Latest / AFR Saints / Saints Open as Underdogs in 12 Games | What Vegas Really Thinks About New Orleans

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Saints Open as Underdogs in 12 Games | What Vegas Really Thinks About New Orleans · AFR Saints

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  Speaker 1: AFR on Demand is brought to you by Breck Golf.
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  Speaker 1: full round, book your tea time today golf dot Brek
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  Speaker 1: dot org. Golf dot brek dot org. Last week, NFL
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  Speaker 1: released the schedule. One of the major contentions from a
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  Speaker 1: Saints perspective is they can break their five year playoff
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  Speaker 1: less drought this season because you got the second easiest
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  Speaker 1: schedule in the NFL according to opponents win loss percent
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  Speaker 1: from a year ago. And your division isn't very good,
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  Speaker 1: so you may not be awesome, but you might be
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  Speaker 1: good enough in a bad division against the manageable schedule.
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  Speaker 2: Basically, you might be the tallest short kid.
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  Speaker 1: With the full schedule release, odds makers have put out
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  Speaker 1: the lines, the early lines for every NFL game, and
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  Speaker 1: we have this up at Louisiana Sports Side, and that
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  Speaker 1: by the way, if you want to see it's it's
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  Speaker 1: by division. And it's you could look at the points
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  Speaker 1: spread for every game in the NFL this year. A
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  Speaker 1: few notes. I'm going to the Saints in a second.
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  Speaker 1: A few notes from the NFC South. The odds makers
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  Speaker 1: are not very keen on the Panthers. Panthers remember won
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  Speaker 1: the division a year ago, but playing a first play
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  Speaker 1: schedule should absolutely expose Carolina this year their favorite in
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  Speaker 1: three games. Carolina, your defending division champ, is favored in
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  Speaker 1: three of seventeen games. And this is by far the
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  Speaker 1: worst division in the NFL as far as how they
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  Speaker 1: project against in non division games, the entire NFC South
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  Speaker 1: are underdogs in thirty seven of the forty four non
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  Speaker 1: divisional games. That's eighty four point one percent. The entire division. Bucks, Falcons, Panther,
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  Speaker 1: Saints collectively are underdogs in eighty four percent of the
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  Speaker 1: games against other divisions. The entire division are underdogs in
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  Speaker 1: nineteen of twenty road games. By the way, the only
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  Speaker 1: the only team favored in a non division road game
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  Speaker 1: is Carolina is favored in Week three when they go
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  Speaker 1: to Cleveland.
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  Speaker 2: That's it.
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  Speaker 1: Every other time an NFC soule team goes away from
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  Speaker 1: home to play a non division game, they're an underdog,
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  Speaker 1: which kind of leads you to where the Saints are.
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  Speaker 1: I was a little surprised, candidly to see this because
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  Speaker 1: the Saints win total. The projected over under is seven
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  Speaker 1: and a half for New Orleans, and I kind of
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  Speaker 1: like the over maybe famous last words, I get it.
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  Speaker 1: And there's a lot of questions about the Saints. You
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  Speaker 1: still have a young, inexperienced quarterback who's only started nine games.
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  Speaker 1: Although they were good at the end of the year,
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  Speaker 1: it was against lesser competition. You're replacing a lot of
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  Speaker 1: veteran talent, certainly on the defensive side of the ball.
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  Speaker 1: To Mario Davis out, you have questions. Are you settled
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  Speaker 1: at corner? Can you be any better on the interior
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  Speaker 1: your defensive line? Have you really fixed your offensive line?
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  Speaker 1: What do you do at running back? You brought in
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  Speaker 1: ech In, but is he gonna catch fire? I mean,
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  Speaker 1: there's a lot of questions, a lot of hope, but
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  Speaker 1: a lot of questions. So New Orleans is favored in
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  Speaker 1: just five games, despite being they're over under seven and
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  Speaker 1: a half.
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  Speaker 2: They're favored just five times.
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  Speaker 1: New Orleans is favored at home against the Raiders in
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  Speaker 1: Week three at home against the Falcons in Week four,
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  Speaker 1: their favorite at home against Cleveland in Week nine, a
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  Speaker 1: week later at home against Carolina in Week ten, and
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  Speaker 1: then they're favorite at home against Arizona in Week sixteen.
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  Speaker 1: Every other game, New Orleans is an underdog. I candidly
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  Speaker 1: the ones that surprise me the most. Weeks five and
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  Speaker 1: six throw me off a little bit.
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  Speaker 2: Here.
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  Speaker 1: New Orleans is a home underdog against the Vikings. Now,
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  Speaker 1: two years ago, the Vikings were awesome, and we know
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  Speaker 1: what happened. Sam Darnold goes to Seattle, wins a Super Bowl.
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  Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy steps in in year two, first year as
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  Speaker 1: a starter, and the Vikings missed the playoffs. That game's
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  Speaker 1: in New Orleans, and there are real questions about Minnesota
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  Speaker 1: with JJ McCarthy. I like New Orleans at home now
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  Speaker 1: just a point and a half, But if you get
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  Speaker 1: three points or maybe in the NFL it's two for
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  Speaker 1: home field advantage, that feels significant. That Minnesota is a
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  Speaker 1: favorite in the Dome. And then a week later are
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  Speaker 1: the Saints go to the Giants. Now I have a
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  Speaker 1: ton of respect for John Harbaugh as a head coach.
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  Speaker 1: The Saints beat Jackson Dart last year in the Supernome.
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  Speaker 1: They'll go to New York in week six, and I'm
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  Speaker 1: not so sure that the Giants are gonna be decidedly better.
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  Speaker 1: But the Giants are a two and a half point
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  Speaker 1: favorite over New Orleans in MetLife in week six. Those
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  Speaker 1: two are the ones that really grabbed me, Like man,
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  Speaker 1: I am surprised. Now there's something that's no surprise. The
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  Speaker 1: Saints are a seven point dog in Week one at Detroit.
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  Speaker 3: Uh.
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  Speaker 1: The biggest number, The biggest UH the Saints are an
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  Speaker 1: underdog is Week two at Baltimore, where it's seven and
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  Speaker 1: a half. So there are seven point dog week one,
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  Speaker 1: seven and a half week two. You know, you look
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  Speaker 1: at some of the others. The stretch that's the toughest
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  Speaker 1: is the one we've talked about. Six and a half
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  Speaker 1: point dog week eleven at Chicago, six and a half
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  Speaker 1: point dog Week twelve at Cincinnati, four and a half
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  Speaker 1: point home dog against Green Bay in week thirteen, and
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  Speaker 1: then they're two and a half point dog at Carolina,
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  Speaker 1: then three and a half point dog at Tampa. That stretch,
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  Speaker 1: that stretch Week eleven to fifteen is the toughest stretch
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  Speaker 1: of this. You have a brutal start, right at Detroit
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  Speaker 1: at Baltimore. But the toughest stretch of the year is
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  Speaker 1: Week eleven to fifteen at Chicago, at Cincinnati, home against
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  Speaker 1: the Packers, at Panthers at Bucks. That five game four
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  Speaker 1: to five on the road, and you're an underdog in
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  Speaker 1: all five. That is a That's the brutal stretch that
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  Speaker 1: will sort of, I think make or break whatever New
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  Speaker 1: Orleans is playing for over a manageable final three games
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  Speaker 1: where you're home against the Cardinals, at the Falcons, home
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  Speaker 1: against the Bucks. So you got to make Hay early.
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  Speaker 1: You're gonna lose those first two very likely against Detroit
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  Speaker 1: and Baltimore. But after that you have a manageable stretch Raiders, Falcons,
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  Speaker 1: Vikings at Giants than Steelers in Paris. That's where you
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  Speaker 1: have to make your on and then after your body
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  Speaker 1: at Cleveland, Carolina. You gotta make your run in that
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  Speaker 1: stretch because you know it's going to be brutal week
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  Speaker 1: eleven to fifteen, and so it'll set up whatever you
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  Speaker 1: might be playing for in those final three weeks. Saints
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  Speaker 1: are favored five times. We mentioned they're an underdog every
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  Speaker 1: week from eleven to fifteen. Biggest their favorite is the
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  Speaker 1: five and a half points at home against the Cardinals
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  Speaker 1: in Week sixteen, and the biggest there underdog, as we mentioned,
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  Speaker 1: is Week two when they're seven and a half point
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  Speaker 1: dog at Baltimore. Tyler Shuck, It's going to be a
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  Speaker 1: massive year for Shuck, and whatever the Saints might achieve,
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  Speaker 1: they'll do in large part based on whatever Tyler Shuck
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  Speaker 1: might be able to progress year one to two. And
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  Speaker 1: when he met with reporters Monday at the Saints Hall
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  Speaker 1: of Fame golf tournament, he talked about how different this
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  Speaker 1: offseason is as the starter whereas last year is coming
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  Speaker 1: in as a rookie.
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  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's just so much more comfortability you're
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  Speaker 3: going into the Tellan's offense here. Two for being able
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  Speaker 3: to kind of really focus on what we want to
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  Speaker 3: focus on the sense of ver see. I think it's
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  Speaker 3: the biggest thing that I've been focusing on and for
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  Speaker 3: the whole unit. And then also just I think everybody
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  Speaker 3: is just we're having fun, We're having fun putting in
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  Speaker 3: the work, and we're really close and I think that's
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  Speaker 3: the best part about it.
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  Speaker 1: Then the other thing is obviously him working this offseason
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  Speaker 1: with Kellen Moore as the starter. So he was asked
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  Speaker 1: about from February right season any shoot balls ends to
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  Speaker 1: now working with Kellen Moore.
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  Speaker 3: I think it's really sit down and kind of evaluate
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  Speaker 3: the film from last year and kind of tweak what
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  Speaker 3: we may call certain things and then also kind of
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  Speaker 3: tailor it to you know, how we're trying to attack
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  Speaker 3: defenses this year. And so I was, you know, that
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  Speaker 3: was really cool to see throughout this install process and
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  Speaker 3: OTAs in phase.
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  Speaker 2: Two is is.
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  Speaker 3: I think there was a self evaluation from you know,
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  Speaker 3: my part and what I can work on footwork wise
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  Speaker 3: and setting the pocket, and then also for offensively and
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  Speaker 3: how we can kind of get better.
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  Speaker 1: There a lot of optimism, a lot of optimism.
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  Speaker 2: But still a lot to prove. Year two with Tyler
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  Speaker 2: Shuck