Latest / What the Flux / Myer's share price plummet | Meta's AI wingman for dating | Porsche hits the break on EVs
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux. I'm brat and I'm justin
- 0:07Speaker 1: and it's Wednesday. They're twenty fourth of September. Does it boit?
- 0:10Speaker 2: We spoke the other week about the federal government's investment
- 0:12Speaker 2: in Side Quantum. Well now they're dipping into the federal
- 0:16Speaker 2: purse strings once again. This time the government has invested
- 0:18Speaker 2: in Australia's largest semiconductor company, Morse Micro, this time a
- 0:22Speaker 2: lazy thirty five million bukarooneys.
- 0:24Speaker 1: Just pull it out of the purse strings. Fan. Have
- 0:26Speaker 1: you ever heard of the phrase job hugging? I recently
- 0:30Speaker 1: have job huggings where employees are choosing to stay in
- 0:32Speaker 1: their current positions instead of shopping around because they're earning
- 0:35Speaker 1: more by staying poor. Very very interesting study, and we've
- 0:38Speaker 1: done a deep dive in the Flux app speaking about
- 0:40Speaker 1: job hugging versus job hopping. Fucks app. If you're thinking
- 0:43Speaker 1: about your job at the moment, make sure you download.
- 0:45Speaker 2: The Flux app and take a read of the article
- 0:47Speaker 2: three monstrous stories today, Dozy boy, let's do it for
- 0:50Speaker 2: our first. Maya's share price has fallen twenty five percent
- 0:54Speaker 2: after its poor earnings results shocked its investors.
- 0:58Speaker 1: Maya's profit plunges and it's got investors bailing, So tell
- 1:01Speaker 1: me more, be Man. So.
- 1:02Speaker 2: Maya is an Australian department store founded in nineteen hundred
- 1:05Speaker 2: that sells everything from clothing and beauty to homewear in electronics.
- 1:09Speaker 1: And last year it made a near billion dollar acquisition
- 1:12Speaker 1: of apparel.
- 1:13Speaker 2: Brands aka the Wardrobe behind Just Jeans, JJ's, Portman's, Your Dotties,
- 1:18Speaker 2: Your Jackie, Ease.
- 1:19Speaker 1: All the Finer, Yep, and be Man. This deal was
- 1:22Speaker 1: made to boost Meyer's profit.
- 1:23Speaker 2: So despite the market's initial positive response to the acquisition,
- 1:27Speaker 2: the glamour has worn off fast.
- 1:28Speaker 1: Yeah. Myers warned that its net profit has fallen thirty
- 1:31Speaker 1: percent compared to last year, and they reckon It's been
- 1:33Speaker 1: a tough environment for retail brands with slow consumer spending.
- 1:36Speaker 1: Plus they've also spent a lot of coin on their
- 1:39Speaker 1: new Melbourne distribution center, as well as installing new security
- 1:42Speaker 1: systems at all its retail stores and joy Boy.
- 1:45Speaker 2: It doesn't help that the newly acquired apparel brands so
- 1:47Speaker 2: a drop in sales in its first six months under Maya.
- 1:50Speaker 1: But Beman Meis execs claim that f I twenty five
- 1:53Speaker 1: was just a transition year. Yeah, they reckon.
- 1:56Speaker 2: This should be considered a free kick of a year
- 1:59Speaker 2: because it's just setting the business up for our future growth.
- 2:02Speaker 1: So what is the key learning year?
- 2:04Speaker 2: Big ticket investments are always tricky to sell to investors.
- 2:07Speaker 1: The costs hit immediately, but the payoff may not show
- 2:10Speaker 1: up for years.
- 2:10Speaker 2: But sometimes businesses need to cop short term losses and
- 2:13Speaker 2: bit of pain in order to position themselves for that
- 2:16Speaker 2: long term success and be man.
- 2:17Speaker 1: That is the bet that Maya made when it's spent
- 2:19Speaker 1: heavily on a billion dollar acquisition and upgraded as supply chain.
- 2:23Speaker 2: The problem is if execution isn't done well, then investor
- 2:26Speaker 2: confidence can evaporate very quickly.
- 2:28Speaker 1: Yeah, Maya's distribution center has already faced delays and extra costs.
- 2:32Speaker 2: In fact, the operational problems at the new distribution center
- 2:35Speaker 2: cost Maya about twelve million bucks in earnings before interest
- 2:38Speaker 2: in tax for the first half of FY twenty five,
- 2:41Speaker 2: and one.
- 2:41Speaker 1: Of its new brands, Dotty, suffered a near nine percent
- 2:44Speaker 1: dive in sales over the second half alone.
- 2:46Speaker 2: So companies like Maya need to strike a careful balancing
- 2:49Speaker 2: act between keeping investors happy while still growing the profitability
- 2:53Speaker 2: or else it's.
- 2:54Speaker 1: Game over before the makeover even begins.
- 2:57Speaker 2: For our second story, Facebook is trying to cure dating
- 3:01Speaker 2: swipe fatigue within new AI dating assistant.
- 3:04Speaker 1: Aikopered Inda House well Man Well.
- 3:07Speaker 2: Facebook, which is obviously owned by Meta, launched Facebook Dating
- 3:10Speaker 2: in twenty nineteen, has a bit of a rival to
- 3:12Speaker 2: Tinder and Bumble.
- 3:13Speaker 1: And be Man. This has been embedded inside the Facebook gap.
- 3:16Speaker 2: Because nothing says romance like meeting your soulmate next to
- 3:19Speaker 2: a photo of your third cousin's birthday barbecue.
- 3:21Speaker 1: O true and b Man. Meta claims the hundreds of
- 3:24Speaker 1: thousands of eighteen to twenty nine year olds are creating
- 3:26Speaker 1: Facebook dating profiles every single month in North America.
- 3:30Speaker 2: But now Meta has unveiled an AI dating assistant that
- 3:33Speaker 2: supposedly helps users find their matches.
- 3:36Speaker 1: Yeah, you could use a prompt like find me a
- 3:37Speaker 1: Brooklyn girl in tear and metas AI will play with man.
- 3:42Speaker 2: And not only is Meta's AI becoming your local matchmaker,
- 3:45Speaker 2: They've also rolled out an auto match feature yeap it
- 3:49Speaker 2: basically Tinder meets a blind Date and Juzzy Boy. While
- 3:52Speaker 2: there are no plans to bring this to Australian singletons
- 3:55Speaker 2: right now, if successful in the US.
- 3:57Speaker 1: You just never know, especially because Facebook already had what's
- 4:00Speaker 1: the network effects to make this work?
- 4:02Speaker 2: Very true? So what is the key learning here?
- 4:03Speaker 1: Dating apps live and die by network effects.
- 4:06Speaker 2: The more people that join, the better the app works.
- 4:09Speaker 2: More users attract more users. But for a new company
- 4:13Speaker 2: breaking into a market that's dominated by Tinder or Bumble
- 4:15Speaker 2: or Hinge, that's really.
- 4:16Speaker 1: Hard, yeah, because those platforms have already built strong network effects.
- 4:20Speaker 2: But Facebook can leverage metas billions of existing users to
- 4:24Speaker 2: shortcut the process.
- 4:25Speaker 1: And this ate the first time that Facebook's leverage its
- 4:27Speaker 1: existing distribution to scale into a new vertical.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Remember when selling secondhand goods used to be the domain
- 4:33Speaker 2: of Trading Post or gum tree.
- 4:35Speaker 1: Do and then Facebook Marketplace came along and went bang yep.
- 4:39Speaker 2: And now more than one in three people on Facebook
- 4:41Speaker 2: in the US use Marketplace each month.
- 4:43Speaker 1: So Facebook's hoping it can become relevant with the younger
- 4:46Speaker 1: generation again through boltons to its very core and dated offering.
- 4:50Speaker 2: For our third and final story, Porsche has just issued
- 4:55Speaker 2: its fourth profit warning this year as it puts its
- 4:57Speaker 2: electric vehicle plans on.
- 4:58Speaker 1: Ice, slamming the brain on electric dreams ben, So what
- 5:01Speaker 1: is going on here.
- 5:02Speaker 2: So Porsche is the German luxury car maker that's named
- 5:05Speaker 2: after the founder of the company, Ferdinand A. Porsche in
- 5:08Speaker 2: nineteen thirty.
- 5:09Speaker 1: Porsche is famous for the kN and for the galloping
- 5:12Speaker 1: horse mascot and Juzi Boy.
- 5:13Speaker 2: By August twenty twelve, Volkswagen Group owned one hundred percent
- 5:16Speaker 2: of Porsche. Until twenty twenty two.
- 5:18Speaker 1: That was when Porsche listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange
- 5:21Speaker 1: and it was the biggest IPO in over a decade.
- 5:23Speaker 2: But now Porsche has issued its fourth profit warning just this.
- 5:26Speaker 1: Year yep it warned that operating profits were expected to
- 5:29Speaker 1: face a one point eight billion euro hit.
- 5:32Speaker 2: The reason is due to weak demand in China for
- 5:34Speaker 2: luxury cars, as well as those pesky tariffs in the US.
- 5:38Speaker 1: Which is Porsche's largest market.
- 5:40Speaker 2: So now to stem the bleeding, Porsche's shelves plans for
- 5:42Speaker 2: a luxury EV SUV and Juzy Boy. Its share price
- 5:45Speaker 2: has skidded so far that Porsche will drop out of
- 5:48Speaker 2: Germany's DAX benchmark index.
- 5:51Speaker 1: So what is the key learning here?
- 5:52Speaker 2: Being part of a benchmark index isn't just a vanity title.
- 5:56Speaker 2: It can be a golden ticket to investment.
- 5:58Speaker 1: Dollars. Yeah. When a company and an index based on
- 6:01Speaker 1: its market size, it means that many passive funds and
- 6:03Speaker 1: ETFs the track at index need to acquire a shares.
- 6:06Speaker 2: And this can often drive demand and tends to push
- 6:09Speaker 2: the company's shares price upward yep.
- 6:10Speaker 1: And on the flip side, if a company leaves an
- 6:12Speaker 1: index like Porsche, those same investment funds need to sell
- 6:15Speaker 1: the share which can create downward pressure.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Interestingly, and McKinsey study found that the stock price bump
- 6:20Speaker 2: at inclusion is real, but mostly it's temporary.
- 6:23Speaker 1: Y The effect of this spike or drop tends to
- 6:25Speaker 1: level out within about two months after the change.
- 6:28Speaker 2: For Porsche, losing its DAK spot might be a short
- 6:31Speaker 2: term financial stepback, but it's even more of a symbolic
- 6:34Speaker 2: fall from grace.
- 6:34Speaker 1: Fluxam Despite what you might think, fifteen to twenty four
- 6:37Speaker 1: year old Aussies are actually a lot less likely to
- 6:40Speaker 1: job hoped in the same age group ten years ago.
- 6:43Speaker 1: I'm calling it. Job hugging is the newer job hopping
- 6:45Speaker 1: and if you want to know why, Flexamma, make sure
- 6:47Speaker 1: you download the Flux app for a deep dive into
- 6:49Speaker 1: job hugging.
- 6:50Speaker 2: Thanks for listening. And we'll see you on Friday.