Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Does France Want To Buy 420,000 Bitcoin?! [WHY NOW!!] | EP 1364
Transcript
- 0:00The 7th largest country in the world wants to buy 420,000
- 0:04Bitcoin. What's strange about this
- 0:07country's earlier in the week they made a massive move.
- 0:10They want to become the third country in the world to have
- 0:12citizenship based taxation. But before we dive into how this
- 0:17huge move could put your savings at at risk, ask yourself this.
- 0:21Why is the opposition party? Why is the opposing party
- 0:25announcing their Bitcoin plans? Now that is the big question
- 0:29here. Obviously, I think we all know
- 0:31why very quickly. Anyways, I'm here with Sophie
- 0:34one more day. Nico is back, but he needs a
- 0:37break from travelling. So we'll we'll give him a a rain
- 0:40check on on the day. Anyways, let's go into this.
- 0:43So you may be asking, of course, you guys probably saw Emmanuel
- 0:46Macron on the the thumbnail. So yes, we are talking about
- 0:51France. Now, what is interesting is they
- 0:55are now proposing a, you know, exit tax.
- 0:59They are actually, they have been proposing an exit tax for a
- 1:02few years now. But now they have officially
- 1:05proposed this exit tax as a part of their national budget for
- 1:092026. And of course, French citizens
- 1:12will have to pay taxes on their global income if they move to a
- 1:15region with 40% lower taxes than France.
- 1:18So, you know, the US does something, something very
- 1:21similar. You, you can't escape your
- 1:22global taxation if you are AUS citizen.
- 1:25And this is something we've been talking about for a long time.
- 1:28As the system does get more strain, as there are more
- 1:32financial troubles, we know what they're going to do to your
- 1:35assets and your savings. As he put it right here.
- 1:37In the very end, I've been warning you, European countries
- 1:40are bankrupt and they will try to seize your assets.
- 1:43I don't think anyone is actually surprised by this.
- 1:47Of course, this has been a a long proposal.
- 1:50They've been proposing this for a long time, but now it seems to
- 1:53be officially added into their budget.
- 1:55Now, from our perspective of bit corners, This is why you, you,
- 1:59you know, invest in Bitcoin or rather save in Bitcoin is
- 2:02because look, we're not saying don't do, you know, we're, we're
- 2:05saying follow the law here, but it's a lot harder to take your
- 2:09wealth, your assets when they are in Bitcoin.
- 2:11And I think the world is going to have to wake up to this.
- 2:13So that's the kind of context of what is going on.
- 2:16So moving a little forward a little a little further on this,
- 2:20this is where it does get kind of interesting is because an
- 2:23opposing party just announced A strategic Bitcoin reserve in
- 2:27France. Now they don't really have that
- 2:29much power here, but I think it is starting to show you that
- 2:33people are looking towards Bitcoin as a tool for freedom, a
- 2:36tool for the citizens to, you know, maintain their
- 2:40sovereignty, maintain their wealth.
- 2:42And you just love to see that. So I'm going to break down the
- 2:44proposal a little bit. We're going to start with this
- 2:46Yahoo Finance headline that goes France welcomed reserve bill,
- 2:50which is 2% of Bitcoin supply. Now the math here, the
- 2:54technicals of it again, one, this is a small party in France.
- 3:00They, they're not the ruling power here, the ruling party,
- 3:03but they are proposing something very similar to what we saw
- 3:07President Trump announce. And we still don't know what's
- 3:09going to happen with the strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 3:11Again, to kind of refresh you, the US talked about doing a, you
- 3:17know, buying a million Bitcoin over the next five years.
- 3:21They're doing something pretty similar.
- 3:23So France introduced this bill. And again, I know we've been
- 3:26covering a lot of the stuff on the nation state level and
- 3:29there's been a lot of bills proposed.
- 3:31Most of them don't really hold any water.
- 3:33They, they don't really, you know, they're not going to
- 3:36actually be made into laws. But I think it, it is going in
- 3:41the right direction. So again, to introduce a bill to
- 3:43accumulate 2% of Bitcoin supply. So what 2% would be, I guess
- 3:49420,000 Bitcoin. And this moves, this marks a
- 3:53strategic move in the region and a demonstration of the country's
- 3:56footprint in the cryptocurrency space.
- 3:58The plan to acquire 420,000 Bitcoin over 7 to 8 years.
- 4:03I think that time frame I when I read this I'm like, I don't
- 4:06think even if they propose this and pass it this year,
- 4:10considering that I believe the price of Bitcoin is going to go
- 4:13up a lot, it's going to be incredibly hard for them to
- 4:15acquire that much over the next 7 to 8 years.
- 4:17At least that's my opinion anyways.
- 4:19They proposed a bill yesterday. Again this is by the UDR party
- 4:25in in France which has not that much power.
- 4:30They have 4 or 16 seats. So again, this proposal's
- 4:35probably not going to get pushed through, but it does go to show
- 4:39that people are waking up to this idea of, you know, hey, if
- 4:44your country is proposing global citizenship tax or talking
- 4:48about, you know, confiscating your assets and seizing your
- 4:52assets, then obviously I think the timing is very interesting
- 4:57where we get this big announcement.
- 4:58They're finally going to push through the citizenship based
- 5:00taxation. And then one of the smaller
- 5:03opposing parties announce, hey, we want to do a strategic
- 5:05Bitcoin reserve. Now, I know a lot of people when
- 5:08you saw it on Twitter, we're essentially maybe conflating the
- 5:11two that France is considering this bill.
- 5:14I, I mean, I guess you could say that, but in reality, I think
- 5:17it's an opposing party that is talking about starting a
- 5:20strategic Bitcoin reserve. Obviously, I've been covering
- 5:24this on the show for a long time, this idea that the
- 5:26European Union or Europe in general is not in a good place
- 5:31financially. And This is why I really like
- 5:33this original tweet here. It's European countries are
- 5:36bankrupt and obviously we know what that means.
- 5:39They're going to continue or rather try to confiscate assets
- 5:43on this. So on that note, before there is
- 5:45another interesting news coming out of Europe, something very
- 5:48similar. But Sophie, you were talking to
- 5:52the demons this morning, AKA ChatGPT.
- 5:54Do you still have that up? Because I think it was a, I
- 5:56think it was a good read of what's going on.
- 5:59Yeah, I do. And actually, you know, before I
- 6:02go and and tell you what the demon says, I think that
- 6:05something's going to have to give in Europe at some point
- 6:09because you can't implement ACDBC based on nothing and you
- 6:13can't charge an exit tax based on unrealized gains that are
- 6:17essentially worthless, right? So.
- 6:20Yeah, and that's the craziest part, is the unrealized gains
- 6:22part. Like the US doesn't even have
- 6:24that. Right.
- 6:25So, so that's what the demon enlightened me on.
- 6:28It says under French law, if you transfer your residence outside
- 6:33of France for tax purposes, which which is also interesting,
- 6:36it has to be for tax purposes. So like, what if you move to to,
- 6:40you know, Uganda, like are you going to get chased there?
- 6:44Like even if it wasn't for tax purposes, I don't know, maybe
- 6:47you just like Uganda. You may be liable for an exit
- 6:51tax on unrealized capital gains depending on past residence
- 6:56duration and asset value. So what that's telling me is if
- 7:01you lived in France your whole life and you happen to be rich,
- 7:05we will chase you to the ends of the earth to to get that
- 7:09unrealized tax gains, which is unbelievable.
- 7:12Do you transfer that in liquidity or do you transfer
- 7:16that in assets? That's my other question anyway.
- 7:18It continues saying articles note that France's exit tax
- 7:22regime became more stringent over time.
- 7:24For example, the virtual sale concept of unrealized gains is
- 7:28cited, and that's from Citizen X.
- 7:31Some recent commentary in 2025 suggests France's forthcoming
- 7:36budget includes provisions for global taxation of French
- 7:40citizens even after their departure.
- 7:42The taxation regime for crypt SO in France treats gains as
- 7:47taxable and has specific forms of disclosure and obligations.
- 7:52So what this means is France is eyeing up large Bitcoin reserves
- 7:58and it makes sense that they would want to discourage the
- 8:01wealthy from moving their assets or changing residences.
- 8:04So it's like they want to have their cake and eat it too and
- 8:07exit tax. Literally where that saying came
- 8:10from. But hey, you know, I digress.
- 8:11Yeah, and the thing the the thing that caused the thing that
- 8:17has landed us here now anyway, an exit tax, wealth slash profit
- 8:21tax regime serves as golden handcuffs.
- 8:25That's exactly what it is. They will keep you there paying
- 8:28super high. So it's like either pay our 60
- 8:31to 80% wealth tax, which we have implemented for you to live
- 8:35here, or pay an unrealized tax gain for an undisclosed amount,
- 8:40especially if you're wealthy and move to any ends of the the
- 8:43earth. An exit tax wealth slash profit
- 8:47tax regime serves. Oh, I already read that for
- 8:49Bitcoin or crypto, that means France may be sending 2
- 8:53messages. One, we welcome strategic
- 8:56accumulation of Bitcoin and see it as national value.
- 9:00And two, but if you're holding it here or moving it out, we
- 9:05will tax you accordingly. So yes, this exit tax story
- 9:09lines up with the Bitcoin reserve story.
- 9:12Whether it's intended gold to keep Bitcoin in the country or a
- 9:17by product of broader fiscal policy is up for interpretation.
- 9:21But you know, it's pretty clear that they want both.
- 9:24And honestly, this might be the point where the left in France
- 9:31capitulates to the idea of having a Bitcoin strategic
- 9:35reserve. Because if they have at least 2%
- 9:38of it and their citizens are holding it, or they count that
- 9:422% by virtue of unrealized tax gains or potential exit taxes,
- 9:48that might actually allow for the left to raise taxes in
- 9:53general on the wealthy or on the population as a whole.
- 9:56So they say like, you know, either pay our taxes or pay them
- 10:00anyway as you exit and they're an unrealized capital gain.
- 10:04Or keep your money in euros, which will eventually become
- 10:08ACBDC and be surveilled by your every move, you know, deal with
- 10:15it. Yeah.
- 10:17And and this UDR party is like center right from what from my
- 10:21understanding of this. So it is interesting like kind
- 10:25of what we're seeing here where again you know Bitcoin is
- 10:28bipartisan, it's money for anyone, anyone can use it.
- 10:32But it is interesting that it the right of most countries are
- 10:36starting to pick up on this idea of, hey, maybe we got to
- 10:40integrate Bitcoin into our, you know, campaign into kind of our
- 10:44ideology here, because it does align perfectly with a lot of
- 10:47the stuff that we believe in. And look, we've been talking
- 10:51about this for a while that this was most likely going to happen,
- 10:53that this was going to very quickly get picked up by, you
- 10:56know, people on the right side of the aisle because it does
- 10:59align with a lot of the things. And that does go into a lot of
- 11:02the stuff we've been saying for a while that since this has
- 11:05happened, the left does pick it up.
- 11:07And they kind of make this as a negative thing is like stay away
- 11:10from this Bitcoin thing because it is right technology.
- 11:13Well, but we also just saw California adopt A law where
- 11:18they see Bitcoin as property. And while that's not by any
- 11:21means having a reserve or a reserve that Bitcoiners would
- 11:25want the state to have anyway, it is still some kind of
- 11:30exposure. And what I mean to say with that
- 11:33is the left will find a way to politicize Bitcoin and crypto
- 11:39and use it for their, you know, means to an end.
- 11:45OK, Yeah. That and also my prediction is
- 11:50that the next country that's going to adopt A Bitcoin
- 11:53strategic reserve, specifically Bitcoin, is going to be Japan.
- 11:56Oh yeah, the Japan stuff is you know what I saw this morning
- 12:00that. So anyways, if if you don't, if
- 12:02you don't get the context, of course, Donald Trump was just in
- 12:04Japan. He did the like Japan is back
- 12:07hats and you know, Japan and America are entering the golden
- 12:11era or whatever the meme is. I, I think you might be right.
- 12:15And that does go into a lot of the stuff we've been covering
- 12:18throughout this year of what's going on in Japanese bond
- 12:21market. They're, they're having a lot of
- 12:22trouble right now. But I did see this morning Japan
- 12:25is the biggest holder of U.S. Treasuries, which I think is the
- 12:29link from why Trump is, you know, going to Japan trying to
- 12:34kind of court the Japanese new Prime Minister.
- 12:36Obviously there's the meme of him being good friends with I, I
- 12:39forget what the guy name the guy Shinzo Abe.
- 12:41Yeah, Shinzo Abe the GOAT. So I I think all of these are
- 12:46connect. I think Sophie might be right.
- 12:49Japan most likely will look towards, you know, Bitcoin very
- 12:52soon if they are aligning with a lot of the Trump kind of
- 12:56administration policies. I think Japan will probably
- 12:59follow very soon. But we do have another other
- 13:02European country that also proposed A strategic Bitcoin
- 13:06reserve, again coming from the right of the, you know, the
- 13:10right party right now. So we have this breaking this
- 13:14morning. Germany is also proposing a
- 13:17national Bitcoin reserve and views Bitcoin as state free
- 13:20money, which is obviously I I don't know if I could say a hot
- 13:24take here, but it's an interesting narrative to see
- 13:27come out of any political party here.
- 13:29So the Afd. Germany is hurting.
- 13:33Germany's cut. Germany is like they probably
- 13:35cry themselves to sleep every night when they see the
- 13:39opportunity that they completely squandered after selling all of
- 13:42that Bitcoin. How much?
- 13:43How long ago was it now? Like 2 years ago when it was at
- 13:4656,000? Yikes.
- 13:49Yeah. And that's, that's also one
- 13:51interesting point here is of course, we all remember Germany
- 13:55sold 50,000 coins dumped on us and we've been making fun of
- 13:59them for a long time. So at least some people in
- 14:01Germany are waking up to this idea that, hey, maybe we need
- 14:04some Bitcoin. And again, it is coming from the
- 14:07right. This is from the Afd party,
- 14:08which from my understanding is, you know, a right leaning, like
- 14:12a very right leaning nationalistic party.
- 14:15So I don't think they're are they, I don't think they're in
- 14:17power. Could you can you Fact Check?
- 14:19Yeah, they're not in. Power, I don't even have to look
- 14:21that up to to know that they're not in power.
- 14:23But they are coming into prominence, especially, you
- 14:26know, you see them a lot more often now on social media.
- 14:30But no, I, you know, to be honest, I don't think that there
- 14:35is ever going to be another right leaning government in
- 14:41Germany ever again, for obvious reasons, but also, but also just
- 14:48because in general, I'm serious. No, I'm, I'm really not trying
- 14:52to be funny. I, I think I, I lived in Berlin
- 14:55for, you know, a month or something like that.
- 14:57It was a short time, but I got to immerse myself in the culture
- 15:02and kind of understand how people were there.
- 15:05And it's a very, very, very, very liberal city.
- 15:10So I don't see, you know, any type of conservatism coming.
- 15:17Yeah, yeah. But again, it is very
- 15:19interesting kind of the narrative that they're painting
- 15:22around this. Of course, State free money, you
- 15:24could kind of love to see it. But remember, but remember that
- 15:28if you know, if people fight against this, like you have to
- 15:31understand the power that the left has lays within the people.
- 15:36And if enough people perceive Bitcoin to be a right leaning
- 15:41topic of conversation, currency, whatever you want to call it,
- 15:45it's going to dissuade a lot of people.
- 15:47It's going to dissuade half of the population until they figure
- 15:50out how to use it for their own means and gains.
- 15:54And, you know, I think it's a completely absurd way to look at
- 15:58it. I think that Bitcoin really is
- 16:00for anybody and that it it takes the best parts of the left and
- 16:04the best parts of the right and it puts it together because it
- 16:08takes away the, you know, discrimination that people used
- 16:12to face for, you know, getting loans.
- 16:14And it makes, you know, money a lot more private.
- 16:17It makes, it gives really empowers the individual and it
- 16:21can empower collectives as well. So it's it's a shame that we're
- 16:26all so divided by political lines because in reality,
- 16:30Bitcoin is that one thing that should be completely bipartisan.
- 16:34And I hope that the left doesn't see this as something that only
- 16:40belongs to the right, because they would be missing out on a
- 16:42huge, huge opportunity. Yeah, everyone needs better
- 16:46money. That's like it's clear as day.
- 16:48But let's break down this article a little bit because
- 16:52again, it's interesting to hear the narratives kind of start to
- 16:56evolve. Of course I've been telling you
- 16:58guys and I think we've all been kind of dealing with this idea
- 17:01that ever since kind of Trump came out with pro Bitcoin
- 17:06politics has landed on our door here.
- 17:07You know, Wall Street, the institutions and the politicians
- 17:11have landed on our door basically this year.
- 17:14And we're since the beginning of the year to where we are now
- 17:16almost close that the close of the year you are starting to see
- 17:21the perspectives around Bitcoin, the narrative start to shift
- 17:24around Bitcoin and it is happening very fast I know I
- 17:27know we're all kind of worn down everyone's been doing the I'm
- 17:30tired boss meme right now because the price has been so
- 17:33stable had a lot of good news and nothing has really changed
- 17:37in terms of price of Bitcoin. But again, I think the
- 17:40foundations are being built as we speak.
- 17:42So here we go. I'm going to read a little bit
- 17:45of this. And it goes, this initiative
- 17:47marks a potential turning point in Europe's largest economy.
- 17:50Again, This is why German, Germany is kind of one of the
- 17:53important countries in Europe. It is one of the largest
- 17:55economies. And hey, they've been getting
- 17:58cooked right now. I don't know if you followed
- 18:00along a lot of the different policies, but they, they
- 18:03basically been making a lot of errors And they're, they're like
- 18:06the European lackey, or is it lackey?
- 18:09They're, they're, they're the whipping post here.
- 18:11They're, they're just getting cooked.
- 18:12And I've been saying for a while that, you know, I, I, of course,
- 18:17I'm an American and, and I do take a more American centric
- 18:20view here. And I've been saying, man, I
- 18:23would not want to be in Europe. And I know a lot of you guys out
- 18:25there are Europeans. And I've been saying for a while
- 18:28on the show that I really hope we start to see the average
- 18:33European wake up to this or even some of the politicians wake up
- 18:36to this idea that if they don't figure it out soon, Europe is is
- 18:41really on its way down. And I think Bitcoin could be a
- 18:44good part of that policy. And here we go.
- 18:48And of course, Germany, the significance, as everyone was
- 18:51saying, as Sophie just said a minute ago, you know, a year ago
- 18:53they liquidated 50,000 coins and everyone was just laughing at
- 18:58them. And I even use them what the
- 18:59beginning of the week. If you owed more than $800 in
- 19:01Bitcoin, you owed more Bitcoin than the largest economy in
- 19:05Europe. Anyways, this notion or this
- 19:08motion which needs to be approved, of course, just being
- 19:10dropped it, it most likely won't pass.
- 19:13It's not coming from the ruling party.
- 19:14It wouldn't make Germany the first major European nation to
- 19:17integrate Bitcoin directly into its national reserves, signaling
- 19:21a growing shift in Europe towards viewing Bitcoin not as a
- 19:24speculative asset, but as a sovereign reserve instrument.
- 19:27This is something we always talk about on the show.
- 19:29This is what it really is. It is not just a speculative
- 19:32vehicle. It's not just something to get
- 19:34games on. This is, you know, sovereign
- 19:38wealth. This is what it's all about is
- 19:40true. Taking your own sovereignty back
- 19:43anyways. I think this is where it gets
- 19:44the most interesting though. The AF DS vision for Bitcoin as
- 19:47a quote state free money. The motion submitted last week
- 19:51calls on the federal government to begin accumulating Bitcoin as
- 19:53part of its long term reserve strategy.
- 19:56And the proposal argues that the EU's Mika framework was designed
- 19:59for centrally issued tokens and should not apply to Bitcoin,
- 20:02which has no issuer or central authority.
- 20:05It urges the government to avoid regulatory burdens on non
- 20:08custodial wallet providers and Lightning.
- 20:10Showed operators maintain Germany's tax exemption on
- 20:13Bitcoin held for more than a year and ensures that private
- 20:16mining or lightning activity is not classified as commercial.
- 20:19It also frames Bitcoin as state free money that protects
- 20:22individual freedom, in contrast to the planned digital euro,
- 20:25which it warns could enable surveillance and control.
- 20:28Honestly, whatever you think about the AFD here at this
- 20:32point, they're, I, I love the narrative that they're talking
- 20:36about Bitcoin. Like I want to see our
- 20:38politicians talk about Bitcoin in this way.
- 20:40This is this is what we talk about constantly.
- 20:43Though I know in the US, we probably have a more of an
- 20:47uphill battle here. If the Republican, if the
- 20:50Trump's came out and said something very similar, like if
- 20:53they'd get cooked. That's what I was saying.
- 20:55We're so divided by political lines that, you know, Trump
- 20:59says, yeah, the sky is blue. And the leftist would say, no,
- 21:04actually it's, you know, indigo, closer to purple and green.
- 21:09Like we would just we will it. It's unfortunate, but it's true.
- 21:14And also you have to understand that the US is kind of like the
- 21:18final boss in this Fiat fight. And so Europe is already on the
- 21:24tail ends of of that fight because they're about to have a
- 21:28CBDC introduced into their lives.
- 21:30And yeah, like the while that likely will not happen in the
- 21:36US, we still are the global reserve.
- 21:39And this is a bigger threat than, you know, a CBDC for
- 21:44Bitcoin because it's it's power, right?
- 21:48So, yeah, but you love to see that they're they're starting to
- 21:52view Bitcoin in the context of the anti CBDC.
- 21:57If if you are in Europe right now and you're listening to
- 22:00Christine Lagarde and you see her, you know, strutting around
- 22:04the, the, what's the ARN River? I think it was this morning you
- 22:08you heard her rhetoric the. Thirst.
- 22:11Trap. Yeah, the thirst trap this
- 22:12morning. I don't know if you guys saw
- 22:13that. Guys, my ex Chrissy is, is
- 22:16thirst trapping. She's she's turning into a
- 22:18vlogger on her Twitter. But if you heard the stuff that
- 22:21she's been saying and you're not just fully, you know, drinking
- 22:27the kool-aid for the European Union, you're looking at that
- 22:30and you're like, this is not the future that I want.
- 22:32I want a different type of future.
- 22:34As we've been saying for a long time on the show, the classic
- 22:36meme, Bitcoin is slavery. You know, Bitcoin is freedom.
- 22:39And then we're entering or rather on the other side,
- 22:42there's this dystopian future backed by CBD, CS and arguably,
- 22:47you know, a lot of the state issued stable coins, you know,
- 22:50the public and private sector kind of aligning here.
- 22:53And it doesn't make you feel like you are entering into a, a
- 22:57better world. It actually makes you feel like
- 22:59you're entering into some kind of Orwellian 1984 future, which
- 23:02I don't think anyone really wants.
- 23:04When they break it down, you ask someone, is this the future you
- 23:07want? Most people do not believe in,
- 23:11you know, the, the narrative that the future like Christine
- 23:15Lagarde is giving to the people here.
- 23:18So it is interesting that we are seeing the AFD party and of
- 23:23course a smaller party in France essentially latch onto these
- 23:27Bitcoin narratives and be like, look, we need an outside money.
- 23:31We need a money that isn't controlled, that is not state
- 23:34owned. In this time of instability, in
- 23:37this time of uncertainty, we can't just continue to double
- 23:40down on a money that is not working for us, which is why we
- 23:44always say on the show like everyone needs better money.
- 23:47This is what it really all boils down to, the reason we see a lot
- 23:51of the problems in the world right now, the reason we're
- 23:53seeing such uncertainty in the world right now, for better or
- 23:56worse, it is because the US dollar, this currency, this
- 23:59paper money, this IOU is the world reserve currency.
- 24:02We, we got to remember the current monetary experiment that
- 24:06we are living through as Fiat as you know, currency as a paper
- 24:11IOU being the world reserve currency.
- 24:13It hasn't been like this for, you know, that long.
- 24:17It's really been only in the blink of an eye the last 100
- 24:19years. Well, really, you could argue
- 24:21since 71 is when we've been living on this paper money.
- 24:25I owe you debt as money, government words as money
- 24:29decree. And we can see the havoc it it
- 24:32has, you know, unleashed on the world.
- 24:35And here we are as bitcoiners just just looking at it and be
- 24:38like, we just need to get back on a hard money standard.
- 24:40Like it's really that simple. Obviously it's not going to fix
- 24:43everything well. We need to dismantle the
- 24:46inequality of power here. I think that's what it like
- 24:50ultimately comes down to, like when we ask the question and
- 24:53what is money? Yes, we use it to transact.
- 24:55Yes, we use it as a means of storing value, but it's also
- 25:00ultimately just a store of power.
- 25:03And when one party can print it, you know, into oblivion for free
- 25:08and control that medium of exchange for everybody else who
- 25:13really holds the power, what does money actually morph into?
- 25:17It morphs into this great inequality that people are
- 25:22forced to contend with. And that's that's what people
- 25:25are waking up to now. That's what the Internet has
- 25:29enabled us to realize. That's what freedom of speech
- 25:32has enabled us to realize. And I think that a lot of people
- 25:37are waking up to it. They're realizing that their
- 25:39banks have way more control than they should.
- 25:42And they're, they're, they're looking for a way out and they
- 25:46know that it exists. And those who don't, you know,
- 25:50they're going to continue to, like, kind of like, go along
- 25:54with the status quo until they realize that it's too late and
- 25:59things get worse than they already are.
- 26:01Yeah, I I couldn't agree more with that.
- 26:03And, and I think my final point to kind of this conversation is
- 26:08that I am, I'm extremely happy to see Bitcoin.
- 26:15I think be finally, even though maybe it's not perfect and, and
- 26:19you know, it doesn't really matter about your, your
- 26:22political views here, because I think it's much bigger than just
- 26:24left or right spectrum. But I love to see that we are
- 26:28starting to see Bitcoin enter the mainstream conversation as a
- 26:33tool for freedom, as as a tool to oppose oppression for
- 26:37everyone out there. And it really, you know, it all
- 26:40goes back to, Hey, we can't save anything.
- 26:43You know, I, I forget what the numbers are, but essentially
- 26:48every one of us has just an average layman is like worse off
- 26:51than mid century peasants here. And there's no escape if you
- 26:55don't have a good money. And as you were saying earlier,
- 26:58you know, the divide right now is larger than it's ever been.
- 27:01I think I the last metric I saw was what like the top 1% owns I,
- 27:06I forget what the number is, but it's like 80% of all the the
- 27:09world's wealth or something like that.
- 27:11Let me I'll double check bring. Up the stock market, I think
- 27:13it's like 7. No, it is.
- 27:15It's I think it actually it's 80. 2.3% of companies ever
- 27:19since, you know, Wall Street was created, have donate, have
- 27:24donated, not donated, but they've created the entirety of
- 27:27the wealth of the S&P 500. So, you know, I don't think that
- 27:34that's a control thing. There's been so many companies
- 27:37who have given value to this country and to the world at
- 27:40large. It has to do with the money and
- 27:43it has to do with how these companies have gained the system
- 27:47so that not only they could beat out their competitors, but they
- 27:50could beat out the normal everyday person.
- 27:55And that's not capitalism, that's cronyism, and that's just
- 27:59as bad. As capitalist system for a long
- 28:03time. Correct, correct.
- 28:04And I think that Bitcoin is kind of like the ultimate equalizer
- 28:08because we could go back to an equal system where we reward
- 28:13value, we reward incentives, we reward people who actually earn
- 28:19what they are making. But right now there is so much
- 28:24proof of stake in the system, not just economically, but
- 28:28culturally and the things that we value society, that it, it
- 28:33feels like it's almost impossible to get out of this
- 28:35rat race. And Bitcoin is that opportunity
- 28:39to get out. And I think a lot of people,
- 28:41again, because they're being faced with the threat of a CBDC
- 28:45because they are tired of living this life where other people are
- 28:50controlling them through the monetary system.
- 28:54They are figuring out that this is kind of the only way.
- 28:57And by the way, countries at large may be feeling that way
- 29:00too. This might not just be an
- 29:01individual sentiment. I think that countries like, you
- 29:05know, the, the countries that started bricks are realizing
- 29:08this. They don't want to be under the
- 29:10thumb of the the dollar anymore because they realize that we are
- 29:16holding a tremendous amount of power by just being able to
- 29:19print it. And so they're even trying to
- 29:23divert and find their own path through making a new monetary
- 29:27system backed by gold, backed by oil.
- 29:30But what they don't don't realize is that those assets
- 29:33aren't completely finite. And what gives Bitcoin, it says
- 29:37is its edge, as we all know, is the scarcity aspect of it.
- 29:41So I think that if governments are waking up to that and they,
- 29:47you know, a, a country like France who loves to control its
- 29:52people, is waking up to that. And, and their understanding
- 29:55that it's either Bitcoin or, or slavery like to the system, to
- 30:01the dollar, to, you know, the, the, everything that we've been
- 30:05dealing with before, then I think that it's perfectly
- 30:09reasonable for, you know, Germany and, and the rest of the
- 30:13European Union to wake up to the fact that Bitcoin is going to
- 30:17save them. Yeah.
- 30:19And I, and I think as we, you know, enter in the next couple
- 30:23of years, particularly in the short term, I think we're going
- 30:28to see this divide increase where I think we're going to see
- 30:33more and more divide be kind of spread around, around Bitcoin
- 30:39And, and what it actually does. You know, one side's going to
- 30:41hate Bitcoin, the other side's probably going to embrace
- 30:43Bitcoin and they might just, you know, have a knee jerk reaction
- 30:46and hate Bitcoin because the opposite side is embracing
- 30:49Bitcoin. Where in reality, as I've been
- 30:51saying for a long time, it's like if everyone embrace
- 30:53Bitcoin, then maybe we, we get back to a OK, now we got to, you
- 30:57know, view them on their other policies here.
- 31:00But where we are now, it's like if you're embracing Bitcoin, you
- 31:03may not be perfect, but you're probably a little closer to what
- 31:07I believe in. Yeah, actually the reality is
- 31:10that if everybody embraced Bitcoin, we would all be closer
- 31:14to getting what we want. And that seems like an
- 31:17impossibility right now. But the reality is that if the
- 31:20base layer of society, if economy, if the economy was
- 31:24fixed essentially by backing it with a hard asset again like it
- 31:28used to be before 1971, then we could actually get to talking
- 31:35about the issues that are dividing us and get closer to a
- 31:40solution that would be better for everyone.
- 31:47This is why Nico is A1 issue voter he's he's back, so I
- 31:54control him guys, he's he's back.
- 31:55OK, I I control him a little bit now.
- 31:57All right guys, I'm going to keep it moving.
- 31:58Of course, before I do, I do want to remind you guys to smash
- 32:02like button comment on the show. Let us know what you think and
- 32:04then, of course, hit the subscribe button.
- 32:06If you like what we're doing here.
- 32:08We have shorter, more digestible content on our channel.
- 32:11We drop probably the most content out of anyone.
- 32:15And then of course, for the rest of the show.
- 32:19I got a good clip from Anthony Pompoliano.
- 32:21And a lot of people have been talking about the great rollover
- 32:25from gold into Bitcoin. It might be happening as we
- 32:28speak. And then, you know, we gotta, I
- 32:31think what we're seeing right now, I know everyone's tired for
- 32:35the news. I think we might be seeing a, a
- 32:37perfect coiled spring here, guys.
- 32:39I think the consolidation we're seeing is actually very healthy.
- 32:43We'll see, we'll see if there's still a little volatility.
- 32:45We might have a little more volatility later today after
- 32:48this FOMC meeting. And I, I'm going to try to keep
- 32:52the show going a little bit. I don't know if I'll, I'll be
- 32:54able to stretch the show out long enough to hear the
- 32:57announcement. But if it does, if we do go a
- 32:59little longer, then we'll probably do a live reaction to
- 33:03what the FOMC meeting actually announced.
- 33:08They say it's around 2:30. Who knows if it actually
- 33:11happened at 2:30. But if it does, we might still
- 33:13be on the show live and and we can chat about it.
- 33:16So again, before I go on, I do want to talk about our partner
- 33:21Bitcoin. Well, if you are in the market
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- 34:51break and we'll be right back. I want to give a shout out to
- 35:00our partner Stamp seed. Is your Bitcoin and cold storage
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- 36:00and use promo code simply to get 15% off anything on the Stamp
- 36:06se-ed.com store. OK guys, we are back and the
- 36:14current Bitcoin prices, let me refresh this.
- 36:17The current Bitcoin price is 111,260 at least.
- 36:22At least. We're so close to 11/11/11
- 36:2511:11. Yeah, at least I don't, I don't
- 36:28know what exchange Clark Moody's dashboard is connected to, but
- 36:31we'll, we'll take this price right now, apparently SO111260.
- 36:35The decline from all time high is -11.8.
- 36:39The current market cap is 2.22 trillion and the block height
- 36:43TikTok next block the only time that matters 921,347.
- 36:51OK, so as I was telling you we've actually been covering
- 36:54this idea on the show. I think I started last week when
- 36:59we saw the gold price retrace about 5% on Friday lost a couple
- 37:06trillion on its market cap. It has it got all the way down
- 37:09to like a -10 retracement from yesterday.
- 37:13Currently the last I saw this morning is roughly around 8%
- 37:17retracement. Remember, if some of that
- 37:19capital, even a small percentage of that capital, flows into
- 37:22Bitcoin, that means the price is going up, and that's really
- 37:26probably what everyone cares about.
- 37:28But if all of that literally rolled over today, I don't know
- 37:31what the 8% math would be, but that would take it to about like
- 37:36253100K per coin. I don't think that that is
- 37:40what's happening, but we are starting to see some life back
- 37:44into the price. And again, we're seeing the gold
- 37:47retrace and a lot of people have been connecting this to what
- 37:50happened during the 2020 bull run.
- 37:52So with that, I will play this clip from Anthony Pompiliano,
- 37:56which kind of breaks down if this is happening, what we'll
- 37:59see. Gold runs, first the coin kind
- 38:03of hung out around 10,000 dollars, $8000 somewhere in that
- 38:06range. All of a sudden the gold run got
- 38:08exhausted. There was now not as much demand
- 38:11because so many people have been buying gold and you had gold
- 38:13kind of turnover and cool off a bit.
- 38:15Still great, right? It was good inflation hedge.
- 38:17But once that turnover happened and you start the cooling off of
- 38:20gold Bitcoin, then that was pretty much the inflection
- 38:23point. Bam, here we go and we went from
- 38:2510,000 to 64,000 in less than six months game time.
- 38:28It was awesome. We all had a lot of fun.
- 38:31Now we have a very similar set up.
- 38:33Gold is up significant. It's up over 50% in 2025.
- 38:37People are like, wow, that was crazy.
- 38:39But it looks like it's peaked and starting to cool off now.
- 38:41And all of a sudden you're now starting to see Bitcoin get a
- 38:45little bit of momentum to it. And so the question is, or what
- 38:48people are insinuating is, is there some relationship where
- 38:52once gold runs first and then it peaks and starts to cool?
- 38:55Is that the catalyst for the Bitcoin, right, the great
- 38:57rotation from gold to Bitcoin? I did hear a pretty interesting
- 39:01anecdote. I, I've heard, I, I don't know
- 39:06how to confirm this, but I have heard that there are people who
- 39:11are showing up in like the Diamond District here in New
- 39:14York with all kinds of jewelry and stuff that like gold
- 39:17jewelry. Because now all of a sudden
- 39:18it's, you know, $4200 an ounce and they're just turning it in
- 39:22and there's like lines and stuff.
- 39:24I don't know if this I want to find somebody to try to confirm
- 39:27this, but that would signal to me the gold run, you know, like
- 39:31turning in the gold, right, in order to get dollars, then you
- 39:35basically just get the satisfaction of of the demand.
- 39:40And so if that's the case and Bitcoin runs from here, it'd be
- 39:44a repeat of 2020. I don't like to extrapolate off
- 39:46of, you know, kind of one single data point, but when you line
- 39:50the charts up, it looks awesome like, you know, it looks like
- 39:52Bitcoin will go up. So let's see what?
- 39:55Happened. That looks awesome to his
- 39:56anecdote. Again, it sounds like he was
- 39:59saying he's heard people talk about it.
- 40:01And obviously this is also anecdotal, but I have seen on
- 40:05social media a bunch of people literally melting down watches
- 40:08and going to the diamond district and just cashing in
- 40:13their jewelry just for the price of gold.
- 40:15So I've seen this with my eyes. Obviously it was a few cases.
- 40:18We can't really say that everyone is doing this, but
- 40:22again, if this is the case and we're seeing gold finally cool
- 40:26down a lot and some of that capital comes into Bitcoin, then
- 40:30everyone is connecting it to this.
- 40:32And this is what happened in 2020 is, you know, as gold.
- 40:36Here. Let me zoom in a little bit and
- 40:38and I've showed you guys this for I think a couple of times on
- 40:41the show. And of course, who knows if this
- 40:43is exactly what's happening, but if it is, as Pomp was saying, we
- 40:47might be in for a good time. And we're always here for a good
- 40:50time. Maybe not a long time, but a
- 40:51good time. I really want to see the price
- 40:53run again. Sophie, I'm.
- 40:56I just don't even care anymore. I'm tired, boss.
- 41:01I just don't even care anymore. I'm just grateful to have
- 41:03Bitcoin at this point and like hold something that isn't going
- 41:07to get massively devalued after today's announcement.
- 41:10But you know, it's kind of getting tired, this narrative
- 41:15where it's like everything looks good.
- 41:18Everything. It sounds like a like when you
- 41:20go to a hospital and you're dying and a doctor tells you, I
- 41:24don't know what's wrong with you.
- 41:26Everything looks good, your vitals are awesome, but you're
- 41:29just like literally feeling like the loss of life trickling out
- 41:34of your body every 5 seconds. That's what this bull run has
- 41:38felt like. And I'm tired, boss.
- 41:42Like I'm tired. I I am totally, totally tired.
- 41:47I, you know, I was promised a bull run stuff and, and we
- 41:51haven't got it yet and. Maybe we will, and maybe we will
- 41:54like it. It might just be a question of
- 41:57confidence, like how much do we believe in this thing?
- 42:01How much do we believe in the fundamentals of Bitcoin?
- 42:06Everything is set up the stage. I mean, it's like it's almost
- 42:10like we're waiting for people to like get into the auditorium so
- 42:14that we could put on the show and so the bull run could just
- 42:17like go off. But I'm tired of this this thing
- 42:21that everyone is saying, including us saying like, you
- 42:24know, that's the stage seems to be great.
- 42:27The ETFs are performing super well.
- 42:29The governments are adopting Bitcoin.
- 42:32Every France has a strategic reserve now all of a sudden,
- 42:35maybe like, who cares if the price isn't going up?
- 42:42Like, what does this do for my life aside from, you know,
- 42:47great, My, my, my purchasing power isn't getting debased.
- 42:52That's awesome. However, we've sacrificed.
- 42:56We've been here early. I mean, though to to that point
- 43:00of your purchasing power not being debased, I think at this
- 43:03point, like, is that even, is that even true?
- 43:09You know, Bitcoin's been flat all year, you know, like it's
- 43:12been completely flat all year. So I think at this point and I
- 43:17think here to date what it we're up like 15%.
- 43:20So I, I think if you really look at the I, I think so I actually,
- 43:25that's not bad. Yeah.
- 43:26I mean, well, it's horrible, but you know it.
- 43:28It is. Horrible for you know, that's
- 43:30the other part of this, right? Bitcoiners are really spoiled to
- 43:35the returns and the longer. You wait wait in the chat when
- 43:39Fiat games. Yes.
- 43:42Seriously. No.
- 43:44But really, like bitcoiners are so spoiled to the expectation
- 43:49that we're supposed to get like at minimum of 5X.
- 43:54I'd be happy with the 2X at this point and and.
- 43:59I dude I'd be happy with just breaking all time high with some
- 44:02conviction. Right.
- 44:03And I bet that we would still complain about it realistically
- 44:08so. OK guys.
- 44:10So I just did a quick, I just did a quick year to date here.
- 44:14So year to date. So if we are up 17.3%, so the
- 44:20CAGR so far this year, less than 20, you know, sailors been
- 44:24saying 20% minimum in the beginning of the year.
- 44:27We're like, man, that's so bearish at this point.
- 44:29It's like, could we just get the 20% kegger?
- 44:32Like can we just get the 20% kegger, please?
- 44:36So, OK, you know, fact checking myself in real time, we have
- 44:40beaten inflation just barely, just barely.
- 44:43I mean, it depends. If you believe the CPI numbers,
- 44:46we're killing it. If you believe the unofficial
- 44:49numbers in May, you know, who knows what the real unofficial
- 44:52inflation is. It's a lot, lot of people have
- 44:54been saying it's in the double digits, you know, maybe ten,
- 44:571215%. So maybe that's why maybe so
- 45:01maybe we just cracked it. Maybe that's why we feel like it
- 45:05hasn't really been moving that much because the real inflation,
- 45:09it's probably double digits bitcoins up, you know, 17% on
- 45:14the year. I know the CPI numbers are
- 45:16coming in a little hotter than the 2%, it's at 3%, but we all
- 45:20know those numbers are fake. That's that's totally fake.
- 45:22I verified that by doing groceries the other day.
- 45:27I was horrified by the amount of money that I was and and like,
- 45:32I'm usually the type of person that buys the exact same stuff
- 45:36and it's always pretty much the same number at the end.
- 45:41Like that I swiped my card with and it was significantly higher
- 45:47this week. Don't know why, but yeah.
- 45:53Yeah, not Look, I, I, I don't mean to pick on you, Ron in the
- 45:57chat, you, you know, you're my homie, bro.
- 45:59You know you're my homie. But he he says it and and he's
- 46:03like one of the most bullish guys in the chat.
- 46:05And he's like, look. Yeah, we're all just being super
- 46:08real right now. Yeah, exactly.
- 46:09He's like. Look, we're not going to lie to.
- 46:11You. We're not going to.
- 46:12And, and we're all feeling it. Like that's the thing.
- 46:14I'm tired of pretending that nobody feels it because because
- 46:18we do. It doesn't mean that we're going
- 46:19to sell. It doesn't mean that we've
- 46:20stopped believing in Bitcoin. It doesn't mean any of that
- 46:23stuff. It doesn't mean that we're
- 46:24bears. I still feel like this has to go
- 46:29to at least 200, in my opinion at least, like in the $200,000
- 46:34range, right? Because because of everything
- 46:38that Pomp just said in that video.
- 46:39I mean, the set, the stage is so perfectly lit up right now for
- 46:44us to have an incredible bull run.
- 46:47And yet it is the passage of time.
- 46:50It's this like intangible thing that we can't see that is
- 46:55wearing people out. And it actually reminds me, and
- 46:58I'm going to cover this on my show dropping tomorrow.
- 47:00Hopefully it. Reminds me plug plug, plug.
- 47:03Plug, plug, plug, plug. Subscribe.
- 47:06It's the same channel. It reminds me of The Big Short
- 47:11when Michael Bury made the call that the housing crisis was
- 47:16going to happen. A lot of you might not remember,
- 47:18but he said it was going to happen in 2007, and it actually
- 47:23didn't happen until 2008. And those months in between must
- 47:28have been brutal because this man put everything on the line.
- 47:32And I think a lot of us identify with that sentiment that we have
- 47:35put everything on the line for years.
- 47:39Because I think he started this in 2005, right?
- 47:43So he waited all of this time, which in Wall Street, two years
- 47:48is an eternity, and then he had to wait a couple of more months.
- 47:51And that time must have felt like absolute purgatory, right?
- 47:57It must have felt psychologically.
- 47:59I totally get what he went through.
- 48:01Right now it's. Right.
- 48:02I like, I feel like like I totally get it.
- 48:05I'm going to watch that movie later tonight just to like get
- 48:08back in the mindset that I know I'm right.
- 48:11I we have to be right because all of the facts align.
- 48:15This isn't like a feelings thing where it's like I'm looking at
- 48:18everybody talking about it on Twitter and that means that we
- 48:21have to go up because the community, man, the community is
- 48:24making Bitcoin like no, these are institutions, These are
- 48:27government institutions. These are this is BlackRock, OK?
- 48:31These are the people that own all of the homes in the United
- 48:34States. They're bullish on Bitcoin and
- 48:37it's been their best performing asset.
- 48:39You're going to tell me that this stuff is not going to go
- 48:41up? I mean, it just like it wouldn't
- 48:44make any sense. I still have my convictions,
- 48:46100%. And you know, like someone said
- 48:49in the chat, yeah, this is 100% better than inflation, but I
- 48:52want more. Yeah, chat on Rumble, it says.
- 48:55Selfies. Fed up, Nico shaking, but that
- 49:00was. Nico is actually like holding it
- 49:03down pretty well to. Be, I don't know, he's bearish.
- 49:06No, not at all. We we actually had a
- 49:09conversation. He'll probably tell you about it
- 49:11tomorrow, but he agrees that Wall Street is, you know,
- 49:15they're just shaking off we cans, so don't be weak.
- 49:19You know, I, I love, I love that.
- 49:21I'll, I'll tell Nico that and then he'll repeat it to you like
- 49:25months later, like it's his original thought and he just
- 49:28dude, I get no love over here. He doesn't, he doesn't doesn't
- 49:30take anything I say seriously. Anyways, we do have a good
- 49:33comment in here by SAT Wise and, and I think there is some signal
- 49:37here. SAT wise Yanks goes, S&P 500 is
- 49:40up 15% Opti. What does that tell us retail is
- 49:43not in when all our games are similar as Wall Street?
- 49:46Wall Street now runs the show. And I've been saying that for a
- 49:50minute, like, guys, you know, I know we've always been talking
- 49:54about the institutions coming into Bitcoin and I've, I've been
- 49:57kind of reiterating the be careful what you wish for.
- 50:02But I've been jokingly saying it's like we're trading the S&P
- 50:05500 now. And if it's just S&P 500 with a
- 50:08little more, you know, a little more juice.
- 50:10As of now, if you know, 15% of this year, Bitcoin's up 17%.
- 50:15It's like, man, I really do miss the old days.
- 50:18I really do miss the old days. So when I got in it was a lot
- 50:21more. Fun.
- 50:22That is the privilege of getting in early into Bitcoin.
- 50:25Remember what they say. You buy at the price that you
- 50:28deserve. And, you know, who's to say that
- 50:31this is worse than what, you know, people early on went
- 50:36through when they had to experience dumps of like 60 to
- 50:4080%, you know, and ride that all the way down and then come all
- 50:44the way up. This is just going sideways,
- 50:48which is, you know, it's, it's beneath our expectations, but
- 50:52it's still, it's still better than dumping to 80% in my
- 50:58opinion. Well, hopefully you are.
- 51:01Hopefully what you said does kind of come true in the in the
- 51:04sense, you know, you're, you were talking about the Michael
- 51:06Bury analogy and it took him an extra year.
- 51:10And of course it is an anecdote. It is like a metaphor.
- 51:13But if we see something similar again, this is does art imitate
- 51:19reality or reality imitate art. Maybe, maybe Sophie just maybe,
- 51:24means 2026 is when we pump. Maybe I mean we we thought.
- 51:28Please if you can hear us. Well, here's the thing.
- 51:31Like we were feeling that way towards the end of 2024 when we
- 51:35first reached 100,000, but Trump was recently, you know, elected
- 51:40and everything. Seems like 2025 was going to be
- 51:44our year. And now we're here, right?
- 51:48Not to say that it's not going to be our year.
- 51:50I mean, we still have November and December to go.
- 51:52I mean, we have no idea what's to come because at this point
- 51:57we've made all the wrong calls, right?
- 51:59Bitcoin does what it's going to do anyway.
- 52:02And let's just, I mean, we got to just see what happens, right?
- 52:06Someone in the chat. At least it isn't going down.
- 52:09Wait, wait. Anyway.
- 52:12I want my drummer sticks. I feel like that was like a
- 52:14coping mechanism for him. For reals.
- 52:17OK, guys, what we're going to continue this conversation of a
- 52:22little bit of is this bullish of what we're seeing right now
- 52:26because we did get AI want my money Michael exactly my man.
- 52:30I thought I thought Michael Saylor was going to pump our
- 52:32bags. I guess we're wrong to Michael
- 52:35you are losing employee of the month.
- 52:37Anyways, we'll, we'll talk about, I think we did get a kind
- 52:41of interesting number come out in regards to Bitcoin above 100K
- 52:46probably you know, one of the longer streaks of a of a price
- 52:50point that Bitcoin accumulates in and and I'll make my case why
- 52:53I think this is bullish. So we'll be right back.
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- 55:49your grandma can use it and you can gift it to all of your
- 55:53family. Am I doing it right?
- 55:57Am I doing the the little tapping noises right?
- 56:00I think you need to get it closer.
- 56:02I think I need to get like longer nails for this stuff.
- 56:05Yeah, it totally, totally needs. All right, Anyways.
- 56:08I turned it on back so like. What like anyways, guys, let's
- 56:12get into this. So we did get a pretty pretty
- 56:16good, pretty good, pretty good numbers guys.
- 56:20I'm I'm not going to lie, this I think this is actually low key
- 56:24bullish, even though it doesn't feel like it.
- 56:25I know everyone in the chat like they're they're saying simply
- 56:28get it together. You know, bitcoins going up like
- 56:32we're just we're just summing up the the feeling of everyone in
- 56:35the chat. Even even the most bullish
- 56:37bitcoiners right now are like man, like the sideways action
- 56:40been brutal. It is what it is.
- 56:43You know, we've been here before we'll be here the next time it
- 56:46happens. We're going to be here for the
- 56:47long run, but you know, we're only human.
- 56:49I can't. Can I vent for you guys?
- 56:51Can I be a real human instead of a robot on the show for you
- 56:54guys? Sheesh.
- 56:55Anyways, this is what I want to talk about because I think what
- 56:59we're seeing is actually incredibly bullish.
- 57:03So Wicked here, let me play this and hopefully.
- 57:07OK, so Bitcoin, this was today or maybe you posted this
- 57:12yesterday. Let me actually let me go to the
- 57:14Wicked 1 so I can get the exact date.
- 57:17This was a couple days ago. So we're past the 200 daily
- 57:20close above 100K. You can see it.
- 57:22I'll let this play out for a little bit.
- 57:24So again, I know the consolidation, the sideways
- 57:28action, it feels kind of brutal, especially as you know, we were
- 57:32talking about, we've been saying this on the show for a while
- 57:35that it does feel like maybe we are, I'm sorry, I was trying to
- 57:43mess with this a little bit. Maybe we are feeling as if
- 57:46Bitcoin is underperforming because we all expected it to go
- 57:49a lot higher in 2025. And we're seeing right now, hey,
- 57:53we were going sideways. A lot of there's a lot of
- 57:55speculation on what's going on is a, is a four year cycle over?
- 57:59Are the institutions in total control and they don't really
- 58:02want to see Bitcoin RIP? Like where's retail?
- 58:05What's going on? Are we no longer going to see,
- 58:07you know, incredible gains in the market anymore?
- 58:11All that being said, the fact that we've held above 100K for
- 58:15this long, I think it's showing us that this is still a healthy
- 58:19consolidation. I know we are looking at maybe a
- 58:22potential stairway to Heaven type new market structure, which
- 58:27is one of the new memes going around that like we're going to
- 58:29pump, it's going to consolidate and then it's going to pump
- 58:32again and then consolidate. We're going to literally get
- 58:34bored to death here to $1,000,000 per coin, etcetera.
- 58:41There was one other one from Wicked that I'm going to pull up
- 58:44right now, which I think is kind of showing us where potentially
- 58:49the price, or rather how the price is going to move.
- 58:53Did I like it? I I thought I was, I thought I
- 58:55had this loaded up, but I didn't.
- 58:59Maybe I'll find it. I'll oh, here we go.
- 59:01OK, He posed the question, how would you feel about the price
- 59:05action? The sideways chop for another
- 59:07six months run up to 150 KQ, 22026 sideways chop for another
- 59:13six months and the epic run up to 200 K.
- 59:18You can see it here. And that's the, you know,
- 59:20picture perfect stairway to heaven.
- 59:23It just kind of pumps up. Consolidated chops pumps up
- 59:26consolidated chops pumps up again.
- 59:28Consolidated chops pumps up. Maybe that's the new structure
- 59:31that we're in guys and and I know it's not everything that
- 59:36we're used to and we want to see the price get crazy and frothy,
- 59:42but this might be where we are right now again, so we've.
- 59:46We were promised a degen. Yeah, and.
- 59:49But but we've settled down and, and I think Bitcoin has really,
- 59:53I mean, we make the joke that Bitcoin has become our favorite
- 59:55stable coin, but it's actually stabilizing.
- 1:00:00Yeah, unfortunately. It unfortunately but also.
- 1:00:04Fortunately. Yeah, yeah, 'cause like and.
- 1:00:08And and to that point, this next week that I was going to bring
- 1:00:11up, you know, Bitcoins 90 day volatility has been this low in
- 1:00:15just 7.76% of its history, basically exclusively during
- 1:00:20late bear or early bull market. And each time it hits this low,
- 1:00:24Bitcoin's price has climbed higher over the ensuing 6
- 1:00:27months. The coiled spring is very real.
- 1:00:30So again, are we seeing late bear market action or has the
- 1:00:36bull run not even happened yet? Which obviously we would love
- 1:00:39for the bull run to not have happened yet, but it does feel
- 1:00:42like a coiled spring. It does feel like the fact we've
- 1:00:46consolidated for so long above 100K does make you feel like
- 1:00:50it's going to break out. And we are starting to also see
- 1:00:53the Bitcoin, the number of accumulating addresses.
- 1:00:56So people are buying it up right now to 100K.
- 1:00:58It is starting to look like people are getting their
- 1:01:01position. They're starting to see
- 1:01:04everything. Maybe all of the selling or
- 1:01:06quote UN quote selling has subsided and there's, you know,
- 1:01:08once the sellers get exhausted and it turns into a buying
- 1:01:12market that that's quintessential bull run here.
- 1:01:17So look, we've been consolidating over 100K for over
- 1:01:22200 days. I guess now it's like 2O52O
- 1:01:25four. So I, I, I think the
- 1:01:28consolidation, lower volatility, I think it's, you know, as
- 1:01:33someone in the chat said any day now, even though we've been
- 1:01:35saying any day now for like 700 days for like 2 years, we've
- 1:01:38been saying any day now. But it's like it feels it's,
- 1:01:42it's coming, it's. It's like that scene of in The
- 1:01:45Dark Knight when the Joker is trying to do something to a
- 1:01:50hospital. I can't.
- 1:01:51I have to. Be he's hitting the clicker.
- 1:01:52He's hitting the clicker and nothing happens, and then all of
- 1:01:55a sudden something really big happens.
- 1:01:59It's that's what it feels like. Let's hope.
- 1:02:02We can only hope. We can only hope.
- 1:02:05OK, so it looks, it looks like we're we might be able to keep
- 1:02:10the show going 'cause I, I was going to talk about rate cuts a
- 1:02:14little bit and it looks like we might be able to go long enough
- 1:02:20so that we can talk about it live.
- 1:02:24So maybe I'll have self looking you guys in the chat.
- 1:02:28Maybe you guys will see what the announcement is, but we're we're
- 1:02:33going to chat about it a little bit.
- 1:02:34So we'll be right back after our last commercial break and we
- 1:02:37will chat about what we can potentially see if we get some
- 1:02:41rate cuts. I want to give a shout out to
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- 1:04:45All righty then, guys. So we're literally what about 5
- 1:04:51minutes away from hearing whether the Fed is going to cut
- 1:04:55rates, What this, what this can potentially do to the market.
- 1:04:59Obviously the idea is the markets I think and and
- 1:05:04Bitcoin's probably reacting pretty favorably to it.
- 1:05:06But from most speculation, it's like a 99.9% chance that we are
- 1:05:12going to see at least a 25 bit cut.
- 1:05:15I know there's been speculations of something higher, but it
- 1:05:18seems like 25 bits are like completely locked in again.
- 1:05:21We got about 5 minutes before it should hit the, you know,
- 1:05:26Twitter verse. So I, I will kind of chat.
- 1:05:28We'll, we'll stick around for, you know, a little while longer
- 1:05:31and hopefully we can see what is going on.
- 1:05:34But it seems like the cuts are, are pretty much locked in now.
- 1:05:38The real concern. I mean, we, we could also be
- 1:05:40wrong. Obviously we have no clue there.
- 1:05:43There has been, I guess you could say kind of this political
- 1:05:47fight right now. Trump's been telling Jay Powell
- 1:05:49to cut rates too. What's it too late?
- 1:05:51Powell on cutting rates. So it seems like maybe the Trump
- 1:05:56administration is winning this. A lot of people are expecting
- 1:05:58the rate cuts to happen right now.
- 1:06:00I know a lot of Bitcoiners are like, dude, I thought we got
- 1:06:02into bitcoins so we don't have to care about what happens from,
- 1:06:05you know, the the chair of the Fed.
- 1:06:08But as we've seen this year, the institutions are here, I, I
- 1:06:13could, I would argue they're probably very favorably in
- 1:06:16control of what's going on with the price.
- 1:06:18They're all waiting on the sidelines, waiting for the
- 1:06:20uncertainty to pass. And of course, with these Fed
- 1:06:23rate cuts, it does align perfectly with what the Trump
- 1:06:26mandate is. And of course what we know about
- 1:06:29the national debt and where the economy is and the and the
- 1:06:32global economies are right now essentially as, as some was
- 1:06:36summed up perfectly by Lynn Alden, they can't stop this
- 1:06:39trend. They have to continue to print
- 1:06:41money. And of course we do have about
- 1:06:43$9 trillion in debt that we need to refinance.
- 1:06:47This is why they want to lower the debt so that it's easier for
- 1:06:49them to pay off. But of course, with these rate
- 1:06:53cuts down, it basically means easier money in the system, more
- 1:06:56liquidity in the system. And This is why as bitcoiners
- 1:06:58we've been talking about this constantly is like, look, if
- 1:07:01they're going to cut rates, it essentially means that they're
- 1:07:03going to expand liquidity here. We've all been kind of wondering
- 1:07:07what when the money printer is going to go on, it's no longer
- 1:07:09if it's a win. Of course, we've heard they say
- 1:07:13they're going to stop quantitative tightening, which
- 1:07:15doesn't necessarily mean they're going to start easing, but it
- 1:07:17does essentially lead to the idea of money printers about to
- 1:07:21go Burr very, very soon. But anyways, I did see this
- 1:07:24interesting tweet this morning, which is making a pretty good
- 1:07:29case here. I don't know who this is.
- 1:07:31Ted Pillows survive 2 cycles still here turning on chain and
- 1:07:35macroeconomic signals into trades.
- 1:07:37Love it. Anyways, he goes.
- 1:07:40Bitcoin dropped 6 to 8% after the last three FOMC meetings and
- 1:07:45it made a new all time high before the next FOMC meeting.
- 1:07:49Will this pattern repeat again? And I don't know if you've been
- 1:07:53watching the price this morning, but it did look like we are or I
- 1:08:00mean, we went back into the CME gap, futures gap.
- 1:08:03It looks like that was kind of close.
- 1:08:05It could potentially go a little lower, maybe like AK lower down.
- 1:08:10So you know, it looks like, I mean, I know I've said this
- 1:08:14before all the time, but is this finally the last dip before we
- 1:08:18start to RIP? I could hope so.
- 1:08:20I can only hope. So we'll just hang around for a
- 1:08:23little bit. So again, if we do see
- 1:08:27something, I'm sure we're going to see a little bit of
- 1:08:29volatility. I don't know if you guys were
- 1:08:31watching the last FOMC meeting, but I was literally sitting
- 1:08:35there with Jerome Powell talking.
- 1:08:38And then I had the the price of Bitcoin on a one minute chart
- 1:08:41and you could just see the fluctuations and it was so
- 1:08:44volatile for about like an hour or two.
- 1:08:47Obviously, right as he was speaking, right when the
- 1:08:50announcement happened, the price was going crazy.
- 1:08:53So we might be literally on the verge of symbolic.
- 1:08:57Maybe I'll put the one minute. It's at 2. 30 it's gonna be at
- 1:09:012:30 I thought. Yeah, I'm on the, I'm on the
- 1:09:03stream. Well, that's when he speaks.
- 1:09:05Doesn't it come out? I think it comes out before he
- 1:09:08speaks. He's speaking at 2:30, right?
- 1:09:10Yes. Yeah.
- 1:09:11So I think it comes out at 2:00 and then he's going to go speak
- 1:09:16and then we'll see how the market reacts to it.
- 1:09:19So we'll hang out for a little bit.
- 1:09:23I do have the one minute chart here.
- 1:09:24I don't know, maybe it maybe it will here.
- 1:09:26I'll pull it up so we can all watch it together just for Will.
- 1:09:30This be the rate cut that sends us into the stratosphere?
- 1:09:33Likely not. Likely not.
- 1:09:36You know I my expectations are. Here's the one minute chart,
- 1:09:40guys. Let's see.
- 1:09:41We will chill. We'll chill here, OK Oh, OK, I'm
- 1:09:44guessing. All right, let me see if I can
- 1:09:47find this real quick for you guys on Twitter.
- 1:09:50Do we get the announcement? Let's see, they just cut
- 1:09:54interest rates, OK, they cut. All right, obviously, obviously.
- 1:10:00So cut is in, guys. Let me see if I can find whether
- 1:10:07it was 25 bips or 50 bips. So bear with Ohio.
- 1:10:12OK, here's Bitcoin mag. The Federal Reserve cut interest
- 1:10:17rates by 25 bips, guys. So the 99 Percent 99.9% odds of
- 1:10:26them cutting interest rates by 25 bibs was confirmed.
- 1:10:30Oh, look at this one minute chart.
- 1:10:33OK, so as I told you, volatility back in the market.
- 1:10:38Oh, there we go, we're going, we're going green.
- 1:10:40Sorry guys. I, I do use blue and red on my
- 1:10:43charts because I am color blind and they start to blend.
- 1:10:46So blue is green, red is of course red and it looks like
- 1:10:51we're dumping. So in real time Bitcoin dumping.
- 1:10:54So I will go back to this real quick.
- 1:10:57The last FOMC meeting, Bitcoin dropped 6 to 8% before it
- 1:11:03started to RIP. So if you are newer in the
- 1:11:06market, obviously don't get shaken out.
- 1:11:08And this is this is kind of the conversation Sophie and I were
- 1:11:11talking about earlier. I think what's becoming very,
- 1:11:14very clear is since the institutions are here and they
- 1:11:17are kind of in control of the price for now, it does seem like
- 1:11:22they are trying to bore us to death here and they're trying to
- 1:11:25get your coin. So, you know, if you're seeing
- 1:11:28volatility or maybe if you're talking to your friends and
- 1:11:31family, 'cause if you're here, you're probably a bitcoiner.
- 1:11:34But for the people that are newer, or rather maybe for the
- 1:11:37your loved ones back home, you can just show them.
- 1:11:40Hey, guys, like look, just bear the volatility.
- 1:11:43I'm telling you it, it'll be all right.
- 1:11:46You don't need to, you don't need to sell your coin and and
- 1:11:49get shaken out. Bitcoin is not, I know it's
- 1:11:52dude, it's a one minute chart. And what what it do?
- 1:11:56Let's see. Oh, now we're pumping it.
- 1:12:01There's a one minute chart, a .27 decline dude breaking half a
- 1:12:05half a percent coin. Is going sideways.
- 1:12:08Yeah, exactly. There's one minute.
- 1:12:10So look, I'll go to the one day chart and you know, it's it's
- 1:12:16nothing, but it did dump on the news.
- 1:12:19Well, a baby dump, a dump for ants.
- 1:12:21But hey, it looks like I think it it looks kind of what we've
- 1:12:25been saying. The price of Bitcoin whiplash.
- 1:12:30It's what's for dinner exactly. Yeah, this one Bitcoin cap, it
- 1:12:35already dumped yesterday and this morning.
- 1:12:37Yeah, I think that I think that's what the market is
- 1:12:38telling us right now. I think it is pricing in the the
- 1:12:42rate cut and hey, it's going higher, guys.
- 1:12:47So maybe that was the last dip down to 100.
- 1:12:49And oh, OK, one one minute chart, dude.
- 1:12:52Stop talking. This is why I like watching the
- 1:12:55one minute chart. She said Oh my God, we're
- 1:12:58pumping. I'm like it's.
- 1:12:59A No, we're not pumping, but look at the volatility.
- 1:13:01Look at the one minute chart volatility.
- 1:13:03You just love to see it. I hate to see.
- 1:13:05It I love watching one minute chart.
- 1:13:06This makes me nervous. Guys, this is one of my favorite
- 1:13:08pastimes. I'm not gonna lie.
- 1:13:09You just sit here and you watch the one minute chart and you
- 1:13:13just you let your you let your emotions fluctuate on the one
- 1:13:16minute chart. Do not trade the one minute
- 1:13:18chart, I'll tell you that much, but it's fun to watch.
- 1:13:21It's fun to watch. All right, guys.
- 1:13:23So yeah, when this is actually a good when Powell speaks later,
- 1:13:28that's when you buy the dip. Exactly guys.
- 1:13:31So usually from at least from what I've noticed, you get the
- 1:13:36the rate cut announcement, then the market kind of digests this
- 1:13:40information for 30 minutes. And then when Jerome Powell kind
- 1:13:44of talks, if he's, you know, dovish or hawkish on this, or
- 1:13:49you know, he's bearish or bullish or he's just kind of
- 1:13:52lukewarm, you will see more volatility in the market.
- 1:13:56And if he says something that is extremely bad, you'll see the
- 1:14:00price dip. And then that's probably the
- 1:14:03best. The one minute chart is for
- 1:14:05psycho dude. I don't trade the one minute
- 1:14:08chart. I just like to look at the the
- 1:14:10one minute chart, bro. Again, my, my dopamine is fried
- 1:14:14and I need, I need some life. I, I need to feel emotions
- 1:14:18again, guys, I'm so I'm so detached here.
- 1:14:20I need to feel emotions. OK, so I look at the one minute
- 1:14:23chart, but there we go guys. It's official 25 big cut.
- 1:14:29Not exciting, but. Not exciting, but it is what it
- 1:14:32is. It is kind of showing us a lot
- 1:14:34of the stuff that we've been talking about and really kind of
- 1:14:37been speculating on that is happening.
- 1:14:40Of course they want to lower the interest rates.
- 1:14:45They're most likely going to get these lowered interest rates.
- 1:14:48So easy money. We're more than likely going to
- 1:14:51go through this all over again in November.
- 1:14:54Yeah, yeah. So it's slightly ticking side.
- 1:14:58Hey guys, guess what? Breaking news, It's sideways
- 1:15:01again. All righty hold on AFKI is
- 1:15:07giving selfie anxiety with the one with the chart too.
- 1:15:11Oh there we go OK here here we go it finally Oh yes finally the
- 1:15:18real dump is amazing OK, so current price 111 again.
- 1:15:23The CME gap close is like 110 and some change.
- 1:15:29So if I was a betting man, which I'm really not, I would expect
- 1:15:34maybe it goes down into 110 for a little bit and then it'll
- 1:15:38probably recover. Bull starts in Q2 2026.25 rate
- 1:15:46cut sends Bitcoin sideways. Love to see it.
- 1:15:50Anyways, guys, there you go. Breaking news. the Fed does cut
- 1:15:55rates, obviously. Absolutely.
- 1:15:57Nothing happens. Yeah, and it and it goes more
- 1:16:00sideways. So you just, you know, you.
- 1:16:03Love to see. It you love to see it anyways
- 1:16:05guys we'll be back tomorrow we'll see if anything exciting
- 1:16:09in the price happens in the next couple of you know, next hour or
- 1:16:13so so you know, lock in, maybe buy the dip.
- 1:16:17Maybe this is a buying the dip opportunity.
- 1:16:20I don't know if it's the last one, but OK, it's some cheap
- 1:16:26sats. If anything, Trump gave us some
- 1:16:30cheap sats in 2025. Maybe we look, excuse me, maybe
- 1:16:33we look back at this and we're like, all right, it went all
- 1:16:36according to plan. It's all going according to
- 1:16:38plan. It's all going according to
- 1:16:40plan. Nice.
- 1:16:41I get 15 more sats than before the cut per dollar.
- 1:16:46Love it, love it. All right, guys, we love you
- 1:16:49guys. We appreciate you guys.
- 1:16:51Thank you for all the support. Thank you for showing up late.
- 1:16:52Thank you for dealing with my tardiness here.
- 1:16:56It's really not tardy, guys. You know I'm going to start
- 1:16:5812:30-ish and some change some days.
- 1:17:03OK? All right, so I I would just add
- 1:17:06that to your schedule. No, you come in at 12:16 and you
- 1:17:10hang out with people in the chat.
- 1:17:11Anyways, guys, everything will be fine.
- 1:17:15We love you guys. We will see you tomorrow.
- 1:17:16Get outside, get some sun, you know, maybe log off Twitter for
- 1:17:21a little bit, enjoy your life a little bit.
- 1:17:24Bitcoin will be here for you when you come back.
- 1:17:27All right guys, peace out. We'll see you tomorrow.
- 1:17:30Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
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- 1:17:36independence.