Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA Show | January 20, 2024 | UFC 297 DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:05Fall. System's going clear the lift of Oh yeah, we're back talking some
- 0:38fights, pay per view season, Sean Strickland strict Daddy taken on Drincus DUPLUSI
- 0:44headed to Toronto. UFC two ninety seven. Prize schools all right, I
- 0:49mean with NFL playoffs on Saturday Sunday, NBA is still going on. Prize
- 0:54schools are fine. I'm not going to complain. Hopefully though, in the
- 0:57heat of summer, UFC three hundred or something they go pretty hard. Ben's
- 1:00in here, bring the noise, Dana William ross K appreciate everyone hanging out.
- 1:04Throw it to you, my man, Big Marley. Looks like we'll
- 1:07keep all twelve fights. Two fighters, missweait Malcolm Gordon Tavares got a little
- 1:11scary for a sec, but it's always the magic number for me. I
- 1:15think it's a really fun DFS card. Two title fights. Hey, no
- 1:19one really cares about the Chake title fight. You really can't ter off a
- 1:22better a worse one. But it makes DFS very interesting and it's definitely important
- 1:26when it comes to DFS. So I'm pumped. I'm ready to win some
- 1:30money. How you doing, Big Marlin, I'm good, Yeah, It's
- 1:33not my favorite pay per view card, but if we can win money,
- 1:36I'm gonna really enjoy it, so that'll really be the deciding factor. But
- 1:40I'm glad we're keeping twelve fights. If we went down to eleven or ten
- 1:44would have been awful, but even eleven would have made me like this card
- 1:48even less. Haven't built any lineup yet, excited to do that after the
- 1:51show, but I've been working on my fight rankings. It's all starting to
- 1:56make sense. I can see it in my head. I'm ready to start
- 1:57building and hopefully ship it. You serve justin in here, could be Travis
- 2:02Shawn's in here again for hope. Everybody out there having a good Friday,
- 2:06Monster weekend over here, not just MMA, NFL four game Slay, two
- 2:10game Saturday, two game Sunday Showdown, all the money in the world in
- 2:15the NFL streets, NBA still going on, NHL still going on, Goal
- 2:17Showdown. Hey, we got it all over here at Chippin'nation dot com.
- 2:22Head over weekly, monthly, six months, and annual packages. Give it
- 2:27a try. If you do do anything but the weekly package, make sure
- 2:30to get in the discord to great community and a lot of people in here
- 2:35are in the in the discord in the community. What did Clouds say?
- 2:38Rumor on the mill? Marley Lings, you can go thirty nine points.
- 2:42Oh, Lyness, we'll touch on thatt Lyne's fight. You got anything to
- 2:45say to that, Marley, We'll talk about it. We'll talk. Yeah,
- 2:47we'll talk about that for sure. So my broad slid over before we
- 2:51go fight by fight, like always, twelve fights, two title fights,
- 2:55only two favorites over minus three hundred, so I'm expecting dogs come through the
- 3:00two title fights eighty two hundred eight k seventy six hundred, eighty six hundred,
- 3:06So I think you can lead money on the table. I think it's
- 3:07just a fun fight. Overall, nine of the twelve fights expected to finish.
- 3:12We have some wrestlers on here, grapplers, some striker versus striker class
- 3:15of styles. I agree with you, it's not a great pay per view
- 3:19card name value wise, there's some good fights litter top to bottom. I
- 3:23think overall, though I mean main events, a very good fight. There
- 3:27is obviously better main event pay per view fights, but I'm not complaining about
- 3:30that. Like Arnold Allen Mas were evil of that's as high level fight as
- 3:34you can get. Jordain's always fun Outside of that though, it's an okay,
- 3:38I guess pay per view card, but DFS wise, I think it's
- 3:40as good as it gets for twelve fights. What's your initial overview before we
- 3:45go fight by fight? Yeah, I mean, how great can it get
- 3:46when you have to fill it with Canadians? You know? But hopefully it
- 3:52will be fun at least, but overview would be man, I don't know.
- 3:55Actually, I think that mid range gonna be very important again this week,
- 4:00and then again it's a little bit difficult in the nine K range,
- 4:03not as difficult as the last card on paper was. But I'm kinda hoping
- 4:11to bounce some thoughts back and forth on you on a few of these fights
- 4:13too, because I haven't hit on three of them on my fight rankings yet,
- 4:16and I think they're the hardest three to hit on, so I'm looking
- 4:20forward to talking those out with you. But yeah, I don't have a
- 4:23broad overview yet except for that, I think midrange is very important. Yep,
- 4:26No, I like that too, mid range load. I do think
- 4:28the upper tier, maybe not as much as last week, but I still
- 4:30think it's tough that nine K range I'll be mixing and matching a lot of
- 4:34those guys as well. I'm hoping the fades don't come through, and the
- 4:39one I will have in twenty entry in below, I will have them at
- 4:42least one, not at least one, exactly one. I don't stack fights
- 4:45Strickland and Dricus in the main event there for twenty teams or less. But
- 4:48we'll get there. Yeah, Big Driggs, who runs better a playoff football?
- 4:53MMA? Come on, man? Can't draw up a better weekend January?
- 4:57A lot of people hate it. This is one of my favorite times
- 4:59of the year because you can leave a lot with a lot, a lot
- 5:01of cheese in your pocket after these weekend, especially if you think one of
- 5:04these million makers in the NFL. But it's time to get started again.
- 5:09Bottom of the top. First fight on the night, Malcolm Gordon Jimmy Flick,
- 5:13I mean, probably two of the worst hins you've ever seen, swearing
- 5:15off to start it off minus three to fifty. This fight is to finish
- 5:19Gordon minus one fifty Jimmy Flick plus two eighty five. I'll throw it to
- 5:25you right away in this one, man, I mean these guys what Jimmy
- 5:29Flick been knocks out six of his seven losses. Malcolm Gordon's been knocked out
- 5:33I think five times or no, Malcolm Gordon's been knocked out five times against
- 5:38seven losses, Jimmy Flick six of his seven. But neither of these guys
- 5:42really got power. They want to get it on the mat, so,
- 5:45hey, someone getting is someone going to sleep on the feet or someone going
- 5:47to sleep on the mat? Man, I would say that if someone's going
- 5:51to sleep on the feet, it's gotta be Flick, just because Flick doesn't
- 5:56have any power. He doesn't have a chin. Neither of these guys have
- 5:58chins, but the only one who has any sort of knockout power is Gordon,
- 6:02So I think if this is a striking match, Gordon probably wins it,
- 6:05and he's more likely to win by the knockout. However, they're both
- 6:09pretty good grapplers. Gordon is a I'd say he's a better He's better offensive
- 6:14grappling than he is defensively, which makes me like Flick more because I think
- 6:18Flick is very slick on the ground. It's just that he doesn't have great
- 6:23wrestling, so it's kind of just got to be one of those guys that
- 6:26goes after an ankle or something, and if he gets it, he's very
- 6:28live to just in the fight right there. But the line has been moving
- 6:31in Gordon's favor all week long. I expect Ownership to do the same thing.
- 6:36So my plan is just to go opposite of that. I'm gonna take
- 6:39Flick by submission. Don't feel good about it at all, but I think
- 6:43this is a fight that is gonna be, you know, a top two
- 6:46or three on the whole card for me to target. I want to load
- 6:47up on both sides, and maybe I go close to forty percent or so
- 6:53on both of them, but that'll only put me a little bit above the
- 6:56field on Gordon, and it'll probably get me double the field on Flick.
- 7:00So Flick's my preferred play an underdog. I'm picking the win right off the
- 7:04bat, so I could definitely see my night starting out terrible with a sixty
- 7:08or a fifty nine second KO from Gordon, but I'll have my exposure there
- 7:12too. Yeah. So when I wrote up this fight, a lot of
- 7:15the similar thoughts to you, I really wanted to see Ownership on this,
- 7:17and yet everything will be up on the site right now. We have thirty
- 7:20three percent for Gordon seventeen percent Flick, which I think is definitely right.
- 7:25I mean, if you look at this money line Gordon took or Flick's taking
- 7:29a little money. Gordon got up to like minus two twenty. Now at
- 7:31some books he's minus two oh five, so a little buy back there.
- 7:34But I mean he's eighty three hundred, like he should be eighty nine hundred
- 7:39seventy three hundred or like. That's how the appropriate pricing is for these odds.
- 7:43So you definitely get pricing value with Malcolm Gordon. Still, he's expected
- 7:47to finish inside the distance. Prop is good on the slate any sandwich in
- 7:51between the Strickland fight and the I mean the Pennington Buena Silva fight, the
- 7:57two five rounders, and there's a couple other good in this mid tier as
- 8:01well. So thirty three percent seventeen percent it sounds right. I don't know
- 8:05if it's I was going back and forth on it. Thirty I'm probably gonna
- 8:09be overweight. If thirty three percents the case, I'll probably be around there
- 8:11overweight. Don Gordon, just from the standpoint of his money line, his
- 8:16props are very good. He can outscore Mike Malott, Jazz and Jazz Vicious
- 8:20for one k less twelve hundred less. You leave all that money on the
- 8:24table jam the mid tier. That's how I'll be playing. I think a
- 8:26lot of my Malcolm Gordon teams, whereas Jimmy Flick, you can you can
- 8:31leave two hundred salary, three hundred sal You don't have to get as crazy.
- 8:33I don't think you can eat more chalk around it because yeah, seventeen
- 8:37percent probably, and he has all the upside in the world. I think
- 8:41he can catch a sub Gordon nine percent takedown defense Flick very dangerous on the
- 8:46map. If it's on the feet, it's definitely Gordon. How fun would
- 8:48the fight be. I don't know. Maybe he knocks him out, but
- 8:52I do think this fight hits the map a couple times. Gordon will be
- 8:56popular. Get some leverage of Flick in my Gordon lineup, So I think
- 8:58I can leave a good amount of salary because at the end of the day,
- 9:01if he was the highest scoring fighter on the slate, I don't think
- 9:05that'd be shocking. It's it's Jimmy Flake with no chin that will accept being
- 9:09on his back, et cetera. Because he can always catch something. So
- 9:11one of the best fights in my opinion to target and yeah, so this
- 9:16fight is still on and he was one of the two fighters Malcolm Gordon missweight
- 9:20and there were Mon Tavarus missweighted as well. So there's been our Malcolm Gordon's
- 9:24had proms on the scales for a while now. He missed by one and
- 9:28a half pounds. Find twenty percent of his purse. Tavares find thirty percent
- 9:31of his perset. Does that do anything for you, Marley? He's had
- 9:35weight cut issues a lot. No, I just never know. It's it's
- 9:39always in my head. It's gonna help him probably with the wrestling. But
- 9:41at the same time, was he hurt that that's why he couldn't get there?
- 9:45I just have no idea. I wish I knew more. Yeah,
- 9:46and it looks like he did try. So it's not like the Tavaris.
- 9:50Who knows how much you really try that almost four pounds. Gordon actually at
- 9:54least made some attempts. It's not like Jumy flicks cardials too great. I
- 9:58just think I don't know. Some one gets caught in some submission. Gordon
- 10:01finds a chim at some point. I mean, it's gonna be a really
- 10:03fun fight. Maybe both guys fighting for their jobs as well. I'm gonna
- 10:07have a lot in dfs then I do know for sure, keep it rolling.
- 10:11Next fight on the card, Jasmine Jazz Vicius the highest price fighter on
- 10:15the card. Picking on Priscilla Catchaware up minus three hundred, minus three seventy
- 10:18is Jasmine, plus two ninety five is Priscilla. This fight is plus one
- 10:22ten to finish Jasmine plus one seventy five Priscilla plus four fifty. And again,
- 10:30like I said, highest priced ninety five hundred Jasmin sixty seven hundred Priscilla.
- 10:33In terms of ownership, we're looking at Jasmine thirty two percent, Priscilla
- 10:37catch Aware at ten percent, and that ten percent is the lowest on the
- 10:41card. I like Jasmine especially looking at her ownership in this top tier,
- 10:46Jasmine thirty two, ma Lot forty six, Robertson thirty nine the highest above
- 10:52nine k, and she's the lowest, which I do think she probably is
- 10:56because of her price. She has all the wrestling upside. What does she
- 11:00struggle with wrestlers? We just saw with Maverick, We've seen it in so
- 11:03many of her fights. She can't stop takedowns on the feet, she can
- 11:07crack. I don't know why Jasmine would fight that style, though I think
- 11:09she makes it look pretty easy. Does she have the upside? I definitely
- 11:15think she has the upside. I think she can find us emission in this
- 11:16fight. Priscilla just got submitted by Maverick. She's the lowest own in the
- 11:20nine K, which I do think you're right because of the price. I
- 11:24like her more than a lot I do right now at this ownership discounts any
- 11:28hot takes here. I won't be playing Priscilla in twenty entry or below.
- 11:33No, not really, just kind of your strikers grappler matchup, except that
- 11:37I think JJ can hang on the feet where Ketchaway is not going to be
- 11:43hanging in a grappling match. So I do like Jasmine in this one.
- 11:48And she's a fighter who doesn't need to get a finish to score one hundred
- 11:52points, which is always something that I like. But her highest score so
- 11:56far I think is one hundred and five. I mean one hundred and five,
- 12:00gonna cut it at ninety five one hundred, I don't know that it
- 12:03is. She's also had other grappling based wins where she scored well, but
- 12:09it was eighty five and eighty six. That's definitely not gonna cut it.
- 12:11So I definitely worry, and I would prefer Mike Mallett if we're just picking
- 12:16raw points. But the ownership is what makes it interesting. I do think
- 12:22that she's a fine pivot away from him at lower ownership where she could in
- 12:26their best outcome, she could outscore him. But if both fights go to
- 12:31a decision, she's definitely gonna be outscoring Mallet, I would think. So
- 12:35I'm fine with it. But on the other side, I really think it's
- 12:37knockout or bust for catchaera. I think it's a if it's a fifteen minute
- 12:41striking match, she's very live in that, but I would just would not
- 12:43expect that at all. So I think she needs the knockout at some point.
- 12:48She has that kind of power, but I just don't expect it to
- 12:50be on the feet long enough for that to come to fruition. But I'm
- 12:54gonna go probably I don't know, close to field Waight or higher on JJ.
- 13:00I probably end up xing out Ketchawere in this one. Yeah, So
- 13:03I think if I'm one fifty in this card, which undebating I was making
- 13:07sure that twelve fights were on the card the three dollars. I wish her
- 13:11more were more people in it, I would not. I'm not going to
- 13:13cross off any fighter. If I do one fifty, I will play all
- 13:16twenty four fighters on this card, because I mean, it's woman's mma.
- 13:20Like an underranked three and two UFC fighter almost minus four hundred against one of
- 13:26the hardest hitters in the division, Like could I not see Ketchawaea catching her
- 13:30early before even a takedown? Like I could totally see that. Now,
- 13:33do I think it's likely? No, But she's gonna be ten percent or
- 13:37sub ten percent if I'm playing one hundred and fifty teams, that is something
- 13:41I would have. Now, you got to make more fades with the less
- 13:43teams you have. If I don't do it, probably would take me like
- 13:46fifty sixty teams to get any Ketchaweerra is how I'm thinking of it. But
- 13:50she's probably my leite I don't know. I like Neil Magny less than I
- 13:56like Ketchawea due to his upside, I think, but I catchaware is my
- 14:01second least favorite fighter. On the card, they will be the two lowest
- 14:05owns. I think there's plenty of other ways you can get different on this
- 14:07card with the better chance to win, though, So it's jasmine for me.
- 14:11What are your thoughts or you're gonna say something. Yeah, I'm looking
- 14:13at maybe up to five fades on this card, with ketchawaere being possibly one
- 14:18of them. I definitely won't be touching her with twenty or less. But
- 14:22when I start building my one fifty, I'm not sure if I need my
- 14:26percentages to be spread out more or I just can't get to certain lineups.
- 14:30And I'm fine throwing her in a little bit. But on my rankings,
- 14:33I think I'm gonna be higher on Magni just as a hedge play, because
- 14:37if I plan on having a good amount of mallet. So if it gets
- 14:43out of the first round, you know, once we get to that fight,
- 14:45we'll talk about it. But I'm gonna be worried if it gets out
- 14:46of the first round, where I think the only real thing I'd be worried
- 14:48about would be one big punch on the Catchawera side. So think I'll be
- 14:52higher on Magne than Catchae. Yeah, No, I mean I definitely don't
- 14:56like either, But now that you say it, maybe I agree, because
- 14:58if now it's gonna be forty six and Jazzin's gonna be thirty two, some
- 15:01sheets talks a lot about like why not take the more ownership leverage if you
- 15:07don't like either dog If if Neil Magnie wins fifty percent of the field roughly
- 15:11is dead with Mallet and you're not playing him, then you get that win
- 15:16right there, where Jasmin at thirty percent, it doesn't hurt as much.
- 15:18So maybe I do circle back a little bit on that, but I don't
- 15:22like either. Regardless, I do like Jasmin, clashes, styles, takedowns,
- 15:26control time obviously, DraftKings great play that's FanDuel prices or FanDuel contest stink.
- 15:33FanDuel Jasmin's not nearly as good of a play though, because you don't
- 15:35get the top control, et cetera. Keep a move into what Cloud was
- 15:39talking about. Johan Lynnez Sam Patterson minus one forty Johan plus one twenty for
- 15:46Sam. This fight's minus six fifty to finish Johan minus one ten, Sam
- 15:52Patterson one forty five. So Sam make making his way up to welterweights.
- 15:58After getting knocked out at one fifty brutally by Ashmus, who's damn near a
- 16:03one forty five, So he almost got knocked up pretty much a one forty
- 16:06five. Now he's fighting a very heavy handed one seventy or in Johann Leness.
- 16:11But the dude in the UFC just legit, does not do anything like
- 16:15he has power. The game greens. The fight was solid, but man,
- 16:19some of his other fights have been absolutely awful. This minus I forget
- 16:23which fight you said it was last week, or maybe it was two weeks
- 16:26ago. They had it been last week with last week in the first card,
- 16:29but there was a huge inside the distance line that you were like,
- 16:32I could totally see this going to decision. I can't remember what it was.
- 16:34I can't remember this. This is the one that screams to me like
- 16:37minus six fifty for this fight to finish lines does he might not even throw
- 16:41like eighty strikes. This could be a really boring fight, I think.
- 16:45But the props itself, the pricing, et cetera. I mean, it
- 16:48has me playing some of this fight for sure, But talk to me about
- 16:52your thoughts on that inside the distance prop. It's dog or pass for me.
- 16:56In this one. I don't love it at all. Sam Patterson might
- 16:57die, but just doesn't do enough for me where I think he can volume
- 17:03if it gets on the mat, I prefer Patterson the longer goes. I
- 17:06think it's Patterson. So yeah, I don't love this fight, but I
- 17:10don't know minus six fifty man, talk to me because I'm interested in your
- 17:12thoughts. Yeah, I thought the same thing, and I think some props
- 17:18that were interesting would be fight goes the distance around plus three to fifty or
- 17:21moreso, like Patterson by decision at plus eight hundred or so. Because I
- 17:27mean, Lions is just a pure fad for me, long term faid for
- 17:32me as a favorite, for sure, But I don't even like him as
- 17:33an underdog because he doesn't do anything. He's got big time power. He's
- 17:37fighting a guy who's just sparked in the first minute or so of his first
- 17:41UFC fight, so he is live for a knockout in this fight because he
- 17:45has power. He's fighting a guy with tall man defense who's moving up in
- 17:48weight class. But if he doesn't get that knockout, like, he doesn't
- 17:52do anything that I like. I don't like his ground game at all.
- 17:55I don't like fighters who stare at their opponent for fifteen minutes, Like he
- 17:59had thirty ten minutes of striking time versus Darien Weeks, and he scored ten
- 18:03DraftKings points in that thirteen minutes. That's so I'm just never playing Lions as
- 18:10a favorite. And this is what could bite me because it is minus six
- 18:14fifty inside the distance. He's gonna get some ownership. If he goes out
- 18:17there and kills this guy in fifty seconds, my night's over. I'm gonna
- 18:19be like, uh, what's her name? Jennifer Lawrence at that award show
- 18:23where she's like, if I'm not winning, I'm fucking leaving a pay per
- 18:26view, Like if lion S gets a one minute pay per view a one
- 18:30minute knockout, I'm not buying this pay per view anymore. But I think
- 18:33Patterson's just a more skilled fighter, the guy who's gonna be fighting for your
- 18:37money. He'll be higher on volume. I like his overall striking more than
- 18:41this guy. Lions off his back was pretty pathetic, So I think Patterson's
- 18:45live on the ground too. Give me the underdog here, worried about the
- 18:48chin, But if the chin holds up I like, I like the underdug
- 18:51Win. Yeah, you got some balls for sure to full fade lenn aisen'sff,
- 18:55I get it because everything like, we're all on the same page.
- 18:57But I just the props minus tend to finish plus two hundred to finish in
- 19:03round one, and he's not expensive, I don't know, right in that
- 19:07mid tier. So let's see what we have ownership, because he's eighty four
- 19:10hundred, seventeen percent thens and nineteen percent Sam Patterson, I just, yeah,
- 19:15I'm gonna have to with the props and at that ownership sub twenty percent,
- 19:19I can't fade. And I was struggling on that ownership too, so
- 19:22I could maybe see me fading it. But it's just for me. It's
- 19:26so hard to want to click Lions. I don't know how anybody else is
- 19:30really gonna want to click him until they see that minus six fifty inside the
- 19:33desk. They're like, that's what is making me want to up it to
- 19:37maybe mid twenties or so for Lons. But I think you have a there.
- 19:42Yeah, no, I think you have it pretty good though, because
- 19:45you look in that range. Mosburg, let's go eighty seven hundred below Mosbury.
- 19:48Evelom's gonna get some ownership as a great wrestler. Way Silva eighty six
- 19:52hundred naturally is a favorite in a five run fight. Chris Curtis isn't really
- 19:56gonna He's in the same boat as the nes malcome Ordinate eighty three hundred.
- 20:00Definitely a way better play. Then you get strickling and drink its way better
- 20:04play. So he just sandwich in that range where I do think you're right,
- 20:08But I also like, how much are people just gonna look at props
- 20:11and just look at finishing lines and stuff like that. Yeah, maybe I
- 20:15think still twenty percent. Roughly I'm gonna play some again, just the props
- 20:18Patterson getting bonked by a way less guy plus two hundred and a round one,
- 20:22Like if he finishes in around one, I'll take that at seventeen percent
- 20:26any day. I'm still on the Sam Patterson train. He's not gonna be
- 20:30high enough owned. And we can we talk about a lot build the lineup.
- 20:33Put in liness, take Lynez out, put in Sam Patterson. Right
- 20:37there, you get a lot different and you're forced to leave at least six
- 20:40hundred on the table. I'll be looking at stuff like that in the mid
- 20:42tier, and I think this is one of the fights you can do that.
- 20:45So yeah, very I like all this stuff. I'm glad we're on
- 20:48the same page though. The plus eight hundred, what was the fight last
- 20:52time? Do you remember which one you were talking about? I think it
- 20:55was the Modi fight. Oh yeah, shit for sure. Yeah, No,
- 21:00I mean this plus eight hot whatever it is, like we're taking long
- 21:03shots here, but I couldn't remember exactly which one it was. And ye
- 21:07had Jones an absolute fraud, no chance, no other things that had to
- 21:11be said about that. William congrats on the pack and then hey, no
- 21:15better Saturday night for me over here watching some fights, watching the Packers.
- 21:19It's gonna be tough though, man, I mean Dak he stinks and Mike
- 21:22McCarthy's a freaking worse. So that wasn't worried about the Cowboys, definitely worried
- 21:26about the Niners. CMC is a problem. What's going on? Ge kiper
- 21:32I think that's g Kipfer Grants. Unless you change your name, they used
- 21:36to just say g Kifer. Yeah, he changed his name. What's going
- 21:41on? Grants? Let's keep it rolling though. We appreciate that, like
- 21:44button out there again. If you do want to join us all of our
- 21:47MMA contents, we'll be up shortly after the show. Productions, ownership,
- 21:51fight, ranking, slate plan, everything you need NBA today. Make sure
- 21:55to check out the show. I'm o b will be here before you know
- 21:57it. That's crazy to say it's still January though, we don't need to
- 22:00talk about that. NHL here as well. Golf going on full force.
- 22:06Shipnation dot com monthly six month annual packages bops wrong account. Okay, I
- 22:11was gonna say I didn't recognize the name changed before, but I did recognize
- 22:15that it was UGK Chuck Kifer. Let's keep it rolling. Next fight on
- 22:18the card we got scroll up a bit. Jillian Robertson taking on Pollyanna Vianna
- 22:26ninety one hundred Robertson seventy one hundred. Is Vianna looking at the odds,
- 22:30Jillian, Actually she's over minus three hundred now too. She's continued to take
- 22:34steam. So third biggest favorite on the card. Three favorites over minus three
- 22:38hundred Vianna plus two fifty on the way back minus won eighty for this fight
- 22:42to finish, Robertson minus one ten Vianna plus four hundred. Take it away,
- 22:48Big Marley, what do you see? I like this fight a lot.
- 22:52I expect just almost most of the fight anyways to be on the ground.
- 22:59Both of them prefer to grapple, but Vianna will just accept being on
- 23:04the ground because she's dangerous off her back. So I think if Robertson wants
- 23:07us to be a grappling match, she can go out there and get it
- 23:11anytime she wants it. But I do think that Vihanna's live off her back
- 23:15where I don't think Robertson is. I think Robertson has to be in dominant
- 23:19positions where I do expect her to be, but she's live for the submission
- 23:23in any round in those dominant positions. But she's also more likely to win
- 23:27the fight by just controlling the time and the decision that is. And then
- 23:33with Vianna, man, she's dangerous. I kind of am always a little
- 23:37overweight on Vianna because she is just super dangerous. I think if this ended
- 23:41up being a striking match, she's very live there. I wouldn't expect that
- 23:45at all. But if Fianna was somehow able to go out there and start
- 23:48laying the takedowns. I think Robertson would be in a lot of trouble,
- 23:52and I don't think that Vianna will get ownership. I do think that Robertson
- 23:56will. So my plan is kind of like that Flick Gordon matchup, where
- 24:02I'm gonna get a lot of Robertson, maybe close to forty percent, which
- 24:04is about where I see the field being on her. But on Vianna,
- 24:08I had her closer to like ten percent owned, and I probably want to
- 24:11at least double the field on her because she doesn't need to be in a
- 24:15dominant position and it could happen any second in this fight, just one quick
- 24:18armbar. And neither one of these fighters has ever scored less than ninety points,
- 24:23so I'm expecting a big scorer in this one. But my leverage play
- 24:26will be on Vianna because I think that submission is very live, but Robertson
- 24:30just has more paths to victory. She's the one who should be in the
- 24:33dominant positions throughout the fight. I'll pick Robertson to get the win, to
- 24:37get a submission at some point, but my favorite bet on this card would
- 24:40be that the fight ends in a submission. Just either way, exact method
- 24:44of victory is a submission. That's right around pick them, because that's I
- 24:47think eventually, if Robertson is in these dominant positions, Vianna probably won't tough
- 24:52it out for a full fifteen minutes. I think eventually she'll give up her
- 24:56neck and Jillian will get the tap. But if Fianna's gonna win this fight,
- 25:00it's gonna be a submission. So I just really think that someone's getting
- 25:03tapped out here. I like the confidence you made me. I was changing.
- 25:07I was debating Vianna earlier in the week. I know I don't want
- 25:11too much. You have more interest than I do. But she's gonna be
- 25:14like around ten percent. Like you said, Robertson's gonna get some ownership,
- 25:18so you get leverage that way you see it ending in a finish. I
- 25:21do give her the advantage on the feet. She definitely hits harder and yeah,
- 25:23armbar from guard, all that crazy stuff. So I did change.
- 25:26I was abating underweight fade a couple of these people. I'm gonna have her
- 25:32in my twenty pool for sure. Now with your confidence there and I changed
- 25:36a fight, we'll talk about in the little bits. I guess I'll just
- 25:38say it now. Arnold Allen. He has taken a little money, which
- 25:41is scary. I don't like his upside. We get there, but if
- 25:45you had to fade Arnold Allen or Vianna, you'd rather fade Arnold Allen.
- 25:48Right, Yeah, he's one of my five possible fades on the cool I
- 25:52figured. I mean the style he has to go against is really tough to
- 25:56score DK points beyond to Lowe. Robertson's gonna get some owners plus four hundred
- 26:00inside. The distance isn't too bad as well, So I like your confidence.
- 26:04Gonna get some more beyond and than I initially had. I'll definitely be
- 26:07playing Jillian Robertson, though I don't know. I think it's tough. Like
- 26:11I like my lot, I like Jasmine. I like Robertson at the ownership
- 26:17and the pricing. Though maybe i'd have I'd rank him a lot three.
- 26:21You're all coin flimming at the end of the day. I like Jasmine because
- 26:25she's two hundred dollars more. She's like fourteen percent lower. Still looks like
- 26:29Robertson might be. We have Robertson at thirty nine percent a Lot at forty
- 26:33six percent. With those two hundred savings, I think both fights probably play
- 26:37out on the mat a good bit. I'd probably just prefer Robertson a little
- 26:40bit in that as well, But all three of them in the nine K
- 26:42range very solid. Do you have any thoughts Robertson versus mout a Lot?
- 26:49Well, I think my Lot is my favorite in the nine K range.
- 26:52But for me, it's like JJ and Robertson are similar type plays, and
- 26:56I'm fine just being close in ownership. But I would think JJ higher than
- 27:02Robertson just on the fact that I have more interest in Vianna than I do
- 27:06catch Ara. I like it, love it, keep it rolling. Next
- 27:08fight on the car. Twelve fights to talk about again. Appreciate all thirty
- 27:12eight people watch them live. Survey City, Ramon Tavares minus one seventy five
- 27:18for City, plus one fifty for Tavares his fights minus two sixty to finish
- 27:23City plus one thirty five inside with this since Tavars plus one seventy five,
- 27:29Tavares was the second fighter besides Malcolm Gordon to miswait Waiting at one thirty nine
- 27:33point seventy five almost four pounds. Not something you love to see. He's
- 27:38had problems on the scale before as well, so both him and Gordon.
- 27:41Not a surprise there, but he's fining thirty percent of his purse. The
- 27:45fight should go on. This is a rematch from Contender series. One of
- 27:49the worst stoppages you ever see. City sits them down. Ref jumps in.
- 27:55Dana wasn't happy. City gets a contract Tavars fights a month later.
- 28:00He gets a thirty or thirty second knockout there. So the rebook in this
- 28:03fight, and I'm down for it, man. I mean two heavy hitters,
- 28:07two guys that will stand in the center and bang with that case,
- 28:11I mean, I guess I'll start throwing to you right here. Do you
- 28:14see anyone going for the takedown? If so, who and if it stays
- 28:18on the feet for fifteen minutes or until someone falls, Like, what does
- 28:22City need to do at eighty nine hundred to beat these other guys in his
- 28:25range? Yeah? I think if this fight goes to the ground at City
- 28:30getting the takedowns. I didn't watch very many of these guys' fights, but
- 28:33I did see some of a City's ground game and where I didn't think Tavares
- 28:38wanted to go to the ground at all. He just looks like he wants
- 28:41to go out there and throw hands. He's an aggressive striker with big time
- 28:45power, pretty good boxer, so I think this fight's really close on the
- 28:48feet. But I do favor City overall, basically like the odds do.
- 28:52But because of the ground game, I just think he's the more well rounded
- 28:56fighter, more likely to win minutes on the ground, more likely to fit
- 29:00the fight on the ground. He did get the TKO win in the first
- 29:03round of their last fight, but yeah it was. It was one of
- 29:07the worst stoppages of all time. But at the same time, he knocked
- 29:10him down, so he won the round right there with his striking. Had
- 29:15that knockdown not happened, it was super close, and maybe Tavares was winning
- 29:19the minutes, but who knows on that one. I think tavar Is is
- 29:22just gonna have a lot easier time hitting ten X if it stays standing and
- 29:26it goes the distance. But I feel like tavar is the one with more
- 29:30knockout power, and if this is another knockout, I feel like tavar Is
- 29:33probably more likely to get it. Their salaries are making me prefer Tavares,
- 29:41probably, but this is one of the fights I haven't hit on yet.
- 29:42I definitely wanted to talk it out with you, and I'm not sure what
- 29:47I'm gonna do when it comes to lineup building on this yet, but I
- 29:49feel like Tavar is gonna be my preferred play because of that price. Like
- 29:52I'm searching for underdogs on this card. I want to get up to the
- 29:56nine k range on this card. We're on the last one, it was
- 29:59like he didn't really have a big preference on the nine k range, and
- 30:02we also didn't care if we had to just pay all the way down to
- 30:03the eight k's we're in this one. I do like the nine k range
- 30:07and I want to get those guys under my fight into my lineups. So
- 30:10I feel like Tavares is my path to doing that, But I also expect
- 30:14him to be higher. OneD City probably gets overlooked on this card. Get
- 30:18the same outcome as last time, even if it's an early stoppage. We're
- 30:21getting one hundred plus points from him. He also has ground upside, So
- 30:26I don't know, Man, this is a tough one. I'm fine with
- 30:26either one of them, but the prices are what make me think Tavares is
- 30:30going to be my preferred DraftKings play. But I did pick City to get
- 30:33the win because I just think he's the better overall fighter, more paths to
- 30:37get the win. He was also like minus one eighty five in that Contender
- 30:41series fight. Now it's in Canada, he's Canadian. I think that helps
- 30:45him out as well. So City's my pick. Yeah, a lot of
- 30:48what you said. So this is a game theory fight for me because you
- 30:52look at these odds minus one seventy five plus one fifty. We talk and
- 30:55this eighty nine hundred seventy three hundred, we touch on Malcolm Gordon, Jimmy
- 30:59Flake earlier eighty three hundred and seventy at nine hundred, and Malcolm Gordon's a
- 31:03thirty cent bigger favorite than Surrey City. So that's right now. When you
- 31:08just look at the money line odds, you look at what we have for
- 31:11projected ownership, and I agree Tavar is twenty percent, Surrey City seventeen percent.
- 31:17So just seeing that right there, I have a lot of interests in
- 31:21Surrey City. This fight's minus two sixty to finish, he's plus one thirty
- 31:23five inside the distance under one and a half is a coin flip, like
- 31:27if he does what he did last fight a knockdown early, Yeah, and
- 31:30the ref doesn't tweak or like Taborrow doesn't have his wits about him. He
- 31:34can put up as much as anybody sub twenty percent, and he's very I'm
- 31:38him and Bradkatona are by far the lowest owned in the rate in the upper
- 31:44tier eighty six hundred and above, So just for that reason alone, I
- 31:47like him way more than Brat Katona. Two. I agree, if someone
- 31:51gets takedowns, I think it's him. I think it probably stays on the
- 31:53feet the whole time. The hometown guy let's put on a show already banked
- 31:57him earlier. But I like Ceey just for that reference for sure, or
- 32:01just because of his ownership once excuse me. And then Tavares, I mean,
- 32:07I think it's a close fight like Surrey open minus two five in this
- 32:10fight, Tavar's got some money now it's plus one point fifty. In that
- 32:15Contender series fight, both guys landed eleven strikes. Like tit for tad competitive
- 32:20fights. I thought it like I have it in here dogger pass so I
- 32:23picked Tavars, and that's literally because I look at these guys very very similar.
- 32:29I don't know, though, but he's gonna be higher owned. I'm
- 32:31gonna play him, though, because seventy three hundred. If he wins,
- 32:34I think it's gonna score relatively good. I think he's someone falls in this
- 32:37fight. I think it's a banger or an absolute war, but game theory
- 32:42is telling me I think City's slightly a better play at the end of the
- 32:45day, though, If he's only twenty percent and City seventeen percent, I
- 32:49mean I'll take Tavaris a twenty percent for sure when we need a mix in
- 32:52dogs down below. So what I'm pretty much, long story short, looks
- 32:55like cumuitive ownership in this fight's pretty low relatively speaking. On the card minus
- 33:00two sixty to finish two guys that can throw down. I'll be overweight on
- 33:04this fight and hope someone falls. I'll probably have more Tavares just because that
- 33:08sixteen hundred goes a long way. But seeing seventeen percent and one of the
- 33:13lowest owned fighters in that upper tier, he's definitely gonna be someone I play
- 33:16and we'll get to Bracketona. But I'm not playing him, which means I
- 33:21will have even more ownership leverage at least twenty in below. He's gonna be
- 33:24the low owed fighter that I jam in the upper tier in chalk your lineus,
- 33:28if I played Buenos Silva, Strickland, whatever it may be, He'll
- 33:31be a little way to get different. That's how I see it. So
- 33:36Yeah, good fight though City tavar Is tavars Miswait, thankfully we are keeping
- 33:39that fight on the card. What's going on, Nickel, We'll get to
- 33:43that soon and new baby, we will see great fight. Charles jordainn Sewn
- 33:47Woodson minus two fifteen for Jordaan plus one eighty five for Sean Woodson. This
- 33:54fight is plus one hundred flip a coin, baby, If this fight is
- 33:58gonna finish, plus one seventy five for Jordayne, plus four hundred for Sean
- 34:02Woodson, take it away a big marl. Yeah, I think it's gonna
- 34:07be a fun fight. Two good strikers. I think Jordaane's just the more
- 34:12well rounded, much more dangerous striker with more tools in a striking toolbox.
- 34:17But Woodson is a tall, long, very good boxer with high volume and
- 34:24if this is a fifteen minute striking match. I think it's it's really close.
- 34:29I also think Woodson could mix in takedowns along the way, but in
- 34:35this match, I mean, I don't know if that's a great idea because
- 34:37Jordaane's last three finishes were all submissions, and I feel like a guillotines vary
- 34:40in play if Woodson does want to start going for takedowns, and in my
- 34:45head, I kind of just see Jordayane cracking them, Woodson going for a
- 34:50sloppy takedown getting submitted. That's so that's what I'm picking to happen as my
- 34:53prediction. But at nine K, we need to finish for Jordaane to get
- 35:00there, and I would just rather get these other nine K fighters into my
- 35:04lineup. So he's by far my least favorite nine K option. I don't
- 35:07want to fade him, though, because I think he could get a finish
- 35:09anywhere in any round, and it could also be high volume leading up to
- 35:14it. So I probably see myself underweight to the field on Jordayne, but
- 35:19still getting fifteen percent or so something like that. We're on the woods in
- 35:23side. I don't think he's gonna get that much ownership at seventy two hundred.
- 35:29If he wins at all, I think he's scoring more than ten x.
- 35:30He's got high enough volume where he could really score you know, ninety
- 35:35plus points here in a high volume fight if this does stay standing, especially
- 35:39if he is able to mix in a couple of takedowns. So my preferred
- 35:43DraftKings playing this one's gonna be Woodson, but my pick is Jordaane just because
- 35:47I just feel like he's gonna crack him at some point and then that submission
- 35:52is just what I keep playing through my head. So this is the one
- 35:54where I'm like rooting against my prediction because I probably go overweight on woods In,
- 36:00underweight on shore on Jordayne. But there's another one where I hadn't hit
- 36:04on he end. So I wanted to hear your thoughts. Yeah, pretty
- 36:06much the same thoughts as your. So I was messing with Jordayne underweight or
- 36:09overweight, and I'll probably ended up just right around the field because this is
- 36:14what we have for ownership right now. Jordaane twenty five percent again compared Jillian
- 36:19Robertson one hundred thirty nine percent, a lot forty six. You go down
- 36:23to Evela Buena Silva thirty eight thirty six, so he still sandwiched in between
- 36:28a relatively low owned speaking on this card, and then Sean Woodson we have
- 36:34at sixteen percent. I agree with you, like both guys average about five
- 36:37and a half significant strikes per minute. Woodson weight like, I think it's
- 36:40five inches in height, eight inches in reach. It might even be crazier,
- 36:45like he's gonna look a whole way class bigger, but he's so skinny.
- 36:49Just it's crazy how he makes one forty five. The thing is,
- 36:52Jordaane just has all the power advantage, like on the feet, the jab,
- 36:55everything, Woodson can keep him there. I don't think. I think
- 36:58if Woodson grapples, I think he's probably gonna get submitted. Jordaan's. I
- 37:01mean he's better impressive on the match, his grappling reverse card o'hamo submitted him.
- 37:07I just think Jordayane can catch him with something there. But man like
- 37:12plus one hundred for this fight to finish. The last four wins from Jordaane,
- 37:15which some of them have been finishes, all scored in the low nineties,
- 37:19that's not gonna cut it on this card. Sean Woodson's a good fighter.
- 37:23Jordaan's definitely gained to catch him with something, find a sub maybe he
- 37:28does. I guess I'll ask you this because what are your thoughts much?
- 37:31Is Jordan gonna shoot for takedowns? Is he gonna try and offensively grapple,
- 37:36because I think that's a way he could hit a ceiling. Uh Man's with
- 37:40this fight being in Canada, I feel like he's gonna go out there and
- 37:43try and put on a show. So I'd say no, yeah, And
- 37:45I guess if it is if he's trying to put on the show and go
- 37:47to war and he catches him in the first round, it could be thirty
- 37:51five forty significant drikes the first round beat down and he gets there. But
- 37:54I'm with you. My preferred play is Woodson just for the price. Like,
- 37:58if he wins, I feel good he's probably gonna be on the optimal.
- 38:00He throws a lot of volume. Would be a fun fight if it
- 38:05goes to decision, though, I mean if it's a close fight, it's
- 38:07hard to see Jordayne not getting the nod, which is why Jordaane's my pick.
- 38:10I think he's a better I do think he's a better striker because of
- 38:14power. It's close. I think he's the better grappler, and I think
- 38:16he has the decision out in a close fight. But in DFS, if
- 38:21Sewn Woodson wins, I think he has a good chance of being optimal,
- 38:24whereas the same with set Jordaane can win and still not be optimal at all.
- 38:29So I'll probably be somewhere around the field. Jordayne probably overweight on Woodson.
- 38:34But again this fight cumutive ownership wise looks pretty low owned relative to this
- 38:38card. But we're on the same page there. We're picking Jordayne, but
- 38:43a slight DFS play is Seawn Woodson. A couple more fights left on the
- 38:47card, decent amount of fights actually still Bred Kultona, Garrett Armfield, Katona
- 38:52minus two twelve, Armfield plus one eighty looking at the or the odds to
- 38:57finish plus one twenty five ConA plus two to h five Armfield plus four twenty.
- 39:04Yeah, I mentioned Brad Katona is gonna be one of my fades.
- 39:06He's gonna be one of the lowest own. We have eighteen percent, one
- 39:09of the lowest owned in a high range eighty eight or eighteen percent for Katona
- 39:14at eighty eight hundred. We have Garrett Armfield at fifteen percent at seventy four
- 39:19hundred. Katona's just I call him a dollar Tree version of the Bashra Brothers
- 39:24in my right up because defensively sound, won't take chances, can offensively wrestle,
- 39:30a solid striker. He's just a good all around fighter. But you
- 39:35don't always love those guys in dfs. You like the Jimmy Flicks, the
- 39:37Malcolm Gordon's, the guys that have no striking defense. But also we'll put
- 39:43it on offensively. I just see this fight being a Brad Katona decision.
- 39:46Probably Armfield. I think he's solid. Like I'll have more Armfield. I
- 39:52have Armfield underweight, and Katona is a fade. If Armfield catches him with
- 39:54something on the feet, I think he's a solid fighter. I don't know
- 39:59though. I think he mixes the takedown, stay safe and this fight is
- 40:02pretty boring, so I'll have a little Armfield as a low owned dog.
- 40:07I think others outscore Katona in the upper tier. Katona probably wins a decision.
- 40:10How do you see it? Yeah, pretty much the same. I
- 40:16definitely think Katona is the better overall fighter. He's a smart fighter too,
- 40:21So if like the striking's not going his way, I think he could fall
- 40:22back on the wrestling and grappling, where I think he has an even bigger
- 40:28edge. But I like him to be the better striker too. I just
- 40:30think that these guys are very similar strikers and it could be a super close
- 40:34fifteen minute striking match if that's the case. And if it's a fifteen minute
- 40:38close striking match, I prefer Armfield to have an easier time paying off his
- 40:43salary. But it's really what's talking me into that is just Katona's last fight
- 40:49where it was a crazy three round striking match. He scored ninety seven points
- 40:52in a striking match with no knockdowns, no takedowns, but that was He'll
- 40:57never land more significant strikes than that gets. And that was a hell of
- 41:00a fight, isn't it. You guys are fight fans and then Washington fight,
- 41:04go rewatch it. But I don't think Atona will ever be in a
- 41:06barn burner like that, And he still didn't score one hundred, So that
- 41:08was the thing I came back to, Yeah, you're probably right. So
- 41:12I originally had this as a three X thinking like, damn maybe that could
- 41:15play out again. And then I was also thinking like, well, he
- 41:19could go for takedowns. He could control this fight for he heated this in
- 41:22one of his fights, already controlled it for eight takedowns scored ninety three points.
- 41:29So like those two fights, I'm like, I could definitely see those
- 41:30paths to victory. But eighty eight hundred are those scores even enough? So
- 41:36I talked to myself, well, you probably talked me into going down a
- 41:39lower rating. I'm probably just gonna fade this fight. I really don't like
- 41:43it at all. I'm gonna fade it with my twenty or less. Who
- 41:45knows what I'll do with one fifty. Maybe I'll let ten to fifteen percent
- 41:49of either one of them slide. But I do like Etona to get the
- 41:52win. It's just how how is that win gonna happen? Is he gonna
- 41:57stay on the feed? Is he gonna stay on the ground, if he
- 41:59stays on the feet. That's what makes me have a little bit of interest
- 42:01in Armfield, because I think it should. It could just be a back
- 42:04and forth striking match where volume is neck and neck, and at eighty eight
- 42:08hundred, Katona's gonna have a hard time paying that off where if Armfield gets
- 42:13his hand raised, even if we don't think it's right, he could compete
- 42:16for the lineup. So it's another tough one. This is the last one
- 42:20I hadn't got to, but I did change my rating as you were talking,
- 42:24so I lowered it. It's my least favorite fight on the card in
- 42:28DFS, Like it's just like I think Katona if he gets there, I
- 42:31think it is wrestling in control time, Like he literally just landed one hundred
- 42:35and sixty and at significant strikes didn't crack one hundred. And if you watch
- 42:39that fight like it was an all, it was a war, it was
- 42:42a phenomenal fight. You would think he maybe scored one ten or something.
- 42:45And that shows how draftings scoring aw munch of caters to wrestling top control finishes,
- 42:51et cetera. So I think, if and I'm with you, like
- 42:52that's what I'm saying one hundred and fifty teams, if I play it,
- 42:55I'm gonna have some Katona in some Armfield. I don't think i'll act ex
- 43:00anybody in although, but if I don't play one fifty, which I very
- 43:02well might not, I'm definitely not gonna end the twenty five or whatever it
- 43:07is. I'm not going to play any Katona there. This fight I think
- 43:10is my least favorite on the card, which isn't saying much because I think
- 43:14a lot of these fights, every fighter has a path to the optimal.
- 43:17I just think Katona, a smart fighter can mix it in maybe a little
- 43:22slower pace, wins the decision that way. And you gotta faate some fights
- 43:27on the card, some fighter, so this will be one of them for
- 43:29me. Keep a rolling next fight on the card. Absolute banger in terms
- 43:34of just high level talent Masbar Eve loove Arnold Allen, evelof coming in.
- 43:39So it got down yesterday like minus two tens a buyback on Arnold Allen this
- 43:44morning. Now it's around minus one eighty three to two hundred Arnold Allen plus
- 43:50one sixty. This fight is the most likely to go the distance on the
- 43:52card plus to forty to finish, and the underdog gets better finishing odds than
- 43:58the favorite Arnold Allen plus three fifty Evila plus five point fifty, which definitely
- 44:02makes sense. Evel, I think all of his UFC fights have gone to
- 44:06decision. Classic striker versus grappler how I see it, and I'm not trying
- 44:10to say that the other guys are bad at the other thing. I think
- 44:14Arnold Allen's definitely worked on his ground game. I think Evelo striking is solid,
- 44:19but I think it's clear as day Evil is gonna look for takedowns.
- 44:22Allen's gonna do everything he can to keep it on the feeds. I've changed
- 44:27this. I back to the Viianna and Arnold Allen. I had Allen as
- 44:31underweight Bianna's fade and I flip flopped him, and that's because I didn't even
- 44:36like Arnold Allen anyway. I think he's live to like catch Evilov on the
- 44:38chin and knock him out that way. I think that's what he has to
- 44:42do. But man, he's gonna be fighting off takedowns all day, and
- 44:45I think Evelof at the end of the day is just such a good wrestler.
- 44:47Cardios there everything. I do think he gets them. He makes Alan
- 44:52work and just say Alan got a third round knockout, he legit still might
- 44:54score sixty five points because he has been fighting off takedowns the whole time anyway,
- 45:00So yeah, it's Ivolov or nothing. For me, and Ivlov is
- 45:02a great DFS has been great DFS play in the future or in the past.
- 45:08Seven UFC wins one twenty one, thirty one, thirty eight, ninety
- 45:14two, sixty six, eighty four, one ten. Four of those seven
- 45:17are guaranteed pretty much optimal. The ninety two whatever, eighty seven hundred,
- 45:22it's not terrible. Then the other two you don't take. But I'll be
- 45:27playing some Ivlov ownership wise, last thing before I throw it to you,
- 45:30eighty or thirty eight percent for Evolov and Arnold Allen seventeen percent take it away.
- 45:37Yeah, it's gonna be uh evlo ever pass for me, and I
- 45:43put Allen at like seventeen percent because of the name, Like this guy's coming
- 45:45off a title shot. I think the name gets him ownership. But yeah,
- 45:50matchup wise, I just don't like him on paper, and he's gonna
- 45:52be a fade for me. And I do think he could win this fight
- 45:57by any methad. He could knock Evloeve out. He could so mid him,
- 46:00but it would be probably from bottom. And he could also win a
- 46:05decision if he's able to keep the fight standing for seven or eight minutes and
- 46:09he just looks better on the feet, and they give it to him.
- 46:15But in a decision, I don't think he's scoring ten x in that case
- 46:21because Evlouev's not going to accept a striking match. I do think Vlev could
- 46:23hang on the feet, but I give Allen the striking edge minute wise and
- 46:28danger wise. But Evluev is a guy who can land ten takedowns in a
- 46:34three round fight, and if he is able to land five plus takedowns and
- 46:37manages to lose the fight, I just don't think that there's gonna be enough
- 46:42time for Allen to score. And I would guess he scores less than seventy
- 46:46points in a decision win. Here. He also has two third round submissions.
- 46:54He scored fifty nine points and sixty five points in those, and the
- 47:00fifty nine pointer he was on his way to losing. He got taken down
- 47:02six times by mad Brunel, and Fluev is a better wrestler than Mad Brunell
- 47:07in my opinion, So I just think it's gonna be a similar fight to
- 47:09that, and I like Evluev. I like ev Loov for the ceiling because
- 47:14he's a guy who doesn't need a finish to score one hundred and ten points.
- 47:19And you mentioned his sixty six point DraftKings score. That was the one
- 47:22time he faced somebody who could have been a better wrestler than him. That's
- 47:28not the case here. He's gonna have to wrestle in this matchup where he
- 47:30did not have to win that one. So let's take away that sixty six
- 47:34pointer, and he's averaging one hundred and twelve DraftKings points in all his other
- 47:38wins' that's the kind of guy I like. Man. That's that's DraftKings gold
- 47:43right there. So I'm gonna be heavy on Evluev. I'm gonna fade Allen
- 47:46and just hope that there isn't an early finish because I don't even want to
- 47:51finish from ev Love. Just give me fifteen minutes of wrestling and we're good.
- 47:54I'm fine without a finish, for sure. The only thing I will
- 47:58say for I Love is just be careful a little bit again. Thirty eight
- 48:01percent. Bueno Silva's gonna be pretty popular. Both Strickland and DUPLUSI are gonna
- 48:06be pretty popular. Just I would be careful in that mid tier. Malcolm
- 48:09Gordon's gonna get some ownership. Just try and get different somewhere as always an
- 48:14MMA one spot, two spot, leave salary, etc. But I don't
- 48:17think you should jam one of strict Daddy du plus e Bueno, Silva,
- 48:22evilov Gore. Like everyone's gonna kind of be in that same route there,
- 48:27but very strong play. I'll be mixing the matching, like maybe if I
- 48:30go Evel Love strict Daddy, I go Jimmy Flake or something to get different
- 48:34that way, I'll be looking at little LeVert spots like that. The Viannas
- 48:37of the world is going to be low owned. Don't just jam all the
- 48:40chalk and MMA for sure. What's going on? Siggy hope everything's going well.
- 48:45D Kaifer back in his other account, Fadie Allen as well. Four
- 48:50fights left on the card for pretty fun fights. This one I think is
- 48:53gonna be some fun. Chris Curtis, Mark Andre Barrio minus one eighty for
- 48:58Curtis plus one fifty five for Barrio. This fight is minus one oh five
- 49:02to finish Chris Curtis plus two fifteen Burial plus two ninety And I mean,
- 49:08I look at these guys so similar. Both throw good volume, both prefer
- 49:12to keep it on the feet. I think if we get fifteen minutes of
- 49:15striking or someone falls. But I think it comes down to what is Barrio's
- 49:19game plan because Chris Curtis wants to or CounterPunch and he's fine not dictating the
- 49:24action. Barrio is a four pressure fighter, so if he does that,
- 49:30I think this could be a great fight and someone can fall. But if
- 49:32he dances around the outside a little bit, I mean, I think this
- 49:37one could definitely score really bad if it goes all fifteen, because I think
- 49:39it stays on the feet or it just comes into a barn burner kind of
- 49:44like we saw Barrios last fight Agains Julian Marquez. Man, I watched that
- 49:46fight yesterday. Who that fight was great. I was there. I remember
- 49:51how good that one was. Power Bard just turned it on. Curtis doesn't
- 49:54break mixes in good body shots. It's Zager pass for me though on the
- 49:59money line, but also for the pricing, like eighty five hundred and seventy
- 50:02seven hundred, I think both ceiling and floor is relatively similar. For that
- 50:07eight hundred goes a long way. So looking at her ownership, fifteen percent
- 50:12Curtis sixteen percent, Mark Andre Barrio. I am more interest in Barrio in
- 50:15this one for the savings. What about you? Yeah, same. I
- 50:20think this is a really close fight. I do expect a striking match,
- 50:24probably a fifteen minute striking match, and I think volume will be pretty close,
- 50:29probably on the Burial side, would be my guess. I think Curtis
- 50:32is the harder hitter, probably the better just overall athlete, But at the
- 50:37same time I kind of cancel out that power with Burial being more likely to
- 50:40go for takedowns, and I think he would be more likely to win minutes
- 50:44on the ground. So this is just closer to a fifty to fifty fight
- 50:47in my opinion. And then on top of that, it's in Canada.
- 50:51Buriolts Canadian, so definitely doggar pass for me, I'm an ex Curtis out
- 50:54of my player pool, and if he doesn't get a knockout, I think
- 50:58I'm fine with that. Even if he wins all three rounds on the feet,
- 51:01I don't think he's scoring ten X. If he does, it's barely
- 51:05gonna be ten X and he's gonna get it out scored by guys like Evluev.
- 51:08So that's why I'm fading Curtis here and then Burial. I don't really
- 51:14see him having a big ceiling either, but I think he'll have a lot
- 51:16easier time hitting ten X at his seventy seven hundred dollars salary. So for
- 51:22me, it's just dogger pass all around. I'm not gonna force Burial into
- 51:24any lineups, but he's a dog that's in play for a win. He
- 51:29could be high volume, but I just don't think this is gonna be a
- 51:31high volume fight. I think this will be like a medium volume striking match.
- 51:36The winner score sixty five points something like that. Yeah, I don't
- 51:39love the I don't love the fight too much. I'm with you, though,
- 51:42I think you probably need a knockout. Both guys got power. They
- 51:45can get both guys laying about five and a half significant strikes per minutes.
- 51:50It's dogger pass for me, though I won't have much. Curtis and I'll
- 51:53have something, I mean a bary of sixteen percent. Maybe I'm a little
- 51:57overweight something like that as a dog. But now the best fight, I
- 52:00think it stays on the feet for fifteen minutes and you need to knock out,
- 52:04and it's about a coin flip to do that. I don't know if
- 52:06also, if you saw the press conference yesterday, someone asked Burial question he
- 52:09was about to start answering, I forget, I don't know what it was.
- 52:13If Dana said like someone interrupted pretty much, Dan was like next question,
- 52:17next question. Bario couldn't even get to talk, and he looked so
- 52:21sad and defeated, so I felt bad for him. They went right back
- 52:23to Strickland and doing all that. So hey, I felt bad for you
- 52:28Burio out there. Maybe he turns it on and uses some anger for tomorrow.
- 52:31Three fights left, Neal Magni, Mike Malot. I guess I should
- 52:35it said the other way, Mike Malott taking on Neil Magni MA Lot minus
- 52:38four hundred, biggest favorite on the card, Neil Magni plus three hundred.
- 52:44This fight's minus two seventy five to finish, Lot minus two twenty five,
- 52:49Magni plus seven to fifty inside the distance a lot ten to one. All
- 52:53eleven fights have finished. Nine of those ten or wins have come in the
- 52:59first round. Even in those first round fights, though, he's not breaking
- 53:02the slate like one oh five, one oh eight, and I mean,
- 53:07what more can you do? Like there's a lot of variants in first round
- 53:09finishing scores if it's inside a minute, knockdowns, et cetera. So if
- 53:15you tell me he gets a first round finish, I want him. Looking
- 53:17at those odds, he is plus one seventy to win in round one,
- 53:22and we do have him as the highest owned fighter on the card. My
- 53:25second highest, excuse me, we have drinkis forty nine, Strict Daddy forty
- 53:30five, me Lot forty six. Those three I think are the three highest,
- 53:34and they can be mixed and matched. I think anyway, all relatively
- 53:37close. I prefer just Robertson and Jasmine if I had to pick a little
- 53:42bit with the ownership discount, knowing I'm gonna be eating Strict Daddy chalk Drink
- 53:46his chalk, other chalk. I think all of them have a lot of
- 53:49upside. Though I look at him all very similar. I'll let you take
- 53:52this one way. Yeah, I mean, Malt just looks like the real
- 53:58deal, big hype train right now from Canada. The fights are in Canada.
- 54:02They're the third highest fight on the card for a reason, and it's
- 54:07not because of Neil Magne. You know. I feel like this is one
- 54:08where you feed the young guy, somebody who's been around for a long time,
- 54:13who has a name, and you try and build him off of that.
- 54:16So I always like to side with the UFC when I think that they
- 54:20have a script that they want to play out, and a lot's dangerous.
- 54:22I mean, he's finished all ten of his wins. The last fight he
- 54:25had, I mean he looked great, but it was the first time it
- 54:29went to the second round in all of his fights, and he's got a
- 54:34seventy percent inside the distance line. In this fight I expect to finish.
- 54:38He could finish with a knockout, he could finish I think more likely with
- 54:42a submission, and I expect it to be early. So I like him
- 54:45a lot. Even if we do get one of these, uh you know,
- 54:49once twelve, I'll definitely accept one O six, one o five,
- 54:52one oh four that that's ify. But I feel like that whole nine k
- 54:54range is going to be right there around one oh five points and he's just
- 54:58much more likely to finish. So he's my favorite in the nine K range
- 55:01for that reason. I think I'll have the most ownership on him. But
- 55:05I always worry about these guys who never make it out of the first round.
- 55:07What he's gonna look like in the second or third round, especially against
- 55:12a cardio guy like Neil Magni. I have a hard time seeing Magni lose
- 55:16this third round if it gets there. I don't know what Malt looks like,
- 55:20but just I have to imagine that the cardio king would be a little
- 55:23bit better than a guy who's never been to the third round. So I'm
- 55:28gonna probably be like fifty percent, I would think, And then I said,
- 55:32I'll probably hedge with that and get maybe ten percent to fifteen percent Magni,
- 55:37just because of the what ifs, Like I have no idea what happens
- 55:39if this fight gets extended. But if Magni does win, I'd imagine he's
- 55:44piling on points in that second and third round, and he's really gonna compete
- 55:47for the optimal lineup, if not lock himself in with like a ninety pointer
- 55:51or something like that. So I prefer Magni over the Ketchawera and who else
- 55:58he around. I actually like Fianna too, so it gets a little tough,
- 56:02I guess when we're moving up. But if I would in Armfield,
- 56:07yeah, I like all those guys actually magne Ver's armfield would be close for
- 56:12me, Like, I'd rather just save the money on Magni if that helps
- 56:15me with the rest of my lineup. But I do plan on being overweight
- 56:17to Tavares and Woodson and Vianna, so maybe that'll I don't know, maybe
- 56:22that'll put me on fading Magne too. Who who the hell knows what I'm
- 56:24gonna end up doing. I'm excited to start building here in like an hour
- 56:29or so, But the way I say it in my head is like fifty
- 56:31I'm a lot, ten percent Magni. Yeah, I'm gonna fade Magnie,
- 56:36but I will be looking for a live betting spot because if any sign him
- 56:39a lot, maybe slowing down and Magne still looks good after round one,
- 56:44maybe beginning round two or something. I don't think that is the craziest thing,
- 56:47but you probably do need to finish. I mean, man, if
- 56:52he wins round one, which he should have a very high clip, round
- 56:54two is close, judges probably give him the win. And even if Magnie
- 56:59wins round three, even convinclently, I mean it's in Canada's We've mentioned it
- 57:02a lot. Guys like Jorday and Barrio Mo Lot post fights and it goes
- 57:07to decision they'd have a better chance of getting the nods. So yeah,
- 57:12not much to add. I think a Lot probably dominates him scores pretty well.
- 57:15It's just isn't enough to be on the winner that we will find out.
- 57:20Two fights left. Again, like button, we appreciate it. Subscribe
- 57:23button helps us out a ton. If you want to join us at shipinnation
- 57:25dot com, all of our MMA content will be up. NBA going on
- 57:30Golf, going one, NFL Playoffs, going on Monster Week, in the
- 57:35NFL streets, weekly, six month, monthly, annual. Did put that
- 57:39in the right order, but all the options at chipination dot com. Give
- 57:43it a try at over and if you do join anything but the weekly package,
- 57:47make sure to get into discord as well. Two fights left. Two
- 57:52title fights left on the card. The vacant bantam white belt on the line
- 57:57Myra Buayna Silva taking on Raquel Pennington. Minus one sixty four is Silva plus
- 58:02one forty four on the way back is Pennington. This fight is minus one
- 58:07fifteen to finish and that is all because on the Bueno Silva side, plus
- 58:10one twenty is Bueno Silva inside the distance Pennington plus six twenty five. I'm
- 58:16just gonna say it right out right now, always say it how it is.
- 58:20I am going against my gut, my head. Everything is telling me
- 58:23Buena Silva is gonna win. But everybody is saying Buena Silva is gonna win.
- 58:29There's nobody out here on the Rocky side. If you look at the
- 58:32recent fights, Rocky hasn't looked great. I mean, both these girls level
- 58:36of competition and wins haven't been impressive. I don't think you can draw up
- 58:39a worse title fight. That's why they had to have two with Tricklin and
- 58:44Dricaz help sell it. These two definitely ain't selling a pay per view by
- 58:46themselves. Everything is telling me Buena Silva the more dangerous fighter. I like
- 58:51the light kicks, grab a submission, all that, But something telling me
- 58:55Rocky's just gonna make it greasy against the fan, little elbows, the clinch,
- 59:02oh twenty five minutes, close fight, and then she's just gonna have
- 59:06the better cardio and just edge it out being boring at the end of it.
- 59:09I think it's a lot of it fading the public. But I don't
- 59:12know, man, I don't do this very often Marley tell me why Buena
- 59:15Silva is gonna win, But yeah, I'm taking the dog. I'm not
- 59:20against that. I am picking Bueno Silva to wins because I think she is
- 59:24the more dangerous fighter. I think she's a more dangerous striker, especially in
- 59:28the first half of the fight, but veers everywhere. It's not even close,
- 59:31and like I usually don't go against that. That's it. Yeah,
- 59:36well, see that's the issue. Like she has a huge edge on the
- 59:37ground, and that's why I'm picking her. I think she's getting a submission
- 59:39at some point, but she's only got two takedowns in her whole UFC career.
- 59:44She does not wrestle, which I hate, and that's a worry.
- 59:49I mean, even if she goes out there, Rocky gets a take down
- 59:52or she submits her like she submitted home, like against the Cage, just
- 59:55standing submission, she could score less than ten X if it's not first round
- 1:00:00submission, So that's a worry. I also think if this fight does get
- 1:00:05extended, there's probably gonna be a lot of fence time. Maybe she doesn't
- 1:00:07even ten X in a decision, especially if she's not getting takedowns. So
- 1:00:12I think we probably need a finish from Silva to have any real ceiling and
- 1:00:15compete with these other people who have ceilings around her. And she will get
- 1:00:21ownership too, So I'm not sure what I'm gonna do there. In my
- 1:00:23head, I thought I would get a good amount of Silva, but I
- 1:00:27don't know. We'll see when it starts when I start building. If I
- 1:00:30get twenty percent, I don't think i'd be completely against it. But at
- 1:00:32the same time, if I got forty percent, i'd be fine with that
- 1:00:35too. I agree, And then I was originally thinking, well, shit,
- 1:00:39I thought this was a three round fight. Like when I first saw
- 1:00:42it, I was like easy fade all around on this fight. But with
- 1:00:45five rounds it does make Rocky very interesting because she's probably got the better cardio.
- 1:00:51If this fight is staying standing, it's gonna be close on volume,
- 1:00:54if not higher on the Rocky side, and she is the dirtier, grittier
- 1:00:59type of striker where in a decision maybe I do favor Rocky. So at
- 1:01:04seventy six hundred, she's gonna have a much easier time paying off her salary,
- 1:01:07especially in a decision, which is putting me a little bit onto her
- 1:01:12for DraftKings, where I didn't think I would get too much ownership. So
- 1:01:15I don't know, man. This is one where I definitely don't think we
- 1:01:17have to target this title fight. I'm fine getting away from it, but
- 1:01:22we probably need playing a silver to win in that case. But I don't
- 1:01:25know, man, I don't know what I'm gonna do with this one.
- 1:01:28Maybe I'll be around thirty percent on both sides, but I plan on maybe
- 1:01:30being underweight to the field as a whole. But give me Silva to get
- 1:01:35as a mission. I don't feel great about it. And why and why
- 1:01:38is this girl always crying? My god, I watched all the embeddeds.
- 1:01:42This girl is crying every single second of those embeddeds. After all her wins,
- 1:01:45She's crying, Like this girl is crying more than she's not. It's
- 1:01:49weird to watch. But maybe we'll get another crying if she wins the belt
- 1:01:52here. Either way, I expect to cry after the fight from her.
- 1:01:55Yeah, I can't answer that question. I'm not quite sure, but it
- 1:01:59did so one I definitely agree with you where I don't think you need this
- 1:02:01fight at all. I'm gonna be making a rule for Stricklandricus and twenty teams
- 1:02:06or less can totally see I think this fight goes five Marcu Greese as well.
- 1:02:10You do get points. Why I like Rocky a little in like the
- 1:02:13one case savings in a decision when I think Rocky can definitely get there.
- 1:02:17Baena Silva can get there at eighty six hundred, but I don't know Evilov's
- 1:02:22in that range. She needs a lot of other things to go right,
- 1:02:24and just the perfect fight for her to I think get there in a decision.
- 1:02:29And they count clinch control against the FNCH is like top the same as
- 1:02:34top control. They give you points just literally holding them against the fence that
- 1:02:37way. I could see Rocky doing that a lot like Colley Holm was doing
- 1:02:42that to Buena Silva before she knocked locked up that Ninja choke. Obviously,
- 1:02:45you gotta think Rocky's been preparing for all that. I think she can just
- 1:02:49make it really boring. And I mean the press conference is geeked as well.
- 1:02:54I'll give it to Buena Silva. Her second language, I don't even
- 1:02:58know if you can call that English, but she was saying how like everyone
- 1:03:00goes as she was like everyone goes to sleep, when you fight sleepy sleepy,
- 1:03:05and she was geeking me out because Rocky is a boring ass fighter.
- 1:03:08But hey, if you win a decision, when you score decent at seventy
- 1:03:13six hundred thirty six percent, is well. We have both of these fighters,
- 1:03:15and I can see myself being underweight in total to this fight. But
- 1:03:20yeah, I'm gonna everything telling me when to Silva. I'm still gonna side
- 1:03:23with the Rocky side, and I prefer it in DFS. Yeah, speak
- 1:03:28English, Love. It was funny, that's all. That's all Rocky gonna
- 1:03:30say, Speak English, Speak English. Everyone knew what she was saying.
- 1:03:32Your fights are boring and they're going to sleep That was geeked all right,
- 1:03:37last fight on the card, main event time. I don't even know if
- 1:03:40you can say bad blood anymore. Unfortunately, Sean Stricklin drink is two plus
- 1:03:44e. I got coin flit now at bet online DraftKings minus one fifteen minus
- 1:03:50one oh five. The ads have definitely got closer to Dricus as the week
- 1:03:54has gone on, especially in this last day. The way cut looked harder
- 1:03:59for Sricklin. Then Dricus pretty much a straight pick him though. Now it's
- 1:04:02crazy this fight is minus to eighty five to finish. Looking at the inside,
- 1:04:08this is proft for both Dricklin plus one forty Drinkius plus one fifty.
- 1:04:14My quick breakdown I think is Dreka is early or Strickland late, and I'm
- 1:04:18siding. I've gone back and forth on this for a while. Now I'm
- 1:04:21triding with Dricas. I don't know, man, I've been on the strict
- 1:04:26daddy train ever since the motorcycle accident. I've been so anti Drikus literally ever
- 1:04:30since last fight. But what he did to Rob Whitaker, I can knot
- 1:04:33get out of my head. And I just think the forward pressure, just
- 1:04:39the craziness, like if he gets taken now and manage it and get up,
- 1:04:43he's huge at one eighty five, strict Strickland is a good chance he
- 1:04:47does, but it can get clipped, and Dricus does have an insane amount
- 1:04:50of power. I just think he's going to be a crazy man. That's
- 1:04:54monstrous for the division, and just keep walking forward and something's gonna land.
- 1:04:58I don't know. I probably get burned again again. I've been on Strickland
- 1:05:00forever. Hated Drakis, but what he did to Robert Whittaker, I can
- 1:05:04knock get out of my head. What do you got in this one?
- 1:05:08Man? But I will say I'm not at least one or exactly one fighter
- 1:05:12in this one, and I have seventy percent Strickland or thirty percent Strickland.
- 1:05:16I do not care. All I cares about is what my other script is.
- 1:05:19If I love all my other fighters, I really don't care where this
- 1:05:23one is. I don't want to be eighty twenty or something, but seventy
- 1:05:27thirty either side, and I love everything else. Just let's hope that lineup
- 1:05:30wins with whatever it is, and I can always hedge, like if I.
- 1:05:33If you're in line to win one hundred k or whatever, it may
- 1:05:36be something worth for you. You can easily hedge a coin flip right here
- 1:05:42in the legal state bet on the other side. And that's something I'll be
- 1:05:45looking to do as well. But what do you see in this one?
- 1:05:48Yeah? I agree with everything you said pretty much, except that I'm going
- 1:05:53to be on the Strickland side. I just can't pick DDP man. I
- 1:05:58feel like I don't know if I've picked him over Whittaker or if I just
- 1:06:00was pretty heavy on him in DraftKings, so like that one helped me out.
- 1:06:04But he's if he wins this fight, he's gonna be the sloppiest champion
- 1:06:08we've ever had in the UFC, Like Heppy and going back and watching film,
- 1:06:13it's like, I can just never pick this guy. And I don't
- 1:06:15know if I have picked him more than once or twice, to be honest
- 1:06:17with you. So I'm just gonna stay on the train of not picking DVP,
- 1:06:20especially now that we're in a five round fight and everybody and their mother
- 1:06:25seems to be picking them U. The line's been moving in his favor all
- 1:06:28week long. Maybe he'll be the favorite by the time this fight kicks off,
- 1:06:31or even shit in the morning when people are building their lineups, that'll
- 1:06:33help them even more. This afternoon, I mean minus won ten doll I
- 1:06:39bet online it keeps going. I wouldn't be surprised this afternoon. Yeah,
- 1:06:43I mean, you're right, and I do think it has to be early.
- 1:06:46I mean, he's got big time power. He's got mean chokes on
- 1:06:50the ground too. I don't really know who the best, who the better
- 1:06:54grappler is in this one. I would think that Duplessis is just stronger and
- 1:06:59more likely to get early takedowns for that reason. But the longer this fight
- 1:07:01goes, the more Strickland's gonna be the better wrestler grappler, and then same
- 1:07:05thing like Duplesses could knock him out early because he is moving forward throwing heavy
- 1:07:12hands, but he's just so sloppy and a guy likes Strickland, I don't
- 1:07:15think is gonna get I don't think he's gonna be losing minutes to that on
- 1:07:18the feet, So it's got to be a finisher bust in my opinion for
- 1:07:21DDP, and I'm never laying juice on that really unless your name's like in
- 1:07:26Ghanu, I guess, but I like Strickland to be our minute winner here.
- 1:07:30I think he could also get a late finish because I mean, dupless
- 1:07:35was gassing in one round in previous fights. He got his nose fixed.
- 1:07:39Maybe that's gonna help him a lot, but we only saw like two rounds
- 1:07:42of it in his last fight, and now we're acting like that's not an
- 1:07:45issue anymore. Five rounds, no problem. I just disagree. I think
- 1:07:48the longer this fight goes, the more it gets the gap gets wide,
- 1:07:51and Strickland just starts to take over or he finishes him in those championship rounds.
- 1:07:57But I'm gonna be on the Strickland side and probably would be close to
- 1:08:00the seventy thirty in favor of Strickland. But it is an all in fight.
- 1:08:03I don't want a single lineup without this fight. I think we're gonna
- 1:08:06need, you know, like an eyepoke, no contest, something stupid for
- 1:08:10this fight, not to make the optimal lineup because it is right there in
- 1:08:14the mid range. And not only do I think they're both scoring over ten
- 1:08:18x, but I think they're likely to score over one hundred than they are
- 1:08:20less than ten x. So got to be all in on it. But
- 1:08:24give me Strickland. Yeah, I mean, I can't. Everything you said,
- 1:08:28I agree with you, like I'll be another fight. I'll be looking
- 1:08:30for a live bet on Sean Strickland, like I'm not sold on Drikas.
- 1:08:34Go literally go back to the Derek Brunson fight UFC two eighty five right here
- 1:08:40the barrio. I mean, what insane card that was. He looked awful
- 1:08:43like Brunton Adam full Mounds pounded away too bad. He was on the verge
- 1:08:47of retirement with literally one somehow only guy worse cardio than Drikus at the time.
- 1:08:53Then he had that nose surgery though, and he didn't look like he
- 1:08:57was slowing one bit against Whitaker. And again it was And that's when I
- 1:09:00go back to I always looked at Robert Whitaker so so highly, one of
- 1:09:04the most underrated fighters. Just can't get hi. Iasy, but man,
- 1:09:09he looks he looked made Robert Whittaker look like an average joe out there,
- 1:09:13a fifteen ranked middle eights. And again, I'm probably putting too much socking
- 1:09:17into that fight. And that's why I've gone back and forth. Strickland's always
- 1:09:21been the dude he'll fight for your money. He's got cardio for days,
- 1:09:25He's got his stance that works like I don't think Dricus. I am worried
- 1:09:29about people just kicking off Sean's leg hasn't really happened too much now. I
- 1:09:32don't think Dricus is the one to do it. But and Izzy didn't do
- 1:09:35it, so I don't know. Man, I'll be looking for live bet
- 1:09:40Strickland. I'm picking Drikus, but at the end of the day, if
- 1:09:42I have sixty forty Strickland, I'm good with that as well. And actually
- 1:09:45I think the best scenario would be Dracus somehow gets a lot of steam minus
- 1:09:49one twenty five minus one thirty at two hundred dollars cheaper and we could get
- 1:09:55like a ten percent ownership discount. Then I would love the Strickland side more.
- 1:09:59And I'm not sure maybe that's that's just hoping too much, but that
- 1:10:03would be the most ideal for me. But then I would probably think the
- 1:10:06same thing the Sharks, and then it would even himself out playing that game,
- 1:10:11so who knows at the end of the day. And I would say
- 1:10:14that like I would have been even higher on Strickland. But I hate like
- 1:10:16the words that are coming out of his mouth, to be honest, Like
- 1:10:18I don't like that there's not any beef anymore. He's talking up DDP and
- 1:10:23he's also like saying that I don't I don't even think about winning and losing.
- 1:10:27I just like to go out there and fight, and he's I don't
- 1:10:30think he cares, you know, whether he loses or wins his fight,
- 1:10:32to be honest with, he's gonna get paid, He's gonna be just fine.
- 1:10:36So I do worry about like the words that are coming out of his
- 1:10:41mouth. But if I didn't hear any of that stuff and I thought there
- 1:10:44was still beef, I would have bet Strickland already. I still might be
- 1:10:47betting Strickland, but I would have bet him for like maybe two or three
- 1:10:50units already. But I just I don't know, man, That's what's worrying
- 1:10:54me. Plus all this line movement, Like is there something I don't know
- 1:10:57that other people do know? But yeah, I just can't get behind the
- 1:11:01sloppiness of Dulus. I can't blame you. And yeah, I think a
- 1:11:05little bit maybe the line movement. So obviously Sean put on a lot of
- 1:11:10muscle. If you've been on Twitter anything, you've probably seen that. Well,
- 1:11:14it hurt his cardio. I don't I'm not too worried about that,
- 1:11:15just because how Seawn's fights, they just pops forward the jab, how much
- 1:11:19he how much he spars. I'm the dude. The dude grinds like,
- 1:11:25no, all this, I'm not too worried about that. And this is
- 1:11:27a good point. I actually missed that. So Jasmine and catch awaar a
- 1:11:30fight. They both couldn't make one twenty five, so it got moved to
- 1:11:34bantamweight. Priscilla waient in at one thirty three and a half Jasmine went in
- 1:11:39at one thirty three, So I'd be interested to see, like were they
- 1:11:44told last night? Like was it this morning? That both girls because they're
- 1:11:47both relatively the same weight. Very interesting, though not not much changes for
- 1:11:54me and that any final thoughts before we get on out of here now,
- 1:11:58I didn't know that it's interesting. Maybe maybe that helps catch you air a
- 1:12:02little bit though anything I think so too, I guess, but yeah,
- 1:12:06the wait stuff's always just I never know. Yeah, who knows. Hopefully
- 1:12:11it's a great card. Not only do we have UFC, but hopefully it's
- 1:12:14a great NFL card as well. You bet simultaneously at night, Green Bay
- 1:12:18Packers gonna be playing, Fight's gonna be on, money had money to be
- 1:12:24made, NHL going on, PGA going on, NBA going on as well.
- 1:12:29Let's make some cheese this weekend. We will do our best to help
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