Latest / The SPY Trader / Soft Landing Secured: Riding the AI Productivity Wave
Transcript
- 0:00Top of the morning to you !
- 0:01I am your host , Barnaby Bullish , and you are listening to Spy Trader .
- 0:06It is 6 am on Monday , March 30th , 2026 , Pacific time .
- 0:11We are kicking off another week in what has become a very interesting market environment .
- 0:16Currently , we are navigating a LateCycle Expansion phase where moderate growth and stabilized interest rates are the name of the game .
- 0:24The big news is that the Federal Reserve has officially solidified a soft landing .
- 0:30Inflation has stayed between 2.1 and 2.3 percent for three quarters , allowing the Fed to hold rates at a neutral 4 to 4.25 percent .
- 0:41Because of this , we are seeing a resurgence in the iShares 20 plus Year Treasury Bond ETF , or TLT , as a safe haven .
- 0:51We are also seeing the Vanguard Total International Stock ETF , VXUS , outperforming domestic smallcaps as international valuations finally start to catch up to the U.S.
- 1:02In the sectors , technology remains the leader via the Invesco QQQ Trust , but the focus has shifted to making money from AI .
- 1:11NVIDIA recently announced its QuantumLink architecture , which has bolstered the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund , or XLK .
- 1:21We are also seeing record margins from Microsoft and Salesforce as their AI Agents handle backoffice tasks .
- 1:29In financials , the XLF fund is rising as JPMorgan Chase sees improved margins and integrates blockchain for settlement .
- 1:38Healthcare is also a top performer ; the XLV fund is up because Eli Lilly just got FDA approval for an oral version of its weight loss medication .
- 1:49Even real estate is recovering , with the Vanguard Real Estate ETF , VNQ , trending upward thanks to demand for data centers .
- 1:58Looking at the analysis , this market is now driven by earnings quality .
- 2:02S&P 500 profit margins have expanded by 150 basis points due to AI productivity .
- 2:09With unemployment at a sweet spot of 4.1 percent , broad market funds like the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF , VTI , remain wellsupported .
- 2:20For my trading recommendations today , I suggest the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF , or VOO , as your core holding for steady growth .
- 2:30For those seeking income and safety , the iShares Core U.S.
- 2:34Aggregate Bond ETF , AGG , provides a reliable yield of around 5 percent now that rate volatility has subsided .
- 2:42If you are looking for growth , stick with the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund , XLK , to capture the big players like Apple and its new Spatial OS .
- 2:53Finally , for diversification against midterm election volatility , consider SPDR Gold Shares , GLD , or the Vanguard Real Estate ETF , VNQ , as a recovery play .
- 3:06That is it for this morning's update .
- 3:08Stay savvy out there and I will see you in a few hours !