Latest / Sid & Friends In The Morning / Hank Sheinkopf | Political Consultant Speaks on the Demise of Upstate New York
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: I'm sure Hank Shankop has been to Syracuse. Let's ask
- 0:02Speaker 1: him the brilliant mind that is Hank. I love having
- 0:04Speaker 1: this guy on. Hank, you've been to Syracuse?
- 0:07Speaker 2: Of course, Sid. Many, many years ago.
- 0:10Speaker 1: And what do you think of that town?
- 0:14Speaker 2: Nice people. Town needs help.
- 0:17Speaker 1: You know what's funny about that? The town does need help.
- 0:20Speaker 1: And I don't care, Hank Shankop, if it's Syracuse or
- 0:23Speaker 1: Rochester or Utica or right outside where my mom lives
- 0:27Speaker 1: in upstate New York, Monticello. All these towns are widowed
- 0:31Speaker 1: with people that are drug addled, completely poor, no jobs
- 0:36Speaker 1: and no hope. And Andrew Cuomo and Kathy Hochul, the
- 0:39Speaker 1: last two governors, promised they would spend their time fixing
- 0:43Speaker 1: all those upstate New York towns. And they've done none
- 0:46Speaker 1: of that. In fact, in fact, they've gone the other
- 0:49Speaker 1: way by ruining business. Is that fair to say?
- 0:53Speaker 2: It's fair to say that everybody keeps talking about repairing
- 0:57Speaker 2: central New York and the southern tier and pushing the
- 1:01Speaker 2: west of New York. And the end result is that
- 1:02Speaker 2: nothing gets repaired and nothing gets changed. um you know
- 1:06Speaker 2: it's really quite bizarre and it goes on and on
- 1:09Speaker 2: the people in those places can't go anywhere the industrial
- 1:12Speaker 2: uh jobs are gone there was a clean out during
- 1:15Speaker 2: the early cuomo years right the first cuomo years um
- 1:19Speaker 2: and you know it's it's a disaster and it's not
- 1:21Speaker 2: fair these are decent people who want to work and
- 1:23Speaker 2: they've been nothing they've got no jobs they've got no
- 1:25Speaker 2: decent lives so what do people expect is going to
- 1:27Speaker 2: happen you have people the southerns here working three jobs
- 1:30Speaker 2: to survive Terrible. No, it is.
- 1:33Speaker 1: And some of these towns like Syracuse have got the
- 1:36Speaker 1: great university. I'll tell you another one. Great school. One
- 1:39Speaker 1: of the best state schools in the country. Binghamton. You
- 1:42Speaker 1: leave the university. It's poverty all over the place.
- 1:46Speaker 2: Southern tier. It's a real problem. And the obsession with
- 1:51Speaker 2: talking about it doesn't accomplish anything. You know, what's the
- 1:55Speaker 2: economic plan for the rest of the state of New York?
- 1:57Speaker 2: There is not. It just kind of dribbles along. And
- 2:00Speaker 2: when people run for governor or for others, they talk
- 2:03Speaker 2: about all the wonderful things they're going to do. But
- 2:06Speaker 2: they don't. That's remained the same for a long, long time.
- 2:09Speaker 2: And there's no indication it'll get any better.
- 2:11Speaker 1: Well, let me ask you this. Let me say there's
- 2:12Speaker 1: no indication it'll get any better. Give me an honest answer,
- 2:14Speaker 1: which you always do. That's why I love having you on.
- 2:16Speaker 1: Bruce Blakeman, what do you think of his campaign so far?
- 2:21Speaker 2: Bruce Blakeman is a very decent guy with a good
- 2:23Speaker 2: record who was absolutely committed to making the state better.
- 2:26Speaker 1: Period.
- 2:27Speaker 2: And you can't say anything bad about him. He's a
- 2:29Speaker 2: good man.
- 2:31Speaker 1: So, in your estimation, and you're a very smart guy,
- 2:33Speaker 1: you've been around this game a long time, because I
- 2:36Speaker 1: think you would be, do you think he'd be an
- 2:38Speaker 1: exponentially better governor than Kathy Hochul?
- 2:43Speaker 2: The problem he will face is the Hochul problem, which
- 2:45Speaker 2: is the state's finances, the city's finances, It's going to
- 2:50Speaker 2: be quite, after going into next year, it's going to
- 2:52Speaker 2: be quite, quite, quite difficult. We're going to face some
- 2:56Speaker 2: severe fiscal issues that the present mayor of New York
- 2:59Speaker 2: City is really not interested in fixing. What he seems
- 3:02Speaker 2: to be interested in doing is preparing to demand more
- 3:04Speaker 2: money from the governor to keep the city running because
- 3:08Speaker 2: he can't do it with the kind of budgets he's
- 3:11Speaker 2: talking about, the kind of programming he's talking about, while
- 3:14Speaker 2: having the kind of revenue he won't be talking about.
- 3:17Speaker 2: Blakeman's going to have to stand up to him if
- 3:19Speaker 2: he's the governor. And that's going to be a big deal.
- 3:22Speaker 2: Very big deal. We can face something against the 1975
- 3:26Speaker 2: going into the next year, year and a half, if
- 3:28Speaker 2: this continues.
- 3:29Speaker 1: Well, Blakeman's a tough guy. He's the box, you know.
- 3:31Speaker 1: He's not afraid of Mamdani, and he will stand up
- 3:33Speaker 1: to him, but This creep, you're right, this creep took
- 3:35Speaker 1: a victory lap after his budget when the truth is
- 3:38Speaker 1: Kathy Hochul bailed him out. And she bailed him out.
- 3:41Speaker 1: Let's not forget, it took a very, very, very long
- 3:45Speaker 1: time for Mamdani to even endorse Hochul. She did it
- 3:48Speaker 1: right away. She couldn't wait. It took him forever. He
- 3:52Speaker 1: didn't show her any loyalty. Now he does. Now he
- 3:56Speaker 1: does because she bailed him out. But the truth is,
- 3:59Speaker 1: why would he do a victory lap on his budget
- 4:01Speaker 1: when the state had to bail him out?
- 4:04Speaker 2: Eight billion bucks. It's a lot of cabbage, as we
- 4:06Speaker 2: used to say. Look, I've been involved with municipal unions
- 4:11Speaker 2: for an awfully long time, looked at budgets for an
- 4:14Speaker 2: awfully long time, and been involved in crisis management, which
- 4:17Speaker 2: is the bulk of my business, for an awfully long time.
- 4:20Speaker 2: The reality here is what people don't want to face.
- 4:23Speaker 2: This guy is the dreamer. Someone has to be a
- 4:27Speaker 2: realist and say to the dreamer, by the way, we're
- 4:29Speaker 2: not going to fund your revolution. You have to figure
- 4:31Speaker 2: out how you're going to make it affordable. And he
- 4:34Speaker 2: can't do that. And the battle is going to be
- 4:36Speaker 2: proving that he's wrong to the people that support him most.
- 4:40Speaker 2: When they find out what this is really going to
- 4:41Speaker 2: cost and who's not going to pay for it, they're
- 4:43Speaker 2: going to revolt. It's going to be quite something to watch.
- 4:46Speaker 2: Quite something to watch.
- 4:47Speaker 1: I don't know if they're going to revolt, though. That's
- 4:49Speaker 1: the problem. And maybe I've just lost all confidence in
- 4:52Speaker 1: the Democrat New Yorker or the DSA New Yorker or
- 4:56Speaker 1: the anti-Republican New Yorker. I don't know. I mean, I
- 5:00Speaker 1: keep getting told by people, hey, Sid, while you spend
- 5:02Speaker 1: your days and nights hating on the mayor, which I do,
- 5:06Speaker 1: every day I hate on the mayor. I really do
- 5:08Speaker 1: hate him. While you spend your days and nights doing that,
- 5:11Speaker 1: his popularity is growing. Is that true?
- 5:15Speaker 2: Sid, you and I are in agreement. I'm not saying
- 5:17Speaker 2: that they're going to revolt against the mayor. They're going
- 5:18Speaker 2: to revolt against the system. They're very unhappy they can't
- 5:21Speaker 2: get what he's promising. There's nothing to indicate right now
- 5:24Speaker 2: that people would be terribly opposed to the mayor. He's
- 5:28Speaker 2: an extraordinarily talented politician. He is great to the camera.
- 5:32Speaker 2: He is good. His mouth works like a charm. And
- 5:35Speaker 2: thus far, he can blame everybody else for everything. And
- 5:39Speaker 2: that kind of behavior is going to continue. That's what
- 5:41Speaker 2: he's good at. He's a demagogue in non-demagogue clothing. And
- 5:45Speaker 2: he's really good at it. and he knows how to
- 5:48Speaker 2: find good enemies. The city's demographics are changing, its economics
- 5:52Speaker 2: are changing. That generally is the precursor to having these
- 5:55Speaker 2: kinds of elections where the outcomes are unusual and unexpected.
- 6:00Speaker 2: So what the city will face is something that he's
- 6:02Speaker 2: never understood and has no desire to understand. What you
- 6:05Speaker 2: need is an adult in Albany who's prepared to tell
- 6:07Speaker 2: him No. And to understand that if the city goes
- 6:11Speaker 2: through what it looks like it's going to go through,
- 6:13Speaker 2: the recovery time won't be as easy as it was, frankly,
- 6:17Speaker 2: in 75, which was not easy at all.
- 6:19Speaker 1: Oh, that's a tough job for Blakeman.
- 6:21Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 6:22Speaker 1: What do you think is really behind this talking about
- 6:25Speaker 1: his relationships and people tend to like him, President Trump?
- 6:28Speaker 1: You know, I've had people tell me that are very
- 6:30Speaker 1: close to the president.
- 6:31Speaker 2: Related.
- 6:32Speaker 1: He doesn't really like him, but he wants New York
- 6:35Speaker 1: to survive. Others have said, Yeah, he kind of likes him. Now,
- 6:39Speaker 1: you know this. I love the president. I've got a
- 6:42Speaker 1: great relationship with the president. We're legitimately friends. But every
- 6:45Speaker 1: time he says something nice, I'm Donnie, or comes to
- 6:48Speaker 1: Gracie Mansion, I go nuts. And I do think the
- 6:51Speaker 1: president is aware of it, probably doesn't like it, but
- 6:54Speaker 1: I can't help myself. I'm sorry. What do you think
- 6:56Speaker 1: is the true nature of that relationship?
- 7:00Speaker 2: Puts your enemies to sleep. It's always a better way
- 7:03Speaker 2: to deal with them. And the reality is somewhat difficult
- 7:07Speaker 2: for a lot of people to understand. Should New York
- 7:10Speaker 2: go belly up, which is not out of the realm
- 7:12Speaker 2: of possibility. New York City go belly up, not in
- 7:15Speaker 2: the realm of possibility at all. The mayor's going to
- 7:18Speaker 2: have to go to the president, to the Federal Reserve,
- 7:20Speaker 2: to get a bailout loan probably, right? Yeah. Guess what?
- 7:26Speaker 2: This president does not want to be the guy to
- 7:27Speaker 2: tell New York City.
- 7:28Speaker 1: So you're telling me that, and I get all that, okay?
- 7:32Speaker 1: But can he do all that? and still be civil
- 7:35Speaker 1: without really going over the top, compliments, great guy, potential
- 7:41Speaker 1: to be a great mayor. You think that Trump, to
- 7:44Speaker 1: get what you're talking about, needs to lather him up
- 7:46Speaker 1: that much?
- 7:48Speaker 2: Now, I think Trump is smarter than that. What I
- 7:50Speaker 2: think he's doing is not lathering him up so much.
- 7:52Speaker 2: He's trying to make his enemies see him as a
- 7:57Speaker 2: more multidimensional, see Trump as a more multidimensional character.
- 8:00Speaker 1: So you've used the word enemy now twice, Hank, and
- 8:03Speaker 1: you're a very smart guy. So you think Trump, despite
- 8:06Speaker 1: this public deal, views the mayor as an enemy?
- 8:10Speaker 2: I think Trump knows who Mondani really is.
- 8:14Speaker 1: I love that answer.
- 8:15Speaker 2: And he knows who he really is. And he's very cagey.
- 8:18Speaker 2: That president is very, very smart about protecting his church
- 8:22Speaker 2: and about ensuring that he can do what he wants.
- 8:25Speaker 2: He knows what's coming down. He knows he doesn't want
- 8:27Speaker 2: to have Mamdani campaigning against Republicans and others any more
- 8:31Speaker 2: than is necessary. Although it probably would help the Republicans
- 8:34Speaker 2: get elected, quite frankly, outside New York City. And there
- 8:38Speaker 2: is a wall that's been constructed effectively at the Nassau
- 8:41Speaker 2: County line and Westchester line. against Mondani. People know who
- 8:46Speaker 2: he is. So does the president of the United States.
- 8:49Speaker 2: So to create an additional war, what do you need
- 8:50Speaker 2: more conflict? The president is smart enough to constrain conflict
- 8:53Speaker 2: where it's needed and not to create conflict where it's
- 8:56Speaker 2: not needed. And right now, that battle with Mondani does
- 8:59Speaker 2: not help them.
- 9:00Speaker 1: No, it doesn't. But I would ask you this, okay?
- 9:02Speaker 1: He's got three plus years to go. It feels like
- 9:05Speaker 1: Mamdani's been mayor for a hundred years. It's only been
- 9:07Speaker 1: about nine months. It's already a disaster. You talk about
- 9:10Speaker 1: Republicans winning outside of New York City. And the onus
- 9:13Speaker 1: is on Eddie. I love Ed Cox. Nice guy, but
- 9:15Speaker 1: and the Republican Party in New York to put out
- 9:17Speaker 1: better candidates. I mean, this Curtis Sliwa was a joke.
- 9:20Speaker 1: He was out there the whole time just trying to
- 9:22Speaker 1: make sure Cuomo didn't win. The whole city was scared
- 9:25Speaker 1: to death of Mamdani. All Curtis cared about was make
- 9:28Speaker 1: sure Cuomo doesn't win. And I'm not sure what benefits
- 9:31Speaker 1: he reaped from that. The guy's doing videos of the
- 9:34Speaker 1: inner circle, They're getting a flu shot together and yucking
- 9:37Speaker 1: it up this weekend. It really is grotesque for people
- 9:40Speaker 1: like me that put my trust and put Curtis on
- 9:42Speaker 1: every day for six years because I thought he really
- 9:45Speaker 1: wanted a win. As it turns out, he never wanted
- 9:47Speaker 1: a win. He just wanted to make sure Cuomo didn't win.
- 9:50Speaker 1: He never had a shot. He never had a shot.
- 9:52Speaker 1: Of course not. Come on, 7%. So moving forward, you know,
- 9:56Speaker 1: my name has been bandied about. You know, they talk
- 9:59Speaker 1: about Tisch as an independent. Let's stick with Republicans, okay?
- 10:03Speaker 1: How do we make sure Republicans get better candidates in
- 10:06Speaker 1: the city?
- 10:08Speaker 2: You've got to create a Republican party in New York City.
- 10:10Speaker 2: That's the first step. They're doing it in Brooklyn to
- 10:13Speaker 2: some extent. You've got to have it. You've got to
- 10:15Speaker 2: have Republicans much more vocal, much more visible. There are
- 10:19Speaker 2: some candidates running this year who are better Republican candidates
- 10:21Speaker 2: than we've had in some time. And you have to
- 10:23Speaker 2: look at the historical trend. There's something wrong with the
- 10:26Speaker 2: historical trend. What do I mean by that? If you
- 10:28Speaker 2: look at Manhattan alone, at one point you had a
- 10:31Speaker 2: Republican congressman, a Republican councilman, a Republican state senator, a
- 10:35Speaker 2: Republican assemblyman. That's in the modern era, in just the
- 10:38Speaker 2: Upper East Side. What happened? republicanism fell apart it moved
- 10:43Speaker 2: too far to the right and now there's an opportunity
- 10:45Speaker 2: to come back to the center and have centrist republicans
- 10:48Speaker 2: who were upset with mondani and were afraid about jews
- 10:51Speaker 2: being beaten in the streets which is where a step
- 10:53Speaker 2: away from that saying much more of right we're going
- 10:56Speaker 2: to promote against this and say we need republic we
- 10:58Speaker 2: need a republican party that is multi-dimensional multi-functional and someone's
- 11:02Speaker 2: going to fund doing real campaigns that are smart and
- 11:08Speaker 2: that are potentially winnable. That's not what's happening right now.
- 11:12Speaker 2: We have terrific people who are out there who want
- 11:14Speaker 2: to win campaigns who are running as Republicans. There are,
- 11:17Speaker 2: in many cases, women in New York City. We ought
- 11:20Speaker 2: to be able to support them. Why? Whether you want
- 11:22Speaker 2: to be a Republican or not, democracy demands multiple viewpoints
- 11:26Speaker 2: and democracy demands a two-party system that functions well. And
- 11:29Speaker 2: part of our problem nationally is that we don't have that.
- 11:33Speaker 2: And anybody who thinks otherwise is fooling themselves.
- 11:35Speaker 1: Now, you're right. I mean, we've got this. I hosted
- 11:38Speaker 1: an event for her last week because I happen to
- 11:39Speaker 1: like her, and I think she can win, and she's brilliant.
- 11:41Speaker 1: Caroline Schenkel running on the Upper East Side and Upper
- 11:45Speaker 1: West Side, running for that old Jerry Nath receipt. There's
- 11:47Speaker 1: a woman right there running as a Republican, but common sense.
- 11:50Speaker 1: So should the next mayor candidate be a non-politician like Trump,
- 11:55Speaker 1: like a Sid Rosenberg or a Michael Rappaport, or... a
- 11:59Speaker 1: wealthy businessman, somebody like Bill Ackman. Who do you think,
- 12:03Speaker 1: what should that profile look like for the next potential
- 12:06Speaker 1: Republican candidate?
- 12:08Speaker 2: Let's go back in history again, Sid. And the questions
- 12:11Speaker 2: you raised are very important ones. So let me see
- 12:14Speaker 2: if I can distill it in this way. If you
- 12:16Speaker 2: look at the history of New York City, going back
- 12:18Speaker 2: to LaGuardia, Republicans have been elected citywide when there's a crisis. LaGuardia,
- 12:23Speaker 2: the crisis was corruption. Lindsay, the crisis was the breakdown
- 12:26Speaker 2: of city services. Giuliani, the crisis was crime, although we
- 12:30Speaker 2: can discuss that in a different way one day. And
- 12:32Speaker 2: for Blueberry, the crisis was 9-11. Those are the four
- 12:35Speaker 2: Republican mayors elected since LaGuardia, right? We need a crisis
- 12:40Speaker 2: that is discernible with candidates that are winnable. And thus far,
- 12:44Speaker 2: the Republicans have not been able to do that since
- 12:47Speaker 2: Mike Bloomberg. And Mike Bloomberg ran as a Republican because
- 12:50Speaker 2: that was the best way for him to get elected,
- 12:52Speaker 2: and as an independent. And absent 9-11, it's a question
- 12:56Speaker 2: whether he would have been elected, but 9-11 elected him.
- 12:59Speaker 2: There you have the story. We don't want another 9-11,
- 13:01Speaker 2: but someone has to begin working today to prove that
- 13:04Speaker 2: there's a crisis that has to be resolved going forward.
- 13:07Speaker 2: Absent that, it's going to be hard to elect a Republican.
- 13:10Speaker 1: Last one. What a great conversation. My producer just said, man,
- 13:13Speaker 1: this guy's really smart. He really is. Hank, I guess
- 13:17Speaker 1: we've been talking about the mayor. So let me just
- 13:19Speaker 1: ask you this. I got a lot of people who
- 13:22Speaker 1: yell awful things at me, call me the worst names
- 13:24Speaker 1: you could ever imagine. And they go, you're just jealous
- 13:26Speaker 1: because he's doing a good job. And my next question is, really?
- 13:30Speaker 1: Then give me the four or five things he's done
- 13:32Speaker 1: that have really helped this city in his first nine
- 13:34Speaker 1: months in office. Some talk about this child care thing. Fantastic.
- 13:38Speaker 2: Great.
- 13:39Speaker 1: Others talk about freezing the rent, which, by the way,
- 13:41Speaker 1: is screwing the landlords. And Randy Mastro is involved in
- 13:44Speaker 1: a lawsuit there, too. You tell me, Hank, what are
- 13:46Speaker 1: all these great things outside of smiling and doing interviews
- 13:50Speaker 1: and wooing people like Melissa Russo should be ashamed of herself?
- 13:54Speaker 1: What has the mayor done that is so great?
- 13:56Speaker 2: Nothing. Thank you. Next. Next.
- 14:00Speaker 1: Yeah, that's it. That's all I wanted. God, I love you.
- 14:03Speaker 2: It is the charismatic nature of nothingness. that is propelling
- 14:08Speaker 2: Mazur on Mondami. And that culturally, that is an extraordinary
- 14:14Speaker 2: charismatic position to be in. The charisma of nothingness. And
- 14:18Speaker 2: New Yorkers love it because they are tired of somethingness.
- 14:22Speaker 2: And here they have nothingness and it makes them feel
- 14:24Speaker 2: so good about themselves because the words have no bearing
- 14:27Speaker 2: to reality, but the words are what they're listening to.
- 14:29Speaker 2: And it's quite extraordinary. And they wake up with quite
- 14:32Speaker 2: the hangover. I know, I know.
- 14:33Speaker 1: So are New Yorkers stupid?
- 14:39Speaker 2: Well, the city has changed. When you have these kind
- 14:43Speaker 2: of electoral events where the unusual occurs, like I just said,
- 14:46Speaker 2: you have a crisis. We had a crisis, and the
- 14:49Speaker 2: crisis was, unfortunately, the Adams administration. The other crisis was
- 14:53Speaker 2: the failure of the political system to come up with
- 14:55Speaker 2: candidates that were at all capable of winning in ways
- 15:02Speaker 2: that make sense. I mean, the field of candidates was
- 15:04Speaker 2: not good. And Mondani was just a better candidate. I
- 15:07Speaker 2: commented to people at the time. They said, well, you
- 15:09Speaker 2: don't know what you're talking about, you old man. I said, no,
- 15:11Speaker 2: I'm smarter about this than most people are. And I said,
- 15:15Speaker 2: you got to run a campaign where everything old is
- 15:18Speaker 2: new again. What do I mean by that? It's in
- 15:20Speaker 2: the streets and it's on the web. The rest of
- 15:22Speaker 2: it's nonsense. They said to me, no, you don't understand.
- 15:25Speaker 2: Most of the people who said I didn't understand were
- 15:28Speaker 2: trying to make enough money to buy two houses in
- 15:30Speaker 2: the Hamptons like campaigns. But the reality is that's how
- 15:33Speaker 2: it is, and you've got to get into the street
- 15:34Speaker 2: to make it work. That means you have to work
- 15:36Speaker 2: for a living. And consultants are not ready to do
- 15:39Speaker 2: that anymore because they have this deluded idea that somehow
- 15:42Speaker 2: God gave them the ability to grift their way through life.
- 15:47Speaker 2: And until you get people who really want to fight
- 15:49Speaker 2: this guy, he's going to win. He's going to win.
- 15:52Speaker 1: He's going to win. Hank, you're amazing. I've got to
- 15:55Speaker 1: tell you, another amazing segment. Thank you so much for
- 15:57Speaker 1: doing this on this Monday morning. We really love having you, buddy.
- 15:59Speaker 1: Thank you so much.
- 16:01Speaker 2: Thank you, Sid. All the best.
- 16:02Speaker 1: All the best to you. Hank Sheinkopf right there. What
- 16:05Speaker 1: a great guest. And my contention is he knows more
- 16:08Speaker 1: about this city and the history of this city than anyone.
- 16:11Speaker 1: Hank Sheinkopf. What the heck is going on here?