Latest / The SPY Trader / The AI Pullback: Navigating the New Market Rotation
Transcript
- 0:00Hello everyone and welcome back to another episode of Spy Trader , the podcast that keeps you updated on everything moving the markets while you go about your busy day .
- 0:09It is 2:30 pm on Friday , July 17th , 2026 , here in the beautiful Pacific time zone .
- 0:17I am your host , Sunny Shares , and it is certainly an interesting afternoon to be looking at the ticker tape .
- 0:23We have seen a lot of movement today , so let's dive right into what is happening in your portfolio .
- 0:30Today is what we call a riskoff session in the markets .
- 0:33That essentially means investors are pulling back and playing it safe .
- 0:37We are seeing a sharp selloff in technology and a broader retreat across all the major indices .
- 0:44The S&P 500 , which we track via the SPY ETF , fell about 0.86 percent to 7,468.83 .
- 0:55The techheavy Nasdaq , or the QQQ , took a harder hit , dropping 1.19 percent to 25,573.27 , while the Dow Jones Industrial Average , the DIA , slipped about 0.56 percent to 52,260.46 .
- 1:15The main story today is the pullback in artificial intelligence stocks and some growing geopolitical instability .
- 1:23The tech sector is leading the way down , with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index , ticker SOX , tumbling nearly 17 percent so far in July alone .
- 1:33Highflyers like NVIDIA and Microsoft are under pressure as investors start to wonder if the trilliondollar AI spending boom is sustainable .
- 1:42We also saw some specific news regarding Alphabet , ticker GOOGL .
- 1:47Their stock closed down 3 percent today following news of delays in their Gemini 3.5 Pro internal benchmarks .
- 1:55It wasn't just tech , though .
- 1:57Over in healthcare , Intuitive Surgical , ticker ISRG , crashed over 12 percent today .
- 2:03This was due to concerns over insurance coverage and slowing growth for their da Vinci robotic systems .
- 2:09On the flip side , major banks like JPMorgan Chase , Citigroup , and Wells Fargo reported upbeat secondquarter results this week , though that sector is now looking a bit overbought .
- 2:21We are also keeping a very close eye on the Middle East .
- 2:25Tensions between the U.S.
- 2:26and Iran have caused oil prices to spike above 81 dollars per barrel .
- 2:31This has also pushed Gold , ticker GLD , back above the 4,000 dollar mark .
- 2:37On the macro side of things , the inflation news was actually okay .
- 2:42Headline inflation fell to 3.5 percent , and Core CPI is sitting at a relatively tame 2.6 percent .
- 2:51However , because of those rising oil prices , there is a new fear that the Federal Reserve might hike interest rates one more time from the current 3.75 percent level before the year ends .
- 3:03On a positive note , the American consumer seems resilient , with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index rising to 54.4 this month .
- 3:14Before we get to recommendations , we have to mention Netflix .
- 3:19Ticker NFLX suffered a roughly 11 percent drop today after a disappointing revenue forecast .
- 3:25It looks like the growth spurt they had from their passwordsharing crackdown might be reaching its limit .
- 3:30So , what do we make of all this ?
- 3:32We believe the market is going through a valuation reset .
- 3:35Essentially , the AI growth story got a little ahead of itself , and now investors are rotating into value sectors .
- 3:43For our trading recommendations today , we suggest focusing on balance .
- 3:49First , for core growth , consider holding or accumulating the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF , ticker VTI .
- 3:56This gives you broad exposure to small and midcaps that might benefit as money moves out of big tech .
- 4:02Second , we like the Health Care Select Sector SPDR , ticker XLV , as a buy .
- 4:07Valuations there are at 15year lows , making it a great defensive hedge .
- 4:12For those looking for a longterm AI play , Alphabet , ticker GOOGL , is a buy on these dips .
- 4:19If their cloud revenue continues to grow when they report on July 22nd , today's price will look like a bargain .
- 4:26We also recommend the Vanguard Real Estate ETF , ticker VNQ , because the data centers inside that fund are still winning from the AI buildout .
- 4:36Finally , we recommend avoiding the iShares 20 plus Year Treasury Bond , ticker TLT .
- 4:41With oil prices threatening inflation , longterm bonds are just too risky right now .
- 4:47That is all for this update of Spy Trader .
- 4:50I am Sunny Shares , wishing you a wonderful weekend and a steady hand in the markets .
- 4:56We will see you next time !