Latest / Merryn Talks Money / Rate Cuts, Fiscal Resets, and AI Reality Checks
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Welcome to the Marender's
- 0:18Speaker 1: Money Market Wrap, where we talk about the biggest moves
- 0:20Speaker 1: in the markets this week and what is driving them.
- 0:22Speaker 1: My Marrine unset, web Editor at Large for Bloomberg UK Wealth.
- 0:25Speaker 2: And I'm John Stebeg, Senior Report a Bloomberg and the
- 0:28Speaker 2: author of the Money Distilled newsletter.
- 0:33Speaker 1: Hi.
- 0:33Speaker 2: John, Hi, it's been a while, is it. Yeah, it
- 0:36Speaker 2: feels that he's been a while. With a few days.
- 0:39Speaker 2: It was that did one to Marcus and then I
- 0:41Speaker 2: think we may have skipped a week.
- 0:43Speaker 1: I've spoken to a lot of interesting people, even if
- 0:45Speaker 1: I haven't spoken to you. There's been a a laughter
- 0:47Speaker 1: that was kind of cool. But Edward's coming up next week.
- 0:50Speaker 1: That was great. Rob Arnold really good. Yeah, a lot
- 0:56Speaker 1: of other good people coming up. I mean this podcast
- 0:58Speaker 1: is just a really holding its own at them. I mean,
- 1:00Speaker 1: Gus Wise and then there's you.
- 1:02Speaker 2: Well, obviously I'm the sort be to clear the palette
- 1:05Speaker 2: of all that equality.
- 1:08Speaker 1: But none of that downbeat contrarianism exactly. John. You were
- 1:13Speaker 1: writing about the Bank of England today. We got a
- 1:16Speaker 1: hold on interest rates, which isn't very exciting, but nonetheless
- 1:19Speaker 1: is what we expected, isn't it?
- 1:20Speaker 2: It is? But the unexpected bit was that the vote
- 1:24Speaker 2: was much tighter than Marcus have thought that there wasn't
- 1:27Speaker 2: much tighter. They thought that six people were going to
- 1:29Speaker 2: vote to hold and three were going to vote to cut,
- 1:31Speaker 2: and as it turned out, five people voted to hold
- 1:34Speaker 2: and four voted to cut. And by the sounds of it,
- 1:38Speaker 2: it sounds as if everything else being equal, Andrew Bailey
- 1:42Speaker 2: would like to go for a cut in December, if
- 1:46Speaker 2: you know, if Evyn remains, broadly speaking, the kind of
- 1:49Speaker 2: same as it is now. Obviously, the difficulty is there
- 1:52Speaker 2: is the budget before that. There's also another two inflation
- 1:57Speaker 2: data points before that. But the thing is, if in
- 1:59Speaker 2: flat she actually peaked at three point eight percent in September,
- 2:03Speaker 2: which is the most recent one we've got, it'll probably
- 2:06Speaker 2: come down about three and a half percent before the
- 2:09Speaker 2: bank's next meeting, and that would give them the leeway
- 2:13Speaker 2: to cut by a quarter point because one of the
- 2:16Speaker 2: problems I think we cutting this month would have been
- 2:18Speaker 2: that they'd actually have had a negative real bank rate
- 2:21Speaker 2: at that point, because the bank rate would be three
- 2:23Speaker 2: point seventy five and CPI would be three point eight.
- 2:26Speaker 2: By the time the end of the year comes around,
- 2:28Speaker 2: they haven't got that kind of visual huddle to get
- 2:31Speaker 2: over things. Interesting because one thing that you know, I
- 2:36Speaker 2: will say is that so Rachel Reeves had her emergency
- 2:39Speaker 2: fiscal narrative reset at the start of the week and
- 2:43Speaker 2: that it sort of came out of the blue. But
- 2:45Speaker 2: one of the points that she was trying to drive
- 2:47Speaker 2: home was that the thing she wants to tackle is
- 2:50Speaker 2: inflation and she wants to see interest rates come down.
- 2:54Speaker 2: And the kind of fact that she's been emphasizing that
- 2:57Speaker 2: it's sort of suggested to me, and also the timing
- 2:59Speaker 2: suggests that she did want to send a bit of
- 3:01Speaker 2: a signal to the Bank of England, and while they
- 3:03Speaker 2: might not have cut rates this month, it kind of
- 3:07Speaker 2: again makes it feel as if that's what they want
- 3:09Speaker 2: to do next month, especially because you know, to be fair,
- 3:12Speaker 2: it was her. A lot of the inflation over the
- 3:15Speaker 2: past year was her fault because the reason employer national
- 3:21Speaker 2: insurance contributions and raising minimum wage. So that's one of
- 3:25Speaker 2: the things that's helped to drive up the course to food,
- 3:27Speaker 2: for example, in supermarkets, because employers are pass knowing some
- 3:31Speaker 2: of their cost increases and the cost of the products,
- 3:37Speaker 2: and the fact that she's sort of come out and said,
- 3:39Speaker 2: but well, I'm not certainly tried to say I'm not
- 3:42Speaker 2: going to do that again. May she gives us at
- 3:45Speaker 2: least some sort of clue as to where she might
- 3:47Speaker 2: be leaning for the budget.
- 3:50Speaker 1: Yeah, and this is quite interesting, isn't it. And that
- 3:52Speaker 1: if we look at the budget and there's so many
- 3:53Speaker 1: things being floated around the place, if you can't divide
- 3:56Speaker 1: it up by thinking, well, she won't do anything that
- 3:58Speaker 1: will make the inflation numbers go up, you can remove
- 4:02Speaker 1: quite a few things from the list.
- 4:04Speaker 2: Well V eight first start. And actually the other interesting
- 4:08Speaker 2: thing is because there's been one of the things that's
- 4:11Speaker 2: come out today is the idea of charging a paer
- 4:14Speaker 2: mile tax on electric vehicles to replace kind of bex
- 4:19Speaker 2: you know, broad tax basically. And one of the things
- 4:22Speaker 2: I've been sort of thinking about is because the OBR,
- 4:27Speaker 2: every time you know, they do their budget forecast, they
- 4:31Speaker 2: act as if the Chancellor is going to unfreeze fuel duty,
- 4:36Speaker 2: even tho though no one has on frozen fuel duty
- 4:38Speaker 2: since twenty ten. So that means that I say, whatever
- 4:42Speaker 2: amount you're told the Chancellor has to make up. There's
- 4:45Speaker 2: about another five billion or so on top of it,
- 4:47Speaker 2: because their kid knowing that this is kind of baked
- 4:50Speaker 2: into the pie, and it absolutely isn't. So I was
- 4:52Speaker 2: thinking she might have to increase fuel duty, but of
- 4:54Speaker 2: course that would be inflationary. So I can see this
- 4:57Speaker 2: road tax substitute is coming in as a thing, which
- 5:01Speaker 2: means she can still keep petro duty where it is,
- 5:05Speaker 2: so that doesn't push up inflation, but it obviously cannot.
- 5:09Speaker 2: It's an added cost for anyone who's got an electric car.
- 5:12Speaker 1: God the hoops, phaye jump through. Yeah, it's just ridiculous.
- 5:17Speaker 2: It's unfortunate. There's so many elements in these short term
- 5:21Speaker 2: politics that melitate against good longer term policy. And you
- 5:28Speaker 2: do have to wonder who who is the audience for
- 5:31Speaker 2: all this stuff? Ultimately, is it just that they care
- 5:35Speaker 2: about the headline and the newspaper, the attack angle they're
- 5:39Speaker 2: going to get kind of attacked on, because mostly this
- 5:42Speaker 2: is the reason we've got, you know, attacks Bible, which
- 5:44Speaker 2: is twenty four thousand pages long. It's ultimately about a Yeah,
- 5:51Speaker 2: you know, Chancellor's chasing short term headlines.
- 5:53Speaker 1: Anyway, we have to move on. We mustn't depress ourselves
- 5:56Speaker 1: over this any further. This week we have had the
- 6:01Speaker 1: what you call the emergency fiscal narrative reset, and I
- 6:06Speaker 1: call the emergency expectations reset. But same, same, same, same
- 6:11Speaker 1: from Rachel Reeves earlier in the week, and she would
- 6:13Speaker 1: like everyone to know that absolutely nothing is her fault,
- 6:17Speaker 1: never has been, never will be, and that is that.
- 6:21Speaker 1: But because of things that other people have done which
- 6:23Speaker 1: had nothing to do with her, everyone's going to have
- 6:25Speaker 1: to pay a lot more tax in When she says everyone,
- 6:28Speaker 1: she actually probably does mean everyone this time, right.
- 6:32Speaker 2: I hope she means everyone, because as long as she
- 6:35Speaker 2: does mean everyone, then we may get a relatively simple watchet.
- 6:41Speaker 2: I don't. I think that's probably hoptant for too much.
- 6:43Speaker 2: But the thing at this point, Harkin, what I would
- 6:47Speaker 2: really like to see, But if Rachel Reeves stood up,
- 6:51Speaker 2: basically spoke for twenty minutes and said, I'm putting income
- 6:53Speaker 2: tax up across the board by two pins, and that's
- 6:56Speaker 2: basically it, then I'd be happy. It's probably right a
- 7:02Speaker 2: very nice money distilled about that in the context, because
- 7:07Speaker 2: that would be in this situation. But then in this situation,
- 7:10Speaker 2: she's kind of nice to stick herself in that would
- 7:13Speaker 2: be about the best way to deal with the problem,
- 7:16Speaker 2: the least disruptive way to deal with the problem. I mean,
- 7:19Speaker 2: not that any of us would be particularly happy about it.
- 7:21Speaker 2: It's not enough, is it, John, There's not enough. You
- 7:24Speaker 2: get maybe five billion, seven billion per penny I say,
- 7:28Speaker 2: top fifteen billions, nowhere near enough.
- 7:30Speaker 1: Doesn't touch the.
- 7:31Speaker 2: Sound you need. Maybe you need to do three pence,
- 7:34Speaker 2: But if you do two p on the basic rate,
- 7:36Speaker 2: you know, because I mean, there's no way that we're
- 7:38Speaker 2: not going to get a bit more than that when
- 7:40Speaker 2: the higher rates, just to show that the wretch are
- 7:42Speaker 2: getting squashed as well. I think that's maybe twenty billion
- 7:46Speaker 2: if you might if you do that, I mean, no,
- 7:49Speaker 2: it isn't enough. She ployed does still need a bit more.
- 7:51Speaker 1: On top of that, if you go back to fifty
- 7:54Speaker 1: p fifty p and the pound at the top rate
- 7:58Speaker 1: fifty two percent with the National Insurance. We did have
- 8:01Speaker 1: half a lava on last week, and the laughter curve
- 8:04Speaker 1: we think kicks in well around there.
- 8:07Speaker 2: Oh yeah, think he's right, I mean, and that raises
- 8:10Speaker 2: buttons anyway, if it does make any money. I mean
- 8:12Speaker 2: already the top three attacks doesn't reise that much, and
- 8:15Speaker 2: if you bump up, you're talking millions rather than billions.
- 8:19Speaker 2: So it's always been a virtue signal and tax level.
- 8:23Speaker 2: But for some reason that seems to be important to politicians, but.
- 8:27Speaker 1: To you signaling, well, you know, what we really need
- 8:31Speaker 1: is policy that works rather than policy if it makes
- 8:33Speaker 1: people feel good about themselves.
- 8:35Speaker 2: But yeah, that's not even people feel good about themselves
- 8:38Speaker 2: at this point.
- 8:39Speaker 1: But really doesn't feel good about herself? Does she poor thing? No?
- 8:44Speaker 2: I suppose she's just torpingly hang on?
- 8:46Speaker 1: Why why if I always heard you know, I would't
- 8:48Speaker 1: want to hang on. I wouldn't want to hang on.
- 8:51Speaker 1: I'd be looking at it going, well, this is absolutely
- 8:53Speaker 1: no fun at at all. Turns out everything that I
- 8:55Speaker 1: believed in doesn't work. I was completely wrong about everything.
- 8:58Speaker 1: Do you know what I think? I'll call don't go?
- 9:00Speaker 1: And that's what I would be doing if I was
- 9:02Speaker 1: messing something up this badly.
- 9:03Speaker 2: It's very hard to wrap your doing the politicians psychology,
- 9:07Speaker 2: because I can't imagine that any of them in the
- 9:10Speaker 2: last ten to fifteen years of at any fine. The
- 9:13Speaker 2: last one that Luke Saphie was kind of enjoying himself
- 9:16Speaker 2: was twenty Blair and I mean, I've been deal has
- 9:19Speaker 2: to thinking about what goes on. That's it in a
- 9:21Speaker 2: daily basis.
- 9:23Speaker 1: I suppose look at it the other way around. I mean,
- 9:24Speaker 1: someone said, you know, on social media the other day
- 9:27Speaker 1: talking about politicians and their general failure to growth, basic
- 9:31Speaker 1: financial concepts, et cetera. And someone said to me, Oh,
- 9:35Speaker 1: it's not that they don't understand, it's just so they
- 9:36Speaker 1: are all horrible people. And I was saying, this simply
- 9:39Speaker 1: isn't true. Pretty much every politician that I come in
- 9:43Speaker 1: contact with, these are people who really they mean well,
- 9:46Speaker 1: They mean well. They want a good outcome. Everyone wants
- 9:48Speaker 1: the same outcome, and they wanted to be when we're
- 9:50Speaker 1: living standards rise and people have betting living standards and
- 9:53Speaker 1: everyone is happier than they are, everyone wants that. No
- 9:56Speaker 1: one who goes into politics thinking well, maybe they are
- 9:58Speaker 1: a few thinking I'm just going into this.
- 10:01Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 10:01Speaker 1: I means like, you're paid enough. I don't know why
- 10:03Speaker 1: you would go into it if you didn't mean well.
- 10:05Speaker 1: Most people mean well. But you meanwhile get into high
- 10:09Speaker 1: office and you find out that meaning well is not
- 10:12Speaker 1: enough and you are absolutely lousy at the job. And
- 10:16Speaker 1: therefore the result of your actions is to make things
- 10:19Speaker 1: worse for many millions of people and to make you
- 10:21Speaker 1: completely miserable. Why wouldn't you just down told and go home?
- 10:25Speaker 2: Because I suppose it's just cognitive dessonance. They believe there's
- 10:29Speaker 2: stuff and a lot of the time, for example, they
- 10:31Speaker 2: believe in rent controls, you have to essentially be impervious
- 10:35Speaker 2: to history, to reason, to logic, and yeah, it keeps
- 10:39Speaker 2: coming back, and you're right. I don't think zorain, ma'am.
- 10:42Speaker 2: Danny wants to destroy New York or to make people's
- 10:46Speaker 2: He wants to make people's lives easier. But for some
- 10:49Speaker 2: reason he thinks that if he does rent controls then
- 10:52Speaker 2: it will work.
- 10:54Speaker 1: And he absolutely refuses to look at decades and decades
- 10:58Speaker 1: and decades of evidence. And one of the few things
- 11:01Speaker 1: that pretty much everybody whoever looks at numbers actual numbers,
- 11:05Speaker 1: because numbers on opinions, their numbers agreees to. I'm writing
- 11:10Speaker 1: this week, by the way, about the end of rink
- 11:12Speaker 1: controls in Cairo.
- 11:15Speaker 2: Okidle I interested when.
- 11:17Speaker 1: Controls since in nineteen twenties has been rank controls in
- 11:22Speaker 1: Kira one way or another. So a lot of the
- 11:25Speaker 1: center of the city certainly all the old apartments are
- 11:27Speaker 1: all controlled. There are people paying the equivalent of twenty
- 11:30Speaker 1: five cents a month for gorgeous four bedroom apartments hanging
- 11:34Speaker 1: over the nile. Everything falls into massive disrepair because the
- 11:38Speaker 1: landlords have no money to sort them out in any
- 11:40Speaker 1: way whatsoever. And well, you know, you know the story.
- 11:43Speaker 1: Everyone knows the rank control story. And finally that is
- 11:47Speaker 1: being reversed.
- 11:47Speaker 2: That's going to be fastinating first, that would be really interested.
- 11:51Speaker 2: I had no idea that was even a thing.
- 11:54Speaker 1: Right, Moving on from there, moving on from the from
- 11:59Speaker 1: the misery is of the UK fiscal situation and the
- 12:03Speaker 1: upcoming budget and how you're going to have to pay
- 12:05Speaker 1: more tax and I'm going to have to pay more tax,
- 12:07Speaker 1: and for what everyone's going to have to pay port next,
- 12:09Speaker 1: moving on from that to the market. Now, the AI
- 12:13Speaker 1: story seems to be slightly unwinding. Markets have had a
- 12:17Speaker 1: fairly volatile week and we've been talking about this for
- 12:20Speaker 1: ages U andizing is this a bubble? Isn't it a bubble?
- 12:23Speaker 1: Of course, it's a bubble. It's just a matter of
- 12:26Speaker 1: when it when it crashes, correct and then crashes, only
- 12:30Speaker 1: get a little correction before you get a crash. It's
- 12:32Speaker 1: just a matter of when, not of what right, yeah.
- 12:36Speaker 2: And the other interesting thing and this is something that
- 12:40Speaker 2: a're more here in mutterings of rather than something I
- 12:43Speaker 2: need you look at in a lot more detail. But
- 12:46Speaker 2: you know, the all things also tied up with stuff
- 12:49Speaker 2: like private creator and private equity and all of the
- 12:53Speaker 2: unlisted sort of like always the money coming from. But
- 12:56Speaker 2: I think the real issue seems to be more that
- 12:59Speaker 2: markets are finally getting a bit jittery about whether the
- 13:03Speaker 2: potential is going to match the amount of money being
- 13:06Speaker 2: spent right now, because you're starting to get to that
- 13:08Speaker 2: point where we're getting beyond It's not so much we're
- 13:11Speaker 2: getting beyond the hype, but we're getting to the point
- 13:13Speaker 2: where people are saying, right, well, we amut if you
- 13:15Speaker 2: can to be spending and if you're saying that you
- 13:17Speaker 2: don't care about the fact that you're spending hundreds of
- 13:19Speaker 2: billions on this stuff right now, we need some sense
- 13:22Speaker 2: of when that's ever going to come back to. And
- 13:25Speaker 2: the thing is that, more than anything else, it's this
- 13:29Speaker 2: idea that we're not seeing the return on the horizon
- 13:33Speaker 2: that we justify this amount of investment. Well, also, I
- 13:37Speaker 2: do think I still struggle with seeing how AI is
- 13:44Speaker 2: going to actually change a lot of stuff you know,
- 13:49Speaker 2: you keep, And I mean I think that the people
- 13:51Speaker 2: who run these companies tend to adopt a hyperbolic approach
- 13:57Speaker 2: to it, partly for political reasons. If you can convince
- 14:01Speaker 2: people that you're about to build a machine that could
- 14:03Speaker 2: end the world, then that also convinces people that, oh,
- 14:06Speaker 2: this is a world change in technology. I should be
- 14:08Speaker 2: invested in it. So I think a lot of the
- 14:10Speaker 2: scare mongering about it is also part of the hype.
- 14:14Speaker 2: Anytime I try to use AI, it's like getting a
- 14:18Speaker 2: really bad in tern to write an article for you,
- 14:22Speaker 2: and that you have to then go back and check
- 14:23Speaker 2: everything yourself. And I still can't find a particular use
- 14:26Speaker 2: for it. And I know that I'm not especially stupid,
- 14:30Speaker 2: and I am also not really a late adopter. I'm
- 14:33Speaker 2: kind of somewhere in the middle with technology. And if
- 14:36Speaker 2: I can't kind of get it to do something useful
- 14:39Speaker 2: for me, then I say, how is it going to
- 14:40Speaker 2: put all these people out of jobs? Really?
- 14:43Speaker 1: Yeah? And how is it going to be monetized? Well?
- 14:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I especially when it was that's I think people
- 14:48Speaker 2: don't see me. There's a lot of competition out there.
- 14:51Speaker 2: It's a bit like when if I just not like
- 14:53Speaker 2: when search engines launched, because when search engines came about,
- 14:57Speaker 2: it took a little while to shake out, but Google
- 14:59Speaker 2: was the top dog quite clearly, and they never really
- 15:02Speaker 2: got it surpassed. But it's now you've got GBT, you've
- 15:06Speaker 2: get clawed, you get anthropy, you get perplexity. There's all
- 15:09Speaker 2: kinds of ones that you can use, and I'm yeah,
- 15:12Speaker 2: I'm struggling to see the the kind of story actually
- 15:17Speaker 2: living up to the reality. And I guess maybe markets
- 15:20Speaker 2: are getting there too.
- 15:22Speaker 1: And of course there's all that Chinese competition as well,
- 15:24Speaker 1: and we didn't have that back in the dot com days,
- 15:26Speaker 1: did we.
- 15:26Speaker 2: There wasn't no.
- 15:27Speaker 1: Sense that there was an entire globe competing with the
- 15:31Speaker 1: companies in the US, So it's a different environment. Anyway,
- 15:34Speaker 1: on that, I would recommend that all listeners listen to
- 15:38Speaker 1: our podcast with Albert Edwards which comes out on Monday,
- 15:42Speaker 1: which is super interesting on all this stuff, comparing the
- 15:45Speaker 1: dot com bubble at bubble or what if you think
- 15:47Speaker 1: back actually we called it. We didn't call it the
- 15:48Speaker 1: dot com bubble in the data. We don't call it
- 15:50Speaker 1: the TMT bubble actually yeah, tech media and telecoms bubble.
- 15:55Speaker 1: Dot com bubble came came later. Anyway, we talked about
- 15:57Speaker 1: that quite a lot in the podcast on Monday, said,
- 16:00Speaker 1: listen to that. The one thing that I wanted to
- 16:02Speaker 1: mention before we go is the way the UK market
- 16:06Speaker 1: that for two one hundred is reacting to the volatility
- 16:10Speaker 1: in NASUAC and tech stocks, which is by not being
- 16:14Speaker 1: particularly volatile at all and looking like it would really
- 16:17Speaker 1: really like to get to ten thousand.
- 16:20Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a nice thing. It would being bording
- 16:24Speaker 2: comes down. It's in whenever all the exciting stuff is
- 16:27Speaker 2: going down, you can treat then you're a bit coin
- 16:29Speaker 2: for the fifty one hundred tracker well, and.
- 16:33Speaker 1: You can also. I mean, the other thing you can
- 16:35Speaker 1: say is that while the UK market is also very concentrated.
- 16:39Speaker 1: Whenever people talk about the US market being very concentrated
- 16:42Speaker 1: and what a terrible signal, there's always someone who go, well,
- 16:44Speaker 1: the UK market is very concentrated as well. The top
- 16:46Speaker 1: ten companies may cover very last percent of it is true,
- 16:48Speaker 1: but they all do different things. It's the concentration in
- 16:52Speaker 1: the US is such that the top companies, the ones
- 16:55Speaker 1: we worry about all the time. They're all in the
- 16:56Speaker 1: same sector. Whereas in the UK up top you've got
- 17:00Speaker 1: mine as injurers in your banks, et cetera.
- 17:02Speaker 2: Very different Astro Seneca today is basically the top one
- 17:07Speaker 2: Astra Zenica, So you're big drug makers assuming Astra Zenica.
- 17:12Speaker 2: Just days here and as it so completely separate topic,
- 17:16Speaker 2: have brought up astro Zenica. The other thing budget related
- 17:19Speaker 2: I think is really interesting is what is she actually
- 17:21Speaker 2: going to do about stamp duty on equities because Astra's
- 17:26Speaker 2: decision he basically lists in the US, has meant that
- 17:31Speaker 2: it's not going to pay stamp duty anymore, even though
- 17:33Speaker 2: though it's listed in the foots one hundred and you've
- 17:37Speaker 2: suddenly created this. It's not even look bowl because it's
- 17:40Speaker 2: completely above board. But the point is there are lots
- 17:43Speaker 2: of foote one hundred companies that could do this. A
- 17:46Speaker 2: lot of them have got big US businesses, much bigger
- 17:49Speaker 2: than their kind of business that's generated here, so it
- 17:52Speaker 2: will be every rationale that they wanted for doing the
- 17:54Speaker 2: same sort of thing, and then you wouldn't be getting
- 17:57Speaker 2: any stamp duty, even though stamp duty would still be
- 18:00Speaker 2: on the statute books. So I kind of feel that
- 18:02Speaker 2: it's actually something that she needs to take a look at,
- 18:07Speaker 2: because down.
- 18:09Speaker 1: You know, we've been saying this for forever, got to
- 18:12Speaker 1: do something about stamp your higher stamp duty in the world,
- 18:16Speaker 1: et cetera. And now you say, well, okay, look, something
- 18:19Speaker 1: has happened that proves that you need to do something
- 18:23Speaker 1: to make the UK market more attractive. And you're not
- 18:25Speaker 1: getting a stand duty anyway if people leave and you
- 18:27Speaker 1: and I think that that is a rational reason to
- 18:31Speaker 1: take action.
- 18:32Speaker 2: Come full circle now, I bring you.
- 18:34Speaker 1: Back to the beginning of our conversation. I mean, if
- 18:37Speaker 1: that happened, If that happened, if in the budget we
- 18:40Speaker 1: saw stamp duty abolished on equities, stamp duty abolished or
- 18:44Speaker 1: maybe brought down to ten basis points it's three up
- 18:46Speaker 1: in one percent or something like that, then you know,
- 18:48Speaker 1: I go, well, okay, you're listening. You know you understand
- 18:51Speaker 1: something about incentive and the same if if she really
- 18:54Speaker 1: did go through with cutting the amount you can put
- 18:57Speaker 1: in an ISO in cash and putting some kind of
- 19:01Speaker 1: mandation on investing in UK equities if you're using a
- 19:04Speaker 1: UK based tax wrapper, I will go okay, well, you
- 19:06Speaker 1: know you're listening. You understand about flows, et cetera. But
- 19:09Speaker 1: you know, John at this point hopes he low, hopees
- 19:11Speaker 1: he low.
- 19:16Speaker 2: She may be expectations if they were law.
- 19:19Speaker 1: That's why I keep them low. All right, Anything else
- 19:24Speaker 1: you want to say? Do you want to do? You
- 19:25Speaker 1: want to point out to everybody how good, how good
- 19:28Speaker 1: it is that you don't hold bitcoin because it's gone
- 19:30Speaker 1: down so much.
- 19:31Speaker 2: I know, I don't feel like it'd be small going
- 19:33Speaker 2: that one. Yeah, I mean, what is it still over
- 19:35Speaker 2: one hundred thousands? So yeah, maybe once it guys goes
- 19:38Speaker 2: back below twenty.
- 19:40Speaker 1: Okay, you're stopping smug around twenty. All right, there's a
- 19:43Speaker 1: marker everybody around twenty. John's going to be smug, and
- 19:47Speaker 1: I'll be upset because my minutes you're bitcoin holding won't
- 19:50Speaker 1: won't be worth as much as it was.
- 19:52Speaker 2: You'll never retire at this point.
- 19:54Speaker 1: I'm never retiring anyway, never tiring one of those dB pensions.
- 19:59Speaker 1: Not like that. Rachel. Thanks for listening to this week's
- 20:07Speaker 1: Marin Talks Money Debrief. If you like us, show, rate, review,
- 20:10Speaker 1: and subscribe wherever you listen to podcasts. Also be short
- 20:12Speaker 1: to follow me and John on ex or Twitter at
- 20:15Speaker 1: marins w and John underscore Stepic. This episode was produced
- 20:18Speaker 1: by Summersidi and Moses and