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Episode 265 - 4/25/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 265 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:26
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:29
  I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:38
  Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
• 0:41
  end. We got a big weekend upon us
• 0:43
  here guys and we got a lot to finish up here with the final
• 0:46
  pod of the week because I have a four pack of sweats that I'm
• 0:50
  excited to share with you guys, including three Major League
• 0:52
  Baseball plays. There was one game that starts
• 0:55
  pretty soon here and I was like, oh, I don't know if we'll get
• 0:57
  the pod out in time for people to listen and decide to bet it
• 1:00
  or not. Then I saw there's going to be
• 1:01
  bit be a bit of a weather delay. So hopefully this provides some
• 1:05
  time to talk about this game and make it an official best bet
• 1:08
  pick for today's pod. So 3 plays in Major League
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  Baseball and then going to get right back to National
• 1:14
  Basketball Association, the playoff action because we have
• 1:17
  our favorite system match tonight.
• 1:19
  Really sharp line move, great bets, but some good rhythm and
• 1:23
  juice. Real sharp mush edges.
• 1:24
  So I'll give you my play in the NBA as well.
• 1:26
  So a four pack. Can we get at least two?
• 1:29
  Can we get 3? That'll be even better now
• 1:32
  looking back to our last night, guys, not a bad thirsty Thursday
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  3 and O in Major League Baseball.
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  Bust out the brooms New York or sorry, 3 and O overall, I should
• 1:41
  say it wasn't just baseball, but Giants had a big win coming
• 1:44
  through for the team. They're actually down late in
• 1:46
  the game. Matt Chapman at a Homer and they
• 1:48
  scored a couple late to get us a big one there.
• 1:51
  The Giants to start our day off right.
• 1:53
  I also had a big hit with the New York Knicks member
• 1:56
  favorites. Awful loss in the NBA continue
• 1:58
  to crush here. Hint, hint, I'll have one of
• 2:00
  those for you guys tonight. And then also really kind of the
• 2:04
  surprise in the best hit of the night was the Oakland there, I
• 2:07
  did it again, the Sacramento A's.
• 2:09
  Remember the A's you're talking about.
• 2:11
  Hey, it's a chalkier MLB. You know, we've got a lot of
• 2:13
  favorites. But every now and again you find
• 2:15
  a, a dog that kind of just lines up correctly, whether it's a
• 2:19
  sharp reverse line move or a good contrarian play or a
• 2:22
  divisional dog or a high total. And really the the A's, they,
• 2:26
  they landed on all those system matches.
• 2:28
  So we saw the A's get steamed down quite a bit.
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  I think they're like at one point, like plus 130 down to
• 2:34
  like plus 120. But the A's, who are down much
• 2:37
  of the night, Claude back scored two in the ninth.
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  They were down 3 to 2 and walk it off against Texas.
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  So that was a beautiful plus 120 dog coming through for the team.
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  So 3 and O + 2.75 units. And oh by the way, not a bad
• 2:52
  night in the draft. Not a huge money maker, but
• 2:55
  three in one with our prop bets. We had a Mecca Ibuka get drafted
• 2:59
  in the first round, which is nice to see.
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  We had Jade Baron, the first defensive back selected outside
• 3:04
  of Travis hunter -195 and then Jackson Dart.
• 3:07
  I want to give a shout out to Joe, Shane's son.
• 3:10
  I I mentioned this on yesterday's pod and This is why.
• 3:13
  As a sports better a handicapper, you got to look in
• 3:15
  all different directions. Nowadays.
• 3:17
  You got to pay attention to social media.
• 3:19
  But if you guys remember, I told this story yesterday where Joe
• 3:22
  Shane had his, I don't know how old this kid is, 1415 years old.
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  They're on Hard Knocks and he said who should we take here?
• 3:29
  And he said go get Jayden Daniels.
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  He's the best. Obviously the dad who knows
• 3:33
  everything doesn't listen to his kid.
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  Jayden Daniels ends up being an absolute stud.
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  The night before the draft, Joe Shane's kid on Instagram tweeted
• 3:41
  out a highlight reel of Jackson Dart.
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  And I noticed that it immediately got deleted.
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  Like anytime you delete something very quickly, it tells
• 3:50
  me that you got yelled at and someone said, oh, you shouldn't
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  do that, get rid of it. You spilled the beans, You did
• 3:54
  something you shouldn't have done.
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  Or maybe you post something that you regret.
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  But as soon as it got deleted so quickly.
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  And then the very next day, we saw Jackson Dark go from -300 up
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  to -450 to be a first round pick.
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  And then I hear those rings. Ding, Ding, Ding, Ding.
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  Oh, there's a trade here. The Giants have traded back into
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  the first round. They picked Jackson Dart, so
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  Jackson Dart was a nice hit there.
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  Only loser was Tyler Warren, first tight end selected.
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  We got -450 he calls -1000 but unfortunately it wasn't Jack, it
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  wasn't Tyler Warren, it was Colston Loveland, tight end for
• 4:28
  Michigan who got drafted before Warren.
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  So either way, guys three and one tiny little profit.
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  We can tack that on to our three and O Knight plus 2.75 units
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  with the A's, the Knicks and the Giants.
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  We'll reinvest it today. So overall 6 and 1 + 2.81 units.
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  Let's see if we can post another winning day today as we steam
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  into the weekend. Now, reminder, as always, once
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  we're going to get through all of our plays for today.
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  I want to write remind you guys. I don't do pods on the weekends
• 4:54
  because my wife would kill me. She thinks I love betting more
• 4:56
  than her. But we got to go to, you know,
• 4:58
  bed Bath and beyond Home Depot. We got a lot going on this
• 5:01
  weekend. But anyway, I'm still going to
• 5:03
  have plays for you this weekend. So make sure you follow me on
• 5:05
  Twitter at Josh under score insights.
• 5:08
  I'll tweet out both of my sharp report articles for visen.com on
• 5:11
  Saturday and Sunday. It'll be all baseball.
• 5:13
  And then if you just want the place again, sign up to follow
• 5:17
  the all systems go official best bet pics on the Juice Reel app.
• 5:20
  All you got to do is download Juice Reel.
• 5:22
  You go to the buy sell tab, search ASG under score podcast
• 5:26
  or I tweeted every day it'll say something like Friday's ASG
• 5:30
  podcast. Best bets are posted to Juice
• 5:33
  Reel. You click the link, boom, you're
• 5:34
  good to go $4.99 a week. Again, not breaking the bank.
• 5:38
  I consider it a tip jar. Got a good bartender?
• 5:41
  Tip your bartender. You got a good server?
• 5:44
  Tip your server. If you feel like I'm a decent
• 5:46
  podcast host, tip your podcast host $4.99 a week to get 7 days
• 5:52
  of plays. Now that being said, let's dive
• 5:55
  right into our Major League Baseball slate.
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  I want to talk about MLB 1st and then we'll save NBA for after.
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  Cuz there's one game I mentioned a second ago that I played in.
• 6:06
  I didn't feel like I was going to get the pot out in time, like
• 6:08
  it was going to come out right when the game was about to
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  start. I said, oh, I don't want to talk
• 6:12
  about it. Games already started.
• 6:13
  You know, I want to always give you guys at least a little bit
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  of runway to listen, think about it, decide what you want to do,
• 6:18
  if you want to play it or tail or fade or whatever.
• 6:21
  But anyway, the game was Philly, Philadelphia Phillies and the
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  Chicago Cubs, 2:20 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
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  And then right as I was about to start the pod and I said, oh,
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  I'm not going to make it in time.
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  I saw that there's going to be a weather delay in Chicago.
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  So that should provide us some time to talk about this game and
• 6:36
  you can play it with me if you'd like to.
• 6:38
  I do want to give a shout out. If you're on Twitter, make sure
• 6:40
  you follow Kevin Roth at Kevin Roth WX.
• 6:44
  He just does sports betting and weather and he's a great follow.
• 6:48
  And this is what he tweeted, you know, right before I start to
• 6:50
  about to start the pod. He said rain on its way into the
• 6:53
  Chicago Cubs game momentarily. Once this batch of rain clears
• 6:58
  or fades out, we should be good for uninterrupted baseball.
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  I'd put at quote, likely late start, but no other issues.
• 7:04
  Hashtag Cubs. So he's a good follow on
• 7:07
  Twitter. You get some good weather
• 7:09
  updates there. But anyway, let's set the stage.
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  Talk line, movement system matches.
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  I'll give you my play for this one.
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  So going into it, we got the Phillies 13 and 12 on the year
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  just got swept by the Mets. They lost that series finale 4
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  to 3 as a -, 115 Rd. favorite. Meanwhile the Cubbies 16 and 10
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  playing very well just swept the tight the not the Tigers, the
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  Dodgers in the two game series. They won that the final game,
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  7:00 to 6:00 as a -, 135 home favorite.
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  So pitch a match up here. We got the Phillies going with
• 7:39
  the ready Taiwan Walker. He's one and one 2.29 ERA.
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  Meanwhile, the Cubbies are going to turn to Colin Ray, who's O&O
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  with a 1.32 ERA. So what have you seen across the
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  market here? Will this game open with the
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  Cubbies listed as low as a -, 125 home favorite?
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  Phillies around a + 110 row dog. And it's been nothing but steam
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  on the Cubbies. I like the Cubs here, guys.
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  Cubs went from -125 all the way up to -155 some shops even -160
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  just massive steam hitting. The Cubs tells me we've got an
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  overload of smart money laying the chalk here with Chicago.
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  If you look at not just the sharp line move, but a really
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  good bet split here out at Circa in Vegas, we currently have 63%
• 8:24
  of money line bets. But 88% of money line dollars on
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  the Cubs tells me the low bets higher dollars, sharper wagers
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  out in Vegas. Here are laying it with the
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  Cubbies and then a lot of system matches on the Cubs Home
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  favorites 167 and 85 this year, 6066% nine percent ROI home
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  favorites with a winning record 85 and 3471 percent 16% ROI
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  favorites with a line move in their direction. 162 and 8865
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  percent, 7% ROI. Non division home favorite off a
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  win with at least $0.05 of steam. 47 and 2070 percent, 13%
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  ROI. And then here's another one that
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  I really like. Both teams had the day off the
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  previous day. Just take the favorite.
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  That system is 31 and 1076 percent, 24% ROI.
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  Chicago does have some correlative betting value.
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  Most books are 8, which technically would be favorite
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  low total. Some books are 8 1/2, which
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  would be kind of a medium number.
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  But any book with an 8 majority consensus number, that would be
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  correlative favorite, low total. I want to bank on the Cubs bats
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  here. They're hitting 26538 homers,
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  163 runs scored. Philly's only hitting 251 on the
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  air with 21 homers and and 111 runs scored.
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  Lastly, we have the Cubs 8:00 and 5:00 at home this year.
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  They've played well at Wrigley. Philly's just four and eight on
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  the road. So massive steam on the Cubbies.
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  No buyback, no let up. Even those numbers got a little
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  more expensive. In a way, it's a good thing.
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  Tells you smart money keeps hammering the Cubbies at
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  Wrigley. So I'm laying it early.
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  It'll be great to start our Friday off with a winner.
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  I got the Cubs -154 I believe you can find a -, 158 right now.
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  Some shops closer to -160 next one for you, Let's go to Saint
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  Louis. 8:15 PM Eastern Time. We got the Brew Crew visiting
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  the Cardinals. So Brewers are coming in.
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  This is a 8:15 PM game. I don't know if I mentioned
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  that, but the Brewers come in 13 and 13 on the year.
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  Just lost three or four against the G Men.
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  Lost yesterday's series finale 6 to 5 as a + 135 Rd. dog.
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  Meanwhile, the Cards 10 and 15 on the year, they lost two of
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  three against the Braves. They lost that series finale 4
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  to 1 as a + 140 Rd. dog. So pitching match up here we
• 10:37
  have the Brewers going with the righty Chad Patrick one and one
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  2.11 ERA. Meanwhile, the Cardinals,
• 10:44
  they're going to send out the lefty Matthew Laborator one and
• 10:47
  two 3.6 O ERA. So what have you seen across the
• 10:51
  market here? Well, some good sharp steam on
• 10:53
  the Cardinals. Cardinals open this game around
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  -120 some shops even as low as -115 nothing but steam on Saint
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  Louis. They now embed up to around -125
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  -, 130. I got a -, 125 at Bet MGM.
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  Most books closer to -130 now, but a good bet split on the
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  Cardinals at circa 56% of money line bets, 97% of money line
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  dollars. A massive desert sharp
• 11:19
  discrepancy there on the the Cards.
• 11:21
  Cards are matching quite a few systems.
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  Home favorites 66%, nine percent ROI this year.
• 11:27
  Then a lot of good system matches off a loss.
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  So favorites off a loss 102 and 5465% eleven percent ROI.
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  Home favorites off a loss, 66 and 2870% with an 18% ROI.
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  And then both teams coming off a loss, which is the case here.
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  Favorite is 20 and 9 in those games, 69% with an 11% ROI.
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  We do have a legit favorite low total correlative betting play
• 11:54
  here because Saint Louis is again favored around -130 the
• 11:57
  total in this one is 8 fewer amount of expected runs scored.
• 12:01
  More likely to come from quote UN quote.
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  The better team was expected to win Cardinals, even though they
• 12:06
  haven't been great, they actually are better at home.
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  8:00 and 4:00 at home this year. Milwaukee only four and nine on
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  the road and the Cardinals are hitting 292 at home this season.
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  That's the best in baseball. They're hitting 266 against
• 12:17
  righties. That's the third best in
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  baseball. So hopefully we can get some
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  some offense here out of Saint Louis and hopefully Liberator
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  can have a decent start. And then lastly, it's a bit of a
• 12:28
  schedule edge for the Cardinals. Cardinals were off yesterday.
• 12:32
  The Brewers played in San Francisco and now have to travel
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  to Saint Louis. So you have a team who's rested
• 12:37
  off a day off versus Milwaukee, who played and now has to
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  travel. It doesn't hurt that I believe
• 12:43
  our friends at Juice Reel have a small like 5% sharp mush edge
• 12:47
  here on Saint Louis. So even though the Cards aren't
• 12:49
  a great team, I can't I can't disregard the steam.
• 12:53
  Good sharp line movement, bet splits, system matches taking
• 12:56
  shot on the Cardinals tonight I got a -, 125 at Bet MGM.
• 13:01
  Last bit of the night, Texas Rangers and a San Francisco Los
• 13:04
  Higantes 10:15 PM Eastern Time. Let's talk about this
• 13:08
  interleague matchup and I'll give you my play.
• 13:10
  So the Rangers come in in this 1:14 and 11:00 on the year.
• 13:14
  They did just drop two or three against the A's, though.
• 13:17
  They lost last night, series finale 4 to 3 as a -, 135 Rd.
• 13:20
  favorite, which was great for us.
• 13:22
  Really. I really was happy to see that
• 13:24
  come back from from the A's last night.
• 13:26
  But anyway, the G men 17 and nine took three or four against
• 13:29
  the Brewers. They won six to five yesterday
• 13:31
  as a -, 160 home favorite. So what are we seeing here?
• 13:35
  Well, first, let's start with a pitching matchup.
• 13:38
  We have the Rangers going with Nathan Ivaldi, the righty one
• 13:41
  and two 2.64 ERA this year. You know the giants are going to
• 13:44
  counter with the righty Justin Verlander, the ageless wonder O
• 13:48
  and one 5.47 ERA. So what have you seen across the
• 13:51
  market here? Well, this game open at
• 13:53
  basically a pick em around -110 both sides.
• 13:56
  We did have a couple books open. Texas slightly favored like -115
• 14:00
  and regardless of that opener, all movement and liability has
• 14:04
  been on San Francisco. We've seen San Francisco go from
• 14:08
  basically minus one O 5 or -110 now up to around -115 across the
• 14:13
  market. So it's all been movement here
• 14:15
  in favor of San Francisco. Also, shop for the best line
• 14:19
  because I did get San Fran -110. Some shops are closer to -115
• 14:24
  the -110 came from Bet MGM, but a good bet split on the Giants.
• 14:29
  They're only getting 63% of money line bets, but 87% of
• 14:33
  money line dollars at Circo. So good sharp split bunch of
• 14:37
  system matches here on San Fran lighting up home favorite 66%,
• 14:41
  nine percent ROI this year home favorites with a winning record
• 14:44
  71 percent, 16% ROI favorites with a line move 162 and 8865
• 14:51
  percent, 7% ROI. And then lastly, interleague
• 14:54
  home favorites that lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN
• 14:57
  quote that better team 55 and 3164 percent, 7% ROI.
• 15:02
  We got another correlative favorite, low total lines going
• 15:05
  to the favorite here. San Fran total is 7 1/2 juiced
• 15:07
  under. Could be looking at a lower
• 15:09
  scoring game, but I'm going to bank on San Fran First.
• 15:12
  We need Verlander to pitch a good start here.
• 15:14
  He's kind of struggled thus far, but we do have San Fran.
• 15:18
  The better offense. They're hitting 230.
• 15:19
  They've scored 129 runs. Texas is only hitting 222.
• 15:23
  They've only scored eighty runs. They did they put just just put
• 15:27
  Kyle Seeger or not Kyle Seeger has older brother.
• 15:30
  I'm I'm getting old. He was on the Mariners.
• 15:32
  Corey Seeger, the stud shortstop, he just went to the
• 15:35
  injured list so he won't play. Giants have the better bullpen,
• 15:39
  ERA of 2.53. That's third best in baseball,
• 15:42
  3.64 for the Rangers, that's bottom of the pack.
• 15:45
  The G men are 7 and three at home this year.
• 15:48
  Rangers just four and eight on the road.
• 15:51
  And then also a bit of a scheduling edge as well.
• 15:52
  The Giants, they played at home yesterday, but it was a day
• 15:54
  game, whereas the Rangers played a late game against the A's and
• 15:59
  now have to travel to San Fran. So I know Sacramento, San Fran,
• 16:01
  it's not that I think it's like an hour and a half maybe, but
• 16:06
  still you have one team that slept in their own bed and and
• 16:09
  got rid of their game and finished with it earlier, far
• 16:12
  earlier than the team that has to travel and played the lake
• 16:14
  game. Lastly, a really good sharp mush
• 16:17
  edge on Juice Reel, 29% sharp mush edge here in favor of the
• 16:21
  giants. So basically open a pic or a
• 16:24
  slate dog to fave. But we got some system matches.
• 16:26
  We got some good bet splits and a really good sharp mush edge.
• 16:30
  So I'm going to continue to ride Los Gigantes.
• 16:32
  Give me the G men. I got him at -110 at FanDuel.
• 16:36
  And again, shop around cuz some books are closer to -115 so
• 16:41
  Cubbies, Cardinals, Giants. So we can get two out of three
• 16:44
  of those. Now let's go to the NBA cuz we
• 16:47
  had a nice hit there with the Lakers or sorry not the Lakers
• 16:50
  with the the Knicks last night. And we got another favorite off
• 16:54
  a loss play tonight. My favorite system match.
• 16:57
  So let's go to the Lakers aforementioned and the T Wolves
• 17:00
  game three tonight out West, 9:30 PM Eastern Time series is
• 17:04
  tied one to one. We saw the T Wolves win the
• 17:07
  opener 117 to 95. Then they lost the second game
• 17:11
  94 to 85 and Lakers were a favorite awful loss system that
• 17:14
  I'll play there as well. But anyway, what have we seen
• 17:17
  across the market? Well, we got a great system
• 17:20
  match on the T Wolves and we got good line movement and market
• 17:24
  indicators here on Minnesota. Now, this game opened the the
• 17:27
  Twins, the Timberwolves a -, 3 favorite, so 3 point favorite at
• 17:31
  home. Some shops were as low as 2 1/2
• 17:33
  three, but it's been nothing but movement toward the T wolves -2
• 17:37
  1/2 or -3 now up to 3 1/2. So the markets moving toward
• 17:41
  Minnesota. Then we look at the bet splits.
• 17:44
  They look really good on the T Wolves.
• 17:47
  Spread bets 46% at DraftKings but 80% of the money.
• 17:52
  So that would be technically a reverse line move.
• 17:54
  Public leaning Lakers in the points you get lines going to T
• 17:56
  Wolves, but I'm going to focus on the money line.
• 17:59
  Money line at DraftKings 40% bets, 76% dollars on Minnesota
• 18:05
  and at circa 53% money line bets, 95% money line dollars.
• 18:10
  So anytime I can really combine and marry the bet splits, low
• 18:14
  bets, higher dollars with a again, low portion of bets, but
• 18:17
  way more money. And that jibes with the line
• 18:19
  move because the important thing here is you got to have the line
• 18:22
  moving toward the low bets, higher dollars team.
• 18:24
  That always gets me excited because it kind of just is
• 18:27
  checking off multiple indicators here.
• 18:29
  Now I bet the T wolves on the money line.
• 18:32
  I got them at -148 at DraftKings.
• 18:35
  Shop around because some books are closer to like -160 we're
• 18:38
  matching quite a few systems here.
• 18:40
  We do have, Let me just update some of these numbers because I
• 18:45
  want to make sure they are up to date, but we have my favorite
• 18:49
  system overall, which you know, we always got to start with
• 18:51
  favorites off a loss. It's the old zigzag system.
• 18:54
  Your favorite, you're expected to win, you're off a loss,
• 18:57
  you're hungry, you got to bounce back.
• 18:59
  That playoff favorite off a loss system is now 3 and O against
• 19:02
  the spread. This year it's 76 and 52 ATS,
• 19:05
  59% with a 14% ROI since the start of the 2020 season.
• 19:12
  Playoff favorites this year, just regular ATS are 14 and
• 19:16
  1156%. And if we look at playoff line
• 19:19
  moves, there's another one I really like.
• 19:21
  Just isn't the line moving in your direction?
• 19:23
  It just has to be at least 1/2 point.
• 19:25
  Those teams are 15 and 768% ATS with around a 30% ROI.
• 19:32
  So all those systems are lighting up here on the on the T
• 19:36
  Wolves. We do have in general playoff
• 19:38
  favorites straight up. We saw all three win yesterday
• 19:42
  with the Knicks, the Clippers and OK C.
• 19:45
  But playoff favorites straight up just winning these games, 19
• 19:48
  and 676 percent 4% ROI this year.
• 19:53
  Lastly, we do have a 39% sharp mush edge in favor of Minnesota
• 19:57
  on Juice Reel. So all your sharper betters here
• 20:00
  who have downloaded the juice reel app and synced up their
• 20:02
  books are going with Minnesota. So I want to be with those sharp
• 20:05
  players. And then I also have three
• 20:07
  rhythm system matches. They're all on the T wolves to
• 20:10
  win the game. And here are my.
• 20:14
  My numbers SO1 system has T wolves -2.91 has a -, 2.7 and
• 20:20
  one has a -, 3.2. So I got Juice Reel.
• 20:23
  Tell me all the sharp Juice Reel players on the T wolves.
• 20:26
  I got rhythm and oh by the way, that 39% sharp mush edge on T
• 20:30
  wolves, that's only on the money line.
• 20:32
  They're sharp is with the spread too, but the money line is the
• 20:34
  big one. So Juice Reel and Rhythm are
• 20:36
  with us. We have line movement with good
• 20:38
  bat splits and we have really our favorite system match that
• 20:41
  favorites awful loss. So I'm going T Wolves to win
• 20:44
  this game. I got him on the money line -148
• 20:48
  again, that's your best price available at DraftKings.
• 20:51
  So that about does it for episode 265 of the All Systems
• 20:55
  Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 20:58
  Of course. This is the part of the pod
• 20:59
  where we wrap things up. And I start first by saying
• 21:01
  thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 21:04
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 21:06
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
• 21:09
  with me. That means so much that we've
• 21:11
  created this community. I'm very humbled and honored to
• 21:14
  toast each day. And really, I'm here for the
• 21:16
  grinders. I'm a grinder.
• 21:18
  I love betting on sports. I love the daily challenge of
• 21:21
  betting on sports. Not from a emotional bias
• 21:24
  perspective, but trying to stay true to the numbers and kind of
• 21:28
  understand what the numbers are telling us.
• 21:30
  But if this style or if this first, I should say, if this
• 21:33
  podcast has appealed to you, if you enjoy it, if you look
• 21:36
  forward to listening each day seriously, I appreciate it.
• 21:39
  But could you do me a solid, give it a five star review in
• 21:42
  the App Store if you're listening on Spotify or iTunes.
• 21:46
  Also, could you leave a good comment?
• 21:48
  Something positive will be great in the review section.
• 21:51
  If you want to click the follow button.
• 21:52
  That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
• 21:55
  That'll be great as well. And if you want to old school
• 21:57
  recommend the pod to a friend, a colleague, a family member, that
• 22:01
  would also be great as well because word of mouth, I think
• 22:03
  carries more weight than just, you know, discovering something
• 22:06
  on your own. But next, if you enjoy the style
• 22:10
  of betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian
• 22:12
  betting, if you want to learn more about data-driven betting
• 22:15
  or let me know you appreciate the pod.
• 22:16
  Or you have maybe someone in your life who's new to betting
• 22:19
  and doesn't know how to start, or someone who bets and doesn't
• 22:22
  win too much because they have no blueprint and no philosophy.
• 22:25
  You know what you should do? You should go to Amazon.com and
• 22:28
  type in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 22:31
  That's my baby. First book I ever wrote.
• 22:33
  I'm very proud of it. But it's really got everything
• 22:35
  I've ever learned in the industry.
• 22:36
  How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
• 22:38
  movement, how to locate sharp action, how to go contrarian,
• 22:42
  how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
• 22:44
  line. It's all in there and the
• 22:46
  Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 22:48
  Next, I would love for you guys to pre-order a copy of my new
• 22:51
  book. If you haven't done it yet,
• 22:52
  it'll mean a lot. Go to Amazon.com, you're already
• 22:54
  there. You got the everything guide to
• 22:56
  sports betting. Then type in the NFL Sharp
• 22:58
  betting playbook pre-order copy. It comes out August 12th.
• 23:02
  I cannot wait. And you can bring both or one of
• 23:05
  those books to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
• 23:08
  I'll buy you beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
• 23:11
  together. Next, have you downloaded Juice
• 23:14
  Reel or Rhythm yet? My two favorite sports betting
• 23:16
  apps because they're all based on data based on AI machine
• 23:21
  learning and when in the case of both Rhythm and Juice Reel
• 23:24
  because Rhythm provides us the AI backed models and predictions
• 23:28
  for game bets and player props. And then Juice Reel where you
• 23:31
  can follow the all systems go best bet picks for $4.99 a week.
• 23:36
  You can also get the robo Jackson best bet picks pair of
• 23:39
  pics that come out each day that are generated by the AI
• 23:42
  calculator, and you'll also get the sharp mush indicators.
• 23:45
  The arbitrage plays the shop for the best line futures sync up
• 23:49
  your sports books. You have a report card of your
• 23:51
  action, and you also get the dollar breakdowns bets and
• 23:54
  dollars on every game based on the people who have synced up
• 23:57
  their books. So download rhythm and download
• 23:59
  juice reel. Give them a five star review in
• 24:01
  the App Store. Next.
• 24:03
  Do you have a live odds page? If you don't, what are you
• 24:06
  doing? I I mean, maybe you're just you
• 24:08
  know, you don't want to pay for it.
• 24:09
  I get it. But if you don't know what the
• 24:10
  line opens at, how it moves, all the current prices, line
• 24:14
  history, shop for the best line. I mean, you're really behind the
• 24:17
  8 ball. So I would highly recommend
• 24:19
  giving odds logic a shot. You got to know all the games
• 24:22
  available to you. You got to know the opener, the
• 24:24
  current moves, diagnose which direction lines going.
• 24:28
  You'll pick off the best number before it moves.
• 24:31
  It's so, so critical to betting on sports because you know, we
• 24:34
  got to lean on the information when you're data-driven better.
• 24:36
  But there are a lot of live odds pages out there.
• 24:38
  I would recommend giving odds Logic a shot.
• 24:41
  And I have a special link to go to if you want to test it out.
• 24:44
  It's Odds logic.com/josh 123. Make sure you do slash Josh 123
• 24:51
  at the end because then you'll get if you go to
• 24:53
  oddslogic.com/josh 123A7 day free trial and then 50% off your
• 24:59
  first month. And I think you're going to like
• 25:00
  it once, once you get the habit of having that live odds page,
• 25:03
  seeing all the games and the board light up on the lines
• 25:05
  move, there's nothing like it. You got to have it and Odds
• 25:09
  Logic is the best one around. So that about does it for
• 25:13
  episode 265 of the ASG Pod Powered by Rhythm on a big
• 25:17
  Friday. As always, I'm leave you with a
• 25:19
  couple things. Whether I see you at the Borgata
• 25:22
  in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
• 25:24
  Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut at the
• 25:28
  Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield
• 25:31
  or the Nash in National New Hampshire.
• 25:33
  In my neck of the woods. Or of course, out in the desert
• 25:35
  where the true grinders get down or Billy Walters sends his
• 25:38
  number runners where the lowest true as possible is found at the
• 25:41
  South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
• 25:43
  plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 25:45
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
• 25:48
  to me and you're going to show me a New York Knicks favored
• 25:51
  after a loss ticket, a Giants ticket, an Oakland A's,
• 25:55
  Sacramento A's ticket, an Emeca Egbuka first round pick, a Jade
• 26:00
  Baron first defensive back, a Jackson Dart first round pick.
• 26:05
  Show me those tickets. Guess what?
• 26:06
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 26:08
  We'll post about the book. Sweatsharp contrarian plays all
• 26:10
  night long. So wish you the best luck,
• 26:13
  everyone. As always, Six and one, one and
• 26:15
  6-7 and OO and seven, three and four, four and three, five and
• 26:19
  two, two and five again, whether we're good, whether we're having
• 26:23
  a good night, a bad night. We're hot, we're cold, we're
• 26:25
  grinding. We just got to stick to the
• 26:27
  model, stick to the blueprint. Never get too high when we're
• 26:29
  hot, never get too low when we're cold.
• 26:31
  We're always somewhere in the middle and we got to keep
• 26:33
  grinding that model, that blueprint so we can find games
• 26:36
  that fit our model against the house.
• 26:39
  I'm sorry, against the public, with the house, with the pros,
• 26:42
  flat bet, avoid parlays and get that closing line value.
• 26:45
  If we can do that, and I'm pretty confident that we can,
• 26:47
  then guess what we're going to be successful sports bettors
• 26:49
  long term. So have a great Friday night,
• 26:52
  everybody. See if we can get some winners
• 26:54
  here and Major League Baseball in the NBA.
• 26:56
  And of course, this weekend, no pods, but you can read the sharp
• 26:59
  report that I tweet out at Josh under Score Insights.
• 27:01
  And you can also follow all the best bets this weekend and every
• 27:05
  day from the Juice Reel app. So have a great weekend,
• 27:08
  everybody. Good luck.
• 27:09
  We'll be right back at it on Monday, which will be episode
• 27:12
  266 of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by
• 27:17
  Rhythm. Good luck everybody, have a
• 27:18
  great Friday and an even better weekend.