Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB Witching Hour | June 12, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MLB Witching Hour | June 12, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
All systems go clear. You left. What's going on? Everybody happy Wednesday?
0:38
Hope everybody out there having a good day, sweating out some early MLB.
0:43
Two games going right now, two games still left, so money definitely
0:47
not safe. Eight games a night. You Rising, doesn't look like any
0:51
weather. No weather is good to see. You wanted some runs yesterday.
0:54
You asked for some runs. We got some runs to you. Rion Yankees
0:58
n awesome, awesome stuff. Dodgers. Man, I didn't like the Dodgers
1:02
as much as they performed. Absolutely nuked yesterday. Solid eight game slate.
1:07
A couple of spots. Pitching wise, I think will be pretty chalky.
1:11
That's yeah, relatively spread out amongst like three teams. Maybe pretty obvious to
1:15
know though. Yankees, Dodgers will be decently owned once again. Started talks
1:21
in baseball with you. Hope everybody out there. Michael W. Gator Nation,
1:25
Ben Russell, having a good day. How are you doing today?
1:27
Gee? Rising, looks like it's pretty humid in the Midwest again. Oh
1:32
man, it is pretty warm here today. But not what they're calling for
1:34
next week, man, next Monday. They're saying it's supposed to be like
1:37
ninety eight or some shit. So fuck, man's that's nuts stick to your
1:41
leg kind of shit right there. That's no fun. As we know up
1:44
here in the Midwest, it gets humid as shit. But man, it's
1:47
been a good day. You know, Hey, did the day job.
1:49
Had to go around some factory plants today and sell some robots. Did some
1:53
shit today, So I had some fun doing that. But hey, man,
1:57
it's always fun when we got a little day baseball we can kind of
2:00
attention to. But you know, you mentioned all the runs yesterday. Man,
2:02
it is good to see we're getting a little warmer. I think,
2:06
you know, we are talking about, you know, should you always stack
2:07
you know, five, three, whatever else, And we were kind of
2:09
talking about it, and I think at the beginning of the year, I
2:13
you know, there's no reports that the ball has been dumbed down, but
2:15
we all kind of know the ball's been dumbed down a little bit, it
2:17
seems. So, you know, those big runs weren't just there as they
2:22
they were. Now. We did see two double ditchit games last night.
2:24
You know, we did talk. We we like some Yankees that that worked
2:28
out for us the Dodgers, you know, we we we talked a little
2:30
bit we like the lefties, but man, we got to remember how shitty
2:35
that fucking Texas bullpen is. Man Like, that's fucking bad. Like they're
2:38
terrible. So we'll get Yeah, we got we got it again tonight.
2:43
I mean, you know, just kind of looking it actually made me go
2:46
back and revisit some of the bullpen stats, you know, just so you
2:49
know, the worst Ra Colorado Angels, White Sox, Texas, Toronto.
2:53
I mean, so you know, there's a couple of the worst bullpens.
2:57
So you know, we got to keep remembering how bad these bullpens are.
3:00
But yeah, Dodgers got on it early, was good. But today we
3:04
got an interesting slate. We got a little bit different than yesterday. We
3:08
had a lot of options, but today we got a couple different. You
3:12
know, pitching seems to be a little bit more narrow. There's one chalk
3:15
guy on the high end, one chalk guy in the low end. Where
3:16
we've had a couple options here the last couple of days kind of to move
3:20
and pivot off of. So I think today you're gonna see a guy like
3:23
Bryce Miller with probably freaking fifty percent ownership forty percent ownership today Peterson could be
3:28
the same. So I think that's gonna be the popular pitching combination here today,
3:31
especially on DK. So you know, we'll talk about some guys that
3:37
you know, maybe you can use to uh to get around that a little
3:40
bit here. But man, it's always fun when baseball's getting back in.
3:45
But man, we got some big golf here coming up. Joey fucking Chestnut
3:49
can't eat in the hot dog contest? What the fuck is that all about?
3:53
And that's kind of shitty, But you know, title, isn't that,
3:55
like, you know, being NASCAR and then you have the Pepsi six
4:00
hundred and telling the Coca Cola car he can't race. It's kind of the
4:03
same thing in my opinion. I mean, who cares. He's got a
4:05
sponsorship from somebody else that Nathan's doesn't own the food eating thing, So what's
4:11
the fucking difference, Like, you can't be that, you can't be like
4:14
that as a sponsor. I mean, who cares. I don't even know
4:17
all that. Yeah, that that sounds a little weird. Joey said he
4:20
couldn't. He's get sponsored by some Imperial Foods that and he's repping vegan hot
4:25
dogs. But I mean who cares like Nathan's you're afraid of a vegan hot
4:30
dog? Yeah, fucking don't be afraid of that fake plant bowl crap.
4:35
Come on, we're Americans. Yeah, either way, good baseball slate here
4:41
today. I'm excited about some golf. As we know, we got a
4:44
couple guys in the live final, Hoop and Tambo, so you gotta give
4:46
them guys a shot out to them. I think that's the end of the
4:49
month. I believe it the end of the month. I think it's by
4:53
y'all in Detroit, like June twenty eighth, by y'all in Detroit. So,
4:59
but I don't think it's this this week. They having a live final
5:01
Detroit, that's what I Or Chicago. Yeah, no, I think it
5:04
is Detroit. It could be. It could be, but you guys got
5:08
a course out. Yeah, it's That's how I found out the DK Live
5:12
final for baseball this year Cago. I yeah, I know, in the
5:15
fucking balls, Like, who wants to go to Chicago? Nobody? Now
5:18
imagine Detroit. Time's not tie two, That's what I'm saying. I'll tell
5:23
you right now. The worst live final spot I've ever been to was New
5:26
Orleans hands down that it's a fucking dump. It was winter and it smelled
5:30
like piss and puke. It was so bad that yeah, it's bad news.
5:39
It was bad so but either way the title, man, do we
5:43
have any weather? We got to worry about it even look, I didn't
5:45
even think of that. No, it looks good. Weather looks pretty solid.
5:47
If anything, Roth will tweet something out or follow it. It's free
5:51
on his weather report as well. But I see absolutely nothing. Benny's in
5:56
here, take down Jay Sean Toga. What is going on? Fellas?
6:00
So we saw let me check this out. Symptomizer isn't working to make lineups?
6:03
Is it a known issue? I have not even tried. I just
6:06
hopped on the air. I actually saw tambo. I was watching a little
6:10
PGA show and it was working for them PGA. So let's give a try
6:14
MLB shyptomizer right here. Again, this is free right now, any monthly
6:18
or annual package or MLB only PGA only. This is our optimizer we came
6:24
out about a month ago. Still free for any member right now. It
6:28
will be charged an additional add on. Definitely start messing around with it.
6:30
As you see projections our ownership. So let me just try and build a
6:35
random team. Let's say we want to lock Sunny Gray and we want forty
6:39
percent. Here have to make two changes again all your build settings. Let's
6:43
say we want two players over under five percent. We don't want to spend
6:47
all our salary again understooing random stuff right here. Again, we've went over
6:50
this. There will be a tuitorial sometime later on when it is charged,
6:55
when we have other features added. But I've talked on the show with g
6:59
Rising a couple of times. You want like min three Dodgers, you can
7:01
do that, etc. So let's build some teams right here, twenty teams.
7:05
Let's see if it's working or not. Looks good so far. Yeah,
7:13
looks like it's working right here, So give us try and refresh it
7:16
maybe. If not, hit up ship a Nation and discord, hit up
7:20
Tambo and discord again. This is what you see. We'd said forty nine
7:24
eight lineups, nothing more than that. So you see forty nine eight is
7:27
the highest. We wanted at least three Dodgers. So let me check quick
7:32
hold on where's exposures? That's what I was looking for. You see Dodgers,
7:38
all of them because we said mid three Dodgers, we're that much overweight
7:42
to the field on all of these guys. Labor we did it the lock
7:45
put on sunny gray, so it makes sense with this underweight on all of
7:47
them. You can go to positions third base, see where you're at.
7:50
There's so many cool features on here. Again, if you remember it's free,
7:54
why not mess around with it. It'll be the cheapest in the industry
7:57
when we do charge for it, very easy. If you have any recommendations,
8:01
things you want added or whatever. Shift to miser questions you have go
8:05
to the shift demizer section in the discord and drop it right there. But
8:09
looks like it's working for us. And again, if you want to be
8:13
a member ship a nation, I should be like this right here, join
8:20
the nation and we'll talk some ball after this weekly. That does not get
8:26
you, Discord, It does not get you. The shift Tomizer sixty nine
8:28
dollars a month, three hundred and eighty nine dollars a month for the six
8:31
month package, six hundred ninety nine dollars which comes out to fifty eight dollars
8:35
a month for the annual package. Can't wait for NFL season? Well,
8:39
college football this year, US Open, Big Boy Prizes, the PGA tomorrow,
8:43
mm A this week, NASCAR this week, NBA Finals tonight, Pump
8:48
for that, NHL Stanley Cup Finals, NASCAR. So much going on right
8:52
now and again, if you do join any monthly six month annual package,
8:56
Shift Tomizer is also included. Let's talk baseball g rising again. Solid slate,
9:03
and in terms of pitching, I think you nailed it the pretty obvious
9:05
combo Bryce Miller David Peterson. Now, if I have to play one of
9:09
the two and pick what chalk, I'd rather eat much rather David Peterson for
9:13
me six point three k, whereas Bryce Miller nine k. There's just a
9:16
lot more pivots up top. I'll throw it to you right on that note,
9:20
though, Sonny Gray the highest at ten k, I think sim play
9:22
nic Ludoo. I think is him play at ninety six, Same with Pavet
9:26
at ninety three, Biby at eight eight. I think all of them are
9:30
totally fine pivots off of Bryce Miller at half the ownership or less, while
9:35
Ker Buehler's there at eight three. Christopher Samchez rounds it out at eight k.
9:39
I think every single pitcher in that range will get ownership. You can
9:43
make a case for all of them in terms of ownership, though, I
9:46
think it's clearly Bryce Miller first, Sonny Gray second, and then from there
9:52
it might be mixing match a little bit right down EIGHTK and above. Yeah,
9:56
I think it's interesting. As I mentioned earlier, I think Miller is
10:01
gonna be the obvious chalk just because the White Sox suck, and we know
10:05
the White Sox sucks, and they're gonna roll out what six seven righties off
10:09
of them, and he's got a twenty eight percent k rate against right handed
10:13
pitchers. So I mean over on DK, Miller's like nine thousand, he's
10:16
the fourth highest pitcher. I think he's the third highest. Over on fan
10:20
duel, I think I think Ladello and Gray are the two highest. But
10:24
so yeah, I think Miller's gonna be the chalky guy. He's somebody everybody's
10:28
going to do, like a match with a White Sox. Sonny Gray.
10:31
You know, he's interesting. But man, his pitch count hasn't been really
10:35
that high you look at it. He I think it's been what let me
10:39
just double check here, yeah, here, five four starts in a row.
10:43
He has not got past the sixth inning mark. So man, I'm
10:46
FanDuel, I'm not gonna pay up for a guy that I hasn't even got,
10:50
you know, qualified for a quality start in his last four starts.
10:54
So that's what kind of turns me off him on FanDuel is just I'm kind
10:56
of concerned about that. I mean, he's at eighty six, seventy four,
11:01
eighty eight, eighty nine. I mean, he hasn't broke ninety pitches
11:03
in his last few starts. So for me to pay the highest price for
11:07
a guy like that, I I'm just I'm kind of hesitant there. So
11:09
that's why I think Miller, for me, is is up on top.
11:13
But I think Loudello is interesting. The problem is, we know we've mentioned
11:20
it, Indians don't strike out enough. So you know, for me to
11:22
pay up, you know, the second highest pitcher on both sites, you
11:26
know, I just I'd rather have a better matchup than the Indians. Now,
11:30
I think Paveta is interesting. He's probably really one of the best,
11:33
you know, talented pitchers here, and he's got a Philadelphia team ninety three
11:37
hundred. I believe Rila Muto got hurt, didn't he, So you know,
11:41
that's gonna make that lineup a little shorter. So, you know,
11:43
I think Pavetta is interesting. I think that's a guy i'd probably pivot off
11:48
of from Miller on DK, I think paveta Is is an excellent choice.
11:52
Now Bibi, I mean it's kind of hard to play a guy in the
11:56
home run parky, right, you know. I mean it's just Cincinnati not
12:00
our favorite park to be really playing anybody. I mean, the talent's there.
12:03
If you wanted to go there, you could do that. You know.
12:05
Bueller is another interesting one. Now, Sanchez is the one I think
12:09
is interesting. Boston's been absolutely terrible against left handed pitching, so I think
12:13
at eight K, I think he's really interesting. I think he may not
12:16
get as much ownership as he should, but I think Sanchez is interesting.
12:22
But up here on the top, I think Miller is the clear choice.
12:24
I think he's going to be highly owned, especially in larger field tournaments.
12:28
I think he could be above the forty percent mark. To be truthful,
12:31
him and Peterson both today I think could be in that realm. I think
12:35
most teams are going to have one or the other in probably in probably more.
12:39
You know, I don't I'm not sure if it'd be more Peterson the
12:41
Miller. I've been, you know, kind of thinking either way, they're
12:43
both going to be high. But I really like Pavetta. I think Pavetta
12:46
is probably the one of the best pivots. So but yeah, I mean
12:52
there's literally you could literally play almost any of these guys up here in the
12:56
range, except you know, I just haven't really been a fan of attacking
13:00
against the Indians here With Lodello, I think he's just priced up too high
13:03
for that matchup. But man, I think Miller, everybody's gonna see White
13:07
Sox and they're just gonna they're just gonna click his name. Yeah, so
13:11
a lot of people coming over from golf love it. Tambo and Hoop just
13:13
went live again. If you're in the Gulf streets huge prize pools, make
13:16
sure to check them out. Check on the content on the site of course,
13:20
fit rankings. I'm always looking at those. Shout out Lee tier rankings,
13:24
Hoop Tambo on there Lee as well, the Stone of course with Djen
13:28
and everything. Definitely make sure check out the golf content best in the industry.
13:33
And if you are just joining, you can watch the show now and
13:37
then go back a little bit, or if you just want to go back
13:39
now, put on one point five X. We did a little ship Tomizer
13:41
stuff again just briefly. We were trying to make sure it was working because
13:46
someone couldn't get it to work. Found like it sounds like he found the
13:48
problem. You do need a monthly membership or the MLB membership. But yeah,
13:54
talked about it a little bit. If you want to rewind, Gee,
13:58
Riise and I have talked about it a couple couple of shows. You
14:01
hear my voice at one point five X, it probably sounds like I had
14:07
to have I'm having a safety meeting with myself. Yeah, all right,
14:13
So I'll go back and see what it is to you, Ryzen, because
14:16
I'm curious as well my thoughts up here in this range. I'm in on
14:18
Sunny Gray as a pivot. I agree with you the pitch count. It's
14:22
not as high as some of these guys. The weather's not great in Saint
14:26
Louis. But if you're looking at Bryce as a pivot, he's going to
14:30
be lower owned than Bryce Miller, maybe half the ownership. Like I wouldn't
14:33
be shocked since he has a whole one thousand more. He has a higher
14:35
K prop o six and a half minus one thirty on the over for Gray
14:39
though, whereas the under Bryce Miller's minus one fifty five. So again,
14:46
if you're just it's not just K props, the matchup's way easier for Miller.
14:48
But we play an ownership game. Great definitely has the upside to get
14:52
there, so I'm fine paying one k more. Pavetta and Sanchez I think
14:56
are my favorites in this range though, because it's across the country, especially
15:01
in the Midwest, and a lot of places like Saint Louis eighty eight degrees
15:05
pretty humid there. For Sonny Gray, you go to where was the other
15:09
one? We're looking at Cincinnati with by being Lodolo eighty five degrees a little
15:13
humid. Give me Pavetta and Sanchez pitching seventy degrees in Boston. Yeah,
15:18
Like I look at weather, especially as it gets in the heart of summer,
15:22
better pitching weather there. Paveta has been solid this year, Sanchez against
15:26
Boston against the lefties. Like you said, at only ak both salad K
15:31
props in that game as well. Sign me up six and a half Paveta
15:33
juice on the under pretty much the same as Bryce Miller, though five and
15:37
a half Sanchez juice on the over. I like the pitching duel in that
15:41
game. I'm out on Bueller if i'd like if you're playing one hundred and
15:45
fifty lineups, I would definitely play them. But this range is so strong,
15:48
I would still rather buy. Being lodolo, I think they have a
15:50
little more upside. But yeah, how I rank this range Poveta one,
15:58
Sanchez two three or I guess Sonny get Gray three at ownership, Miller four
16:03
AK and below. Not too many options. Oh, I think it's gonna
16:07
go. Is David Peterson. We talked about him a lot, way too
16:11
cheap. At six point three K against the Marlins, good play will be
16:14
popular. Not much more to add there for me. Rexy Garrett the other
16:18
side of that game, coming off an awful start against Tampa Bay was solid
16:22
before that though, seven point one K I think is interesting. And I
16:26
guess the last guy someone mentioned it's in chat is Jonathan Cannon coming off like
16:33
a thirteen DK performance. He's literally six K against the Maritors, who have
16:37
strikeouts in a good pitching park, they can get you all the Yankees,
16:40
all the Dodgers, maybe something like that with Sonny Gray. So I guess
16:44
that's the pivot from the Peterson. I don't like Cannon that much. I
16:48
think Garrett's fine, but I'd rather pivot in the upper tier than I would
16:52
off of Peterson down low. What do you see? Yeah, I mean
16:57
I think there's bottom tier is interesting. You mentioned Garrett. I mean,
17:02
you look at a guy's game log, you're about to throw up, like
17:04
I'm gonna click on this guy. Man, he's like it's terrible. But
17:07
you mentioned he started out pretty good. I just the Mets match up there
17:11
isn't the greatest. I think That's why I think I got Peterson a little
17:15
bit higher here. But I don't mind that matchup against Miami, you know,
17:19
especially at that price. Sixty three hundred. Cannon, I do think
17:23
is interesting. The only thing that worries me is is the last start he
17:26
only had sixty pitches. Now, the start before he had you know,
17:30
he went he had one hundred and two if you look at his game log.
17:33
But I know he's you know, been up and down. But man,
17:34
I mean Seattle is just you know, one of the teams obviously been
17:38
chasing all year. So I think he's in play, but I think it's
17:41
really risky. I mean, you just don't know what you're gonna get there.
17:45
But he's definitely in play. I don't have any interest in really,
17:52
I mean, I'm not interested John Gray. Now he's he's coming off the
17:56
il for Texas. I've seen somebody I wander with. The Texas pitcher is
18:00
supposed to be unless that something changed, John Gray is supposed to be.
18:03
It's so it's a second start. Last time, I think you only got
18:07
like mid thirties pitches, thirty seven pitches. Hey, I read he was
18:10
only going to go three innings today, three to four. So it's mainly
18:12
bullpen. I think that's probably there. You go and hey, we get
18:15
it. That can play them at three to four. Yeah, yeah,
18:19
you can't play great today, But I mean, Texas bullpen stinks. You
18:22
know a lot of times you like playing up to match up, but if
18:25
you haven't got the horses to match up, it don't matter what the hell
18:27
you're throwing out there. But uh, yeah, I mean I think today
18:32
there's there are a few options heavier on the top side than the bottom side.
18:36
I think there's a couple guys you could use here on the bottom.
18:37
I think the other guys here are a lot more riskier than than we've seen
18:41
in like past slates when you want to pivot to somebody. So, you
18:45
know, I think there's only a couple guys down here I'm really even interested
18:48
in. But it's not like up top, where you know, in the
18:52
Ak range you can almost literally make an argument for almost everybody really, But
18:56
I think down here, I mean, if you wanted to Gosoni, I
19:00
mean I'm not going something like doing something like that. Definitely don't like Lynch,
19:06
you know, Soriano. I just I'm not a fan there. Just
19:08
don't have any upside. I mean, there's just there's not much really there.
19:12
So I think that's why Peterson's going to be really high owned. But
19:17
uh yeah, I think the pivot off Peterson would probably be Garrett if you
19:21
wanted to go there. But for me, I think the most used combo
19:26
on DK today by far will be Miller and Peterson. I can almost guarantee
19:30
you agree with that. And yeah, the more I look at it,
19:33
like, I'm not going to give away any of the picture rankings or anything
19:37
today, but we have six pictures, seven pictures pretty much in a tier
19:44
of their own, then a pretty big fall off. One of those falling
19:48
off is Brex and Garrett. He's not ranking pretty well for us, and
19:51
I don't like him in much down below either. So yeah, I think
19:55
how i'd make it. I'd make it real easy. You can play Sanchez
19:57
and everyone above. If you want to include Bueller, fine, he'd be
20:00
the one I would take out Biby and Lodolo I'm fine with. But again
20:04
that hitting environments, I'd prefer the other ones in that range and then just
20:08
play David Peterson. Like Peterson's chalk I'm worth. I'm willing to eat on
20:12
this slate because of his price. It gets you a lot of big bats
20:15
when we get to bats. Yes, I want to play for some.
20:18
I'm good with Sanchez, Peterson. You can fit a five man stack Bryce,
20:22
Miller, Peterson again, if you do play that, then I'd be
20:26
hesitant. I'm playing some chalk, but akin above, mix and match there.
20:30
Peterson is the guy cheap. That's all I see this late again,
20:33
with our rankings, I think Braxton Garrett, who will get a little ownership,
20:37
I think he'd probably be the one I throw away my final rankings,
20:41
Pavetta, Sanchez, Gray, Actually no, Peterson won Pavetta Sanchez Gray.
20:47
I'll say, who's your top four? And Russell make sure I just responded
20:52
to you in the YouTube. Try and do this right now, because I
20:55
want to make sure we get this figured out and you got you got what
20:59
you're supposed to do. You got a discountar you got money back when you
21:03
did upgrade, So I want to make sure we get this taken care of.
21:06
So I wanted to say that out loud, So you get this done
21:07
on the show with me. Go ahead. I mean, I got Miller
21:11
one, and then I'll go Paveta too, and then i'd go Grade three,
21:17
and then i'd probably go Sanchez and then Peterson. I got Peterson a
21:22
little bit lower just because I think he's gonna be chalky. And if I
21:23
can build a team maybe with a little heavier pitching, I think that can
21:27
gonna make me a little bit different here today. So in a tournament sense,
21:30
generally recently, I've been kind of paying down. But I think you
21:33
can stay in the uh, you know the you know the Miller. I
21:37
mean, if you wanted to go Miller, I guess you could, but
21:40
you could literally go Sanchez if you want to, you know, include Sanchez
21:44
and then you know somebody like Miller if you wanted to, or try to
21:47
be a little different, uh with Sanchez. But yeah, I'm just not
21:51
gonna I'm just not gonna do Miller Peterson on DK because I think that's gonna
21:55
be pretty popular, and then when you do that, you're they're all gonna
21:57
get led to the same bats. So I think by mixing it up a
22:00
little bit here today, especially going a little heavier, it would be a
22:04
good pivot to make today. I like it. I like it. Jason.
22:07
I love hearing this as well. So we talked about this in depth
22:11
yesterday, kind of single entry series. Yesterday he saw four man stack one
22:17
with the Dodgers. Now he gets the reasoning with the four or five man
22:19
stacks. Yeah, with twenty four teams, Like yeah, if you get
22:22
every single one off right or the highest score at each position, like,
22:26
you can win every GPP. But it's a lot harder to one off home
22:30
runs. You're making pretty much home run parlays, which many people know out
22:33
there is very tough to do. Instead, he picks five Yankees, you
22:37
pick five Dodgers, it's a lot easier to get to the top of the
22:41
leader board needing one team to go off versus multiple different outcomes. So I
22:45
like it. I like it. You man, you can't get flustered.
22:49
I know, it's frustrating when your guy comes up. You're like, he's
22:52
only got four at bats or you know, five, possibly if he's at
22:55
the top of a lineup. Man, I've seen it. My team's have
22:57
been you know, middle of the and then all of a sudden, like
23:00
last night the Dodgers had to freaking seven run, seven run seventh or sixth
23:04
inning and they had four home runs. Like, dude, you stack the
23:07
Dodgers, you literally could have been in the bottomer in the middle and the
23:11
next thing, you know, it's like a freaking slot machine, just you
23:15
know, up at the top fall. Yeah, and you know what I
23:18
was surprised about title yesterday. A lot of them Yankees weren't even that high
23:21
own. I think Stanton was less than like five percent of you hit that
23:23
homer after Judge, I was like, oh shit, this is gonna be
23:26
nice. But uh yeah, some of the brew crews didn't pay off last
23:30
night. They didn't do shit. You know, I was a little disappointed
23:33
in some of them Brew crew, even though a Domis kind of had a
23:37
late stolen base kind of helped out a little bit for me, but uh,
23:40
Sanchez didn't come through. But man, them Dodgers kick some ass last
23:45
night. But yeah, that's why we stack. You know, like you
23:47
catch a big inning, you're gonna get it all. I mean, you're
23:48
getting all those points you know you're getting. You get a three run homer
23:52
and two of the dudes on basis your dude, your guys. I mean
23:55
that's that's like a double bonus. So yeah, it definitely does make a
23:59
difference. Yeah, and like that you're saying for baseball, I mean,
24:03
even if you're in first place and there's only one inning left and you're up
24:06
twelve, Like if that's basketball and you're up with one minute left or two
24:10
minutes left, you're safe. One swing of the bat, at least fourteen
24:12
points can swing. He's like, over the years, there's been some brutal
24:17
swings. I always remember justin McMahon's I think I'm saying this right, there's
24:22
no probably not watching. I don't want to remind the I do you remember
24:25
that? But he was, Yeah, he was live streaming it. I
24:26
think it was like two hundred and fifty K and then one swing of the
24:30
bat. I want to say he was raging. Then he's gonna win two
24:32
fifty if this guy gotten out and he goes and he's like soon as he
24:36
gets it on and went two hundred and fifty K and the dude hit like
24:37
a two run homer and then he got he fell down like that and they
24:41
fell down. Yeah, he fell way down. And like you go from
24:44
almost when a two fifty K to like five k or whatever it was,
24:47
right Like, that's baseball and that's the Varians. And that's also why DFS
24:51
is so hard. And I could go millions of ways with this. That's
24:53
why it's so top heavy nowadays. Not only do you need to be great,
24:56
you need to get lucky because third place ain't gonna to pay the bills
25:00
long term. First place is what you need. So there's so much that
25:03
goes involved. But back to it baseball. You can be climbing up leaderboards
25:07
fast. You could have went from last place and you had those Dodgers,
25:11
you had Ti Oscar and Freddie and Otani or Hayward or whoever was going back
25:15
to back or whatever. You just went from last to at least man cashing
25:18
and probably higher. That's the beauty of baseball. But you have to know
25:22
the game you're playing, and I wanted to shout it out quick, shep
25:25
dog. He put in the discord twenty two lines in the three dollars.
25:29
This was my best up top. Loved the shift tomizer because it clicks on
25:32
names. I would never win handbuilding, and that is exactly why, even
25:36
if you single entry build or handbuild, I think using an optimizer is good.
25:41
He had one point four percent per doma three point five percent Hayward in
25:45
a Dodger's stat Hold on, I'm black. Do you still hear me,
25:48
guraising, Yeah, all right, at least you can hear me. My
25:52
thing's tweaking. I might have to leave streamyard. Oh I'm back. My
25:56
computer is tweaking. I can see all right, we're good, We're good.
25:59
We're good. I'm good. But yeah, that's like you need low
26:02
own pieces. Even in more popular stacks. It's maybe hard to click Jason
26:07
Hayward. If you're handbuilding, you see that in the shift demiser. It
26:10
makes a lot of sense. Low ownership team. That is why I think
26:14
shift miser. You mentioned a lot you like optimizers, even building one team.
26:18
I think it's very good to do that as well. So I don't
26:22
not cut you up. But if you were using optimizer yesterday, that's Stefinie
26:26
guy came up for the Angels on every optimizer after it was announced he was
26:30
gonna he was min two k on DK. He's hitting first, you know,
26:33
over the Angels yesterday he was end up being thirty percent owned. And
26:37
you know, some of the tournaments I was in, and I can almost
26:38
assure you almost everybody who was sitting on there probably had an optimizer, and
26:42
that warrant that you know, it's not either you got to go through every
26:47
fucking lineup and look at everybody's price, or you're not doing yourself with justice.
26:51
At least the optimizers will warn you like hey, like if you need
26:55
this one off, and then if you don't like that two K guy,
26:56
cut him out, rerun the optimizer. It'll tell you the next guy who
27:00
was up. If you don't like that guy, cut him out and run
27:03
it a fucking gain. Keep doing it. It'll tell you who those next
27:04
dudes are. So you can kind of pick up guys that you like,
27:07
and then if you have a second or a third optimizer, you can put
27:11
the same kind of things in and they might give you a different low price
27:14
dude. So you know, I like that kind of stuff. It just
27:17
kind of gives you options and then I hand build from what I see what
27:19
everybody else has. But yeah, I mean there might be a situation too
27:23
where I'll be like, why are they recommending KEYK Dude? You let me
27:29
you know on my on my play today, and I'm thinking, we'll let
27:33
me look, and I go back and looking like, fuck, last seven
27:34
days he's been smashing. Okay, cool, so I'll play him. He's
27:37
twenty two hundred or whatever, especially if you're trying to decide on some of
27:41
them bottom guys. But I think that's the best benefit for optimizer. It
27:45
opens up your eyes to different things that you wouldn't even necessarily thought of that
27:48
you know, you just there's just so many different things. So to me,
27:52
it's like a different point of view talking to you, telling you,
27:55
giving you opinions on what you could do, what you should do. So
27:59
a lot of times that's why I like, like, you know what,
28:00
you could just run it flat, Hey, I want the top four to
28:03
four stack on fan Duel today, what is it? Boom, It'll tell
28:06
you Padres fucking Blue Jays, and you're like, ah, I don't like
28:10
the Padres. So you take out the Padres and the next team's the Indians.
28:14
You're like, I don't like the Indians, and then you take them
28:15
out. Run it again, like I just like to do that sometimes and
28:18
then all of a sudden you're like, well, why is it on Peterson
28:22
every time? Oh? Now it's on Sonny Gray. So obviously now I
28:26
got a totally different lineup build because I got a high end pitcher. So
28:29
a lot of times I like just looking at you know, really what it's
28:32
telling me, what it's spinning out, And they're all different. Man,
28:34
every optimizer, you can spin ten different optimizers with the same parameters and they'll
28:40
give you pretty much about eighty percent of the same. The other twenty percent
28:44
is different. Yeah, yeah, that makes sense. If you put like
28:47
a five minimum on any every optimizer for astros, you're gonna get five and
28:52
the nine. But those one offs can be all random players at a million
28:55
different things. Like if you have randomness, it's randomizing projections with some sort
29:00
of correlation built in as well, and you'll and ownership and everything, so
29:04
so much goes into that. But let's talk some bout she rise in eight
29:08
games on tap. Hope everybody out there again doing well, enjoyed a little
29:12
game theory DFS random talk wasn't about Dee Riysen's ladies or anything that he loves
29:21
knockers. It wasn't nothing like that. It was actually education. At first
29:26
game Boston Red Sox Philadelphia Phillies, Christopher Sanchez, Nick Pavetta on the mound
29:32
against seventy degrees in Boston, so a little cooler compared to other spots.
29:36
Yeah, this is the game. I don't love bats like I like both
29:38
pictures, Phillies socks. If I had to pick a side, I much
29:42
prefer the Phillies because you get the lefties. Pavetta pretty big, splits great
29:47
against Righty's lefties can be hit a little bit. Literally, the same thing
29:51
I said yesterday. You can play Schwarber, you can play Harper. Hopefully
29:55
you did play Schwarbur. He had quite the game double dong, I believe.
29:57
However, I'm not five man stacking Phillies, So if you're one Offingham,
30:03
you're spending up for a one off, which means that you might not
30:07
be able to spend up for like a Judge and Yankee stacks or whatever it
30:10
is. But that does get you different, and it is a smaller slate,
30:12
So I guess on all that note, I'll throw it to you.
30:15
But I like pitchers more. I won't have many bats in this game.
30:19
Yeah, I gotta agree with you. Paveta has just been pitching pretty well.
30:22
I mean, it's just not really a spot. I think I'd much
30:26
rather attack the Phillies. I think mentally they're gonna be Donal a little bit
30:29
losing their catcher, so I think that's gonna be a sting to the Phillies.
30:33
So that's something you know, I'd be looking at there, like by
30:37
using Paveta. But yeah, I like both pitchers here. I don't even
30:41
really there's not to me any kind of one offs i'd really like. I
30:45
mean, Sanchez has such a high ground ball rate that you know, I'm
30:48
just not interested in really picking on them there. I mean, we like
30:52
the part, don't get me wrong. I just think, you know,
30:55
this is one of the best parts to you know, play offenses in.
30:57
But I just think there's two good as pitching here today on both sides,
31:00
and it's not worth it. I mean, we're sitting at a titan slate.
31:04
I mean, we got the Yankees game sitting at ten and a half.
31:07
It's two runs over every other one. It's almost like a course field
31:11
here today, you know, with the Yankees in Kansas City, so all
31:15
the other over unders the highest or eight and a half. So I mean,
31:18
you know we're sitting here looking at like with this game sitting at eight.
31:22
We literally had what one, two, three other games that have higher
31:26
with sitting at eight and a half. So yeah, I'm just not a
31:30
fan of this one here. But I just can't stomach it on either side.
31:34
To be honest with you, I don't even like it with it.
31:37
Yeah, you see it the same way I think you'll see it. Kindness
31:40
in one in this next one, Miami Marlins, New York Mets, Braxton
31:44
Garrett David Peterson on the mound again, seventy five degrees, decent hitting weather.
31:49
It's again like almost ninety same places in the Midwest. I'm not playing
31:55
the I'm not playing Miami against Peterson. I do understand, like, if
31:57
you want someone nuntioned earlier. You want leverage, Miami is a spower you
32:01
can get leverage, and it's somewhat of a small slate. I just man
32:06
like, none of these guys really interest me. Like my favorite beats usually
32:09
the jazz of the world. Yeah, I guess Jazz is usually the bat
32:14
I play. I don't like him, usually lefty lefty. I don't know.
32:17
If I had to play anyone, it's probably Josh Bell or Dane Myers.
32:23
But I like Peterson. I won't get leverage off of the Marlins the
32:27
Mets side, Like, I'd much rather play a low owned Mets naturally than
32:30
try and get the double leverage off the pitcher. Just don't play Peterson and
32:34
you'll avoid a lot of chalk there. Hope he gives up three four walk
32:37
Some guys of strikeouts, aren't there Mets side. Some of these righties,
32:42
you like Pete Alonzo yesterday it didn't work out. I think going right back
32:45
to him at low ownership though a Lindor JD Starling Marte. Some of these
32:51
rightis I'm good with. Garrett struggles a little bit against righties. So do
32:55
I love the Mets is my top three stack? No, he'll be low
32:59
owned no in a low total game. So I think they're interesting in a
33:01
low own stat What about you, Yeah, I mean Braxt and Garrett.
33:07
You look at his game log. I was just saying, I think he's
33:08
given up quite a fewer and runs here in his last recent times five six
33:13
earned runs his last two starts. He only went two innings last start.
33:16
But you know, I mean you mentioned he does struggle against righty's. I
33:20
always liked me some JD. Martinez against right lefties, that's for sure.
33:23
So yeah, I think I think Alonso is interesting too. As you mentioned
33:30
Braxton, Garrett does have a you know, mid fifty percent ground ball lean
33:34
to both sides of the plate, which you know he's more of a ground
33:37
ball type pitcher. So you're gonna want to look at the guys who you
33:39
know have some fly ball tendency. You know, you're looking at Alonzo thirty
33:44
seven percent fly balls. So I definitely like you know him today to start
33:47
out. But yeah, I mean I just don't like this game. Like
33:50
we mentioned, this game here is just sitting at a seven and a half
33:52
low lowest total on the slate, tied with the White Sox in Seattle.
33:58
So I think the pitching's too good here. I just I'm just gonna leave
34:01
it alone. Maybe someone maybe Alonzo or JD is a one off I think
34:05
would be about it. Yeah, I like it. You and I are
34:07
very similar their first two games. Not much in terms of bats. Prefer
34:12
the pitching. And this game another one where both pitchers gonna get some ownership.
34:15
But we have an eight total Guardians, Reds, Tanner Biby, Nick
34:19
Lodolo on the mound, eighty five degrees in Cincy. Again, great park,
34:23
good hitting weather, but we do have two solid pitchers. Again,
34:28
this is one of those games where I think you like target a side of
34:31
the plate. If you're playing it the Cleveland side against Lodolo, you prefer
34:36
Righty's, but he's just a solid pitcher overall. Reds against byby lefties definitely
34:40
hit him a little better Friedel l Ee, Candelario. But again, man
34:46
like two solid pitchers. We're gonna get to. It's eight games, Slate.
34:51
A couple of these games we're gonna talk about have way worse pitchers.
34:53
They're like a half bullpen game, like the Yankees are going against or the
34:59
Dodgers are going again so I don't know. I guess of that's Cleveland Reds,
35:05
how would you rank him. I probably have Mets one Reds to Cleveland
35:10
three. I'd probably have Cleveland a little bit. Billy in there too,
35:16
throw pH in there too, just because I don't want to fuck with that
35:20
bullpen. Many of his bullpen's been really good. So but yeah, you
35:23
you mentioned Biby, he does struggle a little less. He's got twenty three
35:27
percent strikeout rate in his last month here against uh lefties, and he's got
35:32
thirty one percent against righty's uh Friedel. You know, you could definitely go
35:37
there. You know, bb doesn't really have He has more of a fly
35:40
ball lean than he does a groundball lead, especially to the left side.
35:44
So as you mentioned, you know, they can throw what three lefties or
35:49
four out of five up at the top, you know, especially with Candelario
35:52
being a switch. So yeah, I think the Reds are a little bit
35:55
more interesting. I just don't like fooling with that bullpen because even if Baby
35:59
gets it's in trouble, they're gonna be able to bring another guy that's you
36:01
know, is a stud arm. So I'm just a little bit worried about
36:05
that there. I just don't like fooling against you know, Cleveland's bullpen.
36:08
I think we got other spots that we could look at. I'm with you.
36:13
I think this next game you are gonna have some interest in though.
36:16
Actually yeah, I think you're gonna have some interest here Bailey Falter on the
36:20
mound for Pittsburgh taking on Sunny Gray for the Cardinals eight and a half total
36:24
almost ninety degrees in Saint Louis, and Saint Louis has one of the higher
36:29
team totals on the slates, So how I'm seeing it right now, I
36:34
think Paul Goldschmidt is gonna be very, very chalky, very very might be
36:38
a little exaggerating, but he's gonna be one of the most popular first basement,
36:43
if not the most unslate against the left GI in only four point one
36:45
K. I like Saint Louis, but I think not playing Paul Goldschmith in
36:51
Saint Louis DAX is even better because a lot will have gold Schmitt. People
36:54
will one off gold Schmidt. You get the stack Saint Louis and Goldschmith isn't
36:59
on there. You just bury a lot of teams. So I think this
37:01
lineup is in play, and I don't know if I want this Mike Siani
37:07
guy an outfield spot out there, but he's going to be low owned.
37:10
It's a rap round stack and it's pretty much a full punt, so I'll
37:13
say one through nine. But I think goldschmid at ownership is my least favorite.
37:16
Falter's not good, though, I think these Cardinals are a little interesting.
37:21
Yeah, Falter's not good. He does not miss right handed bats at
37:23
all, like very much at all, So he does have a ground ball
37:28
lean toward the left side. He's like fifty six percent versus left these righties,
37:31
it's like full twenty percent drop. It goes like the thirty five percent,
37:35
So I mean, this guy just isn't missing any batcher right gold schmid
37:38
Ronando, I think these guys went up at the top. I mean,
37:43
like the I like the full stack here. I'd even go as far as
37:45
go down to Dylan Carlson even because he'll be fairly cheap. So I don't
37:49
mind them at all. It's just the Cardinals have been blah, right,
37:52
we just haven't liked the Cardinals. They have picked it up a little bit
37:54
here in the last few weeks. But they've just been one of them teams
37:58
that have been struggling all since the beginning of the season. So but man,
38:02
it's just kind of hard to stack the Cardinals just because they've been so
38:06
shitty. But I think gold Schmidt will be pretty high owned today. I
38:08
think Nan will be high owned. But uh yeah, I don't I don't
38:13
mind them. I think it's I think it's a decent, decent play.
38:15
I mean, Saint Louis average park. I mean, it's nothing special,
38:21
it's you know, no summer, the summer it does pick up a little
38:24
bit. So but uh yeah, I mean I think I just full stacked
38:29
the Cardinals if I if you like the Cardinals, just full stack at goal
38:31
five Cardinals on DK and just you know, fairly cheap too, So I
38:37
mean you might be able to get some pretty good pitching out of it.
38:39
And you know where you don't have to go down to Peterson, So I
38:43
mean that that's a bonus. You'll definitely be different with that. So yeah,
38:46
I think the Cardinals are in play just because of their pricing. Another
38:51
thing I like to do when the opportunity aligns, like not forcing it by
38:54
any means, but Sunny Gray and then you play the five man Cardinals.
38:58
The wind doesn't mean as much on DK as it does on FanDuel, but
39:02
hey, I mean, if Cardinals are putting up a lot of runs,
39:05
you expect Sonny Gray to probably at least get the win, have some run
39:08
support. Some pitchers pitch better there. Anyway, I already like Sonny Gray,
39:13
get run support, you get the win. Makes some sense to me.
39:16
Four games left, ge Rysen, I know you're gonna have some interest
39:19
in this one. Corsfield Junior today, New York Yankees Kansas City Royals.
39:23
Cody Petite on the mound for the Yankees. Gonna be a bullpen game.
39:28
It looks like Daniel Lynch will get a couple innings, is the long reliever,
39:32
the lefty. But after that it's gonna be a Kansas City bullpen game.
39:36
Ninety degrees, pretty human inkc Two of the best offenses. Yankees absolutely
39:42
went off yesterday. I mean, the whole the poke in the Yankees is
39:45
ownership. I think, really that's it, and it's baseball. I guess
39:50
at what ownership do you fade? And I do think they're probably the chalkiest
39:54
team on the slate. I don't know, eight game slate with other options.
39:59
I think if I had to pick a single entry, I probably fade
40:01
the Yankees today. I think they're better in larger field stuff when ownership gets
40:05
more spread out, whereas in smaller field stuff it usually gets more condensed.
40:09
So I'd be more willing to play him in larger field and smaller field,
40:13
taking away though both sides. Yeah, we got as the scenario where you
40:17
know, the the two teams are better than generally the teams that are in
40:21
cores, right, Like, it's the same kind of thing. We got
40:22
two point two runs higher on the over unders in every other game, and
40:27
it's just not cores. It's you know, obviously Kansas City. We mentioned
40:30
yesterday top three park and you know for runs being scored. So now we
40:34
got hot weather, we got literally the fucking hottest hitter and the planet.
40:38
Aaron Judge, I mean, the dudes, it's just not even right too
40:43
good, you know, And we mentioned I mean he's behind what very Jose
40:46
Ramirez and Barry Bonds on his Aaron Judge, Well, according to the Jose
40:52
Ramirez, he's higher than Barry Bonds. So that's that's the most ass Andine
40:55
statement ever in my life, Barry Bonds, let's stretched out if you're a
40:59
base buffet watching there, and that there was nobody out ever that had a
41:02
stretch like that. Barry Bonds was not even seeing pitchers. They were throwing
41:07
them four feet wide. Of that, we'll d asshole man with a Valentine
41:09
that walked him with the bases loaded. Part of that guy. That's why
41:15
Jose said it, because he got walked to. That's why I think.
41:17
Yeah, so, but you know, I think the Yankees, man,
41:22
it's tough to fade. I mean, it is kind of tough to fade
41:24
him. I mean I think if you're going to do so, you best
41:28
consider the cat you know, wells or a catcher or the bottom part of
41:31
that lineup and kind of wrap it around a little bit or or or whoever
41:36
plays Yankees gonna have that Stepnick guy from the Angels up there too, because
41:39
you know he's hitting the top of the lineup. That was like the you
41:43
know, everybody who had a high priced team yesterday had that guy in is
41:45
a one off. So you know, you just kind of got to look
41:50
and think about how you're building your Yankee team. If that's what you're gonna
41:52
do today. I I mean they are hard to fade, man, They're
41:55
really hard to fade. I get it. But I think there's royals.
42:02
You know, I don't like attacking that Yankees bullpen, to be honest with
42:07
you. I mean, I'm not really worried about Petit here, but that
42:10
Yankee bullpen's pretty good. So that's kind of tough, right. They're gonna
42:15
get I think, very interesting. I think that'd be a low own one
42:19
that I think you can you don't think so. No. I think people
42:22
are gonna see that weather, see that park, and outside of Bobby Wit,
42:28
like the people, people, the players, people are gonna want to
42:30
play on Casey, Bobby Wit, who you're spending up for. It's a
42:35
bad short shortstop position and he's just a stud. Nelson Vilasque should be hitting
42:38
middle of the order. Three seven is gonna get ownership. I think MJ.
42:42
Melendez does waters is a punt and then like in Casey stacks Selvy at
42:46
a catcher position where I think a lot of people will punt, they'll think
42:51
paying ups a little more contrarian. I just think there's only so many spots
42:54
people can go today, and they'll see the weather. I don't think they're
42:58
gonna be They're gonna be lower with the Yankees, maybe fourth highest on the
43:01
slate. But if you play, if you like them, play them.
43:05
But I don't think they'll be low. I don't think you go Bryce Miller,
43:07
Peterson and then just get your five Royals and think you're different. Is
43:10
what I'm trying to say. Makes sense? Yeah, I could see.
43:15
I mean, you got a game with ten and a half, so I
43:16
mean, optimizers are gonna push you toward that too. I mean, and
43:21
that's the thing. Once you start filming with optimizers, you know, it's
43:23
like kind of guessing sports book lines. After you've been sports betting so long,
43:28
you pretty damn close generally. I mean you can pretty much call it
43:30
a lot of times too. So. But yeah, I mean the Yankees.
43:35
I mean, you guys don't need us to tell you the Yankees are
43:37
a good play. We all know the Yankees are a good play. The
43:39
Royals are a good play. I think this game is gonna get some ownership
43:44
here. I mean, you know, if I think the game stack there,
43:47
you know, is gonna get ownership. I think you're gonna see that
43:51
just because the Royals are so cheap, you'll probably see a lot of five
43:53
three, five two Yankee stacks, so, you know, especially with Peterson
43:58
being so cheap. But yeah, I mean ten and a half game.
44:02
It's obviously the game here to play today. But I mean, you could
44:07
see a couple of teams now, so let's let's just put this out there.
44:09
Yankees are gonna be chock title. What two teams would you say have
44:13
the best chance to outscore the Yankees today? Royals because of the weather.
44:21
The bullpen does scare me a bit, but I'll say Royals because if they
44:23
jump on them early, you don't get the best arms. And because of
44:27
the weather. I guess it's hard not to say Dodgers, but maybe that's
44:32
a little recency. But the thing is, like they're gonna get a lot
44:36
of the bullpen. The lineups is one of the best in baseball. I
44:38
guess the sneaky one I'll say. Besides that, I want to say Cardinals
44:44
because Faulter is so bad and it's good hitting weather, but I don't know
44:45
if there's enough home run upside with the Cardinals, Like you really, they're
44:50
gonna have to string together like what the eighteen hits the Guardians didn't cooor Is
44:52
like a couple of weeks ago and stuff. Yeah, I guess I would
44:55
say Royals, Royals, Dodgers. Yeah, I mean that That's what I
45:00
was trying to see. Who else other than the Dodgers, you might say,
45:02
Because I think the Yankees and Dodgers are clearly the top two teams,
45:06
especially after both scoring a bunch of runs, you're gonna have some recency bias
45:08
there. I was just curious to see who you would say that third team
45:12
was. I mean, it's interesting. You could argue the Royals, you
45:15
could argue Saint Louis, and I think you could argue a team like possibly
45:19
Arizona or you know, you could you know, go somewhere like that too,
45:22
So you know, yeah, it's just interesting. I was just curious
45:24
because you know, if we couldn't really name anybody other than the Dodgers,
45:28
I mean, I think that just tells me even more that the Yankees would
45:30
be even more highly owned than we're even anticipating. So I think that's kind
45:35
of why I was asking you, And you know, toga Hey put in
45:38
there. You know, Judge sixty six hundred, you need to get them
45:40
twenty five points plus to be relevant. You know, yes, as far
45:45
as point per dollar. But what if Aaron Judge is still the second highest
45:47
scoring player on the slate, It doesn't matter what he got to his point
45:52
value. Really, you'll still need him to win. So, you know,
45:55
sometimes, yeah, you get caught up thinking, you know, especially
45:59
like football, You're like, ah, I need my ten k. Running
46:00
backs got to get me, you know, Christian mccaffery's got to get me
46:04
fucking forty points to even you know, be good. Well, football is
46:07
different because there's so many different, you know, players that could get you
46:09
there. In baseball, you know, like I mean, if if Garant
46:13
Judge hit you two bombs, which is he obviously has the best chance,
46:15
probably more than anybody, then obviously got to have him at that point.
46:21
That's why you're paying the premium for him. But dude, go look at
46:23
Aaron Judge's game log. He's an automatic fifteen to twenty points. The guy
46:27
is fucking sick, man. I and I was giving him shit the beginning
46:30
part of the year and got lee. Man, he's mad at the world
46:35
for something. Man, He's pounding the shit out at baseball. Yeah,
46:38
he is. He's talented, no doubt about that. Can you tell me
46:43
what GPP means in DFS, I did see, Tolga responded, but guaranteed
46:46
prize pool. And what that means is a tournament. If you're familiar with
46:51
poker, the tournaments and cash games, cash games and DFS just said,
46:54
there's one hundred people fifty to fifty five dollars. Fifty to fifty pays out
47:00
to one through fifty. You can have the best line up in the world,
47:02
take first place, you only make four dollars profit. One dollar goes
47:07
to FANDULA DraftKings for the rake tournaments, just say there's one thousand people in
47:12
it. First place might be worth five thousand dollars, second place three thousand,
47:16
and then nick cash is fifty bucks or whatever. So it's a prize
47:22
like first place, it's tournament. You make the most money. Second place
47:23
you make a little less, but more than third only pays out like twenty
47:28
percent roughly changes depending And yeah, that's where all the cheeses one hundred k
47:32
up top all that cash games more boring, right route safer route. You
47:37
can't make as much money ROI wise that way, So hope that explains it.
47:42
Three Games Left you rise in White Sox Mariners, Jonathan Cannon, you
47:45
froze an part though title I don't mean to, you know, cut you
47:50
off there. But the best part about GPPs is they're guaranteed to pay you
47:52
that prize pool. So even if there's ten thousand people, as title was
47:57
mentioned in this year on Drafters, who does spot yeah, I forget Yeah,
48:01
they added more, so they're probably not going to get up to their
48:05
half. So here we go. We lead into it, get you a
48:07
nice bonus deposit up to one hundred bucks by using promo code chip it,
48:12
but they're not going to fill it up, so you know, you get
48:14
overlay. So now all of a sudden, if you know it's ten thousand
48:16
people and they only get eight thousand, well guess what, you already beat
48:20
two thousand people, you know, before you even start, So a lot
48:22
of people, you know, like if you got money in your bank roll,
48:25
which I don't always say is the right thing to do unless you really
48:30
like your team that day, but which sometimes each your bank roll is when
48:34
you're looking five two minutes before lock and you're like, well, shit,
48:37
man, this one's half full. I'm gonna get in it's only fifty dollars
48:39
and then you get in and then you look a couple of minutes before,
48:43
you know the twenty seconds before, and it's almost full because all the rest
48:46
of us donkeys are doing the same damn thing. But Drafters should have a
48:51
really nice overlay this this year. You've been saying they've been having quite a
48:53
big overlay before so for the the last two years and they've only almost they
48:58
pretty much doubled the contest, So I would expect it. But even if
49:01
you told me no overlay, I think there's plenty enough people out there paying
49:05
the Rake that don't do their due diligence, and it's a different drafting strategy
49:08
than the other sites. I think the Edge alone, even if it filled,
49:13
is the best out there. And I'm not just saying that because we're
49:15
partner with Drafters are one Drafters. I truly believe it is the softest out
49:21
there. So yeah, that's what I'll say. Let's move on. Three
49:23
games White Sox Maritors Jonathan Cannon, Bryce Miller seven and a half total,
49:29
But the Maritors of a solid team total like four point six, four to
49:31
seven, it's a seven and a half total because the White Sox aren't even
49:36
at three, that's how bad they are. People are playing Bryce Miller.
49:39
I don't think it's worth playing White Sox as leverage. Talk to me if
49:43
you think Mariners are in play. I think the Marinders are in play.
49:46
Anytime you get a young kid on the mound, you definitely got to think
49:50
about them being in play. And we know right behind him is one of
49:52
the worst bullpens, as I mentioned when the show started, you know in
49:57
MAMLB. So yeah, absolutely, I think they're in play. I mean
50:00
some people may even play Cannon here, so I can't say he's gonna be
50:05
too high when we're really going to get that good a leverage. But you
50:07
know, at the top of this lineup, Crawford, Raleigh Rodriguez, Hanneker,
50:12
Luke Rayley, I think all these guys are in play today. I
50:15
think it's pretty good. Mitch Garver has been smacking the shit out of the
50:17
baseball here recently too. For Seattle. He's actually in the last week,
50:22
He's in like the top three I think of ops in all of MLB,
50:27
So yeah, I think, you know, they're definitely interesting. I don't
50:30
even know if Garver is going to get in there today, but he is
50:34
smacking the shit out of it. But either way, I think they're definitely
50:37
interesting. I think anytime you've got a rookie pitcher coming out, I mean,
50:40
what do we know. We don't even know really what he's gonna get,
50:44
how much time, you know, how many what kind of pitch count
50:45
he's gonna get, sucks. The bullpen sucks. So I think the Mariners
50:51
are definitely in play here. But I mean, you're looking at his seven
50:54
and a half total. But as you mentioned, that's you know, the
50:58
White Sox are sitting at a I mean, come on, that's terrible.
51:05
That's just bad. But I ain't running. I ain't run into Bethy Over.
51:07
I'll tell you that. Yeah, you mean neither, that's not even
51:10
gonna no way, that's not even. But yeah, I mean I think
51:14
Seattle is a team you could look at as a low own, sneaky kind
51:16
of stack. Here today, Uh, probably won't get too much ownership,
51:21
but I mean, hey, we're tacking that bullpen. I mean, you
51:24
know what, even if this kid goes out and has five great innings,
51:28
we get half of the game with that bullpen. I still think that's not
51:31
bad. Yeah, we saw it two days ago. It was when Klarala
51:35
hit the Grand Slam in the ninth or never like those. A lot of
51:38
it was against the bullpen. They are that bad. Yeah, two games
51:42
left to you, Rising, Angels, dbats, Jose Soriano slates is Sony
51:46
on the mound eight and a half total d backs you mentioned a little earlier,
51:51
solid team total similar to the Mariners about four point seven. The problem
51:55
is is like Jose Soriano, heavy heavy ground ball lead. So like when
52:00
I compare them to the Royals, the yah, he's the Cardinals. I
52:05
don't know, maybe even the Mets like Arizona's gonna get a little ownership.
52:09
Not chalky by any means, but with a heavy, heavy ground ball lean.
52:13
It just leads me to a couple guys. Jack Peterson looks really good
52:16
in the three spot, hetle Marte looks solid. Christian Walker I'm good with
52:21
even righty righty. But I don't know how much I love the five man
52:24
stacks Rising. I'll tell you so. Yeah, I'm indifferent. Mainly a
52:30
mini stack or one off set best for the ground ball lean. Talk to
52:32
me if you have a different opinion. Yeah, I mean sorry, I
52:36
know if that guy could if he don't walk people, I would just look
52:38
at he usually gets in trouble with his walks. But you're right, heavy
52:43
ground bawling mid fifty percent to lefties, almost sixty five percent to righty.
52:49
So definitely got to think about that. But I think it's interesting. I
52:52
think I would just full stat Arizona if you wanted to go there. I
52:57
wouldn't really pull too many one off guys. I just full just full stack
53:00
him and go right after it. Lower k percentage the lefties almost by you
53:05
know, ten percent. So the Corbyn carrols Peterson, as you mentioned,
53:07
is interesting. I don't even mind playing Jake McCarthy either, So both all
53:13
these guys. Ketl Marte has been hitting pretty well recently, so I think
53:15
I would just full stack it. The ground ball Lean does worry me a
53:19
little bit, So that's something you got to think about. Their angel Bullpen
53:23
is right behind Colorado and in between Chicago and Texas as a shit ass bullpen,
53:29
So we got that working for us too with Arizona, so I think
53:31
that is interesting. So yeah, I think Arizona is in play. Is
53:36
a full stack. Now on the other side, Sosony, I mean we
53:39
got a strikeout pitcher and a fly ball pitcher sitting here. This dude's sitting
53:43
at a little over to two point two something for strikeouts per nine, So
53:49
I mean home runs per nine. I'm sorry, So I think you know,
53:52
the Angels could be in play here. We already talked about Stephanick going
53:54
to be the top of that lineup, gonna be really cheap. So I
53:57
think he's a bad one off. I'll say that, yeah right now.
54:00
Now he is, because now he's known, everybody knows who he is.
54:02
He's gonna get he's gonna get steamed up a little bit. But yeah,
54:07
I mean just tailor Warren taylor Ward looks good. Taylor Ward forty two flyball
54:13
rate. I mean that's a pretty high fly ball rate. So you gotta
54:15
fly viter who's gonna throw at strikes? I mean I like that combination.
54:20
I think Taylor Ward is a pretty good play here today today too. So
54:24
yeah, I think it's interesting. I think this game could be a game
54:30
that could see some fireworks. I'm not saying both sides like the game stack
54:32
it, but I think one of these two teams could be in play where
54:36
that might be able to keep up with the Yankees, and I think Arizona
54:39
has a good shot at that full stack. And you know, Angels ain't
54:44
too far behind. So I like both of these sides here. Yeah,
54:47
I know. I like the Angels a little bit yesterday and then I overlooked
54:52
my I think a little bit. I think some of those guys, especially
54:54
Taylor, Taylor, Ward, Polar Logan, Jope, Willie Kelter, thing
55:00
still up there. They can't see our you know, my good looking haircut
55:02
I got today. Wait, it is because my computer really might be tweaking,
55:07
yeah, tweak it there you go, literally for fifteen minutes. It's
55:13
been up there, first since we were talking about draft. That is so
55:17
weird. People on YouTube chat, please let me know if you saw that
55:20
too, because my computer, really it's been normal for me this whole time.
55:23
I've been looking at you. Now I'm gonna be as high as ever
55:29
and still know what if I'm looking at Drafters, Yeah you thought you that's
55:34
you over there? There went back. Yeah, Yeah, we could pass
55:44
one back and forth. Trust me, we might. We've done it multiple
55:47
times for sure, not over the screen, but in real life, all
55:51
right. Rangers, Dodgers, John Gray Walker Buehler sixty five degrees in LA
55:57
eight total. Again it's John Gray, you mention, and you saw like
56:00
three innings, four innings, then they're gonna get a Rangers bullpen that was
56:02
beat up yesterday. Again, not great hitting weather at all relative to the
56:07
slates. Maybe a little recency bias. People just saw the Dodgers do it
56:12
yesterday. Smaller slate, not too many options. I don't know if that's
56:15
the case, Like, I don't know. I guess I'll throw to you
56:20
on that note. Do you think people chase recency bias a little bit and
56:22
Dodgers are still in a fine spot where they get steam and they come in
56:27
over owned, or do you think Yankees, Royals, other teams take enough
56:30
where it's still Dodgers ten percent or whatever totally fine to play them. I've
56:37
been asking myself that a few times when I was looking at the slate,
56:40
and I think I'm gonna lean title that. I think the Yankees are gonna
56:44
get more of the ownership, and I think the Dodgers are a pretty good
56:46
pivot off the Yankees. Actually, I mean, yeah, it's people are
56:50
gonna be talking about them. But I mean, if you're making one or
56:52
two or three teams. I'm gonna assume more than not are gonna just stack
56:58
up some Yankees, right, so I think you know in two looking at
57:01
the stacks here, I mean my boy MOOKI love me some Mookie, as
57:06
y'all know, he just hasn't been MOOKI. I mean, I'd rather pay
57:09
for show Hay. It was at the beginning of this year. I was
57:12
like, Oh, you couldn't afford really both. It's like the Yankees,
57:15
you can't afford both Sodo and Judge because you know you're you're basically picking from
57:20
the bottom of the barrel the rest of your guys. So you know,
57:22
I just were much rather at this point obviously lean to show. Hey,
57:24
So safety meeting all day or your balls are stuck to your pants, That's
57:30
about it. When it's ninety degrees out there in the Midwest and damn skippy,
57:34
you gotta have a safety meeting. I know one of you guys put
57:37
something funny up there when Titles is laughing at because I'm like, is he
57:42
asking, like, would you rather be high all day with the safety meeting
57:45
your balls to your pants? Both? Is he laughing at your sayings?
57:49
I don't know where that was. But Okay, it gets so hot sometimes
57:52
and for me, like my day job, I go on these factories and
57:55
I see these people working and I'm like, fuck, I'm so happy I
57:59
can get some air condition. I feel bad, like I'm gonna go to
58:00
the store and buy them all some damn popsicles, you know, in these
58:04
factors, I have done that though, Bob Popsicles walk around. I'm like
58:07
the coolest dude in there. So that's really cool. Yeah, absolutely,
58:13
But man, I think the Dodgers are just a really good play I you
58:16
know what, I don't think they're gonna be that high owned as we kind
58:20
of think today. To be honest, I think every one of them be
58:22
less than probably twenty percent. I think I don't think they're gonna see that
58:24
high owned. I think, you know, you're gonna see some of the
58:28
Yankees are gonna get high owned, and then you're gonna have to play some
58:30
low price teams. So I think maybe a team like Saint Louis might get
58:34
a little more ownership than we think just because of their pricing being so cheap.
58:37
So but you know, to build a Dodgers and Yankees team, good
58:44
luck. I mean you're you're not really gonna have too much success to that
58:47
even with Peterson, You're I mean Peterson in the White Sox guy or Peterson
58:52
Garrett and then you still need to bottom the order on some spots. But
58:55
I do think you can. Yeah, I mean, if you do that
58:59
long, how did you go that low? But I think the Dodgers are
59:02
a really good pivot off the Yankees today. I think that's a pivot you
59:07
could use. And you know, yesterday title I went to bed was sitting
59:12
pretty I think I was in like fourth place in the DK one twenty one
59:15
single entry, fifth place. I was like, ah, doing pretty good.
59:17
Went to bed and I was like, let's see what happened. Wake
59:22
up in the morning. I'm like, wait, what do you mean?
59:22
I didn't cash? Fuck you talking about it? And I look and I
59:27
was like fifteen runs fuck you? Yeah, you know. Then I had
59:31
to kick the dog. Like the dog out this morning, was like,
59:35
well, good thing about the fs we can come tomorrow. Yeah, absolutely,
59:39
that's all eight games. Good stuff is always do you rise it.
59:43
I wanted a double check because I thought it was gonna be gone after today.
59:47
I don't tell Tamba and Hoop though I'll get another day before I let
59:52
him know if you didn't join. If you haven't joint at chippenation dot com,
59:54
the promo code is still live. Right you're FGWC fifteen Fantasy Golf World
1:00:01
Championship fifteen from our guys, Hoop and Tambo both made it worth like eighty
1:00:06
thousand dollars and they got it. I think it's in Detroit at the end
1:00:09
of the month. Very very exciting stuff. Can't wait to cheer them on.
1:00:13
I know, Detroit absolutely crazy. If you do want to join us
1:00:15
though, right here join the nation. This works for go to the monthly.
1:00:21
It's monthly or annual packages right here for the monthly. I hope that
1:00:24
was not my address. No that's not, thankfully it was maybe in the
1:00:29
past. FGWC fifteen Enter it gets you fifteen percent off right here fifty eight
1:00:37
sixty five, and that does if you don't cancel, it carries over,
1:00:39
continues to take fifteen percent off. That's how you get in and again Drafters,
1:00:45
like we mentioned, if you want to head over drafters dot com bestball
1:00:47
seasons here fifteen bucks five hundred thousand up top. Definitely could be some overlay
1:00:52
like the past two years two dollars contests one hundred and fifty max as well.
1:00:58
We will start doing dffor doing pastball content early next month. I'll be
1:01:02
doing shows. Big Marley might be hopping on. Maybe I'll bring someone else
1:01:07
in. We'll have rankings right now. We have a discord though. If
1:01:09
you have any questions, put in a hundred bucks. Use the promo code
1:01:13
chip it. Drafters will give you a hundred bucks on top anything else.
1:01:17
People saying popsic cohast, people laughing, there's Greg someone responding makes a plant.
1:01:23
They'll kick me out. I'd give them all pre rolls if I could,
1:01:25
I'd walk around hand them all pre rolls. They'd all love me then.
1:01:30
But then nothing is d be coming you. You can't be giving safety
1:01:35
meetings out to all the people from a plant. Well, I say,
1:01:37
well, there's for safety. I'm surprised. I knew that something from school
1:01:40
stuck in the brain. I knew something would break a well, I just
1:01:45
realized for any all ship with people. I'm tell you right now, who's
1:01:47
probably gonna ship that golf because he don't have to leave Wayne County. My
1:01:52
man don't have to leave Wayne County to Go Live Final. It's probably set
1:01:54
up all for who the stars are lined up when Hoop don't have to who
1:01:58
don't leave Wayne County. I've only seen him leave it a few times.
1:02:01
I've been with him most of the time too, by the way, but
1:02:05
I had to drag his ass around a few times. You don't leave.
1:02:07
It's like he got a shot collar. He don't leave very time. But
1:02:10
uh oh yeah, it would be fun though, but good times. But
1:02:14
when I when you said it was in Detroit, I'm thinking, dude,
1:02:16
Hoop, of course you don't have to leave home. You all are in
1:02:20
trouble. Maybe that's the only reason he played g Rysen. Yeah, right
1:02:25
there, Hey, get the extra thousand for the travel money. You don't
1:02:30
have to travel, you go. Maybe that's why he's I already won an
1:02:34
extra g Yeah, there you go. Good luck to Hoop and Tamba.
1:02:37
That's in a couple of weeks though, after w f G w C fifteen
1:02:42
gets you fifteen percent off. Bad you guys, a lot of people laughing.
1:02:45
I'm laughing. Laughing is healthy. Appreciate you, Marshall Russell. I'm
1:02:50
glad we got back to your email. You got that squared away that's in
1:02:53
here. Everybody out there, have a great night. That's all eight games.
1:02:58
Take care. Do you ryse give a little cheers, cheers? Do
1:03:00
you rise and enjoy your safety meeting. Let's win some cheese tonight. Do
1:03:04
you rise? In un titled talent Be Safe,