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MLB ALCS + NHL + NFL Best Bets Sunday 10/19/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: So that's that's what I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even know what
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: Own four, that's have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: Man, with bookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins hack Man, I
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: March eight? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: know it's March ninth? I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know what day is anymore. But I don't
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: even know what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have with you, as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: Doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: Slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you? Better off dead.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Sunday, October nineteenth, yesterday, winning day, although it should have
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: been better than it was, was four and three. We
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: can break it down. Started off real nice with an
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: easy win on Central Michigan and college football, plus the
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: three and a half easy outright winter they want on
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: the money line.
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: Never in doubt.
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: I think they won twenty six to seven or something
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: like that, and just no question about it. I didn't
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: even didn't watch the game at all.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: Who cares? Easy win. I think I was right about it.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: Purdue just could not get anything going offensively, man. I
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: mean it was an ugly low scoring game, like I
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: thought it was going to be. But Northwestern won the
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: game I think nineteen to nothing. It's just like, come on, man,
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: Like all Purdue I had to do was just come on, like,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: just score a couple times. Get back in that game. No, no,
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: they just get shut out. I don't know how really
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: that happened. I thought Northwestern was in just a major
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: letdown spot there. That game was a letdown. We had
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: a nice call on our Kentucky joined by our friend
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: of SOB and the chat was also on Kentucky with me.
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: That was a pretty easy winner.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, Texas is not going to cover a twelve
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: and half points spread when they score thirteen points in
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: the entirety of regulations. Texas offense just awful, dude, arch
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: Manning was terrible.
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: Kentucky. I mean give them credit for playing pretty.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: Well defensively though it was what I thought it was
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: an ugly low scoring game. Kentucky ran the ball, they
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: played defense, stayed in the game, maybe debatably should have
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: won the game. It was a close game, like the
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: whole way went into overtime. Obviously it's a very low
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: scoring game, and then Kentucky just didn't score at all
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: in overtime, I believe, and they lost sixteen to thirteen.
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: I think was the final.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: I think it was thirteen thirteen going into Fineal and
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: I think Kentucky turned the ball over in Texas won
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: with the field goal, I believe is what.
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: Happened in overtime.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: I was sort of watching it but sort of not
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: paying attention, so I don't know, but we got the
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: win on that one pretty easily. Wish we got the
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: money line part of that right. That would have been
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: a nice money line hit on Kentucky. But it was
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: a nice play either way. And then Syracuse completely let
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: us down. Syracuse was just hanging around in that game,
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: man like. For most of the game, they were like
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: one score away from covering that thing. Of course, I
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: gave it out a plus ten on the show, the
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: line had dropped to nine and a half. Pittsburgh made
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: sure that none of it covered, so that was just great.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: It was also that was my best bet in my
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: one of my money pools on splash that as you
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: pick a best bet. That was I think the first
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: time I lost the best bet since Week one in
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: that game. I've been doing decently in that game, but
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: it's really hard to get into the money, so I
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: don't know. I'm doing worse in the NFL game, believe
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: it or not. Even though the NFL, I've been really
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: good just picking the entire slate of games, but not
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: as good.
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: Isolating those games.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: Decent with my actual plays, but those like last cuts
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: are just not doing well for me here. I don't know,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: but Syracuse wasn't able to do it. It was a
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: low scoring game for a lot of the game, and
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: they were still within one score of like at least
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: pushing that number late. I think they were actually within
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: ten points. I believe with like three minutes to go.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Syracuse was losing by exactly ten. So
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: it's just like, all right, at plus ten, it's gonna
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: be a push. The plus ten and a half betters
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: would win on that one, and then No A. Pitt
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: had to score another time touchdown I think at the
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: end of that game, to just erase all of it.
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know how they scored that last touchdown because
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: it was unnecessary, but the final score did look worse
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: than it actually was. I haven't looked at the box
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: score yet, but Syracuse was losing twenty three to thirteen
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: with like three minutes left in the game. So when
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: you have a plus ten and that's what's going on
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: in that game, it's you know, it's pretty reasonable to
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: say that that was a decent look there, hockey players
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: were decent. We got there with the Saint Louis Blues
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: finally fading Dallas finally pays off.
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: As we win with the Blues. I haven't looked at
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: the box score yet for that one.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: I know they won three to one, and then the
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: Columbus Blue Jackets came from behind two to one and
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: won for US three to two. So my top two
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: hockey players both hit yesterday, even though I wasn't in
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: love with them really, I mean, I was just like
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: those were like kind of the market read just kind
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: of like was the clinching factor for me on those two.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: But those were nice wins.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: And then I feel like maybe we should have gotten
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: the win on the third hockey game too with the
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: LA Kings, man, I'm just I'm not happy about that.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: They were down three to nothing and at that point
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: it's just like, just lose the game, man, Like, don't
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: give me any hope. But we had the Kings as
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: a nice money line underdog here, and what did they do.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: They came all the way back and they tied it.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: The game was like statistically pretty close, although I think
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: LA did. I think lose the face off battle though,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: and I think they were the less physical team in
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: the game. I think they had more shots, but that's
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: probably because they were behind. So yeah, I mean, maybe
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: they did get outplayed a bit, but you have them
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: as an underdog at home and it's a tied game
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: at the end of regulation. Seems like it's it was
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: kind of the right side in a way, at least
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: as far as the fact that they were in that
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: game right until the end and then they lose like
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: a minute and a half into overtime.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: Brutal, Absolutely brutal. Don't get my hopes up, man.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: On No King's Day, the Kings don't get there for us.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: So isn't that great? I'm pissed about that Florida Panthers. Yeah,
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: I mean I believe I said I leaned against the
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: Panthers and that one. I wasn't very strong on that one,
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: but I kind of leaned to Buffalo in that one.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: I'm kind of surprised it was an easy I think
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: it was a blowout win for Buffalo. What's up, Jeffrey,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: You played the NHL plays that I had? Yeah, my
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: top two plays both hit, but the The King's Woe
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: was a little bit. I mean, that one just kind
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: of pissed me off, man, Like that was a late
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: decision just looking at the strength to schedule and thinking, yeah,
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: I mean it seemed like a spot where maybe Carolina
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: wasn't gonna like have their full effort there. And by
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: the way, I the both of those teams in that
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: game went with their second string goalie. Like I thought
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: Kemper might be back in net for LA in that one,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: he was not. La used Forsburg and net and Bussy
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: was in net for UH for Carolina, and that was
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: so both teams had their their second string goalie in
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: that one, which I think that was Even with that
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: being the case, I think that was more of a
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: disadvantage to Caroline because Anderson is a really good goalie.
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: So the drop off from him to Bussy, I think,
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: I think it's a pretty big drop off. I'm never
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to say that guy's name, dude, is
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: it Bussy or Bussy, I don't know. I'm gonna call
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: it bussy. LA did not slip it into the buss
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: into Bussy's net enough. They didn't get it past the bussy.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: They skipped the bussy too many times. Let's get into today.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: I gave out my NFL place last night on the show,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: so you can check that out. There's still time, although
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: the stupid London games in action right now.
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: I do not have a play on that game.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: I gave out a slight lean on the Jaguars plus
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: the points in that one, just because they have the
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: London experience and they traveled way earlier in the week.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: The late money looked like it was coming in on
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: the rams though, so I don't know what to think
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: about that game.
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: And Nakua injured.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: By the way, let's talk about Major League Baseball for today.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: There is one game in the ALCS. Seattle leads the
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: series now three to two. The road team has won
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: every game in the series except Game five, which Seattle
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: won at home. This is the same pitching matchup that
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: happened in Game two, which was a ten to three
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: Seattle win. Do I expect that to be the case
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: again in this game? No, I don't, and the oddsmakers
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: are telling you to not think that way either, because
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: the total is pretty low.
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: It's seven and a half.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: It is headed towards eight, but ninety one percent of
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: tickets on the over, eighty percent of the cash on
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: the over, so it's a very public over with I
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: guess people thinking we like these two offenses. People see
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: most of the games of the series have kind of
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: been higher scoring than you would think. Odds makers kind
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: of pushing back against that though, and thinking like telling
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: you that maybe we won't have his high scoring a
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: game here. We do have rested bullpens. I think Seattle
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: does have the better of the two bullpens. Pitching I
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: do think is an edge for Toronto in this game, though.
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: Logan Gilbert is pitching for Seattle, and yeah, he has
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: been one of their better pitchers three point four to
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: four ERA, one point zero three whip on the season,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: good stuff on the season, but he has not been
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: good on the road four point seven to four road here.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: And by the way, Toronto is much better at home.
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: I know they're own two at home in the series,
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: but they were much better at home than on the road.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: And they will finish the series at home here, so
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: if they win this game, they'll send it to a
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: deciding game seven at home. Gilbert went only three innings
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: in his outing against Toronto. He's pitched three times in
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: the playoffs now, but they didn't really have.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: Him go long. In his last couple of outings.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: He made a full start basically against Detroit the first
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: time out, pitch really well. He pitched well in both
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: outings against Detroit. He came out of the bulp and
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: actually against Detroit in the fifteen inning game that was
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: the deciding game against Detroit, two scoreless innings in that one.
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: After he went six innings along one run against Detroit
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: in the first outing of the playoffs. For him, last
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: outing wasn't as good, though he only lasted three and a's,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: He allowed to earn runs an unearned run, five hits,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts, one walk, so Toronto was able to get
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: to him a little bit last time out. He only
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: threw fifty eight pitches though, so he will be pretty
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: rested coming into this one after not throwing that many
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: pitches in that last outing. So at least there is
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: that if you want some positive with Gilbert, because there
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: are a lot of negatives with him against Toronto, including
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: the fact that Toronto generally does hit him well and
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: one hundred and one career at bats twenty to seven
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio is not a great ratio for
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: him three h seven at batting average allowed and eight
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: forty seven ops allowed, So Gilbert, he's not been very
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: good against Toronto, So that is another drawback with Gilbert.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: You think you Savage got some coaching.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe I think they need to fix some things
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: potentially with him, because it seemed like Seattle somewhat figured
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: him out a little bit in that game.
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: Trey Savage is pitching.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: In this one three point two one ERA in the
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: season for him, one point four to three whip is
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: definitely too high, but he didn't pitch that much. He
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: only had I think he only had three major league
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: starts during the season, which does mean he's fresh, he's
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: not gonna be worn out. And his fourth major league start,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: I think it was his first playoff start, which is
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: just crazy. He had a zero ERA at home this season,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: which was of course not including the playoffs though, because
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: he did allow a bunch of runs in the playoffs.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: He had a really good start to start his playoff
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: career against the yank He's the eleven strikeouts in five
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: and a third no hit innings against the Yank He's
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: great start.
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: For him in that one.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: I think maybe he was in a little bit of
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot though, because that was just such a huge,
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: like emotional start. His parents were there, he obviously, I
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: think he didn't want to be taken out of the game,
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: but you know, he was kind of just like, I mean,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: you could see his reaction where he just kind of knew, like, yeah,
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, it makes sense they're gonna take me out,
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: like we got to try to win the World Series here.
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: I think maybe he was in a letdown mode after that.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Just that was an enormous star for him, and he
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: did not do well against Seattle. Four innings, pitch, five
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: and runs, three walks, four strikeouts, gave up a home
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: run four hits in that one, which was still that
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: ten to three win because Gilbert was on the other
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: side against him, and then the Seattle bullpen really did
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: not do well in that game. I kind of expect
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: both pitchers to actually do a little bit better this
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: time out. I do think you Savage will be better
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: in this one. Maybe the coaching, but maybe I think yeah,
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, there were probably some things to fix, but
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: I think he was also in a letdown spot in
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: that one. It's gonna mean that his numbers against Seattle
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: don't look good because that was the only time Seattle
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: faced him. Sixteen at bats, four strikeouts, three walks, as
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: we already talked about two point fifty average allowed eight
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: thirty eight ops, so the ops is a little bit high.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: The average still isn't really that high though, So I mean,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: your Savage, it's not all bad for him. But the
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: one other negative is that he went into that game
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: being an unknown to Seattle, and that usually is the
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: advantage to the like really good young pitcher is that
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: first time they face an offense, the offense has to
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: like figure him out in a real game when they've
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: never seen him before. So the fact that Seattle has
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: now seen him before, that kind of takes that advantage
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: away from you Savage here, So that's a little bit
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: of an issue. Although I do kind of expect him
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: to pitch better than he did in that I mean,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: could he really pitch worse than he did in another one?
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: Not really.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's he's so good that I think he's
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: gonna improve on his last start. It's just a matter
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: of how drastic is that improvement gonna be.
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know. But he's still a tall guy.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: He still has that overarm arm angle where he throws
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: from a release point of like seven feet in the air,
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: which is one of the craziest high release points that
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: any pitcher has.
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: He's still got some nasty, like.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: Moving pitches along with a really like hard and high
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: nineties fast ball.
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: So yeah, he's still got nasty stuff.
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: More hits, fewer strikeouts, Yeah, I mean, he's not gonna
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: have eleven strikeouts.
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: Again, I wouldn't imagine.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: I think that Yankees lineup is more strikeout prone than
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: than Seattle's is as well.
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't have an opinion on this game
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: very much.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: But you can see what the market is doing on
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: the side the best, the biggest market read in this
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: one is Toronto.
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: They're out for minus one to fifteen to minus one nineteen.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: Fifty four percent of the tickets, ninety two percent of
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: the cash on Toronto. So the money is saying Toronto
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: in this one. I'm not gonna disagree with it. I mean,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: I do think you Savage probably does have the edge
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: over Gilbert in the starting pitching matchup. Maybe a first
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: five inning Toronto moneyline play might make sense. You probably
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: have to pay a little bit more for that if
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: you do that, because the odds makers know that Toronto's
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: bullpen is a little bit worse than Seattle's that would
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: be a lean.
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: I don't.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion, though we can go
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: to hockey. We have a small hockey slate on a
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Sunday here, Vancouver at Washington at twelve thirty pm Eastern.
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: We got some afternoon hockey here.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: In these isolated matchups, I mean Sunday, you get some
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: of these matchups that are like hockey has to compete
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: with the NFL, so still probably nobody's watching these games,
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: but you get some decent hockey matchups on Sunday afternoon.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: This is a decent one. Washington is off to a
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: good start this season, four and one. They've won four games.
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: In a row.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: Don't really think it's a letdown necessarily coming off a
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: win over Minnesota, because I don't think Minnesota is really
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: that good. Isolated Sunday game like this against a team
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: like Vancouver, I think you're gonna get up for it.
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: I think both teams are gonna be focused for this one.
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: At the very least.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Is Washington maybe not as good as the record looks,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I mean potentially, I mean the wins
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: are not exactly bad, Like they haven't faced a particularly
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: easy schedule. They haven't faced a ridiculously difficult schedule either.
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: I mean they beat both New York teams, Tampa overtime,
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: than Minnesota. None of those teams are actually bad, so
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: I mean those are decent wins. We don't know what
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: their goaltending situation is gonna be. It looks like they
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: used Thompson for two games at the beginning of the season,
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: switched to Lyndren, and so it might be lingering again
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: in this one because Thompson did play the last two
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: games for Washington. I don't know if it's a huge
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: downgrade or not. Vancouver coming off a close call where
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: I think they should have lost. They had to go
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: to a shootout to beat the Chicago Blackhawks, which was
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: one of our losers the other day on Friday night.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: I thought we should have gotten there with Chicago. Man
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Chicago blew it to a nothing lead. Thought we had it.
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: It was a bad spot for Vancouver. Vancouver is now
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: facing a third.
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: Straight road game, though over a span of four days.
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: That's not easy.
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: They had yesterday off, That's still a pretty difficult scheduling spot.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna have Demco back in net here
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: though they use Lancing and in the last game, I
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: assumed Demko is back for this one after some rest.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: He'll be he's their top goaltender, so he'll be in net, I.
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: Assume for Vancouver.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: But it's still a difficult spot even with that being
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: the case. Rested goalie, but still three games in four days. Again,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: it's it's not an easy scheduling spot for all in
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: different cities. Again, not that easy. And they're traveling from
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: the Midwest now all the way to the East for
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: this game. But they'll want to get up for it
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: because Washington is a good team. But the spot's difficult enough.
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: The money is actually coming out of Washington, and I
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with that. Washington up for minus one forty
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty six eighty six percent of the tickets
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the cash on Washington, so they're
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: public but it looks like they're getting the actual money
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: as well. Again, I won't disagree with it, just because Vancouver.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: The rest spot just looks pretty lacking to me on
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: the Vancouver side. Edmonton Detroit interesting game, yeah, I mean,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: it's definitely an interesting game. I mean I think Detroit
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: might be overperforming a little bit. Edmonton maybe underperforming a
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: little bit at two two and one here. But this
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: is a pretty difficult spot, to be honest. Edmonton's on
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: a back to back. They played yesterday against the Devils.
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: They lost the game to the Devils yesterday. Devil's a
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: pretty decent team. They used a pickard in net yesterday
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: Edmonton did, so Skinner will be back in net this time.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: You know, you watch my show. I'm not a fan
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: of either of those goalies. I don't think they're very good.
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: Difficult spot, man, It's a back to back, a third
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: game in four days and a fourth game in six days,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: all well, not all in different cities, because two of
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: them were in New York, but and one of them
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: was in New Jersey, So I mean that kind of
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: limits the travel a little bit. But it's still four
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: different arenas and now they're having to travel from New
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: York to Detroit with no time off. I don't love
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: the spot, to be honest, man, Edmonton, it looks like
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: a difficult spot travel wise. Rest wise, Detroit as more
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: rest here. Detroit last playing on Friday. But they did
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: have a big win. They've had four big wins in
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: a row. Actually, they beat Toronto. They were able to
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: hold Toronto off from getting the revenge against them and
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: beat them again, beat the returning champs. Florida didn't suffer
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: a letdown, and they beat Tampa Bay as well in overtime.
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: Those are big wins.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: So they're coming off a stretch of big games as well.
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: So their spot isn't that great either. They will have
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: Talbot back in net here, So both teams are gonna
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: have their starting goalie back in net here, their top goaltender.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: I should say, because Gibson was in net last time
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: for the Red Wings that he wasn't even bad.
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: Difficult spot.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Both teams have their top goalie back in this one.
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on Edmonton. They're down for minus
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: one forty minus one thirty four, but sixty tickets eighty
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash coming on in Edmonton. Man,
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: it's a difficult read. I mean, I think both teams
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: in difficult spots. You could argue the Detroit's record maybe
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: is a little bit misleading, Maybe they're not quite as
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: good as their record looks. Maybe Edmonton's a little bit
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: better than their record looks. Edmonton's coming off another loss,
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: Detroit's coming off some pretty big wins, but this is
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: still a big game I think for both teams, and
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: Edmonton is just such a difficult rest spot. Dude, I
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: would have to lean to Detroit as a money line
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: underdog here at home. But it's not a strong opinion
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: for me, But that's the way that I would lean
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: in that one towards Detroit. I don't know if that
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: information is helpful at all, but I don't like these
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: games today at all. I'm not gonna have a play
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: on any of these. I'll talk about all of them
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: just because they're all isolated, and then I'll do the
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: final NFL read and then I'll get out of here.
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: Anaheim just had a game where they I mean they
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: lost at home to Carolina, I mean, as expected. Carolina
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: is one of the best teams. Anaheim's had two days
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: off now and now they're traveling to Chicago. I think
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: it's a decent focused spot actually for Anaheim here, because
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: when a team loses at home, one of the best
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: things they can do is actually just leave.
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: Just go out on the road.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: You don't have to listen to what the media is
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: saying whatever, just going on the road, focus on hockey.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: They have two days off I think it's a decent
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: spot for Anaheim.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: It's a positive spot.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: Don't know which goalie they're gonna use in this game.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it matters that much. Although Moraaak
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: was actually really bad in their game against San Jose,
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: so probably you'd prefer if you like Anaheim, you'd prefer
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: it's Dostal Dostile docile dorsal fin.
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: Now I don't even know, I don't know how you
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: pronounced his name.
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: You'd probably prefer that it's him in net though, because
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: he is their better goalie, and it might be him
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: with two days off, they might go with him again.
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: Here the Blackhawks, I think we're in a bit of
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: a worse spot because they had that big game member
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: they almost were able to beat Vancouver two nights ago,
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: had to go to a shootout and they wound up
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: blowing the game, losing the game and over to We're
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: in a shootout difficult game for Chicago. Man, that was
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: a big step up game for them as an underdog.
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: Now they got.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: Anaheim coming in and up next they do have Tampa
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: Bay after a few days off, which is a bigger
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: opponent the very least. Yeah, I mean I'm gonna kind
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: of lead to Anaheim in this one. Man, you know what, ah?
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, this almost looks like a sandwich spot for
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: the Blackhawks.
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: Man, I'm tempted to do it. Do I do?
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: I give up another hockey play on the fly here?
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, the money's agreeing with me on Anaheim. Here,
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: they're up for minus one twenty and minus one twenty five,
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the cash on them, fifty two
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Chicago.
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: And my hockey reads have.
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: Been pretty good. All right, let me see what the
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: best number we can get is. I'm gonna look at
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: the the books. I'm looking at the Massachusetts books here.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: Let me see, that's basically what I go off of
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: it this one, because we basically have every book available.
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: Let me see.
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: Action networks make it seem like the money is a
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: flip to the other way in it, but I don't
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: buy that at all. Minus one twenty five is the
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: best we can do on it. So you do have
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: to pay a little bit of a price for it.
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: But yeah, you know what, let's do it well well
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: out of Hawk play. It's gonna be in the night
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: slate here, We're gonna go with the Anaheim minus won
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: twenty five. I think it's a sandwich spot for Chicago.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: I don't love the spot.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: So we'll go with Anaheim there in that one.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: I think it's definitely a more positive spot for Anaheim
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: and for Chicago.
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: We don't know who their goalie is gonna be. I mean,
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: I could go.
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: Look and see who the projected starters are. Knight is
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: their better goalie. It's probably gonna be him again because
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: he only he's only played one game in a row
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: right now.
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: He played their last game against Vancouver.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: Usually they haven't played multiple in a row, so it
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: is probably Night again in net here he is their
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: better goalie, but we'll.
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: Still do it. I think it's a bad spot for Chicago.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: And then my Boston Bruins after a three and oho
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: start there three and three now, and I mean they've
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: had some difficult opponents here though, at Vegas and they
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: played pretty close somewhat at Colorado, and those are good teams.
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: Can't really blame the Bruins for losing those games on
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: the road to better teams. But either the Bruins are
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: getting very disrespected in the market or Utah is getting
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: a lot of respect for some unknown reason, it seems
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: like Utah is just a heavy favorite in all these
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: games at home, and I don't really understand why. I
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: don't think Utah is really that good. The Bruins not
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: very good either. I don't think it's a good spot
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: for the Bruins though it's a back to back. They
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: played Colorado yesterday. I know they lost pretty badly, but
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: the Bruins are probably going with corpa Salo.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: And Netear who is their worst goalie.
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: Swayman played the last two games and he was not
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: great in those two games either.
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: Corpasalo actually probably.
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: He might even be part of the reason why Utah's
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: favored by so much, because that'll shift the line at
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: least a little bit more. And after this Utah game,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: to finish off the road trip where the Bruins are
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: having to play three games in four days, all in
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: different cities, very difficult playing two games in a row
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: in high elevation.
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: They got to come back home.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: On Tuesday, and on Tuesday they got to play Florida,
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: which is that's always a big game against Flora and
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: a man, I mean, Florida is the team that eliminated
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: eliminated them from the playoffs two years in a row,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: prior to the Bruins not even making the playoffs last year. Yeah,
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot, man. It sets up a lot
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: better for Utah and this one.
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: Utah coming off a.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Pretty easy win over San Jose where they really didn't
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: have to expend much energy, and they didn't play yesterday either,
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: and they're staying at home. So it's a pretty bad
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: spot for the Bruins. I think a lot of that
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: is being factored into the line though, and is why Utah.
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Part of the reason why Utah has favored that heavily. Uh,
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: you're probably gonna get vana Check in net for Utah.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Vamelka has been their top of their two goalies. He's
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: the one they uses their.
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: Number one goalie.
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: Vana Check is a little bit worse, and one of
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: their losses was the game where they did at vana
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Check in net against Chicago. It'll probably be him the
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: two v's, but I don't think it matters even if
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: it is vana Check. I think Utah is the right
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: side in this game. But you gotta lay a wat
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: you gotta lay a mammoth price on Utah.
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: They're down for minus two twenty to minus two ten.
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: Seventy one percent of tickets ninety three percent of the
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: cash on them. Though, if you wanted Utah in this game,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: I would go Utah to win in regulation, you could
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: go with the puck line as.
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: Well, because they are at home.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: You could go with Utah minus to one and a
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: half goals to try to get over that.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: You'll probably get that at an underdog.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Price if you actually do that, because goals. There aren't
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: a lot of goals scoring in hockey. So I'm kind
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: of shifting my views on how to play like I
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: would usually recommend like a split play. Sometimes like use
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: like an odds calculator to figure out how to make
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: your own minus one puck line. You have a little
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: bit of money on the minus one and a half
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: puck line. In the other I'm out on the money
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: line and try to make your own line that way.
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: But to win in regulation is usually a pretty decent
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: price that gets that price down to a more reasonable
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: money line price on that team. So that's probably what
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: I would do with Utah. I would go Utah in
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: regulation in that one. I'm not buying the market read
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: numbers in the NFL today.
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: I'm not.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Like one of my one of my my best bet,
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: my best bet in the NFL is going against a
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: market read. Yeah, I mean, as far as the market read,
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: I usually will lean to the market read. In this case,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: I agree with the Washington one. I agree with the
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: Anaheim one. Obviously, I agree with the Utah one. The
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: only one I disagree with is Edmonton Detroit. Uh, just
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: as far as the where the cash percentage is. I mean,
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: you don't want to always agree with the market read.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: Although the market read does tell you more more info
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: than most info, Like it tells you more than what
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: most info will tell you. I guess I don't know
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: what a better way of phrasing that is, but you
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, Like the market read is telling you,
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: like it's it's a compilation of what's going on in
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: the market. So in that one number, there's a lot
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: of information in there that's basically telling you, Hey, this
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: is where the bigger bets are, So this is where
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: more of the professional money is. So it definitely does matter,
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: but also you gotta take it with a little bit
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: of a grain of salt too, based on like the
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: what this site is doing, like pregame, where are they
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: sourcing these numbers?
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: This is a free tool. They used to list the books.
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: That they were taking into account here, and now they
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: don't list that anymore. I don't think, but I kind
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: of know what they are. It's like all the major
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: Vegas casinos. I think they are including the online like
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: the big online players now, but they're also including like
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: those sharp online.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: Books like the offshore books.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: So I still think the market this is a better
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: view of the market than like the than any of
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: the other ones that I've seen as well. For free tools,
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: this is like by far the best, but I've used
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: like some of the paid tools before, like don Best.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: I have Action Network because I use it to track
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: my plays. But their tool that's similar to this, even
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: though it's part of the paid it's part of paying
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: for Action Network, I don't like their their tool. I
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: kind of like their like market signal part of it, but
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: I don't like their market percentages part of the tool.
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: I think this is actually a way better way to
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: read it. So, I mean that's just the way that
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: I do things. I'm an old school though, so, but
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: I just think that Action Networks is too skewed towards
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: just the big online books, and it doesn't give you
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: a good representation of where the professional money actually is,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: whereas this does because this is including all those sharp books,
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: if that makes sense, all right, and then NFL. I
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: do have best bets in the NFL, So let's just yeah,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: let's show the best bets graphic. It'll be the best
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: Bets segment. We'll do the final NFL market read, and
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: then I'll leave once again the best bets Today. I
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: gave out Anaheim and Hockey at minus one twenty five.
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: NFL. You can go see my analysis.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna put these out on Instagram quite short, very
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: shortly too. But we're gonna be on the New Orleans
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: Saints plus four and a half. I think the best
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: you can get on it is four now, but there's
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: not much of a difference with that, so yeah, I mean,
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: I think that's still fine to do that. Denver Broncoes
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: minus seven, although the line's starting to move towards Denver
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: Man So the late market movement does seem to agree
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: with me, even though the market percentages don't look like
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: they're in agreement with me. I just think this is
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: a horrible spot for the Giants. It's a Philly cheese
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: steak sandwich. You can go see my analysis that I
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: did on that last night or wait for my Instagram
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: video on it. But if you want to lay Denver
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, you can do it. I mean,
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: you could put Denver in a teaser though, for sure
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: you could do it two teams six point teaser and
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: you can get Denver from seven and a half, find
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: Denver either seven and a half or eight, and get
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: them all the way down to one and a half
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: or two.
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: Just to win the game.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: You just have to find another teaser leg to tie
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: that in with. Maybe I can give some recommendations on
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: that in a second, if you want to play Denver
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: but not lay the points. But Denver's been pretty solid
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: as a favorite at home the last couple of years,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: so we're gonna do it anyway. You can still find
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: minus seven upwards of like minus one twenty. I said
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: last night, I probably wouldn't lay more than minus one
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: fifteen on the minus seven. I would probably shift over
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: to actually laying the minus seven and a half even
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: though it is a key number. But maybe I don't
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: know if you want to lay minus seven minus one
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: twenty just to get it on that key number.
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: Seven. I wouldn't beat you up over that either.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: If you want to lay the seven and a half,
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: you could do that too, because that's where the number
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: is headed. I mean, I just think it's it's such
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: a spot, man, I just don't want to give up
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: the spot. Like I think, you gotta find some way
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: of playing this game, you know what I mean. If
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: you want to play the Giants to go under their
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: team total, that might be another way to look at it,
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: cause I think Denver's defense is going to be able
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: to slow that Giant offense down. And then I'm also
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: on San Francisco minus one and a half or minus
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: I think it's minus two at most places now, but
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: that's not a significant difference. Or if you want to
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: find forty nine ers money line, I think that's also fine.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Those are the three plays as far as oh great,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: and the Rams are already blowing out the Jag so
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be an incorrect pick for me. That's great
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: should have gone with the market read in that one.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: I didn't agree with it, though I liked the Jags
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: having the London familiarity coming off a loss and the
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: fact that the Jags were already in London, like almost
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: a week earlier than the Rams were.
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: Fuck that.
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: I guess a final market read on these it looks
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: like the Chiefs are public, so yeah, I would probably
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: take the points with the Raiders in this one market
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: read is still saying money on the Browns. I do
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: agree with the Browns on that side there, Patriots Titans,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: I agree with taking the points with the Titans. One
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: thing I forgot to mention that might give you a
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: little bit more of a lean towards the Titans here.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: I don't want to play this game.
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: But the Titans did also just fire their coach, which
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: I completely neglected to mention last night. And when a
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: team fires their coach, it can fire up.
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: The team a little bit.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: And they're also simplifying their offense for cam Ward to
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: try to make it easier on him. I don't know
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: what that entails, but that it does also mean the
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: Patriots might not know what the Titans are gonna do offensively.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: It's gonna make it a little bit harder for the
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: Patriots to.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: Game plan if they don't know what this new Titans
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: offense is gonna look like. But when a team fires
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: their coach, it can spark the team because maybe the
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: team didn't want to play for that previous coach. Maybe
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: the team just wants to prove that the coach was
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: the problem and not them. So that's a little bit
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: of a motivating factor. And the Titans you have for them.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: The money is still saying the Saints, of course, which
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: is one of my plays, So not gonna disagree with
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: that one. Eagles are very public and the line is
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: kind of reversed moving against them a little bit, so
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: the money is pretty much saying the Vikings here. I
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: struggle with that game a lot, though, like that's gonna
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: be one of the last ones that I have to
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: make a decision on because I man, I mean situationally,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: both of those teams look like they're actually in positive
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: spots to me, So very very difficult handicap on that
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Eagles Vikings game. What I said last night, maybe I'll
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: continue to say right now. I think if it's JJ
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: McCarthy for the Vikings, I would probably wind up picking
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. But if Wentz is still playing for the Vikings,
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: I would probably pick the Vikings. I know that sounds ridiculous,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: but if it's McCarthy, it's gonna mean that they're bringing
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: this quarterback back who hasn't been playing for a while.
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's as good either. He hasn't looked
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: good so far. It's gonna be a chemistry shift. They're
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: gonna have to get used to him again. He's gonna
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: have to get used to being back out there. I
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: don't love it. So if the Vikings go back to McCarthy,
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: I think they're fade fadable in the game. But if
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: they're gonna stick with Wentz, I think I like the
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: Vikings more. The money is coming in on the Jets now. Hey,
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: So I had said that my situational handicap on this
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: had me leaning towards the Jets. I thought that the
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: public was more on the Panthers than what we're seeing
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: in the market percentages last night. So we see that
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: starting to pan out now, So I still lean to
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: the Jets. There Colt's Chargers, I'm gonna still lean to
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: the Chargers in that one. With their bolt yellow uniforms,
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be looking good, feeling good. I think my
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: Indianapolis cult are gonna lose. Broncos still don't have the
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: cash percentage on them here, but I still like the
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: Broncos here the money, the lame money does look.
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: I don't think this is all public action.
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: I really don't like, do you really think the public
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: is hammering the Broncos at more than it's touchdown, laying
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: more than a touchdown after they only won thirteen to
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: eleven against the Jets last week, while the Giants looked
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: awesome against Philly last week.
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: I don't think so.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: I don't understand what these market percentages are here. I
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: don't think the Broncos are even actually a public side here,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: So I will.
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: Still I'm on the Broncos.
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's one of my plays, So I'm gonna
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: ignore what the market percentages are saying on that one.
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: And again the line is moving more towards the Broncos again.
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: It was down to minus seven last night, and now
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: we're seeing movement coming in towards the Broncos again. And again,
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: I don't think that that's public action. It's really driving
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: that because I don't think they're a heavily public side.
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: I leaned to the Cowboys still, just based on the
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: situation against Washington. They flipped to the f even though
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: right now the cash percentage is not actually on the Cowboys.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: I think when the game kicks off, maybe it will
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: be I think I'm gonna continue to lead Cowboys in
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: that one.
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: Packers Cardinals.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: One thing I forgot to mention is the Cardinals are
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: going with Jacoby Brissett again, And I know part of
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: my handicap last week is that.
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: Is that Brissette being in there.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: The Cardinals were in an injured player theory spot last week.
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: It was their first game with Brissett, so you knew
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: they were gonna step up their game. And a lot
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: of times when they play well in that game, they
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: take a bit of a step back the following game
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: with that quarterback still in there, or if they get
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: their other quarterback back. But Kyler Murray's not coming back
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: on this game. It is Brissett again, So sometimes I
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: want to look to fade that team in that second game.
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: But Brissett, I mean, he's a pretty good game managing quarterback.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: And the Packers, I mean I think they still have
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: that rogerssus versus the Packers look ahead.
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: They're looking ahead to that Steeler game. There. Packers had
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: that five hour plane delay.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Packers are public money is still saying
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: Cardinals plus some points, I'll still lean to that. I mean,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: the total is not that high either, money coming in
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: on the under. I'll go with the market on that
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: when it lean to the Cardinals, even though my first
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: instinct was that the Packers were in a better spot,
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: but laying seven on the road, I mean, I don't
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: know a tough read, but I'll lean to the Cardinals
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: and that would very slightly. And then of course I
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: do have a play on the nine Ers, although the
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: money is shifted and it looks like it's on the
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: Falcons right now, but I don't really buy that. It
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: looks like the forty nine ers who were minus two
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: now they're like minus one and a half. So maybe
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: there's some late money coming in on the Falcons, but
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: I would not see why that's the case. I mean,
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: it's not late yet. This game's not until tonight, so
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: we'll see what the market starts doing late. But my
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: situation will read it's a really bad spot for Atlanta,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: and then you know, tomorrow we're still looking at the
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: Lions being the public side. But I actually still lean
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: to the Lions against what the Cash Reercenter just saying
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: and against what the Cashers. I'm just saying I leaned
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: to the Texans as well. Uh, in those two Monday
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: night games for now. I mean, I'm gonna talk about
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: them again tomorrow, but those are the final Leans. If
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: you want a teaser tie in with if you want
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: to tease the Broncos down, what what would I tease
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: with the Broncos?
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: That is a question, Oh boy.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: I mean you could tease the Vikings up to like
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: eight or eight and a half.
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not sure the Eagle.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: The Eagles haven't been able to really blow anybody out
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: this year, so maybe teasing the Vikings up isn't that
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: bad of a move. It's a somewhat low total in
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: that one. Uh, you could tease the Jets up to
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: if you can get the if you could if you
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: see the Jets out there a plus one and a half,
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: you can actually tease the Jets up to plus eight
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: The Panthers, I don't believe they've won a game on
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: the road yet this year, So getting the Jets at
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: over a touchdown if you could do that that or
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: getting the Jets at a plus seven and a half,
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: excuse me, or better, I mean you could use that
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: as a teaser leg.
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Those would probably be the ways that I would look there.
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: As far as the teasers are concerned, I don't know.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Or you could maybe try to tease because the Monday
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: night games aren't really teasable. Yeah, I think it's really
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: just those two in addition to the Broncos that I
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: would use as a tease. I mean, you could get
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: the Packers down to if the Packers are seven and
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: a half, anywhere, you can get them down to through
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: the seven all the way down.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: To below too. You know, you could do that, or
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: do the same with the Patriots.
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: But right now they're both at seven, So I don't know,
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: and I'm not really a huge fan of either of
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: those sides. Probably more of a fan of the Packers
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: side than the Patriots side.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: That's about it. I think.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: By the way, for Washington, they still have a lot
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: of wide receiver injuries here. McLaurin is still out and
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: Deebo sam Emuel is still out, so Washington's still using
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: like a mash unit of wide receivers there in that game.
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: Washington had been a much better up rushing attack in
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: passing attack this year. Their rushing attack is good, though
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: on the Cowboys rush defense is not good, so although
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: I think it's probably still better than their pass defense,
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: but I still lean to the Cowboys in that game.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: As bad as their defense is. I think Washington's offenses
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: maybe uh like maybe the Cowboys will have the ability
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: to slow Washington's offense down enough to like beat them,
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: or the Cowboys actually could maybe just make this game
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: a shootout and actually just out offense Washington.
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to think about, Like I like the Cowboys
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: based on the situation, but this is gonna be a
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: high scoring game.
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: It's up to fifty four on the total.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: Though the money is saying to look towards the under
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: in this game, but it is a high total.
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: It's that way for a reason. Both defenses are terrible.
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: But the Cowboys offense right now is actually better than Washington's.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: Cowboys are getting Seed Lamb back in this game too,
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: by the way, which I forgot to mention. So the
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: Cowboys they're gonna have their offense basically at full strength
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: here and that and that Cowboy offense I think is
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: definitely better than Washington's offense. So I think the Cowboys
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: do actually want to turn that game into a shootout
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: to try to win that game because their defense is
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: probably not gonna be the answer. But I still think
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys can do that in that one. And I
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: don't know, I had all these things in my head, like,
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: oh shit, I forgot to mention this. Oh shit, I
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: forgot to mention this. I was gonna mention fired coach
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: spot for Tennessee, Brissett still playing for Arizona wide receiver,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: injuries for for the Washington and Ceede Lamb coming back.
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: So I think I got it all all right? Yeah cool,
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: I think that's it. That's gonna do it.
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: Hopefully that that's all some good info there. Yeah, solid
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: at a vel picks, Thank you sir. Well, hopefull they actually win.
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: You're gonna bail out with the Lions are tomorrow night.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: The I don't I don't like bailout situations, man, Like,
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: don't force a play, like just because you want to
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: try to win money back, and that's how you go
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: more broke basically, Like that's how you have a tendency
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: to lose more. Because if it's not a strong opinion
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: on that night game, my opinion is to just not
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: do it.
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: Just let it go.
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: You had a losing day, just keep doing what you
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: do and move on to the next day. But I
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: like the night games and night I like the forty
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: nine ers in.
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: The Sunday night game.
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow night is the Lions game, which I have a
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: slight lean to the Lions, slightly to the Texans, but
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, And originally I thought the Texans
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: were the better of those two sides.
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: But I don't know Wentz.
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: If he's playing, it's well revenge against his old team,
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: I guess, but I think he's already played against the
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: Eagles since then. Wentz has been around so long. I
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: don't think that revenge spot matters. I think he's against
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: the Eagles many, like, probably multiple times since he's been
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: gone from the Eagles. I don't even know if he
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: really cares like I don't remember how the Eagles wound
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: up getting rid of him. But at this point, I
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I don't think that matters really at all.
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: Jersey Mike's Buffalo Wild Wings what about their some I
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: like some of the Buffalo Wild Wings waitresses around here.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: Jersey Mics is the best sub chain, by the way,
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: they actually have solid sandwiches.
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: They make a nice.
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: A nice Italian sub If you get buried, you're gonna
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: bail out the Lions. I would probably recommend against that.
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: We'll see if there might be something else that's a
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: better play tomorrow than the than the Monday night games.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna I haven't handicapped the rest of the slate,
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: and there's gonna be hockey at the very least tomorrow,
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: So there's probably at least one hockey play that's better
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: than that. But don't try to bail yourself out man
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: like though. That's like one of the like mistakes that
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: recreational betters do because they're playing on a game that
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: might not be as strong. But they also try to
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: get all their money back on one game, right, like,
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: oh shit, I lost three hundred bucks today. Let me
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: put like, let me try to win all of that
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: back on one game. And then then you're also betting
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: too much on that one game. And of course, even
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: if you handicap that one game really well, even if
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: you think it is a strong play, which a lot
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: of times they don't in this case, they don't even
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: really assess the strength of the play. But even if
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: it is like a strong player or whatever, there's still
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: the risk of losing that you don't want to, like,
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: put more on the game than what you can afford
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: or whatever. So that's what I would say about that, Jeffrey,
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, man.
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: I gotta get my Instagram videos up, get this thing
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: out on audio. Peace out for now. I'll be back
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: tomorrow morning with whatever is going on on Monday. NBA
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: starts on Tuesday, gonna be way too much to break down,
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: and then college basketball is probably gonna kill me. And
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: I did really bad in college basketball last year, which
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: is not good because I was really good with college
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: basketball the two prior years. So I don't know what
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: happened last year, but we'll be back. That's gonna do
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: it for now.
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: Peace m