Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL DFS Week 5 Takedown Breakdown | Winning DraftKings Lineups & Strategy Review
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go.
- 0:06Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff. What's up, everyone? Tyler Tamblyn here, a.k.a.
- 0:38Speaker 3: Totagan Tambo, back for another edition of the Takedown Breakdown
- 0:42Speaker 3: here on the Ship It Nation YouTube station.
- 0:43Speaker 2: Got my guy.
- 0:44Speaker 3: Bellman here with me this week. Gonna break down all
- 0:46Speaker 3: the winning DFS lineups, the perfect lineups, the optimals, looking
- 0:50Speaker 3: at the stacks, the top DFS players across the industry
- 0:53Speaker 3: playing yesterday for the Week 5 main slate. over on
- 0:56Speaker 3: draft kings that's a band dual data i think today
- 0:58Speaker 3: too that we can look at we'll wait and see
- 1:00Speaker 3: what's there but there's gonna be a lot of good
- 1:01Speaker 3: stuff we'll be using our partners over at dfsos.com you
- 1:05Speaker 3: can use code ship it there to get 50 off
- 1:07Speaker 3: and i think you'll want it once you see what
- 1:09Speaker 3: we've got to offer there but bellman i'll bring you
- 1:11Speaker 3: in man back in the booth good to have you
- 1:12Speaker 3: back how you doing my friend i'm.
- 1:14Speaker 4: Good man happy to be back with you i know
- 1:16Speaker 4: i was on here with nades last week so i
- 1:18Speaker 4: missed you happy to be back on with you this
- 1:20Speaker 4: week and we got a uh Fun, interesting, not so fun,
- 1:24Speaker 4: depending on what angle you want to take Slate to
- 1:26Speaker 4: look at yesterday. As always, injuries just so rampant in
- 1:31Speaker 4: the NFL, man. Every single week, it feels like it just,
- 1:35Speaker 4: someone somewhere is getting screwed. And it's tough, man, because
- 1:39Speaker 4: the injuries just suck.
- 1:41Speaker 2: Yeah. The injuries hurt for sure.
- 1:42Speaker 3: I got crushed in both my mega tickets yesterday. I
- 1:45Speaker 3: had a Hawkinson and one, I really liked this Kyler
- 1:47Speaker 3: build that I had. I talked about it on the, uh,
- 1:50Speaker 3: the show yesterday on the Sunday shipper show.
- 1:52Speaker 2: And I'm going to show that one. I could show
- 1:54Speaker 2: them both.
- 1:54Speaker 3: It doesn't matter, but I think there's other stuff to
- 1:56Speaker 3: get to, but I want to show that build because
- 1:57Speaker 3: in talk through some strategy, I think that's going to
- 1:59Speaker 3: be important for how you, someone thinks about a slate
- 2:02Speaker 3: when they only have one or two lineups when others
- 2:04Speaker 3: have a bunch.
- 2:04Speaker 2: So hopefully that can help some people out there. Um,
- 2:07Speaker 2: What does the B.
- 2:08Speaker 3: On the hat stand for? I know it's a Bentley symbol,
- 2:10Speaker 3: but do you have any cliche one-liner? What would you
- 2:13Speaker 3: say your B stands for? Because I got one for mine.
- 2:15Speaker 3: I can tell you that.
- 2:16Speaker 1: I mean, it definitely stands for Bellman. Clearly it's a hat.
- 2:19Speaker 4: Okay.
- 2:19Speaker 2: Okay. The M stands for mediocre because it was a
- 2:22Speaker 2: mediocre week for me.
- 2:23Speaker 3: I was hoping it would stand for Millie or something
- 2:25Speaker 3: like that, but it was definitely a mediocre week.
- 2:27Speaker 2: It was pretty good on FanDuel. It was rough on DraftKings.
- 2:31Speaker 3: And the main thing was the two mega tickets, which
- 2:34Speaker 3: was nice that I only got, I got them. People
- 2:36Speaker 3: saw the screenshots of Discord the other day and baseball.
- 2:38Speaker 3: I got them back-to-back weeks on a Wednesday in baseball.
- 2:40Speaker 3: We don't have those that many games. It was like
- 2:42Speaker 3: a four game slate before the playoffs moved around and whatnot,
- 2:45Speaker 3: or less, maybe three games. But yeah, um, getting two
- 2:47Speaker 3: tickets for like less than a hundred bucks is nice.
- 2:49Speaker 3: Turning them into $ 0 is not so nice when they,
- 2:53Speaker 3: they have that value. So got to work on that.
- 2:55Speaker 3: But 12th, the previous week was, you know, we were
- 2:57Speaker 3: felt like we were getting closer. We'll see how it
- 2:58Speaker 3: goes this week. Any other takeaways from yesterday? I mean,
- 3:02Speaker 3: obviously the big Detroit, Arizona game, which we're going to
- 3:04Speaker 3: show everything off here in a minute, but, um, it
- 3:07Speaker 3: like wasn't going until it finally was late in the game.
- 3:10Speaker 3: It just shows you what could have been, but there
- 3:11Speaker 3: was other games on the slate, the green Bay game.
- 3:14Speaker 3: We were all over the, uh, new England game. I
- 3:16Speaker 3: talked about yesterday, the maze, the Millie makers, and there
- 3:18Speaker 3: was the Millie maker, I believe was a Drake made
- 3:20Speaker 3: to Mario Douglas winning lineup. After all the jokes that
- 3:23Speaker 3: I had around that yesterday, it turned out to be true,
- 3:25Speaker 3: but any takeaways for you right off the top from
- 3:27Speaker 3: yesterday's slate.
- 3:29Speaker 4: For me, the biggest takeaway I have from yesterday is
- 3:32Speaker 4: just kind of like, you know, putting the Detroit Arizona
- 3:36Speaker 4: game aside, like in its own box, A lot of
- 3:38Speaker 4: the best plays were just the best plays. And that
- 3:41Speaker 4: really means that running back a lot of the guys
- 3:43Speaker 4: that we and everyone talked about around the industry just
- 3:46Speaker 4: ended up being really good plays. You didn't want to
- 3:48Speaker 4: get too outside the box, whether it was obviously Gibbs
- 3:51Speaker 4: was amazing. He was super pricey, but whether it was
- 3:53Speaker 4: Braylon Allen, Jalen Warren, guys he needed. So sometimes the
- 3:58Speaker 4: best plays are just that the best plays.
- 4:00Speaker 3: Especially at running back, the running back chalk typically comes through.
- 4:02Speaker 3: I'd be like, all right, how did like, even the,
- 4:04Speaker 3: you know, like Swift was okay. And he might've got
- 4:07Speaker 3: you by the way, Swift didn't have the best game
- 4:08Speaker 3: as the other guys did like a Warren type game
- 4:10Speaker 3: or anything, but maybe that's what you used on the
- 4:13Speaker 3: other side of your, your love Watson golden stack. And
- 4:19Speaker 3: you're like, well, damn, that worked out pretty well. So
- 4:20Speaker 3: it's like, you, you end up having that in there.
- 4:22Speaker 3: So sometimes it's like one side does work.
- 4:24Speaker 2: For the other.
- 4:25Speaker 3: And I think that's a topic that, you know, people
- 4:27Speaker 3: don't get to enough. They're like, well, how did so-and-so
- 4:29Speaker 3: get to this guy in their lineup? But it's like,
- 4:31Speaker 3: that's what helped them make the stack work on the
- 4:34Speaker 3: other side. And that still ends up being what you needed.
- 4:36Speaker 3: And then like Nate says, I had 80% swift. I know,
- 4:39Speaker 3: you know, he talked about his exposures a little bit
- 4:41Speaker 3: yesterday and stuff like that.
- 4:42Speaker 2: It's, it's all risk reward.
- 4:45Speaker 3: Um, if you, but I guess, uh, you know, I'll
- 4:46Speaker 3: just give Nades a little feedback here. Like I saw
- 4:49Speaker 3: him just talking about in the discord, like didn't have
- 4:50Speaker 3: enough Warren. Well, that's what you got to balance for. Like,
- 4:53Speaker 3: I think I had 50% of both or something along
- 4:56Speaker 3: those lines in my MME stuff, but it's like whatever
- 4:58Speaker 3: you were taking to get that much Swift obviously was
- 5:01Speaker 3: pulling from other places.
- 5:02Speaker 2: But again, what you want in your pool is up
- 5:04Speaker 2: to you. So it's not like there's a right answer.
- 5:06Speaker 3: I'm just saying, I always do look at that when
- 5:08Speaker 3: I'm thinking about a portfolio exposure and I, I call
- 5:11Speaker 3: it portfolio manipulation, right? is like you're able to manipulate
- 5:13Speaker 3: your portfolio in your favor and you still would have
- 5:17Speaker 3: had good numbers on Swift and plenty of exposures or exposure,
- 5:21Speaker 3: but you also would have been able to get more
- 5:23Speaker 3: of some of the other guys as well.
- 5:25Speaker 4: So I wanted to ask you something kind of as
- 5:27Speaker 4: another takeaway that I think people like discussions about this.
- 5:29Speaker 4: And I'm just curious from your standpoint, because I know
- 5:33Speaker 4: this is something you talk about a lot and I
- 5:34Speaker 4: know you were going to get into it with your
- 5:36Speaker 4: Tyler lineup when you're only playing, you know, one or
- 5:38Speaker 4: two lineups in a field where guys have 20. When
- 5:41Speaker 4: you have a lineup or not even a lineup, an
- 5:44Speaker 4: entry or two entries that are from tickets, especially in
- 5:48Speaker 4: like a big contest like this, that would cost, you know,
- 5:51Speaker 4: four or five grand to shell out if you didn't
- 5:53Speaker 4: have the tickets. Do you play those differently than if
- 5:56Speaker 4: you entered them without tickets? Cause like you mentioned something
- 6:00Speaker 4: and it just has stuck with me about how, you know,
- 6:02Speaker 4: it sucks to get back $ 0 and sure it sucks
- 6:04Speaker 4: to get back $ 0, but at the end of the day,
- 6:06Speaker 4: you're playing to win. So of course it's going to happen.
- 6:09Speaker 4: But when you, are able to get into one of
- 6:11Speaker 4: those contests for less than $ 100, like you said? Are
- 6:13Speaker 4: you more interested in a mint cash than you otherwise
- 6:15Speaker 4: would have been? It's your perspective here.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Yeah, great question, actually. I love this one.
- 6:19Speaker 3: I think people will like it. No, and I think
- 6:21Speaker 3: that's a mistake that most people make. I talk about
- 6:23Speaker 3: it a ton over at dfsmastermind.com. You can find it
- 6:26Speaker 3: in all just the basic modules, let alone within all
- 6:29Speaker 3: the courses and the teachings and the coaching and all that.
- 6:32Speaker 3: A lot of people win a satellite and they win
- 6:35Speaker 3: it in an aggressive way, right? They're willing to play aggressively.
- 6:38Speaker 3: It's usually the opposite. So that's why it's such a
- 6:39Speaker 3: good question. Most people win a satellite ticket, $ 9 turns
- 6:42Speaker 3: into 555, or let's use what I did, $ 37 into 4444.
- 6:43Speaker 2: I had to beat 140 people or whatever it was
- 6:50Speaker 2: And maybe it was more. I can't remember. Maybe it
- 6:51Speaker 2: was $ 75 or something. I can't remember the exact math
- 6:53Speaker 2: or numbers. But anyway, the point being.
- 6:56Speaker 3: When you win the ticket, you play aggressive because it's
- 6:59Speaker 3: less than 50 bucks, less than a hundred bucks for both.
- 7:01Speaker 2: Like it was fine, right? You're, you're, you're going on,
- 7:03Speaker 2: you're going to win the ticket. It's going to be
- 7:04Speaker 2: all good.
- 7:05Speaker 3: But then they switch up and say, okay, I want
- 7:08Speaker 3: to make sure I at least min cash. I'm going
- 7:09Speaker 3: to play it safe. Well, that's why I'll show you
- 7:12Speaker 3: my Kyler lineup and everything that I did yesterday, because, um,
- 7:15Speaker 3: you know, the Detroit Arizona game is just going to
- 7:17Speaker 3: be so covered in that tournament.
- 7:20Speaker 2: That I'm covered every which way.
- 7:22Speaker 3: Like I'd be looking for the thread of the finest
- 7:24Speaker 3: needle you could ever find. So I played to win
- 7:27Speaker 3: and I'll talk about it directly. Great question though. I
- 7:29Speaker 3: think that's important. When you do win it, play the
- 7:31Speaker 3: same way you want it. And again, the way you
- 7:34Speaker 3: want it wasn't stupid. You're not just the luckiest person
- 7:36Speaker 3: in the world that played like an idiot.
- 7:37Speaker 2: No. you played accordingly, but you probably took on a
- 7:39Speaker 2: little bit more risk.
- 7:40Speaker 3: Let's say it was in baseball and it's a core
- 7:42Speaker 3: slate and you faded cores, but got there with the
- 7:46Speaker 3: Dodgers or the Yankees somewhere else or the Phillies or
- 7:48Speaker 3: something that you're like, well, there's still a really good stack.
- 7:50Speaker 3: People just couldn't get to them today. And they're like
- 7:51Speaker 3: the fifth or sixth best stack. Well, you can think
- 7:54Speaker 3: about it like that on the main slate, because most
- 7:56Speaker 3: people are going to play the core slate. And then
- 7:58Speaker 3: the top players that have multiple lineups within their own
- 8:01Speaker 3: portfolio manipulation are going to have a giant portion of cores.
- 8:04Speaker 3: And then some of those other ones trickling out. And
- 8:06Speaker 3: you just want to be in the room where you
- 8:08Speaker 3: can be right and be paid more when you are right.
- 8:10Speaker 3: Shout out to our guy, Tidal, who always talks about that.
- 8:12Speaker 3: But yesterday, that game had pieces that were needed. A
- 8:17Speaker 3: bunch of them got there, and we'll look at it.
- 8:18Speaker 3: But I said it on the Mayo show on Friday.
- 8:20Speaker 3: I said it's a week where the biggest... tournaments like
- 8:23Speaker 3: the mega are going to be won by the best players.
- 8:25Speaker 3: Do you, do you know who won the 44, 44
- 8:27Speaker 3: mega yesterday?
- 8:29Speaker 1: Links, right?
- 8:31Speaker 2: No, that's the guy we're going to look at in
- 8:32Speaker 2: the $ 20 Millie maker. Uh, actually I can't remember. Maybe, um,
- 8:36Speaker 2: it's a different name.
- 8:37Speaker 3: I'll have it up here in a second, but I'm
- 8:38Speaker 3: almost positive that, uh, you to cow links came second.
- 8:41Speaker 2: Yeah. You to cow one. Okay. So just noting it,
- 8:44Speaker 2: I mean, literally the best in the world, in my opinion,
- 8:47Speaker 2: right now. So I would say, you know, him getting
- 8:50Speaker 2: the job done. No surprise. But lots of guys came through. Hey,
- 8:53Speaker 2: there's my man, Tyler Hicks. Where's he at?
- 8:54Speaker 1: Right here.
- 8:55Speaker 2: Jerm Bernard. He sent me the DM yesterday. Shout out
- 8:57Speaker 2: to him.
- 8:58Speaker 3: And we did talk about on the show and reference
- 8:59Speaker 3: him and credit him for that one, too. But the
- 9:01Speaker 3: Jeremy Bernard learning the playbook. I don't think had anything
- 9:05Speaker 3: to do his, his success. I, sorry, I'm saying, I
- 9:08Speaker 3: don't think had anything to do with the Wilson injury.
- 9:10Speaker 3: He was already being featured. So great call out there.
- 9:13Speaker 3: And I think sometimes you got to look at that
- 9:14Speaker 3: stuff as well. I know others had talked about it too.
- 9:16Speaker 3: That was a pretty awesome call on that one. There
- 9:19Speaker 3: was a couple of others. You had, you have Warren crushed.
- 9:21Speaker 3: Also you were on like.
- 9:22Speaker 2: Again, When Dowdle's out, Warren, great. When Mnangai's out, Swift,
- 9:26Speaker 2: pretty good.
- 9:28Speaker 3: No Brees Hall, still no Adonai Mitchell, Jets short at home, rain,
- 9:32Speaker 3: et cetera. You could play that. You could play Braylon Allen.
- 9:35Speaker 3: All these spots at running back made sense. It was
- 9:37Speaker 3: the stacks around them where you could really get different.
- 9:39Speaker 3: And we'll look at that in a second just to
- 9:41Speaker 3: go through it. Nate said this one too, and I
- 9:44Speaker 3: was going to hit on this quickly. I'll get your thoughts,
- 9:47Speaker 3: but We talk about this all the time. It's a
- 9:49Speaker 3: long-term game. That's takedown breakdowns. Some people said this show
- 9:53Speaker 3: is more mindset than it is actually digging into results.
- 9:56Speaker 3: And so we are going to look at all the results.
- 9:58Speaker 3: I promise you guys, but they said it's like the
- 9:59Speaker 3: Monday mode. or the mastermind Monday or whatever you want
- 10:02Speaker 3: to call it, where we go through this stuff and
- 10:03Speaker 3: just talk about mindset. You know, the English language is funny, Bellman,
- 10:08Speaker 3: because Close and close are spelt the exact same. So
- 10:14Speaker 3: I often get close, but you got to close. And
- 10:17Speaker 3: it's the exact same word, right, on paper. But it's
- 10:20Speaker 3: not the exact same result, right? Getting close doesn't pay
- 10:23Speaker 3: like when you close.
- 10:24Speaker 2: That's the thing. And so I do think that's important
- 10:27Speaker 2: to remember.
- 10:27Speaker 3: But the most important part, in my opinion, and I'll
- 10:30Speaker 3: kick it to you on thoughts, is just like, if
- 10:32Speaker 3: you're not getting close, that's the problem. It's really hard
- 10:35Speaker 3: to close when you're not getting close. And so your
- 10:37Speaker 3: process needs to be your own. It needs to be
- 10:40Speaker 3: something you can build around repeatable, have something that strategy
- 10:43Speaker 3: that you say, okay, I use the stone at ship
- 10:45Speaker 3: at nation. And then I hand build my lineup with
- 10:48Speaker 3: the stone 2.0 in the hand builder, or I go
- 10:50Speaker 3: into Saber Sim and build my lineups there for MME process.
- 10:53Speaker 3: Like if you don't have something that to recognize where
- 10:56Speaker 3: you can learn from and get better from and act
- 10:59Speaker 3: from and change and do all this stuff and adapt,
- 11:01Speaker 3: then you're probably not going to be able to get close.
- 11:04Speaker 3: And then if you're doing it, you know, long-term like
- 11:06Speaker 3: we are, it's week five. Like somebody said, like who
- 11:09Speaker 3: really cares? It's like, I'm actually happy. I haven't closed
- 11:12Speaker 3: anything big yet to start the season. I've got two
- 11:15Speaker 3: second places in the FFWC. I got 12th in the
- 11:18Speaker 3: Mega Millie. I got a close call in the Juggernauts
- 11:20Speaker 3: on FanDuel. The sign exists for a reason.
- 11:22Speaker 2: We move on. Nobody cares. Work harder. We're playing for
- 11:24Speaker 2: the whole season.
- 11:25Speaker 3: But I've actually never had an opening five weeks before.
- 11:29Speaker 3: where I felt like I was more dialed and that close.
- 11:31Speaker 3: And if everybody follows me and knows me, I talked
- 11:34Speaker 3: about it in the off season that I really had
- 11:35Speaker 3: a process for dialing in my first six weeks of
- 11:38Speaker 3: the season.
- 11:39Speaker 2: And it's been working.
- 11:40Speaker 3: I just didn't close. I just got close. So do
- 11:42Speaker 3: you have any thoughts on that? I mean, obviously we're
- 11:43Speaker 3: playing a long game, but I think it's important to
- 11:45Speaker 3: recognize that.
- 11:46Speaker 1: It's insane.
- 11:49Speaker 4: For me, it's like the thing that stands out to
- 11:52Speaker 4: me is like, you can't close if you don't get close, right?
- 11:57Speaker 4: But at the end of the day, All you can
- 11:59Speaker 4: do is put yourself in the position to be close
- 12:02Speaker 4: to close because we're not the ones out there. Like
- 12:06Speaker 4: a lot of this is you can only control what
- 12:09Speaker 4: you can control, right? And we can control a lot
- 12:12Speaker 4: as far as our processes and the work we're putting
- 12:16Speaker 4: in and how we're making lineups, et cetera, et cetera.
- 12:18Speaker 4: But at the end of the day, it's still human
- 12:20Speaker 4: beings playing sports.
- 12:21Speaker 1: So a lot of it.
- 12:22Speaker 4: Is always going to be out of our control. It's
- 12:25Speaker 4: important to recognize that. So I think the main point
- 12:27Speaker 4: is what you said. You can't close without getting close.
- 12:32Speaker 4: So continuing to put yourself in that spot and I'm
- 12:34Speaker 4: with you, I haven't had a massive win. It feels like,
- 12:37Speaker 4: you know, centuries at this point, it's been, you.
- 12:40Speaker 1: Know, you know what I mean? You know how it
- 12:42Speaker 1: goes when you're.
- 12:42Speaker 2: In baseball, by the way, but yes.
- 12:45Speaker 4: When you're playing DFS every day, you know how it goes,
- 12:49Speaker 4: but I'm close and I'm there and I feel it.
- 12:51Speaker 4: And that's frustrating on one hand, but on the other hand,
- 12:54Speaker 4: it's like, okay, one of these days it's going to close.
- 12:56Speaker 1: So I'm with you all the way around that.
- 12:57Speaker 3: That's exactly it. I'm teasing because obviously Bellman's super humble,
- 13:00Speaker 3: but it's like he has just he did just crush recently. And,
- 13:03Speaker 3: you know, we all go through these ups and downs.
- 13:05Speaker 3: I think it's important to remember it. It's good for
- 13:06Speaker 3: everybody to think about. I know yesterday there was somebody
- 13:09Speaker 3: in our discord and, you know, shout out to Sully
- 13:11Speaker 3: here who says, by the way, being in a community
- 13:13Speaker 3: like the ship at discord where you can ask questions,
- 13:14Speaker 3: be held accountable for playing bad is crucial for me, too.
- 13:17Speaker 2: Yeah, you are around people that are playing for real. right?
- 13:20Speaker 3: Everybody that's in there, a lot of people that are
- 13:22Speaker 3: really focused on getting better at DFS, but also people
- 13:26Speaker 3: that are great people like Sully, who said, you know,
- 13:28Speaker 3: somebody came in there yesterday and said, I think I'm done, guys. Said,
- 13:30Speaker 3: you know, five weeks in, Haven't had the result yet
- 13:33Speaker 3: that I wanted. Feels like it's never going to happen
- 13:35Speaker 3: type thing, basically, is what they were saying. And to
- 13:37Speaker 3: Sully's point, from learning his own way, and he's won
- 13:40Speaker 3: 50K before, and setting aside money for taxes.
- 13:42Speaker 2: He was helping someone with their tax questions. Ship it now.
- 13:45Speaker 2: Got their biggest win, 15K.
- 13:47Speaker 3: How do taxes work? And Sully informed them on that, too.
- 13:49Speaker 3: But Um, Sully also offered this certain member. I won't
- 13:52Speaker 3: name names just to note.
- 13:53Speaker 2: It just happens. People go through these ruts or periods.
- 13:56Speaker 3: Um, Sully said, I'll give you a, I'll cover your
- 13:58Speaker 3: next month free of charge and took care of the
- 14:00Speaker 3: bill for that member. So we just love seeing stuff
- 14:02Speaker 3: like that. And that's a good segue to where I
- 14:04Speaker 3: was going quickly. Got to, got to update everybody. If
- 14:07Speaker 3: you didn't see this, I've harped on it all season long,
- 14:09Speaker 3: but at Ship It Nation, we have an internal game
- 14:12Speaker 3: called Ship It Games. You can go to shipitgames.com and
- 14:15Speaker 3: check it out. And people say, oh, just get to
- 14:17Speaker 3: the numbers and the winning lineups. It's like there's no
- 14:20Speaker 3: community in the entire DFS space that's giving away any
- 14:24Speaker 3: money let alone $ 50, 000. But the craziest part is there's
- 14:28Speaker 3: no community, communities out there that are making millions in
- 14:31Speaker 3: revenue annually that are not giving away even $ 5, 000. And
- 14:34Speaker 3: our own guy, Sharks8819, talk about community, is giving away
- 14:40Speaker 3: Over 10% of his 40K win last week where he's
- 14:44Speaker 3: giving away $ 48.
- 14:44Speaker 1: 53.
- 14:44Speaker 3: He rounded the ship at games pool up to $ 50, 000.
- 14:49Speaker 3: Just a phenomenal, phenomenal thing. Just so grateful for a
- 14:52Speaker 3: guy like Sharks. It is Canadian Thanksgiving, by the way.
- 14:55Speaker 3: So something I'm very thankful for. is this, this guy's
- 14:59Speaker 3: just absolutely go to, this is back-to-back years, by the way,
- 15:01Speaker 3: gave us almost $ 5, 000 last year as well.
- 15:03Speaker 2: So won't harp on it. Just want to say thank
- 15:05Speaker 2: you again.
- 15:05Speaker 3: If you go to the website, Ship It Nation, go
- 15:08Speaker 3: to Ship It Games at the top, or just go
- 15:10Speaker 3: to shipitgames.com. You'll see that every all access and NFL
- 15:13Speaker 3: only member is eligible. There's 50 golden.
- 15:16Speaker 2: Ship It tickets. 15 are gone.
- 15:19Speaker 3: We just haven't updated the three winners from yesterday yet.
- 15:21Speaker 3: It just happened last night, but they'll be updated by
- 15:23Speaker 3: this afternoon. So there is still 35 golden ship.
- 15:27Speaker 2: At tickets to give away.
- 15:29Speaker 3: And each week you play for them. We don't just
- 15:31Speaker 3: give them away. You got to get into a contest
- 15:32Speaker 3: and win them.
- 15:34Speaker 2: Skill game. And then it's just like an online live final.
- 15:37Speaker 3: It's online final, not live, but it's like a live
- 15:39Speaker 3: final where you're playing for the top 10 of the 50,
- 15:42Speaker 3: 50 people get in and win their way in the
- 15:44Speaker 3: top 10 move to the final. And right now it
- 15:47Speaker 3: is now 12,000 cash for first 6,000 cash for second
- 15:51Speaker 3: 3000 for third and so on and so forth. down
- 15:53Speaker 3: to 1200 for the top 10. There's some annual Saber
- 15:57Speaker 3: Sim and Ship It Nation memberships that go with it
- 15:58Speaker 3: as well. So a lot of cool stuff. If you
- 16:00Speaker 3: guys want to check it out, go to shipitnation.com, go
- 16:03Speaker 3: to Ship It Games. You can see all the details there.
- 16:05Speaker 2: All right.
- 16:07Speaker 3: We are going to get into the review part of
- 16:09Speaker 3: the takedown breakdown, and we are using our friends over
- 16:12Speaker 3: at DFSOS.com. It's just five letters, DFSOS.com. It's your daily
- 16:17Speaker 3: fantasy sports operating system. You can check it out and
- 16:20Speaker 3: see how the best DFS players actually play. It says
- 16:23Speaker 3: right here on there, there's a demo.
- 16:25Speaker 2: You can check it out.
- 16:26Speaker 3: If you just want to buy in and get the pricing,
- 16:29Speaker 3: You can go here and right now with code SHIPIT,
- 16:31Speaker 3: you can unlock all of the full data for 29
- 16:34Speaker 3: a month with code SHIPIT. So it works out to
- 16:36Speaker 3: a dollar a day. If I go back for a
- 16:38Speaker 3: second and just show you guys all the updates. You
- 16:41Speaker 3: can see it works alongside all the tools that you
- 16:44Speaker 3: already use. Doesn't matter what site you're with. It is
- 16:47Speaker 3: not a competitor. It is a complimentary piece. You're taking
- 16:49Speaker 3: your own stuff and looking into it. It is the
- 16:52Speaker 3: only spot I know of right now that has all
- 16:54Speaker 3: of the FanDuel data that just got released on October 1st.
- 16:57Speaker 3: You can literally go now and see what the FanDuel
- 17:00Speaker 3: data is telling you. If you're trying to get better
- 17:02Speaker 3: at this game, you might want to do something like that.
- 17:04Speaker 3: So that's a key piece.
- 17:06Speaker 2: You can look up any DFS player on either site
- 17:09Speaker 2: and see exactly how they.
- 17:10Speaker 3: Play, how much they've won for the track tournaments. It's
- 17:13Speaker 3: not their lifetime. There is no PNL or something like that.
- 17:16Speaker 2: It's not the.
- 17:17Speaker 3: got you moment someone. It's the fact that you can
- 17:19Speaker 3: actually go in and see what a top DFS player
- 17:22Speaker 3: is actually up to. And then you can review what
- 17:25Speaker 3: actually happened. We're going to use the slate review right now.
- 17:27Speaker 3: You can find the top EV contests and actually go
- 17:30Speaker 3: and explore the contest lobby right on DraftKings and see it.
- 17:33Speaker 2: You can test your own process.
- 17:34Speaker 3: You can upload our projections, your projections, other sites projections
- 17:38Speaker 3: or ownership and be able to back test them in
- 17:41Speaker 3: basically two clicks.
- 17:42Speaker 2: So I would check this out. If you haven't already
- 17:44Speaker 2: unlocked the full data, use code, ship it.
- 17:47Speaker 3: It's going up to $ 99 a month, but you can
- 17:50Speaker 3: lock in 29 a month for the entire NFL season
- 17:53Speaker 3: works out to a dollar a day. You get everything
- 17:55Speaker 3: else that I haven't even covered here, but we're going
- 17:57Speaker 3: to hop in and use this right now. Bellman, if
- 18:00Speaker 3: you go into the dashboard, and you land on your
- 18:03Speaker 3: own customized widget here that you can check out, all
- 18:06Speaker 3: you do is you go to perfect lineup, make sure
- 18:08Speaker 3: it's set up.
- 18:09Speaker 2: I think it's already loaded.
- 18:10Speaker 3: If not, you can change it to see, but this
- 18:13Speaker 3: is an example. We're looking at DraftKings here. I want
- 18:14Speaker 3: to see though, does the FanDuel data come up yet?
- 18:18Speaker 2: Let me see.
- 18:21Speaker 3: It's not updated yet as of last night, I don't think.
- 18:25Speaker 3: But it is up to October 8th, which is pretty cool.
- 18:27Speaker 3: So yeah, just so you guys know, that'll be up
- 18:28Speaker 3: here shortly, I'm sure. But if you do look at
- 18:31Speaker 3: the NFL one, it is Sunday. And then you can
- 18:34Speaker 3: go to.
- 18:36Speaker 2: Where am I at here? Mate, gosh. Monday morning. I apologize, guys,
- 18:43Speaker 2: but just note it. This is crazy.
- 18:46Speaker 3: So the optimal lineup was 284.76 yesterday. It spent 49,600.
- 18:52Speaker 3: This is way more of a success leaves clues thing. Again,
- 18:55Speaker 3: we're not expecting you to get to the optimal lineup.
- 18:58Speaker 2: And what does this have?
- 19:00Speaker 3: Oh yeah, but just so you guys see it, Drake May,
- 19:04Speaker 3: Demario Douglas, and then it's got Jalen Warren and Fryermuth.
- 19:09Speaker 3: It's got Gibbs, the 49ers D, Isaiah Likely, Malik Neighbors,
- 19:14Speaker 3: and Christian Watson in it. So it's a little bit
- 19:16Speaker 3: spread out, but there's cases to be made for all these.
- 19:19Speaker 3: I'll let you dissect it first, Matt. What's the first
- 19:21Speaker 3: thing that comes to mind here?
- 19:23Speaker 4: Yeah, double tight end without either guy getting a lot
- 19:26Speaker 4: of hype from the industry.
- 19:27Speaker 1: I mean, certainly Fryer Mews was unowned.
- 19:29Speaker 4: And then Likely, even though the Sims were pushing him,
- 19:32Speaker 4: under 10% owned, wasn't a popular play.
- 19:37Speaker 1: So.
- 19:38Speaker 4: Obviously guys like McBride and Laporta and Laporta was good.
- 19:42Speaker 1: Just interesting. That's the first thing that jumps out at me.
- 19:45Speaker 4: You know, this isn't a lineup that anyone's going to
- 19:47Speaker 4: have and just super high scoring week as evidenced by
- 19:50Speaker 4: the 285 here.
- 19:51Speaker 3: I think the key to for me was like the
- 19:53Speaker 3: Gibbs factor, right? Not about his points. And, you know,
- 19:56Speaker 3: like at 9800, you got to put that kind of
- 19:58Speaker 3: score up, but it's like he's the only guy. needed
- 20:01Speaker 3: from that entire game. And that was the perfect way
- 20:03Speaker 3: to do it, right? And it's not what ends up
- 20:05Speaker 3: on the winner. We know that too. Like there was
- 20:06Speaker 3: ways to get, there's literally Brissette lineups that won because
- 20:09Speaker 3: a lot of people were on them. There's so many
- 20:10Speaker 3: of them in the pool, but just to see it
- 20:12Speaker 3: in the end, this build, okay. Drake may with Douglas. I,
- 20:17Speaker 3: you can go on my ex at toe tag and Tambo.
- 20:19Speaker 3: There's a video talking about it before the slate started yesterday.
- 20:22Speaker 3: It was not that surprising. People use Dobbs, but people
- 20:24Speaker 3: use Douglas.
- 20:25Speaker 2: I know that I think it was John Aguilar was
- 20:27Speaker 2: back in the streets yesterday. Fatal error. Won a bunch
- 20:29Speaker 2: of tournaments on there yesterday.
- 20:30Speaker 3: I believe he just had may with Douglas and I
- 20:32Speaker 3: think Bowers and then moved on to the other places
- 20:35Speaker 3: in the other games. Congrats to him. Phenomenal job of
- 20:38Speaker 3: building that way. But when you have a cheap guy
- 20:40Speaker 3: that can pair, by the way, it's not like Um,
- 20:42Speaker 3: it was that crazy. Nobody really liked Dobbs or expected
- 20:45Speaker 3: back-to-back touchdowns, uh, or back-to-back two touchdown weeks. I should
- 20:49Speaker 3: say on top of the fact that Mac Collins is
- 20:52Speaker 3: still out, there could be some back and forth with
- 20:53Speaker 3: the Pats D being beat up and you get that
- 20:55Speaker 3: little game flow. So we were on this anyway. But
- 20:59Speaker 3: no doubt, best spot of the week. People like this game. Christian,
- 21:03Speaker 3: they were in on this spot for sure. We talked
- 21:05Speaker 3: about the other game, the Giants and the Washington game.
- 21:08Speaker 3: And there was lineups out there, by the way, with Winston, neighbors, likely.
- 21:13Speaker 3: And then Antonio Williams, who didn't have a big game.
- 21:16Speaker 3: But look, he fit the spot where pretty much around
- 21:19Speaker 3: where Douglas was. I think he was 3,800. You wouldn't
- 21:22Speaker 3: have got 22 points. You would have got 8.8 or
- 21:25Speaker 3: whatever he got. But it just shows you that. So
- 21:27Speaker 3: people say, well, how did you get to the... It's
- 21:28Speaker 3: not about Antonio Williams in that spot. It's about getting
- 21:32Speaker 3: you to Jameis, Neighbors, and Likely, who really crushed, and
- 21:36Speaker 3: then allowing you to fit Gibbs and Warren and Braylon
- 21:40Speaker 3: Allen and one other stud. Maybe it's Watson because you
- 21:43Speaker 3: weren't on love in that lineup or something like that.
- 21:45Speaker 3: So just showing you how you can get there, I think,
- 21:48Speaker 3: is key. We still do see the too tight end
- 21:50Speaker 3: system pop up. I'm going to keep harping on this.
- 21:53Speaker 3: This is a pricing thing that people are, again, are
- 21:56Speaker 3: they adapting more than ever?
- 21:57Speaker 2: Yes.
- 21:58Speaker 3: More people are playing two tight end lineups and that's key,
- 22:00Speaker 3: but the best players are playing even more two tight
- 22:02Speaker 3: end lineups than you. And that's something you need to
- 22:05Speaker 3: remember and think about. And the reason is I explained
- 22:07Speaker 3: it yesterday and then underdog posted it today on Brock
- 22:11Speaker 3: Bowers is JSN for $ 2, 300 cheaper. And they showed the
- 22:16Speaker 3: stat this morning on underdog, which I don't even know
- 22:18Speaker 3: why I still follow that. To be honest, it's so
- 22:20Speaker 3: beat up at this point, but just noting it, he
- 22:23Speaker 3: has more receiving yards in three games in three games
- 22:27Speaker 3: than some of the top names you'd expect have in
- 22:29Speaker 3: four or five games.
- 22:31Speaker 2: And that's what I'm trying to showcase. So, Oh, but
- 22:33Speaker 2: he's 7,000.
- 22:35Speaker 3: It may seem expensive for the position, but you got
- 22:37Speaker 3: to think about the entire slate. We had value running backs.
- 22:41Speaker 3: We had value wide receivers. We had opportunities to get there.
- 22:44Speaker 3: So anything you want to add further on that stuff, Bellman,
- 22:47Speaker 3: or just the two tight ends, the one piece from Detroit, Arizona,
- 22:50Speaker 3: the like how you get to a game stack or
- 22:52Speaker 3: a way to make it work.
- 22:53Speaker 2: Anything else you want to add?
- 22:55Speaker 5: No. The big thing for me that stood out is
- 22:56Speaker 5: when you mentioned the Antonio Williams and how Not only
- 23:01Speaker 5: did like Antonio Williams in your example, like playing him,
- 23:05Speaker 5: you were probably playing the really.
- 23:06Speaker 4: Good piece around him, like Jameis, likely neighbors. So the
- 23:09Speaker 4: Antonio Williams subpar game didn't matter as much because you
- 23:13Speaker 4: were on such other good plays. In the same vein,
- 23:16Speaker 4: like because the Detroit-Arizona game was so highly owned, if
- 23:21Speaker 4: you like got off of a couple of pieces that
- 23:23Speaker 4: were really popular there, it enabled you like a guy
- 23:26Speaker 4: like Tesla had a zero. but he was still one
- 23:31Speaker 4: of the lineups that finished first, second, or third, really
- 23:34Speaker 4: high up in the four, in the four, four, four,
- 23:36Speaker 4: four had him because of the roster construction to your point. Yeah.
- 23:41Speaker 3: I'm going to go here on screen and do this
- 23:43Speaker 3: just to show you guys how easy it is. Cause
- 23:44Speaker 3: we're going to pivot out of the slate review stuff.
- 23:46Speaker 3: But if you just click up here, like I said earlier, there,
- 23:48Speaker 3: there's a bunch of different features, right? You can check
- 23:51Speaker 3: the accuracy of your projections and ownership. You can go
- 23:53Speaker 3: in and get the news automatically. I know people are
- 23:56Speaker 3: looking for a, what are we looking for tonight?
- 23:59Speaker 2: DJ Moore, right? The latest news was, you know, is
- 24:02Speaker 2: questionable or not. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 24:04Speaker 3: Monday night's game against the Rams, right? People are waiting
- 24:06Speaker 3: on this or whatever it is you want to find out.
- 24:08Speaker 3: You can go and find out the news there. We
- 24:10Speaker 3: were in perfect lineup. There's a bankroll tracker on here
- 24:13Speaker 3: that other sites charge 30 bucks a month for alone
- 24:15Speaker 3: that you can go in and get, right? There's a weather,
- 24:18Speaker 3: different factors and things that you can go into, but
- 24:19Speaker 3: we're going to go up to slate review and start
- 24:22Speaker 3: looking into it here.
- 24:22Speaker 2: And I want to show something. So I'm on DraftKings 2026.
- 24:28Speaker 2: I think it's already loaded. It's right here.
- 24:29Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 24:29Speaker 3: Sunday, October 11th. You click into it. All this stuff
- 24:33Speaker 3: is tracked, right? Here's the $ 20 Millie maker. Here's the 44,
- 24:36Speaker 3: 44 mega.
- 24:37Speaker 2: Here's the three 33 wildcat, the showdown stuff from last night.
- 24:40Speaker 3: It's already all uploaded, ready to go. So I mean,
- 24:42Speaker 3: it's first thing Monday morning and you want to go
- 24:44Speaker 3: find something. So 250 won the $ 20 Millimaker, right?
- 24:50Speaker 2: And we were on.
- 24:51Speaker 3: 284 on the optimal. So you didn't need close to that.
- 24:55Speaker 3: But just of note, I saw it here with like
- 24:57Speaker 3: Shucky Ducky.
- 24:59Speaker 2: Here's the Antonio Williams lineup I was looking at. And again,
- 25:02Speaker 2: it cost you. It didn't get you to the top.
- 25:04Speaker 3: But if I load up, so when I click on
- 25:07Speaker 3: Shucky Ducky, just so you guys know, it loads up
- 25:09Speaker 3: this screen. I'm just going to run it on two
- 25:11Speaker 3: screens so you see it. They actually only, I can
- 25:13Speaker 3: now get all their details.
- 25:14Speaker 2: They had one lineup.
- 25:15Speaker 3: So everyone they owned was 100% in that one build.
- 25:18Speaker 3: They used the max salary. They scored 234. They had
- 25:21Speaker 3: nine unique players. Again, they played one lineup. It's more
- 25:23Speaker 3: important when you're looking at somebody with a portfolio. But Jameis, Neighbors, Likely, Williams.
- 25:31Speaker 3: And Williams was, it was 6.1 points.
- 25:33Speaker 2: Apologies, right? But look at like 3.9 Jameis, 8.8 Neighbors, 11.9 Likely, 32, 32,
- 25:44Speaker 2: almost 30. It allows you to fit. No doubt. Warren
- 25:48Speaker 2: sounds good. No Manung guy. Swift sounds pretty good. All right.
- 25:52Speaker 2: What else can that get me? All right. The Jets
- 25:55Speaker 2: D is in a pretty good spot. Sure.
- 25:57Speaker 3: A lot of people are playing them, but that's fine.
- 25:58Speaker 3: They ended up getting 16 and now it's just two V2s, right?
- 26:02Speaker 3: they could have played anything like, you know, Jackson Smith
- 26:05Speaker 3: and Jigba and Watson. There was plenty of combos you
- 26:09Speaker 3: could have played there. But if you're not going to
- 26:11Speaker 3: the Detroit, Arizona game, which I think will come up
- 26:13Speaker 3: again when I talk about whether or not they meant
- 26:15Speaker 3: to do this strategy. But if you're kind of having
- 26:17Speaker 3: one lineup in a tournament where so many people have
- 26:19Speaker 3: 150 and there's that many rosters, I don't hate ignoring
- 26:23Speaker 3: the game altogether by any means. Well, then you might
- 26:25Speaker 3: want to pick up on spots that actually have ceilings
- 26:29Speaker 3: out there that they can get you.
- 26:30Speaker 2: 39.8. 25.8 is a bad day for JSN. 32.1, 32.4.
- 26:38Speaker 3: We've already seen a couple of touchdowns from likely in
- 26:40Speaker 3: one week, et cetera. Watson seen a couple of touchdowns
- 26:43Speaker 3: in one week, et cetera. 35.8 picked up some ceilings elsewhere.
- 26:47Speaker 3: So this just shows you didn't get all the way
- 26:48Speaker 3: to the top Bellman, but that's where Williams can make
- 26:52Speaker 3: the rest of the lineup really work. And if you
- 26:54Speaker 3: built something like this by hand and even screwed up,
- 26:57Speaker 3: The last two spots, you might've still ended up with
- 26:59Speaker 3: like 180 or 190 in some of these higher, um,
- 27:02Speaker 3: dollar or even smaller field satellites and tournaments.
- 27:05Speaker 2: And then it becomes contest selection could be working your favor. Yeah.
- 27:09Speaker 4: And it's kind of one of those slates where the
- 27:11Speaker 4: scores you needed, but you really needed and Warren was owned,
- 27:15Speaker 4: but even he wasn't like crazy chalky Watson people were
- 27:20Speaker 4: on him, especially in green base tax, but he had
- 27:23Speaker 4: the highest score for a wide out. I think only
- 27:26Speaker 4: Gibbs beat him and he was sub 10% owned. So
- 27:30Speaker 4: when you're playing all the good plays like that, especially
- 27:32Speaker 4: when they're not super chalky, the Antonio Williams six doesn't
- 27:37Speaker 4: kill you to your point. Maybe you don't get all
- 27:39Speaker 4: the way to the top, but because of the pieces.
- 27:42Speaker 1: You're putting around him.
- 27:44Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 27:45Speaker 4: And the other thing I took away from just everything
- 27:47Speaker 4: you said is, you know, people playing a lot of
- 27:51Speaker 4: people playing one 50 in a contest like this. So
- 27:54Speaker 4: if you're not playing one 50, maybe you get away
- 27:57Speaker 4: from that game altogether. I kind of took the opposite
- 28:01Speaker 4: approach in how I played yesterday, but I certainly agree
- 28:03Speaker 4: with you. Like in any contest, and it goes back
- 28:06Speaker 4: to what you talked about with the big Millie maker.
- 28:08Speaker 4: If there are people that are able to play three, four, five, six, seven,
- 28:12Speaker 4: eight times, 10 times as many lineups as you are,
- 28:16Speaker 4: And there's one obvious spot, maybe your best avenue to
- 28:18Speaker 4: getting all the way to the top is not playing
- 28:21Speaker 4: that spot 100% with you.
- 28:23Speaker 3: Yeah, and so we'll get into some other stuff here,
- 28:25Speaker 3: but I think that's just key to note. And again,
- 28:26Speaker 3: it's somebody played one lineup, they got this outcome, et cetera.
- 28:29Speaker 3: It's way more about the conceptual, conceptualizing the lineup to say, okay,
- 28:34Speaker 3: how does an Antonio, what are you talking about this.
- 28:37Speaker 2: Failure, Antonio Williams and how he helped? It's Antonio Williams
- 28:42Speaker 2: was the run back for Winston neighbor's, Right.
- 28:46Speaker 4: You also played him over a Trey Harris who was
- 28:48Speaker 4: even worse. So like there's tons of ways to.
- 28:51Speaker 1: Look at it.
- 28:52Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly that.
- 28:53Speaker 3: So it's like, again, to try and make it perfect,
- 28:55Speaker 3: don't know, but they used it to get to something else.
- 28:58Speaker 3: And I don't mind that also. It's like crazy, but
- 29:00Speaker 3: some of these guys didn't even come in. Oh, and
- 29:01Speaker 3: you mentioned it like Warren didn't actually end up getting
- 29:04Speaker 3: that much ownership. And again, people say, well, you're being
- 29:06Speaker 3: results oriented. It must be nice when he puts up 39.8 points.
- 29:08Speaker 4: No, no.
- 29:10Speaker 2: Like if Dowda was out, we knew that before.
- 29:12Speaker 3: And Roman Wilson was a popular piece at wide receiver,
- 29:15Speaker 3: which was also a build style of using cheap wide receivers,
- 29:19Speaker 3: which I'll show you from my own process, which can
- 29:22Speaker 3: only be done before the tournament starts beforehand and show
- 29:25Speaker 3: you how I talk about that.
- 29:26Speaker 2: But Warren was a guy that you almost are leveraging.
- 29:30Speaker 2: Not quite.
- 29:31Speaker 3: Cause I like Wilson was off the charts, but you're,
- 29:33Speaker 3: you're leveraging in a way of you're not using the
- 29:35Speaker 3: popular chalk, cheap wide receiver piece of Wilson on that
- 29:39Speaker 3: Steelers team. You're getting to Warren and other people are
- 29:43Speaker 3: on different running backs around him that you're pivoting against.
- 29:46Speaker 3: And then also you could be leveraging by getting into
- 29:49Speaker 3: a different roster construction where you're building with multiple running
- 29:53Speaker 3: backs of different the 6K range or whatever while not
- 29:57Speaker 3: playing a running back in the flex like this person did.
- 30:00Speaker 3: So whether they meant to or not, some pretty good
- 30:02Speaker 3: strategy and strategic stuff built into that lineup.
- 30:05Speaker 2: But go ahead. Anything else you want to add there?
- 30:06Speaker 2: If not, I'm going to look at some of these
- 30:08Speaker 2: other notes.
- 30:09Speaker 1: No, let's keep looking at them. Just I think all
- 30:12Speaker 1: your points make sense.
- 30:13Speaker 2: Sully always has good stuff here.
- 30:14Speaker 3: So I think what really threw me off was Jenty
- 30:17Speaker 3: being in on Sunday morning kind of threw me for
- 30:19Speaker 3: a loop build wise. I would say like the preparation
- 30:24Speaker 3: versus planning, not going to review. I know it's, we
- 30:26Speaker 3: get new viewers each week. And like, I've talked about
- 30:28Speaker 3: this a ton, but being.
- 30:29Speaker 2: Prepared versus being, you know, versus planning to play, everybody's
- 30:32Speaker 2: planning to play, but being prepared. the gentee news didn't
- 30:36Speaker 2: matter unless he was out to me as much. I'm
- 30:38Speaker 2: not going to say completely.
- 30:39Speaker 3: Cause I have some more thoughts on it in a
- 30:40Speaker 3: minute when I get to my lineup stuff. But what
- 30:42Speaker 3: I'm saying is not like we were going to be
- 30:43Speaker 3: playing gentee and it's.
- 30:45Speaker 2: You know, reality.
- 30:46Speaker 3: What really mattered was if Mike Washington jr. At 4,200
- 30:52Speaker 3: was the lead back and in the, Well, now you're Detroit,
- 30:56Speaker 3: Arizona stacks got even easier to build. So I think
- 31:00Speaker 3: that's how you got to be prepared for it was like,
- 31:02Speaker 3: it's if gentees in, it just means we're not playing
- 31:06Speaker 3: Mike Washington jr.
- 31:07Speaker 1: Go ahead.
- 31:08Speaker 4: No, the only counter I would have to that is
- 31:11Speaker 4: I feel like all week, the lead up was that
- 31:13Speaker 4: gentee wasn't going to play.
- 31:15Speaker 1: So I would almost reverse it.
- 31:17Speaker 3: We already prepared. They have a running back and he
- 31:20Speaker 3: was limited and then didn't, and he MP. So that's
- 31:22Speaker 3: what you'd expect for sure.
- 31:24Speaker 1: So wouldn't you kind of what you're saying? It doesn't
- 31:26Speaker 1: even matter.
- 31:27Speaker 4: It's semantics, but be the reverse. Like you would, you're, you're,
- 31:31Speaker 4: would be prepared for him to play, not to be out.
- 31:34Speaker 4: Cause you're planning for.
- 31:35Speaker 1: Him to be out. You know what I mean?
- 31:37Speaker 2: Which.
- 31:37Speaker 4: It's why I would understand that it would mess with
- 31:39Speaker 4: people more than a normal guy is in when.
- 31:42Speaker 1: You'd expect him to be out.
- 31:43Speaker 3: That was an extra added wrinkle. But also again, I,
- 31:46Speaker 3: you know, I can document it on the stuff. Luckily
- 31:48Speaker 3: I record my entire journey here. And so on the
- 31:50Speaker 3: Mayo show, I talked about, I said, people are, are
- 31:52Speaker 3: going to make mistakes on this slate because of this
- 31:55Speaker 3: one Detroit, Arizona game.
- 31:56Speaker 2: And then this added an extra wrinkle. And it's why
- 31:58Speaker 2: I predicted the best players would win.
- 32:00Speaker 3: Because like I'm saying on Saturday night, this thought is
- 32:03Speaker 3: based around, like we kind of expect now it's like
- 32:05Speaker 3: he could play. So we're starting to think about what's
- 32:08Speaker 3: what's that's what I'm being prepared. So on Saturday night,
- 32:12Speaker 3: you should be looking at that and saying, if gentees in,
- 32:15Speaker 3: what does it mean? If gentees out, what does it mean?
- 32:19Speaker 3: We know what it means if he's out. But again,
- 32:21Speaker 3: there's penthouse process. There's levels to it on the out.
- 32:24Speaker 3: Meaning if he's out, the first thought that everybody knows
- 32:27Speaker 3: in the automatic one is out.
- 32:30Speaker 2: Mike Washington Jr. is $ 4, 200.
- 32:31Speaker 3: That's the easy part. That's the one that everybody gets to.
- 32:35Speaker 3: That's why people were literally building lineups with that in
- 32:38Speaker 3: on Saturday night, myself included. I was building for sets
- 32:41Speaker 3: of lineups, thinking about what's it look like.
- 32:42Speaker 2: With these in. But when you take it to the
- 32:44Speaker 2: next level and look at what does that mean? What
- 32:47Speaker 2: does Mike Washington starting mean? Meaning gentee out. What does
- 32:51Speaker 2: gentee out mean? Well, now it gets even easier to
- 32:54Speaker 2: over stack the Detroit Arizona game. So it means when
- 32:58Speaker 2: I'm playing in a tournament.
- 33:00Speaker 3: Tomorrow, which we are, we all are, I don't know
- 33:01Speaker 3: which ones everybody's in, but just noting it when I'm
- 33:04Speaker 3: playing in a tournament tomorrow, I might be more likely
- 33:08Speaker 3: to actually fade that spot because now I'm expecting there
- 33:11Speaker 3: to be even more over stacks of that game. So
- 33:15Speaker 3: if I only have one lineup against it, I'm probably
- 33:19Speaker 3: less likely to get it done in that spot. Now, again,
- 33:22Speaker 3: it depends on how you want to play and your style,
- 33:24Speaker 3: like what Bellman asked me off the top. That's why
- 33:26Speaker 3: this is a perfect topic for today that we're kind
- 33:28Speaker 3: of just walking ourselves into. of when you only have
- 33:31Speaker 3: two lineups and how do you want to play it?
- 33:32Speaker 3: I still don't want to play that spot because even
- 33:35Speaker 3: with Mike Washington not getting into those lineups, I still
- 33:37Speaker 3: thought there was way too many of those lineups that
- 33:40Speaker 3: had me covered. I also was on Leverage Lane documented
- 33:43Speaker 3: again saying I don't want Michael Wilson.
- 33:45Speaker 2: At 50% ownership. I had it on Parker Washington the
- 33:48Speaker 2: week before.
- 33:49Speaker 3: I just don't want on 12 game, 11 game, 13
- 33:52Speaker 3: game slates of any kind. I don't want the 50%
- 33:56Speaker 3: owned wide receiver.
- 33:57Speaker 2: You know what I mean?
- 33:58Speaker 3: Like there's just so, so many options and there's wide
- 34:01Speaker 3: receiver ones that are on shitty teams, but there's still
- 34:04Speaker 3: wide receiver ones and they still get the job done.
- 34:06Speaker 3: So it's not results oriented. Again, I said it on
- 34:09Speaker 3: Saturday morning. It's not like I'm making it up now.
- 34:11Speaker 3: It's just my way I play. And so hopefully that
- 34:14Speaker 3: helps some there, but on the flip side of it,
- 34:18Speaker 3: if Gentee was in, it's now back to almost, you know,
- 34:21Speaker 3: at the end of the day, it's kind of like saying, okay, Great.
- 34:25Speaker 3: Now I don't have to worry about the Mike Washington stuff.
- 34:27Speaker 3: And I know that my pool of running backs is Gibbs,
- 34:30Speaker 3: is Swift, Braylon Allen, Warren.
- 34:35Speaker 2: Whatever, whatever. I'm going to use Jonathan Taylor in.
- 34:38Speaker 3: The Pittsburgh stacks or whatever to speed up the games.
- 34:40Speaker 3: Like you kind of just go back to the normal
- 34:41Speaker 3: pool there. So it's almost like a false positive where
- 34:45Speaker 3: people like use it to.
- 34:47Speaker 2: Not in a bad way.
- 34:48Speaker 3: I'm just saying it's almost becomes like a crutch for like, well,
- 34:51Speaker 3: this threw me off. It's you, you could have figured
- 34:53Speaker 3: it out Saturday night and been able to apply it
- 34:56Speaker 3: based on that factor. It's not, not saying it's going
- 34:58Speaker 3: to be second nature for everybody, but just know that
- 35:00Speaker 3: you should be thinking ahead of these things and building
- 35:03Speaker 3: for it.
- 35:04Speaker 1: And at the end of the day, it was just
- 35:05Speaker 1: a little preview for NBA DFS in a couple of
- 35:07Speaker 1: weeks anyways, right?
- 35:08Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 35:09Speaker 3: And no, definitely not saying I avoid the 50% Wilson. Um,
- 35:13Speaker 3: when we do leverage lane K rich, just if you're
- 35:15Speaker 3: not familiar, so, you know, we're talking about like our,
- 35:18Speaker 3: our biggest lineup or like our single entry stuff, right?
- 35:21Speaker 2: Like, you know, like if I'm playing a, um, I'll
- 35:26Speaker 2: show you my lineups in a second. We'll get to
- 35:27Speaker 2: them anyway.
- 35:27Speaker 3: But I was just saying I didn't want that stack
- 35:30Speaker 3: or that build in my mega lineups, for example, when
- 35:32Speaker 3: we're looking at it. So I'll be able to show
- 35:34Speaker 3: that off when we get there. But just of note,
- 35:37Speaker 3: I got to shout this out too. It was pretty
- 35:38Speaker 3: cool yesterday. Hoop.
- 35:41Speaker 2: Finished in 10th, our guy Hoop over at Ship It
- 35:43Speaker 2: Nation here.
- 35:44Speaker 3: We got Hebrew Cheetah, Rio, also over at Ship It Nation.
- 35:47Speaker 3: And our guy Title, Zed Trivet is Zach and Title Town.
- 35:53Speaker 3: And they were all inside the top 17 with some
- 35:55Speaker 3: shots down the stretch. It was a Jacoby Brissett, a
- 35:58Speaker 3: Drake May, and a Jacoby Brissett lineup. They all had
- 36:01Speaker 3: something within them that hurt them a little bit. But
- 36:03Speaker 3: three guys in the top 17 of the tournament. And
- 36:06Speaker 3: they're all part of Ship It Nation. Matter of fact, Hoop,
- 36:10Speaker 3: Title and myself will be back in an hour and
- 36:12Speaker 3: a half to record the Showdown Chippers show for tonight,
- 36:15Speaker 3: as we usually are. So if you're just joining us
- 36:16Speaker 3: or never heard of it, you can check us out there.
- 36:18Speaker 3: But anything you want to talk about there, if not,
- 36:20Speaker 3: I want to go into, I think it's like Island
- 36:24Speaker 3: War that got the job done. But this was a
- 36:27Speaker 3: stochastic logo up top that had the 50K win.
- 36:31Speaker 2: And I'll go into their lineup so we can see,
- 36:33Speaker 2: let you talk about it.
- 36:35Speaker 4: Yeah, I saw that seven figs. got passed, was in
- 36:38Speaker 4: first for a while. I actually played a little differently
- 36:42Speaker 4: myself yesterday. I max entered the $ 20 just because of
- 36:45Speaker 4: the slate itself.
- 36:46Speaker 1: It was a weird one, a one that we probably.
- 36:48Speaker 4: Won't see for the rest of the year, just with
- 36:51Speaker 4: that condensed ownership.
- 36:53Speaker 1: It was a spot I loved. I struggled with.
- 36:58Speaker 4: Contest selection yesterday, which I normally don't at all because
- 37:01Speaker 4: I normally play similar stuff, but I wanted to switch
- 37:04Speaker 4: it up yesterday because of just how much of an
- 37:07Speaker 4: outlier slate it was. And yes, someone mentioned it before.
- 37:14Speaker 4: The Detroit-Arizona game had a lot of points, went over
- 37:16Speaker 4: the total, but the only player you needed from that
- 37:19Speaker 4: game was Gibbs.
- 37:23Speaker 2: It ended up being the Gibbs slate for sure. Like
- 37:25Speaker 2: I said, you could have got away with it otherwise, right?
- 37:28Speaker 3: But that was the main setup. I'm going to bring
- 37:30Speaker 3: my stuff up after, but let's go into this one first.
- 37:32Speaker 3: So the winner of the $ 20 Millimaker had the 150 lineups,
- 37:35Speaker 3: 56 of them cashed. You can see their average score
- 37:39Speaker 3: was 143. They were spending most of their salary as
- 37:42Speaker 3: most do. They had 98 unique players. For those that
- 37:45Speaker 3: have never used something like this, this is why it's
- 37:47Speaker 3: so cool. You can literally see like, okay, a quarterback,
- 37:50Speaker 3: what were their exposures? Well, they had Jacoby Brissett at
- 37:54Speaker 3: 52% of their lineups. on a ownership of 28.6 for
- 37:59Speaker 3: that contest for a Delta of plus 23%. And he
- 38:04Speaker 3: put up 26.3 points. So you can literally look by position.
- 38:07Speaker 3: You can change it around completely. You can sort it
- 38:09Speaker 3: by something different. Like it's just, it's all there for
- 38:12Speaker 3: you to see what they were on. But again, you
- 38:14Speaker 3: don't usually get the, the ability to go in, in
- 38:16Speaker 3: other games. We talk about all the time. You can't,
- 38:18Speaker 3: see all the poker players hands. If you're a professional
- 38:21Speaker 3: poker player, if you're a professional golfer and you're out
- 38:24Speaker 3: on the PGA tour, you can probably say what's up
- 38:26Speaker 3: to Scotty Scheffler.
- 38:27Speaker 2: You might be able to hang out with them. You
- 38:28Speaker 2: can watch some of the shots on tape, but you're probably.
- 38:30Speaker 3: Not getting any insight beyond that to be able to
- 38:32Speaker 3: find out what his practice and training said.
- 38:34Speaker 2: What does his portfolio look like?
- 38:35Speaker 3: All these things. So this was the winning lineup though.
- 38:38Speaker 3: We'll go to it here and I'll let you break
- 38:39Speaker 3: it down.
- 38:39Speaker 2: It was a Drake May, Pop Douglas lineup, talked about
- 38:43Speaker 2: that on the show yesterday.
- 38:44Speaker 3: You see the common theme. Here's the three running backs, Warren, Swift, Gibbs,
- 38:50Speaker 3: Trey Harris with only 3.6 points, didn't matter. Double tight end,
- 38:55Speaker 3: or sorry, not double tight end, likely at tight end.
- 38:57Speaker 3: And then Jets D and Christian Watson. So had to
- 39:00Speaker 3: have it scores mixed in there with no real crazy correlation,
- 39:03Speaker 3: but they did land on spots that you would expect.
- 39:07Speaker 2: I'll get into my thoughts more. I'll let you take
- 39:08Speaker 2: it away first, but 50K spent the full money, 250 points, 0.06
- 39:13Speaker 2: to get the job done and ship the Millie. Congrats
- 39:15Speaker 2: to you for winning the first prize, a million dollars.
- 39:18Speaker 4: Yeah. I mean, honestly, way closer to the optimal than
- 39:21Speaker 4: I would have thought because of how wonky the optimal was.
- 39:25Speaker 4: That said, whenever you get a tournament with this many entries,
- 39:28Speaker 4: it's never surprising.
- 39:29Speaker 1: When you get a lineup that's close to the optimal.
- 39:31Speaker 1: What's the difference?
- 39:32Speaker 4: I can't remember if it's Friar Muth and someone over
- 39:35Speaker 4: Swift and Trey Harris. And we talked about Swift earlier.
- 39:38Speaker 4: He wasn't bad. He just wasn't amazing. You could win
- 39:41Speaker 4: with him, especially at his ownership. You just weren't winning
- 39:44Speaker 4: because of him. Trey Harris was also not good, but
- 39:47Speaker 4: Hammond and I talked about that on the lead up show.
- 39:50Speaker 4: You didn't need– now, obviously, you were never playing him
- 39:52Speaker 4: if you only got three and a half points, but
- 39:54Speaker 4: just a salary play, and it goes back to what
- 39:56Speaker 4: we talked about with Antonio Williams and Tesla. It was
- 40:00Speaker 4: a pricing play, and it's about the pieces he got
- 40:02Speaker 4: around Trey Harris. So, honestly, really similar to the optimal,
- 40:06Speaker 4: which we talked about earlier, and congrats to him.
- 40:11Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a nice line.
- 40:12Speaker 3: I'm going to just break it down further because, again,
- 40:15Speaker 3: I know this is the other thing people always say, like, yeah,
- 40:17Speaker 3: well– it got into the optimizer or whatever it might
- 40:21Speaker 3: be like, you know, it's an optimized line. It's not
- 40:23Speaker 3: like they hand built it. I get it, but I'm
- 40:25Speaker 3: saying it were a lot of people watching this, to
- 40:27Speaker 3: be honest. And I know from experience of doing this
- 40:29Speaker 3: for a few years now, a lot of people are
- 40:31Speaker 3: playing like five lineups or less 20 maps. Someone just
- 40:33Speaker 3: talked about K rich was back in the mix and said, Hey,
- 40:35Speaker 3: I've been locking Bowers in 20 max.
- 40:37Speaker 2: I'll die in that.
- 40:37Speaker 3: Maybe they're playing other lineups too, but I'm just saying
- 40:39Speaker 3: a lot of people are playing 20 or less lineups.
- 40:41Speaker 3: A lot of people are hand building. A lot of
- 40:43Speaker 3: people love the hand builder. I think that's why the.
- 40:47Speaker 4: Genting news messed up so many people because I think
- 40:49Speaker 4: a lot of people hand-built lineups with Washington expecting him
- 40:53Speaker 4: to be the guy and then had to change everything.
- 40:55Speaker 2: Right.
- 40:56Speaker 3: And so like, you know, we have it now at
- 40:58Speaker 3: Chippenation with the Stone 2.0, right? You could come right
- 41:01Speaker 3: in here and say, okay, I want to start with,
- 41:03Speaker 3: you know, I'm just going to reverse engineer it. But
- 41:05Speaker 3: it's like, I want to start with running backs. And
- 41:09Speaker 3: who's the good, like, what are the good spots? Well,
- 41:11Speaker 3: my nun guy is out. Dowdle is out. And I
- 41:14Speaker 3: think Gibbs is in the best spot on the slate.
- 41:16Speaker 3: And I'm probably not going to go to that lineup
- 41:18Speaker 3: or that game because.
- 41:20Speaker 2: Of, you know, some of my lineups or whatever. Like,
- 41:22Speaker 2: I'm just going back to it here now. Okay. So
- 41:24Speaker 2: like injury, injury, and I'm just covering this game off.
- 41:27Speaker 2: All right.
- 41:28Speaker 3: Now you look at some of the other stuff, Trey Harris,
- 41:31Speaker 3: Demario Douglas, like how do they get to it?
- 41:33Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 41:33Speaker 3: I'm saying, but like Trey Harris, we know the Douglas
- 41:36Speaker 3: one I'll, I'll get to in a second, but just
- 41:38Speaker 3: noting this, if you go down to, I think this
- 41:41Speaker 3: is sort of by price. So where is Trey? Worst case,
- 41:45Speaker 3: I can just type it in here, but Trey Harris, Right.
- 41:48Speaker 3: You've got Quentin Johnston out.
- 41:51Speaker 2: Right.
- 41:51Speaker 3: You've got injury stuff going on there. And, you know,
- 41:54Speaker 3: you can say, OK, I'm going to plug that in.
- 41:56Speaker 3: And then it's kind of like just the stack that
- 41:58Speaker 3: they put around it. But I think the most interesting
- 42:00Speaker 3: thing with like likely going against the commander's defense, who
- 42:05Speaker 3: is popular.
- 42:06Speaker 2: You've got Watson.
- 42:08Speaker 3: You got a piece of that love game, but you're
- 42:09Speaker 3: not getting to everybody there. He's a he's a run
- 42:11Speaker 3: back for.
- 42:13Speaker 2: The Swift stuff. Right.
- 42:14Speaker 3: So you got Watson in there. And then you go
- 42:18Speaker 3: to tight end and you've got likely in there. It's
- 42:22Speaker 3: not like all, it's not like these guys weren't popping.
- 42:24Speaker 3: Like we had high, we had high optimal rate and
- 42:27Speaker 3: leverage on Isaiah likely.
- 42:30Speaker 2: And then defense.
- 42:31Speaker 3: I think the jets were one of the most popular
- 42:33Speaker 3: on the slate, right? If we just sort by ownership, yeah,
- 42:35Speaker 3: they were the most popular. And for good reason, probably
- 42:38Speaker 3: they're also our most optimal. So let's just say you
- 42:40Speaker 3: plug them in. Well, I think this is the difference.
- 42:43Speaker 3: Some people start with quarterback and wide receiver.
- 42:48Speaker 2: This is out of an optimizer, so I get it,
- 42:50Speaker 2: but I'm just noting it.
- 42:51Speaker 3: If you were hand building, I think a lot of
- 42:53Speaker 3: people do start with a quarterback and a receiver and
- 42:56Speaker 3: then see what they can fit.
- 42:58Speaker 2: Why would you not work backwards here?
- 42:59Speaker 3: Because now imagine you've got this money left and you're
- 43:02Speaker 3: just looking at what.
- 43:02Speaker 2: Can I fit?
- 43:04Speaker 3: And you're looking at these quarterbacks like love would make
- 43:07Speaker 3: sense because you got Watson in there and it leaves
- 43:09Speaker 3: me forty one hundred.
- 43:11Speaker 2: And then you can sort my salary and go down
- 43:12Speaker 2: and say, OK, what does that get me? Do I
- 43:14Speaker 2: want any of these guys? Maybe not. Right. I already
- 43:17Speaker 2: got Harris in there. Don't see some guys that I want. OK,
- 43:20Speaker 2: I'm not going to do love in this lineup. All right.
- 43:23Speaker 2: Who are some other quarterbacks? I like.
- 43:25Speaker 3: Well, I heard Tambo talk about Drake May. OK, I'm
- 43:27Speaker 3: going to go find him in here and see. Let's
- 43:30Speaker 3: sort by salary again.
- 43:32Speaker 2: I'm going to go to Drake May. That only leaves
- 43:34Speaker 2: me 3,500.
- 43:34Speaker 4: Hmm.
- 43:35Speaker 2: I wonder if there's anybody at 3,500. I don't think
- 43:38Speaker 2: so though. Oh, wait, the receiver that fits with him.
- 43:41Speaker 2: That is still a positive leverage and a decent projection
- 43:45Speaker 2: for down here. There's nobody in sight with a 9.1
- 43:48Speaker 2: and a 15 ceiling. And I heard Tambo make up
- 43:51Speaker 2: a stupid rap about them on the show yesterday about
- 43:53Speaker 2: double D's and pop Douglas going off together. All right.
- 43:56Speaker 2: I'm going to try that one.
- 43:58Speaker 3: It's like, If you work backwards from the news of
- 44:02Speaker 3: clearly Warren's in a pretty good spot.
- 44:03Speaker 2: Clearly Swift is in a good spot. Clearly Gibbs is
- 44:06Speaker 2: in a good spot.
- 44:07Speaker 3: Trey Harris looks to be the wide receiver one there today,
- 44:09Speaker 3: depending on how news shakes out.
- 44:11Speaker 2: Okay. And then you start working around that.
- 44:13Speaker 3: Sometimes you can just plug in the pieces and find
- 44:16Speaker 3: your way there. I'm not saying you would, but it's
- 44:18Speaker 3: more of just a process of elimination and also talking
- 44:21Speaker 3: about a strategy where I think a lot of people say, okay,
- 44:24Speaker 3: I heard I want to play Drake May.
- 44:26Speaker 2: If I'm going Drake may, that means Bowers and Dobbs.
- 44:29Speaker 2: All right. Now what running backs fit around him? Oh shoot.
- 44:32Speaker 3: Now I can't get to Gibbs. Maybe I'll have to
- 44:34Speaker 3: leave him out, et cetera, et cetera. You wouldn't get
- 44:36Speaker 3: to that type of lineup though, in that construction. So
- 44:38Speaker 3: I just think that's important to think about for the
- 44:40Speaker 3: hand builders out there. Anything else you want to add
- 44:42Speaker 3: on this winning lineup or portfolio or anything else?
- 44:45Speaker 4: No, all really good points. The only thing I'll add
- 44:47Speaker 4: is like, it goes back to what I talked about earlier.
- 44:50Speaker 4: When you play the best plays, it gives you more
- 44:52Speaker 4: wiggle room. Like Swift was fine. He wasn't even as
- 44:56Speaker 4: good as Braylon Allen, who was cheaper than him. It
- 44:58Speaker 4: was also popular, but because the rest of the lineup
- 45:01Speaker 4: was so good, it didn't even matter.
- 45:03Speaker 1: So yeah.
- 45:05Speaker 4: I mean, like you said, when you put the pieces together,
- 45:08Speaker 4: when you like pull them off the puzzle, you can
- 45:11Speaker 4: see how the puzzle was put together.
- 45:12Speaker 1: Totally with you.
- 45:14Speaker 2: Yeah. So here's a, here's my 44, 44 lineup that
- 45:17Speaker 2: I wanted to go over from yesterday.
- 45:18Speaker 3: This is, I did not cash. It was horrible, but
- 45:21Speaker 3: it's just process. So you guys can hear how I
- 45:22Speaker 3: think about this stuff. It only put up 138 points.
- 45:25Speaker 3: We got the news that Jefferson was in and Addison
- 45:30Speaker 3: was out. And I was already looking for a spot
- 45:32Speaker 3: outside of my Drake May lineup, which is up above,
- 45:35Speaker 3: did a little bit better, but ended up having the.
- 45:37Speaker 2: Trey Harris injury and didn't have anything get there.
- 45:40Speaker 3: But I was full fading Detroit, Arizona in my two
- 45:44Speaker 3: lineups for this, right? I talked about it and the why,
- 45:47Speaker 3: I've already explained it all. Like I went through that here,
- 45:50Speaker 3: but just noting it, The thing I loved about the
- 45:53Speaker 3: Kyler Murray lineup, and I said at the end of
- 45:55Speaker 3: the show yesterday with Hoop and Title, what got me
- 45:57Speaker 3: excited is... not only was I already wanting to fade
- 46:01Speaker 3: the Detroit-Arizona game and try and figure out the magic
- 46:04Speaker 3: thread-the-needle lineup that would get me to the top of
- 46:06Speaker 3: this when I only had two entries, but I also
- 46:09Speaker 3: knew that because, again, going back to understanding the gentee news,
- 46:14Speaker 3: because of the gentee news, I also knew that now
- 46:17Speaker 3: that people didn't have Mike Washington Jr., this is the
- 46:19Speaker 3: part I forgot to bring up earlier, where would they
- 46:21Speaker 3: find their value?
- 46:23Speaker 2: It would all be at wide receivers.
- 46:25Speaker 3: Kendrick Bourne, Tesla, Harris, Antonio Williams, multiples though, right? Multiples
- 46:31Speaker 3: that they were going to be using. And so I
- 46:33Speaker 3: was looking for a way to get a more balanced build.
- 46:37Speaker 3: And you know what incorporated the most of that? And
- 46:39Speaker 3: this thing came out really nice for me pre-lock and
- 46:42Speaker 3: even post-lock, but it just didn't finish up post-slate very well.
- 46:46Speaker 2: But I went with the over stack.
- 46:49Speaker 1: Yeah, I love this lineup. I saw this yesterday.
- 46:51Speaker 4: This lineup is sexy and the Hawkinson injury sucks, but
- 46:54Speaker 4: this lineup was put together really well.
- 46:56Speaker 1: Sorry.
- 46:56Speaker 2: That happened early.
- 46:57Speaker 3: So it hurt my feelings right out of the gates.
- 46:59Speaker 3: But what I liked is even with Harris as the one, again,
- 47:02Speaker 3: I thought he was the best.
- 47:03Speaker 2: He was in the winning Millie lineup, whether you needed
- 47:05Speaker 2: him or not. It's not about the result. That is
- 47:06Speaker 2: results oriented. So just noting, but it just, obviously it
- 47:09Speaker 2: can get there.
- 47:10Speaker 3: And it wasn't really where I was looking to pick
- 47:11Speaker 3: up my ceilings from in this spot, but I was
- 47:14Speaker 3: looking to get, you know, some 25s to 30s And
- 47:17Speaker 3: if you go back and just think about it, can
- 47:19Speaker 3: you get 25 to 30?
- 47:20Speaker 2: Yeah. Could have been a lot better. 18. Can you
- 47:23Speaker 2: get 25 to 30?
- 47:24Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 47:24Speaker 2: You can get almost 40. I'll go more into in
- 47:26Speaker 2: a second. You know, could have been better. 21.6. Horrible
- 47:30Speaker 2: for Olave, but can he get you 25 to 30?
- 47:31Speaker 2: He absolutely can, has multiple times. Jefferson, can he? Obviously
- 47:35Speaker 2: he can.
- 47:37Speaker 3: You know, Trey Harris, maybe 20 was probably a cap, maybe.
- 47:40Speaker 2: 15, 20. But what did we have him for yesterday?
- 47:43Speaker 2: Let's go back and look, go back to my wide
- 47:45Speaker 2: receiver stuff, go up to.
- 47:48Speaker 4: We had- But it's also like when you're fading the
- 47:50Speaker 4: Detroit-Arizona game, you can play more guys like Trey Harris
- 47:53Speaker 4: because you want to play the best plays at that point.
- 47:56Speaker 2: That's the other thing I'm saying. You nailed it.
- 47:57Speaker 1: Yes.
- 47:58Speaker 3: Trey Harris is making, he's instead of Tesla in some
- 48:01Speaker 3: spots for a few hundred bucks more, instead of born
- 48:03Speaker 3: in some, so he's making those lineups work.
- 48:05Speaker 2: He's not in these types of lines.
- 48:07Speaker 3: So notice, I also don't care about the ownerships here,
- 48:10Speaker 3: like 20, 26, 28, 32, but seven, five, 16 for
- 48:17Speaker 3: a stud wide receiver for on Hawkinson, six on the
- 48:21Speaker 3: chargers going against Denver in the afternoon. Like I was
- 48:24Speaker 3: fine with all this, but just the way my stuff
- 48:26Speaker 3: shook out, but just noting it, Kyler, Jefferson, Hawkinson, Jones
- 48:32Speaker 3: in a dome, right? And you got, then you got
- 48:35Speaker 3: Olave on the other side, the balanced wide receivers. Then
- 48:38Speaker 3: you still get Warren, Allen, two home running backs in
- 48:42Speaker 3: good spots that I liked. You got the Chargers, D Harris.
- 48:45Speaker 3: There's no correlation there. Just that's where I landed. But
- 48:48Speaker 3: just to show it, I wanted to line up like
- 48:50Speaker 3: this going in because it didn't have Detroit, Arizona, and
- 48:54Speaker 3: it didn't have all of the roster.
- 48:57Speaker 2: Construction pieces the other ones did.
- 48:59Speaker 3: Not many people were playing the balanced running backs and
- 49:03Speaker 3: then doing it in a way that could really work
- 49:05Speaker 3: and get a back and forth going. I liked that
- 49:08Speaker 3: spot for that game yesterday. And if you go back to,
- 49:11Speaker 3: I'm just going to do one more here. I don't
- 49:13Speaker 3: think I have it up yet, so I'll bring it
- 49:15Speaker 3: up on the screen in a second.
- 49:18Speaker 2: If I can find it here.
- 49:19Speaker 3: And then I'll show them, I'll show my other lineup
- 49:21Speaker 3: just because it's just to give another, um, pointer, but
- 49:28Speaker 3: don't have it here.
- 49:28Speaker 2: So I'll go to the other lineup.
- 49:29Speaker 3: But anyways, just, I liked the spot for Minnesota and
- 49:32Speaker 3: new Orleans and I liked it better. Once we got
- 49:34Speaker 3: the Addison news and the fact that I could find
- 49:37Speaker 3: a way to play Olave and Jefferson in a back
- 49:39Speaker 3: and forth without just playing those two could have been
- 49:42Speaker 3: something else could end up being a love lineup for sure.
- 49:45Speaker 3: But the Drake May spot was the other one that
- 49:48Speaker 3: I liked. I did have the May Bowers Dobbs set up.
- 49:53Speaker 3: I went with Swift, Emmanuel Wilson. I had the Wilson
- 49:57Speaker 3: Kittle double tight end, right? Still pretty cheap. Got low
- 50:00Speaker 3: ownership on him to cross the, cross into this secondary stack.
- 50:04Speaker 3: I played the popular Jets D, a one-off that not
- 50:07Speaker 3: many were getting to, another stud wide receiver.
- 50:09Speaker 2: But you see in these builds, I just didn't.
- 50:11Speaker 3: Want the cheap chalk outside of Harris, who I played
- 50:15Speaker 3: twice and I was fine with that.
- 50:16Speaker 2: But going back, I wouldn't change much. Here just didn't
- 50:19Speaker 2: get the outcomes that I was looking for.
- 50:21Speaker 3: I liked this lineup better in the end, but this
- 50:23Speaker 3: was my other build with Drake May in it.
- 50:25Speaker 2: Did not get to Douglas as much as I liked
- 50:28Speaker 2: him as well. And I had a ton of May
- 50:29Speaker 2: in my portfolio yesterday with Douglas and stuff.
- 50:33Speaker 1: Yeah, injuries suck, as we talked.
- 50:35Speaker 4: About at the beginning, and I'm with you. Like, when
- 50:39Speaker 4: you're fading the obvious best spot, you know, you want
- 50:44Speaker 4: to play the best plays around that. I guess my
- 50:46Speaker 4: only question to you is, like, and this is a
- 50:49Speaker 4: reason I played different yesterday, and I maxed the $ 20
- 50:52Speaker 4: and maxed the $ 155 entry instead of playing my normal
- 50:55Speaker 4: stuff because I liked the Detroit game so much.
- 50:58Speaker 1: The stuff I wanted to play, I wanted to.
- 51:00Speaker 4: Max the contest because I wanted to be over– field
- 51:03Speaker 4: on that game my question to you is and not
- 51:06Speaker 4: even being results oriented when you go into a spot
- 51:09Speaker 4: like that and i think it was a total outlier
- 51:11Speaker 4: we're not going to see many more spots like that
- 51:13Speaker 4: on the year but going in knowing you have two
- 51:16Speaker 4: lineups there knowing you don't want to play anything from
- 51:19Speaker 4: that game why do you not want to play anything
- 51:23Speaker 4: from that game why don't you just like why couldn't
- 51:26Speaker 4: you play one.
- 51:27Speaker 1: Piece from that game or two pieces? Why don't, you know,
- 51:30Speaker 1: just curious.
- 51:31Speaker 2: You can, that's the thing.
- 51:32Speaker 3: The answer is you can, for me, it would have
- 51:34Speaker 3: been Gibbs and McBride. That's what I kept telling her
- 51:36Speaker 3: Gibbs and, um, the lions defense.
- 51:38Speaker 1: Sure.
- 51:39Speaker 3: But they didn't fit the Kyler build.
- 51:41Speaker 1: I like post, which you weren't like opposed to playing it.
- 51:44Speaker 2: You just like, no, no, no, for sure.
- 51:45Speaker 3: And I talked about that on leverage lane. I said,
- 51:47Speaker 3: if I'm going to be playing that game, I said, I,
- 51:48Speaker 3: I actually entertained it. Um, I'll show it actually in
- 51:52Speaker 3: a second because we ended up using it for share
- 51:54Speaker 3: a ship for shipping games yesterday.
- 51:55Speaker 2: I'll go into the wildcat.
- 51:56Speaker 3: I want to give you to cow, uh, more flowers, uh,
- 51:58Speaker 3: you as usual, but just, you know, noting, I want
- 52:00Speaker 3: to look at his portfolio. People think this is, this
- 52:02Speaker 3: is probably one of the coolest ways that you can
- 52:04Speaker 3: use DFSOS.com to be able to break it down and
- 52:06Speaker 3: see what they do with a full portfolio, right? He
- 52:09Speaker 3: played the max 19 lineups and got to the top
- 52:12Speaker 3: with one of them, but I will say, if I
- 52:15Speaker 3: was playing Brissette lineups yesterday, which were fine, especially once
- 52:21Speaker 3: the number of those lineups was at least still going
- 52:23Speaker 3: to be held in check some, because no Mike Washington,
- 52:26Speaker 3: like I said, it wasn't going to balloon up. But
- 52:28Speaker 3: just noting it, I would say that I still was
- 52:31Speaker 3: talking about it on Leverage Lane.
- 52:32Speaker 2: That I didn't want McBride and Wilson in them.
- 52:35Speaker 3: I wanted to play like Brissette, Bourne, And then Amun-Ra
- 52:41Speaker 3: or Gibbs keep it skinny and hope that other stuff
- 52:45Speaker 3: gets there and then play like Bowers instead of most
- 52:47Speaker 3: people have McBride in their Brissette lineups and I'll take
- 52:50Speaker 3: Bowers to hopefully beat him. And he got there with
- 52:52Speaker 3: that insane catch at the end. I'm just saying, it's
- 52:54Speaker 3: like there was, I'm looking for ways to build unique
- 52:57Speaker 3: against it.
- 52:57Speaker 2: So I could have went there, but once I had
- 53:00Speaker 2: the Kyler lineup, I wasn't going there. And the whole
- 53:02Speaker 2: point of the.
- 53:02Speaker 3: Drake may lineup was to play Bowers and not McBride.
- 53:06Speaker 3: And then if I needed something else, like I looked
- 53:08Speaker 3: at that lineup, like, could I get to Gibbs and
- 53:10Speaker 3: Detroit lions defense? And could I have, I'm sure there
- 53:13Speaker 3: was a way because I had Jamar chase and, um,
- 53:17Speaker 3: the jets, but I would have to move other pieces.
- 53:19Speaker 4: Right.
- 53:19Speaker 2: It just didn't fall in.
- 53:20Speaker 1: And something I talk about a lot too. Like on
- 53:23Speaker 1: any given week, there's a lot of good plays.
- 53:25Speaker 4: Like, yeah, the Detroit Arizona game stood out because the
- 53:28Speaker 4: total was so high, but that doesn't mean you weren't happy.
- 53:32Speaker 4: Like with the guys that you played, not that you
- 53:35Speaker 4: made some rule where you couldn't play any of Detroit
- 53:38Speaker 4: Arizona game, or you could only play one.
- 53:41Speaker 1: You just made lineups without that ownership that you liked.
- 53:44Speaker 1: It makes a lot of sense.
- 53:45Speaker 2: Yeah. And I want to show you one more thing.
- 53:47Speaker 2: Cause we're just, you know, we got time.
- 53:48Speaker 3: We're just going to be out of here in the
- 53:49Speaker 3: next five or 10 minutes, but I would say just
- 53:50Speaker 3: to go through it quickly, um, I want to show
- 53:52Speaker 3: one more thing on that.
- 53:53Speaker 2: Lineup just so I think I have it right here
- 53:55Speaker 2: so it won't take long. But if I go back
- 53:58Speaker 2: to this tab and then we'll go to Yuta next.
- 54:00Speaker 2: There was a 2v2 here that I entertained. It just
- 54:06Speaker 2: didn't I didn't fully love it for whatever reason, but
- 54:10Speaker 2: I'll give you what it is. And usually I like it,
- 54:12Speaker 2: but I was fine.
- 54:13Speaker 3: I really liked having something super unique for the afternoon
- 54:16Speaker 3: with like Wilson and Kittle. And I liked having the
- 54:18Speaker 3: Jamar as just something that nobody was getting to yesterday
- 54:21Speaker 3: because it was kind of late.
- 54:22Speaker 2: I looked at Burrow versions. They weren't good. I looked
- 54:24Speaker 2: at Malik Willis versions. They weren't good. And I wasn't
- 54:26Speaker 2: going to override where I was at with May. So
- 54:28Speaker 2: I did opt to take it. So I don't love it.
- 54:30Speaker 2: But the swap was.
- 54:32Speaker 3: Just so you know, it was Jamar 200 bucks down
- 54:36Speaker 3: to Amun-Ra. and in hindsight, I like it better, even
- 54:40Speaker 3: though it didn't work out anyway, but just thinking about
- 54:42Speaker 3: like roster construction, I would have had a Detroit one-off
- 54:45Speaker 3: with a PPR guy that can kind of just catch
- 54:47Speaker 3: a bunch of pat.
- 54:47Speaker 2: He could have been the one-off guy. That's all you need.
- 54:49Speaker 2: So that's one thing I was thinking about. And it
- 54:51Speaker 2: would have got me to, um, moving Wilson down to
- 54:56Speaker 2: the flex and turning Kittle with that $ 200 from 5,200
- 54:58Speaker 2: up to $ 5, 400 Braylon Allen, uh, paired with.
- 55:04Speaker 3: The defense as a way to do it that way.
- 55:07Speaker 3: Obviously I think it scored almost the same, maybe slightly more.
- 55:11Speaker 3: It was, I was looking to just get a little
- 55:13Speaker 3: bit more unique, but it could have worked. So to
- 55:15Speaker 3: your point, could I have played a guy?
- 55:16Speaker 1: Yes.
- 55:17Speaker 3: And that's, I would have got to it, but I
- 55:18Speaker 3: just kind of got too hung up on that. And
- 55:20Speaker 3: I liked this line of better. It did check out
- 55:22Speaker 3: for me. So I went with it, but let's look
- 55:24Speaker 3: at you.
- 55:25Speaker 1: Those swaps.
- 55:25Speaker 4: Like I just got like, you know, I, the two
- 55:28Speaker 4: for twos, when you're playing limited lineup, that stuff is
- 55:31Speaker 4: always so hard. And yeah, My wife, who I'm super
- 55:34Speaker 4: close with, she's not a sports fan, doesn't play DFS,
- 55:37Speaker 4: but has been with me for a long time.
- 55:39Speaker 1: So understands this stuff.
- 55:41Speaker 4: And even though no one cares, work harder, she cares.
- 55:44Speaker 1: So I bitch to her sometimes.
- 55:45Speaker 4: And her go-to line, and it sounds so easy and cliche.
- 55:49Speaker 4: She's like, well, if you knew the future, you would
- 55:51Speaker 4: have played the better line.
- 55:52Speaker 1: You know what I mean? And like, that's just the truth.
- 55:54Speaker 2: That's why when I talk about it, good point out,
- 55:56Speaker 2: good call out there and shout out to your wife for,
- 55:58Speaker 2: you know, care.
- 55:59Speaker 1: You're not even talking about it in that regard, but I,
- 56:01Speaker 1: you know what I mean? I wanted to say that
- 56:02Speaker 1: to the universe.
- 56:03Speaker 2: I love it. Cause I said the same thing last year,
- 56:05Speaker 2: last show you and I did was two weeks ago.
- 56:06Speaker 3: I might put that clip out later today, but it
- 56:08Speaker 3: was the one where a lot of people resonated with it,
- 56:10Speaker 3: where it's like, sometimes I say it, but the sign.
- 56:12Speaker 3: nobody cares work harder it's like i still do care
- 56:15Speaker 3: it's just it's like the point is you can bitch
- 56:17Speaker 3: about it all you want but you got to move
- 56:18Speaker 3: on right the longer you let it linger the worse
- 56:21Speaker 3: it's going to be another mindset piece for you but
- 56:23Speaker 3: it really is and so um on that note though
- 56:26Speaker 3: it's like i that's why i'm only talking about it
- 56:28Speaker 3: from a pre-slate process i didn't want i looked at
- 56:31Speaker 3: that i had plenty of time i had like 10
- 56:32Speaker 3: minutes up to lock and that was what i was
- 56:34Speaker 3: finalizing and of do I want this or do I
- 56:36Speaker 3: want that? And everything pointed me to wanting the version
- 56:39Speaker 3: that I landed on and hoping to get it right
- 56:42Speaker 3: from that standpoint, especially if I was already wanting to
- 56:44Speaker 3: fade Detroit, Arizona.
- 56:45Speaker 2: So I'm good with it. Let's look at.
- 56:47Speaker 3: The portfolio for Uticao and just going at it from
- 56:54Speaker 3: that perspective. Here's the biggest thing that stands out to
- 56:57Speaker 3: me right away. Even with 19 lineups, someone that didn't
- 57:00Speaker 3: want to go the Brissette route, right?
- 57:02Speaker 2: This is, again, like I talk about it, but Malik Willis,
- 57:05Speaker 2: Tyson Bajan, Bo Nix, his exposures that you're looking at.
- 57:11Speaker 2: Jordan Love, all positive deltas.
- 57:13Speaker 3: Stroud, Winston, the two quarterbacks he's under on, Goff and Brissett.
- 57:18Speaker 3: And look, play it to each your own. You could
- 57:21Speaker 3: have got there with a Brissett lineup. I think it
- 57:22Speaker 3: almost did, but it's just the point being when you
- 57:25Speaker 3: look at it, this is the lineup that got it done.
- 57:27Speaker 3: So it was a Jameis Winston lineup, 221 points.
- 57:29Speaker 2: Winston, likely. No run back. Oh, no, Williams. Back to
- 57:38Speaker 2: the Williams situation again. So there you go. There's your trio.
- 57:41Speaker 3: You get your secondary stack of Swift and Watson. Uh,
- 57:44Speaker 3: Luther Burton, even in there as a second piece to
- 57:46Speaker 3: that game. So you got three points there.
- 57:49Speaker 2: No doubt.
- 57:49Speaker 3: I'll play Warren one piece of the Detroit, Arizona game.
- 57:52Speaker 3: You're not on golf or Brissette. What would help slow
- 57:54Speaker 3: it down some and just be the one piece that
- 57:55Speaker 3: you need. Possibly Gibbs makes sense. Lands on the Vikings
- 57:59Speaker 3: D where most were paying up or down. And also
- 58:02Speaker 3: they were $ 200 more than Washington who a lot of
- 58:06Speaker 3: people were landing on yesterday, especially on FanDuel. I think
- 58:08Speaker 3: Washington was like 60% owned or something in, in the juggernaut.
- 58:11Speaker 3: um and played likely with winston against it so um
- 58:16Speaker 3: you can't land you're not likely to land on the
- 58:17Speaker 3: washington d actually the only time you might be in
- 58:20Speaker 3: a quarterback lineup is with winston because the you can
- 58:23Speaker 3: play winston and the defense against him but not in
- 58:26Speaker 3: this lineup not normal so this is the lineup your
- 58:28Speaker 3: thoughts on this one but i think just targeted a
- 58:31Speaker 3: couple really good spots on the slate that weren't detroit
- 58:33Speaker 3: arizona while still making sure he took care of how
- 58:35Speaker 3: that game would play out.
- 58:36Speaker 4: As well yeah so to your original like when you
- 58:38Speaker 4: mentioned the exposures and you know, the Brissette Goff, like
- 58:43Speaker 4: certainly Goff was close to getting there and Brissette wasn't
- 58:46Speaker 4: bad himself, but no matter what, whenever you get that
- 58:49Speaker 4: much ownership in a spot in any sport in DFS,
- 58:52Speaker 4: it's always easier to get to the top playing different avenues.
- 58:57Speaker 4: So this is a good example of it. Even though
- 58:59Speaker 4: that game got close, other spots were better. And this
- 59:02Speaker 4: is a spot that was better and was really low
- 59:03Speaker 4: owned because so much ownership flocked to the other spot.
- 59:06Speaker 4: So yeah, I mean, he's a GOAT. just really, really
- 59:11Speaker 4: well done put together. And it goes back to the
- 59:13Speaker 4: Antonio Williams point, you know, first off, it didn't even
- 59:17Speaker 4: matter because of Trey Harris, but even if it had
- 59:19Speaker 4: mattered because of the plays he played around Antonio Williams,
- 59:22Speaker 4: it wouldn't have mattered anyways.
- 59:23Speaker 2: So Yeah.
- 59:24Speaker 1: Just really good lineup.
- 59:25Speaker 2: And just ceiling hunting. Again, you go back to it again.
- 59:28Speaker 2: Remember that, guys, you're looking for ceiling in these tournaments
- 59:30Speaker 2: are just so top heavy. Yeah. Second nature to people.
- 59:34Speaker 3: But I would say this is like, you know, you
- 59:37Speaker 3: end up with six point one and eight point nine here.
- 59:39Speaker 2: But it really doesn't matter because.
- 59:41Speaker 3: 30, 40, 17 could have been better.
- 59:45Speaker 2: Thirty five, though. 32, 11 for a defense.
- 59:49Speaker 3: It's like, it's not that great. Like, but you could,
- 59:52Speaker 3: Minnesota could have smashed. They're a really good defense going
- 59:54Speaker 3: against the saints. Luther burden could have got 10 more points.
- 59:57Speaker 3: Swift could have got 10 more points. Then you were like,
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: it just allowed for so much more. And only Williams
- 1:00:03Speaker 3: was really the guy who, by the way, was still
- 1:00:04Speaker 3: in a good spot of his own, but he didn't
- 1:00:06Speaker 3: just play him as a one-off.
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: He built around him. to then allow to fit in
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: the ceilings.
- 1:00:12Speaker 3: He covered the Detroit-Arizona game. He got to a unique
- 1:00:15Speaker 3: D that was 200 bucks more than the popular one
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: his stack was against and more than the Jets and all.
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: He couldn't play the Jets here. I'm just noting it.
- 1:00:22Speaker 3: But targeting this Green Bay-Chicago game from how you could
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: target it. If you're not getting to Love or to Bajent,
- 1:00:29Speaker 3: and by the way, he was on Bajent and Love
- 1:00:31Speaker 3: in the other, that's the other thing you got to notice.
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: Look at his exposures. Love, 11%, Bajan, 16%.
- 1:00:38Speaker 3: I know it's not that many lineups because you're looking
- 1:00:40Speaker 3: at 19 total, but my point being, it's not just
- 1:00:44Speaker 3: where you are, it's where you're not. When he's in
- 1:00:47Speaker 3: a Winston lineup, he's covering off the other spots, right?
- 1:00:52Speaker 3: He's got those other pieces to those other games. He's
- 1:00:55Speaker 3: got the Chicago green Bay game that he's higher on clearly, right?
- 1:00:59Speaker 3: Nine and a half Delta, four and a half Delta.
- 1:01:00Speaker 3: Those are built into the Winston lineup. So it's not
- 1:01:03Speaker 3: just magic. This is why I was talking about when
- 1:01:05Speaker 3: I'm building like a portfolio Bellman of saying, okay, People
- 1:01:09Speaker 3: start with their single entry.
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: I don't though. I've been telling this for years now.
- 1:01:13Speaker 3: I build out my portfolio, get 40,000 feet view of
- 1:01:18Speaker 3: what looks good and what I like, and then work backwards.
- 1:01:21Speaker 2: And so then I know what to account for.
- 1:01:23Speaker 3: Okay, if I really like this stack or I really
- 1:01:25Speaker 3: like these running backs, What stacks fit around them the best?
- 1:01:29Speaker 3: Or if I like these stacks, what running backs fit
- 1:01:31Speaker 3: with them? What accounts for what? If I like these
- 1:01:34Speaker 3: four quarterbacks and shit, that's only two games on this
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: slate because it's four quarterbacks from the same two games. Well,
- 1:01:41Speaker 3: then what does that mean? Well, it means when I'm
- 1:01:43Speaker 3: building a lineup with my fourth or fifth best quarterback,
- 1:01:46Speaker 3: I probably want to incorporate the other games because I
- 1:01:50Speaker 3: want those. I still really like those games and those pieces.
- 1:01:53Speaker 3: How do I fit them in and around that?
- 1:01:55Speaker 2: Well, look at this one.
- 1:01:56Speaker 3: DeAndre Swift, Watson, and Burden all fit in around the
- 1:02:00Speaker 3: three-man game stack. I didn't even look, but I'm imagining
- 1:02:03Speaker 3: it's up there, but we'll see.
- 1:02:04Speaker 2: Could be wrong. Jameer Gibbs, 84%. Huge Delta. Warren, 58%.
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: Huge Delta. Well, guess who ended up in his lineup? Gibbs, Warren,
- 1:02:17Speaker 2: you know what I mean?
- 1:02:18Speaker 3: Like it's not magic or rocket science. It's it's that's,
- 1:02:21Speaker 3: what's going to look, who's his highest own defense, the
- 1:02:24Speaker 3: Vikings 20. And then people say like, Oh, of course
- 1:02:26Speaker 3: it's like, but it's just, it's what he was on.
- 1:02:29Speaker 3: So I would say it's like, it's not who you play.
- 1:02:31Speaker 3: It's how you play them. And people will say, well,
- 1:02:33Speaker 3: it is who he played. Because look at all those
- 1:02:35Speaker 3: guys he played. It's whoever he played the most of
- 1:02:37Speaker 3: is what ended up in the winning lineups.
- 1:02:38Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:02:39Speaker 3: But it's also how he played them. So many people say,
- 1:02:42Speaker 3: I'm comfortable doing a Winston-likely Williams stack. But then they
- 1:02:46Speaker 3: start trying to figure out who to put around it.
- 1:02:49Speaker 3: It might be right under your nose and right there
- 1:02:51Speaker 3: in front of you. In your portfolio, being able to say, well,
- 1:02:54Speaker 3: who else do I like?
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:02:56Speaker 3: Well, I'm not on, I love, I, I let's use
- 1:02:58Speaker 3: like for this one. Cause the, the back and forth,
- 1:03:01Speaker 3: I am in on Baygent and love. I like them both.
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: Well, if you like love or you like Baygent, you
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: probably like the pieces that go with them. All right.
- 1:03:10Speaker 2: Maybe try plugging some of those in around the rest
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: of your lineup when you're building it. And that could work.
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: Or I, I really am interested in these running backs
- 1:03:17Speaker 2: because the injury spots are I think Jalen Warren's good
- 1:03:20Speaker 2: because Dowdle's out.
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: I think Swift is good because Menungai's out. All right,
- 1:03:24Speaker 3: should probably plug them in. Oh, wait, I'm forgetting something.
- 1:03:26Speaker 3: There's a game on the slate with a 56 and
- 1:03:28Speaker 3: a half point total or whatever it was for Detroit, Arizona.
- 1:03:31Speaker 3: Not really accounting for that, but you know how I
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: am going to account for it? I like Jameer Gibbs
- 1:03:35Speaker 3: and I think he's the guy that's going to do it.
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: So let me play Gibbs. Oh, it lands me on
- 1:03:39Speaker 3: my favorite defense.
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: Sweet, I'm in. Like it's not saying we would.
- 1:03:44Speaker 3: Get to it ourselves because we didn't, but that's why
- 1:03:46Speaker 3: we do this show. That's why we're trying to learn
- 1:03:47Speaker 3: from this to get better because it can exist. And
- 1:03:50Speaker 3: that thought process can help you.
- 1:03:52Speaker 2: Maybe you come up short and make a bad, you
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: don't come quite as close and you get 180, but
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: 180 could still be great for a certain tournament that
- 1:03:58Speaker 2: you're playing in, depending on the contest selection, which is
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: a topic for another day.
- 1:04:02Speaker 3: But it's also just more about having a process, having
- 1:04:05Speaker 3: a process, process, process, whatever you call it, to get
- 1:04:08Speaker 3: to something that is your own, where you can say, Hey,
- 1:04:12Speaker 3: I know that I've got a process now to be
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: able to move to this type of build. If I'm
- 1:04:16Speaker 3: building single entry, I know how to start from here
- 1:04:19Speaker 3: and work backwards, et cetera. A lot of people don't
- 1:04:21Speaker 3: do that. And then they wonder how they just, I
- 1:04:24Speaker 3: just landed on random shit. It kind of just filled
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: my lineup out.
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: It looked good. All right.
- 1:04:27Speaker 3: Well, you could have had something that got you to
- 1:04:29Speaker 3: a little bit better spot, not being results oriented. This
- 1:04:33Speaker 3: is his portfolio of 19 lineups in one lineup.
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: That's the takeaway for me.
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you.
- 1:04:42Speaker 4: And for me, like just to kind of tie it
- 1:04:44Speaker 4: all in a ribbon, when we talk about how it's
- 1:04:49Speaker 4: easier to get to the top of tournaments when you
- 1:04:51Speaker 4: play lower owned stuff, lower owned plays, lower owned lineup constructions, whatever,
- 1:04:56Speaker 4: however you want to put it, it all falls into
- 1:04:59Speaker 4: when we talk about like the Antonio Williams play doesn't
- 1:05:02Speaker 4: matter as much because you have an under 10% owned
- 1:05:04Speaker 4: Christian Watson. If Christian Watson and this lineup were I'm
- 1:05:08Speaker 4: on Ross St. Brown or Trey McBride. And they're the
- 1:05:11Speaker 4: ones that had 35. Then that Antonio Williams six would
- 1:05:15Speaker 4: have hurt a lot more. So at the end of
- 1:05:16Speaker 4: the day, we're playing an ownership game and it's important
- 1:05:18Speaker 4: to remember that always.
- 1:05:21Speaker 2: Yep. A hundred percent, man.
- 1:05:22Speaker 3: I think it's just, again, expect nothing less really sharp
- 1:05:25Speaker 3: build overall. Again, you see it correlate throughout when he
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: goes to the Malik washing the Malik squared lineup over
- 1:05:33Speaker 3: here with Jamar chase. I told you I entertained something
- 1:05:36Speaker 3: like this, but look what he gets to fit in
- 1:05:38Speaker 3: around it.
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: Right? He still, he gets to fit in the Gibbs McBride.
- 1:05:41Speaker 2: We talked about that on leverage lane.
- 1:05:42Speaker 3: What was the most likely way to get a piece
- 1:05:45Speaker 3: of that game where it's just run, run, run the clock.
- 1:05:48Speaker 3: catch nine balls and fall on it. Maybe catch a
- 1:05:50Speaker 3: touchdown or three of Quentin Tarantino himself. Doesn't come through
- 1:05:53Speaker 3: and get two of them. I know it's not how
- 1:05:55Speaker 3: you say his name, but basically the same guy play
- 1:05:57Speaker 3: the popular.
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: He got two.
- 1:05:59Speaker 2: Here's the secondary stack.
- 1:06:01Speaker 3: He's in on Winston. So why not play Williams and
- 1:06:03Speaker 3: likely again, not on the commander's D. So you got
- 1:06:06Speaker 3: likely against it while you're on the jets for 200 bucks,
- 1:06:09Speaker 3: less still popular.
- 1:06:10Speaker 2: Who cares? But 192, not good enough to win, but
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: good enough to come 12th.
- 1:06:14Speaker 3: And again, Like some of these guys didn't do anything really.
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: They just kind of gave you mediocre outputs. 12, 19
- 1:06:21Speaker 3: from a Jamar chase 21. These, this is like really
- 1:06:23Speaker 3: balanced scoring. It just didn't get there, but just to
- 1:06:26Speaker 3: show it, that's the same. That's in his portfolio. Usually
- 1:06:29Speaker 3: don't do a bunch of season long stuff, but, um, Kyle.
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: This one's pretty straightforward.
- 1:06:34Speaker 3: If you got Josh Allen, you're in good shape already,
- 1:06:37Speaker 3: but you would start Shakir because you want to maximize that.
- 1:06:41Speaker 3: You want to hope that Shakir catches the touchdown. You
- 1:06:43Speaker 3: get double the points, right? You're getting the Shakir points
- 1:06:46Speaker 3: mixed with the Kyle. But yeah, Nate's brought up a
- 1:06:49Speaker 3: good point. if you're not lit, listen, it's not for everybody.
- 1:06:52Speaker 3: I know, but I do think it's for everybody that's
- 1:06:54Speaker 3: watching this. So it's not just a sales pitch or,
- 1:06:56Speaker 3: you know, for our promo that you have code ship
- 1:06:58Speaker 3: it over at DFSOS. I just don't know where else
- 1:07:01Speaker 3: you would be able to go and get basically the
- 1:07:05Speaker 3: best player in the world's 20 max portfolio and figure
- 1:07:08Speaker 3: out how he played 20 max in a tournament against
- 1:07:12Speaker 3: the best players in the world to see how he
- 1:07:14Speaker 3: thinks when he's building it, where else can you.
- 1:07:16Speaker 2: Go see all of that? Nowhere that I know of. So,
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: Keep that in mind.
- 1:07:21Speaker 3: It's literally a dollar a day. Go to DFSOS.com. Use
- 1:07:24Speaker 3: code SHIPIT to get in. Any final thoughts from you
- 1:07:27Speaker 3: before we get out of here today, Matt? Anything else
- 1:07:29Speaker 3: you want to bring up?
- 1:07:29Speaker 2: I know we always do a bit of a single
- 1:07:32Speaker 2: entry thing that we didn't have time today to get
- 1:07:33Speaker 2: to all of it. But I do think a lot
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: of really good stuff on this one that we broke
- 1:07:37Speaker 2: down for them.
- 1:07:38Speaker 4: Yeah, always a really fun show. Happy to be on
- 1:07:40Speaker 4: here with you. And yeah, I think we broke it
- 1:07:44Speaker 4: down pretty well. So I got nothing more to add.
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:07:46Speaker 2: Fun stuff with you. We'll be back again next Monday,
- 1:07:48Speaker 2: the same time, less than an hour. We'll be here.
- 1:07:50Speaker 3: So make sure you're subscribed to the channel hoop title
- 1:07:52Speaker 3: and myself coming off their top 17 finishes in the
- 1:07:55Speaker 3: million maker yesterday. They'll be on live with me as
- 1:07:58Speaker 3: we break down the showdown slate for tonight. If you
- 1:08:01Speaker 3: guys want to get it on the action over at
- 1:08:02Speaker 3: ship at nation.com, all the promos are there. You get
- 1:08:05Speaker 3: into ship at games, have yourself, you'll be a part
- 1:08:07Speaker 3: of our community, be a part of the fun and
- 1:08:10Speaker 3: get into the game ship at games.com. All the deals
- 1:08:12Speaker 3: are down below. You can do all access content only.
- 1:08:16Speaker 3: Just NFL with Sabre Sim without. They're all applicable for
- 1:08:20Speaker 3: Ship It games at the top. That's going to do
- 1:08:22Speaker 3: it for this week, guys. For Bellman and for myself,
- 1:08:24Speaker 3: Toe Tagging Tambo, good luck in your contest tonight. Let's
- 1:08:27Speaker 3: ship it!