
- 6:28It's almost it creates the fandom or the people that listen, but it's absolutely not
- 6:32the only money that anyone can.
- 6:35And that, that three to five million is shared between the label, the distributor, publisher,
- 6:39Trump.
- 6:40Like there's so many people in that food chain that get Olivia Daniel any other artists to where
- 6:44they are.
- 6:45And then I was looking at her income.
- 6:46And I was like, well, you know, how much does she make from touring?
- 6:4940% is from royalties and streaming.
- 6:51Oh, yeah.
- 6:52So majority.
- 6:53I would have thought.
- 6:54And then 30% from touring.
- 6:56Because again, I think we're touring.
- 6:57There's so much cost, right?
- 6:59You have to have that stuff production like, yeah.
- 7:02And then 20% from endorsements like Chanel and stuff.
- 7:05Because she's obviously the face of a lot of brands now.
- 7:08I'm so shocked by that because I was looking at how much she was like earning per show.
- 7:14And she's doing, I think, 50, 52 nights, which is like 1.3 million pounds per show.
- 7:22When I saw that, I thought, oh, well, obviously the biggest money make of her must be touring.
- 7:28It's wild that it's not.
- 7:29Well, it's, yeah.
- 7:30You only get about 10 to 20% of your tour profit, like profit, and she goes to the artist.
- 7:37Because I was thinking, one nearly 1.5 million pounds per show, what a day rate.
- 7:42You know, I was thinking.
- 7:43But like, earning from her, she goes up, she sings her 20 songs and she gets nearly 1.5 million.
- 7:49Obviously not.
- 7:50Yeah.
- 7:51But you think like, yeah, what goes into her tour.
- 7:53And then you look at Justin Bieber and he got 10 million for two weekends.
- 7:57You know, and she's doing like 50 two shows.
- 8:00Like even though that's a lot.
- 8:01Yeah, but this is why so many artists are touring because it is a good money maker.
- 8:05You know, like Spotify's so crowded now, the discoverability and like trying to get through so much of the noise of like so many artists on there.
- 8:13One of the things that I thought was quite interesting when looking at her financials and the idea of being with universal music.
- 8:20I don't know how people will feel about this because I also, I think there's still this underlying
- 8:26the record labels do others dirty or their big dirty awful men that are like,
- 8:32take all the money from our beautiful artists.
- 8:34I feel like there's still that.
- 8:35What was that movie?
- 8:36And they were like, it was a honey?
- 8:37No.
- 8:38Oh, I loved that film.
- 8:39I know.
- 8:40That song, I believe, was kind of my like amp up song as a teenager whenever I was feeling nervous for an exam.
- 8:45I'd be like, I believe.
- 8:47Yeah, anyway, I am so embarrassing.
- 8:49My sister actually brought that up the other day in front of someone I was quite mortified.
- 8:54Like I would sit in my room listening like crying, but like you've got it.
- 8:57How many like 90s movies were there like that though?
- 9:00Like so many.
- 9:01And like all of them just popped off.
- 9:03Yeah.
- 9:04But I was thinking do our listeners or do people feel like they would want or be excited by the idea of being invested in the artist?
- 9:12Because obviously as a fan you can buy a ticket, you can buy merch, which is giving the artist money.
- 9:18But if you invest in universal, you technically could own part of Taylor Swift, Billy Eilish, Olivia Rodrigo, Sabrina Carpenter,
- 9:28some people run like when you're going to a concert, you can be like, well, it's not all, you know, the money that I've spent on this concert is actually coming back into my pocket a little bit.
- 9:36Do you know what I mean?
- 9:37If you invested in universal music, literally I was looking at all of the artists that are under that umbrella.
- 9:43It's kind of most of the music artists that are like Lady Gaga.
- 9:47Do people feel like if they're invested in a label, they can then feel excited about an investment?
- 9:54Because I think there's this disconnect between, okay, I'm investing in, I don't know, the S&P 500 or whatever.
- 10:02And you know, we always talk about investing things that you know or like or love.
- 10:06Maybe just like flipping the switch and thinking, if you love artists, you could look at all of the different record labels and how much they make.
- 10:14And you could actually invest in them if you wanted to.
- 10:16Yeah. And then, yeah, when you're deciding to go to a concert, if you're going to go to Taylor Swift or, I don't know, Bad Bunny, you'll be like, well, I've got to tell us what because the money's going to come back into my pocket eventually.
- 10:26Yeah. I mean, I'd love to do a deeper dive on this at some stage because I think then there's a huge narrative around women, particularly in pop, pushing forward culturally, but also financially.
- 10:39Like, I could be maybe seeing this with just a feminist lens for the sake of it, but when I look at what's happening in the music industry and you know, you see headlines like in 2024, women were like absolutely dominating Billboard 100.
- 10:54Like there was mostly women pop songs that were top rating. And then you think, okay, so all of these artists that are killing it, often a woman.
- 11:05And then they're going and doing shows like we spoke ages ago about Taylor Swift and her like, was it two billion or something she made on her tour.
- 11:12Like it was crazy. Yeah. And what that did to the economy around the world with people going and spending on hotels and blah, blah.
- 11:18And it'd be quite interesting to do a deep dive on women in the music industry in general, because I do feel like there's something interesting in the angle of they're bringing all this money into this asset that is music.
- 11:32But underlying people who own the record labels or pulling the strings are often men, you know, like all of the CEOs of these businesses are all men, except the people that are making them the most money are female artists.
- 11:45Which is why the more women invest and the more women invest in the likes of universal music, the more women own universal music.
- 11:53Because there's a shareholder you own the business. Therefore, you can decide who runs the business. So it's like if there's, you know, a CEO or that you don't agree with or that you want in the business that you run.
- 12:05Yeah, the more that you are, the more that you have a say in her business. So yeah.
- 12:08I was just thinking general this whole conversation, which we've now had a few times with, yeah, with the idea of I think because you were talking about universal being taken over by a new private equity company.
- 12:17And we spoke about that a few weeks ago, a few mister in the curve weekly, but I think there is like kind of this big movement happening within people seeing music and the music industry as a really valuable investment.
- 12:28And it's interesting because I love it because I love music and I'm also love pop and I love artists like this that are owned by big record companies.
- 12:36And I don't know, I feel like there's something in it particularly for people that feel kind of unexcited by stock investing.
- 12:42Yes, because it's not tangible. It's not exciting. But if you feel like, well, I'm invested in all my favorite artists, that's kind of fun.
- 12:48Yeah.
- 12:49And when you listen to it and you know, you've got a stream and you think, okay, part of this is going to my investments in universal politics going to my artists that I love.
- 12:57It's like with everything, right? Like even if you owned a car brand, then you're more unlikely to buy, you're more likely to buy that brand of car.
- 13:05As a consumer and support it because you're like, well, I've got a vested interest in this being successful.
- 13:10Even clothing brands, you know, as a, yeah, you become a bit more of a invested consumer as well.
- 13:17Yes. Because the more purchases of something, better that stock is going to do.
- 13:21Yeah. Yeah, love that.
- 13:23Ah, the UK. I feel like we're in a sinking ship, aren't we?
- 13:31I mean, I want to instill some positivity for people out there, positivity, some positivity for Brits out there.
- 13:39But honestly, really struggling to find some positive headlines about the UK at the moment.
- 13:43Really?
- 13:44Yeah. Sorry guys.
- 13:46So if anyone that's not in the UK or hasn't seen stuff on social media, the London marathon is this massive event that happens every year,
- 13:54huge amount of money's raised will get into the stats and stuff in a second.
- 13:58But I didn't go to this and I am really gutted. Everyone says it's the best part of humanity.
- 14:04You go there and people are just cheering on strangers and people are crying and like there's just like a lot of love there.
- 14:11It sounds like the airport scene of love actually.
- 14:14Yeah. Oh, I saw this video of this guy standing on one side of the train waiting for the team to get the tube.
- 14:21And there was like a sea of people on the other side.
- 14:23And he was wearing his medal and the whole other side of the platform just starts.
- 14:27No way.
- 14:28Do you know this is a controversial opinion?
- 14:32But I feel like doing the marathon now has become so normal.
- 14:37Like I went and bought groceries that I realized it is enormously.
- 14:42I need to do one.
- 14:43No, no.
- 14:44No, absolutely not.
- 14:45And I think I wouldn't because so many people do them now that I don't feel like I've got to get the credit that I would want.
- 14:50I know it's like, because it's like, oh, you ran the marathon.
- 14:52Cool.
- 14:53I know 500 people have done a podcast.
- 14:55Oh, cool.
- 14:56I mean, I love it.
- 14:57It's like so unoriginal, which is so shit to say.
- 15:00And this is one of my favorite stats.
- 15:02You have a sorry show with you, but I was saying this to our team off my last week.
- 15:07And I thought, okay, and I think I've definitely told you this before.
- 15:11But running a marathon is actually like it started because someone ran to deliver a message that they absolutely had.
- 15:20It was some really important message.
- 15:22I probably need that part of the story to make it a bit more of like a well moment.
- 15:25But basically this person who I think was a guy ran with this know for 42 kilometers, delivered the know and then died.
- 15:33And that's where the marathon came from in terms of it being called that.
- 15:36So obviously it's a really far way to run and huge stress on your body.
- 15:42But now that everyone's doing it, I'm just to put like, oh God, now it feels like not a big deal.
- 15:46Congrats to anyone who has run a marathon.
- 15:48I mean, the training, the mental fitness that goes into it, the like physical fitness.
- 15:52Yeah, I can't even you need some really good playlists, you know, universal must be killing it online.
- 15:58So would you say that because apparently not listening to music because the atmosphere is so encouraging and amazing that people don't have ear pods in.
- 16:05Which I just thought, oh God, I feel like I would be backing the train with the loudest Justin Bieber playing.
- 16:10And then I get to a point where there isn't spectators.
- 16:13I'm not going to keep going.
- 16:17But anyway, yes, I looked into the numbers.
- 16:20Funny that the London marathon is, it's the world's biggest marathon, which is crazy.
- 16:26I was like, what about the New York marathon, Boston marathon?
- 16:28No, there is nearly 67,000 people that run that ran the marathon in 2026, 800,000 spectators.
- 16:37Nearly 100 million pounds is raised for charities.
- 16:43That's so impressive.
- 16:45And there was about a 400 million pound economic boost to the area from restaurants, from people coming into London to view it.
- 16:52A combination like all of that.
- 16:54400 millions a lot.
- 16:56It is a big money maker for London, not just a marathon run.
- 17:02It's so interesting, this idea of cultural moments or events, whether it's a festival, whether it's Coachella, whether it's Glaston River, it's London marathon.
- 17:11I never really thought of those as opportunities to make money.
- 17:14I know that sounds like a weird thing to say, but I met someone recently who's been trying to get a new festival off the ground and trying to get investors for it.
- 17:22And we knew then here the stats of how much.
- 17:25I think it was a $17 million profit we spoke about with Coachella, and it's privately owned business.
- 17:31There's so much money to be made in creating events and moments for communities to participate in something.
- 17:38It's not just a cool event.
- 17:40There's a lot of financial upside.
- 17:43That's why a lot of countries bid for bigger events, right?
- 17:48It's going to cost us $2 billion, but we're going to get $5 billion out of it for the economy.
- 17:55You always think of it as a return on investment.
- 17:58Did you see even Nike did the whole advertising campaign run on the marathon?
- 18:02No, I didn't.
- 18:03It was quite bad.
- 18:05It was like this big billboard, and it's like, runners welcomed, walkers tolerated.
- 18:11And it got ridiculed.
- 18:14And it was like a few weeks leading up to the marathon.
- 18:17I just don't understand how shit like this gets through a marketing team that bad.
- 18:20But I'm also like, we're talking about it.
- 18:22True.
- 18:23Maybe they were like, do you know what?
- 18:24Who cares?
- 18:25It's controversial, but let's put it out there.
- 18:27Yeah, you're right.
- 18:28Maybe it is the most genius thing ever.
- 18:30Yeah.
- 18:31London marathon.
- 18:32We should do it next year.
- 18:33Oh, there's no way.
- 18:34Also, I would be walking, I'd be walking for sure.
- 18:37I'm ready to half marathon, and I'd never run more than five Ks.
- 18:40And it was the night before, and I was like, should I do it?
- 18:42I'm like, how can I do it?
- 18:43Just put one foot in front of the other.
- 18:45It's so classic, Victoria.
- 18:46Honestly.
- 18:47It makes the I reckon like three weeks after, like my hips were fucked up.
- 18:50It was just bad.
- 18:51Every, I don't know.
- 18:52I reckon it was, yeah, I was just like, you idiot.
- 18:54Why do you think that you would just say, been in the knee running?
- 18:56Can you say, been a marathon?
- 18:57Anyway, that's probably the most positive news he had lying out of the UK at the moment.
- 19:01I love it.
- 19:02Yes.
- 19:03So we'll start with the good.
- 19:04And yeah, the UK is really struggling at the moment.
- 19:06And it's a combination of a lot of things.
- 19:08But one of the headlines is that we've had an increase in taxes this year.
- 19:12And so now the taxes in the UK have risen the most in any other country,
- 19:15any other developed country.
- 19:17So they rose about two and a half percent last year.
- 19:21So we're now at about 32% is what the average person is paying in the UK on tax.
- 19:27So let's say you earned £100, £30 of that on average is going to the government attacks.
- 19:32Yeah.
- 19:33Last year was one of the biggest jumps in developed countries around the world.
- 19:36And that's a combination of national insurance has gone up in the UK.
- 19:41National insurance is like superannuation.
- 19:43So that's what you put into a big, big, big pot for the whole country so that if people
- 19:47retire with no retirement savings, there is a little bit of a buffer.
- 19:52It's tiny, but it's like that's kind of the base that the government will pay you
- 19:56about your pension, state pension essentially.
- 19:58So that went up massively last year.
- 20:01Also we spoke about this of the fiscal drag.
- 20:07So behind the scenes something happened in the UK and like all this tax business was happening.
- 20:12And we were trying to understand as a team what was going on.
- 20:16And the word fiscal drag kept getting thrown around.
- 20:18And I would say four out of five of us, the only person that was going on was Vic.
- 20:22And we were, everyone was just like fiscal what?
- 20:25What the hell?
- 20:26And it was, it's essentially when the tax brackets are frozen.
- 20:30So they, like if you think about inflation, everyone's wages on average should go up in line with inflation.
- 20:36So like two to three percent a year.
- 20:39But can you explain why?
- 20:41Oh my god, we're here again.
- 20:42No, no.
- 20:43This is a sculpted history.
- 20:44Explain it again.
- 20:45Because when I first heard that I was like, I don't know what that means.
- 20:48So this is like because the cost of everything is going up, you know, two to three percent on average a year.
- 20:54That's inflation.
- 20:55Then if you want to stand still and actually still be able to afford what you can afford each year,
- 20:59then your wages should be going up at the same amount.
- 21:02Which means you stay in the same tax bracket based on what you earn.
- 21:06Well, the tax brackets then need to go up in the same way.
- 21:10Yes, because otherwise you're just naturally going up into a higher tax bracket.
- 21:14So it's kind of, oh my god, okay, I've got a good example.
- 21:16So let's say you were on 49,000 pounds and you didn't go up in line with it.
- 21:22Sorry, your salary does go up with inflation.
- 21:24So you get to 50, but the tax bracket doesn't move in line with inflation.
- 21:28You then hit a new and much bigger tax bracket.
- 21:32But you're actually kind of earning the same as what you did a year ago because you've just gone up with inflation.
- 21:36And so like your boss might be like, yep, cool.
- 21:39We're going to give you a three percent pay rise.
- 21:41That tips you into the higher tax bracket because the tax bracket hasn't moved.
- 21:44You're only taxed so that higher tax rate on the additional income that falls into that bracket.
- 21:48But still, you'd be sitting there going, cool, I've got a three percent tax.
- 21:50And you actually could be worse off.
- 21:52And it's actually no, no, you might have one percent.
- 21:54So therefore, inflation's three.
- 21:56So basically the point is it's kind of a cheeky way for governments to say that they're not raising taxes, right?
- 22:04But they actually are secretly on that.
- 22:06That's what fiscal drag is.
- 22:07Yes. And so that's how it's way more so same.
- 22:10I think we've had a lot of refining in Australia now.
- 22:14But yes, so that is also another reason why taxes, you know, the amount of people in our paying tax has gone up.
- 22:22And just saying this is also not just specific to the UK.
- 22:24Not fiscal drag or the idea of this is like something to be aware of in general because if you are tipping into a new tax bracket,
- 22:31you also could say to your employer, hey, actually don't give me that three percent.
- 22:35Like if fiscal drag is happening, whatever, and the government is not moving your tax brackets in line with inflation,
- 22:40but your salary is, you could actually say, I actually don't want to increase in line with inflation,
- 22:45because I'm going to be tax more.
- 22:46Yeah.
- 22:47Instead, could you give me this?
- 22:48Yeah, you could be like, can you, uh, in my future, or like, do you know, do it?
- 22:51Or give me a week holiday or whatever that looks like.
- 22:53Or drop down to four days a week instead of, yeah, so you could do it.
- 22:55Or pay for my, um, in shelf insurance, because it's just really important to know that it's not as black and white if you've got like a three percent pay rise.
- 23:04That, that will translate to three percent extra in your bank account.
- 23:07Just, just be aware like there is other things to consider.
- 23:10Yes.
- 23:11So yes, that's what's also happened in the UK.
- 23:13There's also inflation now as expected to be back over five percent, which as we just spoke about,
- 23:20two to three percent is pretty much the norm.
- 23:22And we are seeing this around the world because of what's going on in, um, in the Middle East.
- 23:26And the oil prices now, you know, back above kind of $126.
- 23:33I know, my God.
- 23:35But so that's, you know, a lot of countries around the world are bracing for inflation.
- 23:38We've already started seeing, started to set comes from the US.
- 23:41And the, in the UK, the thing is going to be back over five percent.
- 23:43We haven't been back there since, you know, 2023 when it was back at seven percent.
- 23:48Oh, exhausting.
- 23:49Inflation, honey, that has not fun for anyone.
- 23:51Yeah.
- 23:52And now because of that, people expecting that the UK could get into recession at the end of, end of this year.
- 23:59So there is higher taxes, higher inflation, likely sort of a recession.
- 24:04We're also seeing youth unemployment at the highest it's been in over a decade.
- 24:09And that is super dangerous because, you know, that leads to crime.
- 24:12It leads to an unmotivated workforce, you know, trying to engage those, like a younger worker,
- 24:18is really difficult once you start kind of getting into this.
- 24:21I think the thing is really hard though.
- 24:23And, you know, you, I was speaking to a friend whose partner is working at Meta in San Francisco.
- 24:29And they're cutting 20% of their stuff.
- 24:32He was basically saying, I'm actually feeling okay because I'm sort of that mid-level.
- 24:36I'm not earning outrageous amounts where they're going to try and, you know, cut me out,
- 24:40because they're going to, it's going to help their operating expenses.
- 24:43But really, the people that are going to suffer the most are new, young, grad.
- 24:48Because it's AI that's adding all their jobs.
- 24:51And so that actually is kind of terrifying.
- 24:53And there's been a raise in the minimum wage, which was in the budget in May.
- 24:58This is in the UK.
- 24:59In the UK.
- 25:00But that's also having, that's kind of having the opposite effect.
- 25:02Because, because workplaces kind of fought now to hire young staff.
- 25:06Because we've got to pay them more.
- 25:07And they've got all these others.
- 25:09So it's like, there's just a lot going on in the UK right now that is kind of hitting businesses
- 25:14and people at all different angles.
- 25:16It's actually so interesting you say that because Emily and I were talking about
- 25:19her would be so great to have a junior editor in.
- 25:21Yeah.
- 25:22And I was looking at our forecast and budget and thinking it would be so great to have, you know,
- 25:27someone to help with those edits.
- 25:29But then, and I was putting it in the contract align.
- 25:31Yeah.
- 25:32And then I was like, oh, actually, it kind of makes sense for them to actually maybe be full time.
- 25:36But then obviously because national insurance and all those things are so expensive,
- 25:39it actually kind of doesn't make sense having them in a contract role for a business does.
- 25:43But that's not great for young people trying to get jobs.
- 25:46No.
- 25:47So I don't know if there's any amazing editors that are interested in that.
- 25:50Please reach out.
- 25:51But yeah, I think this is not great.
- 25:53No, no.
- 25:54And like, just looking at, I know we talk and talk and talk about inflation.
- 25:57But I just kind of wanted to bring it back to, but a reality is that inflation is increased
- 26:02the cost of goods by 25% over the last five years.
- 26:06So that's like, if your salary, say you're on a 50,000 pound salary, and that was five years ago,
- 26:12you need to be on at least 62,500 to be standing still now.
- 26:18That's 12,500 pound increase over five years just to be standing still.
- 26:23And standing still means you're just, your salary is just increasing in line with inflation.
- 26:28And the reason that's so important is because if you are not the things that you can buy is less
- 26:35because like, you're, you know, shopping trolley of groceries now costs 25% more than it did five years ago.
- 26:43So you can no longer afford the extra milk and butter and butter.
- 26:47And you know, you can cut things out of your grocery basket or your trolley because you can't afford them.
- 26:53And the key thing here is you should be asking your boss.
- 26:59Anyone else. Make sure your salary is increasing in line with inflation.
- 27:04And the reason this is so important because if it goes up by five percent, your salary should be going up by five percent.
- 27:09It's not an increase.
- 27:10And like, we sit here and we're like, that's up five percent.
- 27:12Oh, it's up seven. It's only up two.
- 27:14But I just wanted to look at it on the broader scale.
- 27:16It's like over the last five years of us talking about this inflation is going up 25% in the UK.
- 27:21A lot of other countries are pretty similar to be honest.
- 27:23So just be aware and have those conversations with your workplace.
- 27:26Side note and maybe not a conversation for right now saying we could talk about later.
- 27:30But just the idea of the UK being in not in a great position.
- 27:33It made me think about everyone who has their pension in the FTSE 100 for example.
- 27:39So that's the top 100 companies in the UK.
- 27:42And it's one of the worst performing globally.
- 27:44If you have your pension mostly in the FTSE 100 on one side, I want to be like, move it.
- 27:51You'll get more if you're in other countries.
- 27:53But also it's this weird cycle where it almost feels like an empty restaurant that actually has really good food.
- 27:59And people just avoid it because they think, oh, well, there's no one there so it's not worth it.
- 28:03And then eventually it goes out of business.
- 28:05And that's quite scary for the UK economy.
- 28:07What's also like, if it doesn't perform well, people don't invest in it.
- 28:10Therefore companies don't IPO or they don't want to be listed on there anymore.
- 28:13So then they move to other stock exchanges and it's kind of a deep spiral.
- 28:18And we're kind of not saying that the London Stock Exchange is on a deep spiral moment.
- 28:23But it's like, South Korea's stock market has now officially taken over the UK's stock market.
- 28:27And we sit here going, we're in the financial hub of the world.
- 28:29We're like, we're really not.
- 28:31Not really. We need to move South Korea now.
- 28:33But like, it's, yeah, it's, I mean, just to play in perspective.
- 28:36Like, there's been a 30% increase in the last 10 years versus the S&P 500, which is the US top 500 companies,
- 28:44which is done over 200% is like, really not doing well.
- 28:49And it's also a function of, there is very few tech names in the UK stock market.
- 28:53Ah, that's really interesting.
- 28:55And there's obviously been the last like 10 years has been an absolute surgence in tech names.
- 29:00Yeah, the UK is more pharmaceuticals, energy, sort of like BP and shelter.
- 29:05They're doing really well.
- 29:06But yeah, over the long, over the last 10 years, it's been very tech focused.
- 29:11And that's more to the US and Asia as well.
- 29:15Yeah, you're like Samsung and all of that.
- 29:18Which actually brings us on to reporting season.
- 29:22This is a fixed favorite time of the year.
- 29:24Reporting season, think of like, you know, when you see all this corporate memes online,
- 29:28and they're like, it's Q1, it's Q2.
- 29:30It's basically the idea of the financial year is broken up into quarters.
- 29:34In the US, in the US.
- 29:36Well, kind of everywhere, it's just that it's different quarters and different parts of the world.
- 29:39And in the US, you have to report quarterly.
- 29:41And in Australia, you do it twice a year, which is actually so much better.
- 29:45Yeah.
- 29:46But basically, they have these reports where they have to put out in particular quarters to show investors
- 29:52the financial health and the future of projections.
- 29:54And it's part of being a public company, right?
- 29:56You have to disclose your financials publicly and discuss some of the investors.
- 30:00And that happens at four times a year in the US.
- 30:02And so it does lead to a bit of movement in share prices,
- 30:05because people now have more information.
- 30:07They can, you know, dissect and figure out if the company's doing well or not.
- 30:11And so Alphabet, you know, this week's a big week,
- 30:13because we've got a lot of the largest companies on the US Stock Exchange.
- 30:16So we had Alphabet.
- 30:18The issue price was up.
- 30:20This is Google for anyone.
- 30:21This is Google.
- 30:22Yeah.
- 30:23The 11th consecutive quarter revenue growth for, you know,
- 30:26a big company like Google is insane.
- 30:28They're growing 22%.
- 30:29They're growing the revenue 22%.
- 30:31But you don't see those figures in, you know, trillion dollar companies.
- 30:35No.
- 30:36The dollar value of that 22% increase is insane.
- 30:39Like, you know, like you'd see that at a smaller company
- 30:41when you're revenue's gone from one million to two million or, yeah.
- 30:44Yeah.
- 30:45It's harder to get.
- 30:46It's harder to jump in a, in a big company that's already making a lot of money to increase that,
- 30:50but even one percent's enormous.
- 30:52It's like the law of large numbers, what you call it.
- 30:55We might, as you get bigger, it's actually really hard to keep those kind of double-digit growth rates.
- 30:58But anyway, they managed to do it.
- 31:00But I just do something in that, which I think is quite a penny drop moment for me.
- 31:04That's also where you think, where that talks about the future,
- 31:08like people invest in the future that they think they're going to see.
- 31:11It's a lot harder for a company like alphabet or Google that's already enormous
- 31:14to go and then continue to do really well, because it's already done really well,
- 31:19which is why when people make a lot of money often,
- 31:21it's when they kind of make a bet on a smaller business that they think is going to be big in the future,
- 31:25because they have further to go, or it's easier to make massive gains when you're smaller,
- 31:31which I don't know if that's helpful for people,
- 31:33but it's almost like if you'd invested an alphabet 20 years ago,
- 31:37which is why it's just like, it's insane that they're still doing 22%.
- 31:42It's like, it's easier for a small company to double in size than it is.
- 31:46It's really easy for a company, but we're actually, I mean, I can't eat my words,
- 31:49because we're seeing these companies are just doubling, like it's crazy.
- 31:52It's crazy. Microsoft, this is one of the very few tech companies now
- 31:58that is actually making money off AI in terms of the public.
- 32:03Like with Google, Gemini, it's all an add-on.
- 32:06It's enhancing your stung when you're already paying
- 32:11and then all of a sudden you get it for free.
- 32:13Oh, totally, as a user, you're like, yeah.
- 32:15Now I've got Gemini and all these things.
- 32:16Whereas out of all these results that we've seen so far,
- 32:20everyone's talking about AI, how much is spending on it?
- 32:22But Microsoft, the highlight of their result was that AI is no longer just a cost.
- 32:27It's actually becoming a big contributor to the business.
- 32:30And it added about $37 billion in annual revenue last year.
- 32:36What is it that they're selling? How are they doing it differently?
- 32:39So with Microsoft 365, it's an add-on.
- 32:43So you have to upgrade to use AI.
- 32:46But they've got 450 million people paying for this,
- 32:49what they call commercial seats on Microsoft 365 now.
- 32:52That's only 3% that they've converted to AI.
- 32:55Oh, whoa, so there's huge growth there.
- 32:57So the runway is, I looked at that and I was like,
- 32:59oh, only 3% and I was like, actually, no.
- 33:01That's like the biggest opportunity.
- 33:03Yeah.
- 33:04So.
- 33:05Also with Microsoft.
- 33:06Yeah.
- 33:07Microsoft's making come back.
- 33:09Never actually went anywhere.
- 33:11But I think the thing with Microsoft as well is because it's so clever
- 33:14because it's so embedded in these enormous companies that are struggling
- 33:18to know how on earth they can integrate AI.
- 33:20Because it's way harder to do when you've got all these RKX systems.
- 33:23Yeah.
- 33:24So for people that then see, oh, perfect.
- 33:26We're on Microsoft and we can upgrade and pay to get access to AI.
- 33:30It's so genius because it's all these businesses that don't know how to do that.
- 33:33And of course, the paper.
- 33:34And of course, the paper.
- 33:35Microsoft is more of a kind of a B to B rather than, well, yeah.
- 33:39So many of the businesses we work with are on Microsoft.
- 33:42Yeah.
- 33:43It's definitely more of a corporate and like big corporates.
- 33:46Yes.
- 33:47Yeah.
- 33:48When you're like, send to Google Meet, they're like, oh, can we do that?
- 33:50Can we?
- 33:51Yeah.
- 33:52Yeah.
- 33:53Yeah.
- 33:54Yeah.
- 33:55And we can.
- 33:56Or like also like the log with Microsoft, there's so much more security around there.
- 33:58Yeah.
- 33:59Definitely built for bigger businesses.
- 34:00They have to be quite careful about data leaking and whatnot.
- 34:03Amazon, they doubled, nearly doubled their profits this year, which is insane.
- 34:08Like there, and then they started digging into their prime.
- 34:11So that's like the subscription base.
- 34:12They have 230 million people that have signed up to Amazon.
- 34:16Of course, there's do not it is.
- 34:17They're so clever about it in terms of when you log in.
- 34:19When you check out, and they're like, do it for seven days.
- 34:22And then you automatically make back what you would have paid and shipping straight away.
- 34:26So of course, you're going to do it.
- 34:27They've got a bit of trouble for like making it really difficult to like cancel or like, yeah, bus.
- 34:32I know.
- 34:33But gosh, I know.
- 34:34I think that too.
- 34:35I'm like, oh, I've just clicked through it and I'm like, yeah, I've signed up.
- 34:38Yeah.
- 34:39And then you don't even know we've signed it yet.
- 34:40But their prime members spend double.
- 34:44Then they're not.
- 34:45And that's why me might it's dangerous.
- 34:47Because then all of a sudden, you're like, oh, well, I need this.
- 34:49I'll quickly get it and it's delivered straight away.
- 34:51Well, it's also like if it's free shipping, well, I might order more.
- 34:53Yeah.
- 34:54So that's the whole psychology.
- 34:55So there, like this is such an extraordinary piece of like consumer psychology of, yeah.
- 35:01And it's why their retail business is growing massively.
- 35:04Their cloud business is sort of its fastest growth in three years.
- 35:09There's just, you know, there's companies are just absolutely killing it still,
- 35:12which is mind blowing.
- 35:13And then lastly, we admit that they had their fastest quarter of growth as well this year.
- 35:18Wow.
- 35:19There is 3.6 billion people that use one meter app a day.
- 35:24And wait, wait.
- 35:25What's app?
- 35:26Facebook.
- 35:27They use every day, 3.6 billion people.
- 35:30Like that is more than a third of humanity that uses.
- 35:34Imagine running that business.
- 35:36And I can get in touch with the third of humanity you like at drop in years.
- 35:39No, yes.
- 35:40No wonder they're getting pulled up for sure.
- 35:42Oh, I think they need to start like meta AA.
- 35:45I'm completely addicted to all of their apps.
- 35:48I was like, won't that be?
- 35:49No, I'm serious.
- 35:50I'm like this morning.
- 35:51I was found myself on my Instagram.
- 35:54The first thing I did.
- 35:56My boyfriend came out to the room and I actually threw my phone across the ground
- 35:59and hid under the covers like a child.
- 36:01I did that.
- 36:02I do that.
- 36:03I was like, what are you doing?
- 36:04Nothing.
- 36:05I just feel stupid.
- 36:06I feel stupid.
- 36:07I'm like, it's so embarrassing.
- 36:08And I'm like, no, I'm actually being the news.
- 36:10Yeah.
- 36:11I'm like, I was on e-mail, actually, which is just as bad to be fair.
- 36:14I know, yeah.
- 36:15It's like what are you doing?
- 36:16It's dumb.
- 36:17I know.
- 36:18Okay.
- 36:19I try to train my algorithm to be news, newsy.
- 36:21And then all of a sudden I'll stop on some like, I don't know, college and eyepatch.
- 36:24And then it starts beating me.
- 36:26I know.
- 36:27It's so bad.
- 36:28Yeah.
- 36:29And constantly stuck in them.
- 36:31I think that's it.
- 36:32The big question this is, is when does AI investment start showing up as actual revenue?
- 36:37Microsoft's doing it.
- 36:38A lot of the others.
- 36:39It's just, you know, better versions of older products.
- 36:42So, yeah, I think that's kind of what people concerned.
- 36:45It's like there is billions being spent on AI.
- 36:49And yes, it improves customer's stickiness.
- 36:51Like, you know, cool.
- 36:52Gemini, we're going to stick around because it's like, wait, it's now better.
- 36:55It's a better product.
- 36:56But when you're spending that much, you have to get a bit of it.
- 36:59You have to get a good return on investment for spending that much.
- 37:01I mean, it's kind of nice to see it's someone's get making money out of it.
- 37:04The fact that Microsoft is actually making money.
- 37:06Yeah.
- 37:07Because we haven't really talked about that at all.
- 37:09There's just all this, like, well, where is the revenue coming from?
- 37:12Yeah.
- 37:13People making money.
- 37:14The next one I'm quite excited about.
- 37:18And I love that you titled it Lululemon drama.
- 37:22Lululemon drama.
- 37:23So dramatic.
- 37:24I mean, we've spoken at length about how badly Lululemon has been doing lately.
- 37:29Like, not lately, like, for a long time now.
- 37:31Yeah.
- 37:32You know, they were the poster child for afflager, for health and wellness.
- 37:35Everyone was wearing their leggings.
- 37:37You know, like, it was, and they did so well for so long.
- 37:41But when you're at the top, there's kind of only one way to fall.
- 37:44And we've seen it lose its edge to L-O.
- 37:49I also just think when you're doing one product, like leggings, how do you keep expanding on that, right?
- 37:55So anyway, their shoe price is down 50% in the last year.
- 37:59And I want to put that in perspective because the S&P 500, top 500 companies in the US, is up 30% in the last year.
- 38:05Oh shit.
- 38:06So that is 80% on the performance.
- 38:09Like, you could have owned the S&P 500 and had a great 30% return.
- 38:14If you had all your eggs in Lululemon, you would have underperformed most people by 80%.
- 38:20Oh, not right.
- 38:22But yes, 50% is bad.
- 38:23But when you put it in compared to what everyone else is doing, it's even worse.
- 38:27So it's in a bit of crisis mode.
- 38:29And it's just an ounce.
- 38:31The reason we're talking about it now is it just announced this week that it has got a new CEO.
- 38:36And she is an ex-ex 700 from she Heidi.
- 38:39I was very excited to do that.
- 38:40Same.
- 38:41And then as I dimped in, I was like, oh, I know, same.
- 38:44I saw the same thing, let's explain why we both thought that.
- 38:46Yeah.
- 38:47and I saw that Hitler and I was like, this could make sense.
- 38:50It could be a really good turnaround.
- 38:51Lululemon, great call.
- 38:53Anyway, Lululemon was actually founded back in 1988 by Chip Wilson.
- 38:58He served a CEO to about 2005, then he left,
- 39:02and it had a number of CEOs since then,
- 39:04but the brand just really hasn't.
- 39:06It's struggled massively.
- 39:08So he has been pushing,
- 39:11he still owns 9% of the company,
- 39:13and he has been pushing for a new board of directors.
- 39:16Because remember, shareholders vote in the board of directors who vote in the CEO.
- 39:20So if you want to bring about change to the CEO,
- 39:23you need to bring about change in the board,
- 39:25because otherwise the board can put in a CEO of their choice.
- 39:27So he's trying to bring in new directors,
- 39:29so therefore he can bring in a new CEO or CEO of his choice.
- 39:32But that's all kind of being broken down.
- 39:36Then we spoke about this briefly as well.
- 39:38They had an activist investor called Elliot Investment Management,
- 39:41which is one of the most feared activist huge funds.
- 39:44They really get in there and bring about change.
- 39:46They bought over a billion dollars of Lululemon shares.
- 39:50So they put that in context.
- 39:52The whole size, the whole market cap of Lululemon is 16 billion.
- 39:56So they're on the building.
- 39:57So like a 16th of the company, which is a lot.
- 40:00And they had someone they wanted to put in,
- 40:02who was from Ralph Lauren,
- 40:04and they had that person lined up.
- 40:06And then they've got the existing board that has appointed Heidi.
- 40:11Okay, sorry, I actually missed that part.
- 40:13So the existing board, which the founder,
- 40:15who actually sell Lululemon is trying to replace it anyway,
- 40:18is the one that's made this decision.
- 40:20And the share price fell massively on the news.
- 40:24It dropped it out.
- 40:25I dropped it out 15%.
- 40:27So that means investors aren't happy with the board's choice
- 40:31of Heidi from Nike.
- 40:33So there's been the background like,
- 40:37I'm dumb, hey.
- 40:38Stop making stupid decisions.
- 40:40So I think there's going to be a bit of noise going on at Lululemon
- 40:43because he'll have to eat a shareholder vote to replace the board,
- 40:45he'll see it people on side,
- 40:47Elliot investment wants someone different.
- 40:49Or how old would he find it?
- 40:50There's kind of these three different angles.
- 40:52Like if two of them could just band together
- 40:54to bring about change a lot quicker.
- 40:56But it just goes to show like the how distracting it can be
- 41:01when a board isn't aligned or,
- 41:05yeah, it's just like there's so many pretty egos
- 41:08and people, people seeing potential in Lululemon still.
- 41:11But it's been run poorly and it must be so frustrating
- 41:16if you owned 9% of the company like Chip
- 41:18and just seeing all these poor decisions being made
- 41:21and you're trying to bring about change.
- 41:23And it's kind of heartbreaking, right?
- 41:24Because it is a good brand.
- 41:25I do think it has just lost its kind of like cool factor of it.
- 41:29I was about to say I think that's kind of the issue
- 41:31like when I was looking into this,
- 41:33and at first I thought, hi, they're amazing.
- 41:35But then Nike's actually done quite badly.
- 41:37Yeah.
- 41:38So having someone that's come from another, you know,
- 41:40almost consumer facing business is not that great
- 41:44to then put someone into that role.
- 41:46You know, like I think Lululemon used to be genuinely cool.
- 41:51Now like the ones that you mentioned like Aloyoga,
- 41:54which is still private, it's not a public company.
- 41:57But you know, you see people like Kendall Jenner
- 42:00who can be able to tell us off wearing that brand
- 42:03and it makes it cool again.
- 42:05And then you see Skimms, Kim Kardashian's brand,
- 42:07which is still selling.
- 42:09Now it's like selling at Malaysia.
- 42:11So there's just like, there's all this competition
- 42:13to be cool in the space.
- 42:15And Lululemon is not doing that well.
- 42:18It's like skincare.
- 42:19It's like every celebrity is kind of launching then.
- 42:21You know, like it's hard.
- 42:23And to be honest, I don't think they'll ever get back
- 42:25to where they were.
- 42:27They had a great sweet spot for many, many years.
- 42:30But Elliot, they have an incredible track record
- 42:34of turning businesses around.
- 42:36Not necessarily back to where they were, but at least.
- 42:38Why would you not just let them do that?
- 42:39I know.
- 42:40And so, yeah, I mean, if I was to trip, I'd be banding with them
- 42:43and be like, how do we get, yeah.
- 42:45Also, like these options like to sell to Nike, right?
- 42:47Or to, you know, maybe it isn't a standalone business.
- 42:50But they'll be looking at all options.
- 42:53And just like with any kind of decision,
- 42:56there's going to be people that think one way is best,
- 42:59people that think the other way is best.
- 43:01And yeah, I just think it'll be incredibly distracting
- 43:04because management isn't going to be focused
- 43:06on growing the business.
- 43:07They're going to be focused on, you know,
- 43:08how do we deal with all this kind of activism going on?
- 43:11And how do we deal with all these kind of different angles
- 43:14that people want to take in terms of board ownership?
- 43:16Like sometimes, sometimes it's great
- 43:19because it can create more value.
- 43:21Other times, it can be incredibly distracting.
- 43:23Well, I think, I mean, you then look at Coach Ella,
- 43:25for example, and they had that L.O. Plenty studio
- 43:28and all of the biggest influences went there.
- 43:30And while Lulu Lemons, like, scrapping around
- 43:32trying to figure out who their CEO is,
- 43:34there's all these other brands putting cool into Atlesia
- 43:37if they were putting their time and energy into doing the same stuff
- 43:40other people are doing.
- 43:41Lulu Lemmon could be cool again.
- 43:42It's funny. I was walking down Oxford Strait
- 43:44and I saw this massive queue outside the Lulu Lemmon store,
- 43:47like down the road, around the corner.
- 43:49And I was instantly like, oh, my gosh.
- 43:51They got like, I love that.
- 43:53You're a mediator for.
- 43:54And I was like, oh, my God, this is a research.
- 43:56I was thinking more of buying this.
- 43:58I was like, oh, my God, there's something are they doing
- 44:00like a really good collab?
- 44:01This is the start of the turnaround.
- 44:02And then it was like marathon, middle engraving queue.
- 44:05And I was like, I mean, quite genius for them.
- 44:07They had all these people through the store.
- 44:09Yeah, nice.
- 44:10Quite genius then to put the hand up, they're like, well engraved
- 44:12or, you know, like, yeah.
- 44:13But that's the sort of shit they should be doing more.
- 44:15Totally. Yeah.
- 44:16But it's also like one hit one day back.
- 44:18Anyway, there's an annual meeting in June to figure this out.
- 44:22I'll be watching it very closely, because it'll be life.
- 44:24And then it flicks drama.
- 44:25I mean, I'd love to go along.
- 44:27And just like.
- 44:28I kind of do.
- 44:29Honestly, it's so shocking to me that I'm almost
- 44:31wanting to come to.
- 44:32Yeah.
- 44:33Like, who am I?
- 44:37So one of the topics that we were going to talk about
- 44:40in this episode was like, sort of woman babies
- 44:43what's going on in that space, which maybe haven't made
- 44:46it interesting.
- 44:47But when we started digging into this,
- 44:49Vick's done a lot of research.
- 44:50And then I started doing research.
- 44:52And we've now got so much information on this
- 44:55and realised it's like quite an enormous one.
- 44:58That it's almost, there's almost too much to talk about
- 45:01in a curve weekly.
- 45:02I don't know if we want to give a headline here
- 45:04or if we want to just see if people are interested
- 45:07in more of a deep dive, but maybe just give a top line
- 45:10Vic on why this caught your eye.
- 45:11And we can just do a poll maybe if you listen to this
- 45:14or want to hear more.
- 45:15I think we almost do, actually, maybe we do a full episode
- 45:18on it.
- 45:19Yeah.
- 45:20It was a headline around, like we always talk about
- 45:22like women having less children or women
- 45:24are delaying having children.
- 45:26But I didn't actually realise that the delaying
- 45:31of having children, like the impacts that has.
- 45:34And from like a personal finance point of view,
- 45:36but also from an investment point of view,
- 45:38like how does that, there's so many opportunities
- 45:40and so many things to consider.
- 45:41And like it also costs more if you're having them late.
- 45:44Like there's so much in it.
- 45:45It costs more if you're having them later.
- 45:47Because of you have to use IVF and all that.
- 45:49Of course, yes.
- 45:50But then you have more, you know, usually more disposable.
- 45:53Like there's just so much to unpack.
- 45:55And I just thought it was like, okay, women having less children,
- 45:57they're having them later, which means overall
- 45:59must mean there's less babies being born.
- 46:01But it's actually quite interesting.
- 46:03And just the split between the haves and the have-nots.
- 46:08And now it's coming down to having children,
- 46:10which is quite sad.
- 46:11Yeah. And I actually, it's so interesting
- 46:13because I interviewed someone.
- 46:14We actually haven't released this episode yet.
- 46:16It was just the other day.
- 46:17But one of the things that we did speak about
- 46:19was the idea of people delaying having kids.
- 46:21And what that's doing for the economy for businesses.
- 46:24So many ripple effects.
- 46:26It's insane.
- 46:27Oh my God.
- 46:28But also I just, it really changed my perspective on everything.
- 46:33In terms of, you know, there's obviously the financial barriers
- 46:36for a lot of people that are choosing not to have kids yet,
- 46:38because they want to be in a position when they do it.
- 46:41But then when they do it, they then maybe have to pay five AF
- 46:43because they're passed there for their child.
- 46:45They're trying to be iceberg.
- 46:47Oh, there's just so much to talk about with this.
- 46:50So I don't know.
- 46:51If you're sick of this conversation, you can vote no.
- 46:54If you would like to hear more,
- 46:56I actually was so surprised at how interesting I found this.
- 46:59And I think that when it comes down to whether you have kids
- 47:02or you don't have kids, understanding the macroeconomics
- 47:05of what this issue is doing and how it's impacting
- 47:09not only your own personal situation,
- 47:12but businesses in the economy.
- 47:14But also in the 10s.
- 47:15From an investment point of view as well.
- 47:16It's quite exciting.
- 47:17Yeah, yeah.
- 47:18There's such a mega trend.
- 47:19True.
- 47:20Right at the forefront of view.
- 47:22Oh, yeah.
- 47:23Okay, oh, okay, right.
- 47:24Let us know if you want to hear more on that.
- 47:26We're just going to really quickly answer a community question
- 47:29before we wrap up.
- 47:30I'm going to read this up.
- 47:31So every week I see in your sort of in the red in the green
- 47:34segment, and I feel like maybe I'm going wrong somewhere
- 47:37as I'm always in the red.
- 47:38I keep blowing out each month, but it's frustrating
- 47:41because I feel like I really don't spend much
- 47:43and my outgoings aren't that big.
- 47:44God, I feel so similar.
- 47:45I really want to start investing,
- 47:47but I don't actually have anything left at the moment to invest.
- 47:50Do you have any recommendations for how do you get my finances
- 47:53organized?
- 47:54I've heard about Solve talk about her emergency fund
- 47:57and her pot.
- 47:58And the way she organized her money,
- 48:00please teach me as I really want to start investing.
- 48:03Go ahead.
- 48:04There's a lot of tech here.
- 48:05Firstly, in the red in the green, kind of love that it's taking on.
- 48:08Oh, I know.
- 48:09If anyone hasn't seen this, it's in our newsletter.
- 48:11Sign up for our newsletter via the link in the podcast show notes.
- 48:13Okay, where do we start with this?
- 48:15I mean, God.
- 48:16This is just exactly what we're going through right now with the IOU.
- 48:21Yeah.
- 48:22I'm kind of like there's so much here that I'm like,
- 48:24that would be perfect.
- 48:25Yeah, I agree.
- 48:26So we actually just, we released a podcast this week with Lucy Blackison.
- 48:29It's the third episode for our IOU partnership,
- 48:31which we're doing with Ben Zed and it's literally designed for beginners,
- 48:35particularly people who feel overwhelmed by like the fact
- 48:38they haven't actually got the foundations of their finances sorted.
- 48:41So I would say, firstly, start listening to that series.
- 48:44It's really obvious if you scroll through our podcast,
- 48:46like what is the IOU?
- 48:47It's like a kind of retro looking light blue color.
- 48:51And we do actually have IOU the practical lessons too,
- 48:54which if you're like, I just actually would love to sort of get it sorted.
- 48:57You can find out all the details in the, in the podcast show notes
- 49:00for that we'll just maybe put a link.
- 49:02But let's just do an overview answer as well,
- 49:04because I'm sure a lot of people listened to that,
- 49:06thought like same, same, same.
- 49:08Maybe we focus on the part of like not having enough money,
- 49:11week to week to invest,
- 49:13because I do think that that's such a common feeling for so many people.
- 49:17Yeah, I think it's, it's creating like a budget, right?
- 49:21Well, like being very aware of your speed.
- 49:23I think the first thing is like how much you're incoming
- 49:25and how much is it outgoing?
- 49:27Like if you don't have visibility on that,
- 49:29you will keep going out each month,
- 49:31because you don't have visibility to put,
- 49:33how much you put in an emergency fund, how much you put in my pots,
- 49:35how many do it like,
- 49:36and therefore how much to invest.
- 49:38I think that's really really important.
- 49:39It's like the training wheels for investing.
- 49:40Yeah.
- 49:41It's like if you don't have the full picture,
- 49:43how are you supposed to know?
- 49:44Because then you're like, oh gosh, that's right.
- 49:46I had that 200 grand that we, sorry,
- 49:48that $200 that we announced.
- 49:49It was 200 grand, but jealous.
- 49:51So jealous.
- 49:52200 pounds that we announced there that you didn't know about.
- 49:54You know, like it can just really throw you.
- 49:55So I think having visibility across everything
- 49:58is absolutely the first step.
- 50:00And yes, that means probably being a bit uncomfortable
- 50:04and realizing how much just meaning on eating out
- 50:07or subscriptions or whatever it is.
- 50:09But I also want to add,
- 50:11I think it's important to say there is also an amount
- 50:15that you maybe don't have anything left over to invest.
- 50:18If you're earning 25,000 pounds or 30,000 New Zealand a year,
- 50:22it's not a lot of money to live on.
- 50:24So I think there has to be an element of knowing
- 50:27it's actually okay to not be putting that much aside.
- 50:31What's probably more important to think about is the habits.
- 50:34So for example, what VIX just talked about
- 50:36with putting the foundations in place,
- 50:38even if it is literally five pounds
- 50:40or five New Zealand dollars a month going in,
- 50:42the habit of doing that from when you're not earning it a lot
- 50:46and being able to increase that as you get more money coming in each month,
- 50:50it's more the mentality and the ritual and the fact you're doing it,
- 50:54knowing that not a hundred percent of your pay
- 50:56should be going towards your spending each month.
- 50:58Otherwise, if you're used to that,
- 51:00when you then earn more money,
- 51:02you'll just expand what you spend on.
- 51:04And I think if you can just,
- 51:06it's almost like just getting your head the fact that,
- 51:09ideally, you want at least 20% of your money going towards
- 51:12future stuff, like saving and investing.
- 51:14But the reality is a lot of people don't have that much.
- 51:16Not even if it's five.
- 51:18It doesn't matter.
- 51:20You just start automating an amount,
- 51:22but you do have to start with the basics of knowing
- 51:24all of your different amounts before you can do that.
- 51:26So I think I use a really good place to start
- 51:28if this sounds sort of familiar for you.
- 51:30Don't feel so bad about the fact that you're not maybe doing a hundred pounds
- 51:34or a hundred dollars start with something.
- 51:36Because it is really amazing how much the mentality shifts
- 51:40can help make you feel better about what your,
- 51:42what situation you're in.
- 51:44If you're just doing something in the right direction.
- 51:46And then you kind of adjust and don't realise that
- 51:48that 10 pounds a week or whatever has gone out.
- 51:50And then you start being like, cool,
- 51:52I'm going to try and increase.
- 51:54It's like starting a small step is better than just like,
- 51:56or wait till I can,
- 51:58cut away 200 pounds.
- 52:00It's like, no, no, just start with 10.
- 52:02Then move it to 20, then 50, then you know.
- 52:04I think the other thing to keep in mind is
- 52:06you do actually have to constantly assess
- 52:08what is going into the different buckets
- 52:10as you get more money coming in.
- 52:12The last thing you want to be doing is just lifestyle creeping without thinking about it.
- 52:16Because there might actually be at some point
- 52:18so an extra 200 that you put into investments.
- 52:20But if you're actually just spending it without awareness of where it's going,
- 52:24you're actually never going to get anywhere.
- 52:26And building wealth is not about how much money is coming into your account.
- 52:28It's the habits that you put in place.
- 52:30So I think if that makes you feel better,
- 52:32there's people that are on teaching salaries,
- 52:34which unfortunately are really low,
- 52:36that have more than people that are on finance salaries.
- 52:38Because they just constantly spend everything they have.
- 52:40So it's, it don't feel disempowered if you don't have a lot.
- 52:44But just put those things in place
- 52:46to get yourself into a better position.
- 52:48That is all we have time for today.
- 52:50Have a great week everyone.
- 52:52Thank you for listening.
- 52:54Have fun tonight, sir.
- 52:56Oh my god, thanks.
- 52:58I'll take lots of videos and photos.
- 53:00Thank you so much for listening to The Curve Weekly.
- 53:02Make sure you hit subscribe or follow wherever you're listening.
- 53:04So you're always up to date with the latest finance and investing news.
- 53:06Love your feedback.
- 53:08We've got new Curve Weekly episodes for you to listen to every Monday.
- 53:10But until then, listen to a raise in the curve.
- 53:12These are our in-depth podcast episodes
- 53:14where we chat about all things money.
- 53:16We're also around all week on socials
- 53:18if you're hungry for more Curve content.
- 53:20And all the links are in this podcast show notes.
- 53:22We hope you have a great week and we'll catch you
- 53:24for the next episode of The Curve Weekly on Monday.
- 53:26Okay, quickly, The Curve was created to empower and educate you about investing.
- 53:36But we are not financial advisors.
- 53:38Our platform exists for educational purposes only.
- 53:40And it doesn't provide personalized investing advice for your individual needs.
- 53:44And should not be relied upon to make an investment or financial decision.
- 53:48And always remember to do your own research
- 53:50before making any investment or financial decision.
- 53:52We're here for any knowledge and support you need.
- 53:54But the final call is always yours.
- 53:56And thanks for being here.
- 53:58You got this. Yeah, we know you got this.