Latest / Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast / One Game, One Trophy | Miami vs Indiana Championship Prediction

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One Game, One Trophy | Miami vs Indiana Championship Prediction · Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast

• 0:01
  All right guys, welcome to another episode of Targeting
• 0:07
  Winners National Championship Game Edition.
• 0:11
  Joining me, as always, is Peter and Darren.
• 0:14
  How you doing fellas? It's raining here, which means
• 0:20
  it's not snowing, which means we're above 14°.
• 0:23
  So, you know, shorts and T-shirt weather here.
• 0:29
  That's not bad at all, no. It's not really well.
• 0:31
  It's going to be cold this week. It's going to be down to the 30s
• 0:34
  down here. 30s. Have to go out and cover up the
• 0:38
  pipes and put that little heat lamp in there just in case.
• 0:41
  It might be like 32 on Friday. I mean, we're down to 79 here,
• 0:45
  so it's tough. I mean, we're we're I got a long
• 0:47
  sleeve, so the shirt off. So I mean.
• 0:49
  We're we're roughing it out here.
• 0:51
  Covering up your you can't tell if that was a shirt your pasty
• 0:53
  white skin. There, that's it.
• 0:55
  Yeah, it's done. My goodness.
• 0:59
  All right, guys, this is the last week of college football.
• 1:03
  We have one more game left with with so it sucks.
• 1:08
  We'll have one game and before we get into it, let's look into
• 1:12
  what we got coming up in the offseason.
• 1:14
  We touched on this last week. We've got on February 12th at
• 1:17
  7:00, we're going to do a live stream with Mark from Coach's
• 1:20
  Hot Seat. So if you have any questions, if
• 1:23
  you're only listening on Spotify, you can e-mail us at
• 1:26
  cfbdudes@yahoo.com. I think I did get an, I didn't
• 1:32
  check the box, but I did get one of those little red dots.
• 1:35
  So I think we do have one e-mail in there.
• 1:37
  So hopefully we get some more coming in for Mark.
• 1:41
  I know I got a question from Mark.
• 1:42
  I don't know if you guys have any.
• 1:43
  What are you guys thinking about that?
• 1:45
  I honestly just started out one other thing about how people are
• 1:49
  are listening or if they're not watching, if they're on Spotify,
• 1:52
  Spotify did add a thing where you can actually leave comments
• 1:54
  as well. So if you don't want to e-mail
• 1:56
  and just want to comment a question on on Spotify, whether
• 2:00
  it's under the video or the audio, you can certainly do that
• 2:03
  as well with just the one game to prep for.
• 2:07
  For today, all I've done is just kind of made a quick sheet of
• 2:12
  the team, the new coach and the old coach and there's 33 of
• 2:15
  them. So that's the most in like, God,
• 2:21
  that I get you. I think some some article I read
• 2:23
  went back like 2008 and there's never been this many.
• 2:26
  A couple years ago there was 32. But yeah, one extra this year.
• 2:31
  Thanks, Sharon. And the other guy who drank in
• 2:33
  Ohio. But yeah, 33.
• 2:36
  So I mean, one more and you're talking 25% of the FBS coaches
• 2:39
  are going to be different from from this year to next.
• 2:42
  So and I don't remember hearing his name, but one of them is not
• 2:45
  Bill Belichick so he will be back next year.
• 2:49
  As of now. But then again, I mean what we
• 2:52
  we had the Sharon Moore and the guy from Ohio up years ago.
• 2:57
  We had the whole Pat Fitzgerald thing.
• 3:00
  Unfortunately we had the Mike Leach passing, Saban retiring.
• 3:04
  I mean, there's I just got a feeling there's one more.
• 3:07
  But right now 33 openings, 33 have been filled.
• 3:12
  Right now, every FBS team has a a head coach, but we'll see if.
• 3:17
  Well, Bill Belichick already has a college age girlfriend so I
• 3:20
  don't think he has to worry about him running off with
• 3:22
  another one. So.
• 3:24
  However, coaching North Carolina, he may have a
• 3:26
  substantial amount of alcohol at his desk, so.
• 3:29
  Oh yeah. I mean no offense to him, but
• 3:33
  watching Gio Lopez for 12 games would probably make me want to.
• 3:36
  Yeah, he did not do well. Well, once you leave, you know
• 3:42
  the Group of Five Americas, team of South Alabama, there's only
• 3:45
  one way that goes down. He's also in the portal, so you
• 3:50
  know he could end up back in the group of five dominating yet
• 3:52
  again. But here we go, it's.
• 3:55
  Probably where he belongs, back in the group of five.
• 3:59
  It's got colder. We'll get to the transfer portal
• 4:01
  later. But also we are Bull Mania
• 4:04
  contest concluded last week and we have a winner.
• 4:09
  Darren, let us know who is it? Jeff of Lane Kiffin's Yoga
• 4:13
  School has won the pool. He had the two game lead going
• 4:19
  into the Oregon Indiana semi. I don't know the mindset of of
• 4:24
  him or the gentleman that was two wins behind him.
• 4:27
  However, Jeff did roll with Indiana.
• 4:30
  The person just behind Jeff went with Oregon, maybe thinking that
• 4:33
  Jeff would roll with Indiana and try and make up a game there.
• 4:36
  But yeah, once, once that game kicked off, you can see who took
• 4:39
  who. So about 5 minutes after
• 4:42
  kickoff, pretty much we knew if Indiana covered it was going to
• 4:46
  be Lane Kiffins Yoga school winning it all and that that
• 4:50
  that happened pretty I. Think 2nd place was also named
• 4:54
  Jeff, so the winners. So apparently if your name is
• 4:56
  Jeff, get in next year because you have an excellent chance to
• 4:59
  win. So Jeff will be reaching out in
• 5:02
  the coming days. We'll get your PayPal or Venmo
• 5:05
  info, kick you over a couple $100.00 of our money and
• 5:09
  congratulate. And Jeff is is an OG.
• 5:11
  He's been listening since the beginning, so.
• 5:14
  That's Syracuse, Jeff. That is Syracuse, Jeff.
• 5:17
  He had an unfair advantage. He's been buried under 9 feet of
• 5:19
  snow since December 1st, so he had plenty of time to research
• 5:24
  all the games and because he ain't going anywhere, as much
• 5:26
  snow as you got the. Reasons don't matter, he is the
• 5:30
  winner. He is the winner.
• 5:32
  Congrats to Jeff. Although I am going to say for
• 5:35
  the second year in a row, you know who was on top of this.
• 5:38
  Country, that's true. For the second year in a row I
• 5:43
  get a whole fist full of shit because I get nothing.
• 5:45
  I am ineligible. So yes.
• 5:49
  Now is Jeff a Florida State hater?
• 5:50
  Because we have a two year winning streak of Florida State
• 5:53
  hater winning the pools. So I I don't know if Jeff is a
• 5:57
  Florida State hater, but hopefully that streak will
• 6:00
  continue as well. Thanks, but yeah.
• 6:03
  Anyway, Congrats to Jeff. You're this year's winner of the
• 6:05
  Targeting Winners Bowl Mania pool.
• 6:08
  I like, so we'll be in touch in a day or two.
• 6:09
  Get you all paid and thank you for listening.
• 6:11
  That money, all right, And this league this week actually marks
• 6:17
  the end of the transfer portal eventually.
• 6:21
  Guys, any any more news from here?
• 6:22
  I hear Riola went to Oregon and earlier today Dante Moore said,
• 6:27
  yeah, I'm going to stick around. So do you think Riola says I'm
• 6:31
  going to leave or what do you think is going to happen there?
• 6:36
  Pete, you're the big 10 guy. What do you?
• 6:37
  I think you should just stick it out and be the backup, but.
• 6:41
  Yeah, I mean, I don't know. I mean, I, I think, I think he
• 6:45
  might stick it out and be the backup, but I, I don't know
• 6:47
  what's going to happen there. It's too hard to read, you know,
• 6:51
  I think it's a possibility he might do something.
• 6:53
  But I think at the moment, if I had to put money on something,
• 6:56
  he's probably going to stick it out and stay there.
• 6:57
  That's where I guess at the moment.
• 7:00
  Yeah, it worked out well for for Dante Moore.
• 7:02
  He was, what's his name is back up there, Gabriel, before he
• 7:05
  went to Cleveland. So he's not sat there for a
• 7:07
  year. At least he won't get hurt.
• 7:10
  You say, you know that's not going to happen.
• 7:11
  If you're on the bench, you can't get hurt.
• 7:12
  The. Problem is, the guy who created
• 7:14
  all those quarterbacks is now the head coach of Kentucky.
• 7:17
  So I don't know who's who the new OC is and if he's great at
• 7:22
  developing quarterbacks or not. But won't have to worry about
• 7:26
  that with Dante Moore playing another year.
• 7:28
  But should he get hurt and Riola gets in there, it'd be
• 7:32
  interesting to see how he does. I mean, he's got familiarity
• 7:36
  with the Big 10, but it's not like he was tearing it up
• 7:39
  statistically. So we'll see do.
• 7:41
  You think for Dante Moore it's a money choice?
• 7:44
  Or do you think his draft stock slipped after the Indiana game?
• 7:48
  I'm sure his draft stock is excellent.
• 7:49
  He didn't want to play for The Jets, but maybe he wants.
• 7:53
  To play for The Jets. Yeah, I mean, think about it.
• 7:55
  Am I wrong? He's probably, I mean, no,
• 7:57
  Mendoza. Mendoza goes to the Raiders.
• 8:00
  The. Thing is, The Jets are really
• 8:02
  bad. They they do have a ton of
• 8:04
  issues besides quarterback, but would you want to risk, you
• 8:07
  know, being drafted by The Jets? At this.
• 8:10
  Point in their franchise, no. Yeah.
• 8:14
  So that's a. And I Jets decision, that's just
• 8:17
  me. I.
• 8:17
  Was wondering, 'cause I think they mentioned Ty Simpson was
• 8:24
  offered eight figures to stay at Alabama and he's gone pro.
• 8:28
  I haven't read 6 1/2, but he is apparently filed his his
• 8:32
  paperwork, man. He's, he's going to the draft.
• 8:34
  Apparently his dad came out and said, you know, everybody we
• 8:37
  talked to, nobody had a second round grade on him.
• 8:40
  Everybody said he was going to be a first round pick.
• 8:43
  So he is a guess officially now since his papers are filed.
• 8:46
  Done with done with college football.
• 8:49
  Oh, and Tim, I wanted to ask you, what about your boy Damon
• 8:52
  Williams signed a big contract to stay at Washington, says now
• 8:55
  I'm going to go to the portal. And then finally.
• 8:57
  His representation, yeah. And.
• 9:00
  Basically was like his new representation like dude they
• 9:02
  are going to F you over hardcore you might as well just stay.
• 9:06
  So I I just can't wait for the first shotgun.
• 9:09
  Like does the entire offensive line just move out of the way
• 9:11
  and let him get his ass handed to him?
• 9:13
  How do you think after that? Situation What?
• 9:15
  What kind of message is that sending?
• 9:17
  I was thinking the same thing, like he almost has to leave.
• 9:19
  He can't be like, yeah, I'm Maddie, OK, I'll come back.
• 9:22
  You know, it's like, what do you, what do you do at that
• 9:24
  point? Like the whole teams are looking
• 9:25
  at your side eye. It's like.
• 9:27
  Well, you know, everybody was quick to blame Lane Kiffin.
• 9:30
  Lane Kiffin must have got in there and tried to tell him to
• 9:32
  get into the portal. But then, yeah, Levitt, who quit
• 9:35
  on Arizona State, now went to Lane Kiffin as well.
• 9:37
  So I guess those two deserve each other.
• 9:39
  But. They do indeed.
• 9:40
  That's going to be a quite the interesting couple.
• 9:43
  I think, I think sadly, I think it'll work.
• 9:45
  I do too. Oh, I think it'll work.
• 9:47
  I'm glad I'm not the only one that thought.
• 9:49
  I just say like Levitt's skill set with his mobility, you know,
• 9:53
  it worked with Trinidad Chambliss and Jackson Dart
• 9:56
  before him. I guess we'll see how much of
• 9:58
  that was was Charlie Wise Junior calling the plays.
• 10:01
  But what Kiffin likes to do, Levitt seems to fit so.
• 10:07
  Interestingly enough, I believe LSU opens SEC play next year at
• 10:11
  Ole Miss, so that'll be a fun game for all that will.
• 10:14
  Be for sure highest rated game of the season.
• 10:16
  At that point I got a feeling and the.
• 10:18
  Daggers are going to be out in that place.
• 10:20
  Is that a home game for LSU or is that a?
• 10:23
  Old. I believe it's at Ole Miss.
• 10:25
  At Ole Miss, that's going to the Daggers going to be out, man,
• 10:27
  that's. Going to be wild.
• 10:29
  He's going to die. That's going to be must see TV,
• 10:34
  right? There is that the team that
• 10:35
  throws mustard on the field or something?
• 10:36
  What team is that? I got a feeling Mustard hitting
• 10:42
  him is going to be the least of his concerns.
• 10:43
  Because that is. Well, it could be worth they
• 10:45
  could be located in Philly because then they got to watch
• 10:48
  out for those AA battery or you. Might see like car tires come
• 10:52
  flying from the stands or something.
• 10:53
  I mean it's. Not going to be good, man.
• 10:56
  It's not going to be good at all.
• 10:58
  But I'll be watching because I'm a sick bastard.
• 10:59
  So yeah, see what's going on. Well, like I said, Couch
• 11:04
  football season ends this week. One star do not recommend.
• 11:09
  But this is one game left. We got Miami against Indiana for
• 11:14
  all the marbles. Well, let's talk about it.
• 11:17
  Got some stats up there on on the screen.
• 11:19
  Peter, what are your initial thoughts on this one?
• 11:23
  Well, we got one team here that was looking pretty inevitable a
• 11:26
  number of weeks ago with Indiana.
• 11:28
  I mean, they were looking pretty unbeatable for quite, quite some
• 11:30
  time. Not that I didn't pick them to
• 11:32
  lose last week, but every bet I made last week was a loss.
• 11:35
  So we won't even talk about that.
• 11:38
  But I mean, Indiana's obviously been absolutely rolling and
• 11:42
  dominant. So yeah, so no big surprise
• 11:45
  there here Miami and now they've they've been hot of like clearly
• 11:50
  and playing really well. So I'm I'm really, really
• 11:54
  interested in this game. Obviously we were talking all
• 11:57
  the way and texting all the way through these these games.
• 12:01
  You know, when this game opened up with that point spread, to
• 12:05
  me, the spread is too big. I get it, right?
• 12:09
  Indiana is pummeling people. I mean, the stats are up.
• 12:12
  That's great. They're beating the living
• 12:14
  bejesus out of people. I get it.
• 12:17
  But that Ducks game was a little bit of an aberration.
• 12:20
  I mean, once you, you know, you turn the ball over multiple
• 12:23
  times in the first half. And so now you're down and
• 12:27
  you're chasing and you're taking risks and you're flaying the
• 12:30
  ball around. That is not a recipe for success
• 12:33
  against a defensive team like Indiana.
• 12:35
  They're going to kill you, right?
• 12:37
  So that that that game got completely out of hand early
• 12:40
  because of those turnovers. Those turnovers don't happen.
• 12:43
  That game would have been closer.
• 12:44
  No, I think the Ducks would have won the game, but it would have
• 12:47
  been a closer game. So I think that score is a bit
• 12:50
  of an aberration because of the turnovers.
• 12:52
  That's it, right? So I don't think that score is
• 12:55
  indicative of how much better Indiana is than Oregon.
• 12:58
  Point in time turnovers, all that good stuff.
• 13:01
  You know, Miami, that was that was an excellent game.
• 13:04
  They they played a very good game.
• 13:05
  That was an excellent game to watch.
• 13:06
  I was enjoying the heck out of the game.
• 13:08
  I actually thought they were going to lose that game.
• 13:10
  So yes, and winning that game. Very late.
• 13:15
  Broke my heart because I, I lost 2 bets on that play.
• 13:18
  So that wasn't the best thing in the world for me.
• 13:20
  But it's a team that's been hot and I've been kind of leaning
• 13:24
  into the past month or so in terms of bets a little bit.
• 13:28
  So, so you know, this is, this is interesting.
• 13:32
  I mean, Carson Beck, I was worried about him doing
• 13:35
  something. Well.
• 13:37
  Carson Beckish, right, and costing them a game, but
• 13:41
  actually played pretty damn felt out the stretch.
• 13:44
  We haven't seen a crystal ball moment.
• 13:45
  We talk all the time about crystal ball moments and him
• 13:50
  doing a crystal ball right. That's why we call them crystal
• 13:52
  ball moments. Where are they?
• 13:57
  What's what's going on? He's.
• 13:57
  Got too much talent on that team and I don't like I said, I don't
• 14:00
  think it matters. He's such a good recruiter that
• 14:02
  he's finally has a team and it doesn't matter what what he
• 14:05
  does. There's just.
• 14:05
  Too much. I think he's letting his
• 14:06
  coordinators just run the show. Yeah, being a little less hands
• 14:11
  on. He's got excellent coordinators,
• 14:13
  but. Yeah, unbelievable talent.
• 14:17
  I mean, to your point, Tim, the talent on this team is is
• 14:19
  amazing. So, you know, for me, I just
• 14:22
  don't with the talent on that team, I cannot see weighing 8
• 14:28
  1/2 points. To me that is, that's insane.
• 14:30
  I just can't now watch. They'll go out there and blow
• 14:32
  them up by 25 or something. I just can't see that happening.
• 14:35
  There's way too much talent on the Miami side of the ball.
• 14:38
  I'm not suggesting Miami's going to win this game.
• 14:40
  I do think Andy and I will probably win this game, but I
• 14:44
  don't think they're going to win it by more than 8 1/2.
• 14:46
  I think Miami's going to keep it close.
• 14:48
  So I really like this 8 1/2 a lot.
• 14:52
  I should bet more than one unit, but at this rate, the way my
• 14:55
  bets are going, I'm afraid to do anything.
• 14:57
  So I'm betting 1 unit Miami plus 8 1/2 because I do think this is
• 15:02
  going to be a close game and I do think it's going to be a
• 15:04
  pretty defensive game as well. So I think with that many points
• 15:08
  at a defensive game, I think that's a lot of points.
• 15:10
  So those are my thoughts. Yeah, I like that bet.
• 15:13
  What do you think about that bet, Darren?
• 15:15
  I agree. When I first looked like is
• 15:17
  before the game had started and after the first game ended on
• 15:20
  Thursday night, they, you know, their look at headlines are all
• 15:24
  over the place. Oregon would have been like a
• 15:25
  two point favorite. Indiana would have been like a 5
• 15:28
  1/2 point favorite. And then as the second-half was
• 15:31
  going in the Indiana game, like touchdown after touchdown, every
• 15:35
  time he looked at a line, it kept going up until like
• 15:38
  Saturday morning it was 7 1/2 and it didn't even stop there.
• 15:43
  But to Pete's point, his bet was my first thought.
• 15:47
  I was like, that's, that's too many, man.
• 15:49
  I mean, you look at what Miami has done.
• 15:51
  I mean, they shut down A and MA fairly good offensive team.
• 15:55
  They shut down Ohio State, also a decent offensive team.
• 16:00
  Ole Miss probably the the most explosive offense they faced.
• 16:04
  But again, you know, Peter mentioned about Carson Beck not
• 16:07
  doing Carson Beck things. You know, this was Ole Miss
• 16:10
  probably the worst defense by far, you know, left in the final
• 16:14
  four. And you know, when I looked at
• 16:16
  this game, I really wanted to have a play on a side here.
• 16:21
  We can't last game of the year didn't want to like I should
• 16:24
  just pick a side to pick a side. But it kept going back and
• 16:28
  forth. I mean, you look at the the all
• 16:29
  the statue you had up Tim all relatively equal, which you
• 16:32
  would expect this time of the year.
• 16:33
  You got two teams left, probably two of the best teams out there.
• 16:36
  But there's there's three things that I slightly favor Indiana,
• 16:41
  but not enough to lay the points.
• 16:43
  But I don't trust Miami enough where I think one of these
• 16:46
  things might happen, where might not be enough points.
• 16:50
  So first thing, coaching. If you had to pick a coach to
• 16:54
  coach this game, you're probably leaning signetti.
• 16:59
  And yeah, took Crystal Ball's credit.
• 17:00
  He's not Crystal Ball yet this year.
• 17:03
  Maybe he's learned. Maybe he's due.
• 17:05
  Maybe he's due, but you know, I'm still going to give a slight
• 17:10
  coaching edge to Signetti here. Quarterback play.
• 17:14
  Beck played well against Ole Miss, but if you look at the two
• 17:17
  other games, he only threw for 103 yards against A&M and he
• 17:20
  only threw for 138 yards against Ohio State.
• 17:23
  Indiana's defense is a heck of a lot more like those two teams
• 17:26
  than it is. You know what the Ole Miss
• 17:28
  defense put out there? And I don't know if you guys
• 17:31
  looked at the playoff stats. I mean, Indiana's had two games,
• 17:34
  Mendoza's got 8 touchdown passes and only 5 incompletions.
• 17:38
  Who the hell? I don't even do that on Madden
• 17:41
  or you know, our college football 25.
• 17:43
  Like this dude is just I mean it's I mean every back shoulder
• 17:47
  throw to Sarat is like perfectly placed.
• 17:49
  I mean you know, this guy throws a pass, it's like it's going to
• 17:53
  be a completion. It seems he's cleaning like 73%
• 17:55
  of his passes. It's just ridiculous.
• 17:57
  So I'm going to give the slight edge to Mendoza, but only
• 18:00
  because Beck does have the experience.
• 18:02
  He he's played enough football. This moment won't be too big for
• 18:05
  him statistically. I don't expect him to do what he
• 18:08
  did against Ole Miss, but I I don't think he's going to cost
• 18:11
  his team the game here. And the third thing, and this is
• 18:14
  actually a stat and I, I didn't see this on your list, but then
• 18:17
  again, I'm blind but deaf. But penalties, Indiana just does
• 18:24
  not commit penalties. They are second in the country,
• 18:27
  fewest penalty yards per game. The you they're outside the top
• 18:32
  80. I don't know what conference is
• 18:34
  officiating this game as of yet, but yeah, they're 85th in
• 18:38
  penalty yards per game. And if they, you know, you stop
• 18:42
  Indiana on 3rd down, you, you get a roughing the passer in
• 18:45
  there or you, you know, get a taunting penalty, certainly
• 18:47
  something that Miami is capable of.
• 18:50
  You know, you don't want to extend any drives for Indiana
• 18:53
  because Signetti's not going to take his foot off the gas.
• 18:57
  I mean, if he can win this game by 24 points, he's going to.
• 19:02
  So yeah, just those three things.
• 19:04
  Slightly into Indiana, not strong enough to bet it, but
• 19:09
  again, don't trust Miami. So my bet, since we're talking
• 19:12
  about two really good defenses. Oh, you, you got your bet first.
• 19:15
  Oh, yeah. Oh, there.
• 19:16
  You go, we go. Ahead I went first quarter under
• 19:18
  9 1/2 points. I got a nice little plus 1/20 at
• 19:21
  FanDuel. It was 10 1/2 yesterday, but it
• 19:24
  was juice like -138 or something.
• 19:27
  I didn't want any part of that. So I'm going to go with, you
• 19:31
  know, maybe ease into the game plan a little bit.
• 19:34
  I mean, what, what happened when Oregon on their first play of
• 19:36
  the game? I, I don't think my end is going
• 19:37
  to try anything ridiculous. I think they're going to be
• 19:39
  pretty conservative to get, you know, to get going, especially
• 19:42
  after watching that play. And again, there's going to be
• 19:45
  that feeling out process. I expect this to be a low
• 19:48
  scoring first quarter. Whatever happens after that,
• 19:51
  don't really care. But I can see a couple field
• 19:53
  goals, maybe even 3 nothing. You know, I could see more punts
• 19:57
  than points in this first quarter here.
• 19:58
  So just the magnitude of the game, you know that that that
• 20:02
  pick 6 right off the bat. I don't see Miami doing anything
• 20:04
  ridiculous. So I have one unit, a little bit
• 20:08
  of plus money on the first quarter under 9 1/2 points.
• 20:11
  Nice. All right, I like Pete's bet.
• 20:14
  Actually, I it's a home game for Miami, I mean, and they've.
• 20:20
  How was Louisville? Well.
• 20:23
  OK, this is a different level of a game.
• 20:28
  Maybe they underestimated Louisville.
• 20:33
  So I just this whole thing, I I hate this game so.
• 20:37
  Agreed. You know, I, I forgot the
• 20:39
  picture. I was going to put a picture and
• 20:40
  put it up here. I had like Chief Osceola and
• 20:42
  Renegade, but they're all decked out like Indiana stuff to
• 20:45
  Photoshop like all Indiana red and everything on there.
• 20:49
  I really want Indiana to win this game.
• 20:51
  I did not want to jinx it by betting.
• 20:53
  I think they can cover the 8 1/2 but I did bet on the over of 47
• 21:00
  1/2. I got that on Hard Rock Bet.
• 21:02
  I think it was 48 1/2. I heard buddy of mine was saying
• 21:06
  on FanDuel or DraftKings, wherever the hell else ones but
• 21:10
  on if you're able to get on Hard Rock Bet you can get 47 1/2 back
• 21:14
  to over. This is basic math with shoulder
• 21:19
  pads. So you know, Indiana averages,
• 21:21
  you know, 40 points a game. They convert 60% on 3rd downs.
• 21:26
  Miami, they also they convert almost 50% on 3rd down.
• 21:31
  They're going to keep the a lot of drives going.
• 21:34
  I think there's going to be a lot of points if I'd love for
• 21:38
  Indiana to cover it over for me by themselves like it did last
• 21:41
  week. But I don't see that happening
• 21:44
  if if the game does get to be a total shootout that favors, you
• 21:49
  know, Indiana to win. So I would like that to happen.
• 21:54
  The Canes, they're very efficient moving a ball that
• 21:57
  Carson Beck doesn't pass that much.
• 21:59
  Well, they got #4 there, he could win the ball like crazy.
• 22:03
  They got the Tony kid, well, Malkai Tony, he's like the
• 22:09
  household name #4 whatever his name is.
• 22:11
  And they got Bain #3 and then isador #4 So they on the on
• 22:16
  defense. There you go.
• 22:19
  They're all going to be on different teams next year.
• 22:21
  Get off it. I don't care.
• 22:22
  They're all going to enter the transfer portal the minute the
• 22:27
  game is over. And they're all going to be, you
• 22:30
  know, playing in Alabama, LSU, wherever, wherever the hell
• 22:32
  else. So for me and the red zone
• 22:36
  they're going to get, there's going to be some turnovers in
• 22:37
  this game. And if they get into the red
• 22:40
  zone a lot, it's going to be a shorter field.
• 22:42
  Both these teams, they score basically 90% of the time when
• 22:46
  they get into the red zone. So I think Indiana's going to do
• 22:50
  what they do. Miami is efficient enough to
• 22:53
  keep it. Close I'm.
• 22:54
  Hoping they, you know, obviously hope they lose the game, but I
• 22:58
  like the over 47 1/2 and I bet 2 units on that.
• 23:03
  I wanted to bet a whole bunch of bets on this one.
• 23:05
  I wanted to bet a winner. I want want to bet the over 100.
• 23:07
  I want to do a couple quarter things, but my New Year's
• 23:10
  resolution less bets more money on each bet.
• 23:12
  So I'm going 2 units on the over of 47 1/2.
• 23:18
  Boy is your thoughts. Another thing I kind of like
• 23:21
  that, I don't know if you guys remember fourth quarter of the
• 23:24
  Ole Miss game last week. Xavier Lucas, defensive back for
• 23:28
  Miami, who at the time was leading the team in tackles at
• 23:31
  that point in the game, called for targeting, upheld, ejected.
• 23:35
  You will miss the first half, so do add info what you will, but
• 23:40
  you know 1 less skilled player in the secondary that that
• 23:44
  Mendoza does have to worry about.
• 23:46
  So keep an eye on that for the first half.
• 23:48
  But The thing is, with all that talent, next guy up, I mean,
• 23:52
  they probably got somebody. They probably got a four-star
• 23:54
  kid from Miami High School right behind them that can.
• 23:59
  That's a fairpoint and we're going to find out because I
• 24:01
  guarantee Signet, he's going to throw his way a couple times to
• 24:04
  see to see what the deal is. Well.
• 24:06
  If a defensive back is leading Miami and tackles, that's also
• 24:10
  good for Indiana. So that's.
• 24:12
  Yeah, because that means you're running past the line and the
• 24:14
  linebackers and the secondaries being forced to make the
• 24:16
  tackles. So Yep, Roman Henby Kelly on
• 24:19
  Black Indiana's 2 headed running back duo could have a could have
• 24:24
  a nice day. Yeah, like this bet.
• 24:26
  Like this bet, I've been getting burned on unders.
• 24:28
  I I like this bet quite a bit. If I was going to do anything,
• 24:30
  it'd be the over here, so I like it.
• 24:33
  Well, since we all jinxed that so there we go we all agree it's
• 24:37
  going to lose tank it so well. This has been a short show guys
• 24:45
  I mean we've got what only one game?
• 24:49
  This is sad I. Don't want to look at this.
• 24:52
  I mean, but hey, well, I mean, Pete, what do you got for your
• 24:57
  bet? What?
• 24:58
  We each have one bet this week, One game, one bet.
• 25:01
  So there you go. Right.
• 25:03
  I think Miami plus 8 1/2 over Indiana and that's it.
• 25:08
  As you can see, my bowl record last week was abhorrent.
• 25:10
  I went after four games. I should never do that.
• 25:12
  So anyway, move. On last week I I have two units
• 25:17
  on the under 47 1/2, three and one last week.
• 25:20
  First winning week in like over a month so that was good.
• 25:24
  Still down 4 units. Darren, what you got?
• 25:28
  I am just going with the first quarter under under 9 1/2 + 120,
• 25:33
  which was still available at FanDuel as we sat here.
• 25:38
  Yeah, my only thing last week was was Indiana.
• 25:44
  Yeah, I don't know. I hate bowl season.
• 25:46
  I really hate betting bowl season.
• 25:47
  I love watching it. I I hate betting it.
• 25:49
  It's. It's hard to bet it these days.
• 25:51
  It's all there really is. I am not playing.
• 25:53
  It's just too many factors. It's impossible to bet.
• 25:56
  Yeah, that it was rough. It was fun, but it was rough.
• 25:58
  But. On a watch, yeah, but it's hard
• 26:00
  to bet. Yeah, Yep.
• 26:02
  This is why we track people, because we can look at this bowl
• 26:04
  season and be like, yeah, I'm just going to bet like one game
• 26:08
  a week. Pretty much that's.
• 26:11
  What we should be doing one game a week, guys?
• 26:13
  We're idiots. We're.
• 26:14
  All partially seen. Addictive.
• 26:16
  I mean, yeah, My, my beating. Thank God for the whams.
• 26:21
  Let me tell you, they've been keeping me afloat.
• 26:25
  My God, yeah, I cashed in. They're going to lose this
• 26:28
  weekend in Chicago. It's going to be like 8 or
• 26:30
  something. So probably.
• 26:32
  I had a Super Bowl bet with them at +222250 and they offered me 9
• 26:37
  to 1, so I took it. I just like cashed it out for.
• 26:40
  I was like, yeah, get some money in there for next college
• 26:42
  football season. All.
• 26:45
  Right. Well, thank you all for
• 26:46
  listening. We're going to be back again
• 26:48
  after the championship game. We're going to do a championship
• 26:51
  game recap, little year recap, we're going to laugh at my
• 26:54
  betting record. And then after that we're going
• 26:57
  to have the don't forget, we have the live stream with Mark.
• 26:59
  So if you have any questions about any college coaches of
• 27:02
  your favorite team, maybe which ones are going to get shit cans,
• 27:05
  which ones are good hires? Which ones are bad hires?
• 27:08
  Any assistant coaches? Mark knows everything, college
• 27:11
  football coaches. So if you have any questions at
• 27:13
  all, leave them in the comments section of the Spotify.
• 27:16
  If you're a listener, put them in the comments section here.
• 27:19
  If you're watching on YouTube, thank you very much.
• 27:21
  Oh. And one more thing, if you guys
• 27:23
  checked out his pre season rankings, anybody want to take a
• 27:26
  guess who's number one? Indiana No.
• 27:31
  Cignetti's not going to be the first one to get.
• 27:33
  I'm talking about his, not the not pre season rankings.
• 27:36
  For any chair team is #1. Coach on the hot.
• 27:40
  Seat Mike Norvell. You are correct.
• 27:46
  I thought you mean which team is number 1 is preseason poll.
• 27:48
  I'm like, well, no. He doesn't do that.
• 27:50
  He's got a whole different set of range.
• 27:51
  Yeah, yeah. Boy.
• 27:52
  Mike Norville. Nice bright colored picture.
• 27:54
  Number one on Mark. 'S preseason.
• 27:56
  We're number one, we're number one.
• 27:59
  There we go, baby. All right, thank you for
• 28:04
  watching. Also, e-mail questions to
• 28:07
  cfbdudes@yahoo.com if you don't want to leave them on the
• 28:10
  Spotify or the YouTube channel. Please remember to like and
• 28:14
  subscribe. It really helped us out a lot
• 28:16
  and we really appreciate it. Thank you all for listening and
• 28:20
  we will see you after the championship game.
• 28:23
  Have a have a good week, enjoy the game and we'll see you next
• 28:26
  week.