Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Thursday, 08/13/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Thursday, 08/13/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:00
Speaker 1: Mhm ball Systems going clear the lift?
0:40
Speaker 2: What is going on? Shipping Nation YouTube station back early
0:44
Speaker 2: on a Thursday, my first Thursday show, I think all
0:46
Speaker 2: year excited to break it down with my guy Bellman,
0:49
Speaker 2: our Monday crew. Back on Thursday, we got a double
0:52
Speaker 2: dose of the Nads and Bellman special for all y'all
0:55
Speaker 2: out there grinding baseball during the middle of the work week.
0:58
Speaker 2: Here shout out to our guys shown who got third
1:01
Speaker 2: in the solo shot last night. Nice nice run by him.
1:04
Speaker 2: Members have been doing pretty damn good over here in
1:06
Speaker 2: the discord at all different stakes. Right. We got Sheets
1:08
Speaker 2: and Rio owning the one hundred and fifty Max Lotto
1:11
Speaker 2: Tickets contest ship in fifty k every other day, it
1:14
Speaker 2: feels like the trade off, and then a bunch of
1:17
Speaker 2: other members just kind of slowly grinding out profits day
1:19
Speaker 2: in and day out. That's what we love to see.
1:21
Speaker 2: Let's see if we can't find the winners here tonight
1:23
Speaker 2: or today, I should say, Matt, we got six games
1:26
Speaker 2: on DraftKings here, and we got Alex Bregman back on
1:30
Speaker 2: the slate, coming off of three home run I think
1:33
Speaker 2: he outscored my entire main slate DraftKings team last night
1:38
Speaker 2: by himself. So that was really good there. Love to
1:40
Speaker 2: see that. But let's go ahead and break it all down. Man,
1:43
Speaker 2: Happy Thursday. What's going on? Brother?
1:46
Speaker 3: Yeah, Happy Thursday. Broke pleasant surprise to get you on
1:48
Speaker 3: here with me for this Thursday show. Smaller slate as
1:51
Speaker 3: usual on Thursday, early start, which is nice. Only a
1:54
Speaker 3: few night games tonight, so weird baseball day, and then
1:57
Speaker 3: obviously a full weekend, full full of ball. Well excited
2:01
Speaker 3: to break this down with you. Yeah, Bregman returning here.
2:05
Speaker 3: I was top telling you before I played a little
2:06
Speaker 3: bit on FanDuel last night. I thought I was sitting
2:08
Speaker 3: pretty having some Mariners until I wasn't because I didn't
2:11
Speaker 3: play the Cubs and they were really high owned for
2:13
Speaker 3: good reason. It was the Cubs and the Dodgers. Like
2:15
Speaker 3: as you talked about before, you can basically fit whatever
2:18
Speaker 3: you want on fan duels. So you were able to
2:21
Speaker 3: fit like full full four and four Cubs Dodgers, which
2:25
Speaker 3: you know, the Dodgers weren't amazing, but the Cubs were
2:27
Speaker 3: and Otani went yard, so you kind of needed a
2:30
Speaker 3: lot of those pieces. And we'll see if the Cubs
2:32
Speaker 3: can do it again. Today in a much tougher spot. Obviously,
2:35
Speaker 3: Kate Cavali is, you know, one of, if not the
2:38
Speaker 3: best starting pitcher for the Nats. Right now. They're bullpen though, man,
2:42
Speaker 3: I mean it's about as bad as a bullpen can be.
2:46
Speaker 2: Yeah, now we're gonna talk about it here. I do
2:48
Speaker 2: have the bullpen ranks out for the last I like
2:50
Speaker 2: to run it for the last two months, right just
2:52
Speaker 2: after the trade deadline. These guys start getting tired, arms,
2:56
Speaker 2: things like that, right, the bullpens change injuries, things like
2:58
Speaker 2: that happened, right, So I don't like to look at
3:01
Speaker 2: the full season numbers because it's kind of fluky. So
3:03
Speaker 2: I like to look ran and back into like the
3:05
Speaker 2: last sixty days or so. And yeah, NAT's fourth worst
3:10
Speaker 2: in four point seventy four, which is not good. ERA
3:14
Speaker 2: over five like expected ERA approaching five. Like they're just
3:17
Speaker 2: not good. So yeah, we'll definitely talk about that, and
3:21
Speaker 2: we'll talk about some of these tax bullpens as well,
3:24
Speaker 2: with that Yankees game going kind of nuclear at the
3:27
Speaker 2: end there yesterday and Seattle burning through some arms, so
3:30
Speaker 2: we'll we'll talk about it. But let's go ahead and
3:33
Speaker 2: break down pitching. We'll just do the entire Actually, let's
3:36
Speaker 2: go eight K and above, because I think there is
3:38
Speaker 2: some value guys below eight K that can play, But realistically,
3:42
Speaker 2: the majority of the teams, at least how I see
3:44
Speaker 2: this slate is going to be two of these arms
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Speaker 2: above eight k. You got Kevin Gosman down at a
3:48
Speaker 2: K flat all the way up to Peyton Tole, who
3:51
Speaker 2: looks like a complete stud in his early career. Here
3:55
Speaker 2: gets a really really good matchup against the Blue Jays.
3:57
Speaker 2: And in terms of projected dry run right now, just
4:01
Speaker 2: on average of projections across a couple of different sources
4:04
Speaker 2: US Sabersim and some others in the industry, I'm only
4:08
Speaker 2: getting like eleven percent Payton totally in one hundred and
4:10
Speaker 2: fifty lineup build sorted by a projected score. Because you
4:13
Speaker 2: look at his projection, he's projected less than guys like
4:17
Speaker 2: Max Freed, Braxton Ashcraft, and he's one thousand dollars more expensive,
4:21
Speaker 2: thirteen hundred dollars more expensive. So in tournaments right away,
4:24
Speaker 2: that makes me love Peyton Toley. I know his projected
4:27
Speaker 2: ownership is right there in line with some of these
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Speaker 2: other guys, I just don't I think he's gonna moon
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Speaker 2: walk back, and guys like Ashcraft and Freed in particular
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Speaker 2: are gonna are gonna kind of go forward like right
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Speaker 2: steam up, and then Gilbert as well is kind of
4:42
Speaker 2: right there. I mean, people just feel like they're gonna
4:44
Speaker 2: click Gilbert for five hundred dollars less with two projection
4:46
Speaker 2: points higher. Right, So talk to me here. How you
4:49
Speaker 2: see this top tier? For me? I kind of see
4:50
Speaker 2: it as Peyton Toley is my favorite overall guy in tournaments,
4:54
Speaker 2: followed by Max, Freed, Ashcraft, and then a Messic, and
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Speaker 2: I do have over and Gosman kind of behind the
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Speaker 2: rest of them. But how do you see this one?
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Speaker 3: I definitely have Gaussman behind the rest of them. I
5:07
Speaker 3: do view it as like the top five of you know, however,
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Speaker 3: you want to order them totally free, Gilbert, Messick, Ashcraft
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Speaker 3: and totally's the most expensive at ninety five hundred. But
5:20
Speaker 3: all five of these guys are like top tier arms,
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Speaker 3: and none of them are crazy expensive. They're all affordable
5:26
Speaker 3: for the amount of upside that they can provide at
5:28
Speaker 3: any given start, So I don't think you can go
5:31
Speaker 3: wrong on paper with any single one of them. I
5:35
Speaker 3: like Messic a lot. He's a dog I just love
5:39
Speaker 3: the cut of his gym. There's a big game for Cleveland.
5:42
Speaker 3: I think you see the best of Messic here. I
5:44
Speaker 3: think he has a really long leash, because why wouldn't he.
5:47
Speaker 3: I'm with you on totally. Also, he's just been phenomenal.
5:51
Speaker 3: He's been really really good this year, and he gets
5:53
Speaker 3: a good matchup, you're paying for it. But these guys
5:56
Speaker 3: are all projected so similarly, Like I don't care about projection.
6:00
Speaker 3: I mean, like they're all all five of these guys
6:03
Speaker 3: and then like you know, point and a half two
6:06
Speaker 3: points of each other. So I'm fine with going with
6:08
Speaker 3: just planning the flag on whoever you you in particular,
6:12
Speaker 3: like here, I like Freed. Also, the Seattle team, who
6:16
Speaker 3: I told you I liked yesterday has been like a
6:19
Speaker 3: dead man walking for lack of a better term, for
6:22
Speaker 3: a while now, especially against left handed pitching. Last night,
6:25
Speaker 3: they got out to a big lead and ended up losing.
6:27
Speaker 3: As you said, the Yankees went Chernobyl late and ended
6:30
Speaker 3: up winning ten to five. I like Freed heres through
6:33
Speaker 3: ninety pitches last time out. Never has the highest strikeout
6:37
Speaker 3: up side, but only eighty five hundred, and a matchup
6:40
Speaker 3: that will give him ks. Yeah, I like Freed here.
6:44
Speaker 3: I think Freed and Mesek are my favorite two, with
6:46
Speaker 3: totally third, Gilbert fourth, Ashcraft fifth. But it's so close
6:52
Speaker 3: one through five. Like Ashcraft, who I didn't even talk about,
6:55
Speaker 3: Like he's not in the greatest form, but he's the
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Speaker 3: cheapest and a really good spot in the best pitchers ballpark.
7:02
Speaker 3: So I think all five of these guys look really
7:04
Speaker 3: good and that's why for me, I'm not going to
7:07
Speaker 3: be getting different from any of these guys.
7:10
Speaker 2: Yeah, I see it very close there. We do have
7:12
Speaker 2: a little slight different rankings, but I mean you could
7:14
Speaker 2: ask one hundred different people and I think ninety nine
7:17
Speaker 2: of them would probably have different rankings than the others are,
7:20
Speaker 2: maybe even all one hundred, Right, I do have totally
7:23
Speaker 2: number one just in tournaments. I just think that the
7:26
Speaker 2: ownership discount you're gonna end up getting with him, and
7:29
Speaker 2: I'm a believer in him. I've been taking attacking the
7:32
Speaker 2: Toronto team with lesser starting pitchers than what Peyton totally
7:39
Speaker 2: in my opinion is. So I love Peyton tolely here
7:42
Speaker 2: in tournaments. Like I said, I think he's really interesting
7:45
Speaker 2: and really good. I expect him to be much lower
7:47
Speaker 2: than he's projected owned. I'm with you, Max Freed is
7:51
Speaker 2: my second favorite guy. I mean, you look at this
7:53
Speaker 2: match up here. Yeah, Free doesn't typically have the best
7:56
Speaker 2: strikeout stuff, but I mean he's got a five and
7:58
Speaker 2: a half k prop with juice to the over. I
8:00
Speaker 2: mean minus one forty on the over for Max Freed,
8:03
Speaker 2: which you usually would look at like really, why is that?
8:07
Speaker 2: But you look at this Seattle lineup against left handed pitching.
8:10
Speaker 2: I mean, cal Raley forty two percent, Cas West and
8:13
Speaker 2: Wilson thirty six percent, ks Parada Revas. I mean they
8:18
Speaker 2: got some creative players in the back half of this lineup.
8:21
Speaker 2: Just at the current state, I'm not buying on it. Yeah, sure,
8:24
Speaker 2: can Randy hit a home run against the left Yeah,
8:28
Speaker 2: but I mean and j Rod Yeah, but I mean
8:32
Speaker 2: cal Raley's been terrible. You got some lefties in there,
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Speaker 2: Canzone and Donovan Josh Naylor, who aren't is great against
8:38
Speaker 2: left handed pitching. I just think Max Freed is really
8:41
Speaker 2: good here. He typically keeps the ball on the ground.
8:43
Speaker 2: It's just really hard to really have a Max Free
8:45
Speaker 2: blow up game. So that safety and the upside in
8:47
Speaker 2: the strike up matchup like this, I do have him.
8:50
Speaker 2: SP two is kind of my second favorite guy up here.
8:53
Speaker 2: I'm with you on Messick. I'm a believer in Messic.
8:55
Speaker 2: I think Mestic's a dog. I'm not a believer in
8:57
Speaker 2: this Detroit team right now. Cleveland's favorite is well, he
9:00
Speaker 2: should have some run support behind him. We'll talk about
9:02
Speaker 2: the Cleveland bats a little bit as well against Montero.
9:05
Speaker 2: So I do have Messic number three, and then I'm
9:08
Speaker 2: gonna put Ashcraft four ahead of Gilbert. I'm just afraid
9:12
Speaker 2: of Gilbert on the road. He struggles against lefties. It's
9:15
Speaker 2: Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have a ton of power. They
9:18
Speaker 2: do have strikeouts. I get it right, hence his strike
9:20
Speaker 2: up prop there. But I mean, you're talking ninety degrees
9:23
Speaker 2: with twelve mile an hour winds blown out towards that
9:26
Speaker 2: short porch in right field, and the Yankees are probably
9:28
Speaker 2: gonna throw seven lefties against Logan Gilbert here, and Gilbert's
9:32
Speaker 2: gonna be the highest pitcher on the slate right there,
9:34
Speaker 2: next to Ashcraft. I mean, that's kind of why I
9:37
Speaker 2: have Gilbert and Ashcraft is four and five of my
9:41
Speaker 2: top five rankings here. Gosman is definitely the distant sixth.
9:44
Speaker 2: I probably don't play much of him. But again, it
9:48
Speaker 2: is still the Nats with dealing with injuries things like that.
9:51
Speaker 2: It's not the same Nationals lineup we were talking about
9:54
Speaker 2: a month ago, right after they traded a bunch of
9:57
Speaker 2: their guys. They've had injuries. So for me, it's definitely
10:00
Speaker 2: a headline between Ashcraft or not Ashcraft Freed Messic and
10:04
Speaker 2: totally followed by Ashcraft and then Gilbert. It is kind
10:07
Speaker 2: of how I see the top tier. I'm just I
10:10
Speaker 2: don't know, I got kind of a seller taste in
10:12
Speaker 2: my mouth right now with Logan Gilbert, Bryce Miller, I
10:15
Speaker 2: think is much better picture. He struggled in the same
10:17
Speaker 2: exact matchup.
10:20
Speaker 3: Gilbert.
10:21
Speaker 2: I mean, I just think talent wise, he I mean,
10:24
Speaker 2: I don't know, I know Gilbert's good, but I think
10:26
Speaker 2: Miller is a good pitcher too, and I mean he
10:29
Speaker 2: struggled it. It's just the Yankees have a ton of power, dude,
10:32
Speaker 2: and the winds blown out to the short porch. Gilbert,
10:36
Speaker 2: I'd rather play totally for five hundred dollars more. Is
10:38
Speaker 2: kind of how I see it. But yeah, I don't know,
10:42
Speaker 2: I think they're both decent arms right Like.
10:46
Speaker 3: That just caught me off guard, Like I don't disagree
10:48
Speaker 3: with anything you said at all about Gilbert. That just
10:50
Speaker 3: caught me off guard, because like I consider Gilbert like
10:53
Speaker 3: Miller was really good to start the year, but I
10:55
Speaker 3: consider Gilbert like a bona fide, like top tier one
11:00
Speaker 3: to number one, honestly, Like I don't feel that way
11:03
Speaker 3: about Miller. Maybe I'm off.
11:05
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I just yeah, I guess too. I
11:07
Speaker 2: just Gilbert's taking a step back this year compared to
11:09
Speaker 2: where he was last year. I mean, to strike up
11:11
Speaker 2: almost five percent, right, like he just he gives up
11:15
Speaker 2: a lot of power. It's just I don't know. I
11:18
Speaker 2: think they're both solid, solid arms. I do, and maybe
11:22
Speaker 2: it's splitting hairs I'm comparing the two. It's just the
11:25
Speaker 2: whole reason I said that is because I had the
11:27
Speaker 2: same kind of inclination yesterday of Bryce Miller that I
11:30
Speaker 2: do today of Logan Gilbert, and I see their close
11:33
Speaker 2: enough real life arms that it's much better hitting environment
11:37
Speaker 2: today than it was last night. And I still wasn't
11:39
Speaker 2: on Miller last night. So it's gonna be kind of
11:42
Speaker 2: the same thing here with Gilbert and the projected ownership
11:45
Speaker 2: on Gilbert on such a short slate. I know I'm
11:47
Speaker 2: gonna like some of the some of the chalkier offenses.
11:50
Speaker 2: I just can't play chalk everywhere. So that's one guy
11:52
Speaker 2: that I'm gonna kind of be selling on overall. Yeah,
11:55
Speaker 2: I think there is a couple of guys below ak here, Matt.
11:58
Speaker 2: You talked about Kate Cavali. I have some intro him.
12:00
Speaker 2: I wish he was a little cheaper. It's just I
12:02
Speaker 2: don't think salary is that big of a concern on
12:05
Speaker 2: this slates because we do have Freed messic at eighty
12:08
Speaker 2: five eighty seven. It feels like all these pitchers are
12:10
Speaker 2: under price for the spots that they they're in. Cavally's
12:14
Speaker 2: pretty interesting me. I know the Cubs are red hot
12:18
Speaker 2: right now. I just this is the perfect spot of
12:21
Speaker 2: DFS one on one Matt in a nutshell. Cubs go
12:24
Speaker 2: absolutely bonkers yesterday. People get Fomo missing out right Like,
12:29
Speaker 2: I would not be shocked to see Kavali come out
12:32
Speaker 2: and throw a good game here and just have the
12:34
Speaker 2: Cubs chalk just fall on his face. But the other
12:36
Speaker 2: guy I do want to mention is Davis Martin sixty
12:39
Speaker 2: seven hundred. I'm a believer in this guy and he
12:42
Speaker 2: gets one of the best strikeout matchups in the league
12:45
Speaker 2: right now against these Reds. Yeah, they still have Ali,
12:47
Speaker 2: they still have Bludet, but those guys have strikeouts. And
12:50
Speaker 2: you look at strike up props kpe Cavali five and
12:53
Speaker 2: a half strikeout prop on this slate at no ownership.
12:56
Speaker 2: I think that's super interesting. And then same thing with
12:58
Speaker 2: Davis Martin. He's sitting at four and a half heavy
13:01
Speaker 2: juice the over right. So both of those guys are
13:03
Speaker 2: right there in line with the other guys for one
13:05
Speaker 2: thousand dollars two thousand dollars cheaper at a fraction in
13:08
Speaker 2: the ownership. So those two guys I think are super
13:10
Speaker 2: interesting as well. But how do you see this value here?
13:14
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I definitely like the points you made on Cavali,
13:17
Speaker 3: especially playing into that cub's ownership, because I think they'll
13:19
Speaker 3: be popular as we talked about, and Cavali has had
13:21
Speaker 3: some spike games, and because of what you mentioned about,
13:26
Speaker 3: like the whole Ashcraft messic, like that whole eighty eight
13:29
Speaker 3: K to nine K range, ninety five hundred range with
13:32
Speaker 3: totally they're all underpriced. That will leave guys like Cavali
13:36
Speaker 3: just way under owned because you don't really need to
13:38
Speaker 3: get there, So I like that calling tournaments, especially going
13:42
Speaker 3: into the ownership Martin. I'm not as big of a
13:46
Speaker 3: Martin guy as you are, but I'm totally in on
13:50
Speaker 3: you with the matchup, So that would be the reason
13:52
Speaker 3: for me to play Martin at this price point. I mean,
13:55
Speaker 3: he's not in good form, so I don't feel good
13:57
Speaker 3: about it, but in tournaments, he he's got massive upside
14:01
Speaker 3: at that tag. Like I mean, I hated Luis Castillo
14:04
Speaker 3: last night. There was no way I would personally playing
14:06
Speaker 3: Castillo because I don't think he's very good and he
14:09
Speaker 3: was gonna be popular, but he just served me my lunch,
14:12
Speaker 3: you know what I mean. Ten K's in his White
14:14
Speaker 3: Sox home debut. I mean, so who am I to
14:16
Speaker 3: say not to play Davis Martin.
14:18
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean maybe this is part of that because
14:21
Speaker 2: I also full faded Castilla last night. I was not
14:23
Speaker 2: a believer. I've never been a believer in Castillo in
14:26
Speaker 2: his current form, and then he was gonna be mega
14:29
Speaker 2: chalk against this Red's lineup. And it's just again insert
14:32
Speaker 2: opposing right handed pitcher against the Reds. You look at
14:34
Speaker 2: their strikeout rate against right handed pitching over the last
14:37
Speaker 2: month twenty eight point eight percent, almost a thirty percent
14:40
Speaker 2: team strike ut rate. Yeah, they have some power, but
14:44
Speaker 2: Martin's only gonna see three lefties in this lineup, Ellie
14:47
Speaker 2: Blade and then a shitty one. Well not a shitty one,
14:50
Speaker 2: but he's an unproven rookie so far. He does have
14:53
Speaker 2: some power, but there's also strikeouts that come with that,
14:55
Speaker 2: a big strike out rate and Actor Rodriguez. Otherwise, he's
14:58
Speaker 2: gonna see six right handed bats where he does have
14:59
Speaker 2: a twenty three percent strikeout rate. He does keep the
15:02
Speaker 2: ball on the ground, he does avoid barrels from both
15:05
Speaker 2: sides of the plate, so he I mean, I think
15:08
Speaker 2: the Reds are gonna have to live and die by
15:10
Speaker 2: Babe or home run off the bats of guys like
15:13
Speaker 2: Ellie or Blade, which definitely could happen, but on a
15:16
Speaker 2: slate where maybe that gets you on a different roster construction,
15:19
Speaker 2: and Davis Martin because these other top tier guys are
15:22
Speaker 2: underpriced for what their talent is. I think Martin and
15:26
Speaker 2: Cavali both are are pretty interesting on the slate. I'm
15:28
Speaker 2: not messing with that, but not messing with any of
15:30
Speaker 2: these other guys. So I think we broke down pitching
15:33
Speaker 2: pretty good here. Let's jump over and talk the bats
15:37
Speaker 2: on this slate we're gonna start. Let me just refresh
15:40
Speaker 2: the screen here. First game on the docket is your
15:44
Speaker 2: Guardians heading into Detroit to face Montero. Kind of a
15:48
Speaker 2: low strikeout guy, just doesn't really give up a ton
15:50
Speaker 2: of barrels expected the ra A. It is not that bad.
15:55
Speaker 2: But again he just balls are gonna be in play.
15:57
Speaker 2: He doesn't really miss get a lot of swing and missus.
16:01
Speaker 2: I think the Guardians are pretty interesting in here outside
16:03
Speaker 2: of Jay Ram. I just I can't pay fifty five
16:06
Speaker 2: hundred dollars for Jay Ram. I know you and I
16:08
Speaker 2: were talking. I'd rather play janew at third base for
16:11
Speaker 2: twenty five hundred then play three thousand dollars more for
16:13
Speaker 2: Jay Ram. Maybe that's the difference of going from a
16:15
Speaker 2: Davis Martin up to one of those eight K guys, right,
16:18
Speaker 2: or going all the way up to a Peyton Totley.
16:21
Speaker 2: I just don't think Jay Ram's right with his hand
16:24
Speaker 2: and everything going on there. Obviously you have more intel
16:26
Speaker 2: on kind of the local Cleveland talk overall, but I
16:30
Speaker 2: do think the Guardians are pretty interesting here. How do
16:33
Speaker 2: you see this game to kick off the sleeve.
16:35
Speaker 3: Yeah, I definitely like the guards here too. And to
16:38
Speaker 3: your point, man Jose hasn't had an extra base at
16:41
Speaker 3: unless he had one yesterday, which I don't think he
16:43
Speaker 3: did since he returned on July twenty second, so it's
16:46
Speaker 3: been a minute and that is just not what you
16:48
Speaker 3: want to see for a guy that's fifty five hundred, right.
16:51
Speaker 3: So I'm with you. If I'm playing one lineup, then
16:53
Speaker 3: I'm stacking Cleveland, I'm using I'm using Janaw over him.
16:59
Speaker 3: But if I'm like stacking the guards in multi entry
17:02
Speaker 3: type stuff, I definitely still want somewhere mirrors just because
17:06
Speaker 3: it's still in there somewhere. And the other thing, I
17:07
Speaker 3: will say that he can rely and he still runs
17:09
Speaker 3: a lot, so if he gets on basic runs, so
17:11
Speaker 3: like he's not killing your lineup as often as some
17:15
Speaker 3: other studs are because steels are worth so much. So
17:19
Speaker 3: I like the Cleveland stack. Montero is just an average
17:21
Speaker 3: at best arm in my opinion. This is a big game.
17:24
Speaker 3: So you know, in the standings, the entire American League stinks,
17:29
Speaker 3: especially the Central and these two teams are firmly in
17:33
Speaker 3: the thick of it. Uh, I like Masek and I
17:37
Speaker 3: like the I like Cleveland. I don't think that Cleveland
17:39
Speaker 3: like looks as good on paper as Boston or even
17:42
Speaker 3: the Cubs, but you get an ownership discount. I think
17:45
Speaker 3: full stacking them, So yeah, I think they look like
17:48
Speaker 3: one of the better, if not like the overall top
17:51
Speaker 3: stack on the board, probably like third fourth overall somewhere
17:54
Speaker 3: around there.
17:56
Speaker 2: Yes, I agree, Detroit does have a pretty solid bullpen,
17:59
Speaker 2: which is a slight risk. But again, bullpenzer is all
18:03
Speaker 2: kind of hearsay because if they jump on the starters,
18:05
Speaker 2: they're not going to see the best arms. It is
18:07
Speaker 2: pretty taxed, right, I mean ken Lee obviously is they're
18:11
Speaker 2: kind of they're they're laid inning guy, right. He's at
18:14
Speaker 2: twenty nine pitches in the last three days. Finn again,
18:16
Speaker 2: I mean they used three arms yesterday four on Tuesday,
18:19
Speaker 2: so they're they're kind of taxed overall. I actually like
18:23
Speaker 2: the I like the Bazana Janal and then wrap it
18:27
Speaker 2: around to the top with guys like de Lauter or
18:29
Speaker 2: low something like that. Hedges I think is an interesting,
18:32
Speaker 2: pretty cheap catcher. He's been hitting the ball pretty well
18:34
Speaker 2: over the last month, especially against right hand and pitching,
18:38
Speaker 2: And yeah, to your point, right, Jay Ram in the
18:41
Speaker 2: last thirty days, fifty two plate appearances a zero ISO.
18:44
Speaker 2: That's not what you want to see at fifty five hundred.
18:46
Speaker 2: But I was gonna mention the stolen base upside as well.
18:49
Speaker 2: This dude does run every time he gets on base,
18:51
Speaker 2: and there's probably a pretty good chance that he does
18:53
Speaker 2: at least get on base. He doesn't strike out, and
18:56
Speaker 2: he takes a decent amount of walks too, right, But again,
19:00
Speaker 2: relying on Stele then bases at fifty five hundred isn't
19:03
Speaker 2: the best thing in the world in my opinion, when
19:06
Speaker 2: you can play other studs at third base on a
19:08
Speaker 2: slate like this too, I feel like you can.
19:10
Speaker 3: Only play him in a full stack right now.
19:12
Speaker 2: I agree, I agree, I'd much rather play Janew. I mean,
19:15
Speaker 2: you look at Janow. He's three thousand dollars cheaper two fourteen.
19:17
Speaker 2: I so, same strike up rate right around five percent,
19:21
Speaker 2: a better prospect too, a better walk right, and a
19:24
Speaker 2: huge prospect right, And everyone looks at are they going
19:28
Speaker 2: to click? Ninety nine percent of people are going to
19:29
Speaker 2: see Jay Ram versus Janew at the same position, same team,
19:32
Speaker 2: in a stack they're gonna click Jay Ram right because
19:35
Speaker 2: name recognition alone. Jay Rams a future Hall of Fame er.
19:37
Speaker 2: I get it all that, but under the hood type stuff,
19:40
Speaker 2: I just don't think his hand is right. And it's
19:42
Speaker 2: pretty hard to get power when you have a bunch
19:45
Speaker 2: of fed up bones in your hand, right, So I
19:48
Speaker 2: do think that is an interesting talking point for sure.
19:51
Speaker 2: Next spot Pirates Marlins worst parking the slate, Ashcraft Tyler
19:55
Speaker 2: Phillips not a great arm. I do think the Pirates
19:58
Speaker 2: are pretty interesting here of the ballpark sucks, but Marlin's
20:02
Speaker 2: bullpen is in that grad. Brandon Lowe I think is
20:05
Speaker 2: super interesting, even as a one off on the slate.
20:07
Speaker 2: Horowitz at thirty nine hundred, there's a little pin hit
20:09
Speaker 2: risk with the guy like Spencer, Horwitz, Reynolds I think
20:13
Speaker 2: more probably not a full five man stack here. I
20:16
Speaker 2: think it is viable because it is only six games slate,
20:18
Speaker 2: but I think that top three in Horwitz, low and
20:21
Speaker 2: Reynolds are pretty interesting. But how do you see this one?
20:24
Speaker 2: Pirate's definitely going to get some love on the slate,
20:26
Speaker 2: as majority of the teams are because it is a
20:28
Speaker 2: smaller slate, But any interest here against just a bet
20:32
Speaker 2: on Tyler Phillips not being good.
20:34
Speaker 3: I definitely want to play some Pirates here. I mean,
20:37
Speaker 3: the matchup is good. Phillips is one of, if not
20:39
Speaker 3: the worst pitcher on the slate, so I like that.
20:43
Speaker 3: I don't like the ballpark, and I feel like Pittsburgh
20:45
Speaker 3: has just been not good since basically the All Star break.
20:51
Speaker 3: They were really good to start the season, especially against
20:54
Speaker 3: right handed pitching, slowly have kind of tailed off as
20:57
Speaker 3: the injuries have piled up. Now they've gotten some guys back.
21:00
Speaker 3: You mentioned Horowitz, but still missing two key cogs there
21:03
Speaker 3: and Connor Griffin and O'Neal Cruz, like two guys you
21:06
Speaker 3: haven't thought about in a while. But this lineup, I
21:10
Speaker 3: just don't know if it doesn't for me for a
21:11
Speaker 3: full stack. But I'm with you like one offs all
21:14
Speaker 3: over here because there's big power upside throughout their lineup
21:17
Speaker 3: and Phillips isn't good, So totally with you here.
21:20
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm much rather full stacked. The Guardians at the
21:23
Speaker 2: kind of the same exact ownership, and a lot of
21:25
Speaker 2: that ownership is going to a guy like Jay Ram
21:27
Speaker 2: and Stephen Kwan, which I'm not a Kwan guy or
21:29
Speaker 2: a J ram guy at the current state, so I
21:31
Speaker 2: do much prefer the Guardians overall in the same kind
21:34
Speaker 2: of spot, better ballpark, pretty equal matchup overall as well,
21:39
Speaker 2: Marlin side, you did get some leverage off the Ashcraft.
21:42
Speaker 2: I will say Conine continues to just mash home runs.
21:44
Speaker 2: I think he's a super interesting thirty five hundred dollars
21:47
Speaker 2: hit and clean up on this slate. I don't think
21:49
Speaker 2: anyone who really plays him. Casey another lefty, super cheap
21:52
Speaker 2: with a ton of power, and yeah, you have strike
21:54
Speaker 2: cups with both of those guys, but you're playing for
21:56
Speaker 2: the upside and the price is right on those guys.
21:58
Speaker 2: So I think those two guys are are interest in.
22:00
Speaker 2: Marci even leading off as well. Some of those lefties
22:03
Speaker 2: to attack Ashcraft, and let's face it, Ashcraft hasn't been
22:07
Speaker 2: the best as of late. He can get some, he
22:10
Speaker 2: can get wild at times. Conine would definitely be Conin
22:14
Speaker 2: and Marci are kind of the two main guys I
22:16
Speaker 2: look at there with some just some power upside guys.
22:19
Speaker 2: If you're not playing an Ashcraft lineup, next spot Yankee Stadium,
22:25
Speaker 2: best hitting environment and park on the slate, Logan Gilbert,
22:28
Speaker 2: I see people are talking about Logan Gilbert strike out
22:31
Speaker 2: right against lefties, blah blah, all of this. I know
22:33
Speaker 2: the Yankee strikeout, the Yankee strikeout in any matchup. But
22:35
Speaker 2: what they also bring, they bring some of the best
22:38
Speaker 2: power one through nine across any team in the league.
22:41
Speaker 2: They're gonna have great hitting environment here. Gilbert's gonna face
22:45
Speaker 2: eight seven lefties and two righty's. Probably Lombard and Ramos
22:49
Speaker 2: are the two rights here, which he actually his strikeouts
22:51
Speaker 2: dip tremendously to the right side, So I would say,
22:55
Speaker 2: don't be afraid to keep those guys. I think the Yankees.
22:58
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be back in on the Yankees. I said,
23:00
Speaker 2: I'm kind of selling on Gilbert overall on this slate.
23:04
Speaker 2: I think the Yankees are one of my favorite stacks overall,
23:06
Speaker 2: especially at their ownership. I mean, you're talking sub ten
23:09
Speaker 2: percent ownership for a five man Yankee stack on a
23:12
Speaker 2: six game slate with great hitting environment, win blown out
23:17
Speaker 2: ninety degrees. I mean, I think this is a super
23:20
Speaker 2: super sneaky spot, super good spot. They got it late,
23:23
Speaker 2: but Grisham has been locked in right now hit two
23:26
Speaker 2: homers again yesterday. Spencer Jones got back on the board
23:29
Speaker 2: with two doubles yesterday. Usually if they're hitters, I like
23:33
Speaker 2: to take a look and see. If they're hitting doubles,
23:35
Speaker 2: that means you're pretty locked in and usually the home
23:37
Speaker 2: runs are following there. We know Spencer Jones has a
23:40
Speaker 2: ton of power. Luis Garcia has been great since pretty
23:43
Speaker 2: much all year, but especially since he's coming over for
23:45
Speaker 2: the Yankees. I love this spot overall for this Yankees lineup.
23:49
Speaker 2: Talk to me on why I'm kind of losing my
23:52
Speaker 2: marbles here.
23:53
Speaker 3: I don't think you are at all. I don't like
23:55
Speaker 3: them as much as you do, but I certainly get it. Honestly.
23:58
Speaker 3: The thing I'm struggling with is I just don't see
24:01
Speaker 3: Gilbert being the highest on pitcher. I just don't see it.
24:04
Speaker 3: Like maybe I'm wrong there, and I need to believe
24:06
Speaker 3: it because I'm seeing it multiple places. So in that case,
24:10
Speaker 3: like if he really is gonna be the highest on picture, like, yeah,
24:13
Speaker 3: I get it. He's away from home. He hasn't been
24:17
Speaker 3: like impervious to getting hit this year at all, especially
24:20
Speaker 3: away from Seattle. You get a lineup that got going
24:23
Speaker 3: late last night, a ton of lefties, like hell get
24:25
Speaker 3: his case. Gilbert will. But if he's giving up hard contact.
24:29
Speaker 3: It's just a much different scenario than when he's in
24:32
Speaker 3: Seattle giving up hard contact. So I get it. I
24:36
Speaker 3: like Gilbert a lot. I think I'm a bigger Gilbert
24:39
Speaker 3: fan than you are in general, so I'm never excited
24:42
Speaker 3: about picking on him. But I do think that this
24:44
Speaker 3: is a slate to do it, small slate, great hitting leather,
24:49
Speaker 3: and he's gonna be really popular when you've got like Toot,
24:52
Speaker 3: four or five other pictures that look just as good.
24:54
Speaker 3: Like I think Gilbert looks good. But if he's gonna
24:57
Speaker 3: be the most popular, give me messec and Totally or
25:00
Speaker 3: you know whoever, any two of the other guys. So
25:03
Speaker 3: I don't know if I'm personally gonna get there, but
25:05
Speaker 3: I get.
25:05
Speaker 2: It, yeah, I just I mean, so it's gonna be
25:09
Speaker 2: a three headed race between Freed, Gilbert, and Ashcraft at
25:11
Speaker 2: least projections would say that, and then a drop off
25:14
Speaker 2: to mess totally. In the rest of the slate. I'm
25:17
Speaker 2: getting about fifty about sixty percent of Ashcraft, so he's
25:20
Speaker 2: definitely gonna be in there, and then it's a toss
25:23
Speaker 2: up fifty to fifty between Freed and Gilbert. Is the
25:25
Speaker 2: kind of other sp for cash games, but it's definitely
25:28
Speaker 2: those three overall Ashcraft, Gilbert Freed. I think people are choosing.
25:32
Speaker 2: If they need the five hundred dollars, they're gonna play Freed.
25:34
Speaker 2: If they don't, they're gonna play Gilbert. I think that's
25:37
Speaker 2: just how it's gonna go. And usually it's a pretty
25:39
Speaker 2: telltale sign when I run projected and dry run to
25:42
Speaker 2: have a pretty good understanding of what the ownership is.
25:45
Speaker 2: I mean, it could be wrong. I just that's what
25:47
Speaker 2: I see, and I see Gilbert gives up barrels, he
25:50
Speaker 2: gives up power and fly balls, and this entire Yankees team,
25:53
Speaker 2: Yeah they have strikeouts, but I'm playing for upside and
25:56
Speaker 2: they hit the ball in the air. They hit for
25:57
Speaker 2: a ton of power, and they're gonna be on owned
26:00
Speaker 2: on a six game slate with double digit wind and
26:02
Speaker 2: ninety degrees blown out to three hundred and thirteen foot
26:06
Speaker 2: fence in right field. Right. So that's kind of what
26:09
Speaker 2: I see. Mariners, I don't think they obviously have the
26:11
Speaker 2: same environment. Jay Rod Rosarina would be the two guys
26:14
Speaker 2: I'd look at, but I don't love attacking Max Freed.
26:17
Speaker 2: He keeps the ball on the ground, just good bullpen
26:20
Speaker 2: behind him. I just much prefer the Achy side overall,
26:23
Speaker 2: up and down pitching and hitting. Next spot, Reds, White Sox,
26:27
Speaker 2: Davis Martin, Andrew Abbott on the mound. Abbott not good.
26:31
Speaker 2: I love the White Socks again here tonight. They got
26:33
Speaker 2: their asses kicked last night, and we're pretty tilting against
26:37
Speaker 2: a guy who just continues to somehow skate past disaster.
26:42
Speaker 2: I don't know how he does it, but he continues
26:45
Speaker 2: to go out there and pitch pretty pretty well. Davis
26:49
Speaker 2: Martin gets the Castillo matchup where Castillo had a ceiling
26:52
Speaker 2: game or his ceiling high or season high. Overall, Red's
26:58
Speaker 2: Ellie Blade I think are interesting, Sale Stewart, I just
27:03
Speaker 2: I don't love the Reds. Hector Rodriguez has shown a
27:06
Speaker 2: ton of power in the miners. He's still twenty two hundred.
27:09
Speaker 2: I don't know if you need that salary because he
27:11
Speaker 2: does bring a lot of strikeouts as well, but again,
27:13
Speaker 2: you're you're playing for upside. I think he's interesting, but
27:15
Speaker 2: I love the White Sox overall. Vargas back in there,
27:18
Speaker 2: which I love against the lefty. I think much rather
27:20
Speaker 2: give me Vargas straight up nine times out of nine
27:24
Speaker 2: out of nine times right over j Ram at the
27:26
Speaker 2: current state four cheaper. I like him me. Droff hit
27:29
Speaker 2: a bomb last night. He's been one of the better
27:31
Speaker 2: hitters for the White Sox. I know g Risen shitt
27:33
Speaker 2: on him yesterday and said he's the only guy I
27:35
Speaker 2: wouldn't play in a White Sox stack, so I knew
27:37
Speaker 2: how that was gonna end up. He's the only one
27:39
Speaker 2: that really did anything. Green Check's a big pinch hit
27:41
Speaker 2: risk in the two hole there, but he's three k.
27:44
Speaker 2: You got Quero, who hit a bomb. Doyle's been red
27:47
Speaker 2: hot right now for these guys since coming over. I
27:49
Speaker 2: think this team is pretty interesting overall.
27:51
Speaker 3: Talk to me though, definitely interesting. I think you like
27:55
Speaker 3: them a little bit more than I do because I
27:57
Speaker 3: don't love them against left e's. That said a couple
28:00
Speaker 3: of new pieces here. He talked about Doyle up top,
28:03
Speaker 3: and then Gritchuk, who's always been a good a good
28:05
Speaker 3: hitter against lefties, Like, yeah, their lineup is better than
28:09
Speaker 3: it had been against left handed pitching. And I'm totally
28:11
Speaker 3: with you, and I'd rather play Vargas over Jay Ram.
28:14
Speaker 3: If I'm using one of those guys as a one off,
28:16
Speaker 3: it's not even a question right now, Like, I don't
28:19
Speaker 3: even like I hope people are playing Jay ram as
28:22
Speaker 3: a one off today. I just it's a bad play
28:25
Speaker 3: in stacks. You can still play him because he could
28:27
Speaker 3: still come up with guys on base. He still runs.
28:30
Speaker 3: We talked about it, and he still has power in
28:33
Speaker 3: there somewhere. But as a one off, I'm totally with you.
28:35
Speaker 3: Gim me Vargas there. I don't like the White Sacks
28:38
Speaker 3: as much as you, but I think they're totally viable.
28:40
Speaker 3: I think I like the Reds more than you, though.
28:44
Speaker 3: It's just tough because the Righties, when you're talking about
28:48
Speaker 3: their lineup breakdown about how they're only gonna have three
28:51
Speaker 3: lefties in there against Martin. It's not like the righties
28:54
Speaker 3: are good. So for me, it's just would be a
28:56
Speaker 3: stack against Martin, who's not in great form and there's
29:00
Speaker 3: showed the propensity to get blown up recently. So I
29:03
Speaker 3: think this is a true You can play Martin because
29:05
Speaker 3: of the matchup against the Reds. You can play the
29:08
Speaker 3: Reds because of the matchup against Martin. I view both
29:10
Speaker 3: very similarly, you know what I mean?
29:13
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. I mean the Reds still do have
29:15
Speaker 2: a ton of power up and down the lineup, especially
29:17
Speaker 2: against right und and pitching. Martin can give it up
29:20
Speaker 2: at times. I just I'm not a Red Reds fan,
29:24
Speaker 2: and maybe it's because Castio absolutely moulled this team down
29:26
Speaker 2: yesterday and pissed me off. But I mean Suarez has
29:30
Speaker 2: been really really that's He's got a ton of power
29:33
Speaker 2: against Rady's, Stevenson, Stuart, Ellie, McLean's actually been good. He'll
29:37
Speaker 2: swipe some bags to Bladet. So yeah, I mean up
29:40
Speaker 2: and down the lineup, they have a bunch of power
29:42
Speaker 2: to thirty team I sell in the last month to
29:45
Speaker 2: kind of act that thirty strikeout rate. But again, I
29:48
Speaker 2: just hate stacking the team that has a bunch of
29:52
Speaker 2: k's because of just any rally killers things like that.
29:55
Speaker 2: But I definitely get it. I think they're they're in play.
29:59
Speaker 2: I prefer the White Sox at lower ownership that to
30:02
Speaker 2: the Reds overall, I prefer the Guardians, like we talked
30:06
Speaker 2: about the Yankees. So I can't play everyone, but but
30:10
Speaker 2: I get it. I think majority of that Red's ownership
30:12
Speaker 2: is definitely gonna be focused around Ellie and Bledet for sure,
30:15
Speaker 2: but Stewart's projected up there Stevenson at thirty four hundreds
30:18
Speaker 2: projected up there swore az same thing. So I do
30:21
Speaker 2: think people are gonna play the Reds and I prefer
30:24
Speaker 2: the White Sox a little bit more more so, but
30:27
Speaker 2: I definitely get your points overall. I just I saw
30:30
Speaker 2: what Castillo did in his current state yesterday in the
30:32
Speaker 2: same matchup, and I don't know, I mean, is Davis
30:35
Speaker 2: Martin that much worse than Louis Castillo at the current state, right?
30:39
Speaker 2: So that's that's that's what's has a sour taste in
30:43
Speaker 2: my mouth overall. Next spot, though, Blue Jay's Red Sox,
30:46
Speaker 2: Peyton Totley, Max Schurs are back in our lives. Gotta
30:49
Speaker 2: love these lefties against corpse in Max Sher's that just
30:53
Speaker 2: still continued to trot out there. I mean, Hall of Famer, incredible,
30:57
Speaker 2: incredible career. He's just kind of limping to the finish
31:01
Speaker 2: line here, still collecting a paycheck. Yoshida looks great. Adley
31:05
Speaker 2: back in this Adley in this lineup now looks amazing
31:08
Speaker 2: a bray you. Duran's kind of cooled off a little bit,
31:11
Speaker 2: but he still has upside. Nick Selguard probably won't be
31:14
Speaker 2: Mega Chalk anymore now that he's back in the back
31:17
Speaker 2: half of the lineup at least projected compared to the
31:19
Speaker 2: bat and leadoff Red Sox are gonna get ownership. I
31:21
Speaker 2: prefer them to the Cubs if you're comparing the two,
31:24
Speaker 2: just because I think Cavali is a much better pitcher
31:26
Speaker 2: than Max Scherzer at his current state. I love the
31:29
Speaker 2: Red Sox. They're my top overall stack on the slate
31:32
Speaker 2: against Max Schurz. I've stacked against this guy every time
31:34
Speaker 2: he's made a start. He burned me once. But how
31:37
Speaker 2: do you see this one?
31:40
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you. He's actually been worse at home
31:42
Speaker 3: this year. He's not in like the worst form of
31:45
Speaker 3: the season for him, but that's just because he had
31:47
Speaker 3: been got offul at certain points. He's definitely a picture
31:51
Speaker 3: you want to pick on. It's sad man Like you
31:53
Speaker 3: look at his Savant page from like twenty fifteen to
31:58
Speaker 3: twenty two. I mean this was an elite I mean,
32:02
Speaker 3: one of the best pictures we've seen, and now it's
32:05
Speaker 3: just it happened. That happens too with guys I think
32:07
Speaker 3: about like the Sam fran guys like Sureser is better
32:11
Speaker 3: than them, but like Tim Linz to come and Matt
32:13
Speaker 3: Kin to guys that were like awesome for years and
32:16
Speaker 3: then we're guys you just wanted to pick on dfs
32:19
Speaker 3: because the margins are real thin in Major League Baseball
32:23
Speaker 3: for pitchers. So right now, Surezer is not good and
32:27
Speaker 3: he's always been a guy you could use lefty power against,
32:30
Speaker 3: and now it's just you want to full stack against him.
32:33
Speaker 3: I'm with you. I think Boston looks like the best
32:34
Speaker 3: stack on paper here. Tough to not want to get
32:38
Speaker 3: exposure to them. They're affordable, they're on the road. There
32:41
Speaker 3: aren't like crazy good ballparks here, like no Cores, no Sacramento.
32:46
Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, it's a really good spot. I like
32:49
Speaker 3: Boston a toon here.
32:51
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there. I did want to circle
32:53
Speaker 2: back to this, so oh yeah, oh yeah. Chicago did
32:56
Speaker 2: move the game time up an hour, which is gonna
32:58
Speaker 2: help the I think it's gonna help the overall possibility
33:02
Speaker 2: that this game kind of gets in completely. It does
33:05
Speaker 2: if you're playing Martin. It does hurt anyone who's playing
33:09
Speaker 2: Martin because or Abbott for that reason, because I likely,
33:13
Speaker 2: I mean at least Roth has it right now is
33:15
Speaker 2: yellow orange thinking the storms are gonna move in kind
33:18
Speaker 2: of mid game, so then you're gonna probably see a delay.
33:21
Speaker 2: Those arms are not gonna come back. I don't know
33:23
Speaker 2: how many innings that means, right, if it's an hour,
33:26
Speaker 2: hour and a half something like that, they still get
33:27
Speaker 2: their five to six innings, So it's it's definitely more
33:31
Speaker 2: risky on the arm side of things. But I think
33:32
Speaker 2: the Bats are fairly good overall, at least from what
33:37
Speaker 2: I'm seeing in what I'm kind of reading. But again,
33:39
Speaker 2: do monitor that. I think moving up the game time
33:42
Speaker 2: and an hour does help the case there, so that
33:44
Speaker 2: game does start in hour earlier than what it was
33:47
Speaker 2: going to, which which does help overall. Next spot, last
33:51
Speaker 2: spot on the slate Cubs Nationals High Stone Stack right
33:55
Speaker 2: there next to the Red Sox. When comparing the two,
33:58
Speaker 2: I definitely prefer the Red Sox outside of PCA looks
34:01
Speaker 2: like one of the best plays, if not the best
34:02
Speaker 2: play overall in the slate. He's gonna be owned as such,
34:05
Speaker 2: and he is still sixty six hundred. I just think
34:08
Speaker 2: Kate Cavali's a pretty solid pitcher. I mean, you look
34:10
Speaker 2: at this guy, twenty six percent striker rate over the
34:13
Speaker 2: course of the year, doesn't walk Anyone doesn't give up
34:16
Speaker 2: hard contact, doesn't give up barrels, doesn't give up power,
34:19
Speaker 2: keeps the ball on the ground. I mean, could the
34:22
Speaker 2: Cubs do it? Yeah? Absolutely, But I just hate stacking
34:24
Speaker 2: a chalky team against the ground ball guy and they
34:27
Speaker 2: strike out. I mean, PCA thirty, Kate am I a
34:30
Speaker 2: thirty seven percent striker rate, halp Suzuki both approaching thirty percent,
34:34
Speaker 2: Conford approaching thirty percent. I mean, I think Kate Cavally
34:38
Speaker 2: can go out there and pitch a good game at
34:39
Speaker 2: no ownership. I'm gonna be selling on some of these
34:41
Speaker 2: Cubs guy outside of a PCA Suzuki, I think is
34:46
Speaker 2: fine too. I'm not chasing Bregman after his three home
34:48
Speaker 2: run games, but I'd probably rather play Bregman at third
34:50
Speaker 2: base than Jay Ram. So I know we keep shooting
34:53
Speaker 2: on Jay Ram. Watch out for the two home runs
34:55
Speaker 2: and two steals, so that'll be interesting. But how do
34:58
Speaker 2: you see the last game the slate here? Any interest
35:01
Speaker 2: in the Nats or the Cubs?
35:05
Speaker 3: Might Bragman might be my limit. I don't know if
35:07
Speaker 3: I'd rather play him than Jay Ram has a one off,
35:09
Speaker 3: but I would just play Vargus no matter what there
35:11
Speaker 3: if I had the dudes, Yeah, I'm with you. Like,
35:15
Speaker 3: obviously the Cubs are still they look good here and
35:19
Speaker 3: it's not like Cavali is some ace, but the field's
35:22
Speaker 3: already there. And I think both of us agree that, like,
35:25
Speaker 3: we probably like Cavally a little bit more than the
35:27
Speaker 3: field does and don't really want to follow this Cub's
35:30
Speaker 3: ownership as fall as far as full stacks go, Yeah,
35:33
Speaker 3: PCA if you can get to him. I mean, he
35:37
Speaker 3: has been amazing for the past however many months, he's
35:41
Speaker 3: likely gonna win NL MVP and he runs on top
35:44
Speaker 3: of it, so he's about as safe as a spend
35:47
Speaker 3: up guys you can get with monster upside. So yeah,
35:51
Speaker 3: he looks awesome, but as a full stack, there's just
35:53
Speaker 3: other spots I like more. I like more than the
35:56
Speaker 3: field does, and I don't like this one as much
35:58
Speaker 3: as the field does, it seems, so Yeah, I think
36:00
Speaker 3: I'm with you. I'm not likely to be over on
36:02
Speaker 3: the Cubs here.
36:04
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you do have the Nats bullpen, which
36:07
Speaker 2: is always the concern. I mean we saw it with
36:09
Speaker 2: the A's when when the Rays got absolutely mowed down
36:12
Speaker 2: by my god, Jacob Gonzalez Jacob Lopez for seven innings,
36:15
Speaker 2: and they still posted ten runs in two innings against
36:18
Speaker 2: that fucking shitty bullpen. It is really good hitting environment
36:21
Speaker 2: here in Nats Park. It is going to be ninety
36:23
Speaker 2: five degrees some slight win kind of blowing out to
36:27
Speaker 2: right field, but again you have to hit the ball
36:29
Speaker 2: in the air for that to matter. I do want
36:30
Speaker 2: to call out two bats in particular on the Nats side,
36:32
Speaker 2: Number one CJ. Abrams ship to the upside anytime he's
36:36
Speaker 2: on the slate, but more so a twenty two hundred
36:38
Speaker 2: abak or tease. This dude has been murdering baseballs over
36:42
Speaker 2: the last month. Three hundred Io doesn't strike out. I
36:46
Speaker 2: mean Gosman historically is susceptible to lefty, especially lefty power.
36:51
Speaker 2: I mean I didn't want to call on him for sure.
36:55
Speaker 2: I mean he's twenty two hundred showing a ton of power.
36:58
Speaker 2: I think he had hit bomb yesterday as well. Well.
37:00
Speaker 2: This guy has shown it over the whole course of
37:02
Speaker 2: the month. It's not just like a one game flute
37:04
Speaker 2: type stuff. Twenty two played appearances, sub twenty percent strike
37:08
Speaker 2: up rate, three hundred, icel wOBA approaching four hundred, and
37:12
Speaker 2: the dude is free right at no ownership, so yeah,
37:16
Speaker 2: I think he's pretty pretty interesting. And then CJ. Abrams
37:18
Speaker 2: always has a ton of upside. Much prefer if I'm
37:20
Speaker 2: spending up like that at a PCA. But I mean
37:23
Speaker 2: Abrams is going to be a fraction of the ownership
37:25
Speaker 2: in my opinion of a guy like Ellie daily Cruz
37:27
Speaker 2: for two hundred dollars more. Right, So little position eligibility stuff,
37:31
Speaker 2: I think Abrams Ortiz little mini stack there in kind
37:35
Speaker 2: of chalk your lineups, I think is super intriguing. Overall,
37:39
Speaker 2: Matt takes us to the end of the show, your
37:40
Speaker 2: top three pitchers, top three stacks in a home run
37:42
Speaker 2: call if you have one.
37:44
Speaker 3: I really like that Nats call out. I didn't talk
37:46
Speaker 3: about them at all, but I think you can play
37:48
Speaker 3: the Nats on this slate. Like Goussman is a good
37:52
Speaker 3: arm and he's someone I respect. But when he's bad,
37:54
Speaker 3: he's bad. And the Nats have been good all year
37:58
Speaker 3: against right hand and pitching. You don't have James would,
38:00
Speaker 3: but you still got a line up full of guys,
38:02
Speaker 3: and you've got Ortiz, who should be in the middle
38:05
Speaker 3: of that lineup. Yeah, So my favorite stacks are gonna
38:10
Speaker 3: be the Red Sox the Guardians, and I'm a little
38:19
Speaker 3: bit torn after that. So you know what, we're gonna
38:21
Speaker 3: go with the Nationals. I like a couple of guys
38:23
Speaker 3: in their lineups. Give me the Nats here. I'm sure
38:25
Speaker 3: the Nats, Yeah, for sure. I like that.
38:31
Speaker 2: The guy well, especially at short stop. I mean, the
38:33
Speaker 2: guy who's gonna get the most ownership anytime the Nats
38:35
Speaker 2: on the slate is Abrams or would. Obviously Wood's not
38:37
Speaker 2: in there, so defaults to the Abrams. But you got
38:39
Speaker 2: Li daily Cruz at the same price point against Davis
38:42
Speaker 2: Martin when he looks like one of the high stung
38:44
Speaker 2: bats on the slate, so it's gonna hold him in check.
38:47
Speaker 2: I like that for me. I'm gonna go totally Max
38:52
Speaker 2: Freed and messk my three guys there, Stacks. I'm going
38:57
Speaker 2: Boston number one, Yankees number two, and then Cleveland third.
39:03
Speaker 2: White Sox would be four. I'm definitely selling on the Cubs.
39:07
Speaker 2: So insert your your Cubs ten spot. Because me and
39:11
Speaker 2: Bellman have been pretty pretty ice cold as of late,
39:14
Speaker 2: but hey, we turn around, I think we're in Locksta
39:17
Speaker 2: Box are feeling feeling pretty good about this slate.
39:19
Speaker 3: I think we it's funny too. You mentioned you threw it.
39:22
Speaker 3: You didn't even know, but there was some salt on
39:24
Speaker 3: the mound throw there. So that night that your boy,
39:26
Speaker 3: Jacob Lopez, I was sitting in first in the late
39:29
Speaker 3: three thirty three for the entire slate because I stacked
39:31
Speaker 3: the a's until the last half glad the eighth and
39:36
Speaker 3: ninth inning when the rate chalk rays got there against
39:38
Speaker 3: the bullpen and I got passed by two lineups. So yeah,
39:41
Speaker 3: bro do whatever. We don't say yes to that.
39:45
Speaker 2: Right exactly.
39:46
Speaker 3: I mean we.
39:46
Speaker 2: I think we were on the show together and I
39:48
Speaker 2: was telling Jacob Lopez and I said, look, this guy
39:51
Speaker 2: is good since the All Star break to raise our
39:54
Speaker 2: mega chalk and he goes out there and just absolutely
39:56
Speaker 2: drops his ball bag on the entire lineup, and then
39:59
Speaker 2: that bull pen says, hold my beer. Let me just
40:01
Speaker 2: go ahead and get all the chalk donkeys there at
40:03
Speaker 2: two innings in this fucking ballpark. Yeah, very tilting, but hey,
40:07
Speaker 2: that's what you're gonna do. That's why we spend a
40:08
Speaker 2: lot of time talking on these shows about bullpens. But
40:12
Speaker 2: for me, I'm gonna go to my home run call
40:14
Speaker 2: to round us out. I'm going to the White Sox.
40:16
Speaker 2: I'm not going to Miguel Vargas. That feels like cheating.
40:18
Speaker 2: I'm actually going to the leadoff guy, Chase Mee Droth.
40:21
Speaker 2: I think this guy has been raking, especially against left
40:25
Speaker 2: handed pitching. He hit a bomb last night. He's been
40:27
Speaker 2: red hot all month, especially against lefties. Four or five
40:30
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty three ioh and twenty two plate appearances
40:33
Speaker 2: against left handed pitching, no strikeouts, good walks, he's seen
40:38
Speaker 2: the ball well. Abbott not a good guy that I
40:41
Speaker 2: believe in at his current state. Gimme Chase Mee Droth
40:44
Speaker 2: to hit a home run at second base thirty five
40:47
Speaker 2: hundred Matt appreciate it. I think we saw the slate
40:50
Speaker 2: pretty good. Hopefully we turn these ships around overall. Go
40:54
Speaker 2: luck to everyone out there in those contests for this
40:56
Speaker 2: day baseball on a Thursday, four bellman, i'mn aides cut
41:00
Speaker 2: you guys next time we're out of here. Pez