Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 568 - 8/21/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome. To episode 560.
- 0:17Eight of the all. Systems.
- 0:18Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:22I'm your host, Josh. Applebaum, what's going on,
- 0:30everyone? Happy Friday.
- 0:32Another day here. In the arena, guys.
- 0:34But more importantly, the end of the.
- 0:36Work week, the weekend. Ahead of US NFL.
- 0:39Season right around the. Corner.
- 0:40College football right around the corner.
- 0:42We are now just. Less.
- 0:44Than a week away or basically a week away.
- 0:46From all these college games kicking off here, so I am
- 0:49excited to. Get the NFL season going.
- 0:51Get the college football season going.
- 0:54And we're going to see if we can.
- 0:55Cash them MLB. Tickets today before we steam
- 0:57into the weekend. So I.
- 0:58Do want to mention right off the bat.
- 1:00One little piece of. Information I am off.
- 1:04To Cape Cod. Tomorrow, so every single year,
- 1:06I don't know how long you guys been.
- 1:07Listening for, but I've been doing this for quite a while
- 1:10now, I don't know how. How many years it's got to be?
- 1:12Ten years or more at this point. But my dad always.
- 1:16Rents. A house on Cape Cod and the
- 1:18whole family. Meets up for.
- 1:19A week on the Cape and wouldn't you know it tomorrow.
- 1:21Is the day we all. Roland, my sister, and.
- 1:25Her family from new. Jersey, my parents from Western
- 1:28Mass, where I'm from. I'm from the outskirts of
- 1:30Boston. I got my aunt and uncle coming
- 1:32in from Maryland. They have another aunt and uncle
- 1:34coming in from Connecticut. So we're going to descend.
- 1:37Upon Harwich and. If you know the Cape at all, you
- 1:40know Harwich. Chatham.
- 1:41That's really my. Favorite part of Cape Cod?
- 1:43We've been in Chatham for the last, I think, four or five
- 1:46years, having a great time. Before that we were in Easton.
- 1:49And then I think. Before that, we were.
- 1:51In Truro or closer to Provincetown, but we're all
- 1:56going Harwich. It all starts tomorrow, so.
- 1:58We'll be making the. The drive I'm.
- 2:00Picking up my aunt. From the airport, she actually
- 2:02lives in Washington, so it's going to be a huge family get
- 2:04together. Picking her up tonight, we leave
- 2:06tomorrow morning and then I'll be.
- 2:08On the Cape from Saturday starting tomorrow.
- 2:11The 22nd until. Saturday, August 29th.
- 2:14So as a result. No Podcast.
- 2:17No. Podcast at All Next.
- 2:18Week. Really, I will be continuing to
- 2:21write the articles. So you can always check out the
- 2:23daily. MLB Sharp reports at.
- 2:25Visen.com. If you are one.
- 2:26Of those generous listeners. Who signs up for the juice?
- 2:29Real best bet pics. I will still be.
- 2:31Posting to Juice. Real every best bet throughout
- 2:34next week. But as a result.
- 2:36No pod. My dad always yells at me and he
- 2:38says you're working this week, you know, you should take it
- 2:41off. And I I now say the debt to my
- 2:43dad. Hey, if I don't work, I don't
- 2:44get paid. So I'm not going to do the POD,
- 2:47but I'm still going to write my articles.
- 2:48I'm still going to post. The best bets?
- 2:50But usually what I do is. You know, this week is really
- 2:52meaningful to me. To be with the family for a
- 2:55full. Week.
- 2:56Now I have my daughter, so it's her first Cape adventure.
- 3:00She actually. Believe it or not, the 21st Wow,
- 3:03she's. Five months today I.
- 3:04Got to tell the wife because I think we that might have gone
- 3:06above. Our head, but she's.
- 3:07Five months old. Today and that this.
- 3:10Is a week where. We hang out at the house
- 3:11together. We go to the.
- 3:12Beach every day. We go to.
- 3:15Different lobster roll. Places and then.
- 3:17There are a couple. Nights for me and my.
- 3:19Dad, get actual lobsters. And we cook them.
- 3:21So it's really meaningful. It's really important to me.
- 3:24As a result, no. Pods.
- 3:26So that means we'll be back in. About a week.
- 3:28And I I. Use this time to bond with the.
- 3:29Fam. Everyone will be going nuts for
- 3:32the baby and then also to just re energize the batteries
- 3:35because guys, I don't need you don't need me to tell you, but.
- 3:38Sports betting. It ain't for the.
- 3:39Faint of heart. We grind every single day.
- 3:41We bet, pretty much. Every day of the year, there's
- 3:45very, you know. Few days where we don't bet.
- 3:47At all. For me it's usually.
- 3:48If I'm somewhere and I don't. Have access to a legal sports
- 3:51betting state or maybe there's nothing going on or maybe it's a
- 3:53holiday, but we love. Betting on sports.
- 3:56We love the challenge, we love cash and tickets, but every now
- 3:59and again. If you can, you know, take a bit
- 4:01of a step. Back re energize the batteries
- 4:03to me it's also timing because. You know it's going to get crazy
- 4:06with NFL. With college football.
- 4:09So it's kind of the last. Week of the year where I, you
- 4:11know, sit. On the beach, contemplate life.
- 4:13Bond with the family and then. I'm rested and ready to go to
- 4:17attack a huge NFL betting season for a big.
- 4:20Fall so just wanted. To mention that.
- 4:21Off the out outset. If you're wondering, Monday.
- 4:24Tuesday, Wednesday. Thursday, Friday.
- 4:25Where's? Josh's pod, is he still?
- 4:26Alive What happened? Hopefully I'm still.
- 4:28Alive, hopefully a shark. Didn't eat me.
- 4:31Off the coast of Chatham. Like in Jaws.
- 4:34But all jokes aside. I want to wish.
- 4:36Everyone a great week. Next week and.
- 4:38Then just get ready because. When we do another.
- 4:40Pod it'll be. August 31st it'll be the.
- 4:43Last day of August. And we'll have college football
- 4:45in full swing. We'll have NFL.
- 4:46Right around the corner, so I just.
- 4:48Want to mention that no pods next week.
- 4:50I'll be on the Cape. With the fam.
- 4:53Continuing to talk about football though.
- 4:55We got the. Applebaum, second annual.
- 4:57NFL Survivor contest. In full swing, right?
- 5:00Now we are now up to 57. Signups, so I'm loving.
- 5:04It you guys are. Joining in.
- 5:06And I'm also going to ask you something.
- 5:07Not only are you going to. Join but.
- 5:08You're going to tell a friend. You're going to.
- 5:10Send the invite. Link to your.
- 5:11Dad, your. Uncle, your cousin, your son,
- 5:14your nephew, your colleague, your Co worker.
- 5:16A buddy of yours. But.
- 5:18Let's get as many people as we possibly can, because the more.
- 5:20People that join the. Bigger the payout becomes.
- 5:23So. As always, you can go to my
- 5:25Twitter. Page at Josh under score.
- 5:26Insights. It'll be a pinned.
- 5:28Tweet to sign up for the Survivor contest.
- 5:31And again it's. 50 bucks an entry jacked.
- 5:33It up from 25 to 50 this year but I figured.
- 5:36Hey. It's not the thousand.
- 5:37Dollar entry, so hopefully you guys can.
- 5:38Afford it? But just increases the payout,
- 5:41which again, some lucky lucky. Person out there listening could
- 5:44win. $45,000. Wouldn't that be nice so you can
- 5:47buy yourself a new? Car or do whatever you want with
- 5:48it. Go to.
- 5:49Go to Tahiti. Pay off a debt.
- 5:51Go buck wild. You know, in Vegas, whatever you
- 5:54want to do. But you can also click the link
- 5:57that is located. In the bio description of the
- 5:59pod that'll. Also have the link to sign up.
- 6:01For the Survivor contest, I. Want to thank everyone.
- 6:04Who has signed up? If you haven't done it yet, I
- 6:06know you. Have until the 13th, but just
- 6:08get in now. Just get it over with, because
- 6:09you don't. Want to be rushing?
- 6:10It's week 1. Of the NFL, You're trying to
- 6:12make your bets and you're trying to.
- 6:13Do all these things. Survivor Just.
- 6:15Make it easy on. Yourself.
- 6:16Come on down. Join the NFL Survivor contest,
- 6:19second annual Applebaum NFL Survivor with splashboards and I
- 6:22hope someone out there. Listening wins 40. $5000 now.
- 6:26Looking toward today, guys 3. Pack MLB bets.
- 6:29I got a couple dogs so see if we can get at least.
- 6:31One of them and then I got. A favorite for you?
- 6:33I have some. Rhythm and.
- 6:35Juice reel edges. I got some boost.
- 6:37That we can take advantage of. Hopefully we're going.
- 6:39To see if we can go 2. In one eek out a winning.
- 6:41Day finish off the week on a winning note.
- 6:43Looking back to our. Last night guys, one in one.
- 6:45Hopefully you got that boost. With the Rangers minus. 0.24
- 6:49units. Rangers came up huge, winning. 2
- 6:51nothing. Degrom pitched a gem.
- 6:53Loser was the Orioles. They were.
- 6:55Sharp as a tack, those bums lost 6 to 1.
- 6:58So it's always. Annoying when you're on a sharp
- 7:00dog. When they don't even show up for
- 7:02you. Because it's like, oh, we can.
- 7:03Get a little plus money markets. Moving in their favor, everybody
- 7:06and their mother was on the Yankees.
- 7:08Yet that line kept. Dropping to the.
- 7:09Orioles. Orioles the losers.
- 7:11That they are don't even show up.
- 7:13And lose 6 to one it was. A three to one game when I
- 7:15turned it on, I'm like OK, down 3 to 1, but we can come back.
- 7:18Then there were coupled. Two straight homers from Garcia
- 7:21and. That big guy. 66 foot 7 Jones.
- 7:24I'm like, OK, I'm probably not going to get this one.
- 7:27So 1 and 1 -, 0. .24 units. Or see what we can get back in
- 7:31the green here for today. So without further ado.
- 7:34Let's talk about. Three MLB.
- 7:35Best bets for tonight again trying to get.
- 7:37Two out of the. 3. Eek out a winning.
- 7:39Day so first bit on the board for me.
- 7:42Let's go down to Fenway Pack, 7:10 PM Eastern.
- 7:45Time where Rafael Devers. And the San Francisco?
- 7:48Giants return to Fenway to face the Red Sox.
- 7:51Let's talk line moves. Bet split system matches.
- 7:54I'll give you my play for this one.
- 7:55So the G men come in 52 and 75 on the year.
- 7:58Been a disappointing year. Just dropped two or.
- 8:01Three against the Guardians. They lost yesterday's series.
- 8:03Finale 5 to 2 as a. +1. 90 Road Dog.
- 8:06Meanwhile, the Sox. 68 and. 59 just.
- 8:09Took two or. Three against the D backs
- 8:11couldn't get the sweep. Though they lost that series.
- 8:13Finale. The other.
- 8:14Day 7 to 6 and extras as a -, 160 home.
- 8:17Favorite so pitching match up here for.
- 8:20Tonight in the interleague. Series opener.
- 8:22We got the Giants going with the ready.
- 8:23Logan Web. He's 8:00 and 7:00 with.
- 8:25A 3.5 O ERA. Red Sox, meanwhile, going.
- 8:28With the righty Sunny. Gray, He's 15 and 3. 2. .65 ERA
- 8:33having a great year so. What are you sitting across the
- 8:35market? This guy, this line opened.
- 8:38I saw some shops as low as red. Sox like -1?
- 8:4050 most books were. Around Red Sox. -160. 5 San Fran
- 8:44around plus 145 road dog. But regardless of the opener,
- 8:48this line is. Only moved toward Boston.
- 8:50We've seen the Red Sox go. -165 up to -175 I'm seeing some
- 8:55shops. And jump.
- 8:56Toward -180 at DK you're getting nearly. 90% of money.
- 9:00Line bets in dollars. Coming in on Boston.
- 9:02So a heavy pro and Joe. Split in favor.
- 9:04Of the Red Sox. With that line.
- 9:06Move in their favor. Much of system matches for the
- 9:08Red Sox one just classic interleague.
- 9:10Favorite lack of familiarity benefiting historically.
- 9:13Quote UN quote the better. Team expected to win, but if we.
- 9:16Dive a little deeper. Non division.
- 9:18Favorites in the opening game of a new.
- 9:19Series who made the. Playoffs the previous year and
- 9:22they're facing an opponent. Who missed?
- 9:23The playoffs the previous year. That would match with Boston.
- 9:26That system is 107 and. 6064. Percent win rate 6.
- 9:30Percent ROI this year. If you are a Friday night
- 9:33favorite -175 or higher. Those teams are 25 and 10 this.
- 9:37Year 71%. 5% ROI. But more importantly, big reason
- 9:42why I like the Red Sox tonight. Rest first, tired.
- 9:44Advantage. Big rest.
- 9:45First tired for Boston. Because the Red Sox.
- 9:47Were off yesterday. Didn't play and prior to that
- 9:50they were. They had a home stand, so no.
- 9:52Travel day off, meanwhile. The Giants played yesterday in
- 9:55Cleveland. Now they travel to Boston.
- 9:57So situations like this where you have a rested.
- 9:59Home favorite. Coming off a day off.
- 10:01Facing an opponent who? Played the previous day.
- 10:04Those teams are 30. 7 and 1760. 9 percent, 17%.
- 10:08ROI this year? Red Sox also.
- 10:11Have some quilted betting value favorite here.
- 10:13Total of 7 1/2, so low total if you're not expected.
- 10:16Run scored more likely. To come from.
- 10:18Quote UN quote that better team. I want to back Sonny Gray.
- 10:20He. Has a 0. .95 ERA and three
- 10:23August starts. He's only giving up two earned
- 10:25runs and 19 innings pitched. At home.
- 10:28Six and one two point. 45 uh A at night 11 and 2. 2.1 O.
- 10:34Uh, a Red Sox. Also have the better bullpen
- 10:35coming off a day off rested. Uh, of. 2.9.
- 10:38Five. That's the number one.
- 10:40Bullpen uh a in baseball compared to a four. .2.
- 10:43Five uh, a for San Francisco. 'S Pen that ranks 20th.
- 10:47By the way, the Giants. 23 and 42 on the road.
- 10:50That's only. A 35.
- 10:51Percent win rate. That is the third worst.
- 10:54Road record in baseball. So movement toward the Red Sox
- 10:57Good system matches rest versus tired.
- 11:00Hopefully Sonny Gray. Pitches well for us.
- 11:02I know Rafael Devers is returning.
- 11:04I assume they'll they'll. They'll give him a.
- 11:06Standing ovation, not Boo him. The boom management for dealing
- 11:09with a guy just cuz he made a lot of money he also didn't want
- 11:11to play first base then ironically plays first for San
- 11:14Fran anyway. I found the red.
- 11:16Sox -1. 68 at FanDuel. And I did have an odds boost.
- 11:20So I got. Them down to -120. 9 Definitely
- 11:23shop around. -168 is. Still your.
- 11:24Best number I. Believe at.
- 11:26FanDuel for Boston. But a lot of shops more closer
- 11:29to. -175. S 1st, but on the board.
- 11:32Let's go Sox. Let's come through a Fenway Next
- 11:36Bet 7. 15 PM. Eastern Time, the Tampa Bay Rays
- 11:39visiting the Baltimore Orioles. Now the rays.
- 11:42Come in 76 and 51. I believe they just had a bad
- 11:45home stand though. I think they went two and five
- 11:47in their home stand. Just lost.
- 11:48Two of three against the Blue Jays.
- 11:50Lost. 5 to 1 yesterday in the series.
- 11:52Finale as a -, 165 home. Favorite.
- 11:55Meanwhile, the OS. We're 61 and 60.
- 11:57Seven don't need to remind you. Just got swept by the Yankees.
- 12:01Complete Complete No show. For us as a sharp dog yesterday.
- 12:04Get an old Yeller. Taking the woodshed 6 to 1 as a
- 12:06+ 100 home. Dog.
- 12:08So tonight's series opener, we got the Rays going with the
- 12:10ready Freddy. Peralta, he's. 5 and 10 with A5.
- 12:13.27. ERA picked him up.
- 12:15At the deadline from the Mets, Orioles.
- 12:17Meanwhile, going with the lefty Trevor Rogers, he's 8:00 and
- 12:208:00. With a 4.15.
- 12:21ERA What would be seen across the market?
- 12:24Well, this game opened. Baltimore around a -. 130 home
- 12:27favorite Tampa Bay around. A + 115.
- 12:30Road dog and we see nothing but movement.
- 12:33Toward Tampa Bay. Because we've seen Baltimore
- 12:35fall a little bit. -130. Down to -125 -, 120, we've seen
- 12:40this line move toward Tampa plus 1/15 to around plus 110 seeing
- 12:44some shops. Even closer like plus one O. 5 S
- 12:47clearly clearly the line is going away from.
- 12:49Baltimore toward Tampa first. Indication to me that.
- 12:52Tampa is a sharp bet over at Circa.
- 12:54The rays are getting. 70% of money line bets. 84.
- 12:58Percent of money line. Dollars a good low.
- 13:00Bets higher dollars sharp. Split in favor of the road.
- 13:03Dogg Rays in particular when they're playing a below 500
- 13:07team, they're. 52 and 3163 percent, 13% ROI.
- 13:12That's the best record in baseball.
- 13:13Against a losing team. Tampa Bay's got the better bats.
- 13:1613261331-ON. Base Baltimore.
- 13:20'S hitting 2:30. 5319 on. Base.
- 13:22Also rays going. Up against a lefty?
- 13:25They're hitting 240. Nine against lefties.
- 13:26That's the 9th. Best average in baseball?
- 13:29Against southpaws. Baltimore, meanwhile, only.
- 13:31Hitting two. 35 against. Righties.
- 13:32That ranks 20. 5th, in particular Tampa.
- 13:35Winning Rd. Team 33 and 28 on the road.
- 13:38Good at Night, 4049 and 26. Under the lights.
- 13:42Baltimore, meanwhile, losing team at home. 32 and 33 and a
- 13:45losing. Team under the.
- 13:46Lights 35 and 40 so. We've seen nothing but movement
- 13:50away from. Baltimore toward Tampa.
- 13:52Tampa's got a good bet split here at Circa.
- 13:55We have a divisional dog opportunity here and we have a.
- 13:58Bunch of good system matches. Lighting up on the rays, it
- 14:01doesn't. Hurt that I popped.
- 14:03Open Juice reel noticed a 33% sharp mush edge from.
- 14:07Our friends at Juice Reel on Tampa and.
- 14:09Then we also have one. Rhythm recommendation Lighting
- 14:11up. On the Rays as well.
- 14:12So add it all up here guys, I'm taking a shot.
- 14:14On the dog. I got the rays.
- 14:16Plus. 116 at FanDuel. Definitely shop around, a lot of
- 14:20books now closer to. Plus 1/10.
- 14:22Last bit of the night. Let's go out to Kansas City, get
- 14:25some BBQ where the Kansas City Royals.
- 14:28At 8:10 PM Eastern Time are hosting.
- 14:30The Detroit Tigers. Now tigers come in. 61 and 60. 6
- 14:35on the year, just lost 2. Or three against the Pirates
- 14:38lost the series. Finale 4 to 3 as a.
- 14:40Plus 140 Rd. Dog.
- 14:42Meanwhile, the Royals, who are 50. 5 and 74.
- 14:45They're. Actually playing pretty well.
- 14:46They've won five. Straight, they just swept the
- 14:48athletics. They won that series.
- 14:49Finale against the A's. 6 to 2 yesterday.
- 14:52As a -, 125 home. Favorite So tonight's series.
- 14:55Opener Tigers are going. With the ready, Troy.
- 14:58Melton he is 7 and one with a 1.71 ERA.
- 15:02Royals, meanwhile, going with the.
- 15:03Lefty Noah Cameron. He is 7 and 8.
- 15:05With a four point. 16 ERA. Now, what have you seen across
- 15:09the market? This game open Detroit round A
- 15:11-. 120 road favorite Kansas. City A + 1. 05 home dog.
- 15:15Public says give. Me tigers all day.
- 15:18Yeah, they're a below. 500 team but.
- 15:20Royals have a much worse record. It's a short number.
- 15:23Again public. Store members Detroit being good
- 15:24last year. It's an easy.
- 15:26Play lay it with the Tigers, however.
- 15:29Even though we're seeing 67%. Of money line.
- 15:32Bets on Detroit we've had we have not seen the.
- 15:35Line go up. Toward Detroit minus. 120 to
- 15:37-130. It's gone the other way they've.
- 15:39Fallen from -120 down to -115 some books.
- 15:43Even now dipping. Down toward minus. 110.
- 15:46So you know the drill. Heavy betting.
- 15:47Detroit yet line moving to Kansas City.
- 15:49Tells us we have a. Sharp reverse line.
- 15:51Move on, Kansas City. Royals.
- 15:54Are going from plus one O 5 to now around +100.
- 15:58Royals will match with a bunch of.
- 15:59Systems first. We have a really good split at
- 16:01circa only 32%. Money line bets.
- 16:03But 57% money line dollars, so a good split there.
- 16:07From the wise guys in Vegas. In favor of Kansas City.
- 16:10Now we get to those divisional dog angles.
- 16:12Divisional dogs. Built in lack or built in
- 16:15familiarity levels the playing field, leads to closer games,
- 16:18more upsets. But the Royals as a divisional
- 16:20dog off a win. Divisional dogs off a win are
- 16:23119 and 1:31. That's a 48% win rate.
- 16:27But because of the plus. Money.
- 16:29That's a 6% ROI. This system is even better if
- 16:32you're a divisional dog off a win with line movement in your
- 16:35favor facing an opponent. Who made the?
- 16:36Playoffs the previous year rows would match those teams are 26
- 16:40and 2551 percent, 11%. ROI this year now.
- 16:44I want to back Cameron, you know, you look at his numbers
- 16:46overall, he. Is 7 and 8. 4.16 ERA.
- 16:50But he's pitched very, very well recently.
- 16:52Over his last five starts, he has an ERA of 1.21.
- 16:56He's only given up five earned runs and 37.2.
- 16:58And he's pitched Tigers, meanwhile, only hitting 231
- 17:02against lefties this year. That's 27th out of 30 MLB teams.
- 17:06And also we got some home Rd. KC 33 and 30 at home.
- 17:10Again, big losing record. Overall, but they're a winning
- 17:12team at home, they're terrible on the road.
- 17:14They're at home tonight. Detroit 29 and 35 on the road.
- 17:18So Publix all over tigers. But lines.
- 17:20Dropping toward Kansas City, we have a 20% sharp mush edge in.
- 17:24Favor of the Royals. At Juice Reel.
- 17:27And then I popped open rhythm. Noticed.
- 17:28One rhythm recommendation? Also lighting up.
- 17:31In favor of Kansas City so. I'm going to take a shot on this
- 17:34dog tonight. Let's hope they can bark.
- 17:36I got the Royals. +105 at Caesar's.
- 17:39Definitely shop around. A lot of books around plus 102 +
- 17:41100. So get as much plus money as you
- 17:44can there. So Red Sox raise.
- 17:47Royals, hopefully the letter. R.
- 17:50Is is a good omen for us here tonight?
- 17:53Let's try to get 2 out of 3. Eek out a winning night.
- 17:56So that about does it for episode 560.
- 17:59Eight of the all. Systems Go sports betting
- 18:01podcast powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 18:03where we wrap things up. And I always start first by
- 18:06saying. Thank you.
- 18:08Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in.
- 18:10Thank. You for grinding.
- 18:11In the arena with. Me every single day through the
- 18:13the wins, the losses, the good, the bad, the hot streaks.
- 18:15The cold streaks, but you guys keep.
- 18:17Showing up and it's a, it's a, it's, it's a testament.
- 18:20To our. Approach to sports betting which
- 18:23is a. Not a emotional approach, but a
- 18:25data-driven. Approach I.
- 18:26Would if you enjoy this pod? Hopefully.
- 18:28You value the insights. Whether you you know tail every
- 18:30bet. Pick and choose.
- 18:32Just like to listen to the breakdowns.
- 18:34Either way, I'm. Going to ask you a favor can.
- 18:36You please help me grow this. Podcast if you.
- 18:38Haven't done it yet. Give.
- 18:38It a 5 star. Review on Spotify or iTunes.
- 18:41Rate and. Review Leave a.
- 18:42Comment, click the follow button.
- 18:44Recommend the pod to a friend. Retweet or like.
- 18:47The pod when I put it out. On Twitter, any or.
- 18:49All of those things. Would be very much appreciated.
- 18:52Next if you enjoy. This style of sports.
- 18:54Betting breakdown Data-driven. Sharp.
- 18:56Contrarian betting focusing on line movement.
- 18:58Bet split. System matches focusing.
- 19:00On what the market is doing and telling us.
- 19:02Not what our biases are telling us to do.
- 19:05But if this style of betting has.
- 19:06Appealed to you. It's provided you a blueprint.
- 19:08On how to attack. Every sport again, the beauty of
- 19:10data-driven betting. Is that you don't have to.
- 19:12Know the sport. And all the players.
- 19:14But if you can read the market, you understand line movement
- 19:17and. Percentages.
- 19:18You know you. Can find an edge.
- 19:20So if that's the case and you want.
- 19:21To learn more. About data-driven betting.
- 19:23Or maybe you have someone in your life.
- 19:25Who you'd? Love to introduce to data
- 19:26Data-driven betting? Or maybe you got?
- 19:28Somebody's birthday. Coming up or a?
- 19:29Holiday, you know you. Should do, especially with the
- 19:31NFL returning. You should go to.
- 19:33Amazon.com and you should. Type in the everything.
- 19:36Guide to sports. Betting or type in.
- 19:38The. NFL sharp betting playbook.
- 19:41Those are the 2. Books that I've written.
- 19:42Very proud of both. But you can grab.
- 19:44One or both my books. Bring in the sports book.
- 19:47I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a.
- 19:48Beer. We'll get some ginger ale, some
- 19:50some, some, I don't know, nachos, a pulled pork sandwich.
- 19:54We'll sweat some MLB together tonight.
- 19:55How's that sound? Pretty good.
- 19:57Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
- 20:00Rhythm. Fantastic for their AI backed.
- 20:02Models and predictions for. Game bets and player.
- 20:05Props Juice Reel. So many great.
- 20:07Features the Robo. Jackson best bet pics?
- 20:09The sharp mush indicators. The arbitrage plays.
- 20:11The shop for the. Best line features Syncing up
- 20:14your sports books? Get a running report.
- 20:15Card of your action, but then also if you'd like to support
- 20:18the pod, this pod's. Free it cost you.
- 20:20Nothing to listen. So if I help you cash some
- 20:23tickets, make some sharper bets if.
- 20:25You want to. Contribute and tip your podcast
- 20:26host. I'll love for you to sign up
- 20:28for. A week or more.
- 20:29Of the best bet picks, the asg podcast best bet best bet picks
- 20:34that are located. On juice real you can get them
- 20:36for 10 bucks. A week.
- 20:37Or 25 bucks a month. And you will get the plays as
- 20:40soon as I make them they. Go right to the ASG page and you
- 20:43can tail fade. Do whatever you like.
- 20:45But again, I consider. It a tip jar.
- 20:47You go, I make, I say this all the time.
- 20:48You go out to dinner. You know the server.
- 20:50Treats your right. Your water glass gets low.
- 20:53You don't have to ask, they just refill it.
- 20:54They smile at you. They recommend a good dish, you
- 20:57give them a good tip at the end of the night.
- 20:58If you enjoy the pod, POD gives you some good insights.
- 21:01Tip your podcast host. Get a week or more of those Best
- 21:03Bet picks on Juice Reel. So again, give juice, reel and
- 21:07rhythm. Both a five star review in the
- 21:09app. Store tell a friend.
- 21:10About rhythm and juice reel. Lastly, do you have a live odds
- 21:13page if you don't have one you need?
- 21:15One, I keep saying it because it's.
- 21:17Important if you're a data-driven better.
- 21:19Again, everyone has a lot of tabs they pop open on their
- 21:22computer, but the tab you're always going to click the most,
- 21:24it's going to be a bookmark. That's your favorite.
- 21:27It's the live odds page from Odds Logic.
- 21:29Because it gives you every. It's really.
- 21:30The window. Into the betting market.
- 21:32Gives you every game. The start times live.
- 21:34Scoring live in game wagering odds more importantly.
- 21:36Shows you all the. Odds across the market.
- 21:38In real time. You have the opening.
- 21:40Column that never changes you can compare the open to.
- 21:42All the other odds. Currently, immediately see
- 21:44which. Direction The line is.
- 21:45Moved. Pull up the line history, find
- 21:48the best number. So important, especially when we
- 21:50get to football. You know we.
- 21:52Need that dog? Plus 6 1/2 with the hook instead
- 21:54of +6. And you can find the best number
- 21:56easily with. Odds logic, so if you ever want
- 21:59to give it a shot. Use this special link.
- 22:01Podslogic.com/josh 12. Three, that's going to give you.
- 22:06A7 day free. Trial and 50.
- 22:08Percent off your. First month of service.
- 22:10So that about does it for episode 568.
- 22:13Final pot here for me before I spend.
- 22:15A week. On the Cape.
- 22:15Very special week for. Me and the fam hope you guys
- 22:19have a great week next week so I'll be rested and and
- 22:22rejuvenated. Hopefully I'll have a good tan
- 22:23and. I'll have maxed out on clam
- 22:26chowder and lobster. Rolls the next week.
- 22:29I did want to mention finally two final.
- 22:30Thoughts, as always one. Whether I.
- 22:33See you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River, in.
- 22:35Rhode Island The. Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
- 22:37Foxwoods. Or Mohegan Sun down in
- 22:39Connecticut at the Encore in Boston.
- 22:41Plain Ridge park casino MGM Springfield.
- 22:43Or the Nash. In my.
- 22:45Neck of the woods on the. Border of Massachusetts.
- 22:46In New Hampshire. Around the desert.
- 22:48Where the true grinders get down Where?
- 22:50Billy Walters sends. His number runners where the
- 22:52lowest use possible is found at the South point.
- 22:54Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
- 22:56Jump in the stadium. Swimming pool when you catch a
- 22:58big. Ticket at Circa wherever it may
- 23:00be you're. Going to walk up to me, show me
- 23:02a nice Rangers ticket coming through degrom.
- 23:05Pitch in the gym last night. First ones.
- 23:07On me, next one's on you will. Post about the book Sweat Sharp
- 23:09Contrarian plays all Night Long. So as always, guys coming off A1
- 23:13and 1A2 and O&O. And two, a winning.
- 23:15Night A Losing Night A. Winning week.
- 23:17A losing week. A hot streak, a cold streak.
- 23:19We. Just got to stay the course.
- 23:20We got to stay even keeled. Before.
- 23:23Belichick totally lost it. And became a weirdo.
- 23:27Remember on the sideline? You would look at him stone cold
- 23:29stone. Face you.
- 23:30Don't know if he's. Up by 20.
- 23:31Or down by 20. We got.
- 23:33To be like that as betters we got to be make making sure that.
- 23:36We're never. Too high when things are good.
- 23:38Or too. Low when things are.
- 23:39Bad. Or even keeled grinding.
- 23:41Long. Term and of course.
- 23:43We're looking for those. Those games that.
- 23:44Fit our model. Games that are against the
- 23:47public. With the house with.
- 23:48The pros Flat bet. Avoid parlays and get some.
- 23:50CLV. If we can do that.
- 23:52We're going to be successful sports bettors.
- 23:54So I wish. Everyone a great Friday have an.
- 23:56Even better weekend. Guys, again, I won't.
- 23:58See you next week. But.
- 23:59Hopefully you'll miss the pod a little bit.
- 24:01You'll be you'll be excited for the pod to come back, which will
- 24:04be coming back. A week from Monday, so I'll see
- 24:06you guys. Back on August 31st.
- 24:09And then really, our lives get great with football pro in
- 24:13college, you know, right in front of us there.
- 24:15So hope. Everyone has a great weekend
- 24:17again. Have a great week next.
- 24:18Week you can read. The Sharp reports.
- 24:20Throughout Next. Week even though no.
- 24:21Pods. You'll have the breakdowns.
- 24:23You'll have the best bets on Juice Real.
- 24:25And reminder again go. Join the Applebaum NFL Survivor
- 24:28Contest $50. Entry could win you. $45,000.
- 24:32But good luck everybody and. I'll see you back.
- 24:35On Monday the 31st. Wish you the best of luck and
- 24:38I'll see you soon. Good luck.