Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA PGA Championship | May 13, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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PGA PGA Championship | May 13, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:06
All system's going clear lift what's up everyone with Tyland Tamberline here aka Totag and
0:40
Tambo back for a very exciting week. Multiple reasons to get into all that
0:44
and more in a minute. My guy hoops to here with me as always,
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going to break down all things first look, PGA Championship. I know
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the pricing has been out on DraftKings for a little while now, so there
0:53
is some spoilers. We know Scotti's over thirteen K, we know there's a
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five K range, but we'll get our first thoughts first look. Going threw
1:00
it together, so same as usual for that. If you're just joining us
1:03
to us a favor on the way in smash that like button, subscribe to
1:06
the channel. A ton more content coming throughout the week. Lots of content
1:10
upcoming and also don't forget exciting week for us here at the Nation as well.
1:14
We're turning one. So if you didn't know it was this time last
1:17
year, a week or a year sorry from this week on Wednesday, May
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fifteenth, So our birthday party is going to be on Wednesday. We've got
1:23
a ton of big giveaways bounding family members. Check your emails. We got
1:26
you set up on the original free roll we discussed we get you in on.
1:29
We've got some other member free rolls coming. We've got some giveaways shout
1:33
out to our guys Nick, nyg Fan and some others. We're going to
1:34
talk about those more as we get around to Wednesday, but you got to
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talk about this first quickly. If you want to get in now is your
1:42
last chance to lock in fifteen percent off our lowest prices. Poop. I'll
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bring you in man. You can talk more about it. But how you
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doing, my friend? What's going on? Excited to break down the second
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major of the season here with you? Yeah? It. The train continues
1:57
to head down the tracks and the momentum starting to build. This is obviously
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a big event, a lot of fun. Major season is you know,
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the pinnacle of PGA dfs and we obviously have a loaded field, all the
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live guys back in the conversation, which which makes it interesting. And like
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you said, the pricing is not not any secret. I mean it's been
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out for a while. Everyone's kind of looked through it. I haven't looked
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through it a ton of you know, kind of glanced a little bit.
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I don't know if that's against the rules for the majors, but I think
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it's a little more forgiven for the majors, Like we're allowed to look a
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little bit earlier than opposed to you know, hopping on the first Look show
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and getting our first look. So looked around a little bit, not a
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ton, and yeah we'll go through. But obviously a very big week on
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the business side of things for Shiping Nation. Just two short days away as
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our one year anniversary. And you know, when you start a business,
2:45
you set goals and you hope to exceed them, and you know, I
2:49
think we're kind of at that point where we exceeded a lot of our goals
2:52
and expectations while continuing to to you know, honor our commitment to our members
2:58
the low price tag, which has been a big thing for us. We
3:00
want to be the most valuable site in the industry for people. We wanted
3:04
to get to the point where we can say, hey, we are at
3:06
the all encompassing spot for you. We're home for DFS content. And I
3:10
think a year in I feel pretty good saying that for sure. And you
3:15
know, if you guys have been following us and trusting us, you know,
3:19
one thing, when we say something, we stick to it. I
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mean, there's no bullshit around. You know, we get the job done
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and that's a commitment that we're going to continue to make to our members,
3:29
current members and potentially future members as well. And yeah, just very very
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excited for this week. It's you know a lot of hard work has gone
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into it and you know it's starting to pay off for us, our members,
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our community. That's what it's all about. Yeah, it's gonna be
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a lot of fun. We won't go too much into it here, just
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want to lay down the lot because it's the last of it. We've talked
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about it since day one. The transparency's been there across breaking down the pricing
3:50
for you versus the industry, all of that, but shut out to our
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guy James. Just to note, Degenerate seventy five wanted to be here today,
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but he's saving the energy. He's going to be here for the Wednesday
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stream that one going, so'll be ready for that. The emergency stream will
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be back this week Wednesday evening hoop and I'll be back. That's all on
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our birthday anniversary, whatever you wanna call it. Go and to have some
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fun with it that day. But real quick note on the pricing, because
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these are the big ones that change if you want to get the best deal.
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It's the five ninety nine that we said was going to six nine nine
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day one when we started. We never went there. We're actually not going
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to go there until day three sixty six, so we stuck to our word
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on that. But if you want five oh nine all in, you have
4:27
to use B day fifteen. It locks you in. It's not just a
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one time it's anything you're using it on monthly, six month annual. If
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you want to save a little bit of money, you could take it off
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of the six month plan and drop it down to just over three hundred bucks
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for six months, which will include June, July, August, September,
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October, November, so quite a bit of the football season as well,
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but all the major sports. Again, there's prices out there for four to
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fifty for NASCAR, I know, there's twenty five bucks a month, or
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two ninety nine for MMA. There's PGA for six hundred or five hundred.
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This is five oh nine for everything. And remember right now to got to
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note this because if you missed previous shows. We do now have our own
5:03
optimizer, the shift deviser, the optimizer designed to help you ship where we're
5:08
actually designing it as a community as we go, so it's in full beta
5:11
stage. It's just for members only of thirty days or more. So if
5:15
you're a monthly member or more, you also get this for as long as
5:17
we keep it free, and we have it for PGA, MLB, and
5:21
NBA, so you guys can check it out and play with it. There's
5:24
lots of great feedback coming in, but we're gonna continue making it better,
5:27
same as we did with the original product when we didn't have all these other
5:30
sports, and now we add it MMA, we've got NHL, we've got
5:34
NASCAR, we're gonna have college football, We've got education courses for four of
5:38
the main sports, all of those things. So lots of good stuff going
5:42
on here when it comes to that. And if you are just a PGA
5:44
member, can't stress this enough, you can still it's last chance to lock
5:47
in the thirty three dollars a month is one dollar a day is right now,
5:51
you lock it in for just one month, you get the PGA Championship
5:55
right up to the Wednesday of the US Open and all the events in between.
5:59
Two'll pick up two May, right now if you just say, honestly,
6:01
I don't have that money or this money or whatever, lock this in
6:04
the annual Going Away two fifty four right now. You get it for about
6:09
five dollars per event. For all the projections, the showdown projections, the
6:13
stone, the slate plan, all of these things. If you don't know
6:15
what they are, you can check them out on the site. We break
6:16
them all down. When you just click on PGA, it's free. You
6:20
can go see all the things that we offer. And that's just for PGA.
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So again back to it. Who anything else you want to add before
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we move on to this major We're getting through it quick today. No,
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I mean, it definitely hit all the main points. But you know,
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as we always say, I mean, now is a great time to get
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in and it's you know, couldn't be any true or you get the majors
6:39
this week got MLB in full swing that the PGA product includes a showdown content
6:44
for all rounds. And then, like you said, the free optimizer right
6:47
now and we're working through it. We're taking feedback and we're relaying it to
6:53
our developers. I mean, this is literally a community project. Essentially,
6:56
you can get the features that you're looking for. There's the notes, go
7:00
up, the sheets, handwritten not I like the handwritten stuff too. I'm
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a handwritten note sort of guy as well. If you guys didn't know,
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I'm always writing hand notes, not necessarily in a Google doc or anything like
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that. So we got the hand notes ready to go. And this thing
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it's going to be a game changer in the industry. Feel very confident about
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that. So great time to join and now very excited to talk about the
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PGA Championship. Yeah, let's get into it. We'll get back to it,
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Morgan. If you guys have any questions, you can always reach out
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to us directly Hoop or myself on x slash, Twitter, whatever you want
7:29
to call it, or info at ship at nation dot com. Again,
7:31
Also, if you are a current member and look to upgrade, also hit
7:36
us up info at shippnation dot com. We'll make sure you get locked in
7:40
at the best deal possible if you don't have it already, So check that
7:43
out. PGA Championship Valhalla, let's get into it here, Hoop. We
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got Roy McElroy coming off a win, convincing win or was it a convincing
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choke from Xander which has been the case, not being able to close these
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things up. He's in the event as well, Brooks Koepka winning on LIV
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Scottie Scheffler winning last time. We did get the news a few days ago,
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and now it sort of was rehashed and thrown around Twitter day with some
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fun stuff amongst others to say that it was, you know, ten days
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ago since Scotty had the baby. So hoop, we're dad's right, we're
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the dad's over here. How's Scotty feeling right now? Ten days off a
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kid? Remembering he obviously has some hired help, I would assume, and
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some you know people are taking care of knowing he's got a job at hand.
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So what's the thought process around Scotty shuffler up top? That's the key
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question. That's what we really need the answers to. And I know there's
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there's people that will dig into this and figure it out. But do they
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have a nanny or nanny's or not? That's the that's the true determining fact.
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And whether or not this guy's sleep deprived or not, My guess is
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they probably have some nannies. They probably have some help one way or another.
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So I mean, I can't determine, you know, what his mental
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mindset is. I can't figure out how much sleep the guy's getting at night.
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I just know that he is the best golfer in the world and he
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has been for a while, and he has expensive at thirteen two. But
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man, people are gonna want to play as asked this week, so I'll
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obviously be playing him. But you know, the baby what did people say?
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They had the baby swag. Some guys come out and play better.
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The problem with Scotty, like, there's just no way he could come out
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and play better. You know, he's just on a phenomenal, phenomenal run.
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So yeah, I mean, I'm assuming he has some help out there
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with a nanny or nannies. Yeah, some people say, like you know,
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and people are gonna tale this is a good call show to our guy.
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Rin Your boy EVR did not get the job done last week. Chris
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got her up over there, but he says, Burne said he was tired
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and put it on a te thirteen with the newborn. So Scotty gonna kill
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it. I don't know, Like sometimes you get that, you definitely get
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that adrenaline going like that first forty eight hours you know, the Crime Show
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the first forty eight a little different with the baby on the way the first
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forty eight. Though you're busy, you're into it. You just roll with
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the punches and take whatever happens happens. You're learning a lot of new things
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on the fly. But after that, I can't imagine you know, him
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not being at least a little bit gassed out from it all. So we'll
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have to see how Scotty does at the elephant of the room or the bigger
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at the topic I think is pricing. I scroll down just to show because
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it's, like I said, it's a first look, but I don't know
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who anybody who's in the five k range right now, But just to note,
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there's a lot of them. So I think I heard a lot of
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people talking about when you go Scotty, you still have seventy three hundred.
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So if you can just get comfortable with one guy in the six is the
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fis and you don't have the pigeonhole like that and say it has to be
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in that range to make it work. Point being more so, you can
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definitely get to some of these guys. Look, you can get Tiger Woods
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greatest golfer of all time at sixty eight hundred and pop. Man, they're
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cheating a little bit going ahead, But just to say it, he's definitely
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affordable and that you can fit him. There is some people already arguing at
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four to one and on a four day event on a course like this,
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of how difficult it is and what it really how well it sets up for
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him. Obviously every course sets up well for him right now, but just
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in general, you want guys like him on four days of the toughest course.
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When Rom was in his prime, before going to live and all that
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stuff, it was the same setup for Rom. You didn't want him always
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at a Birdie Fest. You wanted him when it was like his four days
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will really separate himself from the rest of the crowd. Even Rory and Xander
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last week smaller Field still separated. Xander got let off the hook a little
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bit because Rory just blasted him in the end and Rory went in the water
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in the last hole and all that. We'll get to him in a minute,
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but just to say it, Scotty is still very affordable here and he's
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twelve hundred bucks more than Rory. So taking into these other guys above,
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ten K, whope we got can't lay up to Rory obviously Rory coming off
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the win, and then how you see some of that working from a roster
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construction perspective, knowing that Scotty is a full twelve hundred bucks more than Rory,
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who just got everybody all excited off his w on the signature event.
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Yeah, I mean initial thoughts. I mean the field is going to think,
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you know, either Scotty or Rory wins this event, and they're going
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to want exposure to one of those two guys in in DFS. So my
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initial mindset here is you can't play both of them. I mean, I
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guess you could, but you're down to sixty two hundred. If you wanted
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to plug in a random five K guy, you're probably you're basically looking at
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four six K guys with these two, or a five K guy three six
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is and maybe sneaking a seven. It's just not many teams are going to
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start that way. But I will say I have to imagine at least fifty
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percent of team start with one of these two guys. So what does that
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do for ownership for the rest of these guys in this range? There's a
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couple of guys that will just have to get squeezed. So you know,
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we know Scott he's getting ownership. We know Rory's gonna get ownership. Xander
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has been playing really well. People love playing Xander at ten to nine.
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He always gets that you know, eighteen to twenty percent range at a minimum.
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People like playing Brooks at Majors at at ten eight. Obert has been
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very popular almost every single event because of how well he's played, and the
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Majors didn't slow him down at all, or the Major. He went to
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the Masters and finished T two. He's gonna get ownership. So for me,
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looking at this range, ten k range, like, I just don't
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see how John Rom gets anything, Like, I don't think anyone's going to
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John Rom Like. That's the first thing that stands out now. Whether or
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not I play him or like him, that's not I haven't determined that at
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this point. But there's no way people are going to be on Rom this
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week. Morikawa has been playing with a little bit better, but ten two
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it's a price tag and he's got to do something at ten two, and
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you are sacrificing, you know, playing other guys in this range to play
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Morikaw, so I think he gets squeezed a little bit, and then Patrick
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Cantlay will almost certainly get squeezed here. He has a pretty bad year,
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I'd say overall, you know, one solid finish lately at the third at
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the RBC. I can't imagine anyone's plicking his name, so like can't Lay
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Morikaw or rant Ram or three that I think relatively low on this week.
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Scott, He's definitely getting a chunk of ownership. Rory's getting a chunk of
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ownership. Xander always does, Brooks always does at majors and people are loving
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with the Seattle Leude big so I think those five soak up a majority of
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the ownership in this range. Seems pretty clear, and you know, I
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don't really think much will change in regards to that come Wednesday. I think
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it's pretty set, Like, you know, those five are going to get
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some degree of ownership. Those other three I just don't think they can get
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it. Rom Mari, Kayla or can't Lay. What is your thoughts on
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this or was you know again people will make fun of it all that there's
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actually some crazy stats about him coming in before Majors getting wins. I think
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he had two wins, so his last major was twenty fourteen at this course,
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same thing all that, but he I believe he also came in with
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two wins into that. If you give the Dessert Classic a which Rory gave
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it credit. He said that gave him a lot of momentum leading into this.
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I think some of the stuff, like working with Butch Harmon, all
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that stuff gets talked about behind the scenes, but he definitely was a lot
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better. And this is the best sort of full on stats board we've seen
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of him in a while, where it was just across the board, including
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with those irons, the approach game, all that stuff, even getting the
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putter working. So where's your take on Rory versus Scotti for that twelve hundred
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bucks right now? First thoughts on that, Scotty. I'm I'm still going
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to side with Scotty, But I mean, this is a twelve hundred dollars
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is big? I mean, you're looking at you know again, I haven't
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looked at Tom. But let's say we just plugging a random guy going to
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click on a random name fifty eight hundred, So you go, I clicked
15:00
on Bohasler fifty eight hundred I can sum in let's see, for twelve hundred
15:05
dollars, I can get to essentially in the range of Adam Shank, Keegan
15:11
Bradley, guys like that. So like, and there's other examples where the
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upgrade's going to be even more substantial, maybe going from a seven K guy
15:16
up to the eighty two hundred dollars guys. So there is massive upgrades with
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twelve hundred dollars. But for me, it's definitely gonna be gonna be Scotty,
15:26
you know, Rory. I think I actually wrote that up in the
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you know, I had him as a core play last week, and I
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think that's exactly what I wrote. Like, Okay, I get I don't
15:33
give him any credit for going out winning the Zurich, Like, I don't
15:35
think that's a big accomplishment by any means. But was it enough to just
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get him going a little bit? And I think at this point that answer
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is yes. Like, do I think going out and winning Zurich is an
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accomplishment for Rory? Absolutely not. But it's a mental game. Golf is
15:50
a mental game, and sometimes it's just one little thing and get these guys
15:52
going. And that was probably probably enough now you know this is this is
15:56
of course I said it well for him, like you said, he's one
15:58
here, I'm not fading Rory by any means. Like he got really hot
16:03
too, That's one thing to consider. Like it's been a slow start of
16:06
the season, but last year he didn't have the greatest results all year.
16:08
He just got blazing hot, and I think that could happen here again.
16:12
But if deciding between one of the two, Scotty and Rory, like I'm
16:15
gonna side with with Scotti, but obviously you know PGAD if that's a lot
16:19
more fun to mm me and build multiple teams so you can easily get exposure
16:23
to both guys. You know, I haven't looked a ton in the five
16:26
car range, but there's gonna be multiple guys I think in play down in
16:30
that range, So get both makes sense. Decent accomplishment when you have to
16:33
stick it all to two feet, so that change take for you. It's
16:37
like Rory had to do some of the head and lifting there too, maybe,
16:40
but that's true. I like them. The mindset thing you said is
16:42
so critical. People ask why Mark love and plays five dollars GPPs. You
16:45
get you, you go down, You beat up on the five dollars stakes,
16:48
you might get your mojo back in the high stakes. So maybe that's
16:52
what Rory was thinking. I win the Zurich Classic, I come out,
16:53
now, I pick up a signature event, lean in with the same form,
16:56
and now if his mental mindset is remember you just did this last time,
17:00
and that breaks them out of the funk, maybe that would be the
17:03
case. I said on the Round four showdown stuff that I just knew Rory
17:07
was gonna win, because again, I don't know anything, it's just putting
17:10
down thoughts. But you just play DFS long enough, you could almost sense
17:12
Rory's gonna dominate, get everyone super excited about him, and then it's gonna
17:17
leave Scotty a little bit untouched up top versus what we've seen, is all
17:21
I'm saying. And then the price and the factors and the baby and all
17:23
that stuff gets talked about. You could see a delta of ten percent between
17:27
Scotty and Rory, where it's like twenty and thirty or you know, something
17:32
along those lines where it's a possibility. Because when you save that money,
17:34
you do put yourself in a pretty good spot, like Rory with seventy six
17:37
hundred per lots of ways to go there. The twelve hundred dollars thing you
17:41
said, though, is interesting too, because I think you laid out the
17:44
ownership basics solid. But like Colin Morikauer or Cam Young can't lay at ten
17:52
or speed at eighty eight hundred, like these are similar dudes. I don't
17:56
care. Like again, ups, downs, all arounds, whatever they do.
18:00
Morikawa overall, long term and career and majors and all that not the
18:03
same as Cam Young. I'm talking about more from a DFS perspective, a
18:08
salary based game, and what have people been doing lately. People are still
18:12
clicking on Cam Young's name at events like this, and so I'm not trying
18:15
to say he's better than him. He's the same golfer. I'm saying I
18:18
think people are comfortable with these twelve hundred dollars clicks if it means them getting
18:23
the Scotty over Rory. But I think in general, Hoop, to your
18:26
point, it's gonna end up being Rory comes in a lot more own than
18:30
Scotty. For the feel at the bottom of the lineup, I just sense
18:33
that early on rom I don't think anyone's gonna really want like you said,
18:36
coming off the Masters t forty fifth and he didn't show up there, but
18:40
maybe he's more hungry and motivated. I kind of like these guys that I
18:42
would also like at the Memorial tournaments like that, like very tough tracks,
18:48
you know, hard, strong fields, everything, rom Xander, he'll still
18:52
get something wrong, Xander Morikawa can't lay all those guys you're gonna be able
18:56
to get some leverage on. And just one quick strategy note too, Because
19:00
lots of people are watching this at playdfs all the time, others are watching
19:03
it that are playing it for the first time. I think one thing you
19:04
have to remember too is at majors and at really sort of soft pricing events
19:10
like this, the ownership gets spread out quite a bit. Like you do,
19:12
get your four or five spots and your your pockets within each range.
19:17
But after that, what ends up happening is people are talking themselves in and
19:19
out. If we already had two or three people in our discord just this
19:22
past weekend, and I sent them back to our education course where we topiced
19:26
it and are titled the topic of is ownership overrated? It's not. When
19:30
it comes to PGA, I get why it's important and understanding it, and
19:33
that's what the course is all about. But I think there's too many times
19:37
people are saying, man, this guy's fourteen, this guy's seventeen. I
19:41
better play the fourteen guy. It's like, why it's three percent of ownership,
19:45
you like that guy? Play your guy and get different elsewhere, or
19:48
move it around or move different spots. And then what it also ends up
19:52
happening is people convince themselves of these numbers being exact, and then they find
19:56
out it flips anyway and they say, oh, well, I wouldn't have
19:59
done this if that, well, then don't do it. You control what
20:02
you control from the starting point. Play the guy that you want to play
20:04
there, and then move it down from there. Don't just play all these
20:07
guys because they're low owned. It's not who you play, it's how you
20:11
play. And there's ways to get different with these ones up top. And
20:14
typically even on tournaments two where people are like, oh, Scotty wins again,
20:17
the chalk just always gets there. There's like two or three guys in
20:19
that Scotty lineup that nobody's on. So while Scotty got there and it's the
20:22
same dude that's been winning everything that should not surprise you. It's the other
20:26
guys that help them get to the top of the leaderboard, so just keep
20:30
that in mind when you're going through it as well. We'll see where some
20:32
of the guys like Oberg off the knee, Morikwa playing a bit better lately,
20:37
but Brook's not doing as much. I mean, he won the live
20:38
events gues. People are gonna talk about it from that perspective and his PGA
20:41
history at the PGA Championship. But like you said, when you got Scotty,
20:45
Rory Zander, some of these other guys that will get to maybe Brooks
20:49
falls in fourth, I don't know. We'll have to wait and see,
20:52
maybe even worse if people do get behind oberg or get a good update on
20:56
his knee injury. I think it was more precautionary, at least from what
20:59
I read anything else in that upper rage you want to talk about. If
21:02
not, let's go to the nines here. Yeah, nine k Rams starts
21:04
off with camp Smith. I mean with camp Smith, I feel like you're
21:07
either like a cam Smith guy or you're not. Like I typically don't play
21:11
him, so it's easy for me to get off of him at nine point
21:14
eight k, get more exposure to those guys i'd like in the ten k,
21:17
or just come down a little bit to a guy like Max Homer,
21:19
who do I do like it? At nine to seven, I think he's
21:22
a fine option. I've been playing well and I know a lot of people,
21:26
you know, the majors, big field stuff like he doesn't get the
21:27
job done. Third at the Masters, he played well. He's eighth last
21:30
week. I think the game, you know, might be rounding into form
21:33
a little bit. I think he's interesting. You get Bryson, I had
21:37
a long course, played well at the Masters. Prices up there though.
21:41
At nine to six, I definitely think he is interesting. Wyndon Clark's kind
21:45
of turned into like a boomer Bus type player. We're not seeing last year
21:48
a lot of consistent solid finishes. It's like second, third or like fortieth,
21:52
fiftieth. Good for you know, GPPs. Potentially Nieman is a guy
21:57
that people are going to probably be excited to play. Same with j T
22:00
at nine to three, basically like of what a home course. He's from
22:03
the area. I know he's all excited about this, you know, a
22:07
little disappointing last week. I was pretty happy on him finished twenty first,
22:11
Hoveland really low on last week and I don't know, just still really didn't
22:15
do anything, had a good fourth round. So if you're going to buy
22:17
into like the momentum type play, maybe he found something in the fourth round.
22:21
Maybe this is your guy. But man, I've been fading him all
22:22
season and it's worked out pretty well as al Taurus just has not looked all
22:26
that good at nine point one K then Cam Young. I'm always a sucker
22:30
for Cam Young, and he's been disappointing as well lately. So you know,
22:34
in this range, I don't think anyone's going to be like super popular
22:41
to the point where you have to avoid him or look to pivot. I
22:42
think, you know, people will go to Nieman. I think people will
22:47
go to j T. You know, maybe Homa. But I'm not seeing
22:51
a ton of ownership in this range, to be honest with you, and
22:55
I guess that's probably the one thing that definitely stands out to me here is
22:57
I don't think anyone's gonna be like overly popular or you know, there's not
23:02
a guy here that I think everyone's just going to like flock to. So
23:04
yeah, that would be my main takeaway from the nine K range. I
23:07
don't even know if people can get excited about like the Bryson's and Neeman plays
23:11
at this point because like, realistically, there's a price tag associated with him
23:15
and what's more than clear and I'm not cheating. It fits on the screen,
23:18
so I don't mind it. But like when you got Fitzpatrick, Speith
23:22
Fleetwood's of the world down here in these upper eights, how are people going
23:25
to be that heavy on this range where it's like cam Smith ninety eight hundred,
23:29
Bryson ninety six, Neiemen ninety four, Clark is pissing some people off,
23:33
people off lately, ninety five JT. For sure, Zal has pretty
23:37
good PGA championship history but obviously not anything to do with here. But you
23:41
know, I think Zal JT could be a couple guys that gets in love,
23:45
maybe Man, maybe Homer Clark, Like, I just don't see the
23:48
live guys in this range picking up that much team maybe Neeman and I'm wrong,
23:53
but it's like, man, I think people would still talk themselves into
23:56
Clark again or hom deaf JT, Zal Like, I feel like that's where
24:02
it's gonna happen. So I don't have much to add in here besides what
24:04
we'll have later in the week when we talked through it more from a roster
24:07
construction standpoint, when I'm on the show with Mayo, you and I will
24:10
go through some of that as well, and then of course in the slate
24:11
plan over on ship at Nation dot Com. But I just think clearly something
24:15
like this, sorry, is not going to be popular to start where you
24:22
got three nine kid guys in and you've got three pretty solid dudes, remembering
24:26
what happens at these PGA Championships, but you got to count on a lot.
24:30
Man like Holmah's Masters finish was his best major finish ever. I predicted
24:34
from the start of the season it would be Homa at the PGA Championship.
24:37
I said we would get major max at one point this season, T three
24:42
earth whatever it was that the Masters not bad, and then you look here
24:47
an eighth at the Wells Fargo. So he still got it. That's another
24:49
course played well at. So we'll see. But it would make sense,
24:52
right like JT getting his win here, like some of these other guys getting
24:56
their wins at the PGA Championship. I could see it being a guy like
25:00
Max home of picking it up at this spot. So there's a lot of
25:02
names like him, but I could see that. But let's go to this
25:04
AK range because this is what stands out to me, Hoop, this is
25:07
where let me do one thing quick before I kick it over to you.
25:11
If you go Scheffler JT. You're already down to sixty eight hundred. It's
25:15
still uncomfortable. I know it's not gonna be by the end of the week
25:18
because people will have their chalk sixty eight you know, six K and five
25:22
K guys that they can make it work. I'm not talking about can you
25:25
make it work. You can make anything you want work sixty two hundred and
25:29
there's a fifty or sixty guys. I think I saw maybe more down in
25:32
the five K range. You can build whatever you want. I'm talking about
25:34
what actually works and what ends up coming through, what people are comfortable with,
25:38
all of those factors that actually matter when building out your DFS lineups when
25:41
it comes to pgadfs. So let's look at this AK range. It fits
25:45
like a glove Matty Fitzpatrick down to Patrick Reid, who I saw out there.
25:51
I don't know if was a real one, but it was him and
25:52
Justine out there. He's got Justine on the bag this week. It looks
25:56
like or at least out there doing some training with them, but more live
25:57
guys DJ Read, Patton, others. And then you got you know,
26:03
Fitzpatrick, Speed, Fleetwood, Maziama, Burn, Lowry. There's a bunch
26:07
of dudes in here. I think people are way more comfortable. What's your
26:10
thoughts on this AK range? Who are some of the guys that stand out?
26:11
First? Up first? Low Yeah, I mean, just glancing at
26:15
all these names, I don't Again, it's a range, but I don't
26:18
think you have to worry all that much about ownership. I see getting spread
26:21
out. The one guy that definitely I think people flock to is Fleetwood at
26:25
eighty seven hundred, just because of how well he's playing at the thirteenth at
26:29
the Balls Fargo, third at the Masters, seventh at the Valero. You
26:33
know, he had some other top tens earlier on in the season. I
26:34
think he's a name that people want to play, and for all the right
26:38
reasons, you could easily be, you know, subbed out for someone in
26:42
the nine K range. You could easily be in that range Fitzpatrick was not
26:45
great last week, but similar to Hofland, had a really good round four.
26:49
Is he able to carry that momentum into the PGA Championship speak. You
26:55
know, I'm just I'm out on speed, Like I'll definitely pass on him.
26:57
But he's the name that people like playing eighty eight. Matsiama the WD
27:03
should lower his ownership. One they know that is interesting to me right out
27:07
of the gate is Sam Burns at eighty five. You know, no,
27:11
for no reason related to having the baby and being a new dad, like
27:14
that is not a factor. But he's a guy that just runs hot and
27:18
cold. Like when he's getting these thirtieth fortieth place finishes, it just seems
27:22
like it continues to go. But when he finds something, he has the
27:26
ability to get hot. And you know, he had a solid, solid
27:29
week last week, finished what thirteenth, pretty well rounded week. So I'm
27:33
interested in Sam Burns right out of the gate just because you know, maybe
27:37
he found a little bit of you know, maybe found a little heater last
27:41
week. Maybe it's the beginning of it. Tony fen Now has just been
27:44
incredibly disappointing, like all season long, tried really buying in last week,
27:48
he just did nothing. I mean seventy two, seventy three, seventy three,
27:52
seventy four, just like literally nothing all week long. Hatton has been
27:59
playing well on live the Gala always gets the ownership. We talk about it
28:03
eighty one hundred. But you know he's a good guy in GPPs because the
28:07
results are kind of all over eighty one for him. Dustin Johnson, I
28:11
don't know, man, Like the Masters was so so bad? What do
28:15
you do at the Many shot? Yeah, seventy eight and seventy nine at
28:17
the Masters, Like does he really give a fuck about the stuff anymore?
28:21
I don't know, Like that's the that's the tough part with him, Like
28:23
he's a im in mentally or I'm out mentally type guy, and like he's
28:27
just not getting up with these events. It doesn't seem like makes it very
28:30
very difficult. And then Patrick Reid at AK just doesn't seem like a good
28:37
course fit. You can correct me on that, but just doesn't seem like
28:38
this is a spot where I want to employ Patrick Reid. So I don't
28:42
know a lot of question marks again in this range for me, but the
28:45
one that I think gets the ownership or the most ownership will be Fleetwood at
28:48
eighty seven hundred. Yeah, I can look up our of course at rankings
28:52
are up. Actually ly got him out early this week with the pricing being
28:56
out earlier. So if you're a member actually the nation, these things have
28:57
been doing well. Read is he's not at the top, but he's not
29:00
completely out of it. So just to say it is interesting though to look
29:03
at them. I think there's some clear paths within these things. And I
29:07
will say just a note too, to go back so quickly noted, I
29:11
just put up on the screen Taylor Montgomery just wd ct PAN will be in
29:15
DraftKings. We'll probably fix that, so keep that in mind. But just
29:18
to go back here, hoop man JT just has to be so popular.
29:22
We'll wait and see. But just all the hometown stuff, the PA time
29:26
winner and all that. Like, even if you want to build a balance
29:30
build the only way to feel okay with it is if you go like what
29:33
we just showed, like you liked some of those guys, Like if you
29:36
go Burns Fleetwood and then everyone keeps talking about feets career, Grand Slam,
29:41
you still have tons of money left over. You could go higher and get
29:44
off it. And move around it. But just to note, I don't
29:48
know how popular it will be to fit three plus eight K guys in because
29:52
you almost then have to go to someone like JT. And what ends up
29:56
happening like if you go Rory with three eight K guys three you only got
30:02
sixty one? Like, I don't see people doing that. So that's one
30:04
early note I'll give. And just to say it though, would you feel
30:07
comfortable with just JT in there leaving you know, Clark can't lay more cow
30:14
over Kepka Xander Rom Rory Scheffler. You're leaving a ton of the win equity
30:19
out of there that way. But obviously it's just another style of build.
30:22
Any thoughts on that balance build right quick starting the low nines. I mean
30:26
for me, I personally don't love it. But the teams do look nice.
30:30
And that's why a lot of times at these majors you get the spread
30:36
out ownership because people do sell themselves. They start really digesting those two V
30:40
two Scotty Scheffler and a six K guy or what's that two eight K guys
30:45
right? Or is it no? Two nine K guys? People are gonna
30:48
want to go with the two nine K guys over Scottie Scheffler and yeah,
30:52
mid nines. Essentially, if you go Scottie into a six K guy,
30:56
you got what is that? Like? My math is a little rough right
30:59
now, but yeah, your base in the nine care range for two guys.
31:00
People are gonna love that other route and they sell themselves on when they
31:04
really start digesting the lineup. So at the end of the day, I
31:08
think there is some popularity behind the balance builds. Yeah, we'll see how
31:12
to end off. I just don't think three AK guys will get there because
31:17
as nice as that range is, I think people will sell themselves before it
31:21
on, like Scotty and whoever, because they're gonna like somebody down low and
31:23
they'll be going with a Nick shuff the nick. Like I said, He's
31:26
given away three all access monthly memberships. We're gonna handle all the giveaways.
31:30
On the Wednesday show, two thirty Eastern our birthday party here on the shiping
31:33
Nation YouTube station celebrating the one year launch of ship nation dot com. If
31:37
you want to get in, it's very simple. You go to the site.
31:40
It's your last chance to lock this in. Let me take Nick's comment
31:44
off the screen I like that he said, rethink everything nobody was on Taylor
31:47
Montgomery. But you know we always share the news, Nick, But this
31:48
is it B day fifteen lock in fifteen percent off. It's your last chance
31:52
to do so, to get in on the lowest price as possible. And
31:56
the fifteen percent codes those are going away as well, So just keep all
32:00
that in mind when you're checking it out. But just going back to it
32:01
here, Hoop, I think a lot of these guys are gonna make it
32:05
into the pool, like you could see if it's Patrick spied Fleetwood maciama your
32:08
point on Burns. It's more the lower range I think gets overlooked right when
32:13
you get to was it Lowry or was it Rory fenw been horrendous? Maybe
32:17
Hatton picks up steam. People usually like Thigala, But then will people like
32:22
Dustin Johnson? Patrick reed, people might like Dustin Johnson. Some people might
32:25
like Dustin Johnson. We'll have to wait and see at eight K. But
32:29
I think it's the bottom of the eight k range going overlooked. And I
32:32
also think it's any type of lineup that ends up having you know, three
32:37
plus or even two man. I don't know. No update on the knee
32:40
injury yet for Oberg, but just waiting to see if we get some more
32:44
updates. Usually get some of that stuff. I can't remember if he's on
32:46
the interview schedule. If not, Michael Block should be off and he should
32:51
be on. But don't forget Michael Block as the course record here, so
32:53
we'll get to him. He's the worst golfer in the field on our course
32:58
fit rankings. I will give that one away. But let's move on.
33:00
Let's go to this upper seven k range. Decent amount of guys here,
33:04
from Jason Day down to Sepstraca. Try and keep just those guys in there.
33:07
With Patrick Reid. We won't got too much further, but anything in
33:09
here stand out to you or just from a build perspective, Yeah, I
33:13
think some ownership definitely starts trickling trickling into this range, you know. Do
33:19
I dare say your boy is back mister Sung JM fourth last week twelfth the
33:23
week before, and they is a rough, rough round four as well for
33:29
him. The result could have been even better. Seventy nine hundred. Benyon
33:32
been playing phenomenal obviously, he was right there last week, fourth place in
33:37
the third in the last two weeks. See who Kim, a guy in
33:42
the past that typically has not been very consistent in terms of his results.
33:46
Sixteenth last week, thirteenth, eighteen thirty, seventeen, six thirty forty four.
33:52
He's been probably the most consistent golfer in this field when you factor in
33:57
his price tag, and he's only seventy seven hundred Taylor, which is a
34:00
guy that people like Corey Conners at seventy six. And then you get down
34:04
to a guy like Sepstraca, who has been playing the best golf probably of
34:07
his career. Sixteenth at the Players, missed a cut at the vast Bar,
34:12
sixteenth at the Masters, fit at the RBC, and then eighth last
34:15
week at the Wells Fargo. So you get in this upper seven K range.
34:20
And again when you start factoring in the price tags, these guys are
34:23
playing some of the best golf in this field, and they're relatively cheap,
34:28
and you can play these guys in any sort of roster construction, Like any
34:32
sort of roster construction that you're looking to do this week, this upper seventh
34:36
K range is a spot you can come so very very interested in this range,
34:40
and I think that the field will be interested in this range as well.
34:44
Yeah, this is where you can start to make stuff happen, right
34:45
like you find your eight k guy you like and then get to your top.
34:50
Like that's the setup. Someone up top, because right now any of
34:52
these guys can be like Benny Ann sixty six, sixty eight, sixty five,
34:58
sixty six, sixty seven st easier course, but sixty six to round
35:01
up the wells Fargo too, like talking about momentum coming in. So he's
35:05
got a pick up steam at seventy eight hundred. Shout to my boy sung
35:07
Jay, like you said, is he back with the wait and see but
35:10
playing a lot better golf these last two events. See Wu has been up
35:14
in these you know, nine K, eight K price points, the chats
35:17
talking about there'll be no asterisk at this event. Taylor Gooch is in the
35:22
field. So all that talk, all his live wins and all that stuff
35:24
that he had last year in a minute, but I mean seventy six hundred,
35:29
he is gonna be in the field. So Corey Connors, Brian Harmon.
35:32
Brian Harmon slowed down a little bit lately, but in these bigger events
35:36
we've typically seen him come through as well. So I don't know, not
35:38
like I love all these guys, but just to say it. And then
35:40
Jason Day it's even up to as well too, coming off the T four
35:45
last week. He's usually been pretty good at other PGA Championships and stuff too.
35:49
It's not like he's having the worst season. So you know, fourth,
35:52
eighteen, thirtieth and three of his last four. I don't know.
35:54
There's a lot of guys, but it just tells me who that it's.
35:57
This is the next pocket. Right in the nine case, we know it's
36:00
JT and Zal and that sort of range. And in the eight case,
36:04
we know it's like your upper guys with Fitzpatrick, Fleetwood, Mat Siama,
36:07
those guys in this range. I haven't even got there yet, but I
36:12
can already tell you it's these guys up top. All these guys could be
36:15
in the eight K range. It's just all how the pricing shakes out,
36:17
and it's one of those things. Let's go down to this lower seven K
36:21
range and you see how quickly it drops off. Right, What is there
36:23
one, two, three, four, eight, nine, ten, eleven,
36:25
something like eleven or twelve guys here? So hoguard down to what do
36:30
we got Adam shank your boy so lower seven k range. He let you
36:37
down a little this past week and did give me your thoughts on this one.
36:40
Yeah, he was a little disappointed. But the one guy though up
36:44
top that I didn't want to mention. I don't know how much golf you
36:45
watched this weekend, but I'm pretty sure Jason Jason Day chipped in about ten
36:50
times last week, like literally every single time I turned on the TV.
36:53
He was in a bunker and he was like chipping in. So I think
36:57
a little bit skewed res off for him. But man, yeah, well
37:00
he finished fourth the fourth last week ad tef T four. He shipped in
37:06
so many times and I faded him. So it was super frustrated to watch
37:09
Adam Scott. I got to pat myself on the back of a little bit
37:13
we talked about on the show last week, and I said, he's his
37:15
ceiling is T thirty and he finished what T twenty ninth, So we were
37:20
spot on. And in terms of fantasy points, I don't know where he
37:22
lied versus the field, but that was your argument that you know, he
37:25
kind of outpaces his finishing place, but yeah, right there, twenty ninth
37:30
Lake I predicted, but Tia seventy two. I want to continue to stay
37:35
on him. Norrin was on a nice little heater, finished twenty fourth,
37:39
not great, but man, he's been playing very solid, So I'm good
37:43
with Norrin. At seventy two. Steven Jager, Keegan Bradley, Dean Burmester
37:51
has been playing pretty decent as well. So again, I think there's a
37:52
lot of guys even in the lower seven seven K. But I will say
37:57
it does look like a pretty substantial drop off like the upper seven guys seven
38:00
K guys feel very solid, like you very very very good. You get
38:05
down to this lower sevens a few more question marks, but I do think
38:08
there's still a chunk of playable guys down here between seventy four and seven K
38:13
flat. Yeah, Henley came through again eighty three hundred last week. He
38:16
got you know, T ten, T twelve, He's got the fourth on
38:20
their back of the Texas Open, Lairo Texas Open. Ok, shay,
38:23
he's gonna get talked about. I think it was six years ago he won
38:25
the junior PGA title at this course. So you can go see the little
38:30
eagle that he puts in off the green there and watched the highlight clip of
38:32
that if you haven't seen it, so I think he's at seventy two hundred
38:35
here getting a little love. Norrin the chat asked, is uh, where's
38:38
it at here? Most disrespectful price? Maybe? Is he the guy he's
38:43
in contention when we you know, I'll make that determination when we get down
38:46
to some of these lower ranges. But man, seventy two hundred, yeah,
38:50
that's that's a disrespectful price. I don't know if it's the most,
38:52
if it's the most, but it's definitely up there. Yeager, you know
38:58
saying yagers? Since the wins a bunch of call him all top twenties.
39:00
Last week was a twenty one. And I know it's only sixty nine guys,
39:04
but just in general, I think that's you know, there's options here.
39:07
I just don't know if they'll get as popular who like usually people like
39:10
Shank and Yager and Norrin and all these guys. But will they go overlook
39:15
Norn? Probably not. But can you sneak in a Henley, a Yager,
39:21
a Keegan, a Shank those guys, I think you can, and
39:24
they all could show up and do fine. Keegan is another one here.
39:28
You know, twenty first, twenty second, twenty second of the Masters.
39:30
He's still going just fine. And he's an example too. If you use
39:35
my Adam Scott when you want to make fun of go back to last week
39:37
he twenty one verse twenty nine. He pumped him by almost twenty points at
39:42
that point. The eagle helps, obviously, but just to note it,
39:44
like that's that's what matters, right, So on a course like this,
39:46
if he's got to grind it out, you know a little bit there,
39:49
I could see it be a guy like Kegan that moves around here, Russell
39:52
Henley. So some of these guys, even Ricky again, no credit's gonna
39:54
be given really off some of the recent stuff. But I think he's just
39:58
fine. I believe he was clipped by Rory here back in fourteen. I
40:01
think it was like him. I think it was like Rory Mickelson. Fowler
40:06
maybe was the leaderboard in the end of it, and it could have been
40:08
Rory, it could have been maybe that was the year Fowler came top five
40:13
in every major actually too, I can't remember exactly it's been that long,
40:15
but just to note it, there is guys here and I think no doubt
40:19
like you said it's gonna be the upper sevens that still gets the majority of
40:22
the love, and so it's really just thinking of it from a roster construction
40:25
perspective. Again, this is what will happen. Though people will say,
40:30
oh, Boti is coming in too high, I can't play him. And
40:34
it's like, if you play Botia with Keegan, with Henley, you probably
40:37
can play it because now you're skipping all those sevens and most of these eights,
40:42
you're only probably picking one eight K guy, and then you're up in
40:45
these heavy close to ten k range. So it's lots of ways that you
40:49
can build it. But I just think in general it's something that people just
40:52
get confused on. It's like they're so singular on the ownership where there's only
40:57
one way or the other. They have to play Dean because Botti is getting
41:01
the ownership. It's like, no, you can play Botia in a ton
41:04
of different ways that you want. So just to note it that way,
41:07
let's go on to the six k range. Here, w hoop, we've
41:09
got your boy Chris Kirk. Tiger Woods already talked about him his you know
41:15
famous one back here back in the day, Bob May and then you got
41:19
some other guys Bez, cam Davis, Keith Mitchell. Someone said JT.
41:22
Post, it might be the guy that's the most disrespectful, but give me
41:25
your thoughts on this upper six k range. And this already tells me that
41:30
my count was wrong on the five K range, because I'm already down to
41:32
sixty five hundred and there's only what ten or eleven guys here, maybe twelve.
41:37
It's like there's nobody here, so we'll have to wait and see.
41:39
Yeah, so it starts to fall off obviously. Some names that initially stand
41:44
out to me is if Sebez at sixty six, he's been playing very well.
41:47
I think it's a cheap price. I think he could easily be in
41:50
the seven K range. Most disrespectful price, No, but he's honestly in
41:53
contention, I'm not gonna lie sixteenth third on the World Tour twenty eight,
41:59
twenty five, twenty ninth, thirteenth at the players. Just plays well,
42:02
and now he's at a price point where man, if he somehow sneaks into
42:06
the top twenty, like he could be the guy that you need down here,
42:09
so interested in him. Keith Mitchell Post and stand out as plays kiddy
42:14
Yama. People keep trying to make this Eric Cole thing work like that's one
42:19
one guy just don't get like, what is the why? Why is there
42:22
always hype around Derek Cole? Is the reasoning behind it? No, it's
42:23
because he was good. Remember how good he the year from last year?
42:27
Yeah? Yeah, but he hasn't been good in like months, like he's
42:30
been terrible actually, so I'm sure people will play him. Hogey McCarthy,
42:36
are we going all the way down or just like mid sixes? You can
42:39
go all sixes if you want to come out quickly here anyway. So Taylor
42:45
Moore, that definitely disrespectful price. I get six to your boy Glover at
42:49
sixty one could easily be more expensive. I think he's a play Nick Taylor
42:53
this point a little bit. Last week I was very high on Nick Taylor,
42:57
but he was like the bare minimum price is like sixty two hundred with
43:00
the flour being six k finished forty third. That's not going to win you
43:02
anything. But it wasn't like a bottom bottom barrel performance Pendrith at six k
43:08
flat you know. Tenth last week followed that was followed up after the win
43:14
at the CJ Cup eleventh of the Krelis Putakana. He's a guy that's going
43:17
to get some ownership I think here at six K. And I didn't play
43:21
him last week. A lot of people thought it was, you know,
43:23
too big of a spot coming off the wind, but he went out there
43:27
and finished What Town. So he's the name that people are going to want
43:30
to play. So there's names down here for sure. A lot of these
43:34
guys we typically see in the seven K range now they're in the low sixes
43:37
or mid sixes. So a lot of guys that we can play here.
43:42
Yeah, I'm playing Danny, this is for sure. Yeah, respectful,
43:45
this is bad for a guy that's shown up in majors. He showed up
43:49
at a lot of similar course types. He showed up in these stronger fields
43:52
like sixty three hundred. He's gonna get popular, so we'll have to see
43:55
early on. I'm just saying it though, because he would definitely fit the
43:58
mold. But the good news is there's lots of guys down here that people
44:01
can talk themselves into. I'm not playing it like this, I'm showing you
44:05
that, like whoever people choose as their guys, I think there can be
44:08
a case made for Glover sixteen thirty third twenty twenty five eleventh people can talk
44:14
themselves into that another one who T sixteen almost seventy points T thirty three the
44:19
event before that almost seventy five seventy three there. So this allows you to
44:23
get to Scotty if you can pick two of them, the winner and a
44:25
tenth place coming in putting up point Denny, who I talked about people usually
44:30
like Pogi. It hasn't been great lately, but they still play him for
44:32
whatever reason. So just to note it maybe better if like it's a no
44:37
cut or a birdie Fest because he's just gonna fire away. Won't really get
44:39
away with that here as much, but just in general unless it works.
44:43
But maybe it's Denny, And let's call the cheaper one just because Glover it's
44:50
probably more of But let's just use this eighty one hundred. This tells you
44:52
exactly what I said, right who Like this is how Scotty does still stay
44:57
somewhat popular. I'm not gonna fill it all out, but look at this.
45:00
You get in your favorite Fleetwood and then you land on that upper seven
45:06
k range. We can talk themselves into anybody. Yeah, So That makes
45:08
me feel better about the initial statement that I had made where I think Scotty
45:14
and Rory starting points not together could be upwards of, like, you know,
45:17
fifty percent ownership. So however it shakes out, whether it's like you
45:22
know, thirty to twenty or twenty five twenty, whatever it may be,
45:27
I think fifty percent of team start with one of those two. Because of
45:30
what you just laid out here, you're getting a very solid line up still
45:34
with Scotty like guys that you can play with a good recent form on.
45:37
You haven't even filled out the rest. I mean, you'd be able to
45:39
make this look really nice if you, like we talked about Norn at seventy
45:44
two, if you plug nort into this line of your back up into like
45:45
the mid eights again, so a lot of the arets of other guys I
45:50
didn't include any of these guys either, where people will talk with, people
45:52
will want to play Bez or Kirky, maybe some Rye lovers out there,
45:58
Keith Mitchell, those guys they just make it so it's a little bit different
46:01
there. And then if you go to Rory instead, man, look at
46:06
this Rory woe of Fleetwood just teach you some of the popular guys for a
46:08
second. We'll stop at four. You have eighty five hundred left. You
46:13
actually skip the seven K range and just landing this range with your boys,
46:16
like yeah, so Rory and Scotti are gonna be super popular regardless. Remember
46:22
though, Glover McCarthy, who else do we have up there? Taylor Moore,
46:27
bez all those guys. You gotta have the right version of those guys
46:30
coming through. And if a few of those guys bust, that's gonna bust
46:34
up a lot of the Scotty and Rory lineups to make them dead. So
46:37
just note that it's you know, getting the mad cut important if you're avoiding
46:40
that heavy inequity at the top. Good idea to get some six to six
46:45
numbers in there that you feel comfortable with, where you can get guys that
46:47
can make the cut and then just hope that they outdo and that many of
46:51
those lineups get busted up by moving to that six K range too often.
46:54
So a couple added notes anything else you want to mention there? No,
47:00
But like like you said, though, I mean, these are comfort people.
47:04
These are not typical six K guys. These are guys that people are
47:07
going to be comfortable putting into the lineups. These are guys that people are
47:10
going to be comfortable playing multiple guys in this range in the in their lineus
47:15
because you're getting guys that have been playing well and they're six k, and
47:19
when you can play multiple guys at six k, it makes it very easy
47:22
to go up and get Scotti, Scheffler or Rory McElroy. And I think
47:25
a lot of people are going to be able to do that for this reason,
47:30
because you come down here and there's multiple guys that you, I mean,
47:31
you feel legitimately good putting in your lineup at this point. So I
47:36
think that's, you know, a quick initial takeaway from the six k range.
47:40
And we haven't got to the fives yet. I'll get to those in
47:43
a second, but I will say, just in a spirit of time,
47:45
like this is another thing I noted and I've talked about this forever, especially
47:47
when it comes to PGA Championship and the US Open, because if you look
47:52
at the bottom of this board, there's just a bunch of guys down here,
47:55
Beam Somers, Kellen, w'ere the all these guys that no one's going
47:59
to know who they are. Doesn't matter because they're not important. But remember
48:02
the six K range is real, dudes. We just went through a name
48:06
five to seven that we could easily see playing making the cut, getting you
48:09
the top twenty or whatever it might be that you need here or something like
48:13
that. So what I used to say all is you've got to remember when
48:15
you have a guy priced at twelve and thirteen K, you need to have
48:19
everybody to come with them. And it's something like the US Open in the
48:22
past, where it's a bunch of qualifiers, there'd be nobody at the bottom.
48:24
But remember there also wasn't a five K price range to force the quote
48:30
unquote bottom feeders too and then leave a six K range with good dudes.
48:34
It was all the bad guys in the sixes. So there was scenarios.
48:36
I think it was the year brooks Kopka won the US Open, or sorry,
48:39
Gary Woodland won the US Open over Brooks Koepka. And even if Brooks
48:44
had held them off and won or got there in the end, there was
48:46
so many lineups up top that were broken up with Brooks in them that it
48:51
was almost like it wouldn't have mattered because Gary had already really outscored his number
48:54
and was in those perfect balanced builds of what the leaderboard looked like. I
48:58
don't see that to be the k here this week, because the six k
49:00
range is all real golfers. It's not till you get to the low five
49:05
k's and I'll transition there. Who you got, Bobby mack matd McNeely,
49:09
Hostler, Dunlap, Hughes. Is he the most disrespectful? I mean,
49:14
that's pretty cheap for a guy, you know, eighty one, eighty eight,
49:16
seventy three, seventy five, ninety seven, all different types of events
49:20
with not even great finishes more than a couple of them. So he's down
49:23
here at fifty eight hundred EVR fifty seven hundred. Shout up to our boy
49:27
Rin. We can give him some credit there. There's real dudes down here
49:30
too that people are gonna feel fine going to god her up coming off the
49:32
win at the Myrtle Beach Classic. It's not comparable for that, just noting
49:37
a literal PGA Tour winner that beat up on a bunch of these guys down
49:40
here is now down here at fifty seven hundred. We saw Pendrith ride the
49:45
momentum off of a very easy event in compared to a signature tough event,
49:50
strong field and find the tenth. Maybe some of these guys can do something
49:53
like that too, List Rogers, kh Shlee, Putnam, Grio smally and
49:58
it's not what they did last week. It's the validation that these are real
50:01
dudes versus PGA Tour like the professionals of America, PGA Tour guys or qualifiers.
50:08
So give me your thoughts on this five k range all encompassing loop real
50:12
quick. Yeah, he stole my thunder because I did peek down here,
50:15
and man, the most disrespectful price tag is definitely Mackenzie Hughes. I played
50:20
him last week at a heavy rate, got the job done, T six.
50:23
It's just been playing very very solid golf. It's in the five k
50:27
range. I mean, he could easily be in the mid to upper sixes.
50:30
So you know, you stole my thunder a little bit on this one,
50:36
but man, it's got to be Mackenzie Hughes's most disrespectful price tag on
50:39
this on the slave for the you know, for the first look show fifty
50:43
eight hundred. He's been playing so so well. But I will say,
50:45
in my eyes, there is a pretty substantial drop off from six k's down
50:49
here. Like those guys who are just talking about the six k range been
50:52
playing well, consistently, high end finishes in some tougher field events. Come
50:57
down here, there's more question marks. But like MATV McNeely at fifty nine,
51:01
I mean, I'm not going to go through all this. There's so
51:02
many guys. Matthew McNeely stands out at fifty nine. I think he's definitely
51:07
definitely a play for me. This Soderberg guy. Don't know much about him,
51:12
I'll admit it, but really playing really well on the World Tour third,
51:17
second, second in his last three How does that correlate to the PGA
51:22
Championship. I don't freaking know, but man, he's been playing well,
51:24
and I'm assuming those those fields are relatively strong. Got her up. Like
51:29
you talked about Hubbard at fifty six, Andrew Putnam, Grio, there's names
51:35
down here. There's guys that we can play, Adams Fence and toasty,
51:39
you know. But I will say again, when I start coming down here,
51:42
I do think there's a pretty big drop off from the lower sixes into
51:46
this five K range. I prefer to finish a lot of my teams in
51:50
the six K range, or even with Mackenzie Hughes, who, like I
51:54
said, is the most disrespectful price tag on the slate. I don't know.
52:00
I don't want to play a lot of five K guys as it stands.
52:01
I just really feel good about those six K guys. So we'll see.
52:04
You know, this is obviously first luck have not built any lineups obviously,
52:07
but I will say I do really prefer the six K range post to
52:13
saving money down here? Do you want Adam Scott for two grand less?
52:16
Mark Hubbard is your man thirty one third one? He is basically Max Home
52:23
or Adam Scott for way less MH for Max. How you don't have to
52:28
convince me of that? Yeah, there you go. So maybe you start
52:30
your lineups like this and you now have ninety six hundred plus left for four
52:35
spots. But I will say, my boy Kenny Kim just quote tweeted it.
52:38
Someone tagged a bunch of others in it, but he said that one
52:43
guy's out there today following Oberg on the course and said he's grabbed for his
52:46
knee no less than fifteen times. But wait, he throws a dart at
52:52
one anyway, So who knows these guys man, they play it up.
52:54
Everyone will move off because of this type of news, something that could lower
52:59
his ownership for sure, and people will take that in I mean, because
53:00
they're gonna be so much pressed around and so much information around it being the
53:05
PGA Championship where it could you know, if this is the talking point throughout
53:07
the week, his ownership could come way down and maybe a boosts someone else
53:12
up there. Yeah. The real thing is is like this type of setup,
53:15
I'm gonna go just the version of it here without winning all these guys.
53:20
Let's use some of our what we called like the favorites, the early
53:22
favorites. Where's Benny? This is pretty easy to get to as well.
53:27
And I know people say, oh, I don't really like the low sevens.
53:30
Well, first off, we already said that maybe not as many people
53:31
will go there, but I can see how someone would close this out anyway.
53:35
Second of all, it's more of the point that you can just pick
53:37
your other guy in the six case, it was five or six dudes that
53:40
we like down there and pop yourself right back into this range or another eight
53:45
K guy. So it is very easy to get to Scottie and Rory makes
53:50
it even easier. So just to keep that in mind, they're gonna be
53:52
popular no matter what. That's not any like groundbreaking news. It's more of
53:57
if you thought for some reason they wouldn't be even Scotty with the baby talk
54:00
and all this high price point. The high price point is not negated on
54:06
the fact that he should be more expensive. I think it's negated on the
54:08
fact of you can't easily build Scotti lineups, because you very easily can build
54:13
incredible Scotty lineups that feature a couple eight K guys solid dudes that you feel
54:17
very comfortable with down below. So there's just lots of ways that you can
54:21
go this week, I think you build with the guys you like. Keep
54:23
some of the other stuff in mind that we talked about. We're all about
54:27
the game theory, leverage, correlation, things like that, but in golf
54:29
it's mainly game theory and the leverage that we can find within roster constructions.
54:34
That's a lot of the stuff we cover over at ship Atnation dot com.
54:37
All have more on the five K range. When I get on the show
54:38
there doing some lineups with Mayo as well as hoop and I will be back
54:43
on Wednesday. Don't forget Wednesday. We're turning one, the one year anniversary,
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our birthday party, the celebration, the ship it Nation Birthday celebration.
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Here's your invitation get in. Check it out. B Day fifteen, last
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time to do so. If you say, look, I only want golf
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This way, the monthly right now drops to thirty three and it's not
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You get the education course, you'd be in the discord channel. You'd get
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two fifty four. Hoop anything you want to add before we get out of
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improve and add on and we've done a ton of that over the course of
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