Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB Best Bets 2/28/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
- 0:05Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
- 0:08Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
- 0:11Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
- 0:14Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
- 0:17Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
- 0:20Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
- 0:25Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
- 0:29Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
- 0:34Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
- 0:37Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man,
- 0:42Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
- 0:44Speaker 1: Arch hate? Is that what it is? I don't even
- 0:46Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
- 0:51Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. But I don't
- 0:53Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
- 0:55Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
- 0:59Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
- 1:02Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not
- 1:06Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five. The worst month that
- 1:10Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
- 1:13Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 1:15Speaker 1: To the slumpy praise, the slump discontinuous, The slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
- 1:24Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end it.
- 1:27Speaker 1: All These losses stay with me, they fester. Jerry, what's up, everybody?
- 1:35Speaker 1: It's towed back with you toadstool Sports. This would be
- 1:38Speaker 1: the college basketball edition, February twenty eighth, the last day
- 1:43Speaker 1: of February. I don't think it's leapier, right, I don't know.
- 1:46Speaker 1: Maybe I'm taking a leap with some of these plays.
- 1:48Speaker 1: I don't know. I think I'm gonna have five plays here.
- 1:51Speaker 1: I just I literally just woke up. I'm so out
- 1:54Speaker 1: of it right now, dude. I did the handicapping, fell asleep.
- 1:57Speaker 1: I'm like, I gotta do the show. I have to
- 1:59Speaker 1: come back after this and do NHL, NBA. Haven't even
- 2:02Speaker 1: looked at those yet. Don't know how many plays I'm
- 2:05Speaker 1: gonna have there, mister Pinsey, what's up? Thanks for hanging
- 2:10Speaker 1: out all right, I'll talk about what happened with last
- 2:15Speaker 1: night's plays on that show? How about that? So we
- 2:19Speaker 1: can get right into college basketball here. That was Wednesday night.
- 2:26Speaker 1: But yes, I had too much of it, correct the
- 2:29Speaker 1: TC beer. I should have moderated that more. I rarely
- 2:35Speaker 1: ever partaken that, and yeah, it all built up too much.
- 2:41Speaker 1: But that was Wednesday night. All right, let's get into
- 2:43Speaker 1: this college of basketball. I'm gonna try to talk about
- 2:47Speaker 1: all the games that matter. Well, I don't think I
- 2:50Speaker 1: could even do that really, but you know, all the
- 2:53Speaker 1: big games, all the TV games, my plays. I have
- 2:56Speaker 1: a few additional leans, you know, you know how I
- 3:00Speaker 1: do it. We at least we have maybe a little
- 3:04Speaker 1: bit of a smaller schedule here on a Saturday, because
- 3:07Speaker 1: the matt Act is pretty much done and they played
- 3:10Speaker 1: most of their games last night, so they're not in
- 3:12Speaker 1: action today, I don't believe. But what you have to
- 3:16Speaker 1: pay attention to at the end of the season here
- 3:18Speaker 1: is the conference tournaments set up. So in the small conferences,
- 3:23Speaker 1: you have teams that have already clinched the one seed
- 3:26Speaker 1: or clinched whatever seed they are in those conferences. So
- 3:29Speaker 1: those teams might already be looking ahead to the conference
- 3:32Speaker 1: tournament because they can't improve their positioning at all. And
- 3:35Speaker 1: those conferences you have to win the conference tournament to
- 3:38Speaker 1: actually get in. So you see one of my plays
- 3:40Speaker 1: down there as I was searching for it. Oh god,
- 3:44Speaker 1: So that's somebody to keep in mind. You got to
- 3:45Speaker 1: keep in mind which teams might get eliminated from being
- 3:49Speaker 1: in their conference tournament. So that's all a thing too. Yeah,
- 3:54Speaker 1: a lot of things to keep in mind on these
- 3:56Speaker 1: final Saturdays here. This will be the final, like completely
- 3:59Speaker 1: full setd because some of the small conferences will be
- 4:03Speaker 1: playing their conference tournaments by next weekend, I believe, and
- 4:06Speaker 1: then the bigger conferences will have their conference tournaments that week.
- 4:12Speaker 1: All right, Hopefully that'll all makes sense. Maybe a doesn't.
- 4:15Speaker 1: I don't know. ESPN Noon number eleven Virginia number one, Duke.
- 4:20Speaker 1: This is a huge game in the ACC with both
- 4:23Speaker 1: these teams are rolling. I believe Virginia is only one
- 4:25Speaker 1: game behind Duke, although if you look at the number
- 4:28Speaker 1: in this game, yeah, the oddsmakers are telling you the
- 4:31Speaker 1: Duke is significantly better than Virginia as their ten point
- 4:36Speaker 1: favor And even though Virginia really good record, Virginia has
- 4:39Speaker 1: not really been battle tested to a you know, to
- 4:44Speaker 1: a large degree, which has been one of my knocks
- 4:47Speaker 1: of Virginia, I believe didn't they. I think they even
- 4:50Speaker 1: lost to North Carolina. So I don't know this Virginia team.
- 4:53Speaker 1: Their resume is actually not that impressive, even though they
- 4:55Speaker 1: have very few losses. Seventy tickets ninety two perc sen
- 5:00Speaker 1: of the cash on Duke looks like some of the
- 5:02Speaker 1: money is coming in a Duke. I don't really have
- 5:04Speaker 1: a feel for the side in this game. I think
- 5:06Speaker 1: both teams are gonna show up. Virginia is coming up
- 5:09Speaker 1: a very impressive blowout win over NC State, who is
- 5:12Speaker 1: not a bad team. They had a pretty bad game.
- 5:14Speaker 1: But also Virginia is pretty legit on the defensive side
- 5:18Speaker 1: of things, as they usually are. Yeah, they're better on
- 5:23Speaker 1: defense than offense. So is Duke in fact, So that's
- 5:27Speaker 1: gonna kind of lead me to what I think about
- 5:29Speaker 1: this game. In a second, Duke is coming up putting
- 5:31Speaker 1: up one hundred points against Notre Dame, absolutely blowout. So
- 5:36Speaker 1: both teams are coming off looking really really good. Hard
- 5:41Speaker 1: to pinpoint a side here, man, I mean the number
- 5:43Speaker 1: does look big, So I think the public might come
- 5:45Speaker 1: in and think, oh, it's two ranked teams. You know,
- 5:48Speaker 1: this is a huge number here, and they might actually
- 5:50Speaker 1: be tempted to take the points with Virginia. I'm not
- 5:54Speaker 1: sure that I would do that. The money is coming
- 5:56Speaker 1: in on Duke. I think I might agree with laying
- 5:58Speaker 1: the points there, but I actually guy like the under
- 6:01Speaker 1: even though the total is up to one forty one,
- 6:03Speaker 1: and I know under would kind of lead you towards
- 6:06Speaker 1: leaning towards Virginia. I know, but I think it under
- 6:09Speaker 1: kind of makes sense in this game because everybody kind
- 6:12Speaker 1: of likes what they see out of both teams. Duke
- 6:14Speaker 1: just put up one hundred points. Both teams are better
- 6:17Speaker 1: on deepfense than offense. Both teams play slow, so I
- 6:20Speaker 1: could see this being a slow defensive game and falling
- 6:23Speaker 1: into that type of game. So it ended being kind
- 6:26Speaker 1: of a playoff atmosphere type of game. So that's kind
- 6:28Speaker 1: of what I think about that game. Noon on ESPN two,
- 6:32Speaker 1: Colorado is at number five. Houston kind of guess that
- 6:36Speaker 1: Houston finally ends their losing streak in that one with
- 6:38Speaker 1: a win over a very inferior team. Colorado having to
- 6:42Speaker 1: go on the road here, but they do have two
- 6:44Speaker 1: wins in a row. They've been playing all right, although
- 6:46Speaker 1: they got both of them at home. In fact, their
- 6:49Speaker 1: last four wins of all or at last five wins
- 6:52Speaker 1: in fact, have all come at home. I believe Colorado
- 6:56Speaker 1: has not won at all on the road in conference play,
- 7:00Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken. I know they won one game
- 7:02Speaker 1: Arizona State. They only have one conference win on the road.
- 7:06Speaker 1: The other five are all at home. So yeah, they
- 7:08Speaker 1: are definitely better at home. Using that elevation to their advantage.
- 7:12Speaker 1: I think you're probably gonna see a focused Houston team here.
- 7:16Speaker 1: I mean, they just lost to three really good teams.
- 7:18Speaker 1: That game against Kansas really got away from them, and
- 7:21Speaker 1: I gave you, guys, Kansas as a play in that game.
- 7:24Speaker 1: I just thought Houston might not have anything left by
- 7:26Speaker 1: the end of that game. Just playing three massive games
- 7:30Speaker 1: in a row man back at home here, it gets
- 7:32Speaker 1: an inferior team. Yeah, Houston's probably gonna win this game.
- 7:35Speaker 1: Are they gonna cover a huge number? Though? I don't know. Man,
- 7:38Speaker 1: it's up to twenty points total in the one forties
- 7:43Speaker 1: low total at one forty and a half. Houston, we
- 7:46Speaker 1: know they play slow and they focus on deepfense. I
- 7:51Speaker 1: don't have a good feel for the side in this game.
- 7:53Speaker 1: I mean, I do think you're gonna get an effort
- 7:54Speaker 1: out of Houston. But they also don't need to win
- 7:56Speaker 1: the game by twenty points, you know what I mean.
- 7:58Speaker 1: They just need to get the job done to get
- 8:00Speaker 1: back on the winning side. I probably maybe, I guess
- 8:03Speaker 1: i'd lean towards taking the points of Colorado, but I
- 8:05Speaker 1: don't have a strong opinion on that at all. It
- 8:07Speaker 1: wouldn't shock me if Houston won that game by more
- 8:10Speaker 1: than twenty points either. Seaton Hall at yukon Fox Sports
- 8:15Speaker 1: one at noon. This is a game where I think
- 8:19Speaker 1: I would fade Yukon if I was gonna play this one.
- 8:21Speaker 1: Yukon is coming up a ridiculous revenge win over Saint John's,
- 8:26Speaker 1: beating them seventy two to forty, and I think Saint
- 8:28Speaker 1: John's had, like I think for most of the second half,
- 8:32Speaker 1: they didn't even make a field goal or something. Something
- 8:35Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous happened in that game. It was a really,
- 8:38Speaker 1: really insane win for Yukon. Some of it had to
- 8:42Speaker 1: do with Saint John's playing terribly as well. I don't
- 8:45Speaker 1: know if I quite want to fade Yukon in their
- 8:47Speaker 1: final home game though at stores, but that is what
- 8:50Speaker 1: I would do if I play it. I think they
- 8:51Speaker 1: will be in a letdown spot of that they got
- 8:53Speaker 1: a big win over Villanova in the prior game two. Unfortunately,
- 8:57Speaker 1: it's not a sandwich spot because they only have Marquette.
- 8:59Speaker 1: And again, final home game is a thing like teams
- 9:03Speaker 1: do get a little bit of a boost in their
- 9:05Speaker 1: final home game to celebrate the seniors. Yukon did already
- 9:08Speaker 1: beat seen Hall, but they didn't beat them by match.
- 9:11Speaker 1: Actually on the road, they only beat them by five,
- 9:13Speaker 1: so Yukon actually didn't cover. So I guess you could
- 9:16Speaker 1: maybe make the argument that Yukon might slightly take Seaton
- 9:20Speaker 1: Hall seriously for that reason, but I would lean towards
- 9:24Speaker 1: taking the points here man. And this is likely to
- 9:26Speaker 1: be a defensive game, a slow game. Both of these
- 9:28Speaker 1: teams played better defense than offense. Yukon's the top ten
- 9:32Speaker 1: defensive team and seen Hall's just outside of the top
- 9:35Speaker 1: ten on deepfense. They're just a miserable offensive team. Yukon's
- 9:40Speaker 1: not as good on offense as they are on defense either.
- 9:42Speaker 1: Both teams play very slow, so that does have the
- 9:46Speaker 1: makings of an underdog cover in this game. Seen Hall
- 9:52Speaker 1: just beat Georgetown at home in their last game, so
- 9:54Speaker 1: that's fine. They got some momentum coming into this one,
- 9:59Speaker 1: and yeah, those my thoughts on it. Man, I would
- 10:01Speaker 1: lean towards Seaton Hall. The number is at fourteen for
- 10:05Speaker 1: u COM, which is quite large, seventy five percent of tickets,
- 10:08Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash in Connecticut, and at least
- 10:11Speaker 1: Minardi's bracketology still has Seaton Hall is a bubble team
- 10:15Speaker 1: for the tournament, so you know they might have reason
- 10:18Speaker 1: to show up for that reason as well. Give them
- 10:20Speaker 1: a little bit extra effort there. It's a very low
- 10:22Speaker 1: total around one thirty one thirty one, So yeah, I
- 10:26Speaker 1: wouldn't agree with the Castro sentage in that one. I
- 10:28Speaker 1: think I would take the points with Seaton Hall. Big
- 10:31Speaker 1: ten Network. In noon, Iowa at Penn State. Iowa coming
- 10:35Speaker 1: off a nice easy win over Ohio State. They got
- 10:39Speaker 1: Michigan and Nebraska up in their remaining two games, on
- 10:42Speaker 1: Michigan in their final home games, so there is the
- 10:44Speaker 1: potential that Iowa overlooks Penn State here man having to
- 10:48Speaker 1: go on the road to play this really massively struggling
- 10:52Speaker 1: Penn State team. Penn State coming up another loss at Nebraska,
- 10:57Speaker 1: can't really blame them for that, but now they're back
- 10:59Speaker 1: at home, coming off three road games in the last
- 11:02Speaker 1: four games, and last time they were at homely lost
- 11:05Speaker 1: to a bad Rutgers team. So I think you're gonna
- 11:08Speaker 1: see an effort out of Penn State here man at home.
- 11:11Speaker 1: It's not their final home game yet. But when teams
- 11:13Speaker 1: return home and they're on a losing streak and they
- 11:15Speaker 1: lost a glass home game, but usually we'll get focus
- 11:18Speaker 1: out of them. You'd be asking to lay points with Iowa,
- 11:21Speaker 1: a slow down team on the road. I wouldn't want
- 11:25Speaker 1: to do that. I would lean towards taking the points
- 11:27Speaker 1: at Penn State. But this is not really yeah anything
- 11:31Speaker 1: that I would that I would really want to consider
- 11:33Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of tickets eighty two percent of the
- 11:35Speaker 1: cash on Iowa. I don't agree with that cash percentage.
- 11:38Speaker 1: Iowa's up to nine and a half with juice there.
- 11:41Speaker 1: But yeah, I would lean towards taking the points in
- 11:43Speaker 1: that one. CBS Sports at noon has Boston University at
- 11:47Speaker 1: American University be you at AU. These two teams did
- 11:52Speaker 1: already play once this year. I don't even see where
- 11:56Speaker 1: it is. Oh yeah, b you lost at home to
- 11:58Speaker 1: American by two. American is the better team here? BEU
- 12:02Speaker 1: on a nice run. Actually, right now, they've won six
- 12:04Speaker 1: of their last seven games. I think is what that is.
- 12:07Speaker 1: Beat Holy Cross in their home finale. But now they
- 12:10Speaker 1: do have to go to American for this, which I
- 12:12Speaker 1: think is Washington, d C. If I'm not mistaken. American.
- 12:17Speaker 1: This is their final home game and they get a
- 12:19Speaker 1: TV game, so I think they probably will show up
- 12:21Speaker 1: for it. They did just lose at home to Lehigh
- 12:24Speaker 1: in the prior game, just not a great loss. So
- 12:27Speaker 1: and the fact that they play close against BU and
- 12:30Speaker 1: Bu's been hot recently and they're tied in the standings,
- 12:33Speaker 1: I'd probably lean to American here. American, I believe. Let
- 12:40Speaker 1: me see here. They also got seasons swept by Lee High,
- 12:44Speaker 1: so Lehi is one game ahead of American in the standings,
- 12:48Speaker 1: but American actually can't move up. So actually this game
- 12:52Speaker 1: is pretty much for fourth place. And I don't know
- 12:54Speaker 1: if that means a buye in the Patriot Tournament or not.
- 12:58Speaker 1: I forget what the structure is there. I don't know
- 12:59Speaker 1: if they have buys in their tournament, but yeah, I
- 13:03Speaker 1: mean I think the I don't remember though, because I
- 13:07Speaker 1: think maybe the four seed gets a home game or
- 13:10Speaker 1: something like that. So I think this is why this
- 13:12Speaker 1: game is on TV, because it is the battle for
- 13:15Speaker 1: the four seeds. I think it does kind of matter
- 13:17Speaker 1: to both teams, but I think I'm gonna lead to
- 13:19Speaker 1: American there because they think they are probably the better team.
- 13:23Speaker 1: They haven't looked as hot as BU as of late,
- 13:25Speaker 1: but BU is not that good man. American's only laying
- 13:28Speaker 1: two and a half though, so the odds bakers are
- 13:31Speaker 1: kind of telling you that BU is actually the better team,
- 13:34Speaker 1: but I don't think they are. Ken Bum does have
- 13:37Speaker 1: American as the better team, so by twenty rankings spots
- 13:40Speaker 1: or so. So I don't know what's going on there.
- 13:44Speaker 1: I don't know, but yeah, it's not a strong opinion
- 13:46Speaker 1: for me. Noon, CW Network, NC State at Notre Dame.
- 13:51Speaker 1: NC State coming off a really hideous loss. Both of
- 13:53Speaker 1: these teams are coming off horrendous looking losses to good teams.
- 13:58Speaker 1: But NC State got blown out Virginia. Now they do
- 14:02Speaker 1: have Duke on deck, so that is a big game.
- 14:05Speaker 1: This is gonna be their second straight road game with
- 14:07Speaker 1: Duke on deck. That's a monster game. And NC State,
- 14:11Speaker 1: even if they lose this game, they're probably still gonna
- 14:14Speaker 1: make the tournament. Notre Dame doesn't have a whole lot
- 14:17Speaker 1: left going on here. They are trying to avoid missing
- 14:21Speaker 1: the ACC tournament though, so Notre Dame, I think we'll
- 14:23Speaker 1: have a little bit of a motivating factor here. And
- 14:27Speaker 1: one thing I'll say about that, you gotta be war
- 14:29Speaker 1: You gotta be careful with teams like, oh, if this
- 14:31Speaker 1: team wins, are gonna clinch this spot, or if this
- 14:33Speaker 1: team wins, they're gonna avoid missing the tournament. That means
- 14:37Speaker 1: that team might be overvalued in the market because the
- 14:40Speaker 1: market knows that. Everybody knows that. But in this case,
- 14:43Speaker 1: Notre Dame is gonna be an underdog, so you know
- 14:45Speaker 1: what I mean. So that's different, Like an underdog's usually
- 14:48Speaker 1: not really gonna be overvalued, you know. And you're and
- 14:50Speaker 1: you're saying that team's motivated to win the game and
- 14:53Speaker 1: they're getting points, so that that is a scenario that
- 14:56Speaker 1: I will be willing to jump on as opposed to
- 14:59Speaker 1: like laying points with that team when the pressures on.
- 15:01Speaker 1: I don't like doing that. Now Notre Dame, they're coming
- 15:04Speaker 1: off that horrendous loss, which was a loss here on
- 15:06Speaker 1: the show for me against Duke. I can't believe that
- 15:10Speaker 1: that's what happened in that game. It looked like a
- 15:12Speaker 1: really bad spot for Duke, a sandwich spot, and Notre
- 15:17Speaker 1: Dame won one hundred to fifty six. A Notre Dame,
- 15:20Speaker 1: excuse me, lost one hundred to fifty six. They're staying
- 15:23Speaker 1: at home for this one. I think the spot does
- 15:25Speaker 1: set up better for a Notre Dame here just a
- 15:29Speaker 1: little bit. The number dropped for seven and a half
- 15:32Speaker 1: to six and a half, fifty five percent of tickets,
- 15:34Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on NC State. But I
- 15:37Speaker 1: do not agree with that cash percentage. I would lean
- 15:39Speaker 1: towards taking the points with Notre Dame in that one.
- 15:43Speaker 1: Acc Network noon, Florida State at Georgia Tech. Florida State
- 15:49Speaker 1: coming up a couple of big games where they upset
- 15:51Speaker 1: Clemson on the road, and then they played their main
- 15:54Speaker 1: rival Miami in a revenge spot for Miami because Florida
- 15:58Speaker 1: State actually won at Miami earlier this year. Florida State
- 16:03Speaker 1: was hanging around in that game, man. The game was
- 16:04Speaker 1: within two possessions pretty late in the game. They lost
- 16:07Speaker 1: by ten, But that was a big game, man. And
- 16:09Speaker 1: now they're coming off of that those couple of huge games,
- 16:12Speaker 1: and I gotta go to Georgia Tech. I don't think
- 16:14Speaker 1: it's a great spot for Florida State here, Man, Georgia
- 16:17Speaker 1: Tech coming into this trying to at least do something here. Man,
- 16:21Speaker 1: with two home games left, they've lost, however many games
- 16:24Speaker 1: in a row. This is eight games in a row.
- 16:26Speaker 1: They still have a chance to maybe avoid missing the
- 16:29Speaker 1: ACC Tournamental, though highly unlikely I think, because they're alone
- 16:32Speaker 1: in last place right now, and the bottom three missed
- 16:35Speaker 1: the tournament, so I think it's pretty unlikely. But I
- 16:40Speaker 1: think you'll probably at least get an effort out of
- 16:42Speaker 1: them here. The spot for Florida State is more questionable.
- 16:46Speaker 1: I would lean to Georgia Tech here. Florida State's laying
- 16:49Speaker 1: six on the road, sixty percent of tickets ninety nine
- 16:52Speaker 1: percent of the cash of Georgia Tech. I agree with
- 16:55Speaker 1: the cash percentage in that one, even though it's probably
- 16:57Speaker 1: not accurate right now. Georgia Tech would be the way
- 16:59Speaker 1: I would lean there. The USA Network at twelve thirty pm.
- 17:03Speaker 1: Fordham at VCU. Fordham coming into this game on a
- 17:07Speaker 1: four game win streak. They're playing all right recently. They'll
- 17:11Speaker 1: probably give you a game against VCU. Although they did
- 17:14Speaker 1: actually give VCU a game back in Fordham earlier this year.
- 17:17Speaker 1: VC only won that game by four. I'm presuming the
- 17:21Speaker 1: VCU didn't cover, but maybe they did. Let me see. No,
- 17:24Speaker 1: they did not seven and a half point favorites in
- 17:27Speaker 1: that one. So VCU actually might take Fordham seriously because
- 17:31Speaker 1: they barely got by Fordham in the first game at Fordham.
- 17:34Speaker 1: So maybe VCU will show up for this. But I
- 17:37Speaker 1: do think VCU is in a bad spot, which I'll
- 17:39Speaker 1: show you in a minute. I do still need to
- 17:41Speaker 1: Fordam here. I think they'll bring a good effort against
- 17:45Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the conference. VCU, on
- 17:48Speaker 1: the other hand, is off of losing a long win streak.
- 17:51Speaker 1: I think they'd won ten games in a row or
- 17:54Speaker 1: something like that. They finally lost in a huge step
- 17:57Speaker 1: up game against Saint Louis, and they had that lead
- 18:00Speaker 1: in that game to the second half. I know because
- 18:02Speaker 1: I gave you guys, VCU and they couldn't even cover
- 18:05Speaker 1: by the end of that game. But I think VCU
- 18:08Speaker 1: could be in a pretty massive hangover man and they
- 18:10Speaker 1: finished the season with George Mason and Dayton, which are
- 18:14Speaker 1: both huge games as well. Even though they did already
- 18:16Speaker 1: beat Dayton once this year they lost to George Mason,
- 18:19Speaker 1: so that will be a big revenge game on TV.
- 18:22Speaker 1: But they do get to host this game on TV,
- 18:25Speaker 1: although it is in a busy Saturday card and VCU
- 18:28Speaker 1: you're gonna be asking him to lay a ton of
- 18:29Speaker 1: points here in a spot where they might be hungover
- 18:32Speaker 1: for two reasons. Because they're coming up a big game
- 18:34Speaker 1: where they had the lead in the second half over
- 18:37Speaker 1: Saint Louis. My concern really would be that the game
- 18:40Speaker 1: was over like before it was over though, you know,
- 18:42Speaker 1: like they didn't actually take Saint Louis to the why
- 18:44Speaker 1: or unfortunately for my bet, if they did, I'd probably
- 18:48Speaker 1: give you four in them here. And I still lean
- 18:50Speaker 1: to Fordham. When teams lose these long win streaks a
- 18:52Speaker 1: lot of times, they will be hungover here. I think
- 18:54Speaker 1: it might be a sandwich spot as well because of
- 18:57Speaker 1: what they have upcoming. The line dropped from thirteen to
- 18:59Speaker 1: twelve and a half total in the low one forties.
- 19:02Speaker 1: That's pretty low. Fordham is gonna try to ugly it
- 19:05Speaker 1: up and slow it down. VCU does try to play
- 19:08Speaker 1: a bit faster, but the total is low, so yeah,
- 19:11Speaker 1: I would my Lean is towards taking the points with
- 19:13Speaker 1: Fordham in that one. All right, Army at Lafayette, I'll
- 19:19Speaker 1: talk about this against Lafayette just had a huge win
- 19:21Speaker 1: over Colgate, big upst win, which was kind of like
- 19:25Speaker 1: their game in the year type of thing, I would say,
- 19:28Speaker 1: And they're already be an Army at Army Army is
- 19:30Speaker 1: total ass, So I think Lafayette could be in a
- 19:33Speaker 1: letdown spot. That was a huge game. And I believe
- 19:35Speaker 1: there are Pennsylvania rivals with Colgate as well, and Colgate
- 19:39Speaker 1: is usually one of the best teams in the Patriot League.
- 19:42Speaker 1: They still kind of are this year, so that was
- 19:44Speaker 1: a big win. It was like an eight and a
- 19:45Speaker 1: half point up set. So my hesitation, I guess is
- 19:50Speaker 1: that Lafayette is in their final home game, which might
- 19:52Speaker 1: still give them a boost, and that Army is just absolute, like, yeah,
- 19:58Speaker 1: they're pretty much dog shit, They're terrible, So those would
- 20:01Speaker 1: be my concerns. He know, though, the line does take
- 20:04Speaker 1: that into account and it's not like Lafayette is that good.
- 20:07Speaker 1: Army will be trying to get a win to close
- 20:10Speaker 1: the season, although they just lost their home finale by
- 20:14Speaker 1: two to Buck Now, so Army did put in an
- 20:17Speaker 1: effort in that one, at least now in the Patriot.
- 20:19Speaker 1: I don't believe any team misses the tournament for their
- 20:22Speaker 1: for their league. I could be wrong about that, but
- 20:26Speaker 1: I don't think Army is like on the verge of
- 20:27Speaker 1: not making it. They are tied with holy Cross in
- 20:30Speaker 1: last place. But I do lean to Army in this one.
- 20:33Speaker 1: Even though it's Lafayette's final home game. That was a
- 20:36Speaker 1: huge win for them over Colgate. The lines up for
- 20:39Speaker 1: four to three and a half. I agree with that move.
- 20:41Speaker 1: I would take the points of an Army in that one.
- 20:43Speaker 1: I know how ugly that is. But yes, Okay, what
- 20:49Speaker 1: other games we want to talk about here? Man, I'm
- 20:52Speaker 1: gonna try to get through some of these. Missouri at
- 20:56Speaker 1: Mississippi State and the SEC on the SEC network in
- 20:59Speaker 1: one PM Missouri. I gave you guys, Missouri in their
- 21:04Speaker 1: last game and they got the nice home upset against Tennessee.
- 21:07Speaker 1: Even though they got out rebounded I think dramatically in
- 21:10Speaker 1: that game. That was a huge win for Missouri. Now
- 21:12Speaker 1: they got to play a second road game in three games,
- 21:15Speaker 1: and they're coming off beating Vandy, playing Arkansas reasonably competitively
- 21:20Speaker 1: on the road and then beating Tennessee. So Missouri's coming
- 21:24Speaker 1: off a run of three huge games in a row.
- 21:27Speaker 1: They already beat Mississippi State at home by five, although
- 21:29Speaker 1: I'm guessing they did not cover the number there. No,
- 21:32Speaker 1: they're six and a half point favorites. But even so,
- 21:36Speaker 1: it could be a little bit of a revenge spot
- 21:38Speaker 1: for Mississippi State. It looks like it could be a
- 21:39Speaker 1: letdown spot for Missouri. Now. I know Missouri does need
- 21:42Speaker 1: to keep giving you an effort, though, because we know
- 21:46Speaker 1: that Missouri is a bubble team in the tournament right now.
- 21:48Speaker 1: But this is one of those situations where I think
- 21:51Speaker 1: everybody knows that, and Missouri is a road favorite here,
- 21:54Speaker 1: so you might be having to lay a little bit
- 21:56Speaker 1: too much of a price with Missouri just because everybody
- 21:59Speaker 1: knows their I need to try to make the tournament
- 22:01Speaker 1: right now, I would lean towards Mississippi State in this one.
- 22:07Speaker 1: Mississippi State is coming up a pretty ugly one hundred
- 22:10Speaker 1: and seventy five loss to Alabama. Nobody wants to give
- 22:14Speaker 1: up one hundred points to anybody, although Alabama is any
- 22:16Speaker 1: elite offense. Though, now back at home from Mississippi State here,
- 22:22Speaker 1: they did actually win. The last time they were at home,
- 22:24Speaker 1: they beat Auburn. They've had some pretty bad performances at
- 22:29Speaker 1: home as well. But I would lean towards Mississippi State
- 22:32Speaker 1: in this one. Missouri has seventy five ticket seventy two
- 22:36Speaker 1: percent of the cash, so they are a very public side.
- 22:39Speaker 1: I would take the one and a half with Mississippi
- 22:41Speaker 1: State in that one. Would not shock me if they
- 22:45Speaker 1: get the win in that one. Actually, I think the
- 22:47Speaker 1: public would be pretty shocked. But again, it looks way
- 22:50Speaker 1: too easy to play Missouri, right. Oh, this team is
- 22:53Speaker 1: on the bubble. They got to get this win, They
- 22:54Speaker 1: got to make the tournament. They just beat a couple
- 22:57Speaker 1: of good teams, you know, to pick the winner price
- 22:59Speaker 1: team with the way at a record. Yeah, it just
- 23:01Speaker 1: looks way too easy to play Missouri there and nothing
- 23:04Speaker 1: is that easy man TNT True TV at one thirty pm.
- 23:09Speaker 1: Georgetown at Xavier. These two teams did already play once
- 23:14Speaker 1: earlier this year. I forget who won the game, whereas
- 23:18Speaker 1: it Xavier won at Georgetown in fact, so this will
- 23:21Speaker 1: be a little bit of a revenge game for Georgetown
- 23:24Speaker 1: after losing at home to Xavier. Georgetown's on a five
- 23:27Speaker 1: game slide as well, losing at home to Marquette, so
- 23:30Speaker 1: it might be good for them to actually go back
- 23:32Speaker 1: out on the road. Forget about it. They do have
- 23:34Speaker 1: a huge game against Saint John's next, but I don't
- 23:37Speaker 1: see Georgetown overlooking a game when they've lost five straight
- 23:40Speaker 1: and this Xavier team beat them in their own place.
- 23:44Speaker 1: Xavier is coming up a game at Providence, coming back
- 23:47Speaker 1: home for this one. They did lose last time they
- 23:49Speaker 1: were at home, but it was a close, pretty good
- 23:51Speaker 1: performance against Villanova. This is not their final home game.
- 23:56Speaker 1: I think I would lean into the road revenge angle
- 23:59Speaker 1: in this one and lean towards Georgetown. We don't see
- 24:01Speaker 1: the percentages yet. Xavier is up to a four and
- 24:04Speaker 1: a half point favorite from three and a half, but
- 24:06Speaker 1: I would lean Georgetown plus the points in that one.
- 24:10Speaker 1: Number twenty four Louisville at Clemson ESPN two. Louisville's coming
- 24:15Speaker 1: up a big TV game where they lost in North Carolina.
- 24:20Speaker 1: Pretty big game. Now they're playing the third road game
- 24:23Speaker 1: in four games, which is not gonna be that easy
- 24:26Speaker 1: for them to do. I don't think they're gonna overlook Clemson, though,
- 24:29Speaker 1: because you know Louisville, they did just have kind of
- 24:32Speaker 1: a bad performance on national TV, even though it was
- 24:36Speaker 1: a big game against North Carolina. Clemson is above them
- 24:39Speaker 1: in the standings as well, so I don't think they're
- 24:41Speaker 1: gonna overlook Clemson here. Although Clemson's on a four game slide,
- 24:45Speaker 1: they just had a bad loss at home as a
- 24:47Speaker 1: favorite to Florida State, I think they're gonna show up
- 24:50Speaker 1: for this one. Man. This is also gonna be a
- 24:53Speaker 1: contrast of styles here with Louisville. We know what they do, man.
- 24:57Speaker 1: Even though they play decent deep bets, they score a ton,
- 25:00Speaker 1: they play fast. Clemson is really much more defensive than offensive,
- 25:04Speaker 1: and that's kind of their problem that their offense just
- 25:07Speaker 1: isn't really as good. But they're gonna try to ugly
- 25:10Speaker 1: it up, play slow, and play defense, and sometimes that
- 25:13Speaker 1: is the type of team that I tend to look towards.
- 25:15Speaker 1: And coming up a horrible loss at home to Florida
- 25:18Speaker 1: State is big favorites, whereas Louisville is coming off a
- 25:22Speaker 1: major effort game. At the very least, I think Clemson
- 25:25Speaker 1: is the right side here. Louisville's a two point favorite.
- 25:28Speaker 1: I would take the points of Clemson, though you're getting
- 25:31Speaker 1: points at home with the slow down better defense too.
- 25:34Speaker 1: With Clemson, so eighty percent of tickets eighty seven percent
- 25:37Speaker 1: of the cash on Clemson, I would lean that way.
- 25:40Speaker 1: Louisville is not really that bad defensively though, though Clemson
- 25:43Speaker 1: is according to Ken Bomb several ranking spots better on
- 25:47Speaker 1: the defensive end. But yes, in that spot, Clemson would
- 25:51Speaker 1: be my leen there. Clemson's also sliding, man, So they're
- 25:56Speaker 1: at home as an underdog and they kind of need
- 25:58Speaker 1: the game a little bit more. And I know, again
- 26:00Speaker 1: need isn't exactly what you want to look at, but
- 26:03Speaker 1: when it's a team that is gonna be motivated like
- 26:06Speaker 1: that and they're getting points, that is something that you
- 26:08Speaker 1: do want to look towards. ESPN at two PM, number
- 26:12Speaker 1: twenty five, Vanderbilts at Kentucky. This is a pretty interesting one.
- 26:17Speaker 1: There's a pretty big revenge angle here, I would say,
- 26:19Speaker 1: because Vandy beat Kentucky in embarrassing fashion at Vandy earlier
- 26:24Speaker 1: this year eighty to fifty five. You're gonna remember if
- 26:28Speaker 1: a team beat you in an embarrassing way like that,
- 26:30Speaker 1: you're gonna remember that the next time, man. So I
- 26:33Speaker 1: do think that Kentucky is gonna be up for this
- 26:35Speaker 1: one man. Vandy, we know they're gonna be in the
- 26:38Speaker 1: tournament somewhere. Kentucky is a little bit more in questionablthough.
- 26:41Speaker 1: I think both teams are pretty safe. But again, I
- 26:45Speaker 1: think it does come down to the revenge angle motivation here.
- 26:47Speaker 1: I think that game is probably a bit of an outlier.
- 26:50Speaker 1: Highly doubt we're gonna see something like that this time.
- 26:52Speaker 1: Vandy is coming off a decent win over Georgia, who
- 26:55Speaker 1: looks like they should be a tournament team at this point.
- 26:59Speaker 1: Going on the road to Kentucky here, people also might
- 27:01Speaker 1: look at this and want to play Vandy because it's
- 27:03Speaker 1: a small line. Vandy's actually an underdog here, So technically
- 27:07Speaker 1: Kentucky does fall into that unranked favorite scenario with they're
- 27:12Speaker 1: an unranked favorite against a ranked underdog here, But it's
- 27:16Speaker 1: only Vandy being ranked twenty fifth. The oddsbreggers are still
- 27:19Speaker 1: telling you Vandy is a slightly better team here. But
- 27:22Speaker 1: the public's gonna look at it and think, oh, I'm
- 27:24Speaker 1: getting a point and a half with the team with
- 27:25Speaker 1: the better record, the team it's ranked, the team that
- 27:28Speaker 1: won the first matchup by almost thirty points, it looks
- 27:31Speaker 1: really really easy to play Vandy. Here man. So that's
- 27:33Speaker 1: another reason why I would not want to do that.
- 27:36Speaker 1: Kentucky just ended a three game losing streak. The majority
- 27:39Speaker 1: of those games were on the road. All but one
- 27:41Speaker 1: of those games are on the road, or two out
- 27:43Speaker 1: of the three. I should say. They just won on
- 27:45Speaker 1: the road at South Carolina. Not a win that's gonna
- 27:48Speaker 1: make them over confident, but it will be a game
- 27:52Speaker 1: that should give them some positive momentum and just the
- 27:55Speaker 1: right amount of confidence coming back into this one. I
- 27:57Speaker 1: like Kentucky here. I would mun lineup on Kentucky. Probably
- 28:01Speaker 1: they're one point favorite here now, sixty four percent of
- 28:04Speaker 1: the cash on them, fifty to fifty on the tickets,
- 28:06Speaker 1: So it looks like we are gonna have the money
- 28:08Speaker 1: indicating on Kentucky in that one. I agree with that one.
- 28:13Speaker 1: All right, CBS Sports at two pm again. I mean,
- 28:17Speaker 1: if people want me to talk about some of these
- 28:19Speaker 1: other games, I can Oklahoma State at Cincinnati. But you know,
- 28:22Speaker 1: I'm trying to get this done because they do have
- 28:24Speaker 1: to do the other sports here today too. I haven't
- 28:26Speaker 1: talked about any of my plays yet either. Let me
- 28:30Speaker 1: make sure I'm not missing any here. I don't believe,
- 28:34Speaker 1: so all right, Oklahoma State at Cincy, Yeah, on CBS
- 28:39Speaker 1: Sports at two pm. Oklahoma State just broke a five
- 28:43Speaker 1: game losing streak with a home win over West Virginia.
- 28:46Speaker 1: I like when teams end losing streaks because I think
- 28:48Speaker 1: it will give them a little a little bit of
- 28:49Speaker 1: momentum coming into the next game. Cincinnati is now kind
- 28:53Speaker 1: of a bubble team here, men, and they're laying points,
- 28:56Speaker 1: which I don't love Cincinnati laying points. Even though they
- 28:59Speaker 1: do go up tempo, they can't score like they played
- 29:02Speaker 1: good depfense, and it would be interesting to see them
- 29:05Speaker 1: get into the tournament. But Cincinnati, on the opposite side
- 29:09Speaker 1: of Oklahoma State here, they just lost a win streak,
- 29:13Speaker 1: so they had a four game win streak, but they'd
- 29:16Speaker 1: beaten Kansas in a massive upset and then they I
- 29:20Speaker 1: think we're gonna letdown spot after that, and just didn't
- 29:22Speaker 1: have anything left against Texas Tech. And Texas Tech beat
- 29:26Speaker 1: them by margin, so it wasn't a close game, but
- 29:29Speaker 1: Cincinnati kind of ran out of steam. And now Cincinnati
- 29:32Speaker 1: does have their home finale next against BYU, which will
- 29:35Speaker 1: be a big game on deck, So you know, you
- 29:39Speaker 1: could kind of make the argument this is a Sandwich
- 29:41Speaker 1: spottle though I prefer it when that game they just
- 29:44Speaker 1: played was a much much closer game and a huge effort,
- 29:49Speaker 1: which this one wasn't. But I would still lean towards
- 29:51Speaker 1: Oklahoma State and this one for all the reasons I
- 29:53Speaker 1: said Cincinnati down from ten to nine and a half
- 29:56Speaker 1: in that one, Oklahoma State would be my lean there alright,
- 30:02Speaker 1: Big ten Network, two PM, Oregon at Northwestern. Oregon's coming
- 30:07Speaker 1: on a huge win over Wisconsin, nice home upset. Now
- 30:11Speaker 1: they're going out on the road. They do have a
- 30:12Speaker 1: big game. It'st Illinois up next, so there's a potential
- 30:16Speaker 1: they overlook this Northwestern team, who I do still think
- 30:18Speaker 1: is underrated here. Problem is Northwestern's also in a letdown
- 30:23Speaker 1: spot because they just had a huge road win at
- 30:26Speaker 1: Indiana as a huge underdog, and they are also in
- 30:29Speaker 1: a sandwich spot because they have Purdue on decks. So
- 30:32Speaker 1: both teams are in sandwich spots here and coming off upsets,
- 30:35Speaker 1: and Oregon is having to travel to an unfamiliar environment
- 30:38Speaker 1: here and having a cross time zone, so that makes
- 30:41Speaker 1: it a little bit worse for Oregon. I think for Northwestern,
- 30:46Speaker 1: you know, it's not a good spot. I wouldn't be
- 30:48Speaker 1: able to lay it with Northwestern here, but I think
- 30:50Speaker 1: I would probably lean that way Northwestern minus four here,
- 30:55Speaker 1: I think an over maybe it's worth a look here
- 30:57Speaker 1: because both teams are in such bad spots. A lot
- 30:59Speaker 1: of that can come that could show itself on the
- 31:03Speaker 1: defensive end of things. Total is one forty three right now.
- 31:06Speaker 1: It's gone up a little bit, but it's a really
- 31:09Speaker 1: bad spot for both teams, so I can't do it.
- 31:12Speaker 1: But again, I think the home team does have a
- 31:14Speaker 1: little bit of an extra advantage in a game like
- 31:15Speaker 1: that where they're where the road team is very unfamiliar
- 31:19Speaker 1: with that type of travel spot, so or you know,
- 31:22Speaker 1: going to that venue, I should say, you know, Oregon
- 31:26Speaker 1: just hasn't been in the conference that long. I don't
- 31:28Speaker 1: even know if they've ever played at Northwestern since they
- 31:30Speaker 1: moved into this conference, so into the Big Ten. So yeah,
- 31:36Speaker 1: slightly in the Northwestern, but I don't love it at all.
- 31:40Speaker 1: Over it would be probably my preference in that game.
- 31:43Speaker 1: Fox Sports won at two pm Ucla at Minnesota. Ucla
- 31:47Speaker 1: is coming of another nice win against their rival USC
- 31:50Speaker 1: after a huge win against Illinois in overtime. They did
- 31:54Speaker 1: not suffer the letdown. Maybe the letdown comes here because
- 31:57Speaker 1: they're going on the road to face this ugly Minnesota team,
- 32:01Speaker 1: and they have their final home game after this, so
- 32:04Speaker 1: UCLA has to travel to Minnesota just for this. They
- 32:07Speaker 1: have to travel just for this one game. Then they're
- 32:10Speaker 1: back home. They're probably in the tournament at this point,
- 32:12Speaker 1: and they're back home against Nebraska for the next game,
- 32:14Speaker 1: which is a huge game, and then USC again to
- 32:17Speaker 1: finish the season. So this does look like a flat
- 32:19Speaker 1: spot in their schedule. Minnesota is coming off a loss
- 32:23Speaker 1: to Michigan. They covered. That was a win. Finally, I'll
- 32:26Speaker 1: mention another win for me on the show here in
- 32:29Speaker 1: Minnesota with an easy cover against Michigan there. Michigan was
- 32:34Speaker 1: at a bad spot off the Duke game and had
- 32:36Speaker 1: that Illinois game last night on deck where they looked
- 32:38Speaker 1: a good last night. Yeah, Minnesota, I mean, I think
- 32:43Speaker 1: they will probably show up at home here. Man, It's
- 32:46Speaker 1: gonna be an ugly game, and I think both teams
- 32:48Speaker 1: like to play slow. UCLA's down from two to one
- 32:53Speaker 1: and a half here, I would agree with that move.
- 32:55Speaker 1: I lean towards Minnesota and this one as a small
- 32:58Speaker 1: home dog. Eighty three percent of Ticke, it's one hundred
- 33:00Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Minnesota. I agree with Minnesota
- 33:04Speaker 1: on that one. Okay, what else did I want to
- 33:10Speaker 1: talk about here? Gardner Webb and South Carolina Upstate is
- 33:13Speaker 1: only interesting because Gardner Webb has one conference win on
- 33:16Speaker 1: the season and guess who that came against? Yeah, it
- 33:19Speaker 1: was South Carolina Upstate. They have the bad distinction of
- 33:24Speaker 1: being the only conference seam that lost to Gardner web
- 33:27Speaker 1: this year. They lost my two on the road, and
- 33:30Speaker 1: now this being their final home game, I think USC
- 33:32Speaker 1: Upstate probably remembers that and they probably get up for
- 33:35Speaker 1: that game, so I would lean towards USC Upstate there.
- 33:38Speaker 1: But they're having a Lake twelve and a half, so
- 33:41Speaker 1: they can get their revenge without covering. But Gardner Webb
- 33:44Speaker 1: really is that bad though, so I think USC Upstate
- 33:49Speaker 1: might want to come in and make a statement in
- 33:50Speaker 1: that one. Okay, I haven't hit any of my plays yet?
- 33:57Speaker 1: Is that really true? Where's my first play? I don't
- 34:01Speaker 1: even see it here? This is getting crazy, man, It's
- 34:04Speaker 1: like I'm losing my mind. Did I just not get
- 34:10Speaker 1: enough sleep? Like? Where's my first play? All right? It's
- 34:13Speaker 1: coming up soon, all right? CBS at two PM. I
- 34:16Speaker 1: do like this game. This game. I consider this game
- 34:19Speaker 1: for my card, San Diego State at New Mexico. San
- 34:23Speaker 1: Diego State's coming off a monster win over Utah State.
- 34:26Speaker 1: It was a revenge win Utah State's first place in
- 34:30Speaker 1: the Mountain West. San Diego State pulled into a tie
- 34:32Speaker 1: with them. Now they're going on the road to New
- 34:34Speaker 1: Mexico or not an easy place to play at the
- 34:37Speaker 1: pit and they already beat New Mexico at home, so
- 34:40Speaker 1: it is a little bit of a revenge angle here
- 34:42Speaker 1: for New Mexico here and New Mexico might have been
- 34:45Speaker 1: looking ahead in their last game because they're coming off
- 34:46Speaker 1: a pretty bad loss at Nevada. Although Nevada is a
- 34:51Speaker 1: competitive team though they're decent teams, so it's not a
- 34:53Speaker 1: terrible loss, which is kind of my one hesitation with it.
- 34:57Speaker 1: As New Mexico did lose a win streak there that
- 35:01Speaker 1: was still kind of a big game against Nevada, and
- 35:04Speaker 1: San Diego State still might get up for a team
- 35:06Speaker 1: that's one game behind them, you know what I mean.
- 35:09Speaker 1: But I do like New Mexico in this game, still
- 35:12Speaker 1: coming off a loss, or San Diego State's coming off
- 35:16Speaker 1: a huge win. I would lean New Mexico in this one,
- 35:21Speaker 1: and they might go into their old New Mexico ways
- 35:24Speaker 1: and try to speed this game, or well they're current
- 35:26Speaker 1: ways too, but San Diego State actually is faster this
- 35:30Speaker 1: year than what we're used to tempo wise, but they're
- 35:34Speaker 1: still slower than New Mexico and I still considered them
- 35:36Speaker 1: to be a slow down team. I think if New
- 35:38Speaker 1: Mexico is gonna be able to speed them up, that
- 35:40Speaker 1: would be beneficial to New Mexico. And this one of
- 35:43Speaker 1: the totals fairly low in the one forties, but I
- 35:46Speaker 1: would lean to New Mexico here either at two and
- 35:49Speaker 1: a half or two. We have seventy five percent of
- 35:51Speaker 1: tickets ninety three percent of the cash on San Diego State,
- 35:54Speaker 1: but I disagree with that market percentage there. New Mexico
- 35:58Speaker 1: is my opinion in that one. And yeah, I don't
- 36:02Speaker 1: think I have anything else to say about that game,
- 36:03Speaker 1: but yeah, you might be able to moneyline New Mexico
- 36:08Speaker 1: in that game too. I guess this is the other
- 36:09Speaker 1: thing I was gonna say, all right, acc Network at
- 36:12Speaker 1: two pm, Boston College at Miami, this is a road,
- 36:16Speaker 1: a road revenge angle because Miami already won at Boston College.
- 36:19Speaker 1: Although BC played pretty competitively though, so I think Miami
- 36:23Speaker 1: didn't cover in that one. But BC finally just ended
- 36:26Speaker 1: a huge losing streak. They lost I think eight games
- 36:30Speaker 1: in a row or something, and they won in crazy
- 36:32Speaker 1: fashion against Wake Forest. If you saw the end of
- 36:35Speaker 1: that game was absolutely ridiculous, where BC was winning the
- 36:39Speaker 1: game by five with twenty seconds left and then they
- 36:43Speaker 1: lost the lead. Wake went on a six to zero
- 36:46Speaker 1: run because I think they hit a three. BC threw
- 36:50Speaker 1: away the inbound pass and Wake hit another three, and
- 36:53Speaker 1: then BC had to pretty much win with basically a
- 36:56Speaker 1: buzzer beater. It was an insane ending to that game.
- 37:00Speaker 1: But BC they're shown with some effort, man, because they're
- 37:03Speaker 1: trying to avoid missing the ACC tournament. I don't know
- 37:07Speaker 1: when the last time they missed, it would have been
- 37:09Speaker 1: because they're usually even though they're not good, they're usually
- 37:11Speaker 1: in the tournament somewhere. They usually make a little bit
- 37:14Speaker 1: of noise in the tournament. So I think you will
- 37:17Speaker 1: get an effort out of BC here for those reasons.
- 37:19Speaker 1: It's a third road game in four games, though, which
- 37:21Speaker 1: is not that easy. Miami is coming off winning a
- 37:24Speaker 1: rivalry game. They're coming off a couple of big games
- 37:27Speaker 1: in a row man. They played Virginia really close, then
- 37:30Speaker 1: they beat Florida State in a rivalry game, although Florida
- 37:33Speaker 1: State did almost upset them well somewhat like late in
- 37:36Speaker 1: the game was fairly close still, but Miami does have
- 37:39Speaker 1: smun Louisvalle up next to finish the season, so and
- 37:43Speaker 1: this is not their final home game, so this does
- 37:45Speaker 1: look like the spot that means the least to Miami
- 37:48Speaker 1: in their remaining schedule. So I will lean to Boston
- 37:50Speaker 1: College here plus the points in this one. Miami's down
- 37:54Speaker 1: from sixteen to fifteen and a half. Yere don't think
- 37:57Speaker 1: BC is gonna win the game, but it's a low total.
- 38:00Speaker 1: Lean towards taking the points with them in that one.
- 38:03Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, I mean I'm trying to skip some
- 38:07Speaker 1: of the games that are, you know, less interesting here first, uh,
- 38:12Speaker 1: first of my plays, let's go this is gonna be
- 38:14Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. We're going to the MAC for this one,
- 38:20Speaker 1: and we were gonna lay points with Buffalo minus five
- 38:23Speaker 1: and a half against Central Michigan. Even though the money
- 38:26Speaker 1: looks like it's not agreeing with me. At least, the
- 38:28Speaker 1: initial move went from six and a half to five
- 38:30Speaker 1: and a half here. But Central Michigan, first of all,
- 38:33Speaker 1: they're a bad team. And I know earlier in the
- 38:35Speaker 1: season I was saying Buffalo is not as good as
- 38:37Speaker 1: their record looks, but Ken bomb at this point as
- 38:39Speaker 1: Buffalo is actually a pretty unlucky team now, so I
- 38:43Speaker 1: think that'll help us here. But look at Central Michigan's
- 38:45Speaker 1: scheduling spot, dude. They just went to Kent State as
- 38:48Speaker 1: double digit underdogs and they almost pulled off the outright
- 38:51Speaker 1: upset and fell just short. And you know that I
- 38:54Speaker 1: talked about when the tea puts in an effort like
- 38:55Speaker 1: that and they fall just short. And that was against
- 38:58Speaker 1: the third place team in the mat, Kent State, and
- 39:02Speaker 1: actually Central Michigan beat Kent State earlier this year. But
- 39:05Speaker 1: that was a huge game, dude. When a team falls
- 39:08Speaker 1: just short like that is a huge underdog. I think
- 39:10Speaker 1: they might have been a flat spot after that. But
- 39:12Speaker 1: it gets worse because well they got to go to Buffalo,
- 39:15Speaker 1: which is kind of a weird travel spot. I mean,
- 39:17Speaker 1: nobody really wants to go to Buffalo. At this point,
- 39:21Speaker 1: Central Michigan is playing a third road game of four
- 39:23Speaker 1: games here and they have a huge game on deck,
- 39:26Speaker 1: which is their Senior Day, Senior Night, their final home game,
- 39:31Speaker 1: and it'll be against Akron, who is the best team
- 39:34Speaker 1: in the MAC. Although they're in second place because of
- 39:36Speaker 1: Miami Ohio getting an absolute scare last night, it's still winning, dude.
- 39:42Speaker 1: Just come on, man, dude. Western Michigan had that game
- 39:47Speaker 1: last night against Miami Ohio and they fouled on a
- 39:50Speaker 1: three handed Miami Ohio three free throws and then for
- 39:55Speaker 1: some reason, down one, Western Michigan intentionally fouled with thirty
- 39:59Speaker 1: seven second though they were guaranteed to get the ball back.
- 40:02Speaker 1: I don't get it, man, Although they got lucky in
- 40:04Speaker 1: Miami only hit one of the two free throws and
- 40:06Speaker 1: Western Michigan tied the game again and then Miami had
- 40:09Speaker 1: to win on a buzzer eader. But whatever that was
- 40:14Speaker 1: last night. Central Michigan is in a sandwich spot here, man,
- 40:18Speaker 1: huge game on deck for them against Akron. Yeah. I
- 40:22Speaker 1: don't like the spot at all for them here. I
- 40:24Speaker 1: like it because we get to play Buffalo Buffalo. I
- 40:29Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for this one. This is
- 40:32Speaker 1: not their final home game, but they're coming to have
- 40:34Speaker 1: a loss to Akron. They've lost a decent amount of
- 40:37Speaker 1: games recently. You can't blame them for losing on the
- 40:39Speaker 1: road to Akron. It wasn't a close game. They lost
- 40:41Speaker 1: by double digits, so I think they bounced back here
- 40:44Speaker 1: at home and they might not take Central Michigan lightly
- 40:47Speaker 1: in a spot like this, So yeah, we're gonna lay
- 40:50Speaker 1: it with Buffalo here. I think ken Bum kind of
- 40:52Speaker 1: bears this out, Dude, Buffalo, they're not a good defensive team,
- 40:55Speaker 1: but they are close to the top one hundred on offense.
- 40:58Speaker 1: Ken Bum does have them in the bottom third in
- 41:01Speaker 1: lock so they are pretty unlucky. Central Michigan is even
- 41:05Speaker 1: unluckier though, so both teams are unlucky. But Central Michigan
- 41:08Speaker 1: is just bad on both sides of the ball. Even
- 41:10Speaker 1: though Buffalo is really bad defensively, they're the only one
- 41:13Speaker 1: of these teams that actually has a reasonable offense. Uh
- 41:17Speaker 1: So that's the other thing to be keeping in mind
- 41:20Speaker 1: in this one. And tempo wise, Buffalo does play a
- 41:24Speaker 1: bit slower, which I don't love with laying points, but
- 41:28Speaker 1: I think if they could frustrate Central Michigan, they might
- 41:30Speaker 1: be able to still cover that number there. So I
- 41:32Speaker 1: like Buffalo in that one. All right, I was gonna
- 41:38Speaker 1: talk about the North East Conference because there's a lot
- 41:40Speaker 1: of weird stuff going on, but I'll talk about it
- 41:42Speaker 1: when I talk about the New Haven game, I'll talk
- 41:46Speaker 1: about some weird stuff going on with how the Northeast
- 41:49Speaker 1: Conference sets up or Northeastern Conference. Northeast Conference. I guess
- 41:53Speaker 1: the Northeastern Conference is the Colonial all right, And I'm
- 42:00Speaker 1: going to talk about the Binghamton scenario and I talk
- 42:02Speaker 1: about another American East game. So you guys cannot wait
- 42:08Speaker 1: for that. I guess again, you could shout out another
- 42:11Speaker 1: game if you want me to talk about another game.
- 42:13Speaker 1: Queens and Central Arkansas is an indressing game. This is
- 42:18Speaker 1: a big game for both teams. Man, I mean this
- 42:20Speaker 1: is somewhat for second place in the Atlantic Sun. Central
- 42:24Speaker 1: Arkansas still has a chance to overtake Austin P by
- 42:27Speaker 1: the way, because Central Arkansas beat Austin P in their
- 42:31Speaker 1: last game. But that does mean Central Arkansas could be
- 42:33Speaker 1: in a letdown spot here, which I'll talk about in
- 42:35Speaker 1: a second. Queens, they're on a nice little win streak here,
- 42:39Speaker 1: four games in a row that they've won. They are
- 42:41Speaker 1: on the road here for the third time in four games, though,
- 42:44Speaker 1: so that's not that easy to do. They did lose
- 42:47Speaker 1: at home by ten to Central Arkansas already though, so
- 42:49Speaker 1: they are in a road revenge angle here, and Central
- 42:52Speaker 1: Arkansas is in a difficult spot even though this is
- 42:56Speaker 1: their final home game, So that would be one concern
- 42:58Speaker 1: about leaning towards Queen's Hero. So I do lean towards
- 43:01Speaker 1: Queens here, but in the road revenge angle, and I
- 43:04Speaker 1: think Central Arkansas is in a much more difficult spot.
- 43:06Speaker 1: But it is still their final home games, so some
- 43:08Speaker 1: of these teams do get that boost when they're in
- 43:11Speaker 1: their final home game, but Central Arkansas. I just beat
- 43:13Speaker 1: Austin P on the road, Dude. That was a monster
- 43:16Speaker 1: win for Central Arkansas because it kept them in the
- 43:20Speaker 1: running for the one seed and the regular season title
- 43:23Speaker 1: in the Atlantic Sun. But they would need to win
- 43:25Speaker 1: this game, and Austin P would need to lose to
- 43:27Speaker 1: Bellerman today and I'm gonna talk about why I think
- 43:30Speaker 1: that might actually happen today. So it's not all over
- 43:35Speaker 1: for Central Arkansas. But I do think Central Arkansas will
- 43:38Speaker 1: be a little bit overvalued here. They are gonna have
- 43:40Speaker 1: to play two huge games in a row here, so
- 43:43Speaker 1: I do think the spot is better for Queens. Central
- 43:46Speaker 1: Arkansas is only laying two with juice, so the objects
- 43:48Speaker 1: are actually telling you Queens might actually be the better
- 43:51Speaker 1: team here. I'm gonna lean towards Queens plus the points
- 43:54Speaker 1: there as well. Like I said, not on my card,
- 43:57Speaker 1: but it's an interesting game. Next up, we will put
- 44:01Speaker 1: this one on the card and that is going to
- 44:03Speaker 1: be the next best bet, and that is going to
- 44:11Speaker 1: be Bellerman at plus five and a half against Austin P.
- 44:15Speaker 1: I think it's mostly four and a half's out there,
- 44:16Speaker 1: but I'm probably okay with that number. Two. Austin P
- 44:19Speaker 1: just lost a huge win streak. Dude. I think they
- 44:22Speaker 1: won like twelve games in a row. They only lost
- 44:26Speaker 1: one conference game way or earlier in conference play when
- 44:28Speaker 1: Lipscomb was better, when we thought that they were better
- 44:33Speaker 1: than they actually are. Let's say, but you know what
- 44:35Speaker 1: I talk about this, When a team loses a long
- 44:37Speaker 1: win streak, it's like they're not used to losing anymore.
- 44:40Speaker 1: So a lot of times they could be hung over
- 44:42Speaker 1: after that. And that was Austin P's final home game.
- 44:45Speaker 1: It was a huge game against Central Arkansas, huge effort there,
- 44:49Speaker 1: and they lost that game. So the team was closest
- 44:51Speaker 1: to them in the standings. That's gonna be difficult for
- 44:54Speaker 1: them to bounce back from that. Man, and they're playing
- 44:56Speaker 1: a Bellermint team they already beat by twenty points. So
- 45:00Speaker 1: I like Bellerman in this one obviously. But if we
- 45:02Speaker 1: look at what happened in this first game, Austin p
- 45:06Speaker 1: shot out of their minds in this game, dude, fifty
- 45:08Speaker 1: eight percent from the field and fifty three percent from
- 45:11Speaker 1: three point range, and they had twenty eight free throw
- 45:14Speaker 1: attempts to twelve for Bellerman. So this game was kind
- 45:18Speaker 1: of a huge outlier. Though. Yes, Austin P did out
- 45:21Speaker 1: rebound them as well, and they had the lead for
- 45:23Speaker 1: the whole game, but even so, uh, they shot a
- 45:27Speaker 1: ridiculous percentage in the game, dude. I think there could
- 45:29Speaker 1: be some form of regression here Bellerman. Again, they actually
- 45:34Speaker 1: had more field goal attempts, although that was because they
- 45:36Speaker 1: didn't get to the free throw live very much. But
- 45:38Speaker 1: I think maybe the free throw disverity will even out here.
- 45:42Speaker 1: I know that didn't happen with George Washington last night,
- 45:45Speaker 1: and I'm pissed about that, but I like Bellerman here
- 45:49Speaker 1: man to get this thing done. It's it is their
- 45:51Speaker 1: final home game. They're they're just playing for seeding, but
- 45:55Speaker 1: they get to play the top team in the in
- 45:57Speaker 1: the conference Man in their final home game like this,
- 45:59Speaker 1: My I like their super Bowl, which I should have
- 46:02Speaker 1: mentioned that with Canesius Man. I should have given you
- 46:04Speaker 1: guys a play on Canesius against Merrin mac last. I
- 46:07Speaker 1: think they won the game outright. That was one of
- 46:09Speaker 1: my stronger leans on the show yesterday. I'm pissed I
- 46:12Speaker 1: didn't add it. But Bellerman might sort of be in
- 46:15Speaker 1: a similar mindset here, even though of course Austin P
- 46:20Speaker 1: is not wrapped up the conference or anything, but Bellerman
- 46:23Speaker 1: final home game here, they've lost five straight games, so
- 46:25Speaker 1: I think you know you're gonna get an effort out
- 46:27Speaker 1: of them here, even though where they fall in the
- 46:30Speaker 1: seeding doesn't really matter that much, I don't think at
- 46:32Speaker 1: this point. But I think the fact that their home
- 46:35Speaker 1: finale Senior Day, gets to be against Austin P in
- 46:39Speaker 1: quick revenge and they catch them in a bad spot. Yeah,
- 46:42Speaker 1: I like Bellerman here. Man. Austin P, by the way,
- 46:48Speaker 1: is quite lucky. According to Kem Palm, they're sixty six
- 46:51Speaker 1: then lucks. They're a very lucky team. Even though they
- 46:54Speaker 1: are the better team, Bellerman is much more more of
- 46:56Speaker 1: a slowdown team. Bellerman is a really lopside a team.
- 47:00Speaker 1: In fact, they're the worst defense in the country according
- 47:03Speaker 1: to kem Bum, which I don't like at all, and
- 47:05Speaker 1: it's very strange to see that with a slow team.
- 47:08Speaker 1: But the fact that they're a slow based team I
- 47:10Speaker 1: think should help keep them in this game when they're
- 47:12Speaker 1: getting a bunch of points and their offense is actually good.
- 47:17Speaker 1: So Bellerman is a very strange team, dude. But they're unlucky.
- 47:21Speaker 1: According to kem Bum. They're in the bottom third in locks.
- 47:23Speaker 1: So if they get slow down a p who doesn't
- 47:26Speaker 1: want to go as slow, that might help them. So
- 47:30Speaker 1: you know, those are my thoughts on that game. Don't
- 47:34Speaker 1: have a whole lot else to say about that, but yeah,
- 47:37Speaker 1: oh the luck dispity is still in our favor in
- 47:39Speaker 1: that one with Ken Pum. There espn U at two pm.
- 47:42Speaker 1: Tennessee State at Tennessee Martin here, so we have a
- 47:46Speaker 1: Tennessee battle and it's a big game because these teams
- 47:48Speaker 1: are separated by one one game in the Ohio Valley standings.
- 47:53Speaker 1: I'm still not buying more Head State at all. And
- 47:55Speaker 1: it would be ridiculous if they're the one seed, because
- 47:58Speaker 1: they're not that good. And I forget if the one
- 48:01Speaker 1: seed gets a home advantage of this tournament or not,
- 48:04Speaker 1: that would be pretty ridiculous. I would be pissed. I
- 48:07Speaker 1: think the tournament is in a neutral site, but I'm
- 48:10Speaker 1: not sure. Anyway, this is a big game though. Tennessee
- 48:14Speaker 1: State did already beat U T. Martin earlier this year
- 48:17Speaker 1: by seven at home, so maybe there'll be some revenge
- 48:21Speaker 1: mode of here for Tennessee Martin. I think Tennessee Martin
- 48:24Speaker 1: is probably the slightly better team. Tennessee State just pulled
- 48:28Speaker 1: off a road up set against Semo. They've actually won three.
- 48:32Speaker 1: They've had four pretty big games in a row. Man,
- 48:34Speaker 1: I lost some more ahead and then they beat Lyndenwood, SIU,
- 48:37Speaker 1: Edwardsville and Semo. So they played three of the better
- 48:40Speaker 1: teams in the conference all in a row. Now, playing
- 48:43Speaker 1: another game and a second straight road game after pulling
- 48:47Speaker 1: off an upset looks a little a little difficult to do.
- 48:50Speaker 1: Man in UT Martin, this is their final home game.
- 48:53Speaker 1: They just ended a losing streak with a win over
- 48:55Speaker 1: a not very good Tennessee Tech team. By the way,
- 48:59Speaker 1: I'll just mention it in this conference. Well, maybe i'll
- 49:01Speaker 1: mention it. I'll talk about Little Rock and then I'll
- 49:02Speaker 1: mention it. Because this conference has kind of a weird
- 49:05Speaker 1: conference tournament set up as well. This game will be
- 49:09Speaker 1: on TV, so I think U T. Martin will get
- 49:11Speaker 1: up for it for that reason too, because they don't
- 49:13Speaker 1: host TV games terribly often. They're down from four to
- 49:16Speaker 1: three here though, which I think the line is actually
- 49:19Speaker 1: maybe offering a little bit of value here because I
- 49:21Speaker 1: actually do think Tennessee Martin is the better the better
- 49:24Speaker 1: team here as I close the ken Pom window. He's
- 49:30Speaker 1: got Tennessee Martin at one ninety seventh and Tennessee State
- 49:34Speaker 1: two twenty six, so he does have them as the
- 49:36Speaker 1: better team. I don't know if there's an injury or what,
- 49:38Speaker 1: but my lean w BTU team Martin in that one.
- 49:42Speaker 1: Let's keep it going, man keeping it going. Let me see,
- 49:49Speaker 1: I'm looking at what else I have left on my
- 49:51Speaker 1: slate here to talk about. I don't have too many
- 49:54Speaker 1: other games that I really have circled this week. So
- 49:58Speaker 1: three thirty PMTNG at Drew t Utah at Arizona State
- 50:02Speaker 1: not a very addressing one Utah on a two game
- 50:07Speaker 1: losing streak. I mean, what else is new. They're not
- 50:09Speaker 1: that good, but maybe they'll get up for this game
- 50:12Speaker 1: because they did lose at home to Arizona State earlier
- 50:16Speaker 1: in the season, so they have a road revenge angle here.
- 50:18Speaker 1: They're coming up a pretty big game against Iowa State,
- 50:20Speaker 1: but they did not play very close against them, so
- 50:24Speaker 1: they might get up for this game. Arizona State might
- 50:26Speaker 1: not take them seriously. Arizona State does have their final
- 50:29Speaker 1: home game next against Kansas, so there's the potential they're
- 50:32Speaker 1: looking ahead to that. I don't know how many teams
- 50:36Speaker 1: miss the Big Twelve tournament though, so I guess that's
- 50:39Speaker 1: another thing that we should probably be aware of. I
- 50:41Speaker 1: don't know if Arizona State is in danger of missing
- 50:45Speaker 1: the tournament or not. Actually, let me look real quick.
- 50:48Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna take a look. You can look
- 50:52Speaker 1: at Wikipedia for this, That's what I do because Wikipedia
- 50:57Speaker 1: like shows the whole thing pretty much. Let me see,
- 51:03Speaker 1: it looks like sixteen teams get in. We have Arizona State, Colorado.
- 51:11Speaker 1: Let me see, does that mean two teams get left out? Yeah?
- 51:17Speaker 1: I think it does. Yeah, so I think two teams
- 51:22Speaker 1: get left out. I think that means Arizona State is
- 51:25Speaker 1: pretty much safe, even though I guess this is an
- 51:27Speaker 1: outside chance they missed the Big twelve tournament if that's
- 51:30Speaker 1: the case. But I kind of lean towards Utah in
- 51:34Speaker 1: the road revenge angle there. We don't want to overrate
- 51:36Speaker 1: road revenge. It shouldn't be the only thing that you
- 51:38Speaker 1: look at, but I'll consider it. In this case. The
- 51:41Speaker 1: money looks like it agrees with Utah. Arizona State down
- 51:44Speaker 1: from seven and a half to six or seven to
- 51:46Speaker 1: six and a half, excuse me, fifty percent of tickets,
- 51:48Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on Utah. I don't
- 51:51Speaker 1: disagree with it in that one, all right. Bethune Cookman
- 51:56Speaker 1: at Southern, Bethune Cookman has already wrapped up the ones
- 52:00Speaker 1: seed in the swack, so they don't have anything to
- 52:01Speaker 1: play for at this point. Southern is still trying to
- 52:05Speaker 1: get the two seed here and they're in a three
- 52:07Speaker 1: way tie right now. So Bethune Cookman, Yeah, they're coming
- 52:13Speaker 1: off of a win over Grambling, but I think they
- 52:15Speaker 1: might pack it in at this point. Man, they've already
- 52:16Speaker 1: played their final home game as well. They're already the
- 52:19Speaker 1: one seed. They don't need to beat Southern here. They
- 52:22Speaker 1: did lose to Southern at home, though, so that's one
- 52:24Speaker 1: thing that maybe we'll still motivate them in this game that, oh,
- 52:28Speaker 1: you know, we lost to Southern at home, so we're
- 52:30Speaker 1: still gonna get up for this game. Maybe they still
- 52:32Speaker 1: might have a road revenge angle here. But I would
- 52:34Speaker 1: not be jumping in and trying to play Bethune Cookman
- 52:37Speaker 1: here in a game where the motivation is definitely in question,
- 52:41Speaker 1: because they might already start looking ahead to the conference tournament.
- 52:44Speaker 1: This is Southern's final home game, and they're coming off
- 52:47Speaker 1: kind of a bad loss at home to Florida A
- 52:49Speaker 1: and M where they were pretty big favorites. So I
- 52:52Speaker 1: like Southern in that game. Man. They should get up
- 52:54Speaker 1: for a final home game, especially after a bad home loss,
- 52:57Speaker 1: so they might have been looking ahead to this is
- 53:00Speaker 1: up from a pick them to one and a half. Now,
- 53:01Speaker 1: I would money line it probably on Southern. I just
- 53:04Speaker 1: get them win the game there. That's the way I
- 53:07Speaker 1: would lean in that one. South Carolina at Georgia three
- 53:10Speaker 1: point thirty pm Eastern on the SEC Network. South Carolina
- 53:15Speaker 1: did just play fairly competitively against Kentucky Man, so they
- 53:18Speaker 1: had a decent game there. They're coming up of that.
- 53:22Speaker 1: I don't know what their effort is gonna be like here.
- 53:24Speaker 1: But South Carolina I think they're probably looking like they're
- 53:29Speaker 1: not gonna make the SEC Tournament because they think a
- 53:31Speaker 1: few of these teams miss it. I don't know, so
- 53:34Speaker 1: maybe they'll put in an effort for that reason, and
- 53:36Speaker 1: because they're playing a likely tournament team in Georgia, and
- 53:39Speaker 1: they lost at home to Georgia already, so I don't
- 53:42Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook Georgia. You know, there are some
- 53:45Speaker 1: motivating factors here for them. For Georgia, they're likely in
- 53:49Speaker 1: the tournament at this point, although if they lost this
- 53:51Speaker 1: game that would be bad. But they're coming up of
- 53:53Speaker 1: a big game against Vandy where they fell short. They
- 53:56Speaker 1: were fairly close in that game, I think for a
- 53:58Speaker 1: lot of it, and they have a huge game on deck.
- 54:00Speaker 1: Final home game will be against Alabama, So I would
- 54:04Speaker 1: lean towards South Carolina in this one, all of those
- 54:06Speaker 1: things being considered. Georgia's up from eleven to twelve. Here
- 54:12Speaker 1: we know Georgia they score a ton. They played pretty
- 54:14Speaker 1: fast or really fast, I think, But South Carolina might
- 54:17Speaker 1: be able to ugly this thing up. Man, A lot
- 54:19Speaker 1: of times the lesser team is able to slow the
- 54:22Speaker 1: game down, and that is what South Carolina will attempt
- 54:25Speaker 1: to do. I presume to try to stay in this game,
- 54:27Speaker 1: so I would lean towards South Carolina and that one.
- 54:32Speaker 1: How many games we have left to talk about? I
- 54:37Speaker 1: think I'm close to the halfway point here this ESPN game.
- 54:41Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a play on this. This is
- 54:42Speaker 1: one of my favorite plays of the entire thing. Man,
- 54:45Speaker 1: it might be my favorite play. So I'm gonna give
- 54:47Speaker 1: you guys that in a second. I'll take the midway
- 54:52Speaker 1: break here and I'll be right back. You guys can
- 54:54Speaker 1: mul over what you think I think about Kansas and Arizona,
- 54:57Speaker 1: but if you know me, you might be able to
- 54:58Speaker 1: figure it out. Yep. Inside I want to kill myself.
- 55:11Speaker 1: We're on own seven run over the last two days
- 55:14Speaker 1: after tonight it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's
- 55:17Speaker 1: I'm gonna start off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
- 55:21Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
- 55:24Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
- 55:26Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
- 55:30Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
- 55:34Speaker 1: I have not had a good season, man. With wookends
- 55:40Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
- 55:43Speaker 1: reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
- 55:47Speaker 1: browins hat man, I don't know what is going on
- 55:50Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March eight? Is that what it is?
- 55:53Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
- 55:56Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
- 55:59Speaker 1: I'm out and oday as anymore. Man, back with you
- 56:02Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
- 56:06Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
- 56:09Speaker 1: least oh and two yesterday and yesterday did not go
- 56:13Speaker 1: well for me. Oh and five the worst month that
- 56:17Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
- 56:19Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
- 56:21Speaker 1: To the slumps, The slump discontinuous. The slump continues. Somebody
- 56:27Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
- 56:31Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: Oh shit, mister Penzy, fuck sorry man, Oh shit, Now
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: I have to go over those games again. Let me
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: Oh does that mean you missed my Arizona breakdown. Fuck God,
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: damn it, dude, I hate myself for that shit. All right,
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: here's the quick rundown. Kansas is in a huge letdown
- 1:04:54Speaker 1: spot because they just beat Houston, so I think they're
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: gonna be in a massive letdown spot, all right. Arizona
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: is coming off a very bad performance against Baylor where
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: they almost lost. But Arizona had just beat Houston the
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: game before that. So and you remember I gave you
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: guys plays in both those games. I gave you Kansas
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: in the game against Houston. Yeah, against Houston because Houston
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: had a huge lead up of like three huge games
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: in a row. And I gave you guys a Baylor
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: against Arizona because they had it sandwiched in between Houston
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: and Kansas. So Arizona's now coming off a bad performance
- 1:05:31Speaker 1: where they got a scare and almost lost. But it's
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: even better than all that, because that even that should
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: focus Arizona enough. Kansas should be in a potential huge
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: letdown after Houston. But it's even better because remember what
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: happened in the first matchup. Arizona is the team that ended.
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: Excuse me, Kansas is the team that ended Arizona's undefeated season.
- 1:05:53Speaker 1: Arizona was the last remaining undefeated besides Miami, Ohio, and
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: Kansas was the team that ended their undefeated seas and
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: so Arizona absolutely is in a spot where the revenge
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: matters for them. They absolutely have this game circled. And
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: although I talked about they're getting a couple of guys back,
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: Pete and Aristotle are coming back, I still don't really
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: think the reverse injured player spot is gonna, you know,
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: take me away from this game. The money is agreeing
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: with me on Arizona here. It's a great setup. I
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: love Arizona in that game, man, So that's what I'm
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: gonna go with in that game. Yeah, and I think
- 1:06:31Speaker 1: the fact that Arizona is just adding some guys back,
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: the rotation will run deeper, So I think that's good
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: as well. Arizona is also the better team on both
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: sides of the ball. They might be able to speed
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: it up, which is gonna not be what Kansas wants.
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: So Arizona might be able to control the pace, speed
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: it up, and they're the less lucky team according to
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: Ken Bomb, and they're a more legit team. Kansas just
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: doesn't really have that legitim An offense man the Texas
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: Tech Iowa State game Texas Tech, I said this might
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: be the spot where JT. Toppins injury finally comes into
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: play because they've won two games without them, but they've
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: wont to get some bad teams and now they're going
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: to ames, Iowa, which is a very difficult place to play.
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: I think Iowa State will be up for it, and
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: the line is huge for a reason. I think in
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: both these games, the public is going to be looking
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: at it and seeing ranked versus ranked good versus good
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: and thinking that, like a line that's close to ten
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: is too many points. So I think the public isn't
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: really gonna want to lay the points, but I would
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: lay the points in both of those games. And then
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: I just talked about Nebraska USC Nebraska weird spot from
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: them having to go to the Pacific Coast and change
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: time zones. They got Ucla after that, which might be
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: a bigger game which is at UCLA, and then they
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: have Iowa in revenge to finish the season. So I
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: think Nebraska this is like the remaining down spot in
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: their schedule, even though they're only coming off a win
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: over Maryland needs to win desperately, and they're getting points
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: at home. So I don't like playing on desperate teams
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: when they're getting points at home. That is a situation
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: where that changes things because you know you're gonna get
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: an effort out of them, and they're falling out of
- 1:08:13Speaker 1: the tournament picture real quick. It's gonna be a big
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: game for them. And if USC gets that win, their
- 1:08:18Speaker 1: tournament resume is bolstered quite a bit just by that.
- 1:08:22Speaker 1: And the line looks like it's a huge pros versus
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: Joe scenario where it looks way too easy to lay
- 1:08:27Speaker 1: the points with Nebraska. That is not what I would do.
- 1:08:30Speaker 1: I would take the points with USC there. Yes, well,
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: thank you, because I would have been doing the rest
- 1:08:37Speaker 1: of the show that way. So let's try to get
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: this done, man, I'm gonna try to. I don't know
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: if I could speed this up at all. But some
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: of these games I talk about the TV games, Some
- 1:08:46Speaker 1: of these games is just ridiculous. Howard and Morgan State
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: though not a TV game, but actually an interesting game
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: in the MEAC because these teams are tied at the
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: top of the conference. But look at the line in
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: this game and you tell me, are these two teams
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: really even? Howard is an eight and a half point
- 1:09:03Speaker 1: road favorite, and that line has gone down a little bit.
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: But the oddsmakers are telling you who the better team
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: is here, man, I've been telling you Morgan State is
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: a hugely overrated team. I think they are. Howard actually
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: lost at home to Morgan State already as a huge favorite,
- 1:09:18Speaker 1: like a double digit favorite, so there's a pretty significant
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: road revenge angle here for Howard as well. So I
- 1:09:24Speaker 1: do like Howard here, but Howard is coming up putting
- 1:09:26Speaker 1: up one hundred points against NC Central though that was
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: a really nice win for them, So I worry about that.
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: I don't love playing teams and they're off with something
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: like that. Morgan State's off a game er. I thought
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: they were gonna lose against South Carolina State, and they
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: did still get the win. This will not be their
- 1:09:43Speaker 1: final home game or anything. But all those things we
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: considered that still lean towards a Howard there. They're down
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: from nine and a half to nine here. It's not
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: a strong opinion for me, but the fact that they
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: are laying that many points on the road against the
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: team that they're tied with that should really tell you
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: what you need to know that Howard is a significant
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: better team. But in a conference like the MEAC, I
- 1:10:04Speaker 1: mean laying road points yet, it's not gonna be me
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: doing it. But if you had to, you know, get
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: my opinion on it, that still would be what it
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: would be. Though. CBS Sports at four pm giving us
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: a real great game here with Richmond at Loyola Chicago.
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, okay, Now I think in the Atlantic ten,
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: I think every team still makes the conference tournament. I
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: think so these teams are you know, Loyola Chicago's gonna
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: make it, even if they wind up in last place.
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: Richmond has been on a losing stretcher. They did just
- 1:10:36Speaker 1: win against Saint Bonaventure. Still, they have a huge game
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: in their home finale up next against Dayton. Maybe they
- 1:10:42Speaker 1: won't pay attention to Loyola because Loyola is awful. They're
- 1:10:46Speaker 1: way worse than anybody thought there would be this year.
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: They've been horrible this year, man terrible, terrible season for them.
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: They do have Saint Louis on deck, but I don't
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: know if they're gonna overlook anybody with four straight losses. Yere,
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: they have one more home game after Saint Louis. It
- 1:11:02Speaker 1: is a revenge game against Saint Louis and a big
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: deal about to play Saint Louis. So there is the
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: worry for both these teams being going to look ahead.
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: I don't know what I would want to do with
- 1:11:11Speaker 1: this game, man, Richmond's down from five to four and
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: a half. Fifty percent of ticket, sixty seven percent of
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: the cash on Richmond, you know, it's yeah, I don't
- 1:11:22Speaker 1: even know what to think about it. The money is
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: saying Richmond. I don't even know if I want to.
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I will agree with that, but
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: it's yeah, very very very timid agreement there. That's a
- 1:11:37Speaker 1: game that there was no way I was gonna like,
- 1:11:39Speaker 1: I basically would consider that game to not even exist. Like,
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: I don't even know why that game's on TV. Fox
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: Sports won at four pm. Wisconsin having to go to Washington,
- 1:11:49Speaker 1: and at least for them, like I said, with the Nebraska,
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: at least for them they're not having to play a
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: late night game on the West coast, which would mess
- 1:11:55Speaker 1: with your biological clock. But well with Wisconsin though they
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: already had to do that because they're already out on
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: the West Coast and they lost to Oregon, so maybe
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: they will bounce back after that loss. But it is
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: a third road game in four games. It is actually
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: a fifth road game in seven games, which is not
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: an easy thing to do. They don't have a big
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: game up next, it's only against Maryland. Washington is coming
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: back home, so they're traveling cross country. I think they
- 1:12:22Speaker 1: probably had a week off, though, where's Wisconsin. I think
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: had to play already in the middle of the week.
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: Washington beat Rutgers on the road, and now they're coming
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: back home. Washington, I guess, will be the more rested team,
- 1:12:35Speaker 1: and of course they're at least used to making trips
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: like this. At this point. The money is kind of
- 1:12:39Speaker 1: coming in on Wisconsin though, eighty three percent tickets, ninety
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: four percent of the cash. They're minus two. My initial
- 1:12:46Speaker 1: read on this was Selina, Wisconsin, because they already are
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: at home. Not really a strong opinion for me, but
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: you know, I'll slightly lean towards Wisconsin. There. Presbyterian at Winthrop,
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: Now this is a game where I'm like, well, Winthrop
- 1:13:01Speaker 1: best nothing to play for now. They're locked into the
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: two seed, and we faded them in their last game
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: and they lost to Charleston Southern, but this is Winthrop's
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: final home game, although they did already win at Presbyterians,
- 1:13:13Speaker 1: so you know, Winthrop, you could definitely argue they're already
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: looking ahead to the Big South Conference tournament at this point, man,
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: because they're the two seed. They already know that at
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: this point. They already beat this Presbyterian team on the road,
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: So maybe you won't get a great performance out of
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: them the final home game aspect of it might have
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: them stepping it up a little bit. But the real
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: reason I don't want anything to do with Presbyterian here
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: is look at their last game. They played really close
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: against high Point. Man, they almost pulled off. The biggest
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: upset that they could get in this conference would have
- 1:13:46Speaker 1: been to beat high Point, although it would have been
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: to beat them on the road, of course, but being
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: able to beat them at home would have been insane
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: as well. And they came really close. It was a
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: really close game towards the end of that game in
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: their home finale, and they only lost my six. I
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: don't know what Presbyterian is gonna have left after that, man,
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: Even though yeah, they have a road revenge angle here,
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: I'm gonna still lean to Presbyterian because I just don't
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: see how you could justify laying nine points with a
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: Winthrop team that has nothing to play for other than
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: final home game. So I'll still lean to taking the
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: points to the Presbyterian, but I can't do that in
- 1:14:19Speaker 1: that spot either. Four PM ACC Network Pitt at Cal
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: two the two abbreviated the two abbreviated names. Pitt is
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: already out on the West Coast. They lost to Stanford
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: in their last game, but now they're playing a third
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: road game in four games, which is not gonna be
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: that easy to do. CAL might be in a bit
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: of a letdown spot, though, because now everybody knows, oh,
- 1:14:40Speaker 1: Cal is on the tournament picture now because they just
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: beat SMU. You know that was and that was after
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: beating their rival Stanford, who just beat Pitt. I think
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: so if Cal beat Stanford and Stanford beat Pitt, well,
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: obviously that means CAL can beat Pitt and Cal is
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: now considered to be a bubble team for the tournament.
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: So everybody knows up Cal, they got to keep winning here.
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: You know. Now it is their final home game, so
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: I think they still will have some motivation here. But
- 1:15:10Speaker 1: I just think the stock is probably a little bit
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: too high on Cal now after they did get that win,
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: could still be a bit of a letdown spot. If
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: I was gonna do anything with this, I would take
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: the points with pitt Cal down from eight to seven
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: and a half, eighty three percent of tickets, ninety percent
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: of the cash on them. But again, they're not a
- 1:15:26Speaker 1: secret now and everybody knows they're considered to be in
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: the tournament picture now, and a lot of times when
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: that happens, the team will be overvalued in that next game,
- 1:15:34Speaker 1: and I think that's what we have going on here.
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: And Pitt has already adjusted to the time zone, so
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: that won't be that much of an issue for them.
- 1:15:42Speaker 1: So I would take the points. Colgate and Navy. This
- 1:15:46Speaker 1: almost made my card man because Navy, of course, they
- 1:15:49Speaker 1: wrapped up the Patriot League one seed a long time ago.
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: Colgate they still need to win to get the two
- 1:15:56Speaker 1: seed because Lehi is one game behind them and Colgate,
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: believe it or not, lost both games to le High,
- 1:16:01Speaker 1: so Lehi has the tiebreaker against Colgate. So Colgate needs
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: to get this win to ensure that they have the
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: two seed. And now, normally I would say, well, when
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: a team needs to win like that, they're overvalued. But
- 1:16:13Speaker 1: I don't think that's the case here, man, because they
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: lost at home to Navy. Everybody knows Navy is better
- 1:16:18Speaker 1: than Colgate. At this point, they're gonna be an underdog
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: on the road here. It's a road revenge angle. And yes,
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: it is Navy's final home game, so that might be
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: one reason why maybe they'll get up for this game.
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: Senior Night does tend to mean a little bit more
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: to some of the service academies because they have guys
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: that stay there for their entire college tenure and whatever,
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: because they don't do the transfer stuff at the academies.
- 1:16:40Speaker 1: But still Navy, you know, I mean, they're already wrapped
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: up the ones seen long ago, and I know they've
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: won like every game since then, because these these teams
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: just stay disciplined, and that would be a concern for me.
- 1:16:51Speaker 1: But you're getting seven points here with colegate, man, So
- 1:16:55Speaker 1: I think if I was gonna play this game, I
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: would have to lean to Colgate Navy up to a
- 1:16:59Speaker 1: seven point v there. But again, you know, these service academies,
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: they stay disciplined, so a lot of times they don't
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: fall into those particular letdown spots, and it hasn't happened
- 1:17:09Speaker 1: with Navy so far, but we will see what actually happens.
- 1:17:14Speaker 1: All right, my next play, let's go. I gotta get
- 1:17:21Speaker 1: this show done, man, I'm trying to keep it at
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: under two hours. Here. We'll see if I can. We're
- 1:17:25Speaker 1: gonna go real ugly with this one and take Bryant.
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: And I know how bad Bryant is. I know ken
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: Bomb has them as somewhat lucky as well, and they're
- 1:17:35Speaker 1: just a horrific team, a bottom twenty team on both
- 1:17:38Speaker 1: sides of the ball. So why are we doing this? Well,
- 1:17:41Speaker 1: we're playing against NJIT, who is really not that much
- 1:17:44Speaker 1: better than they are. They're in the bottom fifty or
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: so teams in ken BOM's rings as well. They're ridiculously
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: high and locked the seventh luckiest team in the nation
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: according to kem Bum. So believe it or not, we
- 1:17:54Speaker 1: still have the luck disparity in our favor in this one. NJT.
- 1:17:58Speaker 1: You know, I've been talking about the me fraud this
- 1:18:00Speaker 1: whole time, and while they are fine on defense relatively,
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: there's still an atrocious offensive team and you're asking them
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: to lay points on the road and I'll show you
- 1:18:11Speaker 1: what the spot looks like in a second. And I
- 1:18:12Speaker 1: still think this is a game where we will take
- 1:18:15Speaker 1: the points with Brian here. Brian plays slower than NJIT
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: as well, and might frustrate them a little bit. This
- 1:18:21Speaker 1: nj T team, they're not as good as the record looks.
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: They're starting to fade a little bit here. Yes, I
- 1:18:26Speaker 1: know they're still playing for seeding, but and I guess
- 1:18:29Speaker 1: there's still a very outside chance they can get the
- 1:18:31Speaker 1: one seed. I think let me see, how did they
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: beat NBC at any point? Let me see, Oh, actually,
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: yeah they could. I think they might be able to
- 1:18:40Speaker 1: if they beat UNBC in their final game to tie
- 1:18:44Speaker 1: U NBC, I think they might be able to do it.
- 1:18:46Speaker 1: But that game is gonna be huge, man, And that's
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: part of the handicap here. Look at the spot for NJT.
- 1:18:52Speaker 1: They just had a huge home game against Vermont, which
- 1:18:54Speaker 1: was a revenge game for Vermont. But NJIT played really
- 1:18:58Speaker 1: close against Vermont, and we know is basically the class
- 1:19:01Speaker 1: of the American East Conference. They almost always win the conference.
- 1:19:04Speaker 1: They're right there in the standings threatening to win the conference. Again.
- 1:19:08Speaker 1: That was a huge game for NJIT. Now they go
- 1:19:11Speaker 1: on the road to play Bryant, who they already beat
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: seventy nine to fifty five at NJIT earlier this year,
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: so I doubt that they take Bryant very seriously after that.
- 1:19:21Speaker 1: And if we dig into that box score, I don't
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: even know if it was that misleading or anything. I mean, yeah,
- 1:19:26Speaker 1: it kind of was. Briant had a terrible shooting performance
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: thirty one percent from the field, twenty four percent from three.
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: NJT had eleven threes in the game forty one percent
- 1:19:36Speaker 1: from three. That's probably not gonna happen again. The game
- 1:19:39Speaker 1: was actually closer statistically than what the game looked like
- 1:19:42Speaker 1: on the scoreboards. So yeah, a little bit of a
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: misleading result. But like I just said, NJIT also has
- 1:19:48Speaker 1: UNBC on deck, and that is a monster game. It's
- 1:19:51Speaker 1: a revenge game. But also UNBC is the top team
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: in the conference, and that's njt's final home game, so
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: they are in a sandwich spot between the top two
- 1:20:02Speaker 1: teams in the conference, both teams that are above them,
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: and it's revenge for Bryant. And this gets even a
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: little bit better because Bryant is a home underdog and
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: guess what the situation Briant is in here, the American
- 1:20:14Speaker 1: EECEE drops one team from their conference tournament, and Bryant
- 1:20:19Speaker 1: is not safe yet they have to win. If they
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: win today, they're safe, So that's another motivator for them,
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: because they risk if Bryant loses the remaining two games
- 1:20:29Speaker 1: and Binghamton has one game left today and it's a
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: winnable game for them against New Hampshire, I think so
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: if Binghamton wins, although of course New Hampshire also could
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: fall out as Bryant could, but Bryant if it winds
- 1:20:43Speaker 1: up being them versus Binghamton. Bryant lost both games to Binghamton,
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: so that is not a good thing for Bryant. So
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: they cannot fall into a tie with Binghamton by the
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: end of the season, which will happen if Binghamton beats
- 1:20:56Speaker 1: New Hampshire today, which is possible, and if Bryant loses
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: the games, which is also possible, and their last game
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: is on the road, so there is a motivating factory
- 1:21:06Speaker 1: here for Bryant. And they're home underdog, so I like that,
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: and it's their final home game, so I think you're
- 1:21:12Speaker 1: gonna see them get up for this game. And they've
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: lost four straight games, so I think you will see
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: them get up for this game. Man, for all those
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: reasons as well, Bryant is the player there. It looks
- 1:21:22Speaker 1: like you can get three on this now, so I
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: might wait on this because ken Bum's numbers do actually
- 1:21:28Speaker 1: have this at like a three or four point game,
- 1:21:30Speaker 1: so maybe the number will go up a little bit more.
- 1:21:32Speaker 1: Get whatever the points you can, you know, but I
- 1:21:36Speaker 1: think we'll get at least three on that one. Now.
- 1:21:37Speaker 1: I'll put it in the show description. But yes, Bryant
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: is the play there. All right, let's keep going with
- 1:21:45Speaker 1: this man. Portland State and Montana kind of an interesting one.
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: Portland State almost has the Big Sky regular season wrapped
- 1:21:52Speaker 1: up now, but they did just lose to Montana State.
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: Now they're playing Montana, who actually they lost to at home,
- 1:21:59Speaker 1: so doesn't have many conference losses. One of them was
- 1:22:02Speaker 1: gonna excuse me, at home to Montana. So this is
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: a bit of a road revenge angle here. They are
- 1:22:09Speaker 1: having to play the too Montana's here. They took a
- 1:22:12Speaker 1: loss at Montana State that wasn't you know, it wasn't
- 1:22:16Speaker 1: that close, so they might have a bounce back here
- 1:22:19Speaker 1: against a team that isn't as good as Montana State
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: that already did beat them, And Montana might get up
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: for it too though, because this is Montana's final home
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: game and it is against the top team in the conference.
- 1:22:29Speaker 1: So I don't see either team really lacking an effort here.
- 1:22:33Speaker 1: So it's a difficult handicap. The money is coming slightly
- 1:22:36Speaker 1: on Montana from pick them to pick them with juice,
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: I could see it. I mean, Portland having to play
- 1:22:42Speaker 1: both Montana's on the road is not really an easy
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: thing to do. Maybe the revenge angle is not gonna
- 1:22:47Speaker 1: over you overtake the rest of the handicap there, and
- 1:22:50Speaker 1: it is the final home game for Montana, so I'm
- 1:22:53Speaker 1: not really gonna disagree with Montana there, but you know,
- 1:22:56Speaker 1: there are definitely certain things about it that I don't love,
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: all right, And I will just say in that conference,
- 1:23:03Speaker 1: still keep an eye out for Northern Colorado Man because
- 1:23:05Speaker 1: I think they will make some noise in that conference,
- 1:23:08Speaker 1: and I recommend it as a flyer potentially grabbing them
- 1:23:11Speaker 1: to win the Big Sky, like win the Big Sky tournament,
- 1:23:15Speaker 1: and then you might get some hedging opportunities in the
- 1:23:18Speaker 1: conference tournament if they make a little bit of a
- 1:23:20Speaker 1: run in the conference tournament because they are way better
- 1:23:22Speaker 1: than they look at the beginning of conference playing. I
- 1:23:24Speaker 1: was telling you that the whole time this Northern Colorado
- 1:23:27Speaker 1: team is going to turn it around. They're actually one
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: of the better teams in that conference. So so i'body
- 1:23:31Speaker 1: keep in mind there they're at Idaho today. I don't
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: really have a handicap in that game. In fact, I
- 1:23:36Speaker 1: actually kind of don't like Northern Colorado in that game. Well, fine,
- 1:23:39Speaker 1: because I'm talking about it, I'll talk about it, but
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: I want to get this show done. Man. Northern Colorado
- 1:23:46Speaker 1: just lost a long wind streak, like a seven game
- 1:23:48Speaker 1: win streak. It wasn't a great team to lose to
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: to Eastern Washington, but still when you lose a win
- 1:23:54Speaker 1: streak like that, it might hang you over. They already
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: beat Idaho by eight at home, and they have a
- 1:23:59Speaker 1: bigger game think against Montana to finish the season. So
- 1:24:02Speaker 1: it is not the greatest spot for Northern Colorado here.
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: Idaho is staying at home, this is their final home game,
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: and they just beat a bad Northern Arizona team, so
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: the spot is better for Idaho here. Idaho's up from
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: one to two yeah, I agree with that move. I
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: would money line it with Idaho if I was gonna
- 1:24:22Speaker 1: play that one. All right, four pm ESPN two Texas
- 1:24:26Speaker 1: at Texas A and M. This is an interesting game, man.
- 1:24:30Speaker 1: These teams are both kind of on the bubble to
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: make the tournament. It's a big Texas rivalry. Texas already
- 1:24:36Speaker 1: lost at home to Texas A and M, so there
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: is a bit of a road revenge angle here. Texas
- 1:24:42Speaker 1: is actually stepping down in class now after they lost
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: to Florida, which was expected, so maybe they will step
- 1:24:50Speaker 1: it up for this game against Texas A and M.
- 1:24:52Speaker 1: Texas A and M not really as good as their
- 1:24:54Speaker 1: record looks. I think the public is gonna come in
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: and see A and M not really laying that many
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: points here. It makes sense to lay the points here,
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: but I'm not so sure that it does. I've been
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: telling you that Texas is a pretty undervalued team, and
- 1:25:07Speaker 1: A and M has been pretty overvalued this year. A
- 1:25:10Speaker 1: and M coming off playing on the road losing to Arkansas.
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: They are coming back home here. It is not their
- 1:25:16Speaker 1: final home game yet. This is a tough call, man.
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: A and M. Like I said, three point three and
- 1:25:24Speaker 1: a half point favor. The money looks like it is
- 1:25:25Speaker 1: indicating on Texas a little bit, or that they have
- 1:25:27Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the tickets as well, but eighty
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Texas, and the money is
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: kind of coming out of Texas year. I'll slightly lead
- 1:25:37Speaker 1: towards Texas in that game. I don't think I would
- 1:25:40Speaker 1: hate an over in that game either, because Texas A
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: and M likes to go fast. Both teams are very
- 1:25:46Speaker 1: capable offensively, and the worst unit on the court is
- 1:25:49Speaker 1: Texas's defense. Texas is gonna try to slow the game down,
- 1:25:53Speaker 1: though I don't know if they'll be able till the
- 1:25:55Speaker 1: totals in the one sixties. But if you like Texas,
- 1:25:57Speaker 1: you probably have to assume they will be able to
- 1:26:00Speaker 1: muddy the game up a little bit. But I still
- 1:26:02Speaker 1: kind of lean Over in that game, even though I
- 1:26:04Speaker 1: kind of like Texas as well, which are kind of,
- 1:26:08Speaker 1: you know, in conflict with each other, all right. Southern
- 1:26:12Speaker 1: Indiana at Little Rock. This is interesting just because the
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: Ohio Valley drops the last three teams from their conference
- 1:26:19Speaker 1: tournament and Southern Indiana is already out there. Yeah, they
- 1:26:24Speaker 1: can't make it. Western Illinois can't make it. Either orthough
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: what else is new? But that means Southern Indiana has
- 1:26:30Speaker 1: very little Like they're gonna put all their effort into
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: their final games because they don't play again after that. Uh,
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: and they get to play spoiler a little bit to
- 1:26:38Speaker 1: Little Rock because Little Rock could get knocked out if
- 1:26:41Speaker 1: they lose this game, you know, so Southern Indiana might
- 1:26:44Speaker 1: be able to play a little bit looser here. But
- 1:26:46Speaker 1: this is Little Rock's last game. It is their final
- 1:26:49Speaker 1: home game, and they are gonna need it, man, because
- 1:26:52Speaker 1: they could get knocked out of the Ohio Valley Tournament,
- 1:26:54Speaker 1: which would be not really a common thing. Little Rock
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: is usually one of the better teams in the conference.
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: They they just lose a couple of close games, Like
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: they played three big conference teams in a row, Tennessee,
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: Martin Simo, and Morehead State, all at home. So those
- 1:27:09Speaker 1: are all big games. So they might run out of
- 1:27:11Speaker 1: steam a little bit here. And I think, because everybody
- 1:27:13Speaker 1: knows Little Rock needs this game to stay alive, I
- 1:27:17Speaker 1: think they're laying too many points here, man, even though
- 1:27:19Speaker 1: they should get up for their final home game, Southern Indiana,
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: I don't love it for them either, though they're playing
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: a fourth straight road game, and they just had a
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: close game on the road against Morehead. This is their
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: last game though. Southern Indiana is not playing again because
- 1:27:33Speaker 1: they can't make the Ohio Valley Tournament, and it will
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: also be Little Rocks if they don't win here, and
- 1:27:40Speaker 1: even if they do win, it still could be Little
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: Rocks lank six and a half. I think it's a
- 1:27:45Speaker 1: little bit too much. I probably wouldn't need to taking
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: the points to Southern Indiana. But I guess you could
- 1:27:50Speaker 1: argue that Little Rock is in one of those spots
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: where they're not just win and you're in you know
- 1:27:54Speaker 1: what I mean, because they have to win and they
- 1:27:56Speaker 1: actually need help. They need the teams that are tied
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: with them to actually lose as well. So so Little
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: Rock doesn't need help. So I talk about that in
- 1:28:06Speaker 1: like football, teams can play a little bit looser when
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: they don't control their own destiny. So there is that.
- 1:28:11Speaker 1: That's not something I want, you know, anything to do with, really,
- 1:28:14Speaker 1: but it's an interesting game. East Tennessee State is at Mercer,
- 1:28:19Speaker 1: and as I've already mentioned, East Tennessee State has already
- 1:28:21Speaker 1: clinched the one seed in the Soacon, so they don't
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: really have anything to play for. Mercer is trying to
- 1:28:27Speaker 1: get the two seed potentially. Still, I think Mercer playing
- 1:28:30Speaker 1: for seed, and they're at least trying to play for,
- 1:28:33Speaker 1: you know, getting a top four seed, so they have
- 1:28:35Speaker 1: that amount of buys in the tournament. East Tennessee did
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: just lose at home out of Wafford in their final
- 1:28:41Speaker 1: home game. Again, East Tennessee just had nothing to play
- 1:28:44Speaker 1: for at that point because they'd already won the conference
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: regular season titles. So I told you, yeah, definitely, you
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: should not have laid the points with East Tennessee in
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: that one. Wasn't sure I was gonna really I did
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: not give out Wafford as an actual play there. But
- 1:28:57Speaker 1: that is a strong angle playing against these teams that
- 1:29:00Speaker 1: have already wrapped up the conference that they're losing, you know,
- 1:29:04Speaker 1: East Tennessee loss, Merrimack loss last night, North Dakota State
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: lost to Saint Thomas the other night, So it is
- 1:29:10Speaker 1: an angle. It applies to this game as well. And
- 1:29:13Speaker 1: Mercer already lost East Tennessee, I believe. Yeah. East Tennessee
- 1:29:17Speaker 1: beat them by six at home earlier this year, so
- 1:29:19Speaker 1: it's a little bit of a revenge angle for Mercer. Mercer.
- 1:29:23Speaker 1: It is their final home game and they're coming off
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: kind of an ugly lost Western Carolina, So yeah, Mercer
- 1:29:28Speaker 1: would have to be the way I would play this game.
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: It's not on my card, but Mercer is up to
- 1:29:33Speaker 1: a one point favorite. I would money line it with
- 1:29:36Speaker 1: Mercer in that one. I think they get the job done,
- 1:29:39Speaker 1: but no real strong opinion there for me on that one.
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: Stephen of Austin at Houston Christians. Stephen of Austin just
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: lost a long win streak. I think they'd won like
- 1:29:49Speaker 1: fourteen games in a row or something, losing to New Orleans,
- 1:29:52Speaker 1: and you know I talk about this When a team
- 1:29:55Speaker 1: loses a massive win streak like that, a lot of
- 1:29:57Speaker 1: times they can be hung over in their next game.
- 1:29:59Speaker 1: And they're go one on the road to play a
- 1:30:01Speaker 1: Houston Christian team they already beat this year by eighteen
- 1:30:04Speaker 1: points at home, so they might not take them seriously.
- 1:30:07Speaker 1: So I do think it is a hangover spot. I
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: would lean to Useton Christian in this one. It's not
- 1:30:12Speaker 1: their final home game because they do have one more
- 1:30:13Speaker 1: game against Lamar, but they're coming off of winning by
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: one against the bad East Texas A and M team.
- 1:30:21Speaker 1: I would take the points with Houston Christian here plus
- 1:30:24Speaker 1: eight at home, the total is low in the one thirties.
- 1:30:28Speaker 1: So some quick thoughts on that game as well there. Okay,
- 1:30:34Speaker 1: I forget what else I was even gonna talk about here.
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: I had something else in mind. I might have been
- 1:30:39Speaker 1: back to that East Tennessee and Mercer game, and I
- 1:30:41Speaker 1: forget Mercer is pretty close to being a play for
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: me though. Just you know, if you're wondering how strongly
- 1:30:46Speaker 1: I feel about that, that would be one of my
- 1:30:48Speaker 1: I didn't add it to my additional leans, but it
- 1:30:50Speaker 1: probably should be one of them. All right. As far
- 1:30:55Speaker 1: as these other games that I think are worth mentioning
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: at all, let me see here. You know, North Dakota
- 1:31:04Speaker 1: North Dakota State, I guess, is a somewhat interesting game.
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: It is a rivalry game. I don't think North Dakota
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: is anywhere near as good as their record looks. But
- 1:31:11Speaker 1: North Dakota State they just might not care about this
- 1:31:14Speaker 1: game because again, they already wrapped up the Summit regular
- 1:31:16Speaker 1: season title games ago, but this is their final home game.
- 1:31:20Speaker 1: It is a rivalry. They did just lose pretty embarrassingly
- 1:31:24Speaker 1: to Saint Thomas, so maybe they will show a bit
- 1:31:26Speaker 1: more effort in this one, because nobody really wants to
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: get embarrassed like that, and you probably yeah, yeah, I
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: mean you might not want to go into the conference
- 1:31:32Speaker 1: tournament on that bad of a note. They did beat
- 1:31:35Speaker 1: North Dakota already on the road by seventeen, though, so
- 1:31:37Speaker 1: I do still think North Dakota is gonna have more
- 1:31:40Speaker 1: reason to show up in this one. Of that, I
- 1:31:42Speaker 1: still don't think they're a very good team, but they're
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: getting a ton of points here. They are playing a
- 1:31:46Speaker 1: second straight road game. They did just play a pretty
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: tough game at South Dakota State, and they played well
- 1:31:53Speaker 1: in the game. So I don't really want North Dakota
- 1:31:56Speaker 1: here because they're really close. In that game as a
- 1:31:58Speaker 1: big underdog point underdogs, they almost took South Dakota State
- 1:32:02Speaker 1: to the wire. Even though they lost by eight, they
- 1:32:05Speaker 1: put in a huge effort there. So I worry about
- 1:32:07Speaker 1: North Dakota here. But there's no way that you could
- 1:32:10Speaker 1: lay twelve with the North Dakota State team that really
- 1:32:13Speaker 1: has absolutely nothing to play for here other than their
- 1:32:16Speaker 1: final home game. They're down from thirteen and a half
- 1:32:18Speaker 1: to eleven and a half here. I would still agree
- 1:32:21Speaker 1: with taking the points with North Dakota, but it's not
- 1:32:24Speaker 1: something that could really make my card here. Delaware at Kennesaw.
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: Of course, you could make the argument that Kennesaw is
- 1:32:31Speaker 1: in a letdown because they just got a big win
- 1:32:33Speaker 1: over Liberty, who is still the top team in the
- 1:32:35Speaker 1: conference the Conference USA. Some hesitations here though, would be
- 1:32:41Speaker 1: that Kennesau already lost at Delaware by fifteen and that
- 1:32:46Speaker 1: was interestingly coming off a game against Liberty though, by
- 1:32:49Speaker 1: the way, but it was back to back road games.
- 1:32:52Speaker 1: These are back to back home games. But Kennesam might
- 1:32:55Speaker 1: still take Delaware seriously because they did lose badly to
- 1:32:58Speaker 1: Delaware in that first game. Del Where is not that
- 1:33:00Speaker 1: good and it is Kennisall's final home game, So those
- 1:33:04Speaker 1: would be my concerns with fading Kennisa off of that
- 1:33:07Speaker 1: win over Liberty. Delaware has lost three games in a row.
- 1:33:11Speaker 1: It's a difficult spot for them because it is a
- 1:33:13Speaker 1: third straight road game. So you know, it's it's a
- 1:33:17Speaker 1: tough call here, man. I mean, I'm gonna lean towards
- 1:33:20Speaker 1: Delaware just because Kennesaw is in that letdown spot and
- 1:33:22Speaker 1: they're laying a lot of points up from ten and
- 1:33:25Speaker 1: a half to eleven with a pretty low total in
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: the one forties. But there are just too many conflicting
- 1:33:31Speaker 1: factors in that game, so I can't there's no way
- 1:33:33Speaker 1: that's gonna be on my card. That's at five pm.
- 1:33:37Speaker 1: By the way, we're into the five pm slate here,
- 1:33:40Speaker 1: almost getting done with the show. We might be able
- 1:33:42Speaker 1: to do it in two hours. Number nineteen b YU
- 1:33:45Speaker 1: at West Virginia five thirty pm on Fox BYU. Of course,
- 1:33:49Speaker 1: struggling a little bit as of late, and they're without
- 1:33:51Speaker 1: Saunders here. They're coming off a really ugly loss at
- 1:33:55Speaker 1: home to Central Florida, so maybe it'd be good for
- 1:33:57Speaker 1: them to just leave and play a different game, but
- 1:33:59Speaker 1: it's it's still a weird travel spot for a Utah
- 1:34:02Speaker 1: team to have to go to West Virginia and they're
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: gonna be laying points. And we know that West Virginia
- 1:34:07Speaker 1: is a team that's kind of considered to be on
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: the bubble for the tournament, even though I don't know
- 1:34:13Speaker 1: about now because they've lost three games in a row,
- 1:34:15Speaker 1: but this is their biggest game remaining. Man, you gotta
- 1:34:18Speaker 1: think West Virginia will give you a huge effort here,
- 1:34:20Speaker 1: and if they're gonna try to make any case for
- 1:34:22Speaker 1: the tournament. This is gonna be a game that's gonna
- 1:34:25Speaker 1: be a huge deal for them, And it looks way
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: too easy to play BYU as well, Like, oh, I
- 1:34:30Speaker 1: get the ranked team basically just gonna pick the winner
- 1:34:32Speaker 1: scenario at two and a half sixty three percent of ticket,
- 1:34:36Speaker 1: seventy two percent of the cash on BYU, I would
- 1:34:39Speaker 1: lean towards West Virginia here, BYU wants to go fast too,
- 1:34:43Speaker 1: and West Virginia is gonna slow the game way way
- 1:34:46Speaker 1: down and the total is really low, and if West
- 1:34:48Speaker 1: Virginia is gonna be able to play their ludicrously slow style,
- 1:34:52Speaker 1: ludicrous ludicrous lack of speed, that might like really frustrate
- 1:35:00Speaker 1: BYU there. So I would lean towards West Virginia slightly
- 1:35:04Speaker 1: in that one. It looks way too easy to play
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: BYU and that one, but both teams I think are
- 1:35:08Speaker 1: gonna probably show an effort in that one. TNT True
- 1:35:12Speaker 1: TV at five thirty pm Providence at Creighton. Providence already
- 1:35:16Speaker 1: beat Creighton by five at home, so there is maybe
- 1:35:18Speaker 1: a little bit of a revenge angle for Creighton here,
- 1:35:20Speaker 1: but well, the setup for Providence Providence is coming up
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: beating Xavier. Their final home game is next against Marquette,
- 1:35:29Speaker 1: so yeah, I don't know, it might be possible they
- 1:35:30Speaker 1: overlooked Creighton here. Creighton just had kind of an ugly
- 1:35:33Speaker 1: loss to to Paul. I thought Creighton would bounce back
- 1:35:36Speaker 1: after they got destroyed by Saint John's, but they couldn't
- 1:35:39Speaker 1: get it done and they lost at home to De Paul,
- 1:35:42Speaker 1: And now they're just staying at home. You're off of
- 1:35:44Speaker 1: somewhat of an embarrassing loss. I would say they interestedly
- 1:35:47Speaker 1: lost it to Paul by the same score seventy two
- 1:35:51Speaker 1: to seventy one both times they played them this year,
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: which is weird. But yeah, I mean I slightly lean
- 1:35:58Speaker 1: to Creighton here, but the money coming in against them,
- 1:36:00Speaker 1: they're down from four to three. But I don't know,
- 1:36:03Speaker 1: I would kind of lean that way. It's still kind
- 1:36:05Speaker 1: of a weird spot for Providence. They have to go
- 1:36:07Speaker 1: play in Omaha. So those are my thoughts there. What
- 1:36:12Speaker 1: else do we have going on here? Uterial Grande Valley.
- 1:36:17Speaker 1: Let me see, they're coming out of a really good
- 1:36:19Speaker 1: performance against MacNeice Man, so they could be in a
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: hangover here. And it's not their final home game yet either,
- 1:36:25Speaker 1: so they're coming out of a big effort. They were
- 1:36:27Speaker 1: like double digit underdogs on the road at MacNeice, and
- 1:36:30Speaker 1: they had a really a pretty close call against macnice
- 1:36:33Speaker 1: Man that would have been a big, big win if
- 1:36:35Speaker 1: they were able to get it. They actually already beat
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: MacNeice once and played them tough this game too. Now
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: they could be in a massive hangover spot here after that.
- 1:36:44Speaker 1: But one issue is they actually lost to East Texas
- 1:36:47Speaker 1: A and M already on the road, so they might
- 1:36:49Speaker 1: actually take Eastness East East Tennessee East Texas A and
- 1:36:53Speaker 1: M seriously after losing to them once. East Texas A
- 1:36:58Speaker 1: and M already played their final home games, so now
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: they're playing out the stretch going on the road here.
- 1:37:03Speaker 1: I don't know how many teams of the Sutland missed
- 1:37:05Speaker 1: the conference tournament because I decided not to play this game,
- 1:37:08Speaker 1: so I just didn't bother to handicap that I probably
- 1:37:11Speaker 1: should have just so we know. But Real Grounde Valleys
- 1:37:15Speaker 1: laying ten and a half here, man, it's a low
- 1:37:18Speaker 1: total in the one forties. Coming off that huge performance
- 1:37:20Speaker 1: against macnice I think I would lean towards taking the
- 1:37:22Speaker 1: points with these Texas A and M and Real Grande
- 1:37:25Speaker 1: Valley can win that game without covering the spread. So
- 1:37:30Speaker 1: all right, five point forty five pm. He's from very
- 1:37:33Speaker 1: weird start time on the CW with Syracuse and Wake.
- 1:37:38Speaker 1: Syracuse coming off two straight losses to Duke in North Carolina,
- 1:37:44Speaker 1: you know, didn't have a great performance in either game.
- 1:37:47Speaker 1: Maybe they'll show up for this one. They do Louisville
- 1:37:49Speaker 1: on deck. But yeah, Syracuse, I mean, they're not a
- 1:37:52Speaker 1: good team, but maybe they're gonna try to show something
- 1:37:54Speaker 1: against Wake. Wake is coming off kind of an ugly
- 1:37:58Speaker 1: loss though at BC they were fake Ritz. I think
- 1:38:00Speaker 1: in that game. I think it was a spot where
- 1:38:02Speaker 1: Wake just didn't want to you know, they weren't totally awake,
- 1:38:05Speaker 1: and they didn't want to go up post blizzard up
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: into the Boston area and play Boston College up there.
- 1:38:11Speaker 1: Though Wake almost pulled off the win in the end,
- 1:38:14Speaker 1: but they still didn't. But they do a Virginia on deck,
- 1:38:17Speaker 1: which might be a much bigger game from them here.
- 1:38:20Speaker 1: Wake is I don't believe they're in they're really in
- 1:38:23Speaker 1: danger of drug Well I guess they could be actually
- 1:38:25Speaker 1: Wake if they do really really bad and they're remaining
- 1:38:28Speaker 1: a couple of games and some of these teams below
- 1:38:30Speaker 1: them actually do well. I guess there is maybe the
- 1:38:33Speaker 1: chance that Wake does miss the conference tournament, although highly unlikely.
- 1:38:37Speaker 1: I would say, I don't know what to do with
- 1:38:40Speaker 1: this game. Man, it's this is a very very confusing
- 1:38:43Speaker 1: game to try to handicap Wake down from four and
- 1:38:45Speaker 1: a half to four here, So it looks like some
- 1:38:47Speaker 1: early money coming in acuse Wake did have to put
- 1:38:51Speaker 1: in a bigger effort in that last game, and they
- 1:38:53Speaker 1: do have a potential look ahead here, and it's not
- 1:38:55Speaker 1: their final home games. So I guess I'll agree with
- 1:38:58Speaker 1: leaning towards Syracuse plus ways, but I don't love it
- 1:39:01Speaker 1: at all. And I apologize, you know, the just dry
- 1:39:05Speaker 1: air and I might have to go get more water
- 1:39:07Speaker 1: in a second here, Man, two breaks in one show.
- 1:39:11Speaker 1: I apologize, you know what, Let me do it because
- 1:39:14Speaker 1: we have the other, the next huge ESPN game on
- 1:39:17Speaker 1: deck here, and I will I'll be sure to unmute
- 1:39:19Speaker 1: my mic this time, all right, ESPN seven pm? Are
- 1:40:23Speaker 1: we up to seven yet? No? Six pm? Number seventeen Alabama,
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: Number twenty two, Tennessee. A couple of things to keep
- 1:40:30Speaker 1: in mind here, Tennessee, I believe has won five games
- 1:40:33Speaker 1: in a row against Alabama, including winning at Alabama this year.
- 1:40:38Speaker 1: So there is a little bit of a road revenge
- 1:40:39Speaker 1: angle here in revenge angle Alabama. But on the other
- 1:40:42Speaker 1: side of you could make the argument that Tennessee just
- 1:40:45Speaker 1: matches up well against them, and there is something to
- 1:40:49Speaker 1: that because this is offense versus defense here, man, Alabama
- 1:40:53Speaker 1: is basically all offense. Tennessee is mostly defense, and you
- 1:40:57Speaker 1: know me, I like defense. I usually like defense getting points,
- 1:41:00Speaker 1: although Tennessee is actually laying points here, which is interesting.
- 1:41:05Speaker 1: There are there are a lot of things to consider
- 1:41:07Speaker 1: in this game, man. I think it's a big game
- 1:41:10Speaker 1: for both teams. I think both teams will show up.
- 1:41:14Speaker 1: The fact that Tennessee is a favorite here. I think
- 1:41:16Speaker 1: it's gonna throw people off too, because everybody loves offense,
- 1:41:19Speaker 1: and they're gonna see that Alabama is higher ranked the Tennessee.
- 1:41:23Speaker 1: So why is Tennessee a favorite here? I mean, yeah,
- 1:41:25Speaker 1: they're at home, they get a decent amount of home
- 1:41:27Speaker 1: court advantage. But I think ken Bum will probably tell you, yeah,
- 1:41:31Speaker 1: he actually has these two teams right about. Even I
- 1:41:33Speaker 1: was gonna say I thought Tennessee probably would actually be
- 1:41:36Speaker 1: ranked higher than Alabama. But it is just a huge pa.
- 1:41:41Speaker 1: You know, it's a huge contrast to styles, and Tennessee
- 1:41:44Speaker 1: wants to go slow, Alabama wants to go insanely fast.
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: Tennessee is the much unluckier team according to Kem bum So,
- 1:41:52Speaker 1: a lot of this has been leading to Tennessee again
- 1:41:54Speaker 1: in this one man, even though it is a road
- 1:41:56Speaker 1: revenge angle for Alabama. Alabama just put up one hundred points.
- 1:41:59Speaker 1: They put up ninety plus and three straight games. I mean,
- 1:42:02Speaker 1: they're consistently putting up points like that. But when the
- 1:42:06Speaker 1: last time they played Tennessee, even at home, they couldn't
- 1:42:08Speaker 1: control the pace and the game was in the seventies,
- 1:42:11Speaker 1: so the pace was all Tennessee. In that one man,
- 1:42:14Speaker 1: Tennessee might be able to do it again. They seemed
- 1:42:16Speaker 1: to just be able to do it. Tennessee's coming up
- 1:42:19Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss to Miszoo as well. So and
- 1:42:22Speaker 1: that was a game where I told you it was
- 1:42:23Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. I gave you Missouri as a play.
- 1:42:26Speaker 1: Tennessee played better than the score looks there. They did
- 1:42:29Speaker 1: dominate the rebounds. I don't really know how they lost
- 1:42:31Speaker 1: the game, but they were coming off that huge win
- 1:42:34Speaker 1: over Vandy in the Tennessee rivalry, and they had this
- 1:42:37Speaker 1: Alabama game on deck. So I think the fact that
- 1:42:39Speaker 1: they dropped that game, it didn't look that good. I think.
- 1:42:42Speaker 1: All that being considered, I think I have to lean
- 1:42:44Speaker 1: to Tennessee to continue their streak against Alabama. And the
- 1:42:49Speaker 1: money seems like it agrees Tennessee laying four and a
- 1:42:52Speaker 1: half down from five, but sixty two percent of the
- 1:42:54Speaker 1: tickets are on Alabama, sixty six percent of the cash
- 1:42:57Speaker 1: on Tennessee. I agree with Tennessee in that one man. Alright.
- 1:43:03Speaker 1: CBS Sports six pm. San Francisco at Pacific. This is
- 1:43:07Speaker 1: an interesting one. This is the last regular season game
- 1:43:10Speaker 1: for these teams in the West Coast Conference. Here. I
- 1:43:14Speaker 1: think every team makes the tournament though in the West
- 1:43:17Speaker 1: Coast Conference, so no team is gonna be left out
- 1:43:19Speaker 1: of the conference tournament, but there are. But the bye
- 1:43:23Speaker 1: structure is crazy, where the top teams get buys to
- 1:43:26Speaker 1: the semifinals, similar to the Sun Belt. San Francisco is
- 1:43:31Speaker 1: coming up two straight losses, but it was Gonzaga and
- 1:43:34Speaker 1: Santa Clara, although they lost both games at home. Those
- 1:43:37Speaker 1: are really good teams. But I took the loss on
- 1:43:39Speaker 1: San Francisco against Santa Clara. I thought it was a
- 1:43:42Speaker 1: really good spot to fade Santa Clara. San Francisco still
- 1:43:45Speaker 1: couldn't get it done. Now they're on the road at
- 1:43:48Speaker 1: Pacific and they already beat Pacific at home, So I
- 1:43:52Speaker 1: don't know what we're gonna get here. Man. Pacific might
- 1:43:54Speaker 1: show up for this because it is a home game
- 1:43:57Speaker 1: on TV and it is their final home game of
- 1:43:59Speaker 1: the I believe. Yeah, so Pacific does it usually get
- 1:44:03Speaker 1: a TV game like this on CBS Sports and in
- 1:44:06Speaker 1: their final home game. But my problem with Pacific would
- 1:44:08Speaker 1: be they actually just played pretty close at Gonzaga in
- 1:44:11Speaker 1: their last game, so they went pretty much all out
- 1:44:14Speaker 1: trying to beat Gonzaga lost by nine, and they were
- 1:44:17Speaker 1: within like six pretty late in that game. So Pacific
- 1:44:21Speaker 1: is coming on a monster effort there that might hang
- 1:44:23Speaker 1: them over here, and that is pretty big. You know,
- 1:44:28Speaker 1: San Francisco have the embarrassing loss. I actually kind of
- 1:44:31Speaker 1: leaned towards San Francisco in this one. Pacific down from
- 1:44:34Speaker 1: five to four. Money coming in towards San Francisco. Yeah,
- 1:44:38Speaker 1: I won't really disagree with that one man. All right,
- 1:44:42Speaker 1: acc Network six pm SMU at Stanford. SMU might need
- 1:44:48Speaker 1: to start worrying a little bit about their tournament picture here,
- 1:44:51Speaker 1: although they're still in for now, but they did just
- 1:44:55Speaker 1: lose to cal which wasn't great for them. Now they're
- 1:44:58Speaker 1: on the road still, they're already adjusted to the adjusted
- 1:45:00Speaker 1: to the Pacific time zone though they're playing Stanford, but
- 1:45:03Speaker 1: they do have a big game against Miami and they're
- 1:45:05Speaker 1: final home game and they come back home, so that
- 1:45:08Speaker 1: is something to consider. Stanford here coming off a win
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: over pitt at home, staying at home here for this.
- 1:45:17Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with this game, to
- 1:45:19Speaker 1: be honest, it's not a game that is really on
- 1:45:22Speaker 1: my radar. SMU is down from three and alfter one
- 1:45:24Speaker 1: and a half, so the money coming in towards the
- 1:45:26Speaker 1: Stanford side. I don't really have much of a reason
- 1:45:29Speaker 1: to disagree with that. So you know, SMU, if they
- 1:45:33Speaker 1: lose this game, you know it's gonna be interesting. That
- 1:45:37Speaker 1: might be in a little bit of a difficult to
- 1:45:39Speaker 1: spot there as far as the tournament is concerned, but
- 1:45:43Speaker 1: we will see. Cornell and Brown is somewhat interesting because,
- 1:45:48Speaker 1: as I said, I thought it was kind of a
- 1:45:49Speaker 1: weird situation for Yale. Last night. Yale seemed to be
- 1:45:52Speaker 1: laying way too like this. It seemed way too easy
- 1:45:56Speaker 1: to play Yale last night, laying a few points and
- 1:45:59Speaker 1: what do you know, Cornell pulled off the upset. That
- 1:46:01Speaker 1: was a huge win from Cornell against Yale. Now, this
- 1:46:05Speaker 1: is their final home game, so there are still motivating
- 1:46:08Speaker 1: factors for Cornell here because final home game. They might
- 1:46:12Speaker 1: show up for it because it's senior Day, but they're
- 1:46:14Speaker 1: coming of a huge win last night against Yale. Cornell
- 1:46:18Speaker 1: might have the pressure on them because they're fourth place
- 1:46:21Speaker 1: in the IVY right now and in the top four
- 1:46:23Speaker 1: teams make the IVY tournament, So Cornell does need to
- 1:46:26Speaker 1: get some wins here to make sure that they make
- 1:46:28Speaker 1: the tournament. But they're playing a really bad Brown team
- 1:46:31Speaker 1: that they already beat by twenty two on the road.
- 1:46:34Speaker 1: This does look like it could be a letdown spot
- 1:46:36Speaker 1: for Cornell here. Man Brown doesn't have a whole lot
- 1:46:39Speaker 1: left to play for us. They're playing out the stretch.
- 1:46:41Speaker 1: They do have their final home game still remaining, but
- 1:46:43Speaker 1: they lost last night pretty badly at Columbia. They're going
- 1:46:47Speaker 1: up to Cornell. Now for Brown, it's kind of difficult
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: as they're playing a fifth road game in six games,
- 1:46:52Speaker 1: which is not that easy either. But I think I
- 1:46:54Speaker 1: would take the points with Brown if I was going
- 1:46:56Speaker 1: to play this game. Cornell nine point favorite, but they
- 1:46:59Speaker 1: do have some reasons to be motivated there. It's kind
- 1:47:03Speaker 1: of a weird situation there, man. And then we'll see
- 1:47:06Speaker 1: how that whole IVY League turns out with Yale and
- 1:47:08Speaker 1: Harvard now in a tie again atop the conference, even
- 1:47:11Speaker 1: though I think Yale is the way better team, but
- 1:47:13Speaker 1: they played really close games against Harvard. So the IVY tournament, man,
- 1:47:17Speaker 1: it just seems like it's coming down to Yale Harvard
- 1:47:20Speaker 1: in the final. Although I think Cornell should be in
- 1:47:24Speaker 1: that tournament as well. I think they are clearly one
- 1:47:26Speaker 1: of the top four teams in the IVY, but they
- 1:47:28Speaker 1: got to get there, so it could be an interesting tournament.
- 1:47:31Speaker 1: We'll see, all right. MacNeice at New Orleans, this is
- 1:47:34Speaker 1: an interesting game. MacNeice is coming off a close call
- 1:47:39Speaker 1: against Rio Grande Valley, and you know, I talk about this,
- 1:47:42Speaker 1: when a team has a close call a lot of times,
- 1:47:45Speaker 1: it gives them a wake up call. But that was
- 1:47:47Speaker 1: also a revenge game because MacNeice had lost to Rio
- 1:47:50Speaker 1: Grande Valley the previous game and they didn't do a
- 1:47:52Speaker 1: whole lot better this time, although they did win, so
- 1:47:55Speaker 1: I guess you could argue they're in a little bit
- 1:47:57Speaker 1: of a letdown spot off of that. But they are
- 1:47:59Speaker 1: all also in a situation where they were a big
- 1:48:02Speaker 1: favorite and they didn't play well, so maybe they'll step
- 1:48:05Speaker 1: it up for that reason. But they're playing New Orleans
- 1:48:07Speaker 1: or they are already beat it home by nineteen points,
- 1:48:09Speaker 1: so maybe they won't take New Orleans that seriously. But
- 1:48:12Speaker 1: New Orleans is coming up a huge game at steven F.
- 1:48:15Speaker 1: Austin where they almost pulled off. They did pull off
- 1:48:18Speaker 1: the upset. They beat steven F. Austin on the road.
- 1:48:21Speaker 1: That was a monster upset for New Orleans, and this
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: is not their final home game, although it's Macneese, So
- 1:48:27Speaker 1: you're probably gonna get up for a game against Macnice
- 1:48:29Speaker 1: because they're one of the best teams in this conference,
- 1:48:31Speaker 1: I think, still the best. But it's gonna be tough
- 1:48:33Speaker 1: for New Orleans to give that kind of effort two
- 1:48:36Speaker 1: games in a row like that. So I think you
- 1:48:38Speaker 1: do have a setup here where New Orleans is coming
- 1:48:40Speaker 1: off a big double digit upset and Macnice almost got
- 1:48:43Speaker 1: double digit upset, so I think I would lean to
- 1:48:46Speaker 1: MacNeice in this game. They're down for may and a
- 1:48:48Speaker 1: half to seven and a half though, so some of
- 1:48:49Speaker 1: the money's coming in against them, and you know, I
- 1:48:53Speaker 1: don't really want to lay points in a situation like this,
- 1:48:56Speaker 1: although I would lean slightly towards MacNeice laying the points
- 1:48:59Speaker 1: in that one, but that's not a game that I
- 1:49:01Speaker 1: want really anything to do with six pm SEC network.
- 1:49:05Speaker 1: Oklahoma at LSU. Not a great game here, Oklahoma to
- 1:49:10Speaker 1: just get a nice win over Roburn, who I think
- 1:49:12Speaker 1: should be a tournament team. We'll see now they're going
- 1:49:15Speaker 1: to LSU. Kind of a weird spot for Oklahoma here.
- 1:49:19Speaker 1: LSU just ended a five game losely streagle to win
- 1:49:21Speaker 1: over a bad Old Miss team, putting up over one
- 1:49:24Speaker 1: hundred points in a crazy high scoring game. I don't
- 1:49:27Speaker 1: know if that was an overtime game or not. I
- 1:49:29Speaker 1: can look in a minute. LSU is down from two
- 1:49:32Speaker 1: and a half to two. Here. Money looks like it's
- 1:49:34Speaker 1: coming into Oklahoma. Eighty three percent of tickets, ninety percent
- 1:49:37Speaker 1: of the cash on them. I slightly disagree. I think
- 1:49:41Speaker 1: based on the spot, I think I kind of would
- 1:49:43Speaker 1: lean towards LSU in this one. Actually, you know what,
- 1:49:48Speaker 1: maybe not that was a two overtime game. Win was
- 1:49:50Speaker 1: this game? It was three days ago? You know what, Yeah,
- 1:49:58Speaker 1: that's pretty difficult LSU coming up two overtime game. Yeah,
- 1:50:02Speaker 1: maybe I would scratch that just because of that. Maybe
- 1:50:05Speaker 1: I actually flip around and lead towards Oklahoma if it
- 1:50:08Speaker 1: wasn't a double overtime game. You know, I think I
- 1:50:10Speaker 1: would lean to LSU there. But that's a difficult thing
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: to have to do, man playing that much extra basketball.
- 1:50:17Speaker 1: So we will see espn US Liberty at Jacksonville State.
- 1:50:21Speaker 1: Maybe Liberty will finally bounce back here. But they have
- 1:50:23Speaker 1: a three game lead, and I think one more win
- 1:50:26Speaker 1: will clinch the regular season Conference USA title for them. Crazy,
- 1:50:30Speaker 1: they haven't already clinched it. They might be motivated though,
- 1:50:33Speaker 1: because they're coming off two losses, so they might be
- 1:50:35Speaker 1: an angry team at this win. You can kind of
- 1:50:37Speaker 1: explain what happened after they had that first loss. A
- 1:50:41Speaker 1: lot of times teams that take their first loss and
- 1:50:43Speaker 1: lose a massive win streak, Like I said, a lot
- 1:50:45Speaker 1: of times, they'll be hung over into the next game.
- 1:50:47Speaker 1: And I apologize for not giving out that lean on
- 1:50:49Speaker 1: the show because that was a lean that I had
- 1:50:53Speaker 1: to Kennesaw that day. This might be the spot where
- 1:50:56Speaker 1: Liberty rights the ship. Although they already beat Jacksonville State
- 1:50:59Speaker 1: by nine at home, They're probably gonna be over valued
- 1:51:03Speaker 1: because everybody knows that one more win and they clinched
- 1:51:06Speaker 1: the regular season conference title. You know, Jacksonville State will
- 1:51:09Speaker 1: get up for the game because they already lost them
- 1:51:11Speaker 1: once it's their final home game. They're coming off a
- 1:51:14Speaker 1: win over Delaware that ended a four game losing streak,
- 1:51:17Speaker 1: so that's a good sign, or that they broke a
- 1:51:19Speaker 1: losing streak. They're not gonna be overconfident here. Yeah, and
- 1:51:24Speaker 1: it's Liberty, man, I mean you're gonna get up for
- 1:51:26Speaker 1: a game against Liberty. So I think I would still
- 1:51:29Speaker 1: lead to Jacksonville State here Liberty minus three and a
- 1:51:32Speaker 1: half seventy five percent takes ninety one percent of the
- 1:51:34Speaker 1: cash on them, but I think I would probably lean
- 1:51:36Speaker 1: towards taking the points. There also excuse at six thirty
- 1:51:41Speaker 1: pm on ESPN two TCU at Kansas State. Everybody at
- 1:51:45Speaker 1: this wint knows TCU is a bubble team. They're trying
- 1:51:48Speaker 1: to make the tournament. Man, Kansas State really has not
- 1:51:50Speaker 1: a whole lot left to play for. I think they
- 1:51:53Speaker 1: can't even make the Big twelve tournament at this point.
- 1:51:55Speaker 1: I think maybe they can. Maybe they can with three
- 1:51:58Speaker 1: games left, but still Kansas State, you know, they got
- 1:52:02Speaker 1: a new coach here. Things aren't going well for them.
- 1:52:04Speaker 1: But for TCU, they won five out of six. They
- 1:52:06Speaker 1: look really good right now. But they have a huge
- 1:52:08Speaker 1: game on deck against Texas Tech. Now. They did already
- 1:52:11Speaker 1: beat Kansas State, but they almost lost to Kansas State
- 1:52:14Speaker 1: at home. They only won by two. Has bigger favorites
- 1:52:17Speaker 1: than that, So TCU might take Kansas State seriously for
- 1:52:21Speaker 1: that reason. Kansas State, it depends on how much of
- 1:52:24Speaker 1: a mess they really are here. Man, They're returning home
- 1:52:26Speaker 1: from playing two road games and back at home. The
- 1:52:31Speaker 1: last time they were at home they won against Baylor,
- 1:52:33Speaker 1: so at least there was that they showed some signs
- 1:52:36Speaker 1: of life there. And I think TCU is going to
- 1:52:38Speaker 1: be a little bit overvalued because everybody knows what their
- 1:52:40Speaker 1: tournament situation is and how they have to keep winning games.
- 1:52:44Speaker 1: TCU is up to a three point favorite here. It
- 1:52:46Speaker 1: does look way too easy to lay the points with TCU.
- 1:52:49Speaker 1: Fifty seven percent of tickets only fifty six percent of
- 1:52:52Speaker 1: the cash on them, so less of the money on them.
- 1:52:56Speaker 1: I'd probably take the points of Kansas State all that
- 1:52:58Speaker 1: being considered, but it's you know, there are some conflicting
- 1:53:02Speaker 1: indicators in that game that I don't love, so staying
- 1:53:05Speaker 1: off of that game for sure. Garrett, what's up? Man?
- 1:53:09Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. You're not gonna like what I
- 1:53:12Speaker 1: have to say about that team. All right? Villanova at
- 1:53:16Speaker 1: Saint John's on Fox at eight pm. Villanova at number
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: fifteen Saint John's. Villanova just beat Butler, so they got
- 1:53:25Speaker 1: some new momentum coming into this. The last time they
- 1:53:28Speaker 1: played Saint John's they did lose at home by seven,
- 1:53:30Speaker 1: so they might show up for this game against Saint John's. Now,
- 1:53:34Speaker 1: Saint John's is probably gonna be pissed because they just
- 1:53:37Speaker 1: had a horrendous game against Yukon. Yukon got revenge on them.
- 1:53:42Speaker 1: But I don't know if Saint John's is gonna immediately
- 1:53:45Speaker 1: bounce back because that was a huge game, Like you
- 1:53:48Speaker 1: get up for that game emotionally, and look at how
- 1:53:51Speaker 1: many Saint John's have won, like fourteen games in a row, dude,
- 1:53:54Speaker 1: and finally lost, and what do I always say, when
- 1:53:56Speaker 1: a team loses along win streak, especially when it's in
- 1:53:59Speaker 1: a game, at least get up emotionally. For I think
- 1:54:02Speaker 1: a lot of times it puts you in a hangover spot.
- 1:54:04Speaker 1: So I'm not sure that Saint John's, even though they
- 1:54:07Speaker 1: had a horrendous performance there, and I think they had
- 1:54:09Speaker 1: like one field goal made in like almost the entire
- 1:54:12Speaker 1: second half in that game, and Rick Patino's gonna be
- 1:54:15Speaker 1: on their asses. I still don't know if this is
- 1:54:18Speaker 1: the you know, this is really a great spot for
- 1:54:21Speaker 1: them here to really bounce back here. You know, Patino
- 1:54:24Speaker 1: will be doing some things. Yeah, inside I want to
- 1:54:28Speaker 1: kill myself. I don't know if it's gonna be enough.
- 1:54:32Speaker 1: You know. I actually leaned to Villanova in this one slightly.
- 1:54:37Speaker 1: Saint John's sixty eight percent of tickets, only fifty four
- 1:54:40Speaker 1: percent of the cash. They're up to a seven point
- 1:54:42Speaker 1: favorite here. I agree with the market reading this one, though,
- 1:54:44Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points with Nova in
- 1:54:47Speaker 1: that one, man, and hopefully it's not a nova or
- 1:54:53Speaker 1: a nova an explosion. Hopefully it's a super nova in
- 1:54:58Speaker 1: that one, and you get the good performance out of Villanova,
- 1:55:00Speaker 1: because I don't think Villanova's gonna overlook Saint John's, man,
- 1:55:03Speaker 1: I think Saint John's could be in a hangover spot
- 1:55:05Speaker 1: after losing a monster win streak like that, all right,
- 1:55:09Speaker 1: Duquaine at Saint Louis number twenty three now St. Louis.
- 1:55:12Speaker 1: Saint Louis had a really bad game against Dayton. Man,
- 1:55:16Speaker 1: they did not shoot well. I think they were gonna
- 1:55:17Speaker 1: letdown spot off of that VCU game. I think Saint
- 1:55:21Speaker 1: Louis is gonna show up with a lot of energy
- 1:55:23Speaker 1: in this one because they're playing Ducaine and they played
- 1:55:26Speaker 1: Duquine already on the road and they almost lost the game.
- 1:55:29Speaker 1: Ducaine almost pulled off the upset, So I think you're
- 1:55:32Speaker 1: gonna see an effort out of Saint Louis here, man.
- 1:55:34Speaker 1: I think because they know they had a horrific game
- 1:55:36Speaker 1: against Dayton, they know Dukaine gave them a scare of
- 1:55:40Speaker 1: the last time. It's not their final home game yet,
- 1:55:42Speaker 1: but I would lean towards Saint Louis in this one.
- 1:55:46Speaker 1: I know it'll be a game that Ducaine should get
- 1:55:48Speaker 1: up for, but I'm just not sure that I see
- 1:55:51Speaker 1: it at this point. Man. I know they've lost a
- 1:55:53Speaker 1: couple of games in a row, but Saint Louis is
- 1:55:55Speaker 1: down from sixteen to fourteen. But I think I could
- 1:55:57Speaker 1: only see laying the points in that one with Saint Louis,
- 1:56:02Speaker 1: who I think will actually bounce back in their case
- 1:56:04Speaker 1: because they have lost two of their last three. So
- 1:56:07Speaker 1: that's what I think about that. You never like what
- 1:56:11Speaker 1: I think about North Carolina, Well, yeah, because I think
- 1:56:13Speaker 1: they're an over rated team. Oregon State at Santa Clara
- 1:56:19Speaker 1: CBS Sports eight pm. Now for Santa Clara, they don't
- 1:56:23Speaker 1: usually get these big home TV games like this, and
- 1:56:26Speaker 1: it is their final home game of the season, so
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: for those reasons, they might show up here. But look
- 1:56:33Speaker 1: at what they did last time they played Oregon State. Man,
- 1:56:35Speaker 1: they beat them by what is that by almost forty
- 1:56:39Speaker 1: points at Oregon State. That's insane, dude. They put up
- 1:56:42Speaker 1: over one hundred points. That is an embarrassing result for
- 1:56:45Speaker 1: Oregon State. And that might mean Santa Clara might not
- 1:56:47Speaker 1: really take them seriously. And Santa Clara is coming off
- 1:56:50Speaker 1: I know they've got blown out against Saint Mary's pretty much,
- 1:56:53Speaker 1: but that was a big step up game against Saint
- 1:56:56Speaker 1: Mary's and it might be more of a reality check
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: game for Santa Clara or like, oh shit, we're just
- 1:57:01Speaker 1: not quite there yet. So I actually do kind of
- 1:57:03Speaker 1: lean towards Oregon State in this one. I'll plus the points.
- 1:57:06Speaker 1: Oregon State's on a nice little run here, a couple
- 1:57:09Speaker 1: of wins in a row. You know, of course, Santa
- 1:57:12Speaker 1: Clara is still playing for seeding here, but you know
- 1:57:15Speaker 1: they're gonna be at least the three seed in the turnout.
- 1:57:18Speaker 1: They probably want that extra buy. I don't even know
- 1:57:20Speaker 1: if they can leap frog Saint Mary's at this point.
- 1:57:23Speaker 1: The teams are won to one against each other, so
- 1:57:24Speaker 1: I'm not sure. Oregon State seems to have actually been
- 1:57:28Speaker 1: playing better since they announced that their coach, whose name
- 1:57:31Speaker 1: is Wayne Tinkle, is not coming back after their bad
- 1:57:36Speaker 1: season this year. He is finishing the season. But you know,
- 1:57:41Speaker 1: teams in that situation actually, a lot of times they'll
- 1:57:43Speaker 1: respond when they know that, oh, this guy's gonna be
- 1:57:46Speaker 1: out next year, like, let's not let him, you know,
- 1:57:48Speaker 1: finish the season on a bad note, you know what
- 1:57:50Speaker 1: I mean. A lot of times the team gets up
- 1:57:51Speaker 1: for it, Like we saw that with Long Beach State
- 1:57:54Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. Their coach was fired, but
- 1:57:57Speaker 1: you know, but he remained there to coach the rest
- 1:58:00Speaker 1: of the season, and he won their conference tournament and
- 1:58:03Speaker 1: got into the tournament. That was the one where I thought,
- 1:58:05Speaker 1: you see, Irvine had won it again that year, but
- 1:58:07Speaker 1: it wasn't. It was you see, San Diego could have
- 1:58:10Speaker 1: won it that year and they didn't. I think it
- 1:58:11Speaker 1: was I think Long Beach won it that year. So
- 1:58:14Speaker 1: I don't know. Oregon State seems to be in kind
- 1:58:16Speaker 1: of a similar situation of that. So I leand to
- 1:58:19Speaker 1: Oregon State man in this game. Santa Clara's link seventeen
- 1:58:24Speaker 1: and a half. No, I don't think they're gonna lose
- 1:58:25Speaker 1: the game, but I would take the points with Oregon
- 1:58:29Speaker 1: State in that one if I was gonna do anything.
- 1:58:32Speaker 1: Fox Sports one at eight pm Baylor at UCF here,
- 1:58:35Speaker 1: This show is gonna go over two hours, and I
- 1:58:38Speaker 1: still have to come back and do NBA and NHL.
- 1:58:42Speaker 1: Baylor at UCF. Weird spot for Baylor to have to
- 1:58:46Speaker 1: go to UCF, man, and you know, Baylor is coming
- 1:58:49Speaker 1: up that monster effort against Arizona and having to go
- 1:58:52Speaker 1: to Florida now, and they have Houston on deck, so
- 1:58:55Speaker 1: they are definitely in a sandwich spot here. And they
- 1:58:57Speaker 1: almost beat Arizona. So this is a pretty horrible, horrible
- 1:59:00Speaker 1: spot for Baylor. So why am I not playing UCF. Well,
- 1:59:04Speaker 1: UCF just they're not in a good spot either. They
- 1:59:07Speaker 1: just went on the road and they upset BYU and
- 1:59:10Speaker 1: just absolutely wrecked BYU in that game, so they weren't
- 1:59:13Speaker 1: a letdown spot off of that. Although yes, I think
- 1:59:15Speaker 1: the spot is worse for Baylor because it's an unfamiliar
- 1:59:18Speaker 1: travel spot and UCF does not have a big game
- 1:59:21Speaker 1: on deck, so I think the spot is worse for Baylor.
- 1:59:24Speaker 1: I will lean to UCF here, but not strong enough
- 1:59:27Speaker 1: to make my cards seventy. Take a seventy of the
- 1:59:30Speaker 1: cash on UCF. Throw it from one and a half
- 1:59:33Speaker 1: to two here. I would money line it probably if
- 1:59:35Speaker 1: you can find a decent money line on that, if
- 1:59:39Speaker 1: you're gonna play it. Or when did Oregon State make
- 1:59:45Speaker 1: the Elite eight? What? That seems like a lie at Jeff,
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: I don't remember that whatsoever? What are we talking about?
- 1:59:53Speaker 1: Oregon State basically never even makes the tournament? And I
- 1:59:56Speaker 1: think the last time they made the tournament I think
- 1:59:58Speaker 1: was in like, I don't know, it was the like
- 2:00:01Speaker 1: the post COVID year. And then some of the teams
- 2:00:04Speaker 1: dropped out because of COVID. I think Oregon State forfeited
- 2:00:07Speaker 1: against VCU in that one, if I remember correctly or
- 2:00:10Speaker 1: something like. I don't even remember. It's kind of ringing
- 2:00:19Speaker 1: a bell that they were like a twelve I think
- 2:00:21Speaker 1: they made the Sweet sixteen, maybe as a twelve seed.
- 2:00:24Speaker 1: Now I'm gonna look it up. Just hold on. I
- 2:00:30Speaker 1: kind of remember that now that you're mentioning it. But
- 2:00:33Speaker 1: it made, you know, my bracket autism is failing right now.
- 2:00:36Speaker 1: It made such a little, such little impact on me
- 2:00:40Speaker 1: that that I don't even remember it. But no, I
- 2:00:43Speaker 1: think they made the Sweet sixteen and lost as a
- 2:00:46Speaker 1: twelve seed. Let me see. I might be wrong. This
- 2:00:52Speaker 1: was twenty twenty one. M Let's see the upset Tennessee.
- 2:01:01Speaker 1: I'm looking right now in the twelve to five matchup. Yeah,
- 2:01:04Speaker 1: I remember that, the upset Tennessee. I don't even know
- 2:01:06Speaker 1: how they did that. I think it was a flash
- 2:01:09Speaker 1: in the pan, man. I don't think it was really legit.
- 2:01:11Speaker 1: I don't know how they pulled off that upset. Yeah,
- 2:01:14Speaker 1: you're right, they made the Elite Age, But look at
- 2:01:16Speaker 1: the run that they made. They got Oklahoma State in
- 2:01:19Speaker 1: the second round, which Oklahoma State is a four seed.
- 2:01:22Speaker 1: I mean, that's just kind of absurd, Like Oklahoma State
- 2:01:24Speaker 1: was not that good. It was just insane that Oregon
- 2:01:27Speaker 1: State was able to beat Tennessee. But then they beat
- 2:01:29Speaker 1: Oklahoma State and then they beat an eight seeded Loyola
- 2:01:33Speaker 1: Chicago in the Sweet sixteen. I mean, come on, man,
- 2:01:36Speaker 1: they had a pretty easy path in that tournament and
- 2:01:38Speaker 1: then they lost to Houston. They did actually play pretty
- 2:01:41Speaker 1: well against Houston, but yeah, I don't know, I don't
- 2:01:45Speaker 1: think that was really a legit run for Oregon State
- 2:01:47Speaker 1: that year. It was just kind of a I just
- 2:01:50Speaker 1: think that was a huge outlier type of deal there,
- 2:01:53Speaker 1: and they got, you know, some beneficial matchups to them
- 2:01:56Speaker 1: after they were able to upset Tennessee. All right, remaining
- 2:02:04Speaker 1: games that I want to talk about here, let's see
- 2:02:07Speaker 1: here Omaha and Saint Thomas is kind of interesting beause
- 2:02:11Speaker 1: Saint Thomas is coming off that big win over North
- 2:02:13Speaker 1: Dakota State in revenge. Saint Thomas is still trying to
- 2:02:16Speaker 1: wrap up the two seed here though, and they did
- 2:02:19Speaker 1: lose to Omaha. So one of their few conference losses
- 2:02:22Speaker 1: was to Omaha. And it wasn't that long ago. So
- 2:02:26Speaker 1: they might want revenge here, and it is their final
- 2:02:28Speaker 1: home game, so you probably will get an effort out
- 2:02:30Speaker 1: of Saint Thomas here. Omaha coming into this of a
- 2:02:33Speaker 1: loss to South Dakota. They're playing for seeding, I guess technically,
- 2:02:37Speaker 1: but I don't know think the difference in their seeding
- 2:02:39Speaker 1: matters too much. This Summit tournament doesn't have really any
- 2:02:42Speaker 1: buys either, so I don't think it matters that much.
- 2:02:45Speaker 1: Saint Thomas up from eleven to twelve. I do think
- 2:02:48Speaker 1: Saint Thomas will actually show up with an effort in
- 2:02:50Speaker 1: that one, it being their final home game and revenge
- 2:02:53Speaker 1: and still probably wanting to get the two seed just
- 2:02:56Speaker 1: for you know, the tournament structure purposes. So I'll lean
- 2:03:02Speaker 1: towards Saint Thomas and that one. Eight thirty PM on ESPN,
- 2:03:05Speaker 1: number twenty, Arkansas at number seven Florida. Interesting game. Arkansas
- 2:03:11Speaker 1: coming off of win over Texas A and M. You know,
- 2:03:15Speaker 1: fine win, but uh, you know, Florida's coming off of
- 2:03:17Speaker 1: a decent win as well over Texas. I don't think
- 2:03:20Speaker 1: either team's in really a bad spot here. I don't
- 2:03:22Speaker 1: think either team's gonna overlook this game. But Florida's on
- 2:03:25Speaker 1: a massive run right now, and they're winning every game
- 2:03:28Speaker 1: by margin. Two. The only game they did not win
- 2:03:30Speaker 1: by double digits they won by nine against a pretty
- 2:03:33Speaker 1: decent Kentucky team. So and a Kentucky team that I
- 2:03:36Speaker 1: think is beaten had beaten Florida four times in a
- 2:03:39Speaker 1: row before that, So it's kind of a matchup issue there.
- 2:03:44Speaker 1: I think the public's gonna look at this and actually
- 2:03:46Speaker 1: think this is a huge line with two ranked teams,
- 2:03:49Speaker 1: Florida from nine to a half to eleven. The public likes,
- 2:03:53Speaker 1: you know, ranked matchups like this. I think they think
- 2:03:55Speaker 1: that it's gonna be a competitive game, right But I
- 2:03:57Speaker 1: think I would only lay it with Florida, although the
- 2:03:59Speaker 1: line is up a little bit to eleven, so the
- 2:04:03Speaker 1: value is a little bit gone after it was at
- 2:04:05Speaker 1: nine and a half. Sixty seven percent of tickets fifty
- 2:04:07Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on Arkansas. So Arkansas is
- 2:04:10Speaker 1: a public underdog, and you know I warned you against
- 2:04:12Speaker 1: public underdogs. That is not the way you really want
- 2:04:15Speaker 1: to look at all. When the public like's an underdog,
- 2:04:17Speaker 1: and that means you could fade the public and be
- 2:04:19Speaker 1: playing the better team a lot of times, that is
- 2:04:21Speaker 1: the way to look I would lean Florida in that one.
- 2:04:25Speaker 1: Not a strong opinion, but the last bet is next
- 2:04:28Speaker 1: for me. Sorry, Garrett. We're gonna finish this one off.
- 2:04:33Speaker 1: We have a few more games to talk about after this,
- 2:04:35Speaker 1: but we're gonna take the points with Virginia Tech. I
- 2:04:38Speaker 1: did find a seven out there at am I am
- 2:04:41Speaker 1: I allowed to say the book names. I guess if
- 2:04:44Speaker 1: they're legal, I think I can so Caesars I think
- 2:04:46Speaker 1: was hanging the seven there. I would still probably take
- 2:04:49Speaker 1: it at six and a half, though, but I would
- 2:04:51Speaker 1: I would probably wait and see if you get the seven,
- 2:04:53Speaker 1: because six and a half is I think will be
- 2:04:54Speaker 1: abundantly out there. And this game doesn't happen until tonight,
- 2:04:57Speaker 1: and you know the public is gonna be on north
- 2:04:59Speaker 1: Care on this one. They're ranked eighteenth in the country,
- 2:05:03Speaker 1: and you know, I don't think they should be ranked eighteenth.
- 2:05:06Speaker 1: Ken Bomb I think might have them outside the top
- 2:05:07Speaker 1: twenty five. Still, they're a fine team, but they're not
- 2:05:11Speaker 1: as good as people think they are, and of course
- 2:05:13Speaker 1: they're without Wilson. Still I believe I think they are right, Garrett,
- 2:05:17Speaker 1: you can correct me if I'm wrong. I don't know
- 2:05:19Speaker 1: if he's back yet. He might be back for some
- 2:05:21Speaker 1: of the tournament action. But this is a bad spot
- 2:05:23Speaker 1: for North Carolina too, and I think they're over valued, man,
- 2:05:26Speaker 1: So I do think the public is going to be
- 2:05:28Speaker 1: on them. Yeah, look at this, seventy three percent of
- 2:05:30Speaker 1: the tickets around North Carolina. Looks like the Sevens are
- 2:05:32Speaker 1: kind of abundant. Now, the ticket percentage all on North Carolina.
- 2:05:37Speaker 1: But look at the money. Seventy nine percent of the
- 2:05:39Speaker 1: cash on Virginia Tech, so the money is coming into
- 2:05:42Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. Obviously. I agree with that. North Carolina just
- 2:05:45Speaker 1: looked really good on primetime at home. Everybody watched that
- 2:05:49Speaker 1: game because it was kind of an isolated game, kind
- 2:05:51Speaker 1: of like a Monday night football game when team when
- 2:05:54Speaker 1: teams have those isolated primetime games like that and everybody
- 2:05:57Speaker 1: watches and they look really good, they're gonna be a
- 2:06:00Speaker 1: public side and you do usually want to look to
- 2:06:02Speaker 1: fade them. So I think they're gonna be in a
- 2:06:04Speaker 1: letdown spot off of that. But it's worse because their
- 2:06:07Speaker 1: final two games are both huge against Clemson and Duke.
- 2:06:11Speaker 1: So this is a sandwich spot. Man. This is the
- 2:06:14Speaker 1: only time to play in Virginia Tech this year, and
- 2:06:17Speaker 1: we know that Virginia Tech is like kind of a
- 2:06:19Speaker 1: bubble team, like this would be a huge win for
- 2:06:22Speaker 1: their resume, for Virginia Tech at the very least, So
- 2:06:25Speaker 1: I think, you know, you're gonna get an effort out
- 2:06:27Speaker 1: of Virginia Tech here, and they're a huge underdog, Whereas,
- 2:06:30Speaker 1: like I said, on the opposing side, it's not a
- 2:06:32Speaker 1: good spot for North Carolina. Virginia Tech just beat Wake
- 2:06:36Speaker 1: to end a losing streak. They're only traveling now from
- 2:06:40Speaker 1: Virginia to North Carolina, so not really a big deal there.
- 2:06:45Speaker 1: They only played BC next even though that is their
- 2:06:47Speaker 1: final home game. But this is one of Virginia Tech's
- 2:06:49Speaker 1: remaining opportunities to do something with their resume. So I
- 2:06:53Speaker 1: like Virginia Tech here. Man, we already know North Carolina
- 2:06:56Speaker 1: is gonna be in the tournament, so this game doesn't
- 2:06:59Speaker 1: have as much meaning to them either. Virginia Tech is
- 2:07:03Speaker 1: my final play on the card. There there you go. Oh,
- 2:07:07Speaker 1: and I guess, you know, I always do look at
- 2:07:08Speaker 1: the ken Bomb stuff. I guess Virginia Tech. They're fifty
- 2:07:11Speaker 1: eighth in the country according to ken Bomb. They are
- 2:07:14Speaker 1: a little bit lucky, but I think they're still less
- 2:07:16Speaker 1: lucky than UNC. Is they're a decent team, even though
- 2:07:19Speaker 1: they're worse on both sides of the ball than UNC.
- 2:07:22Speaker 1: Virginia Tech might try to slow the game down a
- 2:07:24Speaker 1: bit and maybe try to muddy this up because North
- 2:07:26Speaker 1: Carolina does want to go a little bit faster. I believe. Actually,
- 2:07:31Speaker 1: maybe I'm wrong about that. Both teams are kind of No. Yeah,
- 2:07:34Speaker 1: Virginia Tech is still the slower team. North Carolina is
- 2:07:37Speaker 1: outside the top twenty five, and ken Bomb's rankings they're luckier.
- 2:07:40Speaker 1: They're in the top fifty in luck as well. So
- 2:07:42Speaker 1: even though they are the better team, they're a little
- 2:07:45Speaker 1: bit overrated according to Kent Bomb. And again, you might
- 2:07:48Speaker 1: get Virginia Tech like uggling up the game a bit there,
- 2:07:51Speaker 1: all right, eight thirty pm SEC Network, Ole Miss at Auburn.
- 2:07:57Speaker 1: Everybody knows Auburn's trying to make the tournament. Here though
- 2:08:00Speaker 1: the public seems to hate Auburn. I think that they
- 2:08:02Speaker 1: shouldn't make the tournament because their record is really ugly.
- 2:08:05Speaker 1: But the face of the most difficult schedule in the country, Man,
- 2:08:08Speaker 1: this is a very battle tested Auburn team. Auburn coming
- 2:08:13Speaker 1: up an ugly loss to Oklahoma, I think they will
- 2:08:15Speaker 1: win against ole Miss here. They already did beat ole
- 2:08:18Speaker 1: Miss on the road by twelve though, so winning and
- 2:08:21Speaker 1: covering is a different story in a game like this.
- 2:08:23Speaker 1: You know, Auburn's laying a bunch of points here. Ole
- 2:08:26Speaker 1: Miss is just kind of playing out the stretch. But
- 2:08:28Speaker 1: they are coming up that double overtime game, remember, so
- 2:08:31Speaker 1: it's not exactly a great setup for ole Miss here.
- 2:08:34Speaker 1: So yes, I think Auburn will get back on the
- 2:08:36Speaker 1: winning side here. The money is coming in on them
- 2:08:39Speaker 1: to cover as well. They're a ten point favorite, fifty
- 2:08:42Speaker 1: to fifty on the tickets, eighty six percent of the
- 2:08:44Speaker 1: cash on Auburn. You know, I guess I will probably
- 2:08:47Speaker 1: lean that way. But it's yeah, it is not one
- 2:08:51Speaker 1: of my favorite opinions of the day. Let's say to
- 2:08:54Speaker 1: put it mildly, all right, ten BM at CBS Sports.
- 2:08:58Speaker 1: I do like this game, and this game almost makes
- 2:09:00Speaker 1: my card Nevada at UNLV, But it is a rivalry game,
- 2:09:04Speaker 1: er I think both teams will show up, So that's
- 2:09:06Speaker 1: one hesitation that I have here. But Nevada's coming off
- 2:09:09Speaker 1: two really nice wins against Utah State and New Mexico,
- 2:09:13Speaker 1: who are two of the top three teams in the conference.
- 2:09:15Speaker 1: I think both standing wise and power rating wise big
- 2:09:19Speaker 1: wins there. Now they're playing UNLV, who they already beat
- 2:09:21Speaker 1: at home by thirteen. They're having to go to Las
- 2:09:24Speaker 1: Vegas for this one, although they you know, they're used
- 2:09:26Speaker 1: to it though, they're not going to be distracted by
- 2:09:29Speaker 1: the lights or whatever. But I do think UNLV is
- 2:09:32Speaker 1: gonna come into this with a bit more focus here.
- 2:09:34Speaker 1: They just lost fairly ugly at Grant Canyon, coming back
- 2:09:38Speaker 1: home for this in a revenge spot. They do consider
- 2:09:40Speaker 1: themselves to be the little brother to Reno, to Nevada
- 2:09:44Speaker 1: as well. The money looks like it's coming a little
- 2:09:46Speaker 1: bit on Nevada from a pick them to a pick
- 2:09:48Speaker 1: them with juice. But I would look towards UNLV in
- 2:09:51Speaker 1: that one. You might be able to get like one
- 2:09:53Speaker 1: point with UNLV there. I would take whatever points or
- 2:09:57Speaker 1: you know, underdog money line. I guess is maybe an
- 2:09:59Speaker 1: opp there as well. But I like UNLV in that game.
- 2:10:03Speaker 1: All right. Grand Canyon at Utah State, this is an
- 2:10:06Speaker 1: interesting one on Fox Sports. Won at ten pm. This
- 2:10:09Speaker 1: Grand Canyon team is not that bad dude, you know
- 2:10:12Speaker 1: what I mean? If you want like a flyer in
- 2:10:14Speaker 1: the Mountain West, Grand Canyon could make They could make
- 2:10:18Speaker 1: a statement in the Mountain West tournament, let's say. And
- 2:10:20Speaker 1: even though they're new to this conference tournament, Grand Canyon
- 2:10:23Speaker 1: is coming over from the Whack and the Whack also
- 2:10:26Speaker 1: plays their conference tournament in Las Vegas, and that's where
- 2:10:28Speaker 1: the Mountain West also plays there. So Grand Canyon is
- 2:10:31Speaker 1: not gonna come into Las Vegas and get distracted, you know.
- 2:10:34Speaker 1: So if you want to take a flyer on Grand
- 2:10:36Speaker 1: Canyon to win the Mountain West Conference tournament, I think
- 2:10:39Speaker 1: that might be a decent shot man Grand Canyon. They're
- 2:10:45Speaker 1: coming up a nice win over UNLV. Like I said,
- 2:10:46Speaker 1: they've won three of their last four. They're going to
- 2:10:49Speaker 1: play Utah State. They did already beat Utah State, though
- 2:10:52Speaker 1: at home by ten. And this is a totally different
- 2:10:55Speaker 1: environment man, having to go into elevation into a logan
- 2:10:59Speaker 1: Utah here. Utah State is not going to take them
- 2:11:02Speaker 1: for granted this time. Utah State's coming up of a
- 2:11:04Speaker 1: rather ugly loss which was a huge win for San
- 2:11:07Speaker 1: Diego State, but an ugly loss for Utah State on
- 2:11:10Speaker 1: the road there, so they might bounce back from that.
- 2:11:13Speaker 1: So I do like Utah State in this game against
- 2:11:15Speaker 1: Grand Canyon, even though I think Grand Canyon is a
- 2:11:18Speaker 1: pretty good team, but this is just not the spot
- 2:11:21Speaker 1: for them. I think Utah State will win. I would
- 2:11:24Speaker 1: lean to towards laying the points of them as well.
- 2:11:26Speaker 1: They're down to nine and a half here with juice
- 2:11:28Speaker 1: that looks like from ten seventy five percent of tickets
- 2:11:31Speaker 1: nine and nive percent of the cash in Utah State.
- 2:11:33Speaker 1: I do not disagree with that one there. All right,
- 2:11:38Speaker 1: Then we have ESPN the huge game in the Mountain
- 2:11:41Speaker 1: West between Gonzaga and Saint Mary's. Wait, did I miss
- 2:11:44Speaker 1: San Diego State? Hang on? Oh, no, I talked about
- 2:11:48Speaker 1: San Diego State. That was that game against New Mexico. Yeah,
- 2:11:51Speaker 1: I already talked about that game, didn't I? I think
- 2:11:53Speaker 1: I did? Yeah? All right, anyway, West Coast Conference. Gonzaga
- 2:11:58Speaker 1: number nine in the country at Saint Mary's on ESPN.
- 2:12:00Speaker 1: Yet if you look at the number, it looks way
- 2:12:02Speaker 1: too easy to play Gonzaga. Oh my god, the ninth
- 2:12:05Speaker 1: ranked team in the country and it's basically picked the
- 2:12:07Speaker 1: winner at two and a half. It looks way too
- 2:12:10Speaker 1: easy to play Gonzaga here. I know it's a huge
- 2:12:13Speaker 1: game for both teams. It is a pacing not mismatch up,
- 2:12:17Speaker 1: a contrast where as always Gonzaga plays fast, Saint Mary's
- 2:12:21Speaker 1: plays slow, Saint Mary's is going to try to slow
- 2:12:23Speaker 1: the game way down. But Gonzaga is actually a better
- 2:12:27Speaker 1: defensive team than they have been in some of the
- 2:12:29Speaker 1: recent years. So Gonzaga is actually a legit team with
- 2:12:32Speaker 1: some balance this year. I think they are missing one
- 2:12:35Speaker 1: of their better players though huff I think it's his name.
- 2:12:39Speaker 1: I think he's out. But Gonzaga is still playing well.
- 2:12:41Speaker 1: They just got a huge revenge win against Portland, but
- 2:12:44Speaker 1: maybe they don't care that much about that game, but
- 2:12:46Speaker 1: Portland had beaten them earlier in the season. Notoriously, Gonzaga
- 2:12:50Speaker 1: really stuck it to them. And I told you I
- 2:12:53Speaker 1: liked Gonzaga in the first half of that game because
- 2:12:55Speaker 1: I thought they might start looking ahead. But they covered
- 2:12:57Speaker 1: it all. They covered first half, they covered full game.
- 2:13:00Speaker 1: I think it all won for Goozaga on that one,
- 2:13:03Speaker 1: but I think they will show up in this game.
- 2:13:05Speaker 1: They did beat Saint Mary's at home, but I don't
- 2:13:09Speaker 1: really love the spot for Saint Mary's because the setup
- 2:13:11Speaker 1: just isn't that great for them. Where they had a
- 2:13:13Speaker 1: huge game against Santa Clara and beat them, and now
- 2:13:16Speaker 1: they have to turn around and put it in another
- 2:13:17Speaker 1: huge effort against Gonzaga, where Gonzaga is coming up a
- 2:13:21Speaker 1: game that was over like basically right after it started.
- 2:13:23Speaker 1: So I kind of like Gonzaga here, but they are
- 2:13:26Speaker 1: up to a three point favorite. Now the money is
- 2:13:28Speaker 1: coming back on Saint Mary's now sixty five percent of tickets,
- 2:13:32Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on Saint Mary's. The
- 2:13:35Speaker 1: money is indicating on Saint Mary's now at least once
- 2:13:37Speaker 1: the line got driven up to three, maybe some extra
- 2:13:40Speaker 1: value there on Saint Mary's. It's not gonna be a
- 2:13:43Speaker 1: game I want to play at all. The under might
- 2:13:45Speaker 1: be in consideration because this series, believe it or not,
- 2:13:49Speaker 1: even though Gonzaga plays fast and they're usually very good offensively,
- 2:13:52Speaker 1: this series has gone under I think eight times in
- 2:13:55Speaker 1: a row, and the total has been in this range
- 2:13:57Speaker 1: every one of those times in the one four so
- 2:14:00Speaker 1: this total is not out of whack with where it
- 2:14:02Speaker 1: has been in those other games, So I think the
- 2:14:05Speaker 1: under actually makes sense in this game as well. The
- 2:14:09Speaker 1: first game between these two, what was the final It
- 2:14:12Speaker 1: was seventy three sixty five, so that game landed. Can
- 2:14:15Speaker 1: I do math anymore? What is that? One thirty eight?
- 2:14:18Speaker 1: So yeah, the game. That game went under as well.
- 2:14:21Speaker 1: Like I said, I believe, I'm assuming the total was
- 2:14:23Speaker 1: probably actually higher because it was at Gonzaga, so Gonzaga
- 2:14:26Speaker 1: plays faster, So this total probably should be set a
- 2:14:29Speaker 1: little bit lower. Because Saint Mary's at home, they should
- 2:14:31Speaker 1: be able to limit the pace a bit, you know,
- 2:14:34Speaker 1: they slow the game down, So that is one thing
- 2:14:37Speaker 1: that Saint Mary should do. I do like the under
- 2:14:39Speaker 1: in that game and probably prefer that to playing the side. Actually, Charles,
- 2:14:44Speaker 1: what's up man? They start hanging out? Jeff, You know
- 2:14:48Speaker 1: what I was wrong because I thought that twenty twenty
- 2:14:50Speaker 1: one year was the year where wasn't there a year
- 2:14:52Speaker 1: where Oregons stayed forfeited. I thought it was one of
- 2:14:55Speaker 1: those COVID years where they they weren't even in the
- 2:14:57Speaker 1: tournament at all. But the one you're talking about, I
- 2:14:59Speaker 1: think was twenty twenty one, so I don't know. I
- 2:15:01Speaker 1: was thinking of one where they forfeited and it was
- 2:15:04Speaker 1: a weird, weird thing where VCU, like their first round
- 2:15:09Speaker 1: matchup basically just didn't happen. They were supposed to play
- 2:15:12Speaker 1: and I picked them in my bracket anyway, but they
- 2:15:14Speaker 1: were supposed to play Oregon State and then their game
- 2:15:16Speaker 1: didn't even happen. It was a very odd situation where
- 2:15:19Speaker 1: then VCU got a bye basically into the round of
- 2:15:22Speaker 1: thirty two, and then I'm assuming they didn't do well
- 2:15:24Speaker 1: in the round of thirty two, because you don't want
- 2:15:26Speaker 1: to have a bye going into that play against the
- 2:15:28Speaker 1: team that's already played a game and has momentum. You know,
- 2:15:31Speaker 1: I think it was a seven to ten matchup. I
- 2:15:33Speaker 1: want to say where that happened. I don't remember what
- 2:15:36Speaker 1: game that was, what year that was. That was a
- 2:15:38Speaker 1: weird spot, man, all right. And then we have ESPN two.
- 2:15:41Speaker 1: As you see Santa Barbara and you see Irvine. These
- 2:15:44Speaker 1: two teams are up near the top of the Big West.
- 2:15:47Speaker 1: You see Santa Barbara did just bounce back against you
- 2:15:50Speaker 1: see Riverside, and we barely got the cover in that one,
- 2:15:53Speaker 1: even though, dude, you see Riverside. There were two points
- 2:15:57Speaker 1: in the game where they were down twelve, but other
- 2:15:58Speaker 1: than that they were covering wire. Other than that, they
- 2:16:01Speaker 1: were within four points in the final minute and a
- 2:16:04Speaker 1: half of the game, and they lost by eleven. Somehow
- 2:16:07Speaker 1: they cover the eleven and a half. But I don't
- 2:16:08Speaker 1: know how that happened, dude. So you see Santa Barbara
- 2:16:12Speaker 1: is coming off a bad effort. Part of that handicap
- 2:16:15Speaker 1: was they'd be looking ahead. Do you see Irvine? This
- 2:16:16Speaker 1: is gonna be a big game for them, although they
- 2:16:18Speaker 1: did already beat you See Iravine at home. You see
- 2:16:22Speaker 1: Irvine is coming off a bigger win though they went
- 2:16:24Speaker 1: to Northridge and beating Northridge on the road, and north
- 2:16:28Speaker 1: Ridge is one of the competition of theirs near the
- 2:16:30Speaker 1: top of the conference. And you see Irvine had a
- 2:16:32Speaker 1: big game the game before that against you See San
- 2:16:34Speaker 1: Diego as well. So Irvine, they're having to play three
- 2:16:38Speaker 1: big games in a row. Man, So I don't like
- 2:16:40Speaker 1: how the setup is for you See Irvine in this one.
- 2:16:42Speaker 1: I would prefer Santa Barbera here, coming off a much
- 2:16:45Speaker 1: easier game where they didn't really have a good effort.
- 2:16:48Speaker 1: So I would lean towards taking the points. You see
- 2:16:50Speaker 1: Irvine is a three point favorite. It's a low total here.
- 2:16:53Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with you see Santa
- 2:16:56Speaker 1: Barbara there, and that's gonna be it. Man once again,
- 2:16:59Speaker 1: the five plays for college basketball today are Buffalo minus
- 2:17:03Speaker 1: the points, Bellerman plus the points, Briant plus the points
- 2:17:07Speaker 1: that one. I think you can get at least three
- 2:17:09Speaker 1: on it now, Arizona minus the points. So we do
- 2:17:12Speaker 1: have a couple of favorites in here and Virginia Tech
- 2:17:15Speaker 1: plus the points. That's gonna do it. I will be
- 2:17:17Speaker 1: back shortly to talk about NHL and NBA and it'll
- 2:17:20Speaker 1: be a lot quicker than this. Hopefully there's not much
- 2:17:23Speaker 1: NBA today. Least. We really got to get back on
- 2:17:25Speaker 1: track with the NBA. Man. I don't know if I'm
- 2:17:27Speaker 1: skipping it today or not. Probably we'll have at least
- 2:17:30Speaker 1: one hockey play, which was the only good thing about
- 2:17:32Speaker 1: last night's card, But we will see in a second.
- 2:17:35Speaker 1: I got to handicap all that. I gotta do my
- 2:17:37Speaker 1: Instagram videos for this. I'll be back peace for now.
- 2:17:42Speaker 1: But yeah, I'll be right back not too long. So
- 2:17:47Speaker 1: thanks guys for hanging out. Oh yeah, learn a tone
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- 2:18:13Speaker 1: toe to throw me some support and get some yuke
- 2:18:16Speaker 1: requests and stuff that I don't do very quickly, especially
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- 2:18:23Speaker 1: And then loser cast of course every Tuesday. Go check
- 2:18:27Speaker 1: that out. The comedy show that I'm on right now,
- 2:18:29Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Peace for now, and I will
- 2:18:32Speaker 1: be back very shortly with the normal daily show piece
- 2:18:39Speaker 1: for the next twenty minutes or so.