Latest / Uncomfortable Conversations with Josh Szeps / Is there any Room left for moderates? With Jeff Maurer
Transcript
- 0:03We're here with Jeff Mara.
- 0:05At least I think we're here with Jeff Mara.
- 0:07We had some technical difficulties, Jeff, and then all of a sudden we realized that actually it was a back-end button that was switched that was the make sure that this does not work without causing impossible echoes to derail the conversation button.
- 0:23And as you were saying, why do they build the button?
- 0:27Why have that button?
- 0:28Why does that setting exist?
- 0:30Take the day off and don't build the make shit not work button into the software.
- 0:35Exactly.
- 0:35I don't want to be a backseat software engineer.
- 0:38A button in the cockpit that is a crash plane button.
- 0:42Don't put the button.
- 0:43Don't put the crash plane button in the cockpit at all for any reason.
- 0:49Again, I don't, you know, and I'm not, I'm not an aircraft designer.
- 0:51I'm not a software guy, but I, that's my two cents.
- 0:54If people are looking for feedback, tell you what, next time that software, uh, the, uh, box pops up and says, leave a review.
- 1:00I'm, my review will be maybe don't put the make shit don't work.
- 1:05Don't put the make shit don't work button because also Lord knows if we want to derail a conversation, you and I are plenty capable of doing that by ourselves.
- 1:14We don't need technical assistance to make a conversation go sideways.
- 1:20AI will never derail a conversation as quickly or as awkwardly as I can.
- 1:25As a human being can, exactly.
- 1:27It reminds me of, you remember the, not to make light of the dead, but the German wings era.
- 1:36It's hopefully the podcast for that disclaimer.
- 1:38The German wings aircraft that tragically crashed into a mountain in the Alps because the suicidal pilot was just like, I'm just going to keep on getting lower and lower and lower here until we clip a mountain.
- 1:51He didn't need a button.
- 1:53He didn't need a crash aircraft button.
- 1:55He did it all by himself.
- 1:57And I'm not saying it was the right thing to do, but I'm saying that you and I are very much analogous to the German wings pilot.
- 2:04We are fully capable of crashing this plane without the help of the button.
- 2:08So anyway.
- 2:09I've been on a lot of podcasts that people have described as the equivalent of an air crash that killed hundreds.
- 2:14Yeah.
- 2:15Good, good.
- 2:16That's how we like to do things.
- 2:18Some would say every episode of my podcast that I do is an equivalent or greater blight on humanity.
- 2:25I think so.
- 2:26I like to think so.
- 2:28So for people who don't know the wonderful Jeff Mara, comedy writer, publisher of the I Might Be Wrong substack, former writer on John Oliver's show, man about town, shall we say.
- 2:42Ne'er to well, if you will.
- 2:44And for those of you who may not know me, I'm also a scallywag and ne'er-do-well and host of Uncomfortable Conversations with Josh Thepps, by which you can divine that I am Josh Thepps.
- 2:57Lots to talk about, Jeff.
- 3:00Oh, we're good.
- 3:01I'm getting waved at from the studio, but it's just to say we're good.
- 3:07It was a everything's good wave, not a we're not live wave.
- 3:13wave another uh bug that could maybe be worked out don't wave your arms and set off red lights just to say everything's fine josh everything's fine yeah exactly ignore me josh ignore me just keep doing what you're doing they shouldn't hold up signs like in love actually that say stop and then a sign that says emergency and then a sign that says everything's okay
- 3:39continue as you were.
- 3:41Better ways of communicating that.
- 3:44Jeff, I want to pick your brain about a lot of things.
- 3:46We didn't even talk about what we're going to talk about today.
- 3:49So is there anything, let me be the gentleman, let me be the courteous host as I welcome you into my alcove from a dark snowy night, metaphorically speaking, into my half.
- 4:01The turducken is almost ready.
- 4:03Is there anything that you would like to address that's going on in the world, that's crossed your radar, that's got a bee in your bonnet?
- 4:12I came here with no agenda, no expectations.
- 4:15Right.
- 4:16There's lots of interesting stuff going on in the world.
- 4:19If interesting is a euphemism for.
- 4:23For a crash the plane button in the cockpit.
- 4:27Let me return to interesting.
- 4:29Lots of interesting things in the world.
- 4:30But I want to know what you want to talk about.
- 4:32So this is your home.
- 4:36You cooked the turducken.
- 4:37I did.
- 4:38I did.
- 4:38So I'll let you set the agenda.
- 4:40I wanted to talk about extremism in the United States.
- 4:43I wanted to talk about the democratic socialists of America.
- 4:50I wanted to talk about housing affordability and zoning.
- 4:53I wanted to talk about Hassan Piker.
- 4:55I wanted to talk about Ben Shapiro.
- 4:57I wanted to talk about rejecting extremism.
- 5:02I wanted to talk about Milo Iannopoulos being deported.
- 5:05There's just so much.
- 5:06Did you hear about Milo?
- 5:09I did hear about Milo.
- 5:10Yeah.
- 5:11For those of us who aren't across the story, Milo Iannopoulos, you know, now talk about gadfly, man about town, ne'er-do-well.
- 5:20Oh, yeah.
- 5:22Well, now I don't want the label attached to me if you can attach it to him as well.
- 5:27So Milo, people may remember from the culture wars of, I guess, the late 2010s, Milo was hot.
- 5:34Sounds about right.
- 5:35Right?
- 5:35Early to mid-2010s?
- 5:37Yeah.
- 5:40He had a moment where he was touring the country like Marilyn Manson, just trying to get banned from places.
- 5:47Yes.
- 5:47But it was a brief moment.
- 5:48I think it was circa 2015.
- 5:50That sounds about right.
- 5:51And there was a punk rock phase where he would like, you know, he'd go to majority Muslim communities in some random Swedish city and...
- 6:01He'd get carried along through the main street amidst passers-by who were all wearing burkas, and he'd be wearing a thong, reclining on a chaise lounge being carried by oiled-up male go-go boys and that kind of thing.
- 6:20So a sophisticated contribution to the cultural discourse.
- 6:24And he was arrested by Immigration Customs Enforcement in the United States and deported.
- 6:32And I initially thought, well, wow, this is getting out of hand if they're deporting people on the basis, if they're deporting even a Trump supporter, or at least former Trump supporters on the basis of their ideological beliefs.
- 6:46It turns out it wasn't all on the basis of his ideological beliefs.
- 6:52He was intercepted at New Orleans Airport, and the article in The Guardian says he has broken his silence about the experience by talking to Piers Morgan four days after the deportation.
- 7:06Well, I bet it was hard to get Milo to break his silence.
- 7:08Yeah, exactly.
- 7:09That guy doesn't like to talk, especially about himself.
- 7:13He is a wilting flower.
- 7:13They must have really twisted his arm.
- 7:15Yeah.
- 7:15So he said, quote, for the first time, I know what it feels like to be really, really terrified.
- 7:21He described the experience as humiliating and disorienting, physically degrading and frightening.
- 7:29And he says he's married to an American, and so he wasn't doing anything wrong.
- 7:37But the Department of Homeland Security released a statement, and they said that Milo had legally entered the country in May of 2019.
- 7:46but chose to overstay his welcome in violation of our nation's laws.
- 7:51And the Homeland Security Department says that he was issued a final order of removal by an immigration judge on July 22nd after failing to show up for his immigration hearing.
- 8:03And so then he was deported after a ruling by a judge at a hearing at which he failed to show up
- 8:10where a final order of removal was issued.
- 8:15Then in the Piers Morgan interview, Milo says, that's not true.
- 8:18He's married to an American and he has a green card that he's renewing on a two-year basis.
- 8:23And I quote, renewing on a two-year basis.
- 8:25Now, Jeff, I am married to an American.
- 8:29I had a green card.
- 8:33Let me ask you a question about, this is more of a linguistic question than a legal one.
- 8:38Oh, good.
- 8:39Because I'd have no shot at the legal one.
- 8:41Permanent residency.
- 8:43What do you understand the word permanent to mean?
- 8:51On the long-term side?
- 8:52Yeah.
- 8:53So does permanent mean subject to renewal every two years?
- 8:58Or does permanent mean it lasts forever?
- 9:03You're really leading me to these questions.
- 9:05A little bit.
- 9:07This is like what I'm trying to get my son to read a word.
- 9:10And I'm, you know, R-E-D, r-r-red, red, red.
- 9:16It's red.
- 9:16It's red.
- 9:17It's red.
- 9:18I would say that if it needs to be renewed, then it is not permanent.
- 9:21That's right.
- 9:21A green card is a permanent resident card.
- 9:26It confers permanent residency status.
- 9:29Now, the physical card has to be renewed every 10 years, not every two years.
- 9:32Well, it doesn't have to.
- 9:34You don't need it.
- 9:34But if you want the physical card, then it expires just like a driver's license does.
- 9:38But your residency status is, you're not going to get deported if you have a green, I mean, look, maybe this will come back to bite me in the ass next time I'm in the States.
- 9:46Are you suggesting that Milo is not being fully truthful, Josh?
- 9:52This is Milo Yiannopoulos.
- 9:54I'm just saying maybe he didn't understand.
- 9:58The only constant in the storm, the one person I trust.
- 10:01Yes.
- 10:03If you can't take Milo Yiannopoulos' word about what transpired to the bank, then why?
- 10:10Lord only knows.
- 10:11Who can you trust in this crazy world, Jeff?
- 10:15Has he had a rift with Trump?
- 10:16Because that is the first place that what you mentioned of, oh, wow, they're even deporting Trump supporters now.
- 10:23That's the first place my brain went.
- 10:25Was he a Trump guy?
- 10:27Because he was definitely like a right-wing guy.
- 10:29He was a right-wing provocateur.
- 10:31And we did not go fully into his whole shtick, which really did have a moment.
- 10:39But then he suddenly fell off the radar due to legal problems that had nothing to do with immigration.
- 10:45But he went away fast.
- 10:46He was gone.
- 10:47He was an early supporter of Trump.
- 10:50Uh, and he liked the big daddy.
- 10:55He did the whole like queers for Trump kind of shtick of like, he's our daddy, like he's our tough guy kind of, you know, like, uh, let's make the, make the libtards cry.
- 11:06libtard tears.
- 11:09Making the libtards cry was his whole thing, so I am not surprised.
- 11:12I don't remember that detail that he was a Trump guy, but of course he was.
- 11:16He says that he regrets it.
- 11:18He says that he regrets that, apparently, because he doesn't realize how frightening and traumatizing the whole ICE thing is until it happened to him.
- 11:28But I just, you know, it's like...
- 11:31You and I, Jeff, we have credibility as having experienced the pressure cooker of wokeness and cancel culture at a moment when it was actually culturally ascendant.
- 11:43It gets my goat, ladies and gents, that nowadays in 2026...
- 11:48You have people crying about like, oh, they want, I'm going to go and leave the mainstream media and do my independent thing where I can speak fearlessly and interview far-right white supremacists without suffering any consequences.
- 12:06Or now I'm going to cry foul about some run-in with –
- 12:10The immigration agency, they're late to the party.
- 12:14Where were they in 2022 about this?
- 12:17Why is Milo only now realizing that Trump is not a great chief executive of the country?
- 12:24Well, this is why we have the facing leopards party joke, right?
- 12:28You know this meme.
- 12:30Do you not know this?
- 12:31I don't think so.
- 12:32Great.
- 12:32Then I can apprise you about the best in American culture.
- 12:36There's a meme about a lady crying and saying, I didn't think the leopards would eat my face, says lady who voted for the facing leopards party.
- 12:46That's exactly what this is.
- 12:49There you go.
- 12:50She's a pretty good... Oh, that's great.
- 12:52I love it.
- 12:52I wish I'd come up with it.
- 12:53I love that.
- 12:54That's reminiscent of the... What was the T-shirt that went viral?
- 12:59Probably a good 20 years ago now.
- 13:00This would have been Obama times, which was...
- 13:05Someone posted on Twitter back when Twitter was good.
- 13:11I keep getting asked questions about my not a child rapist t-shirt that the t-shirt itself already answers.
- 13:21Yeah.
- 13:22It was something like that.
- 13:23I don't know what you're talking about.
- 13:24Something like that, yes.
- 13:25Raising a lot of questions that are already answered by the shirt.
- 13:28Yeah, exactly.
- 13:29That's right.
- 13:29And then that became like a format for a gag.
- 13:31Yeah, that's good.
- 13:32The face-eating leopard party.
- 13:36Well, yeah, it's exactly – I mean, I'm with you.
- 13:37I don't –
- 13:40know why he didn't put two and two together until now.
- 13:45Ironically, this may be the rare case of Trump actually following the law.
- 13:50I have not been following this Milo case closely, but from what you described, it sounds like perhaps he had a visa that expired and a judge issued an order of removal and he was removed, in which case that is actually the law doing what it's supposed to.
- 14:06Yeah, also, if a court...
- 14:10I feel I am tempting fate because I'm going to the States in less than two weeks and I could end up in a Guatemalan prison.
- 14:19But – and that's possible.
- 14:2150-50.
- 14:21And there are lots of bad things that ICE is doing.
- 14:23And people should not – I'm not supporting the current policy.
- 14:30But it has always been the case everywhere that if you overstay a visa and then there's literally – it's not like an oops kind of thing if there's a court hearing.
- 14:40Then it's not just like, oh, I misunderstood.
- 14:43Like if you get a summons to a court and then you don't show up at court and then you just keep on staying in that country, what exactly do you think is going to happen next time you encounter a customs official?
- 14:57Yeah, and the problems with ICE are specifically that they have been so empowered and that important decisions are often made by the agent right there on the street.
- 15:12Some of the agents are...
- 15:15let's say not professional and they're kind of running amok.
- 15:20I don't want to tar every single ICE agent.
- 15:22I think that's a dumb thing to do, but the agency as a whole, you could say their performance is not good and not good in the specific way that they have been given power, that they are exercising a lot in a way that a lot of people don't like and
- 15:39This does not appear to be that.
- 15:41This is the regular process, the one that involves judges and agents at airports.
- 15:45If a judge has issued an order and if Milo was not entering or leaving the country, then it seems like this was not a random thing where he was coming in or going out.
- 15:57It sounds like...
- 15:59There was actually a court-issued order, I'm guessing here, but I'm assuming, if I'm wrong, I retracted, but it sounds like there was a court-issued order and that the local ICE officials received the passenger manifests from the airlines and it pinged and was like...
- 16:14okay, there's a person who is illegitimate in the country.
- 16:18And so they actually went and got that person and removed them, which is different from being, as you say, caught up in the drag net of an overly ambitious enforcement agency.
- 16:30He wasn't in line at Chipotle and an agent overheard his accent and thought, oh, that sounds pretty foreign.
- 16:36He does sound suspiciously Central American.
- 16:40Yeah, he could be a Latinx.
- 16:43Right.
- 16:44English accent, Spanish speaker.
- 16:48Yeah, Mexican Spanish speaker.
- 16:50I can't tell the difference.
- 16:51It's possible.
- 16:52I assume you're Mexican, Josh.
- 16:54That's just how bad I am with accents.
- 16:57I am south of the border.
- 16:59Get it?
- 17:00I'm south of the border.
- 17:02You couldn't be more south of the border.
- 17:04You basically can't.
- 17:05I mean maybe bits of Argentina and New Zealand perhaps.
- 17:11Yeah, no American knows that New Zealand is south of Australia.
- 17:15No.
- 17:16Well, it's not.
- 17:16But I mean it goes further south.
- 17:18You're both down there.
- 17:19It's east, but it goes further south.
- 17:22But you know that it must because you've seen Lord of the Rings and there are beautiful snowy mountains.
- 17:30So it must get cold, right?
- 17:33Yeah, we know that New Zealand is very pretty and it's got all the sheep and the hobbits.
- 17:37And yeah, we just don't know where it is.
- 17:39We know it's down there.
- 17:40We know it's down there near you.
- 17:41I'm just saying you could guess if it's chilly that it is further from the equator than Crocodile Dundee.
- 17:49Yeah.
- 17:49OK. Yeah.
- 17:50Fair point.
- 17:50I mean, it seems like a damn moment.
- 17:54If you ever even broke out of your American bubble, Jeff, and took a moment to spare a thought for the relative geographical locations of the Antipodes.
- 18:06But this is part of the American character.
- 18:09You're right, we should.
- 18:10But goddammit, we don't.
- 18:12We just don't.
- 18:12I'm not implying you should.
- 18:13I'm just joking.
- 18:14But yes, the Great Barrier Reef and Steve Irwin, closer to the equator, Lord of the Rings, sheep, huddled people.
- 18:23But it's because they're in the mountains, right?
- 18:25That's why they got the snow.
- 18:25I don't know.
- 18:26It's true as well.
- 18:26Yes, there are mountains.
- 18:27You say they're closer to Antarctica, so I'm going to take your word.
- 18:30They are.
- 18:30Argentina may be even closer still.
- 18:32The point is the question on everybody's lips at the moment is, does Australia actually exist at all?
- 18:39I don't know if you've heard this conspiracy theory, Jeff.
- 18:43I had to deliver a presentation last week at a friend's place where they do these conspiracy theory nights.
- 18:48A dozen people will sit around and put on little tinfoil hats.
- 18:52And you'll do a PowerPoint presentation about a conspiracy that you particularly like.
- 18:57So I chose the conspiracy, which I don't know if people believe it.
- 19:02It's hard, this whole space of like, what do people believe and when are people just shitposting.
- 19:07But there's a subset of the flat earthers.
- 19:11who believe that Australia doesn't exist and that every Australian you've ever met is a paid actor and that it's – which I must say, given the preponderance of Australians in showbiz, is almost true.
- 19:28Like you've got your Hugh Jackmans and Nicole Kidmans and your Russell Crowes and your Kate Blanchett and your Rose Burns and your Mel Gibson.
- 19:36Yeah, so basically most Australians who are Americans are aware of are actors, thereby proving the point.
- 19:43And the reason why the Australia hoax exists, this is diabolical, is because – have you heard of colonialism, Jeff?
- 19:55I have, yes.
- 19:56Have you heard of white supremacy?
- 19:58I have, yeah.
- 19:59Have you heard of the crimes of white people, of genocide?
- 20:03Yes.
- 20:04You're speaking my language.
- 20:06I just am eager to hear what it has to do with this conspiracy.
- 20:08So the British Empire in the 1780s wanted to get rid of all its criminals.
- 20:17So they concocted a story that they were putting them on boats and sending them to this faraway land.
- 20:22They took the boats out to sea.
- 20:23They dumped all the criminals overboard.
- 20:25Hundreds of thousands of people drowned.
- 20:27And the excuse was Australia.
- 20:29Okay.
- 20:31Here's why I don't believe that theory.
- 20:35First you don't believe Milo Iannopoulos.
- 20:38Now you don't believe this.
- 20:39But okay, take the floor.
- 20:42I'm a skeptic.
- 20:43What can I say?
- 20:45It's because knowing what I know about the British Empire in the 18th century –
- 20:49if they were putting convicts on boats, taking them out to sea, and then dumping them in the ocean, I think they just would have said, here's what we're doing.
- 20:58We're going to throw them all in the ocean until they drowned.
- 21:02And that would have gotten a hearty cheer in Parliament.
- 21:06I don't think they would have hit it at all.
- 21:07Yeah.
- 21:08That's a good point.
- 21:10That's a very good point.
- 21:12If the British Empire is as evil.
- 21:14We're doing away with the undesirable elements.
- 21:17Yeah, that's right.
- 21:17You know how they're undesirable?
- 21:19Well, now they'll be at the bottom of the ocean.
- 21:21So they don't go there.
- 21:21They don't put these things stolen.
- 21:23That's a really good point.
- 21:24If the British Empire is as evil as the anti-colonialist, anti-white civilization people say that it is, then why would that empire have any compunction about killing all of those criminals?
- 21:37Right.
- 21:38It's not like they were trying to hide their crimes in Bangladesh.
- 21:46No.
- 21:46Were they worried about public opinion in the 18th century?
- 21:51Nobody's voting for anything.
- 21:52Don't worry about it.
- 21:53What do you think public opinion was in the 18th and 19th centuries about lowly criminals and the might of the British Empire?
- 22:02Everyone would have been like, absolutely, I wholeheartedly sign off on this plan.
- 22:06Yes.
- 22:07100%.
- 22:07Also, you know...
- 22:10Also what?
- 22:13So there, I've punctured it.
- 22:15You should take the points I've made back to your group.
- 22:19Yeah, I mean, I've got to say.
- 22:21Oh, wow, I hadn't thought of that.
- 22:22There are better reasons for believing that Australia exists than your...
- 22:29theory, especially since I happen to be located in Australia.
- 22:33Since you're in Australia right now.
- 22:35You gave this presentation from Australia also, correct?
- 22:37Yes, this is what I thought was kind of funny about it, that you would pick a – but then I had a twist on it because everyone was like, well, where are we?
- 22:44And I was like, we are in an island off the coast of – so part of the theory is that anyone who's been to Australia has actually flown to an island off the coast of South America.
- 22:53Yeah.
- 22:54But my twist on it was if you are not in on this and if this comes as a surprise to you, the people in the room who I'm delivering the presentation to, then you are the only one who isn't in on it.
- 23:07It's basically everything is a Truman Show and all the rest of us are in on it.
- 23:14So that was – and with that, I exited to great fanfare and drove off into the night.
- 23:19Yeah.
- 23:20Who is paying all the actors?
- 23:23Because also all the actors you mentioned, they don't get paid a little.
- 23:26They get paid a lot.
- 23:27Who's funding this and why?
- 23:30Has that been covered?
- 23:31Probably data centers.
- 23:34Oh, okay.
- 23:35All right.
- 23:36Well, so there's an answer for everything.
- 23:37I mean, just pick your boogeyman of the moment.
- 23:41It's airtight.
- 23:42Okay.
- 23:44Wow, I hadn't thought about data centers.
- 23:45Good point.
- 23:46So there's that.
- 23:46But yes, I liked the fact that that was my conspiracy theory.
- 23:49The Australia doesn't exist conspiracy theory in Australia.
- 23:54I think I'll have more success winning people over if I do it in the United States.
- 23:59But that's just me.
- 23:59Okay.
- 24:01I was just thinking about something.
- 24:03What were you just saying before we wrap that up?
- 24:06Because there was something else that was cool that I wanted to share.
- 24:09You're talking about...
- 24:11Well, we were talking about Milo and we were talking about Trump and ICE and what they do and what they don't.
- 24:16It was something about the Australia doesn't exist.
- 24:20It might have been the geographical location of – Oh, yes.
- 24:24But anyway, it will come back to me when we're talking about something else and then I'll jump in.
- 24:27What I wanted to pick your brain about, Jeffrey, you don't mind if I call you Jeffrey?
- 24:32That's fine.
- 24:33That is the long version of my name.
- 24:35Yes.
- 24:37I like doing that as a game with my kids, by the way, trying to figure out what the long version of people's names is because, you know, as Australians, we feel the need to shorten everyone's name.
- 24:47And so sometimes you don't actually know the underlying name.
- 24:50You're like, that's Baza.
- 24:52And you're like, was it Barry?
- 24:55Is it Bruce?
- 24:59Sorry, jump in.
- 25:01Oh, no, I was just going to say I have noticed that y'all like to shorten stuff.
- 25:05Yeah.
- 25:05Shorten names and words.
- 25:07You're people in a hurry.
- 25:10We're all lazy people, Jeff.
- 25:13We don't have time to say avocado.
- 25:16We usually say laid back, but I'll update my stereotypes to just lazy.
- 25:20Lazy.
- 25:21I don't know who has time to say avocado when you could say avo.
- 25:25My American husband has trouble with this because afternoon is avo.
- 25:31Avocado is avo, but if you have an American accent, then avo and avo are close.
- 25:37Great confusion.
- 25:38He finds himself showing up at avocados instead of in the afternoon.
- 25:43Campaigning with Liz Cheney is not like campaigning with Hassan Piker.
- 25:47You write.
- 25:47Hey, that sounds like an article I wrote.
- 25:49Okay, that is the article I wrote.
- 25:51Okay.
- 25:52I was going to say, you're stealing my shit, Josh.
- 25:55I'm stealing your shit.
- 25:55That's a point that I made on my blog recently.
- 25:57Oh, wait a second.
- 25:58He's asking me about it because I'm his guest.
- 26:01Oh, I see what you did.
- 26:02Clever.
- 26:03Clever.
- 26:04I saw that headline and I said it was a good headline because I thought,
- 26:08What does that mean?
- 26:09Which is always what you want out of a headline.
- 26:11What does that mean?
- 26:12So now that I have you here, Jeff, instead of making us read the article, what does that mean?
- 26:18I would never make anyone read, even though I am a writer.
- 26:22Thank you.
- 26:25It's a qualitative difference, is my argument in the piece.
- 26:30I think people see the headline and they-
- 26:35Oh, because we have this Senate candidate in Michigan.
- 26:42I'm always amazed, by the way, at the knowledge that non-Americans have of American politics.
- 26:47I understand that a lot of people...
- 26:48I read your sub stack.
- 26:50I get all of my information about America from your sub stack.
- 26:56You know what?
- 26:56It's the only source you need, Josh.
- 26:58Yeah.
- 26:59And Milo Iannopoulos on immigration affairs.
- 27:03About 20% of my readers are not in the U.S.
- 27:06I'm just stunned in a very positive way that people are interested in American politics.
- 27:13But anyway, yes, Michigan.
- 27:15There's a Senate race.
- 27:16The Democratic candidate there, Abdul El-Sayed, in the primary campaigned with Hassan Piker on a couple of occasions.
- 27:24And this is very controversial.
- 27:26He gets asked about it basically every 10 minutes.
- 27:28Yes.
- 27:29Just to back up here, just because not all of us are as across American politics as you seem to think we are.
- 27:35El Saeed is – so Michigan has a big Muslim population in Detroit.
- 27:41Is that right?
- 27:42Well, define big.
- 27:44I mean on the one hand, yes, it is one of the largest – Big for a place where otherwise there are only cows that you fly over between the coasts.
- 27:55Yes.
- 27:55The flyover states, as some people call them, though I do not, even though I live in the D.C. area.
- 28:02Dearborn, Michigan, which is sort of a suburb of Detroit, and then Detroit itself has a substantial Muslim population, but it's not that big.
- 28:11I'm actually going to Google right now.
- 28:14OK.
- 28:14While you Google, I'll also add another question, which is, El Saeed, is he a Democratic Socialist of America faction of the Democratic Party, or is he a regular old Democrat?
- 28:25He is not a regular old Democrat, but he is not a member of the Democratic Socialists of America.
- 28:32But many of the people who are in the Democratic Socialist America like him a lot.
- 28:39And Hassan Piker very much is in the DSA, and El Saeed campaigned with Hassan Piker.
- 28:44But El Saeed himself is not in the DSA and does not identify as the socialist.
- 28:48I just Googled what is the...
- 28:51Muslim population of Michigan, because I think when people hear this and they hear, oh, big Muslim population, they think like, oh, it's like half.
- 28:57It's 2.4 percent, according to the state of the state.
- 29:02OK. And Michigan is the state where we say, oh, that's the state that has a lot of Muslim people in it.
- 29:08And it's 2.4 percent.
- 29:09I mean, that would probably be the national average, wouldn't it?
- 29:13Or less, maybe.
- 29:15What's the Google this?
- 29:16All this Googling is the...
- 29:18Thank God for Google.
- 29:19Speaking of Milo Iannopoulos being wrongly detained by ICE, I think some ICE agents are about to smash down your door from all this Googling about the Muslim population in...
- 29:29In Michigan.
- 29:30So, you know, the podcast is probably going to end early because you're right.
- 29:35I think I can hear them rappelling down the walls of my house right now.
- 29:39Exactly.
- 29:39One to 1.3% of the United States is Muslim.
- 29:42Wow.
- 29:42I would point out a certain number of those are going to be, you know, sort of Malcolm X would say black Muslim.
- 29:49Right.
- 29:49I don't know how many of that 1%.
- 29:51That's tiny.
- 29:51Not everyone is going to be.
- 29:53Yeah.
- 29:54That's tiny.
- 29:54All right.
- 29:54You keep talking and I'm going to look up Australia.
- 29:56Yeah.
- 29:58OK. OK.
- 29:59So El Saeed.
- 30:00Anyway, El Saeed is the candidate in Michigan.
- 30:03Yes.
- 30:03Campaigned with Hassan Piker.
- 30:04Gets asked about it all the time.
- 30:05So often when this comes up, I haven't heard El Saeed himself say this, but often his supporters, especially if you're on social media, will say, well, Kamala Harris campaigned with Liz Cheney.
- 30:17It's the sort of, I would say, knee jerk response.
- 30:21You're complaining about Hassan Piker.
- 30:22Well, Kamala Harris campaigned with Liz Cheney.
- 30:25The point I make of the piece is qualitatively different.
- 30:46was by implication a Republican in sheep's clothing because she campaigned with Liz Cheney, who is Dick Cheney's daughter and a Republican.
- 30:59That I would say is more or less the argument.
- 31:00I would also say the hesitance I hear in your voice seems to be you getting to where I'm going.
- 31:07Yeah, I'm trying to...
- 31:09I'm twisting myself into pretzels trying to understand the objection.
- 31:12But yes, that I think is... And this is what I attempt to do on my blog, along with dick jokes, which is my bread and butter, is to untwist the pretzels, so to speak.
- 31:22But my argument is that it is different because...
- 31:26When El Saeed campaigned with Hassan Piker, the point was to say, hey, he and I, we've got some similarities.
- 31:33We're simpatico in certain ways.
- 31:34I wouldn't – obviously, I wouldn't say the implication is we are a carbon copy of each other.
- 31:38We're the same person.
- 31:39But certainly in the primary, he is saying we are birds of a feather.
- 31:45When Kamala Harris campaigned with Liz Cheney, the message was the exact opposite.
- 31:50It was, hey, we are different.
- 31:52But we both oppose Donald Trump because Liz Cheney, again, to bring anyone up to speed who is not up to speed, Liz Cheney, Vice President Dick Cheney's daughter.
- 32:04She was very conservative.
- 32:05She was a member of Congress from Wyoming for a couple of terms after she was.
- 32:12often a little bit Trump skeptical.
- 32:14And then after January 6th, she became very Trump skeptical.
- 32:18I wouldn't even say characterizes it accurately.
- 32:21I would say she turned on Trump after January 6th.
- 32:23She said this is beyond the pale.
- 32:25She voted for his impeachment.
- 32:26And she became persona non grata in the Republican Party after that and lost a primary in 2022 and was out of Congress.
- 32:33And in 2024, she supported Kamala Harris
- 32:37Because she felt that Trump was too much of a danger to democracy.
- 32:42He had proven himself to be hostile to fundamental democratic principles.
- 32:46And therefore, she supported Kamala Harris.
- 32:48So when Harris and Cheney were campaigning together, the message was very much, isn't it interesting that we're both...
- 32:55Voting for – I mean, of course, Harris is going to vote for Harris because she's Harris.
- 33:00But isn't it interesting that we're voting the same way even though we don't agree on things?
- 33:06Right.
- 33:07And that was very obvious in the events themselves.
- 33:09And they campaigned in front of a banner that said party over country, pretty clear message.
- 33:15Sorry, country over party.
- 33:17That would be weird, party over country.
- 33:19Country over party.
- 33:20You'd be like, is that the leopard face-eating party?
- 33:23Because that is too extreme.
- 33:25But, you know, it's good that they proofread it because I had it exactly backwards.
- 33:30But I promise you they had it the right way.
- 33:32Telling people you don't have to see the world the way Kamala Harris does.
- 33:36You don't have to be a liberal.
- 33:37In fact, you could be conservative.
- 33:38You could be a Republican and still vote for Kamala Harris.
- 33:41That's the message.
- 33:42We're different, but we're voting the same way.
- 33:44Very different than saying, hey, Hassan Piker, he and I share a lot of the same views.
- 33:47Strikes me that there's another important difference, Jeff, which is that the Cheney-Harris alliance was not just one of negative partisanship against Trump.
- 33:59It was a way of saying the thing that we both do agree on is...
- 34:03is supra-political.
- 34:07It's country over politics, as the banner says.
- 34:10In other words, what we believe in is preserving the institutions of state and the norms of American democracy and public life.
- 34:20And therefore, we can agree on these very, very deep foundational American traditions that have nothing to do with policies or our worldviews.
- 34:31The same certainly can't be said of Said and Piker, where it's not like the two of them are...
- 34:38I mean, I suppose...
- 34:39I'm trying to think of the most generous way of making the comparison.
- 34:42It might be the whole system of American capitalism is broken and of American imperialism.
- 34:51And, you know, we might disagree about particular policies, not that they even say that they do, not to the same extent that Cheney and...
- 35:01uh camilla did but we believe in foundational i mean yeah even trying to make the argument doesn't really work it's like the the the whole point of the cheney harris alliance was that there are certain principles that we believe in that transcend politics the whole point of the hassan piker el saeed alliance is we are on the same page vis-a-vis politics
- 35:28Yes.
- 35:29Yes.
- 35:30I am understanding the distinction you're making.
- 35:33Registering agreement on foundational principles versus agreement on... Yeah, on policy preferences.
- 35:42Before I was a comedian, I was a speechwriter.
- 35:44I was a speechwriter for a number of years.
- 35:47So I often think about, you know, messages and, you know, kind of what works and what doesn't.
- 35:52The message one might get from El Saeed campaigning with Piker...
- 35:58to the extent that they are highlighting their similarities, it's not a message you would use in a general election.
- 36:04And that is why El Saeed now, instead of standing firm and saying, yeah, I like Hassan Piker.
- 36:10I think he's a good guy with good views.
- 36:12He is trying to not talk about Hassan Piker.
- 36:16And Republicans, of course, are trying to get him to talk about Piker as much as possible.
- 36:19Saeed's line every time he gets asked about this, and like I said, it seems to be about every 10 minutes, is...
- 36:26This election isn't about Hassan Piker.
- 36:28I don't think people in Michigan care about Hassan Piker.
- 36:31They care about, you know, affordability and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
- 36:34Um...
- 36:36So he's running away from him because Hassan Piker has said 101, a million and one crazy things.
- 36:43Yeah.
- 36:43Crazy things that I think can be fairly interpreted as- Before lunchtime just because that's what he's on the, you know, he's streaming seven hours a day or something.
- 36:55He has to take a shit on the air.
- 36:57He has to eat his chicken breast to get those big muscles on the air.
- 37:01It's like there is a real liability.
- 37:04when you're talking that much, even if you're not, even if you don't have outre ideas and he does.
- 37:13Yeah.
- 37:13Yeah.
- 37:13I was gonna say, I think it's relevant though that he does.
- 37:17I agree if you're talking that much, not all of us going to be solid gold.
- 37:22And yet I feel like if you recorded me eight hours a day, every day, you would not find me saying America deserved 9-11.
- 37:32I'd say a lot of crazy shit, a lot of shit I wouldn't stand behind, but not that crazy.
- 37:37I also wouldn't say that I would choose Hamas over Israel.
- 37:43I wouldn't say that Crimea should be part of Russian territory.
- 37:47There's all sorts of things I wouldn't say, but he has said all those things.
- 37:50And they all give a sense of just sort of being.
- 37:59negatively disposed to the United States.
- 38:01For example, when he said repeatedly, I hate America.
- 38:04It sounds like I'm paraphrasing.
- 38:06I'm not.
- 38:07That's a sentence he spoke.
- 38:09That's like a scene from The Simpsons or something.
- 38:12Like, Mr. Piker, is it true that you hate America?
- 38:16He's like, absolutely not.
- 38:18Is it true that you said... Well, then what about your shirt?
- 38:20Oh, this?
- 38:21Exactly.
- 38:23The I hate America t-shirt.
- 38:24Yeah, it's that level.
- 38:25Yes, he said, I hate America.
- 38:27And then he, you know...
- 38:29His supporters will often say, well, context.
- 38:31You're taking it out of context.
- 38:32He said that, and then he bragged about how he has the balls to say it.
- 38:36The context was he says it and means it.
- 38:39Other people, they mean it, but they don't have the balls to say it.
- 38:42So there's your context.
- 38:44Yeah.
- 38:44And that is the type of stuff.
- 38:47That Elsa now has to try to distance himself from.
- 38:50Whereas you're right with Harrison Cheney, you can appeal to without owning every belief that Liz Cheney holds.
- 38:59And Harris very obviously doesn't hold many of those beliefs, but you can appeal to the core sense of American identity that specifically.
- 39:07The person who wins the election takes office.
- 39:10You don't try to incite a riot.
- 39:13I like that one.
- 39:14You guys did good on that one.
- 39:16There are a bunch of other ones.
- 39:17Thanks, man.
- 39:18Yeah.
- 39:18No, you deserve a pat on the back.
- 39:20I mean – We were early adopters on that one.
- 39:23Yes.
- 39:23Yes.
- 39:25The whole – I mean there's so much to say about the – look.
- 39:31I remember PJ O'Rourke used to say that we all know what whiners, rich people are.
- 39:38And in a sense, now we're all rich.
- 39:40And we're just a bunch of whiners.
- 39:42Like in comparison to everybody else who ever existed throughout history, we just have too much shit and too much spare time and not enough big problems.
- 39:52You know, yes, big global problems we have where we can swipe and look at them 24 hours a day on our stupid devices.
- 39:59But actual...
- 40:00physical hardship problems of wondering where our next meal is going to come from and how we're going to finish a 16-hour day of backbreaking labor and whether our child who we just gave birth to is going to survive until its second birthday.
- 40:14These are not problems that are afflicting the majority of people in Western countries.
- 40:19And Hassan just seems like a rich kid with a lot of, you know, talking a lot of shit about how bad stuff is because he has the luxury to.
- 40:28Yeah, absolutely.
- 40:30I wrote a piece a couple of years ago called We Need Fewer Heroes, where I was sort of ruminating on the phenomenon you're talking about.
- 40:38Our lives are, compared to, I would think, any of our grandparents, unless your grandparent is John D. Rockefeller or something like that, our lives are incredibly easy.
- 40:46Jeff, even if your grandparent is John D. Rockefeller, what's crazy is a middle-class American...
- 40:53Probably has a better life materially than John D. Rockefeller.
- 40:57How many TVs did John D. Rockefeller have?
- 41:00You know, if he wanted to talk to someone on the other side of the world on a video call, you know, what did he have to do?
- 41:04Yeah, that's right.
- 41:05How quickly could he go to Singapore to eat a laksa?
- 41:09Some steam-powered thing made of wood that you had to crank, and you get a grainy image from Australia, but it comes in two weeks after the fact.
- 41:18You go to a tour of the Palace of Versailles, and you're touring through the old French aristocratic, the king, and you see the king's bed, and you're like, this shitty little thing?
- 41:31And it's got a bedpan under it?
- 41:32You had to get out of bed and shit into a bucket?
- 41:35Yeah.
- 41:36He was the fucking king.
- 41:38Yeah, yeah.
- 41:39Sorry, he's shitting a bucket throughout the window.
- 41:41And I remember being at Versailles, and I had a weird thought.
- 41:45I was looking at the floor.
- 41:46I was like, this floor, I like the joints on this floor suck.
- 41:49It's because it's all creaky and stuff.
- 41:51I was like, yeah, it's one of those floors with pegs and stuff.
- 41:54They need the 45-degree staple nailer that we have these days.
- 41:59Exactly.
- 41:59Even Versailles, I have a better floor in my house right now.
- 42:03Yes.
- 42:04No water resistance to those old oak floor.
- 42:06No, exactly.
- 42:07Can you imagine Louis XIV walking down an aisle at Home Depot and looking at the staple guns and just being like, my floor could be so much better?
- 42:18Yes.
- 42:18What you do with one staple gun, you know, purchasable for like 90 bucks, you would have needed...
- 42:2630, 40 peasants and half of them would die.
- 42:29That's right.
- 42:29And he didn't care about that, but they weren't even as good as the state of gun.
- 42:32It did not bother him.
- 42:33So yes, we live better than our grandparents and we probably live better than anyone's grandparents.
- 42:39Almost.
- 42:39Yeah.
- 42:40But what I was what I was getting to is because of that, we sometimes seek out crusades, don't we?
- 42:46And I feel like that is a type that I think is maybe one of the most destructive types in politics, the people who want to be on a crusade because, man, they get carried away fast.
- 42:58And, man, they can be talked over to absolutist and extreme viewpoints quickly because in their heads, that's.
- 43:07justified because they have created a dragon that they feel the need to slay.
- 43:13Yep.
- 43:13It troubles me immensely, Jeff, that there seems to be only two modes of politics at the moment, which is that mode of the crusader who's going to burn everything down and make things right, a kind of a revolutionary, whether that's on the far left like Hassan or whether that is like what has become now, at least in America, the mainstream revolution.
- 43:35force on the right where, you know, the fuddy-duddy old conservatives of Mitt Romney's era and, like, you know, the Colin Powells and Brent Scowcrofts of the world are just, you know, gone.
- 43:46And everything is sort of a Tucker-infused, like, Fuentes shitpost-y kind of MAGA kaleidoscope.
- 43:56Or you have incredibly cautious, boring political figures who are anodyne blocks of cheese on a stick who just seem interchangeable.
- 44:07Certainly outside of the States, this is true.
- 44:10In Australian politics, British politics...
- 44:15Man, the establishment figures are so boring.
- 44:19And it's no wonder that people want a little bit of a sparkle when they start dabbling in populism.
- 44:26Because can't they?
- 44:28I don't know.
- 44:29Where's the Clinton or Obama of our age or the Blair, like the articulate defender of traditional liberalism?
- 44:42Well, great question.
- 44:45I hope it ends up being John Ossoff.
- 44:47Early days.
- 44:48Talk to me about John Ossoff.
- 44:50What do I need to know?
- 44:53He talked good.
- 44:55That fellow talked good.
- 44:57He's good at talking.
- 44:58Wait, I don't... You're going into too much detail about American politics.
- 45:02I keep telling you.
- 45:03We have to get back to where the Great Barrier Reef and the New Zealand Alps are located latitudinally.
- 45:08John Ossoff is a...
- 45:10John Ossoff is a senator from Georgia.
- 45:12He's served one term.
- 45:13He's up for reelection in 2026.
- 45:16And he's a Democrat.
- 45:17And he's a young-ish guy.
- 45:21I mean, Jesus Christ, I think he's younger than me.
- 45:23I'm 46.
- 45:24Actually, I know he's younger than me because my wife went to school with him.
- 45:28She went to junior high with him.
- 45:31So he is a bit younger than me.
- 45:33Like when people – here's a quick aside, but we'll get back to John Ossoff.
- 45:38The thing I never knew when I was an adolescent, and this will sound very, very stupid, but maybe after you've slept on it for a couple of days, you'll come to realize what I'm talking about, is I knew I would get older.
- 45:52But I didn't quite think through that that meant that other people would then come up underneath and be the new younger people.
- 46:02Like I'd never quite clocked that until I got into my 30s really.
- 46:06And then I was like, oh, I mean, I knew I'd get older, but I thought I would still remain the vanguard of what's hip.
- 46:15Because it's a, it's a, yeah, it's a brutal realization.
- 46:19And for me, it hit me hardest with sports.
- 46:23When you, uh, start seeing, you know, you know, for me, it's like, I'm in my, when I was in my late twenties or late early thirties, and I started to seeing college athletes who were born in like 1994 and it just looked wrong.
- 46:37I was like, ha, they've messed up the graphic.
- 46:39He can't be born in 1994.
- 46:41That would be a baby.
- 46:43Fuck.
- 46:43That's correct.
- 46:44Yeah.
- 46:45That's right.
- 46:45Yeah.
- 46:46And worse still.
- 46:47Everyone in the World Cup, except for Messi and Ronaldo, was born in like 2017.
- 46:53And I don't know if people realize that.
- 46:56But that's how it seems.
- 46:57That is true.
- 46:57They are all nine years of age.
- 46:59Messi and Ronaldo, they're like, you know, Messi's 39.
- 47:02They're like, 39!
- 47:03Well, that's what I was going to say.
- 47:05It's still out there.
- 47:05To me, it's... Has it turned to dust?
- 47:07To me, the indignity is less that there are people younger than me who are at the Olympics because I feel like there's always been 14-year-old Russian girls doing gymnastics at the Olympics.
- 47:17And I know that I'm not an elite athlete, so that was never going to be me.
- 47:23But when you hear them start to talk about how old these ancient athletes are and they're 32 –
- 47:31You know, you couldn't possibly play tennis past the age of 32.
- 47:34You know, your body is basically ready for the grave.
- 47:39You're on life support.
- 47:40Yeah.
- 47:41And then you go, well, yeah, OK. Not only and there are all kinds of all these people.
- 47:46And then you start doing the maths in your head of like, well, how old?
- 47:49Well, maybe I'm just a late bloomer.
- 47:52Maybe not athletics-wise, but how old was so-and-so when he did such-and-such?
- 47:57And for a while, I would take great solace that Ricky Gervais was just – he was a loser doing radio shows that nobody listened to when he was 40.
- 48:08And then he wrote The Office.
- 48:11But now we can't even do that because now you and I are older than he was when he created The Office, Jeff.
- 48:16I know.
- 48:17Yes, that's right.
- 48:19He was as late as it was late bloomers now.
- 48:21Yeah.
- 48:22Then you have to start scraping the bottom of the barrel and you're like, well, what about like Nick Nolte?
- 48:26Wasn't he 60?
- 48:27There are a couple.
- 48:32One late bloomer I know is literal grandma Moses, which doesn't.
- 48:36really make you feel much better because she's got grandma in her name the name also grandma moses didn't make it to australia i'm sorry what is what you learn sometimes i will get like angry when i learned that like newton was 23 yeah when he created calculus it's like fuck you just fuck you man i mean you know i'd have to look it up
- 48:58But the man was probably dead by the time he was your age, Jeff.
- 49:01You know, it's like Benjamin Franklin was like, you know, he died at the age of 32 after having done everything.
- 49:08Everyone who wrote the U.S. Constitution was like 26.
- 49:10I know.
- 49:12Shit.
- 49:12I know.
- 49:13What am I doing?
- 49:14All right.
- 49:14So John Ossoff.
- 49:15Sometimes.
- 49:16Yes.
- 49:16Oh, yeah.
- 49:17John Ossoff.
- 49:17He was born in 2021.
- 49:20Josh, we are at the age where we could complain about the youngs forever.
- 49:24So you're right to cut it off.
- 49:25Yes.
- 49:26John Ossoff, if elected president, would be younger than me.
- 49:30So he's running for Senate again in Georgia.
- 49:32This would be his second term.
- 49:34He is favored to win.
- 49:36Georgia is a state that is it's right.
- 49:39It's basically a coin toss could go either way in this particular cycle because Trump is so unpopular.
- 49:45Yeah.
- 49:46Take every state – any state that's a 50-50, it's now like an 80-20 for the Democrat.
- 49:50And Ossoff is doing much better than that.
- 49:53Wait, it's an 80-20 for the Democrat?
- 49:56You're joking, right?
- 49:57I mean it's like a 50 – it'll be a 51.5.
- 50:01For this cycle only, if a state that was 50-50 in the midterm elections, I would say it would be about 80-20 for the Democrat because Trump's very unpopular.
- 50:10Okay.
- 50:11But I mean, I thought even when I thought even landslides these days in the United States were three people crossing over to the other side and the partisanship was so intense.
- 50:19I don't mean the Democrat is going to get 80% of the vote when I say 80-20.
- 50:24I see what you're saying.
- 50:25Yes, yes.
- 50:25I'm saying it's 80% probability that the Democrat would be your regular down the road Democrat.
- 50:30Got it.
- 50:31Not correct.
- 50:32Not that they would get 80%.
- 50:32I see.
- 50:33There's an 80% chance that they'll get 50.1%.
- 50:38Correct.
- 50:39Exactly.
- 50:40But with Ossoff, because he's a good candidate, I would say there's a 98%, 99%.
- 50:45I'm surely jinxing him by saying that.
- 50:47I like that we're just making numbers up at this stage.
- 50:50Sure, why not?
- 50:52This is the kind of rock-solid political analysis that I come to your Substack for, Jeff.
- 50:58Yes.
- 50:58Yeah, but you're right that I am tossing numbers out, but I am tossing them out from reading very analytical sites like Silver Bolton is a favorite of mine.
- 51:11So you're not shooting them out of your butthole.
- 51:14You're kind of just snorting them out of your nose.
- 51:20To stick with the metaphor, it is coming out of my ass, but it was placed there by reputable sources.
- 51:28Right.
- 51:29Okay.
- 51:29There was a suppository.
- 51:31It wasn't just digested.
- 51:32It wasn't masticated food.
- 51:33Exactly.
- 51:33A surgical procedure involving Nate Cohn and Nate Silver and other people named Nate.
- 51:37Right.
- 51:37But yes, the numbers are looking good for Osif is the point.
- 51:40And the numbers are looking good because I think he's a good politician and he's a very likable young man.
- 51:47And some of his speeches have gone viral on Twitter.
- 51:53It's kind of funny.
- 51:55These speeches, I listen to them and I think that's like a good sane thing to say.
- 52:02They're mostly about how Trump is a bad president and America can do better.
- 52:07And I will listen to that message and I think, yeah, I agree with that.
- 52:09So on the one hand, it's like it's not groundbreaking.
- 52:11It's not like, whoa, you just blew my mind.
- 52:13It's a very...
- 52:15um acceptable i think good thing to say but people are reacting to it as if it is some groundbreaking thing but i think that's because of the environment we're in now where it's just like that seems like a normal sane person and it's a classic in the land of the blind the one-eyed man is king situation normal sane person
- 52:34takes you a long way in politics.
- 52:36I mean, the problem is- So he's got some heat right now.
- 52:37There's only so far that that'll take you.
- 52:39I mean, that might be the right strategy for the 2026 midterm cycle, where you can just rely on a whole bunch of disaffected anti-Trump voters coming out.
- 52:49But it doesn't solve the underlying problem of the cleavage between crazies and lackluster establishment people, right?
- 52:58Because you need to find whatever the next-
- 53:01It's not going to be the same as Obama or Blair or Clinton, but what Obama was in 2007 or 2005 even with his stump speech about how there is no red America and there is no blue America, there is no white America and there is no black America, there is just the United States of America and cue the roar of the crowd –
- 53:24You know, someone has to come through with that, the stuff that gives you the tingle in the spine and, you know, makes your loins stir a little.
- 53:30Not just like, I'm not Trump and I'm a young, handsome white man who's articulate.
- 53:36Well, he put it better than I did.
- 53:38Again, look at the speech.
- 53:39Okay, I'll look at the speech.
- 53:42People are saying it's Obama-esque in that it is a hopeful, very pro-America message.
- 53:50It puts you in a good mood.
- 53:51It's the rare political speech that will put you in a good mood.
- 53:55What about that governor, Wesley Moore?
- 53:58Is that his name?
- 53:59My governor.
- 54:00Yeah, Wes Moore.
- 54:01I live in Maryland.
- 54:01Wes Moore.
- 54:02Yeah, I'm just outside of D.C.
- 54:04I saw him interviewed a couple of years ago on a show, and I thought, this guy's great.
- 54:08He's going places he could be the president.
- 54:09He seemed like he's a military guy.
- 54:12He's not woke.
- 54:13He's black.
- 54:14He's progressive.
- 54:16He's like common sense.
- 54:17I was like, yeah, sure.
- 54:21I also like Westmore.
- 54:23Again, he is my governor.
- 54:24Now, I haven't lived in the state long, but yes, he's got some game.
- 54:28He's got some game.
- 54:30And –
- 54:32He's got some testosterone.
- 54:34Yeah.
- 54:34Which is kind of a rare thing sometimes.
- 54:37And, you know, I'm a Democrat, so I feel like I can say this.
- 54:40Kind of a rare thing in our party.
- 54:41Yeah.
- 54:42Sometimes.
- 54:45He is a military guy and works out.
- 54:48And you can tell.
- 54:50And seems like a normal dude with a...
- 54:52Does he pass the Pete Hegseth workout test?
- 54:56That's the question.
- 54:57Does he... Is he muscular enough to...
- 55:00to inflict virile damage and life-shattering fury, like tossing Thor-like lightsabers the way that Hegseth wants the American military to.
- 55:12And if he can, I'm voting for him.
- 55:15He seems to be physically the rare guy who could meet Pete Hegseth's high, high, high, high, high standards for physical fitness.
- 55:24He's a big dude.
- 55:25He's a big – yeah, he's army.
- 55:27He's a big dude.
- 55:27Yeah, yeah, good.
- 55:28All right, so between Wes and John Ossoff, we're okay.
- 55:31Now getting back to your question about – it wasn't your question.
- 55:34I made the question up.
- 55:35But getting back to your question about the Muslim population of relative jurisdictions –
- 55:41You says to me, you says that Al-Sayed in Michigan is in a state that has this supposedly massive Muslim population, which you said was 2% of the population, did you say?
- 55:522.4%.
- 55:532.4%.
- 55:53That's what Google says.
- 55:542.4% of the population says Google, which is probably wrong because in my Googling about this, I realized that the United States census does not ask for religious information.
- 56:03So it's a guess.
- 56:05But anyway.
- 56:07I'm trying to see where they got it from.
- 56:09The Australian census does ask about religion.
- 56:13Oh, okay.
- 56:15The population of Australia that is Muslim, do you want to guess?
- 56:24Percentage of Australia is Muslim.
- 56:25And you said the United States was 1.
- 56:271 to 1.3%.
- 56:271 to 1.3%.
- 56:33Again, I'm just going off of what Google tells me.
- 56:36But that is consistent with what I knew.
- 56:38Australia, you're near Indonesia.
- 56:43See?
- 56:43I'm going to say.
- 56:44You're doing the geography now.
- 56:45You're doing the geography in your head.
- 56:48You're down there in the upside down part of the globe.
- 56:51I'm going to say 4%.
- 56:523.2%.
- 56:58You're pretty good.
- 56:59And actually, you're even closer if you exclude the states where nobody lives.
- 57:05So if you just look at my state, the most populous state where Sydney is located, which is called New South Wales, 4% to 5%.
- 57:14So that's interesting that it's considerably more.
- 57:18And it's not that Indonesians swim here.
- 57:22I know that you think that that happens.
- 57:25It's another thing you're good at, swimming.
- 57:26We see you in the Olympics.
- 57:28Exactly.
- 57:28You're very aquatic people.
- 57:29Yeah.
- 57:30So maybe if Australia doesn't exist, then we have two professions, both entertainment and swimming.
- 57:38It's mostly Lebanese, Pakistani, Turkish, Indonesian, and Arab Australians, including Syrians, Afghans, and East Africans as well.
- 57:49So there you go.
- 57:50Welcome back to Demographics with Jeff and Josh.
- 57:55How many Zoroastrians are in Peru?
- 57:59Let's find that one out next.
- 58:01Can I ask you a question, Josh?
- 58:02Please.
- 58:03You used the word establishment.
- 58:04I'm asking because I'm sort of collecting data on this.
- 58:07What does the word establishment mean to you?
- 58:09When you're talking about establishment politicians, you said they're very boring.
- 58:11What does establishment mean?
- 58:13It means to me... Well, let me start with not just the political version of how I would use the word.
- 58:18The establishment, when I use that word, means a loose alliance of cultural thought leaders across politics, academia, the media, public policymakers, political staffers, newspaper editors, you know, the class of people who...
- 58:40sort of set and police the rules of the cultural conversation and have a strong vested interest in maintaining a status quo and keeping things on an even keel.
- 58:58And so in politics, I regard establishment politicians as people who are keen to toe a party line, to maintain party unity, to not embrace major changes.
- 59:15to not rock the boat.
- 59:17So they would tend to be the leaders of political parties and you, the kind of bureaucracy that the edifice of bureaucracy that underlies that in contrast to, you know, populists or dissenters or, you know, troublemakers or whatever.
- 59:32Yeah.
- 59:33That, that is a, a,
- 59:36Very good definition.
- 59:38I put you on the spot for sure.
- 59:39And you came up with a good definition that's consistent with what I know and what a lot of people say.
- 59:45So can I let me throw out what I think is confusing me, though.
- 59:49And I'm not disagreeing with your definition, because like I said, it's very much in line with what I hear a lot of people say.
- 59:56If we're talking about American politics, and we are because I'm an American, and I'm sorry, Josh, I don't know anything about Australian politics.
- 1:00:03So this is what the parameters of the conversation are going to have to be.
- 1:00:06If we're talking about American politics, people talk about the establishment a lot.
- 1:00:10And like I said, their definition is frequently very much in line with what you just described, the people who have the ability to set the agenda, influence the conversation, hold power, decide what we talk about, what we say about it, and ultimately what we do.
- 1:00:25It has something to do with power, right?
- 1:00:27It has something to do with power and decision-making authority and status, right?
- 1:00:32Yes.
- 1:00:32They'll say that.
- 1:00:34And then in the next breath, they will say, all of the energy right now, all of the momentum
- 1:00:42is with the populists.
- 1:00:43The young people are populist, especially the young people on TikTok and Instagram and stuff.
- 1:00:49They're populist.
- 1:00:50The Republican Party has gone over largely to populist, as you noted.
- 1:00:54And the implication when you're speaking with someone on the left is that, and now Democrats need to follow suit if they want to remain relevant.
- 1:01:01They've got to get with Democrats
- 1:01:04what's happening now.
- 1:01:05They've got to get with the new generation.
- 1:01:07They've got to it's often there's an age component to it.
- 1:01:09We've got to toss out the old and bring in the new.
- 1:01:12And the new is populist and anti-establishment and insurgent and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
- 1:01:18And those two statements don't compute to me.
- 1:01:22If the new thing is what we have to do,
- 1:01:28follow.
- 1:01:29If that's the thing we have to chase, we have to adopt their views and do what they want.
- 1:01:34If they've got that kind of heat, then aren't they the establishment?
- 1:01:38I think there are some ways we can see that tangibly.
- 1:01:41I used to work in media.
- 1:01:42Like you said, I wrote for John Oliver for a long time.
- 1:01:45It's a very progressive space, very progressive left, a lot of DSA types, people literally in the DSA, people who are fellow travelers with the DSA.
- 1:01:55So there you have people in media with a fucking TV show that goes out internationally who would still say we're against the establishment.
- 1:02:06We're insurgents.
- 1:02:06It's like, no, no, no, no, no.
- 1:02:07You have a TV show.
- 1:02:09And in the same way in politics, you have operatives, you have money, you have all of the things that we would associate with the establishment backing certain candidates.
- 1:02:21One candidate they chose was Graham Plattner in Maine, the anti-establishment guy who people probably even on Australia know.
- 1:02:29There were a lot of troubling things about him from his Reddit post to a tattoo that was Nazi iconography that he said he didn't understand.
- 1:02:39And people said, no, we think you do know what it means.
- 1:02:42And there were a lot of troubling things about him.
- 1:02:44And then eventually a very credible rape accusation came out.
- 1:02:46And that was the end of that.
- 1:02:48The people who brought that insurgent candidate, that disastrous insurgent candidate into the fold, got him to win the Democratic primary in Maine.
- 1:03:00How are they not the establishment if they are political operatives with money and influence and the ability to pluck a candidate from obscurity and give them to win the primary in Maine?
- 1:03:09How are they not the establishment?
- 1:03:11I think you're pointing to an interesting tension, a couple of things.
- 1:03:17You can have a –
- 1:03:19legacy establishment that has waning power and a new establishment to be that may be more powerful but is not yet established enough to be an establishment.
- 1:03:33So you could have a transition period, right, where in 2010 –
- 1:03:41The New York Times and the LA Times were the establishment media and the Huffington Post and BuzzFeed were not the establishment, but more people were reading the Huffington Post and BuzzFeed than either of those newspapers and those newspapers had to figure out.
- 1:03:58how to change that.
- 1:03:59And one of those newspapers did and the other one didn't.
- 1:04:02And, you know, so one is no, the LA Times is no longer really the establishment and the New York Times is still the establishment and HuffPost no longer is the anti-establishment.
- 1:04:12So it's like a moving, it's a shifting thing.
- 1:04:16But I think the relevant thing when people talk about the establishment – and I'm not saying that everybody who does talk about the establishment is using it in this nuanced way.
- 1:04:24It's often just a punchline.
- 1:04:25It reminds me a bit of the conversation about elites, right?
- 1:04:29Trump is the anti-elite guy.
- 1:04:31He's always banging on about elites and Hillary Clinton is part of the elite and all this.
- 1:04:37He's a rich guy born with a silver spoon in his mouth.
- 1:04:40Who is –
- 1:04:41Who is not elite if not Donald Trump?
- 1:04:43Yeah, exactly.
- 1:04:45He gets to go to a private school and get out of the draft and all the things that you would normally code as being elite.
- 1:04:51Inherited a few million dollars.
- 1:04:53Inherits money, puts gold on everything.
- 1:04:54Born and raised in New York City.
- 1:04:55Yeah.
- 1:04:56So, but there's a cult.
- 1:04:58There is, he's not crazy and his followers were not wrong to identify something about a class of thinking
- 1:05:09that was elitist in a way that he is not elitist, that was smug and self-certain and sanctimonious and censorious, right, in a way that he isn't.
- 1:05:23And that was what I think he meant by elite.
- 1:05:26And similarly, the establishment...
- 1:05:29is as much a vibe and as much a sort of a culture of...
- 1:05:35I think in politics, it also probably includes a component of the kinds of people who...
- 1:05:40The Tracy Flicks of the world who are born to become like a politician.
- 1:05:45The kind of Hillary Clinton energy of like, you know, I'm going to, I'm never going to put a foot wrong and I'm always going to say the right thing and I'm going to be the star pupil in my class and someday I'm going to grow up to be president of the United States versus the Graham Plattners who just blunder into it.
- 1:06:01and have, you know, and reek of authenticity, sometimes for good and sometimes for ill, who are the anti-establishment ones.
- 1:06:08What you're pointing to about the elites who tapped Platner is an interesting thing, which is that when the elites or establishment or whatever you want to call it can smell an uprising in the air and they're terrified of the peasants revolting, they make stupid decisions and try to get in bed with
- 1:06:28you know, anti-establishment candidates or they try to become phony anti-establishment candidates.
- 1:06:33All of a sudden, someone who went to Princeton or Harvard is talking with a Southern drawl and trying to, you know, we all know this game.
- 1:06:40Hillary Clinton's pulling hot sauce packets out of her handbag on radio shows and podcasts.
- 1:06:47We have the same phenomenon here in Australia where the prime minister.
- 1:06:50I'm sure you did.
- 1:06:51Who declined my invitation to come on my show before the last election, but went on another podcast, which was...
- 1:06:58He went on a series of podcasts that were non-intellectual, female-watched, female-led, frivolous pop culture podcasts.
- 1:07:08And, you know, God bless them.
- 1:07:09There's absolutely nothing wrong with doing shows like that.
- 1:07:11But for the prime minister to go on...
- 1:07:14and suffer weeks of embarrassment because of a faux pas that he made, which was a stupid faux pas and an own goal that he didn't need to blunder into, but went into in an attempt for a fuddy-duddy, you know, older white man to try to curry favour with the young cool kids.
- 1:07:33It's exactly that kind of tension that you're pointing to, which is like, oh my goodness, we have to do things that are young and cool because all the kids are on TikTok.
- 1:07:41Yeah.
- 1:07:42And you go on and it just doesn't work.
- 1:07:45It's like either you have to be a really good establishment person or you have to be a really good insurgent person.
- 1:07:55But establishment people can't pretend to be insurgents.
- 1:07:59And in the other direction, I think nobody would want, no insurgent would want to necessarily be establishment officers.
- 1:08:03Although that's not true.
- 1:08:04Nigel Farage is trying to do the opposite thing, right, where he's trying to go from being an insurgent to being prime minister material.
- 1:08:10And that doesn't work for him either because he's had too many allegedly shady dealings to live up to the standards of what the Tracy Flick establishment candidate would have abided by throughout the course of their life with their eye on the prize of leading the country.
- 1:08:26So it's all right that it's messy, but I don't think that that means that the distinction doesn't exist.
- 1:08:33I would say Hassan Piker is another one who now wants mainstream credibility.
- 1:08:38You can tell just by what he's wearing.
- 1:08:39He's wearing a lot of glasses these days, wearing a lot of suits and ties these days.
- 1:08:44He's dressing the way you would dress if you went to a publicist and said, make me look like a smart person.
- 1:08:51Make me look like an intellectual.
- 1:08:53Yeah.
- 1:08:53because I'm tired of being seen as a cloud and I want smart people to like me.
- 1:08:56Right.
- 1:08:57You're also right that it's not going to work.
- 1:08:59No, any smart person can see through his act.
- 1:09:01He said way too many stupid things and continues to say them.
- 1:09:04So it's not going to work.
- 1:09:06It is as ineffective as you're right.
- 1:09:10Taking a, a candidate who is a, you know, look, as a speechwriter, you know, you're a cloistered weirdo.
- 1:09:16You went to, uh,
- 1:09:18little fancy lad university and you know, the day school for a velvet pantaloon where fancy boys, and you're just, you're not a person of the people and it's who you are.
- 1:09:29And you're right.
- 1:09:30That if one of your handlers goes to you and says, you know, here are the things you do.
- 1:09:35You eat this food and you talk about this musician person, this rap man.
- 1:09:40And you, why is the anti-Semitic caricature of a conniving Jew?
- 1:09:45What's going on here?
- 1:09:47You,
- 1:09:47Here's what you need to do to make the money.
- 1:09:52Oh, God.
- 1:09:53How is the... God.
- 1:09:54How is...
- 1:09:56I'm just observing.
- 1:09:59We need consistent standards for these things.
- 1:10:01Just observing your rampant anti-Semitism.
- 1:10:05But that's fine.
- 1:10:06I mean, uncomfortable conversations and all.
- 1:10:08You're allowed to express whatever points of view.
- 1:10:10Wait, wait.
- 1:10:10How did I stumble into – how am I getting the accusation of anti-Semitism here?
- 1:10:14Because the voice that you put on with the alleged publicist who Hassan Piker hired to make him look intelligent –
- 1:10:21It was a bit dewy.
- 1:10:23It was like, here's what you need to do.
- 1:10:24It was a bit dewy.
- 1:10:25It was a bit dewy.
- 1:10:26To look smart.
- 1:10:27To look like you're a book learner.
- 1:10:32Well, hey, it was more like Hollywood entertainment.
- 1:10:37Okay.
- 1:10:38But you're also- I know what you're saying.
- 1:10:39But this is a problem I stumbled into on my book.
- 1:10:40Hollywood money.
- 1:10:41Yeah, yeah.
- 1:10:42Okay, George Soros.
- 1:10:43This is a problem I stumbled into on my book.
- 1:10:44Yeah, there's a problem I stumbled into on my podcast one time.
- 1:10:47I was doing, and this wasn't like a premeditated bit, I was just riffing.
- 1:10:52And I wanted to do an old, because, you know, I do this segment on my podcast news from 100 years ago.
- 1:10:59So it was a, you know, Hollywood story, and I wanted to do a, you know, movie producer in the 1920s.
- 1:11:04And whenever one of these things happens, I, you know, quick go run it by my wife, because she's Jewish.
- 1:11:08I'm like, thoughts on this?
- 1:11:10But, um...
- 1:11:12I thought, how do I not make that character kind of Jewish?
- 1:11:16Very hot.
- 1:11:16Because the heads of the studios in the 20s, they literally were Jewish.
- 1:11:22And I thought it's way worse if I do like a waspy voice, because then it's like erasure.
- 1:11:28That's true.
- 1:11:29I read this article one time, which was so funny to me.
- 1:11:33And I wish I remembered who wrote it, but it was a Jewish writer.
- 1:11:36And the title of the article is all tongue in cheek, but the title of the article was You're Goddamn Right, Jews Run Hollywood.
- 1:11:41And it was about like, can we get some fucking credit?
- 1:11:44We're killing it out there.
- 1:11:46So what was the voice that you ended up doing for your 1920s producer?
- 1:11:51It was definitely – do you know Andy Kindler, a stand-up I used to work with?
- 1:11:58I loved Andy.
- 1:11:59I loved Andy.
- 1:12:01Yeah, he'd get very angry and he'd yell.
- 1:12:04It was that kind of thing.
- 1:12:06Right, right, right.
- 1:12:07Because you also have the 1920s, you have the non-Jewish 1920s.
- 1:12:10And there's that, there's a little of that in there.
- 1:12:12You can always do that one.
- 1:12:13I don't think that codes is Jewish.
- 1:12:14You got Moxie, kid.
- 1:12:15There's that voice.
- 1:12:16Exactly.
- 1:12:17So yes, that.
- 1:12:18Andy.
- 1:12:19And there's a little Jackie Mason in there.
- 1:12:20Andy has one of my favorite bits, which is about, he's walking along the street and he walks past a piano store.
- 1:12:29And he says, what makes a person think of going into the piano store business?
- 1:12:37Hmm.
- 1:12:37Let's see.
- 1:12:38What can I sell that almost nobody knows how to use that costs a fortune and takes up a tremendous amount of space?
- 1:12:51Yeah.
- 1:12:52I love it.
- 1:12:54It's a very good bit.
- 1:12:55Andy and I had a spat, and then he was unkind to me on a podcast.
- 1:13:00We had a spat about Sam Harris because it was about Islam, and Andy, God bless his soul, and I have tremendous respect for the guy.
- 1:13:10I love the guy.
- 1:13:10I think he's really a comic genius.
- 1:13:12But he was basically –
- 1:13:17arguing on my podcast, and this was long ago now, this must have been 2016, 2017.
- 1:13:23He was basically arguing that there was no religious basis for jihadism.
- 1:13:29And I was just trying to call out that I understand the reasons why he would want to say that because he doesn't want to sound like he's bigoted towards Muslims.
- 1:13:36And we're not in any way saying that this is a problem of all Muslims.
- 1:13:40But for us to get our arms around the problem, we probably have to be able to speak plainly about it.
- 1:13:45He was going off – he got quite heated about how like –
- 1:13:48I think he said, like, my mother is a religious person and I take offense at your characterization of religion as being stupid.
- 1:13:58And I was like, but if she's religious enough to believe stupid things, then that is stupid.
- 1:14:03And then he, I think, went on Sam Seder's show and said that I had called his mother stupid.
- 1:14:07But it wasn't – I hadn't really.
- 1:14:10But anyway.
- 1:14:11But I love you, Andy.
- 1:14:12Nothing good happens on Sam Seder's show.
- 1:14:17I haven't seen Andy in a long time.
- 1:14:18It's been well over a decade.
- 1:14:20And we were never like fast friends.
- 1:14:22But I worked with him a couple of times and he was always very nice to me.
- 1:14:25He's super nice and super well-meaning.
- 1:14:28His heart's totally in the right place and I regret that we had him falling out.
- 1:14:31I see him on social media and he's very adamant in his beliefs.
- 1:14:38And I'm not surprised he'd be on like Sam Sater's show.
- 1:14:40Yeah.
- 1:14:41And I'm not surprised he had strong opinions about Sam Harris.
- 1:14:44Passionate gentleman.
- 1:14:45Yeah.
- 1:14:45Yeah.
- 1:14:46Yes.
- 1:14:47All right.
- 1:14:47Well, Jeff, you're a passionate gentleman.
- 1:14:49I think we've solved.
- 1:14:50Have we solved all the problems of the world?
- 1:14:52Are there any other outstanding problems that we have to solve?
- 1:14:55I don't think so.
- 1:14:56No.
- 1:14:57Good.
- 1:14:59Fabulous.
- 1:14:59Well, thanks again.
- 1:15:01And I'll see you in Washington, D.C. maybe.
- 1:15:05Maybe I'll make it down.
- 1:15:06Or maybe you'll make it up to New York.
- 1:15:08I'll be in the States for a little bit in a few weeks' time.
- 1:15:11So, you know, jump on the older cellar.
- 1:15:15Give me a ring-a-ding-ding on the old jingle-jangle.
- 1:15:19Yeah, likewise.
- 1:15:19Go get a beer.
- 1:15:21It'll be smaller than you're used to.
- 1:15:23Yeah, it'll be small.
- 1:15:25You don't drink them warm?
- 1:15:28No.
- 1:15:28We've already established that this is a hot climate.
- 1:15:31Why would we?
- 1:15:33I'm reminding you again.
- 1:15:35The Brits, they drink it warm.
- 1:15:38I know.
- 1:15:38That's because it's never been more than 50 degrees Fahrenheit in the UK and not rainy.
- 1:15:45So they have to console themselves somehow.
- 1:15:48No, we'll have a cold beer and we'll go and harass Jesse Singel and throw things at his house.
- 1:15:52Oh, that's a great idea.
- 1:15:54So if people don't know Jeff, they should follow Jeff's sub stack.
- 1:15:57You can probably do that by clicking on some kind of a link.
- 1:16:01And if you don't know me, then you should follow Uncomfortable Conversations and get more incredible content like this.
- 1:16:08Thank you, Jeff.
- 1:16:10Thanks, Josh.
- 1:16:11Take care.