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Week 5 Picks with Cynthia Frelund · Best of the NFL Podcast Network

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to NFL Daily, where we tried to learn from
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: our mistakes like pegging against the chiefs in Arrowhead.
• 0:16
  Speaker 2: Just bit on that in just a minute.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: Yes, I am here in the Chris Wesleyan podcast studio
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: with my friend Cynthia Freeland. This is our weekly picks
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: man versus Model your computer model, but the first time
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: we've done it in the studio, and it just it
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: feels right.
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: Cynthia, Yeah, I mean it was a little awkward.
• 0:35
  Speaker 4: We were like sort of sitting like in a way
• 0:36
  Speaker 4: that was very unnatural before, but now it feels very
• 0:40
  Speaker 4: I feel like, you know, I've got a good space
• 0:42
  Speaker 4: around me. It's just good. Like the vibes are strong.
• 0:46
  Speaker 4: Things are good.
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: The vibes are strong. Cynthia's got her glasses on, which
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: she doesn't even need. She just wears them to look smarter,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: which is preposterous. People can check that out on YouTube.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: But we're going to go through the picks first. The
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: bad news. We both went one and two last week.
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Moving on, let's get to this week's pick. I feel
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: good last week. I went into it. I gotta admit
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: I wasn't confident, Like I wasn't like loving my picks.
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: The one pick we had together was Seattle plus three
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: And you know we tape this. That was a Monday
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: night football game.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: We have to be a little careful because we don't
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: know the full injury reports and they ended up missing
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: five defensive starters out Like, are we drawing dead here?
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: So that was one and two. We'll get to the
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: extra picks later.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: I feel great about my picks this week, so I
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: will let you go first because I'm sticking with the
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: three I have. There's no indecision. These are three winners.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: So if you happen to pick the same ones, I'll
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: just jump on board with you.
• 1:37
  Speaker 4: Well really quick before we start. How did the box do?
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: That's what America needs.
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: Box went one and one, which are my extra picks?
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: Okay, yeah, the boxes. The boxes crushed.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: The box is eleven and three this year. Okay.
• 1:47
  Speaker 4: So for my very first pick, did you like that
• 1:52
  Speaker 4: that we had to make it a little bit dramatic here.
• 1:55
  Speaker 4: I'm going to take Seattle to win by at least
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: a touchdown I think right now at six and a half.
• 1:59
  Speaker 4: But I like a nice strong win against the Giants.
• 2:02
  Speaker 4: I think a bounce back situation. We saw that Kenneth
• 2:04
  Speaker 4: Walker is crushing life. Funny thing here that the New
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: York Giants are one of three teams that have only
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: allowed one rushing touchdown. I don't care Kenneth Walker, that's
• 2:13
  Speaker 4: gonna he's gonna change that this week.
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: But I think this is a good one.
• 2:16
  Speaker 4: And by the way, DK Metcalf very almost quietly has
• 2:19
  Speaker 4: had three games in a row of over one hundred
• 2:22
  Speaker 4: receiving yards, like that is a Seahawk record. That's really great.
• 2:26
  Speaker 4: We aren't talking about that enough. So you know, gino,
• 2:29
  Speaker 4: let's go.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: Yes, there's mismatches all over the place against this Giant secondary.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: They don't have a number one cornerback, like who they
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: gonna put Deontay Banks against ddk Metcalf and then it
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: gets a lot worse from there.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know if dor Jackson is gonna play in
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: Initially my instinct was that's a lot of points, like
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: the Giants aren't that bad of a one and three team,
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: And then as we tape this, it's uncertain. But it's
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: not looking good for Molik Neighbors and that Giants offense
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: without Malik Neighbors. It does sound like some Seattle defenders
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: will be back. Not all we'll see, so some injury
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: concerns here, but I like Seattle, they are not one
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: of my considerations. I am going with Ravens minus two
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: and a half as my first overall selection here. Sometimes
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: you don't need to get too complicated. This is the
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: number one offense in the league efficiency according to DVOA.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: According to like EPA per play that they're running attack
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: is awesome. And it's against a defense that can't tackle
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: week after week, that can't set the edge like Chuba
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: Hubbard's getting to the edge, Miles Sanders is getting to
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: the edge. You don't think Lamar Jackson and Derek Henry's
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: going to get to the edge against this defense. And
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: so that to me is such a mismatch. And then
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: when I think about the other side of the ball, Yes,
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: the Bengals offense is playing, well, that's the case. Like
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: against this it's at home, it's a division game, there's familiarity.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: There was some success for the Bengals in the past
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: in this matchup, although the Ravens did win both games
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: last year. But then I look at the schedule that
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: the Bengals offense has played against this year. It's the
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: twenty eighth easiest schedule for opposing offenses, that their offense
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: is paid for opposing defenses. You know Panthers last week,
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: like it's been a lot of easy matchups for them.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: It's a big step up against the Ravens. I just
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: think this is a wagon. I think this is one
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: of those matchups. If it was in Week twelve, it
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: would be five points because at that point we know
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: the Bengals are a decent but flawed team with no defense,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: and we know that the Ravens are one of the
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: best teams in the league, and that's what I believe
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: them to be. So I think this is a good
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: value two and a half. I love me some Ravens.
• 4:38
  Speaker 4: How far would you go with that? Because I'm with
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: you at two and a half? Some places I've seen
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: it's like three or four. Sure, I hate but whatever.
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: Would I would just go? I feel this. I feel this.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: I feel like Lamar Jackson rushing totals like I feel it.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: This team they're soft, they can't tackle, bad defense. Their
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: linebacker with Jermaine prattz slow. Okay, that's enough.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: On the Raves, thats a lot.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: I just feel good. That was like my favorite maybe
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: my favorite one of the years.
• 5:03
  Speaker 4: I'm glad that you got that off your chest. Psyche
• 5:06
  Speaker 4: feels like the rain Maker is out for free Baltimore Maker.
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: I love it.
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: What I told you, I hate the number four.
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: However, my next pick is a line that's at four,
• 5:14
  Speaker 4: which is Chicago. I think they win over Carolina by
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: more than that.
• 5:17
  Speaker 3: At home.
• 5:18
  Speaker 4: Chicago has a very nice home win streak going, which
• 5:20
  Speaker 4: I don't actually care about it all in terms of
• 5:22
  Speaker 4: predicting the game, but it is fun to tell people.
• 5:25
  Speaker 4: I also think that, look, if you're looking at this defense,
• 5:28
  Speaker 4: the Carolina defense, and you're thinking where am I going
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: to find a source of success? Every time it's like
• 5:33
  Speaker 4: Jack Thompson, Oh no, he's hurt too, Derek Brown, like
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: they just keep getting so injured along that defense. That
• 5:40
  Speaker 4: this is an opportunity for Caleb Williams to turn around
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: some of his statistics on deep passing, downfield passing so
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: ten plus AREAAR twenty plus area. He hasn't been particularly
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: great on those yet. Maybe this is a situation where
• 5:52
  Speaker 4: he won't be under so much pressure that he could
• 5:54
  Speaker 4: actually complete.
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: Some of those.
• 5:55
  Speaker 4: DJ Moore loves revenge. I don't actually know if that's true,
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: but we're gonna say it is. But you know, there's
• 6:00
  Speaker 4: just a number of ways here that I think it's
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: going to be very hard for Carolina to you know
• 6:05
  Speaker 4: that just to me, that just means a touchdown.
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: It doesn't mean four points. Might as well be five
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: and a half.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: Year surely, I didn't know what to think about this game,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: but I think you're right that this Panthers defense is
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: going to be one of the worst in the league.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: When I watched that Bengals Panthers game last week, for instance,
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: like I don't even know if the Bengals did that
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: much that well in this game in that game, but
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: they were completing short, easy passes. Kayleb Williams did that
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: well last week. It was almost like they were starting
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: back over with him.
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: He did it well.
• 6:32
  Speaker 4: Yeah, fifteen to fifteen on ten plus area AR or
• 6:35
  Speaker 4: under ten are passes.
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: So that's pretty good.
• 6:38
  Speaker 4: And then if you look at what Andy Dalton has
• 6:40
  Speaker 4: always done well in his career is what quick passes. Yeah, right,
• 6:43
  Speaker 4: and the Bears are actually like fifth or sixth best
• 6:46
  Speaker 4: at limiting yards from quick passes. So it just is
• 6:48
  Speaker 4: a bad mismatch for you know, the for the Panthers
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: and it's in at Soldier Field, which I don't know.
• 6:55
  Speaker 4: I think those Bears fans want they want if they
• 6:57
  Speaker 4: could like have anything to be like may Caleb Williams.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: Well, yeah, just be patient, right, No, we're all rooting
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: for you. Yes, I'm going to see the Bears in
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: London next week, and so I want to win here.
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: Get to three and two.
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: Give me a little Caleb Williams pop because we know
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: the Jags they're not really providing the pop in that
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: in that Jags Bears matchup.
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: So let's go Caleb Williams.
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: I think they get a win, and I think Andy
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: Dalton has played really well getting rid of the ball quickly.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: But you're right, this is by far the toughest matchup
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: he's had against a very good secondary.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: So I like that pick.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: No crossover here, Okay, I'm going Saints plus five and
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: a half.
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: Like that one a lot.
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: Now on Game Deay View, which look you can you
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: could DVR it, you can save it. It's on Friday mornings,
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: on Sunday mornings. It's all over the place. It's our
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: show on NFL Network. I'm taking the Saints straight up. Now,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: do I feel incredibly confident about them winning an Arrowhead. No,
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: I do not, although I think the money line would
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: be fun in this one too, But for our purposes,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: we're picking against the spread.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: And I love me some five and a half here.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Now I've made this mistake before going against Patrick Mahomes
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: in Arrowhead. But five and a half points it's essentially
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: a touchdown. Yeah, Nine out of their last ten wins
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: are by one score, which is you know it's under seven,
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: So five and a half that's great. Then you look
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: at the underlying numbers. At some point you have to
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: just trust who's playing better so far this year. Saints
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: like third in DVA, Kansas City twelfth EPA per play,
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: Kansas City right in the middle, thirteenth, fourteenth offense defense,
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: Saints fifth fourth. Now that's getting boosted by those first
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: couple weeks where the.
• 8:33
  Speaker 4: Carolina was a little bit of a booster. Yeah, was
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: a ego booster as a slumpbuster for.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: The absolutely last week even Yeah, they score three offensive touchdowns,
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: They don't give up any Their defense is a legit
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: defense for sure. Now the case against it, of course,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: is they find stupid ways to lose. Both these teams
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: went to Atlanta, for instance, I thought New Orleans looked
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: much more dominant in their game. They found a way
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: to lose. The Chiefs found a way to win, and
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: that's why that's where the five and a half points
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: come in. I really do believe the Saints are a
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: better team. They just happened to have Patrick Mahomes not
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: playing well and Andy Reid and the other team is
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: Derek Carr and Dennis All And I'm going to talk
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: myself out of this before it's too long, but I
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: really do think the Saints are a better team. They're
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: going to get healthier. I think on the defensive side
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: of the ball. Hopefully Taysom Hill is back for their often.
• 9:18
  Speaker 4: That's the lynch pin for me for the five and
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: a half. That's it, the Taysom Hill.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Really yes, I mean the numbers are crazy that when
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: he's been out there this year, but maybe he just
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: was out there in the easier matchups. So yeah, keep
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: an eye on the Taysom Hill injury report stuff.
• 9:34
  Speaker 4: I can absolutely guarantee one thing in this game though, yes,
• 9:37
  Speaker 4: that after the game, the coach of the team that's
• 9:39
  Speaker 4: facing the Saints is not going to say stats.
• 9:41
  Speaker 3: Are for losers.
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: All right, yeah, that was you know like Kelsey right
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: did that?
• 9:48
  Speaker 3: No, No, that was that was Raheem Morris.
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: So last week, Oh that's right, Jason Kelcey repeated it
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: and then went on another rant, which is hilarious.
• 9:58
  Speaker 4: The one thing I do really like in this game,
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: I think it's a really low total.
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: It's forty two and a half.
• 10:03
  Speaker 4: I know both of these defenses are what's driving that,
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: but that's still a really low number. I understand the Chiefs.
• 10:09
  Speaker 4: They haven't bes worriing ton of points. We've seen the
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: Saints kind of go back and forth. But I think
• 10:13
  Speaker 4: if you look at where like the part of the
• 10:15
  Speaker 4: Saints defense that has been like generous in terms of
• 10:18
  Speaker 4: air yards per target, aer yards per reception, that's where
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: tight ends run, they've been generous to the tight end vision.
• 10:24
  Speaker 4: So I do think that the surprises the score could
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: be a little bit higher than that.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: So the Chiefs, this is their first game where they
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: go into it knowing they don't have Rashid Rice, who's
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: on MYR although his time to return is undefined right now,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: it might not be a season ending injury, which which
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: is very interesting. They don't have Pa Checko this is
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: a slow offense with Kareem Hunt and Travis Kelce out there.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: I like Alante Taylor in the slot. I like all
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: the different guys.
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: They're Lonnny Taylor everywhere.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: They're not going to get great pass rush on Mahomes,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: but that really hasn't been the case all year for
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: teams playing the Chiefs, and they're still not getting the
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: I think this is a secondary that can stick with
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: these guys on longer developing plays. So I really like
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: this one too. I like all my picks this week.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: I'm feeling good if if I go one and two
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: this week like I did last like, I will have
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: a Mia Kolpa, I will apologize. I think I think
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: the rally starts now minimum two in one. I'm feeling
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: maybe a three and oh week. All right, what's your
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: what's your last one?
• 11:24
  Speaker 4: I actually think right as of right now, New England
• 11:27
  Speaker 4: is favored by one point in that game. But there's
• 11:29
  Speaker 4: no Kyle Dugger, there's still you know, there's still Tyreek Hill,
• 11:33
  Speaker 4: There's still There's just a lot of things. And this
• 11:35
  Speaker 4: is a defense that Mike McDaniel is very, very familiar
• 11:38
  Speaker 4: with the structure of the defense, how it works, what
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: goes on and just rushing against them. And by the way,
• 11:44
  Speaker 4: unfortunately for the Patriots they lost their center too. This
• 11:46
  Speaker 4: is also a team who's already been getting gashed in
• 11:48
  Speaker 4: the middle of that O line. So I just think
• 11:50
  Speaker 4: the wrong team's favored. So I'll go ahead and take
• 11:52
  Speaker 4: the point because I think Miami wins this game.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: I took Miami in this game too. I think that's
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: a good pick. David Andrews is a huge lie for them,
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: already the worst offensive line in the league, a team
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: I think that Miami can look at and think, man,
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: all of our problems, like we're not getting much edge rush.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: This is a matchup maybe where we can but we
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: can certainly get some push up the middle play as
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Campbell and Zack Seeler, And I think you hit the
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: nail on the head with the matchup that McDaniel feels
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: comfortable with. They've almost been playing scared the last couple
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: of weeks. They might not The Patriots might not have
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Jabrill Peppers in this game. You know, Christian Barmore is
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: long gone at this point, Matt Jwan Benny was, yet
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: Jawan Bentley was the guy calling the signals. It has
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: not been a good defense, and so I do think
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: Miami looks at this matchup and thinks, man, we can
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: actually just find a win here. It'll be close, it'll
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: they'll ugly it up the Patriots.
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: But I'm with you. I think the Dolphins win. Not
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: one of my picks, though.
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: Oh I like that we're different. Glad just we're covering
• 12:50
  Speaker 4: the whole league.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: Glad that you're not taking this one for me. I
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: love the Bills on the road in Houston. I usually
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: don't go for these like pick them type games where
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: it's two good teams, but I think the Bills are
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: a step above. And look, I had the Bills winning
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I had them losing last week. I've
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: been on the Bills. Yeah, this is one team I
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: got a feel for. I think they're a top five
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: or six team in the NFL. I don't think Houston
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: is there yet. I like good teams coming off bad losses.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: I don't care about the numbers. I don't know if
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: there's any numbers to that, but like a really good
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: team coming off of a loss, I like them rebounding
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: and then what's the way to beat the Bills. I
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: think the Ravens showed it last week. That's a bad
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: matchup problem to be more physical than them up front,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: to push them around a little bit. They're a little
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: they're a little lighter in the pants the Bills on defense,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: but they get Terrell Bernard back this week, apparently Toron Johnson.
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: At least they're practicing, so it looks good. The Texans
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: can't run the ball like we thought the Texans were
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: going to be able to run the ball. First week
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: of the season, they could, Joe Mixon gets hurt. Last
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: three weeks, they're right back to last year. Then I
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: look at the other side of the ball in the trenches.
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: Offensive line for the Bills has been awesome.
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: Lead Dian Back.
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: We don't know if Dean Dawkins is playing a huge deal.
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: That left tackle is like the that is huge.
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: Absolutely huge.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: But you know what, Will Anderson and Daniel Hunter haven't
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: been blowing up game plans this week, and I think
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: you can survive without one good offensive lineman. You can
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: help out their backup left tackle. The rest of the
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: line is really good. So I think they're winning the
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: games upfront on both sides of the ball. I think
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: they're winning those battles. I like the Bills a lot
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: minus one. I think the Texans have been more rickety
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: than their record suggests. They win these last second games
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: against the Colts and the Jaguars, and that's great, that's
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: a great young win, you know, wins for young quarterbacks.
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: But I think the Bills are ready for this.
• 14:41
  Speaker 4: So to me, this game is it feels foggy for
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: a couple of reasons. Number One, they lost von Miller
• 14:48
  Speaker 4: on defense. He's suspended, so that makes a big difference.
• 14:51
  Speaker 4: Number Two, I don't know. This injury report reads to
• 14:54
  Speaker 4: me like, you know, what's that game you play with
• 14:56
  Speaker 4: your kids? Were like, does he wear glasses? Guess who?
• 15:00
  Speaker 4: I'm just like, I don't even know who's playing at
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: this point. So I don't have a great feel on
• 15:03
  Speaker 4: this one. And then further, if the Texans were to
• 15:07
  Speaker 4: clean up their penalties, they have the most in the league.
• 15:10
  Speaker 4: They have forty total twenty six on offense.
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: Yo, that's bad.
• 15:15
  Speaker 4: If you were to clean that up just a little bit,
• 15:17
  Speaker 4: you're putting yourself in a much better situation. So it's
• 15:21
  Speaker 4: just hard when the problem is penalties, Like, I don't
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: know how you fix that, But I also know that
• 15:26
  Speaker 4: that's been.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Sloppy and Eco concept individually made up for it, but
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: they've operations been sloppy.
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, but it's lacking.
• 15:33
  Speaker 4: But what if you get it together this week and
• 15:35
  Speaker 4: then maybe Terrell Bernard or whatever they are not one
• 15:38
  Speaker 4: hundred percent.
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: That's just the thing where I.
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: Feel like and I'm just like, uh, what am I
• 15:43
  Speaker 4: looking at here?
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: You know?
• 15:44
  Speaker 4: Like I and I'm very familiar with the bills, and
• 15:46
  Speaker 4: I'm very familiar with the text, but extremely familiar with
• 15:48
  Speaker 4: the bills. Okay, it's like, you know who's playing safety? Like,
• 15:51
  Speaker 4: are we is Taylor Rapp?
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: Okay? Is he gonna play?
• 15:53
  Speaker 4: Like?
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: I think Taylor Rep's probably missing this game? Yeah, there are.
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: There's just likely a good feel.
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: Don't I don't feel good going on the whole operation.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: I'm going like Josh Allen. I love Josh MVP season.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: So we're on opposite sides there, But that's not one
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: of your three picks. We're both coming off one in
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: two weeks. We're the man if I am that and
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: the computer model. We're tied so far, but we're under
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: five hundred. We need to we need to rally. If
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: you have any others that you just kind of like
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: you could throw them out. But yes, you mentioned the box,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: and so every every week I have the box. I
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: have the teams that make make my top picks, and
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: for some reason, my extra picks are eleven and three.
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: Yes, we went one and.
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: Two last week, but the extra picks are eleven and three,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: only one in one last week. Though I like the
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Vikings in London, the more I thought about it, like
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: the less I've liked it. That was going to be
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: one of my picks early in the week, and I
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: just the more I thought about it. Aaron Rodgers is
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: playing really well, but I do think a team that
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: has protection problems the Jets identifying the free rushers and
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: all that against Brian Brian Floores, and then the Jets
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: defense hasn't played anyone. I'm I'm not sure about this
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: Jets defense. They've played the Titans, the Patriots, and the
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Broncos back to back to back. I think there could
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: be issues there against the run. So I kind of
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: like the Vikings, I like the Commanders, like the Commanders.
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: I like the Commanders a lot. That was going to
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: be one of mine.
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: I just don't like the number three because then you
• 17:14
  Speaker 4: can push and like that seems like it's crappy for
• 17:16
  Speaker 4: our results. I also like Pittsburgh two and a half
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: at home against the Cowboys, who are.
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: With that one is to be the biggest history box game.
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: Parsons, Marcus Lawrence, gone gone.
• 17:26
  Speaker 4: They're already tied for allowing like the most rushing first downs.
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: In the league.
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: But now we're favoring justin fields and a pretty I'm
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: not over and I love fields.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: But over Dak. To me, that's just a toss up,
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: and I just want to stay away from.
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: No, I'm justin fields against a very banged up defense
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: compared to Dak Prescott versus a really mean defense.
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: Okay, that's kind of how I view it. Like it's not.
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: If I had to pick one, i'd be on your side.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: I'd take the Steelers, but that one I just kind
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: of want to watch and enjoy the uniform matchup in
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: the history. And so yeah, in the box this week,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: my my repicks would be Minnesota minus two and a half,
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: Washington minus three and a half or three, depending on
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: where you look. And I actually was on the opposite side.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: Now that you kind of convinced me out of it,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: I'm crossing it out. I had Carolina written down, and
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: you convinced me out of it.
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: I have to admit, I'm so it's good.
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: I'm sorry if we're wrong, I'm really sorry.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: I know it's okay because it's.
• 18:19
  Speaker 4: The box actually makes me feel better because everything in
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: that box feels luckier.
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: It has been luckier. But so I'm only going with
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: two there.
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: It's Minnesota and Washington because you made a compelling case
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: against and I want to root for the Bears to
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: win this game easily.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah in Caleb Williams.
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, because then in luck it will be way more fun.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: Thank you all for listening all week long on the podcast.
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: We really appreciate you leave some reviews. Yeah, we give
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: us a few stars. I just love this community we're
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: building and everyone that has been enjoying the shows. We
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: will be back on Sunday night to recap all the games,
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: including that Bear Name game and the Bears winning big.
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: When the games are in London, you know football is back.
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: I can't see you next day.