Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Gambling Recap | Week 6

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NFL Gambling Recap | Week 6 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: six five. We are part of the Action Network. Today
• 0:16
  Speaker 1: is our NFL Week six Sunday Recap episode. I am
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: Chad Millman and I am joined by my bff, my companion,
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Michael Padre my co host Professional Better Simon Hunter Simon.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: It's been a crazy day as we record this right now.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: For those watching live on YouTube, follow us on YouTube,
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: like and subscribe. We're sweating the end of the Jets
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: Eagles game. Good news for us because we have the
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: Jets plus six and a half in the contest. It's
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: been a great game.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: How you doing, Buddy, Good Buddy. I mean, three and
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: two is right there, four and one was even there.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: The damn kicker for the Saints could hit an actual kick.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: But we talk all the times. It just it does
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: some days, doesn't bount your way.
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: And that was insane. It was totally insane. It was
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: totally frustrating. We got a lot to discuss, and I
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: can say we're going to get into all of it.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by BET
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• 1:28
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• 2:03
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• 2:06
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  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia, or one eight hundred bets
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  Speaker 1: off in Iowa. Terms and conditions apply. As a reminder,
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: catch every episode of the Favorites live on YouTube. For
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: those enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give us a like,
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page. All right, let
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: me do some quick recaps here. We had Cincinnati minus
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: two and a half. That was a win. We had
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: New Orleans minus one and a half that was a loss.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: We had New England plus three and a half. That was, Yeah,
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: it was disgusting, so so disgusting, so disgusting. We're going
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: to talk about that one last we had Tampa Bay
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half, shame on us. And we
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: had the New York Jets plus six and a half.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: As we speak that game right now, the Jets are
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: up and the the Eagles are trying to mount a
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: furious comeback. It's not going well, but we're going to
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: cover that game.
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: Fight fate, right, yeah.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: Can't fight it, just can't fight it. Simon, All right,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: let's talk about First off, let's talk about the first game,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: which was Cincinnati minus two and a half. So, yeah,
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: this was a weird read for us, right because on
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: Sunday night, at this time last week, we were betting
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks plus three at least I did. Then we
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: looked at the Bengals. You did your film session on
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: Joe Burrow this week, and we thought Burrow was back.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: I bought out of the game. We still loved it
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: at two and a half, and look, the Bengals looked
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: great in the first half, even though it was close.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: I never felt like we should be anxious about the game,
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: but they never put it away, and then in the
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: final two minutes almost gave it away.
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: I would say it was the defense, as much I
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: want to say I take credit for wrestle on Joe Burrow,
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: is the defense, That's right.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: That's who said that ed totally. They were so much
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: better defensively than the Seahawks. They made that game when
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: when Gino Smith was down in the red zone towards
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: the end of the game, it was that defensive line
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: that was dominating and putting him on his back and
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: saved the game. I don't know what happened to Burrow
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: in the second half, like him and Jamar Chase looked
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: great together in the first half, and the Seahawks defense
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: played really well. I think here's my read. The Bengals
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: have a buy next week. They are lucky to be
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: in the position they're in, and I think this division
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: might be up for grabs right now because we don't
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: know what's happening with Deshaun Watson. He didn't play this week.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: But if the Bengals defense plays as well as it
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: did today and Joe Burrow actually gets another week to
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: be healthy, it's a great opportunity to buy on the Bengals.
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: That's such a huge weight to win though, that Browns
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: win today against forty nine Ers because everyone in the
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: division has to play that forty nine ers team, and
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: like they're still I honestly might move them above the
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: Eagles because the Eagles just lost today, but they've looked
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: much more human right than this forty nine Ers team.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: So that forty nine Ers team, even that loss, I
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: am so impressed with Purty. I can't get over how
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: good this get is. Like it's mind blowing, Like everything's
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: going against you, all your all your best players again,
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: hurt on offense, and he still put together that drive
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: to go down the field and put his team for
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: that field goal. So those those kind of things I
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: love to see. Chad.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah, well, look, let's talk about this for a second.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: We're going to go two and three on the day.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: We're gonna win with the Jets and the Bengals, we're
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: gonna lose. You know, we got Mac Jones, but a
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: couple of games that we had thought long and hard,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: so to give context for people with the contest that
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: we do the Favorites podcast contest, the lines are dynamic
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: and what that means is you can lock in at
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: any number you want during the week, but if you
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: decide over the course of the week that you like
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: a game and the way the line has moved in
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: the contest, and the contest doesn't do whole numbers, it
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: only does half points, So you might be seeing a
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: seven somewhere, but it's six and a half in the contest,
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: or a three somewhere and it's two and a half
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: in the contest. So Simon and I lock in on Thursday.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Then Sunday morning we review and we love the Browns
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: today at plus nine and a half. That was our
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: big balls bet of the week this week. I bet
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: the Browns at five, I bet him at seven, I
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: bet him at ten. They were part of our money
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: line parlay, and so were the Jets, by the way,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: and we just didn't pull the trigger on getting the
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: Browns in the contest because it was going to screw
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: up some of the other lines that we loved. Ironically,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay and New England were two of those lines,
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: and so you know, it's kind of a bummer, yeah,
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: just I.
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: Mean, the Bucks one stinks obviously lit an egg, but
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: the Patriots ones just so brutal. It's like I've given
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: up at halftime and they sucker you back in just
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: because the Raiders are so bad themselves. And no, as
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: soon as it was thirty and fifteen he was in
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: that end zone, I was like, he's going to he's
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: going through the only thing he can't do here, which
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: is take a sack, and he's going to take a sack.
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: And no, he's he might be the one of the
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: worst quarterbacks.
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on, let's not get let's not get
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: to New England yet, because I want to save that
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: for the end, because we really got to deconstruct how
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: brutal that game is, because it was. It was a
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: level of incompetence on every level across both sides.
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: Literally it was so I watched the whole thing too painful.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: From the first drive. We're going to get to it.
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: We're going to relive the painful and look, I think
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: a lot of people were with us. They were on
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: New England. It was the right side. It was a
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: big play for a lot of people at Action. I'm
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: sure a lot of people listening to the show. We're
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: on the Patriots at three and a half or three
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: even so we'll relive it and deconstruct it the other game. Look,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: that's beat the beat the Eagles. Their defense is so good.
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: Look Zach Wilson is playing well enough. He's missing throws
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: and getting him into the end zone, and he's taking
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: some bad sacks and he did in this game. I
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: could watch this Jets defense and this Browns defense all
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: freaking day, Like they are just fierce and fearless. They
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: I don't think they care if Zach Wilson ever gets
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: in the end zone. They're like, fuck it, we're gonna
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: win this game anyways.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: Uh yeah, I don't know what's the matter. I'm just
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: bummed out of we didn't have that we went to
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: in three. I think we're in the same boat. It's
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: just three and two, four and one. Was just sitting there,
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: Like you said, it's hard not to be tied to
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: these lines. We get good value on Thursday. But I'm
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: just kicking myself. I can't believe we don't have Cleveland
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: in there, like that was We literally said it was
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: a scheduled loss. How did we not have that in there? Like,
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: I'm killing myself.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: We said it all week. Look, brock Purty, I took
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: some notes on this game. Brock Purdy was not good
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: in the whole game, and he lost Deebo Samuel, he
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: didn't have Christian McCaffrey. Greg Kittle was was someone that
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: was just completely absent, and brock Purty at the end
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: of the game made some ridiculous throws, like just brave,
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: awesome throws that put them in the position to win
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: that game. A little sad for Jake Moody that was.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: That was too bad for him.
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, but I needed it because that hit my under
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: and it hit hit my Browns.
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: Bets and that's right, that's right.
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: That was That was a sweat of sweats. That was
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: one of the more fun games this year.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: Just because under I don't convinced me.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: Even when it was seven to nothing. I made a
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: couple of lot of bets on Cleveland where it's just like,
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: somehow this team's going to be in this game. I
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: don't know how, but I was like, they're gonna somehow
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: cover this number. Now. Did I really think they were
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: gonna win now? But then when the injury started happening
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: for the forty nine ers, I was like, okay, we
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: have chance here. Thanks again, brother.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: These defenses are so so good.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: The Brown Yes, hold, those two defense are so good.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: The Jets, all of a sudden, are such an interesting team.
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, what do we.
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: Do with them? We'll talk about that. We're going to
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: talk about that New Orleans. Uh minus one and a half.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: That was a loss. I predict this will be a
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: huge luck rankings game with the Saints being unlucky. Let
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: me read you some stats. Okay, they had one hundred
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: and twenty more yards, eighteen more plays, five and a
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: half yards per play versus five for the Texans, more
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: time of possession. They also CJ Stroud. They forced CJ.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Stroud into his first interception of the year, by the.
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: Way, he stumbled it and then he fumbled it. Chad,
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: did you see that?
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, shout out to Jill a lot. By the way,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: who in the Action Network Best Bets podcast made CJ
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Stroud to throw a pick one of his best bets
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: of the week. CJ completed list than fifty percent of
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: his passes through for less than three through for less
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: than three through for less than two hundred yards. The
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: saintsman's two field goals, including a chip shot, and they
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: still had a chance to tie it in the red zone.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: Multiple times at the end of the game, and.
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: I just kept thinking of Chris Raban, who just kept saying,
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: Derek Carr is the worst red zone quarterback in the
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: history of the NFL, and he's just right, like the
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: guy gets in the red zone, he just can't get
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: it together. He's great getting down there, but once he
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: gets there, it's just he freaks out and he panics,
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: and he overthrows people, he makes bad reads, he takes
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: dumb sacks. It's it is bizarre where he's been in
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: the league so long and he's still a great quarterback,
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: but when he gets in between the twenties, he's terrible,
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: Like he just looks like a rookie. So I'm sick
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: on it. We had a good number, We had them
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: one and a half and I bet a decent amount
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: on the minus one and a half, and it was like,
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: if they have two field goals made, they would have
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: been down one. They're in the red zone, would have
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: been another easy chip shot. We would have covered that number.
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: So yeah, again, just one of those weeks, Chad, where
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: we were on some good numbers. It just didn't didn't
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: go our way. And like, I mean, it's not even
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: our contest, but like that Washington game. We talked about
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: that one. It was like, yeah, that one just as
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: we predicted. So those are always tough where it's like
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: you're right on those games, but they don't end up
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: making your big five bets, and it's like, God's that's
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: the sickening part about doing this.
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: Why didn't Washington make it for us? I know we
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: talked about it and like we just didn't like the
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: two and a half. We thought we could get a three.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: Like yeah, I think that was like, well we'll We
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: were like, well, we'll get it at three and a
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: half when it comes back maybe on Sunday, and then
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: it just went down instead. I think it went to
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: one and a half. So yeah, it just happens.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: It happens. I'm not, I'm My wife was out of
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: time this weekend and came back in the afternoon and
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: she was at Michigan visiting friends and with all of
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: her old friends she went to school with there and
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: came back and like she wanted to show our younger
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: son pictures of being at the game and how exciting
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: it is, and then she was showing up pictures of
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: her friends, and then she was talking and I'm like,
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: and then she was taking a picture of the dog
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: wearing like the Michigan nin hat that she bought and
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: standing in front of me during the game, and I'm like, Stace,
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: I love you. You are fucking killing me right now. Like,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I can't, I can't do this in the middle of
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: the afternoon. And like it was just it made every
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: It ratcheted up the tension in all those moments of
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: those games. I don't even know why that came up.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Just now, it just flashed in my head and it
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: really made the weekend more challenging.
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: Today just today, Yeah, the craziest part was having the
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: three were out of the four games. I think that's
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: first time all year we've had that. We had three
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: games going in the four o'clock slate.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't like it.
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: I was just thinking the same thing I do, not Like,
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: I'd rather have had the Chargers and wait a day
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: than doing that again. So, like, I have a little
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: notes I keep for our show, and that's one of them,
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: and right underneath I put stop betting fucking mac Jones,
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: which is so damn true. We get to this game.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: Now, Yeah, well, Tampa Bay loss plus three and a
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: half Yeah, just Jared Goff is great. I thought the
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Bucks were playing well and the Lions just they're too good.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: Look Mike Evans, Mike Evans dropped the pass again, really
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: important pass that could have put them in a good
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: position early in the game. Had an OPI in the
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: end zone, critical critical penalty.
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: Baker out a terrible game, like he was missing. You
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: kept missing, dudes deep And yes, the read once again,
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: where's what's great about the Lions? Is their offense really good? Chad?
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: You would say their offense is really good, right, Lions
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: for the most defense is so good, right right, So
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: it was I was a read of I thought their
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: offense would struggle, and they did. They only scored twenty
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: points and a couple of them came off really short
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: fields in turnovers, and offensively, we just didn't get anything
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: out of Baker. So it just sucks for Tampa's ded
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: did their job. Like that's that's a really good offense.
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: That's banged up right now with Detroit And yeah, like
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: you said when when they needed big thirty down completions,
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: golf just keeps doing it. But as a better I
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: know people get mad about it. I have to keep
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: I can't help them. I'm gonna have to keep playing
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: the other side because these numbers are so inflated where
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: it's like I think I even't told us before he
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: came on the other the other day, maybe it was
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: this morning. It was like he's seventy percent against the
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: spread since twenty twenty one. Yeah, that that like that
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: just does not happen. So we can avoid him if
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: you want, like he can add to the list, and
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: we just stay away from it because no matter what,
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: there's going to be value in betting against them, because
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: the public are gonna know these stats and they're just
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: gonna keep riding him like this, This Lion's team, they're
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: a cash cow right now for the general public. They
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: keep betting them and they keep winning and Simon close
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: like they just I mean they blew them out twenty
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: to six. That's not a close game like that. That
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: was definitely the worst read of the day by me
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: picking that books team.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: Look, Detroit, we're going to talk about it Detroit on
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: the road next week at Baltimore under a field goal underdog,
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: two and a half point underdogs.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: I know, and we're supposed to take the Ravens there.
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: That's why I hate this.
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: We have to take the Ravens.
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: There.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: There's a couple of games. There's a couple of games
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: I've already made two bets, and there's a couple of games,
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: damn chef, that were definitely gonna that were gonna, well,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: there were a lot like this just makes.
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: That Cleveland money. You got all that Cleveland money.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah right. I blew all the Cleveland money on the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay money, on the Bears, money on the indie money,
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: which thank god we didn't put in the contest, at
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: least with the Bears, like I balance it out. I
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: also had the under.
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: Thank god we avoided the Bears because they were three
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: and a half and you were like, what are you?
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: What do you think? I was just like, let's just
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: stay away, please.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Because we liked it. We liked it a lot.
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: I did. I did, and I'm so glad we stayed away.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: Just ugly all right, New England plus three and a half.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: This was true in competence, and I want to I
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: want to put something out, Okay. The opening two drives
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: the Raiders on the opening drive holding penalty in the
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: red zone, followed by a third and eleven where the
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: receiver is wide open and has the first down, drops
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: the ball on the ensuing field goal for the Raiders.
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: The Patriots commit a personal foul that the Raiders make
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: the field goal. They take it off the board. They
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: have a first down. They don't score a touchdown the
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: offensive and so they kick the field goal the very
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: next drive. The first offensive play after the field goal
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: for New England is a penalty okay. In the fourth quarter.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas was one for six in the red zone.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: In the fourth quarter, New England is down nineteen ten.
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: Mac Jones throws a pass their fourth and four from
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: the four. They have to score a touchdown or they
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: can kick a field goal. Max Crosby late hit on
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: mac Jones. New England scores a touchdown. On the very
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: next play. New England pass interference third and eight to
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: get off the field against Las Vegas, and then mac
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: Jones makes a throw of his life from the end zone.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: DeVante Parker drops it safety Max Jones. Two plays later.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: They lose twenty one to seventeen. We lose the game.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: What the actual mac Jones is going on here? He's terrible.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: Remember when Mac Jones? Do you remember when Mac Jones
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: was supposed to be the third overall pick in the draft.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: The Niners are taking mac Jones. He's amazing, He's the
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: next Tom Brady.
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: Oh Man chaff that's terrible. Like there's so many things
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: I want to say about this one, but it's like
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: you got to be a sick go to do this
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: kind of life, like live this life, bet these kind
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: of games, do this kind of work. Where all I
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: can do is laugh about it, Like I want to
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: be sad that I lost a ton of money on
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: the Patriots, but it's like it's just a waste of energy.
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: It truly is. We played a number and we played
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: a good spot. You can't there's no model that can
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: prepare you for a mac Jones Like this guy. What
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: is the opposite of having a horseshoe up your ass?
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: He's got the opposite of it. Like he is the
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: unluckiest dude ever making the dumbest decisions ever. Like and
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: that Patriots team is just not a Belichick team, Like
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: all these fouls they have, like all these stupid mental
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: mistakes they make. It's as if he it's like he's
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: not a real coach, Like he's a rookie coach. It's
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: just bizarre how he is so bad now. His team
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: is just so badly prepared, and like mental mistakes and
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: all the penalties and like, yeah, like that field goal
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: you talked about so perfect antithesis of this team, Like
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: who everyone knows you can't jump over the guy in
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: the middle, and they did that. So I hate that
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: I got sucked in. I was like, all right, we'll
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: get this cover like it landed on two. And then
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: as soon as that ball was punted, like you said,
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: I just when he was in that end zone. I
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: just kept seeing what was going to happen. And they
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: missed that deep ball and it was right there, like
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: if you would have caught that, that would have been a
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: touchdown most likely, Like that was in stride and he
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: just flat out dropped. I think it was Parker. So yeah, again,
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: go back goes back to Belichick in that front office.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: It's like, how did they let Hopkins leave that that
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: that like they're like they needed to receiver. Hopkins was there.
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: They've They've paid for it all season. They just had
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: not had a reliable guy on the outside. So yeah, Chad,
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: of all the losses, I wish I could say that
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: was a really tough one, and I'm like, stick to
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: my stomach about it. I'm not. I just laughed because
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: it's just like, what what what a fucking joke Mac
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: Jones and that Patriots team. And I'll take solace in
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: just the fact that the Patriots now are like they
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: feel what they feel like, what it's like to be
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: a loser again, like they had the greatest twenty year
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: run ever. You guys are fucking losers who are gonna
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: live in the past now, and it's like, welcome to
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: what the rest of us are like, Like chat here,
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: He's a fucking loser that lives in the past. Me,
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: I'm a fucking loser that lives in the past. Like
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: that's just welcome to the party, guys, Like it's just
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: how it is. So uh, congrats Patriots fan. You guys
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: are fucking losers.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: Watching Mac Jones play and knowing you've bet on him,
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: it's horrible, is so excruciating. It's it's like having your
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: teeth pulled with no novacane for three straight hours and
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: doing it when watching The Raiders is even worse, and
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: then doing it watching the Raiders when Jimmy g is
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: out and Brian Hoyer comes on and the second throw
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: that he makes is a deep bomb down the middle
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: to a guy who is like a third round rookie.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: Because a Patriots safety bites on DeVante Adams and doubles them,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: and the other guy is so freaking fast, no one
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: on the Patriots can keep up with the guy. Oh
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: my god, that game was just everything was horrible. Josh
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: McDaniels is a horrible coach. Belichick is a horrible talent evaluator.
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: Matt Jones is a horrible quarterback. There's no amount of
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: scheming that can save any of this. The Patriots are
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: eight point underdogs of the Bills next week at home.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: Just saying it, I'm just saying I don't want to
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: do any I don't want to do anything with it.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: Simon, But you know what, you're supposed to deal with it.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: But you know we're supposed to do it. But here's
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: here's some stats that Evan put in the Patriots. This
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: is the second time at one in five, the second
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: time in this Super Bowl era that New England has
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: started one in five or worse. That was in nineteen
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: eighty one the Super Bowl era, by the way, since
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: sixty six, only the Giants have scored fewer points than
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: New England this year. The last time New England finished
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: at the bottom of the NFL and scoring was in
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: nineteen ninety. Mac Jones thirteen straight against the spread losses
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: as an underdog.
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: Oooh my god. And I know some guys who've been
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: betting this the whole way down, like every week that
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: keeps saying the same stupid shit. Well they're due. It's
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: Belichick as a dog. Like every week they say there's value,
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: and I hate that We've stepped into a couple of
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: times here, like, ah, it's punishing, it's punishing, truly.
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Simon, here's a good one. He's three and fourteen against
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: the spread as an underdog out of two hundred and
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: seventy one quarterbacks the past twenty years. Again credit Evan
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: Abrams for this. He is two hundred and sixty ninth.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: We said it last week. We said it last week.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: He's just a bad quarterback.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: He is. And he's not just bad. He's like I
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: told you he is. He is the unluckiest quarterback ever.
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: But he's out of the league. Bat like he can't be.
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: They can't play him next week. But you know, Belichick's
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: gonna fucking do it, but like the kid is completely
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: gone mentally.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's I think I agree with you. It's it's
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: hard to watch. At the end of it, I was wondering, like,
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: what does Bill O'Brien even say to him on the bench.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: How does this guy go back into the locker room,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: How does he go back into the film room. How
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: does he go through a week of practice and think
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: I'm ready to go?
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: Drugs are alcohol? It's got to be drugs or alcohol?
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: Jesus, all right? Our other picks, so we had Foxhole,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: New York Jets seven good for us. Our big balls
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: was Cleveland plus seven, good for us. Our exec decision
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: was Tampa Bay plus three. Sorry, not good for us? Uh,
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Simon says, is the Chargers plus two and a half.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: I'm still optimistic about that. In the round robin, we
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: had Tampa Bay, we had Washington. Yay. We had Chicago. No,
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: that can't be right. Didn't we have Cleveland? Did we
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: have Chicago?
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: No? Apparently I talked you out of it, really, which
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: I didn't remember. I thought I did. I thought I
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: said Cleveland. But a fan a guy seems like he
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: knows what he's talking to me. He seems like a
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: diehard fan.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: He said that I convince you to switch out Cleveland,
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: which you know, looking back, I was, I'm not gonna lie.
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: I was worried about PJ. I said, I if that
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: was Watson, that was me my biggest bet of the year.
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: So that's what sucks where it's like I should have
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: just played the spot in the number, like it doesn't
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: matter with the quarterback, is I guess, But at the
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: same time, it does like it for me to put
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: more than six figures on a team, I got at
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: least believe in that quarterback and PJ Man did he
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: make some plays in that game, Chad, like I wish,
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: I wish I would have had that uh you know,
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: insight that he was so comfortable in that offense. But
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: they only brought him in this week. So it's pretty
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: pretty impressive what that kid did against my number three
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: graded defense in all football like that, that's that's really
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: really impressive to do that home against that forty nine
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: ers team.
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: You know, whose biggest bet of the year was Cleveland
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: this week?
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: Chad money Millman.
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Chad money Millman.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: The Milkman always delivers.
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: We didn't even we don't even practice that. You just
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: said it and I you team me up right there.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: We had uh, Tampa Bay, Washington, Chicago, Indie and the Jets.
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: So some of the.
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, sorry about that. I should have should have just
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: stuck with Cleveland. Man, I just knew it, knew it,
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: felt it Sunday night. I was like, that is the
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: stinkiest line ever. The fact they hung a three out
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: there like this this week coming up, people are going
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: to hate these early Sunday picks, but like, these are
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: some of the stinkiest lines I've seen this year. Like,
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: these lines stink. So people hated the picks this week.
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: So many people messing with me. They couldn't even take
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: the Jets. They're like, I can't do it, and I
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: totally got it. I was like, I hate it too.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: If I would have known their whole cornerbacks are gonna
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: be out, probably wouldn't have bet a ton of money
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: on them. But you know, got once again, just play
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: the number and it's just like the Cleveland spot. You
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: just have to trust the number.
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: Like we did with New England.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: No, yeah, no regrets though, Yeah, it's like.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: No regrets. I honestly don't have any regrets. Yeah, honestly,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: if if the Jets hadn't covered, I would not be
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: able to function right now because.
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: Why I won four would have got you that bad.
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: It Just so, as long as you'll own five, I'll
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: always be all right. The old five. We've avoided it
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: like a fucking plague for five years now. That's I
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: just know. I never want to go on five. That's
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: my goal for this show.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: I just I hate losing these games for such stupid reasons.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: You know, I can live with the Tampa loss because
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: they just got outplayed. Ye you know, but betting the
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: right side and not coming out the right side is
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: the winning side, we know scoochism. But betting the right
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: side and not working out because of Mac Jones, which
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: is why there was an advantage. Anyways, it's all circular,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: little logic. Whatever Sunday Night Football. The Bills are massive,
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: massive favorite, Saquon Barkley is playing. This game is kind
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: of a pass for me. Like we had talked about
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: this with the Panthers and the Dolphins. That game, Panthers
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: are fourteen to nothing, and then the Dolphins scored thirty
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: five straight.
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: Points and they got to pick six and they and.
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: Then scored again, so like, and they were not I
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: think like at seven minutes left in the second quarter,
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins were already close to tying that game up,
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: So we liked. The Dolphins is huge favorites. I think
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: the Giants are a mess. The Bills when they cover,
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: when they win, they cover. For me, it's the Bills
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: or nothing. It is probably a pass. What about you?
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Like, I want to be on the Giants, but
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: as we know earlier, we do like a Fade Revel segment.
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: And apparently Darren Revel is on the Giants and he
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: is a hot steamy twenty ats this season against the spread.
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: So if you like the Giants, who are backing Darren
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: Revel's favorite bet this week? So every everyone eventually hits
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: one of these, So you could be right, but I'm
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: going to coward route. I'm just taking the Bills first half.
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: Giants have one touchdown in the first half this season,
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: that was a pick six against Miami. They don't have
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: an offensive touchdown in the first half, So uh yeah,
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: give me the Bills first half minus whatever it is
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: up second it was minus eight and a half, might
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: be up to minus nine and a half.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: For Monday Night Football. We have liked the Chargers plus
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: two and a half oh week, We've liked it since
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: last week. Yeah, yeah, we probably feel better if we
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: had it in the contest right now. But you know,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: they're two and a half. They're coming off the buy.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: We're really high on this offense, what Kellen Moore is
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: doing with Justin Herbert. We think they can play through
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: the Brandon Staley miscalculations and poor coaching and bad decision making.
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: We don't like the Cowboys play calling. I don't think
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy is very good at it. I think he's
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: been overrated and probably shouldn't have gotten the Cowboys job
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: to begin with. And we don't like their defense, which
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: is now not just without Digs, but Layton vandersh who's
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: been really effective as a linebacker. So we're on the Chargers.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah. And you know, Jerry Jones just a bad owner.
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: He became buddy Buddy McCarthy. That's why I hired him.
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: When the news broke out that McCarthy was gotting massages
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: while his teamers putting together game plans and he wasn't
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: even showing up to the meetings in Green Bay. He
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: should never got another head of coaching job in the NFL,
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: So yeah, like this, both head coaches are idiots. Me
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: and Chad make fun of both head coaches all the time.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: But Chargers were two and a half. Now it's down
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: to one and a half. So let you know the
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: pros they're on that Chargers side. But in this matchup
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: I talked about, it just feels like whoever has the
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: ball last, that's who will win this game. So whoever
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: was gonna be a plus number, that's what I was
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: gonna take. So still still like the Chargers, but obviously
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: you missed out on the key number at two and
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: a half.
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: Simon, can you name the fastest growing ticketing app in
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: the United States?
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: Game Time? Game Time.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: I love game Time for two reasons. One they sponsored
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: this show. Number two, I actually use game Time to
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: buy tickets. They've got amazing last minute deals on all
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: sorts of tickets, including pro and college football games. Speaking
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: of which, I'm opening the game Time app right now
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: from my house. You guys watching me on YouTube, you
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: can see it. I'm opening right now. Oh my god.
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: Look I can get It's hockey season, guys. I can
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: get the New York Rangers. I can get into MSG
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: for less than one hundred and fifty bucks for the
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: Rangers next game. If you haven't been to a Raiders
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: game and you live in the New York area, it's
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: a must go to event no matter where you live.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: Download the Game time app, Get out have some fun
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: this week. Go sweat your bets live and in person.
• 32:14
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  Speaker 1: lowest price guaranteed. All right, some early Week seven spots, Simon,
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: I've already made two bets. I will tell you what
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: they are as soon as we're done going through these.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: The buys next week Carolina, Cincinnati, Dallas, Houston. So we
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: don't have to worry about fading CJ. Stroud, the New
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: York Jets. We don't have to worry about sweating the
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: New York Jets. Tennessee Titans, we don't have to worry
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: about Mike Rabel Pittsburgh is visiting the Los Angeles Rams.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: They are three point underdogs on the road. I can't
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: wait to tell you I bet this one already.
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Pittsburgh, that's a good number with Pittsburgh.
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, with Pittsburgh plus three, it's.
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: Three and a half.
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: Now are you freaking kidding me?
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: I'm on bet three six five right now. Thank you
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: for the sponsorship Bet three six five. We love you.
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: Uh yeah, Chad, I was gonna say that's that's well,
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: that's a good bet, but that that's definitely not want
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: to jumped out to me. But I like your head Zet.
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: But the Rams, we talked about them coming to this season,
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: like they're just I haven't modeled this obviously. I bet
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: you they're gonna be underrated in the spot, like it
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: makes sense that it was three and the Pros came
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: in and hit him. That's just the Cooper Cup. Having
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: him back on that offense just changes everything. Like it's
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: just every time in third down today, I was never
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: worried about Stack forgetting at first down. He's just such
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: a machine when Cooper Cup's there. So yeah, I love
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: I love this this Rams team so much. Jets, You're
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: you're asking me a bet against him here. I got
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: to run through the model first. But if you like Pittsburgh,
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: you should like them even more. Now it's up to
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: three and a half.
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: Terrible, all right? Atlanta Atlanta Tampa Bay Tampa Bay minus
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: two and a half. These are games, by the way,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: I just like first instinct, I haven't bet this one.
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: I just picked out games where I'm like, I feel
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: like this is interesting. We might want to talk about it.
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay minus two and a half Division game at home.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: I'll probably on Tampa again. I can't quit them. I'm sorry, Chad. Yeah, Luckily, Luckily,
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't have to make a bet
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: on this.
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: Yet, but I agree with you.
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: I feel like Tampa dude.
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: In my notes, I didn't even say this during the
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: conversation about Tampa. I feel like we were just so
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: we were so focused on not getting Cleveland in and
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: talking about New England that we didn't We didn't get
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: to really talk about Tampa as much as we probably
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: should have. But in my notes about Tampa, I wrote,
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: I'm falling in love with his Tampa team because their
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: defense was great today. Even though yeah, they lost their
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: defense like kept him in it. We will keep betting
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: this Tampa team even when they break our hearts like
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: the Falcons last year.
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're just they've just got that vibe to him
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: where it's like I love the team that's there, and
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: Baker has the moments Like today he had the right reads.
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: He just wasn't connecting. So it sucks like we had
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: a bad Baker day. That's just that's that's you live
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: and die. We say all the time, bending these back quarterbacks,
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: just you catch on the wrong day, you never have
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: a chance.
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: I don't think that. I think it's different. I don't
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: think we had a bad Baker day because Baker. But
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: bad Baker day to me is Baker making the bad
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: and he hasn't been doing that. Like he gets the
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: ball out so fast, he's going through his progression so quickly.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: He's boom boom boom, drop step throw. And I was
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: That's exactly what I was watching the whole time. That's
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: all I was watching for. Was is he running around
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: trying to like make bigger plays than he should and
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: he wasn't. He was making the right throws. His receivers
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: didn't help him, Like except for the two long throws
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: where he just over through the guys, guys were turning
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: the wrong direction, they were dropping balls. Like he was
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: making good plays all.
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: Right, you want to get the stinkiest lines of the week.
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: Chad hold on Denver plus two.
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: That line stinks. That's one of them, right, it's down,
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: it's down to one and a half. That like that
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: was gonna be auto. Bet Denver. You gotta bet it.
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: I'm so sorry to everyone, but you have to bet Denver.
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: They're a home dog too, this this Green Bay team
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: that they they're so we already talked Jordan Love was
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: gonna growing pains. It's his first year as a starter.
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: They should continue here. I know Denver is the worst.
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: Maybe me and Chad won't have him in our contest
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: because I like, this is one of my big things
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: in my notes, is like you will have value on
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: Denver every week, doesn't mean you should bet them. And
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: it's so true. It's like they are one of those
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: teams where I don't think Sean Payne's trying to tank.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: But in that Thursday night game, like Russell Wilson was
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: just whatever the play calling was was just not the
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: good was just not good play Collin and Russell Wilson
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: was set up to fail, it felt like in that game.
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: So yeah, so you're you're You're right where I'm at
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: with Denver like that. It sucks a two and a
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: half is gone. That would have been an amazing bet. But
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: it's it is down to one and a half. What
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: about it too, I'd still take it. Yeah, we're gonna
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: take them at regardless whatever they are, as a dog,
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: like I'll bet their money line. But again it's it's
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: Sunday night. I'm looking able to get a penny down,
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: but it's still it's like, I'll just take the value.
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: I think this line will flip and if it gets
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: up to plus three for green Bay, I would love
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: to get green Bay as a big dog in the spot.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: All right? Uh l A Chargers plus five and a
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: half at Kansas.
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: City, niche We we will keep keep fading this Chiefs team.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: Something is wrong with that offense, and we know what
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: it is. Like the OC clearly was a huge deal
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: to them. The wide receivers just aren't as good. Kelsey's
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: got a bum ankle. It's a big that's way too
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: big of a number. So we'll play now in case
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: the Chargers blow out the Cowboys and this number could
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: easily be three three and a half. So yeah, I'm
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: right there with you. You I already bet this. Chargers got
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: it at six five and a half. Now a lot
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: of books, I'd still take that number.
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, I'm so excited. I bet it at
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: six two. The the Skeleters and the Chargers were the
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: two bets that I made. I haven't bet Denver yet.
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: I didn't bet Tampa Bay yet, but I did bet
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: the Chargers, and I'm excited that I got it at six.
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: So but I still, you know, five and a half,
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: go get it? Uh? What am I missing?
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: Can't We can't put in the contest. But Saints right
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: now are minus one. At home Thursday night against the Jaguars.
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: The Saints were a dog. So that here's what we're not.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: I don't want to make a big bet on this,
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: and we can't put in the contest. Yeah, Saints opened
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: at plus one and.
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: Clips hammered it, so yeah, they're they're their favorite. Now
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: people are gonna hate me, so thank god we can't
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: put in because they hate how much I love the Saints.
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: But it's they have a good defense. They do. I
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: can't go over how good this defenses. And if Derek
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: carry has so many good weapons around them, it's just
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: if he can get over his red zone woes, Like
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: this team is going to be so good. So that's
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: that's that was the stinkiest line I saw this week.
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: Like as soon as I saw that them as a dog,
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: I was like, oh my god, the public is going
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: through hammer. They just Jaguars team. So yeah, that that
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: line already flipped. Saints are now favorite.
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: Well look maybe i'll flip back right if you didn't
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: get it.
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: Yet another one you already kind of briefly touched on.
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: So the Ravens against the Lions. The Lions are plus
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: two and a half. Once again, them outdoors, they're just
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: a different offense compared to when they're indoors. I love
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: this Ravens team, but we know the deal. These teams
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: that come back after playing in London usually they're a
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: little sluggish. But the Jaguars look sluggish to you today, Chad.
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: They did not. They did not.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: They did not. So I'm keeping that in my mind
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: where it's like maybe maybe having two games there is
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: the difference. I don't know yet, but yeah, I'm I'm
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: I put a small bet on this one. See what
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: the market does with it. But how do I not
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: take the Ravens catching under a field goal here against
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: this Lions team. Like this is these are two powerhouses
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: in their own conferences, but we're getting under a field
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: goal what I think is the better team in the Ravens.
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: So yeah, couldn't pass on that value chat and you
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: were a spot on when you mentioned it earlier.
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so the lines that we just talked about, I
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: liked Pittsburgh at plus three, Simon's waiting, we're talking about
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay minus two and a half. Denver was at
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: plus two, it's now at plus one and a half.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: Feels like we're still going to bet that we both
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: like the Chargers at plus six plus five and a half,
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: and we're both going to take a taste of the
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: Ravens at minus two and a half. As a reminder,
• 40:50
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• 41:45
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